UK jobless total falls to 1.

64 million
17th August 2016
http://pacificenergyassociates.com/news/uk-jobless-total-falls-to-1-64-million/

Total UK unemployment dropped between April and June in the run-up to the
Brexit vote, official figures indicate.

The UK's jobless total fell by 52,000 to 1.64 million, and the unemployment rate
remained at 4.9%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
The number of people on the claimant count in July, the first month since the UK's
vote to leave the EU, was 763,600, down 8,600 from June.
Wages excluding bonuses rose 2.3% in the three months to June, the ONS said.
Including bonuses, earnings growth was 2.4%.

"The labour market continued on a strong trend in the second quarter of 2016, with a
new record employment rate," said ONS statistician David Freeman.
"However, little of today's data cover the period since the result of the EU
referendum became known, with only claimant count and vacancies going beyond
June - to July for the former and to May-July for the latter," he added.
The jobless total is now at its lowest for eight years, while the unemployment rate is
at its lowest since the summer of 2005, according to the ONS figures.
The employment rate reached a record high of 74.5%, with 31.8 million people in
work in the three months to June - 172,000 more than the previous quarter.

Brexit 'labour market toll'

Howard Archer of IHS Global Insight said that the UK economy showed "impressive
resilience in the run-up to the EU referendum and the immediate aftermath of the
vote to leave".
However, he warned: "It is premature to draw any firm conclusions from this... It
remains likely that softening economic activity and heightened uncertainty will take a
toll on the labour market over the coming months."
Hargreaves Lansdown economist Ben Brettell said that while forward-looking
surveys to gauge business confidence had suggested the Brexit vote had delivered a
shock, "surveys are driven by sentiment, and can therefore overreact".
"The dramatic fall in confidence may not ultimately be borne out by activity, and
today's claimant count number is a tentative sign that things might not turn out as
bad as many predicted," he said.
Anna Leach, head of economic analysis and surveys at employers' organisation the
CBI, said that before the Brexit vote, "the UK's jobs market remained in rude health,
though vacancies have continued to tick down since the beginning of the year."
She said the Bank of England had been right "to act swiftly to shore up confidence
and keep money flowing through the economy" by taking steps such as lowering
interest rates.
She called on the government to "make ambitious decisions in the Autumn
Statement that will secure the UK's economic future as changes to trade, regulation
and access to skills loom on the horizon".

'Boost confidence'
Suren Thiru of the British Chambers of Commerce said: "Labour market indicators
tend to lag behind the wider economy, so it is likely to be some time before the full
post-referendum employment picture emerges.

"However, more needs to be done to boost business confidence, so that firms can
continue to grow and recruit."
Employment minister Damian Hinds described the figures as "record-breaking" and
said the UK was "in a position of strength".
"The job now is to build on this success story so that everybody can benefit from the
opportunities that are being created regardless of who they are or where they come
from," he added.
Debbie Abrahams, shadow work and pensions secretary, said the fall in
unemployment was "welcome", but accused the Conservatives of presiding over an
economy that was "over-reliant on low paid insecure work".
"If Theresa May is serious about supporting working people, we need to see serious
action on tackling low pay and investing in the high-skilled, high-wage jobs our
economy needs," she said.
The ONS said it was 95% confident that the change in the unemployment total for
April-to-June is somewhere between a rise of 25,000 and a fall of 129,000.