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Prism Cements LTD - Submitted by Nigam Mehta (IPMX09035) Prism Cements LTD
Prism Cements LTD - Submitted by Nigam Mehta (IPMX09035) Prism Cements LTD
Net profit of Prism Cement reported to Rs 15.65 crore in the quarter ended June
2016 as against net loss of Rs 14.90 crore during the previous quarter ended June
2015. Sales declined 1.34% to Rs 1286.91 crore in the quarter ended June 2016 as
against Rs 1304.37 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2015.
Beta
Prism Cement Ltd has informed that the Company's Board of Directors has, at its Meeting
held on August 09, 2016, appointed Mr. Shobhan Thakore - Non- executive Independent
Director as the Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Company with immediate effect.
Analysis:
In the past couple of years, the real estate sector has seen a downturn. This has
impacted the Infrastructure or the Cement industry. In order to measure the
market risk, I have used the market returns of the NSE 50 and the companys
returns for the last 1 year (14-08-2015 to 12-08-2016) to estimate the Beta
value. The Beta value a measure of the stocks volatility in relation to the
market index gives us a peek in into the riskiness of the companys stock.
Description
Annual Return
Standard
Deviation
Std. Deviation
Annualised
Beta
Prism Cement
6.51%
NSE 50
3.79%
2.63%
1.05%
41.27%
1.322
16.39%
1
Systematic Risk
Unsystematic
Risk
21.67%
16.39%
19.60%
I have used the templates provided by Prof. Aswath Damodaran on his website to
estimate the Default Spread and Ratios. It was also used in estimating the
optimum D/E ratio for the maximization of the shareholders value.
Beta
1.034
8
1.110
7
1.205
5
1.397
0
1.629
8
1.955
7
Costof
Equity
Interestrate
ondebt
Tax
Rate
CostofDebt
(aftertax)
WAC
C
Enterprise
Value
16.40%
Bond
Rating
Aaa/AA
A
7.92%
34.00%
5.23%
16.40%
6,951
17.08%
Aa2/AA
8.85%
5.84%
Ba1/BB+
11.35%
7.49%
15.95%
15.84
%
7,304
17.92%
34.00%
34.00
%
7,403
19.63%
C2/C
23.17%
18.34%
18.92%
19.42%
5,238
21.71%
C2/C
23.17%
13.75%
19.98%
21.02%
4,633
24.62%
C2/C
23.17%
11.00%
20.62%
22.62%
4,153
60%
70%
80%
90%
2.444
7
3.287
5
4.931
3
9.862
5
28.98%
C2/C
23.17%
9.17%
21.05%
24.22%
3,763
36.49%
D2/D
27.17%
6.70%
25.35%
28.69%
2,981
51.16%
D2/D
27.17%
5.86%
25.58%
30.69%
2,728
95.14%
D2/D
27.17%
5.21%
25.75%
32.69%
2,514
The template by Prof. Damodaran has been attached here for the references. A
brief summary of inputs is listed here. The data entered is from the March 2016
Financial statements.
-
Worksheet in
Financial Management Project - Prism Cements v1.0.xlsx
Enterprise Value
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
0.1
0.2
5,238 4,633
4,153 3,763
2,981 2,728 2,514
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
As can be seen in the table below, the Prism Cements has increasingly taken up
debt to finance its operations over the last 6-7 years. A high debt/equity ratio
shows that the company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt.
Aggressive leveraging practices also bring in high levels of risk. This may result
in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest expense.
Prism Cement Ltd
Year
Debt-Equity Ratio
Long Term DebtEquity Ratio
Description
Debt to Capital
Cost of capital
Enterprise value (in
crores)
Value per share
Mar
10
0.44
0.39
Mar
11
0.83
0.61
Mar
12
1.05
0.8
Mar
13
1.32
1.12
Mar
14
1.66
1.42
Mar
15
1.84
1.6
Mar
16
1.88
1.48
Current
Optimal
State
State
29.60%
20.00%
16.05%
15.84%
7,221
103.00
7,400
106.55
The optimal D/V ratio is obtained at 20% where the overall cost of capital is
estimated to be about 15.84%. From the above table and the chart it is also seen
that the Enterprise Value would be maximum for the D/V ratio of 20.00% and so
the Value per share would be maximum for this value.
At 20% D/V ratio, the company would attain a maxiumum valuation of Rs 7,400
crores.
In the current state, the company is over leveraged and it should reduce its Debt
Capital ratio to 20% in order to attain the maximum value for its shareholders.
If the company raises its debt any further, then its ratings could get downgraded
and the cost of Debt may increase significantly. This could pose a major problem
to the companys WACC and its total valuations would also be impacted.
References
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/
www.capitaline.com
http://www.prismcement.com/