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RBS - Round Up - 040610
RBS - Round Up - 040610
This material has been produced by RBS sales and trading staff and should not be considered independent.
The Round Up
3 June 2010
Issue No. 343
Equities
Move Last % Move Range Volume
ASX 200 -32.1 4381.0 -0.7% -39 to +16 $5.3 bn(A)
SPI - yesterday -23.0 4387.0 -0.5% -39 to +22 38,310(H)
Dow Jones +225.5 10249.5 +2.2% +2 to +230 Avg
S&P 500 +27.7 1098.4 +2.6% +1 to +28 Avg
Nasdaq +58.7 2281.1 +2.6% -1 to +59 Avg
FTSE -12.0 5151.3 -0.2% -91 to u.c Avg
Commodities
Move Last % Today % Past Month
Oil-WTI spot +0.82 73.40 +1.1% -14.8%
Gold Spot -1.95 1223.70 -0.2% +3.8%
Nickel (LME) -38.56 887.87 -4.2% -25.4%
Aluminium (LME) -0.33 88.52 -0.4% -12.3%
Copper (LME) -3.67 301.10 -1.2% -10.3%
Zinc (LME) -2.27 80.28 -2.7% -21.5%
Silver -0.08 18.36 -0.4% -1.5%
Sugar -0.46 13.94 -3.2% -7.4%
Equity Structured Products and Warrants
Overnight Commentary
Markets enjoyed a nice bounce overnight as investors came for oversold stocks from the previous session and continued
positive economic data was released. The Dow jumped 226pts, the S&P was 2.6% higher and the Nasdaq also added
2.6%.
Eco - Pending Home Sales MoM were 6% vs 5% as buyers rushed to get in for the April 30 tax credit deadline, YoY they
were 24.6% vs 20.2% expected. Domestic Vehicle Sales were also above expectation, 9.14m vs 8.9m, and Total Vehicles
Sales were 11.64m vs 11.4m.
Energy - Halliburton jumped 12% and was the best on the S&P100 after the company said it had plenty of other projects if
Gulf drilling is banned. Baker Hughes rose 10.5%, Schlumberger added 8.8% and National Oilwell 4.3%.
Homebuilders - The sector had a good day following the Pending Home Sales data. DR Horton rose 3%, Toll Brothers
was also up 3%, Lennar added 1.3%, Pulte climbed 2.7% and Beazer ended 1% higher.
Auto - Carmakers enjoyed a solid day following the release of the sales figures. Ford rose 3.9% and said that they would
kill off the underperforming Mercury brand to concentrate on Lincoln.
The FTSE lost 12 points Wednesday as miners tracked metal prices lower on speculation of slowing Chinese demand
and lingering debt concerns continued to weigh on banks. The market finished the day -0.2% while the DAX and the CAC
were both unchanged.
Banks - Banks were under continued pressure as ongoing Eurozone debt fears continue to overshadow any catalyst for
investors to return to the sector. Barclays, RBS and Lloyds off 2.2% to 3.6%.
Insurance - Prudential shed 2.5% after abandoning it's plans to buy AIG's Asian life unit for $35.5B. The poorly handled
transaction has left management under fire and the company staring down the barrel of a $659m fail fee.
Commodities Commentary
Miners - Miners were weaker today as metal prices fell against a backdrop of Chinese growth concerns. BHP and RIO fell
1% and 0.4% respectively while Lonmin, Xstrata and Anglo were off as much as 2.1%.
Equity Structured Products and Warrants
Energy - Energy plays remain out of favour with BP falling another 0.1% as a lack of news surrounding the oil spill
continues to sour sentiment. BG fell 2.3% while Royal Dutch added 0.3%.
SPI Commentary
The SPI traded down 23pt to 4387. Open at 4410 with a high of 4432 and a low of 4350. Volume 46,060 Overnight the
SPI traded up 81pts to 4468.
*SPI report taken from the 9:50am open to the 4:30pm close on the previous trading day. Charts taken from IRESS
Source: IRESS
Investment view
Prior to the initial bid, our preference was for NCM over LGL for gold exposure due to diversification by mine and
geography, its strong growth pipeline, management strength and a relatively low P/NPV multiple. Should the merger be
successful we are of the view that NCM's management team will be able to extract greater operational synergies over
time than the A$85m currently factored in to our numbers, and remain buyers on a long term view. We maintain our view
that a competing bid for LGL is unlikely but would continue to hold that stock with a view to NCM exposure now that a
timeline for the merger has been established.
Source: IRESS
Source: IRESS
For further information please do not hesitate to contact us on the details below
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