Sebek Vladimir Disertacija PDF

-
, 2014
UNIVERSITY OF KRAGUJEVAC
FACULTY OF LAW
Vladimir ebek
CRIMINAL INTELLIGENCE MODELS OF

POLICE ORGANIZATION IN
CRIME CONTROL
PhD THESIS
Kragujevac 2014

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.......................................................................................................................... xii
.................................................................................................................. xv
.......................................................................................................................... xvi
......................................................................................................................... xviii
1.
................................................................... 1
2.
..................................................................................... 4
2.1
................................................. 5
2.2
......................................................... 6
2.3
......................................................... 6
2.4
............................... 6
3.
............................................................................................. 7
4.
.................................... 8
5.
4.1
......................................................................................... 8
4.2
................................................................................... 8
....................... 9
5.1
........................................................................... 9
5.2
.................................................................... 9

()

1.
.................................................................... 11
1.1
...................................................................................................... 11
1.2
...................................................................................... 15
1.3
.................................................................................. 17
1.4
.............................................................................................. 18
1.5
2.
............................................................................. 20
1.5.1
............................................................................................................ 21
1.5.2
........................................................................................... 26
1.6
...................................... 30
1.7
- .............................................. 31
() ......... 34
2.1
....................................................................................................... 34
2.2
.......................... 40
................................................................................................................. 40
iii
2.3
.......................................................................... 41
3. -
................................................................... 43
3.1
................................................................. 44
3.1.1
(Strategic Policing) .................................................................. 44
3.1.2
(Problem Oriented Policing) ............. 45
3.1.3
(Community Policing) ............................................ 46
4.
...................................................................................................... 49

-

I
-
1.
......................................................................... 57
1.1 ,
................................................................................................ 58
1.2
.............. 61
1.3
, ...................................................... 67
1.3.1
,
..................................................................................................... 68
1.4
- .......................................................................... 70
1.4.1
- ................................... 72
II
(INTELLIGENCE)
:

1. E (INTELLIGENCE)
........................................................................ 77
2. - (Criminal
Intelligence) ............................................................................................................................. 79
2.1
- ................. 80
2.2
- : ....................... 83
2.3 () -
............................................................................................................................. 86
3. -
(Intelligence-Led Policing) ............................................................. 92
3.1
................................................................................. 92
iv
3.2 - :
...................................................................................................................... 94
3.3 -
.................................................................................................................... 97
3.3.1
: 3-i (Three-i Modell) .................... 97
3.3.2
: Carter & Carter ............................................. 101
III
,
-
1.
- ..................... 108
1.1
(Information Management Plan) .................... 110
1.2 (Creating the Organizational

Infrastructure) ..................................................................................................................... 115
1.3 -
- .......................................... 122
2.
/ -
126
2.1 - (Tactical Criminal
Intelligence) ........................................................................................................................ 126
2.2 - (Operational Criminal
Intelligence) ........................................................................................................................ 127
2.3 - (Strategic Criminal
Intelligence) ........................................................................................................................ 128
3. ................................................................................... 128
3.1
3.1.1
............................ 131
3.1.2
............................ 131
3.2
4.
-
129
- ............. 132
- ............................... 134
4.1
(Strategic Assessments) ......................................................... 136
4.2
(Tactical Assessments) ............................................................. 138
4.3
(Problem Profile) ..................................................................... 139
4.4
(Target Profiles) .................................................................. 140
4.4.1

(Prolific and Other Priority Offenders PPO) .............................................................. 142
v
4.5
- ........................... 150
5. 10 ..................................................................................... 151
6. , ,
- ................. 152
6.1 - :
....................................................................... 153
6.2
- :
153
6.3 -
................................................................................................................. 154
6.4
- ............... 155
6.5 - ,
...................................................................................... 155
6.6 -
................................................................................ 156
6.7
- ........... 156
6.8 -
() . 157
6.9
- .................. 158
IV
-

1. -
- ........................ 161
1.1 -
........................................................................................................................... 161
1.1.1
() ..................................... 162
1.1.2
() ................................. 165
2. .................................. 167

-
I

1.
- ....... 177
1.1 : - ................................................................................................ 178
1.1.1
(Data) ................................................................................................ 178
1.1.2
(Information) ............................................................................ 179

vi
1.1.3
(Knowledge) ......................................................................................... 184
1.1.4
- (Criminal Intelligence) ....... 185

II

1. -
................................................................................................................... 186
1.1
-
186
1.1.1
(Open Source of Informations - OSI) Open
Source Intelligence- OSINT ........................................................................................... 188
1.1.2
(Closed Source of Informations) ................ 195
1.1.3
() (Classified Source of
Informations) .................................................................................................................. 197
2.
(Community Intelligence).......... 200
3. ....................................................................................... 202
III
-
1. - :
.................................................................................................................... 206
1.1
() .................................................................... 210
1.1.1
-
.................................................................................................................. 211
1.2
(Collection) ............................................................... 214
1.2.1
............................................................................ 215
1.2.2
............................................................... 220
1.2.3
(Collection Plan) ....................................... 221
1.2.4
.......................................... 222
1.2.5
() ...................................................... 226
1.3
(Evaluation) ...................................................................... 233
1.3.1
4 x 4...................................................................................... 235
1.3.2
5 x 5...................................................................................... 237
1.3.3
6 x 6...................................................................................... 238
1.3.4
................................................... 240
1.3.5
(Handling Codes) .............................. 242
1.4
() ............................................................... 245
1.4.1
- - ................................. 245
1.4.2
(Deconfliction) ............................ 249

vii
1.5
............................................................................................ 250
1.5.1
............................................................................... 253
1.5.2
...................................................................................................... 259
1.5.3
........................................................................................ 261
1.5.4
- .............. 265
1.5.5
......................................................................... 266
1.5.6
- ................. 272
1.6 (,,) -
...................................................................................................................... 274
1.6.1
(/) ,
(Sanitization process) ................................................. 276
1.6.2
- -
..................................................................................................................... 278
1.6.3
1.7
- . 282
(-)......................................................................... 283
2. , ........................................................................................ 285
3.
- ..... 287
3.1
................................................................................................. 289
3.2
............................................................................................... 291
3.3
....................................................................................... 292

I
-
1. ................................................................................... 296
2. -
............................................................................................................... 296
2.1
.......................................................... 298
2.1.1
-
........................................................................................... 300
2.1.2
.... 302
2.1.3
... 305
2.1.4
()
..................................................................................................... 306
viii
II

1.
-
............................................................................... 318
1.1
() ................................................................................. 320
1.2
................................................................................................ 325
1.3
................................................ 332
1.4
.................................................................................... 334
1.4.1
1.5
........................ 337
........................................ 369
1.5.1

........................................................................................... 370
1.6
................................................................................ 374
1.6.1
1.7
..................... 383
1.7.1
1.8
...... 380
,
383
.................................................................................................... 386
III
-

1. -
................................ 387
1.1
.............................................................................................. 390
1.2
.................................... 392
2. -
-
.................................................................................................................. 395
2.1
- ...................... 396
2.1.1
2.2
................................................................. 398
- ................................. 401
2.2.1
- :
.............................................................................................................. 402
2.2.2

- ............................................................ 403
2.3
13 ............................................................................. 405
ix
1. -
.................................... 408
1.1
() ..................................... 413
1.2
- ................................. 417
2. -
........................................................................................................... 418
2.1
- .................................................. 422
2.1.1
FBI - ................................................. 423
3. -
(The European Criminal Intelligence Model - ECIM) ............ 426
3.1 - (European Criminal Intelligence
Model ECIM) ................................................................................................................... 427
3.2
............................................................................................. 433
3.3
ECIM ........................................ 434
3.3.1
.......................................................... 437
3.3.2
........................................................................... 437
4. -
........................................................................ 439
4.1
- ... 440
4.2
- ... 443
4.2.1
........................................................... 448
4.3 -
...................................................................................................................... 451

1.
............................................................................ 457
2.
........................................................... 457
3.
..................................................................... 458
4.
....................................................................................................... 458
5.
................... 459
6.
, .......... 459
7.
........................... 460
7.1
........................................................................................................ 460
7.2
- ....................................... 464
x
7.3 , , ,
- .................... 468
7.4
......................... 472
7.5
- ( ) .......... 478
7.6
..................................................................................................................... 490

1.
................................................................................................................ 496
2.
.................................................................................................................. 501
2.1
.......... 509
I: .......................................................................................... 510
II: .................................................................................... 535
...................................................................... 545
.................................................................................................................... 548
xi
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I-1
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II-8
II-9
II-10
II-11
II-12
II-13
II-14
II-15
II-16
II-17
II-18
II-19
II-20
III-1

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Carter & Carter Ratcliffe

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xii
III-2
III-3
III-4
III-5
III-6
III-7
III-8
III-9
IV-1
IV-2
IV-3
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VI-1
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VI-12
VI-13
VI-14
VI-15
VI-16
- 4x4
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- 6x6
Handling Codes
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Handling Codes
- 6x6
- 6x6
- 4x4
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xiii
VI-17
VI-18
VI-19
VI-20
VI-21
VI-22
VI-23
VI-24
VI-25
VI-26
VI-27
VI-28
VI-29
VI-30
VI-31
VI-32

(
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(
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- ()
.
- ()
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xiv
:
.
I-1
I-2
II-1
IV-1
IV-2
IV-3
V-1
V-2
V-3
VI-1
VI-2
VI-3
VI-4
VI-5
VI-6
VI-7
VI-8
VI-9
VI-10
VI-11
VI-12
VI-13
VI-14

()

- ( )

-

()

1995.-2011
-
2002. 2007.
2002.-2007

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( )
.

xv
:
.
I-1
II-1
II-2
II-3
II-4
II-5
II-6
II-7
II-8
II-9
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II-11
III-1
III-2
III-3
III-4
III-5
III-6
III-7
III-8
III-9
III-10
III-11
III-12
III-13
III-14
III-15
III-16
III-17
IV-1
IV-2
IV-3
V-1
V-2
V-3
V-4
V-5

3-i (-) :
Carter & Carter
-
Carter & Carter Intelligence-led policing
-

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Handling Codes

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xvi
V-6
VI-1
VI-2
xvii
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II-1
II-2
II-3
III-1
IV-1
V-1
V-2

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xviii

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V.T.Newburn (Ed.), Handbook of Policing, pp. 373-403.
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LITRRE, E., Organized criminal, New York, 1997, p.15.
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.45
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, , 1984, . 140-186;
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44
, ., op. cit. . 111.
45
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49
Dinchen Franziska Stbert, Strategische Kriminalittsanalyse im BKA, Kriminalistik, No 6/1999, p.379.
- :
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50
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54
Patrick, C., The Police, Crime and Society, Sprinfield, 1972. : , ., op.cit,
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55
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32
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88
Saulsbury, W. Bowling, B., Multi-Agency Approach in Practice: The North Plaistow Racial Harassment
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91
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.
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33

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: Claire Sturge, A Multi-Agency Approach to Assessment, Child Psychology and Psychiatry Review No.
6, pp. 16-20; Saulsbury, W. Bowling, B., Multi-Agency Approach in Practice: The North Plaistow Racial
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34
. , ,
.

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. (Kelling) (Moore)
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: Kelling L. George & Moore H. Mark, op. cit. pp. 2-13.

"" (1876-1955)
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. 1921 ,
. , (Orlando
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35
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98
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99
(Orlando Winfield Wilson)
.

(, .),
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,
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,

. IACP (, , , ,
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36
(Federal Bureau of Investigation - FBI)101

Uniform Crime Report UCR102
;
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. 103

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101
FBI (Federal Bureau of Investigation - FBI)

.

. de facto
. 1908. .
(John Edgar Hoover)
.
: www.fbi.gov
102
Uniform Crime Report(s) - UCR
. UCR
18.000 . UCR
:
- (SRS NIBRS);
- (LEOKA Program);
- (Hate Crime Statistics Program);
- (Cargo Theft Reporting Program);
FBI . UCR
, , , ,
. : www.enwikipedia.org/wiki/Uniform_Crime_Reports ( 14.04.2012..) :
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, (Joe Friday) :
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Dragnet Badge 714,
1949. , , 1969.
( ).
104
, . , .,
, (, , ), . 3/2009., . 124.
37

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1840 1930.

1930. 1980.

1980.

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I-1: : 105
, " ,
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(Profesional Crime Fighting).106
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, .107 60- 70- XX
, .

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, . ,
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, , . 3/2009., . 127.
106
107
, ., ,
, 2012, . 219.
38
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108
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. : , .,
, , 2010, . 138-139.
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112
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39
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. ,
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113
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40
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116
, ., op.cit., . 306-307.
115
41
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119
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120
, , op. cit. . 217.
42
,
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3. -

XX ,
. ,
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.

, ,
. : .
(Strategic Policing),
(Community Oriented Policing COP)
(Problem Oriented Policing POP).

,
. : (Evidence Based
Policing)122, " (Hot Spot Policing)123,
(Broken Windows Theorie).124
121
, ( ).
122
Evidence based Policing .

. ,
.
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.
,
. ,
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. : Anthony A. Braga, Effects of Hot Spots Policing
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43
3.1
-
,
,
-
.125 , ,
- ,

-
.

- .
(Problem Oriented Policing),
(Community Policing).

. ,
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.
.
3.1.1 (Strategic Policing)

. ,

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. 126 ,
" ,
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,
,
www.aic.gov.au/campbellcj/reviews/titles.html); , .,
, . 3/210, . 313-329.
124
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125
Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing, (Willan publishing),2008, Devon, p.65.
126
, ., (Community Policing), , 2006, . 143.
44
. : ,
, , ,
.
,
, ,
.
3.1.2 (Problem Oriented

Policing)
(Problem Oriented Policing POP)

.
,

.127
,
, . .
,
,
.
, ,
(
), . ,
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/
.
,
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.
,
(Herman Goldstein).128
127
Ibid, . 52.
Goldstein, H., Improving Policing: A Problem Oriented Approach, Crime&Delinquency, 1979. 236-243.
.
, .
" , ", "
", " ", " " "".
1998.
: " ,
".
2003. ,
: " ,
".
CHEERS ; (Community)-; (Harm)- ; (Expectations); (Events)- ; (Recurring)- ; (Similarity)- .
: , .,
, , 2012, .
241-252.
128
45

. ,
.
, ,
.
.129

, ()
.
SARA (
): Scanning / ; Analysis
; Response ; Assessment
.130

, .
( ). 131

.132
3.1.3 (Community Policing)

(Community Policing),

,
.133
,
.
(Ratcliffe H. Jerry), , . ,
, ,
(
, , , ,
, ,
129
: Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing ( ), . 70.

SARA : , ., (Community
Policing), , 2006, . 220-224. SARA ,
KAPRA PROCTOR.
131
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., ( ), . 53-70; Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing (
), . 70-76; Goldstein, H., Problem Oriented Policing, McGraw Hill, New York, 1990.
: www.popcenter.org/library/reading/pdfs/goldstein_book.pdf
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132

Herman Goldstein Problem-Solving Award POP .
: www.popcenter.org
133
Moore, M. Trojanowicz, R., Corporate Strategies for Policing, : Willard M. Oliver, Community
Policing, Clasical Readings, p. 255.
130
46
.).134 ,
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134
Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing, (Willan publishing),2008, Devon, p.66. ,

,
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135
136
Ibid, . 43.
137
Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing, (Willan publishing),2008, Devon, p.68.
47

,

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,
""

,
,

,

,

,

,

,
,

I-2: 138
138
GREEN, J., Community Policing in America: Changing the Nature, Structure and Function of the Police,
Policies, Processes and Decisions of the Criminal Justice System, National Institute of Justice, Washington DC,
Vol. 3, 2000, p.311., : , .,
, 2012.
, . 223.
48

, .
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,
139
Ibid, p.66.
Moore, M. Trojanowicz, R., Corporate Strategies for Policing, : Willard M. Oliver, Community
Policing, Clasical Readings, p. 255. : , .,
(Community Policing), , 2006, . 306.
141
;
142
;
140
49
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p. 21 etc; , ., : -
1938 1941. , , , 1976. . . 17; , ., :
, , , 1949. .
12 . : , . , ., -
, , 2011. . 41.
152
: , .-, ., , , , 1987. . 92;
, ., , , , 1956. . . 9; , .,
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159
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160
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161
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162
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163
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,
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International Affaris, Cambridge, 1996. p. 379.
165
: , . , ., . , . 47.
166

,
. ,
, ()
. ,
. : Blackstock. P.W. and F.L. Schaf Jr.,
Intelligence, Espionage, Sounterespionage and Covert Operations, Vol. 2, Gale Research Libarary, Detroit,
1978; Hunter D.H., The Evolution of Literature on United States Intelligence, Armed Forces and Society, No.
1/1978; , ., , .
1/1994.
167
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. "" "", : Freedom of
Information (Training Manual for Public Officials), Article XIX, Chapter One: What is Information?, London,
2004. p.10.
168

.
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48. , , .
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169
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170
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171
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62
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.175
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.176 ,
172
( ), , , 1975. 6, . 215.
Encyclopedia Britannica, 18, XII, , 1964. .
174
The Encyclopedia Americana, Grolier Incorporated, Danbury, 1987. p.246.
175
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,
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. : Hilsman, R., Strategic Intelligence and
National Decisions, Westport, Connecticut, Greenwood Press Reprint, 1981.
177
: , . , ., . , . 49.
178
Baldwin, D.A., The Concept of Security, Review of International Studies, No 23, British International
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179
: , .,
, . 12/2008. . 5-6.
180
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(Agenzia informazioni e
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66
(Militra underrttelse och skerhetstjnsten MUST);

(Milli stihbarat Tekilat MIT).
(Naicho-Naikaku Chosashitsu Betsushitsu).
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1.3 ,

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208
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II
E
(INTELLIGENCE) :

1. E
(INTELLIGENCE)
( ),
intelligence.226
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intelligence , , (. Reveal). ,
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228
Ibid, . 6.
229
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77
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intelligence
,
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(, ). ,
, .
intelligence ,
,
. ,
intelligence
, ., intelligence .
, , intelligence
. 231 ,
230
: Ratcliffe, J.H., "The Structure of strategic thinking", V: Ratcliffe, J.H. (ed.), Strategic Thinking
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Hebenton, B., & Thomas, T., Policing Europe Co-operation, Conflict and Control, London: Macmillan
Press LTD, 1995, p. 170. ,
intelligence (
;
).
, , , .,
intelligence .
.
intelligence
.
78
intelligence
.232
intelligence
(
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intelligence
,
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intelligence
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intelligence: , .
, :
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.233
2. -
(Criminal Intelligence)
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.234
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-
. -
235 .
, :
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);
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232
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008, p. 91-94.
-
;
234
: , ., ,
, , 2012, . 25.
235
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IALEIA Journal, Vol. 9, No. 2, 1995, p.1.
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79
,
. 236 ,
,
,
.
, -
.237
-

.
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2.1 -
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.238
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:
-
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,
.
236
, ., , ., , (), 2012, . 309-310.

237
1987. (Martens)
(
NSA).
intelligence
. (Martens, F.T., The Intelligence Funcion, Major
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238
, -
, - ,
,
.
80
, ,
.239
(Tilley)240 ,
,241
( ,
.)
. (Levi)
, (New Policing).242

( ),
. .

, ,
,
.243

, ( ),
, .
- (Criminal Intelligence),

,
- (Intelligence Led Policing).
,244 , .
- ( Law Enforcement Intelligence),
:
239
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence-led Policing, Trends and Issues in Crime and Criminal Justice, No. 248,
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, . ,
.
-
( ,
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Anderson, R., "Intelligence-Led Policing: A British Perspective", in: A. Smith (Ed.), Intelligence-led
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Ibid, p. 4.
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Ibid, p. 4.
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ICAC Independent Commission Against Corruption: Police Informers, NSW, 1993, 92 p.
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272
Anderson, R., "Intelligence-Led Policing: A British Perspective", in: A. Smith (Ed.), Intelligence-led
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92
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,
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279
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to terrorism, Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, 23/2, 2007, p.143.
280
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93
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281
: Anderson, R., "Intelligence-Led Policing: A British Perspective", In: Smith, A. (Ed.),

Intelligence-led policing: International perspectives on in the 21 st century policing (pp. 5-8), Lawrenceville, NJ:
International Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts, 1997. Baker, T.E., Intelligence-led
policing: Leadership, strategies and tactics, Flushing, NY: Looseleaf Law Publications, 2009. Cope, N.,
Intelligence Led Policing or Policing Led Intelligence?: Integrating Volume Crime Analysis into Policing,
British Journal of Criminology No 44(2)/2004, pp. 188-203. Maguire, M., Policing by risks and targets: Some
dimensions and implications of intelligence-led crime control, Policing and Society No. 9/2000, pp. 315-336.
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terrorism, Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice No. 23(2)/2007, pp. 142-158. Peterson, M., Intelligenceled policing: The new intelligence architecture, Washington DC (USA), Bureau of Justice Assistance, 2005.
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282
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Terrorisam, Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, Vol.23, No. 2, pp. 142-158.
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(Northumbria). ,
,
.
,

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. : Collier, P., Policing and the intelligent application of knowledge, Public Money
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283
,
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289
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284
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008, p. 89. ,
(Ratcliffe and Guidetti) ILP : "
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." : Ratcliffe, J.H.
Guidetti, R., State Police Investigative Structure and the Adoption of Intelligence-Led Policing, Policing An
International Journal of Police Strategies and Management, 2007. :
www.jratcliffe.net
285
Carter, D.L. & Carter, J.G., Intelligence-led Policing: Conceptual Considirations for public policy,
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286
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288
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289
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manage the data they collect", In: L.J.Moriarty & D.L. Carter (Eds.), Criminal justice technology in the 21st
century, Sringfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas Publisher, 1998, p. 83.
95
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Milligan, Clemente, Schader,291
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Scheider .;298) (BJA;299 Fuentes;300 Guidetti & Martinelli;301)
290
: Gl Zakir, A Partial test of the Intelligence-Led Policing Model, Kent State University, 2009,
p.12.
291
Milligan, D., Clemente, B., & Schader, M., Intelligence-Led Policing Tool: intelligence-led policing
technology for state and local law enforcement agencies, Center for Criminal Justice Technology,Falls Church,
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292
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Intelligence, Science and Justice, 43(2), 2002, p. 113.
293
Ibid, p. 113.
294
, ., - , ( ),
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295
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008
296
Ratcliffe, J.H., & Guidetti, R.A., State Police Investigative Structure and the Adoption of Intelligence-led
Policing, Policing: An Inteernational Journal of Police Strategies and Management, 31(1), 2008;
297
Criminal Justice Policy Review, 20(3), 2009
298
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community policing, Policing: An Inteernational Journal of Police Strategies and Management, 32(4), 2009;
299
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Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Washington, D.C., 2005;
300
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Police, 2006. : http://www.state.nj.us/njsp/divorg/invest/pdf/njsp_ilpguide_010907.pdf
( 12.06.2013.)
96
-
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Carter & Carter.303 ,

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impact ().305
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(ILP) ,
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.306 - ,
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301
Guideti, R.A. & Martinelli, T.J., Intelligence-Led Policing A Strategic Framework, Police Chief
Magazine, 2009. :
http://www.policechiefmagazine.org/magazine/index.cfm?fuseaction=display_arch&article_id=1918&issue_id=
102009
302
Ratcliffe, J.H., Intelligence-Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Cullompton, UK, 2008.
303
Criminal Justice Policy Review, 20(3), 2009, pp. 310-325.
304
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008, p. 89.
305
Ratcliffe, J.H., Intelligence-Led Policing, Collompton, Devon, UK (Willan Publishing), 2008, p. 110.
306
Ibid, p. 112.
97
.307 ,
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307
Ibid, p. 114.
: Ratcliffe, J.H., Intelligence-Led Policing, Collompton, Devon, UK (Willan
Publishing), 2008, p. 110.
309
Ibid, p. 109-114.
308
98
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310
Ratcliffe, H.J., Intelligence-led policing, Trends and Issues in Crime and Criminal Justice, No. 248,
Australian Institute of Criminology, 2003, p. 3.
311
: Boba, R., Crime analysis and crime mapping, Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage, 2005. Cope, N.,
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312
Peterson, M., Intelligence-led policing: The new intelligence architecture, Washington DC (USA), Bureau of
Justice Assistance, 2005. p. 3.
313
DIKW : "Wisdom Hierarchy"; "Knowledge Hierarchy"; "Information
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Information (), Knowledge ( ) Wisdom (). DIKW
.
314
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008. p.99.
99
,
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.320
. 321 ,
. 322
315
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008. p. 115.
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century, Sringfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas Publisher, 1998, p. 83.
317
Justice Assistance, 2005.
318
-
. , -
,
( ;
...). -
.

. , ,
, .
-
. : Ratcliffe, H.J., Intelligence-led policing, Trends and Issues in
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319
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, ,
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320
Smith, A.D. & Visher, C., Street-level justice: Situational determinants of police arrest decisions, Social
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100
(Petrillo and DelBagno),

,
.323
.
,
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(., ).324 ,
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(hot spots)
(hot times)
,325 (
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, 3- ,
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3.3.2
- : Carter &
Carter
, , .
, Carter & Carter -
:
,
-
323
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324
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"" , ; , .
"" ,
; ,
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327
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101
/
.328
-
Carter & Carter, ,
(, ) . II-2
-
,
(Community Policing) (Problem Oriented
Policing), - , NCISP,329
(all-threats) (all-crimes),
(SARs).
ILP
Intelligence-Led
Policing
NCISP;SARs;
Crime and Intelligence Analysis;
All-Threat; All-Hazard
Community Policing; Problem-Oriented Policing
II-2: Carter & Carter

- 330
Carter & Carter

, NCISP. ,

3i , (),
3i (
328
Criminal Justice Policy Review, 20(3), 2009, p. 312.
329
The National Criminal Intelligence Sharing Plan NCISP, -
: http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/doj/ncisp.pdf
( 10.10.2013.). NCISP (
- )
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() (Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 44). ,
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(NCISP, p. v).
330
102
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- II-3:
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, ,
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335
Carter, G.J., Policing Innovation: Exploring the Adoption of Intelligence-Led Policing (Dissertation),
Michigan State University, 2011, p. 39.
104
,
.336
5. (Push Pull ):
()

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(pull)
, (push) .
, (pull)
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6.
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(Community Policing) Carter & Carter .
,
Problem-oriented Policing, Community Policing CompStat
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- ,

Carter & Carter Ratcliffe 3i . II-2:
336

(Dissertation), Michigan State University, 2011, p.32.
337
Adama, N., Kozanoglua, A., Paliwala, A. & Shafiq, B., Secure Information Sharing in a Virtual MultiAgency Team Environment, Electronic Notes in Theoretical Computer Science 179, 2007, pp. 97-109.
3i
.

. ,
push ( ) .
Push , ()
, ()
.
pull ,
. ,

(SARs), - ,
push ( ).
338
Chappell, A.T. & Gibson, S., Community policing and homeland security policing: Friend of foe?, Criminal
Justice Policy Review, 20(3), 2009, pp. 326-343.
105
Carter & Carter Ratcliffe (3-i)

-
;
;
;
;
Carter & Carter Ratcliffe (3-i)

()
Carter & Carter

NCISP
Ratcliffe (3-i)
CompStat
-
(inter-jurisdictional)
.-.
(Intelligence analysis)*
-
(intra-jurisdictional)

(Analytic component)
/
(push and pull)
(pull)
(Push/Pull information)
COP
**
*- ,
;
** , Ratcliffe COP
ILP, , COP
ILP;
II-2: Carter & Carter Ratcliffe 339
339

(Dissertation), Michigan State University, 2011, p.31.
106
III
,
-
- (),
.
:
-
,
,
?
, :
- , , ad
hoc ,
?

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,

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, , ,
,
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.340 341
340
, ,
, .
, , , - ,
,
. : , .,
, . 18/2012, . 238-239.
341
,
. :
. , :
, . :
.
: ; ;
;
. ( )
, : Bayley, D., Patterns of Policing, A Comparative International Analysis, New York, Rutgers
University Press, 1985, pp.13-14.
107
1.
-

-
, ,
-
- .
,
, .
,

. ,
- , .
, , .342 ,
,
- ,
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-
.343

- ,
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, :344
-
( ) ;
;
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342
second edition, p. 99. ,
.
, , ,
, -
( ).
343
Ibid, p. 99.
344
-
, : Carter, L. D., Low Enforcement Intelligence: A Guide for State, Local and Tribal Law
Enforcement Agencies second edition; John, T., & Maguire, M., The National Intelligence Model: Early
Implementation Experience In Three Police Force Areas, Working Paper Series Paper 50, School of Social
Sciences, Cardiff University, 2004; Peterson, M., Intelligence-Led Policing: The New Intelligence Architecture,
2005; Ratcliffe, J.H., Inelligence-Led Policing, Devon: Willan Publishing, 2008; Guidetti, R., Policing the
Homeland: Choosing the Intelligent Option, Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2006; Fuentes,
J.R., Practical guide to Intelligence-Led Policing, New York: Center for Terrorism at the Manhattan Institute,
2006; Clarke, C., Proactive Policing: Standing on the shoulders of Community-Based Policing, Police Practice
and Research, 2006; U.S. Department of Justice, Navigating Your Agencys Path to Intelligence-Led Policing,
2009; IALEIA, Intelligence-Led Policing: Getting Started, Third edition, International Association of Law
Enforcement Intelligence Analysts, 2005;
108
;
;
(
; .);
;

- ;

-
,
,
.
II-4, ()
-
-
:
-
:
, ;
: ,
;
: -
-
.
I:

II:

III:

II-4: -
345
345
second edition, p. 99. -
, ,
, SLTLE State, Local and Tribal Law Enforcement
.
109
1.1 (Information Management Plan)

- .

.346
II-3,

,
.347
...

,
?
() ()

?
,

?

?

?
?
:
i.

?
ii.

?
iii.
?
()
();
,

;

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II-3: 348
346
347
.
, . ,
""
. , "" -
.
348
110
, ( ).
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. ,
.
,
, .
-
(Strategic Priorities)
,

. ,
, . ,

. 349
-
,
.
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, ,
(, -, .),
,

. 350
-
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.351 , , .
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349
.
,
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,
.
350
, ., ,
, , 2006, . 79.
- , ,

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351
, ,
: (-,
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111
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c)
d)
e)
,
- ;
,

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, .352

. -
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- (Intelligence Requirements)
- ,
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.
, , ,
- . , -
.353 ,
, : ,
, (),
,
,
,
.354
-
.
-
, .355
(Collection Plan)

, -
352
, ., , ,
, , 2006, . 80-81.
353
Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 107.
354
Ibid, p. 107.
355
, , , ,
,
.
112
- . ,
,
- ,
.
-
. 356

:
a) -
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.357
356
357
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,
. ,
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Ibid, p. 107.
Ibid, pp. 107-108.
113
,
- .
- / (Criminal Intelligence
Products) ,
. , -
-
.
. -
,
.358
-
.
-
. ,
- ,
, ,

.359 , (John & Maguire)360
-
. ,
.361
(Operational Responses)
- .
, -
,
, .
,
() ,
. , ,
,
, , ,
,

.362
.
, -
,
.
358
Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 108. , ,

, . .
359
Ibid, p. 109.
360
John, T., & Maguire, M., The National Intelligence Model: Early Implementation Experience In Three
Police Force Areas, Working Paper Series Paper 50, School of Social Sciences, Cardiff University, 2004. pp.
19-30
361
,
(
- ).
362
Ibid, p. 109.

.
114
(Review of the Process)

, ,
. , :
a) -
(Intelligence) ?
i.
?
ii.
?
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d) -
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?
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?363
,
- , ,
. ,
-
.
1.2 (Creating the

Organizational Infrastructure)
-

- ,
(a II-5)
.
363
: National Centre for Policing Excellence, Guidance on the National Intelligence Model,
UK: London, Association of Chief Police Officers ACPO, 2005, p. 94. :
www.whereismydata.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/national-intelligence-model-20051.pdf (20.12.2012.).
115
, ,
,364 : ; ;
; (,
); (, .);
() -
.365
II-5: - 366
-
(Commitment to the Concept)

- , ,
, ,
. ,
.
, . 367
364

, ,

,
.
, ( ).
366
: Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 111.
367
,
: (Gerry Williams), (
Aurora - Colorado) 1980-, .
,
.
,
, . ,
( )
,
365
116
- ,
. 368

. ,
-
, -
, ,
, ,
- .369
,
- .
- ,
,
. ,
-
, .
-
,
,
.370
(Partnerships)
- .
, ,
, .
- .371
. . ,
, ,

. ,
.
" ",
. .
,
. : Carter, L. D., Low
Enforcement Intelligence: A Guide for State, Local and Tribal Law Enforcement Agencies second edition, p.
111.
368
,
-
.
- ( ),
,
. ,
- .
369
370
1. :
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( -
?
);
- (; );
- ;
371
.
,

. ,
117
, ,
- .

:
a)
.
. ,
., .
(Community Policing),

;
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.),
--
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;372
d)
.
, , , ,
,
;373
e)
,
.374
,

( II-4). ,
()
.
, , .
: Carter, L. D., op. cit. pp. 112-114.
372
, - ,
,
, . ,

. ,
:
www.michigan.gov/msp/0,1607,7-123-1564-155763--,00.html ( 25.01.2013.),
373

- ?
, .
,

. 600
.
374
118
;

;

;

;

;

;

;

;

;

;
;
;
II-4:
375
-
() (Information Sharing Process)

-
.

,
. ,

, . ,
,
-
. :
a) ?
b) SARs
(Suspicious Activity Reports SAR)?376
375
: Carter, L. D., op. cit. pp. 113-114. : .

Suspicious Activity Reports SAR
.
, .
( ) ,
SARs - .
: (
.
,
.); (all-crimes
SAR)
( ;
; .).
(Information Sharing Environment Suspicious Activity Reports ISE SAR)

.
376
119
c) ?
d) ?
e)
?
f) ?
g)
?
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- ?
i)
?
j)
?377

- . ,
,
. , -
(Information Sharing
Environment ISE)378, .379
(Operation Plan)
, ,
.
- ( ,
).

,
. 380 ,
(road map) -
, ,

.
- ,
.

.
- ,
. :
-
; ,
377

Information Sharing Environment ISE () - ,
, . ISE
, .
379
3. :
-
;
- ;
- , .
380
378
120

. - ,
,
;
.381 382
(Analytic Capacity)
.
, .
,
- . ,
.
,
. , (
)

. ,
, ,
( ,
, .).383
(Tactical and Strategic Response
Alternatives)
. ,
.
, , ,
.
-
,
. /
,
. , / ,

, ,
.384
(Ratcliffe and Guidetti):
. ,
. ,
,
381
, -
- ,

, . : United Nations Office on Drugs
and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Managers, New York, 2011, p. 54.
382
4. a a:
- -
- (Intelligence Led
Policing ILP);
- -
( );
383
5. :
- - ;
- ;
384
121
()
,
.385
1.3 -
-

- .
. ,
- , ,
, ,
, -
.
-
,
- , ,
() . II-6,
:
1. ;
2. - ;
3. - (
);
4. - ;386
385
Ratcliffe, J.H. Guidetti, R., State Police Investigative Structure and the Adoption of Intelligence-Led
Policing, Policing An International Journal of Police Strategies and Management, 2007.
: www.jratcliffe.net
386
Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 120. ,
- .
,
- .
- , , ,
. ,
,
.
122
II-6: 387

- ,
- ,
. II-5,
().

.
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:
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387

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123
-
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,
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, ,
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.393
388

- , ,
.
.
389
11. 2001. .
-
,
. ,
, .
390
Ibid, p. 124.
391
,
() - .
392
-
(National Criminal Intelligence Sharing Plan)
- ,
. : Global Intelligence Working Group, National Criminal Intelligence Sharing Plan:
Recommendation 1., Washington D.C., Office of Justice Programs, 2003. page V.
393
124

:
-
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;
.-.
;
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;

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.);

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. II-5: - 394
394
125
2. /
II-7, , : , .
II-7: - 395
, -
-
-
- .
2.1 - (Tactical
Criminal Intelligence)
-

(,
.). ,
.
, .
-
395
: McDowel, D., Strategicd Intelligence: A Handbook for Practitioners, Managers, and Users (Security
and Profesional Intelligence Education Series), United Kingdom, 2009, p. 12.
126
, ,
, ,
. -

.
, , ,
.
- /
,
/.
-
, ( )
. , -

.
2.2 -
(Operational Criminal Intelligence)
- :
-

;
:
, , (

);
, ,
;

- .396
-
- ( ),
.
, ,
.

-
, .

. , .,
.
, -
, -
.
396
: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence Manual
for Managers, New York, 2011, p. 36.
127
2.3 - (Strategic
Criminal Intelligence)
-

. -
, , . ,
. -
,
- .
,
, ,
. ,
, ,
.
, , .
-
. .
, .
,
. ,
.
-
, .
, , ,
, ,
,
/ (Educated Guesses).
-
,
, , .
-
, ,
- .397
3.
-
,
-
. , ,
,
.
397
- ,
, -
.
128
-
:
.
3.1
-
,
( ,
), ,

.398

,
. ,
.
, - ,
399 ( )
() .
, :
-

(, , ),
(, , ).
- .
(- ),
- ,
.400
.
(
) ,
- ,
.401

- .402
398
, .-, ., - ,
, 1,
, 2010, . 202.
399
Ibid, . 203.
400
, ,
: 1) (), ; 2)
,
; 3) , , , -
( - ) ,
; 4)
. Ibid, . 203.
401
, ., - "
", . 1/2005, . 108-119.
402
, -
, , -
129

,
, . ,
( ) .
, ,
, ,
, -
.
, , .403
, :
, , ,
, .
-
, , ,
.
, . 404

- ,
, .
, , , .
, ,

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( , ).
,
- , ,
, ,

.405
.
,
. , -
,
- .
,
,
. : ;
; ;
.
- ,
-
.
403
Fletcher, R., "An Intelligence Use of Intelligence: Developing Locally Responsive Information Systems in
the Post-Macrherson Era", in: A. Marlow and B. Loveday (eds.), After Macrherson Policing After the Stephen
Lawrence Inguiry, Dorset: Russhell House Publishing, 2000, p.114. : Cope, N., Intelligence Led
Policing or Policing Led Intelligence?, British Journal of Criminology, No.44/2004, pp.
404
, .-, ., - ,
, 1,
, 2010, . 204.
405
, ., , ,
, 2012, . 37.
130
- .
-
() :
.
3.1.1
, ,
()
- . ,
- ,
,
,
.406
- ,
( ).
,407 , ,
, -
.
,

.
:
-
/ (
);
,
( );
.408
3.1.2

-
- ( ),
.
(),
, , ,
406

,
,
(., ).
: , ., ,
, , 2012, . 37-38.
407
Ibid, . 38.
408
Association of Chief Police Officers ACPO, Guidance on the National Intelligence Model, UK, 2005, p.
77.
131
, , , . NIM
, (Crime
and Disorder Reduction Partnership CDRP),409 ,
.
:
-
;
, ;410
() - ;
.411
,
. ,

.
3.2 -
, -
, -
.
- ,
,
, ,
, .
,
.412
,
.
- . -
,
,
409
Crime and Disorder Reduction Partnership CDRP

, Crime and Disorder Act 1998.
. CDRP ,
, , , ,
(), .
410

, - .
,
-
.
. -
- NIM.
411
Association of Chief Police Officers ACPO, Guidance on the National Intelligence Model, UK, 2005, p.
76.
412
, .-, ., - ,
, 1,
, 2010, . 205.
132
. ,
, ,
.
, -

, (Sir Robert
Peel), , 1829. .
,
,
. ,
,
. : ,
.413
- ,

- NIM. ,
. 414
- (
) - ,
:415
1. ,
, ,
,
;
2. ()
. , , ,

;
3. ()
, ,
.
,
ad-hoc . Ad-hoc , ,
-

. ,
.
,
,
(, ), (
, , : International
413
414

Crime and Disorder Act (1998) www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1998/37/contents . 2003.
-
(National
Criminal
Intelligence
Sharing
Plan
NCISP)
www.fas.org/irp/agency/doj/ncisp.pdf ( 14.02.2013.).
( - ).
415
133
Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts IALEIA, International Association

of Crime Analysts IACA), ( :
SELEC .),
.416

- .
4. -
-
- ,417
. ,
, , ,
.
-
.
-
,
, , ,
,
( ).
-
,
,
.
.
.
- :
-
(,
.),
;
;
. 418

-
- .419
, -
416
.
418
Guidance on The National Intelligence Model, Produced on behalf of the Association of Cheif Police
Officers (ACPO) and National Centre for Policing Excellence (NCPE), United Kingdom, 2005, p. 64.
419
National Criminal Intelligence Service (NCIS): The National Intelligence Model, United Kingdom, 2000,
p. 16.
417
134
-
, . .420
- , :
-
,
, . , ,
() .
-

.421
, ,
- . ,
,
- . , CRIMINT.422
-
, ,
- . , Cope, Fielding Innes,423
- :
-
Criminal Intelligence: ;
Crime Intelligence: ;
Community Intelligence:
;
Contextual Intelligence: ,
.
-
, ,
- ,
- : ; ;
; .424
420
second edition, p. 108. -

.
-
, , ,
.
421
Ratcliffe, H.J., Integrated Intelligence and Crime Analysis: Enhanced Information Management for Law
Enforcement Leaders, Washington D.C., of Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS), 2007, p. 8.
422
CRIMINT ,
- . : Department of the Army, Police
Intelligence Operations, No 3-19.50, Washington D.C., 2006, p. 12. , CRIMINT,
(CRIMINT) Metropolitan Police Service - London
. 1994.
-
. : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimint ( 18.06.2013.).
423
Cope, N., Fielding, N. and Innes, M., The appliance of science?, The British Journal of Criminology, 45(1),
p. 44.
424
-
(The National Intelligence Model NIM), (Tim John) (Mike
Maguire) - (NIM)
(Intelligence Led Police),
135
. ,

- .
.
4.1 (Strategic Assessments)

, -
,
,
. ,
. ,
, .

,
. ,
( , ).
,
.
,
, ,
,
. , ,

. -
(NIM) :
; - ; .
(Analitycal products)
, (
). .
, " "
"" "". : ;
; ; ; ; ;
. , ""
.
- (Intelligence products)
-
. : ; ;
(., ).
,
.
(Knowledge products)
.
, () ,
- , .
(System products)

(
).
.
: John, T.-Maguire, M., The National Intelligence Model: key lessons from early research,
Home Office Report 30/04, 2004, pp. 2-3.
136
, - , ,
.425
, ,
,
,
,
.
, - ,
, , II-6.

,
,

,
,

,

,

.
(
-);
(,
);
/
/
/
;

-;
/;
;
/
II-6: - : 426

. , :
-

;
, ;
() ;
;
;
, ,
;

;

;
, ;
,
;
425
, .-, ., , , 2007, . 132.

: National Criminal Intelligence Service (NCIS): The National Intelligence Model, United Kingdom,
2000, p. 17.
426
137
.427
4.2 (Tactical Assessments)

. ,
,
, ,
(hotspots), / . 428
, -
,
. ,
, ( ) ,
, ,

.
,
, , .
.

.429
, - ,
, , II-7.
,

.
"
";

,

;
,
;

; "
" ();
;

;
/
;

();

(-
)
/
;
II-7: - : 430
427
428
National Criminal Intelligence Service (NCIS): The National Intelligence Model, United Kingdom, 2000,
p. 17.
429
: , ., - , (
), , . 37.
138
.
:
-
;
, ;
()
;
;
;
();
;
.431
,
, .
,
.
4.3 (Problem Profile)

, , (
, ).
.
, .
-

.
.

,
. ,

.432
,
.
, - ,
, , II-8.
430
2000, p. 17.
431
432

. ,
,
.
, .
139
( "
" )

-
, , "
" (),

;
;
;
/;
;
/
;
;
;
II-8: - : 433
, .
:
-
-
;
, ;
( );
, -
;

;
;
-
;
;434
4.4 (Target Profiles)

. -
( )
(., ), ,
.

. , ,
.
/
, -
,

433
2000, p. 18.
434
140
( )
. , ,
.

,
, .435

. ,
, .

:
-
/ ;
;
;
;
,
;436
, - , ,
, II-9.
()

;

,
,

;
;437
;438

;
;439
;
;440
;
II-9: - : 441
435
Ibid, p. 68.
Ibid, p. 71.
437
: ( ); ; ;
; ; ; modus operandi;
; ; ; ;
, .
438
: ;
; ( /);
439
: ( , ); ; ;
/ , .
440
: , ( )
/.
441
2000, p. 18.
436
141
.
:
-
- ;
, ;
( );
, ;

;
;
-
;
;442
4.4.1
(Prolific and Other Priority Offenders PPO)443
-
,
,
,
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. : Tilley, N.-Dando, J., ProblemOriented Policing, Intelligence-Led Policing and the National Intelligence Model, :
www.jdi.ucl.ac.uk/downloads/publications/crime_science_short_reports/problem_oriented_policing.pdf
( 25.12.2012.).
445
: Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008, p. 6.
446

. (. ), (. , ,
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447
Blumstein, A.-Cohen, J.-Roth, J. & Visher, C.A., Criminal careers and "career criminals" (Vol. 1),
Washington DC, National Academy Press, 1986. Home Office, Criminal Justice: The Way Ahead, CM 5074,
London (Home Office), 2001. Home Office, Narrowing the Justice Gap and the Persistent offender Scheme,
National Probation Service Briefing, Issue 14, London (Home Office), 2003. Home Office, Government to
target 5.000 offenders causing most harm to local communities, Home Office Press Relase No. 141/2004. Office
for Criminal Justice Reform OCJR, Cutting Crime, Delivering Justice: A Strategic Plan for Criminal Justice
2004-2008, CM 6288, London (OCJR), 2004.
448
Home Office, Criminal Justice: The Way Ahead, CM 5074, London (Home Office), 2001.
449
Home Office, Justice for all, Government White Paper, London: The Stationery Office, 2002. ,
""
. : Prolific and Other Priority Offender Strategy, Initial Guidance (Catch and
Convict framework), London, UK, 2004, p. 4.
450
Vilfredo Pareto ( 1848-1923)
20% 80% .
( 80/20): 80% 20%
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143

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451
: Garside, R., Crime, persitent offenders and the justice gap, Crime and Society Foundation,
2004. ,
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. , 15%
10% ,
10% 50% .
,
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"
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, "" (,
) . "" " "
.
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, " ".
: Hopkins, M.-Wickson, J., Targeting Prolific and Other Priority Offenders and promoting
pathways to desistance: Some reflections on the PPO Programme using a Theory of Change framework,
Criminology and Criminal Justice (SAGE Publications), 2012, pp. 7-11.
452
Criminology and Criminal Justice (SAGE Publications), 2012, p.1. :
www.hdl.handle.net/2381/11074 ( 10.12.2012.).
453
End-to-end process, .
.
454
: Davson, P.-Cuppleditch, L., An Impact assessment of the Prolific and other Priority Offender
programe, Home Office Online Report 08/2007, p.2.
144
PPO () :
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455
Davson, P.-Cuppleditch, L., An Impact assessment of the Prolific and other Priority Offender programe,
Home Office Online Report 08/2007, p. 3.
145
2. (Catch and Convict)

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456
Hertfordshire's Prolific and other Priority Offender (PPO) Scheme, PPO Scheme Strategy 2008-2011,
UK, 2008, p. 2.
457
Hertfordshire's Prolific and other Priority Offender (PPO) Scheme, PPO Scheme Strategy 2008-2011,
UK, 2008, p. 15.
458
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CDRP)
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460
Prolific and Other Priority Offender Strategy, Initial Guidance (Catch and Convict framework), London,
UK, 2004, p. 5. ,
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Prolific and Other Priority Offenders, Community Safety, Crime & Drugs Aduit, 2004, p. 195.
462
Criminology and Criminal Justice (SAGE Publications), 2012, p. 6. PPO
" " ,
" 18 ,
12 ". : Farrall, S.-Mawby, R.C. & Worrall, A., "Prolific/persistent
offenders and desistance", In: L. Gelsthorpe and R. Morgan (Urs.), Handbook of Probation, Collumption
(Willan), pp.352-381.
463
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147
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.
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464
: Prolific and Other Priority Offender Strategy, Initial Guidance (Catch and Convict framework),
London, UK, 2004, p. 20.
465
, :
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);
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PPO);
- ( ,
);
- (( )
PPO);
- , , , ;
: Criminal Justice Joint Inspection CJJI, Prolific and Other Priority Offenders a joint
inspection of the PPO programme, 2009, p. 18.
148
PPO :466 ,
: ?
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,
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. II-10.

PPO 467
7.801 PPO,

2004.
10%
PPO
;
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2004.
7.557 17
.
.

60 52 .
62%
43%
PPO 17

17 .
PPO
468
2008.
PPO 469
2009.
PPO 470
" "
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10.771
PPO.
2008 2009.
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() 173
10.635
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2009 2010.
29%
2008/09
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117,
20
.
39%
2009/10
.
146
.
II-10: PPO (; ; )471
466
, PPO
(The Street Crime Initiative SCI),
,
, . , SCI
, 2% , PPO
. : Prolific and Other Priority Offender Strategy, Initial
Guidance (Catch and Convict framework), London, UK, 2004, p. 7.
467
Dawson, P., Early Findings from the Prolific and Other Priority Offenders Evaluation, RDS Home Office
Development and Practice Report No. 46, London (Home Office), 2005.
468
Davson, P.-Cuppleditch, L., An Impact assessment of the Prolific and other Priority Offender programe,
Home Office Online Report 08/2007.
469
Home Office, Prolific and other Priority Offenders: results from the 2008 cohort for England and Wales,
London (Home Office), 2010.
470
Home Office, Prolific and other Priority Offenders: results from the 2008 cohort for England and Wales,
London (Home Office), 2010; Home Office/Ministry of Justice, Prolific and Other Priority Offender
Programme Five Years On: Maximising the Impact, London (Home Office/MOJ), 2009.
471
: Hopkins, M.-Wickson, J., Targeting Prolific and Other Priority Offenders and promoting pathways
to desistance: Some reflections on the PPO Programme using a Theory of Change framework, Criminology and
Criminal Justice (SAGE Publications), 2012, p. 14.
149
4.5 -
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: Carter, L. D., Low Enforcement Intelligence: A Guide for State, Local and Tribal Law Enforcement
Agencies second edition, p. 275.
150
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Clasical Readings, pp. 68-69.
483
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487
Wilensky, H., Organizational Intelligence, Basic Books, New York, 1967, p. 42 ( p. 57);
158
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159
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.
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3,26
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15,2%
30,8%
38,4%
8,4%
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3,19
1,039
6,8%
16,8%
35,6%
32,0%
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23,6%
41,9%
18,9%
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7,2% .
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14,8%.
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3,80
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40,0%
40,0%
20,0%
3,66
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12,0%
28,0%
42,0%
18,0%
3,13
1,161
10,7%
19,6%
25,0%
35,7%
8,9%
3,05
1,091
12,1%
16,2%
30,3%
37,4%
4,0%
3,31
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14,3%
42,9%
40,0%
2,9%
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(-1)
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.
169
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10,0%
44,0%
34,0%
12,0%
2,91
1,180
16,1%
16,1%
37,5%
21,4%
8,9%
2,95
1,014
8,1%
26,3%
31,3%
31,3%
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3,83
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2,9%
28,6%
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Std.
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3,50
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3,04,
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80,00%
70,00%
60,00%
50,00%
40,00%
30,00%
20,00%
10,00%
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170
( II-15),
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.
2,82 2,80 . 2,57
, 2,41 2,40
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(

)
2,40
1,075
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40,0%
20,0%
20,0%
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2,82
1,063
16,0%
16,0%
40,0%
26,0%
2,0%
2,57
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10,7%
35,7%
39,3%
14,3%
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2,41
,990
19,2%
37,4%
26,3%
17,2%
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2,80
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5,7%
25,7%
54,3%
11,4%
2,9%
II-15: -
- ( -4)
2,69
,973
8,5%
39,4%
28,7%
21,3%
2,1%
II-16: ( ),
-

- ,
. , 47,9%
, 23,4% , ( ).

. II-16

-
( 2,4). (
2,52), (3,03).
171
,
.
2,40
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70,0%
20,0%
10,0%
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2,52
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14,0%
40,0%
28,0%
16,0%
2,0%
3,03
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29,4%
32,4%
32,4%
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-

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( 2,98).
(2,1% 1,1% ).

2,98
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31,6%
37,9%
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(3,14).
.

. .
-
, , ,
.
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172
2011-2016,
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2,30
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30,0%
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24,0%
48,0%
24,0%
2,0%
3,14
,912
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31,4%
25,7%
40,0%
2,9%
II-19:
, ( )
.
,
, -

.
2,14
,972
30,0%
36,4%
24,8%
7,6%
1,2%
**
2,20
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28,4%
34,0%
28,4%
7,6%
1,6%
* - .
**
(, .-. ) .
II-20:

- 2,14
( II-20). II-20
30% , 36,4% ,
,
.
,
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2,20 II-20.
, ,
173
5%,
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;
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543
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.
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546
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Best, Richard and Alfred Cumming, Open Source Intelligence (OSINT): Issues for Congress, Washington,
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548
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549
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Burton Gerber, Transforming U.S. Intelligence, Washington Georgetown University Press, 2005, p. 64.
550
- ,
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551
, : Arthuer S. Hulnick, The Dilemma of Open Source Intelligence: Is OSINT Really
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552
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555
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556
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562
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563
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190
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575

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576
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: Murphy, S.D., Steganography the New Intelligence Threat, Marine Corps
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195
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586
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587

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589
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590
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592
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198
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199
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596
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597
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598
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599
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200
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601
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618
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619
: EUROPOL, Europol Information Managament Products and Service, File No. 2510-271, EU.
: http://www.europol.europa.eu
209
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Studies in Intelligence, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon: Routlendge, 2013, p. 9.
621
Carter, L. D., Ibid, p. 57.
622
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analysts, New
York, 2011, p. 10.
210
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637
: National Policing Improvement Agency NPIA, Guidance on the Management of Police
Information Second Edition, UK, 2010, p. 14.
638
639
: National Centre for Policing Excellence NCPE, Guidance on the National Intelligence
Model NIM, UK (Bedford), 2005, p. 46., : Carter, L. D., Low Enforcement Intelligence: A Guide for
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640
National Centre for Policing Excellence NCPE, Guidance on the National Intelligence Model NIM, UK
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229

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706
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Managers, New
York, 2011, p. 28. ,
, : National Policing Improvement Agency NPIA, Guidance on
the Management of Police Information Second Edition, (produced on behalf of the Association of Shief Police
Officers ASPO), UK, 2010, pp. 119-149.
243

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III-14: -
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York, 2011, p. 28.
244
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710
: University of Colorado Denver - Police Department, Criminal Intelligence and Intelligence

Gathering, USA (Colorado), 2012, p. 2. Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit LEIU, Criminal Intelligence File
Guidelines, USA, 2002, Chapter I.
711
Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit LEIU, Criminal Intelligence File Guidelines, USA, 2002, Chapter I.
: www.it.ojp.gov/documents/LEIU_Crim_Intell_File_Guidelines.pdf (
27.02.2013.). : www.leiu.org
712
Ibid, Chapter I
713
, ,
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: Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit LEIU, Criminal Intelligence File Guidelines, USA, 2002, Chapter
I.
246
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715
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716
Ibid, Chapter IV.
247

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718
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:
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, : Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit LEIU, Criminal Intelligence File
Guidelines, USA, 2002, Chapter X.
719
249

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, :
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);
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1.5
.723 720
, "",
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"deconfliction",
, (, )
. ,

.
721
"deconfliction" National Drug Pointer Index NDPIX
(Drug Enforcement Administration DEA).
722
723
: Boba, R., Crime analysis and crime mapping, Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage, 2005. Cope, N.,
British Journal of Criminology No 44(2)/2004, pp. 188-203. International Association of Chiefs of Police
250
,724 ,
.725
,
. ,
,
-. , ,
, ,
-
, ,
- .
-
-
, - .

. 726 ,
,

.727 ,
,
,
.728

, ,
IACP, Criminal intelligence sharing: A National plan for intelligence-led policing at the local, state and federal
levels (IACP Intelligence Summit), 2002. Maguire, M., Policing by risks and targets: Some dimensions and
implications of intelligence-led crime control, Policing and Society No. 9/2000, pp. 315-336. Peterson, M.,
Intelligence-led policing: The new intelligence architecture, Washington DC (USA), Bureau of Justice
Assistance, 2005. Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008.
.
724
725
: Gill, P., Rounding up the Usual Suspects? Developments in Contemporary Law Enforcement
Intelligence, Aldershot: Ashgate, 2000, p.211
726
" "
. : O'Shea, T.C. & Nicholls, K., Police crime analysis: A survey of U.S. police
departments with 100 or more sworn personnel, Police Practice & Research No. 4(3), pp. 233-250.
, .
.
, ,
.
1829.
(). , (August
Vollmer), ,

, .
, 1960-, (Orlando W. Wilson)
,
.
727

, .
728
Reinier, G.H.-Greenlee, M.R.-Gibbens, M.H. & Marshall, S., Crime Analysis in support of patrol
National evaluation program, Phase 1 report, Washington D.C., U.S. Department of Justice, National Institute
of Justice, 1977, p. 12.
251

.729
, .
730 -
. ,
, . . ,
, + =
, , DIKW
. 731 :
(data)... (
), (information)...
() ...
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Cope,733
- .
, ,
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,734 .
,
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, (Gotllieb et al.) :
,
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, ,
, ,
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.736
729
: International Association of Law

Enforcement Intelligence Analysts IALEIA, International Association of Crime Analysts IACA.
730
Justice Assistance, 2005. p. 3.
731
DIKW : "Wisdom Hierarchy"; "Knowledge Hierarchy"; "Information
Hierarchy", "Knowledge Pyramid". DIKW : Data (),
Information (), Knowledge () Wisdom ().
732
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008. p.99.
733
Cope, N., Intelligence Led Policing or Policing Led Intelligence, The British Journal of Criminology, 44(2),
p. 188.
734
: "
". : Osborne, D. & Wernicke, S., Introduction to crime analysis: Basic resources
for criminal justice practice, New York: Haworth Press, 2003, p. 1.
735
Gottlieb, S.-Arenberg, S. & Singh, R., Crime analysis: From first report to final arrest, Montclair, CA:
Alpha Publishing, 1994, p. 13.
736
Boba, R., Crime analysis and crime mapping. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2005, p. 6.
252
(Peterson)
.737
,
, ,

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:
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,
. , (Peterson)
,
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: ( ;
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intelligence), -
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.
,
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- .742
737
Peterson, M.B., Applications in criminal analysis: A sourcebook, Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1994, p.
2. , ""
,
, .
738

.
739
Peterson, M.B., Applications in criminal analysis: A sourcebook, Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1994.
: - ; ;
.
740
Boba, R., Crime analysis and crime mapping. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2005.
741
Alpha Publishing, 1994. p. 12.
.
742
Ratcliffe, J.H., Integrated intelligence and crime analysis: Enhanced information management for law
enforcement leaders, Washington D.C.: Community Oriented Policing Services, 2007, p. 2. ,
-
, -
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253
- : ,
.743
1.5.1.1 - (Intelligence Analysis)

-
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,747
.
743
Ratkliffe, J.H., Intelligence Led Policing, Willan Publishing: Collompton, Devon, 2008. p. 101. ,
, -
.
. , ,
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,
.
744
Peterson, M.B., Applications in criminal analysis: A sourcebook, Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1994.
745
- - .
746
Alpha Publishing, 1994, p. 11-12.
747
,
,
. :
, ., , , , () . 1/2007,
. 103.
254
"748 .
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.
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.749

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748
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) - .
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), 2012, . 64-65.
(. 64-77).
749
Alpha Publishing, 1994, p. 12.
750
: , ., , ., , .,
, ., , (),
, 2012, . 50-55.
751
Boba, R., Introductory Guide to Crime Analysis and Mapping, US Department of Justice, Office of
Community Oriented Policing Services, Washington DC, 2001.
752
Ibid, Chapter II;
753
,
,
255
1.5.1.4

, , , .
,
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,
.754

, .,
.755
, .
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(Gotllieb et al.)
(
- )
.757

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;
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.758
( , , , , ,
).
754
INTERPOL, Intelligence Analysis, 2004. : www.interpol.com/Public/CIA/Default.asp
(11.03.2013.).
755
York, 2011, p. 36.
756
757
Alpha Publishing, 1994, p. 13. ,
.
758
,
256

, .
, : , , ,
, , , (, ,
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.759
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(Gotllieb et al.),
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759
, ., , , , () .
1/2007, , . 105.
760
Peterson, M.B., Applications in criminal analysis A sourcebook (2nd edition), London: Praeger Publishers,
1998; Gottlieb, S.-Arenberg, S. & Singh, R., Crime analysis: From first report to final arrest, Montclair, CA:
Alpha Publishing, 1994.
761
: , ., ,
( ), 2012, . 46. - :
;
;

-, . ,
, (. 44-57).
762
York, 2011, p. 37.
763
: Boba, R., Introductory Guide to Crime Analysis and Mapping, US Department of Justice,
Office of Community Oriented Policing Services, Washington DC, 2001.
764
257
.
.
;
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() .
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(Peterson),
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.
765
Peterson, M.B., Applications in criminal analysis A sourcebook (2nd edition), London: Praeger Publishers,
1998, p. 53. , (
) : ?
? ? : Dvorek, A., Kriminalistina strategija, Ljubljana, 2001, str.
96.
766

: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence:
Manual for Managers, New York, 2011, pp. 37-38.
258
,
modus operandi.
, ,
,
.767 , .
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767
, ., -
, , 2011, . 5-27.
768
: , .-, ., , , 2007,
. 223.
769
, , ,
-
- . : Carter, L. D., op. cit. p.
68.
770
, , .
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Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 14.
259
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771
United Nations
York, 2011, p. 30.
772
United Nations
York, 2011, p. 30.
773
United Nations
York, 2011, p. 31.
.
Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New
(. )
260
;
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Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 30, ( ).
775
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on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 65.
261
, .
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. 776
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777
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on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 67.
778
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New
York, 2011, p. 68.
779
,
.
262
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. 780

.
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:

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(Improbable or unlikely)

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10%
15-20%
25-50%
780
Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 68. ,
, .
781
York, 2011, p. 68.
782
Ibid, p. 68.
. () .
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.
263

(Probable or likely)

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55-70%
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III-8: /783
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783
: Ministry of Defence UK, JDP - Joint Doctrine Publication 2-00: Understanding and Intelligence
Support to Joint Operations Third Edition, (Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre), UK, 2011, Chapter
3.
784
Analusts, New York, 2011, pp. 69-70.
785
:
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264
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786
787
Ibid, p. 266.
788
: , ., , , 2008, . 209. ,

.
789
,
. : Peterson, M. et al., Successful Law Enforcement Using Analytic Methods,
South Florida, International Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts IALEIA, 1996.
, ., , , 2008., .
266
1. :
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;
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(., , , , , .);
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790
,
: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence:
Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011, pp. 35-48.
791
,
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792
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267
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793
York, 2011, p. 45.
268
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?798
794
,
.
: () , ()
. : United Nations Office on Drugs
and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011, pp. 49-51.
795
Ibid, p. 49.
796
, .-, ., , , 2007, . 235.
797
Ratcliffe, J.H., Intelligence led Policing:Ttrends and Issues in Crime and Criminal Justice, Paper 248, 2003.

, , . ,
, "" ,
. ,
,
. : United
Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011,
p. 53.
798
: Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for
Analusts, New York, 2011, p. 54. ()
.
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, , . ,
269

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.799
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799
modus operandi ,
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800

. ,
(
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801

, .
(
,
). : United Nations
Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Analusts, New York, 2011, pp. 5758; , ., , , 2008, . 220.
270
() , ,
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.

. 802

(, , .).
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III-17:
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.
804
271
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272
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(Peterson et al.)809
,
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1. (. - )
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;
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, ;
806
Analusts, New York, 2011, pp. 31-32.
807
, , -
( ), .
-
.
808
INTERPOL, Intelligence Analysis, 2004. : www.interpol.com/Public/CIA/Default.asp
(11.03.2013.).
809
Peterson, M.B.,-Morehouse, B.-Wright, R., Intelligence 2000:Revising the basic elements. A guide for
intelligence professionals. A joint publication of Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit (LEIU) and International
Association of Law Enforcement Itelligence Analysis. New Jersy: Lawrenceville, 2000, p. 109.
273
4. .
;
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811
sharing information,
. , ()
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, .
812
, Intelligence Dissemination Management,
.
- .
813
Metscher, R. and Gilbride, B., Intelligence as an Investigative Function, International Foundation for
Protection Officers IFPO, USA, 2005, p. 31.
274
, . ,
- .

,

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, .
, 11. 2001.
, 11. 2004. ,
7. 2005. .,
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, .
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( ,
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, .816
814
815
Godfrey, D.E.-Harris, D.R., Basic Elements of Intelligence, Washington DC:Governament Printing Office,
1971, p.93. ,
.
- .
816
: Watson, W.B.-Watson, M.S.-Hopple, W.G., United States Intelligence: An
Encyclopedia, New York: Garland Publishers, 1990, p. 405.
, /:
- Push ( : , ): , () ,
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;
275
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);
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1.6.1 (/) ,
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,

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,
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(influens). , ,
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, just-in-time
(JIT). - , :
Intelligence Dissemination Management, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intelligence_dissemination_management
( 25.06.2013.).
817
Law Enforcement Department of the OSCE Mission to Serbia,
- , Trainer Guide (Police Service School), Lesson #2: Intelligence
Cycle, 2005.
818

() ""
. ,
"",
,
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(IMINT). ( )
"", .
, ,
. : Layton, E., And I Was There: Breaking the Secrets Pearl
Harbor and Midway, William Morrow & Co, 1985.
276
.
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819
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Front-line Law
Enforcement, New York, 2010, p. 27-28.
820
-
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821
, : X 06.30
(. )
277
()
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United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Aanalysts, New
York, 2011, p. 71.
824
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279
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825
York, 2011, p. 76. ,
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826
York, 2011, p. 76.
827
Ibid, p. 77.
280
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828
" " : United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime

UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Aanalysts, New York, 2011, pp. 77-78.
" " - .

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829
: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual
for Aanalysts, New York, 2011, p. 78. , ,
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.
281
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957
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958
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969
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972
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: Independent Commission Against Corruption ICAC, op.cit. p. 7.
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Suchung. : , .,
, , 2010, . 297-299.
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978
: Humberside Police, Humberside Police Standing Order The Identification, Use Control and
Pazment of Informers, 1990. : Independent Commission Against Corruption ICAC, op.cit.
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: Fitzgerald, G.D., Informants and Undercover Investigations: A Practical Guide to Law, Policu,
and Procedure, CRC Press, Washington, USA, 2007, p. 5.
983
984
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Wool, G.J., Police Informants in Canada: The Law and Reality, Saskatchewan Law Review, 50, pp. 249-270.
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988
: Gonzales, M., The Manual of Intelligence, The Overwatch Report, Vol. 33, 2013, p. 19.
989
: U.S.Department of Justice, Drug Enforcement Administration DEA, Intelligence Collection
And Analytical Methods, USA, 1987, pp. 38-39.
990
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: EUROPOL, European Union Best Practice on the Use of Informants, The Hague, December 2008,
p. 2.
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The Attorney General's Guidelines Regarding the use of FBI Confidential Human Sources, Internal
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994
327
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999
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Informants and Undercover Investigations: A Practical Guide to Law, Policu, and Procedure, CRC Press,
Washington, USA, 2007, pp. 3-4.
1000
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328
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14.
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4/93.
1015
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2011, p. 181.
1016
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R., Confidential Informants and the Truth Finding Function, Cooley Law Review, 4, p. 568.
1017
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1020

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Crime Effectively, London: Audit Commission, 1993. : http://archive.auditcommission.gov.uk/auditcommission/subwebs/publications/studies/studyPDF/1690.pdf ( 18.10.2013.).
334
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Sources: Challenges in Policy Development, Security Challenges, Vol. 5, no. 3, 2009, p. 122.).

(: Mollen, M., Commission to Investigate Allegotions of Police Corruption and
the Anti-Corruption Procedures of the Police Department: Commission Report, 1994., :
http://www.parc.info/client_files/Special%20Reports/4%20-%20Mollen%20Commission%20-%20NYPD.pdf
,
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: Crous, C., Human Intelligence Sources: Challenges in Policy Development, Security Challenges,
Vol. 5, no. 3, 2009, p. 124.
1025
Schuberg ,
. Schuberg, G., Maintaining Integrity in Police
Informant Management, 16th Senior Police Executive Officers Course, 1992. : Independent
Commission Against Corruption ICAC, op.cit. p. 20.
1026
,
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,
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337
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1027
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(handling) ; 7) (termination)
(Edward Waltz, Knowledge Management in the Intelligence Enterprise, Artech House Boston &
London, 2003). : , ., , , , 2010, . 125-126.
1028
Gonzales, M., The Manual of Intelligence, The Overwatch Report, Vol. 33, 2013, p. 20-23.
1029
Ibid, pp. 20-22.
()
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, :
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1030
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Framework for Agent Recruitment: From MICE to RASCLS, Studies in Intelligence, Vol. 57, No. 1, 2013, p. 13.
1031
: , , ,
, , , . : , .,
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1032
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1033

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1041
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p. 8.
1042
McCabe, R.J., Procedures to be Adopted for Management, Control and Evaluation of Sources of
Information, Sydney, 1989, pp. 7-8.
1043
: , , , ,
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, ., - , ., op.cit.. . 171.
1044
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1049

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1050

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. 173.
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.
346

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Grabosky, P.N., Prosecutors, Informants and the Integrity of the Criminal Justice System, Australian
Institute of Criminology, 1991, p. 15.
1063
Marx, G.T., Undercover: Police Surveillance in America, University of California Press, Berkley, 1988.
1064
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347
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348

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1114
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, 26
New York Times-a .
362
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1123
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2008, p. 20.
1126
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.
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1127
, Haglund
,
. : Haglund, E., Impeaching the Unferworld Informant, Southern
Califormia Law Review, No.63, 1990, p. 1407.
1128
Manning, P.K. & Redlinger, L.J., Invitational Edges of Corruption: Some Consequences of Narcotic Law
Enforcement, Drugs and Politics, Transaction Books, London, 1977, p. 296. : Independent
Commission Against Corruption ICAC, op.cit. p. 48.
365
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Politics, Legal Consuption Publications, Sydney, p. 136.
1138
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367
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Dundovi, D., Tajne policijske operacije, Informator, Zagreb, 2003, str. 34. :
, ., op.cit. . 302. (Zakon o krivinom postupku,
"Narodne novine" br. 110/97; 27/98; 58/99; 112/99; 58/02; 143/02; 62/03; 178/04; 115/06) 186
,
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1,258
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381
,
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), .

, :
(3,54), (3,51),
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1,663
30,0%
10,0%
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1,129
6,0%
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62,0%
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3,16
1,424
19,6%
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41,1%
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1,447
20,0%
22,0%
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382
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383
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United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODS, EWG Special Investigative ehniques, Viena,
2005;
1178
: , ., op.cit. . 386.
385
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. , ,
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1182
,
, , , ,
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1183
Fijnaut C.J.C.F &, Marx G.T., Undercover: Police Surveillance in Comparative Perspective, Martinus
Nijhoff Publishers, 1995, str. 1.
1180
387

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20.12.2013.).
1203
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1205
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Intelligence Officers AFIO`s Intelligencer Journal, 2013, p. 2.
1206
Recommendation No.Rec (2001) 10 of the Committee of Ministers to member states on the European Code of
Police Ethics, 19. September 2001, Council of Europe. :
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1219
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1220

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Intelligence Led Policing ILP.
, NIM ACPO 43

. 2004. .
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1230
Heaton, R., The prospects for intelligence-led policing: Some historical and quantitative considerations,
Policing and Society, Vol 9, 2000, pp. 337-356; Heaton, R., Intelligence-led Policing and Volume Crime
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Policing
Advance
Access,
2009,
:
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1231
ACPO Association of Chief Police Officers by the National Centre for Policing Excellence, Practice
Advice Introduction to Intelligence-Led Policing, UK, 2007, p. 6. ( )
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1236
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1237
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21-31; United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNODC, Criminal Intelligence: Manual for Managers,
New York, 2011, p. 20-22; National Criminal Intelligence Service NCIS, The National Intelligence Model,
GB, 2000, pp. 26-29.
-
412
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Information Second Edition, (produced on behalf of the Association of Shief Police Officers ASPO), UK,
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413
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1240
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415
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; ACPO Association of Chief Police Officers by the National Centre for Policing Excellence,
Practice Advice Introduction to Intelligence-Led Policing, UK, 2007, p. 29.
1242
,
, : National Policing Improvement Agency NPIA, Guidance on the Management of
Police Information Second Edition, (produced on behalf of the Association of Shief Police Officers ASPO), UK,
2010, pp. 119-149.
1243
National Centre for Policing Excellence - NCPE, Code of Practice on the Management of Police Information,
UK, 2005. : http://www.cleveland.police.uk/downloads/Code_of_Practice_on_MoPI.pdf (
20.08.2013.).
416
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Source CHIS).1244
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(Richard Anderson),1246
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1244
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Code of Practice, UK, 2010. :
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( 01.09.2013.).
1245
(Sir David Phillips) 1993-2003
National Centre for Policing Excellence NCPE,
(Association of Chief Police Officers ACPO),
(Coventru, UK).
1246
Anderson, R., "Intelligence-led Policing: a British Perspective", In: Smith, A. (Ed.), International Association of
Law Enforcement Analysts IALEIA, Intelligence Led Policing International Perspectives on Policing in the 21st
Century, New Jersey, 1997, pp. 9-13.
1247
: http://www.kent.police.uk/home.html
( 09.09.2013.).
417
,

(PPOs).
1993. ,
,
. The Force
Intelligence Review,
(Kent Policing Model KPM).
-
,
- ,
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-
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1994. , KPM
1995. . 1,3%
1995. ,
() . ,

1996. 1997. . 1996. 6,5%
( 143.000 ), 1997. 16,3% (
119.000 ).1248
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.
2. -

19.
, ,
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1940- ,
( , NYPD).1249
, ,
. 1950- ,
1248
: Anderson, R., "Intelligence-led Policing: a British Perspective", In: Smith, A. (Ed.),

International Association of Law Enforcement Analysts IALEIA, Intelligence Led Policing International
Perspectives on Policing in the 21st Century, New Jersey, 1997, pp. 9-13.
1249
: Peterson, B.M., "Developments in Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysis", In: Improving the Law
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418
Kefauver Commission,1250 ,
, ,
, .
,
.1251
- (Law
Enforcement Intelligence Unit LEIU),1252 1956. ,
-
.
- ,

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-

(President's Organized Crime Commission), 1967.
- . ,

.

1970- ,
(Don R. Harris E. Drexsel Godfrey)
(The Basic Elements of Intelligence) 1971. ,1253
1976. ,1254 .1255
1250
Special Committee to Investigate Organized Crime Kefauver Commission,

.
, .
Estes Kefauver .
1951. 1952. , .
( , , ),

. , ,
(J. Edgar Hoover FBI)
, .
Kefauver
.
(Frank Costello)
.
1251

, .
, .
1252
-
: http://leiu.org
1253
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1254
Harris, D.R. et al., The Basic Elements of Intelligence, U.S. Department of Justice (Law Enforcement
Assistance Administration Enforcement Program Division), US, 1976.
1255
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-
(Intelligence) . -
, ,
,
1970- 1980- , .1256

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.
-
, , .
3x51257
.1258
11. 2001. . (post 9/11 era), . ,
, ()
(International Association of Chiefs of Police
IACP), ,
,
- ,
- .
, IACP ()
(Office of Community Oriented Policing Services COPS),
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. ,

- .1259
1256

, Anacapa Sciences ( http://anacapatraining.org),
(International Association of Law Enforcement Analysts IALEIA)
1980. (http://www.ialeia.org). ()
. -
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1257

. ( ).
1258
,
.
,
( : Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 33).

,
. ,

( : German, M & Stanley, J., Whats wrong with fusion centers?, New York: American Civil Liberties
Union, 2007, p. 7.).
1259
: International Association of Chiefs of Police IACP,
Criminal Intelligence Sharing: A National Plan for Intelligence-Led Policing At the Local, State and Federal Level,
420
, (The Global Justice

Information Sharing Initiative - Global)1260, ,
: - (Global Intelligence
Working Group GIWG),
. GIWG -
(National Criminal Intelligence Sharing Plan NCISP).1261
NCISP,
(Department of Homleand Security DHS) .
, ,
,
.
,
(Target Capabilities List TCL).1262 ,
, ll Crimes, All
Hazards and All Threats Intelligence.

, ,
2004. (Intelligence Reform and Terrorism
Prevention Act IRTPA),1263 , ,
(Information Sharing Environment ISE),
,
.1264
-
,
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. :
2002. : http://www.theiacp.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket?=fkdp7AX%2FFac%3D&tabid=298 (
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1260
Global-u, : http://www.it.ojp.gov/global/
1261
- - NCISP
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( ) , , ,
- . ,
()
(Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 44). , ,
.
NCISP ILP ,
(NCISP, p. v).
1262
Target Capabilities List TCL : http://www.llis.dhs.gov
1263
: http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-108publ458/pdf/PLAW-108publ458.pdf (
10.10.2013.). , :
(Office of the Director of National Intelligence
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(National Couterterrorism Center NCTC)
(Information Sharing Environment ISE).
1264
Information Sharing Environment Implementation Plan, prepared by the Program Manager, Information
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421
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, :
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1265
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European Council, European Security Strategy: A Secure Europe in a Better World, Brussels, 12. December
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,
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1269
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1271
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427
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1273
EUROPOL, Europol Information Managament Products and Service, File No. 2510-271, EU, p. 14.
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1276
EUROPOL Directorate General Internal Policies, Development of the Organised Crime Threat Assessment
(OKTA) and Internal Security Architecture : Study, Doc. No. PE 410.682, Brussels, 2009, p. 18.
1277
UK House of Lords European Union Committee, Europol: Coordinating the Fight against Serious and
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429
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European Police Office, 2011.
1280
Council of the European Union, Council conclusions on the creation and implementation of a EU policy cucle
for organised and serious international crime, 3043rd Justice and Home Affairs Council meeting, Brussels, 8.-9.
November 2010. : http://europa.eu/rapid/pressrelease_PRES-10-291_en.htm ( 01.09.2013.).
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Criminology & Criminal Justice, Vol: 8(4), 2008, p. 499.
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EUROPOL, Europol Information Managament Products and Service, File No. 2510-271, EU, p. 7.
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1296
: EUROPOL, Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) on the association of Third Parties to Europols AWFs,
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436
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438
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1304
Ratcliffe, J.H., The effectiveness of intelligence management: A New Zeland case study, Police Practice and
Research: An International Journal, Vol. 6, No. 5, 2005, p. 436.
1305
-
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439
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Enforcement Intelligence: A Guide for State, Local and Tribal Law Enforcement Agencies second edition, pp. 120121.
1307
Potpari, D. Dvorek, A., "Critical Success Factors in Establishing a National Criminal Intelligence Model in
Slovenia", U: Gorazd, M; Sotlar, A; Winterdyk, J. (Eds.) Policing in Central and Eastern Europe Social Control of
Unconventional Deviance, University of Maribor (Faculty of Criminal Justice and Security), Ljubljana, 2011, p.263.
1308
Memorandum on Basic Policing Guidelines for 2003-2007 MNZ, Slovenia, 2002. :
http://www.mnz.gov.si/fileadmin/mnz.gov.si/pageuploads/DPDVN/usmeritve/MEMORANDUM_KONACNA.doc
(: 21.01.2012).
440
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12645/2005. : http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_PRES-05247_en.htm?locale=en ( 24.08.2013.).
1310

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: Potpari, D. Dvorek, A., op.cit. p. 263.
1312

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http://www.mnz.gov.si/fileadmin/mnz.gov.si/pageuploads/SOJ/word/kriminaliteta_resolucija.doc 26.08.
).
441
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1314
House of Lords, European Union Committee, 29th Report of Session 2007-2008, Europol: coordinating the fight
against serious and organised crime, London: The Authority of the House of Lords ( :
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200708/Idselect/Ideucom/183/183.pdf 24.08.2013.).
1315
Dvorek, A. Frange, D., "Slovenska kriminalistina policija med "Kriminalstrategie" in "Criminal
Intelligence"". In T.Pavi, M. (Ed.), Varstvoslovje med teorijo in praso: zbornik prispevkov 10. slovenski dnevi
varstvoslovja, 2009, Ljubljana (Fakultet za varnostne vede), p. 11.
1316
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442
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Zakon o nalogah in pooblastilih policije (Uradni list RS br. 15/2013).
1319
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1320
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1329
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1330
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1331
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: Brincka, ., Od pojaanog nadzora (kriminalistikog nadzora nekada , do usmerenog prikupljanja

podataka danas, Policija i sigurnost br.3/2012,Zagreb, 2012, str. 605.
1337
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: , ., "-
", : (
), , 2008, . 122.
455
456
1.

-
, .
. ( )
, ,
-
.
, a
.
,
, .1355
,
-
.
2.

-
.
-
.
,
, ,
, ,
-
.
,
- ,
- .
.
1355

.
, ,
.
457
3.
, .
,
, , , ,
.
.
,
,
,
, .
.
,
. 5
. 1 5
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, .
, .
, ,
.1356

.
4.
250

,
:
-
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-
. ,
,
;
() - .
,
,
;
1356
,
, ,
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.
458
() - ,
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; ;
). ,
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- ;
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5.

( ),
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2013. .
6. ,
, ,
.
, ,
.
.
,
.
,
.
( ) ,
.
: hi-
, (ztest t-test), (F-test) (t-test).
459
,
,
().
7.
,
,
.
.

,
.
7.1
. , , ,
, ,
.
16,1%
83,9%
VI-1:
,
83,9% 16,1% .
- ,
80% 20% .
460
2,0% 0,4%
6,5%
21,5%
69,6%
VI-2:
.
, , 69,6%, ,
, 6,5% , 2%
, 0,4% .

4%
14%
40%
20%

22%
VI-3:
, VI3. 4% , 14%
,
, 40% .
461
28%
72%
VI-4:
- ,
72% (
).
50,0%
48,0%
40,0%
32,4%
30,0%
24,1%
23,6%
15,2%
20,0%
16,5%
13,8%
9,7%
10,0%
8,0%
3,6%
0,9%
0,9%
1,7%
0,0%
1,3%
0,4%
0,0%
VI-5:

VI-5. 80,4% 10
, 10 20 ,
30 3% .
462

,

-

?
(. .)
3,86
(0,690)
4,03
(0,585)
3,88
(0,600)
3,81
(0,773)
70,0%
30,0%
66,0%
34,0%
41,1%
58,9%
42,0%
58,0%
71,4%
28,6%
3,48
(0,714)
14,3%
85,7%
4,00
(0,943)
14,0%
86,0%
3,14
(1,027)

.
.

VI-1:
VI-1
. ,
-
.
, ,
- . ,
.
,
(3,86 - 4,03 - ).

.
40%
.
3,88 3,81 .

. 71,4%
3,48. ,
-
14%

, , .
-
( , ).
, -

, 463
.

- , .
,
4,00 3,14
.

(. .)
60,0%
40,0%
4,05 (0,865)
84,0%
16,0%
3,86 (0,718)
VI-2:
?
60%
4,05 ( VI-2).
, 84% ( VI-2)
,
.
3,86
.
7.2

,
/ .
, ,
- . ,
,

. ,
- .
.
464
2,3
,992
23,6%
37,6%
26,8%
10,4%
1,6%
*: -
(, , .)
;
VI-3:
-
(

)
-
, 2,3 ( VI-3).1357
VI-3, 61,2%
- , 26,8%
, .

.
1,80
,919
50,0%
20,0%
30,0%
,0%
,0%
2,20
,990
32,0%
24,0%
36,0%
8,0%
,0%
2,57
,931
10,7%
41,1%
28,6%
19,6%
,0%
2,26
1,075
27,3%
36,4%
22,2%
11,1%
3,0%
2,17
,785
14,3%
60,0%
22,9%
,0%
2,9%
VI-4: -
VI-4,
2,57
1357
-
-15, ( );
465
, 1,8
. ,
50% , 20%
, 30% .
. e
.
,

,
.
-
, ,
.
. ,

, -
,
( 4,4).
, ,
,
( 4,3).
4,4
,833
1,2%
2,8%
7,6%
36,3%
52,2%
**
4,3
,919
3,6%
2,0%
5,2%
44,2%
45,0%
*: , ,
- ,
.
**: , ,
,
.
VI-5:
-
VI-5,
85% . , , 6%
.1358
1358
* ** -16
-17, ( );
466
80,00%
70,00%
60,00%
50,00%
40,00%
30,00%
20,00%
10,00%
0,00%
VI-6:
-
,
- ,

, ,
.

70,00%
60,00%
50,00%
40,00%
30,00%
20,00%
10,00%
0,00%
VI-7:

467
7.3 , , ,
-
,
.1359 ,
VI-8.
VI-8:
,
. , 90% -

(
1359
:
-1: -

( - );
-2: -
, ;
-3: (ad hoc)
- , -
;
-4: -
(
) ;
-5: -,
-
;
-6: -
- .
468
- -1).

. ,
-
, 80% ( -2).
(ad hoc)
, , 80%
( -3). , 90%
-
( )
( -4).

, -a,

- ,
90% ( -5) . ,
80% -
-
( -6).

-1
4,42
,715
,0%
1,3%
9,3%
35,8%
53,6%
-2
4,18
,943
2,0%
3,6%
14,3%
35,1%
45,0%
-3
4,04
,784
,4%
3,6%
15,5%
52,6%
27,9%
-4
4,35
,695
,0%
2,0%
6,6%
45,7%
45,7%
-5
4,50
,695
,0%
2,4%
4,4%
33,9%
59,4%
-6
4,14
,878
2,0%
2,0%
14,4%
43,2%
38,4%
VI-6:
,
-
,
.
, ,
, .,
.

. VI-7

(, ),
40% . 10% .
469
3,22
1,243
7,6%
30,3%
10,8%
35,9%
15,5%
**
4,41
,927
3,2%
2,4%
4,4%
30,3%
59,8%
*:
(, ).
**: ,
,
( )
.
VI-7:
,

,
( ) .
VI-7 90% .

.
VI-8,

. , 3,03
, 3,4.
.
470
3,40
1,265
,0%
40,0%
,0%
40,0%
20,0%
3,24
1,333
12,0%
24,0%
10,0%
36,0%
18,0%
3,04
1,220
8,9%
32,1%
17,9%
28,6%
12,5%
3,35
1,234
7,0%
27,0%
6,0%
44,0%
16,0%
3,03
1,175
2,9%
42,9%
17,1%
22,9%
14,3%
VI-8: *
4,00
1,155
,0%
20,0%
,0%
40,0%
40,0%
4,46
,930
4,0%
2,0%
,0%
32,0%
62,0%
4,45
1,043
5,4%
1,8%
3,6%
21,4%
67,9%
4,34
,924
3,0%
2,0%
7,0%
34,0%
54,0%
4,60
,604
,0%
,0%
5,7%
28,6%
65,7%
VI-9: **

, ,
( )
- . VI-9
4,00 , 4,6
.
95% .
471
7.4
intelligence
( ,

). ,
, , .,
intelligence .1360
,
, intelligence
.
, ,
.

,
VI-9.
70%
,
. ,
31,8% .

-

/ /

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
VI-9:

( VI-10).
- 80% ,
72,3% , 60%, (57,1%),
(53,7%), (40,3%)
35%.
1360
: Hebenton, B., & Thomas, T., Policing Europe Co-operation, Conflict and Control, London:
Macmillan Press LTD, 1995, p. 170.
472
-

/ /
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
VI-10:
,
,
- ,
.

,
.

,
, . ,

( ),
.
. ,

.
473
-

/ /

10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
VI-11:
,
, ,
, -18, -19 -20 ( ).
4,25
4,50
4,68
4,18
3,99
4,40
4,21
4,40
4,56
4,13
3,96
4,49
4,00
3,70
4,34
3,91
3,88
4,06
2,98
3,20
3,02
2,91
2,90
3,20
4,01
3,70
4,04
4,05
4,06
3,83
3,86
3,40
3,86
3,88
3,97
3,66
4,19
3,90
4,18
4,07
4,26
4,31
-
/
/

VI-10:

. ,

, - . ,
474

: , . ,
,
.
.
,
.
-
,
.

,
(All-source collection), .
2,74
3,30
2,98
2,93
2,75
1,89
3,36
4,60
4,16
3,58
3,10
2,20
3,82
4,10
4,42
3,85
3,78
2,91
2,97
2,30
2,94
2,82
3,03
3,26
4,10
3,50
3,84
4,30
4,20
4,06
3,50
2,20
2,90
4,05
3,90
2,77
3,40
2,40
3,14
3,66
3,45
3,54
-
/
/

VI-11:

. ,
.

.
:
.
.
, ,

.
475

, , .
,
.
: ,
/ /. 0,05

.
,
. ,
95%
. ,
,
,
, . 90%

, , .
2,91
3,50
3,64
2,89
2,77
2,14
3,14
4,20
3,76
3,21
3,00
2,20
3,57
4,20
3,74
3,80
3,54
2,89
2,92
3,10
2,82
2,80
3,06
2,83
3,87
3,60
3,96
3,77
3,92
3,82
3,60
3,50
3,50
3,71
3,75
3,15
3,30
2,90
3,14
3,34
3,31
3,59
-
/
/

VI-12:

,
,
- (NIM).
476
(Maren Eline Kleiven).1361

. , ,
70% (Informants)
(Data/computers/records), , ,
(Open sources), . VI-1
.
VI-1: 1362
,
, 82%
( 44% )
(38%). ,
.
VI-2
.
1361
Kleiven, E.M., Where`s the intelligence in The National Intelligence Model, Disertation submitted to the
Institute of Criminal Justice Studies, University of Portsmouth, 2005.
, , : ,
.
1362
: Ibid, p. 44.
477
VI-2: 1363
7.5 - (
)

- .
, - ,
,
.
(
), .
,
,
. ( VI-13)
3,91
. , e
, 7,3% .

.
1363
: Ibid, p. 47.
.
478
3,91
,4%
6,9%
,854
18,1%
50,4%
24,2%
VI-13: (), ,

4,00
,816
,0%
,0%
30,0%
40,0%
30,0%
4,20
,763
,0%
4,1%
8,2%
51,0%
36,7%
3,86
,962
,0%
12,5%
16,1%
44,6%
26,8%
3,79
,773
,0%
5,1%
27,3%
51,5%
16,2%
3,91
,965
2,9%
8,8%
5,9%
58,8%
23,5%
VI-14: (), ,

. VI-14,
() ,
( 4,2),
(4,00), (3,91), (3,86)
(3,79).
0,1
.

(
,
).
479
35,00%
30,00%
32%
27,20%
25,00%
20,00%
16,40%
15,00%
11,60%
12,80%
10,00%
5,00%
0,00%

1 3
4 6
7 9
10
VI-12: ( )

1 3 ( VI-12).
27,2% , 16,4% 4 6 , 11,6%
7 9 , 12,8% 10 .

VI-15.
4 6 6 , 7 9, 10
, 10% .
1 3
4 6
7 9
10
10,0%
,0%
50,0%
20,0%
20,0%
2,0%
2,0%
18,0%
36,0%
42,0%
30,4%
41,1%
14,3%
8,9%
5,4%
29,3%
45,5%
17,2%
3,0%
5,1%
57,1%
31,4%
5,7%
2,9%
2,9%
VI-15: ( )

, 42% 10
, 36% 7 9 , 18% 4 6
, 4% 3 .
.
480
(41,1%) 1 3 .
, 14,3%
4 6 , 7
.
. , 1 3
(45,5%), 29,3% , 17,2%
4 6 , 8,1%
7 .
. , 57,1%
, 1 3 ,
5,7% 4 6 , 7 9 10
2,9% .
:
-
4 6
;
7
,
;
,
3
, .
-
,
,
Maguire John

(Lancashire, Surrey, The West Midlands),
- (NIM)
.1364
.
,

(, , .)
- .

. ,
-

. , ,
(83%)
,
. (
)
1364
Maguire, M., & John, T., The National Intelligence Model: Early implementation experience in three police
force areas (Working Paper Series No. 50). Wales: Cardiff University School of Social Sciences, 2004.
481
()
,938
()
3,74
,
. , 70%
( )
, .
70%
, 10%
.1365
-
, (47%)
- .1366
-
( )
.
, 9% .
,
(70%), 10%
.1367
,

. VI-16 41%,
28,9% , 21,7% ,
6,4% , 2% .
2,0%
6,4%
28,9%
41,0%
21,7%
VI-16:

, VI-17,

. 80%
, 10%
. .
38% , 32% , 26% 2%
.
. 33,9%
, 32,1% , 26,8%
, 3,6%
1365
Ibid, p. 38.
Ibid, p. 39.
1367
Ibid, p. 40.
1366
482
()
()
. 38,4%
,
, 16,2% , 11,1%
, 1%
.
, , 17,6% , 5,9%
, 2,9%
.
.
4,00
,471
,0%
,0%
10,0%
80,0%
10,0%
3,84
,912
2,0%
2,0%
32,0%
38,0%
26,0%
3,88
1,028
3,6%
3,6%
26,8%
33,9%
32,1%
3,58
,927
1,0%
11,1%
33,3%
38,4%
16,2%
3,76
,923
2,9%
5,9%
20,6%
52,9%
17,6%
VI-17:

1,117
3,28
,
( ),
. ,

.
5,2%
23,6%
22,0%
36,4%
12,8%
VI-18:
(
483
VI-18 ,
, .
, ,
. , 86%,
. ,
(68,6%).
40%
. ( VI-19)

.
,

. , ,
. ,
,
.
4,10
,316
,0%
,0%
,0%
90,0%
10,0%
4,16
,710
,0%
2,0%
12,0%
54,0%
32,0%
2,91
1,014
5,4%
35,7%
25,0%
30,4%
3,6%
2,79
1,023
8,1%
36,4%
28,3%
23,2%
4,0%
3,77
1,087
5,7%
5,7%
20,0%
42,9%
25,7%
VI-19:
(
)

484
,901
3,54
2,8%
9,2%
29,6%
48,0%
10,4%
VI-20: - ()

, . VI-20,
58,4% , 12%
.
60% , 92%
, 46,4% , 45,5%
65,7% .
(17,9%), (18,1%)
(5,7%). ,
, ,
,
. ,

.

.
3,60
,516
,0%
,0%
40,0%
60,0%
,0%
4,18
,560
,0%
,0%
8,0%
66,0%
26,0%
3,27
,863
3,6%
14,3%
35,7%
44,6%
1,8%
3,28
,948
5,1%
13,1%
36,4%
39,4%
6,1%
3,77
,808
,0%
5,7%
28,6%
48,6%
17,1%
VI-21: - ()

485
,750
3,36
1,2%
10,0%
43,0%
43,0%
2,8%
VI-22:

.
, .
VI-22 45,8% ,
11,2% .
.
3,30
,675
,0%
10,0%
50,0%
40,0%
,0%
3,55
,738
2,0%
2,0%
40,8%
49,0%
6,1%
3,34
,668
,0%
10,7%
44,6%
44,6%
,0%
3,28
,796
2,0%
12,1%
44,4%
38,4%
3,0%
3,37
,770
,0%
14,3%
37,1%
45,7%
2,9%
VI-23:

486
3.39
1,25
9,6%
17,2%
18,0%
35,2%
20,0%
*:
( 4x4)
( ; ).
VII-24:

( ; ),
,
( VI-24).

.
.

3,08
1,089
8,8%
23,6%
24,4%
37,6%
5,6%
**
2,9
0,943
5,0%
33,7%
28,7%
31,7%
1,0%
*:
;
**:

;
VI-25: * **
487
37,60%
40,00%
33,70%
35,00%
31,70%
28,70%
30,00%
24,40%
23,60%
25,00%
20,00%
15,00%
10,00%
8,80%
5,00%
**
5,60%
5,00%
1,00%
0,00%
VI-13: * **
Mean
Std.
Dev.
3,90
,738
,0%
,0%
30,0%
50,0%
20,0%
4,12
1,003
2,0%
6,0%
14,0%
34,0%
44,0%
2,88
1,294
17,9%
26,8%
14,3%
32,1%
8,9%
3,00
1,221
13,1%
25,3%
19,2%
33,3%
9,1%
4,11
,758
,0%
,0%
22,9%
42,9%
34,3%
VI-26:

( VI-26)
.
,
,
(4,12 4,11 ), (3,9),
(3,00),
(2,88).
. ,
.

488
.
,
.
,
. ,

.1368
,
,
3,74 ,
(3,37), (3,10),
(2,82) 2,78.
Mean
Std.
Dev.
3,10
,994
,0%
40,0%
10,0%
50,0%
,0%
3,74
,876
,0%
10,0%
24,0%
48,0%
18,0%
2,82
1,162
19,6%
16,1%
28,6%
33,9%
1,8%
2,78
1,045
10,1%
36,4%
20,2%
32,3%
1,0%
3,37
,942
2,9%
14,3%
34,3%
40,0%
8,6%
VI-27:

. ,

. ,

.1369

.
VI-28.
1368
-21
( ).
1369
-22
( ).
489
Mean
Std.
Dev.
2,80
1,033
,0%
60,0%
,0%
40,0%
,0%
2,84
,968
8,9%
28,6%
32,1%
30,4%
,0%
3,03
,891
,0%
34,3%
31,4%
31,4%
2,9%
VI-28:

7.6

, ()
, ,
- .

, (
), ,
.
VI-14, -
.1370
( 3), .

() .
1370
68,2% 7,3%
. ,
. 23, ( ).
490
VI-14:

.
.
() ,
.

3,64,
3,46, 3,42, 3,40
3,2 ( VI-29).
0,95
. ,
.
491
()
()
3,20
,919
,0%
20,0%
50,0%
20,0%
10,0%
3,64
,802
,0%
10,0%
26,0%
54,0%
10,0%
3,46
,852
1,8%
7,1%
44,6%
35,7%
10,7%
3,42
,899
3,1%
8,2%
42,3%
36,1%
10,3%
3,40
,604
,0%
,0%
65,7%
28,6%
5,7%
()
()
VI-29:
30% , 64%
, 46,6% , 46,4%
.

,
.
3,40
,966
,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
10,0%
3,56
,812
,0%
12,0%
28,0%
52,0%
8,0%
3,70
,913
1,8%
7,1%
28,6%
44,6%
17,9%
3,45
1,031
4,1%
12,4%
33,0%
35,1%
15,5%
3,40
,695
,0%
2,9%
62,9%
25,7%
8,6%
VI-30:

492
()
()
,

. ,
. ,
,

,
.
3,20
,919
,0%
20,0%
50,0%
20,0%
10,0%
3,28
,970
2,0%
20,0%
36,0%
32,0%
10,0%
3,70
,893
1,8%
3,6%
37,5%
37,5%
19,6%
3,36
,949
3,1%
13,4%
38,1%
35,1%
10,3%
3,60
,812
2,9%
,0%
42,9%
42,9%
11,4%
VI-31:

, 30%
, 42% , 57,1%
, 45,4% 54,3%
.
.

.
493
()
()
3,20
,919
,0%
20,0%
50,0%
20,0%
10,0%
3,28
,970
2,0%
20,0%
36,0%
32,0%
10,0%
3,70
,893
1,8%
3,6%
37,5%
37,5%
19,6%
3,36
,949
3,1%
13,4%
38,1%
35,1%
10,3%
3,60
,812
2,9%
,0%
42,9%
42,9%
11,4%
VI-32: -

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LEIU ( )
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509
I:
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
II:
535
Levene
Statistic
df1
df2
2,241
Sig.
246
,065
-1:
Between Groups
Sum of
Squares
17026,167
Mean Square
4256,542
Within Groups
74867,857
246
304,341
Total
91894,024
250
df
F
13,986
Sig.
,000
-2: ( )
(I) Kategorija ispitanika
(J) Kategorija ispitanika
Mean
Difference
(I-J)
obavetajci
rukovodioci SBPOK i PU
rukovodioci SKOPP
krim. pol i policajci

analiticari
obavetajci
rukovodioci SKOPP
analiticari
rukovodioci SKOPP
obavetajci
analiticari
rukovodioci SKOPP
obavetajci
analiticari
analiticari
rukovodioci SKOPP
obavetajci
Std. Error
Sig.
95% Confidence Interval
Lower
Bound
6,000
-8,643
Upper
Bound
6,043
5,989
Lower
Bound
,858
,600
Upper Bound
-10,61
-25,10
-13,500
5,786
,138
-29,40
2,40
4,000
6,255
,968
-13,19
21,19
Lower Bound
22,61
7,82
-6,000
6,043
,858
-22,61
10,61
-14,643(*)
-19,500(*)
-2,000
3,394
3,022
3,845
,000
,000
,985
-23,97
-27,80
-12,57
-5,31
-11,20
8,57
8,643
5,989
,600
-7,82
25,10
14,643(*)
3,394
,000
5,31
23,97
-4,857
2,912
,456
-12,86
3,14
12,643(*)
13,500
19,500(*)
3,759
5,786
3,022
,008
,138
,000
2,31
-2,40
11,20
22,97
29,40
27,80
4,857
2,912
,456
-3,14
12,86
17,500(*)
3,426
,000
8,08
26,92
-4,000
6,255
,968
-21,19
13,19
2,000
-12,643(*)
-17,500(*)
3,845
3,759
3,426
,985
,008
,000
-8,57
-22,97
-26,92
12,57
-2,31
-8,08
* The mean difference is significant at the .05 level.
-3: ( )
536
60
53,4
50
41,8
40
32,330,3
30
P1*
18,7
20
10
7,2 6,8
P2**
4,8
2,4 2,4
0
uopte se ne uglavnom se
slaem
ne slaem
nemam
miljenje
uglavnom se potpuno se
slaem
slaem
-4: 2**
rukovodilac
Da
P49_1mod
1,00
Count
% of Total
2,00
3,00
Total
22
29
8,9%
11,7%
20
83
103
8,1%
33,5%
41,5%
44
72
116
17,7%
29,0%
46,8%
71
177
248
28,6%
71,4%
100,0%
Count
% of Total
Da
Count
% of Total
Ne
2,8%
Count
% of Total
Total
-5: ( )
rukovodilac
Da
P49_1mod
1,00
Count
% of Total
2,00
Count
% of Total
3,00
Count
% of Total
Total
Count
% of Total
Total
Ne
Da
22
29
2,8%
8,9%
11,7%
20
83
103
8,1%
33,5%
41,5%
44
72
116
17,7%
29,0%
46,8%
71
177
248
28,6%
71,4%
100,0%
-6: ( )
537
Value
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear
Association
N of Valid Cases
Asymp. Sig.
(2-sided)
df
9,476(a)
9,567
2
2
,009
,008
6,226
,013
248
-7: ( )
rukovodilac
Da
P2mod
ne slaem se
Count
% of Total
neutralni
Count
% of Total
slaem se
Count
% of Total
Total
Count
% of Total
Total
Ne
Da
17
23
2,4%
6,8%
9,2%
14
33
47
5,6%
13,1%
18,7%
51
130
181
20,3%
51,8%
72,1%
71
180
251
28,3%
71,7%
100,0%
-8: E
( )
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear
Association
N of Valid Cases
Value
,108(a)
,108
,004
2
2
Asymp. Sig.
(2-sided)
,947
,947
,947
df
251
-9: E
( )
538
rukovodioci
SKOPP
Kategorija ispitanika
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P13 Za efikasno vodjenje
registrovanih operativnih
veza (saradnika i
informatora) potrebno je
formirati jedinstvenu
specijalizovanu jedinicu cije
bi osoblje u nadlenosti
imalo iskljuivi mandat u
vodjenju svih registrovanih
operativnih veza kao
resursa M
(B)
(C)
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
uopte se ne slaem
B
uglavnom se ne slaem
.(a)
nemam miljenje
uglavnom se slaem
potpuno se slaem
CDE
-10:

rukovodioci
SKOPP
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P14 Ne postoji dovoljna
spremnost policijskih
slubenika da izgradjene
operativne veze prepuste
(predaju) slubenicima
specijalizovane jedinice koji
bi imali iskljucivi mandat u
vodjenju svih registrovanij
operativnih veza kao
resursa MUP-a.
uopte se ne slaem
.(a)
(B)
.(a)
(C)
D
nemam miljenje
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
.(a)
.(a)
.(a)
uglavnom se slaem
B
C
potpuno se slaem
-11:
539
rukovodioci SKOPP
obavetajci
rukovodioci SBPOK i
PU
analiticari
Mean
Std.
Dev.
uopte
se ne
slaem
uglavno
m se ne
slaem
nemam
miljenje
uglavno
m se
slaem
potpuno
se
slaem
4,30
,949
,0%
10,0%
,0%
40,0%
50,0%
4,42
,731
,0%
4,0%
2,0%
42,0%
52,0%
3,70
1,174
8,9%
1,8%
28,6%
32,1%
28,6%
3,99
,990
2,0%
7,0%
16,0%
40,0%
35,0%
3,91
,612
,0%
,0%
22,9%
62,9%
14,3%
-12: ()

rukovodioci
SKOPP
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P16 Upotreba ljudskih
izvora informacija
(saradnika i informatora)
treba biti propisana
procesnim zakonom, to
znaci da se pod
normiranim uslovima
mogu koristiti kao dokazna
radnja, a ne samo kao
operativno-takticka mera.
uopte se ne slaem
(B)
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
(C)
.(a)
.(a)
nemam miljenje
uglavnom se slaem
potpuno se slaem
-13
rukovodioci
SKOPP
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P17 Upotrebu operativnih
veza (saradnika i
informatora) kao procesne
radnje treba ograniciti na
najtea krivicna dela, kao
to su krivicna dela koja
imaju obeleja
organizovanog kriminala,
korupcije, terorizma...
(B)
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
(C)
uopte se ne slaem
nemam miljenje
.(a)
.(a)
uglavnom se slaem
potpuno se slaem
-14
540
70,00%
60,00%
50,00%
40,00%
30,00%
20,00%
10,00%
0,00%
rukovodioci
SKOPP
nedovoljno
obavetajci
rukovodioci
SBPOK i PU
zadovoljavajuce
krim. pol i
policajci
dobro
vrlo dobro
analiticari
odlicno
-15: -
-
4,70
,483
,0%
,0%
,0%
30,0%
70,0%
4,38
,805
,0%
4,0%
8,0%
34,0%
54,0%
4,43
,970
3,6%
1,8%
7,1%
23,2%
64,3%
4,30
,823
1,0%
4,0%
5,0%
44,0%
46,0%
4,26
,741
,0%
,0%
17,1%
40,0%
42,9%
-16:
-
541
4,40
,516
,0%
,0%
,0%
60,0%
40,0%
4,50
,735
,0%
4,0%
2,0%
34,0%
60,0%
4,13
1,096
7,1%
1,8%
5,4%
42,9%
42,9%
4,12
,977
5,0%
2,0%
6,0%
50,0%
37,0%
4,43
,655
,0%
,0%
8,6%
40,0%
51,4%
-17:

u potpunosti
bez vanosti
uglavnom
nisu vani
niti vani,
ni nevani
uglavnom
vani
izuzetno
vani
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
P46_1 Ocenite vanost navedenih izvora informacija

za Vau kriminalisticku delatnost: Saradnici
2,0%
2,0%
9,3%
42,3%
44,4%
P46_2 Informatori
2,0%
2,4%
11,3%
41,1%
43,1%
P46_3 Neregistrovane operativne veze (prijateljske,

rodbinske , poznanike...)
,4%
4,0%
20,6%
45,6%
29,4%
P46_4 Otvoreni izvori informacija (internet, novine,

radio, tv i dr.)
8,4%
22,3%
39,0%
23,5%
6,8%
P46_5 Baze podataka MUP-a
1,6%
3,6%
18,5%
44,8%
31,5%
P46_6 Krivicno delo/ rtva /svedoci
1,2%
3,2%
28,2%
43,1%
24,2%
P46_7 Specijalne istrane metode
2,0%
,8%
17,3%
35,5%
44,4%
-18:
542
nikad ne
koristim
uglavnom
nikada
povremeno/
ponekad
uglavnom
koristim
svaki put
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
P47_1 Ocenite u kojoj meri u policijskom radu

koristite navedene izvore informacija: Saradnici
28,4%
16,4%
22,8%
18,0%
14,4%
P47_2 Informatori
13,4%
10,9%
22,3%
33,6%
19,8%

2,0%
8,9%
21,5%
40,5%
27,1%
P47_4 Otvoreni izvori informacija (internet, novine,

radio, tv i dr.)
14,7%
21,1%
27,1%
26,7%
10,4%
1,2%
2,8%
17,8%
40,9%
37,2%
8,1%
10,5%
25,9%
34,0%
21,5%
9,3%
14,2%
26,3%
27,1%
23,1%
-19:
u potpunosti
bez obuke
uglavnom
bez obuke
niti obucen
niti ne
uglavnom
obucen
u potpunosti
obucen
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
Row N %
P48_1 Ocenite Va nivo obucenosti za koricenje nie

navedenih izvora informacija: Saradnici
22,0%
14,2%
24,8%
28,5%
10,6%
P48_2 Informatori
14,6%
15,9%
24,4%
31,3%
13,8%
4,9%
12,6%
24,4%
36,6%
21,5%
27,9%
11,2%
18,3%
25,9%
16,7%
2,0%
5,7%
25,3%
37,6%
29,4%

P48_4 Otvoreni izvori informacija (internet, novine, radio,
tv i dr.)
5,7%
6,5%
31,0%
35,9%
20,8%
11,4%
15,1%
25,3%
28,2%
20,0%
-20:
rukovodioci
SKOPP
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P43 Ocenite koliko ste
upoznati sa procenom
pouzdanosti izvora i
kvaliteta informacija
(kodovi sistema 4x4)
kojim se oznacavaju
izvori informacija u
formalizovanim
obrascima (operativna
informacija; operativni
izvetaj).
uopte nisam upoznat

uglavnom nisam upoznat
(B)
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
(C)
.(a)
.(a)
.(a)
B
.(a)
ni upoznat niti ne
uglavnom sam upoznat
u potpunosti upoznat
CD
-21:
543
CD
rukovodioci
SKOPP
rukovodioci
obavetajci
SBPOK i PU
(A)
P44 Ocenite nivo
Vae procene kojom
u prakticnom radu
oznacavate izvore i
informacije koje
dokumentujete.
nedovoljno
(B)
.(a)
krim. pol i
policajci
analiticari
(D)
(E)
(C)
.(a)
zadovoljavajuce
dobro (ni loe ni odlicno)

vrlo dobro
odlicno
.(a)
CD
()
()
-22:
3,41
,835
1,6%
10,1%
41,5%
39,1%
7,7%
3,46
,834
1,6%
7,7%
43,1%
37,9%
9,7%
3,52
,917
2,0%
10,1%
35,1%
39,5%
13,3%
3,45
,929
2,4%
10,9%
38,7%
35,5%
12,5%
3,83
,856
,0%
7,3%
24,6%
46,0%
22,2%
-23:
544

,
, , .
,
.
, - IC (. Intelligence
Community ).
5WH
ACPO
AFIS
AIVD
ARC
ASIE
ASIS
AWF
BCU
BND
BPL
CDRP
CHIS
CI
CIA
CJJI
COMINT
COP
COPS
COSI
CSIS
DEA
DGSE
DHS
DI
DIKW
(
)
ECHR
ECIM
ELINT
EMPACT
ESS
FBI
GIWG
HMIC
HSM
Who; What; Where; Why; When; How;

Association of Cheif Police Officers
Automatic Fingerprints Identification System
Algemene Inlichtingen en Veiligheidsdienst
Agent Recruitment Cycle
Agenzia informazioni e sicurezza esterna
Australian Secret Intelligence Service
Analysis Work Files
Basic command unit
Bundes Nachrichten Dienst
Basic Protection Level Information
Crime and Disorder Reduction Partnership
Covert Human Intelligence Source
Confidential Informant
Central Intelligence Agency
Criminal Justice Joint Inspection
Communications Intelligence
Community Oriented Policing
Community Oriented Policing Services
The Standing Committee on Iternal Security
Canadian Security Intelligence Service
Drug Enforcement Administration
Direction Gnrale de la Scurit Extrieure
Department of Homleand Security
Directorate of Intelligence
Data; Information; Knowledge; Wisdom;
European Convention on Human Rights
European Criminal Intelligence Model
Electronic Intelligence
European Multidisciplinary Platform against Criminal Threats
European Security Strategy
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Global Intelligence Working Group
Her Majestys Inspecttorate of Constabulary
Human Source Management
545
HUMINT
IACA
IACP
IALEIA
ICAC
ICCPR
ILP
IMINT
InfoEx
IRTPA
ISE
IxS
JIT
KPM
LEIU
MASINT
MASP
MI6
MICE
Human Intelligence
International Association of Crime Analysts
The International Association of Chiefs of Police
International Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts
Independent Commission Against Corruption
International Covernant on Civil and Political Rights
Intelligence-Led Policing
Imagery Intelligence
Information Exchange System
Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act
Information Sharing Environment
Index System
Joint Investigation Teams
Kent Policing Model
Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit
Measurements and Signatures Intelligence
Multi-anual Strategic Action Plans
Military Intelligence 6
Money; Ideology; Coercion or Compromise/Blackmail; Ego or
Excitement
Milli stihbarat Tekilat
HaMossad leModi'in uleTafkidim Meyuhadim
Militra underrttelse och skerhetstjnsten
National Criminal Intelligence Service
The National Criminal Intelligence Sharing Plan
National Centre for Policing Excellence
National Couterterrorism Center
The National Intelligence Model
National Media Exploitation Center
National Policing Improvement Agency
National Security Agency
Yearly Operational Action Plans
Organised Crime Threat Assessment
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Open Source of Informations
Open Source Intelligence
Validated OSINT
Police Chief Task Force
MIT
Mossad
MUST
NCIS
NCISP
NCPE
NCTC
NIM
NMEC
NPIA
NSA
OAPs
OCTA
ODNI
OSI
OSINT
OSINT-V
PCTF/COSPOL
PEACE
(
Planning and preparation; Engage and explain; Account; Closure;
) Evaluate;
PIR
POP
PPO
RASCLS
SALUTE
Priority Intelligence Requirements

Problem Oriented Policing
Prolific and Other Priority Offenders
Reciprocation; Autorithy; Scarcity; Commitment and Consistency; Liking;
Social Proof
Size; Activity; Location; Unit; Time; Equipment;
546
SARA
SARs
SELEC
SIGINT
SIS
SITREP
SLTLE
SOCA
SOCTA
ST&CG
STCINT
T&CG
TCL
Three-i Modell
TT&CG
UCR
UDHR
UNODC
Scanning; Response; Analysis; Assessment;

Suspicious Activity Reports
Southeast European Law Enforcement Center
Signals Intelligence
Secret Intelligence Service
Situation Report
State, Local and Tribal Law Enforcement
Serious Organised Crime Agency
Serious and Organised Crime Threat Assessment
Strategic Tasking and Coordination
Specialized Technical Collection Intelligence
Tasking and Coordinating Process
Target Capabilities List
3-i
Tactical Taskong and Coordination
Uniform Crime Report
Universal Declaration of Human Rights
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
WMD
WoMD
Weapon of Mass Destruction
YOT/YOS
The Youth Offending Team/Youth Offending Service

-
-

-

-
547

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2.
3.
4.
5.
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CRIMINAL INTELLIGENCE MODELS OF

(Strategic Policing) .................................................................. 44

(Problem Oriented Policing) ............. 45

(Community Policing) ............................................ 46

(Information Management Plan) .................... 110

1.2 (Creating the Organizational

(Strategic Assessments) ......................................................... 136

(Tactical Assessments) ............................................................. 138

(Problem Profile) ..................................................................... 139

(Target Profiles) .................................................................. 140

(Data) ................................................................................................ 178

(Information) ............................................................................ 179

(Knowledge) ......................................................................................... 184

- (Criminal Intelligence) ....... 185

(Closed Source of Informations) ................ 195

(Community Intelligence).......... 200

(Collection) ............................................................... 214

(Collection Plan) ....................................... 221

(Evaluation) ...................................................................... 233

(Handling Codes) .............................. 242

(Deconfliction) ............................ 249

FBI - ................................................. 423

ECIM ........................................ 434

Mischkowitz, R.,Mit Intelligence die Organisierte Kriminalitt bekmpfen; : , .

" " (chiffre noir

Clinard, Quinney Wildeman :

Modus operandi " ".

(" " . 101/2005; 63/2009 92/2011).

(" " . 116/2008; 104/2009; 101/2010; 78/2011 .

CAJNER-MRAOVI, I. FABER, V. VOLAREVI, G., Strategija djelovanja policije u zajednici,

Brisach-Ullmann-Sasse-Hbner-Desch, Planung der Kriminalittskontrolle, Stuttgart (Boorberg), 2001, p.

: Kelling L. George & Moore H. Mark, op. cit. pp. 2-13.

(Federal Bureau of Investigation - FBI)101

FBI (Federal Bureau of Investigation - FBI)

( R. Fosdicka Ch. Reitha),

, ., (Community policing), , 2006, . 301.

3.1.1 (Strategic Policing)

3.1.2 (Problem Oriented

3.1.3 (Community Policing)

: Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing ( ), . 70.

Ratcliffe, J., Intelligence Led Policing, (Willan publishing),2008, Devon, p.66. ,

(Militra underrttelse och skerhetstjnsten MUST);

" " 98/2006;

72/2009, 72/2011 . 101/2011 . 32/2013;

" " . 67/2004; 135/2004; 61/2005; 101/2007 104/2009;

, ., , ., , (), 2012, . 309-310.

: Anderson, R., "Intelligence-Led Policing: A British Perspective", In: Smith, A. (Ed.),

II-1: 3-i (-) : 308

(Petrillo and DelBagno),

Community Policing; Problem-Oriented Policing

II-2: Carter & Carter

II-3: Carter & Carter Intelligence-led policing 331

: Carter, G.J., Policing Innovation: Exploring the Adoption of Intelligence-Led Policing

: Carter, G.J., Policing Innovation: Exploring the Adoption of Intelligence-Led Policing

Carter & Carter Ratcliffe (3-i)

Carter & Carter

: Carter, G.J., Policing Innovation: Exploring the Adoption of Intelligence-Led Policing

1.1 (Information Management Plan)

Carter, L. D., op. cit. p. 108. , ,

(Review of the Process)

1.2 (Creating the

(Commitment to the Concept)