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Breastfeeding and Thyroid Cancer Risk in Women A Dose-Response PDF
Breastfeeding and Thyroid Cancer Risk in Women A Dose-Response PDF
Breastfeeding and Thyroid Cancer Risk in Women A Dose-Response PDF
Clinical Nutrition
journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/clnu
Meta-analyses
Department of Neurology, The People's Hospital of Deyang City, Deyang 618000, Sichuan, China
Program of Quantitative Methods in Education, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, 55455, USA
c
Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University School of
Medicine, Nashville, TN 37203, USA
d
Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Medical Molecular Diagnostics, Dongguan Scientic Research Center, Guangdong Medical University, Dongguan
523808, China
e
Department of Neurology, Taihe Hospital Afliated to Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan City, Hubei Province 442000, China
f
Center for Clinical and Translational Science, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA
b
a r t i c l e i n f o
s u m m a r y
Article history:
Received 19 July 2015
Accepted 3 December 2015
Background & aims: The association between breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk is not consistent from
epidemiological studies. To better clarify the association including assessing a potential doseeresponse
relationship, we conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis.
Methods: We searched PubMed (MEDLINE) up to November 2015 for prospective studies or case-control
studies that evaluated the association between breastfeeding and risk of thyroid cancer. Effect estimates
were pooled using a xed-effects model.
Results: Nine reports (2 prospective studies, 6 case-control studies and 1 pooled analysis of 14 casecontrol studies) involving 2423 cases and 350,081 non-cases were identied. After pooling relevant
studies, there was a signicant inverse association between ever breastfeeding and risk of thyroid cancer
(RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.83e0.99), with minor heterogeneity (I2 10.1%). The dose-response analysis
revealed a signicant linear relationship between the duration of breastfeeding and risk of thyroid
cancer. The summary RR for an increment of 1 month of breastfeeding with risk of thyroid cancer was
0.983 (95% CI 0.98e0.99). When focusing on cohort studies, a more prominent linear doseeresponse
relationship was detected, with the combined RR for every increment of 1 month of breastfeeding to be
0.965 (95% CI 0.96e0.97).
Conclusions: This meta-analysis suggests that breastfeeding is potentially inversely associated with
thyroid cancer risk. Also longer duration of breastfeeding may further decreases thyroid cancer risk. If
validated in large-scale prospective studies, our ndings may have implications for impacting women's
decision in breastfeeding.
2015 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Breastfeeding
Epidemiological studies
Meta-analysis
Risk
Thyroid cancer
Abbreviations: OR, odds ratio; RR, relative risk; HR, hazard ratio; CI, condence
intervals.
* Corresponding author. Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine,
Vanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt
University School of Medicine, 2525 West End Avenue, Suite 800, Nashville, TN,
37203-1738, USA. Tel.: 1 615 343 9388; fax: 1 615 343 0719.
** Corresponding author. Department of Neurology, Taihe Hospital Afliated to
Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan City, Hubei Province 442000, China. Tel.: 86
13669097518.
E-mail addresses: liuguangjian@aliyun.com (G.J. Liu), lang.wu@vanderbilt.edu
(L. Wu).
1
Yi X and Zhu J contributed equally to this work.
1. Introduction
Among the various endocrine malignancies, thyroid cancer is
the most common one and represents a huge public health burden,
especially in females [1,2]. It is estimated that there will be
approximately 62,450 new incident cases in the US in 2015,
including 47,230 females [3]. In the US alone, about 1950 subjects
will die from thyroid cancer in 2015 [3]. The incidence of thyroid
cancer has kept increasing for the last decades [4]. To better understand the etiology is crucial for the disease prevention, risk
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
0261-5614/ 2015 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved.
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
association). When there was more than 1 estimate of the association, we used the estimate from the model that maximally
adjusted for relevant covariates, like previous studies [25,26]. If
only unadjusted estimate was provided, we used the crude estimate in the analysis.
For the quality assessment of relevant studies, we used the
Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale [27]. This assessment
scale involved evaluating methods of sampling, descriptions of
exposure and outcome, and data matching and statistical adjustments. For each study we assigned a maximum of 9 points. If
studies had scores of 7 or above, they were categorized as studies
with high quality, otherwise they were categorized as studies with
low quality.
2.4. Statistical methods
The RR and 95% CI from each included study were used to measure the association. Due to the relative rarity of thyroid cancer in the
general population, ORs and HRs were thought to be equivalent to
RRs and we used RRs to represent measures. We used the I2 to assess
the heterogeneity across studies, where I2 > 50% suggests high
heterogeneity [28]. By assuming that a common effect size is shared
by all included studies, we pooled the log transformed RRs using the
xed-effects model [29]. Subgroup analyses based on study design
(prospective vs. case-control studies), study quality (high vs. low),
and study location (America, Europe, Asia, Oceania or International)
were also performed. We also conducted sensitivity analyses
excluding 1 study at a time to evaluate whether any specic study
signicantly inuenced the overall pooled results.
Additionally, we explored potential linear and non-linear doseeresponse relationship between the duration of breastfeeding
and thyroid cancer risk [30]. When the categories of breastfeeding
duration were reported in ranges, we determined the midpoints of
categories by averaging the lower and upper bounds. In situations
when the upper bound was not specied for the highest category,
the width of the open ended interval was assumed to be as same as
that of the second highest category. For determining the doseeresponse relationship, the numbers of cases and overall subjects
or person-years, as well as the risk estimates for at least 3 categories of breastfeeding duration are required. We assessed a potential nonlinear doseeresponse relationship between the duration
of breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk with fractional polynomial
models, using restricted cubic splines with 3 knots at xed percentiles (10%, 50% and 90%) of the distribution [31,32]. We then
conducted a likelihood ratio test for evaluating the difference between the linear and nonlinear models, to determine whether
linear or nonlinear model was more appropriate.
Publication bias was evaluated through Egger's test [33] and
Begg's test [34]. A P-value threshold of 0.05 was used to determine
whether there was signicant publication bias. All statistical analyses were performed with Stata (version 13; StataCorp, College
Station, TX).
3. Results
3.1. Literature search and study characteristics
The detailed procedures of the article screening were demonstrated in Fig. 1. Overall, 9 reports were included in the current
meta-analysis [10e13,15e19]. The detailed characteristics of these
studies were demonstrated in Table 1. In total, 2 prospective studies
(1 cohort study and 1 case cohort study), 6 case-control studies and
1 pooled analysis of 14 case-control studies were included. Several
eligible studies were already incorporated in the large pooled
analysis by Negri et al. and were thus not individually included in
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
Table 1
Characteristics of studies of breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk.
First author, publication year
(reference), country, study design
Case-control studies
Xhaard, 2014,
France, PC-CS
Cases/controls (age)
Breastfeeding categories
(exposure/case assessment)
RR (95% CI)
Matched/Adjusted
factors
246/235(10e40y)
Never
Ever
<4 months
4 months (Trained interviewer/
Cancer registry)
Never
Ever
1e6 months
>6 months (Trained interviewer/
medical record)
Never or <1 month
Ever
1e5 months
6e11 months
12e23 months
24 months (Trained interviewer/
Cancer registry)
Never
Ever
1.0 (ref)
0.84 (0.70e0.995)
0.9 (0.4e2.0)
0.3 (0.1e0.7)
1.0 (ref)
0.6 (0.3e1.2)
0.91 (0.63e1.31)
0.83 (0.55e1.24)
1.0
1.2
1.1
1.0
1.5
1.7
(ref)
(0.9e1.6)
(0.6e2.0)
(0.5e1.8)
(0.8e2.7)
(0.9e3.3)
1.0 (ref)
1.0 (0.7e1.3)
Mack, 1999,
USA,PC-CS
88/90(15e54y)
Rossing,2000,Washington,
USA,PC-CS
183/243(18e64y)
767/1194 (NA)
201/324 (NA)
257/260 (NA)
Przybylik-Mazurek, 2012,
Poland, HC-CS
Cases/subject (age),
duration
of follow up
Prospective studies
Zamora-Ros,2014,
Europe,CS
406/345,157(mean 51y),11y
Wong,2006,
China, Case cohort study
125/3077(30e69),10y
Never
Ever
1e6 months
7e18 months
19e30 months
31e54 months
>54 months (Trained interviewer/
cancer registry and histology review)
Never
Ever (self-administered
questionnaire/unclear)
Never
Ever (questionnaire/unclear)
1.0
1.2
1.1
1.3
2.7
1.0
1.2
(ref)
(0.7e2.1)
(0.6e2.2)
(0.7e2.7)
(1.0e7.5)
(0.4e2.3)
(0.6e2.6)
1.0 (ref)
0.94 (0.77e1.15)
Age
1.0 (ref)
0.84 (0.63e1.11)
None
Breastfeeding categories
(exposure/case assessment)
RR (95% CI)
Matched/Adjusted
factors
Never
Ever
<1 month
1e6 months
6e12 months
12e24 months
>24 months (Self-questionnaire/
Cancer registry)
Never
Ever
<6 months
7e12 months
13e24 months
25e36 months
37e48 months
49 months (Trained interviewer/
Cancer registry)
1.0 (ref)
0.86 (0.67e1.10)
0.87 (0.65e1.17)
0.85 (0.66e1.11)
0.65 (0.48e0.88)
0.51 (0.36e0.73)
0.25 (0.15e0.44)
1.0(ref)
0.70 (0.44e1.11)
1.18 (0.69e2.01)
0.69 (0.42e1.15)
0.42 (0.23e0.76)
0.38 (0.19e0.73)
0.27 (0.12e0.62)
0.21 (0.10e0.45)
age
BMI: body mass index; CI: condence interval; CS: cohort study; HC-CS: hospital-based case-control study; N/A: not available; OR: odds ratio; PC-CS: population-based casecontrol study; Ref: reference; RR: relative risk.
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
Zamora-Ros,2014
Zamora-Ros,2014
1 means study adequately fullled a quality criterion (2 for case-control or exposed-non exposed fully matched and adjusted), 0 means it did not. Quality scale does not imply that items are of equal relevant importance.
1
1
1
1
8
7
Overall
Score
Loss to
follow-up
<20%
Follow-up
long enough for
outcome to occur
Ascertain outcome
via independent
blind assessment
or record linkage
Exposed and
non-exposed
matched and/or
adjusted
by factors
Demonstrate that
outcome not
present
at study start
Ascertain exposure
through records or
structured
interviews
Selection of the
non-exposed
cohort from
same
community
Exposed cohort
represents average
in community
Study
Prospective Studies
8
9
8
5
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Rossing,2000
Xhaard, 2014
Brindel, 2008
Lee, 2010
Przybylik-Mazurek, 2012
Mack, 1999
Study
Case-control studies
Table 2
Quality assessment of reviewed case-control and prospective studies.
Selection of controls
from community
Statement that
controls have no
history of outcome
Ascertain exposure
by blinded
structured interview
Same method
of ascertainment
for cases and
controls
Same response
rate for
both groups
Overall
score
Representativeness
of the cases
Case dened with
independent
validation
5. Conclusion
In conclusion, based on a quantitative summary of evidence
from relevant epidemiological studies, breastfeeding, especially
with a longer duration, was potentially associated with a
decreased risk of thyroid cancer. If validated by future welldesigned prospective studies, our ndings may have implications for impacting women's decisions in breastfeeding for
decreasing risks of diseases.
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
Fig. 2. Forest plot (xed effects model) of breastfeeding (ever vs. never) and thyroid cancer risk.
Statement of authorship
Lang Wu designed the study, performed the study,
analyzed and interpreted the data, and drafted the manuscript; Xingyang Yi performed the study, interpreted the data
and signicantly revised the manuscript; Jingjing Zhu
Table 3
Summary risk estimates of the association between breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk (Ever versus Never).
No of reports
Overall subgroup analysis
9
Study design
Prospective
2
Case-control
7
Study quality
High
5
Low
3
Location
Europe
3
America
2
Asia
2
Oceania
1
International
1
Confounder adjustment
Yes
8
No
1
Adjustment of other reproductive or hormone factors
Yes
4
No
5
RR (95% CI)
I2
P for heterogeneity
0.91 (0.83e0.99)
10.1%
0.351
0.82 (0.66e1.02)
0.93 (0.84e1.02)
0.0%
18.6%
0.442
0.288
0.90 (0.80e1.02)
0.89 (0.76e1.04)
40.7%
0.0%
0.150
0.431
0.85
1.08
0.90
1.20
1.00
(0.74e0.96)
(0.83e1.41)
(0.75e1.08)
(0.70e2.10)
(0.70e1.30)
0.0%
69.5%
23.8%
e
e
0.987
0.070
0.252
e
e
0.91 (0.83e1.01)
0.84 (0.63e1.11)
18.5%
e
0.283
e
0.88 (0.76e1.02)
0.92 (0.82e1.04)
9.7%
25.1%
0.345
0.254
Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005
Fig. 3. Sensitivity analyses of the association between of breastfeeding (ever vs. never)
and thyroid cancer risk by excluding one study at a time.
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Please cite this article in press as: Yi X, et al., Breastfeeding and thyroid cancer risk in women: A dose-response meta-analysis of epidemiological
studies, Clinical Nutrition (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2015.12.005