Problem 4.1

Problem 4.
1 North Sea Wave Climate

The file P04-1.xls contains data for Station 13, near the East end of Lake Ontario. The data
provided is in 20 years.
Task:
a) Predict the significant wave height expected on average at the site once in 20, 50, 100,
and 200 years, using the Log Normal, Gumbel and Weibull distributions.
Untuk perhitungan ini, tinggi gelombang signifikan dicari per arah mata angin.
Berikut adalah hasil pengolahan data yang didapatkan per arah mata angin.
Diasumsikan nilai Ht = 1.5 m.
North
Distribusi Log Normal
Return Period
Ht
1.5
2
6.1
0.55
ln H
rata
0.3717
0.7356
20
50
100
150
0.2037
0.0899
2.3694
2.3518
2.5238
2.4511
2.6395
2.5181
2.7075
2.5557
North Direction
Log Normal Distribution for Data with Ht = 1.5 m
3
2.5
f(x) = 4.91x - 1.83
R = 0.98
2
Reduced Variable - z 1.5
1
0.5
0
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Return Period
Ht
20
50
100
150
1.5
6.1
0.1847
1.4749
2.3614
2.5311
2.6593
2.7343
0.55
0.1284
2.0456
2.3474
2.4688
2.5590
2.6114
North Direction
Gumbel Distribution for Data with Ht = 1.5 m
6
5
4
f(x) = 5.11x - 7.48

R = 0.96
Gumbel Reduced Variable - G 3

2
1
0
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
2.2
2.3
2.4
Ht
1.5
2
6.1
0.55
1.3
1.005
0.3335
0.149
1.2479
2.0213
20
2.3632
2.3770
Return Period
50
100
2.5235 2.6409
2.5122 2.6143
150
2.7081
2.6740
North Direction
Weibull Distribution for Data with Ht = 1.5 m ( = 1.3)
4
3.5
3
2.5
Weibull Reduced Variable - W
f(x) = 3x - 3.82
R = 0.96
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
2.2
2.3
Wave Height - H (m)
North East
Ht
1.5
2
10.5
5
1
ln H rata
0.44800
2
0.72868
2
s
0.1589168
2
0.1070583
6
20
Return Period
50
100
150
2.3622
2.4795
2.5637
2.6110
2.4714
2.5823
2.6580
2.7025
2.4
North East Direction

3
2.5
f(x) = 6.29x - 2.82

R = 0.98
2
Reduced Variable - z
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.4
-0.5
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Ht
1.5
2
10.55
1
0.16280
0.10599
1.52972
2.04348
Return Period
50
100
2.5500
2.6630
2.4571
2.5311
20
2.4006
2.3583
150
2.7290
2.5742

6
5
f(x) = 6.14x - 9.4

R = 0.98
4
2
1
0
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
2.2
Wave Height - H (m)
Distrbusi Weibull
Ht
1.5
2
10.55
1
1.3
1.005
0.27984
0.12362
1.370515
1.99644
20
2.3875
2.3648
Return Period
50
100
2.5189 2.6154
2.4768 2.5615
150
2.6708
2.6109
2.3
2.4
East
Ht
1.5
0.65
ln H rata
0.45973
s
0.10354
Return Period
50
100
1.9220
1.9806
20
1.8354
150
2.0126
East Direction
1.6
1.4
1.2
f(x) = 9.66x - 4.44

R = 0.98
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0.4
-0.2
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
-0.4
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Ht
1.5
0.65
0.12153
1.53717
20
1.8441
Return Period
50
100
1.9584
2.0436
150
2.0932
East Direction
3
2.5
f(x) = 8.23x - 12.65

R = 1
2
Gumbel Reduced Variable - G 1.5
1
0.5
0
1.5
1.55
1.6
1.65
1.7
1.75
1.8
1.85
1.9
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
Return Period
Ht
1.5
0.65
1.3
0.2017
9
1.4280
0
20
50
100
150
1.8445
1.9548
2.0337
2.0785
East Direction
Weibull Distribution for Data with Ht = 1.5 ( = 1.3)
2.5
2
f(x) = 4.96x - 7.08

R = 1
1.5
1
0.5
0
1.5
1.55
1.6
1.65
1.7
1.75
Wave Height - H (m)
1.8
1.85
1.9
Ht
1.5
2
2.1
5
0.5
5
1.3
1.0
05
0.44666
786
0.29625
241
1.395
346
1.984
95
Return
20
50
2.63 2.85
28
88
2.69 2.96
22
10
Period
100
150
3.02 3.11
29
67
3.16 3.28
40
26
S
o
u
th East
Ht
ln H rata
1.5
2.15
0.56055
0.55
0.79719
s
0.197
67
0.120
79
20
2.5959
2.6076
Return Period
50
100
2.928
2.7873
5
2.858
2.7566
3
150
3.0077
2.9123
Distribusi Gumbel
Distribusi Weibull
South
Distribusi
Ht
1.5
2
Ht
1.5
3
2
Gumbel
Return Period
ln H rata
s
20
50
100
150
Return Period
24.7 0.57844 0.2272 3.423 3.648 3.817 3.914
63
16
1
20
50
100
150
5Ht
0
6
2
Return
Period
1.5
24.7
0.287405
1.6973
3.48
3.743
3.943
4.0596
9
0.79258
0.1700
3.402
20 3.580
50 3.716
100 3.790
150
5
87 1
62
03
8
1
756
2
2
6
0.264 1.644262 2.635 2.879 3.063 03.171
2.15
2
9
0.255970
2.1306
3.45 3.624
3.694 3.663
3.871 3.9756
0.5
1.14226
0.0703
3.430
41
3
7 3.545
8
7
1
51
47
92
1
7
383
93
5
9
2
9
0.221 2.126540 2.647 2.857 3.012 3.103
0.55
3
2.5 0.171535 3.0583 3.72 3.885 4.005 4.0748
69
75
6
2
9
5
41
05
76
8
1
South Direction
7
6
f(x) = 3.48x - 5.91

R = 0.99
5
4
Gumbel Reduced Variable - G
3
2
1
0
-1
1.5
2.5
3.5
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
Ht
1.5
24.7
5
9
2.5
1.3
1.00
5
1.2
0.5016
81
0.2817
77
0.2595
51
1.4050
57
2.0365
18
2.9274
81
20
3.44
78
3.48
78
3.73
64
Return
50
3.67
61
3.74
25
3.89
14
Period
100
150
3.844 3.941
3
1
3.935 4.047
1
7
4.005 4.071
4
0
South West
Ht
1.5
2
3
225.
1
104.
2
15.6
ln H rata
0.559423
24
0.748486
516
1.131987
223
s
0.3392
71
0.3057
54
0.2281
54
20
5.756
1
5.788
9
5.769
4
Return
50
6.24
44
6.25
83
6.17
53
Period
100
6.60
39
6.61
24
6.46
66
150
6.77
41
6.81
77
6.63
85
South West Direction

4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.4
-0.5
-1
f(x) = 2.95x - 1.65

R = 0.99
0.6
0.8
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Ht
1.5
2
3
225.
1
104.
2
0.507433
907
0.510933
987
0.497363
971
15.6
1.52834
1.94890
7
2.98711
8
20
5.79
70
5.85
34
5.84
27
Return Period
50
100
150
6.26 6.613
6.8194
19
7
6.32 6.675
6.8830
16
8
6.29 6.643
6.8455
89
8

10
8
f(x) = 1.97x - 3.01

R = 0.99
6
Gumbel Reduced Variable - G
4
2
0
-2
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
Ht
20
Return Period
50
100
150
1.
5
2
3
225.
1
104.
2
1.3
0.9298
1.00
5
15.6
1.2
0.5342
45
0.7478
87
0.9178
99
1.8418
1
2.6125
2
5.70
27
5.88
34
5.82
21
6.098
7
6.365
5
6.243
5
6.392
4
6.730
0
6.555
8
6.5620
6.9431
6.7362

6
5
f(x) = 1.08x - 0.99

R = 0.99
4
Weibull Reduced Variable - W 3
2
1
0
Wave Height - H (m)
West
Ht
1.5
78.4
5
25.7
1.65
ln H rata
0.500352
798
0.762878
534
1.161907
809
s
0.2822
39
0.2234
89
0.1333
01
20
4.101
8
4.086
3
4.105
2
Return
50
4.391
7
4.353
1
4.318
5
Period
100
4.633
7
4.544
0
4.466
0
150
4.752
9
4.657
1
4.550
1
West Direction
4
3.5
f(x) = 3.54x - 1.77
R = 0.99
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.4
-0.5
0.6
0.8
1.2
1.4
1.6
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Ht
1.5
78.4
5
25.7
1.65
0.350741
819
0.336134
454
0.295787
979
1.5502
79
2.0414
12
3.0832
94
Return Period
50
100
20
150
4.1310
4.4524
4.6956
4.8378
4.1393
4.4475
4.6806
4.8169
4.1130
4.3867
4.5927
4.7129
West Direction
9
8
f(x) = 2.85x - 4.42

R = 0.99
7
6
5
3
2
1
0
1.5
2.5
3.5
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
4.5
Ht
1.
5
78.4
5
25.7
1.00
5
1.65
1.2
1.3
0.6367
4
0.3571
81
0.4419
5
1.1448
58
1.9469
23
2.8614
93
Return
50
4.380
2
4.478
9
4.384
3
20
4.10
09
4.15
63
4.11
58
Period
100
4.586
7
4.722
8
4.581
1
150
4.705
8
4.865
4
4.694
2
West Direction
6
5
f(x) = 1.57x - 1.8

R = 0.99
4
Weibull Reduced Variable - W 3
2
1
0
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Wave Height - H (m)
North West
Return Period
Ht
1.5
13
0.8
ln H
rata
0.4204
13
0.7215
56
s
0.158586
68
0.081746
1
20
50
100
150
2.3234
2.4347
2.5172
2.5615
2.3327
2.4152
2.4721
2.5026
North West Direction

3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.4
-0.5
f(x) = 6.31x - 2.65

R = 0.98
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
ln H
Distribusi Gumbel
Ht
1.5
13
0.8
0.15469
6
0.11879
3
1.495939
24
2.016155
86
20
2.355
9
2.341
7
Return Period
50
100
2.497
2.6051
8
2.452
2.5360
9
150
2.6678
2.5844

6
5
4
f(x) = 6.46x - 9.67

R = 0.99

2
1
0
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
Wave Height - H (m)
Distribusi Weibull
Ht
1.5
13
1.3
0.26818
999
1.3403
87
20
2.34
41
Return Period
50
100
2.469 2.560
1
9
150
2.61
36
0.
8
1.00
5
0.13826
095
1.9652
41
2.34
66
2.472
0
2.566
7
2.62
20

4
3.5
3
f(x) = 3.73x - 5
R = 1
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
Wave Height - H (m)
2.2
2.3
2.4
b) Determine the local relationship between T and H.
North Direction
Wave Height - Wave Period Relationship
6
5
f(x) = 3.62 x^0.44
Wave Period - T (s) 3

2
1
0
0.5
1.5
2.5
Wave Height - H (m)

6
5
f(x) = 3.62 x^0.44

2
1
0
0.5
1.5
Wave Height - H (m)
2.5
East Direction
5
4
f(x) = 3.41 x^0.38
Wave Period - T (s)
2
1
0
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
Wave Height - H (m)
South East Direction

7
6
f(x) = 3.74 x^0.49
5
4

2
1
0
0.5
1.5
Wave Height - H (m)
2.5
South Direction
8
7
6
5
3
2
1
0
f(x) = 3.75 x^0.49
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Wave Height - H (m)

10
f(x) = 3.78 x^0.5
8
6
Wave Period - T (s)
4
2
0
Wave Height - H (m)
West Direction
10
8
f(x) = 3.76 x^0.49
Wave Period - T (s)
4
2
0
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Wave Height - H (m)

6
5
f(x) = 3.62 x^0.44

2
1
0
0.5
1.5
Wave Height - H (m)
2.5

Problem 4.1

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Problem 4.1

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Problem 4.

1 North Sea Wave Climate

f(x) = 5.11x - 7.48

Gumbel Reduced Variable - G 3

Wave Height - H (m)

Wave Height - H (m)

North East Direction

f(x) = 6.29x - 2.82

North East Direction

f(x) = 6.14x - 9.4

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 9.66x - 4.44

f(x) = 8.23x - 12.65

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 4.96x - 7.08

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 3.48x - 5.91

Wave Height - H (m)

South West Direction

f(x) = 2.95x - 1.65

South West Direction

f(x) = 1.97x - 3.01

Wave Height - H (m)

South West Direction

f(x) = 1.08x - 0.99

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 2.85x - 4.42

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 1.57x - 1.8

Wave Height - H (m)

North West Direction

f(x) = 6.31x - 2.65

North West Direction

f(x) = 6.46x - 9.67

Gumbel Reduced Variable - G 3

Wave Height - H (m)

North West Direction

Wave Height - H (m)

b) Determine the local relationship between T and H.

f(x) = 3.62 x^0.44

Wave Period - T (s) 3

Wave Height - H (m)

North East Direction

f(x) = 3.62 x^0.44

Wave Period - T (s) 3

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 3.41 x^0.38

Wave Period - T (s)

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8

Wave Height - H (m)

South East Direction

f(x) = 3.74 x^0.49

Wave Period - T (s) 3

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 3.75 x^0.49

Wave Height - H (m)

South West Direction

Wave Period - T (s)

Wave Height - H (m)

f(x) = 3.76 x^0.49

Wave Period - T (s)

Wave Height - H (m)