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TO

:

Rod Blum for Congress

FROM:

Brett Loyd, Director of Political Services
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend

DATE:

October 3, 2016

RE:

Summary of Survey Findings from Iowa’s First Congressional District

Executive Summary
With nearly one month remaining until the November 2016 elections, Congressman Rod Blum is ahead of his
opponent, Monica Vernon, by 16-points, 52% to 36% - more than double the previous 7-point margin from our
mid-August polling. Congressman Blum’s ballot lead is bolstered by an excellent job approval rating among
Iowa 1st district voters (48% approve, 24% disapprove) as well as a strong favorability mark (47% favorable,
23% unfavorable). Alternatively, only 29% of voters view Monica Vernon favorably, while 26% have an
unfavorable opinion of her.
If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives from Iowa’s
First Congressional District were today, would you vote for:

52%
36%

34%

20%

17%

13%
3%

2%
Rod Blum
Total (Net)

Definitely

Monica Vernon
Probably Lean

When looking at the other Federal races among Iowa 1st district voters, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton
currently bests Republican Donald Trump by 2-points, 39% to 37%, while Libertarian Gary Johnson collects
10% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein garners 3% of the vote. In the Iowa Senate race, incumbent
Republican Chuck Grassley captures a substantial 59% vote share to Patty Judge’s 36%.
In the election for President of United States, would you vote for:

39%

37%
10%

Clinton

Trump

Johnson

3%

8%

Stein

Undecided

_____________________________________________________________________________________________
THE POLLING COMPANY, INC./WOMANTREND ON BEHALF OF ROD BLUM FOR CONGRESS
SURVEY AMONG 400 RVS IN IA-1, SEPTEMBER 29 – OCTOBER 1, 2016
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Methodology
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Rod Blum for Congress, administered a dual frame (70%
Landline/ 30% Cell) survey among 400 registered voters in Iowa’s First U.S. Congressional District from
September 29 – October 1, 2016. This survey had a ±4.9% overall margin of error at the 95% confidence
interval.
Sampling controls were used to ensure that a proportional and representative number of adults were
interviewed from such demographic groups as age, gender, and geographic region. Respondents were
selected randomly from lists of registered voters provided by i360. Two independent non-overlapping sample
frames were drawn, one for landlines and one for cell phones.

_____________________________________________________________________________________________
THE POLLING COMPANY, INC./WOMANTREND ON BEHALF OF ROD BLUM FOR CONGRESS
SURVEY AMONG 400 RVS IN IA-1, SEPTEMBER 29 – OCTOBER 1, 2016
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