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Level 2 2016 SS 17 (Derivatives)
Level 2 2016 SS 17 (Derivatives)
Level 2 2016 SS 17 (Derivatives)
Derivatives
Reading Assignments
Options: Brush-Up
Similarities between options and forwards/futures:
Options allow the holder to buy/sell an underlying asset in
the future
Options: Brush-Up
Term
Definition
Call Option
Option that gives the holder the right to buy an underlying asset in the
future
Put Option
Option that gives the holder the right to sell an underlying asset in the
future
European
Option
American
Option
Exercise
Price
Strike Rate
Put-Call Parity
Fiduciary Call: comprises of a Long European call and a zerocoupon bond with a face value of X
Fiduciary Call = c0 + X/(1 + r)T
Protects against downside losses
Protective Put: comprises of a Long European Put and the
Underlying Asset
Protective Put = p0 + S0
Also protects against downside losses
Put-Call Parity
Fiduciary Call Value
Long Call
Long Bond
Total
c0
ST - X
X/(1 +r)T
c0 + X/(1 +r)T
ST
Long Put
p0
X - ST
Long Asset
S0
ST
ST
p 0 + S0
ST
Total
Note that the pay-offs at expiration, for both Put and Call are
same
Therefore, we can say that Fiduciary Call = Protective Put
8
Put-Call Parity
c0 + X/(1 +r)T = p0 + S0
This is called the Put-Call Parity and expresses and equality
between put and call
Rearrange:
T
= + - X/(1 +r)
Instead of purchasing a call option, one could simply
Buy a Put
+ Buy Underlying Asset
Synthetic Call
+ Short the bond
9
Synthetic Equivalent
c0
= p0 + S0 - X/(1 +r)T
p0
= c0 - S0 + X/(1 +r)T
S0
= c0 - p0 + X/(1 +r)T
X(1 +r)T
= S0 - c0 + p0
10
Arbitrage: Example
An investor is considering a long call priced at AED 2.00 that will
expire in 3 months. The underlying is a stock of E-value Co. with
an exercise price of AED 2.98 that is currently selling for AED
3.25. A put on the same underlying asset is selling for AED 2.50
with the same X. The risk-free rate is 2.5%.
Explain the opportunity for Arbitrage
11
Arbitrage: Example
Solution
co + X/(1 + r)T
2 + 2.98/(1.025)0.25
4.96
= p 0 + S0
= 2.50 + 3.25
5.75
12
where =
1+
and d = 1 - u
+ + 1
1+
13
14
S++
C++ = Max(0, S++ X)
S
C = Weighted Avg (C+, C- )
15
C+ =
3(1.10) = 3.3
Weighted Avg (C++, C+-)
S+- = 3.3(0.91) = 3
C+- = Max(0, S+- X)
C+- = 3 2.98 = 0.02
S = 3.00
C = Weighted Avg (C+, C- )
S- = 3(0.91) = 2.73
C- = Weighted Avg (C+-, C--)
S-- = 2.73(0.91) = 2.48
C-- = Max(0, S-- X)
C-- = 2.48 2.98 = 0
18
3(1.10) = 3.3
Weighted Avg (C++, C+-)
C+ = [(0.74 x 0.65) + (0.26 x 0.02)]/1.05
C+ = 0.46
C+ =
S = 3.00
C = Weighted Avg (C+, C- )
C = [(0.74 x 0.46) + (0.26 x 0.01)]/1.05
C = 0.33
S- = 3(0.91) = 2.73
C- = Weighted Avg (C+-, C--)
C- = [(0.74 x 0.02) + (0.26 x 0)]/1.05
C- = 0.01
S+- = 3.3(0.91) = 3
C+- = Max(0, S+- X)
C+- = 3 2.98 = 0.02
20
21
7.46%
4.990%
5.34%
2.0%
3.44%
3.70%
22
2.0%
C = [(0.5 x 0.0087)
+ (0.5 x 0)]/1.02
C = 0.0043
4.990%
C+ = [(0.5 x 0.0182) +
(0.5 x 0)]/1.0499
C+ = 0.0087
3.44%
C- = [(0.5 x 0) + (0.5 x
0)]/1.0344
C- = 0
7.46%
C++ = (0.0746 0.055)/1.0746)
C++ = 0.0182
5.34%
C+- = (0.0534 0.055)/1.0534)
C+- = 0
3.70%
C-- = (0.0370 0.055)/1.037)
C-- = 0
23
2.0%
C = [(0.5 x 0) + (0.5
x 0)]/1.02
C= 0
4.990%
C+ = (0.0499 0.055)/1.0499)
C+ = 0
3.44%
C- = (0.0344 0.055)/1.0344)
C- = 0
24
25
Interest rate=4.99%
Bond price=?
Option Value =?
Interest rate=5.34%
Bond price=?
Option Value =?
Interest rate=3.44%
Bond price=?
Option Value =?
T=0
Interest rate=7.46%
Bond price=?
Option Value =?
tT = 1
Interest rate=3.70%
Bond price=?
Option Value =?
T=2
26
2.
28
p = Xer
Where,
cT
r
Xe
N
1 N d2
d1 =
d2
S0 1 N d1
ln S0 X + rc + 2 2
d2 = d1 T
T = time to maturity
S0 = asset price
X
= exercise price
rc
= continuously compounded risk free rate
N(d1) and N(d2) = cumulative normal probability
= the annualized standard deviation of the continuously compounded return on
the stock
29
Input
Delta
+
Delta > 0
Delta < 0
Rho
+
Rho > 0
Rho < 0
Theta
Time to Expiration
(measured as time value
decay) (T)
+
Theta < 0
+ (mostly)
Theta < 0
Vega
Volatility ()
+
Vega > 0
+
Vega > 0
Exercise Price
+
30
Delta
Delta measures sensitivity of option price to asset price, just like
market beta or bond duration
(Discrete) Delta = in option price / in underlying asset price
(Continuous) Call delta = N(d1) and Put delta = N(d1) 1
Call deltas range from 0 to 1:
Far out-of-the-money: Delta approaches 0
Far in-the-money: Delta approaches 1
Put deltas range from 1 to 0:
Far out-of-the-money: Delta approaches 0
Far in-the-money: Delta approaches 1
Put delta = Call delta 1
31
Delta
Call payoff at
expiration
Payoff $
Call payoff prior
to expiration
Out of money
Exercise
Price
In the money
32
Delta Hedging
Discrete time: Delta Call = C1C0 = C
S1 S0
33
Hedged Portfolios
Hedged portfolio is comprised of long asset units and short calls
such that its value remains the same whether the asset price moves
up or down
Hedged Portfolio Value = (No. of Asset Units * Asset Value) Call
Value
H = nS c
+
Therefore, n = c - c /(S - S )
(No. of asset units to hedge the portfolio = Diff. in call prices/Diff. in
asset prices)
34
Delta =
+
+
Puts
Delta =
+
+
If the option is
overpriced
If the option is
underpriced
35
36
n = (0.46 - 0.01)/(3.3-2.73)
Asset Units/Call
0.78
39.19
1.00
50.00
0.04
1.92
Check, at period 1:
H+ = nS+ - c+
H+
Portfolio Value
= 106.19
H- = nS- - cH+
= 106.19
37
38
Gamma
Delta is not a linear relationship, but a curved one, i.e.,
when the underlying price changes by a large amount,
delta hedging is not useful
Gamma describes the curve or the deltas sensitivity to
change in the underlying (like bond convexity)
Gamma =
in delta /
Higher gamma means that delta will not work for large
changes in underlying price
Gamma is large when option is at-the-money and close
to expiration
39
40
0,
0 +
= 0 +
1+
Recall that initial value of forward contract = 0, so parity
0,
0 +
1+
= 0
42
Forwards
Futures
European
Options
American
Options
44
Swaps: Brush-Up
Contract between two parties to swap or exchange sequence
of future cash flows
Often one party makes fixed payments and the other, variable
or floating payments
47
48
When the party is long the call, and short the put, and > X,
s/he would receive a net payment = X
Rationale: the party will exercise the long call it holds
49
50
1
1=
+
+
+
+
+
1 + 1 1 + 2 1 + 3 1 + 4
1 + 1 +
1
1
1
1
1
1
1=
+
+
+
..+
+
1 + 1 1 + 2 1 + 3 1 + 4
1 +
1 +
1
11+
1
1
1
1
1
+
+
+
++
1+1 1+2 1+3 1+4
1+
51
1
=
1 + 2 + 3 + 4 +
or
52
Note: On any coupon rest reset dates, the floating rate bond
will have a value of 1 or par since interest rates would be
adjusted to reflect market rates
53
90
120
180
270
360
LIBORt-1/ qtr + 1
Payer swap value120 = Floating rate bond value Fixed rate bond value
54
Currency Swaps
Rationale to compute fixed rates on currency swaps
is the same as that for interest rate swaps
Fixed rate for currency swaps = fixed rate on interest
rate swap in the respective country
4 types of currency swaps:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Pay Currency
Fixed
Fixed
Floating
Floating
Receive Currency
Fixed
Floating
Fixed
Floating
55
56
Equity Swaps
Same formula as computing fixed rates for interest
and currency swaps!
Fixed Rate =
57
58
Swaptions
Swaption is an option to enter a swap
Most commonly used is the plain vanilla interest rate
swaption
Swaptions
Uses of swaptions
1. Flexibility to enter a swap, or leave it and enter into the
market swap instead
2. Speculation on interest rates
3. Terminate an existing swap
Option
expiration
Swap Period
Payoff in
90 days
Payoff in
180 days
Payoff in
270 days
Payoff in
360 days
PV Payoff 1
+ PV Payoff 2
+ PV Payoff 3
+ PV Payoff 4
= VALUE OF PAYER SWAPTION
Payoff for a payer swaption = Max (0, Market Swap Rate - Agreed Swap Rate) x
T/360 x Notional Principal
62
Swap Spread
Swap spread is the rate over the respective risk-free rate
US T-Note + Swap Spread = Swap Rate
64
Premium
Reference rate
Cap strike rate
66
Reference rate
Premium
Floor strike rate
67
LIBOR
CAP = 8%
LIBOR
FLOOR = 4%
68
69
LIBOR
(Pay
Compensation)
BUY CAP
SELL FLOOR
71
What is CDS?
In simple words, CDS is a kind of insurance contract
It is purchased by someone who requires a credit protection
by paying a premium called credit spread to the protection
seller
The CDS buyer is short credit risk and the seller is long credit
risk
CDS doe not provide protection against any other type of
risk(interest rake, etc.) but the credit risk
For a buyer, buying CDS is like buying a put option, if the
investment defaults, he can exercise and cover his losses
73
The CDS seller pays off based on the market value of the cheapest
to deliver bond that has the same seniority as that of the reference
obligation
74
Index CDS
The way a stock index allows an investor to take equity exposure to
many companies at once, similarly an Index CDS allow investors to
take exposure to credit risk of several entities simultaneously
In an index CDS, each issuer gets an equal weightage and the total
notional principal is summation of the protection of individual
issuers
The pricing of index CDS also depends between correlation
between default of issuers in the index
75
Credit Events
A default is when a credit event occurs
Bankruptcy: Filing for bankruptcy protection
Failure to pay: Missing coupon/principal payment date without filing for
bankruptcy
Restructuring: Adjusting terms of repayment with the lenders
Settlement Process
Before Credit event
Protection Seller
Periodic Premium
Protection Buyer
Protection Buyer
Deliverable Obligation
Protection Buyer
78
79
Like any other derivatives CDS buyer or seller can reverse there
position by entering into an offsetting contract to monetize its
gain/loss
80
Credit Curve
Credit curve depicts the relationship between a bonds credit spread and its
maturity for a specific issuer
It is similar to the term structure of interest rates
If hazard rate is increasing (longer maturity more credit spread) then
credit curve will be upward sloping
If hazard rate is constant across maturities flat credit curve
In a Naked CDS an investor purchases and sells credit protection without
having underlying exposure
Speculates that the spread will adjust/change for his advantage
Curve trade is when an investor buys and sells CDS of different maturities for
the same issuer
Speculates that the shape of the curve will change for his advantage
81
Use of CDS
Basis Trade: Trade to capture credit spread difference between bond and
CDS market
If bond by an issuer is trading at LIBOR + 5% spread & CDS at LIBOR + 3%
Trader will buy the bond and take the protection buyer position in CDS