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26 12

2014


(JICA)

J R
14-121

1.1

............................................................................................................................... 1 -

1.2

................................................................................................................................... 1 -

1.3

................................................................................................................................... 1 -

1.4

........................................................................................................................... 1 -

1.5

................................................................................................................................... 1 -

1.6

............................................................................................................... 1 -

2.1

................................................................................................... 2 2.1.1 .................................................................................................. 2 2.1.2 ...................................................................................... 2 -

2.2

............................................................................................................... 2 - 6
2.2.1 ...................................................................................................... 2 - 6
2.2.2 .............................................................................................................. 2 - 8
2.2.3 ...................................................................................................................... 2 - 11
2.2.4 .............................................................................................. 2 - 12
2.2.5 .............................................................................................................. 2 - 12

2.3

............................................................................................... 2 2.3.1 .............................................................................. 2 2.3.2 .................................................................................................. 2 2.3.3 .................................................................................. 2 -

2.4

............................................................... 2 - 29

1
1
2

17
17
20
25

3.1

....................................................................................... 3 3.1.1 ...................................................................................... 3 3.1.2 .................................................................................................. 3 3.1.3 ...................................................................................................................... 3 -

3.2

................................................................................................................................... 3 - 7
3.2.1 .................................................................................................. 3 - 7
3.2.2 ...................................................................................... 3 - 7
3.2.3 .............................................................................................. 3 - 8
3.2.4 .......................................................................................................... 3 - 10
3.2.5 .......................................................................................................... 3 - 12
3.2.6 ...................................................................................................... 3 - 16

3.3

....................................................................................... 3 - 19
3.3.1 .......................................................................................................................... 3 - 19
3.3.2 .......................................................................................................................... 3 - 21
-i-

1
1
2
3

4.1

........................................................................................... 4 4.1.1
....................................................................................................................... 4 4.1.2
....................................................................................................................... 4 4.1.3 ....................................................................................................................... 4 4.1.4 LNG .............................................................................................................................. 4 4.1.5 ....................................................................................................................... 4 4.1.6
....................................................................................................................... 4 4.1.7 ................................................................................................... 4 -

1
1
6
7
19
24
27
40

4.2

20302031 ............................................... 4 4.2.1 ....................................................................................................................... 4 4.2.2


....................................................................................................................... 4 4.2.3 ................................................................................................... 4 -

54
56
63
70

4.3

................................................................................... 4 4.3.1 ....................................................................................................................... 4 4.3.2


....................................................................................................................... 4 4.3.3 ................................................................................................... 4 -

76
76
77
79

5.1

........................................................................................................... 5 - 1
5.1.1 ....................................................................................................................... 5 - 1
5.1.2 ............................................................................................... 5 - 2
5.1.3 IPP ......................................... 5 - 7
5.1.4 ....................................................................................................... 5 - 19

5.2

....................................................................................................... 5 5.2.1 ............................................................................... 5 5.2.2 ........................................................................... 5 5.2.3 ....................................................................... 5 5.2.4 ........................................................................................... 5 5.2.5 ................................................................................................... 5 5.2.6 ............................................................................... 5 -

26
26
26
27
30
35
45

5.3

........................................................................................................... 5 5.3.1 1
....................................................................................... 5 5.3.2 2 ................................................ 5 5.3.3 3 .................................... 5 5.3.4 ....................................................................................................... 5 -

51

5.4

3 ............................................................................................................. 5 5.4.1 3 ........................................................................................... 5 5.4.2 3 ................................................................... 5 5.4.3 3 ........................................................... 5 5.4.4 3 LRMC ....................................................... 5 -

79
79
82
88
88

5.5

....................................................................................... 5 - 90
5.5.1 ............................................................................................... 5 - 90
5.5.2
....................................................................................................................... 5 - 93

- ii -

51
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59
72

6.1

............................................................................................... 6 -

6.2

5 ..................................................................... 6 6.2.1 ...................................................................................................... 6 6.2.2 .......................................................................................................... 6 6.2.3 .......................................................................................................... 6 -

3
3
5
5

6.3

................................................................................................................................... 6 6.3.1 .............................................................................................................. 6 6.3.2 ...................................................................................................................... 6 6.3.3 ...................................................................................................................... 6 6.3.4 SCADA ................................................. 6 6.3.5 SCADA 1 .................................................................... 6 6.3.6 .................................................................................................. 6 -

9
9
10
11
11
12
14

6.4

........................................................................................................... 6 - 16

6.5

....................................................................................................... 6 - 20

6.6

........................................................................................... 6 6.6.1 .............................................................................................. 6 6.6.2 2020 .................................................................. 6 6.6.3 2030 .................................................................. 6 6.6.4 ................................................................... 6 6.6.5 ............................................... 6 -

23
23
25
26
28
30

6.7

....................................................................................................................... 6 6.7.1 ...................................................................................................... 6 6.7.2 2020 ..................................................................................... 6 6.7.3 2030 ..................................................................................... 6 -

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42

6.8

2030 ................................................................... 6 - 52

6.9

................................................................................................................................... 6 - 54
6.9.1 .......................................................................................................... 6 - 54
6.9.2 .......................................................................................... 6 - 54

6.10 ....................................................................................... 6 - 56
6.10.1 .................................................................................................. 6 - 56
6.10.2 ........................................................... 6 - 57
7

7.1

........................................................................................................... 7 -

7.2

................................................................................................... 7 7.2.1 .................................................................................................................. 7 7.2.2 .......................................................................................................... 7 7.2.3 .......................................................................................... 7 7.2.4 ...................................................................................................... 7 7.2.5 EIA ........................................................................................................... 7 7.2.6 ...................................................................................................... 7 -

6
6
7
11
12
17
19

7.3

SEAStrategic Environmental Assessment ............. 7 - 23


7.3.1 SEA ...................................................................................................... 7 - 23
7.3.2 SEA EIA ..................................................................................................... 7 - 25
- iii -

7.3.3

SEA .............................................................................. 7 - 26

7.4

SEA............................................................................................ 7 7.4.1 ................................................................................................................... 7 7.4.2 SEA .......................................................................................... 7 7.4.3 SEA .......................................................................................................... 7 -

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28
29
30

7.5

SEA ............................................................................................................................... 7 7.5.1 ........................................................................................................... 7 7.5.2 ................................................................................................... 7 7.5.3 ............................................................................................... 7 7.5.4 ................................................................................................... 7 7.5.5 ........................................................... 7 7.5.6 ........................................................................................... 7 7.5.7 ................................................................................... 7 7.5.8 ................................................................................................... 7 7.5.9 ............................................................................................... 7 7.5.10 ....................................................................................................... 7 7.5.11 ........................................................................................... 7 -

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7.6

....................................................................................... 7 - 72
7.6.1 ........................................................................................................................... 7 - 72
7.6.2 ........................................................................................................................... 7 - 73

8.1

........................................................... 8 8.1.1 ....................................................................................................................... 8 8.1.2 ................................................................................................................... 8 -

1
1
7

8.2

................................................................................................................................... 8 8.2.1 ................................................................................... 8 8.2.2 ........................................................................................... 8 8.2.3 20% ................................................................................................................... 8 8.2.4 ................................................................................................................... 8 8.2.5 ........................................................................................................................... 8 -

10
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10
16
16
17

8.3

........................................................................................................... 8 8.3.1 ............................................................................................................... 8 8.3.2 ....................................................................................................................... 8 8.3.3 ....................................................................................................... 8 8.3.4 ............................................................................................................... 8 -

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26
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8.4

........................................................................................................... 8 - 40
8.4.1 ............................................................................................... 8 - 40
8.4.2 4 ............................................................................................................... 8 - 41

8.5

........................................................................................................... 8 8.5.1 ................................................................................................... 8 8.5.2 LRMCLong Run Marginal Cost .................................... 8 8.5.3 ................................................................................................................... 8 8.5.4 ....................................................................................... 8 8.5.5 ....................................................................................... 8 -

- iv -

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51
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61

8.5.6
8.6

.................................................................................. 8 - 68

....................................................................................... 8 - 75
8.6.1 ............................................................... 8 - 75
8.6.2 ...................................................................... 8 - 77

9.1

................................................................................................................................... 9 - 1
9.1.1 ...................................................................................................................... 9 - 1
9.1.2 .............................................................................................................. 9 - 2
9.1.3 .......................................................................................................... 9 - 3
9.1.4 .............................................................................. 9 - 4
9.1.5 .............................................................................................................. 9 - 20

9.2

................................................................................................................................... 9 - 23
9.2.1 ........................................................... 9 - 23
9.2.2 ...................................................................... 9 - 23
9.2.3 ... 9 - 23
9.2.4 ............................................... 9 - 24
9.2.5 .............................................................................................. 9 - 26
9.2.6 ............................................................... 9 - 26
9.2.7 ............................................... 9 - 28
9.2.8 ....................................... 9 - 28

2014 7

-v-

1.4-1
1.5-1
1.5-2
1.6-1
1.6-2
1.6-3
1.6-4
1.6-5
1.6-6
1.6-7
1.6-8

..................................................................................... 1 ................................................................................................. 1 ......................................................................................................... 1 1 ............................................................................. 1 1 ......................................................................................... 1 2 ............................................................................. 1 3 ............................................................................. 1 ............................................................................................. 1 ............................................................................................................. 1 ..................................................................................................................... 1 ......................................................................................................... 1 -

3
4
4
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
15

2.2-1
2.2-2
2.3-1
2.3-2
2.3-3

2014 4 ............................................................ 2 - 7
2014 4 ................................................................ 2 - 7
............................................................................. 2 - 21
............................................. 2 - 22
IPP ..................... 2 - 23

3.1-1
3.1-2
3.1-3
3.2-1
3.2-2
3.2-3
3.2-4
3.2-5
3.2-6
3.2-7
3.2-8
3.2-9
3.2-10
3.3-1

............................................................................................. 3 ......................................................... 3 SEZ ......................................................................................................... 3 GDP ................ 3 ............................................................................................. 3 ............................................. 3 ............................................. 3 2013 6 17 .................................................................. 3 ............................................................................. 3 2000
.................................. 3 19862000 ................................................................................ 3 ......................................................................................... 3 ......................................................................................... 3 ................................................................................. 3 -

4.1-1
4.1-2
4.1-3
4.1-4
4.1-5
4.1-6
4.1-7
4.1-8
4.1-9
4.1-10

2010 ................................................ 4 - 2
..................................................................... 4 - 2
..................................................................................... 4 - 3
......................................................................... 4 - 4
......................................................................................................................... 4 - 5
................................................................................................................. 4 - 6
................................................................................................................. 4 - 8
................................................................................................. 4 - 10
................................................................. 4 - 11
................................................................................................. 4 - 12

- vi -

1
3
5
8
10
11
11
12
13
14
14
15
15
21

4.1-11
4.1-12
4.1-13
4.1-14
4.1-15
4.1-16
4.1-17
4.1-18
4.1-19
4.1-20
4.2-1
4.2-2
4.2-3
4.2-4
4.2-5
4.2-6
4.2-7
4.2-8
4.2-9
4.2-10

................................................................................................. 4 ......................................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................... 4 ................................................................................. 4 ..................................................................................... 4 LNG ........................................................................................ 4 ......................................................................................................... 4 LNG ....................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................................................... 4 ................................................................................................. 4 20302031 .................................................................... 4 20302031 ................................................................................ 4 20302031 ........................................................................................ 4 ................................................................................................. 4 20122013 ................................................................................ 4 20122013 ................................................................................ 4 20132014 .................................................................................... 4 ......................................................................................... 4 20152016 ............................................................................ 4 ............................................................................................. 4 -

14
16
17
18
19
20
22
23
28
32
63
66
67
72
72
72
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73
73
74

5.1-1
5.1-2
5.1-3
5.1-4
5.1-5
5.2-1
5.2-2
5.2-3
5.2-4
5.2-5
5.2-6
5.3-1
5.3-2

2
7
8
9
10
44
45
46
47
49
50
52

5.3-3
5.3-4
5.3-5
5.3-6
5.3-7
5.3-8
5.3-9
5.3-10
5.3-11
5.3-12

............................................................................................................. 5 2016 ............................................................................................................ 5 2021 ............................................................................................................ 5 2026 ............................................................................................................ 5 2031 ............................................................................................................ 5 ............................................................................................................. 5 WASP ...................................................................................... 5 ............................................................................................. 5 WASP ................................................................................................................. 5 IPPJVIPP ........................................................................ 5 ..................................................................................................... 5 ...................... 5
2013 2020 2030 ...................................................................................... 5 ......................................................................... 5 201320202030.............................................. 5 ............................................................. 5 201320202030.................................. 5 3 ............................................................. 5 3 ..................................................................................... 5 ................................................................................. 5 ..................................................................................................... 5 ..................................................................................................................... 5 ................................................................................................................. 5 - vii -

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60
60
63
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5.3-13
5.3-14
5.3-15
5.3-16
5.3-17
5.3-18
5.3-19
5.3-20
5.3-21
5.3-22
5.4-1
5.4-2
5.4-3
5.4-4
5.4-5
5.4-6
5.4-7
5.4-8
5.4-9
5.5-1

......................................................................................................... 5 ............................................................................................. 5 ............................................................................................. 5 ..................................................................................... 5 2030 ............... 5 ............................................. 5 ............................................................................................. 5 LRMC ........................................................................................... 5 ............................................................................................................. 5 HSD ........................................ 5 ......................................................................................................... 5 ..................................................................... 5 ................................................. 5 201420202030 ..................... 5 ......................................................................................................... 5 ......................................................................................................... 5 ......................................................................................................... 5 ............. 5 3 LRMC ........................................................................... 5 2030 ............... 5 -

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81
83
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86
87
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89
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6.1-1
6.2-1
6.3-1
6.3-2
6.3-3
6.3-4
6.3-5
6.3-6
6.4-1
6.4-2
6.4-3
6.5-1
6.5-2
6.5-3
6.5-4
6.6-1

5 ..................................................................... 6 ................................................................................. 6 ............................................................................................................. 6 ............................................................................................................. 6 ..................................................................................................................... 6 NCC NCC ................................................................. 6 NCC RCC ..................................................................................................... 6 NCC ....................................................................................................................... 6 2010 1 2013 8 ....................................................... 6 230kV ............................................................................................. 6 230kV ............................................................................ 6 2013 .................................................................................... 6 2014 .................................................................................... 6 2015 .................................................................................... 6 2015 2015 ............................................... 6 2020
................................................................................. 6 2030
1 2 .......................................................................... 6 2030
3 .......................................................................................... 6
2030 1 2 3 .......................................................... 6 2020 .................................................................................... 6 -

2
4
10
11
11
13
13
14
16
17
18
20
21
21
22

6.6-2
6.6-3
6.6-4
6.7-1

- viii -

26
27
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33

6.7-2
6.7-3
6.7-4
6.7-5
6.7-6
6.7-7
6.7-8
6.7-9
6.7-10
6.7-11
6.7-12
6.7-13
6.7-14
6.8-1
6.8-2

2020 ................................................................................................ 6 500kV 2020 .................................................................... 6 230kV 2020 ............................................. 6 230kV 2020 ............................................. 6 2020 500kV ..................................................................... 6 2020 230kV ..................................................................... 6 2030 3 ................................................................. 6 2030 3 ......................................................................... 6 500kV 2030 3.............................................. 6 230kV 2030 3 ...................... 6 230kV 2030 3 ...................... 6 2030 500kV ..................................................................... 6 2030 230kV ..................................................................... 6 ............................................................................. 6 ................................................................................. 6 -

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53

7.1-1
7.1-2
7.1-3
7.2-1
7.2-2
7.5-1
7.5-2
7.5-3
7.5-4
7.5-5

..................................................................................................................... 7 ............................................................................................................................. 7 ......................................................................................................................... 7 43 ............................................................ 7 ..................................................................................................... 7 ......................................................................................... 7 ......................................................................... 7 ......................................................... 7 ............................................................................................. 7 ......................................................................... 7 -

2
3
4
10
22
36
36
52
53
55

8.1-1
8.1-2
8.1-3
8.1-4
8.1-5
8.1-6
8.1-7
8.1-8
8.2-1
8.2-2
8.2-3
8.2-4
8.2-5
8.2-6
8.2-7
8.3-1
8.3-2
8.3-3

2012 ......................................................... 8 1 GDP ........................................................................ 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ............................................................. 8 5 .......................................................... 8 ......................................................................... 8 ................................................. 8 2011 ................................................................................................. 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ......................................................... 8 ................................................................................................................. 8 ................................................................. 8 ......................................................................... 8 20% .......................................................................................................... 8 ............................................................................................. 8 ............................................................................................. 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 -

1
2
3
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
16
16
18
19
20

- ix -

8.3-4
8.3-5
8.3-6
8.3-7
8.3-8
8.3-9
8.3-10
8.3-11
8.3-12
8.3-13
8.3-14
8.3-15
8.3-16
8.3-17
8.3-18
8.3-19
8.3-20
8.3-21
8.3-22
8.3-23
8.3-24
8.3-25
8.3-26
8.3-27
8.3-28
8.3-29
8.3-30
8.4-1
8.4-2
8.4-3
8.4-4
8.5-1
8.5-2
8.5-3 (1)
8.5-3 (2)
8.5-4
8.5-5
8.5-6
8.5-7
8.5-8 (1)

8.5-8 (2)
8.5-8 (3)

..................................................................................................... 8 ..................... 8 1 kWh ............................. 8 ..................................................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................................... 8 EGAT ......................................................... 8 ......................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 1 kWh ............. 8 ......................................................... 8 ............................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ................................................................................. 8 20112012 20122013 .......... 8 Meralco .................................................. 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ..................................................................... 8 ............................................................................................. 8 1 ..................................... 8 ................................................................. 8 ....................................................................................................... 8 ............................................................................................. 8 ......................................................................................... 8 20112012 20122013 .................. 8 20112012 20122013 .................. 8 ............................................................................. 8 2011 ........................................................................................ 8 1 ..................................................................................... 8 4 ......................................................................................... 8 4 1 ......................................................... 8 ......................................................................... 8 LRMC .................................................................................................................... 8 LRMCKyats/kWh .......................................................................... 8 LRMCUS cents/kWh ..................................................................... 8 ................................................................................. 8 ............................................................................................. 8 MW ..................................................................................................... 8 GWh ................................................................ 8 Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:
IPP Finance/SEE Account finance ...................................................................................... 8 Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:
IPP Finance GFC................................................................................................................. 8 Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:
IPP Finance MDBs.............................................................................................................. 8 -

-x-

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62
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8.5-8 (4)

8.6-1
8.6-2
8.6-3 (1)
8.6-3 (2)

Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:


MEPE Finance SEE Account Finance ................................................................................. 8 Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:
MEPE Finance GFC ............................................................................................................ 8 Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:
MEPE Finance MDBs ......................................................................................................... 8 Domestic Energy Consumption Scenario Break-even Tariff:
Comparison in Financial System ......................................................................................... 8 Least Cost Scenario Break-even Tariff:
Comparison in Financial System ......................................................................................... 8 Power Resource Balance Scenario Break-even Tariff:
Comparison in Financial System ......................................................................................... 8 ......................................................................................................... 8 ............................................................. 8 MDB ....................................................................................................................... 8 20072030 .................................................... 8 20072030
Power Resource Balance Scenario .............................................................................. 8 Financial GAP ..................................................................................................................... 8 LRMC ................................................................................ 8 IESCO ............................................................ 8 IESCO ............................................................ 8 -

9.1-1
9.1-2
9.1-3
9.1-4
9.1-5
9.1-6
9.1-7
9.1-8
9.1-9
9.1-10
9.1-11
9.1-12
9.1-13
9.1-14

............................................................................................. 9 ..................................................................................................................... 9 ................................................................................................. 9 2014 5 ......................... 9 2030 ................ 9 ........................................................................................................... 9 ......................................................... 9 LRMC ............................................................................................ 9 ............................................. 9 201420202030.................. 9 ......................................................................................................... 9 3 LRMC ............................................................................ 9 Financial GAP ..................................................................................................................... 9 LRMC ................................................................................ 9 -

8.5-8 (5)
8.5-8 (6)
8.5-9 (1)
8.5-9 (2)
8.5-9 (3)

8.5-10
8.5-11
8.5-12
8.5-13
8.5-14

- xi -

63
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2
3
6
8
11
12
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18
19
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1.4-1
1.6-1
1.6-2
1.6-3

......................................................................................................... 1 - 3
............................................................................................................. 1 - 10
..................................................................................................................... 1 - 10
..................................................................................................................... 1 - 14

2.2-1
2.2-2
2.2-3
2.3-1
2.3-2

2013 12 .............................................................. 2 ADB ........................................................... 2 ADB ....................................................... 2 ................................................................................................. 2 2011 GDP .................. 2 -

13
13
14
20
22

3.1-1
3.1-2
3.1-3
3.1-4
3.2-1
3.2-2
3.2-3
3.2-4
3.2-5
3.3-1

......................................................................................................... 3 MW ..................................................................................... 3 ................................................................................................. 3 ......................................................................................... 3 ..................................................................................... 3 ......................................................................................... 3 ..................................................................... 3 ......................................................................................................... 3 ......................... 3 ..................................................................................... 3 -

1
2
4
4
13
16
17
18
18
21

4.1-1
4.1-2
4.1-3
4.1-4
4.1-5
4.1-6
4.1-7
4.1-8
4.1-9
4.1-10
4.1-11
4.1-12
4.1-13
4.1-14
4.1-15
4.1-16
4.1-17
4.1-18
4.1-19
4.1-20
4.1-21

............................................................................................. 4 ............................................................................................. 4 ..................................................................................................... 4 2012 2012 6 ................................................................... 4 2013 ................................................................................ 4 20132014 20152016 2013 7 ......... 4 ..................................... 4 ............................................................. 4 ..................................................................................................... 4 ......................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................................................................... 4 ......................................................................................................................... 4 Tigyit .......................................................................................... 4 ............................................................................................. 4 SHS/Household ................................................................................................................... 4 ................................................................................................. 4 ......................................................................................... 4 ......................................................................................... 4 ................................................................................................. 4 ......................................................................................... 4 ......................................................................................... 4 -

1
7
9
12
12
13
15
26
29
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31
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38
40
43
44
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45
45
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- xii -

4.1-22
4.1-23
4.1-24
4.1-25
4.1-26
4.1-27
4.1-28
4.1-29
4.2-1
4.2-2
4.2-3
4.2-4
4.2-5
4.2-6
4.2-7
4.2-8
4.2-9
4.2-10
4.2-11

................................................................................................. 4 ......................................................................... 4 ......................................................................... 4 .................................. 4 ..................................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................................... 4 2014 ................. 4 ..................................................... 4 20302031 ......................... 4 ............................................. 4 ......................................................................................................... 4 20302031 ................................................................................ 4 ............................................................................................................. 4 ............................................................................................. 4 20132014 20302031 ............................................... 4 5 ......................................................................................................... 4 5 ......................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................................................... 4 2014 5 .................................................................................... 4 -

46
47
48
48
49
49
50
50
55
58
59
60
62
65
66
70
71
74
75

5.1-1
5.1-2
5.1-3
5.1-4
5.1-5
5.1-6
5.1-7
5.1-8
5.1-9
5.1-10
5.1-11
5.1-12
5.2-1
5.2-2
5.2-3
5.2-4
5.2-5
5.2-6
5.2-7
5.2-8
5.2-9
5.2-10
5.3-1
5.3-2
5.3-3

2012 12 .............................................................. 5 ..................................................................................................... 5 ......................................................................................................... 5 2013 2016 ........................................................................... 5 2017 2021 ........................................................................... 5 2022 2026 ........................................................................................... 5 2027 2031 ........................................................................... 5 2013 6 ................................................................ 5 2013 11 ....................................................... 5 ............................................................................................. 5 ................................................................. 5 Thaketa ............................................................................... 5 ................................................................................. 5 2017 2021 ................................................................... 5 2022 2026 ................................................................... 5 2027 2031 ................................................................... 5 IPP ............................................................................... 5 ............................................................................................. 5 IPP 2014 2 ......................................... 5 IPP .............................................................................. 5 ............................................................................................. 5 ..................................................................................... 5 .................................. 5 ...... 5 ...... 5 -

3
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
16
24
28
28
29
29
30
31
32
33
34
43
51
53
54

- xiii -

5.3-4
5.3-5
5.3-6
5.3-7
5.3-8
5.3-9
5.4-1
5.4-2
5.4-3
5.4-4

..................................................................................... 5 ......................................................... 5 ......................................................... 5 ......................................................................... 5 ............................................. 5 ............................................. 5 ......................................................................... 5 ............................................................. 5 ..... 5 ..... 5 -

55
57
58
59
61
62
80
82
84
85

6.1-1
6.2-1
6.2-2
6.2-3
6.2-4
6.2-5
6.3-1
6.6-1
6.6-2
6.6-3
6.7-1
6.7-2
6.7-3
6.7-4
6.7-5
6.7-6
6.7-7
6.7-8
6.7-9

2013 ................................................................ 6 2015 ............................................................................ 6 ............................................................................................................. 6 2013 ............................................................................................ 6 2014 ............................................................................................ 6 2015 ............................................................................................ 6 SCADA .............................................................................................. 6 ......................................................................................... 6 2020 ............................................................ 6 ......................................................................................... 6 ..................................................................................................................... 6 ............................................................................................................. 6 ............................................................................................................. 6 20162020 ................................................................................ 6 20162020 132kV .................................... 6 20162020 132kV .................................... 6 20212030 3 ......................................................... 6 20212030 3132kV ............. 6 20212030 3 ..................................... 6 -

1
3
5
6
7
8
12
24
25
29
31
31
32
39
40
41
49
50
51

7.1-1
7.2-1
7.2-2
7.2-3
7.3-1
7.5-1
7.5-2
7.5-3
7.5-4
7.5-5
7.5-6
7.5-7
7.5-8
7.5-9

..................................................................................................................... 7 43 ................................................................ 7 ..................................................................................................................... 7 IEE EIA ................................................ 7 SEA EIA ........................................................................................................... 7 ............................................. 7 ..................................................................... 7 ................................................................. 7 CO2 .................................................................... 7 ..................................................................... 7 ............................................................. 7 ................................................................................................. 7 ......................................................... 7 ................................................................. 7 -

5
9
16
18
26
32
34
38
42
44
47
48
51
52

- xiv -

7.5-10
7.5-11
7.5-12

......................................................................... 7 - 55
2030 ................................................................ 7 - 56
CO2 2030 ........................................................................ 7 - 57

8.1-1
8.1-2
8.1-3 (1)
8.1-3 (2)
8.2-1
8.2-2
8.2-3
8.5-1
8.5-2
8.5-3
8.5-4
8.5-5
8.5-6
8.5-7 (1)
8.5-7 (2)
8.5-8

2014 4 1 ........................................................................ 8 ............................................................................. 8 ..................................................................... 8 ............................................................................. 8 ..................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 ................................................................................................................. 8 LRMC ............................................................................................................. 8 ......................................................... 8 ..................................................................................... 8 IPP .......................................................................... 8 IPP PPA ............................................................................................. 8 Kyats/kWh ............................................................................... 8 US cents/kWh .......................................................................... 8 20072030 .................................................... 8 -

3
4
4
5
14
14
14
43
47
54
56
57
58
65
65
74

9.1-1
9.1-2
9.1-3
9.1-4
9.1-5
9.1-6
9.1-7
9.1-8
9.1-9
9.1-10
9.1-11
9.1-12

..................................................................... 9 ................................................................................................. 9 2014 5 ................................................ 9 20302031 ........................................................................ 9 20132014 20302031 ............................................... 9 ......................................................................................... 9 ..................................................................... 9 ......................................... 9 ................................................................. 9 ..................................................................................................... 9 ............................................................. 9 3 ................................................................................. 9 -

4
5
7
9
10
13
14
14
15
17
18
20

- xv -

ADB
ASEAN
BOD
BOO
BOT
BS
CAGR
CCT
CF
CIF
COD
CSA
D/D
DAC
DEP
DGSE
DHPI
DHPP
DOM
DRD
DSM
DZGD
ECC
ECD
EDC
EGAT
EIA
EITI
EMP
EP
EPC
EPD
ESE
EVN
F/S
FERD
FESR
FGD
FIT
FOB
FSRU
FSU
GCC
GCV
GDC
GE
GECC
GoM
GOT
GPSA

Asian Development Bank


Association of Southeast Asian Nations
Biochemical Oxygen Demand.
Build Own and Operate
Build Operate and Transfer
Balance Sheet
Compound Average Growth Rate
Clean Coal Technology
Cash Flow
Cost, Insurance and Freight
Commercial Operation Date
Coal Sales Agreement
Detailed Design
Development Assistance Committee
Department of Electric Power
Department of Geological Survey & Mineral Exploration
Department of Hydropower Implementation
Department of Hydropower Planning
Department of Mines
Department of Rural Development
Demand Side Management
Dry Zone Greening Department
Environmental Compliance Certificate
Environmental Conservation Department
Energy Development Committee
Electric Generating Authority of Thailand
Environmental Impact Assessment
Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative
Environmental Management Plan
Electrostatic Precipitator
Engineering, Procurement , Construction
Energy Planning Department
Electricity Supply Enterprise
Electricity of Vietnam
Feasibility Study
Foreign Economic Relation Department
Framework of Economical and Social Reform
Flue Gas Desulfurization
Feed-in Tariff
Free on Board
Floating Storage Regasification Units
Floating Storage Unit
Generation Control Center
Gross Caloric Value
Gas Distribution Center
Gas Engine
Gas Engine Combined Cycle
Government of Myanmar
Government of Thailand
Gas Purchase Sales Agreement

- xvi -

GSA
GT
GTA
GTCC
HHV
HPGE
HPP
HSD
IAEA
IEA
IEE
IFC
IMF
INGO
IPP
IRD
IRR
ISO
JBIC
JCOAL
JEPIC
JETRO
JFPR
JICA
JOGMEC
JV
LDC
LESCO
LFS
LNG
LRMC
LRAIC
MDB
MEPE
MES
METI
MIC
MOA
MOAI
MOBA
MOC
MOE
MOECAF
MOEP
MOF
MOGE
MOHA
MOI
MOLFRD
MOM
MOST
MOT
MOU

Gas Sales Agreement


Gas Turbine
Gas Transportation Agreement
Gas Turbine Combined Cycle
Higher Heating Value
Hydropower Generation Enterprise
Hydropower Plant
High Speed Diesel Oil
International Atomic Energy Agency
International Energy Agency
Initial Environmental Examination
International Finance Corporation
International Monetary Fund
International Non-Governmental Organization
Independent Power Producer
Internal Revenue Department
Internal Rate of Return
International Organization for Standardization
Japan Bank for International Cooperation
Japan Coal Energy Center
Japan Electric Power Information Center
Japan External Trade Organization
Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction Program
Japan International Cooperation Agency
Japan Oil, Gas and Metal National Corporation
Joint Venture
Load Dispatch Center
Lahore Electricity Supply Company
Landfall Station
Liquid Natural Gas
Long Run Marginal Cost
Long Run Average Incremental Cost
Multilateral Development Bank
Myanma Electric Power Enterprise
Myanmar Engineering Society
Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Myanmar Investment Committee
Memorandum of Agreement
Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation
Ministry of Border Affairs
Ministry of Cooperation, Ministry of Construction
Ministry of Energy
Ministry of Environmental Conservation and Forestry
Ministry of Electric Power
Ministry of Finance
Myanma Oil and Gas Enterprise
Ministry of Home Affairs
Ministry of Industry
Ministry of Livestock, Fisheries and Rural Development
Ministry of Mines
Ministry of Science and Technology
Ministry of Transportation
Memorandum of Understanding

- xvii -

MPE
MPPE
MPTA
MREA
MTE
NCC
NCDP
NEDO
NEMC
NGO
NOx
NPED
NWC
O&M
ODA
OECD
OGP
OPGW
PAD
PDP
PGDP
PL
PLC
PLN
PPA
PPP
PSC
RAP
RCC
SC
SCADA
SD
SEA
SEE
SEZ
SHS
SIA
SLRD
SOE
SOx
SPC
SPM
ST
T/Ls
TA
TNB
TPD
TPDC
TPP
UNDP
UNHSR
UNICEF
USC

Myanmar Petrochemical Enterprise


Myanmar Petroleum Products Enterprise
Myanmar Petroleum Trade Association
Myanmar Renewable Energy Association
Myanmar Timber Enterprise
National Control Center
National Comprehensive Development Plan
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization
National Energy Management Committee
Non-Governmental Organizations
Nitrogen Oxide
Ministry of National Planning and Economic Development
Net Working Capital
Operation and Maintenance
Official Development Assistance
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
Oil, Gas, Petrochemicals
Optical fiber Ground Wire
Planning and Statistics Department
Power Development Plan
Power Generation Development Plan
Profit and Loss statement
Power Line Carrier
Perusahaan Listrik Negara
Power Purchase Agreement
Public Private Partnership
Product Shearing Contract
Resettlement Action Plan
Regional Control Center
Super Critical
Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition
Survey Department
Strategic Environmental Assessment
State Economic Enterprise
Special Economic Zone
Solar Home System
Social Impact Assessment
Settlement and Land Records Department
State Owned Enterprise
Sulfur Oxide
Special Purpose Company
Suspended Particle Matter
Steam Turbine
Transmission Lines
Technical Assistance
Tenaga Nasional Berhad
Thermal Power Department
Township Peace and Development Council
Thermal Power Plant
United Nations Development Programme
The UN Refugee Agency
United Nations Children's Fund
Ultra Super Critical

- xviii -

WASP
WB
WHP
WIP
YESB

Wien Automatic System Planning


World Bank
Well Head Platform
Work In Progress
Yangon City Electricity Supply Board

bbl
bbtud
BTU
GW
GWh
hPa
Hz
km
km2
kV
kVA
kW
kWh
m
m3
mm
Mbtu
MMbbl
MMbtu
mmcfd
mmld
MMscf
MMscfd
MMscm
MPa
Mtoe
MW
MWh
s
USD
V

Barrel (1 bbl = 159 liter)


billion British thermal units per day
British Thermal Unit
Gigawatt (=1,000 MW = 1,000,000 kW)
Gigawatt hour (=1,000 MWh = 1,000,000 kWh)
Hectopascal (1 hPa = 1 milibar)
Hertz
Kilometer
square kilometer
Kilo Volt
Kilo Volt Ampere
kilowatt
Kilowatt - hour
meter
cubic meter
millimeter
one thousand British thermal units
million barrels
= 1,000,000 btu
million cubic feet per day
million litter per day
Million Standard Cubic Feet
Million Standard Cubic Feet per day
Million Standard Cubic Meter
Mega Pascal (= 10.197 kgf/cm2)
million tons of oil equivalent
Megawatt (= 1,000 kW)
Megawatt hour (= 1,000 kWh)
second
United States Dollar
Volt

- xix -

1.1

2003

MOEPMinistry of Electric Power

25%

2012 6

NEMCNational Energy
Management Committee

MEPEMyanma Electric Power Enterprise


YESBYangon City Electricity Supply BoardESEElectricity
Supply Enterprise

1.2

1-1

1.3

2013 8

1) 2030
2)
66kV

1)

2)

1-2

1.4

DEPDepartment of Electric Power

1.4-1
1.4-1
1.4-1

Organization

DHPPDepartment of Hydropower Planning

DHPIDepartment of Hydropower Implementation

HPGEHydropower Generation Enterprise

1.4-1

Name
U Khin Maung Win
Daw Mi Mi Khaing
U Aung Myo Win
Daw Phyu Phyu Khin
Daw Chaw Thandar Soe

Position
Director General
Deputy Director General
Assistant Director
Assistant Director
Staff Officer

Daw Thidar Aye

Deputy Director

U Aung Lwin

Deputy Director

U Aung Kyaw Oo
U Kyi San Lin
U Zaw Ye Myint
U Myo Min Thein

Deputy Chief Engineer


Executive Engineer
Deputy Chief Engineer
Executive Engineer

U Zayar Myint

Assistant Engineer

Daw Yee Mon Mon

Executive Engineer

1-3

1.5

3
2013 6 2013 10
2013 11 2014 3
2014 4 2014 12
1.5-1 1.5-2
Schedule

Jun.

Jul.

2013
Sep.

Aug.

2014
Oct.

Nov.

(1)

Review of the current


situation of the power
sector

(2)

Study of primary energy


source for power
development

(3)

Power demand
forecast

(4)

Optimization of power
generation
development plan

(5)

Optimization of power
grid development plan

(6)

Formulation of the
National Electricity Plan

(7)

Environmental and
social considerations

(8)

Recommendations

(9)

Technical transfer

Report

Tehnical Transfer
Work Item
/ Seminar

in Myanmar

Preliminary

in Japan

1.5-1

1st

1st

2dn

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

Jun.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

10

11

12

13

10

11

12

2nd

3rd

4th

4th

Aug.

Invitation Program
in Japan

3rd Workshop

4
FY 2013
9

3rd

Jul.

Formulation of the Optimum National Electricity Plan

2nd Workshop

1st Workshop

Jan.

Planning of Allternative Scenario for the


National Electricity Plan

Data Collection and Analysis on Electric Power


Sector

Stages

Dec.

5th

7th

6th

5th

Data collection and Analysis on

Planning of Alterantive Scenario for the

Electric Power Sector

Power Develeopment Plan

15

16

17

18

19

10

11

12

8th

8th

7th

6th

14
FY 2014
7

Formulation of the Optimum Power Development Plan

1st Promotion Activity

2nd Workshop

1st Workshop

Inception Report

Progress Report

Interim Report

1.5-2

Seminar
in Japan
Draft Final Report (1)

Draft Final Report (2)

1-4

Final Report

1.6

3
1

(1) 1
2013 8 30 1
MOEMinistry of EnergyNPEDMinistry of National Planning
and Economic DevelopmentFERDForeign Economic Relation Department
100 JICA
1.6-1 1.6-2

1-5

1.6-1

1-6

JICA
1.6-2

(2) 2
2 2014 2 19 1
JICA JICA
80 JICA

1.6-3

1-7

Ministry of Electric Power


and
Japan International Cooperation Agency
2nd Workshop on the Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan
in Myanmar
Time

Topics

Resource Person/Speaker

09:00-09:10

Opening Address

Deputy Minister
Ministry of Electric Power

09:10-09:15

Opening Address

Mr. Kyosuke INADA


Deputy Chief Representative
Japan International Cooperation Agency
Myanmar Office

09:15-09:55

Outline of Formulation of
National Electricity Master Plan

Dr. Satoshi YAMAOKA


Project Team Leader
JICA / NEWJEC

09:55-10:10

Discussion

10:10-10:25

Break Time

10:25-10:45

Power System Development Plan

Mr. Seiji UEOKA


JICA / The Kansai Electric Power Co.,
Inc.

10:45-11:00

Environmental and Social Considerations

Mr. Shimpei TOMITA


JICA / NEWJEC

11:00-11:30

Economic and Financial Analysis

Dr. Hiroaki NAGAYAMA


JICA / Kyoto University

11:30-11:50

Discussion

11:50-12:00

Closing Speech

Dr. Satoshi YAMAOKA


Project Team Leader
JICA / NEWJEC

1.6-3 2

(3) 3
3 2014 5 27 1

MOECAFMinistry of Environmental Conservation and ForestryJICA JICA


70

1-8

(1) NEMC

1.6-4

Ministry of Electric Power


and
Japan International Cooperation Agency
3rd Workshop on the Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan
in Myanmar
Time

Topics

Resource Person/Speaker

09:00-09:05

Opening Address

Deputy Minister
Ministry of Electric Power

09:05-09:10

Opening Address

Mr. Akira MATSUNAGA


Director
Energy and Mining Division 1
Industrial Development and Public Policy
Department
Japan International Cooperation Agency

09:10-09:40

Updates on Draft Final Report No.1


National Electricity Master Plan

Dr. Satoshi YAMAOKA


Project Team Leader
JICA / NEWJEC

09:40-10:00

Discussion

10:00-10:15

Break Time

10:15-10:35

Power System Development Plan

Mr. Seiji UEOKA


JICA / The Kansai Electric Power Co., Inc.

10:35-10:55

Environmental and Social


Considerations

Mr. Shimpei TOMITA


JICA / NEWJEC

10:55-11:15

Power Policy

Mr. Makoto ASANO


JICA / The Kansai Electric Power Co., Inc.

11:15-11:35

Discussion

1.6-4 3

1-9

(4)
1)

10 2014
7 5 7 12

1.6-1
No.

Director General

2
3
4

Ministry of Electric
Power

Deputy Chief
Engineer
Deputy Director
(Civil)
Deputy Director

Assistant Director

Executive Engineer

7
8

Ministry of National
Planning and
Economic
Development

Deputy Director
Deputy Director
Executive Engineer

Ministry of Energy
10

Department of Electric Power


(DEP)
Myanma Electric Power
Enterprise (MEPE)
Department of Hydropower
Planning (DHPP)
Department of Electric Power
(DEP)
Department of Electric Power
(DEP)
Myanma Electric Power
Enterprise (MEPE)

Staff Officer

Planning Department
Project Appraisal & Progress
Reporting Department
Myanma Oil and Gas
Enterprise (MOGE)
Energy Planning Department
(EPD)

U Khin Maung Win


U Zaw Ye Myint
Daw Thida Aye
Daw Myint Myint Kyi Swe
Daw Phyu Phyu Khin
U Kyi San Lin
Daw Khin Moe Moe
U Aye Cho
Mr. Than Sein
Mr. Sei Thu Kyaw Kyaw

1.6-2

5/7/2014
6/7/2014
7/7/2014
8/7/2014
9/7/2014
10/7/2014
11/7/2014
12/7/2014

Sat
Sun
Mon

Tue

Wed JICA

Thu

Fri
Sat

1 - 10

JICA

1.6-5

2)

2014 7 11

240

JICA

1 - 11

1.6-6

1 - 12

(1)

(2)
1.6-7

1 - 13

(5)
JICA

2014 8 3 U Khin Maung Win 18


2014 8 4 8 7

1.6-3

Daw Myint Myint Kwi Swe (Deputy Director, DEP)

U Aung Myo Win (Assistant Director, DEP)

Daw Phyu Phyu Khin (Assistant Director, DEP)


U Kyaw Swar Soe Hlaing (Senior Engineer, MEPE)

U Kyi San Lin (Executive Engineer, MEPE)

U Win Kyaw (Executive Engineer, MEPE)

Daw Aye Aye Mon (Director, DEP)


U Tun Min Soe (Staff Officer, DEP)
Daw Nay Yi Lin (Staff Officer, DEP)

1 - 14

1.6-8

1 - 15

2.1

2011 3 10%

2.1.1

2014 4

FESRFramework of Economical and Social Reform2013 1


NCDPNational Comprehensive Development Plan

NCDP 5
FESR

20 NCDP FESR NCDP


FESR

FESR

FESR 5

2013 8 9

NCDP 2014 4
NCDP 5

2-1

2.1.2

(1)
2012 6 19

NEMCNational Energy Management Committee

2013 1 9 NEMC EDCEnergy


Development Committee
NEMC MOEMinistry of EnergyMOEPMinistry
of Electric PowerMOAIMinistry of Agriculture and Irrigation
MOECAFMinistry of Environmental Conservation and ForestryMOIMinistry
of IndustryMOMMinistry of MinesNPEDMinistry of
National Planning and Economic DevelopmentMOSTMinistry of Science and
Technology 8
NEMC 22


GDPGross
Domestic Product

CCTClean Coal Technology

3

EDC

2-2

EDC 22
NEMC
NEMC





2014 6 NEMC 2014
4
ADBAsian Development Bank 2014 5

(2)
NEMC


EIAEnvironmental Impact
AssessmentSIASocial Impact Assessment

2-3

(3)
2013 11

2-4

30MW
10MW30MW10MW

2-5

2.2

2.2.1

2006
MEPEMyanma Electric Power Enterprise1
HPGEHydropower Generation Enterprise
ESEElectricity Supply
Enterprise
YESBYangon City Electricity Supply Board 4
2012 9

2.2-1 2.2-2

Corporatization

20%

kWh DEPDepartment of Electric Power

2013 11

2014 1 2014 4
IPPIndependent Power Producer
2014 4 PPAPower Purchase Agreement
IPP Shweli-1Thauk Ye Khat-2 2 Hlawga Zeya
Ywama
Myan Shwe PyiThaketa Central International Corporation 3
Ahlone Toyo-Thai

2-6

IPP PPA
Baluchaung-3 PPA Future Energy
1 PPA

MOEP

DHPP

DHPI

DEP

Hydropower &
Coal Fired Power
Projects Planning

MEPE

Hydropower & Coal


Fired Power Projects
Implementation

HPGE

ESE

Electricity
Distribution
(Yangon Region)

Hydropower Stations
& Coal-fired Thermal
Plant Generation

Transmission Lines,
Sub-stations, G.T, Wind
Farm Implementation &
Small HPS, Generation

G.T, Wind & Other


Projects Planning

YESB

DHPP: Department of Hydropower Planning


DEP : Department of Electric Power
DHPI : Department of Hydropower Implementation

Electricity
Distribution

MEPE: Myanma Electric Power Enterprise


HPGE: Hydropower Generation Enterprise
ESE : Electricity Supply Enterprise
YESB: Yangon City Electricity Supply Board

2.2-1

2014 4

Coal company
Ministry of Mines
Free Electricity (15%)

HPGE
IPP (Hydro)
JV (Hydro)
HPGE
(Hydro/Coal thermal) Thauk Ye Khat-2 Shewli-1
20 *

70

0.189

Kyats/kWh

kyats/kWh

yuan/kWh

Transmission

Generation

(Coal: 30,000 Kyats/ton)

MOGE
Ministry of Energy
(Gas: 5 USD/MBTU)

MEPE
(Gas/ Oil thermal)

Not
disclosed

Electricity

MEPE
(Single Buyer) above 66kV
40 Kyats/kWh

Distribution

IPP(GE, GT)
- Zeya
- MSP
- CIC
- Toyo-Thai

37 Kyats/kWh
ESE
(Other than Yangon)

YESB
(Yangon)

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh

S
u
b
s
i
d
y

Consumers
*2014 8 18 Kyats/kWh

2.2-2

JICA

2014 4
2-7

2.2.2

(1)
2013 7 20152016
20162017 20202021
20212022 20302031

DHPPDepartment of Hydropower Planning


BOTBuild Operate and TransferJVJoint Venture
BOT
DHPIDepartment of Hydropower Implementation

BOT

100%
JV/BOT 50%
13%20302031
19,216MW 24,981MW 2030
2031 21,247MW 2,390MW 4,093MW
1,459MW 29,189MW

BOT JV/BOT
3 IPP
2014 4 PPA IPP 2.2.1
10
IPP 20302031
IPP 80%
IPP

IPP

2-8

JICA Baluchaung-2

EIA EIA

(2) IPPBOTJV/BOT
BOT 100%

JV/BOT JV
10%15%10%15%
50%

BOT JV/BOT MOUMemorandum of


UnderstandingF/SFeasibility Study
MOAMemorandum
of Agreement JV/BOT MOA

BOT JV/BOT PPA

1)

BOT
Phase-1


MOA 3 Union Attorney
General OfficeMOFMinistry of Finance

MOU
2-9

Phase-2
MOU 12 18 F/S

F/S

3
BOT
Phase-3
3 EIA/SIA

MICMyanmar Investment
Committee BOT
Phase-4
MIC
BOT

PPA 1 PPA

2)

JV/BOT
Phase-1


MOU 3 Union Attorney
General Office
MOU
Phase-2
MOU 12 18 F/S

F/S

MOA
3

2 - 10

MOA
Phase-3
MOA 3 EIA/SIA

EIA/SIA MOA MIC


Phase-4
MIC JV 3
JV
Phase-5
JV
Union Attorney General Office
MIC
JV
JV
PPA 1 PPA

2.2.3

YadanaShweZawtika 20%
Yadana150225
mmscfd
Zawtika60100 mmscfd
65%

IPP

LNGLiquid Natural Gas


2013 8 15 FSRUFloating Storage
and Re-gasification Unit
4.1.4
2 - 11

2031 3 2020

5 USD/Mbtu 2014 1
7.5 USD/Mbtu

2.2.4

ADB New Energy Architecture: Myanmar, June 20132011

26%2014 1
DRDDepartment of Rural Development

64,917
20122013 21,675

33.4%
2013 9

MOLFRDMinistry of Livestock, Fisheries


and Rural Development
8 4

NEMC

2.2.5

ADB WBWorld Bank Group

2.2-1

2 - 12

2.2-1

2013 12

Sector Planning

Legal and
Regulatory

Financial
Sustainability

Transmission &
Distribution

Generation

Rural Energy

Analytical Basis for


Strategic Decisions
(WBG)

EITI Application
Support
(WBG)

Financial Viability
Action Plan
(WBG)

Distribution
Improvement in Yangon
(JICA)

New GTCC for MEPE &


IPPs; PPP Transactions
(WBG)

Off-grid power
Program
(ADB)

Energy Master Plan


for NEMC

Electricity Law
& Electricity
Regulation
(ADB/Norway)

Strengthening
Financial
Management
(Multi-donor)

4-region Distribution
system Improvement

Donated GT and generators

Rural
Electrification
Project
(WBG)

(ADB/Japan (JFPR))

National Power
Transmission Network

National Electricity Master Plan

(JICA)
National
Electrification Plan
(WBG)

Rural
Electrification
Law
(ADB)

(GOT, Japan/JICA)
(ADB)

(ADB-JICA-Korea)
Economic Valuation
of Natural Gas in
domestic mkt.
(WBG)

Advisor for Yangon


Electricity Supply
System
(JICA)

Urgent Rehabilitation and


Upgrade
(Yangon, Thilawa,
Baluchaung, Hlaingtharyar)
(JICA)

Rural Power
Infrastructure
(electrification in
14 regions/states)
(JICA)

PPP bidding and contracting


support

Studies on
Off-grid Small
Scale Hydro

(ADB/DFID)
(JICA)

Energy Efficiency
Policy and
Renewable Energy
Devel. Plan
(ADB)

Environmental
and Social
Safeguard and
Conservation
(ADB)

YESB Corporatization
Support through
Investment and
Advisory Support
(WBG)

Institutional development
for sector management of
PPPs
(ADB)

JFPR: Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction Program

(1) ADB
2014 4 ADB 2.2-2 2.2-3

2.2-2

ADB
Amount
(USD thousand)

Project name

Type

Term

Institutional Strengthening of National Energy


Management Committee in Energy Policy and Planning

TA

From 29-Aug-2013
To 31-Oct-2014

1,350

Preparing the Power Transmission and Distribution


Improvement Project

TA

From 29-Aug-2013
To 30-Jun-2015

1,500

Financial Management Assessment of Energy Sector

TA

From 19-Nov-2012
To 30-Apr-2014

160

Enhancing Power Sector's Legal and Regulatory


Framework

TA

From 12-Nov-2013
To 30-Sep-2015

850

Loan

From 28-Jan-2014
To 31-Dec-2018

60,000

Power Distribution Improvement Project


TA: Technical Assistance

ADB HP

2 - 13

2.2-3

ADB

Project name

Type

State
(1) Concept clearance,
(2) Management Review Meeting

Power Transmission and Distribution


Improvement Project

Loan

(1) 22-Mar-2013
(2) 22-Oct-2014

Support for Public-Private Partnership


Framework Development

TA

(1)
(2)

Off-Grid Renewable Energy Demonstration


Project

TA

(1) 27-Nov-2013
(2) -

Amount
(USD thousand)
150,000

2,000
N/A
ADB HP

1)

a)

Institutional Strengthening of National Energy Management Committee in Energy


Policy and Planning
JICA

NEMCEDC

b)

Preparing the Power Transmission and Distribution Improvement Project


5

c)

Financial Management Assessment of Energy Sector

ADB

d)

Enhancing Power Sector's Legal and Regulatory Framework

e)

Power Distribution Improvement Project

5 HlaingtharyarInseinKamayutMayangone
Mingaladon 4 KyaukseMeikhtilaMyin GyanYameethin

2 - 14

5 KalayKathaMonywaSagaingShwebo
2 AunglandMagway
2)

a)

Power Transmission and Distribution Improvement Project

KamarnatHlaingtharyar Baluchaung-2TaungooTaungoo
ShwedaungThaketaAhlone
5

b)

Support for Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Framework Development

PPP PPP

c)

Off-Grid Renewable Energy Demonstration Project


25

(2) WB
2014 4 WB

1)

Myanmar National Community Driven Development Project


2012 11 2019 1
80 million USD
5 Component 152.2 million USD
15 640

2 - 15

2)

Myanmar - Electric Power Project


2014 1 2018 4 2013 9
WB
140 million USD

a)

Thaton
Phase-1Thaton 2 1215
Phase-2Thaton 1 Phase-1 1518

b)

2030
Geospatial least cost

2

3)

Support for the corporatization of YESB


2014 2
26

2 - 16

2.3

2.3.1

(1)
1)

3
4

2)

IPP 8 8.5-13

IPP

3)

PPA
IPP PPA

IPP PPA PPA


PPA
1 PPA
IPP

(2)
1)

2013 7

2 - 17

230kV

2)

IPP
2013 7

10 50
BOT
JV/BOT
20302031 IPP 80%
8 IPP

1.4

IPP

3)

IPP

4)

5)

EIA

2 - 18

EIA
EIA
EIA

(3)
IPP
IPP
IPP
IPP

(4)
WB

2030

2 - 19

2.3.2

1990

IPP

2.3-1 3
2.3-1

JICA

2 - 20

2.3-1

PPA

IPP

IPP

IPP

/ MO / SO

/ / SO

/ MO / SO

2012

[Note] SO: System operator, MO: Market operator

2.3-1

2 - 21

2006
IPP

2.3-2 2011 GDP783 USD800 USD

IPP 2.3-2 2.3-3


2.3-2

2011 GDP

2011

1986

1992

2007

1988

2000

1989

GDP
(USD)

783

814

746

770

784

791

785

GDP

Economic Outlook

200,000

Renewwable sources (GWh)

250

Nuclear sources (GWh)


Hydroelectric sources (GWh)
Oil sources (GWh)

160,000

Natural gas sources (GWh)

200

Coal sources (GWh)

140,000

Population(million)

120,000

150

100,000
80,000

100

60,000
40,000

Population (Million)

Annual power generation (GWh)

180,000

50

20,000
0

Myanmar
in 2011

Thailand
in 1986

Thailand
in 2011

2011
1986,2011
Myanmar Thailand

Indonesia
in 1992

Indonesia
in 2009

1992,2009
Indonesia

Cambodia in
2007

Cambodia in
2010

2007,2010
Cambodia

Pakistan in
1988

Pakistan in
2011

1988,2011
Pakistan

Vietnam
in 2000

Vietnam
in 2010

2000,2010
Vietnam

Philippines
in 1989

Philippines
in 2011

1989,2011
Philippines

World Development Index

2.3-2

2 - 22

35,000

TotalCapacity (Under leberalization)


Public

Installation capacity (MW)

30,000

IPP
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0

2011
Myanmar
Myanmar
in 2011

Thailand
in 1986

Thailand
in 2011

1986, 2011
Thailand
Thailand

Indonesia
in 1992

Indonesia
in 2009

1992, 2009
Indonesia
Indonesia

Cambodia in Cambodia in
2007
2010

2007, 2010
Cambodia
Cambodia

Pakistan in
1988

Pakistan in
2011

1988, 2011
Pakistan
Pakistan

Vietnam
in 2000

Vietnam
in 2010

2000, 2010
Vietnam
Vietnam

Philippines
in 1989

Philippines

2011
(%)

2011

11%

2.3-3

Philippines
in 2011

1989, 2011
Philippines

0%

0%

64%

0%

37%

8%

26%

0%

Under

HP2012
1998, 2002, 2009, 2010
2009, 20102012 JICA
2002State of Industry Report 2012 (NPRA)
2000, 2003, 2010, 2011
1998, 2012

IPP

IPP

1)

1986

1980 80%1979

1986 14 ft3 4 ft3

2010
2 - 23

75% 0%
1992
IPP90MW
10MW
90MW
10MW 2012
49%
2)

1990

1991 5,780 barrel 5,520 barrel

1993
64.4 ft3 37.2 ft3

LNG 1990
1993 360 ton

IPP
1990

1992 IPP IPP


1997 2009
IPP 16%

3)

2010 44 barrel

2010 24 ft3
1990 8

20,500MW

2 - 24

2009 92%
IPP
2010 IPP
26%2020

IPP

4)

IPP 2010 93%


91% IPP 2010
IPP 68%

IPP

5)

2011
IPP 37%
75% IPP
65%
20082011

National Power Policy 2013

IPP

2.3.3

(1)
2.3.2


2 - 25

YeywaPaunglaung

F/S
IPP IPP

IPP

IPP IPP IPP

LNG

IPP
IPP

IPP

IPP

2 - 26

PPA

CCT
CO2
USCUltra Super Critical

IPP PPA
EIA

(2)



IPP PPA

EIASIA


2 - 27

IPP
EIA PPA


PPA

2 - 28

2.4

(1)

NEMC

IPPPPA
IPP


IPP PPA

(2)

2 - 29

IPP 8
IPP
IPP
1.4

IPP

2 - 30

3.1

3.1.1

2000 %2010

2009 2010 26.5%2010 2011 21.9%


2012 7.2%

(GWh)

Power Demand (sales)

9,000
8,000
7,000

Company
Temporary
Commercial
General Purpose

Department
Street Lighting
Industrial

6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2006

2007

2008

2009
Year

2010

2011

2012

3.1-1

3.1-1

GWh

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

General
Purpose
1,614
1,647
1,799
2,015
2,653
3,378
3,650

Industrial

Commercial

1,854
1,872
1,904
1,850
2,287
2,711
2,681

827
864
945
1,071
1,306
1,531
1,643

Street
Lighting
44
35
36
40
44
45
48

Temporary

Departmental

Company

TOTAL

Growth

10
13
9
9
14
16
15

6
7
8
8
11
15
17

0
0
0
0
0
0
202

4,355
4,438
4,701
4,993
6,315
7,696
8,254

1.9%
5.9%
6.2%
26.5%
21.9%
7.2%

3-1

3.1.2

1 5

2012 5

MEPEMyanmar Electricity Power Enterprise


2012 22%2
4.4%
MOEPMinistry of Electric Power

3.1-2

No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Month
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
Average

FY 2010
Load Shed
(Maximum)
230
283
184
51
84
187
0
0
0
89
153
214
123

MW

on
Consumption
16%
19%
13%
4%
6%
13%
0%
0%
0%
6%
11%
15%
8.46%

FY 2011
Load Shed
(Maximum)
203
254
179
125
159
27
158
0
0
0
0
286
116

on
Consumption
14%
17%
12%
9%
11%
2%
11%
0%
0%
0%
0%
20%
7.98%

FY 2012
Load Shed
(Maximum)
211
230
100
0
0
0
0
269
175
304
325
284
158

on
Consumption
14%
16%
7%
0%
0%
0%
0%
19%
12%
21%
22%
20%
10.9%

3-2

3.1.3

32 14

8
5
2013 5

Infrastructure of Yangon City Electricity Supply Board

3.1-2

3-3

3.1-3
Name

Area
(ha)

Open

No of
Factories

Capacity
(MVA)

Peak Load
(MW)

Dagon

1997

489.1

102

30

8.99

East Dagon

2000

317.3

45

25

7.08

North Okkalapa

1998

44.4

94

15

4.8

South Dagon

1992

300.8

2078

100

18.1

South Okkalapa

2000

14.2

95

10

2.3

Thaketa

1999

80.9

90

10

2.25

Shwepaukkan

1998

38.3

244

25

5.21

Shwelinpan

2002

445.2

203

35

12.9

Hlaingtharyar (1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7)

1995

567.1

519

75

42.1

Mingaladon Pyinmabin

1996

89.8

15

5.25

Wartaya

2004

445

10

1.8

Shwe Pyi Thar

1996

535.6

240

55

21.2

Yangon Industrial Zone

2000

365.2

31

20

4.5

Myaungtagar (Hmawbi)

2006

411

22

100

32.3

3,772

525

168.78

Total

4,143.9

Infrastructure of Yangon City Electricity Supply Board

3.1-4
No.

State / Region

Industrial Zone

Max Peak Load (MW)

Kachin State

Myintkyina Zone

0.1

Kayah State

Loikaw Zone

0.5

Kayin State

Hpa-an Zone

Mon State

Mawlamying Zone

0.5

Shan (South) State

Ayetharyar Zone

Mandalay Region

Zone (1)

20

Zone (2)

20

8
9
10

Sagaing Region

Magway
Bago (West) region
Ayeyarwady Region

Meikhtila Zone

4.8

Myin Gyan Zone

1.2

Ruby Zone

Nandawon Zone

Monywa Zone

2.5

Yaenanchaung

0.6

Pakokku

1.2

Zone (1)

2.5

Zone (2)

0.3

Pathein Zone

0.25

Myaungmya

1.56

Total

70.01
3-4

170MW
70MW

3 SEZSpecial Economic Zone


DEPDepartment of Electric Power 3
SEZ SEZ SEZ

4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Yangon IZ
Thilawa
Dawei
Regular Demand

2012
0
0
0
1,790

2013
178
0
28
2,060

Yangon IZ = Yangon Industrial Zone

3.1-3

2014
255
2
111
2,370

2015
295
6
187
2,725

2016
342
12
548
3,130

Power Development Plan in Myanmar in 2013

SEZ MW

SEZ
SEZ

GDPGross Domestic Product


SEZ
2014 SEZ

3-5

SEZ 2

SEZ IPPIndependent Power Producer

SEZ
IPP SEZ

SEZ

2013 11

3-6

3.2

3.2.1

GDP

3.2.2

2013 11 2011
5

GDP
2020 2030

1
GDP 1 GDP
3.2-1 2000
4 1 GDP

3-7

(USD)
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Cambodia

Laos

Myanmar

Thailand

Vietnam

IMFEconomic Outlook JICA 1

3.2-1

GDP

IMFInternational Monetary Fund 2011


GDP 783 USD
800 USD 1986 791 USD
2000 813 USD
1986
2000

3.2.3

26.5%21.9%7.2%
20102011
2030 13%
2001 2010 GDP
1.49 2011 8.74%
13%

1 JICAJapan International Cooperation Agency

3-8

2000
1.49
20012005 1.62
20062010 1.48
20112020 1.39
2011 8.74%
2030

IMF Economic
Outlook 20122017 6.4%
ADBAsian Development Bank
20102030 7
8%

IMF

GDP

IMF

13%2030
IMF 9.6%20122020
13%

3-9

3.2.4

(GWh)
90,000

High(MOEP Based) : 13%

80,000

Low(IMF Based) : 10.1%

70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

3.2-2

2012 8,254GWh
8,613GWh
2020 19,514GWh22,898GWh 2
2030 48,639GWh77,730GWh 5

2020

3 - 10

(GWh)
90,000
80,000

industrial

70,000

non-industrial

CAGR(12-30) : 13%

60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

*CAGRCompound Average Growth Rate

3.2-3

(GWh)
90,000
80,000
70,000

industrial

60,000

non-industrial

CAGR(21-30) : 9.6%

50,000
40,000
30,000

CAGR(12-20) : 10.8%

20,000
10,000
0
2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

*CAGRCompound Average Growth Rate

3.2-4

3 - 11

3.2.5

(1)

2013 6 17

ESEElectricity Supply
EnterpriseYESB
Yangon City Electricity Supply Board

(MW)
1600

Load Curve (2013/06/17)

1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200

Total

YESB

ESE

0
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

3.2-5

2013 6 17

MWMW
3.2-1

3 - 12

3.2-1

2010
Generated Energy (MWh)

2011

2012

2013*

Average

7,809,369

10,033,596

10,834,569

11,679,629

10,089,291

1,371

1,588

1,796

1,969

1,681

65.0%

72.1%

68.9%

67.7%

68.4%

Peak Load (MW)


Load Factor
* Record from May to December in 2013

2011 72.1% 2 68%


1996 2006 7172%
2013
2012 68.9%
(2)

2012
24% 3.2-6

30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%

MEPE

10.0%

YESB
ESE

5.0%

Total
0.0%
MEPE
YESB
ESE
Total

2007
6.5%
23.8%
21.8%
27.8%

2008
6.3%
22.0%
22.7%
27.5%

2009
7.8%
22.1%
19.7%
27.2%

2010
8.0%
19.9%
17.2%
25.0%

2011
7.6%
19.3%
17.0%
24.4%
MEPE, YESB, ESE Statistics 2012

3.2-6

3 - 13

2007
27.8% 2011 24.4% 5 3.4

JBICRegional Cooperation Strategy on Interconnected Power Networks in Indochina

3.2-7

2000

3.2-8

19862000

2000 15%
2001 2020 9%
2000 12%
2030 12%

2007 2011 1%
5 0.86%

(3)

3 - 14

(MW)
18,000
16,000

CAGR(12-20) : 12.4%

Industrial

14,000

Non-Industrial

12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000

2028-29

2029-30

2030-31

2028-29

2029-30

2030-31

2027-28

2026-27

2025-26

2024-25

2023-24

2022-23

2021-22

2020-21

2019-20

2018-19

2017-18

2016-17

2015-16

2014-15

2013-14

2012-13

*CAGRCompound Average Growth Rate

3.2-9

(MW)
18,000
16,000

Industrial

14,000

Non-Industrial

12,000

CAGR(21-30) : 8.9%

10,000
8,000

CAGR(12-20) : 10.2%

6,000
4,000
2,000

2027-28

2026-27

2025-26

2024-25

2023-24

2022-23

2021-22

2020-21

2019-20

2018-19

2017-18

2016-17

2015-16

2014-15

2013-14

2012-13

*CAGRCompound Average Growth Rate

3.2-10

3 - 15

2020

1,472MW
3,060MW
2,390MW 2030

14,542MW 9,100MW 5,000MW

3.2-2
kWh/Capita

163

52,813

2012
2020

408

348

56,125

2030

1,324

829

58,698
UN Population

2013

3.2.6

2012 GDP
Director

3 - 16

3.2-3
Region/State

Growth Rate (%, FY2012)


GDP
Population

-FY2015

Growth Rate (%)


-FY2020 -FY2025

-FY2030

Kachin

7.1%

1.3%

12%

7%

7%

7%

Kayah

5.0%

1.5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

Kayin

10.6%

1.2%

56%

11%

7%

7%

Chin

6.9%

1.6%

7%

9%

6%

6%

Mon

9.3%

1.0%

38%

11%

11%

11%

Rakhine

8.4%

1.1%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Shan

7.3%

1.2%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Sagaing

10.2%

1.0%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Tanintharyi

8.8%

1.3%

9%

20%

9%

9%

Bago

10.3%

1.1%

12%

11%

11%

11%

Magway

13.2%

1.1%

11%

10%

6%

5%

Mandalay

13.5%

1.1%

14%

12%

12%

12%

Ayeyarwady

5.8%

1.1%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Yangon

9.5%

1.2%

15%

15%

15%

15%

Total

8.7%

1.1%

13%

13%

13%

13%

2015
56% 38%

GDP

GDP

3.2-4

3 - 17

3.2-4
Region
/State

Power DemandMW Power DemandMW


FY2012
FY2030
FY2012
FY2030

Kachin

21

185

21

140

Kayah

162

130

Kayin

13

165

13

135

Chin

90

60

Mon

45

418

45

338

Rakhine

10

243

10

180

103

355

103

288

Sagaing

98

349

98

282

Tanintharyi

52

290

52

235

Bago

131

646

131

523

Magway

106

293

106

238

Mandalay

457

2,731

457

2,203

85

406

85

329

742

8,209

742

4,019

1,874

14,542

1,874

9,100

Shan

Ayeyarwady
Yangon
Total

JICA

GDP
GDP
IMF
2
3.2-5

Consumption
(GWh)
Peak Demand
(MW)

2012

Power Demand
2020

2030

High case

4,496

10,801

61,377

11.6%

19.0%

Low case

2,551

7,459

18,998

14.4%

9.8%

High case

938

2,869

9,740

15.0%

13.0%

Low case

938

2,163

4,769

11.0%

8.2%

*CAGRCompound Average Growth Rate

3 - 18

CAGR*
2012 - 2020
2021 - 2030

3.3

3.3.1

4.4%

2014

GDP

3 - 19

GDP GDP
1.49

2
20112012 13%
IMF 6.4%

2020 19,514GWh
22,898GWh 2 2030 48,639GWh
77,730GWh 5

2012 68.9%
19962006 7172%

2000 12%
1%


2030 14,542MW
9,100MW

JICA

3 - 20

2030 14,542MW 9,100MW

2030 19,217MW

25,000
High Case

20,000

MW

Low Case

15,000

MOEP

10,000
5,000

3.3-1
3.3-1
FY

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

3.3.2

Power Demand (MW, High Case)


Non
Total
Industry
Industry

Power Demand (MW, Low Case)


Non
Total
Industry
Industry

MOEP

2012

1,874

1,265

609

1,874

1,265

609

1,666

2020

4,531

3,060

1,472

3,862

2,390

1,472

5,661

2030

14,542

9,819

4,723

9,100

5,631

3,468

19,217

3 - 21

4.1

4.1.1

100 GW

40 GW
145 MMbbl 102 MMbbl
16.6 Tcf 11 Tcf

540 ton 1%

4.1-1

100 GW

102 MMbbl

43 MMbbl

5.6 Tcf

11 Tcf

540 million tons

365 TWh/year

52,000 TWh/year
2013JEPIC2012

IEAInternational Energy Agency2010


22.5 Mtoe
10.54 Mtoe47% 10.21 Mtoe45%
0.94 Mtoe4%
0.41 Mtoe2%
0.44 Mtoe2%

4-1

2010 0.24 Mtoe


22.5 Mtoe 1%

0.44Mtoe, 2%

0.11Mtoe, 0%

0.24Mtoe, 1%

0.41Mtoe, 2%

0.94Mtoe, 4%

10.21Mtoe, 45%

10.54Mtoe, 47%

The numbers are in proportion to the total primary energy production (22.5Mtoe).

IEA, Energy Balances of Non-OECD countries 2012 JICA 1.

4.1-1

2010

IEA 2010 14.0


Mtoe
14.0 Mtoe 75%10.54 Mtoe
10%1.33 Mtoe
9%1.28 Mtoe
3%

2010 10.21 Mtoe 87%


8.88 Mtoe14.0 Mtoe 63%

0.41Mtoe, 3%

0.89Mtoe, 6%

0.44Mtoe, 3%

1.33Mtoe, 10%

8.88Mtoe, 63%

10.54Mtoe, 75%

0.39Mtoe, 3%

The numbers are in proportion to the total primary energy supply (14.0Mtoe).

IEA, Energy Balances of Non-OECD countries 2012 .

4.1-2

1 JICAJapan International Cooperation Agency

4-2

INDIA
3,800mm

CHINA

3,800mm
Chindwin

2,500mm

1,300mm
1,300mm
750mm
Chittagong
3,800mm

1,300mm

650mm
Mandalay
Thanlwin

Naypyidaw

2,500mm

5,100mm
Sittaung

3,800mm

5,100mm
3,800mm

3,800mm

Ayeyawaddy

Yangon

THAILAND
3,800mm
3,800mm

Bangkok

4.1-3

4-3

INDIA

CHINA
Chindwin

Chittagong
Mandalay

Thanlwin
Sittwe

Naypyidaw

Shwe

Sittoung

Ayeyawaddy
Yangon

THAILAND

Yadana

Zawtika

Bangkok

Yetagun

JEPIC .

4.1-4

4-4

4.1-5

4-5

4.1.2

(1)

5.2.1
108GW100% 48.5GW44.9%
48.5GW44.9% 3.0GW2.8%
9.4GW8.7%36.1GW33.4%

48.5GW
108GW
48.5GW 42.1GW86.8%IPPIndependent
Power Producer

3.0
9.4

Challenge
36.1

59.5

Possible
Primary
Developed

Hydro development status , Total 108GW (GW)

0.8
2.6

MOEP
BOT
IPP

42.1

Hydro development type for Possible and Primary (GW)

4.1-6

4-6

(2)
2030

- 50% 2

-
-
4.1.3

(1)
4.1.1
4.1-2

Proved Reserve

Recoverable
Volume

Cumulative
Production

2014 4
Future Recoverable
Volume

Onshore (TCF)

9.5

1.56

5.44

Offshore (TCF)

19

15

10

Total

28.5

22

6.56

15.44

2014

2012 MOEMinistry of Energy


2.59.5TCFFuture Recoverable Volume 2012 12.27 TCF
15.44TCF
(2)
4.1-7

4-7

SHWE

YADANA

ZAWTIKA

YETAGUN

2012

4.1-7

1)

2014 7 MOGEMyanma Oil and Gas


Enterprise 53
28 22 17 5

5 1 1

Yadana 2013 8 Hlawga


Ahlone
Kyungchaung Mann

4-8

2)

2014 8 50
4 YanadaYetagunShweZawtika2
M-3M-2 21 A-6 36

Yetagun
20% 80%2019
M-3
4.1-3

Phase

Gas Field

2P
(TCF)

Block

Main Developer

Export

Domestic
Supply

Yadana

6.9

M-5, M-6

Total

20%

Yetagun

4.2

M-12, M-13, M-14

Petronas*

0%

Shwe

5.4

A-1, A-3

Daewoo

20%

Zawtika

1.8

M-9

PTTEPI

20%

1.6

M-3

PTTEPI**

100%

M-2

Petrovietnam

100%

Appraisal

A-6

MPRL E&P 4

100%

Under Test

M-11, MD-7, MD-8, PTTEPI


AD-1, AD-6, AD-8
CNPC International LTD

Cancel

M-1, M-10

Existing

Ongoing

*JX **

100%

2014 8

(3)
4.1-8

2 M-3 M-2
3 2015
4 Myanmar Petroleum Resources Ltd. Exploration & Production

4-9

*1*2*3

Yadana Zawtika
Take
or PayShwe
Take or Pay
Take or Pay

Take or PayDCQDaily Contract Quantity 50%


5
*1 MOEP (Ministry of Electric Power)
*2 MOI

(Ministry of Industry)

*3 MOT

(Ministry of Transportation)

Upstream

Downstream
Myanmar

(Move)

PSC between Gov. and developer

WHP

(Fix)
CPP

Well

Foreign Consumer

Foreign Country

GTA between developer and gas pipeline GTA between gas


operator
supplier and gas
pipeline operator

GSA between gas supplier


and gas consumer

gas
(Tie-in Point)

LFS

(Move)
WHP

GDC

Power
Station

DP

Domestic Consumer
gas
Well

GDC

Gas pipelines are


operated by MOGE

WHP
CPP1
DP
LFS
GDC

:
:
:
:
:

Well head platform


Central processing platform
Delivery point
Landfall station
Gas Distribution Center

Power
Station
Other
sector

LFS

GDC

Gas prices are


determined by
President

Power
Station

DP
Other
sector

4.1-8

5 DCQ1 1 50%1
50%

4 - 10

4.1-9

Upstream

Downstream

GTA between state-owned gas enterprise and GSA between state-owned gas
gas pipeline operator
enterprise and gas consumer

PSC between Gov. and developer


GSPA bewteen developer and stateowned gas enterprise

(Move)

Gas Consumer

WHP

(Fix)
CPP

Well

gas

LFS

(Move)
WHP

Power
Station

GDC

DP

(Tie-in Point)

gas

WHP
CPP1
DP
LFS
GDC

Well

:
:
:
:
:

Well head platform


Central processing platform
Delivery point
Landfall station
Gas Distribution Center

JICA

4.1-9

(4)
4.1-4 2012 4.1-5 2013

4 - 11

4.1-4
Project/Daily
Product
Yadana (Offshore)

2012 2012 6
Gas
(mmcfd)
885

Yetagun (Offshore)
Onshore
Total

for Export Gas


(mmcfd)
684

for Domestic Gas


(mmcfd)
187

465

465

70

70

1,420

1,149

257

2012

4.1-5

2013

Project

Demand (mmcd)

Supply (mmcd)

Onshore + Offshore

590

290

73

60

Shwe

130

20

Total

793

Zawtika

370 (47%)

2013 ZawtikaShwe
2012 1.5
47%
(5)
4.1-10 2012

LPG 0.9%

Refinery 1.9%
Fertilizer 7.9%

Private Factories
0.2%
Others 1.5%

60%
65%

CNG 7.2%

Government
Factories 20.0%

Electricity 60.4%

4.1-6 MEPEMyanma Electric


Power Enterprise2013 7
3
201320142015
120330590 mmscfd
4.1-6 Future

2013 3
JICA

4.1-10

Project 2014 6
4.2

4 - 12

YadanaZawtikaShwe
Yadana 2014 4
150 225 mmcfd Zawtika 2014
11 60 100mmcfd
LNGLiquid Natural Gas
4.1.4 LNG
4.1-11 2012 3
100%

4.1-6

20132014 20152016 2013 7


MW)

20132014

20142015

20152016

2013.06

(MMSCFD)

20142015 2013(MMSCFD)
(MMSCFD) (MMSCFD) 2014
2015
2016

Kyungchaung

1974

54.30

18

9.92

8.08

1980

36.90

12

12

Mann
Shwedaung

Local

MW)

1984

55.35

27

14.35

12.65

1980

12.00

2.17

1.83

Mawlamyaing Myanmar
Lighting

2014.04

100.00

2015.10

130.00

29

1975/1984

34.70

1985/2001

50.95

25

22.34

2.66

39

33.8

5.2

Hlawga

Yangon

Ywama

Hydrolancang
(China)
Hydrolancang
(China)
GT/ST

243.00

2015.05

243.00

53.5 ?
LNG

1980/2004

243.00

70.30

53.5 ?
28

24.64

3.36
16.57

EGAT

2014.02

240.00

240.00

80

2013.06

82.00

82.00

2014.09

39.00

1995/1999

1990/1997

154.20

39

30.6

Yadana

8.4
Yadana

29.8

39.00

92.00

29

28.03

0.97

2013.07

53.60

BKB (Korea)

2015.02

167.00

2016.01

336.00

2014.12

127.00

2016.03

386.00

MOEP

2014.12

100.00

100.00

20

Dawei Power
Utilities

2015.03

175.00

175.00

50

2016.02

15
167.00

3,593.05

40
336.00

40

127.00

30
386.00

350.00
714.90 2,878.15

On-going

53.60

Yadana

CIC

Existing

243.00

52.00

Toyo-Thai

Yadana

15.86

52.00

UREC (China)
Kyaukphyu

Kanpouk

2014.11

54.55

2013.07

GT/ST

Thaketa

54.55

Yadana
Yadana
Zawtika (2014)

MSP
GT/ST

Ahlone

1996/1999
154.20
2013.05 (26MW)
2014.02 (28.55MW)

Yadana
Zawtika (2014)

21
130.00

Thaton

Zeya

Onshore
YadanaShwe
Yadana?

100.00

Myanaung

GT/ST

350.00
482.15

LNG

89 ?
Shwe
50

Yadana

951.00 1,445.00
2,878.15

Future

230.00

171.85

58.15

157.23

214.50

261.50

(MMSCFD)

271.85

271.85

271.85

(MMSCFD)

387.23

601.73

863.23

(MMSCFD)

115.38

329.88

591.38

2014.01100MMSCFD

Power System Development Scheme of MEPEpresented in Napyitaw on July 02, 2013


JICA

4 - 13

As of March 2012

Sectorwise Supply
240
220

74%
Shortage

180

Daily MMCF

Supply

Showing Sectorwise

200

36%

160
140
120
100

1%

80
60

40%

43%

67%

4.1-11

Others

Fertilizer

CNG

Government
Factories

Electrical
Power

Private
Factories

51%

LPG

100%

20

Refinery

40

12 2013 8
Yadana + ZawtikaShwe
1 4 5

Distribution Plan of Yadana and Zawtika


26th August 2013
(MCft)
Dec' 2013 ~ Jan' 2014
Feb' 2014 ~ May' 2014
Jun' 2014
Jul'2014 ~ 2018
Present ~ Nov' 2013
Distribution
Distribution
Distribution
Distribution
Distribution
Received
Received
Received
Received
Received
Hlawga
36
Hlawga
36
Hlawga
51
Hlawga
34
Hlawga
34
Ywama
25.5
Ywama
51.5
Ywama
55.5
Ywama
66
Ywama
66
126
185
196
164
164
Thaketa
28.5
Thaketa
33.5
Thaketa
25.5
Thaketa
0
Thaketa
0
Ahlone
36
Ahlone
64
Ahlone
64
Ahlone
64
Ahlone
Distribution
Plan of64Shwe Gas
24" DawNyein Pipe Line 175
225
225
225
225
Yangon Region
Yangon Region
Yangon Region
Yangon Region
Yangon Region
Others Factories
12.75
Others Factories
7.75
Others Factories
7.75
Others Factories
17.75
Others Factories
17.75
Pyi line
36.25
Yangon Reserve
11
Pyi line
21.25
Yangon Reserve
15 ~ Dec 2013
Pyi lineJan' 2014
43.25 Feb ~ Apr 2014
Sept
Offtake Ptu
Name of Factory/Station
(Will Distribution to Shw etaung GT on Dec)
Pyi line
28.25
Received
Distribution
Received
Distribution
Received
Distribution
Pyi line
21.25
KyaukPhyu
KyaukPhyu
Gas Turbine 225
1.000
1.000
1.000
175
225
225
225
225
24" Total
175
225
225
225
Yadana
Thahton,
Thahton,
Yenanchaung
Magway Tire factory (MOI)
0.020
0.020
0.020
25.5
Mawlamying
Mawlamying
25.5
NayPyiTaw Cement Factory (SOP)
Region's GTs
Region's GTs
Max Cement Factory
2.700
Thahton,
Thahton,
Yeni Paper Mill
20" Kanbauk Yangon Region's
Mawlamying
Mawlamying
Tapolin Factory
(Military)(SOP)
0.207
0.207
0.207
Myaingkalay - Yangon
50
24.5
80
20
20
GTs
Region other
Region other
24.5
Pipe line
Pinpet Stell Mill (MOI)(SOP)
Factories
Factories
Thayet
Cement Factory
5.000
Thanlyin factories
5
Kyaukswekyo Still Mill (Military)(SOP)
1.200
Hlawga
15
25
Yoneseik Fire-brick Factory (UMEHL)(SOP)
0.300
Ywama
10
Shwetaung
Gas Turbine
14.573
14.573
50
80
20
0
0
20" Total
50
80
20
20.000
40.000
Yadana Total
225
305
245 Stell Mill (SOP) 225
225
225
225
305
245
225 40.000
TaungTha
Myingyan
Thahton, Myingyan Gas Turbine
Thahton,
Thahton,
Mawlamying
21.1
Mawlamying
22.7
Mawlamying
22.7
Gas Engine
Generator
Region's GTs
Region's GTs
Region's GTs
Belin
Kyaukse Factories (Fire-brick, j)
20" Kanbauk Thahton, Industry(1) Cement Factory
Thahton,
Thahton,
Zawtika
60
100
100
Myaingkalay - Yangon
Mawlamying
Mawlamying
27.3
Mawlamying
27.3
Kyaukse Glass Factory (SOP)
2.000
2.000
2.000
Pipe line
Region other
24.7
Region other
Region other
Suddan(3) Cement utilities Factory
Factories
Factories
Factories
SinMin(1)(2)
Cement Factories Hlawga
Yangon Region
14.2
15
Hlawga
15
50
50
Paleik CNG station
GTs
Ywama
35
Ywama
35
Project

Pipe Line

Zawtika Total
Total of Yadana and Zawtika Projects

225

0
225

305

0
305

60
305

Paleik60
Factories (SOP)
100
Planning&Budget
Paper Mill325
305
Gas Engine Generator
ShweGas Distribution to Factories
Additional Gas
Total

100
325

20.000

Distribution

1.000
0.020
2.400
2.700
6.308
0.207
8.619
Yadana
14.573
60.000

2.000

100
325

100
325

9.727
10.273
20.000

May ~ Jun 2014


Received

40.000

17.800
22.200
40.000

40.000

19.500
40.000
40.000

60.000

22.173
60.000
60.000

4 - 14

(6)
4.1-7
Yadana 30%
ZawtikaShwe
GCV 6
4.1-7
Field Name
Component
METHANE
ETHANE
PROPANE
I-BUTANE
N-BUTANE
I-PENTANE
N-PENTANE
Neo-PENTANE
HEXANE
HEXANE & >
N2

Yadana
MOLE %
69.8801
1.0106
0.1694
0.0184
0.0279
0.0065
0.0037
0.0024
0.0211
24.727

CO2

4.1298

H2O
H2S

0.0011
0.0021
100

GCV (BTU/SCF)

722.698

Offshore
Zawtika
MOLE %
91.786
0.401
0.111
0.035
0.021
0.01
0.007

Onland
Shwe
MOLE %
97.00
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.031
7.537

100

0.08
0
2.5
0.5
0.0011
0.0001
100

944.8

987.765

NDN
MOLE %
91.2
6.4
1.12
0.57
0.29
0.26
0.16

0
0
0
0
0
100
1007.00

AYD
MOLE %
99.28
0
0.11
0.1
0
0.05
0.02
0.01
0
0.22
0
0.21

100
1026.489

(7)
Yadana Borderline 7 1112 USD/MMbtu 8Wellhead 9 7 USD/MMbtu
5 USD/MMbtu
2013 7 11.2 USD/MMbtu
Borderline 4.1-12

6
7
8
9

Gross Caloric ValueHHVHigher Heating Value


Borderline Wellhead
3 2014 8 11.75 USD/MMbtu
Wellhead Delivery Point

4 - 15

EPDEnergy Planning Department5 USD/MMbtu


7.5 USD/MMbtu 2013
2014 11.2 USD/MMbtu
2014 8
Shwe Borderline 1516 USD/MMbtuWellhead price 7.73 USD/MMbtuLFS
Price 8.59 USD/MMbtu 10

Zawtika Borderline 1112 USD/MMbtu


Wellhead price
78 USD/MMbtu
3

Upstream

Downstream
Myanmar

(Move)

Foreign Consumer

Foreign Country

WHP

(Fix)
CPP

Boarderline Price
LFS Price
- Shw e: 7.73 USD/MMbtu

Well

- Yadana: 11~12 USD/MMbtu


- Shw e: 15~16 USD/MMbtu
- Zaw tika: 11~12 USD/MMbtu

gas
(Tie-in Point)

LFS

(Move)
WHP

GDC

Power
Station

DP

Domestic Consumer
Wellhead Price
- Yadana: 7 USD/MMbtu
- Shw e: 7.73 USD/MMbtu
- Zaw tika: 7~8 USD/MMbtu

gas
Well

GDC
Domestic gas price
- Pow er sector: 5 USD/MMbtu
- Other sectors:11.2

WHP
CPP1
DP
LFS
GDC

:
:
:
:
:

Well head platform


Central processing platform
Delivery point
Landfall station
Gas Distribution Center

LFS

GDC

Power
Station
Other
sector

Power
Station

DP
Other
sector

4.1-12

10 LFS priceLandfall StationShwe Daewoo

4 - 16

(8)
4.1-13
2,278 miles

Domestic Pipeline
- MOGE has been laying the pipes
throughout Myanmar to expand its
national pipeline network.
- Various sizes from 6" to 24" of pipeline
were constructed.
- Total length is about 2,278 miles.
Shwe

Export Pipeline
Offshore
(miles)

On land
(miles)

Yadana

(36)

216

39

Yetagun

(24)

126

43

Zawtika

(28)

143

42

Shwe

(32)

65

Nil

495

Nil

481

China-Myanmar (40)
(Gas)*
China-Myanmar (32)
(Oil)*
* 4.1-14

Zawtika

2012

4.1-13

1,172 miles
Shwe CNPC 481 miles
4.1-14
Shwe 2013
2014 8

4 - 17

2012

4.1-14

4.1-15 4
Thaketa 24

Kanpouk 20 2014 3 Zawtika


Thaketa 2014 3 Yadana
Zawtika Thilawa Zawtika

4 - 18

14"x14m

Hlawga GT

19 mmscfd
Connectionin 2014

Ywatha Gyi
(Industrial Zone)
10"x1.5m

Ywama GT

14"x6m

Toegyaunggale
(Industrial Zone)

162 mmscfd

24"x85.43m

Ywama Gas
Distribution Station

12"x8m

Myaing Galae Area


Supply
Ahlone GT
S. Dagon Junction
(Industrial Zone)

225 mmscfd

DN Pipeline Control
Center
24"x85.43m

Ohnnae Booster
Pump Station

14"x6m

Thanlyin
(Industrial Zone)

Thaketa GT

Zawtika Gas
(~ March,2014)

Yadana Gas

4.1-15

4.1.4

LNG

(1) LNG
(5)LNG
2013 8 40 14
YESBYangon City Electricity Suplpy Board 14
NEMC
National Energy Management Committee
11
LNG 150200 mmscfd 2014 3 500600
mmscfd 300 mmscfd
510
500600 mmscfd 4.1-6
Yadana LNG Yadana 1.6

11
FSRU
F/S 80 km

NEMC

Mawlamyaing FSRU

Mawlamyaing Mawlamyaing
LNG NEMC

4 - 19

300 mmscfd NEMC 2014 8

LNG
FSRUFloating Storage Regasification Units
Thaketa 24miles
FSRU
FSRU LNG 1315m
89m

2014 5
LNG
LNG
(2) LNG
Yadana
LNG
LNG 4.1-16
FSRU Thaketa
Hlawga

14"x14m

Hlawga GT

19 mmscfd
Connectionin 2014

Ywatha Gyi
(Industrial Zone)
10"x1.5m

Ywama GT

14"x6m

Toegyaunggale
(Industrial Zone)

162 mmscfd

24"x85.43m

Ywama Gas
Distribution Station

12"x8m

Myaing Galae Area


Supply
Ahlone GT
S. Dagon Junction
(Industrial Zone)

225 mmscfd

DN Pipeline Control
Center
24"x85.43m

Ohnnae Booster
Pump Station

Yadana Gas

14"x6m

Thanlyin
(Industrial Zone)

Thaketa GT

Zawtika Gas
( ~ March, 2014)
Thilawa
(Industrial Zone)

FSRU

4.1-16

LNG

4 - 20

(3) LNG
2014 1 14 LNG

FSRU

SEZSpecial Economic Zone

LNG
FSRU FSUFloating Storage Unit LNG

FSRU LNG 1824


LNG
LNG LNG LNG

F/SFeasibility Study

(4) LNG F/S


2014 3
1)

FSRU FSRU 80 km
15 m LNG
13 m

2)

3 South Dagon
Junction SEZ

3)

LNG 12

4)

a)

FSRU

173,000 m3

b)

120 mmscfd 4 1

c)

80 km50 km

12 LNG LNG

4 - 21

5)

6)

d)

24

e)

Cross jetty 13

a)

FSRU

278

MUSD

b)

82

MUSD

c)

14

154

d)

15

MUSD

e)

69

MUSD

f)

25.2 MUSD

g)

624

MUSD

MUSD

LNG 55 33 EPC
Engineering, Procurement, Construction

7)

4.1-17

Investors/
GOM

Bank

Equity

Loan

LNG
Supplier
LNG PSA

LNG
Carrier
LNG TA

EPC Contractor
EPC Contract

FSRU SPC

FSRU CA

O&M Contract

Pipeline SPC

GTA

MOE/MOEP or its
related state owned
Entity

GSA

(Off-shore)

MEPE

PPA

Operators
MOGE
(On-shore Pipeline)

EPC: Engineering,
Procurement, Construction

IPP

GSA: Gas Sales Agreement


PPA: Power Purchase Agreement

SPC: Special Purpose Company

O&M: Operation and Maintenance

FSRU CA: FSRU Charter Agreement


GTA: Gas Transportation Agreement
LNG PSA: LNG Purchase Sales Agreement
LNG TA: LNG Transportation Agreement

4.1-17

13 LNG FSRU LNG LNG FSRU


LNG

14

4 - 22

8)

LNG 14 USD/MMbtu

9)

LNG
a)

kWh LNG

11.3 cent/kWh

b)

kWh LNG

0.8 cent/kWh

c)

kWh

12.1 cent/kWh

(5) FSRU
FSRU LNG 2012 7
PGN
4.1-18
LNG LNG 2011 12

LNG Terminal

LNG Carrier (1)


FSRU (2)

(3)

- Tanjung Priok P/S


- Muara Karang P/S

(1) LNG Transportation Agreement between PT. Nusantara Regas and Mitsui OSK Lines
(2) FSRU Lease Agreement between PT. Nusantara Regas and Golar LNG Energy
(3) Gas Purchase Sales Agreement between PT. Nusantara Regas and PLN
JICA

4.1-18

LNG

4 - 23

FSRU 2010 10
Golar LNG Energy

PLN 15
LNG 2

LNG 20162017

4.1.5

(1)
LNG LNG 2
3

23 23

16

MPTAMyanmar
Petroleum Trade Association 17
MPPEMyanmar Petroleum Product Enterprise

1)

MPEMyanmar Petrochemical Enterprise

18

2)

15 PLNPT. PLN (Persero)


16 High Speed Duesel OilHSD
17
18

4 - 24

(2)
IPP 1)

1)

Ministry of Commerce Import License IPP


IPP Oil
JettyOil unloaderOil storage tanks

2)

3)

2014

2015
IPP

(3)

EPD

Light oil (HSD)

: Kyat 4,300/gallon (USD 154/barrel) as retail price

MPTA : USD 3.2/gallon (USD 112/barrel)


(CIF)
Diesel oil: USD 3.0/gallon (USD 105/barrel),
Gasoline: USD 3.9/gallon (USD 136.5/barrel)
MPPE : USD 4.05/gallon (USD 142/barrel) for Embassy without tax
USD 4.45/gallon (USD 156/barrel) for Partner Oil/Gas Companies with tax

Crude oil

EPD

Heavy fuel oil 19 EPD

: Kyat 59,000/barrel (USD 60/barrel)


: Kyat

2,000/gallon (USD 71/barrel)

CIFCost, Insurance and Freight


IPP
(4) On-going
Dual Firing
On-going Dual

19

4 - 25

Firing
1) Dual Firing
2)
2 4.1-8
4.1-8
Location

Output MW)

COD

Existing

Dual Firing

Liquid Fuel System


Tank Capacity

Ongoing

Kyungchung

Existing

1974

54.30

Mann

Existing

1980

36.90

Shwedaung

Existing

1984

55.35

Mawlamyaing

Existing

1980

12.00

Myanaung

Existing

1975/1984

34.70

Thaton

Existing

1985/2001

50.95

Hlawga

Existing GT/ST

1996/1999

154.2

2013.05(25MW)
2015-2016(25MW)

25.0

1980/2004

70.3

MSP

2013.07

50.0

EGAT

2014.02

240.0

1995/1999

154.2

2013.05

82.0

Local

Zeya
Ywama

Exsisting GT/ST

25.0

50,000 gal

200,000 gal

Yangon
Ahlone

Exsisting GT/ST
Toyo-Thai

2015-2016
Thaketa

Exsisting GT/ST
CIC

Existing

On-going

39.0

1990/1997

92.0

2013.08

50.0

Possible

Installed

Impossible

Uninstalled

200,000 gal

200,000 gal

: Additional Liquid Fuel System will be required

Dual Firing

Ywama EGAT 20240MW Ahlone


Toyo-Thai82MW
20 EGATEletricity Generating Authority of Thailand

4 - 26

4.1.6

2030

(1)
25 4.1-5 4.1-19 6

4.1-9 2012 5 P1Proven


P2ProbableP3PossibleP4Potential21 4.8 ton
2013 5 5.4 ton
2P2012 5 2.3
ton MOMMinistry of Mines

21
90%

4 - 27

INDIA

CHINA
Kalewa Area

Chindwin

Lasio Area

Chittagong

Minbu Area
Mandalay
Thanlwin

Tigyit Area

South Shan Area

Naypyidaw
Sittoung

Ayeyawaddy

Yangon

THAILAND

Bangkok

Peninsula Area

4.1-19

4 - 28

4.1-9
No.

Location

Township

State/Region

Kalewa

Kalewa

Sagaing

Darthwekyauk

Tamu

Sagaing

3
4
5
6
7

Paluzawa
Mawleikgyi Ch.
Kyopin
Lweji
Kawmapyin

Mawlike
Mawlike
Kawlin
Bamoh
Tanintharyi

Sagaing
Sagaing
Sagaing
Kachin
Tanintharyi

Mawtaung

Tanintharyi

Tanintharyi

Karathuri

Bokpyin

Tanintharyi

10

Banchaung

Dawe

Tanintharyi

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

The Pyuchaung
Wungyichaung
Tasu-Letpanhla
Kyesi-Mansan
Kholan
Tigyit
Kyasakan-Minpalaung
Mankyaung

Kyainseikkyi
Seikphyu
Pauk
Kyesi-Mansan
Namsam
Pin Laung
Ywangan
Tanyang

Kayin
Magwe
Magwe
Shan (South)
Shan (South)
Shan (South)
Shan (South)
Shan (North)

19

Manpan-Monma

Tanyang

Shan (North)

20

Harput

Tanyang

Shan (North)

21

Sale (Mansele)

Lasio

Shan (North)

22

Sanya

Lasio

Shan (North)

23

Sintaung

Lasio

Shan (North)

24

Namma

Lasio

Shan (North)

25

Narkon

Lasio

Shan (North)

26

Narlan

Lasio

Shan (North)

27

Namlinhkan

Lasio

Shan (North)

28

Sanlaung

Thipaw

Shan (North)

29

Mahkaw

Thipaw

Shan (North)

30
31

Wankyan (Namlap)
Hoko

Kyaington
Kyaington

Shan (East)
Shan (East)

32

Mainghkok

Maingsat

Shan (East)

33
34

Narparkaw
Kywesin

Maington
Ingapu
Total

Shan (East)
Ayeyarwady

Reserves
(Million ton)
4.615
17.831
65.335
33.000
5.000
89.000
0.810
2.230
0.200
2.030
1.800
1.800
1.220
1.500
1.175
18.000
1.068
0.808
1.030
18.110
3.490
20.700
0.220
1.052
3.365
3.841
5.240
0.469
5.462
0.149
1.213
0.048
0.072
0.851
5.825
0.683
2.800
0.692
1.044
0.925
1.574
0.200
0.826
0.048
0.339
0.549
1.870
1.000
0.256
16.660
1.190
117.700
3.680
10.930
1.500
483.025

Category

Coal Rank

P1
P2
P3
P2
P4
P4
P3
P2
P3
P2
P2
P3
P4
P4
P3
P4
P4
P2
P2
P2
P2
P2
P3
P3
P3
P4
P2
P3
P4
P3
P4
P2
P3
P4
P2
P3
P2
P2
P3
P4
P2
P3
P4
P2
P3
P4
P2
P2
P3
P2
P2
P2
P3
P3
P4

Sub-bituminous
Ditto
Ditto
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Sub-bituminous
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Lignite
Sub-bituminous
Lignite

Lignite

Lignite
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Lignite
Lignite~Sub-bituminous
Lignite
Lignite~Sub-bituminous

Department of Geological Survey & Mineral Exploration

4 - 29

(2)
3

2014 1
56 3
DOMDepartment of Mine 90

(3)
4.1-10 4.1-11
2006 142 ton
2011 Kalaywa 22Namma
3
Maw Taung
4.1-10 4.1-11
Mine Khoke 2014

4.1-11 Kalewa 540 MW


Keng Tong600 MW
4.2.2

4.1-10
Year
20052006
20062007
20072008
20082009
20092010
20102011
20112012
20122013

Yearly ProductionThousand ton


1,150
1,420
1,004
532
443
556
733
790

Department of Geological Survey & Mineral Exploration

22 Kalewa

4 - 30

Coal Mine

4.1-11

Company Name
1959-2001 2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
No.(3) Mining Enterprise
444,225
13,808
11,773
17,091
15,002
12,250
7,870
6,016
Kalaywa
Namma
No.(3) Mining Enterprise
502,507
30,200
40,000
55,000
55,000
55,400
42,800
25,000
Lwejel
Arawaddy Myit Phya Co., Ltd.
7,000
3,200
1,700
2,400
700
Samlong (Large Scale)
Triple 'A' Cement International Co., Ltd.
101,173
44,731
60,800
111,000
119,400
67,800
100,000
72,000
Maw Taung
Myanma Economic Corporation
553,973
531,248
431,375
771,819
799,878
623,295
515,206
228,592
Ti-gyit
Edin Energy Natural Resources Development Co., Ltd.
58,095
324,906
553,089
466,136
Ma Khaw
UE Export Import Co., Ltd.
3,232
6,768
12,320
35,801
Paluzawa
Tun Thwin Mining Co., Ltd.
30,000
87,050
20,250
Samlong (Small Scale)
Triple 'A' Cement International Co., Ltd.
35,000
28,912
61,521
60,000
Na-Shan
Ming Htet Co., Ltd.
2,000
22,440
Mapan/Mongma
Ming Htet Co., Ltd.
31,500
35,000
Ngweyi Pale Mining Co., Ltd.
6,550
33,450
Kongbaung/Nakon
Kaung Pon Chaung
Ngweyi Pale Mining Co., Ltd.
Ngweyi Pale Mining Co., Ltd.
Maipar
Maw Leik Kyi Chaung
Geo Asia Industry and Mining Co., Ltd.
Yangon City Development Committee
Dah Thway Kyauk
Mine Khoke
Myanma Economic Corporation
Ban Chaung
May Flower Mining Enterprise Ltd.(1+2+3)
Ban Chaung
May Flower Mining Enterprise Ltd. (4+5+6)
Kywe Tayar Taung
Myanmar Naing Mining Group Co., Ltd.
Kyak Sakhan
Yangon City Development Committee
Kayauk Ohn Chaung
Myanma Economic Corporation
Dah Thway Kyauk & Pazun Seik Dagon Mining Co., Ltd.
Nang Tang
Tun Kywel Paw Co., Ltd.
Kyun Pin Pyant
Tun Kyawe Paw Co., Ltd
Thantaung Kywin
Shwe Ohn Pwint Co., Ltd.
Shwe Taung Mining Co., Ltd.
Paluzawa
Dah Thway Kyauk
G4 Mining Co., Ltd.
G4 Mining Co., Ltd.
Miinpalaung
Wah-Ye Chaung
Max Myanmar Co., Ltd.
Dragon Cement Co., Ltd.
Three Small Scale
Pinlong
Mega Strength Co., Ltd.
Thukha Panthu Co., Ltd.
Kyak Sakhan
Sintaung
UE Export Import Co., Ltd.
Kyak Sakhan
Young Investment Group Industry Co., Ltd.
Dah Thway Kyauk
Young Investment Group Industry Co., Ltd.
Thit Chauk & Labin Chaung
Hoo International Industry Group Co., Ltd.
Harput
Ruby Garden Mining Co., Ltd.
Maw Ku
Geo Asia Industry and Mining Co., Ltd.
Hein Latt
Yuzana Cement Industrial Co., Ltd.
Nan Pan Moon Chaung
Mandalay Distribution and Mining Co., Ltd.
Loon Taung
Myanmar Kauntoun Industry
Kholan
Min Anawyahta Group Co., Ltd.
Na-ngwe
Ngweyi Pale Mining Co., Ltd.
Mahu Taung
Shwe Innwa Mining & Industry Co., Ltd.
Pharse & Matpaing
Shan Yoma Goal & Product Co., Ltd.
Kyauk Sak
Thunder Lion Mining Co., Ltd.
Shwe Chaung
Lu Paung Sak Su Way Mining Co., Ltd.
Makar
Kanbawza Industry Group Co., Ltd.
Kantote
Pothar Mining Co.,Ltd
Shan Tut
YaungNi Mining Co.,Ltd
Kyat Sakhan
Thukha Panthu Co., Ltd.
Naungtaya/Tigyit
Big Power Co.,Ltd
Kantote
Soe Yadana Oo Co.,Ltd.
Thanpayar kaing
Myint Myat Chan Aye Mining Co.,Ltd.
NaungLai
Tiger Horn Co.,Ltd.
Ohmyaytwin
Zabuthit Mining Co.,Ltd.
Kantote
Ingyin Taung Co.,Ltd.
Ngaw Taung
Nyeinchan Seinphyarmyay Kabar Co.,Ltd.
Ohmyaytwin
Myanmar AhtutAhteik Mining Co.,Ltd.
Ahlinthit Year Mining Co.,Ltd.
Kaung Ai
Kone Paung
Shan Yoma Goal & Product Co., Ltd.
Total
1,601,878
626,987
547,148
956,610 1,088,007 1,150,031 1,419,906 1,004,685
Note : 2013-2014 Production is up to December 2013. No.(1) & (2) is State-owned and already transferred to private. No. (5),(6) are permitted by Department of Mine.

No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
24,407

1,137

442,669

12,000

5,000

2,200

532,393

290,097
5,130
20,065
36,092
39,000
39,000
38,940

206,549
28,400
15,096
27,000
9,800
15,100
30,040

4 - 31

555,793

1,011.5
278
472

46,000

60,000
43,085
244,136
15,025
10,245
40,000
25,000
37,000
37,090

2010-11
2,000
1,300

2009-10
8,946
17,601
30,000
48,000

2008-09
6,012
12,600

20,400

6,700
1,200 3,900
3,000
800
21,000
1,260
480
2,300
110
120

900

500
800
900

732,518

1,500
3,100
915
27,613
3,650
680
2,550
335
1,420
3,650
300
800
530
300
120
750
200
236,758

3,400

3,200

10,600
2,000
6,300
6,100
1,715
48,613
4,910
1,160
4,850
445
1,540
3,650
300
800
530
300
120
750
200
11,685,817

24,500

3,100
47,575
4,080

31,000
79,634
6,280
4,662
335
3,000
17,673
1,050
300
38,772
5,505
535
1,547
35,100

61,800
4,600

(Unit: ton)
Total
544,993
837,408
49,500
1,036,277
4,498,471
2,795,363
133,776
236,799
327,480
128,532
253,668
325,215
11,008
1,400
33,496
6,500

790,434

1,000
17,475
650

113

11,551

2,100
27,680
2,430

12,500

17,400
3,551.00
71

2,420
1,000

850
766
335
950
4,050
550

8,100
4,600

9,600

31,000 14,724 4,430


1,880

33,700

2,430
6,500 -

10,045
42,500
3,758
1,400
750

11,637
8,600
15,941

26,524

2013-2014

302,598
12,000
22,237
13,066 5,653 31,737
81,500
6,950

85,965

2012-13

1,250
13,623
500
300
9,821
942
73
1,075 13,000

800

39,366
1,000
2,016

20,000

11,116

338,120
6,500
15,915
25,889
24,639
54,286
55,145
300

4,500
92,884

2011-12

(4)
41 thousand
ton (6%)

4.1-20 20102011

290 thousand
ton (42%)

42% Tigyit
60MW 2 Units

(7)Tigyit

362 thousand
ton (52%)

Power
Cement & Other Industry
Household

Sector-wise Coal Consumption (2010-2011)

(5)

2013

4.1-20

6,000 kcal/kg
Kalewa JICA 3,300 kcal/kg4,500 kcal/kg

4.1-12 1 ton
4.1-12 Lasio
HGIHard Grove Index23 2027

4.1-12

Location
Region

County

State

Fixed
Volatile
Moisture
Carbon (%) Matter (%)
(%)
52.51
38.62
9.70

Kalewa

Kalewa

Sagain

Darthwekyauk

Tamu

Sagain

50.00

Paluzawa

Mawlike

Sagain

41.47

Proximate Analysis
Sulfur
Ash (%)
(%)
8.87
1.00

<1

12,000

2,56

10,153

5,641

9,169

5,094

0.4

5,890

3,272

0.96

10,185
7,720 ~
8,370
11,345

5,658
4,289 ~
4,650
6,303

Kyesi

Shan (South)

35.60

48.98

13.29

15.36

Tigyit

Pinlaung

Shan (South)

33.81

34.40

18.51

13.27

Wankyan

Kyaington

Shan (East)

23.00

23.00

40.00

8,50

Mainghkok

Maingsat

Shan (East)

45.00
25.93 ~
28.07
40.87

26.31 ~
31.89
38.95

7.49

1.86
14.83 ~
15.39
20.05

Maington

Shan (East)

Banchaung

Dawei

Tanintharyi

6,667

45.32

Kyesi-Mansan

Narparkaw

Heating Value
Btu/lb
kcal/kg
11,720
6,511

1.47

Department of Geological Survey & Mineral Exploration

23 Hard Grove Index40

4 - 32

(6)

ADBAsian Development Bank


2012 10
Kalewa

40,000 Kyats/ton

7,00025,000 Kyats/ton


2013 1
Kalewa 40,00050,000 Kyats/tonFOB 2455,50073,000 Kyats/ton

36,00046,000 Kyats/tonFOB56,00066,000 Kyats/ton

HPGEHydropower Generation Enterprise Kalewa


60,000 Kyats/ton Tigyit
30,000 Kyats/ton
2013 3 2012
FOB
6,500 kcal/kgGAR 25 USD 90/ton
3,400 kcal/kgGAR USD 30/ton

USD 1 = Kyats 975


Heating Value
(kcal/kg)

FOB
(USD/ton)

Transportation
(USD/ton)

Kalewa

6,111

41 ~ 51

17 ~ 22

Lasio 1

5,789

37 ~ 47

21

Lasio 2

5,429

36

15

Tigyit

3,920

Indonesia 1

6,500

90

late 2012

Indonesia 2

3,400

30

late 2012

Location
JCOAL
Report

By
HPGE

CIF
(USD/ton)
58 ~ 73
at Mandalay
58 ~ 68
at Mandalay
51
at Mandalay
31

Remarks
Transportation fees are different
by dry and wet seasons

for Mine Mouth Power Station

WCR
*JCOALJapan Coal Energy Center

24 FOBFree on Board
25 Gross, As Received

4 - 33

20302031

10 ton
10 78.5 USD/ton

20 USD/ton

20 USD/ton
CIF 6,000 kcal/kg USD 110/ton

National Grid

(7) Tigyit
Tigyit Kalaw 40 km
60MW 2 1 2004 12 24 2 2005 5
3 30MW 2miles
Tigyit 1.5miles
1)

(a)
(b)
(c)

(d)

2)

1 10,100 Btu/lb5,611 kcal/kg

4 - 34

7,050 Btu/lb3,917 kcal/kg


2013 11 10,100 Btu/lb
8,100 Btu/lb4,500
kcal/kg
7,200 Btu/lb4,000
kcal/kg

(a)
(b)
(c)

3)

2013 11 21

(a) EPElectrostatistic Precipitator

(b) 150m 80m


(c)
(d) NOxNitrogen OxideSOxSulfur Oxide

(e)

4)

2014 1

4 - 35

5)

4 - 36

#2

#2

4 - 37

(8) Tigyit
1)

Tigyit
Tigyit Tigyit
2013 11 22
2.68 km2544 acre
115.859 million m3 26 5.65 m3/ton 2004 8
20122013 27.6 million m3

750,000 ton

2)

2,000 ton

27 years

4.1-13 Tigyit
4.1-13

Tigyit

Year

Target production (T)


ton

Actual production (A)


ton

(A)/(T) 100
%

20052006

640,000

428,903

67

20062007

ditto

507,188

79

20072008

ditto

466,138

73

20082009

ditto

276,873

65

20092010

ditto

413,042

64

20102011

ditto

450,000

70

20112012

ditto

450,000

70

20122013

ditto

300,000

47

Total

4,903,500

3,292,144

67
Tigyit

Tigyit
Coal Sales Agreement

26 1ton

4 - 38

Coal Sales Agreement 7,000 Btu/lb


1 Btu/lb 1.5 Kyat/ton
3)

4 - 39

4.1.7

(1)

20122013 33.4% 27

2013 11
MOLFRDMinsitry of Livestock, Fisheries and Rural Development
Rural Energy Development Supporting Committee
Rural Region Electrification and Water Supply
Committee MOST
Ministry of Science and Technology
MESMyanmar Engineering Society
4.1-14
4.1-14

Production

Type of Energy

Research
& Education

Central
Government

Off-Grid
Local
Government

Private
Company

On-Grid
Central
Private
Government
Company

Solar Power

MOST

MOI*2, DRD*3

MOEP*3

Mini-Hydro

MOST

MOAI, MOI*2,
DRD*3, MOEP*1

Wind Power

MOST

MOI*2

MOEP*3

Biogas (Cow dung)

MOST

MOST

MOST

MOST

Biofuel
(Jetropha, etc.)

Biomass (Woodchip,
Rice husk, Refuse, etc.)

MOST

MOI*2,

MOST,
DRD*3

(Diesel/Gas Engine)

ESE 28/MOI*2

MOEP

Geothermal Power

MOEP*3

Tidal Power

MES

Under study stage

*1: Transfer to Local Government, *2: MOI sells equipment, *3: Tendering for Investors

JICA

27 2013 8 28%2013 11

28 ESEElectricity Supply EnterpriseLocal


Government

4 - 40

4.1-14

1)

10MW 2013

Myanmar Investment Committee

2)

DRDDepartmentof Rural Development29


20132014

3)

4)

MOAIMinistry of
Agriculture and Irrigation

5)

CIGS 30Invertor
Battery

6)

National Grid 2miles


31

National Grid
3 1

29
30 CIGS
31 50%50%

4 - 41

(2) Rural Region Electrification and Water Supply Committee


2013 9 9 9 19 1

Ministry of CooperativeMOECAF
Ministry of Environmental Conservation and Forestry
Ministry of ConstructionMES
MREAMyanmar Renewable Energy Association
32

1)

2)

3)

4)

5)

6)

7)

8)

9)

10)
11)

12)
(3)

1)

32 1

4 - 42

2)

3)

(a)

(b)
(c
(d) 1 4 20 Kyats

4)

(4)
4.1-15
1)

SHSSolar Home System


SHS 4.1-15

2)

a)

SHS/Household

Solar panel
Battery

80 ~ 90 watt
12v/65Ah

Inverter
Controller
LED bulb

300 watt
10 watt

LED bulb

5 watt 1

3 watt 2
: , May 2014

2012 12 86,480W
153 4.1-16

4 - 43

4.1-16
No.

Location

No. of Village

Installed
Capacity (W)

No.

Location

No. of Village

Installed
Capacity (W)

Mon State

3,257

Magway Division

2,390

Rakhine State

1,715

Irrawaddy Division

24

5,710

Yangon Division

6,653

Tanintharyi Division

6,220

Mandalay Division

14,975

10

Narga

40

21,660

Pago Division

21

5,705

11

Naypyitaw

1,705

Sagaing Division

30

16,560

153

86,550

Total

December, 2012

b)

2013
4.1-17
4.1-17

Solar panel

250 watt solar panel 12 pieces = 3000 watt

Battery

12 V/200 Ah

LED for home

3 watt (5 hours use) 200

LED for street post

5 watt 40

User

100 household

Power/household

28 watt/household
, May 2014

c)

4.1-18
4.1-18

Name

Location

Type

3kW-GTI
Government Technical Institute Stand-alone group
(Monocryatalline Solar Module)
(Putao), Kachin State
Mounted
3kW-GTHS
(Amorphous Solar Modules)

Technical High School


(Khamtee), Sagain Region

Ditto

Start Date

Cost (USD)

2008/04/01

40,000

2009/07/18

33,700

, 2010

4 - 44

(5)
1)

2012 12 475kW 38 4.1-19

4.1-19

No.
1
2

Location
Kachin State
Thanintharyi Division
75kW Francis Turbine (2 sets)
30kW Hydro Turbine (3 sets)
5kW Mini Hydro Turbine (32 sets)

No. of Village
1

Installed Capacity (kW)


75

37

400

Total

38

475
2012 12

2)

2013 14,000 3,320kW


33 4.1-20
4.1-20

No.

Location

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Naypyidaw
Yangon Division
Mandalay Division
Ayeyarwady Division
Sagaing Division
Bago Division
Magway
Tanintharyi Division
Southern Shan State
Northern Shan State
Kayah State
Mon State
Rakhine State
Chin Sate
Kayin State
Total

No. of Installed Unit


Micro
Mini
2
2
23
28
1
4
1
8
2
11
1
4
13
1
3
2
2
2
1
1
100

12

No. of
Household
150
100
3,350
2,000
600
1,050
1,900
150
1,000
1,500
100
150
800
1,100
50
14,000

Installed Capacity
(kW)
30
8
302
740
284
236
204
22
192
500
8
9
180
600
5

W/Household 34

3,320

Average: 215

200
80
90
370
473
225
107
147
192
333
80
60
225
545
100
2013

33 5 kW - 100 kWMini100 kW 1,000 kW


34 Watt

4 - 45

3)

4.1-21
4.1-21

Output

Location

Type

Start Date

3 kW

Central Workshop (Kyaukse),


MOST

Vertical type, 4 blades system of Propeller


Turbine

2009/01/10

7 kW

Ditto

Ditto
2010 6

4)

4.1-22

4.1-22

Electrified Area
Towns
Villages

Number of
Plants

Number of
Machines

Installed
capacity (kW)

kachin

6,460

Kayah

118

Kayin

62

Chin

17

3,113

Sagaing

1,310

Tanintharyi

392

Bago

2,000

Mondalay

4,450

Mon

192

Shan

11

24

15,230

10

10

Total

32

71

33,327

30

44

Region/State

25

4
1

3
1

2013 9

(6)
2012 6 175
25,50,100 m3 525 kW
4.1-23

4 - 46

4.1-23
Digester Size
(m3)
50
10
8
35
15
100
50
35
25
8
50
15
10
50
25
50
25
10
60
25
50
15
5
10
10
35
35
8

Location

Type

Date
Started
2003
2009
2008
2012
2012
2008
2002

Nay Pyi Taw


Division

Mandalay
Division

2009
2009
2009
2004
2010
2009

Sagaing

Magway

2004
2009
2005
2009
2009
2010

Fixed Dome
Type

Shan State (N)


Shan State (E)
Shan Stage (S)

Purpose/Objective
Electricity
Electricity, Cooking and Lighting
Cooking and Lighting
Demonstration
Demonstration

Electricity

Cooking and Lighting


Electricity
Cooking and Lighting

No. of Biogas
Plant (No.)
6
5
8
1
2
1
102
4
2
3
23
1
1
8
1
1
1
1
1

Electricity

Cooking

Ayeyarwaddy
Mon

2009
2009
2010
2010
2009
2012

Cooking and Lighting


Electricity
Pumping

1
1
2
1
2
1

Yangon
Rakhine
Shan State (E)

2012
2012
2012

Electricity
Electricity
Cooking and Lighting

1
1
1

Kayah
Kachin

Electricity

Total

183
2012 6

1
29
50%50%
50% 100%
4 - 47

(7)
1)

4 4
4.1-24

4.1-24
No.

Location

No. of Village

Completed Amount

Chin State

3 sets (8 kW)

Mandalay Division

1 set

4 sets

Total

, Dec. 2012

MRAMyanmar Rice Association


NEDONew Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization

2)

4.1-25

500 kW
4.1-25

Location

Prawn Hatchery (Ge Wa, Taung Koat Township, Rakhine State)


Technological University (Htarwel)
Technological High School (Gantgaw)
Mel Zel Village, Loi Kor Township, Kayah State
Technical High School (Putao)
Technological University (Mawlamyine)
No(1) Motorcar Industry Department, Yangon, MOI (2)
Gasifier Project, Renewable Energy Department,
Technological University (Kyaukse)

Capacity
(kW)
30
50
50
50

2004
2009
2009
2009

Cost
(USD)
7,500
9,400
7,800
9,400

50
50
50

2009
2009
2009

9,400
9,400
9,400

50

2009

9,400

Date started

2010

4 - 48

(8)
1)

1 4.1-26
4.1-26

No.

Location

No. of Village

Installed Capacity

Irrewaddy Division

500 kVA
2012 12

2)

3 kW
Shwetharlyoub 4.1-27
4.1-27

Name

Location

Type

1.2 kW
Wind
Turbine

Momastery, Dattaw
Mountain, Kyaukse
Township, Mandalay Region

1.2 kW
Wind
Turbine

Direct Driven,
Government Technical High
Horizontal Type and Three Blades
School (Ahmar), Ayeyarwady
System using Axial-Flux Permanent
Region
Magnet Generator

3 kW
Wind
Turbine

Wind Energy Project Group


(Kyaukse), MOST

Radial-flux,
Permanent Magnet Generator,
Three Blades System

Direct Driven,
Horizontal Type and Three Blades
System of Wind Turbine, using
Axial-flux Permanent Magnet Generator

Date started

Cost
(USD)

July 7, 2008

2,000

April 16, 2010

2,300

January 10,
2009

3,000

2010

(9)

4.1-28 2014

4 - 49

4.1-28 2014
No.

No ; of electrified townships/
villages with diesel generator
25

Regions

No. of diesel
generator
59

Capacity
(kW)
5,426.4

Kachin

2
3
4
5
6
7

Kayah
Kayin
Chin
Sagaing
Tanintharyi
Bago(East)

17
23
11
36
16
3

27
42
33
86
26
17

958.4
5,656.4
3,162.4
10,059
5,346.8
1,012.4

8
9
10
11
12
13

Bago(West)
Magway
Mandalay
Mon
Rakhine
Yangon

6
1
7
58
-

6
27
17
18
108
-

380.4
3,858.4
1,617.6
3,502.4
22,942
-

14
15
16
17
18

Shan (Southern)
Shan (Northern)
Shan (East)
Ayeyarwady
Naypyitaw

42
21
28
8
-

64
42
73
27
22

302

694

Total

2,432
4,324.24
7,719
1,773.8
6,472
86,643.6

4.1-29
4.1-29
Name of
Town/Village
Kawaza
Lamie
Katoe
Ye
Machanbaw

Mon
Ditto
Ditto
Thanin
Kachin

70
470
61
540
128

Naungmone
Saunparabon
Kaunglanpue
Pannandin

Ditto
Ditto
Ditto
Ditto

63
59
7
7

State

Output (kW)

Total No. of
Households
4,812
18,580
872
19,794
488
299
154
144
267

No. of Users
(HH)
364
396
251
3,074
219
136
133
41
40

W/
Household 35
200
1,200 36
240
180
580

Available
Hours/Day
2 hours/day
2 hours/day
1.45 hours/day
24 hours/day
2.15 hours/day

460
3.2 hours/day
440
3 hours/day
170
2.5 hours/day
180
3 hours/day
Average 306 except Lamie
, 2014

35 Watt
36 W/Household

4 - 50

46,106 kW 370500 Kyats/kWh


10
(10) WBWorld Bank
WB 3 2014 8
8 4
1)

Geospatial least cost electrification rollout plan

SHS

3
99%
37
10 15
Pre-electrification
Pre-electrification SHS
20
50% 5,000 250,000
2030 99% 7.2
2.53.0 GW
58 USD 38800USD/

2)

20152019
20152019 1.7
125,000 SHS
Pre-electrification

650 USD 24
USD
40 22 USD

37
38

4 - 51

11 USD
0.25 USD

2019 54 USD2030 528 USD 39


3)


Exective Secretariat 40

SHS

SHS


SHS

39 567 USD
40 2014 8 8 U Khin Maung Win, Director General JICA
WB Executive Management Committee for Implementation
WB
NEMC
U Khin Maung Win

4 - 52

(11) ADB
ADB 2014 3 2122

1)

1 ADB
ADB
SHS ADB 40%
2014 4

2)

3)

4)

(12)

MOUMemorandum of Understanding 5

4 - 53

4.2

20302031
5
20302031 20302031
20302031
4.2-1
2014 6 JICA 5 3

4 - 54

Thermal

Ywama
Kyaukphyu (New)
Thilawa

4 - 55

Rental
Rental

CIC

MSP

Zeya
Zeya

Toyo-Thai
Toyo-Thai
Myanmar Lighting
Myanmar Lighting
Hydrolancang (Cnina)
Hydrolancang (Cnina)
BKB (Korea)
BKB (Korea)
UREC (China)
UREC (China) N1
Dawei Power Utilities
Dawei Power Utilities N2
Myn Gyan
Yangon
Yangon

EGAT
MOEP
Yangon

Keng Tong
(Shan State)
Thilawa (New)
Ngaputaw

Yangon-Kyauktan

GT
ST
GTCC
GTCC

20

2015

600
360
700
Sub Total

Coal
Coal
9370

250

2017-2018

500

Domestic
50%

Cumulative
Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative

360
700
9120 Cumulative
Each year

600

1300

540

2017-2018

540

1300

550

under
discussion

550

under
discussion
under
discussion
2017
2021

1280
300
990
1980
270

2018-2019
2016
2018
2020
2018-2019

4062

50

50

82

25
25

84
37
98
132
243
243
167
336
100
400
200
300
250
400
500

240
50
50

2013.5
2015
Commissioning
2013.7
Commissioning
2013.7
2013

2013
2014.9
2015
2016
2021
2021
2023
2023
2015
2027
2022
2023
2015.8
2025
2024

2013
2016
2015

Available Capacity for


Myanmar (MW)

1280
300
990
1980
270

Sub Total

82
4.4
20 GE

50 GE

50 GE

25 GE
25 GE

84
37
98
132
243
243
167
336
100
400
200
300
250
400
500

240 GT
50 GT
50

COD

1.1

182
98

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

170
1211
212

701
212

489
307
25

80

132

630
630

360

270

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2018

2017

340

2017

2016

170

100

37

50
50
340

-82
-4.4
20
170
210.3 211.4
999
534.3 633.4
534.3 99.1 365.6

82
3.3

50

50

25

84

98

240

2016

240
84

2015

2014

2014 2015
240

2013

930
300

300

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2019

2018

1205
275

275

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2020

2019

350
1805
600

250

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2021

2020

2105
300

300

170
1454
243

944
243

243

340

2022

2021

2105
0

170
1897
443

1387
443

200

243

340

2023

2022

20302031

Installed Capacity
(MW)

Coal

Coal

Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Yangon-Htantapin (Htoo Coal
Group)
Ngayukong (Ayarwaddy
Coal
Division,Tata)
Kalewa
Coal
(Sagaing Division)
Boakpyin
Coal
(Tanintharyi State)

Coal-fired Mon-Yee (Toyo-Thai)


Future
Yangon-Kunchangon
(Virtue Land)

(Sub Total)

Kyause (New)
Kyaukpyu (New)
Kanpouk

Thaketa

Ywama

Gas Engine Hlawga

(Sub Total)

Myin Gyan (New)


Hlaingtharyar (New)
Ayeyarwaddy (New)

Kanpouk (New)

Thaketa

Hlawga

(Sub Total)
Combined Ahlone
Cycle
Mawlamyaing

Gas
Turbine

Project

4.2-1

2105
0

170
2064
167

1554
167

167

2405
300

300

170
2900
836

500
2390
836

336

340

2025

2024

340

2024

2023

3910
605

275

330

170
3700
400

3190
400

400

340

2027

2026

350
4940
1030

350

330

170
4000
300

3490
300

300

340

2028

2027

5850
910

250

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2029

2028

7160
1310

300

350

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2030

2029

7820
660

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2031

2030

JICA

3305
900

300

270

330

170
3300
400

2790
400

400

340

2026

2025

4.2.1

4.1-6

(1)
1)

30C

2)

Gas Turbine World 2013 Performance Specs 29th Edision


ISO 41

Type

Correction

GT (Simple Cycle)

91%

GTCC

93%

GE

96%

Once-Through

3)

PPAPower Purchase Agreement 75%

2013 11

4)

40 Thaton

Thaketa

41 15C

4 - 56

5)

4.1-7 GCV
NCV 42
GCV NCV
M3
Zawtika LNG

Yadana LNG

NCV
kcal/m3

Gas
Source

Btu/ft3

On-shore

965

8,581

Yadana

686

6,099

Shwe

938

8,337

Zawtika

897

7,971

M3

Ditto

Ditto

LNG

1,040

9,250

(2)
(1)ISO Gas Tubrine World 2013 Performance Specs 29th
Edition

JICA Gas Tubrine World ISO


(1)2) 4.2-2
UREC 43 2400MW Dawei Power 2400MW
2020 JICA

Ayeyarwady/Yangon500MWHlaingtharyar400MW UREC 2400MW


1,500C
4.2-2
13%

400500MW
20242025
7,000MW 400500MW
42 Net calofic valueLHVLower heating vale
43 Union Resources & Engineering Company

4 - 57

4.2-2

Machine Type

Installed Capacity
(MW) 44

Gas Sources

Efficiency 45

Myanmar Lighting

GTCC

98

Zawtika

46.5

Ditto

GTCC

132

Ditto

47.3

Hydrolancang

GTCC

243
Unknown

48.7

Ditto

GTCC

243

GT

167

Location.

Project

Mawlamyaing

Hlawga
BKB 46 1

31.6
Unknown

Ditto 2 (add-on)

GTCC

503

49.2

UREC 1

GTCC

100

Zawtika

46.5

UREC 2

GTCC

400

Unknown

54.4

MOEP

GT

50 (252)

Shwe

31.7

Rental GE

GE

4.4

Ditto

44.2

GE

GE

20

Zawtika

44.2

GTCC

200

Thaketa

Kyaukphyu

Kanbauk

Dawei Power 1

50.0
Unknown

Dawei Power 2

GTCC

300

49.8

Myin Gyan

GTCC

250

Shwe

48.7

GE

82

Ditto

44.2

GTCC

400

Unknown

54.4

GT

50

Zawtika

31.7

GTCC

500

Unknown

56.7

Mandalay
Kyause (Rental GE)
Hlaingtharyar
Yangon
Thilawa
Ayeyarwady/Yangon

JICA

(3)
4.2-3 mmscfd
bbtud 47
4.2-3 20202021
Unknown
44
45
46
47

30C

Busan Korea Biotechnical Company


MKPMyanmar Korea Power
Billion British Thermal per Day

4 - 58

mmscfd
4.2-3
COD

Location

Local

Output
(MW)*1

Required Gas
(MMSCFD)

Required Gas (BBTUD)


Gas Source

Kyungchung

Existing

1974

54.0

18

20132014
16.5

Mann

Existing (Spare)

1980

37.0

Shwedaung

Existing

1984

55.0

27

17.6

Existing (Demolition)

1980

12.0

12.8

Mawlamyaing

Myanmar Lighting 1

2014.05

98.0

15

Myanmar Lighting 2

2016-17

132.0

20

20142015

20152016

2016-2030

Onshore
Yadana

Zawtika

17.3

Myanaung

Existing

1975/1984

34.7

17

11.1

Yadana

Thaton

Existing

1985/2001

51/106

19

16.2

Zawtika

Subtotal of Existing

61.2

74.8

Ditto + Others

62.0

Existing

Hlawga

Zeya

Ahlone

25.4

2013.05

25.0

5.2

2015-16

25.0

5.2

2021-22

243.0

2022-23

243.0
70.0

28

18.2

50.0

16.6

10.8

EGAT

2014.04

240.0

80

52.0

Toyo-Thai

BKB (Korea)

1995/1999

154.0

39

25.4

2013.05(GT)

84.0

29.8

19.4

2015-16(ST)

37.0

1990/1997

92.0

22

18.7

2013.08

50.0

11.5

9.8

2023-24

167.0

2024-25

336.0

2015-16

100.0

15.6

2026-27

400.0

Unknown

MOEP

2015-16

Renral GE
GE
Dawei Power Utilities

10.6

4.4

2015-16

20.0

2022-23

200.0

Unknown

300.0

Unknown

250.0

35

Kyause (Rental GE)

2014.04

82.0

13
Unknown

Tilawa*

2025-26

400.0

2015-16

50.0

16*

2024-25

500.0

Unknown

4702/4757

Total
On-going

Future

13.2

184.7

184.7

11.3

Unknown

246.7

270.8

Yadana

Zawtika

Unknown
Zawtika

-0.8

Shwe

Zawtika

24.8

Unknown

37.5

Unknown

31.5

-11.3

331.6

Yadana

Unknown

10.4

Unknown

45.2

Yadana

45.2

9.8

2.8

2027-28

31.5

0.8

2015-16

Ayeyarwady/Yangon

Existing

50.0

Myin Gyan

Hlaingtharyar
Yangon

31.5

Unknown

Subtotal of Existing

Others
(Future
with 2
Existing) Mandalay

30.8

2014.03

UREC (China)

Kanpouk

30.8

Unknown

1980/2004

CIC

Kyaukphyu

MSP

Existing

Thaketa

39

Hydrolancang (China)

Existing GT/ST

Yangon

74.0

154.0

Hydrolancang (China)
Existing
Ywama

86.1

1996/1999

Shwe
Unknown

Zawtika

54

Unknown

680.2 (596.7) without

JICA S/T

Added by JICA Study Team

*1Installed Capacity
*2Information from JICA (16 MMSCFD seems to be Yadana gas)

JICA

4 - 59

mmcfd mmscfd
20202021
20302031

JICA bbtud
bbtud
20302031

bbtud

20302031 JICA UREC 2


Dawei 2 679.4 bbtud 596.7 bbtud
(4)
JICA 2013 10 20302031
4.2-4
LNG
4.2-4 mmcfdbbtud
4.2-4

20302031
mmcfd

Proven + Commercial
Probable Operation 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 28-29 29-30 30-31
Reserve
Date
Existing
(1) MOGE

2.5 TCF

(2) Yadana

6.942

1/7/1998

(3) Yetagon

4.166

1/4/2000

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

92

94

95

97

99

101

225

225

225

225

225

225

157

137

119

104

87

70

54

43

26

102

104

105

Ongoing
(1) Zawtika

1.756

3/2014

60

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

87

42

28

19

14

(2) Shwe

5.353

15/7/2013

20

80

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

(3) M3

1.639

70

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

492

552

534

546

531

502

443

420

396

366

363

355

(4) LNG
New Gas Fields
(1) 2022-2031
Supply Total

370

Supply Total for Electricity

258

470

490

490

490

490

4 - 60

(5)

20202021 48
20192020 LNG
2019
LNG 20162017 49
2020
20142015
LNG LHV 9,250 kcal/m3
4.2-5 20302031

mmcfd
bbtud

20132014
5020142015 0.65

20142015 20192020 LNG 51


LNG LNG 84 mmcfd
HSD 2.7 mmld
LNG

20202021 20302031

715 bbtudZawtika
797 mmcfd 465 bbtud
Zawtika 518 mmcfd

48 2013 9 Ensuring Domestic Supply of Natural Gas for Sustainable Power Generation in
MyanmarM3 2018 2019

M3 4.2-4 2019
1 2020 2014 1

49 4.1.3 LNG2014 1 LNG Shell


FSRU LNG 18 24 20162017
50 Power System Development Scheme of MEPE dated July 2, 2013
51 LNG 4
LNG
LNG

4 - 61

M-3

20192020
1)

LNG
LNG

2)

4.1.4 HSD
HSD
HSD

4.2-5
2P*/MW

COD

bbtud
13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 28-29 29-30 30-31

Existing
(1) MOGE

2.5 TCF

(2) Yadana

6.9TCF

1/7/1998

(3) Yetagun

4.2TCF

1/4/2000

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

89

91

92

94

96

97

154

154

154

154

154

154

108

94

82

71

60

48

37

29

18

98

100

101

Supply

Ongoing
(1) Zawitika

1.8TCF

54

90

90

90

90

90

90

90

90

90

90

78

38

25

17

13

(2) Shwe

5.4TCF 15/7/2013

19

75

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

94

(3) M-3

1.6TCF

63

135

135

135

135

135

135

135

135

135

135

135

Supply Total

290

382

401

401

401

401

418

476

464

479

470

447

398

379

361

340

337

330

Supply Total for Electricity

201

248.3

260.7

260.7

260.7

260.7

271.7

309.4

301.6

311.4

305.5

290.6

258.7

246.4

234.7

221

219.1

214.5

22

70

87

87

87

76

84

84

84

73

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.3

New Gas Fields (bbtud)

60

119

189

247

401

520

609

684

705

708

715

New Gas Fields (mmcfd)*4

66

133

211

275

448

580

678

763

786

790

797

Required Calorie (bbtud)


LNG (mmcfd)

*2

HSD (mmld)*3

0.7

2.1

Existing Plants
(1) Yangon Area

919*5

(2) Other than Yangon Region

385*5

1980 ~
2014
1974 ~
2014

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

184.7

62

85.3

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

73.2

2015 ~
2016

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

602

2014 ~
2016

67.7

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

2,789

2020 ~
2021

117.9

203.4

248.6

293.8

331.3

331.3

331.3

331.3

Demand

Ongoing
(1) Hlawaga GE (MCP)

25

(2) Toyo-Thai (ST)

37

New Gas Fired Plants


(1) 2014 ~ 2016
Myanmar Light 2, UREC 1, Kyaukpyu,
Kanpouk, Myin Gyan, Tilawa
(2) 2021 ~ 2030
Hydorance, BKB, UREC 2, Dawei 1,
Dawei 2, Hlaingtharyar, Ayeyarwady
Total Power Generation

30.8

86.4

4,757

Demand Total

247

270

331

348

348

348

348

348

379

435

466

552

597

642

679

679

679

679

Balance

-46

-22

-70

-87

-87

-87

-76

-39

-77

-123

-161

-261

-338

-396

-445

-458

-460

-465

Total Balance with LNG and New Gas

-46

*2P: Gas reserves on 2P (Proven + Probable) basis

*2Incase of LNG=1,040 Btu/f3

*3In case of HSD (LHV = 8,624 kcal/l)

*4In case of LHV = 897 Btu/f3

*5

Installed Capacity

JICA

4 - 62

4.2-1 20302031

New Gas Yeild


800

700

Required Gas Quantity


600

Imort Oil or LNG


Gas from New Gas Fields

bbtud

500

Existing & Ongoing Gas


400

300

From 2016 Import LNG

200
From 2014 Import Oil
100

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

JICA

4.2-1

4.2.2

20302031

(1)
Tigyit
60 MW 2 50%

1)

70%

2)

Tigyit 31%

3)

7,050 Btu/lb3,900 kcal/kg

Tigyit 524 103 ton


(2)

4 - 63

1)

DHPP
2)

5
Category

Gross Plant Efficiency (%)


33

Adopted efficiency (%)


33

Subcritical Plant (150MW)

37
37 ~ 39

37
38

SC*1 Plant

40 ~ 41

40.5

*2

42 ~ 43

42.5

Subcritical Plant (60MW)


Subcritical Plant (60 ~ 150MW)

USC Plant
*1 SC Super Critical
*2 USC Ultra Super Critical

Type

Correction

Coal-fired
TPP

95%

Once-Through
IPP

JICA IPP
USC USC
4.3.2
USC 600MW
20232024
6,000MW 600MW
USC 20232024
3)

70%

4)

4 - 64

kcal/kg

kcal/kg

Domestic Coal

3,000 ~ 6,500

5,000

Indonesian Coal

4,500 ~ 5,500 52

5,000

Kind of Coal

HHV, as received base

5,000 kcal/kg
(3)
(2)2) 4.2-6

4.2-6
Location.

Tanintharyi

Estimate Values
Required Annual Coal
Efficiency (%) 53
Quantity (103 ton)

Machine
Type

Installed Capacity
(MW)

COD

Subcritical

1502, 3303,
6603

2018-2030

36.1

876, 9643, 1,9283

Thilawa

Ditto

1802

2017-2018

36.1

5262

Kyauktan

Ditto

3002, 3502

2021-2029

36.1

8762, 1,0232

Boakpyin

Ditto

2502

2020-2028

36.1

7302

Ngayukong

Ditto

2752

2019-2026

36.1

7802

Ngaputaw

Ditto

3502

2020-2027

36.1

1,0232

Kalewa

Ditto

1354

2017-2025

35.2

4054

Keng Tong

Ditto

3002

2025-2029

36.1

8762

Project
Kunchangon

Yangon

Ayeyarwady
Sagaing
Shan

JICA

(4)
16%
20302031 500 ton
4.2-2 3 54

52 4.1.5 (6) 6,500 kcal/kg 3,400 kcal/kg JICA


IPP IPP
53
54 4.1.5 (2)
1) 2) 3

4 - 65

6,000

x103 ton

Coal Production

5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

4.2-2

20302031

(5) 20302031
(3)(4) 20302031 4.2-7
4.2-7
Supply

2P*/MW
(1) Domestic
Coal
Supply for
Electricity

COD**

231,000

13-14

20132014 20302031
14-15

15-16

16-17

Demand

New Plants
(1) 2017-2018
(2) 2018-2019
(3) 2019-2020
(4) 2020-2021
(5) 2021 ~ 2022
(6) 2022 ~ 2023
(7) 2023 ~ 2024
(8) 2024 ~ 2025
(9) 2025 ~ 2026
(10) 2026 ~ 2076
(11) 2027 ~ 2028
(12) 2028 ~ 2029
(13) 2029 ~ 2030
(14) 2030~ 2031
Total Power
Generation

120 2004.12

18-19

19-20

20-21

21-22

22-23

23-24

24-25

25-26

26-27

27-28

28-29

29-30

30-31

2,200

2,326

2,400

2,500

2,600

2,700

2,761

3,100

3,480

3,900

4,220

4,593

4,820

5,000

5,220

5,420

5,654

1,260

1,320

1,396

1,440

1,500

1,560

1,620

1,657

1,860

2,088

2,340

2,532

2,756

2,892

3,000

3,132

3,252

3,392

886

1,702

2,422

4,138

4,811

4,583

4,331

5,015

7,441

9,058 11,960 14,486 18,193 19,981

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

1,862

1,862
876

1,862
876
780

1,862
876
780
1,753

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

876

876
2,650

876
2,650
1,753

876
2,650
1,753
3,010

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658
3,827

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658
3,827
1,928

(2) Import Coal


Existing Plants
(1) Tygit

17-18

2,100

300

300

300

524

630
300
270
600
300
0
0
300
900
600
1,030
910
1,310
660
7,930

Demand Total

300

300

300

524

Balance

Total Balance with Import


0
Coal
2P*: Coal reserves on 2P (Proven + Probable) basis

2386

3262

4042

5,795

6,671

6,671

6,671

7,547 10,197 11,950 14,960 17,618 21,445 23,373

-886 -1,702 -2,422 -4,138 -4,811 -4,583 -4,331 -5,015 -7,441 -9,058 -11,960 -14,486 -18,193 -19,981
0

COD**: Commercial Operation Date

Reference: Total Capacity of New Coal Fired Power Plant by Domestic Coal (MW)

621

687

763

810

13-14 means 2013-2014


387 456.91

535

847 891.94 932.98 980.99

JICA

4 - 66

Tigyit 3,900 kcal/kg


5,000 kcal/kg

20172018 Tigyit
Tigyit 20162017
300,000ton 524,000ton

20172018 60%

4.2-7
20162017
20172018
20 ton/

60%
980MW
4.2-3 4.2-7

25000

20000

Import Coal

103 Ton/Year

Domestic Coal
15000

Required Coal Quantity

10000
Import Coal From 2017

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

JICA

4.2-3

20302031

4 - 67

(6)
3

No.

Kyauktan, Tilawa,
Kunchangone, Ngapudaw,
etc.

Boakpyin, Ngayukong, etc.

Keng Tong, Kalewa, etc.

JICA

No.2

(7) No.1
Ngapudaw No.1

1)

SEZ
25,00030,000 ton

2)

2
a)

7,0008,000 ton
15,000 ton

b)

Dawei Kalegauk
a

b)
IPP IPP

4 - 68

IPP

IPP

(8) No.3
1)

Kalewa 540MW
Coal Mine Group IPP
Coal Sales Agreement
Keng Tong600MW
3 Coal Mine Group

Tun Thwin Mining Co. Ltd

2)

(5)20302031

980 MW

Kalewa 20172018
Coal Mine Group 810 103ton/

Keng Tong 20252026


Coal Mine Group

4 - 69

4.2.3

2013 8
20302031 Road Map
2013 11 20112012 20152016 5 2014 1

20302031
4.2-8
20122013 33.4% 20152016 65.4%

4.2-8

30-year plan from 2001-2002 to 2030-2031

64,917

Electrification
Rate
-

2
3
4
5
6
7

Implemented Villages up to 2010-2011 (on/off grid)


Implemented Villages up to 2012-2013 (on/off grid)
Remaining Villages
5-year plan (short list) from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016
Implementing Villages in 2013-2014
Implementation Plan in 2014-2015

16,153
21,675
43,242
1,792
766
10,000

33.4%
-

8
9
10

Implementation Plan in 2015-2016


Implementation Plan up to 2015-2016 (on/off grid)
Remaining Villages

10,000
42,441
22,476

64.5%
-

No.

Activities

Villages

2014 1

5 4.2-8

1)
a) 50%
b) 100 100

2)

100%

4 - 70

4 - 71

55

26

330

15 Ayeyarwady

Total

17

12 Rakhine

14 Shan

10

11 Mon

45

28

10 Mandalay

13 Yangon

25

9 Magway

37

6 Sagaing

28

5 Chin

8 Bago

4 Kayin

10

3 Kayah

7 Tanintharyi

18

2 Kachin

64,917

11,869

15,387

2,089

3,860

1,200

4,624

4,795

6,452

1,230

5,987

1,352

2,061

620

2,583

808

Total
Total
Township Villages

States/
Regions

1 Nay Pyi Taw

Sr.
No.

21,675

5,616

1,848

455

1,016

573

2,563

2,514

1,090

696

3,815

294

255

108

355

477

43,242

6,253

13,539

1,634

2,844

627

2,061

2,281

5,362

534

2,172

1,058

1,806

512

2,228

331

766

21

274

46

11

28

15

13

247

61

10

26

12,633.403

292.000

2,697.230

805.793

194.000

52.200

862.100

253.600

254.400

221.400

6,245.880

127.800

207.600

88.000

331.400

42,476

6,232

13,265

1,588

2,833

624

2,033

2,266

5,349

526

1,925

997

1,796

509

2,202

331

1,462

176

423

37

69

16

90

76

103

64

199

25

59

25

79

21

37,090.774

6,398.425

6,236.729

1,673.900

2,077.200

738.200

2,905.040

2,899.860

4,970.760

1,103.770

3,926.800

741.200

983.600

290.200

1,619.600

525.490

Implemented
Remaining
Budget Plan
up to 2012Villages On-going Expenditure Remaining
No.
of
2013
Villages
Estimate
villages

2013-2014 FY

4.2-9

49,916.000

65,576.471

9,753.400

18,098.000

5,746.600

27,990.700

23,965.800

30,417.800

5,691.800

36,140.000

6,307.000

9,636.000

2,920.600

12,124.000

3,749.000

Estimate

1,598

2,232

315

586

180

834

764

964

227

1,106

205

334

106

425

124

56,314.425

71,813.200

11,427.300

20,175.200

6,484.800

30,895.740

26,865.660

35,388.560

6,795.570

40,066.800

7,048.200

10,619.600

3,210.800

13,743.600

4,274.490

Estimate

Total Plan
No. of
villages

8,538 308,033.171 10,000 345,123.945

1,422

1,809

278

517

164

744

688

861

163

907

180

275

81

346

103

No. of
villages

(10000) villages Project

2014-2015 FY

32,476

4,634

11,033

1,273

2,247

444

1,199

1,502

4,385

299

819

792

1,462

403

1,777

207

Remaining
Villages

718

36

310

19

12

16

24

19

22

38

96

32

17

24

33

20

13,158.220

760.000

4,170.000

710.000

430.000

450.000

750.000

730.000

750.000

750.000

1,170.000

370.000

450.000

430.000

620.000

618.220

Estimate

Budget Plan
No. of
villages

41,589.200

64,449.800

9,250.400

38,567.600

5,536.400

39,251.300

48,565.600

27,743.800

4,169.800

24,310.900

6,517.200

9,075.200

3,223.600

11,703.400

1,689.980

Estimate

1,208

1,731

281

1,105

167

1,199

1,502

802

140

819

218

275

114

365

74

42,349.200

68,619.800

9,960.400

38,997.600

5,986.400

40,001.300 -

49,295.600 -

28,493.800

4,919.800

22,476

3,426

9,302

992

1,142

277

3,583

159

574

1,187

289

1,412

133

42,441

8,443

6,085

1,097

2,718

923

4,624

4,795

2,869

1,071

5,987

778

874

331

1,171

675

Million Kyat
No. of
villages to be
Remaining implemented
up to 2015Villages
2016 FY

25,480.900 -

6,887.200

9,525.200

3,653.600

12,323.400

2,308.200

Estimate

Total Plan
No. of
villages

9,282 335,644.180 10,000 348,802.400

1,172

1,421

262

1,093

151

1,175

1,483

780

102

723

186

258

90

332

54

No. of
villages

(10000) villages Project

2015-2016 FY

(1)
Nay Pyi Taw 808
(1.2%)

64,917

Kachin 2,583 (4.0%)


Kayah 620 (1.0%)

4.2-4

Kayin 2,061 (3.2%)


Chin 1,352 (2.1%)

Ayeyarwady
11,869 (18.3%)

Sagaing 5,987
(9.2%)

(2) 20122013

Total
64,917

Shan
15,387 (23.7%)

20122013 21,675

Tanintharyi
1,230 (1.9%)

Bago
6,452 (9.9%)

Magway
4,795
(7.4%)

33.4%

Mandalay 4,624
(7.1%)

Yangon 2,089 (3.2%)

4.2-5

Rakhine 3,860 (5.9%)

Mon 1,200 (1.8%)

2014 1

4.2-4

55
4.2-6
(5)
4.2-10
Nay Pyi Taw,
477
(59.0%)

Kayah, 108
(17.4%)
Kachin, 355
(13.7%)

Ayeyarwady, 5616
47.3%

Shan, 1848
(12.0%)

Kayin, 255
(12.4%)

Biogas
1,213 (5.6%)

Chin, 294
(21.7%)

Power System
4,785 (22.1%)

Micro-Hydro
2,154 (9.9%)

Sagaing, 3815
(63.7%)

Average
33.4%
(21,675)

Solar power
740 (3.4%)

Total
21,675
(100%)

Tanintharyi, 696
(56.6%)
Bago, 1090
(16.9%)
Magway, 2514
(52.4%)

Yangon, 455
(21.8%)
Rakhine, 1016
(26.3%)
Mon, 573
(47.8%)

Generator
12,783 (59.0%)

Mandalay, 2563
(55.4%)

Unit : Number of Villages

21,675: Actual Number of Electrification Villages until 2012-2013

2014 1

4.2-5

20122013

2014 1

4.2-6

20122013

55

4 - 72

(3) 20132014
20132014 766 1.2%

Ayeyarwady, 21
(0.2%)

Nay Pyi Taw, 0


Kachin, 26 Kayah, 3
(0.0%)
(1.0%)
(0.5%)

Kayin, 10
(0.5%)

Chin, 61
(4.5%)

Shan, 274
(1.8%)

Average
1.2%
(766)

States/Region
200 (26.1%)

DRD
273 (35.6%)

Total
766
Sagaing, 247
(4.1%)

MOEP
293 (38.3%)

Yangon, 46
(2.2%)

Rakhine, 11
(0.3%)
Mon,
3
(0.3%)

Mandalay, 28
(0.6%)

Tanintharyi, 8
(0.7%)
Magway, 15
(0.3%)

Unit: Number of Villages

Bago, 13
(0.2%)

766: Actual Number of Electrificaiton Villages in 2013-2014

2014 1

4.2-7

20132014

2014 1

4.2-8

4.2-7 4.2-8

Nay Pyi Taw,


675
Kachin, 1171
(83.5%)
(45.3%)

Kayah, 331
(53.4%)
Kayin, 874
(42.4%)
Chin, 778
(57.5%)

(4) 20152016
Ayeyarwady, 8443
(71.1%)

20142015 2015
2016 10,000 5

Sagaing, 5987
(100.0%)

Average
65.4%
(42,441)

Shan, 6085
(39.5%)

Tanintharyi, 1071
(87.1%)
Bago, 2869

42,441

(44.5%)

65.4%

Magway, 4795
(100.0%)

Yangon, 1097
(52.5%)

4.2-9
100%

Rakhine, 2718
(70.4%)
Mon, 923
(76.9%)

Mandalay, 4624
(100.0%)

42,441: Expected Number of Electrification Villages until 2015-2016

40%

2014 1

4.2-9
4 - 73

20152016

(5)
20122013 201322014 303
201322014 201422015 2

30000
26159
25000

23034

21675
20000
15000

13088

13086

12783

Generator

10000
5000

National-Grid Extension

6856

5178

4785
2154
1213
740

Solar
2559
2424

2295
1251
1224

Mini-Hydro
1232

Biogas/mass
Total Village

0
2012-2013 Fiscal Year

2013-2014 Fiscal Year

2014-2015 Fiscal Year

2014 8

4.2-10

(6)
4.2-10 5 20132014
20142015 20152016
4.2-10
Fiscal Year

20132014

20152016

Million Kyat

37,091

13,158

Million USD

37.8

13.4

Million Kyat

308,033

335,644

Million USD

314.3

342.5

Budget
Investment,
Donation, etc,

20142015

Million Kyat

12,633

345,124

348,802

Million USD

12.9

352.1

355.9

Total
2014 1

USD 1= Kyat 980

4 - 74

(7) 2014 5

1)

20142015 3,145 6,855


3,145 4.2-11
4.2-11

2014 5

Item

Number of Villages

Budgeted by DRD

1,491

47

Budgeted by MOEP (Grid extension)

1,634

52

20

Budgeted by MOI with ADB

WB

5
2)

20152016 718 9,282

4 - 75

4.3

4.3.1

(1)
1)

20142015 20192020 LNG


LNG LNG 84 mmcfd
HSD 2.7 mmld
LNG

2)

715 bbtud
Zawtika 797 mmcfd
465 bbtudZawtika 518 mmcfd
M-3

3)

Shwe Take or Pay1 DCQ


50%1 DCQ 50%

(2)
1)

12 JICA

a)

LNG
23

b)

23

4 - 76

2)

3040
Thaketa Thaton

3)

4)

Shwe Take or Pay


Take or Pay
Take or Pay Yadana Zawtika
Shwe

5)

Ayeyawady/Yangon500MWHlaingtharyar400MW UREC 2400MW


1,500

13%

400MW500MW
20242025
7,000MW
400MW500MW

6)

(1)

4.3.2

1)

20302031
20 ton/

2)

Boakpyin500MW Ngayukong550MW

4 - 77

3)

Kyauktan1,300MW

Tilawa
360MW
Kunchangon3,270MW

4)

Kalewa540MW Keng Tong600MW


2

a)

Kalewa Coal Mine Group IPP


Coal Sales Agreement
Keng Tong Coal Mine
Group

b)

Kalewa Kalewa Keng Tong

(2)
1)

IPP

IPP

2)

Kalewa 20172018
Coal Mine Group

Keng Tong 20252026


Coal Mine Group

4 - 78

3)

4.3.3

(1)

1)

2)

4.1-14

3)

20112012 20152016 5 5

20122013
33.4% 20152016 65.4%

(2)
1)

2)

WB ADB 5

4 - 79

5.1

5.1.1

DHPP
Department of Hydropower PlanningDHPIDepartment of
Hydropower Implementation
HPGEHydropower Generation Enterprise
MEPEMyanma Electric Power EnterpriseTPDThermal Power Department

2013 7
68
45.5 GW 68 MOEPMinistry of Electric Power
MOAIMinistry of Agriculture and Irrigation 13 2.6
GW 45.5 GW 5.7% 94.3%
JVJoint VentureIPPIndependent
Power Producer
DEPDepartment
of Electric Power 2016
2013 6 2013 2014 50MW

4
YwamaHlawgaAhloneThaketa

2013 7

5-1

5.1.2

(1)
2013 6 1
3,896.05 MW 2,780 MW 996.05 MW
120 MW 5.1-1 5.1-1

Dapein(1)
240MW

3.56
%

Shweli(1)
600MW

29.51
%

Thapanzeik
30 MW

66.93
%

Sedawgyi
25 MW
Yeywa
790 MW

Hydro

Gas

Coal

Kyungchaung
54.3 MW

Kinda
56 MW

Zawgyi(2)
12 MW
Zawgyi(1)
18 MW

Mone
75 MW
Kyeeon Kyeewa
74 MW

Tigyit
120 MW

Mann
36.9 MW

Baluchaung(1)
28 MW

Paunglaung
280 MW

Sr
1
2
3

Description
Hydropower
Gas-fired
Coal-fired
Total

Qty

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

20
14
1

2,780.00
996.05
120.00

35

3,896.05

Myanma
Power
System
2,259.00
996.05
120.00
3,375.05

Foreign
521
-

Shwedaung
55.35MW
Myanaung
34.7MW

Baluchaung(2)
168 MW

Kabaung
30MW

Thauk-yekhat(2)
120 MW

Kun
60 MW

Hlawga
154.2 MW
54.55 MW
Ywama
70.3 MW
52 MW

Hydropower plant
Gas-fired power plant
Coal-fired power plant

Yenwe
25 MW

521

Keng Taung
54 MW

Shwegyin
75 MW

Steam turbine power plant

Zaungtu
20 MW

Thaketa
92 MW
53.6 MW
Ahlone
154.2 MW
121 MW

Thaton
50.95 MW
Mawlamyaing
12 MW

2013

5.1-1

1 MOEP, Power Development Plan in Myanmar, June 2013

5-2

5.1-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Hydropower
Baluchaung-1
Baluchaung-2
Yeywa
Kinda
Sedawgyi
Zawgyi-1
Zawgyi-2
Thapanseik
Mone
Paunglaung
Kabaung
Yenwe
Zaung Tu
Shweli-1
Keng Tong
Shwegyin
Kun
Kyee On Kyee Wa
Dapein-1
Thauk Ye Khat-2
Subtotal

2012 12
Output (MW)
28
168
790
56
25
18
12
30
75
280
30
25
20
600 (300)
54
75
60
74
240(221)
120
2,780 (521)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Gas-fired
Kyungchaung
Mann
Shwedaung
Mawlamyaing
Myanaung
Hlawga
Ywama
Ahlone
Thaketa
Thaton
Subtotal

Output (MW)
54.3
36.9
55.35
12
34.7
154.2+54.55*=208.75
70.3+52*=122.3
154.2+121*=275.2
92+53.6*=145.6
50.95
996.05

Coal-fired
Tigyit

Output (MW)
120

Existing Power System Total


= 3,896.05 (521) MW
* IPP 281.15MW

JV
IPP

2013

Hlawga IPP 54.55MW


1 26MW1MW 26 2013 7 2

Ywama IPP 52MW4MW


13 2013 8
Ahlone IPP
121MW 1 82MW41MW 2 2013 6
2 39MW39MW 1 2014 9

Thaketa IPP 53.6MW


3.352MW 16 2013 7
1

5-3

2012 64MW 86MW


2013 12 2,780MW20
796.9MW10 IPP 4
5.1-1 Ahlone IPP 82MW
120MW1 3,696.9MW31

(2)
2 2013 7
5.1-2

JICAJapan International Cooperate Agency


Baluchaung No.2

5-4

Location

Baluchaung-1

Kayah
State

1989

1989.06
(1992)

5-5

Kyee On
Kyee Wa

Kun

18 Magway

19 Bago

2012

120

2,660

60

74

75

240

790

600

54

30

25

280

75

30

20

12

18

28

25

56

168

40 x 3

20 x 3

37 x 2

18.75 x 4

60 x 4

197.5 x 4

100 x 6

18 x 3

15 x 2

12.5 x 2

70 x 4

25 x 3

10 x 3

10 x 2

6 x2

6 x3

14 x 2

12.5 x 2

28 x 2

28 x 6

MW x unit

Units

604

13,267.8

190

370

262

1,065

3,550

4022

377.6

120

123

911

330

117.2

76

30

35

200

134

165

1,190

Annual
Energy
Generation
(GWh)

48

23.4

7.5

7.3

17.4

8.3

10.6

1.0

2.5

3.6

9.7

5.7

7.6

57.4

36

24.3

10.9

8.3

22.9

10.9

18.6

1.0

4.6

3.5

12.5

7.9

13.2

71.8

40

18.9

11.9

11.2

48.5

13.4

14.3

4.5

5.2

3.9

14.8

9.0

13.0

43

18.8

10.2

42.7

10

11.7

4.2

3.9

5.6

14.1

11.9

7.8 -

82.2

41

22.8

7.1

11.5

38.2

17.9

14.7

8.1

3.5

5.5

14.5

14.1

84.0

45

12.8

4.6

61.2

34.1

18.7

10.5

3.3

7.7

11.0

16.4

66.2

44

15.8

1.3

1.1

62.6

36.5

17.6

11.6

2.8

10.8

6.4

16.4

3.6

43.4

Power Generation (GWh) in 2011

82.4

34

22.8

4.9

2.7

66.1

37.1

17.7

10.2

1.6

10.6

7.1

8.6

11.6

61.1

29

23.6

6.7

10.1

85.6

39.2

16.8

10.7

3.7

8.6

10.1

7.7

13.1

66.2

10

53

25.0

8.7

7.7

65.2

25.4

11.8

1.6

3.6

8.1

12.4

12.6

16.3

69.0

11

50

25.9

11.6

65.9

30.8

0.9

0.7

4.6

6.5

14.4

11.6

1.3

83.0

12

49

26.0

9.8

11.8

45.2

16.6

0.1

0.6

3.0

5.4

17.1

8.9

0.3

93.4

51

24.3

11.0

11.4

42.6

7.8

2.3

0.7

3.0

5.0

16.5

4.9

8.0

44

22.8

19.1

8.3

36.7

11.0

17.3

0.6

6.8

3.5

19.3

9.3

21.1

90.8 105.7

11.5

2.0
11.5

1.9
16.5

1.8 24

21

21.6

40.5

50.6

37.7

31.7

9.6

5.6

13.3

10.4

9.8

6.7

13.3

32.4

5.4

32.1

271.5 204.1 190.9 155.3 155.5 173.7 225.1 281.2 256.2 309.2 279.5 331.6 236.0 230.7 176.3

50

21.9

12.2

29

12.5

1.3

1.3

3.5

5.2

8.0

0.7

39.1

Source: "Strategies for Sustainable Hydropower Development in Myanmar, 29 January 2013", DHPP,MOEP and MOEP
"Maynmar Energy Sector Initial Assessment, Table A5.1", October 2012, ADB

Thauk Ye Khat

2012

Shwegyin

17 Bago

Subtotal

2011

Dapein-1

16 Kachin

20

2010

Yeywa

Mandalay
15
Division

2011.02

2008

14 Shan State Shweli-1

2008

2007

2008

Kabaung

12 Bago

2004

2005.03

13 Shan State Keng Tawng

Yenwe

11 Bago

Paunglaung

Mone

9 Magwe

Mandalay
Division

Thapanseik

8 Sagaing

10

2000.03

Zaung Tu

7 Bago

2002.05

1998.01

6 Shan State Zawgyi-2

1995.07

Sedawgyi

Mandalay
Division

1985

5 Shan State Zawgyi-1

Kinda

Baluchaung-2

Mandalay
Division

1960 /
1974

Name of
Installed
Hydroelectric Operation
Capacity
Power
Year
(MW)
Station

Kayah
1
State

Sr.

5.1-2

5
6

40.2

13.5

16.9

95.7

37

26.1

18.5

10.4

25.8

6.9

12.5

0.6

6.6

2.9

17.9

11.8

21.2

40.9

13.0

11.2

90.0

39

27.6

15.9

10.3

22.2

5.7

17.8

1.6

7.1

4.9

19.8

7.8

20.0

88.0

46

31.8

8.3

10.8

62.9

41.8

14.9

9.4

7.8

6.8

16.4

1.8

15.8

31

24.6

0.5

11.1

83.7

36.0

11.2

11.4

8.0

10.1

9.9

4.9

15.5

57.0

41

24.0

0.2

9.1

60.5

35.7

7.9

10.6

4.3

10.3

9.4

8.7

12.6

64.8

46

25.6

0.7

0.7

52.7

33.8

12.6

2.3

6.8

9.4

11.0

10.8

14.3

70.5

10

12

64

31.5

0.9

0.9

64.9

11.3

10.1

0.8

6.5

8.0

17.6

8.2

12.8

50

35.6

3.2

2.6

54.2

11.5

0.2

1.4

1.4

6.9

19.7

4.9

2.4 -

44

31.4

6.9

6.4

41.0

14.7

0.2

1.0

1.3

4.8

19.7

3.8

95.1 105.9 106.7

11

37

26.8

6.6

8.2

36.6

15.7

1.9

0.9

3.0

4.0

17.8

3.5

4.6

32

25.6

6.8

10.5

25.9

14.7

5.5

1.5

6.4

3.9

19.4

7.8

11.1

39

22.9

8.9

11.7

39.8

10.0

5.1

1.3

6.2

3.4

19.2

9.0

10.1 7.1

46

24.0

12.5

11.9

30.4

4.0

4.1

0.7

4.1

3.8

19.2

49

26.8

14.2

12.2

33.4

9.9

4.5

5.7

4.5

5.6

18.7

7.7

96.3 105.3 103.8 103.5 101.1

Power Generationn (GWh) in 2013

55

34.3

8.0

10.8

35.3

17.5

7.5

9.9

0.2

5.5

18.5

4.9

99.7

30.9

9.2

7.9

20.6

19.2

15.9

2.6

18.2

19.5

5.0

10.5

17.8

12.6

14.7

13.2

5.0

4.4

8.7

14.3

3.0

10.7

19.2

16.3

17.5

14.0

24.2

15.5

19.7

27.8

32.1

18.4

18.9

33.0

37.8

13.5

22.1

0.5

23.4

35.1

10.2

15.6

1.8

13.4

24.0

14.8

11.1

2.3

22.4

10.6

16.8

18.5

8,104

10

14 -

25

287

17

139

22

26

66

47

2,650 -

640

1,055

77

10

645

30

16

480

152

13

17

3,569

28

454

24

17

4,577

47.14

24.06

27.08

32.83

9.69

70.99

30.63

41.57

22.92

36.01

42.88

25.85

64.19

49.48

80.26

36.18

30.18

74.60

Capacity
Factor
(%)
4/20123/2013

351 -

4,372

3,818

2,784

4,223

7037 -

6,711

3,661

5,553

2,645

5,021

5,380

3,034

6,513

5,857

7,680

6,919

4,168

Forced Planned
Outage Outage
(hours) (hours)

Power Generation in 2012


Operation
Hours

2.3 -

90.9 153.2 310.2 314.2 298.3 232.7 198.0 168.4 154.6 165.9 160.8 103.9 127.7 155.2

45

25.2

12.0

9.9

32.0

8.7

17.8

3.8

8.2

6.0

18.4

5.2

17.7

Power Generation (GWh) in 2012

97.5 109.1 101.6

(3)
MEPE, Power System Development Scheme, 2 July 2013
5.1-3 Ahlone IPP
2
714.9MW 366MW

5.1-3
Region/State

Yangon

Yangon

Yangon

Yangon
Gas
Thermal
Power
Existing

Mon

Magwe
Mon
Ayanwaddy
Bago
Magwe

Installed
Station
Capacity
MW)
33.3
33.3
Hlawga GTCC
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
Ywama GT
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
Ahlone GTCC
33.3
54.3
19
19
Tharkayta GTCC
19
35
18.45
Thaton GT
16.25
16.25
18.1
Kyunchaung GT
18.1
18.1
6
Mawlamyaing GT
6
16.25
Myanaung GT
18.45
18.45
Shwedaung GT
18.45
18.45
Mann GT
18.45
(Production stop in 2005)
18.45
Sub Total

Type
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
714.9

COD

Current
Capacity
Generation Factor
(MW)
(%)

1996.01

Efficiency
(%)

88

55

19.18

50

40

19.72

76

52

22.3

57

59

16.52

35

61

18.98

1974

24.5

32

21.45

1980

28

17.02

1975&84

12

27

21.08

20.5

36

15.61

Remark

1999.04
1980
2004
2004
1995.04

NEDO
NEDO

1997.02
1990.03
1997.02
1985
2001

1984
1980

0
366

Reference 1 : Power System Development Scheme of MEPE 2.7.2013,


Reference 2 : Power Development Plan in Myanmar 6, 2013
Reference 3: Efficiency is calculated from actual value of power generation by MEPE
Reference 4: Pre-commissioning plants are not included

(4)
Tigyit 60 MW 2
2004 120MW
30 MW
4.1.5

5-6

5.1.3

IPP
2013 2016
2017 2021 2022 2026 2027 2031
5.1-4 5.1-7
5.1-2 5.1-5

(1) 2013 2016


5.1-4
Sr. No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Total

Project Name
Phyu
Nancho
Upper Paunglaung
Baluchaung-3
Upper Baluchaung
Chipwinge
Dapein-1
Minbuu
Hlawga
Hlawga
Ywama
Ywama
Thaketa
Thaketa
Thaketa
Ahlone
Mawlamyaing
Kyaukphyu
Kanpouk
Yangon-Kunchangon

2013 2016

Type
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Solar
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
Coal

Installed Capacity
40
40
140
52
29
99
101
50
54.55
486
52
240
53.6
503
513
121
230
100
525
300
3,729.15

2013-2014
40
40
52
99
50
54.55
52
240
53.6
82
763.15

2014-2015
140
29
243
167
127
39
100
100
175
1,120

2015-2016
101
243
336
386
130
350
300
1,846

2013

Sr
No.

Type of
Energy

Hydro

Installed capacity to be
completed in year
2015-16 (MW)
501

Coal

300

420

Gas

2,878.15

3,593.05

Solar

50

50

3,729.15

6,823.05

Total

0.73%

Installed
Capacity
(MW)
2,760

40.45%
52.66%
6.16%

Hydro

Coal

Gas

Solar

2013

5.1-2

2016

5-7

(2) 2017 2021


5.1-5

2017 2021

Sr. No.

Project Name

Type

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31

Upper Yeywa (MOEP)


Shweli-3 (MOEP)
Bawgata (MOEP)
Upper Bu (MOEP)
Middle Paunglaung (MOEP)
Thahtay (MOEP)
Upper Keng Tong (MOEP)
Chibwe
Laza
Upper Thanlwin (Kunlong)
Gawlan
Wxhonhgze
Lawngdin
Hkan Kwan
Tongxingqiao
Hutgyi
Shweli-2
Saindin
Dapein-2
Manipur
Belin
Ngotchaung
Yangon - Htantapin
Yangon- Thilawa
Boakpyin
Ngayukong
Ayeyarwady/Yangon
Tanintharyi, Mon, Kayin
Shan, Kayah
Chin, Rakhine, Ayeyarwady, Yangon
Sagaing, Magway, Mandalay, Shan, Tanintharyi
Total

Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Gas
Wind
Wind
Wind
Geothermal

Installed Capacity for


Myanmar
280
1,050
160
150
100
111
51
1,700
950
700
50
30
217.5
70
160
680
260
38.25
84
190
280
16.6
270
650
250
500
500
300
579
330
200
10,907.35

Installed Capacity
280
1,050
160
150
100
111
51
3,400
1,900
1,400
100
60
435
140
320
1,360
520
76.5
168
380
280
16.6
270
650
500
500
500
1,000
1,930
1,102
200
19,110.1

2013

Sr
No.

Type of
Energy

Installed capacity to
be completed
in year 2020-21
(MW)
73,28.35

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Hydro

Coal

1,670

2,090

Gas

500

4,093.05

Solar

50

Wind

1,209

1,209

Geothermal

200

200

Total

10,907.35

10,088.35

17,730.04

0.3% 6.8%

1.1%

23%
57%
11.8%

Hydro

Coal

Gas

Solar

Wind

Geothermal

2013

5.1-3

2021
5-8

(3) 2022 2026 2027 2031


5.1-6

2022 2026

Sr. No.

Project Name

Type

Ywathit-Thanlwin

Hydro

Installed Capacity
4,000

Installed Capacity for Myanmar


2,000

Wutsok

Hydro

1,800

900

Kaunglanhpu

Hydro

2,700

1,350

Yenan

Hydro

1,200

600

Pisa

Hydro

2,000

1,000

Laymyro

Hydro

600

300

Laymyro-2

Hydro

90

45

Natabat-Kayah

Hydro

180

90

Naung Pha

Hydro

1,000

500

10

Mantaung

Hydro

200

100

11

Keng Tong

Hydro

96

48

12

Wan Ta Pin

Hydro

25

12.5

13

So Lue

Hydro

165

82.5

14

Mong Wa

Hydro

50

25

15

Keng Yang

Hydro

28

14

16

He Kou

Hydro

88

44

17

Nam Kha

Hydro

200

100

18

Natabat-Kachin

Hydro

200

100

19

Kalewa

Coal

600

300

15,222

7,611

Total

2013

Sr
No.

Type of
Energy

Installed capacity to
be completed in
year 2025-26 (MW)
7,311

Installed
Capacity
(MW)
17,399.35

Hydro

Coal

300

2,390

Gas

4,093.05

Solar

50

Wind

1,209

Geothermal

200

7,611

25,341.4

Total

0.2% 4.8%

0.8%

16.2%
9.4%

68.7%

Hydro
Gas
Wind

Coal
Solar
Geothermal

2013

5.1-4

2026

5-9

5.1-7
Sr. No.

2027 2031

Project Name

Type

Installed Capacity

Installed Capacity for Myanmar

Htu Kyan

Hydro

105

52.5

Hanna

Hydro

45

22.5

Thakya

Hydro

150

75

Palaung

Hydro

105

52.5

Bawlake

Hydro

180

90

Upper Thanlwin- Mong Tong

Hydro

7,110

3,555

7,695

3,847.5

Total

2013

Sr
No.

Type of
Energy

Installed capacity to
be completed in year
2030-31 (MW)
3,847.5

Installed
Capacity
(MW)
21,246.85

Hydro

Coal

2,390

Gas

4,093.05

Solar

50

Wind

1,209

Geothermal

200

3,847.5

29,188.9

Total

4.14%
0.17%

0.69%

14.02
%
8.19%
72.79
%

Hydro

Coal

Gas

Solar

Wind

Geothermal

2013

5.1-5

1)

2031

MOEP, Strategies for Sustainable Hydropower Development in Myanmar, 29 Jan. 2013


5.1-8 4 2013 11


Belin

Local/IPP

Mawlike JV/IPP

280 MW
520 MW
800 MW

5 - 10

5.1-8
Sr.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
3
4
5
6
Note:

Name of Project

Installed
capacity
(MW)

2013 6

Expected
Generation
Energy
(GWh)
599
120
152
605
334
120
454
2,384
44
386
267
1,330
3,500
500
6,027

Location
Region/State

Unit
Current
Date of
Weighted
Construction
Situation
MOU
Cost
Progress *2)
*1)
Signing
(US$/kW)
1,946
28.12.2006
100%
UC
67.69%
UC
94.67%
2,175
2.5.2008
100%
3,610
2.5.2008
UC
79.82%
1,410
5.11.2009
UC
37.34%
UC
76.81%

Expecting Implementing
COD
Agency

Chipwinge
99
Kachin St
2012/13
JV/IPP
Phyu Chaung
40
Bago Re
2013/14
MOEP
Nancho
40
Mandalay Re
2013/14
MOEP
Thauk Te Khat-2
120
Bago Re
2012/13
Local/IPP
Baluhaung-3
52
Kayar St
2013/14
Local/IPP
Upper Baluchaung
29
Bago Re
2014/15
Local/IPP
Upper Paunglaung
140
Bago Re
2014/15
MOEP
Sub-Total
520
Ann
10
Rakhine St
SP
18.7%
MOEP
Thahtay
111
Rakhine St
UC
26.13% 2018/19
MOEP
Upper Keng Tong
51
Shan St(S)
UC
15.43% 2018/19
MOEP
Upper Yeywa
280
Shan St(N)
UC
17.49% 2019/20
MOEP
Shweli-3
1,050
Shan St(N)
UC
5.99% 2020/21
MOEP
Bawgata
160
Bago Re
Pre.Works 2020/21
MOEP
Sub-Total
1,662
Shwezaye
660
Sagaing
2,846
16.9.2010
SP
Investigation
JV/IPP
Tanintharyi
600
Taninthayi
1,908
9.10.2008
SP
Investigation
JV/IPP
Tamanthi
1,200
Sagaing
2,371
16.9.2010
SP
Investigation
JV/IPP
Mawlike
520
Sagaing
27.5.2010
SP
Investigation
JV/IPP
Hutgyi
1,360
Kayin
1,679
30.5.2005
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Manipur
380
Sagaing
29.8.2012
F/S
On-going
JV/IPP
Chipwi
3,400
Kachin
1,278
28.12.2006
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Laza
1,900
Kachin
1,451
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Dapein-2
168
Kachin
1,000
25.9.2008
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Gawlan
100
Kachin
26.2.2009
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Wu Zhongze
60
Kachin
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Lawngdin
435
Kachin
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Hkan Kawn
140
Kachin
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Tongxingqiao
320
Kachin
964
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Upper Thanliwn (Kunlong)
1,400
Shan (N)
980
5.4.2007
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Shweli-2
520
Shan (N)
1120
12.11.2009
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Myitsone
6,000
Kachin
1330
28.12.2006
SP
Investigation
JV/IPP
Sinedin
76.5
Rakhaing
5.11.2009
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Upper Bu
150
Magway
On-going
MOEP
Belin
280
Mon
24.11.2010
SP
Investigation
Local/IPP
Middle Paunglaung
100
Mandalay
Investigation
MOEP
Sub-Total
18,969.5
Ywathit (Thanlwin)
4,000
Kayan
1217
7.1.2010
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Wutsok
1,800
Kachin
1263
28.12.2006
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Kaunglanhpu
2,700
Kachin
1142
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Renam (Yenam)
1,200
Kachin
1286
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Hpizaw (Pisa)
2,000
Kachin
1,268
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Naopha
1,000
Shan (N)
20.12.2009
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Mantong
200
Shan (N)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Lemro (Laymyo)
600
Rakhine
2533
7.1.2010
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Lemro-2 (Laymyo-2)
90
Rankhine
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Namlwe
452
Keng Tong
96
Shan (S)
25.9.2007
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Wan Ta Pin
25
Shan (S)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
So Lue
165
Shan (S)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Mong Wa
50
Shan (S)
Investigation
JV/IPP
Keng Yang
28
Shan (S)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
He Kou
88
Shan (S)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Nam Kha
200
Shan (S)
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Nam Tamhpak (Kachin)
200
Kachin
20.1.2011
F/S
Investigation
JV/IPP
Nam Tamhpak (Kayah)
180
Kayah
7.1.2010
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Sub-Total
14,622
Upper Thanliwn (Mongton)
7,110
Shan (E)
977
10.11.2010
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Nam Pawn
585
Htu Kyan (Tuzxing ?)
105
Shan(S)/Kayah
7.1.2010
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Hseng Na
45
Shan(S)/Kayah
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Tha Hkwa
150
Shan(S)/Kayah
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Palaung
105
Shan(S)/Kayah
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Bawlake
180
Shan(S)/Kayah
I
Investigation
JV/IPP
Sub-Total
7,695
*1) UC= Under Construction, DD= Under Detailed Design Stage, F/S = Feasibility Study Stage, SP: Suspended more than three (3) years, I = Investigation Stage
*2) Weighted progress up to 31st June 2013.

Strategies for Sustainable Hydropower Development in Myanmar, 29 January 2013

5 - 11

5.1-8

Power Station (MOEP)

Phyu Chaung

Finance Resource
Local Currency

Nancho

Local Currency

Upper Paunglaung

Local Currency

Ann
Thahtay

Local + Foreign Loan

5.1-11

Local + Foreign Loan

Upper Keng Tong

Upper Yeywa

Local Currency
(China)
(China)

Local + Foreign Loan


(China)

JV/IPP + Foreign
Loan
Local Preliminary
Works
MOAI
Proposal Stage

Shweli-3

2)

Bawgata

Power System

Upper Bu

Development Scheme of MEPE

Middle Paunglaung

2013 11 5.1-9
3

Kyaukphyu 2014 50MW100MW

Myin Gyan
225250MW
2015 8
2013 9 18
Kyause
80100MW
2014 2
2013 9 18
Hlaingtharyar

500MW2016

Thaton 106MW
50.95MW
2016
50MW

2016

5 - 12

5.1-9
Station

2013 11
Current
Time for
Generation
Commissioning
(MW)

Installed
Capacity (MW)

Type

26

GE

2013.05

28.55

GE

2014.02

FS

243

2014.11

243

2015.05

Current
Situation

18

Remark
1MW26units
54.55-26=28.55

Hlawga

52

GE

Commissioning
2013.07

240

GT

2014.02

82

GT

2013.06

39

ST

2014.09

UC

GE?

2014?

GE

Commissioning
2013.07

Ywama

Ahlone

53.6

Thaketa

4MW13units
UC

72

3.352MW16units

167

2015.02

FS

336

2016.01

FS

127

2014.12

FS

386

2016.03

FS

100

GTCC

2015

FS

43.5(GT) + 21.6(GT) +
34.9(ST)

130

GTCC

2016

FS

43.5(GT)2 + 43(ST)

50

GT

2014.12

FS

Mawlamyaing

Kyaukphyu (New)/
Rakhine State

50MW?

2013.9 ~ 2014.12
3.3MW (Rental)
175

2015.03

350

2016.02

Kanpouk (New)

Myin Gyan
Kyause
Hlaingtharyar

Ayeyarwady/ Yangon

225 ~ 250
(assumption)
80 ~ 100
(assumption)

GTCC

2015.08

GE, rental

2014.02

500

Bid Announce:
18/09/2013
Bid Announce:
18/09/2013

2016

Sub Total

2878.15

500

GT

90
2021

Note: *1) UC= Under Construction, F/S = Feasibility Study Stage, I = Investigation Stage

5 - 13

500

~ 2016
I

~ 2031

2013

3)

6 5.1-10

IPP

6 12
IPP
Kyaw Thaung 8MW

Kyaw Thaung 11
IPP Kunchangon

5.1-10
Project Name

Installed Capacity
(MW)

Installed Capacity
for Myanmar (MW)

Time for
Commissioning

Current
Situation

1)

Yangon-Kunchangon

300

300

2015/2016

F/S

2)

Yangon-Htantapin

270

270

2017/2021

3)

Yangon-Thilawa

650

650

2017/2021

4)

Boakpyin

500

250

2017/2021

5)

Ngayukong

500

500

2017/2021

F/S

6)

Kalewa

600

300

2022/2026

2013

Note: *1) F/S = Feasibility Study Stage, I = Investigation Stage

4)

Project Name

Type

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Installed
Time for
Capacity for
Commissioning
Myanmar (MW)

Minbuu

Solar

50

50

2013/2014

Tanintharyi, Mon, Kayin

Wind

1000

300

2017/2021

Shan, Kayah

Wind

1930

579

2017/2021

Chin, Rakhine, Ayeyarwady, Yangon

Wind

1102

330

2017/2021

Sagaing, Magway, Mandalay, Shan,


Tanintharyi

Geothermal

200

200

2017/2021

5 - 14

IPP

Minbuu50MW2014 12
MOUMemorandum of Understanding
500MW
1 500MW
5)

5.1-11
2030
2013 6

5 - 15

Hydro Power Existing

Thermal Power Existing

Hlawga GTCC

Yangon

5 - 16

Thaton GT

Kyunchaung GT

Mawlamyaing GT

Myanaung GT

Shwedaung GT

Mann GT (Production
stop in 2005)

Tigyit Coal-fired

Mon

Magway

Mon

Ayeyarwady

Bago

Magway

Shan

Tharkayta GTCC

Ahlone GTCC

Ywama GT

Baluchaung-2
Kinda
Sedawgyi
Baluchaung-1
Zawgyi-1
Zawgyi-2
Zaungtu
Thapanseik
Mone
Paunglaung
Yenwe
Kabaung
Keng Tong
Shweli-1
Yeywa
Dapein-1
Shwegyin
Kyee On Kyee Wa
Kun
Thauk Ye Khat (2)

Kayah State
Mandalay Div.
Mandalay Div.
Kayah State
Shan State
Shan State
Bago
Sagaing
Magway
Mandalay Div.
Bago
Bago
Shan State
Shan State
Mandalay Div.
Kachin
Bago
Magway
Bago
Bago

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
600
790
240
75
74
60
120
Subtotal
2780
33.3 GT
33.3 GT
33.3 GT
54.3 ST
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
24 GT
9.4 ST
33.3 GT
33.3 GT
33.3 GT
54.3 ST
19 GT
19 GT
19 GT
35 ST
18.45 GT
16.25 GT
16.25 GT
18.1 GT
18.1 GT
18.1 GT
6 GT
6 GT
16.25 GT
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
18.45 GT
Subtotal 714.9
60
60
Subtotal
120

Installed
Capacity (MW)

NEDO
NEDO

366
87.1

20.5

12

24.5

35

57

76

50

88

Available
Capacity for
Myanmar (MW)
156.5
51
24.1
28
18
12
19
29.3
74.15
282
27.32
29.71
37.72
155
732
5
75
74
21.08
120
1970.88

5.1-11

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2013
2014

2012
2013

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2015

2014

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2016

2015

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2017

2016

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2018

2017

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2019

2018

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2020

2019

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2021

2020

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2022

2021

(1/3)
2022

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2023

2023

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2024

2024

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2025

2025

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2026

2026

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2027

2027

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2028

2028

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2029

2029

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2030

2030

60
60

33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

168
56
25
28
18
12
20
30
75
280
25
30
54
300
790
19
75
74
60
120

2031

Hydro Power On-going or Future

5 - 17

44266

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260
38.25
280

38.25
280

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

16.6

Ngotchaung

2021

52.5
22.5
75
52.5
90

52.5
22.5
75
52.5
90

Subtotal

3555

3555

2031

2031
2031
2031
2031
2031

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

105
45
150
105
180

16.6

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90
48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45
2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

38.25
280

38.25
280

38.25
280

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2030
2031

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2029
2030

38.25
280

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2028
2029

38.25
280

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2027
2028

7110

16.6

38.25
280

2026
2027

Upper Thanliwn (Mongton)


Nam Pawn
Htu Kyan (Tuzxing ?)
Hseng Na
Tha Hkwa
Palaung
Bawlake

16.6

38.25
280

38.25
280

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2025
2026

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

38.25
280

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2024
2025

2023
2024

48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100
100
90

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2022
2023

2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026

111
51
280

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2021
2022

96
25
165
50
28
88
200
200
180

111
51

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2020
2021

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2019
2020

2000
900
1350
600
1000
500
100
300
45

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2018
2019

2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

2017
2018

4000
1800
2700
1200
2000
1000
200
600
90

99
40
40
52
29
140

2016
2017

2015
2016

38.25

Ywathit (Thanlwin)
Wutsok
Kaunglanhpu
Renam (Yenam)
Hpizaw (Pisa)
Naopha
Mantong
Lemro (Laymyo)
Lemro-2 (Laymyo-2)
Namlwe
Keng Tong
Wan Ta Pin
Solue
Mong Wa
Keng Yang
He Kou
Nam Kha
Nam Tamhpak (kachin)
Nam Tamhpak (kayah)

2014
2015

2021
2021

660
600
1200
520
1360
380
3400
1900
168
100
60
435
140
320
1400
520
6000
76.5
280

Shwezaye
Tanintharyi
Tamanthi
Mawlaik
Hutgyi
Manipur
Chipwi
Laza
Dapein-2
Gawlan
Wu Zhongze
Lawngdin
Hkan Kawn
Tongxinqiao
Upper Thanliwn (Kunlong)
Shwel-2
Myitsone
Sinedin
Belin

99
40
40
52

2013
2014

2012
2013

680
190
1700
950
84
50
30
217.5
70
160
700
260

2019
2019
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021

10
111
51
280
1050
160
150
100

Ann
Thahtay
Upper Keng Tong
Upper Yeywa
Shweli-3
Bawgata
Upper Bu
Middle Paunglaung

Available
Capacity for
Myanmar (MW)

(2/3)

2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021

2013
2014
2014
2014
2015
2015
2016

99
40
40
52
29
140
101

Chipwinge
Phyu Chaung
Nancho
Baluhaung-3
Upper Baluchaung
Upper Paunglaung
Tapain

Installed
Capacity (MW)

5.1-11

5 - 18

Thermal Power On-going or Future

Renewable

Coal

Coal

Ngayukong

Kalewa

Geothermal

Wind

Minbuu (PV)

Coal

Coal

1459

55538

Total

3320

Subtotal

200

1209

50

Subtotal

600

500

500

650

270

500

Subtotal 2878.2

2021

2021

2014

2026

2021

2021

2021

2021

2016

2021

2016.2

2015.3

350

2014.12

100

175

2016.3

2014.12

127

386

Coal

Yangon-Thilawa

2014?

Commissioning
2013.7
2015.2
2016.1

300

Boakpyin

2013.6
2014.9

336

167

53.6

Coal

Gas

GT

GE

GE?

82

39

GT

ST

240

GT

Commissioning
2013.7
2014.2

2015.5

52

2014.11

243

243

GE

2014.2

26

28.55

2013.5

2016

GE

130

GTCC

2015

GE

100

GTCC

Yangon-Kunchangon
(Virtue Land)
Yangon-Htantapin

Ayeyarwady/Yangon

Kyaukphyu (New)

Thaketa

Ahlone

Ywama

Hlawga

Mawlamyaing

Installed
Capacity (MW)

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

72

18

Available
Capacity for
Myanmar (MW)

5.1-11

50

53.6

94

240

52

28.55

50

175

100

127

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

28.55

26

100

2015

2014

2013

2014

496

2015

1110

7400.1 7896.1 9006.1

53.6

27

94

52

28.55

26

2014

2013

26

2013

2012

2016

1848

10854

50

300

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2016

2015

2017

10856

50

300

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2017

2016

2018

10858

50

300

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2018

2017

2019

164

11022

50

300

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2019

2018

2020

282

11304

50

300

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2020

2019

2021

10467

21771

200

1209

50

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2021

2020

2022

21773

200

1209

50

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2022

2021

(3/3)

2023

21775

200

1209

50

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2023

2022

2024

21777

200

1209

50

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2024

2023

2025

21779

200

1209

50

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2025

2024

2026

7613

29392

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2026

2025

2027

29394

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2027

2026

2028

29396

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2028

2027

2029

29398

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2029

2028

33250

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2031

2030

2030

2031

2 3849.5

29400

200

1209

50

300

500

250

650

270

300

500

350

175

100

386

127

336

167

53.6

27

94

240

52

243

243

28.55

26

130

100

2030

2029

5.1.4

2 4
2013 8 20 21
4
Paunglaung Tigyit 2013 11
13 11 2122
Tigyit 4

(1)
4
PPAPower Purchase Agreement
Ywama 240MW
2014 2 IPP IPP
Thaketa 500MW
IPP MOU

Ywama 240MW

Thaketa 500MW

(2) Ywama
1)

(a) 10
On-line Cleaning SystemBall cleaning

(b) 900Btu/cf
LHVLower Heating Value 720Btu/cf
5 - 19

(c) 36.9MW 32MW16MW 2

2 33.4MW 25MW
(d)

8,000 710

16,00024,000 20

24,00032,000 1

(e) Ywama 104 21


2)

IPP
(a) IPP 52MW
4MW 13
2013 8
PPA
(b) IPP 240MW
120MW 2
1

2013 11
2014 1

52MW

2013 12
2014 2

230kV
Hlaingtharyar
230kV
IPP 1 30

MOGEMyanma Oil and

240MW

Gas Enterprise
5 $/Btu IPP
IPP

2 NEDONew Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization

5 - 20

(3) Hlawga
1)

(a) Ywama 1
5
(b) On-shore Yadana
33.3MW 26.27MW
#3

2
1 30MW
(c)
Kind of maintenance

Equivalent operation hours

Maintenance days

Combustor I

8,000 hrs

7 days

Combustor II

16,000 hrs

7 days

Hot gas parts

24,000 hrs

40 days

Major overhaul

32,000 ~ 40,000 hrs

45 days

(d) 2 1
4

(e) 120 20
2)

IPP
Hlawga IPP 1
25MW 1 MW 26 1 PPA
2

5 - 21

Gas Engine IPP Project

1MW

(4) Ahlone
1)

(a) 3 #2
#1 #3
2013 11 30MW

(b) Hlawga
(c) 120 34

2)

(a) IPP 121MW


#1 2013 4
#2 6
2014 9

PPA

(b) IPP 50MW

50MW1MW 50

5 - 22

121MW

(5) Thaketa
1)

(a) Ywama 2
23 24

(b) 2012 64MW


86MW
(c)
(d) 16,660.813 Btu/kWh
(e) 2013 5.1-12

2)

IPP
Thaketa IPP 53.6MW3.352MW 16
1 PPA

3)

(a) IPP503MW
MOU MOAMemorandum of Agreement

(b) IPP513MW
MOU MOA

(c) IPP 9MW 1MW 9

2014

5 - 23

5.1-12
MONTH

Machine

(1/2013)

STG
GT (1)
GT (2)
GT(3)

(2/2013)

STG
STG
STG
STG
STG

(3/2013)

GT (2)
GT(3)
GT (1)
GT (2)

(4/2013)

GT(3)
STG
STG
GT(2)
STG

(5/2013)
STG
STG
GT (2)
STG
(6/2013)
STG
STG

Thaketa

Stop Duration
28/12/2012(22:10)
09/01/2013(19:00)
23/02/2013(00:00)
26/02/2013(04:35)
20/02/2013(00:35)
26/02/2013(16:43)
23/02/2013(00:00)
26/02/2013(05:00)
04/02/2013(18:15)
10/02/2013(12:30)
10/02/2013(20:25)
11/02/2013(01:05)
11/02/2013(15:45)
11/02/2013(19:20)
16/02/2013(06:05)
16/02/2013(09:30)
23/02/2013(23:50)
05/03/2013(04:30)
09/03/2013(05:32)
09/03/2013(14:55)
09/03/2013(05:32)
09/03/2013(07:07)
05/04/2013(00:16)
12/04/2013(06:41)
05/04/2013(00:15)
12/04/2013(13:14)
05/04/2013(00:14)
12/04/2013(07:30)
05/04/2013(00:15)
12/04/2013(11:30)
16/04/2013(07:53)
16/04/2013(20:15)
16/05/2013(06:15)
16/05/2013(12:17)
04/05/2013(21:06)
05/05/2013(12:35)
10/05/2013(20:35)
11/05/2013(17:35)
12/05/2013(18:25)
13/05/2013(12:35)
03/06/2013(10:05)
03/06/2013(20:10)
03/06/2013(10:05)
03/06/2013(14:15)
04/06/2013(13:08)
04/06/2013(18:00)
09/06/2013(13:05)
09/06/2013(19:30)

Remarks
Servo Error
Gas Line Maintenance
Power Supply Trouble & Gas Line Shutdown
Gas Line Shutdown
Generator Bearing Temperature High
Generator Winding Temperature High & Vacuum Pressure
Low
Generator Winding Temperature High & Vacuum Pressure
Low
Voltage Surge
Gas Shutdown, Condenser, Generator, Lube Oil Cooler Tube
Cleaning
66kV Feeder Heavy Fault Overspeed Trip
66kV Feeder Heavy Fault Overspeed Trip
Gas Line Shutdown
Gas Line Shutdown
Gas Line Shutdown
Gas Line Shutdown & Generator Cooler, Lube Oil Cooler
Ejector Check Valve Inspection & Cleaning
Power Supply Trouble
Gland Steam Valve Cleaning, Batching Plate Replacement
CV 4605 Cleaning, Gland Steam Nozzle and Ejector Cleaning
Condenser Vacuum Line Maintenance, Ejector Check Valve
66kV Feeder Heavy Fault, Power Supply Trouble
System Breakdown
System Breakdown
Vacuum Pressure High
Thaketa

5 - 24

(6) Paunglaung
2013 11
Paunglaung 280MW70MW 4 2005 3
TaungooThephyu2 3
3 160MW
280MW 50MW
11.5 1

5 3 10 2 16 3 24
4 2
Paunglaung Yeywa

Shweli Baluchaung-2
87 69

5 - 25

5.2

5.1 2030

5.2.1

2016 5.1

IPP

5.2.1

5.2.2

2020 2030

5 - 26

5.2.3

13% 30%2021
2022 20252026 10,000MW

50% IPP
90%
5.2-1 5.2-4 5.2-1 5.2-2 5.2-4

5.2-1 20252026 IPP 10%


20302031 IPP 50%
10%

5 - 27

5.2-1

(Unit : MW)

30%

IPP 50%

IPP 10%

2015-16

3,077

4,000

6,823

2,823

5,995

1,995

2020-21

5,686

7,392

17,730

10,338

13,238

5,846

13,427

6,035

10,986

3,594

2025-26

10,400

13,521

25,341

11,820

17,194

3,673

14,949

1,428

11,777

-1,744

2030-31

19,216

24,981

29,189

4,208

19,887

-5,094

16,834

-8,147

13,097

-11,884

JICA

5.2-2

2017 2021

2017 - 2021

Installed
IPP supply ratio of 50%
Dry(0.5)
Capacity
280
280.0
140.000

IPP supply ratio 10%


Dry(0.5)
280.00
140.000

Upper Yeywa (MOEP)

Shweli-3 (MOEP)

1,050

1,050.0

525.000

1,050.00

525.000

Bawgata (MOEP)

160

160.0

80.000

160.00

80.000

Upper Bu (MOEP)

150

150.0

75.000

150.00

75.000

Middle Paunglaung (MOEP)

100

100.0

50.000

100.00

50.000

Thahtay (MOEP)

111

111.0

55.500

111.00

55.500

Upper Keng Tong (MOEP)

51

51.0

25.500

51.00

25.500

Chibwe

3,400

1,700.0

850.000

340.00

170.000

Laza

1,900

950.0

475.000

190.00

95.000

10

Upper Thanlwin (Kunlong)

1,400

700.0

350.000

140.00

70.000

11

Gawlan

100

50.0

25.000

10.00

5.000

12

Wxhonhgze

60

30.0

15.000

6.00

3.000

13

Lawngdin

435

217.5

108.750

43.50

21.750

14

Hkan Kwan

140

70.0

35.000

14.00

7.000

15

Tongxingqiao

320

160.0

80.000

32.00

16.000

16

Hutgyi

1,360

680.0

340.000

136.00

68.000

17

Shweli-2

520

260.0

130.000

52.00

26.000

18

Saindin

77

38.3

19.125

7.65

3.825

19

Dapein-2

168

84.0

42.000

16.80

8.400

20

Manipur

380

190.0

95.000

38.00

19.000

21

Belin

280

280.0

140.000

280.00

140.000

22

Ngot Chaung

17

16.6

8.300

16.60

8.300

23

Yangon - Htantapin

270

270.0

270.000

270.00

270.000

24

Yangon- Thilawa

650

650.0

650.000

650.00

650.000

25

Boakpyin

500

250.0

250.000

50.00

50.000

26

Ngayukong

500

500.0

500.000

500.00

500.000

27

Ayeyarwady / Yangon

500

500.0

500.000

500.00

500.000

28

Tanintharyi, Mon, Kayin

1,000

300.0

300.000

300.00

300.000

29

Shan, Kayah

1,930

579.0

579.000

579.00

579.000

30

Chin, Rakhine, Ayeyarwady, Yangon

1,102

330.0

330.000

330.00

330.000

31

Sagaing, Magway, Mandalay, Shan, Tanintharyi

200

200.0

200.000

200.00

200.000

10,907.4

7,243.175

6,603.55

4,991.275

JICA

5 - 28

5.2-3
2022 - 2026

2022 2026
Installed
IPP supply ratio of 50%
Capacity
Dry(0.5)
4,000
2,000
1,000.0

IPP supply ratio 10%


Dry(0.5)
400.0
200.0

Ywathit-Thanlwin

Wutsok

1,800

900

450.0

180.0

90.0

Kaunglanhpu

2,700

1,350

675.0

270.0

135.0

Yenan

1,200

600

300.0

120.0

60.0

Pisa

2,000

1,000

500.0

200.0

100.0

Laymyro

600

300

150.0

60.0

30.0

Laymyro-2

4.5

Natabat-Kayah

Naung Pha

10

90

45

22.5

9.0

180

90

45.0

18.0

9.0

1,000

500

250.0

100.0

50.0

Mantaung

200

100

50.0

20.0

10.0

11

Keng Tong

96

48

24.0

9.6

4.8

12

Wan Ta Pin

25

13

6.3

2.5

1.3

13

So Lu e

165

83

41.3

16.5

8.3

14

Mongwa

50

25

12.5

5.0

2.5

15

Keng Yang

28

14

7.0

2.8

1.4

16

He Kou

88

44

22.0

8.8

4.4

17

Namkha

200

100

50.0

20.0

10.0

18

Natabat-Kachin

200

100

50.0

20.0

10.0

19

Kalewa

600

60.0

60.0

5.2-4
2027 - 2031

300

300.0

7,611

3,955.5

791.1
1,522.2
JICA

2027 2031
Installed
IPP supply ratio of 50%
Dry(0.5)
Capacity
105
52.5
26.25

IPP supply ratio 10%


Dry(0.5)
10.500
5.2500

Htu Kyan

Hanna

45

22.5

11.25

4.500

2.2500

Thakya

150

75.0

37.50

15.000

7.5000

Palaung

105

52.5

26.25

10.500

5.2500

Bawlake

180

90.0

45.00

18.000

9.0000

Upper Thanlwin- Mong Tong

7,110

3,555.0

1,777.50

711.000

355.5000

3,847.5

2,693.25

1,885.275 1,319.6925
JICA

5 - 29

5.2.4

IPP
5.2-6 5.2-7
5.2-8
IPP MOU
150m 5.2-5
5.2-5

IPP

150m

150m

150m

150m

MOU-FS-MOA

MOA-EIA-JVA

JVA-construction-COD*

10

* CODCommercial Operating Date

5.2-6
IPP 2014 2
Ywama52MW
Thaketa53.6MW PPA MawlamyaingPhase 198MW
Phase 2132MW 1 2014
Thaketa IPPMOA

IPPMOU
HlawgaMOU
AyeyarwadyMOU 4 LNGLiquid Natural
Gas 2022
MOU 1 F/SFeasibility Study
6 EIAEnvironmental Impact Assessment
SIASocial Impact Assessment
MOA
Kyaukphyu
Myin Gyan

ThatonKyause

Ywama2014

5 - 30

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O

5 - 31

Sub Total

Dapein-2
Gawlan
Wu Zhongze
Hkan Kawn
Tongxingqiao
Lawngdin
Upper Thanliwn (Kunlong)
Naopha
Mantong
Tamanthi
Shwezaye
Tanintharyi
Upper Thanliwn (Mongton)
Hutgyi
Sinedin
Lemro (Laymyo)
Lemro-2 (Laymyo - 2)
Ywathit (Thanlwin)
Nam Tamhpak (Kayah)
Htu Kyan (Tuzxing ?)
Hseng Na
Tha Hkwa
Palaung
Bawlake
Shweli-2
Keng Tong
Wan Ta Pin
So Lue
Mong Wa
Keng Yang
He Kou
Nam Kha
Mawlike
Nam Tamhpak (Kachin)
Manipur

Chipwinge

Phyu Chaung
Nancho
Baluhaung-3
Upper Baluchaung
Upper Paunglaung
Ann
Thahtay
Upper Keng Tong
Upper Yeywa
Shweli-3
Bawgata
Upper Bu
Middle Paunglaung
Belin
Ngotchaung
Myitsone
Chipwi
Wutsok
Kaunglanhpu
Renam (Yenam)
Hpizaw (Pisa)
Laza

Stage

44064.1

40
construction
40
construction
52
BOT
29
BOT
140
construction
10
suspended
111
construction
51
construction
280
construction
1050
construction
160 Peliminary Work
150
On-going
100
Investigation
280
terminated
16.6
MOU
6000
JVA
3400
JVA
1800
MOA
2700
MOA
1200
MOA
2000
MOA
1900
JVA
(Prepared to
99
Commercial)
168
MOU
100
MOA
60
MOA
140
MOA
320
MOA
435
MOA
1400
MOA
1000
MOU
200
MOU
1200
MOU
660
MOU
600
MOU
7110
MOU
1360
MOA
76.5
MOA
600
MOA
90
MOA
4000
MOA
180
MOA
105
MOA
45
MOA
150
MOA
105
MOA
180
MOA
520
MOA
96
MOU
25
MOU
165
MOU
50
MOU
28
MOU
88
MOU
200
MOU
520
MOU
200
MOU
380
MOU

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

M
M
S
S
S
M
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S

S
S
S
S
S
S
M
M
M

2031
2021
2021
2026
2026
2026
2026
2031
2031
2031
2031
2031
2021
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2021

17.4/55.2 Reservoir type


160.6 Reservoir type

2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2026
2026

2013

2021
2026
2026
2026
2026
2021

2019
2019
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021

2014
2014
2014
2015
2015

Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type
Reservoir type

241
117.6
70.1
205
48.2
147
29.9
86
43.9
38.1
108
108
92(82)
54(73)
42.5(57)
125(130)
43.9
27.8(36)
50.5(52)
120

63
79
103
90 Reservoir type
109 Reservoir type

59 Reservoir type
47 Reservoir type

47.6 Reservoir type

Type of
Hydropower
Plant

M
M
M
M
M
M

Dam
Height
(m)
74.7 Reservoir type
50.9 Run-of-river type
Run-of-river type
35 Run-of-river type
98.14 Reservoir type
47.9 Reservoir type
90.8 Reservoir type
57 Reservoir type
60.96 Reservoir type
119.8 Reservoir type
70.1 Reservoit type
137.5 Reservoir type
82.9 Run-of-river type
117 Rservoir type
Run-of-river type
139.6 Reservoir type
206 Reservoir type
141 Reservoir type
223 Reservoir type
159 Reservoir type
153 Reservoir type
196 Reservoir type

Main River
Subsidiary
River

100
190

3555
680
38.25
300
45
2000
90
52.5
22.5
75
52.5
90
260
48
12.5
82.5
25
14
44
100

84
50
30
70
160
217.5
700
500
100

1700
900
1350
600
1000
950

Available
Capacity for
Myanmar
(MW)

5.2-6

MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU

2008

2007

MOU

2009

2008
2011

2010

MOU

2012

2011

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA

MOU
MOU

MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA

MOA

MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU

MOU

MOA

JVA
MOA

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA

2013

2012

MOA
MOU

MOA

JVA (June 2010)


MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
JVA (June 2010)

BOT
BOT

2010

2009

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA

MOA

MOA
MOA

MOA
MOA
MOA

MOA

2014

2013

MOA

MOA

MOA
MOA

JVA

JVA

JVA

2015

2014

MOA

JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA

JVA

JVA

2016

2015

COD
COD
COD
COD
COD
COD

JVA

JVA
JVA

JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA

2017

2016

JVA

JVA
JVA
JVA
JVA

JVA

COD

2018

2017

JVA

JVA

2019

2018

COD

COD

COD

COD

2020

2019

COD
COD
COD
COD
COD
COD

COD

COD

2021

2020

COD

2022

2021

2023

2022

COD
COD

2024

2023

COD

COD
COD

2025

2024

COD

2026

2025

COD
COD
COD
COD

2027

2026

COD
COD

COD
COD

2028

2027

COD

2029

2028

2030

2029

2031

2030

5.2-7

IPP 2014 2
Stage of the project

Phase 1

Contract Date

Contract
Expiration

MOA

29/03/2013

No Expiration

PPA

nearly finished

commissioning

Local/IPP
Hlawga

Current Situation
of Contract

Phase 2

after PPA, under


construction

MOA

29/03/2013

No Expiration

Phase 1

MOU

MOU

27/07/2012

27/04/2015

Phase 2

MOU

MOU

27/07/2012

27/04/2015

MOA

02/08/2013

No Expiration

PPA

First week
02/2014

MOA

16/11/2012

PPA

nearly finished

MOA

16/11/2012

PPA

nearly finished

MOA

27/08/2013

PPA

First week
02/2014

JV/IPP

Ywama

Local/IPP

commissioning

Phase 1
Ahlone

Local/IPP
Phase 2

Local/IPP

Thaketa

No Expiration

Operated

No Expiration

under construction

commissioning

No Expiration

Phase 1

MOA

MOA

04/10/2012

No Expiration

Phase 2

MOA

MOA

04/10/2012

No Expiration

Phase 1

MOU

MOU

02/01/2013

31/10/2015

Phase 2

MOU

MOU

02/01/2013

31/10/2015

MOA

09/09/2013

No Expiration

Phase 1

MOA
PPA

nearly finished

MOA

09/09/2013

PPA

nearly finished

JV/IPP

JV/IPP

Mawlamyaing

Local/IPP
Phase 2

Kanpouk
(NEW)

Local/IPP
or JV/IPP

Ayeyarwady
(NEW)

JV/IPP

No Expiration

MOA

Phase 1

MOU

MOU

11/04/2013

31/07/2014

Phase 2

MOU

MOU

11/04/2013

31/07/2014

MOU

MOU

25/07/2013

25/07/2015

5 - 32

5.2-8

IPP

MOU had singed


No.

Project name &


Location

Installed Capacity

Final Status

Remarks

Yangon Region

2 135 MW (1st Phase)


Htantapin Township,
2 135 MW (or)
Near Kukowa River
1 300 MW (2nd Phase)

On (19.8.2013), developers replied that they - MOU had been signed on


have no changes concerned with the location (11.2.2010).
of the project, but at present, they are trying to
get a place for jetty in the Yangon River for the - Overview of FSR had been
replied on (22.8.2011).
transportation of coal.

Kyun Gyan Gon


Township, Thoung
Khon Village

2 150 MW (1st Phase)


2 300 MW (2nd Phase)
2 600 MW (3rd Phase)

Developer is preparing to reply the overview - MOU had been signed on


of FSR to DHPP.
(24.8.2012).

Thilawa
Zone

650~1,200 MW (1st Phase)


1,200~2,000 MW (2nd Phase)
3,000 MW (3rd Phase)

Kyauk Tan Township,


2 250 MW
Chaungwa Village

Industrial

MOU had been signed on (21.3.2013).

- MOU had been signed on


(21.3.2013).
- Overview of FSR had been
replied on (16.7.2013).

On (3.7.2013), they had submitted MOU


(Draft) to Ministry of Finance, Union Attorney - MOU had been signed on
General's Office and Ministry of National (8.10.2013).
Planning and Economic Development.

Sagaing Region

Kale District, Kalewa 2 135 MW (1st Phase)


Township
2 135 MW (2nd Phase)

- MOU had been signed on


HPGE is preparing to reply the overview of (27.5.2010).
Financial Analysis Report to DHPP.
- Overview of FSR had been
replied on (15.6.2010).

Tanintharyi Region
6

Myeik Township,
Lotlot Village

1 50 MW

On (19.10.2012), HPGE replied the Pros and


- MOU had been signed on
Cons and Inspection ways of Clean Coal
(27.7.2012).
Technology to DHPP.

Kawthaung District,
Boakpyin Township,
Manawlone

1 250 MW (1st Phase)


1 250 MW (2nd Phase)

- MOU had been signed on


On (25.7.2013), HPGE replied the overview of (21.9.2012).
Financial Analysis Report to DHPP.
- Overview of FSR had been
replied on (14.6.2013).

2 270 MW (or)
2 300 MW

HPGE is preparing to reply the overview of - MOU had been signed on


FSR Implementation Report to DHPP.
(11.4.2013).

25 MW

On (25.5.2012) HPGE reported compare with - MOU had been signed on


previous sulfur reduction report to MOEP.
(1.10.2013).

Ayeyarwady Region
8

Ngayok Kaung

Shan State
9

Keng Tong

MOU Proposal
No.

Project name &


Location

Installed Capacity

Final Status

Remarks

Yangon Region
1

Htan Ta Bin Township,


Shwe Lin Ban
Industrial Zone

1 350 MW (1st Phase)


Total 1,050 MW

On (13.9.2013), HPGE replied the overview


of FSR to DHPP

1 400 MW (1st Phase)


2 1,800 MW(2nd Phase)

On (8.11.2012), they had submitted MOU


(Draft).

Tanintharyi Region
2

Dawei Special
Economic Zone

5 - 33

11 IPP 2014
2 9 MOU 5.2-8
F/S

5.2-9 366MW
574MW 2017
Tigyit

30MW 120MW2016
5.2-9
Region/State

Station

Hlawga GTCC

Ywama GTCC
Yangon
Ahlone GTCC

Tharkayta GTCC

Mon

Thaton GT

Magwe

Kyunchaung GT

Mon

Mawlamyaing GT

Ayeyarwady

Myanaung GT

Bago

Shwedaung GT

Magwe

Mann GT
(Production stop
in 2005)

Installed
Capacity
(MW)
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
18.45
18.45
24
9.4
33.3
33.3
33.3
54.3
19
19
19
35
18.45
16.25
16.25
18.1
18.1
18.1
6
6
16.25
18.45
18.45
18.45
18.45

Type

154.2

70.3

154.2

92

50.95

54.3
12
34.7
55.35

18.45
18.45
Sub Total

GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
ST
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT
ST
ST
GT
GT
GT
GT
GT

COD

Current
Generation Rehabilitation Replacement
(MW)

1996.01

Planned

88

116

154.2

50

57

70.3

76

116

154.2

1980
2004
2004
1995.04
1997.02
1990.03

57

1997.02
1985
2001

35

86

92

106
(GTCC)

106

1974

24.5

39

54.3

1980

0 *2

1975&84

12

1984

20.5

39

55.35

1980

0 *3

36.9

15

34.7

GT
714.9

366
574(GTCC 481, GT93)

Note

Installed
Capacity
(After
Replacement)

1999.04

GT
36.9

*1

757.95

*1 Generation when additional gas is supplied.


*2 Power supply is not counted according to new power plant construction (Myanmar Lighting).

*3 Power supply in not counted according to the spare from 2005.

5 - 34

5.2.5

5.3 3

(1)
3
GDPGross Domestic Product

(2)
2

(3)

1)

IPP

2)

5 - 35

JV/IPP

JV/IPP

Mytgyinar Barhmaw
Putao 700 km
230kV
JV/IPP

230kV

3)

LNG
16m

5 - 36

4)

SEZSpecial Economic Zone

SEZ

SEZ
2015

SEZ

3
500kV

50MW230kV 230kV

Pathein Ngayok
IPP 540MW MOU
F/S

3 Mawlamyaing

3
2013.11.8

5 - 37

70% 20%

Kalegauk Kalegauk
300km Mawlamyaing
F/S
Mawlamyaing
26%

10% 3

SEZ

5)

2030

5 - 38

(4)
1)


2013 12 2,780MW 20
2012 6,536GWh 76.9%

10
100MW Shweli-1600MW2009
Paunglaung280MW2005

Yeywa790MW2010 Baluchaung-2168MW1960/74 4
Shweli-1 JV/IPP 300MW

70%
Paunglaung Yeywa

2014 3 Nancho40MW
Baluchaung-352MW
Upper Paunglaung
140MW
JV/IPP Local/IPP

a.
b. 500km
c. 1,000km

d.

a. Local/IPP JV/IPP

b.

5 - 39

7.5.2 (5) 1,000MW

Shweli-2
520MW
Shweli-31,050MWUpper Yeywa280MW

Middle Paunglaung100MW
Baluchaung-1 -2SedawgyiKinda

2030

2)


2013 714.9MW 230 mmcfd
19.8%
366MW 3
163 mmcfd

30%

2015 Shwe 100 mmcfd


Yadana Zawtika
Yadana150225 mmcfd
Zawtika60100 mmcfd

5 - 40

2015 490 mmcfd 65%319 mmcfd


2.0
M-3 2018
4 Yadana 2020
Zawtika 2024 2022

2030
4

dual fuel

LNG 4.1.4
LNG
20162017

2022
LNG

LNG

3)


Tigyit 1 120MW60MW
2 2004 30MW

4 6 34
3,3006,600 kcal/kg
6,000
kcal/kg Kalewa Darthwekyauk
Banchaung
Kalewa 3,300 kcal/kg

60,000 Kyat/ton58 $/ton


6,000 kcal/kg CIFCost, Insurance and Freight
110 USD/ton

5 - 41

IPP

IPP
2013 4050%
2030
300MW

USCUltra Super Critical

4)

MOIMinistry of Industry

MOSTMinistry of Science and Technology

Minbuu 50MW MOU

2
2030 10%
1)

23,074MW2008
1,750MW2008 7.6% 13,867MW2009
1,200MW2015 8.7%
2011

2030 14,542MW

10%

5 - 42

2)

15%
10%

5.2-10

S1

2015
S2

1,000MW

1,000MW

S1

2020
S2

S1

2022

S3

S3

2030
S2

S3

2022

2019
2030 10%

S1 1
S2 2
S3 3

(5)

1)

2)

3)

IPP

4)

5 - 43

Rural Electrification

India
China

Expan.

[ Mini Hydropower
Development ]

China

Bangladesh

China

Mandalay

Expan.

South-North
Line

Expan.

Laos

Expan.

Napyitaw

Kyaukphyu

[ System Expansion ]
- New 500kV T/L
(South-North)
- T/L-D/L Expansion

500kV or
230kV
Outer Ring
Coast Line
Expan.

Yangon

Thailand

THilawar

[ Thermal Power
IPP Development ]
- Coal-fired Power
- Gas-fired Power

5.2-1

Dawei

5 - 44

5.2.6

WASPWien Automatic System Planning


IAEAInternational Atomic Energy Agency

5.2-2

5.2-3

Load MW

Load Duration Curve


Operation Time
Short
Generation Cost
High

Operation Time
Long

Generator
Generator
Generator

Generator Capacity
Generation Cost
LOW

Generation Cost (cent/kWh)

Hour

WASP

5.2-2

WASP

Installed CapacityMW
Fuel TypeCoal, Lignite, Oil, Natural Gas, Gas Turbine
Heat RateKcal/kWh
5 - 45

Fuel Costcents/million Kcals


Fixed O&M [Operation & Maintenance] Cost$/(kWmonth)
Schedule Maintenance Days per yearsdays
Forced Outage Rate%
Capital Cost$/kW

5.2-3

WASP 5.2-4

5 - 46

WASP

5.2-4

WASP

WASP 3

3
Basic Plan
Demand will reach 14.5GW in 2030 at annual energy increase rate, 13% (kWh basis)
Actual capacity in dry season, 19GW, should meet the demand counting on 30% reserve margin (kW Basis)
Existing gas-fired stations power supply is based on

the PDP in Myanmar (June 2013)

Existing coal-fired stations power supply is based on hearing from HPGE of MOEP
Existing hydropower stations power supply is based on daily maximum power output data (May 2013)
Effect of existing gas-fired stations rehabilitation is in 2017
Effect of existing coal-fired stations rehabilitation is in 2017
Future gas-fired power stations candidates were provided due to Thermal power department of MEPE
(Maximum total installed capacity: 4GW)
Future coal-fired power stations candidates were provided by HPGE (Maximum total installed capacity for
Myanmar (Maximum total installed capacity for Myanmar: 8 GW).
Future hydropower stations power supply is 50% of installed capacity as dry season. (The ratio is daily
maximum power supply output data (May 2013) /installed capacity)

5 - 47

Future power plants


Resource

Hydropower

Capital
Cost
(USD/kW)

O&M COST
Efficiency Fuel Cost
Fixed ($/kW- Variable
(%)
($/MMbtu)
month)
($/MWh)

2,000

Gas-Turbine

1,100

31.1

Gas
Combined

1,200

50.6

Gas Engine

890

45.6

Coal-Fired

1,500 2,200

38 - 43

0.6

1.9

2.3

1.9

4.26

2.5

0.6

Remarks

- Capacity Factor 50% on average overall


hydro p/s record.
- Small and medium hydros capital cost is
same as large one, depends on site, scale,
compensation and other elements.

Thermal

11.19 (Gas)
18.0 (LNG)
19.4 (HSD)

- Gas fuel cost includes the construction cost


for
gas
pipeline
and
appurtenant
infrastructures.
- Capital cost is based on the latest plants in
Myanmar.
- Efficiency of GT & GC is based on GTW
2013 that of GE is on Hlawga (55MW).
- Capital cost is based on the past project data
including appurtenant infrastructures.
- Coal fuel import cost is 110 USD/ton
including transportation.
- Heating value: 6,500 (kcal/kg) Higher
efficiency is available by USC in the future

Renewable Energy
Photovoltaic
(PV)

3,600

- Capacity Factor 17% (Thailand case) PV cost


is refer to IRENA report 2012.
- Battery cost of 600 USD/kW is included in
Capital Cost for the power system stability.

5.2-5 5.2-6

5 - 48

Note:

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.2-5

IPPJVIPP
5 - 49

Myin Gyan
Kyause
Kalewa

Keng Tong

Kyaukphyu

Coal-fired
Gas-fired

Ngayyukong

Yangon

Dawei

(Kanpouk
Boakpyin)

Note:

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.2-6

5 - 50

5.3

5.3.1

1
1
1

4.2GW

31.0GW

2.6GW
LNG LNG

20132030 5.3-1 5.3-1 2020 2030


5.3-2
5.3-1

As of 2030 Year: New Coal2.6GW, New Hydro 16.8GW, New Gas 4.2 GW (Installed capacity for Myanmar)
Item/Plant Name
Peak Demand (MW)
Required Generation
Energy (GWh)

2013
2,055

2014
2,248

2015
2,527

2016

2017

2,840

2018

3,192

2019

3,587

2020

4,032

2021

4,531

2022

5,092

2023

5,723

2024

6,431

2025

7,227

2026

8,121

2027

2028

2029

2030

TOTAL

9,125 10,253 11,520 12,944 14,542

12,064 13,560 15,242 17,132 19,256 21,642 24,323 27,336 30,721 34,524 38,797 43,597 48,990 55,048 61,853 69,497 78,083 87,727

699556.8

Existing Plant
Combined Cycle

271

271

271

271

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

Gas Turbine

95

95

95

95

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

481
93

Coal

60

60

60

60

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

Hydropower

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

(Existing Sub Total)

1556

1556

1556

1556

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

378

566

782

Candidate Plant
Gas
Coal
Hydropower
(dry : Install 0.5)

743

743

167

336

127

386

4228

570

870

600

600

2640

333

745

365

169

95

896

1521

500

1525

1778

8390

116

85

51

42

81

88

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

2000

494

651

833

612

951

700

788

433

1588

1308

536

631

1223

2107

700

1725

1978

17258

494

1145

1978

1978

2590

3541

4241

5029

5462

7050

8358

8894

9525

10748

12855

13555

15280

17258

2050

2701

3534

3534

4414

5365

6065

6853

7286

8874

10182

10718

11349

12572

14679

15379

17104

19082

Renewable
(Candidate Sub Total
in each year)
Development Plant Total
Total Supply Capacity
(capacity-peak)

-4.784

453.2 1007.4 694.13 1222.1 1777.5

2033 2321.6 2193.5 3151.1 3750.8 3491.1 3228.2

Reserved Margin (%)

-0.233 20.162 39.872 24.442 38.287 49.548 50.423 51.235 43.073 55.061 58.322 48.307 39.752 37.775 43.167 33.496 32.143 31.218

5 - 51

3447 4425.9 3858.8 4160.5 4539.8

Domestic Energy Consumption Scenario


Annual Transition of Power Supply for Peak Demand (MW)
25000
Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

Peak Demand (MW)

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

5.3-1

2020
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2013(March)
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

200
715

2484
Gas
120

2259

Gas

3184

Coal

Coal

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Hydro(Middle-Small)
Renewable

Renewable

2760

2030
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2000
4986
6891

Gas
2760

Coal
Hydro(Large)
Hydro(Middle-Small)
Renewable

12147

5.3-2

2013 2020 2030

5 - 52

5.3-2
Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Proponent

Contraction
Condition

COD

Available
Capacity for
Myanmar
(MW)

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Phyu Chaung

40.0

MOEP

2014

40.00

40

Nancho

40.0

MOEP

2014

40.00

40

Baluhaung-3

52.0 Local/IPP

2014

52.00

52

Upper Baluchaung

30.4 Local/IPP

2015

30.40

30.4

Upper Paunglaung

2015

140.00

140

Ann

Thahtay

Upper Keng Tong

Upper Yeywa

140.0

MOEP

10.0

MOEP

111.0

MOEP

2019

111.00

111

51.0

MOEP

2019

51.00

51

280.0

MOEP

2020

280.00

280

Shweli-3

1,050.0

MOEP

2021

1,050.00

1050

Bawgata

160.0

MOEP

2021

160.00

Upper Bu

150.0

MOEP

2021

150.00

Middle Paunglaung

100.0

MOEP

2021

100.00

Belin

280.0 Local/IPP

2021

Ngotchaung

16.6 Local/IPP

2021

Dapain (only supply)


1 Myitsone
2 Chipwi

101.0

MOEP

6,000.0

JV/IPP

160
150
100

16.60

16.6

2016

101

JVA

3,400.0

JV/IPP

JVA

2021

1,700.00

3 Wutsok
4 Kaunglanhpu

1,800.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

900.00

2,700.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

1,350.00

5 Renam (Yenam)
6 Hpizaw (Pisa)

1,200.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

600.00

2,000.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

1,000.00

7 Laza

JVA
2021
(Prepared to
2013
Commercial)
MOU
2021

950.00

1700
900
1350
600
1000

1,900.0

JV/IPP

8 Chipwinge

99.0

JV/IPP

9 Dapein - 2
10 Gawlan
11 Wu Zhongze

168.0

JV/IPP

100.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

50.00

50

60.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

30.00

30

12 Hkan Kawn
13 Tongxinqiao

160.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

80.00

80

340.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

170.00

170

600.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

300.00

300

1,400.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

700.00

700

1,425.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

712.00

712

1,200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

660.0

JV/IPP

MOU

600.0

JV/IPP

MOU

7,110.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2031

3,555.00

1,360.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

680.00

14 Lawngdin
15 Upper Thanliwn
(Kunlong)
16,17 Naopha, Mantong
18 Tamanthi
19 Shwezaye
20 Taninthayi
21 Upper Thanliwn
(Mongton)
22 Hutgyi
23 Sinedin

99.00

950
99

84.00

84

3555
680

76.5

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

38.25

600.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

300.00

90.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

45.00

4,000.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

2,000.00

180.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

90.00

105.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

52.50

52.5

45.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

22.50

22.5

30 Tha Hkwa
31 Palaung

150.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

75.00

75

105.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

52.50

52.5

32 Bawlake
33 Shweli-2

180.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

90.00

520.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

260.00

34 Keng Tong
35 Wan Ta Pin

128.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

64.00

64

33.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

17.00

17

36 Solue
37 Mong Wa

160.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

80.00

80

50.0 Local/IPP

MOU

2026

50.00

50

24 Lemro (Laymyo)
25 Lemro-2
(Laymyo - 2)
26 Ywathit (Thanlwin)
27 Nam Tamhpak
(Kayah)
28 Htu Kyan (Tuzxing?)
29 Hseng Na

38 Keng Yang
39 He Kou
40 Nam Kha
41 Mawlaik
42 Nam Tamhpak
(Kachin)
43 Manipur

38.25
300
45

90

90
260

40.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

20.00

20

100.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

50.00

50

200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

520.0

JV/IPP

MOU

200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

380.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2021

Sub Total

44655.5

190.00
18,677.75

190
231 401.4 502.4 502.4 586.4 748.4 748.4
231 170.4

Note:

101

84

162

925

1591

3081

3811 4149.3

4339

6131.8

9174 10174

0 176.6

666

1490

730 338.25

190

1792.5

3042

1000

13224 16779
3050

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5 - 53

3555

5 - 54

(Sub Total)

ShwePyi (Tanintharyi)
Myeik (Tanintharyi)

Yangon-Htantapin Industrial Zone

Dawei-SEZ (Tanintharyi)

Ngayukong (Ayeyarwady Div.)


Kalewa (Sagaing Div.)
Boakpyin (Tanintharyi State)
Yangon-Kyauktan
Keng Tong (Shan State)
Kyaukphyu (New Propose)

Yangon-Htantapin

Yangon-Kunchangon

Coal-fired Yangon-Thilawar

(Sub Total)

Ywama
Thaketa
Kyause (New)
Kyaukpyu (New)

Gas Engine Hlawga

(Sub Total)

Myin Gyan (New)


Hlaingtharyar (New)
Ayeyarwady (New)

Kanpouk (New)

Thaketa

Hlawga

GasTurbine Yeama
Kyaukphyu (New)
Thilawa
(Sub Total)
Combined Ahlone
Cycle
Mawlamyaing

Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
500
500
25
500
750
750
400
3600
350
700
8
50
Sub Total

Sub Total

26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3

82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

GT
ST
GTCC
GTCC

GE
GE
GE
GE

240
50
50

GT
GT

14853

4228.15

Installed Capacity
(MW)

5.3-3

2021
2026
2031
2021
2026
2031
2021
2026
2021
2026
2021
2021
2021
2021
2026
2029
2021
2026
2021
2026

2013.5
2014.2
Commissioning 2013.7
Commissioning 2013.7

2013.6
2014.9
2015
2016
2014.11
2015.5
2015.2
2016.1
2014.12
2016.3
2015.3
2016.2
2015.8
2016
2021

2014.2
2014.12
2016

COD

Cumulative
Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
250 Domestic 50%
500
25
500
750
750
400
1800 Domestic 50%?
350
700
off-grid
off-grid
12745 cumulative
each year

26
28.55
52
53.6
100

82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

240
50
50

Available Capacity for


Myanmar (MW)

2014

175

39
98

290

50

2015

2015

350
250

132

50
340

2016

2016

340

2017

2017

340

2018

2018

340

2019

2019

340

2020

2020

340

2021

2021

340

2022

2022

243

340

2023

2023

243

340

2024

2024

167

340

2025

2025

336

340

2026

2026

127

340

2027

2027

386

340

2028

2028

340

2029

2029

340

2030

2030

340

2031

Note:

570
570

1440
870

270

600

2040
600

600

2640
600

600

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

270

300

2640
0

500
500
82
394
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
1869
2612
2779
3115
3242
3628
3628
3628
3628
82
312
732
0
0
0
0
0
0
743
743
167
336
127
386
0
0
0
26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3
-3
263.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15
585.15 944.15 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 2469.2 3212.2 3379.2 3715.2 3842.2 4228.2 4228.2 4228.2 4228.2
585.15
359
782
0
0
0
0
0
0
743
743
167
336
127
386
0
0
0

240
82

240

2014

2013

5.3.2

2
1 2
1) 1

2) 1 2 1.7GW
3) 1 2 4.9GW
4) 1 31.0GW
20132030 5.3-4 5.3-3 2020 2030
5.3-4
5.3-4

AS of 2030 Year: New Coal 4.9GW, New Hydro 16.8GW, New Gas1.7GW (Installed capacity for Myanmar)
Item/Plant Name
Peak Demand (MW)
Required Generation
Energy (GWh)

2013
2,055

2014
2,248

2015
2,527

2016

2017

2,840

2018

3,192

2019

3,587

2020

4,032

2021

4,531

2022

5,092

2023

5,723

2024

6,431

2025

7,227

2026

8,121

2027

2028

2029

2030

TOTAL

9,125 10,253 11,520 12,944 14,542

12,064 13,560 15,242 17,132 19,256 21,642 24,323 27,336 30,721 34,524 38,797 43,597 48,990 55,048 61,853 69,497 78,083 87,727 699557

Existing Plant
Combined Cycle

271

271

271

271

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

Gas Turbine

95

95

95

95

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

Coal

60

60

60

60

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

Hydropower

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

(Existing Sub Total)

1556

1556

1556

1556

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

378

566

782

570

870

600

600

116

85

51

42

81

80

88

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

2000

(Candisate Sub Total


in each year)

494

651

833

612

951

780

788

433

750

1215

509

1520

1366

1721

700

1725

1978

17026

Development Plant Total

494

1145

1978

1978

2590

3541

4321

5109

5542

6292

7507

8016

2701

3534

3534

4414

5365

6145

6933

7366

8116

9331

9840 11360 12726 14447 15147 16872 18850

Candidate Plant
Gas
Coal
Hydropower
(dry: Install 0,5)
Renewable

Total Supply Capacity

2050

(capacity-peak)

-4.784

453.2 1007.4 694.13 1222.1 1777.5

Reserved Margin(%)

-0.233 20.162 39.872 24.442 38.287 49.548 52.407

333

1726

650

650

700

270

4910

365

309

620

896

1521

500

1525

1778

8390

9536 10902 12623 13323 15048 17026

2113 2401.6 2273.5 2393.1 2899.8 2613.1 3239.2

3601 4193.9 3626.8 3928.5 4307.8

53 44.644 41.816 45.089 36.158 39.887 39.462 40.904 31.482 30.351 29.623

5 - 55

Least Cost Scenario


Annual Transition of Power Supply for Peak Demand (MW)
25000
Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

Peak Demand (MW)

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

5.3-3

2020
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2013(March)
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

200
715

2484
120

2259

Gas

3344

Gas
Coal

Coal

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Hydro(Middle-Small)
Renewable

Renewable
2760

2030
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2000

2484
5030

6891

Gas
Coal
Hydro(Large)
Hydro(Middle-Small)

12147

5.3-4

Renewable

201320202030

5 - 56

5.3-5
Installed
Capacity
(MW)
A

Phyu Chaung

B
C
D

Upper Baluchaung

Upper Paunglaung

Ann

Thahtay

Upper Keng Tong

Upper Yeywa

Shweli-3

Bawgata

Proponent

Contraction
Condition

COD

Available
2012
Capacity for
Myanmar
2013
(MW)

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

40.0

MOEP

2014

40.00

40

Nancho

40.0

MOEP

2014

40.00

40

Baluhaung-3

52.0 Local/IPP

2014

52.00

52

30.4 Local/IPP

2015

30.40

30.4

2015

140.00

140

140.0

MOEP

10.0

MOEP

111.0

MOEP

2019

111.00

111

51.0

MOEP

2019

51.00

51

280.0

MOEP

2020

280.00

1,050.0

MOEP

2021

1,050.00

160.0

MOEP

2021

160.00

Upper Bu

150.0

MOEP

2021

150.00

Middle Paunglaung

100.0

MOEP

2021

100.00

Belin

280.0 Local/IPP

2021

Ngotchaung

16.6 Local/IPP

2021

2013

Dapain (only supply)


1 Myitsone
2 Chipwi

101.0

MOEP

6,000.0

JV/IPP

101

JV/IPP

JVA

2021

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

900.00

2,700.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

1,350.00

5 Renam (Yenam)
6 Hpizaw (Pisa)

1,200.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

600.00

2,000.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

1,000.00

7 Laza

1,900.0

JV/IPP

JVA
2021
(Prepared to
2013
Commercial)
MOU
2021

950.00

13 Tongxingqiao
14 Lawngdin
15 Upper Thanliwn
(Kunlong)
16,17 Naopha, Mantong
18 Tamanthi
19 Shwezaye
20 Taninthayi
21 Upper Thanliwn
(Mongton)
22 Hutgyi
23 Sinedin
24 Lemro (Laymyo)
25 Lemro-2
(Laymyo - 2)
26 Ywathit (Thanlwin)
27 Nam Tamhpak
(Kayah)
28 Htu Kyan (Tuzxing?)
29 Hseng Na

100
16.6

2016

1,800.0

11 Wu Zhongze
12 Hkan Kawn

150

JVA

3,400.0

9 Dapein-2
10 Gawlan

1050

16.60

3 Wutsok
4 Kaunglanhpu

8 Chipwinge

280
160

1,700.00

99.0

JV/IPP

168.0

JV/IPP

99.00

100.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

50.00

1700
900
1350
600
1000
950
99

84.00

84
50

60.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

30.00

30

160.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

80.00

80

340.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

170.00

170

600.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

300.00

300

1,400.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

700.00

700

1,425.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

712.00

712

1,200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

660.0

JV/IPP

MOU

600.0

JV/IPP

MOU

7,110.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2031

3,555.00

1,360.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

680.00

3555
680

76.5

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

38.25

600.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

300.00

38.25

90.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

45.00

4,000.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

2,000.00

180.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

90.00

105.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

52.50

52.5
22.5

300
45

90

45.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

22.50

30 Tha Hkwa
31 Palaung

150.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

75.00

75

105.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

52.50

52.5

32 Bawlake
33 Shweli-2

180.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

90.00

520.0

JV/IPP

MOA

2021

260.00

34 Keng Tong
35 Wan Ta Pin

128.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

64.00

64

33.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

17.00

17

36 So Lue
37 Mong Wa

160.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

80.00

80

50.0 Local/IPP

MOU

2026

50.00

38 Keng Yang
39 He Kou

40.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

20.00

20

100.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

50.00

50

200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

520.0

JV/IPP

MOU

200.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

380.0

JV/IPP

MOU

2021

40 Nam Kha
41 Mawlike
42 Nam Tamhpak
(Kachin)
43 Manipur

Sub Total

44655.5

90
260

50

190.00
18,677.75

190
231 401.4 502.4 502.4 586.4 748.4 908.4
231 170.4

101

84

162

1085

1751

1751

2481 3099.3

4339

6131.8

9174 10174

160 176.6

666

730 618.25

1240

1792.5

3042

1000

13224 16779
3050

3555

Note: This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5 - 57

5 - 58

Coal-fired

(Sub Total)

ShwePyi (Tanintharyi)
Myeik (Tanintaryi)

Yangon-Htantapin Industrial Zone

Dawei-SEZ (Tanintharyi)

Ngayyukong (Ayeyarwady Div.)


Kalewa (Sagaing Div.)
Boakpyin (Tanintharyi State)
Yangon-Kyauktan
Keng Tong (Shan State)
Kyaukphyu (New Propose)

Yangon-Htantapin

Yangon-Kunchangon

Yangon-Thilawa

Ywama
Thaketa
Kyause (New)
Kyaukpyu (New)

Gas Engine Hlawga

(Sub Total)

Myin Gyan (New)


Hlaingtharyar (New)
Ayeyarwady (New)

Kanpouk (New)

Thaketa

Hlawga

GasTurbine Yeama
Kyaukphyu (New)
Thilawa
(Sub Total)
Combined
Ahlone
Cycle
Mawlamyaing

Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal

GE
GE
GE
GE

GT
ST
GTCC
GTCC

GT
GT
GT

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
500
500
25
500
750
750
400
3600
350
700
8
50
Sub Total

Sub Total

26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3

82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

14853

4228.15

Installed Capacity
(MW)
240
50
50

2021
2026
2031
2021
2026
2031
2021
2026
2021
2026
2021
2021
2021
2021
2026
2029
2021
2026
2021
2026

2013.5
2014.2
Commissioning 2013.7
Commissioning 2013.7

2013.6
2014.9
2015
2016
2014.11
2015.5
2015.2
2016.1
2014.12
2016.3
2015.3
2016.2
2015.8
2016
2021

2014.2
2014.12
2016

COD

26
28.55
52
53.6
100

82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

240
50
50

Cumulative
Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative

Available Capacity for


Myanmar(MW)

394
312

175

39
98

290

50

2014
2015

1126
732

350
250

132

50
340

2015
2016

1126
0

340

2016
2017

1126
0

340

2017
2018

1126
0

340

2018
2019

1126
0

340

2019
2020

1126
0

340

2020
2021

1126
0

340

2021
2022

1126
0

340

2022
2023

1126
0

340

2023
2024

1126
0

340

2024
2025

1126
0

340

2025
2026

1126
0

340

2026
2027

1126
0

340

2027
2028

1126
0

340

2028
2029

1126
0

340

2029
2030

1126
0

340

2030
2031

Note:

1440
870

270

600

2040
600

600

2640
600

600

2640
0

3290
650

3940
650

3940
0

4640
700

4910
270

270

4910
0

4910
0

4910
0

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

570
570

270

300

4910
0

26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3
-3
263.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15
585.15 944.15 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2
585.15
359
782
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
650
650
700

82

240
82

2013
2014
240

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
250 Domestic 50%
500
25
500
750
750
400
1800 Domestic 50%?
350
700
off-grid
off-grid
12745 cumulative
each year

5.3-6

5.3.3

3
3

4.2GW

10.0GW

7.6GW

20132030 5.3-7 5.3-5 2020 2030


5.3-6
5.3-7

As of 2030 Year: New Coal 7.6 GW, New Hydro 6.6 GW, New Gas 4.2 GW (Installed capacity for Myanmar)
Item/Plant Name
Peak Demand (MW)
Required Generation
Energy (GWh)

2013
2,055

2014
2,248

2015
2,527

2016

2017

2,840

2018

3,192

2019

3,587

2020

4,032

4,531

2021

2022

5,092

2023

5,723

2024

6,431

7,227

2025

2026

8,121

2027

2028

2029

2030

TOTAL

9,125 10,253 11,520 12,944 14,542

12,064 13,560 15,242 17,132 19,256 21,642 24,323 27,336 30,721 34,524 38,797 43,597 48,990 55,048 61,853 69,497 78,083 87,727 699557

Existing Plant
Combined Cycle
Gas Turbine
Coal

271

271

271

271

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

95

95

95

95

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

60

60

60

60

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

Hydropower

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

(Existing Sub Total)

1556

1556

1556

1556

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

378

566

782

743

743

167

336

127

386

4228

600

650

650

810

275

700

1000

870

7595
3282

Candidate Plant
Gas
Coal
Hydropower
(dry : Install 0,5)

116

110

66

570

870

600

26

83

Renewable
(Candisate Sub Total
in each year)
Development Plant Total
Total Supply Capacity

53

356

557

75

210

206

706

235

483

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

2000

1186

1343

1567

1135

1200

1553

17105

494

676

848

596

953

700

753

456

1400

1018

1227

494

1170

2018

2018

2614

3567

4267

5020

5476

6876

7894

9121 10307 11650 13217 14352 15552 17105

2050

2726

3574

3574

4438

5391

6091

6844

7300

8700

9718 10945 12131 13474 15041 16176 17376 18929

(capacity-peak)

-4.784

Reserved Margin(%)

-0.233 21.274 41.456 25.851 39.039 50.273 51.068 51.036 43.348

478.2 1047.4 734.13 1246.1 1803.5

2059 2312.6 2207.5 2977.1 3286.8 3718.1 4010.2

5 - 59

52.02 51.107 51.448 49.381

4349 4787.9 4655.8 4432.5 4386.8


47.66 46.697 40.414 34.245 30.166

Power Resources Balance Scenario


Annual Transition of Power Supply for Peak Demand (MW)
25000
Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

Peak Demand (MW)

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

5.3-5

2020
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2013(March)
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

200
715

2484
3164

Gas
120

Gas
Coal

Coal

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Hydro(Middle-Small)
2259

Renewable

2760

Renewable

2030
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2000

4986
Gas

7405

Coal
Hydro(Large)
7715
1412

5.3-6

Hydro(Middle-Small)
Renewable

201320202030

5 - 60

5.3-8
Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Project

Proponent

Available
Capacity
COD
Contraction
for
by MOEP
Condition
Myanmar
Plan
(MW)
2013-14
2013-14
2013-14
2015-16
2014-15
-

Phyu Chaung
Nancho
Baluhaung - 3
Upper
Upper
Ann

40
MOEP
MOEP
40
52 Local/IPP
30.4 Local/IPP
MOEP
140
10
MOEP

Thahtay

111

MOEP

2018-19

111

H
I

Upper Keng Tong

51

MOEP

2017-18

51

280

MOEP

2018-19

280

1050

MOEP

2019-20

1050

Bawgata

160

MOEP

2021-22

160

Upper Bu

150

MOEP

2020-21

150

M
N
O

Middle
Belin

MOEP
100
280 Local/IPP

2018-19
2021

Ngotchaung

16.6 Local/IPP

2017-18

16.6

Dapain
(only supply)
Projects
Dee Doke
Keng Kham
Middle Yeywa
Upper Sedawgyi
Myitsone
Chipwi
Wutsok
Kaunglanhpu
Renam (Yenam)
Hpizaw (Pisa)
Laza

2015-16

101

2014-15
2018-19
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2021
2026
2026
2026
2026
2021

79
66
6
320
64

K
L

Q
R
S
T
U
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16,17

MOEP

79
MOAI
66 Local/IPP
6
MOAI
320
MOAI
64 Local/IPP
JV/IPP
6000
JV/IPP
3400
JV/IPP
1800
2700
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
1200
2000
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
1900

JVA
JVA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
JVA
(Prepared to
2013-14
Commercial)

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

Remark

40
40
52
30.4
140
Power supply
adjustment

111
51

Power supply
adjustment
Power supply
adjustment
Power supply
adjustment
Power supply
adjustment

280
1050
160
150

100

100

Power supply
adjustment

16.6
101
79
66
6
320
64

Chipwinge

99

JV/IPP

Dapein-2

168

JV/IPP

MOU

2021-22

84

Gawlan
Wu Zhongze
Hkan Kawn
Tongxinqiao
Lawngdin
Upper Thanliwn
(Kunlong)

100
60
160
340
600

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA

2026
2021
2026
2026
2026

50

50

80
170
300

80

1400

JV/IPP

MOA

2021-22

700

700

1425

JV/IPP

MOU

2021-22

712

712

1200
660

JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOU
MOU

600

JV/IPP

MOU

2021-22

7110

JV/IPP

MOU

2031

1360
76.5
600

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOA
MOA
MOA

2021
2021
2026

Naopha, Mantong

18 Tamanthi
19 Shwezaye
20
Tanintharyi
21 Upper Thanliwn
(Mongton)
22 Hutgyi
23 Sinedin
24 Lemro (Laymyo)
25 Lemro-2
(Laymyo - 2)
26 Ywathit
(Thanlwin)
27 Nam Tamhpak
(Kayah)
28 Htu Kyan
(Tuzxing ?)
29 Hseng Na
30 Tha Hkwa
31 Palaung
32 Bawlake
33
Shweli-2
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

101

2014

2014

Shweli-3

Upper Yeywa

2013

2013

40
40
52
30.4
140

A
B
C
D
E
F
G

2012

99

170
300
Lead time
adjustment
Lead time
adjustment

300

90

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

4000

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

180

JV/IPP

MOA

2026

105

JV/IPP

MOA

2031

45
150
105
180

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA

2031
2031
2031
2031

520

JV/IPP

MOA

2022-23

260

128
JV/IPP
33
JV/IPP
160
JV/IPP
50 Local/IPP
40
JV/IPP
100
JV/IPP

MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU

2026
2026
2026
2016-17
2026
2026

64
17
80
50
20
50

Nam Kha

200

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

520

JV/IPP

MOU

200

JV/IPP

MOU

2026

380
200
90
260
330
50
Sub Total

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOU
46120.5

2021
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026

Note:

Lead time
adjustment

84

Keng Tong
Wan Ta Pin
So Lue
Mong Wa
Keng Yang
He Kou

41 Mawlike
42 Nam Tamhpak
(Kachin)
43 Manipur
44 Namtu
45 Mong Young
46 Dun Ban
47 Nam Li
48 Nam Khot

99

300

Suspended
information

Lead time
adjustment

260
64
17
80
50
20
50

Far from center

100

100

Suspended
information

100

100

Suspended
information

100
45
130
165
25
6558

100
45
130
165
25
6558
965

231
231

450 581.4 581.4 632.4 798.4 798.4


219 131.4
0
51
166
0

905
106.6

1616
711

2730
1114

2880
150

3300
420

3300
0

3711
411

5123
1412

5593
470

5593
0

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5 - 61

Project

(Sub Total)

5 - 62

Coal-fired

(Sub Total)

ShwePyi (Tanintharyi)
Myeik (Tanintharyi)

Yangon-Htantapin Industrial Zone

Ngayukong (Ayeyarwady Div.)


Kalewa (Sagaing Div.)
Boakpyin (Tanintharyi State)
Yangon-Kyauktan
Keng Tong(Shan State)
Kyaukphyu (New Propose)
Dawei-SEZ (Tanintharyi)

Yangon-Htantapin

Yangon-Kunchangon

Yangon-Thilawar

Ywama
Thaketa
Kyause (New)
Kyaukpyu (New)

Gas Engine Hlawga

Myin Gyan (New)


Hlaingtharyar (New)
Ayeyarwady (New)

Kanpouk (New)

Thaketa

Hlawga

Gas Turbine Yeama


Kyaukphyu (New)
Thilawa
(Sub Total)
Combined Ahlone
Cycle
Mawlamyaing

Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal

GE
GE
GE
GE

GT
ST
GTCC
GTCC

GT
GT

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
500
500
25
600
400
3600
350
700
8
50
Sub Total

Sub Total

26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3

82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

13453

4228.15

Installed Capacity
(MW)
240
50
50
82
39
98
132
243
243
167
336
127
386
175
350
250
500
500

240
50
50

2021
2026
2031
2016
2018
2020
2021
2026
2021
2026
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2026
2021
2026

1300
700
1000
300
600
1200
270
270
540
540
250 Domestic 50%
500
25
600
400
1800 Domestic 50%?
350
700
off-grid
off-grid
11345 cumulative
each year

Cumulative
Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative

Available Capacity for


Myanmar (MW)

175

39
98

290

50

2014
2015

350
250

132

50
340

2015
2016

340

2016
2017

340

2017
2018

340

2018
2019

340

2019
2020

340

2020
2021

340

2021
2022

500
1869
743

243

340

2022
2023

500

243

340

2023
2024

167

340

2024
2025

336

340

2025
2026

127

340

2026
2027

386

340

2027
2028

340

2028
2029

340

2029
2030

340

2030
2031

Note:

0
0

570
570

1440
870

2040
600

2640
600

2640
0

2640
0

2640
0

3290
650

3940
650

4750
810

5025
275

5725
700

6725
1000

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

0
0

25

7595
870

600

394
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
1126
2612
2779
3115
3242
3628
3628
3628
3628
312
732
0
0
0
0
0
0
743
167
336
127
386
0
0
0
26
28.55
52
53.6
100
3
-3
263.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15 260.15
585.15 944.15 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 1726.2 2469.2 3212.2 3379.2 3715.2 3842.2 4228.2 4228.2 4228.2 4228.2
585.15
359
782
0
0
0
0
0
0
743
743
167
336
127
386
0
0
0
650
650
700
1000
300
600
600
600
270
270
540
270
270
250

82

240
82

2013
2014
240

2013.5
26
2014.2
28.55
Commissioning 2013.7
52
Commissioning 2013.7
53.6
100

2013.6
2014.9
2015
2016
2014.11
2015.5
2015.2
2016.1
2014.12
2016.3
2015.3
2016.2
2015.8
2016
2021

2014.2
2014.12
2016

COD

5.3-9

(1) 3
3 5.3-7 1
2 3

Power Demand Forecast


List of New Hydropower Plants
Supply Plan (2013 ~ 2030)

Scheme 2Hydropower Plant,


Installed CapacityHC

Necessary Installed Capacity , RC

Necessary Installed CapacityMC2MC1HC


Coal Production

Available Gas Supply Volume

Scheme 3: Coal-fired Power Plant,


Installed CapacityCC
1. With LNG

2. Without LNG

Scheme 3-1 Domestic Coal-fired Power Plant


Scheme 3-2 Import Coal-fired Power Plant

Scheme 1: Gas-Fired Power Plant,


Installed Capacity: GC

Necessary Power Generation VolumeMC3MC2CC

Necessary Installed Capacity : MC1=RCGC

5.3-7

Other Power Generations OC=MC3

3
5.1.3

5 - 63

5.3-8

(2)

70
30%

45.5 GW 94.3% IPP 13


2.6GWLocal/IPP 5 0.8GW

IPP 50%

5 - 64

5.3-9

30%

2030

2030 10.0GW
5.3-10 10.0GW
27.4 GW

5 - 65

Cumulative New Hydropower


Installed Capacity (MW)
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

Year

New Total Capacity


JV/IPP*1
Local/IPP
MOEP

: 10,009 MW
: 7,203 MW
:
279 MW
: 2,527 MW

*1: A half of overall Installed capacity is counted for


national use except Chipwinge (99MW).

Note:

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.3-10

IPP

2030 27.7 GW 23.5 GW 18.9 GW


14.5 GW 30%

5 - 66

5.3-11

(3)
3
P1 2017 366MW 574MW

P2 1 G1G2G3-1
2020 LNG 2 G3-2 2021

P3 1 G1G2G3-12021

P4 2016 1.7GW2030 4.2GW

5 - 67

700

600

bbtud

500

G3-2

G3-2 shifted

400

G3-1

300

G2

200

Some Oil import instead of LNG


Full LNG import
Gas supply forecast
Stand-by p/s requirement
Existing gas p/s requirement

100

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

5.3-12

G1
2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2014 5

Group*

Condition

Available
Capacity
(MW)**

Objectives

Project list

Yangon : 4 plants, Other : 5 plants


(2013-2016 : 363MW,
Existing plants including
2017-2030 : 574MW)
G1
Existing
1,023
those being rehabilitated and GE/GT : 5 plants
IPP:
Hlawga(I), Ywama, Thaketa,
upgraded.
Ahlone (I),
MEPE:
Ywama
PPA under negotiation or
GE/GT: 2 plants
G2
Stand-by
62
finalization for IPP projects.
IPP:
Hlawga (II), Ahlone (II)
GT/CC: 7 plants
Fast track planned projects to
Thilawa, Kyause,
be commissioned by 2020.
G3-1 Fast track
700
Mawlamyaing, Kanpouk (I),
Dual fuel (Gas, HSD) type is
Myin Gyan, Kyaukphyu,
expected until 2020.
Thaketa (I)
G3
GT/CC: 6 plants
Hlaingtharyar, Hlawga, Thaketa,
Planned Projects to be
G3-2
Planned
2,789
Thaketa (II), Ayeyarwady,
commissioned by 2030.
Kanpouk (II)
Note: *
Grouping may be changed in terms of gas allocation and project priority by Myanmar government.
** Available capacity = (installed capacity) - (capacity deterioration by time)
*** Because many projects are completed one after another in Myanmar, some projects may be completed
when this report is in the open.

5 - 68

G3-2
Scenario 1&3

G3-1
Scenario 2

G2
G1

Yangon4Plants, Other5Plants
(2013-2016:366, 2017-2030:574)

5.3-13

3 1 2
2G3-2
5.3-14

5 - 69

Cumulative New Gas


Installed capacity (MW)
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

Year

Total capacity of New Plants4,228MW


JV/IPP
: 2,502 MW
Local/IPP

: 1,036 MW

MOEP

New Gas P/S


(except existing sites)

Note:

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.3-14

5 - 70

690 MW

(4)

2017 2030 7.8GW


Kalewa 0.54 GW Keng Tong 0.03 GW 0.57 GW7%2030
7.3GW93%2030

Cumulative New Coal


Installed Capacity (MW)
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

Year

New Total capacity


JV/IPP*1
JV/IPP
Local/IPP

7,845 MW
:
500 MW
: 5,245 MW
: 2,100 MW

*1: A half of Installed capacity is used for Myanmar.

Note:

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.3-15

5 - 71

3 5.3-16
2030 10.0GW
2017 7.8GW2030

Change of Cumulative New Installed Capacity (MW)


12000
Gas

Hydro

Coal

Renewable

10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Year

5.3-16

5.3.4

5.3.1 5.3.3 3

2020 4.5GW2030 14.5GW

1
2
3
3 2020
2020
2030 10%

5 - 72

Scenario
No.

Priority

Concept

Power resources

Domestic Energy
Consumption
(Large Scale
Hydro Oriented)

Maximum utilization of domestic


energy
Scenario 1 is formulated based
Possible hydropower plans
on large hydro oriented plan.
including Large scale hydro
Listed gas p/s plans

Least Cost

Possible hydropower plans


including Large scale hydro
Scenario 2 aims to minimize
the development and fuel cost. Less gas p/s after 2016
Rest with coal and renewables.

Power Resources
Balance

Scenario 3 is formulated
considering the composition
of power resources and
feasibilities of development

Hydropower plans with high


feasibilities
Modified gas p/s plans
Rest with coal and renewables

(1)
5.3-17 5.3-18
3

5 - 73

5.3-17

2030

Installed capacity for Myanmar and Power Supply in Dry Season in SCENARIO
(Year 2030)
35000

30000

Renewable
Hydro(Middle-Small)
Gas

InstalledCapacity
ForMyanmar
2000

Hydro(Large)
Coal

2000

MW

25000

20000

12147

PowerSupply
InDrySeason

12147

2000
1412
7405

15000

10000

5000

6891

6891
7715

2760
5030
4986

0
Domestic Energy Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

5.3-18

2484
Least Cost

4986
Power Resources Balance

5 - 74

(2) LRMC
5.3-19 1
2 1
12
3

Cumulative Cost of Power Development (Billion$)


80

70

67.768.7

60

53.2

61.4

60.4
59.5
55.0

52.2
45.9
50

49.7

45.0 44.8
38.6
40

33.5

30

24.7
26.7
24.7
17.5
15.1

20
12.0

10

6.3
4.3
3.7
6.3 6.3
2.2
1.2
3.7 3.7 4.3 4.4
2.3
1.2 1.2 2.2

37.2 37.4

28.5 31.9 32.3


29.3
27.7

22.7
21.6
20.3

17.5 17.1

14.7 14.6

9.2
11.7 11.7
9.2 9.2

Fuel

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2022

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2021
Fixed_OM

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2020

investment

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2019

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2018

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2017

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2016

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2015

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2014

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

Sce 3
Sce 2
Sce 1

2013

2030

variable_OM

O&M
5.3-19

LRMCLong Run Marginal Cost


LRMC LRMC LRMC LRMC

LRMC
LRMC

5 - 75

1)

MW

2)

1)A$/kWannuities

3)

2)B$/kW/$/kWh

LRMC
LRMC variable
O&M

LRMC

PV US$
PVGWh

LRMC 2 3 1 cents/kWh
5.3-20 5.2.6 WASP

4 JBIC(2000)

5 - 76

Long Run Marginal Cost for respective scenarios


(UScents/kWh)

Generation
9

7.99

7.22

6.95

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Domestic Energy Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

Power Resources Balance

Least Cost

5.3-20

LRMC

5.3-21
CO2
7.5.9 CO2 CDMClean Development Mechanism
1.0 cents/kg

(cents/kWh)
18

17.1

16

15.3

14
12
10.5
10

9
7.8

8
6.1
6
4
2
0
Hydro

Coal(subcritical)

Coal(USC)

GTCC(Gas)

GTCC(LNG)

GTCC(HSD)

Unit Cost [cents/kWh] = (Annual Capital Cost [USD/kW] + Annual Fixed O&M Cost [USD/kWyear] Life Time [year]) 100 /
(Life Time [year] 8760 hours/year CF[-]) + Annual Fuel Cost [UScents/kWh]
+ Annual Variable O&M Cost [cents/kWh]
This figure doesnt include Environmental Cost [UScents/kWh], which equals CO2 Cost [cents/g-CO2] CO2 Emission per Unit [g-CO2/kWh].
For reference, Unit Cost including Environmental Cost is; Hydro: 6.1, Coal (subcritical): 8.7, Coal (USC): 9.9, GTCC (Gas): 10.9, GTCC
(LNG):15.7, GTCC (HSD): 17.5,
1.0 [cents/kg-CO2] is adopted as CO2 Cost. CO2 Emission per Unit is based on Table 7.5-13 (Chapter 7)

5.3-21
5 - 77

Unit Cost (cents/kWh) 2016


10
8.8

9
8

7.5

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Domestic Gas

Domestic Gas + High Speed Diesel Oil

5.3-22 HSD
2016
HSDHigh Speed Diesel 5.3-22
(3)
13 2014 5 27
JICA
3

2030

5 - 78

5.4

5.4.1

3
3

(1)
5.4-1 5.4-1
4.2GW 4.0GW 2030
0.6GW 4.6GW

5.4-1

5 - 79

(2)
5.4-1
2016 Tigyit 30MW 120MW

Tygit

(sub total)

Mann
GT

Shwedaung
GT

Myanaung
GT

Coal

Kyunchaung
GT

Thaton
GT

Thaketa
GTCC

Ahlone
GTCC

Ywama
GT

Plant

Hlawga
GTCC

Gas

Remark

(sub total)

5.4-1

Malawmyaing 12MW is not included as


scrapped December 2013

Installed capacity (MW)


FY Year

154.2

70.3

154.2

92

51

54.3

34.7

55.35

36.9 702.95

120

120

Available capacity (MW)


2013

43

31

76

50

35

24.5

12

13

284.5

30

30 Hearing from MOEP as of 04/06/2014

2014

43

31

76

50

35

24.5

12

13

284.5

30

30

2015

43

31

76

35

24.5

12

13

234.5

30

2016

43

31

76

106

24.5

12

13

305.5

120

2017

43

31

76

106

24.5

12

13

305.5

120

120

2018

43

31

76

106

24.5

12

13

305.5

120

120

2019

43

31

76

106

24.5

12

13

305.5

120

120

2020

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

2021

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

2022

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120 From 2020 new gas supplied. Gas p/s


available capacity from "Power System
120 Development Sheme of MEPE (2.7.2013)
except Tharkata and Thaton
120 Thaketa 86MW by rehabilitation

2023

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2024

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2025

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2026

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2027

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2028

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2029

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

2030

116

57

116

86

106

39

15

39

574

120

120

5 - 80

Thaketa GTCC stop up to 2019.


30 New Thaketa 100MW start, which is shown
in New p/s list.
Thaton GT 51MW to GTCC 106MW by
120
rehabilitation

(3)
JV/IPPLocal/IPP2030
10.0GW 9.4GW 5.4-2

Possible

Primary
Possible

Ywathit (4,000MW)

Description
Large (A)
Small/Medium (B)
(A) + (B)
Primary + Possible
Potential

5.4-2

Scenario 1, 2
Scenario 3
Primary
Possible
2.8
24.1
6.6
3.3
9.4
27.4
36.8
45.5

Not Avail.
Suspended
7.2
1.5
8.7

GW

5 - 81

(4)

7.6GW 7.8GW
5.4.2

3
3040%
3 5.4-2
5.4-3
5.4-4
5.4-3 5.4-4
5.4-5 5.4-6
5.4-2

As of 2030 Year: New Coal7.8GW, New Hydro 8.9GW, New Gas 4.0 GW (Installed capacity for Myanmar)
Item/Plant Name
Peak Demand (MW)
Required Generation
Energy (GWh)

2013

2014

2,055

2015

2,248

2016

2,527

2017

2,840

2018

3,192

2019

3,587

2020

4,032

2021

4,531

5,092

2022

2023

5,723

2024

6,431

2025

7,227

2026

8,121

2027

2028

2029

2030

TOTAL

9,125 10,253 11,520 12,944 14,542

12,064 13,560 15,242 17,132 19,256 21,642 24,323 27,336 30,721 34,524 38,797 43,597 48,990 55,048 61,853 69,497 78,083 87,727 699557

Existing Plant
Combined Cycle

200

200

150

256

256

256

256

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

Gas Turbine

84.5

84.5

84.5

49.5

49.5

49.5

49.5

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

Coal
Hydropower
(Existing Sub Total)

30

30

30

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1444.5 1444.5 1394.5 1555.5 1555.5 1555.5 1555.5

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

243

443

167

836

400

400

300

Candidate Plant
Gas
Coal
Hydropower
(dry: Install 0,5)

534.3

99.1

365.6

Development Plant Total

4000

630

300

275

600

300

300

900

605

1030

910

1310

660

7820

51

130

51

25

49

323

525

78

392

486

240

181

235

554

3320

50

50

50

50

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

2000

585.3

229.1

416.6

287

729

673

850

778

1035

1029

507

1336

1500

1386

1530

1345

1510

1414

17140

585.3

814.4

1231

1518

2247

2920

8455

9955 11341 12871 14216 15726 17140

Renewable
(Candisate Sub Total
in each year)

212

3770

4548

5583

6612

7119

Total Supply Capacity

2029.8 2258.9 2625.5 3073.5 3802.5 4475.5 5325.5

6372

7407

8436

8943 10279 11779 13165 14695 16040 17550 18964

(capacity-peak)

-24.98 11.097 98.911 233.63 610.59 888.02 1293.5 1840.6 2314.5 2713.1 2511.8 3052.1 3658.2

Reserved Margin(%)

-1.216 0.4937 3.9148 8.2267 19.129 24.753 32.082

4040 4441.9 4519.8 4606.5 4421.8

40.62 45.449 47.407 39.056 42.232 45.047 44.273 43.323 39.234 35.589 30.407

5 - 82

Power Resources Balance Scenario Annual Transition of Power Supply


for Peak Demand (MW)
25000
Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

Peak Demand (MW)

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

5.4-3

2020
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

2014 (May)
Installed Capacity for Myanmar

200
1152

1969

4721

2361

1925

120

Gas

Coal

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Renewable

Gas

Coal

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Renewable

2030
Installed Capacity for Myanmar
2000(9%)
4758 (20%)
7484 (32%)
7940 (33%)

1412 (6%)

Gas

Coal

Hydro(Large)

Hydro(Middle-Small)

Renewable

5.4-4 201420202030

5 - 83

5.4-3

Available
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Capacity
Installed
COD
Contraction
for
Capacity Proponent
by MOEP
Condition
Myanmar
(MW)
Plan
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
(MW)

Project

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K

Phyu Chaung
Nancho
Baluhaung - 3
Upper
Upper
Ann
Thahtay
Upper
Upper Yeywa
Shweli - 3
Bawgata

160

L
M
N
O
P

Upper Bu
Middle
Belin
Ngotchaung
Dapain
(only supply)
Projects
Dee Doke
Keng Kham

150
MOAI
100
MOEP
280 Local/IPP
16.6 Local/IPP

Middle Yeywa

320

Upper Sedawgyi
Namtu
Mong Young
Dun Ban
Nam Li
Nam Khot
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

Myitsone
Chipwi
Wutsok
Kaunglanhpu
Renam (Yenam)
Hpizaw (Pisa)
Laza

9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Dapein-2
Gawlan
Wu Zhongze
Hkan Kawn
Tongxinqiao
Lawngdin
Upper Thanliwn
(Kunlong)
Naopha,
Mantong
Tamanthi
Shwezaye
Tanintharyi
Upper Thanliwn
(Mongton)
Hutgyi
Sinedin
Lemro (Laymyo)
Lemro-2
(Laymyo-2)
Ywathit
(Thanlwin)
Nam Tamhpak
(kayah)
Htu Kyan
(Tuzxing ?)
Hseng Na
Tha Hkwa
Palaung
Bawlake
Shweli - 2
Keng Tong
Wan Ta Pin
Solue
Mong Wa
Keng Yang
He Kou
Nam Kha
Mawlaik
Nam Tamhpak
(kachin)
Manipur

Q
R
S
T
U
V
W
X
Y
Z

16,17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

40
MOEP
40
MOEP
52 Local/IPP
30.4 Local/IPP
140
MOEP
10
MOEP
111
MOEP
51
MOEP
280
MOEP
1050
MOEP

101

2013-14
2013-14
2013-14
2017-18
2014-15
2018-19
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20

MOEP

MOEP

40
40
52
30.4
140

2021-22

160

~ 2020-21
2018-19
~ 2021
2017-18

150
100

111
51
280
1050

MOAI

2021-22

320

64
100
45
130
165
50

MOAI
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

2026~
2026~
2026~
2026~
2026~

64
50
22
65
82
25

6000
3400
1800
2700
1200
2000
1900

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

100
16.6
101
79
66
6
Power supply
adjustment
64 supended
50
22
65
82
25

320

99

99

JV/IPP

168
100
60
160
340
600

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

1400

JV/IPP

MOA

2021-22

700

1425

JV/IPP

MOU

2021-22

712

1200
JV/IPP
660
JV/IPP
600 Local/IPP

MOU
MOU
MOU

2021-22

7110

JV/IPP

MOU

~2031

1360
76.5
600

JV/IPP
JV/IPP
JV/IPP

MOA
MOA
MOA

~2021
~2021
~2026

10

89

84
50

84
50

80
170
300

80
170
300
700
Power supply
adjustment

712

600

90

JV/IPP

MOA

~2026

4000

JV/IPP

MOA

~2026

180

JV/IPP

MOA

~2026

105

JV/IPP

MOA

~2031

MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOA
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU
MOU

~2031
~2031
~2031
~2031
2022-23
2026~
2026~
2026~
2016-17
2026~
2026~
2026~
-

600 suspended

260
64
17
80
50
20
50
100

260
64
17
80
50
20
50
100

200

JV/IPP

MOU

2026~

100

380
Subtotal

JV/IPP

MOU
45680.5

2021~

6637

100
0

102 361 462 512


102 259 101 50

610 1256 2306 2462 3246 4218 4698 4698 4698 5059 5059 5529 5529 6637
98 646 1050 156 784 972 480
0
0
361
0
470
0 1108

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

Power supply
adjustment

160
150

16.6

79
66
6

45
JV/IPP
150
JV/IPP
105
JV/IPP
180
JV/IPP
520
JV/IPP
128
JV/IPP
33
JV/IPP
160
JV/IPP
50 Local/IPP
40
JV/IPP
100
JV/IPP
200
JV/IPP
520
JV/IPP

30.4
140

101

JVA
JVA
~2021
MOA
~2026
MOA
~2026
MOA
~2026
MOA
~2026
JVA
~2021
(Prepared to
2013-14
Commercial)
MOU
2021-22
MOA
2026~
MOA
~2021
MOA
2026~
MOA
2026~
MOA
2026~

40
40
52

111
51
280
1050

2014-15
2018-19
~ 2020-21

Remark

2015-16

79
MOAI
66 Local/IPP
6
MOAI

Chipwinge

Note:

5 - 84

5 - 85

Note:

(Subtotal)

Gas Engine

(Subtotal)

Kanpouk (New)

Myin Gyan (New)


Hlaingtharyar (New)
Ayeyarwady (New)

I
J
K

7
8

Thilawa (New)
Ngaputaw

Keng Tong (Shan State)

Yangon-Kyauktan

Ngayukong (Ayarwady
Div.,Tata)
Kalewa (Sagaing Div.)
Boakpyin (Tanintharyi
State)

3
4

Yangon-Kunchangon
(Virtue Land)

Kyause (New)
Kyaukpyu (New)
Kanpouk

O
P
Q

Thaketa

Ywama

Thaketa

Hlawga

Hlawga

Mawlamyaing

Ahlone

Ywama
Kyaukphyu (New)
Thilawa

A
B
C

500

Coal

Coal
Coal

Coal

360
700
Subtotal

600

1300

540

Coal

Coal

550

300
990
1980

Subtotal

82
4.4
20

50

50

25
25

84
37
98
132
243
243
167
336
100
400
200
300
250
400
500

240
50
50

Coal

Coal
Coal
Coal

GE

GE

GE

GE
GE

GT
ST
GTCC
GTCC

GT
GT

7820

4062

Installed
Capacity (MW)

under
discussion
under
discussion
2017
2021

2017-2018

2016
2018
2020
under
discussion
2017-2018

2015

2013.5
2015
Commissioning
2013.7
Commissioning
2013.7
2013

2013
2014.9
2015
2016
2021
2021
2023
2023
2015
2027
2022
2023
2015.8
2025
2024

2013
2016
2015

COD

Domestic
50%

Cumulative
Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative
Each year

Cumulative

360
700
7570 cumulative
each year

600

1300

250

540

550

300
990
1980

20

82

50

50

25
25

84
37
98
132
243
243
167
336
100
400
200
300
250
400
500

240
50
50

Available Capacity
for Myanmar (MW)

0
0

210.3
534.3
534.3

82
3.3

50

50

25

84

240
84

240

0
0

211.4
633.4
99.1

1.1

182
98

98

240

2014
2015

2013
2014

0
0

-82
-4.4
20
170
999
365.6

25

489
307

170

100

37

50
50
340

2016

2015

0
0

170
1211
212

701
212

80

132

340

2017

2016

630
630

360

270

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2018

2017

930
300

170
1211
0
300

701
0

340

2019

2018

1205
275

275

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2020

2019

350
1805
600

250

170
1211
0

701
0

340

2021

2020

2105
300

300

170
1454
243

944
243

243

340

2022

2021

2105
0

170
1897
443

1387
443

200

243

340

2023

2022

2105
0

170
2064
167

1554
167

167

340

2024

2023

2405
300

300

170
2900
836

500
2390
836

336

340

2025

2024

This table consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

(Subtotal)
Combined Cycle

GasTurbine

Project

5.4-4
2025

3305
900

300

270

330

170
3300
400

2790
400

400

340

2026

2026

3910
605

275

330

170
3700
400

3190
400

400

340

2027

2027

350
4940
1030

350

330

170
4000
300

3490
300

300

340

2028

2028

5850
910

250

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2029

2029

7160
1310

300

350

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2030

2030

7820
660

660

170
4000
0

3490
0

340

2031

Installed Capacity for


Myanmar(MW)
40
1 Nancho (MOEP)
2 Chipwi Nge (JV)
99
3 Phyu (MOEP)
40
4 Upper Paunglaung (MOEP)
140
52
5 Baluchaung-3 (BOT)
6 Upper Baluchaung (BOT)
30.4
7 Projects (MOAI)
79
8 Shweli-3 (MOEP)
1050
9 Upper Yeywa (MOEP)
280
10 Thahtay (MOEP)
111
11 Upper Keng Tawng
51
12 Middle Paunglaung
100
13 Dee Doke
66
14 Mong Wa (BOT)
50
16.6
15 Ngotchaung (BOT)
150
16 Upper Bu (MOAI)
6
17 Keng Kham (MOAI)
18 Middle Yeywa
320
160
19 Bawgata
20 Tanintharyi
600
21 Upper Thanlwin (Kunlong) (JV)
700
22 Naopha, Mantong (JV)
712
84
23 Dapein-2 (JV)
260
24 Shweli-2 (JV)
64
25 Upper Sedawgyi (MOAI)
26 Nam Tamhpak (JV)
100
27 Gaw Lan (JV)
50
80
28 Hkan Kawn (JV)
29 Lawngdin (JV)
300
170
30 Tongxingqiao (JV)
31 Keng Tong (JV)
64
17
32 Wan Ta Pin (JV)
33 So Lue (JV)
80
34 Keng Yang (JV)
20
35 He Kou (JV)
50
36 Nam Kha (JV)
100
37 Namtu (Hsipaw)
50
38 Mong Young
22
39 Dun Ban
65
82
40 Nam Li
41 Nam Khot
25

No.

Note:

Project

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.4-5

5 - 86

Operation
Year
2013-14
2013-19
2014-15
2014-15
2013-14
2017-18
2014-15
2019-20
2018-19
2018-19
2017-18
2018-19
2018-19
2016-17
2017-18
2020-21
2020-21
2023-24
2023-24
2030-31
2021-22
2022-23
2021-22
2022-23
2030-31
2030-31
2026-27
2026-27
2028-29
2028-29
2026-27
2026-27
2026-27
2026-27
2026-27
2030-31
2030-31
2030-31
2030-31
2030-31
2030-31

Installed
Capacity for
Myanmar
(MW)

Operation
Year

Ywama

240

2013-14

Kyaukphyu (New)

50

2015-16

Thilawa

50

2015-16

Ahlone

121

2013-16

Mawlamyaing

230

2014-17

Hlawga

486

2021-23

Thaketa

1003

2015-27

Kanpouk (New)

500

2022-28

Myin Gyan (New)

250

2015-17

Hlaingtharyar (New)

400

2025-26

Ayeyarwady (New)

500

2024-25

Hlawga

50

2013-16

Ywama

50

2013-14

Thaketa

50

2013-14

Kyause (New)

82

2013-14

Kyaukpyu (New)

4.4

2013-15

Kanpouk

20

2015-16

3270

2018-2031

550

2019-2027

540

2017-2026

250

2020-2029

1300

2021-2030

Keng Tong (Shan State)

600

2025-2030

Thilawa (New)

360

2017-18

Ngaputaw

700

2020-2028

No
Gas
Turbine

A
B
C

Combined
Cycle

D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K

Gas
Engine

L
M
N
O
P
Q

Coal

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

Note:

Project

Yangon-Kunchangon
(Virtue Land)
Ngayukong
(Ayarwady Division,Tata)
Kalewa
(Sagaing Division)
Boakpyin
(Tanintharyi State)
Yangon-Kyauktan

This figure consists of the candidate projects of MOEP.


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.

5.4-6

5 - 87

5.4.3

3
2030 27.0GW 23.6GW 19.0GW
14.5GW 30% 5.4-7

5.4-7

5.4.4

3 LRMC
3 42 billion$O&M
13 billion$ 55 billion$ 5.4-8
LRMC LRMC
3 7.99 UScents/kWh 3 7.18 UScents/kWh
5.4-9

5 - 88

Cumulative Cost of Revised Scenario 3 (Billion$)


60

55.2
48.6

50

43.1
38.0

40

33.3
29.0

30
20
10
2.0

1.1

3.1

3.9

6.0

8.2

11.4

13.8

17.0

20.1

22.1

25.0

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
investment

Fixed_OM

Fuel

variable_OM

O&M

5.4-8

Long Run Marginal Cost for senarios 3 (US cents/kWh)


9
8

Generation

7.99
7.18

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Scenario 3

5.4-9

Revised Scenario 3

3 LRMC

5 - 89

5.5

5.5.1

(1)

1)

1.1GW

45.5 GW
2)

2014 250mmcfd M-3


2019 3 0.3 GW
4 Thaton

3)

Tigyit 60MW 2 120MW

(2) 3

3
2030
1)

13% 2030 14.5GW

5 - 90

2)

2014 4.3 GW 3.0 GW70%


1.2GW28%
0.1GW2%

3)

2030 19.0GW 30%kW

13
2014 5 27
JICA
3

2030

5 - 91

5.5-1

2030

(3) 3
3
1)

2030 9.4GW

2)

2013 0.7GW
0.3GW 0.6GW 0.8GW
20142021 4.2.1
(5)2016 1.2 GW2030 4.0 GW

5 - 92

3)

2017 2030 Kalewa 0.54 GW Keng Tong


0.6 GW 1.14 GW 7.82GW 15%
6.68GW 85%

4)

2030
10%2 GW

5)

CO2
USC

5.5.2

(1)

2030

5 - 93

(2)

(3)
IPP

(4)

WASP

5 - 94

6.1

MEPEMyanma Electricity Power Enterprise


230kV132kV 66kV 6.1-1
5
2013 2,000MW 50%
75%

3 2

230kV 2
Thapyaywa
132kV 230kV
230kV

6.4
6.1-1
6.1-1

km

MVA

2013
230kV
43
3,047
30
3,760

132kV
35
2,109
25
1,323

66kV
138
3,616
130
1,975

216
8,772
185
7,058
2013

6-1

2013

6.1-1

6-2

6.2

5
6.2-1
No.

State/Region

Kachin State

Kayah State

Kayin State

Chin State

Mon State

Rakhine State

2015

Transmission Lines
500kV 230kV 132kV 66kV
(mile) (mile) (mile) (mile)
60

89

Substations
230kV
132kV
No. MVA No. MVA
60

34

150

65

10

85

15

91

100

65

374

11

87

Shan State

60

213

200

100

50

Sagaing Region

80

30

100

100

20

Tanintharyi Region

200

20

300

400

180

20

200

400

60

200

11

160

900

23

2,700

56

641

145
80

39

142
167

11 Magway Region

366

385

38

13 Ayeyarwady Region

240

14 Yangon Region

135
167

1,838

500

202

60

1,371

200

1000

65

12 Mandalay Region

Total

66kV
No. MVA

10 Bago Region

285

500kV
No. MVA

1,500

12

990

2013

6.2.1

6.2-1 2015

(1) 230kV
(2) 230kV
(3)

6-3

legend

Shweli1
power plant
(in operation / under construction)
substation
(in operation / under construction)
230kV transmission lines
(in operation / under construction)

Tagaung

Nyaungbingyi

Upper Yeywa

Ohntaw
Myin Gyan

Shwesaryan

Chaungku

Yeywa

Belin

Meikhtila
Thazi

Ponnagyun
Naypyidaw2

Mann

Rhakhine State

Shwemyo
PL

Ann

Baluchaung

MPL
UPL

Taungdwgyi
NaypyiNancho
daw Pyinmana
Thephyu

Kyaukphyu

Baluchaung-1
Baluchaung-2
Baluchaung-3

OakShitpin

Shwedaung

Toungup

Taungoo

Kun

Thahtay

Tharyargone

230kV

Phayargyi
Sitaung

Minhla

Kamarnat
Thaton

Hinthada
Myaungtagar
Hlawga

Athoke

Hlaingtharyar

East
Dagon
Thaketa
Thanlyin

Bayintnaung
Pathein

Dala
Ahlone
Kyaiklat

6.2-1

6-4

Mawlamyaing

6.2.2

2015 6.2-2
6.2-2

Baluchaung-2

Shwemyo

120.0

193.1

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

Number of
conductors
/Phase
2

Upper Yeywa

Shwesaryan

230

80.0

128.8

Double

605 MCM (Duck)

Mann (minbuu) GT

Ann

230

67.0

107.0

Single

795 MCM (Drake)

Ann

Ponna KyunTong

230

116.0

186.0

Single

796 MCM (Drake)

OakShitpin

Toungup

230

61.3

98.6

Single

795 MCM (Drake)

Toungup

Kyuakphyu (GT)

230

108.4

174.4

Single

795 MCM (Drake)

Kyuakphyu (GT)

Ann

230

98.1

157.8

Single

795 MCM (Drake)

Athoke

Pathein

230

40.0

64.4

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

Oakshitpin

Hinthada

230

95.0

153.0

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

10

Hinthada

Athoke

230

80.0

128.8

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

No

Substation A

Substation B

Voltage
Level
(kV)
230

Length
miles

km

Number of
Circuit

Conductor Type

11

Thaketa

East Dagon

230

10.0

16.1

Double

605 MCM (Duck)

12

Hlaingtharyar

Kyaiklat

230

30.0

48.3

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

13

Taungdwgyi

Shwedaung

230

100.0

160.9

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

14

Myaungtagar

Hlaingtharyar

230

28.0

45.1

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

15

Thaton

Mawlamyaing

230

50.0

80.5

Single

605 MCM (Duck)

16

Shwedaung

Myaungtagar

230

130.0

209.3

Double

605 MCM (Duck)

17

Washaung

Waingmaw (Myithyina)-Mogaung

132

70.0

112.7

Single

397.5 MCM (IBIS)

18

Baluchaung-3

Baluchaung-2

132

3.6

5.8

Single

397.5 MCM (IBIS)

2014

6.2.3

2015 6.2-3 6.2-5

6-5

6.2-3
No.

Name of
Substation

2013

Voltage Level
(kV)

Rated Capacity
(MVA)

Kachin State, Bhamo

230/ 132/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

Location

Nos; of
Shunt Reactor
Transformer
(MVAR)

Condenser
(MVAR)

COD*

50

50

2015

Bhamo

Nabar

Sagaing Division, Nabar

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

50

50

2015

Ngapawdine

Sagaing Division,
Ngapawdine

230/ 132/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

50

50

2015

Myothit

Kachin State, Bhamo

66 / 11

2014

Dawponyan

Kachin State, Bhamo

66 / 11

2014

Phayarkone
(Zartabyin)

Kayin State, Zartabyin

66 / 11

2014

Falam

Chin State, Falam

66 / 11

2014

Taingin

Chin State, Thinengin

66 / 11

2014

Mindat

Chin State, Mindat

66 / 11

2014

10 Ramree

Rakhine State, Ramree

66 / 11

2014

11 Thandwe

Rakhine State, Thandwe

66 / 11

2014

12 Taunggyi

Shan State, Taunggyi

132/ 66

60

1 (3)

2014

13 Mineshoe

Shan State, Taunggyi

66/ 11

2014

Chin State, Kalay

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

50

50

2015

Chin State, Kalay

66/ 11

10

2015

Tanintharyi Division, Dawei

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

50

50

2015

Tanintharyi Division, Dawei

66/ 11

10

2015

Tanintharyi Division, Ye

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

50

50

2015

Tanintharyi Division, Ye

66/ 11

10

2015

17 Taungtwingyi

Magway Division,
Taungtwingyi

132/ 66

100

2015

18 Mogok

Mandalay Division, Mogok

66/ 33

30

2014

66/ 11

10

2014

66/ 11

10

2014

66/ 11

10 + 10

2014

230/ 66/ 11

100

1 (3)

2015

230/ 33/ 11

100

1 (3)

50

2015

14 Kalay

15 Dawei

16 Ye

19 Chaungthar
20 Ngwesaung
21 Kamnee
22 Kytelat
23 Dala

Ayeyarwady Division,
Chaungthar
Ayeyarwady Division,
Ngwesaung
Ayeyarwady Division,
Pathein
Ayeyarwady Division,
Kytelat
Yangon Division, Dala

2013

*CODCommercial Operation Date

6-6

6.2-4
No.

Name of Substation

2014

Location

1
2

Hpakant
Mogaung

Kachin State, Hpakant


Kachin State, Mogaung

Loikaws

Kayah State, Loikaw

4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Shadaw
Bawlakhe
Hpasawng
Kawkareit
Myawaddy
Hlinebwe
Chaungzon

Kayah State, Shadaw


Kayah State, Bawlakhe
Kayah State, Hpasawng
Kayin State, Kawkareit
Kayin State, Myawaddy
Kayin State, Hlinebwe
Mon State, Chaungzone

11

Thanbuzayat

Mon State, Thanbuzayat

12 Mawlamyaing

Mon State, Mawlamyaing

13 Buthitaung

Rakhine State, Buthitaung

14 Minbya

Rakhine State, Minbya

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32

Rakhine State, Kyeintali


Rakhine State, Gwa
Rakhine State, Taungup
Rakhine State, Rathedaung
Rakhine State,Buthidaung
Rakhine State,Maungdaw
Shan State, Theinni
Shan State, Mansan
Shan State, Kutkhaing
Shan State, Kyethee
Shan State, Lashio
Shan State, Moemate (Mabein)
Chin State, Kalaywa
Chin State, Thinengin
Sagaing Division, Monywa
Bago Division, Bago
Bago Division, Taungoo
Magway Division, Gangaw

Kyeintali
Gwa
Taungup
Rathedaung
Buthidaung
Maungdaw
Theinni
Mansan (Ext;)
Kutkhaing
Kyethe
Lashio
Moemate
Kalaywa
Thinengin
Monywar (Aungchanthar) (Ext;)
500 kV Bago (Kamarnat)
500 kV Taungoo
Gangaw

33 Chauk (Ext;)

Magway Division, Chauk

34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

Magway Division, Kyunchaung


Magway Division, Aunglan
Magway Division, Thayet
Magway Division, Kanma
Magway Division, Kanma
Magway Division, Pauk
Magway Division, Saw
Mandalay Division, Tharzi
Mandalay Division, Tharzi
Mandalay Division, Meikhtila
Mandalay Division, Ngazon
Mandalay Division, Aungpinlae
Mandalay Division, Mandalay

Kyaunchaung
Aunglan
Thayet
Kanma
Mintone
Pauk
Saw
Tharzi (Ext;)
Nyaung Oo
500 kV Meikhtila
Ngazon
Aungpinlae (Ext; )
Industry Zone

47 Hinthada

Ayeyarwady Division, Hinthada

48 Phyarpone

Ayeyarwady Division, Phyarpone

49
50
51
52
53
54
55

Ayeyarwady Division, Bokolay


Ayeyarwady Division, Hinthada
Ayeyarwady Division, Danuphyu
Ayeyarwady Division, Mawgyun
Yangon Division, Hlaingtharyar
Yangon Division,North Oakkalar
Yangon Division,Botataung

Bokalay
Laymyatnar
Danuphyu
Mawlamyaing gyun
Shwelinpanm
Myaukoakkalarpa Industrial Zone
Thida GIS

Voltage Level
(kV)
66/ 11
132/ 66
132/ 66
132/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 33
230/ 66/ 11
230/ 66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
230/ 66/ 11
230/ 66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
132/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
230/ 66/ 11
230/ 132/ 11
132/ 66
230/ 132/ 11
230/ 66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
132/ 33
66/ 11
500/ 230/ 33
66/ 11
132/ 33
132/ 33
230/ 66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 33
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
66/ 11
230/ 66/ 11
230/ 33/ 11
230/ 66/ 11

Rated Capacity
Nos; of
Shunt Reactor Condenser
(MVA)
Transformer
(MVAR)
(MVAR)
10
1
60/ 60
1 (3)
50/ 50
2 (3)
50 /50
1 (3)
5
1
30
1
25
30
1
25
100/ 100/ 30
25
1 (3)
100/ 100/ 30
25
1 (3)
5
1
30
1
10
1
10
1
20
1
20
1
5
1
5
1
10
1
5
1
2
1
2
1
5
1
5
1
5
1
100/ 100/ 30
25
25
4 (1)
60 / 60
25
4 (1)
5
1
5
1
30
1
5
5
1
5
1
5
1
50 / 50
25
2 (3)
500/ 500/ 166
100
100
7 (1)
500/ 500/ 166
100
100
7 (1)
100/ 100/ 30
25
4 (1)
100/ 100/ 30
25
4 (1)
60/ 60
1 (3)
100/ 100/ 30
25
4 (1)
100/ 100/ 30
25
4 (1)
15
1
5
1
2
1
5
1
2
1
50 /50
2 (3)
10
1
500/ 500/ 166
100
100
7 (1)
20
1
50 /50
2 (3)
50 /50
2 (3)
100/ 100/ 30
25.00
4 (1)
10
2
10
1
10
2
10
1
5
1
5
1
5
1
100/ 100/ 30
25
1 (3)
100/ 100/ 30
25
2 (3)
200/ 200/ 60
25
2 (3)

COD
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2017
2017
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2016
2015
2017
2015
2016
2016
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015

2013

6-7

6.2-5
No. Name of Substation

Location

2015
Voltage Level
(kV)

Rated
Capacity
(MVA)

Nos; of
Transformer

Shunt
Reactor
(MVAR)

Condenser
(MVAR)

COD

Matupe

Chin State, Matupe

66/ 11

2016

Beelin

Mon State, Beelin

66/ 11

10

2016

Mabain

Shan State, Mabain

66/ 11

2016

Buddha Gone (Ext;)

Magway Division, Pakokku

132/ 66

60/ 60

1 (3)

25

2016

Bellin (Ext;)

Mandalay Division, Bellin

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

25

2017

Meikhtila
(Thapyawa) (Ext;)

Mandalay
Meikhtila

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

25

2017

Thilawa

Yangon Division, Thanlyin

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

1 (3)

25

2016

Dala

Yangon Division, Dala

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

1 (3)

25

25

2016

Division,

2013

6-8

6.3

6.3.1

6.3-1

(1) LDCLoad Dispatch Center


YESBYangon City Electricity Supply Board

GCCGeneration Control Center


132230kV

(2) NCCNational Control Center


MOEPMinistry of Electric Power
LDC
GCC
(3) GCCGeneration Control Center
1 LDC

6-9

MOEP(1)

MOEP(2)

NCC

(National Control Center)

GCC

LDC

(Generation Control Center)

(Load Dispatch Center)

230kV132kV

66kV

6.3-1

6.3.2

(YESB, ESE)

6.3-2
49.5Hz50.0Hz 49.0Hz49.5Hz

1
48.5Hz LDC

6 - 10

50.0 Hz

49.5

49.0 49.5Hz
49.0

48.5

48.3
48.0

47.8

6.3-2

LDC

6.3.3

6.3-3
230kV28kV12%

258kV

230kV12%

230

202

Static Capacitor

200250MW

6.3-3

LDC

6.3.4

SCADA
6.3-1 SCADASupervisory Control and Data Acquisition

6 - 11

6.3-1

2015

SCADA

NCC Naypyidaw LDCYangon RCC*1 PLC *2


Mandalay RCC 230kV
RCC
132kV

55
LDC
8

(1) Thaketa
(7) Belin, Thapyaywa,
Pyinmana, Taungoo,
Kamarnat, Taugdwgyi,
Hlawga

2016

NCCRCCs

SDH*4 OPGW

OPGW*3 PLC

NCC
RCC

IEC61850
1
2
3
4

6.3.5

RCC
PLC
OPGW
SDH

Regional Control Center


Power Line Carrier
Optical fiber Ground Wire
Synchronous Digital Hierarchy

NCC

SCADA 1
1
2014 7
2012 5 17

2013 3 6 Siemense

2014 7

1 12

2014 10 1 26
2015 7
6.3-4 NCC NCC NCC PLC
PLC NCC NCC LAN 2

6 - 12

6.3-4 NCC NCC


6.3-5 NCC RCC PLC
PLC RCC NCC

6.3-5 NCC RCC


6.3-6 NCC

6 - 13

6.3-6 NCC
NCC

6.3.6

6.3.1 2
GCC
LDC

GCC LDC
NCC SCADA 1
SCADA
GCC LDC
SCADA 2
SCADA

SCADA NCC 2 RCC

6 - 14

NCC RCC
NCC RCC

RCC RCC RCC


NCC

6 - 15

6.4

(1)
230kV 1
1
2

6.4-1 2010 2013 2010


2011
2011 10
20
2

20

15

2010
2012

2011
2013

10

0
1

6.4-1

10

11

12

2010 1 2013 8

(2)
1
6.4-2 230kV
10% 6.4-3

6 - 16

Myaungtagar Thaketa 1
230kV
250MW
190kV

230kV

6.4-2

230kV

6 - 17

6.4-3

230kV

(3)
7%
(1)(2)

(4)

2013

230kV Pyinmana Thephyu Taungoo Tharyargone


CTCurrent TransformerCT

(5)
(1)

6 - 18

6 - 19

6.5

6.5-1 6.5-3 2015

6.5-4 2015 2015


5
Nancho

40MW2014

Baluchaung-3

52MW2014

Upper Paunglaung

140MW2014

Upper Baluchaung

30MW2015

Phyu

40MW2015

Thapyaywa 230kV

71/ 380

221/ 380

NPT

OakShitpin

Pyinmana

Thephyu
Shwedaung
Taungoo
MHL
Kun
Kamarnat

209 / 380

223 / 223
428 / 761

26 / 380

162 / 380

55 / 380

216 / 380

Myaungtagar

137/ 223

165/ 223

162 / 380

32 / 380

Shwemyo

Loss: 109MW

280 / 761
235/ 345

44/ 380

Thazi

PL

207 / 345

141 / 380

110/ 223

Thapyaywa

346 / 380

Taungdwgyi

= 230kV

95 / 223

2013

375

230kV

Baluchaung 2

Baluchaung 1

141 / 223

Shwekin
45 / 380

Tharyargone

/
/

9 / 471 / MW
Total 624

6.5-1

2013

6 - 20

= 230kV

Thapyaywa
125 / 380

69 / 380

99 / 380

327 / 345

262/ 380

Nancho UPL

PL

294 / 345

Thephyu
Shwedaung

30 / 380

Baluchaung 2

Baluchaung 1

Taungoo
184 / 223

Kun
241 / 380 Kamarnat

Myaungtagar
16 / 380

192 / 380

265 / 380

Baluchaung 3

Shwekin
45 / 380

238 / 223
482 / 761

189 / 223

409 / 380

MHL

Tharyargone

186 / 223

220 / 380

Loss: 140MW

434/ 761

OakShitpin

81 / 380

Shwemyo

Pyinmana

NPT

- Nancho
- Baluchang(3)
- Upper Paunglaung

113 / 223

Thazi

97 / 223

Taungdwgyi

383

230kV
2014

/
/

9 / 471 / MW
Total 740

6.5-2

2014

271

230kV
= 230kV

85 / 380

116 / 380

306 / 380

NPT

Pyinmana

Thephyu

OakShitpin
Shwedaung

MHL

PL

Nancho UPL

Baluchaung 2

Baluchaung 1

525 / 761

Tharyargone

215 / 446

Shwekin
45 / 380

238 / 380

63 / 380

410 / 761

266 / 223

185 / 223

190 / 380

42 / 380

286 / 380

Myaungtagar

Loss: 157MW

Taungoo

Kun
Kamarnat

Nancho
Baluchang(3)
Upper Paunglaung
Upper Baluchang
Phyu

Shwemyo

431 / 380

Phyu

189/ 223

203 / 380

51 / 380

129 / 223

Thazi

292 / 345 326 / 345

103 / 380

Taungdwgyi

Thapyaywa

112 / 223

2015

Baluchaung 3

/
/
/

9 / 471 / MW
Total 770

6.5-3

2015
6 - 21

230kV

277 / 380
NPT

Pyinmana

Thephyu

Phyu

113 / 223
Kun

135 / 380 Kamarnat

197 / 223
387 / 761

63 / 380

162 / 380

138 / 380

Myaungtagar

84 / 223

410 / 761
PL Nancho UPL
62 / 380

Baluchaung 2

Baluchaung 1

Taungoo

143 / 223

370 / 760

58 / 380

17 / 380

Nancho
Baluchang(3)
Upper Paunglaung
Upper Baluchang
Phyu

Loss: 123MW

184 / 345

245 / 380

129 / 223

Shwemyo

505 / 760

34 / 223 34 / 223

Thazi

Shwedaung

317 / 760

155 / 345

OakShitpin

Taungdwgyi

34 / 223

Toungup

61 / 380

Mann

34 / 223

Maei

= 230kV

Thapyaywa

300 / 380

Ann

408

2015

()

145 / 446
Shwekin
45 / 380

Tharyargone

Baluchaung 3

/
/
/

9 / 471 / MW
Total 824

6.5-4

2015 2015

230kV Taungoo Tharyargone

6.5-4 2015

6 - 22

6.6

6.6.1

5
2020 2030

6.6-1

6 - 23

6.6-1
Location

Substation

2020
Voltage
high case
(kV)
(MW)

2030
high case
(MW)

Location

Substation

2020
Voltage
high case
(kV)
(MW)

2030
high case
(MW)

Pyin-O-Lwin

132

24.62

100.22

Kalaw

132

43.39

133.29

Aungpinlae

132

35.64

145.10

Namsan

132

8.96

27.52

Inngone

132

24.34

99.07

Mansan

230

23.76

72.98

Letpanhla

132

16.54

67.33

Myin Gyan

132

21.80

88.73

Tagundaing

132

42.44

172.77

Yatanarbon

132

1.55

6.32 Ayeyarwady Myanaung

Yinmarbin

132

0.33

1.36

Yepaungsone

132

5.51

22.44

Kamarnat

Belin

230

20.00

81.42

Shwemyo

230

16.31

66.39

Shan

Aungthapyay

66
sub-total
230

Athoke

66

36.00

110.57

112.10

344.35

77.38

286.41

29.02

107.41

106.40

393.82

230

40.34

148.65

OakShitpin

230

31.60

116.43

Shwedaung

230

58.56

215.80

230

23.02

84.81

sub-total

Mandalay
Bago
Shwesaryan

230

55.13

224.44

Taungoo

Naypyidaw

230

31.30

127.41

Tharyargone

Thapyaywa

230

48.15

195.99

Pyinmana

230

76.93

313.17

Myaungtagar

230

230
sub-total

16.53

60.93

170.05

626.62

246.08

771.33

Thazi

230

25.52

103.87

Thanlyin

230

166.87

523.04

Thephyu

230

27.67

112.64

Hlawga

230

581.43

1,822.50

Myin Gyan (Stell Mill)

230

53.85

219.22

Ahlone

230

316.79

992.96

Myaukpyin

230

123.12

501.18

Bayintnaung

230

183.10

573.92

650.75

2,649.07

Hlaingtharyar

230

228.75

717.00

97.53

Thaketa

230

537.61

1,685.13

Yangon
sub-total

Sagaing

Monyawa

132

31.75

Kyaukpatoe

132

17.55

53.92

Thida

66

159.63

500.35

Ngyapyadaing

132

14.46

44.43

Ywama

33

285.36

894.46

Nyaungbingyi

230

23.90

73.43

2,705.60

8,480.71

Ohntaw

230

21.94

67.40

Chaungku

230

0.59

1.81

110.20

338.53

sub-total
Chauk

132

39.36

87.22

Saytoattayar

132

1.21

2.68

Tanyaung

132

3.92

8.69

sub-total

Mon

Thaton

230

97.57

359.00

Mawlamyaing

66

12.63

46.46

110.20

405.46

22.80

58.20

22.80

58.20

132

13.30

23.28

13.30

23.28

230

45.60

117.37

45.60

117.37

8.55

15.52

8.55

15.52

230

91.20

281.30

91.20

281.30

230

28.50

87.30

28.50

87.30

4,303.50

14,105.74

sub-total
Bhamo (Banmaw)

132

Kachin
sub-total
Lawpita2 (Baluchaung-2)
Kayar
Magway

132

21.65

47.97

Mann

132

2.66

5.89

Kyunchaung

132

38.37

85.04

sub-total

Magway
Kawkareik
Kayin
Taungdwgyi

230

21.08

46.72

128.25

284.21

sub-total
Gantgaw

230

Chin
sub-total

sub-total
Meik (Myeik)
Tanintharyi
sub-total
Taungup
Rakhine
sub-total
TOTAL

6 - 24

6.6.2

2020
3 1
2
3

2020
2
6.6-2

50% 70%

2020

70%

50%

6.6-2
3 2020
13 6.6-1

2020
1,500MW
2,100MW

230kV

230kV
500kV

6.8

6 - 25

2020 Rainy season


Northern
area

2020 Dry season


Northern
area

Hydro:70%
Thermal:28%

Gen:1,701
Load:672

Gen:2,124
Load:672
1,452MW

Gen:350
Load:135

Western
area
Gen:542
Load:2,746

Yangon
area

Western
area

Middle
area

Gen:987
Load:2,746

Gen:154
Load:247

6.6.3

Gen:905
Load:504
1,430
MW

Yangon
area

Middle
area
Gen:282
Load:247

Southern
area

Southern
area
6.6-1

1,029MW

Gen:459
Load:135

Gen:1,142
Load:504
2,090
MW

Hydro:50%
Thermal:51%

2020

2030
2020 2030

6.6-2
3 1
2 3

5 1 2 1,000MW
3
1 2
3
1 2 3 6.6-2 6.6-3

6 - 26

2030 Rainy season


Northern
area

2030 Dry season


Northern
area

Hydro:70%
Thermal:11%

Gen:6,471
Load:2,496

Gen:8,409
Load:2,496
5,913MW

Gen:439
Load:481

8,296
MW

Western
area
Gen:620
Load:8,630

Gen:358
Load:481

Gen:4,120
Load:1,695

42
MW

Western
area

Middle
area
Gen:565
Load:804

Yangon
area

Gen:3,385
Load:8,630

Southern
area
6.6-2

3,975MW
123
MW

Gen:3,081
Load:1,695
5,238
MW

Middle
area
Gen:830
Load:804

Yangon
area
Southern
area

2030 1 2

2030 Dry season

2030 Rainy season


Northern
area

Gen:3,509
Load:2,496

2,038MW

Gen:993
Load:481

2,349
MW

Yangon
area

Middle
area
Gen:1,253
Load:804

Western
area
Gen:6,541
Load:8,630

Southern
area
6.6-3

1,013MW

Gen:1,116
Load:481

Gen:2,006
Load:1,695

Western
area

Hydro:50%
Thermal:77%

Northern
area

Hydro:70%
Thermal:64%

Gen:4,534
Load:2,496

Gen:5,436
Load:8,630

Hydro:50%
Thermal:60%

Gen:1,711
Load:1,695
1,029
MW

Yangon
area

Middle
area
Gen:1,303
Load:804

Southern
area

2030 3
6 - 27

1 2 5,900MW
8,300MW
1,000km 1
2 500kV2 2,500MW 500kV 2

500kV
3 1
6.6-3 2,0002,400MW

600MW
3 2
1 500kV 1
1
2
500kV 2

500kV 2
6.6.4

2030
6.6-4 6.6-3

6 - 28

Scenario 1/2

Scenario 3

North to South:
4 main routes

North to South:
2 main routes

1st Phase
500kV T/L

1st Phase
500kV T/L
+-500kV
DC T/L
2nd Phase
500kV T/L

+-500kV
DC T/L
2nd Phase
500kV T/L

Legend
power plant
(in operation / planned)
substation
(in operation / planned)
500kV transmission lines
(in operation / planned)
230kV transmission lines
(in operation after 2021/ planned)
230kV transmission lines
(in operation after 2021)

6.6-4

2030 1 2 3
6.6-3

Scenario

No 1

No 2

No 3

Domestic Energy
Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

Least Cost

Power Resources Balance

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

Total

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

Main projects

DC T/L
500kV T/L

DC T/L
500kV T/L

500kV T/L

500kV Cost

4,680 MUSD

4,680 MUSD

2,480 MUSD

230-132kV Cost

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

Total

5,580 MUSD

5,580 MUSD

3,380 MUSD

Priority of PGDP

Main projects
Mid-term
(Year 20162020)

Lon-term
(Year 20212030)

500kV Cost
230-132kV Cost

6 - 29

6.6.5

5
3
3

6 - 30

6.7

6.7.1

(1)

2030 N-1


110%

(2)
6.7-1
6.7-1
Conductor
type

MW (PF 0.85)
132kV
230kV
84
-

MCM

Ampere

Ibis

397

433

Duck

605

562

109

190

Drake

795

660

128

223

485

6.7-2

(3)

6.7-2

6 - 31

500kV
-

-5% +5%

(4)

6.7-3

6.7-3

6.7.2

2020

kV

kA

500

40 50

230

40 50

132

25 31.5

6.6.2

(1)

230kV

(2) 2020
6.7-1 2020 3
2016 500kV
230kV 500kV

500kV Meikhtila
Taungoo Phayargyi Hlaingtharyar Shweli 3; 1,000MW
Shweli 3 Belin Meikhtila

6 - 32

2020
legend

power plant
(in operation / construction / planned)
substation
(in operation / construction / planned)

Waingmaw

Bhamo

500kV transmission lines


(in operation / planned)

Nabar

230kV transmission lines


(in operation / construction / planned)

Shweli1
Theinni
Tagaung

Kale

Ngyapyadaing
Kalewa

Shweli3

Mansan

Mineyal

Upper
Yeywa

Gantgaw
Ohntaw
Myin Gyan

Belin

Chaungku

Mong Young
Yeywa

Kyunchaung
Minepann
Meikhtila
Thazi

Ponnagyun
Mann

Keng Tong

Namsan

Shwemyo

Naypyidaw2

PL

MPL

Ann

UPL
Taungdwgyi

Kyaukphyu

Pyinmana Nancho
Thephyu

Naypyidaw

Shwedaung

Baluchaung-2

Taungoo

Toungup

Kun
OakShitpin
Tharyargone

Thahtay

Phayargyi

Minhla

Sitaung
Thaton

Myaungtagar
Hlaing
-tharyar

Thaketa

Pathein
Mawlamyaing
Dala
Ngaputaw

Kyaiklat

Baintnaung

Thilawa

Ahlone
Ye
Kunchangon
Dawei

6.7-1

Meik

Boakpyin

KukThaung

2020
6 - 33

(3)
1)

3 6.7-2
500kV

6 - 34

Waingmaw

2020

Bhamo
Nabar
Shweli1

Kalewa

Kale

Theinni

210

Tagaung
Ngyapyadaing

64

Shweli3

Gantgaw

196

Shwesaryan
Belin

990

Chaungku

Upper Yeywa

74

Ohntaw
Myni Gyan

Thazi

72

Chauk

1172

Shwemyo
PL

54

16

Naypyidaw

Pyinmana

33

Maei

1744
Minhla

1194

Hinthada
Myaungtagar

597
90

Pathein

Ngapudau

54
Baluchaung2

237

Kun

Thahtay

198

Thephyu

Taungoo

55

Hlawga
Athoke

328 Nancho

64

Shwedaung
OakShitpin
Toungup

MPL
UPL

Taungdwgyi
Kyaukphyu

Keng Tong

Namsan

30

Mann Naypyidaw2
Ann

Minepann

202

Meikhtila
Ponnagyun

Mong Young

Yeywa

230

Kyunchaung

Mineyal

248

736

Nyaungbingyi

Mansan

Tharyargone

96
83

Phayargyi
Sitaung

East
Dagon

Kamarnat
Balin
Thaton

162

Thaketa
Thanlyin

16546
Mawlamyaing

Hlaing
-tharyar
Dala

Baintnaung

Thilawa

Ahlone

Kyaiklat

Ye
Kunchangon
Dawei

6.7-2

Meik

Boakpyin

KukThaung

2020

6 - 35

6.7-3 6.7-5

500kV230kV 5%

Voltage of 500 kV substations

(kV)
530

510

490

470
Shweli3

Belin

Meikhtila

6.7-3

Taungoo

Phayargyi

Hlaingtharyar

500kV 2020

(kV)

230 kV substations (western route)


250

240

230

220

Thanlyin

6 - 36

Thaketa

230kV 2020

Hlawga

Myaungtagar

Minhla

Shwedaung

OakShitpin

Toungup

Ann

Mann

Kyunchaung

6.7-4

Chaungku

Nyaungbingyi

Ohntaw

Ngyapyadaing

Nabar

210

(kV)

230 kV substations (eastern route)

250

240

230

220

Boakpyin

Meik

Dawei

Ye

Mawlamyaing

Thaton

Sitaung

Kamarnat

Phayargyi

Tharyargone

Taungoo

Thephyu

Pyinmana

6.7-5

Shwemyo

Thazi

Thapyeywa

Belin

Ohntaw

Ngyapyadaing

Nabar

210

230kV 2020

6.7-6 6.7-7

(kA)

Short Circuit Current of 500kV Substations

35
Short Circuit Current
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Shweli3

Belin

6.7-6

Meikhtila

Taungoo

Phayargyi

Hlaingtharyar

2020 500kV

6 - 37

(kA)

Short Circuit Current of 230kV Substations

35
Short Circuit Current

30

25

20

15

10

0
Kunchangon

Phayargyi

HtanTapin

Kawkareik

Meik

Mine Pann

Mong Young

Bhamo

Thatei

Thilawa

Theinni

Gantgaw

Nabar

Ye

East Dagon

Toungup

Upper Yeywa

Chauk

Phyu

Upper Paunglaung

Athoke

Ahlone

Hlaingtharyar

Thaketa

Mawlamyaing

Sitaung

Myaungtagar

Lawpita

Tharyargone

Thaut Yay Khat

Thephyu

Shwemyo

Naypyitaw

Shwedaung

Shweli

Shwesaryan

Nyaungbingyi

Belin

Taungdwgyi

Thapyaywa

Yeywa-1

6.7-7

2020 230kV

500kV 10kA
230kV 20kA

2)

3 2020 2020

(4)
2016 2020
6.7-4 6.7-5
6.7-6

6 - 38

6.7-4

Transmission Line

Substation

20162020

(Voltage)

Amount of Facility

Amount of Cost

500kV

1,029 km

643 MUSD

230kV

4,387 km

822 MUSD

132 kV

280 km

27 MUSD

500kV

5,000 MVA

310 MUSD

230kV

7,740 MVA

813 MUSD

132 kV

830 MVA

111 MUSD

Total

2,726 MUSD

500kV Meikhtila Hlaingtharyar

Shweli-31,000MW

500kV Shweli-3
Meikhtila
230kV

6 - 39

6.7-5
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57

Substation A
Meikhtila
Taungoo
Shweli-3
Belin
Phayargyi (Kamarnat)
Mawlamyaing
Mawlamyaing
Ye
Mansan
Shwelinpan
Hinthada
Gantgaw
Baluchaung-2
MineWa(Mong Wa)
Taungoo
Gantgaw
Minbu (Mann)
Meikhtila
Kalewa (Coal Plant)
Namsan-Mine Pann
Dawei
Upper Yeywa
Shwesaryan
Thahtay (In-Out)
Middle Paunglaung
Kunchangon
Ngayukong
Waingmaw
Theinni-Mineyal
Meik
Htantapin
Htantapin
Bhamo (Banmaw)
Nabar
Ngyapyadaing
Meikhtila
Phayargyi
Hlaingtharyar 500kVSS
Hlaingtharyar 500kVSS
Boakpyin
Ngaputaw
Dawei
Dala
Meikhtila
Kyause
Thilawa
Meikhtila
Chauk
Meikhtila
Pyinmana
Thephyu
Kunchangon
Kanpouk
Upper Keng Tong
Ngotchaung
Dapein-2
Upper Bu

20162020 132kV
Substation B

Taungoo
Phayargyi (Kamarnat)
Belin
Meikhtila (Thapyaywa)
Hlaingtharyar
Kawkareik-Myawaddy
Ye
Dawei
Theinni
Hlaingtharyar-Bayintnaung
Athoke
Nyaungbingyi
Taungoo
So Lue
Shwedaung
Kale
Taungdwgyi
Chauk
Kale
Keng Tong
Meik
Shwesaryan
Myaukpyin
(In-Out)
Dala
Pathein
Nabar
MineNaung-Namsan
Boakpyin-KukThaung
Myaungtagar
Hlaingtharyar
Nabar
Ngyapyadaing
Ohntaw
Thapyaywa
East Dagon
Hlaingtharyar 230kVSS
Ywama (Shwelinpan)
Boakpyin
Pathein
LongLon
Kyaiklat
Taungdwgyi
Ohntaw
Thanlyin
Chauk
Kyunchaung
Myin Gyan
Thephyu
Taungoo
Ahlone
Dawei
Namsan
Lawpita (Baluchaung-1)
Dapein-1
Tayaung

Voltage
Level
(kV)
500
500
500
500
500
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
132
132
132
132
132

6 - 40

Length
Miles
146.0
117.0
135.0
125.0
60.0
80.0
82.0
50.0
60.0
6.0
80.0
80.0
96.0
23.0
110.0
80.0
85.0
75.0
10.0
138.0
60.0
80.0
16.0
7.0
7.0
35.0
60.0
140.0
168.0
250.0
12.0
11.0
85.0
95.0
84.0
6.5
50.0
6.5
19.0
12.0
30.0
15.0
13.0
80.0
6.5
6.5
75.0
25.0
69.0
70.0
61.0
48.0
6.0
50.0
31.0
3.0
85.0

km

No. of
circuit

Conductor Type

235.0
188.3
217.3
201.2
96.6
128.8
132.0
80.5
96.6
9.7
128.8
128.8
154.5
37.0
177.0
128.8
136.8
120.7
16.1
222.1
96.6
128.8
25.8
11.3
11.3
56.3
96.6
225.3
270.4
402.3
19.3
17.7
136.8
152.9
135.2
10.5
80.5
10.5
30.6
19.3
48.3
24.1
20.9
128.8
10.5
10.5
120.7
40.2
111.0
112.7
98.2
77.3
9.7
80.5
49.9
4.8
136.8

Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Single
Single
Double
Single
Double
Double
Double
Single
Single
Double
Double
Double
Double
Single
Single
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Triple
Double
Triple
Double
Double
Double
Single
Double
Single
Single
Double
Single
Double
Single
Single
Single
Triple
Single
Single
Single
Single
Double

795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
795MCM (Drake)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
795MCM (Drake)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
397.5MCM (Ibis)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)

No. of
conductors
/Phase
4
4
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2

6.7-6

20162020 132kV

4 (1)

Substation Rated
Capacity
(MVA)
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
400

4 (1)

400

4 (1)

400

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

Ye

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

12

Thilawa

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

1 (3)

100

13

230/ 33/ 11
230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30
100/ 100/ 30

1 (3)

100

14

Dala
Kawkareik

1 (3)

100

15

Myawaddy

100/ 100/ 30

1 (3)

100

16

Kale

230/ 66/ 11
230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

17

Theinni

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

18

Mansan (Ext;)

230/ 66/ 11

60 / 60

4 (1)

240

19

Kyunchaung

230/ 132/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

20

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

21

Aungland
Gantgaw

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

22

Chauk (Ext;)

230/ 132/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

23

Belin (Ext;)

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

24

230/ 33/ 11
230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30
100/ 100/ 30

4 (1)

400

25

Meikhtila (Thapyaywa) (Ext;)


Shwelinpan

1 (3)

100

26

Myaukoakkalarpa Industrial Zone

230/ 33/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

2 (3)

200

27

Thida GIS

2 (3)

400

Dala
Waingmaw (Ext;)
Kyine Ton
Meik (Ext;)
Mine Pann
Namsan (Ext;)
Minenaung
Mineyal
Boakpyin
KukThaung
Loikaw s

230/ 66/ 11
230/ 33/ 11

200/ 200/ 60

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

230 / 132
230 / 66
230 / 66
230 / 66
230 / 132
230 / 66
230 / 66
230 / 33
230 / 33
132/ 66

100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50/ 50

1 (3)
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2 (3)

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

39

Loikaw s

132/ 33

50 /50

1 (3)

50

40

Chauk (Ext;)

132/ 66

60/ 60

1 (3)

60

41

Aungpinlae (Ext; )

132/ 33

50 /50

2 (3)

100

42

Industry Zone

132/ 33

50 /50

2 (3)

100

43

Mogaung
Monywar (Aungchanthar) Sub; (Ext;)
Taungtwingyi

132/ 66

60/ 60

1 (3)

60

132/ 33
132/ 66

50 / 50
100

2 (3)
1

Buddha Gone (Ext;)


Thazi (Ext;)

132/ 66
132/ 33

60/ 60
50 /50

1 (3)

100
100
60

2 (3)

100

Voltage Level
(kV)

Transformer Rated Capacity


(MVA)

No. of
Transformer

500/ 230/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
500/ 230/ 33
230/ 66/ 11
230/ 132/ 11

500/ 500/ 166


500/ 500/ 166
500/ 500/ 166
500/ 500/ 166
500/ 500/ 166
100/ 100/ 30
100/ 100/ 30

2
2
2
2
2

Meikhtila
Phayargyi (Kamarnat)
Taungoo
Hlaingtharyar
Belin
Hinthada
Bhamo

Nabar

230/ 66/ 11

100/ 100/ 30

Ngyapyadaing (Shwebo)

230/ 33/ 11

10

Dawei

11

No
1
2
3
4
5
6

44
45
46
47

Name of Substation

6 - 41

6.7.3

2030
6.6

(1)
230kV

500kV 2
(2) 2030
6.7-8 2030 3
2021 500kV
230kV
500kV 2 Shweli-3 Mansan Namsan Baluchaung Thaketa
500kV 500kV
500kV

6 - 42

2030

Waingmaw

legend

Bhamo

power plant
(in operation / planned up to 2030)
substation
(in operation / planned up to 2030)

Chibwe

500kV transmission lines


(in operation / planned up to 2030)

Waingmaw

230kV transmission lines


(in operation / planned up to 2030)

Natabat(Kachin)

Nabar
Shweli1
Shweli2
Kalewa

Theinni
Upper Thanlwin(Kunlong)

Tagaung
Ngyapyadaing

Naopha, Mantong
Mansan

Shweli3

Mineyal

Nyaungbingyi
Upper Yeywa
Gantgaw

Nam Kha
Myin Gyan

Chaungku
Mong Young

Belin
Kyunchaung

Kyine Ton
Wan Ta Pin

Yeywa
Mine Pann
Keng Tong

Meikhtila

So Lue

Namsan
Mann

Ponnagyun

Naypyidaw2

Shwemyo

Ann
Taungdwgyi
Naypyidaw

Kyaukphyu

Thephyu

Shwedaung

Baluchaung

Taungoo
Baluchaung2

Toungup

Tharyargone
Phayargyi
Kamarnat
Sitaung
Hinthada
Thaton
Myaungtagar

Pathein
Mawlamyaing
Ahlone
Hlaingtharyar

Thilawa

Kyaiklat

Ye

Kunchangon

Meik

Boakpyin KukThaung

Dawei

6.7-8

2030 3
6 - 43

(3)
1)

3
6.7-9 500kV

6 - 44

2030

Gawlan

Scenario3: two 500kV route

WuWoneKyue
Lawngdin
Chibwe
Tongxingqiao

Waingmaw

Hkan Kawn

Natabat(Kachin)

Bhamo

Nabar

486
Kale

Kalewa

Shweli1
Theinni

Shweli2

96

Tagaung

Upper Thanlwin(Kunlong)

Ngyapyadaing
Shweli3
Nyaungbingyi

Gantgaw

Upper Yeywa

608

152

Kyunchaung

Ponnagyun

25

696

292

Kyine Ton
Wan Ta Pin

Yeywa
Mine Pann

202

Meikhtila

32

Nam Kha

Middle Yeywa
Shwesaryan
Mong Young
Belin

1172

Chauk
Naypyidaw2
Mann

Mineyal

Namtu

1902

Ohntaw
Myin Gyan 190

Chaungku

396

Upper
Sedawgyi

Naopha, Mantong

499

Mansan

Keng Tong

So Lue

Namsan

Thazi

94

Shwemyo
PL

1404

MPL

Ann

UPL
Taungdwgyi
Naypyidaw

322

Pyinmana

128

Kyaukphyu

24

258

Kun

Bawgata

Minhla

Hinthada

130

462

194

236

Pathein

Ngayukong
Ngaputaw
Hlaingtharyar

Tharyargone
Shwegyin
192 Phayargyi
Kamarnat

976

Myaungtagar
Athoke

308
840 1368
Dala

Baluchaung3

Taungoo
Baluchaung2

464

Thahtay

Hlawga

Baluchaung1
Baluchaung

149

Shwedaung
OakShitpin
Toungup

Nancho

Thephyu

1310

1362

Sitaung
Balin
Pahan
Thaton

East
Dagon
Thaketa
Thanlyin

756

120

Mawlamyaing
Thilawa

Ahlone

Kyaiklat

Ye

Kyauktan

Tanintharyi
Ayeyarwady

Kunchangon

Meik

Boakpyin

KukThaung

Dawei

6.7-9

2030 3
6 - 45

6.7-10 6.7-12

500kV230kV 5%

(kV)

Voltage of 500 kV substations

550

530

510

490

Thaketa

Baluchaung

Namsan

Mansan

Hlawga

Kunchangon

Hlaingtharyar

6.7-10

Phayargyi

Taungoo

Meikhtila

Belin

Shweli3

Waingmaw

470

500kV 2030 3

(kV)

Voltage of 230 kV substations (western route)

250

240

230

220

6 - 46

Thanlyin

230kV 2030 3

Thaketa

Hlawga

Myaungtagar

Minhla

Shwedaung

OakShitpin

Toungup

Ann

Mann

Kyunchaung

Chaungku

6.7-11

Nyaungbingyi

Ohntaw

Ngyapyadaing

Nabar

210

Voltage of 230 kV substations (eastern route)

(kV)
250

240

230

220

Boakpyin

Meik

Dawei

Ye

Mawlamyaing

Thaton

Sitaung

Kamarnat

Phayargyi

Tharyargone

Taungoo

Thephyu

Pyinmana

Shwemyo

6.7-12

Thazi

Thapyaywa

Belin

Ohntaw

Ngyapyadaing

Nabar

210

230kV 2030 3

6.7-13 6.7-14

Short Circuit Current of 500kV Substations

(kA)
35

30
Short Circuit Current
25

20

15

10

0
Thaketa

Baluchaung

Namsan

Mansan

Hlawga

Kunchangon

Hlaingtharyar

Phayargyi

Taungoo

Meikhtila

Belin

Shweli3

Waingmaw

6.7-13

2030 500kV

6 - 47

(kA)
Short Circuit Current of 230kV Substations

35

30
Short Circuit Current
25

20

15

10

0
Baluchaung

Pahan

Tongxingqiao

Meikhtila

Hkan Kawn

Meik

Mong Young

Thatei

Theinni

Nabar

East Dagon

Upper Yeywa

Phyu

Athoke

Hlaingtharyar

Mawlamyaing

Myaungtagar

Tharyargone

Thephyu

Naypyitaw

Mansan

Chaungku

Thazi

Yeywa

6.7-14

2030 230kV

500kV 20kA
230kV 30kA
2030
2)

3 2030 2030

(3)
2021 2030 6.7-7

6 - 48

6.7-7

Transmission Line

Substation

20212030 3

(Voltage)

Amount of Facility

Amount of Cost

500kV

1,630 km

1,019 MUSD

230kV

2,190 km

401 MUSD

132 kV

122 km

11 MUSD

500kV

12,500 MVA

941 MUSD

230kV

4,530 MVA

476 MUSD

132 kV

720 MVA

96 MUSD

Total

2,944 MUSD

2 500kV
Shweli-3 Mansan Namsan Baluchaung Thaketa

Kunchangon3,270MW500kV
Hlaingtharyar Kunchangon
230kV
2030 N-1
1 2
2021 2030 6.7-8
6.7-9

6 - 49

6.7-8
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53

Substation A
Hlawga 500
Hlaingtharyar 500
Shweli-3
Mansan 500
Baluchaung 500
Namsan 500
Baluchang 500
Thaketa 500
Gawlan
WuWoneKyue
Hkan Kawn
Tongxingqiao
Shweli-3
Kunlong
Bawgata
Kyauktan
Naopha, Mantong
Hinthada
Thaton
Middle Yeywa
Keng Ton
So Lue
Wan Ta Pin
Natabat
Nam Kha
Lawngdin
Thazi
Ayeyarwady
Upper Sedawgyi
Namtu
Mong Young
Tanintharyi
Hlaingtharyar
Shwesaryan
Hlaingtharyar
Dala
Hlaingtharyar
Thilawa
Thilawa
Shwesaryan
Athoke
Phayargyi(Kamarnat)
Sitaung
Balin
Thaton
Mawlamyaing
Ye
Athoke
Athoke
Kunchangon
Tarbin(1)
Keng Yang
He kou

20212030 3132kV
Substation B
Hlaingtharyar 500
Kunchangon
Waingmaw
Shweli-3
Namsan 500
Mansan 500
Thaketa 500
Hlawga 500
WuWoneKyue
Hkan Kawn
Tongxingqiao
Chibwe
Shweli-2
Theinni
Tharyargone
Thilawa
Mansan
Myaungtagar
Pahan
Shwesaryan
Wan Ta Pin
Keng Tong
Kyine Ton
Waingmaw
Mine Pann
WuSauk
Thapyaywa
Kyaiklat
Shweli-3
Upper Yeywa
Namsan
Dawei
Bayintnaung
Myaukpyin
Shwelinpan
Kyaiklat
Kyaiklat
Thanlyin
Thida
Belin
Pathein
Sitaung
Balin
Thaton
Mawlamyaing
Ye
Dawei
Hlaingtharyar
Hinthada
Ahlone
Tarbin-2
Minewa(Mong Wa)
Minewa(Mong Wa)

Voltage
Level
(kV)
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
230
132
132
132

Length
Mile

km

9.0
35.0
261.0
93.0
186.0
186.0
212.0
37.0
30.0
10.0
20.0
40.0
20.0
53.0
20.0
10.0
50.0
80.0
25.0
31.0
28.0
25.0
22.0
40.0
32.0
9.0
15.0
31.0
31.0
6.0
12.0
20.0
7.0
16.0
19.0
13.0
30.0
6.0
15.0
17.0
40.0
37.0
31.0
31.0
48.0
82.0
50.0
71.0
80.0
30.0
5.0
31.0
40.0

14.5
56.3
420.0
149.7
299.3
299.3
341.2
59.6
48.3
16.1
32.2
64.4
32.2
85.3
32.2
16.1
80.5
128.8
40.2
49.9
45.1
40.2
35.4
64.4
51.5
14.5
24.1
49.9
49.9
9.7
19.3
32.2
11.3
25.8
30.6
20.9
48.3
9.7
24.1
27.4
64.4
59.6
49.9
49.9
77.3
132.0
80.5
114.3
128.8
48.3
8.1
49.9
64.4

6 - 50

No. of circuit

Conductor Type

Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Triple
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Single
Double
Single
Single
Single
Double
Double
Single
Single
Single
Double
Single
Double
Single
Double
Double
Double
Double
Double
Single
Single
Single
Single
Triple
Single
Single
Single

795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
795MCM (Drake)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
60 MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)
605MCM (Duck)

No. of
conductors
/Phase
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

6.7-9

20212030 3

Hlawga

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

Substation
Rated Capacity
(MVA)
2000

Thaketa

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1500

Hlaingtharyar (Ext;)

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1000

Mansan

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1500

Baluchaung

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1000

Namsan

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1500

Kunchangon

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

2000

Waingmaw (Ext;)

500 / 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1000

Shweli-3

500/ 230/ 33

500/ 500/ 166

1000

10

Thaton (Ext;)

230 / 66

100

200

No

Name of Substation

Voltage Level
(kV)

Transformer Rated Capacity


(MVA)

No. of
Transformer

11

Myin Gyan (Ext;)

230 / 33

80

80

12

Pahan

230 / 66

50

50

13

LaungLone

230 / 33

100

200

14

Kamarnat

230 / 33

100

100

15

MyaukOo

230 / 66

100

100

16

Pathein (Ext;)

230 / 66

100

100

17

Naypyidaw

230 / 33

100

100

18

Meikhtila (Thapyaywa)

230 / 33

100

200

19

Myaukpyin

230 / 33

100

200

20

Shwesaryan (Ext;)

230 / 33

100

200

21

Shwemyo (Ext;)

230 / 33

100

300

22

Thida

230 / 66 / 11

300/ 200/ 100

900

23

Kyaikkasan

230 / 66 / 11

300/ 200/ 100

900

24

Okkalapa

230 / 66 / 11

300/ 200/ 100

900

25

Pyin-O-Lwin (Ext;)

132 / 33

50

100

26

Myin Gyan (Ext;)

132 / 66

60

60

27

Aungpinle (Ext;)

132 / 33

100

200

28

Sesaing

132 / 66

60

60

29

Nyaungbingyi (Ext;)

132 / 33

50

100

30

Industry Zone

132 / 33

100

200

6 - 51

6.8

2030
2030 8,500MW
60%

500kV 230kV
5,600MW 50%
230kV 2,800MW 500kV
5,700MW6,000MVA
1 500MVA 4 3
230kV 1
300MVA 2 15

2
500kV

6.8-1

Schematic diagram of power system plan in Yangon


1st 500kV Route

2nd 500kV Route

Legend

500kV
Outer Link

500kV T/L
230kV T/L
500kV S/S
230kV S/S
Thermal P/S

From West
(future)

From East
(future)

Large scale
Thermal P/S

Large scale
Thermal P/S

6.8-1

6 - 52

500kV 500kV 230kV


6.8-2

Power system plan in Yangon (at Y2030)


To Taungoo

Phayargyi
Myaungtagar
Kamarnat

EDG

Hlawga
Athoke
Shwelinpan

Okkalapa
Kyaikasan

Hlaingtharyar
Bayintnaung
Thaketa

Legend

Ahlone
500kV T/L
Thida
Kyaiklat

Thanlyin
230kV T/L

Dala

500kV S/S
230kV S/S

Kunchangon
Thilawa

Thermal P/S

Ayeyarwady
Kyauktan

6.8-2

6 - 53

6.9

6.9.1

2
Dapein-1 240MW
Shweli-1 600MW

JVJoint Venture
500kV 220kV
50%90%

6.9.2

JV/
BOTBuild Own and Operate
MOUMemorandum of UnderstandingMOAMemorandum
of Agreement

5.1%2012

2030

Greater Mekong Sub-region

6 - 54

ADBAsian Development Bank


GMS Regional Power Trade Coordination Committee
Regional Power Coordination Center

6 - 55

6.10

6.10.1

230kV
500kV Meikhtila Hlaingtharyar
Shweli-3 Kalewa

Shweli-3
500kV
2020

500kV

2030 3
500kV
2
Ayeyarwady Tanintharyi

6 - 56

6.10.2
(1)

(2)
6.9

(3)

2020

6 - 57

7.1

677,000 km2 5,141 2014


7 Region
7 State
Nay Pyi Taw Union Territory

7.1-1
District
Township

Town
Ward
:Village Tract

7.1-2
48.5% 328,139 km2 15.5%104,869 km2
0.6%4,059 km224.8%163,791 km2
9.5%64,274 km2

8001,000mm
3,8005,000mm

11,800 258 360 82 1,056 775


8 1
21 3 6 1

1 2014 5 (www.moecaf.gov.mm)

7-1

40 26 49 125
2004 16 IA
Critically Endangered

34 IB
Endangered

75 Vulnerable
2

7.1-1

2 Myanmar National Environmental Performance Assessment Report by NCEA (National Commission for Environmental Affairs), 2011

7-2

7.1-2

Generic Mapping Tools

7-3

4 7.1-3
7.1-1
Ayeyarwady River
Chindwin River
Sittoung River
Thanlwin River
Malikha River Me Hka River

2,800 m 320,000 km2


53%
42%
5%
ThanlwinSalween

River Basins in Myanmar


There are Four Major Rivers
1. Ayeyarwady River

2,210 km

2. Chindwin River

900 km

3. Sittoung River

320 km

4. Thanlwin River

1,224 km

Besides four main rivers, coastal


streams in the
1. Rakhine State
2. Thanintharyi Region

7.1-3

7-4

7.1-1
No.

Name of Principal River Basin

Catchment Area
Length (km)
(000sq-km)

Annual Surface
Water (km3)

Upper Ayeyarwady River

1,310

193.30

227.920

Lower Ayeyarwady River

690

95.60

85.800

Chindwin River

900

115.30

141.293

Sittoung River

320

48.10

81.148

Thanlwin River
(from Myanmar boundary to its mouth)

1,224

158.00

257.918

Rivers in Rakhine State

58.30

139.245

Rivers in Tanintharyi Division

40.60

130.927

Mekong River
(within Myanmar territory)

350

28.60

17.634

737.80

1,081.885

Total

Water Quality Management at River Basin in Myanmar 2011 from presentation material
by Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, Irrigation Department, Hydrology Branch

Major ethnic
group
1. Kachin

2. Kayah

3. Kayin

11

4. Chin

53

5. Mon

6. Bamar

8. Rakhine

9. Shan

33

135

Total

7-5

Composition
( tribes)
12

135

7.2

7.2.1

Environmental Conservation Law,


2012 2012 4 1

14








NGONon-Governmental Organizations

7
5

6
7
EIAEnvironmental Impact Assessment


MOECAF Ministry of Environmental
Conservation and ForestEIA EIA
7

7-6

Environmental Conservation Rules 2014 5

7.2.2

1992
Reserved Forest
Protected Public Forest
1994

(1) Forest Law, 1992


1902 Forest Act 1902 3
4
5
Reserved ForestProtected Public Forest
Protected Forest 162,507 km2 3
5

commercial reserved forest

local supply reserved forest

watershed or catchments protection reserved forest

environment and bio-diversity conservation reserved forest

other categories of reserved forest


4

(2) Protection of Wildlife and Conservation of Natural Area Law, 1994


Wild Life Protection Act, 1936

3 Myanmar Forestry Statistics 20122001-02 to 2010-11

7-7

7
International Union for Conservation of Nature
35 Protected
Areas 42,000 km2 4 2009 8

Scientific Reserve0
National Park2
Marine National Park1
Nature Reserve1
Wildlife Sanctuary26
Geo-physically Significant Reserve0
other Nature Reserve5
0.5 km2Lawkananda Wildlife Sanctuary 22,000 km2Hukaung
Valley WildlifeHukaung Valley Wildlife 44%

6,400 km2 Hukaung Valley


1,000 km2 70% 930 km2

43 7.2-1 7.2-1

completely protected species


normally protected species
seasonally protected species

4 Myanmar Protected Areas 2011 by BANCA

7-8

7.2-1
ID
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

Site Name
Alaungdaw Kathapa
Bawditataung
Bumhpabum
Chatthin
Hlawga
Hponkanrazi
Htamanthi
Hukaung Valley
Hukaung Valley (Extension)
Indawgyi Lake
Inlay Lake
Kahilu
Kelatha
Khakaborazi
Kyaikhtiyoe
Kyauk-Pan-Taung
Lampi Island
Lawkananda
Lenya
Lenya (Extension)
Loimwe
Maharmyaing
Mainmahla Kyun
Minsontaung
Minwuntaung
Moscos Island
Moyingyi Wetland
Mulayit
Natma Taung
Panlaung-Pyadalin Cave
Parasar (Par Sar)
Pidaung
Popa
Pyin-O-Lwin
Rakhine Yoma Elephant Range
Shinpinkyetthauk
Shwesettaw
Shwe-U-Daung
Tanintharyi
Tanintharyi
Taunggyi
Thamihla Kyun
Wenthtikan

43
National Designation

Status

National Park
Nature Reserve
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Park
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
National Park
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Marine National Park
Wildlife Sanctuary
National Park
National Park
Protected Area
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Bird Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
National Park
Wildlife Sanctuary
Protected Area
Wildlife Sanctuary
Mountain Park
Bird Sanctuary
Wildlife Reserve
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
National Park
Nature Reserve
Bird Sanctuary
Wildlife Sanctuary
Bird Sanctuary

Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Proposed
Proposed
Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Proposed
Designated
Designated
Designated
Designated

7-9

Establishment
Year
1989
2008
2004
1941
1989
2003
1974
2004
2004
2004
1985
1928
1942
1998
2001
2001
1996
1995
2002
2004
1996
2002
1993
2001
1972
1927
1988
1936
1997
2002
1996
1918
1989
1918
2002
2006
1940
1918
2002
2005
1930
1970
1939

Area (km2)
1597.62
72.52
1854.43
269.36
6.24
2703.95
2150.73
6371.37
15431.16
814.99
641.90
160.56
23.93
3812.46
156.23
132.61
204.84
0.47
1761.19
1398.59
42.84
1180.39
136.69
22.60
205.88
49.19
103.60
138.54
722.61
333.80
77.02
122.08
128.54
127.25
1755.7
71.9
552.7
325.95
2071.81
1699.99
16.06
0.88
4.40

7.2-1

43

7 - 10

7.2.3

(1) Conservation of Water Resources and Rivers Law, 2006

8 9
11 13 14 22 24



Directorate of Water Resources and Improvement of River Systems

(2)
Protection and Preservation of Cultural Heritage Regions Law, 1998
20

7 - 11





Cultural Herigate Region
ancient monumental zone
ancient site zone
protected and preserved zone
(3)

Director NGO 53
Environmental Standard Sub-Committee
1
EIA
International Finance Corporation

7.2.4

(1)
2008 37 (a)

LeaseholdLicense
Freehold

5 Guidance Notes on Land Isues, 2010 by UNHABITAT, UNHCR Legal Review of Recently Enacted Farmland Law and Vacant, Fallow
and Virgin Lands Management Law, 2012 by Food Security Working Groups Land Core Group JICA

7 - 12

(2)
2008
1953 1996 1984 1992
2012

Constitution of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, 2008


Land Nationalization Act, 1953
Land Nationalization Rules, 1954
The Disposal of Tenancies Law, 1963
The Agriculturists Rights Protection Law, 1963
The Law Amending the Disposal of Tenancies Law, 1965
Land Acquisition Act, 1894
Transfer of Immovable Property Restriction Act, 1947 (repealed)
Transfer of Immovable Property Restriction Law, 1987
Registration Act
The Lower Burma Land Revenue Manual, 1876
The Upper Burma Land and Revenue Regulation, 1889
The Lower Burma Town and Village Land Manual, 1899
Development Committee Law, 1993
Forest Law, 1992
Cantonments Act
Duties and Rights of the Central Committee for Cultivate Land, Fallow Land and Waste Land and
Procedures, 1991
Duties and Rights of the Peoples Council and Executive Committees, 1977
The State Laws and Order Restoration Councils Law No.8/88
Farmland Law, 2012.03.30
Vacant Fallow and Virgin land Management Law, 2012.03.30
(3)
freehold land
permit landgrant landlicense landsquatter

7 - 13

11
a)

Freehold Land

b)

Grant Land

10 30 90

c)

Agricultural Land

1953

La Na 39
the 1953 Land
Nationalization Act Article No 39
State/Region Peace and Development Council
MOAIMinistry of Agriculture and Irrigation
LaNa 39

d)

Garden Land

e)

Grazing Land
1953

f)

Cultivable Land, Fallow Land and Waste Land


30

g)

Forest Land
1992 Reserved Forest Protected Public Forest
Land at the disposal

7 - 14

h)

Town Land
Freehold LandGrant Land

i)

Village Land

j)

Cantonments

k)

Monastery
MOHAMinistry of Home Affairs

(4)
a)

TownshipSettlement and Land Records Department


Township Peace and Development Council

b)

land tenure arrangementsVillage Tract Peace


and Development Council Chairman

(5)
1894 The Land Acquisition Act
1894 1947

1894 5
i)

ii)

iii)

7 - 15

iv)

v)

6
townshipdistrict or ministry concerned

7.2-2
7.2-2
No.

1.

2.

30

3.

4.

4-1

4-2

Award Committee

4-3

4-4

5.

1984JICA 2013 JICA

any officer specially appointed by the President of the Union

7 - 16

7.2.5

EIA

(1) EIA
2012EIA EIA
ECDEnvironmental Conservation Department
EIA Draft of EIA Procedure 4 2014

EIA 15 EIA

Procedure Preparation Team ADBAsian


Development Bank 4
JICAJapan International Cooperation Agency
NGO Public Consultation 2013 7 2

EIA 8 109 7
3
EIA
Environmental Compliance Certificate
5 ECCEnvironmental Conservation Committee
EIA EIA Report Review Body

53 EIA

7 Draft of Environmental Impact Assessment Procedure 2013 11 JICA

7 - 17

55 EIA

56 EIA
a) EIA EIA
b) EIA

c)
d) EIA EIA

67 IEEInitial Environmental Examination EIA

(2)
EIA 17 Annex 1: Project
Categorization for Assessment Purposes IEE EIA
7.2-3

7.2-3

IEE EIA

Type of Economic Activity

Hydro Power Plants

IEE Type Economic Activities


Installed capacity
1 MW but < 15 MW and
Reservoir volume
< 20,000,000 m3 and
Reservoir area < 400 ha

Nuclear Power Plants

EIA Type Economic Activities


Installed capacity
15 MW or
Reservoir volume
20,000,000 m3 or
Reservoir area 400 ha
All sizes

Natural Gas or Bio Gas Power Plants

5 MW but < 50 MW

50 MW.

Coal-fired Power Plants

< 10 MW

10 MW

Thermal Power Plants other than the types

5 MW but < 50 MW

50 MW

Wind Power Plants

1 MW but < 50 MW

50 MW

Geothermal Facilities

1 MW but < 50 MW

50 MW

Solar Power Plants

1 MW but < 5 MW

5 MW or 100 ha

Electrical Power Transmission Lines < 230kV < 50 km

50 km

Electrical Power Transmission Lines 230kV

All sizes

High Voltage Transformer Substations

< 10 ha
7 - 18

10 ha

EIA

(i)

(ii)

(iii)

(iv)

(v)

(vi)

(vii)

(viii)
(ix)

(x)

(xi)

(xii)

EIA SIASocial Impact Assessment


EIA
2014 5

7.2.6

(1)
1992 5 Ministry of Forestry
2008
2011 9 6
2012

7 - 19

EIA

(2)

PSDPlanning and Statistics Department

FDForest Department

DZGDDry Zone Greening Department

MTEMyanma Timber Enterprise

ECDEnvironmental Conservation Department


EIA
SDSurvey Department

(3)
2012 9 4 Division
EIA
EIA EIA 7.2-2

7 - 20

EIA
-

- EIA EIA

EIA

7 - 21

(4) EIA

EIA 5 ECC EIA


EIA Report Review BodyEIA
EIA EIA
EIA ECC

34 2013 6 2013 11 1
EIA 4

MOECAF

(PSD)

(FD)

(DZGD)

(MTE)

(SD)

(ECD)

EIA

EIA

7.2-2

7 - 22

7.3

SEAStrategic Environmental Assessment

7.3.1

SEA

(1) JICA 2010 SEA


JICA 2010
(a) SEA
PolicyPlanProgram

OECDOrganization for Economic Co-operation and Development


DACDevelopment Assistance CommitteeApplying Strategic
Environmental Assessment: good practice guidance for development cooperation2006

Analytical and participatory approach that aims to integrate environmental


considerations into policies, plans and programs and evaluate the inter linkages with
economic and social considerations.OECDDAC(2006)
(b) SEA

(c) SEA

SEA 2007

SEA project
strategic

7 - 23

(2) SEA
SEA
SEA
8
(a)
(b) EIA
(c)

SEA
b)

(3) SEA
SEA 9
(a)
(b)
(c)

(d)
(e)
(f)

(4) 10
3 Ppolicyplanprogram

(a)
(b)
8 2000 JICA
9 OECDDAC Applying Strategic Environmental Assessment: good practice guidance for development cooperation2006
JICA
10 2000 JICA

7 - 24

5
(c)

(d)
a)c)
d)

b)

7.3.2

SEA EIA

SEA

EIA
7.3-1 SEA EIA

7 - 25

7.3-1 SEA EIA


SEA

EIA

7.3.3

SEA

(1) JICA 2010

JICA 2010 JICA


SEA
SEA

Myitsone 6,000MW Dawei


4,000MW NGO

EIA

SEA
2030 80

7 - 26

SEA

(2)
MOEPMinistry of Electric PowerSEA
SEA DEPDepartment
of Electric PowerDirector General SEA
JICA SEA
SEA SEA
3 3 SEA

SEA

SEA
1 2

NPEDMinistry
of National Planning and Economic DevelompentMOEMinistry of Energy
3
SEA 1.6

FREDANEPSResource and Environment Myanmar NGO

7 - 27

7.4

SEA

7.4.1

(1) SEA
SEA a)

b)

SEA
SEA
11

SEA
(2)
SEA

SEA EIA
SEA
7.3.1 (3)

(3)

11 Strategic Environmental Assessment in World Bank Operations, May 2002

7 - 28

F/SFeasiblity StudyD/DDetailed Design

EIA F/SD/D
EIA
7.4.2

SEA
SEA

12
(a)

(b)

(c)
(d)

SEA

SEA

(a)
(b)
SEA
JICA 2010

12 2000 2

7 - 29

SEA 2007

SEA
SEA
SEA
(a) SEA

(b) SEA
SEA
(c) SEA

7.4.3

SEA
SEA

1)

2)

(a)
(b)
(c)

3)

4)

5)

6)

7)

8)

9)

7 - 30

7.5

SEA

7.5.1

2030

2030

7.5.2

(1) SEA

(2)

JICA EIA

7 - 31

JICA SEA

7.5-1

7.5-1

(a)
(b)

(c)
(1)

(d)


(e)
(f)

(g)
(h)
(a)
(b)

(c)

(d)
(2)

(e)
(f)


(g)
(h)
(i)
(j)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(a)

(a)

(a)


(b)
(a)

7 - 32

(7)

(c)

(d)
(e)

(f)

(8)

(a)

(b)

(c)

(9)

(b)

(a)

(a) SOxNOx

(b)

(a)

(b)

(10)

(c)

(d)

(e)

(f)
(11)

(a)
(b)

(a)
(12)
(b)
(13)

1 JICA JICA
2

7 - 33

(3)

7.5-2

7.5-2

Possible

Possible

Possible

Likely
large scale
Likely
large scale
Likely water quality
degradation by reservoir

Possible

Possible

Possible

Reduction of run off in


some river section

unlikely

Possibly from coal


storage and ash disposal

none

none

NOx

SPM , SOx, NOx

None

CO2

Relatively
large amount of CO2

Middle load
Base load

Peak load
Middle load

Mainly base load

None. If timber remain


in reservoir, CH4 likely
Peak load
Middle load

SPMSuspended Particle Matter

(4)
SOx/NOx
BODBiochemical Oxygen Demand CO2

SEA EIA EIA


F/S

7 - 34

SEA

Type of scheme, e.g. reservoir, poundage, run-off-river


Height of dam (m)
Inundated area of reservoir (km2)
Catchment area (km2)
Predicted number of resettlement families (families)
Existence of ethnic group / minority group in the project area (yes/no)
Project is located in Protected Areas ? (yes/no, type of designated area)
Existence of rare / designated species in project area (yes/no, name of species)
SOxNOx
deSOx
deNOx

CO2
CO2
(5)

F/S
F/S

F/S

1,000MW

7 - 35

1,000MW Shweli 3
1,050MW
7.5.3

8,000

Installed Capasity (MW)

7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000

Main River
Tributary

3,000
2,000
1,000
0

200
400
600
Reservoir Area (km2)
7.5-1

800

8,000

Installed Capacity (MW)

7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000

Main River
Tributary

3,000
2,000
1,000
0

0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
Reservoir Volume / Dam height (M m3/m)
7.5-2

7 - 36

7.5.3

(1)

5
SEA

(a)

(b) 1

(c) 2
20132030
(d) 3

(e)

(2)

(a)

(b)

7 - 37

(c)

3 1.5
(i)

(ii)
(iii) 15,000kW 52%
(iv) 7,000kW 24%
(v) 3,000kW 10%
(vi) 4,000MW
14%

2030
7.5-3
7.5-3

1) 1
MW

24,295
9,471
4,986
2,760
2,000
43,512

2) 2

MW

55.8
21.8
11.5
6.3
4.6
100

3) 3

24,295
9,471
2,484
5,030
2,000
43,280

MW

56.1
21.9
5.7
11.6
4.6
100

2,825
9,525
4,758
7,940
2,000
27,047

4)

MW
10.4
35.2
17.6
29.4
7.4

100

0
15,000
7,000
4,000
3,000
29,000

0
51.7
24.1
13.8
10.4

100

20132030

JVA
Upper Thanlwin (Kunlong)
Naopha, Mantong 2

LNG*1 HSD*2

2030 14,542MW 30%

*1 LNGLiquid Natural Fuel


*2 HSDHigh Speed Diesel

7 - 38

7.5.4

13 7.5-1

(1)
V

7.5.2 (5) 1,000MW


4

Myitsone 2011 9
297km2
7 EIA

Myitsone
2015

Mongton Tasang 14,000


F/S Kunlong
60

Mongton Ywathit
2

3
2013 9 23
Tamanthi Shwezaye

7 - 39

"For instance in Tamanthi and Shwezaye, when we know that the large area will be underneath of
water according to F/S, Myanmar side made the suspension the project."

(2)
40% 25% 15%

(3)
7.1
11,800 300 360 1,000
38 39 21 45

V
Myitsone 7

Hukaung Valley

7 - 40

(4)
7.2 EIA

EIA
(5)

SPMSuspended Particle MatterSOxNOx

Dawei
4,000MW
SEZSpecial Economic Zone U Aye Myint
SEZ
CCTClean Coal Technology
13

(6)
CO2
CO2
CO2 g- CO2/kWh/year

CO2 2009
7.5-4
2 CO2

13 2013/12/10/ The VOICE JICA

7 - 41

7.5-4

CO2
1)
(g-CO2/kWh)

2)
(g-CO2/kWh)

(g-CO2/kWh)

---

11

11

3)

341

89

430

4)

810

71

881

---

38

38

1)
2)
3)
4)

LNG 1,500C
600C
CO2 2010

7.5.5

7.5.2 7.5-2

(1)
i)

ii)

iii)

7 - 42

(2)
i)

SOxNOx

ii)

iii)

7.5-6

108,000MW
45,490MW 1,000MW
28,295MW 1 2 3
2,825MW 9,525MW 12,350MW
15,000MW
3 7,940MW

7 - 43

7.5-5

2
IPP*

14

SOxNOx

CH4 CO2

SOxNOx

SOxNOx

13
9
3 F/S 4 EIA
2 F/S 3 EIA

6
4

108,000MW IPP

45,490MW 1,000MW
7,940MW 2030
28,295MW

JVA Myitsone Thanintharyi Dawei 4,000MW

6,000MW

CCT
2011

Tamanthi 1,200MW Shwezaye 660MW

Mawlaik520MW

1
2JICA
*IPPIndependent Power Producer
14

7 - 44

7.5.6

(1)

15

7.5.2

2030 80

7.5-1 13
(2)

1 2

3
15 UK Department for Transport, Local Government and the Regions,Multi Criteria Analysis 2001

7 - 45

(3)
SOxNOx

7.5-1 7.5-2 NGO

JICA

AA
A
B
C
(4)

NGO

abc a
c

7.5-6

7 - 46

7.5-6

(1)

AA

AA

(6)

AA

(7)

AA

AA

(10)

(11)

(12)

(13)

AA

(2)
1

(3)
(4)

(5)

(8)
(9)
3

1 AAABC JICA
AA:
A
B
C
2 abc JICA
a
b
c

(5)
7.5-5 AA=10A=8B=5C=2
a=10b=5c=2

JICA
7.5-7

7 - 47

7.5-7

(1)

(1)



(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)

10

10

10

10

1.6

10

0.4

0.4

10

(5)

10

10

10

(6)

10

(7)

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

(10)

10

1.6

1.6

(11)

2.5

10

(12)

0.4

10

10

10

10

(2)
(3)
(4)

(8)

(9)

(13)

(4)

54.8

25.0

23.7

51.0

(5)

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

1) 7.5-6 0
10 JICA
AA=10A=8B=5C=2a=10b=5c=2=0
2) (3)(3) = (1) (2) / 10 10
3) (4)(3)
4) (5) (4) 13
10 (5) = (4) / 13

7 - 48

7.5.7

(1)

7 - 49

(2)
(a)
4

2030
7.5-8 7.5-9 7.5-3
7.5-4

i)

ii)

iii)

iv)

3
1 2

(b)

7 - 50

LNG HSD

SOxNOx
CO2 USCUltra
Super CriticalCCT

7.5-8

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

0.0

(MW)
(2)

24,295

9,471

4,986

2,760

2,000

43,512

1 (3)

55.8%

21.8%

11.5%

6.3%

4.6%

100%

(4)

1.02

0.18

0.09

0.11

0.0

1.41

(MW)
(2)

24,295

9,471

2,484

5,030

2,000

43,280

2 (3)

56.1%

21.9%

5.7%

11.6%

4.6%

100%

(4)

1.02

0.18

0.05

0.20

0.0

1.45

(MW)
(2)

2,825

9,524

4,758

7,940

2,000

27,047

3 (3)

10.4%

35.2%

17.6%

29.4%

7.4%

100%

(4)

0.12

0.18

0.09

0.31

0.0

0.70

(MW)
(2)

15,000

7,000

4,000

3,000

29,000

0.0%

51.7%

24.1%

13.8%

10.3%

100%

0.0

0.29

0.13

0.16

0.0

0.57

(1)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

2.4

2,5

1.2

1(1) 7.5-6
(2) 5 2030

2 (4) 100,000
(1) (2)/100,000
3

7 - 51

1.4

30

1.2

25

20

0.8

15

0.6

10

0.4

0.2

7.5-3

7.5-9

Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal
Renewable
Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal

35

(GW)

1.6

40

(GW)

1.8

45

(GW)

50

(GW)

(GW)

JICA 3

7 - 52

Unit Cost (2030)


(Power Resources Balance Scenario Index = 1)
1.2

1.08
1
1

0.9

0.87

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
Domestic Scenario1
Energy Consumption

Least Cost
Scenario2

Power Resources
Scenario 3Balance

Environmental Consideration
Environmental
Consideration

Note: Unit cost is computed at 2013 level on each power sources unit cost and annual energy production.

7.5-4

7.5.8

(1)

(2)

7 - 53

AA

SOxNOx
AA A

AA=10A=8B=5C=2
a=10b=5c=2

(3)
4.2 3.9

4.2 3.9 3.9 4.2

7 - 54

7.5-10
7.5-5
7.5-10

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

0.0

---

---

3.9

1.9

1.8

4.2

0.0

---

---

1.02

0.18

0.09

0.11

0.0

1.41

2.4

0.95

0.18

0.09

0.12

0.0

1.34

2.2

1.02

0.18

0.05

0.20

0.0

1.45

2.5

0.95

0.18

0.05

0.21

0.0

1.39

2.3

0.12

0.18

0.09

0.31

0.0

0.70

1.2

0.11

0.19

0.09

0.33

0.0

0.73

1.2

0.0

0.29

0.13

0.16

0.0

0.57

0.0

0.29

0.13

0.17

0.0

0.58

30

1.2

25

20

0.8

15

0.6

10

0.4

0.2

1.4

(GW)

35

1.6

(GW)

1.8

40

45

(GW)

50

(GW)

(GW)

1.0

Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal
Renewable
Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal

7.5-5
7 - 55

7.5.9

(1) CO2
CO2
CO2 g-CO2/kWh/year
CO2
CO2 7.5.4 (6) 7.5-4

1 5,579 ton-CO2/y 2 6,132 ton-CO2/y


3 34,495 ton-CO2/y 25,671 ton-CO2/y
CO2 5
7.5-11 2030 CO2 7.5-12
7.5-11

2030


(GW) (%) (GWh)

(%)


(GW) (%) (GWh)

(%)

(GW)


(%) (GWh)

(%)

(GW)


(%) (GWh)

(%)

33.8

78

77,551

88

33.8

78

77,551

88

12.3

46 36,205

41

15.0

52

40,563

46

5.0

11

3,827

4.4

2,5

2,601

3.0

4.8

18 19,468

22

7.0

24

27,843

32

2.7

3,367

5.0

12

4,594

7.9

29 29,072

33

4.0

14

14,850

17

2.0

2,978

2.0

2,978

2.0

2,978

3.0

10

4,468

43.5

100

87,727

100

43.3

100

87,727

100

27.0

100 87,276

100

29.0

100

87,724

100

1 50%

2
3 5 2030

7 - 56

7.5-12

CO2 2030

CO2

(t-CO2)
(GWh)

CO2

(g-CO2
/kWh)

11

77,551

853

77,551

853

36,205

398

40,563

446

430

3,827

1,646

2,601

1,118

19,468

8,371

27,843

11,973

881

3,367

2,967

4,594

4,047

29,072

25,613

14,850

13,083

38

2,978

113

2,978

113

2,978

113

4,468

170

87,727

5,579

87,727

6,132

87,276

34,495

87,724

25,671

(GWh)

CO2

(t-CO2)

(GWh)

CO2

(t-CO2)

(GWh)

CO2

(t-CO2)

1
CO2
2 7.5.7

(2)
CO2

(3) 16
CO2
CO2

3 CO2

4.0GW 14,850 GWh


3 7.9GW
29,072GWh
16 CO2 5.3-21

7 - 57

CO2 25,671 t-CO2 3


34,495 t-CO2
1 2

CO2
CO2 2030 3 34,495 t-CO2

CO2 9.0 mill.t-CO22010 17


7.5.10

3 1
2
7.5.11

17 World Bank Data Indicators

7 - 58

2 SEA
(1)

1)

i)

ii)

iii)

iv)

(a)
i)

ii)

(b)
i)

ii)

USC

(c)
i)

ii)

iii)
7 - 59

iv)
(d)

i)

ii)

iii)
iv)

v)

(e)

i)

F/S

ii)
(f)

i)

ii)

IPP

2)

7 - 60

F/S

3)

F/S

EIA

7 - 61

(2)
F/S EIA

1) Avoid
2) Minimize
3) Rectify
4) Reduce
5)

Compensate

1)
2) 5)

F/S EIA

1)

(a)

i)

ii)

iii)
iv)
v)

vi)
vii)

7 - 62

viii)
ix)
x)

(b)

i)

ii)

iii)
iv)
v)

vi)
vii)

JICA 2010
Box 7-1 ADB
Box 7-2

7 - 63

Box 7-1
1
JICA

2
JICA

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

JICA 2010 4 JICA

7 - 64

Box 7-2

1.

2.

3.

4.

NGO

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

ADB JICA

7 - 65

2)

(a)

F/S

(b)

Box 7-3

7 - 66

Box 7-3 Example of Watershed Management Outline


1,

Vision

To achieve balance between protection and development in the watershed, using


appropriate land use systems and soil conservation measures

2,

Objectives

*Protection of natural resource


*Uplifting the living standards

3,

Milestones

*Establishment of administration
*Identification critical areas
*Implementation Strategies for conservation activities
*Training program

4,

Possible project activities

*Planting - In public places, Buffer zone, Desert area


*On-farm conservation
*Stream reservation
*Drain pitch improvement
*Road improvement
*Home garden development
*Other physical soil conservation
*Water quality improvement
*Improvement of sanitation
*Training for watershed management

5,

Budget by the proponent

*Project administration
*Vehicles, equipments & tools
*Field activities

6,

Organization

*PMO - Environment Management Office - Field Manager


*Monitoring Committee
(Note) Prepared by the Study Team

3)

(a)
SEA

Safeguard

7 - 67

(b) 2
2NT2Nam Theun 2
NT2 2010 4 30
1,070 MW 995 MW EGAT 18 75 MW
20MW 4,000 km2
450 km2 39m
NT2
Nakai Nam Theun 31

17 6,300

1
2
800US$ 1,200US$
i)
13 US$ 9% 1.2 US$ii) 1 US$ 1%
100 US$ 25
NT2 Box 7-4

18 EGATElectricity Generating Authority of Thailand

7 - 68

Box 7-4 The Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project


The Nam Theun 2 (NT2) hydropower project in central Laos is jointly implemented by the NT2 Power Company (NTPC) and
the Lao Government and supported by financing from 27 parties including the World Bank and Asian Development Bank.
The NT2 was identified in the 1980s and a concession contract between the NTPC and the Lao Government was signed in
October 2002. The NT2 was approved on March 31, 2005 by the International Development Association (IDA) and the
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of World Bank group. The commercial operations date (COD) took place
on April 30, 2010. The 25-year concession period of the project extends till 2035.
NT2 enables Laos to export 995 MW of electric power to the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) from the
installed capacity of 1,070 MW. The project also uses 75 MW of capacity to supply electricity for domestic use in Laos.
NT2 is a trans-basin diversion power plant that uses 220 mer/s of water from the Nam Theun River and releases the water into
the Xe Bang Fai River. It stretches from the Nakai Plateau to the lower Xe Bang Fai River confluence with the Mekong. The
main features of the project include:
39 m-height and 436 m-length gravity dam on the Nam Theun River.
450 km2 reservoir area with 3,530milion m3 capacity in the 4,039 kmr watershed
a powerhouse (from which water would flow into the Xe Bang Fai).
a 130-km-long, double-circuit 500-kV transmission line to the Thai grid.
NT2 is designed as a build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) project. The 1.3 billion USD construction is effectively complete.
The nominal income is estimated 30 million USD per year during the first ten years and about 110 million USD per year from
2020 to 2034. Over the 25-year period after the COD, the Lao Government would receive $1.7 billion of undiscounted
revenue in taxes, royalties and dividends.
The NT2 Environment and Social Program and Revenue Management Arrangements function for long time through the
operations phase of the hydropower. The provisions of the costs for environmental mitigations are as follows.
20 million USD of IDA Grant for NT2 Social and Environment Project (NTSEP), which finances the Lao Governments
equity to be used for environmental impacts management
100 million USD in environmental expenditures to which the developer, the NT2 Power Company (NTPC), was
committed in the Concession Agreement.
1 million USD annually for Watershed Management and Protection Authority (WPMA), which will is provided by NTPC
through the 25 years concession period
In other words, 120 million USD of around 9 % of 1.3 billion USD total construction cost is used initially and 1 million USD
annually of around 1% of 110 million USD nominal income is used for long time period to carry out environment
management for resettlement, watershed area and local development.
NT2 has different components with environmental impacts. They are the Nakai Reservoir area with inundation impacts
including resettlement and land acquisition impacts and the downstream areas where less river runoff, sedimentation and
fishery impacts.
The flooded areas are not considered critical natural habitat. There used to be significant illegal logging in the protected areas.
Detailed fish surveys showed that there are no fish species living only in the stretch of the river that will be inundated. A
management plan for the Asian Elephants in the area has been drawn up.
WMPA carried out the watershed management as well as promotion of local development. The NT2 watershed management
program for protecting this 4,000km2 area of globally significant ecosystem and biodiversity is a key environmental benefit of
the NT2 project. It contributes significantly to the preservation of the area of valuable natural resources, including the Nakai
Nam Theun National Biodiversity Conservation Area. At the same time, providing basic services to the 31 villages inside the
watershed area promote the local development. Those activities are continuing challenges.
Meanwhile, 6,300 people from 17 villages moved from the NT2 reservoir on the Nakai Plateau to custom-built villages built
in consultation with the resettled communities. NTPC and the Lao Government have committed to doubling the income of
resettled villagers. This means that people should make the target of 1,200USD per household more than the poverty line of
800USD in Laos. Physical resettlement was almost completed in 2008 with community infrastructure and services.
Livelihood improvement of every resettler household is its resettlement objective. The Government has agreed with the World
Bank to implement a Poverty Reduction Fund. NT2 has a multi-layer environmental and social monitoring and evaluation
mechanism as well.

4)

CCT

(Note) The Study Team edited some articles of the World Bank

7 - 69

CCT

USC

CCT
3EEnergy Security
Environmental ProtectionEconomic Growth

(a)

(i)

SOx

(ii)
NOx 3
i)

ii)

iii)

NOx
NOx

(iii)

7 - 70

EPElectrostatic Precipitator

(iv)
SOx NOx

(v)

i)

ii)

(vi)

(b)
Sub-Critical 40%
SCSuper Critical 43% USC
45%USC 2014

7 - 71

7.6

7.6.1

(1)

Likely
large scale
Likely
large scale
Likely water quality
degradation by
reservoir

none
None. If timber remain
in reservoir, CH4 likely
Peak load
Middle load

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Reduction of run off


in some river section

unlikely

Possibly from coal


storage and ash
disposal

none

NOx

SPM , SOx, NOx

None

CO2

Relatively
large amount of CO2

Middle load
Base load

Peak load
Middle load

Mainly base load

(2)

i)

ii)

iii)

iv)

1 2

7 - 72

SOxNOx
CO2 USC CCT

7.6.2

SEA

SEA

EIA

SEA
SEA

7 - 73

(1)

(a)
(b)
i)

ii)

USC

(c)
(d)
i)

ii)

iii)
iv)

v)

(e)
i)

ii)
(f)

i)

ii)

7 - 74

(2)

F/S F/S
i)

ii)

iii)
iv)
v)

vi)
vii)
viii)
ix)
(3)

SOxNOx CO2 USC


CCT F/S

7 - 75

8.1

8.1.1

Capital expendituremaintenance cost


wage & salaries
Government Account

cross-subsidized

US cents/kWh

US cents/kWh
30

2.5

R
25
R

2.0

I
20
1.5
I
I

15

10

1.0

R
I

I
I

R
I

0.5
5

0.0
Pakistan

Myanmar

Laos
(Vientiane)

Thailand
(Bangkok)

Philippines
(Manila)

Indonesia
(Jakarta)

Malaysia
(Kuala
Lumpur)

Vietnam
(Hanoi)

Cambodia
(Phnom Penh)

1R=Resident
I=Industrial
2
3 201kWh

2013Computed from LESCO customer service
(Reference on Sep.19, 2013)

8.1-1 2012

8-1

8.1-2 1 GDP

(US cents/kWh)
30
Phillipines

25
20

Cambodia

15
10

Pakistan

Vietnam

Indonesia

Thailand

Malaysia

Lao PDR
Myanmar

0
0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

GDP per capita

12,000
( US$)

41-500kWh peak 301-1,000kWh


GDPWorld Development Index 2011
2013

8.1-2

1 GDP

2000 2011 8.1-3


2000

8-2

US cents/kWh
6.50
<2011>
Vietnam 7th
Electricity Master
plan was ratified

6.00
<2003>
Presentation of a
Roadmap based on
the ADB proposal

5.50

5.34
5.00

4.50

5.05
4.76
4.60

4.63

2001

2002

6.06

<2006>
Electricity Law
(Prime Minister :
Decision 20)

5.02

4.96

5.10

5.69

5.68

5.34
<2007>
Establishment of
Competitive
Generation Market
was approved by
MOIT

<2004>
Electricity Law was
approved, came into
force

4.00
2000

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

8.1-3

2014 3 19 2014 4 1

8.1-1

2014 4 1

Kyat

Residential (General purpose, Domestic power, Street lighting, Bulk (Non business))
1. 1kWh ~ 100 kWh

35

2. 101kWh ~ 200kWh

40

3. 201kWh & above

50

Industrial (small power, Industry, Bulk (business), Temporary)


1. 1kWh ~ 500kWh

75

2. 501kWh ~ 10,000kWh

100

3. 10,001kWh ~ 50,000kWh

125

4. 50,001kWh ~ 200,000kWh

150

5. 200,001kWh ~ 300,000kWh

125

6. 300,001kWh & above

100

General purpose
Domestic power

2014 5

8-3

8.1-2 2014 4 1 ESEElectricity Supply Enterprise

8.1-2

Consumer Category

2010 4 1

General Purpose

Domestic Power

Small Power

200

Industrial

Bulk

Street Lightning

Temporary Lightning

200

2010 4 1
500

2013 9

1000
3
2000

1000
3
2000
C.T Meter
5000
3
2000
C.T Meter
5000
3
2000
C.T Meter
5000

200

C.T Meter

200

General purpose
Domestic power

1000
5000

2014 2
JICA

8.1-3(1)YESBYangon City Electricity Supply Board

8.1-3 (1)

Consumer Category

General Purpose

Domestic Power

Small Power

Industrial

Bulk

Street Lightning

Temporary Lightning

200
200
200

i.e.
500

3
3
C.T Meter
3
C.T Meter

200

General purpose
Domestic power

1000
2000
1000
2000
2000
5000
2000
5000

1000
2000

2014 2
JICA

8.1-32 2014 3 Slab


Domestic 58.84%Commercial 41.16%

8-4

8.1-3 (2)
No. of Consumer for 6/2014
Sr

Types

2.

Public

Government

Total

Domestic
1-100
101-200
Above 201

16.73%
11.63%
29.89%

8.10%
5.63%
48.71%

15.51%
10.78%
32.55%

Commercial
1-500
501-10,000
10,001-50,000
50,001-200,000
200,001-300,000
Above 300,001

7.63%
13.49%
9.60%
7.90%
1.47%
1.65%

1.45%
7.36%
12.43%
12.49%
1.57%
2.25%

6.75%
12.62%
10.00%
8.55%
1.49%
1.74%

100%

100%

100%

Total

8.1-4 2006 5
2012 1 25 Kyats/kWh 35 Kyats/kWh 2014 4

(Kyats)

(Kyats/kWh)
50

1,200

45
1,000

40
35

800

30
25

600
Tariff Rate
(Kyats/kWh)

20
15

400

Maintenance fee
(Kyats)

10

200

5
2014-May

2014-Jan

2013-Sep

2013-May

2013-Jan

2012-Sep

2012-May

2012-Jan

2011-Sep

2011-May

2011-Jan

2010-Sep

2010-May

2010-Jan

2009-Sep

2009-May

2009-Jan

2008-Sep

2008-Jan

2008-May

2007-Sep

2007-May

2007-Jan

2006-Sep

2006-May

2014 4 8.1-5

8.1-4

8-5

8.1-5 5 2 kWh
2012 1 500 Kyats/kWh
500 1,0001,500

(kWh)
600

Total Unit Consumed


(kWh)

500

Amount
(Kyats)

400

(Kyats)
25,000

20,000

15,000

300
10,000

200

5,000

100

2006-May
2006-Aug
2006-Nov
2007-Feb
2007-May
2007-Aug
2007-Nov
2008-Feb
2008-May
2008-Aug
2008-Nov
2009-Feb
2009-May
2009-Aug
2009-Nov
2010-Feb
2010-May
2010-Aug
2010-Nov
2011-Feb
2011-May
2011-Aug
2011-Nov
2012-Feb
2012-May
2012-Aug
2012-Nov
2013-Feb
2013-May
2013-Aug
2013-Nov
2014-Feb
2014-May

8.1-5

U Aung Khaing
Myanmar Ahlim, November 10, 2013

(A)
1)
2)
3)
(B)
1)
2)
3)

8-6

8.1.2

8.1-6 MEPEMyanma Electric Power Enterprise


MEPE
2006
2006

45

40

38.7

38.1
35.1

35

34.2
33.1
31.0
29.4

30
25.4

24.2

25

18.8

16.5

15

10

10.8 9.8

14.0
12.1
12.1

8.1

8.1
6.3

7.9
5

22.0

22.1 22.0

5.9

12.4

12.3

23.0

19.9 21.0
19.3

17.7

15.1

11.5
10.6

12.0

24.1
23.8

20.6

18.3

17.1

26.3

27.6
21.7

19.3

20

28.9

17.0

17.0

13.8

11.5

10.1

11.7

9.6

9.3 9.7 11.2 9.4


11.5
10.3
9.6
8.0
9.1
6.5
8.0
6.7
6.0

9.6
6.2

Laos

Thai

Phillipines

Malaysia

Indonesia

MEPE

YESB

2010-2011

2007-2008

2010-2011

2008-2009

2006-2007

2012-2013

2005-2006

2003-2004

2001-2002

1997-98

Vietnam

1999-2000

2009

2000

1990

1980

2010

2005

1995

1985

2009

2000

1990

1980

2010

2005

1995

1985

2010

2005

1995

1985

2009

2000

1990

1980

ESE

(Distribution loss only)

1EGATMeralcoTNBPLNEVN
2
World Development IndexEDL
2013 2013 2013

8.1-6

8.1-7 2007

8-7

()
45.0

40.0

35.0

30.0

25.0

38.7

38.7
38.1
35.1

38.7
38.1

38.1
35.1

35.1
34.2
33.1

31.0

34.2
33.1
31.0

29.4

29.4 28.9

28.9
27.6

26.3

27.6

24.1
23.8

20.6

20.0

30.6 30.0

22.0

19.3

30.2
31.0

29.1

27.5

30.1

29.4 28.9

28.3

27.6

27.5

25.0

26.3

22.0
22.1
19.9

26.3

34.2
33.1

24.6

23.0

21.0

20.6

17.0

17.0

15.0

10.0
6.5
6.3

5.0

8.0 7.6
7.1

6.2

MEPE

YESB

ESE

1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2010-2011
2011-2012

1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012

2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2010-2011
2011-2012

1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012

0.0

MEPE+YESB(after 2007)

MEPE+ESE(after 2007)

2006
2013 2013 2013

8.1-7

8.1-8

8-8

World Development Index

8.1-8

2011

8-9

8.2

1) 2)
3)
State Contribution

8.2.1

20112012
State-owned Enterpriseother source
of funds98.7 billion Kyats21.8 billion Kyats
9 billion Kyats 1,295 Kyats implicit

8.2.2

20122013

Current Expenditure (Reviewed by MOF)

SEE State Economic


Enterprise AccountOther

Wage & Salary Material purchase


Admin cost
(including electricity
Capital Expenditure
Maintenance
purchase)
(Reviewed by
cost
Ministry of National
Commercial Tax Income Tax
Planning)
Interest
State contribution
expense

Accounts 8.2-1

Working Capital
Raw Material
Electricity Purchase

Government Account
SEE Account

8.2-1

Other Account
Tariff Revenue
(Sales)

Financial
expenditureCurrent expenditure
Administration

3 MOFMinistry of Finance

8 - 10

3
NPEDMinsitry of National Planning and Economic Development
Economic Planning

8.2-2 Operating Investment

20%
SEE Account
20%Other
Account

DrDebit

8.2-2

8 - 11

8.2-3 7
8 9
10 MOEPMinistry of Electric Power
11

Cabinet Parliament

8.2-3

8.2-4

20%
20%

Tax
Shield

8 - 12

8.2-4

Myanmar Ahlin Newspaper2013 11 10 Average cost for


sources 78 Kyats/kWh 56 Kyats/kWh 1 kWh
22 Kyats
8.2-1 4

11.20 USD/MMbtu 5 USD/MMbtu

*kWh
=kWh
* non-electricity sales

HPGEHydropower Generation Enterprise


IPPIndependent Power Producer
Thauk Ye Khat-2

5 USD/MMbtu 11.20 USD/MMbtu


22 Kyats/kWh 11.20 USD/MMbtu 5 USD/MMbtu
171.85 mmscfd

8 - 13

8.2-1

Unit Production Cost

Kyats/kWh

Coal-fired

100

Gas

120

Hydropower

5070

Average Cost for Sources


(Including Transmission/Distribution Cost)

78

Average Sales

56

Average Loss

22

Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper 2013 11 10

The Mirror Newspaper2013 11 6 2,617,102


55,470 97.9%2.1%
8.2-2
Yangon

Mandalay
No. of
Percentage
consumer

Other States/Regions
No. of
Percentage
consumer

The Whole Country


No. of
Percentage
consumer

Sr.
No.

Description
[Unit Rate (kWh)]

1 ~ 100

440,633

46%

229,790

60%

870,879

68%

1,541,302

59%

101 ~ 200

260,950

27%

134,592

35%

288,513

23%

684,055

26%

201 ~ 500

198,102

21%

11,033

3%

90,334

7%

299,469

11%

501 and above

57,750

6%

10,200

3%

24,326

2%

92,276

4%

Total

957,435

100%

385,615

100%

1,274,052

100%

2,617,102

100%

No. of
consumer

Percentage

The Mirror Newspaper2013 11 6

8.2-3
8.2-3
Yangon

Mandalay
No. of
Percentage
consumer

Other States/Regions
No. of
Percentage
consumer

The Whole Country


No. of
Percentage
consumer

Sr.
No.

Description
[Unit Rate (kWh)]

1 ~ 5,00

18,867

83%

7,584

67%

19,408

91%

45,859

83%

5,001 and above

3,840

17%

3,794

33%

1,977

9%

9,611

17%

Total

22,707

100%

11,378

100%

21,385

100%

55,470

100%

No. of
consumer

Percentage

The Mirror Newspaper2013 11 6

U Khin Mang Soe New Light of Myanmar


Nov 12, 2013

8 - 14

1)

1kWh 400 Kyats

2)

100 Kyats/kWh 35 Kyats/kWh


1,850 Kyats

3)

5,000 kWh 9,611 0.359%

8.2-5
Real cost unitskWhReal cost
5 USD/MMBtu 11.20 USD/MMBtu

Kyats/kWh

Real Cost
66

70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00

Selling Price
37.35

Unit Cost (P/L)


41

30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00

8.2-5

MEPE statistics 2013

8 - 15

8.2.3

20%

20% 8.2-6
JICA

8.2-6

20%

A
22% 78%

B
20% 80%

20%20%

20%

20112012 22%
20%

8.2.4

2013 8 13
U Win Shein 4,109.72 Kyats
4

The Voice Weekly newspaperVol.9/ No. 32, 2013 8


19

1) 3,700 Kyats3,734.8864 Kyats


2) 0.6 Kyats6,057.8 Kyats

8 - 16

: The 7 day Daily Newspaper (No 112 dated 14,


August 2013)

8.2-7

3) 40 Kyats
4) 330 Kyats331.22449 Kyats
The 7 day Daily NewspaperNo. 112, 2013 8 14

1) 300 Kyats
2) 2,000 Kyats
Shweli-1

3) 1,000 Kyats

4%

Union Budget Law2013 3 No 12(A)

2013 11

8.2.5

20122013 30% 25%20122013 70%


20% 5% 5%
25 25 50 30
60

8 - 17

8.3

8.3.1

20122013 8.3-1

Million Kyats

60

160,000
140,000

50
120,000

40
100,000

Profit after Income Tax


State Contribution

30

80,000

Income
Profit ratio(%)
State contribution ratio(%)

60,000

20
40,000

10
20,000

0
2007-2008

2008-2009

profit ratio = profit after tax / sales,

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

state contribution ratio = state contribution / sales

8.3-1
20112012 20122013 20112012
30% 70%
70% 20% 35% 25%

1)

30,00060,000 Kyats/ton Tigyit


30,000 Kyats/ton

2)

3)

straight line 15 25

8 - 18

4)

Asset

5)

20%20122013 22%20132014 20%


20142015

6)

IPP Shewli-1 Dapein-1 15%

7)

DHPIDepartment of Hydropower Implementation

a) b)

Unit: Kyats in million

(2011-2012)

8.3-2

(2012-2013)

80%
20122013 Operation
Investment

8 - 19

Unit: Kyats in million

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)

Debtors includes Receivable, Debtors for Commercial tax, Income tax and state contribution

8.3-3

8.3.2

20122013 8.3-42012 4
5 Kyats/USD 1
USD = 800 Kyats 8.3-5
35 Kyats/kWh
2012 8 37 Kyats/kWh
40 Kyats/kWh

8 - 20

(Kyats in million)
60%

400,000
Sales

50%

Profit ratio(%)

350,000

40%
300,000
30%
250,000

20%

200,000

10%
0%

150,000

-10%
100,000
-20%
50,000

-30%

2012-2013

2011-2012

2010-2011

2009-2010

2008-2009

2007-2008

2006-2007

2005-2006

2004-2005

2003-2004

2002-2003

2001-2002

2000-2001

1999-2000

1998-99

1997-98

-40%

1996-97

Profit = Profit after income tax


MEPE statistics 2013, ESE statistics 2012YESB statistics 2012

8.3-4

Kyat/kWh
45

ESE

YESB

40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0

1 5/2006
3/2007

2 4/2007
3/2008

3 4/2008
3/2009

4
5/2006
3/2007

5 4/2009
3/2010

6 4/2010
3/2011

7 4/2012
7/2012

8 8/2012
3/2013

9 4/2013
7/2013

Period

MEPE Statistics 2013

8.3-5

20122013 8.3-6

8 - 21

Kyats/kWh
45
40

kWh cost (PL)

35

Selling price per kWh

30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2007/2008

2008/2009

2009/2010

2010/2011

2011/2012

kWh

8.3-6

2012/2013
MEPE statistics

1 kWh

20122013
MOEMinistry of Energy
35.161 Kyats

Units : Kyats in million

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)
MEPE statistics2011/2012

8.3-7

8 - 22

Operating Investment

IRD
Internal Revenue Department

Units : Kyats in million

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)
MEPE statistics2013

8.3-8

8 - 23

1USD = 970 Kyats


2Profit = profit after tax

8.3-9

EGAT

2010 2013

Other source of Fund


8.3-10

8 - 24

(Kyats in million)
100%

900,000
Operating investment
800,000

90%

Share of operating investment in total liability and equity

80%

700,000

70%
600,000
60%
500,000
50%
400,000
40%
300,000
30%
200,000

20%

100,000

10%

0%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

MEPE Statistic 2011-2013

8.3-10

(Kyats in million)
400,000
Income Availiable for fixed char + Depreclation + Foreign loan
Other sources of fund
300,000

Loan repayment
Interest
Project construction

200,000

NWC

100,000

-100,000

-200,000

NWC; Net Working Capital

8.3-11

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

2007/08

2006/07

2005/06

2004/05

2003/04

2002/03

2001/02

2000/01

1999/2000

1998/99

1997/97

1996/97

-300,000

MEPE Statistics 2011-2013

8 - 25

8.3.3

2006 4 1 20062007

11,339,771.06 Kyats
19,268,000.00 Kyats
4,537,543,456.61 Kyats

Sundry Debts

2011 8
20 Kyats/kWh 40 Kyats/kWh
20122013 8.3-12

(Kyats in million)
250,000

25.0%

Sales

Profit ratio(%)

200,000

20.0%

150,000

15.0%

100,000

10.0%

50,000

5.0%

0.0%
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

profit after paying income tax

8.3-12

YESB statistics 2012-2013

2012-2013

8 - 26

Kyats/kWh
60
kWh cost (PL)
Selling price per kWh
50

40

30

20

10

0
2007/2008

2008/2009

2009/2010

2010/2011

2011/2012

2012/2013

YESB Statistics 2012-2013

8.3-13

1 kWh

20112012

kyats/kWh
60.0

50.0

Domestic
Industrial
Power
Bulk

40.0

30.0

kWh cost (PL)


Other

20.0

10.0

0.0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

Bulk

8.3-14

20062007 9

8 - 27

1,000,000
900,000

Temporary Lighting

800,000
700,000

Street Lightning

600,000

Bulk

500,000

Industrial

400,000

Small Power

300,000
200,000

Domestic Power

100,000

General Purpose

0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

Bulk Hospital Shopping Center,

8.3-15

YESB Statistics 2013

Million Kyats
160,000

140,000

Other

Bulk

Industrial Power

Domestic

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

YESB Statistics 2013

8.3-16

8 - 28

Million kWh
4,000

Other

Bulk

Industrial Power

Domestic

3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

YESB Statistics 2013

8.3-17

Million kWh

8.3-18 20112012 20122013


20122013 Bank balance

Myanmar Economic Bank

Profit and loss account


General Stores

20122013 25% 30%


20%

8 - 29

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)

BankCE Current Electricity Account

8.3-18

YESB 2012-2013 Financial Account

20112012 20122013

Meralco 8.3-19

8 - 30

BS
< YESB (2012-2013) >

PL

BS
PL
< ESE (2011-2012) >

BS
PL
< Meralco 2011 >

1Profit = Profit after tax


21 USD = 970 Kyats

8.3-19

Meralco

8.3-20 20112012 20122013

2011 8 20 Kyats/kWh 35 Kyats/kWh 2012 8 35 Kyats/kWh


40 Kyats/kWh 2

30% 25%

8 - 31

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)
20122013

8.3-20

: YESB Statistics 2012-2013

8.3-21

8 - 32

8.3.4

2011 8 20
Kyats/kWh 37 Kyats/kWh 20122013
8.3-22

20112012 20122013
20122013
Cash at Bank 2
8.3-28

37 Kyats/kWh 35 Kyats/kWh 75
Kyats/kWh 2014 3

Current Transformer Meter

5,000 Kyats/piece

Power meter

2,000 Kyats/piece

Consumers

50kVA - 54 horse power (200 Kyats per 1 horse power)

(kyats in million)

18%

300,000

16%

250,000

14%
12%

200,000

10%

150,000

8%
6%

100,000

4%

50,000
0

Sales
Profit ratio(%)

2%
2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013

profit after paying income tax

0%

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-22

8 - 33

Kyats/kWh
60.00
Cost per Unit

Average Selling Price per Unit

50.00

40.00

30.00

20.00

10.00

0.00
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-23

20112012

Kyats/kWh
70.0
60.0

Domestic
Industrial Power

50.0

Bulk
kWh cost (PL)

40.0

Other
Total

30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-24

8 - 34

20062007 9
8.3-25

1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000

Temporary Lighting

1,200,000

Street Lightning

1,000,000

Bulk

800,000

Industrial

600,000

Small Power

400,000

Domestic Power

200,000

General Purpose

0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-25

Million Kyats
250,000

Other

Bulk

Industrial Power

Domestic

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-26

8 - 35

Million kWh
5,000
Other

Bulk

Industrial Power

Domestic

4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-27

8.3-28 20112012 20122013


Cash at BankMyanmar Economic Bank
20062007
(1) (2)

8 - 36

: 20112012 20122013

8.3-28

20112012 20122013

8.3-29 20112012 20122013

2011 8 20 Kyats/kWh 35 Kyats/kWh 2012 8 35 Kyats/kWh


37 Kyats/kWh 2

30% 25%

8 - 37

Units: Kyats in Million

(2011-2012)

(2012-2013)
20112012 20122013

8.3-29

20112012 20122013

8.3-30

8 - 38

(kyats in million)

140,000
Profit after tax and for state contribution
Paid for state contribution

120,000

Capital expenditure
Other source of Fund
100,000

Depreciation Total(PL)

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0
2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

-20,000

-40,000

-60,000

-80,000

4%
ESE Statistics 2013

8.3-30

8 - 39

8.4

8.4.1

8.4-1

8.4-2 1
1 EGAT

1Profit after paying income tax


21 USD = 970 Kyats
MEPE statistics 2011HPGE 2011-2012YESB 2011-2012ESE 2011-2012

8.4-1

2011

8 - 40

1
21USD = 970 Kyats
3Profit= Profit after paying income tax
EGAT 2011EDL 2011EDL-GEN 2011PLN 2011Meralco 2011
TNB 2011IESCO 2012LESCO 2012MEPE statistics 2011, 2012

8.4-2

8.4.2

4
8.4-3 4

8 - 41

(million US$)
250

60%
Sales (million USD)

Profit rate
50%

200

40%
150
30%
100
20%

50

10%

0%
HPGE

MEPE

YESB

ESE

1Profit after paying income tax


21 USD = 970 Kyats
MEPE statistics 2011HPGE 2011-2012YESB 2011-2012ESE 2011-2012

8.4-3

8.4-4 4 1 HPGE

1
21USD = 970 Kyats
3Profit= Profit after paying income tax
MEPE Statistics 2011HPGE 2011-2012YESB 2011-2012ESE 2011-2012

8.4-4

4 1
8 - 42

8.5

5 3 IPP

8.5-1
8.5-1
1
Domestic Energy Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

2
Least Cost

2
2016

3
Power Resources Balance

8 - 43

8.5.1

JBICJapan Bank for International Cooperation(2000)

JBIC2000

20

1
2
3

8 - 44

LCDP : Least Cost Development Plan

DSM

8.5-1
JBIC 2000 2

8 - 45

8.5.2

LRMCLong Run Marginal Cost

(1) LRMC
LRMC

LRAICDistribution

8.5-2

LRMC

(2) LRMC
LRMC 1 23%

WASP Unserved Energy

Step1

8 - 46

Step2
kWh
LRMC 5
(3) LRAIC
LRAICLong Run Average Incremental Cost

Step1

Step2
kWh
LRAIC
3
(4)
LRMC 8.5-2
8.5-2
(A)
LRMC
(Generation)
Scenario 1
Domestic energy
consumption scenario
(Large Scale Hydro
Oriented)
Scenario 2
Least cost scenario

Scenario 3
Power resource balance
scenario

LRMC
(B)
LRAIC
(Transmission)
Kyats/kWh

(A) + (B)
Wholesale
Tariff LRMC

(C)
LRAIC
(Distribution)

(A) + (B) + (C)


G+T+D

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

69.60

6.1

75.70

16.77

92.47

LRMC
cents/kWh

7.22

0.63

7.85

1.74

9.59

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

67.00

6.1

73.10

16.77

89.87

LRMC
cents/kWh

6.95

0.63

7.58

1.74

9.32

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

69.25

4.9

74.15

16.77

90.92

LRMC
cents/kWh

7.18

0.51

7.69

1.74

9.43

1 us cents = 9.64 Kyats

8 - 47

Scenario 1
11US cents = 9.64 Kyats
2 LRAIC

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

8.5-3 (1) LRMCKyats/kWh

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

11US cents = 9.64 Kyats


2 LRAIC

8.5-3(2) LRMCUS cents/kWh

8 - 48

500kV230kV132kV 20132020
1,820 Million USD 12 20212030 5,400 Million
USD 3 3,200 Million USD 500kV230kV
132kV LRAIC
66kV LRAIC 6.7

Transmission System for the Scenario 1 (Domestic Energy Consumption) and Scenario 2 (Least Cost)
Annual increment
Incremental Costs
Demand
Energy
Year
Demand
Energy
Investment
O&M
Total
(MW)
(GWh)
(MW)
(GWh)
(Million kyats) (Million kyats) (Million kyats)
2013
3,408
11,471

2014
3,990
12,963
582
1,492
182,400
1,824
184,224
2015
4,873
14,648
883
1,685
182,400
1,824
184,224
1,824
184,224
2016
4,873
16,552
0
1,904
182,400
2017
5,017
18,704
144
2,152
182,400
1,824
184,224
2018
5,179
21,135
162
2,431
182,400
1,824
184,224
2019
5,709
23,883
530
2,748
182,400
1,824
184,224
2020
7,036
26,987
1,327
3,104
182,400
1,824
184,224
2021
8,397
30,496
1,361
3,509
432,000
4,320
436,320
2022
9,990
34,460
1,593
3,964
432,000
4,320
436,320
2,750
4,480
432,000
4,320
436,320
12,740
38,940
2023
4,320
436,320
2024
14,486
44,002
1,746
5,062
432,000
5,721
432,000
4,320
436,320
2025
16,582
49,723
2,096
2026
2,519
6,464
432,000
4,320
436,320
19,101
56,187
2027
22,417
63,491
3,316
7,304
432,000
4,320
436,320
2028
25,517
71,745
3,100
8,254
432,000
4,320
436,320
436,320
2029
28,667
81,072
3,150
9,327
432,000
4,320
2030
32,322
91,611
3,655
10,539
432,000
4,320
436,320
Discount rate
10%
Reference year for PV calculations
Present value of demand increment

January 2013
(MW)
9842

Salvage
Value in
2030
85,120
91,200
97,280
103,360
109,440
115,520
121,600
302,400
316,800
331,200
345,600
360,000
374,400
388,800
403,200
417,600
432,000

(GWh)
28832

Present value of incremental investments + O&M


Present value of salvage
NPV of incremental investment + O&M

(Million kyats)
(Million kyats)
(Million kyats)
Cost recovery factor

2,272,655
869,630
1,403,025
0.124664134

Note: kW is measured at the point of delivery from the transmission system


Average Incremental Cost of Transmission
Annuitised Average Incremental Cost
Note: kWh is measured at the point of delivery from the transmission system

8 - 49

48.66 kyats/kWh.year
6.1 kyats/kWh

0.64 yen/kWh
0.63 cents/kWh

Transmission System for the Scenario 3 (Power Resources Balance)


Annual increment
Incremental Costs
Demand
Energy
Year
Investment
O&M
Total
Demand
Energy
(MW)
(GWh)
(MW)
(GWh)
(Million kyats) (Million kyats) (Million kyats)
2013
3,408
11,471

184,224
2014
3,990
12,963
582
1,492
182,400
1,824
2015
4,873
14,648
883
1,685
182,400
1,824
184,224
1,904
182,400
1,824
184,224
2016
4,873
16,552
0
1,824
184,224
2017
4,873
18,704
0
2,152
182,400
21,135
162
2,431
182,400
1,824
184,224
5,035
2018
1,824
184,224
2019
5,415
23,883
380
2,748
182,400
2020
6,725
26,987
1,310
3,104
182,400
1,824
184,224
30,496
1,084
3,509
256,000
2,560
258,560
2021
7,809
2022
9,319
34,460
1,510
3,964
256,000
2,560
258,560
2023
11,649
38,940
2,330
4,480
256,000
2,560
258,560
2024
12,726
44,002
1,077
5,062
256,000
2,560
258,560
258,560
2,560
2025
14,362
49,723
1,636
5,721
256,000
16,258
56,187
1,896
6,464
256,000
2,560
258,560
2026
2027
17,519
63,491
1,261
7,304
256,000
2,560
258,560
258,560
2028
19,569
71,745
2,050
8,254
256,000
2,560
81,072
3,000
9,327
256,000
2,560
258,560
2029
22,569
2030
23,669
91,611
1,100
10,539
256,000
2,560
258,560
Discount rate
10%
Reference year for PV calculations
Present value of demand increment

January 2013
(MW)
7432

Salvage
Value in
2030
85,120
91,200
97,280
103,360
109,440
115,520
121,600
179,200
187,733
196,267
204,800
213,333
221,867
230,400
238,933
247,467
256,000

(GWh)
28832

Present value of incremental investments + O&M


Present value of salvage
NPV of incremental investment + O&M

(Million kyats)
(Million kyats)
(Million kyats)
Cost recovery factor

1,712,154
573,655
1,138,499
0.124664134

Note: kW is measured at the point of delivery from the transmission system


Average Incremental Cost of Transmission
Annuitised Average Incremental Cost
Note: kWh is measured at the point of delivery from the transmission system

39.49 kyats/kWh.year
4.9 kyats/kWh

0.52 yen/kWh
0.51 cents/kWh

LRAIC

Distribution System (LRAIC):YESB


Annual increment
Energy
Year
Demand
Energy
(GWh)
(MW)
(GWh)
2013
4,165
2014
4,623
458
2015
5,131
508
2016
5,696
565
2017
6,322
626
Discount rate
10%
Reference year for PV calculations

Incremental Costs
Investment
O&M
Total
(Million yen) (Million yen) (Million yen)
1,494
1,710
1,950
2,217

5,967
7,297
7,025
5,815

Salvage
Value in
2030

7,461
9,007
8,975
8,032

5,370
6,811
6,791
5,815

(Million yen)
(Million yen)
(Million yen)

26,456

January 2013

Present value of incremental GWh

(GWh)
1,688

Present value of incremental investments + O&M


Present value of salvage
NPV of incremental investment + O&M

16,930
9,526

If the calculation is done on the basis of demand


Average Incremental Cost of Distribution
Cost recovery factor

0.315470804

Note: kW is measured at the point of delivery from the Distribution system


If the same calculation is done on the basis of energy,
Average Incremental Cost of Distribution
Annuitised Average Incremental Cost
Note: kWh is measured at the point of delivery from the Distribution system

5.64 yen/kWh.year
1.8 yen/kWh

Note: 1US cents=9.64kyats=1.0347yen

8 - 50

16.77 kyats/kWh
1.74 cents/kWh

8.5.3

(1)

2014
2030 Break-even

2030

a) IPP
b)

c)

3
1) Break-even wholesale
tariff
2) PPAPower Purcase
Agreement

3)

8.5-4 IPP

8.5-4

8 - 51

8.5-4

8.5-5

8.5-5
2014

8 - 52

(2)

IPP

IPP 2

2013

MDBMultilateral
Development Bank 3 3 8.5-3

3 2 3 18

2015

MDB

8 - 53

8.5-3

1
SEE Account
Model

MEPE

SEE Account

* 2013
SEE Account 2

SEE Account

(*)
(**) MEPESEE Account

(*)
(**)
(***) 2

(****) MEPESEE Account

(3)
3
1)

LRMC

2)

IPP

3)

Break-even tariff
IPP PPA
3
IPP PPA

8 - 54

(4) LRMC
LRMC
1) LRMC

2)

5%
LRMC
8.5-6 MW
8.5-7

40%

30%

30%

30%

20%

20%

20%

10%

10%

10%

0%

0%

0%

Scenario 2

2027/2028

40%

Coal

2029/2030

40%

2029/2030

50%

2027/2028

50%

2025/2026

50%

2023/2024

60%

2021/2022

60%

2017/2018

60%

2019/2020

70%

2015/2016

70%

2013/2014

70%

2029/2030

80%

2027/2028

80%

2025/2026

80%

2023/2024

90%

2021/2022

90%

2019/2020

90%

2017/2018

100%

2015/2016

100%

2013/2014

100%

Scenario 1

HydroPower
Gas(MEPE)

Renewable
Gas(IPP)

Coal

2025/2026

Gas(MEPE)

2023/2024

HydroPower

Gas(IPP)

2021/2022

Renewable

2019/2020

Coal

2017/2018

Gas(MEPE)

2015/2016

HydroPower

Gas(IPP)

2013/2014

Renewable

Scenario 3

: Gas=MEPE + Gas IPP, Coal= Coal IPP, Hydro=HPGE + Shweli + Thank Ye Khat-2 + Hydro IPP

8.5-6 MW

8 - 55

Electricty from RE

Electricity from Hydro

Electricty from RE

Electricity from Hydro

Electricty from RE

Electricity from Hydro

Electricity from Coal

Electriity from Gas

Electricity from Coal

Electriity from Gas

Electricity from Coal

Electriity from Gas

60%

60%

50%

50%

50%

40%

40%

40%

30%

30%

20%

20%

10%

10%

0%

0%

Scenario 1

30%
20%

Scenario 2

2029/2030

2027/2028

2025/2026

2023/2024

2019/2020

2021/2022

2017/2018

2015/2016

2013/2014

2011/2012

2009/2010

0%

2007/2008

2029/2030

2027/2028

2025/2026

2023/2024

2021/2022

2019/2020

2017/2018

2015/2016

2013/2014

2011/2012

2009/2010

10%

2007/2008

2029/2030

60%

2027/2028

70%

2025/2026

70%

2023/2024

70%

2021/2022

80%

2019/2020

80%

2017/2018

80%

2015/2016

90%

2013/2014

90%

2011/2012

90%

2009/2010

100%

2007/2008

100%

100%

Scenario 3

: Gas=MEPE + Gas IPP, Coal= Coal IPP, Hydro=HPGE + Shweli + Thank Ye Khat-2 + Hydro IPP

8.5-7 GWh

8.5.4

(1)
8.5-4 IPP

8.5-4

Current Position (-2014)

Future Change (2015-)

Gas price (Assume 2015 stop fuel subsidies)

5 USD/MMBtu

11.20 USD/MMBtu from 2015 (without


subsidy)

Heat Value

Net 692 Btu/CF

No Change

Energy Conversion (Gas Electricity)


Coal price Electricity purchase price from
coal IPP

3.4 cents/kWh

4.79 cents/kWh

30,000 Kyats/ton (37.5 USD/ton) 20


Kyats/kWh

104 USD/ton (International price)


100 Kyats/kWh from 2015
50-70 Kyats/kWh
60Kyats/kWh from 2015

Electricity purchase price from Hydro IPP

20 Kyats/kWh

Renewable energy (RE)s FIT buying price

25 cents/kWh (solar/PV)

8 - 56

(2) IPP
IRR=10% PPA
8.5-5 10% 10
15%
8.5-5 IPP
PPA
(IRR=10%)

USC

9.619
cents/kWh

Annual Fixed O&M cost (USD/kWyear)


= Fixed OM (USD/kWmonth)
2.5 12 months = 30 (USD/kWyear)B

LIBOR* 4%2%
6%

Fuel price of coal is 6,500 kcal/kg (27182 KJ/kg), Coal itself is 90


USD/ton, Traffic is 20 USD/ton Total 110 USD/ton
Net heat rate of generation plants is 8571 KJ/kWh (Thermal
efficiency 42.5%)
Fuel price is
= (USD 110/1,000) 8571/27182 (KJ/kg) = 0.03468 (USD/kWh)
Annual Variable O&M (USD/kWyear)
= Variable O&M (USD/MWh)
2.0 8,760 hours/1,000 = 17.5 (USD/kWyear)
25
Plant factor = 70%
4.79

cents/kWh
Energy
Conversion

Annual Fixed O&M cost (USD/kWyear)


= Fixed OM (USD/kWmonth)
2.3 12 months = 27.6 (USD/kWyear)B
Annual Variable O&M (USD/kWyear)
= Variable O&M (USD/MWh)
1.0 8,760 hours/1,000 = 8.75 (USD/kWyear)D
Plant factor = 75%

6.66
cents/kWh

Annual Fixed O&M cost (USD/kWyear)


= Fixed OM (USD/kWmonth)
0.6 12 months = 7.2 (USD/kWyear)B
Annual Variable O&M (USD/kWyear)
= Variable O&M (USD/MWh)
1.0 8,760 hours/1,000 = 8.75 (USD/kWyear)D
50
Plant factor = 50%

<>

IPP

LIBOR 4%2%
6%

6.5 cents/kWh

IPP
IPP
LIBOR 4%4%
8%
IPP EPC

IPP
12%

3 5
25%
Real estate tax, which included in income tax. Not mentioned specific.
VAT
5
*LIBOR : London Interbank Offered Rate
2014 Union Taxation law (Law No.20 2014.3.28)

8 - 57

8.5-6
8.5-6

IPP PPA
IRR (0%)

Hydro IPP

Kyats/kWh

Coal IPP

89.21

2.20

6.66

9.25

Kyats/kWh

18.41

46.18

62.63

UScents/kWh

19.1

4.79

6.50

Kyats/kWh

59.22

92.73

112.37

6.14

9.62

11.66

UScents/kWh
HPGE (Reference)

Kyats/kWh

20.00

UScents/kWh
Thauk Ye Khat 2

IRR (15%)

64.20

UScents/kWh
Gas IPP

IRR (10%)

21.20

2.07

Kyats/kWh

70.00

UScents/kWh

7.26

1kWh kW
2 2015 60Kyats/kWh6.21 cents/kWh
3100 cents = 964 Kyats

(3)

Gas Turbine
Combined Cycle
USCUltra
Super Critical

(4)


(USD)/kW

1200

148519.2 %

2200

272319.21%

2000

258622.62%

1)

25 50 30

2)

20122013 30% 25% 70% 20%

(5)
1)

2)

8 - 58

3)

4)

IPP IPP
Energy Conversion Agreement 20%
20122013
22%
2013

5)

6)

WIPWork in processCurrent assetsCash


Current
liabilityLoan 8%

7)

20122013
5%

5%

8)

Capital-Works in Progress 20122013


General StoresFuelPetrolOil & LubricantConsumer's AccountsOther Debtors 2012
2013

9)

Changes in NWCNet working capital 20122013

10) 20122013

11) 20122013 9,932GWh 8,616GWh


2013

12)
30% 17%
25cents/kWh

0.70.70.75

0.750.70.75

8 - 59

13) Yadana 722.698GCVBTU/SCF


Gross =722 Btu/SCFNet = 722/1.1 Btu/SCF@15C= 656 Btu/SCF
CF 0C 656 (273+15)/273 = 692 Btu/CF
Heat Value 0C Normal Condition Standard Condition
15C

14)
2012 AE 10

10.0 A

7.0 D

6.7 D

6.2 D

4.2 H

4.2 H

3.3 H

F/S
8% 10

8%LIBOR + 4%

(6)

1)

1 3

2)

2015

3)

LNGLiquid Natural Gas

4)

FITFeed-in
Tarff 25UScents/kWh 5
2030 2GW 17%

5)

Thauk Ye Khat-2 Shweli-1

8 - 60

6)

mmscfd
mmscfd2013 714MW
230 mmscfd 4 4.1-61MW 0.3221
mmscfd

7)

30,000 Kyats/ton37.5 USD/ton 20


Kyats/kWh 2015
104 USD/ton 100 Kyats/kWh

8.5.5

8.5-8(1)(2)(3) 1
2 2025 100 Kyats/kWh

1 2

kWh
8.5-8(4)(5)(6)

8 - 61

8.5-8 (1) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:


IPP Finance/SEE Account finance

8.5-8(2) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios: IPP Finance GFC

8 - 62

8.5-8(3) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios: IPP Finance MDBs

8.5-8(4) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios:


MEPE Finance SEE Account Finance
kWh

8 - 63

8.5-8(5) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios: MEPE Finance GFC


kWh

8.5-8(6) Break-even Tariff Comparison between Scenarios: MEPE Finance MDBs


kWh

8 - 64

8.5-7 (1) Kyats/kWh


Type of
Generation
facilities

All IPP
plants

Wholesale
tariff in
2013
(real value)

Wholesale
tariff in
2013
LRMC
(G+T)

YESB40
75.70
ESE37

Scenario 1
All MEPE
financed
plants
All IPP
plants

YESB40
75.70
ESE37
YESB40
73.10
ESE37

Scenario 2
All MEPE
financed
plants
All IPP
plants

YESB40
73.10
ESE37
YESB40
74.15
ESE37

Scenario 3
All MEPE
financed
plants
1
2
3
4
5

YESB40
74.15
ESE37

Break-even wholesale
tariff

Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account

MEPE Financed by major


MEPE Financed through global finance companies
SEE Account
(No deferment, 8%
(Basic model)
interest rate, 10 year
repayment)
2013
2015
2030
2013
2015
2030

MEPE Financed by
MDBs
(10 year deferment, 0%
interest rate, 30 year
repayment)
2013
2015
2030

39

99

111

39

99

114

38

99

111

30

83

99

30

83

99

30

83

99

42

95

83

40

95

105

40

98

83

30

73

50

29

73

51

29

73

49

39

100

104

39

100

106

38

100

104

30

83

91

30

83

91

30

83

91

40

95

74

40

95

99

40

95

74

29

73

41

29

73

42

29

73

41

39

100

123

39

100

125

38

100

123

30

83

109

30

83

109

30

83

109

40

95

89

40

95

98

40

95

89

29

73

61

29

73

57

29

73

61

2015
LRMC
2015
kWh
1 US cents = 9.64 Kyats

8.5-7(2) US cents/kWh
Type of
Generation
facilities

All IPP
plants

Wholesale
tariff in
2013 (real
value)

Wholesale
tariff in
2013
LRMC
(G+T)

YESB40
7.85
ESE37

Scenario 1
All MEPE
financed
plants
All IPP
plants

YESB40
7.85
ESE37
YESB40
7.58
ESE37

Scenario 2
All MEPE
financed
plants
All IPP
plants

YESB40
7.58
ESE37
YESB40
7.69
ESE37

Scenario 3
All MEPE
financed
plants
1
2
3
4
5

YESB40
7.69
ESE37

Break-even wholesale
tariff

MEPE Financed
through SEE Account
(Basic model)
2013

Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account
Break-even wholesale
tariff
Break-even whole tariff
excluding SEE Account

MEPE Financed by major


global finance companies
(No deferment, 8%
interest rate, 10 year
repayment)
2013
2015
2030

MEPE Financed by
MDBs
(10 year deferment, 0%
interest rate, 30 year
repayment)
2013
2015
2030

2015

2030

4.00

10.24

11.54

4.00

10.24

11.86

3.99

10.24

11.54

3.10

8.62

10.23

3.10

8.62

10.25

3.10

8.62

10.23

4.33

9.81

8.60

4.18

9.81

10.94

4.17

10.12

8.65

3.13

7.54

5.14

2.99

7.54

5.30

2.98

7.55

5.13

4.00

10.33

10.74

4.00

10.33

11.02

3.99

10.33

10.74

3.10

8.63

9.48

3.10

8.63

9.49

3.10

8.63

9.48

4.18

9.81

7.72

4.18

9.81

10.23

4.18

9.80

7.72

2.99

7.54

4.22

2.99

7.54

4.39

2.99

7.54

4.22

4.00

10.34

12.71

4.00

10.34

12.96

3.99

10.33

12.71

3.10

8.65

11.28

3.10

8.65

11.29

3.10

8.65

11.28

4.18

9.83

9.19

4.18

9.83

10.20

4.18

9.83

9.19

2.99

7.58

6.34

2.99

7.58

5.88

2.99

7.58

6.34

2015
LRMC
2015
kWh
1 US cents = 9.64 Kyats

8 - 65

8.5-9(1)(2)(3) IPP
IPP

1IPP SEE Account IPP MDBs MEPE SEE Account MEPE MDBs
2SEE AccountkWh

8.5-9 (1) Domestic Energy Consumption Scenario Break-even Tariff:


Comparison in Financial System

8 - 66

1IPP SEE Account IPP MDBs MEPE SEE Account MEPE MDBs
2SEE AccountkWh

8.5-9(2) Least Cost Scenario Break-even Tariff:


Comparison in Financial System

1IPP SEE Account IPP MDBs MEPE SEE Account MEPE MDBs
2SEE AccountkWh

8.5-9(3) Power Resource Balance Scenario Break-even Tariff:


Comparison in Financial System

8 - 67

8.5.6

(1)

IPP IPP PPA

IPP

1 0Break-evenProfit after tax and state contribution

22014 6 IPP
3AII IPP

8.5-10

8% 10

8 - 68

1 0Break-evenProfit after tax and state contribution

22014 6 IPP

8.5-11

MDB MDB 10 30
MDB

8 - 69

1 0Break-evenProfit after tax and state contribution

22014 6 IPP
3MDB IPP

8.5-12

MDB

(2)
20072013

IPP

8 - 70

kWh 8.5-8(4)(5)(6)

IPP

MDB

8 - 71

Scenario 1 / MEPE (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 3 / IPP (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 1 / IPP (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 2 / MEPE (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 2 / IPP (financed by GFCs)

Scenario 1 / MEPE (financed through SEE Account)

Scenario 1 / MEPE (financed by MDBs)

Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed through SEE Account)

Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed by MDBs)

Scenario 2 / MEPE (financed through SEE Account)

Scenario 2 / MEPE (financed by MDBs)

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

Payment to IPPs

80,000,000

(million kyats)

Material costs (Gas, Coal)


Accumulated interest paid to MEPE during 2007-2030 (million kyats)

Tax Payer Burden accumulated total of SEE Account during 2007-2030 (million kyats) (tax government expenditure)

IPP MDBs

8.5-13 20072030

100,000,000

8 - 72

Scenario 3 / IPP (financed by GFCs)

Payment to IPPs

Material costs (Gas, Coal)


Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed by GFCs)

Accumulated interest paid to


MEPE during 2007-2030 (million
kyats)
Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed through
SEE Account)
Tax Payer Burden accumulated
total of SEE Account during 20072030 (million kyats) (tax
government expenditure)
Scenario 3 / MEPE (financed by MDBs)

50,000,000

100,000,000 million kyats

1IPP

2 IPP MDBs

8.5-14 20072030 Power Resource Balance Scenario

8 - 73

8.5-8
Unit

20072030

(B)
Wholesale
(C)
(A)
LRAIC
Tariff
LRAIC
(A)+(B)+(C)
LRMC
(Transmission) LRMC (Distribution)
G+T+D
(Generation)
Kyats/kWh (A) + (B) Kyats/kWh

Differences of financing methods on capital investment for MEPE


Output Items

Scenario 1
Domestic energy consumption scenario

Scenario 1

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

69.60

6.1

75.70

16.77

92.47

All IPP
plants

Scenario 1

LRMC
cents/kWh

7.22

0.63

7.85

1.74

9.59

All MEPE
financed
plants

Scenario 2

67.00

6.1

73.10

16.77

89.87

Scenario 2
Least cost scenario

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

All IPP
plants

Scenario 2

LRMC
cents/kWh

6.95

0.63

7.58

1.74

9.32

All MEPE
financed
plants

Scenario 3
Power resource balance scenario

Scenario 3

LRMC
Kyat/kWh

69.25

4.9

74.15

16.77

90.92

All IPP
plants

Scenario 3

LRMC
cents/kWh

7.18

0.51

7.69

1.74

9.43

All MEPE
financed
plants

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
j)
k)

MEPE Financed by major global MEPE Financed by MDBs


MEPE Financed through
finance companies
(10 year grace period, 0%
SEE Account
(No grace period, 8% interest
interest rate, 30 year
rate, 10 year repayment)
repayment)
81,008,860.30
85,015,641.41
81,003,560.33
69,882,908.49
70,130,379.46
69,882,575.90
6,032.37
3,498,499.62
1,412.70
19,935,229.20
23,694,539.34
19,930,261.82
16,078,608.31
19,837,918.45
16,073,640.93
0.00
0.59
0.00
111.25
114.31
111.25
98.66
98.84
98.66
41,403,071
41,403,071
41,403,071
212,236,311
223,742,344
212,221,091
208,379,690
219,885,723
208,364,470
64,985,764.75
79,219,173.87
65,662,948.48
43,309,056.75
44,219,802.38
43,271,621.09
6,032.37
12,426,843.20
1,412.70
68,960,000.68
82,282,664.17
68,985,457.30
26,629,364.50
39,952,027.99
26,654,821.12
0.00
1.99
0.00
82.94
105.49
83.34
49.52
51.10
49.46
12,061,153
12,046,739
12,036,573
189,322,140
230,195,381
189,958,146
146,991,504
187,864,745
147,627,510
76,776,123.56
79,851,908.02
76,770,823.58
66,331,722.90
66,143,067.17
66,143,399.76
6,032.37
2,687,006.50
1,412.70
19,902,156.93
19,781,938.25
16,889,509.54
15,585,380.30
15,465,161.63
12,572,732.92
0.00
0.47
0.00
103.58
106.21
103.57
91.35
91.49
91.35
44,587,500
44,587,500
44,587,500
207,415,408
213,240,274
204,392,508
203,098,631
208,923,498
200,075,732
60,497,648.22
75,382,444.66
60,492,348.25
38,854,801.58
39,815,612.26
38,854,468.99
6,032.37
12,980,203.57
1,412.70
84,318,359.02
70,389,405.88
70,394,373.26
26,590,535.77
26,595,503.15
40,519,488.90
2.04
0.00
0.00
74.42
98.65
74.41
40.66
42.32
40.66
12,046,739
12,046,739
12,046,739
181,799,709
224,543,501
181,784,490
138,000,839
180,744,631
137,985,620
84,772,443.86
88,638,738.83
84,767,143.89
72,830,287.24
73,067,643.94
72,829,954.65
6,032.37
3,375,630.57
1,412.70
19,346,533.57
22,975,056.00
19,341,566.19
14,774,013.13
18,402,951.39
14,769,045.74
0.00
0.59
0.00
122.53
124.89
122.53
108.73
108.85
108.73
43,599,521
43,599,521
43,599,521
220,555,049
231,656,824
220,539,829
215,982,529
227,084,720
215,967,309
66,881,471.02
76,030,664.60
66,852,299.15
46,664,135.20
44,577,208.87
46,662,304.56
6,032.37
10,648,480.27
1,412.70
54,282,822.58
65,518,942.50
54,255,481.36
23,049,192.32
34,285,312.23
23,021,851.09
0.00
1.77
0.00
88.64
98.30
88.64
61.09
56.64
61.09
12,046,739
12,046,739
12,046,739
179,881,350
208,822,192
179,818,386
148,647,719
177,588,561
148,584,756

Output items:
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)

(Break-even tariff between 2007-2030) x Generation amount (GWh) (million Kyats)


(Break-even tariff (excluding SEE Account) between 2007-2030) x Generation amount (GWh) (million Kyats)
Accumulated interest paid to MEPE during 2007-2030 (million Kyats)
Accumulated total of SEE Account during 2007-2030 (million Kyats) (tax government expenditure) (1)
Accumulated total of SEE Account during 2007-2030 (million Kyats) (tax government expenditure) (2)
Annuitized value for interest payment (discout rate 10%) Kyats/KWh

g)
h)
i)
j)
k)

Break-even wholesale tariff (Kyats/KWh) of 2030


Break-even wholesale tariff (Kyats/KWh) of 2030 : excluding SEE Account
Payment to IPPs
Total burden on Myanmar (1)
Total burden on Myanmar (2)

1MDB2015
2LRAIC
3
4LRMC
5MDB
6Break-evenBreak-even tariff/kWh
71 US cents = 9.64 Kyats

8 - 74

8.6

8.6.1

1)

kyats/kWh
100
90

Financial
Gap

90.92

YESB

80
78.00

78.00

77.24

70

ESE
67.93

60

YESB
56.49

50

ESE
49.81

40
30
20
10
0
LRMC (G+T+D)
(Power Resources Balance
Scenario)

Average Cost for Sources


(without Transmission /
Distribution Cost)

Average Tariff (Apr-Jun) of 2013-2014 Retail Tariff of YESB


/ ESE /kWh
YESB / ESE / kWh after 2014
tariff rise

1 2013-201442.46 kWh2013-20142408.1 Kyats


2 2014 4 2014 46
2014, April-June120.33 kWh2014, April-June952.78 Kyats
3 2013201453.66 kWh201320142,673.15 Kyats
4 Apr-Jun 201415.80 kWhApr-Jun 20141,073.38 Kyats
5 Income = Unit sold annually + Maintenance + House Power Fee
6 Average Cost for Sources (without Transmission/Distribution Cost) 2013 11 10
Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper
YESB StatisticsESE Statistics 2013-2014Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper Nov 10, 2013

8.6-1

Financial GAP

8 - 75

2)

LRMC

3)

2014 4

20152030 5USD/MMBtu
73 Kyats/kWh IPP 95 Kyats/kWh
11.20USD/MMBtu 96 Kyats/kWh 117 Kyats/kWh

Coal company
Ministry of Mines
Free Electricity (15%)

HPGE
IPP (Hydro)
JV (Hydro)
HPGE
(Hydro/Coal thermal) Thauk Ye Khat-2 Shewli-1
20*

70

0.189

Kyats/kWh

kyats/kWh

yuan/kWh

Transmission

Generation

(Coal: 30,000 Kyats/ton)

Not
disclosed

40 Kyats/kWh
60?

37 Kyats/kWh
Break-even whole sale tariff (under 11 USD/MMbtu)
ALL MEPE case 96 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)
ALL IPP case 117 Kytas/kWh (2015~2030 Average)

55?

ESE
(Other than Yangon)

YESB (LRAIC 16.7 Kyats/kWh)


(Yangon)

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh
Average 67.93 Kyats/kWh

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh
Average 77.24 Kyats/kWh

Generation LRMC
(under 11.19
USD/MMbtu)
69.25 Kyats

Electricity

MEPE (LRAIC 4.92 Kyats/kWh)


(Single Buyer) above 66kV

Break-even whole sale tariff (under 5 USD/MMbtu)


ALL MEPE case 73 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)
ALL IPP case 95 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)

Distribution

MOGE
Ministry of Energy
IPP(GE, GT)
(Gas: 5 USD/MBTU)
- Zeya
- MSP
MEPE
- CIC
(Gas/ Oil thermal)
- Toyo-Thai

S
u
b
s
i
d
y

Consumers
1Figures for LRMC(G), LRAIC (T+D) are based on Resource Balance Scenario
2 2014 4 6
*2014 8 18 Kyats/kWh
JICA

8.6-2 LRMC

8 - 76

4)

8.6.2

(1)
IPP
IPP

(2)

1)

2)

8.6-3(1)(2) IESCO
17 cents/kWh
2013 10 1 200kWh
300kWh 700kWh
8.1-3 (2) 201kWh 32.55%

8 - 77

(1) 2013 10 1
NEPRA JICA Data Collection Survey on Energy Sector Reform in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan

8.6-3 (1) IESCO

(2) 2013 10 1
NEPRA JICA Data Collection Survey on Energy Sector Reform in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan

8.6-3(2)

IESCO

8 - 78

9.1

9.1.1


DEPDepartment of Electric PowerDHPPDepartment of Hydropower
PlanningDHPIDepartment of Hydropower Implementing
MEPEMyama Electric Power EnterpriseHPGEHydropower
Generation EnterpriseESEElectricity Supply Enterprise
YESBYangon City Electricity Supply Board

NEMCNational
Energy Management Committee

IPPIndependent Power ProducerPPAPower Purchase Agreement


IPP


9-1

IPP PPA

MOEPMinistry of Electric Power

9.1.2

(1)
2012 8,254GWh
8,613GWh 2020
19,514GWh 22,898GWh2030
48,639GWh 77,730GWh 5

(GWh)
90,000

High(MOEP Based) : 13%

80,000

Low(IMF Based) : 10.1%

70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

9.1-1

(2)

9-2

MW
15,000
High Case
Low Case
10,000

5,000

0
2015

2025

2020

2030

Year
Year

High Case (MW)


Total

Non-industry

Low Case (MW)

Industry

Total

Non-industry

Industry

2012

1,874

1,265

609

1,874

1,265

609

2020

4,531

3,060

1,472

3,862

2,390

1,472

2030

14,542

9,819

4,723

9,100

5,631

3,468

9.1-2

2030 14,542MW 9,100MW

9.1.3

9.1-1

9-3

9.1-1
Resource

Hydro

Gas

Coal

Renewable
Energy (RE)

9.1.4

Installed
Capacity
(MW)
2013.3

Current Situation
2013 .3

Results of Analysis

2780.0

Actual capacity of hydro is 1,110MW in dry New large hydro P/S development faces
season, less than 50% of installed capacity.
difficulty such as long lead time, long distance
from load center and environmental impacts.
Total hydro capacity of 521 MW of Dapein-1
(221MW of 240 MW) and Shweli-1 (300MW Medium and small hydro development faces
of 600 MW) is transmitted to China.
less difficulty than large hydro.

714.9

Gas volume, max. 261 mmcfd, is allocated to New gas plants depend on local gas supply but
power sector and not to be increased until Gas
gas supply shortage is anticipated. Imported
gas or oil are needed in short term.
field of M3 commissioning in 2019.
Actual capacity of gas power plants is 363 MW New gas from the new gas field is needed for
as of 2013 March.
future gas plants.

120.0

Domestic coal provides low quality but


Coal power plant is only Tigyit station.
marginally available for electricity power.
Installed capacity is 120MW (60MW 2
Imported coal and local coal can be used for
units)
future base load.

RE is mainly utilized for the rural


electrification.
Development target is 10% of power supply as
of 2030.
RE is promoted but restricted in system
reliability.

(1)
2020 2030

9-4

9.1-2
9.1-2

Item

Description

Period

2013 - 2030

Demand

High Case (4,531MW in 2020 and 14,542MW in 2030)

Tool

Wien Automatic System Planning Package IV (WASP IV) to find optimal expansion plan

Scenario
No.

Priority

Domestic Energy
Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro
Oriented)

Least Cost

Concept

Power resources
Maximum utilization of domestic energy

Scenario 1 is formulated based


on large hydro oriented plan.

Possible hydropower plans including


Large scale hydro
Listed gas p/s plans

Scenario 2 aims to minimize the


development and fuel cost.

Possible hydropower plans including


Large scale hydro
Less gas p/s after 2016
Rest with coal and renewables.

Power Resources
Balance

Scenario 3 is formulated
considering the composition of
power resources and feasibilities
of development

Hydropower plans with high feasibilities


Modified gas p/s plans
Rest with coal and renewables

(2)
1)


108GW
45.5GW 9.1-3

9-5

1,000MW

9.1-3

2)

2030 200300 bbtud


13% 20% 65% 20192020
9.1-3 3

9-6

9.1-3
Group

Condition

2014 5

Available
Capacity
(MW)

Objectives

Project list
Yangon
Other

G1

G2

G3-1

Existing

Stand-by

Fast track

1,023

62

700

G3

Existing plants including


those being rehabilitated and
GE*1/GT*2
upgraded.
IPP
MEPE
PPA under negotiation or GE/GT
finalization for IPP projects. IPP
Fast track planned projects GT/CC
to be commissioned by
2020.
Dual fuel (Gas, HSD*3) type
is expected until 2020.
GT/CC

G3-2

Planned

2,789

Planned Projects to be
commissioned by 2030.

: 4 plants,
: 5 plants
(2013-2016 : 363MW,
2017-2030 : 574MW)
: 5 plants
: Hlawga(I), Ywama, Thaketa,
Ahlone (I),
: Ywama
: 2 plants
: Hlawga (II), Ahlone (II)
: 7 plants
Thilawa, Kyause,
Mawlamyaing,
Kanpouk (I), Myin Gyan,
Kyaukphyu, Thaketa (I)
: 6 plants
Hlaingtharyar, Hlawga,
Thaketa, Thaketa (II),
Ayeyarwady, Kanpouk (II)

*1 GE Gas Engine
*2 GT Gas Turbine
*3 HSD High Speed Diesel Oil

1)

G1
G2G3 2

2)

3)

G3 G3-1fast track G3-2others

4)

2020
LNGLiquid Natural Gas

5)

G3-2 2020

9.1-4

9-7

700

5000
Capacity forecast as of
2014/15 (MW)

4500

600
4000

Oil & Gas requirement


2014/15 (bbtud)
500

3500

bbtud

2500
300

2000
1500

200

1000
100
500

9.1-4

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2014 5

9.1-4 20302031

9-8

MW

3000

400

Supply

9.1-4
2P*/MW

Existing
(1) MOGE
(2) Yadana
(3) Yetagan

2.5 T CF
6.9T CF
4.2T CF

Ongoing
(1) Zawitika
(2) Shwe
(3) M-3

1.8T CF
5.4T CF
1.6T CF

COD
1/7/1998
1/4/2000

15/7/2013

Supply Total
Supply Total for Electricity

20302031

bbtud
13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 28-29 29-30 30-31
63
154

63
154

63
154

63
154

63
154

63
154

63
108

63
94

63
82

89
71

91
60

92
48

94
37

96
29

97
18

98

100

101

54
19

90
75

90
94

90
94

90
94

90
94

90
94
63

90
94
135

90
94
135

90
94
135

90
94
135

78
94
135

38
94
135

25
94
135

17
94
135

13
94
135

8
94
135

94
135

290
382
401
401
401
401
418
476
464
479
470
447
398
379
361
201 248.3 260.7 260.7 260.7 260.7 271.7 309.4 301.6 311.4 305.5 290.6 258.7 246.4 234.7

Required Calorie (bbtud)


LNG (mmcfd)*2
HSD (mmld)*3

22

70

0.7

2.1

87
84
2.7

87
84
2.7

87
84
2.7

76
73
2.3

New Gas Fields (bbtud)


New Gas Fields (mmcfd)*4
Existing Plants
(1) Yangon Area
(2) other than Yangon Region

Demand

Ongoing
(1) Hlawaga GE(MCP)
(2) T oyo-T hai (ST )

60
66
919*5 1980~2014
385*5 1974~2014

340
337
330
221 219.1 214.5

119
133

189
211

247
275

401
448

520
580

609
678

684
763

705
786

708
790

715
797

184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7
62 85.3 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2 73.2

25 2015-2016
37

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

5.2

New Gas Fired Plants


(1) 2014 ~ 2016
Myanmar Light 2, UREC 1,Kyaukpyu,
Kanbauk, Myin Gyan, Tilawa

602 2014-2016

67.7

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

30.8

86.4

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

85

(2) 2021 ~ 2030


Hydorance, BKB, UREC 2, Dawei 1,
Dawei 2, Hlaingtharya, Ayeyarwaddy

2,789 2020-2021

Total Power Generation

4,757

117.9 203.4 248.6 293.8 331.3 331.3 331.3 331.3

Demand Total

247

270

331

348

348

348

348

348

379

435

466

552

597

642

679

679

679

679

Balance
Total Balance with LNG and New Gas

-46
-46

-22
0

-70
0

-87
0

-87
0

-87
0

-76
0

-39
0

-77
0

-123
0

-161
0

-261
0

-338
0

-396
0

-445
0

-458
0

-460
0

-465
0

*2P: Gas reserves on 2P (Proven + Probable) basis

*2Incase of LNG=1,040 Btu/f3

*3In case of HSD (LHV = 8,624 kcal/l)

*4In case of LHV = 897 Btu/f3

*5

Installed Capacity

JICA

3)


3,0006,500 kcal/kgKalewa
Mainghkok
MOMMinistry of Mines 2030 5.6 million ton/year
3.4 million ton/year

7.8GW 6.7GW86% 6
3
20302031 9.1-5

9-9

Supply

9.1-5
2P*/MW
(1) Domestic Coal
231,000
Supply for Electricity
(2) Import Coal

Thousand Tones
13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 28-29 29-30 30-31
2,100
2,200
2,326
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,761
3,100
3,480
3,900
4,220
4,593
4,820
5,000
5,220
5,420
5,654
1,260
1,320
1,396
1,440
1,500
1,560
1,620
1,657
1,860
2,088
2,340
2,532
2,756
2,892
3,000
3,132
3,252
3,392

Existing Plants
(1) Tygit

Demand

COD**

20132014 20302031

120 2004.12

New Plants
(1) 2017-2018
(2) 2018-2019
(3) 2019-2020
(4) 2020-2021
(5) 2021 ~ 2022
(6) 2022 ~ 2023
(7) 2023 ~ 2024
(8) 2024 ~ 2025
(9) 2025 ~ 2026
(10) 2026 ~ 2076
(11) 2027 ~ 2028
(12) 2028 ~ 2029
(13) 2029 ~ 2030
(14) 2030~ 2031

300

300

300

524

630
300
270
600
300
0
0
300
900
600
1,030
910
1,310
660

Total Power
Generation

886

1,702

2,422

4,138

4,811

4,583

4,331

5,015

7,441

9,058

11,960

14,486

18,193

19,981

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

524

1,862

1,862
876

1,862
876
780

1,862
876
780
1,753

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

1,862
876
780
1,753
876

876

876
2,650

876
2,650
1,753

876
2,650
1,753
3,010

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658
3,827

876
2,650
1,753
3,010
2,658
3,827
1,928

14,960

17,618

21,445

23,373

7,930

Demand Total

2386

3262

4042

Balance
0
0
0
0
-886
Total Balance with Import Coal
0
0
0
0
0
2P*: Coal reserves on 2P (Proven + Probable) basis
COD**: Commercial Operation Date

-1,702
0

-2,422
0

300

300

300

524

6,671

6,671

7,547

10,197

11,950

-4,138 -4,811 -4,583


0
0
0
13-14 means 2013-2014

5,795

-4,331
0

-5,015
0

-7,441
0

-9,058 -11,960 -14,486 -18,193 -19,981


0
0
0
0
0

621

687

763

Reference: Total Capacity of New Coal Fired Power Plant by Domestic Coal (MW)

387

6,671

456.91

535

810

847

891.94

932.98

980.99

JICA

4)

MOIMinistry of IndustryMOAI
Ministry of Agriculture and IrrigationMOSTMinistry of Science
and Technology
Minbuu 50MW
MOUMinistry of Understanding
JICA

2
2030 10%

9 - 10

(3)
1)

WASPWien Automatic System Planning


WASP IAEAInternational Atomic
Energy Agency

2030
9.1-5 9.1-6

9.1-5

2030

9 - 11

Unit Cost [cents/kWh] = (Annual Capital Cost [USD/kW] + Annual Fixed O&M Cost [USD/kWyear] Life Time [year]) 100 /
(Life Time [year] 8760 hours/year CF[-]) + Annual Fuel Cost [UScents/kWh]
+ Annual Variable O&M Cost [cents/kWh]
This figure doesnt include Environmental Cost [UScents/kWh], which equals CO2 Cost [cents/g-CO2] CO2 Emission per Unit [g-CO2/kWh].
For reference, Unit Cost including Environmental Cost is; Hydro: 6.1, Coal (subcritical): 8.7, Coal (USC): 9.9, GTCC (Gas): 10.9, GTCC
(LNG):15.7, GTCC (HSD): 17.5,
1.0 [cents/kg-CO2] is adopted as CO2 Cost. CO2 Emission per Unit is based on Table 7.5-13 (Chapter 7)

9.1-6

2)

9.1-6

9 - 12

9.1-6
Scenario

No 1

No 2

No 3

Domestic Energy
Consumption
(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

Least Cost

Power Resources Balance

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

710 MUSD
(570km, 5,000MVA)
1,660 MUSD
(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

Total

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

Main projects

DC T/L
500kV T/L

DC T/L
500kV T/L

500kV T/L

500kV Cost

4,680 MUSD

4,680 MUSD

2,480 MUSD

230-132kV Cost

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

Total

5,580 MUSD

5,580 MUSD

3,380 MUSD

Priority of PGDP
Main projects
Mid-term
(Year 20162020)

Lon-term
(Year 20212030)

3)

500kV Cost
230-132kV Cost

EIAEnvironmental Impact Assessment

9.1-7 13
9.1-8
9 - 13

9.1-7

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Possible

Likely water quality


degradation by reservoir

Reduction of run off in


some river section

unlikely

Possibly from coal


storage and ash disposal

none

none

NOx

SPM , SOx, NOx

None

CO2

Relatively
large amount of CO2

Middle load
Base load

Peak load
Middle load

Mainly base load

Likely
large scale
Likely
large scale

None. If timber remain


in reservoir, CH4 likely
Peak load
Middle load

SPM: Suspended Particle Matter

9.1-8

(1)

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

0.0

(MW)
(2)

24,295

9,471

4,986

2,760

2,000

43,512

(3)

55.8%

21.8%

11.5%

6.3%

4.6%

100%

(4)

1.02

0.18

0.09

0.11

0.0

1.41

(MW)
(2)

24,295

9,471

2,484

5,030

2,000

43,280

(3)

56.1%

21.9%

5.7%

11.6%

4.6%

100%

(4)

1.02

0.18

0.05

0.20

0.0

1.45

(MW)
(2)

2,825

9,524

4,758

7,940

2,000

27,047

(3)

10.4%

35.2%

17.6%

29.4%

7.4%

100%

(4)

0.12

0.18

0.09

0.31

0.0

0.70

(MW)
(2)

15,000

7,000

4,000

3,000

29,000

0.0%

51.7%

24.1%

13.8%

10.3%

100%

0.0

0.29

0.13

0.16

0.0

0.57

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

2.4

2,5

1.2

1 (1) 7.5-6 (2) 5 2030


2 (4) 100,000 (1)
(2)/100,000
3

9 - 14

1.4

30

1.2

25

20

0.8

15

0.6

10

0.4

0.2

9.1-7
9.1-9

(GW)

35

1.6

(GW)

40

1.8

45

(GW)

50

(GW)

(GW)

EIA 9.1-7 9.1-9

Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal
Renewable
Small/Medium Hydro
Large Hydro
Gas
Coal

9 - 15

4)

LRMCLong Run Marginal Cost 9.1-8


LRMC 2 3 1 cent/kWh

Long Run Marginal Cost for Respective Scenarios


(US cents/kWh)
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

0.51
0.63

0.63

7.22

6.95

Scenario 2

Scenario 1

7.99

Transmission
Generation

Scenario3

9.1-8 LRMC

5)

13
2014 5 27
JICA
3

2030

9 - 16

3 9.1-10
9.1-10

Scenario

Priority

Domestic Energy Consumption


(Large Scale Hydro Oriented)

Least Cost

Power Resources Balance

Max. power demand


& Power Supply, 2030
Installed (Max)
Capacity for
Myanmar, 2030
Energy (Power)
Resources

Power Sources
for Myanmar, 2030
(Unit GW)

Long Run Marginal


Cost for Generation

MPD:
PS:

14.5 GW
18.9 GW
23.6 GW
(due to less large hydro)

28.8 GW

28.6 GW

All possible hydro potential


45.5GW.
All gas supply to Power Sector,
200 ~ 300 bbtud.
Rest with coal and renewables.

All possible hydro potential.


Some domestic supplied gas is
replaced by imported coal.
Rest with coal and renewables.

Feasible/primary
hydro
potential, 9.4GW, is selected.
All gas supply to Power Sector
is used.
Rest with coal and renewables.
Energy resources are well
balanced to improve energy
security.

Large Hydro: 12.1 (42%)


Small & Medium Hydro:
6.9 (24%)
Gas:
5.0 (17%)
Coal:
2.8 (10%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 7%)

Large Hydro: 12.1 (42%)


Small & Medium Hydro:
6.9 (24%)
Gas:
2.5 ( 9%)
Coal:
5.0 (18%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 7%)

Large Hydro: 1.4 ( 6%)


Small & Medium Hydro:
7.5 (32%)
Gas:
4.8 (20%)
Coal:
7.9 (33%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 9%)

7.0 cents/kWh

8.0 cents/kWh

0.6 cents/kWh
(500 kV DC links added)

0.5 cents/kWh

7.2 cents/kWh

Long Run Average


Incremental Cost for
High Voltage
Transmission Line

0.6 cents/kWh
(500 kV DC links added)

Environment impact

Larger impact by large hydro p/s Larger impact by large hydro p/s More
greenhouse
gas
emission and air pollution by
coal p/s

Feasibility of target

Difficulty of large hydro p/s in Difficulty of large hydro p/s in Large hydro p/s is excluded to
terms of environmental impact, terms of environmental impact, avoid risks.
long lead time and long high long lead time and long high Fuel for gas p/s to be imported.
voltage direct current transmission voltage direct current transmission Environment impact by coal
line.
line.
p/s should be mitigated.
Fuel for gas p/s to be imported. On-going gas plants are
suspended.

Overall Review Result Less feasible due to more large Less feasible due to more large More
feasible
because
hydro development.
hydro development.
environmental effect of coal p/s
can be mitigated.
More reliable because energy
security becomes higher due to
balanced power resources.

(4)
3
3 9.1-11 9.1-9
9.1-10

9 - 17

9.1-11
As of 2030 Year: New Coal7.8GW, New Hydro 8.9GW, New Gas 4.0 GW (Installed capacity for Myanmar)
Item/Plant Name
Peak Demand (MW)
Required Generation
Energy (GWh)

2013

2014

2,055

2015

2,248

2016

2,527

2017

2,840

2018

3,192

2019

3,587

2020

4,032

2021

4,531

5,092

2022

2023

5,723

2024

6,431

2025

7,227

2026

8,121

2027

2028

2029

2030

TOTAL

9,125 10,253 11,520 12,944 14,542

12,064 13,560 15,242 17,132 19,256 21,642 24,323 27,336 30,721 34,524 38,797 43,597 48,990 55,048 61,853 69,497 78,083 87,727 699557

Existing Plant
Combined Cycle

200

200

150

256

256

256

256

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

481

Gas Turbine

84.5

84.5

84.5

49.5

49.5

49.5

49.5

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

93

30

30

30

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1130

1444.5 1444.5 1394.5 1555.5 1555.5 1555.5 1555.5

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

1824

243

443

167

836

400

400

300

Coal
Hydropower
(Existing Sub Total)

481

Candidate Plant
Gas

534.3

Coal

99.1

365.6

212

4000

630

300

275

600

300

300

900

605

1030

910

1310

660

7820

51

130

51

25

49

323

525

78

392

486

240

181

235

554

3320

50

50

50

50

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

2000

(Candisate Sub Total


in each year)

585.3

229.1

416.6

287

729

673

850

778

1035

1029

507

1336

1500

1386

1530

1345

1510

1414

17140

Development Plant Total

585.3

814.4

1231

1518

2247

2920

3770

4548

5583

6612

7119

8455

9955 11341 12871 14216 15726 17140

Total Supply Capacity

2029.8 2258.9 2625.5 3073.5 3802.5 4475.5 5325.5

6372

7407

8436

8943 10279 11779 13165 14695 16040 17550 18964

(capacity-peak)

-24.98 11.097 98.911 233.63 610.59 888.02 1293.5 1840.6 2314.5 2713.1 2511.8 3052.1 3658.2

Reserved Margin(%)

-1.216 0.4937 3.9148 8.2267 19.129 24.753 32.082

Hydropower
(dry: Install 0,5)
Renewable

4040 4441.9 4519.8 4606.5 4421.8

40.62 45.449 47.407 39.056 42.232 45.047 44.273 43.323 39.234 35.589 30.407

Power Resources Balance Scenario Annual Transition of Power Supply


for Peak Demand (MW)
25000
Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

Peak Demand (MW)

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

9.1-9

9 - 18

9.1-10

201420202030

9.1-11

9 - 19

3 2030 27.0GW
23.6GW
19.0GW 14.5GW 30%
3 9.1-12
LRMC 3 8.50 UScents/kWh
3 7.69 UScents/kWh
LRMC
9.1-12

3
Billion $

Item

2020

2030

Power Generation

13.8

55.2

Power System

2.7

5.6

16.5

60.8

Total

Note 1 : Cost is not calculated from present value.


Note 2 : O&M cost and Fuel cost is included.
Note 3 : Transmission and Substation is included.

Long Run Marginal Cost for Scenario 3 (UScents/kWh)


9
8

0.51

7.99

0.51

7.18

6
5
4
3

Updated
based on
new lists

2
1
0
Scenario 3

Revised Scenario 3

Generation

9.1-12

9.1.5

Transmission

3 LRMC

LRMC 9.1-13

1)

Capital expenditure

9 - 20

2)

LRMC

3)

SEE
Account

kyats/kWh
100
90

Financial
Gap

90.92

YESB

80
78.00

78.00

77.24

70

ESE
67.93

60

YESB
56.49

50

ESE
49.81

40
30
20
10
0
LRMC (G+T+D)
(Power Resources Balance
Scenario)

Average Cost for Sources


(without Transmission /
Distribution Cost)

Average Tariff (Apr-Jun) of 2013-2014 Retail Tariff of YESB


YESB / ESE / kWh after 2014
/ ESE /kWh
tariff rise

1 2013-201442.46 kWh2013-20142408.1 Kyats


2 2014 4 2014 46
2014, April-June120.33 kWh2014, April-June952.78 Kyats
3 2013201453.66 kWh201320142,673.15 Kyats
4 Apr-Jun 201415.80 kWhApr-Jun 20141,073.38 Kyats
5 Income = Unit sold annually + Maintenance + House Power Fee
6 Average Cost for Sources (without Transmission/Distribution Cost) 2013 11 10
Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper
YESB StatisticsESE Statistics 2013-2014Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper Nov 10, 2013

9.1-13 Financial GAP


2014 4

Breakeven Wholesale Tariff20152030 5


9 - 21

USD/MMBtu 73 Kyats/kWh IPP


95 Kyats/kWh 11.20 USD/MMBtu 96 Kyats/kWh
117 Kyats/kWh

Coal company
Ministry of Mines
Free Electricity (15%)

HPGE
IPP (Hydro)
JV (Hydro)
HPGE
(Hydro/Coal thermal) Thauk Ye Khat-2 Shewli-1
20*

70

0.189

Kyats/kWh

kyats/kWh

yuan/kWh

Transmission

Generation

(Coal: 30,000 Kyats/ton)

Not
disclosed

40 Kyats/kWh
60?

37 Kyats/kWh
Break-even whole sale tariff (under 11 USD/MMbtu)
ALL MEPE case 96 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)
ALL IPP case 117 Kytas/kWh (2015~2030 Average)

55?

ESE
(Other than Yangon)

YESB (LRAIC 16.7 Kyats/kWh)


(Yangon)

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh
Average 67.93 Kyats/kWh

Residence: 35 - 50 Kyats/kWh
Industrial : 75 - 150 Kyats/kWh
Average 77.24 Kyats/kWh

Generation LRMC
(under 11.19
USD/MMbtu)
69.25 Kyats

Electricity

MEPE (LRAIC 4.92 Kyats/kWh)


(Single Buyer) above 66kV

Break-even whole sale tariff (under 5 USD/MMbtu)


ALL MEPE case 73 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)
ALL IPP case 95 Kyats/kWh (2015~2030 Average)

Distribution

MOGE
Ministry of Energy
IPP(GE, GT)
(Gas: 5 USD/MBTU)
- Zeya
- MSP
MEPE
- CIC
(Gas/ Oil thermal)
- Toyo-Thai

S
u
b
s
i
d
y

Consumers
1Figures for LRMC(G), LRAIC (T+D) are based on Resource Balance Scenario
2 2014 4 6
*2014 8 18 Kyats/kWh
JICA

9.1-14 LRMC

4)

9 - 22

9.2

9.1

9.2.1

9.2.2

IPP IPP PPA

PPA

IPP

9.2.3

WASP

9 - 23

66kV

ADBAsian Development Bank

ADB

JICAJapan
International Cooperation Agency
JICA

9.2.4

2030

1,000MW
2030

9 - 24

JVJoint Venture
IPP MOU
1015% 50%
1,000MW

100GW

2014 4

70%

9 - 25

9.2.5

Sedawgyi 13MW 2 1989 Baluchaung-1


14MW 2 1992 Kinda 28MW 2 1985

9.2.6

Tigyit 1
120MW60MW 2 30MW IPP

IPP F/SFeasibility Study


F/S
F/S F/S
IPP

9 - 26

F/S
a)

b)

c)

d)

e)

SOxSulfur
Oxide
NOxNitrogen Oxide
IPP
CO2

ODAOfficial Development Assistance


CCTClean Coal Technology
USCUltra Super Critical
Best Available Technology 2
USC CO2 12%
CCT NOxSOx
Tigyit
USC

1 100%50% 2
2 USC 600MW

9 - 27

USC

USC F/S

9.2.7

1)

6.6.7

2030 8,209MW
4,019MW
2012 11 5

2)

2030

9.2.8

1)

25%
3

9 - 28

CO2

JICA

2)

a)

b)

c)

5
5

9 - 29

1
Ministry of Electric Power

Department of Electric Power

Department of Hydropower
Implementation
Department of Hydropower
Planning

Electricity Supply Enterprise

Hydropower Generation
Enterprise

Myanma Electric Power


Enterprise

Yangon City Electricity


Supply Board

U Khin Maung Soe

Minister

U Aung Than Oo

Deputy Minister

U Maw Thar Htwe

Deputy Minister

U Khin Maung Win

Director General

Daw Mi Mi Khaing

Deputy Director General

U Myint Oo

Director

U Aung Myo Win

Assistant Director

Daw Myint Myint Kyi Swe

Assistant Director

Daw Phyu Phyu Khin

Assistant Director

Daw Chaw Thandar Soe

Staff Officer

U Thaung Han

Director General

U San Wai

Deputy Director General

U Aung Lwin

Deputy Director

U Aye San

Deputy Director General

Daw Thida Aye

Deputy Director

U Myint Aung

Managing Director

U Myo Aung San

Executive Engineer

U Myo Min Thein

Executive Engineer

U Khin Maung Win

Managing Director

U Tun Kywe

General Manager

U Tin Maung Oo

Superintending Engineer

U Zayar Myint

Assistant Engineer

U Htein Lwin

Managing Director

U Maung Maung

Chief Engineer

U Tin Maung Win

Chief Engineer

U Nyunt than

Chief Engineer

U Saw Win Maung

Deputy Chief Engineer

U Aung Kyaw Oo

Deputy Chief Engineer

U Zaw Ye Myint

Deputy Chief Engineer

U Kyi San Lin

Executive Engineer

U Aung Khaing

Chairman

Daw Yee Mon Mon

Executive Engineer

-1-

Ministry of Energy

Energy Planning Department

Myanma Oil and Gas


Enterprise

U Pe Zin Tun

Director General

U Win Maw

Deputy Director General

Daw Khin Khin Aye

Director

U Min Maw

Deputy Director

U Tin Zaw Myint

Deputy Director

U Sei Thu Kyaw Kyaw

Staff Officer

U Than Minn

Director

U Maung Maung Gyi

Director

U Than Zaw

Deputy Director

U Than Sein

Executive Engineer

Ministry of National Planning and Economic Development


Mr. Tsutomu KUDO

JICA Expert
Advisor for Aid Coordination

U Tun Tun Naing

Director General

Dr. War War Maung

Deputy Director General

U Aung Moe Chai

Director

Planning Department

Daw Khin Moe Moe

Deputy Director

Project Appraisal & Progress


Reporting Department

U Aye Cho

Deputy Director

Foreign Economic Relation


Department

Ministry of Environmental Conservation and Forestry

Environmental Conservation
Department

Planning and Statistics


Department

U Nay Aye

Director General

U Hla Maung Thein

Deputy Director General

U Than Aye

Director

U San Oo

Director

U Win Hlaing

Deputy Director General

U Sein Htom Linh

Director

U Zin Mar Htun

Director

U Win Myint

Director General

U Phgo Myint Swe

Director

U Win Myint

Deputy Director

U Myo Zar Ali Win

Assistant Director

Ministry of Industry
Directorate of Industry
Department of Industrial
Planning

Ministry of Science and Technology


Department of Advance
Science and Technology

U Kyaw Zwa Soe

Director General

U Aung Ko Ko Kyaw

Assistant Director

-2-

Ministry of Livestock, Fisheries and Rural Development


Department of Rural
Development

U Myint Oo

Deputy Director General

U Hla Tuin Aung

Deputy Director General

U Kyu Kyu Khin

Director

U Win Htein

Director General

U Kyaw Thet

Director

U Ko Ko Lwin

Director

Ministry of Mines
Department of Mines

Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation


U Soe Myint Tun

Deputy Director General

Daw Aye Aye Hlaing

Deputy Director

U Maung Maung Win

Director General

Daw Ni Ni Than

Deputy Director

U Ko Ko Oo

Director General

U Zaw Lwin

Deputy Director

Mr. Jong-Inn Kim

Lead Energy Specialist

Mr. Daisuke MIZUSAWA

Senior Infrastructure Specialist

Mr. Hideaki IWASAKI

Principal Infrastructure Specialist

Mr. Thatha Hls

Financial Sector Economist

Ms. Yu Ching Wong

Representative

Mr. Dejan R. Ostojic

Sector Leader, Energy

Mr. Kanthan Shankar

Country Manager

Ministry of Finance
Budget Department
Ministry of Transport
Department of Water
Resources and Improvement
of River System
Asian Development Bank

International Monetary Fund


World Bank

International Finance Corporation


Mr. Vikram Kumar

Resident Representative

Dr. Kazunari MORII

First Secretary

Mr. Toshihiro WATANABE

Second Secretary

Mr. Hideaki MATSUO

Counselor (Economic & ODA)

Mr. Kyosuke INADA

Deputy Chief Representative

Mr. Kenji KURONUMA

Representative

Embassy of Japan

JICA Myanmar Office

-3-

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

ESE

Copy

Paper

2012

-1-

Electricity Supply Enterprise, Statistic 2012 (Dated.3rd October, 2012)

Myanma Electric Power Enterprise, Statistics 2012

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2012

Yangon City Electricity Supply Board, Statistics (2006 - 2007 to 2011 - 2012)

YESB

Copy

Paper

2012

Organization Chart of MEPE

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2013

Organization Chart of YESB

YESB

Copy

Paper

2013

Organization Chart of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

Receiving Condition of Natural Gas and Power Generation in Yangon

MOE

Copy

Paper

2013

Yangon Gas Distribution Diagram

MOE

Copy

Paper

2013

Focal Person Contacts for Master Plan

DEP

Copy

Paper

2013

10

Transmission 30 Years Plan Map

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

11

Condition of Rural Electrification (Stage & Region)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

12

Condition of Power Supply (State & Region) (July2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

13

List of Distribution Line (State & Region) (July2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

14

List of Distribution Line Tower (State & Region) (July2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

15

List of Distribution Transformer (State & Region)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

16

List of Substations (State & Region)(Up to July 2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

17

Condition of Transmission-Distribution Lines in Mandalay Region, Map

ESE

Copy

Jpeg

2013

18

Organization of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

19

Possible Rural Electrification from System and other ways of State and Regions (2013 to
2031)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

20

Planed Substation & Distribution Line from the Year 20l2 to 2031 (30 Year Plan)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

21

Hourly Generation (MW) Graph for each station

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

22

Generation records of Power Stations at (12 August 2013)

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

-2-

23

Indicated Power (MW) of Power Stations

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

24

Unit Generation (MWh) of Power Stations

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

25

Presentation of Rural Electrification in Department of Rural Development in Myanmar

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

26

Budget Request for Rural Electrification and Benefit Condition of State & Regions (2013 2031)

MBA

Copy

Paper

2013

27

Status of Implementation of Transmission System Project during 2013-2014 to 2015-2016


Financial year

PTP

Copy

Paper

2013

28

20130814_PTP-Existing Power Grid and 5Years Plan

PTP

Copy

Jpeg

2013

29

20130814_PTP-Existing Power Grid and Plan up to 2020

PTP

Copy

Jpeg

2013

30

Organization of MEPE and Manpower

MOEP

Copy

Paper

2013

31

Presentation of the Installation of Micro & Mini Hydropower Plants and the Electricity
Distribution

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

32

Outline of the Irrigation Department

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

33

Photo presentation of Rural electrification by small hydro and solar under Taung Nyo Dam
irrigation area

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

34

Photo presentation of electricity production on water drop along the irrigation canal of Taung
Nyo Dam

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

35

Outline of the Irrigation Department (Book)

DRD

Original

Book

2010

36

2013-2014 FY Budget Estimate of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

37

2013-2014 FY Budget Allocation to State & Region as First Priority of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

38

Electricity Development Plan, Transmission/Distribution Lines Length and Substations


(2011-2012 to 2030-2031)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2012

39

Power Demand Estimation of State and Regions

ESE

Copy

Paper

2012

40

2012-2013 FY, Balance Sheet of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2012

41

List of Diesel Generators in State and Regions (Off-grid)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

-3-

42

List of Mini-Hydropower Station (State & Regions)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

43

Demand Forecasting for Regions and States

ESE

Copy

Pdf

2012

44

States and Regions Capital and Revenue

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

45

Existing Power Grid and Five Year Plan (as of 29Jun2013)

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2013

46

Existing Power Grid and up to 2020 (as of 15Aug2013)

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2013

47

On Going and Future Overhead Lines Projects (up to 2016)

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2013

48

Status of Implementation of Transmission System Project


(2013-2014, 2014-2015, 2015-2016)

MEPE

Copy

Paper

49

Existing Hydro Power Station Data

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2012

50

New Hydro Power Station Data

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2014

51

Hydropower Generation Enterprise Consolidated Revenue Account

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

52

Policies of Electric Power Sector (under discussion)

DEP

Copy

Paper

2013

53

Requirement of Electric Power, Condition of Generation and More Gas Requirement


(2013-2016)

YESB

Copy

Paper

2013

54

YESB-2013-2014 Fiscal Year, Final Account

YESB

Copy

Paper

2013

55

Ahlone Power Station, Unit Generation for (2011-2012) and (2012-2013)

Ahlone Station

Copy

Paper

2013

56

Ahlone Power Station -One Line Diagram

Ahlone Station

Copy

Paper

2013

57

Hlawga Power Station Heat Rate Curve (9) Years

Hlawga Station

Copy

Paper

2013

58

Hlawga Power Station Single Line Diagram

Hlawga Station

Copy

Paper

2013

59

Received Distribution Related Single Line Diagram of Hlawga Main Sub-Station

Hlawga Station

Copy

Paper

2013

60

Yearly Generation of Hlawga Power Station

Hlawga Station

Copy

Paper

2013

61

Thakayta Gas Turbine Power Station(Switchyard Layout Plan)

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

62

General Layout And Location Map Of Thakayta Power Station

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

63

Incremental Heat Rate Curve Of Thaketa Power Station

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

2013

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

-4-

64

Single Line Diagram Of Thaketa Power Station

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

65

Thakayta GT & STG Trip Record (1/20136 - 6/2013)

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

66

Yearly Generation Report (2012-2013)

Thakeyta Station

Copy

Paper

2013

67

Expansion Project Office And Store Location Map of Ywama Power Station

Ywama Station

Copy

Paper

2013

68

IPP (50)MW Gas Engine Power Plant by Myan Shwe Pyi Ltd. At Ywama

Ywama Station

Copy

Paper

2013

69

Relocation of Ywama Power Station Single Line Diagram

Ywama Station

Copy

Paper

2013

70

Ywama Power Station 11kV & 6.6kV Single Line Diagram

Ywama Station

Copy

Paper

2013

71

Technical Data For (GTG, STG, Transformer and Generators)

Ywama Station

Copy

Paper

2013

72

Demand forecasting for States & Regions

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

73

States and Regions Hourly Load Data (17/6/2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

74

Total Load Summary (2012 - 2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

75

Regions and States, Installed Capacity and Load of Industrial Zones

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

76

List of Existing Thermal Power Stations

GT/ST

Copy

Paper

2013

77

List of New Thermal Power Station Projects

GT/ST

Copy

Paper

2013

78

20130826_ESE-Hourly Demand(2012)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

79

Demand Sales of Electricity(Jun'2013)

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

80

Shweli Power Purchase Agreement

DEP

Copy

Paper

2013

81

System Break Down

PSD

Copy

Paper

2013

82

Electricity consumption by Year(2005-2013)

MEPE

Copy

Excel

2013

83

SEZ load Forecast(Base data)

DEP

Copy

Paper

2013

84

Gas Supply Plan

MEPE (GT)

Copy

Paper

2013

85

Gas Supply Plan(Translation)

MEPE (GT)

Copy

Excel

2013

86

Proposal of Gas Demand for Gas Turbines

MEPE (GT)

Copy

Paper

2013

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

-5-

87

2012-2013-FinalReport of ESE

ESE

Copy

Paper

2013

88

Load Shed data for 2013(Jan ~ Jul)

PSD

Copy

Excel

2013

89

Environmental Conservation Law 2012_Myanmar

MOECAF

Copy

Pdf

2013

90

Flowchart EIA Procedure_draft_1-4-2013

MOECAF

Copy

Ppt

2013

91

Organization of DEC(MOECAF)

MOECAF

Copy

Pdf

2013

92

Renewable Energy

MOST

Copy

Paper

2013

93

Myanmar Investment Commission Notification 1/2013 NPT, 5th Pyatho Lapyikyaw 1374
2013.1.31 Stipulation of types opf economic activities (draft3/080220013)

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

94

Lists of Projects type and size_EIA procedure

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

95

EIA Procedures(E)_18-82013

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

96

EC Rules_cabinet approved_Myanmar

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

97

Environmental Conservation Rules

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

98

The Map of Yangon 4th Edition (2009-2010)

YCDC

Original

Book

2009

99

Economic and Social Development in Burma/Myanmar, The Relevance of Reforms

Michael von Haufff

Original

Book

100

Selected Monthly Economic Indicators, May 2012

NPED

Original

Book

2012

101

Statistical Yearbook 2011

NPED

Original

Book

2013

102

OECD Development Pathways Multi-dimensional Review of Myanmar


VOLUME 1. INITIAL ASSESSMENT

OECD

Original

Book

2013

103

Strategies for Sustainable Hydropower Development in Myanmar (2013)

DHPP

Copy

Pdf

2013

104

List of new hydropower station project

DHPP

Copy

Paper

2013

105

Map of Transmission Development Plan

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

106

Resolutions of Questionnaires

MOI

Copy

Paper

2013

107

Environmental Impact Assessment Procedure (Draft)

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

108

Categorization of EIA on Power Sector Project (Draft)

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

-6-

109

The National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan in 2011

MOECAF

Original

Book

2011

110

Forestry in Myanmar (2011)

MOECAF

Original

Book

2011

111

National Protected Area

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

112

List of Completely Protected Animals

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

113

The Environmental Conservation Law in 2012

MOECAF

Original

Book

2012

114

Power Plant Projects to be completed during 2013 to 2016

DEP

Copy

Paper

2013

115

Organization of ECD-MOECAF

MOECAF

Copy

Paper

2013

116

Power System Development Scheme of MEPE

MEPE

Copy

Pdf

2013

117

Power Development Plan in Myanmar

DEP

Copy

Pdf

2013

118

The Electricity Law 1984

MOI

Copy

Paper

1984

119

New Coal Power Station List

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2014

120

EIA Information List for Hydro Power Station

DHPI

Copy

Paper

2013

121

Construction Cost Breakdown for New Hydro Power Station

DHPI

Copy

Paper

2013

122

NG Supply Plan List

MOE

Copy

Paper

2013

123

Invite proposal for Rental & IPP

MOEP

Copy

Paper

2013

124

Terms for GT Proposal

MOEP

Copy

Paper

2013

125

LS (25-9-13).xlsx

PSD

Copy

Excel

2013

126

New_Hydro schemes List_Emv(1)

DHPI

Copy

Paper

2013

127

GDP by State and Region for 2006/2007 to 2010/2011

NPED

Copy

Paper

2012

128

Myanmar Offshore

MOE

Copy

Excel

2012

129

Paunglong Hydropower Presentation Eng ( 12.11.13)

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2012

130

MEPE finance data 2008-2013

MEPE

Copy

Paper

2012

131

YESB finance data, March 2013

YESB

Copy

Paper

2012

Gas Composition

2
(The Project for Formulation of the National Electricity Master Plan in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar)
No
Data
Author

Original/Copy

Type

Date

ESE

Copy

Paper

2012

-7-

132

ESE finance data, March 2013

133

Paunglaung Hydropower pamphlet

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

134

Coal-fired Power Projects

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

135

DRD-Rural Electrification

DRD

Copy

Paper

2013

136

Warmly Welcome from Tigyit Power Station

Tigyit P/S

Copy

Paper

2013

137

Annual Fault Record of Tigyit Power Plant

Tigyit P/S

Copy

Paper

2013

138

Tigyit Coal-fired Power Station Pamphlet

Tigyit P/S

Copy

Paper

2013

139

Tigyit PS HPGE Q&A

HPGE

Copy

Paper

2013

140

Second Workshop National Electricity Plan

WB

Copy

Paper

2013

141

HPGE finance data, March 2013

ESE

Copy

Ppt

2013

142

20140113 DRD Received Documents

DRD

Copy

Paper

2014

143

20140114 Mining 3 Received Document

MOM

Copy

Paper

2014

144

Transmission Line Project Plan(MEPE-13.1.14)

MEPE

Copy

Excel

2014

145

Transmission Line Project Plan(MEPE-13.1.14) System Map

MEPE

Copy

Jpeg

2014

146

Power Generating Facilities-Draft

ADB

Copy

Pdf

2013

147

Power System Planning Standard-Draft

ADB

Copy

Pdf

2013

sheet

1.

1990 3

2000 2001 2003 9


EGATElectric
Generating Authority of Thailand
EGAT 2005 EGAT 2006
3

(1)
1-1 1-2

Atomic Energy
Commission

Office of
Atoms for
Peace

Ministry of
Science and
Technology

Committee on
Energy Policy
Administration

Department of
Alternative Energy
Development and
Efficiency

EGAT
EGAT
(Electric Generating
(Electricity
Generating
Authority of Thailand)
Authority
Thailand)

National Energy Policy Council

Ministry of
Energy

Energy Policy
and Planning
Office

MEA
(Metropolitan Electricity
Authority)

Energy
Conservation
Promotion Fund
Committee

Nuclear Power
Infrastructure
Establishment
Coordination
Committee

Nuclear Power
Program
Development
Office

Energy
Regulatory
Commission

PEA
(Provincial Electricity
Authority)
Guidance, supervision
Jurisdiction
2011

1-1

2011 7

-1-

Generation

SPP

VSPP

EGAT

IPP

DEDE

PEA

Power
import

EGAT

Transmission

Regulation of
electricity rate
PEA

ERC

Distribution
Retail

MEA
Regulation of
electricity rate

Consumer

[ Note ]
VSPP
SPP
EGAT
PEA
DEDE
MEA
ERC

Consumer

Consumer

Consumer

Very Small Power Producer


Small Power Producer
Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
Provincial Electricity Authority
Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency
Metropolitan Electricity Authority
Energy Regulatory Commission
2011

1-2

1)

2011 7

Ministry of Energy
EGAT
EPPOEnergy Policy and
Planning Office
DEDEDepartment of Alternative Energy
Development and Efficiency

2)

NEPCNational Energy Policy Council

ERCEnergy Regulatory Commission

MOSTMinistry of Science and Technology


Atomic Energy Commission

-2-

(2)

2009 70%

(3)
1)

2)

2011 88%

-3-

2.

1961 PLN
1980 PLN
1992 IPP 1997 IPP PPA
27 1,100 kW
IPP 1994 PLN 1995
PLN PJBIPT Indonesia Power PJBIIPT PJB
1985 No.15/19852002
2004 12

2009 9 No.30/2009
2-1
2-1

No.30/2009

No.15/1985

RUKN RUKN

RUKN RUKD

PLN

PLN PLN PLN


PLN
PLN

PLN

H22

-4-

(1)
2-1 2-2

National Energy Council


(DEN)

Ministry of Energy and


Mineral Resources
(MEMR)

National development &


Planning agency
(BAPPENAS)

Ministry of Finance
(MOF)

OwnerAdministration

Development and Coordination


of National development policy
etc

Approval of
budget

Regulation
Supervision

Atomic Agency
(BATAN)

Atomic Regulation Agency


(BAPETEN)

Research and Development of


Nuclear Power

Regulation of Nuclear Power

(Transmission/
Dispatching)
P3B Jawa Bali
P3B Sumatra
Wholesale
power

Wholesale
power

Ministry of cooperatives
and Small and Medium
Enterprises
(SMEs)

Subsidiary

State-owned Power Company (PT PLN)


Generation
Transmission, Distribution
Customer service
Power Supply by vertical bundled system

Local government

IPP

State-owned Enterprise
Minister office of
State affairs

(Generation)
PT Indonesia Power
PT Jawa Bali Power

(Specified zone)
PLN Batam
PLN Tarakan
Support

Surplus
electricity

Industrial area
Cikarang

Private Power
Generation

End user

Village Cooperative
System (KUD)

End user

End user

End user

[ Note ]

Guidance/
Coordinate

Subsidiary

Power supply to specified zone

DEN
BAPPENAS
BATAN
BAPETEN
PT. PLN

Dewan Energi Nasional


Badan Perencanaan dan Pembangunan Nasional
Badan Tenaga Nuklir Nasional
Badan Pengawas Tenaga Nuklir
PT. Persahaan Listrik Negara (Persero)
2011

Department
Power Generation

Transmission
Dispatching
Distribution/Customer
service

2-1

2011

2-2

2011
Jawa Bali

Sumatora

Indonesia Power Company


Jawa Bali Power Company
IPP

North Sumatra Power (BU)


South Sumatra Power (BU)
IPP

Centers of Jawa-Bali
transmission and
Dispatching(P3B Jawa bali)

Centers of Sumatra
transmission and
Dispatching(P3B Sumatrai)

5 distribution offices

7 regional branches

Other region

9 regional branches
[Vertical bundled system]
PLN Batam
PLN Tarakan
[PLN Subsidiary]

2011

-5-

1)

MEMRPLN

PLN IPP PLN

2)

DEN

BAPPENAS
BAPETEN
BATAN

(2)
1)


PLN

2)

3)

PLN IPP
PLN
PLN
PLN

-6-

3.

EDCElectricit du Cambodge

2001 2 Electricity Law of the Kingdom of Cambodia







EACElectricity Authority of
Cambodia
(1)
3-1 3-2

21

3-1

2009

-7-

CPTL
LHGCL

: Cambodia Power Transmission Co. LTD.


: Lim Heng Group Co, LTD.

REE 2 22kV
21

3-2

1)

2008

MEFMinistry of Economy and FinanceMIME


Ministry of Industry, Mining and EnergyEDC
MIME

EDC
REERural Electricity Enterprise
EDC IPP

2)

EAC

MOWRAMMinistry of Water Resources and Meteorology


MIME

MOEMinistry of Environment

-8-

(2)
1)

6
6

2)

IPP 2010
93%
91% IPP

3)

2008 87%13%

4)


IPP National Control Center
EDC

5)

6)


100%

-9-

4.

1994 WAPDA 1958

WAPDA (Water and


Power Development Authority1998
1 8
KESCKarachi Electricity Supply
Corporation
(1)
4-1 4-2

Government of Pakistan

National Electric Power


Regulatory Authority
(NEPRA)

Water and Power


Development Authority
(WAPDA)

National Transmission &


Dispatch Company
(NTDC)

Generation
Companies
(GENCOS)

Pakistan Atomic
Energy Commission
(PAEC)

Ministry of Water
and Power

Pakistan Electric
Power Company
(PEPCO)

Alternative Energy
Development Board
(AEDB)

Private Power and


Infrastructure Board
(PPIB)

Private Sector

Distribution
Companies
(DISCOS)

IPPs

SPPs/
CPPs

Karachi Electric
Supply Company
Limited
(KESC)

Private Power & Infrastructure Board/Government of Pakistan/Ministry of Water & Power HP

4-1

2014 1

- 10 -

2010

4-2

1)

2010

MWPMinistry of Water and Power


PEPCOPakistan Electric Power Corporation
4 GENCO-1234
WAPDA
PAEC
IPP

KESC
NTDCNational Trans-mission & Dispatch Company

PEPCO 8 KESC

2)

NEPRANational Electric Power Regulatory Authority

PAECPakistan Atomic Energy Commission

(2)
2012
31.5% 6,325MW State of Industry Report 2012/NEPRA

- 11 -


State of Industry Report 2012/NEPRA

1)


NEPRA
201112 8.72 /kWh
NEPRA 11.89 /kWh
1 0.011USD
2011/12/31

35%2011
12

3.4 /kWh 4.9 /kWh 18.54


/kWh 75%2011
12

IPP
IPP 65%
201112

2)

2011 16.9%

3)

86%201112

60%

- 12 -

5.

2002 2003 ADB

2004 12 2005 7 2006 1





(1)
5-1 5-2

2011

- 13 -

5-1

2011

EVNs dependent unit


Generating company

Generation

Power dispatch

EVNs financially independent company


Generating company

IPP (BOT)
PVN, VINACOMIN

Electric Power Trading Company (EPTC)


EVNs dependent unit
National Load Dispatch Center (NLDC)

EVNs one member limited company


Notional Power Transmission Corporation (NPTC)

transmission

Distribution
Retail

EVNs financially independent company


5 Power Corporations (Northern, Central, Southern, Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City)

Commune distribution company / Local Distribution Unit (LDU)

End user

2011

5-2
1)

2011

MOITMinistry of Industry and TradeEVNElectricity of Vietnam

EVN IPP EVN


NPTNational Power Transmission Corporation PCPower Corporation5

2)

MPIMinistry of Planning and Investment

ERAVElectricity Regulatory Authority


of VietnamIEInstitute
of Energy

MONREMinistry of Natural Resources and Environment

(2)

- 14 -

1)

EVN EVN 13

2)

EVN
IPP

3)

4)

EVN NPTC

5)

6)

7)




2020 89 /kWh

8)

ERAV

- 15 -


9)

IPP

10)

11) Capacity Payment

6.

1980 1993 IPP


IPP 1990
PPA IPP
1997
NPCNational Power Corporation
2001 6 EPIRAElectric Power Industry Restructuring Act

NPC

(1)
6-1 6-2 EPIRA
1)

DOEDepartment of Energy

NPC IPPs
NPC TransCoNational Transmission Corporation
JV NGCP
National Grid Corporation of the PhilippinesTransCo
- 16 -


MERALCO 55%20
ECs120
2)

ERCEnergy Regulatory Commission

PASLMPower Sector Assets and Liabilities Management


Corporation NPC IPP

NPC-IPPs

Generation

IPP

National Power
Corporation
()
Transmission

Distribution
Retail

Electric cooperation
(ECs)

Private distribution company


(MERALCO etc)

End user
[ Note ]
EPIRA
MERALCO

Electric Power Industry Restructuring Act, 26 June 2001


Manila Electric Company

2011

6-1

EPIRA

- 17 -

NPC-IPP

NPC

IPPs
Generation

Wholesale Electricity Spot Market


(WESM)
Electricity procurement
(PPA)

Transmission

National Grid Corporation of the Philippines

Supervision/

(NGCP)

Control of properties

Private corporation
(MERALCO)

Distribution
Retail

TransCo

Electricity Cooperation
(EC)

Retailer

End users

[ Note ]
EPIRA

Electric Power Industry Restructuring Act, 26 June 2001

MERALCO
Trans Co

Manila Electric Company


National Transmission Corporation

Under studying
2011

6-2

EPIRA 2012 10

(2)
NPC

1)

NPC

NPC 2012 9 4,320MW


1,900MW 2015

NPC
NGCPNational Grid Corporation of the Philippines ERC

2)

120
ECsElectric Cooperatives

3)

- 18 -

4)

EPIRA
30%
25%

5)

ECs
ERIRA


EC QPT
Qualified Third Party
QPT NPC
ECs

6)

WESM (Wholesale Electricity Spot


Market)

IPP PPA

7)

WESM Nodal Pricing


FTRsFinancial Transmission Rights

8)

NPC 2005 1.2


NPC PSALMPower Sector Assets and Liabilities Management
Corporation 2,000

NPC

9)

- 19 -

NPC

- 20 -

2014 7

page 1

60

Strategy on the Development of Electric Power Sector in Myanmar


-Progress of First National Electricity Master Plan

JICA

2014 7 11 133017101300
TKP 1

JICA

13:30 13:40

13:40 13:50 Opening Address

U Khin Maung Win

13:50 14:05

JICA
JICAs Assistance to the Power Sector of Myanmar

JICA
4

14:05 14:30

Country Report for Power Sector

U Kyi San Lin

~2030 ~


14:30 15:15 Outline of National Electricity Master Plan Vision as

of 2030
U Khin Maung Win
15:15 - 15:40
15:40 16:05

Coffee Break

Investment for Power Sector in Myanmar

Daw Myint Myint Kyi


Swe

16:05 16:30

Ensuring Domestic Supply of Natural Gas for


U Than Sein
Sustainable Power Generation in Myanmar
16:30 16:50

Procedure of Project Appraisal in FERD

16:50 17:05
17:05 17:15

U Aye Cho

Overall Q&A

Closing Remarks

*1
*2

JICA

page 2

JICAs Assistance to
the Power Sector of Myanmar

11 Jul 2014

JICAs Recent Assistances to Myanmar Power Sector (1/2)


Project Name

Schedule

Outline

Executing Agency

Study for formulating Power


Sector Development Plan.

MOEP, etc.

Technical Cooperation / Survey


(1) Project for Formulation
of the National Electricity
Plan

(2) Advisor for


Improvement of Electricity
Supply System in Yangon

(3) Project for the


Strategic Urban
Development Plan of the
Greater Yangon
Grant Aid
(1) Project for
Rehabilitation of
Baluchaung No.2
Hydropower Plant

On-going
Jun. 2013 Sep.
2014
On-going
Jul. 2012 - Jul.
2014
Completed
Aug. 2012 - Dec.
2013

Provision of advice and


proposal of improvement plan
on power supply system in
Yangon.

Study for formulation of urban


development plan of Yangon in
various subsectors incl. power.

Rehabilitation of equipment
Implementation from such as turbine, generator,
FY2013
etc.

MOEP:MinistryofElectricPower
YCDC:YangonCityDevelopmentCommittee

YESB

YCDC
YESB

HPGE

YESB:YangonCityElectricitySupplyBoard,MOEP
HPGE:HydropowerGeneratingEnterprise,MOEP

page 3

JICAs Recent Assistances to Myanmar Power Sector (2/2)


Project Name
Schedule
ODA Loan
(1) Urgent Rehabilitation and Implementation from
FY2013
Upgrade Project (Phase I)
[loan amount: JPY14,052mil.]

Implementation from
(2) Regional Development
Project for Poverty Reduction FY2013
(Phase I)
[loan amount: JPY17,000mil.]

(3) Infrastructure
Development Project in
Thilawa Area (Phase I)

Implementation from
FY2013

[loan amount: JPY20,000mil.]

(4) National Power


Transmission Development
Project

Pledged in Mar 2014

Outline
Rehabilitation and upgrade of
existing power plants and
substations in Yangon.
Rehabilitation and upgrade of basic
infrastructure such as road,
electricity and water supply
facilities in 7 states and 7 regions.

Development of Infrastructure such


as port and electricity facilities in
Thilawa Area.
Construction of high voltage (incl.
500kV) transmission lines and
related substations

Executing Agency

MEPE

ESE
PW
DRD
YESB
MEPE
MPA
MEPE

Related Studies
(1) Power Distribution
Improvement Project in
Yangon
(2) Distribution System
Improvement Project in Major
Cities in Myanmar

Completed

Survey will begin in


FY2014

Rehabilitation and upgrade of


Yangon electricity distribution
facilities.
Study for formulation of Distribution
System Improvement Project in Major
Cities in Myanmar.

YESB

ESE

MEPE:MyanmaElectricPowerEnterprise,MOEP:ESE:ElectricitySupplyEnterprise,MOEP;
MPA:MyanmaPortAuthority,MinistryofTransport;PW:PublicWorks,MinistryofConstruction;
DRD:DepartmentofRuralDevelopment,MinistryofLivestock,FisheriesandRuralDevelopment;

page 4

Country Report for Power Sector


MINISTRY OF ELECTRIC POWER

Tokyo, Japan
July 11 ,2014
Kyi San Lin
Superintendent Engineer
Power Transmission Project Department
Myanma Electric Power Enterprise
Ministry of Electric Power
1

Country Profile
Introduction
Country Name The Republic of the Union of Myanmar
Located in South East Asia
Capital Nay Pyi Taw
Major Cities Yangon, Mandalay and Mawlamyaing
Population 60 millions
Average growth rate1.75% per annum
Total Area 676,581 sq.km
Total international boundary 5860 km
Coastal strip 2833 km
Neighbouring Countries
China on North and North East
Laos on East
Thailand on South East
Bangladesh and India on North West
Main Export Rice, Timber, Fishery and Mineral
Four Major Rivers
Ayeyawady, Chindwin, Sittaung, Thanlwin
OtherFeatures Alotofmountainsandforestareas,riversand
creeksrichinnaturalresourcesabundantinenergyresourcesfor
power.

page 5

Background History of Organization


1910

1951

1950
Rangon Electric
Tramway and Supply
Co., (RET&S)

Companies

1997

1972

1989

Ministry of Electric
Power (MOEP)

2006

ESB (Electricity Supply


Board)
The Electricity Act (1948)

Ministry of Energy

Ministry of
Industry(2)

Myanma Electric Power


Enterprise (MEPE)

Electric Power
Corporation (EPC)

Ministry of Electric
Power No.1 (MOEP-1)
Ministry of Electric
Power No.2 (MOEP-2)

2012
Ministry of Electric
Power (MOEP)

Structure of Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution


Ministry of Electric Power
(MOEP)
Department of Hydropower
Planning
Department of Electric Power
Department of Hydropower
Implementation
Hydropower Generation
Enterprise
Myanma Electric Power
Enterprise

PLANNING FOR GENERATION


(HYDRO, COAL)
PLANNING FOR GENERATION (GT/CCPP),
TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION
CONSTRUCTION
FOR HYDRO &
COAL POWER
STATIONS

GENERATION

PRIVATE

TRANSMISSION

Electricity Supply Enterprise


Yangon City Electricity Supply
Board

DISTRIBUTION

PRIVATE

page 6

Policies
1. For sufficient electricity supply throughout the country, to expand the
national power grid for effective utilization of generated power from the
available energy resources such as hydro, wind, solar, thermal and other
alternative ones.
2. To conduct the electricity generation and distribution in accordance with the
advanced technologies and to uplift and enhance the private participation in
regional distribution activities.
3. To conduct Environmental and Social Impact Assessments for power
generation and transmission in order to minimize these impacts.
4. To restructure the power sector with cooperation, boards, private companies
and regional organizations for more participation of local and foreign
investments and formation of competitive power utilities.
5. To formulate the electricity acts and regulations with the idea assistances of
the local and international experts to be in line with the open economic era.
5

Organizational Profile
Organization

Ministry of Electric Power

Organizational Type -

Governmental

Established Date

5th September 2012


[ Reorganized MOEP 1 and MOEP 2 ]

Number of employee -

permitted - 37,514
appointed - 21,350

Business type

Generation, Transmission and Distribution

Activities

Hydro & Thermal Power Development,


Operation & Maintenance, Transmission &
Distribution Development System Operation &
Maintenance, Selling Energy to End Users.
6

page 7

Organizational Profile

Max;

demand

2,370 MW

Peak Load

2,100 MW

Nos. of consumers

2.9 millions

Per capita consumptions

180 KWh

Electrification ratio

32 %

Rural Electrification ratio

6.8 % (Only Grid)

Power Loss

Total Loss - 20 %
Transmission Loss- 4.5 %
Distribution Loss -15.5%

Organizational Profile
TransmissionFacilities
Length

Substations

Voltage
(kV)

Nos.of
Line

miles

km

nos

CapacityMVA

230

43

1,894

3,030.40

31

4,010.0

132

37

1,350

2,160.00

21

1,248.5

66

138

2,248

3,616.00

130

1,975.0

Total

218

5,492

8,806.40

182

7,233.5

DistributionFacilities
Length
km

Transformer
Capacity(MVA)

4,902.166

7,843.47

4,985.595

9,726.617

15,562.60

5,523.747
1,481.156

Voltage
(kV)

miles

33
11
6.6

841.321

1,346.11

0.4

13,239.609

21,183.37

Total

23,713.82

45,935.55

11,990.5
8

page 8

Installed Capacity in Year 2014


Grid System
(MW)

Isolated
(MW)

Total
(MW)

(%)

Installed Capacity

4,255

121

4,377

100.0

Hydroelectric

2,971

33

3,004

68.6

Gas

1,164

1,168

26.7

Coal

120

120

2.7

Diesel

79

79

1.8

Bio Mass

0.11

2.74%

1.81% 0.11%

26.7%

68.65%

Hydroelectric

Gas

Coal

Diesel

BioMass
9

Location of Existing Power Plants on Grid

Chibawe Ngwe
99MW

Tapein
240MW

Shweli-1
600MW
Thaphanseik
30 MW

2.82%

Sedawgyi
25MW

27.36
%
69.82
%

Kyunchaung
54.3 MW

Yeywa
790MW
Zawgyi-2
12MW

Kyauksue
100.3 MW

Zawgyi-1
18MW

Kinda
56 MW
Mone
75MW

Hydro

Gas

KyeeOhnKyeeWa
74MW

Coal

Nancho
40 MW

Man
36.9 MW

Kyauk Phyu
4MW

Sr
No.

Type of Power
Plant

Number

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

1.
2.
3.

Hydro Power
Gas
Coal

23
16
1

2,971.00
1,164.48
120.00

40

4,255.48

Total

Shwetaung
55.35MW
Myanaung
34.7MW

Paunglaung
280MW

Bluchaung-1
28MW
Bluchaung-2
168MW

Khapaung
30MW

Bluchaung-3
52MW

Kun
60MW
Yenwe
25MW

Hlawga
154.2MW
27.3 MW
Ywama
70.3MW
52 MW

KengTawng
54MW

Tigyit
120MW

Zaungtu
20MW
Thaketa
92 MW
53.28 MW

Ahlone
154.2MW8
4 MW

Shwekyin
75MW

Hydro Power Plant


Gas Power Plant
Steam Power Plant
Coal Fired

Thaton
50.95MW
Mawlamyaing
12MW

10

page 9

Total Generation Capacity by Plant Type


(as of Dec, 2013)

Total Generation Capacity by Plant


Type (as of April, 2014)

(MW)
Total

Gas

Coal

Total

120

2794

Govt

1959

1055

120

3134

840

JV

840

840

120

225

345

IPP

172

268

440

2919

940

120

3979

2971

1323

120

4414

Sr

Hydro

Gas

Coal

Govt

1959

715

JV

840

IPP
Total

(MW)
Owner/
Sr
Hydro
Fuel

Owner/
Fuel

Total

2600

2600

2100

2100

1600

IPP
JV
Govt

1100
600
100
Hydro Gas

IPP
JV
Govt

1600
1100
600
100

Coal

Hydro Gas

Coal

11

Energy Generation By Fuel Type


2013

Hydro MWH

Gas MWH

Coal MWH

Jan

630039.6

225422.3

24771.16

Feb

594997.9

210256.1

13114.19

March

659482.3

278571.1

16744.12

April

685622.3

208496.6

16642.88

May

629492.1

278542.5

17485.95

June

625751

285618.8

16017.99

July

690901.1

293064.3

14254.14

August

817098.3

233374.94

18587.01

Sept

828429.1

211485.74

11031.68

Oct

873296.2

211690.90

Nov

836094.1

223497.86

Dec

736506.9

277493.18

12401.49

Total

8607710.9

2937514.3

Total MWH
880233.06
818368.19
954797.52
910761.78
925520.55
927387.79
998219.54
1069060.25
1050946.52
1084987.1
1059591.96

161050.61

1026401.57
11706275.83
12

page 10

Energy Generation By Fuel Type


1200000
1000000
800000
600000
Coal MWH
Gas MWH
Hydro MWH

400000
200000
0

13

Energy Consumption By Sector


(GWhr)
Type of
Consumption
Industrial

Unit

2010-2011
Year

2011-2012
Year

2012-2013
Year

2013-2014
Year

GWh

2286.7

2727.3

2690.5

2698.9

Household

GWh

2653.5

3380.9

3649.7

3763.8

Others

GWh

1371.88

1608.579

1913.668

3149.9

Total

GWh

6312.08

7716.779

8253.868

9612.6

10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
2013-2014

Industrial

House

Others

Total
14

page 11

Monthly Peak Demand (MW) from Jan, 2011 to May, 2014


Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2011

1379.0

1357.0

1436.0

1458.0

1434.0

1425.0

1533.0

1529.0

1540.0

1562.0

1582.0

1588.0

2012

1537.0

1624.0

1639.0

1591.0

1499.0

1505.0

1614.0

1741.0

1796.0

1783.0

1698.0

1796.0

2013

1629.6

1668.16 1745.45 1773.48 1688.24 1703.88

1768.8

1873.3

1910.93 1922.45 1969.02 1933.69

2014

1828.74 1948.96 2052.87 2097.25

2200
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0

2011
2012
2013
2014

Jan

Feb Mar

Apr May Jun

Jul

Aug Sep

Oct

Nov Dec

15

Peak Demand and Generated Electricity in Summer Season


Generated Electricity

Expected Peak Demand

(MW)
4500

3950

4000
3500

2844

3000

2370

2500
1850

2100

1600
1420

1500
1000

(744 MW)

2060

2000

1434

1591

1680

(1850 MW)

2100

2100

(25-4-2014)

1042

500
0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Remark: (1) Highest electricity can be generated on April 25, 2014. There was no load-shedding on that
day.
(2) If industrial zone and transmission are well developed the electricity demand will be increase
as usual. To meet 50% of electrified household in 2015-2016 the available generated capacity
must be 3950 MW

16

page 12

No

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Name of Power Plant

Energy
(GWh)

Remark

(A) Hydro Power Plant Project


1
2

Phyuuchaung
Upper Paunglaung
(A)Total

40
140
180

120
454
574

(B) Gas-fired Power Plant Project


1

Ahalone

Mawlamying

3
4
5
6
7

Thaketa
Kyaukphyu
Kanpauk
Thaton
Myingyan
(B) Total

37 (121)

848

186.5 (230)

304

101 (1st Phase)


50
20
106
250
750.5

707
350
140
743
1756
4848

84 MW is completed and operating in 2014


(43.5MW) is installed in 2014 and
Negotiation for Gas.
Signed MOU.
Tender Processing.
Rental Gas Engine
Evaluating the Tender.
Evaluating the Tender.

(C) Solar Power Project


1
2
3

Minbu
Nabuai
Shwemyo
(C) Total
(A+B+C) Total

50
200
10
260
1190.5

53
200
11
264
5686

Signed MOU
Signed MOU
Signed MOU

17

1.

Introduction of 500 kV transmission system and SCADA EMS


system

2.

Solving the supply and demand unbalance problem within short


term, especially in dry season

3.

Reduction of high power loss and upgrading the distribution


system

4.

Enhancing private sector participation to be involved more and


more in generation and distribution activities

5.

Formulating Electricity laws and regulations, taking the idea


assistance from Local and international experts

6.

Capacity building and human resources development program


for engineers to be in line with the advanced technology
18

page 13

Status of Cross Border Transmission Projects

India

China

Bangladesh

Tarpain-1 (240MW)
Export to China(180MW)
Shweli -1(600 MW)
Export to China(300MW)

Thailand

Thanlwing
River

Mont Tong Hydro Power Project

(7110 MW) (MOU)


Power Export to Thailand
HtutGyi Hydro Power Project
(1360 MW) (MOU)
Power Export to Thailand

19

Myanmar Electricity Law (Draft)

The currently usage electricity law of Myanmar is 1984


Electricity Acts. Nowadays, As Myanmar is reforming to
Democracy System, Myanmar Electricity Law has being
amended to be included private investment sector . There are
16 no. article and 69 no. of sections in the new electricity law
(Draft).
Now, the draft is being submitted to Parliament and still in
discussion.

20

page 14

Thank You for Your Attention

21

page 15

Outline of National Electricity Master Plan


- Vision as of 2030 TOKYO, JAPAN
JULY 2014

NEWJEC Inc.

The Kansai Electric Power Co., Inc.

CONTENTS
1. Power Generation Development Plan (PGDP)
1.1 Demand Forecast
1.2 Primary Energy and Power Resources
1.3 Analysis of PGDP Scenarios

2. Environmental and Social Consideration


3. System Development Planning
4. Technical Review Results

page 16

1. POWER GENERATION
DEVELOPMENT PLAN (PGDP)
1.1 Demand Forecast

Methodology and Forecasting Conditions


The results of forecast come from the methodology and conditions below.
Analysis
Step
Variable
Setting

Power
Consumption
Forecast

Peak
Demand
Forecast

Allocation
to Region/
State

Conditions for the forecast

Reference

High Case : 8.7%

The growth rate of 2011-2012

Low Case : 6.4%

IMF Economic Outlook

GDP
Elasticity

1.4

Potential
Demand

4.4%

The average from the result of 2002-2010


Calculated from the load shedding result data

High Case

Both industry and non-industry sector will grow at 13%

Low Case

Industry sector will grow at 13% by 2020, afterwards, 9.8%


Non-industry sector will grow at 9.8% constantly

Scenario

Load
Factor

68.4%

The average of the figures of past 4 years (2010-2013)

Electricity
Loss

12.0%
(2030)

From the electricity loss of Thailand in 2000

Internal
Use

0.86%

The average figure between 2007 and 2011

YESB
ESE

The value of total peak demand minus ESE peak demand


Professional judgment by MOEP
4

page 17

Demand Forecast Results


The maximum power demand in Myanmar will vary from the minimum at around
9,100 MW to the maximum at 14,542MW by 2030, forecasted based on macro
analysis.
Results of Demand Forecast

Results of Demand Forecast by region/state

MW
15,000
Low Case
10,000

5,000

0
2015

2020

2025

2030

Year
Year

High Case (MW)


Total

Non-industry

Low Case (MW)

Industry

Total

Non-industry

Industry

2012

1,874

1,265

609

1,874

1,265

609

2020

4,531

3,060

1,472

3,862

2,390

1,472

2030

14,542

9,819

4,723

9,100

5,631

3,468

Year

Thilawa

High Case (MW) Low Case (MW)


FY2012 FY2030 FY2012 FY2030
Kachin
21
185
21
140
Kayah
8
162
8
130
Kayin
13
165
13
135
Chin
3
90
3
60
Mon
45
418
45
338
Rakhine
10
243
10
180
Shan
103
355
103
288
Sagaing
98
349
98
282
Tanintharyi
52
290
52
235
Bago
131
646
131
523
Magwe
106
293
106
238
Mandalay
457
2,731
457
2,203
Ayeyarwaddy
85
406
85
329
Yangon
742
8,209
742
4,019
Total
1,874 14,542
1,874
9,100
Region
/State

High Case

Special Economic Zone (MW) **


Kyaukphyu
Mandalay

2020

180 200

100

100

Dawei
180

2030

400 500

180

300

300 - 500

* Demand data of each region/state except Yangon were


provided by ESE
** The demand for SEZ is included in industry demand, the data
of which were provided by MOEP.

1.2 Primary Energy and Power


Resources
Gas Power Generation and Gas Supply

page 18

Conditions and Approach to Solution


Current Conditions (March 2013)
1) Gas for electric power is supplied from domestic on-shore or off-shore. But
power sector receives gas supply of 200 ~ 300 bbtud up to 2030, which is
13% ( [domestic 20%] x [power 65%] ) of total gas production.
2) New gas fields can be commissioned after 2019/20.
3) All the gas power stations: existing (G1), stand by (G2) and planned (G3)
require twice as much gas supply as the supply forecast.
4) Gap between gas demand and supply should be adjusted.

Approach to Solution for Gas Power Development


1) Planned gas power station was prioritized as fast track (G3-1) and the
others (G3-2) to fill the gap between gas demand and supply.
2) As a result, the gap could be filled but gas supply should be supplemented
by imported oil or LNG in short term (up to 2020).
3) The estimate indicates that the other planned gas p/s could start running
only after 2020.
7

Grouping of Gas Power Plants as of May 2014


Group*

Condition

Available
Capacity
(MW)**

Existing plants including


those being rehabilitated and
upgraded.

62

PPA under negotiation or


finalization for IPP projects.

GE/GTCC: 2 plants
IPP:
Hlawga (II), Ahlone (II)

700

Fast track planned projects to


be commissioned by 2020.
Dual fuel (Gas, HSD) type is
expected until 2020.

GT/CC: 7 plants
Thilawa, Kyause, Mawlamyaing,
Kanpouk (I), Myin Gyan,
Kyaukphyu, Thaketa (I)

Planned Projects to be
commissioned by 2030.

GT/CC: 6 plants
Hlaingtharya, Hlawga,
Thaketa,
Thaketa (II), Ayeyarwady,
Kanpouk (II)

Existing

1,023

G2

Stand-by

Fast track

G3
G3-2

Planned

Project list

Yangon4 plants, Other5 plants


(2013-2016 : 363MW,
2017-2030 : 574MW)
GE/GT : 5 plants
IPP:
Hlawga(I), Ywama, Thaketa,
Ahlone (I),
MEPE: Ywama

G1

G3-1

Objectives

2,789

Note: * Grouping may be changed in terms of gas allocation and project priority by Myanmar government.
** Available capacity = (installed capacity) - (capacity deterioration by time )

page 19

Solution of Gas Supply and Power Development


Planned gas p/s (G3) can be divided into fast track (G3-1) and the others (G3-2). Fast track projects group
(G3-1) are fueled by imported oil and the other planned projects group are fed by domestic new gas or
imported LNG (G3-2). G3-1 are to be developed by 2016, and G3-2 after 2020.
Maximum power of all existing gas plants (G1) increases from 363 MW to 574 MW after
rehabilitation/upgrading/replacement.
G3-1 is planned to receive imported oil until 2020 to supplement pipelined gas.
Total installed capacity reaches 2.0GW by 2016 and 4.8GW by 2030.
Gas generation shift to adjust gas supply forecast
as of March 2013

Cumulative capacity of gas p/s and gas requirement

G3-2

600

Scenario 1&3

G3-1
Scenario 2

300

G2

2030

Yangon4Plants, Other5Plants
(2013-2016:363, 2017-2030:574)

G1

Year

Review of Gas Power Stations Development Plan


Cumulative Capacity of Gas P/S and Gas requirement
700

5000
Capacity forecast as of
2013/14 (MW)

Cumulative capacity of gas p/s


and its gas requirement were
reviewed in May 2014 on
suggestion of grouping G1, G2
and G3-1 & G3-2.

4500

Capacity forecast as of
2014/15 (MW)

600

Oil & Gas requirement


2013/14 (bbtud)

4000

Oil & Gas requirement


2014/15 (bbtud)

500

3500

3000

2500
300
2000

1500

200

1000
100
500

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

Up to 2020 gas p/s of 2000


MW level should be developed
but it is still anticipated of gas
supply shortage of 100 (=350 250) bbtud.

MW

400

bbtud

Outlook of total capacity of gas


p/s was revised downward
anticipating of gas supply
shortage.

year

Cumulative capacity of gas p/s and its gas


requirement were reviewed in May 2014
10

page 20

1.2 Primary Energy and Power


Resources
Hydro Potential and Generation

11

Hydro Potential
Only 3.0 GW (2.8%) was developed in possible and primary potential of 48.5 GW
(44.9 %) out of overall hydro power potential of 108GW (100%).
IPP development by China or Thai dominates 42.1GW (92.5%) in residual possible and
primary power of 45.5 GW, and a half electricity energy is to be allocated to these
countries.
Total 2.6GW of 13 hydro projects by MOEP and MOAI and total 0.8GW of 5 projects by
Local IPP are planned to be developed.
Hydro is cost-effective power resource blessed with rich national potential.

Residual Possible(36.1 GW*) & Primary (9.4 GW) = 45.5 GW


2.6

0.8
9.4

3.0

Total 108GW

MOEP
BOT
42.1

Challenge
36.1

59.5

Possible
Primary

IPP

Developed

HydrodevelopmentschemeforPossibleandPrimary
(GW)

Hydro development Status (GW)

Note: Primary : small and medium hydro possible to be developed by 2030 and two large hydro, Kunlong signed JVA and
Naopha/Mantong signed MOA. Residual possible : residual small to large hydro projects listed by MOEP.

12

page 21

Difficulty of Large Hydropower Development


Large hydro site map
Possible

Projects over 1,000 MW on main


streams are defined as large hydro in
this master plan.
Development of Large Hydropower
Projects on main streams faces
following difficulties;
Long lead time, a few decades,
until operation
Significant environmental and
social impact
Construction of long distance
HV transmission line

Primary
Possible

Ywathit (4,000MW)

Maximum Capacity in Scenarios (GW)

Description
Large (A)
Small/Medium (B)
(A) + (B)
Primary + Possible
Potential

Scenario 1, 2
Scenario 3
Primary
Possible
2.8
24.1
6.6
3.3
9.4
27.4
36.8
45.5

Not Avail.
Suspended
7.2
1.5
8.7

Note: Two large hydro p/s, namely Kunlong and Naopha/


Mantong along Thanlwin River are assumed to be
implemented in accordance with JVA and MOA
respectively.
13

Domestic Power Supply Change in Seasons and by Export


Relation between capacity and power supply of IPP hydro
100%
Export

90%
80%
70%

for Myanmar

50%

60%

35%

50%
40%
30%
20%

25%
50%
35%

10%

25%

0%

Installed capacity

Power supply in wet

Power supply in dry

Hydro Projects by IPPs of China and Thai share 42 GW (93%) in total and generated power
will be partially exported to foreign countries. Export ratio is set at 50% as in Shweli-1.
Hydro electricity power generally decreases by 30% in dry season than wet one.
Hydro power supply in dry season decreases to a half of the installed capacity on the
record, and the basis to make an overall power development plan.
As a result, power supply of IPP hydro to the domestic decreases to 25% of total installed
capacity in dry season.
14

page 22

1.2 Primary Energy and Power


Resources
Coal Power Generation and Coal Supply

15

Coal Supply
Tygit plant is operated currently at only 60MW against installed capacity 120 MW.
Construction on new coal power stations(P/S) is planned to start in the near future.
Domestic coals provide heat value(3,000~6,500 kcal/kg). Kalewa (Sagaing Division) or
Mainghkok (Shan State) mines produce better quality coal. Domestic mines are planned to
be developed at 5.6 million ton/year3.4 million ton /year for Power Sector) in 2030 (Ministry
of Mining).

Amount of coal (103 ton/year)

Import coal volume increases in proportion to coal thermal electricity. When imported coal
P/S generate 6.7 GW(86%) in maximum output 7.8 GW of overall new coal P/S, coal import
volume reaches 6 times as many as domestic one (Maximum import, Scenario 3).
25,000

Domestic supply
20,000

Domestic coal
is not sufficient
for coal p/s
generation in
the future.

Scenario 3 requirement

15,000
10,000

Import
5,000
0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
2030
2030
2025
2020
2013
Year

Forecast of domestic coal production and import

16

page 23

Characteristics of Coal Power Stations


1. Categorization of Coal Power Stations in Myanmar
Site
Near Power
Demand
Center

Plants
Kyauktan, Thilawa,
Kunchangon, Ngapudaw, etc.

Deep Sea
Port

Boakpyin, Ngayyukong, etc.

Mine-mouth

Keng Tong, Kalewa, etc.

Coal Source

Coal Transportation

Import

Direct Trans. from Overseas


Via Future Coal Terminal
Off-shore Transshipment

Import

Direct Trans. from Overseas

Domestic

Coal Conveyors

2. Advantages of Coal Power Stations


a) Stable Output
Output is not affected by season
Output is not affected by site air conditions (Temperature, Pressure, Humidity)
b) Stable Coal Supply from International Coal Market
3. Disadvantages of Coal Power Stations
a) Environmental impact on air pollutions (NOx, SOx, Dust)
b) Environmental impact on thermal diffusion in sea/river
However, these disadvantages can be solved by CCT (Clean Coal Technology) .

17

1.3 Analysis of PGDP Scenarios


Scenarios Set Up

18

page 24

Scenario Formulation of PGDP


Item

Description

Period

2013 - 2030

Demand

High Case (4,531MW in 2020 and 14,542MW in 2030)

Tool

Wien Automatic System Planning Package IV (WASP IV) to find


optimal
expansion plan
2. Scenarios
Scenario
No.

Priority

Concept

Domestic
Scenario 1 is formulated
based on large hydro
Energy
Consumption oriented plan.

Power resources
Maximum utilization of domestic
energy
Possible hydropower plans
Listed gas p/s plans

Least Cost

Scenario 2 aims to minimize Possible hydropower plans


the development and fuel
Less gas p/s after 2016
cost.
Rest with coal and renewables.

Power
Resources
Balance

Scenario 3 is formulated
considering the composition
of power resources and
feasibilities of development

Hydropower plans with high


feasibilities
Modified gas p/s plans
Rest with coal and renewables
19

1.3 Analysis of PGDP Scenarios


Comparison of Scenarios

20

page 25

Installed Capacity and Power Supply in Scenarios


Scenario 1
(Domestic Energy Consumption)

Scenario 2
(Least Cost)

Scenario 3
(Power Resources Balance)

Annual Transition of Power Supply


for Peak Demand (MW)

Annual Transition of Power Supply


for Peak Demand (MW)

Annual Transition of Power


Supply for Peak Demand (MW)

2015

2020

2025

2030

Installed capacity (28,784MW)


for Myanmar 2030

2015

2020

2025

2030

Installed capacity (28,552MW)


for Myanmar 2030

2015

2020

2025

2030

Installed capacity (23,594MW)


for Myanmar 2030

21

Power Supply Increase filling Demand Forecast


Power supply plan was adjusted to target reserved margin of 30 to 40 %,
commonly used in east Asia countries.
Relation among peak demand, total power supply
and reserved margin for Myanmar in dry season

Reserved margin = (B-A)/A


(Target value: 30 to 40 %)

22

page 26

Difference of Power Supply among Scenarios


GW

Summary of Power Supply for Peak Demand (GW)

20.0

Renewable

Hydropower

Coal

Gas

2.0

2.0

9.5

9.5

15.0

2.0
4.4

10.0
7.9

5.0

0.0

0.3
2.3

0.3
2.3

0.3
2.3

2.8

1.9

1.9

1.9

4.8

1.8

1.8

1.8

5.0
4.6
2.3

1.1
0.1
0.4
Present

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

2014

2020

2030

Year

Scenario 1
(Domestic Energy Consumption)

Scenario 2
(Least Cost)

Scenario 3
(Power Resources Balance)

Up to 2020
Gas and Small & Medium Hydro are
main power resources.
Coal p/s will be run by 2020 on MOEP
plan.

Up to 2020
Gas and Small & Medium Hydro are
main power resources.
Coal p/s will be run by 2020 on MOEP
plan.

Up to 2030
Large hydro is mainly installed in the
long term.
Gas p/s is installed after securing gas
supply.

Up to 2030
Coal and Large hydro are selected due
to lower cost.
Gas p/s are avoided due to higher fuel
cost.

Up to 2020
Gas and Small & Medium Hydro are main
power resources.
Coal p/s will be run by 2020 on MOEP plan.
Up to 2030
Coal p/s is developed in the long term.
Medium & Small Hydro and some Large
Hydro are developed in the long term.
Gas p/s is installed after securing gas
supply.

23

Each Power Source Unit Cost


(cents/kWh)

17.1

18
15.3

16
14
12

10.5

10
8
6

9
7.8
6.1

4
2
0
Hydro

Coal
(subcritical)

Coal
(USC)

GTCC
(Gas)

GTCC
(LNG)

GTCC
(HSD)

Unit Cost = Annual Fixed Cost / (8760 x CF) + Annual Variable Cost /8760
Capacity Factor (CF): Hydro 50%, Coal 70%, GTCC 75%
CoalImport coal, Gas: Domestic gas, HSD: High speed diesel
Analysis condition is based on Main Input Data of Future Power Station for Cost Analysis
24

page 27

Comparison of Unit Cost


LRMC of Scenario 3 (Power Resources Balance) is 1 cent/kWh higher than that
of Scenario 2 (Least Cost Scenario). But LRAIC of TL is about 0.1 cent/kWh less
than those of the other Scenarios.
Long Run Marginal Cost for Respective Scenarios
(US cents/kWh)
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Scenario 1

Note:

G&Tcostswillbe
updatedbasedon
newlists.

0.51
0.63

0.63

7.22

6.95

Scenario 2

7.99

Transmission
Generation

Scenario3

Coal generation cost is based on ultra super critical type.


Generation cost of Renewable Energy is included.
LRMC: long run marginal cost, LRAIC: long run average incremental cost

25

Financial GAP should be filled in the future


Even though power tariff was increased in April 2014, the tariff should be
increased further to fill the gap in Scenario 3.

Note 1 YESB : Units consumed (2012-2013) 3753.48 Million kWh


Income from Sales of Electricity (2012-2013) 216,521.7 kyats in Million
Note 2 Assumed Average Tariff of YESB after April 2014 is computed in this Study.
Note 3 Long run marginal cost will be updated based on final plan.
Source: YESB Statistics 2012-2013; Myanmar Ahlim Newspaper Nov 10, 2013
26

page 28

Relation between Installed Capacity and Power Supply


In same power supply in dry season in Scenarios, smaller gap of power supply between dry
and wet season in Scenario 3 is observed.
In wet season, power supply of gas and coal p/s can be reduced by the increase of hydro
power generation to minimize total generation cost.
Possibility of gas p/s development depends on new domestic gas supply or import.
Installed Capacity for Myanmar and Power Supply in Dry and Wet Season in Scenario (Year 2030)

(Scenario 1)
Gap between
wet and dry season
2808 MW

Installed
Wet
Capacity Season
for Myanmar Power
Supply

(Scenario 3)

(Scenario 2)

Dry
Season
Power
Supply

779 MW

2808 MW

Installed
Wet
Capacity Season
for Myanmar Power
Supply

Dry
Season
Power
Supply

Installed
Wet
Capacity Season
for Myanmar Power
Supply

Dry
Season
Power
Supply

Note: Hydro(Large)>1000MW, Hydro(Small & Middle) < 1000MW, Shweli-3 (1050MW) by MOEP included in Small & Medium.

27

Demand and Supply Balance in Scenario 3


Balance between Demand and Supply in 2030
A Total Installed Capacity

Maximum Output (GW)

B Installed Capacity for Myanmar


C Power Supply in Dry

Total 185%
30
25

Export by IPP (+23%)


Hydro effect (+32%)
Reserve (+30%)

20

Supply
14.5 (100%)

15

Demand 14.5

10
5

AB C

0
yr2030

Demand :14.5GW in High case


Supply :18.9GW in Dry season available by installed capacity for Myanmar
23.6GW & total installed capacity 27.0 GW

Powersupplyindryseasonshouldmeetmaximumdemand.Powersupplyisdeducted
from totalinstalledcapacitybyreservemargin,powerincreaseinthewetandIPPexport.

28

page 29

2. Environmental and Social


Consideration

29

Outlook of Serious Adverse Impacts


for Main Power Source Types
Potential Serious
Adverse Impact

Large Scale
Hydropower

Small / Medium
Scale
Hydropower

Gas-Fired
Thermal Power

Coal-Fired
Thermal Power

Resettlement /
Indigenous
People

Likely
large scale

Possible

Possible

Possible

Ecosystem /
Rare Species

Likely
large scale

Possible

Possible

Possible

Water Pollution /
Water Usage

Likely water quality


degradation by
reservoir

Reduction of runof in some river


section

Rare

Likely From coal


storage and ash
disposal

Air Pollution

None

None

NOx

SPM , SOx, NOx

Greenhouse Gas
Emission

None, if timber remain


in reservoir, CH4 likely

None

CO2

More CO2
relatively

{Ref.} Suitable
Load

Peak Load
Middle Load

Middle Load
Base Load

Peak Load
Middle Load

Mainly
Base Load

Note: Large hydropower projects are classified to be over 1,000 MW along the main rivers in this Study.
SPM: suspended particulate matter
30

page 30

MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS - Scoring


for Environmental Items and Power Source Types
Categories

Environmental
Items

Score
for
Items
(1)

Large Scale HPP


Score of
Type (2)

10

1
3) Heritage
Social
Environment
4) Landscape

8
10

5) Indigenous
6) Protected Areas

10
10
5

(3)=(1)x(2)

(3)=(1)x(2)

Score of
Type (2)

10

10

10

0.4

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10) Water Quality


11) Wastes

Coal-fired TPP

(3)=(1)x(2)

Score of
Type (2)

(3)=(1)x(2)

1.6

0.4

10

1.6

10

10

1.6

1.6

2.5

10

12) Noise, Vibr

0.4

10

Global Warming

10

10

10

2) Living

2 Natural
7) Ecosystem
Environment
8) Topography
9) Air Quality

13)

Gas-fired TPP

Score of
Type (2)

1) Resettlement

3 Pollution
Control

Small/Medium Scale
HPP

Impact

Impact

Impact

Impact

Total Scores (4) =total of (3)

54.8

25.0

23.7

51.0

Environmental Impacts Degrees


=(4) /13/ 10

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

Scoring are pointed by the Study Team considering past objective lesson and so forth
Weights from 0 to 10 is set up to Environmental Items and Power source types

31

MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS - Result


Environmental Impact Degrees in Scenarios
Power Type
Impact Degrees for Power
Sources
(1)
Installed Capacity
(GW)
(2)
Domestic
Ratio of Sources
(3)
Energy
Impact Degrees
(4)
Installed Capacity
(GW)
(2)
Ratio of Sources
Least Cost
(3)
Impact Degrees
(4)
Installed Capacity
(GW)
(2)
Resource
Ratio of Sources
(3)
Balance
Impact Degrees
(4)
Installed Capacity
(GW)
(2)
(Ref)
Ratio of Sources
Environmental
(3)
Option
Impact Degrees
(4)

Large Scale
HPP

Small /
Medium
Scale HPP

Gas-fired
TPP

Coal-fired
TPP

Renewable
Energy

4.2

1.9

1.8

3.9

0.0

Total
(5)

24.3

9.5

5.0

2.8

2.0

43.6

55.8%

21.8%

11.5%

6.3%

4.6%

100%

1.02

0.18

0.09

0.11

0.0

1.41

24.3

9.5

2.5

5.0

2.0

43.3

60.2%

20.1%

5.3%

10.1%

4.3%

100%

1.02

0.18

0.05

0.20

0.0

1.45

2.8

9.5

4.8

7.9

2.0

27.0

10.0%

35.3%

17.7%

30.0%

7.1%

100%

0.12

0.19

0.09

0.31

0.0

0.71

15.0

7.0

4.0

3.0

29.0

0.0%

51.7%

24.2%

13.8%

10.3%

100%

0.0

0.30

0.14

0.15

0.0

0.59

Ratio
against
(Ref)
(6)

2.4

2.5

1.2

1.0

Note: "Impact Degrees" of (1) come from previous Table of the Scoring, which is calculated by the Study Team.
Impact Degrees of (4) are calculated by formula of the figures of (1) x (2)/100.
The Impact degrees of renewable energy (solar) are set at zero, as predicted impacts are quite low compared to the other sources.
Environmental Option is reference where ideal environmental conditions are applied.

32

page 31

Evaluation on Environmental Impacts in Scenarios


The environmental impact in Scenario 3 is less than that in Scenarios 1 & 2.
The low composition ratio of large scale hydropower and coal-fired thermal power
brings low environmental impacts.
More capacity of small to medium hydro is expected in Environmental Consideration
Option than that of Scenario 3, but no more specific sites for small to medium hydro
p/s is found than those of Scenario 3.

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Reference

33

Mitigation Measures
Four kinds of mitigation measures are suggested for formulation of the National
Electricity Master Plan.
(a)

(b)

Saving electricity consumption


1

Applying the demand side management (DSM)

Adopt appropriate power tariff according to consumers classification

Effective use of energy resources


1

Reduce transmission and distribution losses

Adopt higher efficiency technology such as Ultra Super Critical (USC)


coal power geneartion

(c)

(d)

Promote environmental impact-reducing projects


1

Renewal or expansion of existing power projects

Promote development of medium/small hydropower, gas thermal


power, and renewable energy projects

Project sites selection with less environmental impacts


34

page 32

3. System Development Planning

35

Power Flow Analysis (Year 2030)


(Scenario 1: Priority on domestic energy consumption)
DC T/L (approx. 2 x 2,500MW) from Northern area to Yangon area, and 2nd Phase
AC 500kV T/L seem to be necessary especially in the rainy season.
Y2030 rainy season

Y2030 dry season


Northern
area

Hydro:50%
Thermal:60%

Northern
area

Gen:6,471
Load:2,496

Hydro:70%
Thermal:11%
Gen:8,409
Load:2,496

3,975
MW
Gen:358
Load:481

Western
area
Gen:3,385
Load:8,630

123
MW

5,238
MW

5,913
MW
Gen:3,081
Load:1,695

Middle
area
Yangon
area
Southern
area

Gen:830
Load:804

Gen:439
Load:481

Western
area

Gen:620
Load:8,630

42
MW

8,296
MW

Gen:4,120
Load:1,695

Middle
area
Yangon
area

Gen:565
Load:804

Southern
area
36

page 33

Power Flow Analysis (Year 2030)


(Scenario 3: Energy Resources Balance)
Power flow among blocks are relatively smaller compared to Scenario 1. But
2nd Phase AC 500kV T/L seems to be necessary especially in the rainy season.
Y2030 rainy season

Y2030 dry season


Northern
area

Northern
area

Hydro:50%
Thermal:78%
Gen:3,620
Load:2,496

Hydro:90%
Thermal:52%
Gen:5,665
Load:2,496

1,124
MW
Gen:1,043
Load:481

Gen:826
Load:481

Gen:1,283
Load:1,695

712
MW

Western
area
Gen:7,233
Load:8,630

3,169
MW

Yangon
area

3,506
MW

Western
area

Middle
area
Gen:975
Load:804

Gen:4,822
Load:8,630

Yangon
area

Gen:2,032
Load:1,695

Middle
area
Gen:820
Load:804

Southern
area

Southern
area

37

Outline of Power System Expansion in 2030


Scenario 1

Scenario 3

North to South:
4 main routes

North to South:
2 main routes

1st Phase
500kV T/L

1st Phase
500kV T/L
+-500kV
DC T/L
2nd Phase
500kV T/L

+-500kV
DC T/L
2nd Phase
500kV T/L

Legend
power plant
(in operation / planned)
substation
(in operation / planned)
500kV transmission lines
(in operation / planned)
230kV transmission lines
(in operation after 2021/ planned)
230kV transmission lines
(in operation after 2021)

38

page 34

Study Result of Transmission System


SCENARIO
Priority of PGDP
Main projects

Mid-term 500kV Cost


(Year
2016-2020) 230-132kV
Cost

Total
Main projects

Lon-term 500kV Cost


(Year
2021-2030) 230-132kV
Cost

Total

No 1

No 2

No 3

Domestic energy
consumption

Least cost

Power resources
balance

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

500kV T/L

710 MUSD

710 MUSD

710 MUSD

(570km, 5,000MVA)

(570km, 5,000MVA)

(570km, 5,000MVA)

1,660 MUSD

1,660 MUSD

1,660 MUSD

(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

(4,160km, 8,770MVA)

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

2,370 MUSD

DC T/L
500kV T/L

DC T/L
500kV T/L

500kV T/L

4,680 MUSD

4,680 MUSD

2,480 MUSD

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

900 MUSD

5,580 MUSD

5,580 MUSD

3,380 MUSD

Note: Results of detailed power system study are not reflected on figures.

39

4. Technical Review Results

40

page 35

Technical review result (1/3)

Advantage/Disadvantage

SCENARIO

Priority

Domestic energy
consumption

Least cost

Power resources balance

Max. power
demand & Power
Supply, 2030
Installed (Max)
Capacity for
Myanmar, 2030

MPD:
PS:

14.5 GW
18.9 GW

MPD:
PS:

28.8 GW

14.5 GW
18.9 GW

MPD:
PS:

14.5 GW
18.9 GW

23.6 GW due to less large


hydro

28.6 GW

Energy (Power)
Resources

All possible hydro


potential 45.5GW .
All gas supply to Power
Sector, 200~300 bbtud.
Rest with coal and
renewables.

All possible hydro


potential.
Some domestic supplied
gas is replaced by
imported coal.
Rest with coal and
renewables.

Feasible/primary hydro potential,


9.4GW, is selected.
All gas supply to Power Sector is
used.
Rest with coal and renewables.
Energy resources are well
balanced to improve energy
security.

Power Sources
for Myanmar,
2030
(Unit GW)

Large Hydro: 12.1 (42%)


Small & Medium Hydro:
6.9 (24%)
Gas:
5.0 (17%)
Coal:
2.8 (10%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 7%)

Large Hydro: 12.1 (42%)


Small & Medium Hydro:
6.9 (24%)
Gas:
2.5 ( 9%)
Coal:
5.0 (18%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 7%)

Large Hydro:
1.4 ( 6%)
Small & Medium Hydro:
7.5 (32%)
Gas:
4.8 (20%)
Coal:
7.9 (33%)
Renewable:
2.0 ( 9%)

41

Technical review result (2/3)

Advantage/Disadvantage

SCENARIO

Long Run
Marginal Cost
for Generation

7.2 cents/kWh

7.0 cents/kWh

8.0 cents/kWh

Long Run
Average
Incremental
Cost for HVTL

0.6 cents/kWh
500 kV DC links
added

0.6 cents/kWh
500 kV DC links
added

0.5 cents/kWh

Environment
impact

Larger impact by large Larger impact by large


hydro p/s
hydro p/s

Feasibility of
target

Difficulty of large hydro


p/s in terms of
environmental impact,
long lead time and
long HVDCTL.
Fuel for gas p/s to be
imported.

Difficulty of large hydro


p/s in terms of
environmental impact,
long lead time and
long HVDCTL.
On-going gas plants
are suspended.

More greenhouse gas


emission and air
pollution by coal p/s
Large hydro p/s is
excluded to avoid
risks.
Fuel for gas p/s to be
imported.
Environment impact
by coal p/s should be
mitigated.
42

page 36

Technical review result (3/3)

Advantage/Disadvantage

SCENARIO

Priority

Domestic energy
consumption

Least cost

Power resources balance

Total installed capacity


is 28.8 GW, 2030.

Total installed capacity


is 28.6 GW.

Total installed capacity is


only 23.6 GW.

Least LRMC 7.0 c/kWh High LRMC 8.0 /kWh but


Low LRMC 7.2 c/kWh
but more cost for HVTL but more cost for HVTL less cost for HVTL, 0.5
0.6 /kWh.
0.6 /kWh.
c/kWh.

Overall
technical
review result

Gas or oil/LNG should


be supplied to G3-1
(fast track) & G3-2
(planned).

Gas or oil/LNG should


be supplied to G3-1
(fast track) only.

Gas or oil/LNG should be


supplied to G3-1 (fast track)
& G3-2 (planned).

Less feasible due to


more large hydro
development.

Less feasible due to


more large hydro
development.

More feasible because


environmental effect of coal
p/s can be mitigated.
More reliable because
energy security becomes
higher due to balanced
power resources.
43

MOEP and JICA Study Team


have been formulating
National Electricity Master Plan.

Thank you for your attention.

44

page 37

Ministry of Electric Power

Investment for Power Sector in Myanmar


Tokyo, Japan
July 11 ,2014
PRESENTED BY
Myint Myint Kyi Swe
DEPUTY DIRECTOR
Department of Electric Power
Ministry Of Electric Power

Ministry of Electric Power


(MOEP)
Department of Hydropower
Planning
Department of Electric Power
Department of Hydropower
Implementation
Hydropower Generation
Enterprise
Myanma Electric Power
Enterprise

PLANNING FOR GENERATION


(HYDRO, COAL)
PLANNING FOR GENERATION (GT/CCPP),
TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION
CONSTRUCTION
FOR HYDRO &
COAL POWER
STATIONS

GENERATION

PRIVATE

TRANSMISSION

Electricity Supply Enterprise


Yangon City Electricity Supply
Board

DISTRIBUTION

PRIVATE

page 38

Chart of ESI Structure Under Ministry of Electric Power


HPGE
Electricity Sale of Bulk
Generation
JV-IPP
Project Planning
Ministry of Energy
(Wholesaler of
Natural Gas)

MEPE
Thermal Generation,
Transmit to Grid, O&M
JV-IPP

YESB
Yangon Division
50 % of Grid Load

ESE
Rest of the Country,
Except Yangon

End Users

Electricity Sale to
Distribution Agencies

End Users
3

Power Market Structure


Ministry of Electric
Power(MOEP)

JV/ IPP/BOT

Direct
MEPE

ESE

Export

66kV & Above


Customers
Low voltage
(230/240V)Customers
11kV Customers

YESB (YESC)

33kV Customers

Small IPP

page 39

Location of Existing Power Plants on Grid

Chibawe Ngwe
99MW

Tapein
240MW

Shweli-1
600MW
Thaphanseik
30 MW

2.82%

Sedawgyi
25MW

27.36
%
69.82
%

Kyunchaung
54.3 MW

Yeywa
790MW
Zawgyi-2
12MW

Kyauksue
100.3 MW

Zawgyi-1
18MW

Kinda
56 MW

Hydro

Gas

KyeeOhnKyeeWa
74MW

Coal

Mone
75MW

Nancho
40 MW

Man
36.9 MW

Kyauk Phyu
4MW

Sr
No.

Type of Power
Plant

Number

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

1.
2.
3.

Hydro Power
Gas
Coal

23
16
1

2,971.00
1,164.48
120.00

40

4,255.48

Total

Shwetaung
55.35MW
Myanaung
34.7MW

Paunglaung
280MW

Bluchaung-1
28MW
Bluchaung-2
168MW

Khapaung
30MW

Bluchaung-3
52MW

Kun
60MW
Yenwe
25MW

Hlawga
154.2MW
27.3 MW
Ywama
70.3MW
52 MW

KengTawng
54MW

Tigyit
120MW

Zaungtu
20MW
Thaketa
92 MW
53.28 MW

Ahlone
154.2MW8
4 MW

Shwekyin
75MW

Hydro Power Plant


Gas Power Plant
Steam Power Plant
Coal Fired

Thaton
50.95MW
Mawlamyaing
12MW

Procedures for Foreign Investment In Electric Power Sector


Foreign Company shall submit the project proposal to be
invested in electric power business to Ministry of Electric
Power as follows:
(a) Fields of Business (Generation, Transmission, Distribution,
Services)
(b) Location of Business
(c) Technical Specifications and particulars(Installed Capacity etc)
(d) Estimated Investment Cost
(e) Investment Model (Foreign /Local/joint Venture)
(f) Working Experiences of Company
(g) Benefits for Both sides from the Project
(h) Requirements to be provided by Ministry side

page 40

Status of the Foreign Direct Investment


(1) Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)

Submitting Project Proposal With Company Profile

Dispatching
the MOU (Draft) to the concerned
Ministries (Office of the Attorney general of the Union,
Ministry of National Planning and Economic
Development, Ministry of Finance and Central Bank of
Myanmar)
Acquiring approval from Cabinet for signing

Signing the MOU

Status of the Foreign Direct Investment


(2) Memorandum of Agreement (MOA)
FSR and financial analysis to be submitted to MOEP

Dispatching the MOA (Draft) to the concerned Ministry


(Office of Attorney General of the Union, Ministry of
National Planning and Economic Development, Ministry
of Finance and Central Bank of Myanmar)

Submitting financial Analysis to the Presidents office


Acquiring approval from Cabinet for signing
Signing the MOA

page 41

Status of the Foreign Direct Investment


(3) MIC (Myanmar Investment Commission) Permit
Based upon the Memorandum of Agreement, it should
be further
submitted to Myanmar Investment
Commission(MIC)
Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and Social
Impact Assessment(SIA) reports together with the
recommendations of mitigation and counter measures
and guarantees are needed to be approved by the
Ministry
of
Environmental
Conservation
and
Forestry
Myanmar Investment Commission(MIC) issues a permit
after carefully review on the proposal in line with
Foreign Investment Law
9

Status of the Foreign Direct Investment


(4) Joint Venture Agreement (JVA)
After getting approval and permit from Myanmar
Investment Commission, Joint Venture Agreement (JVA)
would be prepared
Dispatching the JVA to the concerned Ministries (Office
of the Attorney general of the Union, Ministry of National
Planning and Economic Development and Ministry of
Finance)
Acquiring approval from Cabinet for signing
Signing the JVA

10

page 42

Status of the Foreign Direct Investment


(5) Project Implementation
If JVA has been signed the company would have had the
following Permits Certificate of Incorporation issued by the Ministry of
National Planning and Economic Development
Legal opinion of the Attorney General
Concession Right of Ministry of Electric Power
Permit of Myanmar Investment Commission
Governments Notification Permit for Electricity
Generation Services other than those permitted by Law
11

Framework of Power Purchase agreement (PPA)


In a PPA, the following items shall be contained Definitions and Interpretations
Facility Development and Connection Arrangements
Provision and of Availability and Electricity
Delivery of Electricity
Payments
Fuel Supply
Critical Dates and Duration of Agreement
Default and Termination
Liquidated Damages
12

page 43

Framework of Power Purchase agreement (PPA)


Force Majeure
Dispute Resolution
Limitation of Liability
Taxes and Duties
Confirmation Statement
Billing and Payment
Confidentiality and Announcements
Insurance
Representations and Warranties
Miscellaneous Provision
Waiver of Immunity
13

Short Term Planned Projects during 2014-15 to


2015-16

14

page 44

No

Installed
Capacity
(MW)

Name of Power Plant

Energy
(GWh)

Remark

(A) Hydro Power Plant Project


1
2

Phyuuchaung
Upper Paunglaung
(A)Total

40
140
180

120
454
574

(B) Gas-fired Power Plant Project


1

Ahalone

Mawlamying

3
4
5
6
7

Thaketa
Kyaukphyu
Kanpauk
Thaton
Myingyan
(B) Total

37 (121)

848

186.5 (230)

304

101 (1st Phase)


50
20
106
250
750.5

707
350
140
743
1756
4848

84 MW is completed and operating in 2014


(43.5MW) is installed in 2014 and
Negotiation for Gas.
Signed MOU.
Tender Processing.
Rental Gas Engine
Evaluating the Tender.
Evaluating the Tender.

(C) Solar Power Project


1
2
3

Minbu
Nabuai
Shwemyo
(C) Total
(A+B+C) Total

50
200
10
260
1190.5

53
200
11
264
5686

Signed MOU
Signed MOU
Signed MOU

15

New Implemented Industrial Zones List in Yangon Division


Sr.

Zone Name

Install
Capacity
(MVA)

Demand
Forecast (2016)
(MW)

1.

ThiLiWa (SEZ)

300

28.8

2.

WarTayar

100

14.4

3.

AnawYaHtar

20

4.5

4.

ShweThanLwin

10

3.97

5.

MyaSeinYaung

20

9.11

6.

East-Dagon (Ext:)

2.42

7.

Dagon SeikKann(Ext:)

15

3.03

8.

KyiSu (Ext:)

10

2.42

9.

ThiLaWa(Existing)

20

1.98

Yangon (Ext:)

10

10

Total Demand(New)

Yangon
Area

2.65
73.3 MW

16

page 45

Existing Industrial Zones List in Yangon


Sr.

Zone Name

Install
Capacity
(MVA)

Existing
Load
(MW)

Demand Forecast
(2016) MW

1.

Myaung Tagar

100MVA

32.3

49.12

2.

Wartayar

10MVA

1.8

3.95

3.

Shwe Pyi Thar

55MVA

21.2

32.24

4.

PyinMaPin

10MVA

2.5

3.8

5.

MinGalarDon

5MVA

2.75

4.18

6.

Yangon

20MVA

4.5

6.84

7.

HlaingTharYar

75MVA

42.1

64.03

8.

ShweLinPann

35MVA

12.9

19.62

9.

ShwePaukKan

25MVA

5.21

7.92

25MVA

7.08

10.77

10. East-Dagon
11. North-Okalapa

15MVA

4.8

6.39

12. South-Oaklapa

10MVA

2.3

3.06

13. Thakada

10MVA

2.25

2.99

14. South-Dagon

100MVA

18.1

27.53

15. Dagon Seik Kann

30MVA

Total

8.99

13.67

168.78

256.11

Yangon
Area

17

Existing Industrial Zones List (Except Yangon)

Sr.

Zone Name

1. Mandalay Division

No. of
Zones

Install
Capacity
(MVA)

Existing
Load
(MW)

140MVA

66

2. Sagaing Division

35MVA

13.5

3. Magway Division

10MVA

1.8

4. Bago Division

15MVA

2.8

5. Ayeyarweddy Division

Total (Load)

84.1 MW

18

page 46

Power Supply Plan for SEZ

19

Location Of Industries & Special Economic Zones I Myanmar

MyoTha Indu-park (Mandalay)


KyukSae Industries (Mandalay)
KYUKPHU SEZ (Rakkhine)
THILAWA SEZ (Yangon)
Yangon Industrials Zones

DAWEI SEZ (Thannitharyi)

Rakkhine

Yangon

Tanintharyi

20

page 47

Transmission Plan for THILAWA SEZ


Thakata
500MW

Present Implementation Stages


1st Pag 33kV ThanLynn-ThiLaWa(SEZ)
2st Pag 50MW Dual Gas Turbine@SEZ
3st Pag 230kV ThanLynn-ThiLaWa(SEZ)
4th Pag Gas Pipe Line

230kV

Thakata Combine
CyclePlant500MW

33kVx2

ThanLynn(SS)

ThanLynn
(SS)

Thilawa
SEZ
ThilaWa
50MW
Thilawa
(SS)
21

From ThanLynn Substation to Thilawa SEZ (33kV Line -14km )


Pole Design

Arial Space Cable System

Material Supply &


Construction Tender
Processing

33kV Double Circuit Characteristic


Pole Type
= RC Concrete Pole
Conductor Size
= ACSR 240mmsq
Circuit Type
= Arial Space Cable/Double Circuit
Transmission Power = 530A, 28MW x2@75deg

Reliability
Switchyard layout
Control room layout
SCADA and communications
Environmental protection
Safety practice and procedures
Use of auto-reclosers for protection of
transmission & Distribution lines each 1km
Use of on-load tap-changes for autoregulation of voltage
22

page 48

For Industrial Zones in Mandalay Division


Power Supply to KyukSae Industrials Zone from BaeLin GT 80MW
BaeLin Substation

Benefit of KyukSae Gas Turbine & Transmission Line


System Improvement
To reduce Power Outage
Enough Power for Industrial Zones & Surrounding Townships

KyukSae Township
Cement
Factories

Industries
Factories
KyukSae Gas
Turbines80MW

23

Power Supply Plan of KYUKPHU (Rakhine) SEZ

PonNakyun
(SS)

Mann
(SS)&GT

50MW Gas Turbine Construction is Tender Stage


TL & Related Substations will be Powered within 2014

MinBu
210MWSolar

Maei

COD: 2014 DEC


230kV Oakshitpin-Taungup
230kV Taungup- Maei
230kV Maei-Kyukphyu GT
230kV Maei-Ann
230kV Ann-Ponnkyun
230kV Mann-Ann

To Supply 3 Alternative Sources


230kV Mann-Ann-KyukPhyu
230kV ShweTaung-KyukPhyu
50MW GT near by SEZ

Oakshitpi
n (SS)
ShweTaung,GT
3x18.4MW
ThanDwe
HPP(10MW)

24

page 49

Location Of KyukPhyu Main 230/66/11kV,


100MVA Substation & Gas Turbine
KyukPhyu Main Substation
230/66/11kV, 100MVA & 50MW Gas Turbine
66kV KyukPhyu SEZ (2 feeders)
66kV MaDe LNG project (2 feeders)
66kV KyukPhyu Township (1 feeders)
66kV YanByae Township (1 feeder)

66kV 2-Switch
Bays for
KyukPhyu SEZ
by MEPE

PyukPhu Substation to KyukPhu SEZ


66kV 2 Transmission Line is Tender
Stage by MEPE
25

Power Supply Plan of DWEI SEZ

230/66/11kV
100MVA,SS

230/66/11kV
100MVA,SS
COD:2015/16

GenerationPlan
Kanbauk,GT(MOA)
20MW(COD:2014DEC)
360MW(COD:2015)
160MW(COD:2016)
66kVLine(50)miles
byMEPE

Dawei

SEZ

230/66/11kV
100MVA,SS
COD:2015/16

Currently,2AlternativeSources
66kVKanbauk Dawei
230kVMawLmyineYeDawei
Kanbouk 500MWGasTurbine

230kV Double Circuit & Substations


Project
= Mawlamyine-Ye-Dawei
Pole type
= Lattice Steel Tower
Conductor Size
= ACSR 795MCM, (Tern )
Circuit Type
= Twin Bundle ,Double Circuit
Transmission Power = 830A x2 (529MW) @ 75deg
SCADA System
= OPGW & Applicable
Work Progress
= Survey & Budget Allocation
Budget Allocated in 2014-2015 by MEPE

Tanantheryi
Division

26

page 50

Thank You For Your Kind Attention

27

page 51

Ensuring Domestic Supply of Natural Gas for


Sustainable Power Generation In Myanmar

Tokyo, Japan
July 11 ,2014
THAN SEIN
Ministry of Energy

Contents
Introduction
Present day image of oil & Natural Gas
Energy Mix & Domestic Supply of Natural Gas
Utilization of Natural Gas in Power Sector
Action Plans up to 2018
Short Term and Long Term Action Plans
To Ensure for Sustainable Power Generation

page 52

Present Image of Oil and Natural Gas


Reserve and Recoverable
Estimated Reserves as at 1st April 2014
ONSHORE
CRUDE OIL (MMBBL)
PROVED REC.
2100
710
GAS (TCF)
TOTAL
REC.
9.5
7

OFFSHORE
CRUDE OIL (MMBBL)
PROVED REC.
100
85
GAS (TCF)
PROVED REC.
19
15

FUTURE
102
FUTURE
5.6

FUTURE
43
FUTURE
11

* Offshore figures have to be counted with new discoveries which are evaluating to improve
* Onshore figures are based only on present operating blocks

Production , Export & Domestic Supply (September, 2013)


Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Export Gas
Domestic Gas

18600 bbl/day
1520 mmcf/day
1210 mmcfd
215 mmcfd

(Onshore 7400 bbl & Offshore 11200 bbl)


(Onshore 65 mmcf & Offshore 1455 mmcf)

(to Thailand, from Yadana and Yetagun )


(65 onshore + 150 offshore)

Energy Profile
Primary Energy Supply(2012-13)-(17988 ktoe)

Oil & PP, 2759, 15%

NATURAL GAS, 2060,


11%

BIOMASS, 9708, 54%

HYDRO, 2986, 17%

COAL, 475, 3%

Oil & PP

NATURAL GAS

HYDRO

COAL

BIOMASS

page 53

Energy Profile
Final Energy Consumption by Fuel Type(2012-13)KTOE
COAL, 285.00, 2%

PETROLEUM
PRODUCTS, 1942.00,
13%

ELECTRICITY,
2440.00, 16%
NATURAL GAS,
519.00, 4%

BIOMASS, 9708.00,
65%

COAL

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

BIOMASS

ELECTRICITY

Energy Policy, Petroleum


Strategies & Tactics
Energy Policy
To implement short term and long term comprehensive energy development plan
based on systematically investigated data on the potential energy resources which are
feasible and can be practically exploited considering minimum impact on natural
environment and social environment
To institute laws, rules and regulations in order to promote private sector participation
and available to privatize (100% FDI, Joint FDI, International IPP, local
IPP/SPP/VSPP) of State Energy Organizations in line with State Economic Reform
Policy.
To compile systematic statistics on domestic and supply of various different kinds of
energy resources of Myanmar
To implement programs by which local population could proportionally enjoy the
benefit of energy reserve discovered in the areas

page 54

Energy Policy, Petroleum


Strategies & Tactics
To implement programs on a wider scale, utilizing renewable energy resources such as
wind, solar, hydro, geothermal and bio energy for the sustainable energy development in
Myanmar
To Promote Energy Efficiency and Energy Conservation
To establish Research, Development, Design, and Dissemi -nation, Institution in order to
keep abreast with international practices in energy resources exploration and development
works and to produce international quality products in order to manufacture quality products
and in order to conduct energy resources exploration works in accordance with international
standard
To promote international collaboration in energy matters
To formulate appropriate policy for energy product pricing meeting economic security of
energy producers and energy consumers

Energy Policy, Petroleum


Strategies & Tactics
To Develop the all available Energy Resources
of Myanmar
To increase the production level of Present
Existing Energy Resources
To continuously update the Unsuppressed
Energy Demands

page 55

Tactics of Crude Oil & Natural Gas


To upgrade the production techniques of crude oil and Natural Gas
which currently used in the oil and gas fields of Myanmar.
To increase the production level of existing oil and gas fields.
To optimize the refining slates to meet the products requirement.
To reduce undue losses occurred during the transportation.
To expand utilization of natural gas in place of liquid fuel.
To expand use of Compressed Natural Gas(CNG) as transport fuel.
To increase the efficiency of fuel combustion engines.

Exploration and Development of Petroleum


Petroliferous Basin

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.

SEDIMENTARY BASINS
Rakhine Coastal
Hukaung
Chindwin
Shwebo-Monywa
Central Myanmar
Pyay Embayment
Ayeyarwady Delta
Bago Yoma Basin
Sittaung Valley
Mepale
Mawlamyine
Namyau
Hsipaw-Lashio
Kalaw
Rakhine offshore
Moattama offshore
Tanintharyi offshore

STATUS OF EXPLORATION
(Offshore)
Thoroughly Explored Basins
1. Rakhine Offshore
2. Moattama Offshore
3. Tanintharyi Offshore

STATUS OF EXPLORATION
(Onshore)
A.
Thoroughly Explored Basins
1. Central Myanmar
2. Pyay Embayment
3. Ayeyarwady Delta
(Only Part of the Basin)
B.

Explored to Some Extent


1. Chindwin
2. Rakhine Coastal

C.

Very Little Explored


1. Hukaung
2. Shwebo-Monywa
3. Bago Yoma

D.

Not Explored Yet


1. Hsipaw-Lashio
2. Namyau
3. Kalaw
4. Sittaung Valley
5. Mawlamyine
6. Mepale (Oil Shale)

10

page 56

Exploration and Development of Petroleum (Cont.)


Oil and Gas Fields (onshore)
Discovered (28)

- 28 oil and gas fields

Producing (22)

- 17 oil fields and 5 gas fields

Tested/Suspended (6)

- 1 tested and 5 suspended oil fields

Appraisal (1)

- Southern Chindwin Basin

Gas Fields (offshore)


Producing (4)

- Yatana,Yetagun, Shwe and Zawtika

Plan (1)

- A Project for domestic use in Block M-3

Appraisal (1)

- Block A-6

Domestic Crude Pipeline Network

- 535 km (Pre 1988;450 km & Post 86 km)

Domestic Gas Pipeline Network


Onshore (4 to 20)

- 2339 km (Pre 1988; 468 km & Post 1871 km)

Offshore, Yadana to Yangon (24)

- 441 km (offshore 286.5+ onshore 149.7)

Export Gas Pipeline to Thailand (PTTEPI)


Yadana to Metering Station (36)

- 410 km

Yetagun to Metering Station (24)


Myanmar China Pipeline (Ongoing)
Crude Pipeline (32)
Gas Pipeline (40)

- 274 km
- 741 km
- 736 km
11

Exploration and Development of Petroleum (Cont.)


OIL & GAS FIELDS (ONSHORE)
SR NO.

OIL & GAS FIELDS

YEAR OF DISCOVERY

REMARKS

YENANGYAUNG

1887

PRODUCING

AYADAW

1893

PRODUCING

CHAUK

1902

PRODUCING

LANYWA

1902

PRODUCING

YENANMA

1914

PRODUCING

1924

PRODUCING

PYAYE (Pyay Embayment)

PAYAGON (Ayeyarwaddy Delta) 1959

SUSPENDED

MYANAUNG (Ayeyarwaddy Delta) 1964

PRODUCING

PYAY (Pyay Embayment)

1965

PRODUCING

10

SHWEPYITHA

(-do-)

1967

PRODUCING

11

PYALO

(-do-)

1969

SUSPENDED

12

MANN

1970

PRODUCING

13

LETPANDO

1974

PRODUCING
2 YEARS & SUSPENDED

1995

PRODUCING5

14

PEPPI

1976

PRODUCING

15

HTAUKSHABIN

1978

PRODUCING

16

HTANTABIN (Pyay Embayment) 1980

SUSPENDED

17

KANNI

1985

PRODUCING

18

TABIN

1986

SUSPENDED

19

APYAUK (Ayeyarwaddy Delta)

1991

PRODUCING

20

KYAUKKWET

1995

PRODUCING

21

INDAING (Ayeyarwaddy Delta)

1996

SUSPENDED

22

NYAUNGDON

1999

PRODUCING

23

THARGYITAUNG

2001

PRODUCING

24

SABE

2001

PRODUCING

25

INDAW (Chindwin basin)

2002

TESTED

26

DAHATPIN

2005

PRODUCING

(-do-)

27

HTAGAING

2006

PRODUCING

28

MAUBIN (Ayeyarwaddy Delta)

2007

PRODUCING

12

page 57

Present Day Image of Oil and Natural Gas

Production, Export and Domestic Supply of Natural Gas, 2013

Project

Production
MMCFD

Onshore

65

Yadana

900

Yetagun

460

Domestic
Obligation

Domestic
Sept. 2013

225

150

Export

65

Shwe

95

Total

1520

Remark
Declining

750

Thailand

460

Thailand
Line filling

215

1210

Year 2013

13

Present Day Image of Oil and Natural Gas

Utilization of Natural Gas


2011-2012 Vs. July 2013

Utilization of Natural Gas increased in July 2013, 197 mmcfd


14

page 58

Present Day Image of Oil and Natural Gas

Utilization of Natural Gas


July Vs. September 2013

Utilization of Natural Gas in Power Sector


Fluctuation on Seasonal Changes
15

Utilization of Natural Gas in Power Sector


Demand&SupplyinPowerSectors,20122013
(DailyAverage173mmcfdinYangonArea)
149mmcfd(Offshore) and24mmcfd(Onshore)

200
180

173

160

mmcfd

140
120

116

Demand

100

Supply
74

80
60
40

30

20

27

33

20

10

0
YangonArea
(67%)

UpperMyanmar
(33%)

PyayMyaung
Aung(37%)

SittaungArea
(62%)

Increased supply of Natural Gas in Power Sector


166 mmcfd (Year 2012) to 173 mmcfd (Year 2013)
Supply 67% of demand and total domestic gas to Yangon area
16

page 59

Domestic Supply Plan


(mmcfd)
Production

Agreement

For Domestic

Onshore

65

65

Yadana

950

225

Yetagun

460

Zawtika

300

Shwe

500

Total

2275

Request
Additions

725

80

Remark

Export to Thailand

460

Export to Thailand

100

200

Export to Thailand

100

400

490

1785

Balance between
Demand and Supply
In the Future

1000

Export to China

950

80

Production,DemandandSupplyBalanceofNaturalGas
(OnshoreandOffshore)
2014
725

900
800
700

460

500
400

Onshore
460

100

RATIO
65%

145
65

65

80

65

100
100

200

40

225

60
100

GAS (MMCFD)
DEMAND SUPPLY
750
490

200

300

400

600

500

RATIO
29%

MMCFD

CRUDE OIL (BBL/D)


DEMAND SUPPLY
60,000
17350

Export

300

Project

Yadana
Yetagun
Zawtika
Shwe

0
Production Agreementfor Additional
Domestic
ForDomestic

Total
(Domestic)

Export

17

Utilization of Natural Gas in Power Sector


500
470

450
400

393

375

350

310
320

300

300

320

250
demand

175

200

supply

150
100
50
0
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16

Increased supply of Natural Gas in Power Sector


320 mmcfd for Power Sectors up to 2018!
No additional source for Natural Gas under MOE
18

page 60

Utilization of Natural Gas in Power Sector

Supply of Natural Gas in Domestic Sectors


Year 2013 to Year 2018
600

Up to Nov. 2013
-Total 310 mmcfd
- (Onshore + Yadana+ Shwe)

SupplyofNaturalGas

500
Dec. 2013 to Jan. 2014
-Total 410 mmcfd
- (Onshore + Yadana+Shwe)

300

Feb. 2014 to May 2014


- 425 mmcfd
- (Onshore + Yadana+ Shwe +
Zatika)

200
TotalDomesticSupply
(mmcfd)
SupplytoGT(on+off)

100

Jun18

Dec17

Mar18

Jun17

Sep17

Dec16

Mar17

Jun16

Dec15

Mar16

Jun15

Sep15

Dec14

Mar15

Jun14

Sep14

Mar14

Sep13

Sep16

GT(YGN)

0
Dec13

MMCF

400

July 2014 to Year 2018


-425 mmcfd ~ 490 mmcfd
- All GT 320 mmcfd
- Yangon GT 210 mmcfd
-

Time
19

Action Plans up to Year 2018

Import LNG: Priority to Yangon and Extending to other!

Unconventional Hydrocarbon: Onshore Area!

Develop in onshore blocks: Earliest on year 2018!

Offshore Block M-3: Earliest First Gas on 2018!

Offshore Areas: Develop earliest on 2019!

20

page 61

To Ensure for Sustainable Power Generation


Alternative Ways for Future Sustainable Natural Gas?
Sustainable Power Generation is core issue and feature
prominently on the Political Agenda
Supply Natural Gas for GT is the most efficient fossil fuel in
conventional Power generation
Domestic Supply is Key Issue with No Export Gas Policy
All discovery of Petroleum ONLY for New Generation
Long Term Means -> E & P in Onshore and Offshore Areas
Unconventional gas potential is boosting Reserves

21

Thanks for kindly attention

22

page 62

Procedure
of
Project Appraisal in Myanmar
Tokyo, Japan
July 11 ,2014
Presented by
U Aye Cho
Deputy Director
Project Appraisal and Progress Reporting Department
Ministry of National Planning and Economic Development

Introduction
After 1987, terminated the project appraisal
Started the site inspection in July, 2013 again
Lack of experience and knowledge and technique and
strategies on the project appraisal
Conducted the project appraisal training for capacity
building sponsored by ADB
At present, 4 appraising groups
Site inspection for one week and writing report for one
week alternately
2

page 63

Purpose

The basic Purpose of systematic appraisal is to


achieve better spending decisions for capital and
current expenditure on schemes, projects and
programmes.
The objective of the appraisal stage is for the decision
maker to develop insight into the decision and
determine a clear course.

Appraisal Methods

Methods of Appraisal
Financial Analysis
Economic Analysis

page 64

Financial Analysis

Financial Analysis
Measuring indicators for financial analysis
IRR, NPV, Payback Period
Needed tools for financial appraisal
Income Statement / Profit & Loss Account
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Financial Ratio

Financial Analysis

Decision Criterion
If the IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept
the project.
If the IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the
project.

page 65

Economic Analysis

Measuring Indicators for Economic Analysis

EIA/SIA
Job opportunity
Outcomes

Appraisal for Private Sector


IRR,NPV, Payback period
Outcomes (including profit, benefit, effectiveness, efficiency)
EIA/SIA
Job opportunity
Outcomes
Submit the report about the condition of the indicators to MIC
who makes the decisions)
* the decisions and actions which appraisal needs to
support in the context of the Foreign Investment Law
* MIC = Myanmar Investment Commission

page 66

Purposes for Foreign Directed Investment


to enjoy for the people sufficiently after exploiting abundant
resources of the country and to enable the surplus to export
to open up of more employments for the peoples as the
business develop and expand
to develop human resources
to develop infrastructures such as banking, financial
business, high grade main roads, highways roads connected
one country to another, national electric and energy
production business, high technology including modern
information technology
to come out economic enterprises and investment business
in accord with the international norms
9

Basic Principles for Foreign Investment


Foreign Investments shall be permitted based on the following
principles:
(a) supporting the main objectives of the economic development plan ,
business which can be affordable and which are financially and
technologically insufficiently by the Union and its citizen
(b) Development of employment opportunities
(c) Promotion and expansion of exports
(d) Production of import substituted goods
(e) Production of products which require mass investment
(f) Acquisition of high technology and development of manufacturing
business by high technology
(g) Supporting the business of production and services involving large capital
(h) Bringing out of business which would save energy consumption
(i) Regional development
10

page 67

Basic Principles for Foreign Investment


(j)

Exploration and extraction of new energy and the emergence of


renewable energy sources such as bio-basic new energy development
of modern industry

(k) Protection and conservation of environment


(l)

causing to support for enabling to exchange the information and


technologies

(m) not affecting the sovereign power and the public security
(n) Intellectual enhancement of citizens
(o) Development of bank and banking in accordance with the international
standards
(p) Emergence of the modern series required for the Union and citizens
(q) Causing to the sufficient local consumption of the energy and resources
of the Union in terms of short term and long term period
11

The rights for the Investors


(a) Entitle to sell, exchange or transfer by any other means of assets with the
approval of the Commission according to the existing laws
(b) In case of a foreign company, selling all of some of its shares absolutely to
any foreigner/any citizen or any foreign company/ any citizen company
(c) Carrying out the expansion of investment business or increasing of foreign
capital contained in the original proposal by obtaining the approval of the
Commission
(d) Submitting to the Commission to re-scrutinize and amend in order to obtain
the rights which he is entitled to enjoy fully in accord with the existing law
(e) Applying to the Commission for obtaining benefits and for taking action in
respect of the grievance in accord with the existing law

12

page 68

Process for MIC approval


MOU Stage

: Investor will sign MOU with concerned Ministry.


Pre-Feasibility Study Report and Feasibility Study(FSR)
must be completed within limited period.

MOA Stage

: After approved FSR by concerned Ministry, it should be


informed to cabinet to get permission for signing MOA .
After cabinet approved, MOA should be signed.

MIC approval stage : After finished MOA, project proposal will submit to MIC
(Myanmar
Investment Commission). MIC will form
Proposal Assessment Team (PAT)
PAT shall make assessment on the proposal and shall
submit acceptable proposals to MIC. PAT will invite
investor and MIC shall scrutinize the proposal and if it is
accepted, MIC will issue the approval within (90) days.
After receive the MIC approval, investor have to
complete construction within the period of construction.
13

Website Information

www.dica.gov.mm
Foreign investment law and rules
Environmental Management Plan (The environmental
conservation rules - Draft)

14

page 69

Thanks for kindly attention

15

page 70
2014/7/11

MOEP Potential Location List for Power Generation (Provisional)


As of 2030
Gas
LN

New Development

Existing as of May 2014

Hydro

Total

LN
Baluchaung (1)
Baluchaung (2)
Baluchaung (3)
Chipwi Nge
Dapein (1)
Kabaung
Kengtawng
Kinda
Kun
Kyee ohn - Kyee wa
Mone
Nancho
Paung Laung
Sedawgyi
Shwegyin
Shweli (1)
Thahpanseik
Thaukyegat (2)
Yenwe
Yeywa
Zaung Tu
Zawgyi (1)
Zawgyi (2)
(Sub Total)
Bawgata
Chipwi Nge
Dapein (1)
Dapein (2)
Dee Doke
Dun Ban
Gaw Lan
He Kou
Hkan Kawn
Keng Kham
Keng Tong
Keng Yang
Lawngdin
Middle Paung Laung
Middle Yeywa
Mong Wa
Mong Young
Nam Kha
Nam Khot
Nam Li
Nam Tamhpak
Namtu (Hsipaw)
Naopha, Mantong
Ngot Chaung
Phyu
Shweli (2)
Shweli (3)
So Lue
Taninthayi
Tha Htay
Tongxingqiao
Upper Yeywa
Upper Baluchaung
Upper Bu
Upper Keng Tawng
Upper Paung Laung
Upper Sedawgyi
Upper Thanlwin (Kunlong)
Wan Ta Pin
(No Name)
(Sub Total)

ICM
28
168
52
10
19
30
54
56
60
74
75
40
280
25
75
300
30
120
25
790
20
18
12
2,361
160
89
101
84
66
65
50
50
80
6
64
20
300
100
320
50
22
100
25
82
100
50
712
17
40
260
1,050
80
600
111
170
280
30
150
51
140
64
700
17
79
6,535
8,896

Coal

Ahlone
Hlawga
Kyunchaung
Mann
Myanaung
Shwedaung
Tharkayta
Thaton
Ywama

ICM
238
179
54
37
35
55
142
51
360

(Sub Total)
Ahlone
Ayeyarwaddy
Hlaingtharyar
Hlawga
Kanpouk
Kyaukphyu
Mawlamyaing
Myin Gyan
Thaketa
Thaton
Thilawa

(Sub Total)

This list consists of the candidate locations of MOEP (Scenario 3).


As this plan is based on the provisional simulation, it may change in the future.
Location name is placed in an alphabetical order.

Tygit

ICM
120

1,152
37
500
400
511
520
50
230
250
1,003
55
50

(Sub Total)
Boakpyin
Kalewa
Keng Tong
Kunchangon
Kyauktan
Ngaputaw
Ngayukong
Thilawa

120
500
540
600
3,270
1,300
700
550
360

3,606
4,758

(Sub Total)

7,820
7,940

LN

Content of description
LN : Location name
ICM : Installed Capacity for Myanmar

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