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Chapter. 1 Introduction of Valuation of Share: Financial Markets Stocks
Chapter. 1 Introduction of Valuation of Share: Financial Markets Stocks
Chapter. 1 Introduction of Valuation of Share: Financial Markets Stocks
1 INTRODUCTION OF VALUATION
OF SHARE
INTRODUCTION:
In financial markets, stock valuation is the method of calculating
theoretical values of companies and their stocks. The main use of these
methods is to predict future market prices, or more generally, potential
market prices, and thus to profit from price movement stocks that are
judged undervalued (with respect to their theoretical value) are bought,
while stocks that are judged overvalued are sold, in the expectation that
undervalued stocks will, on the whole, rise in value, while overvalued
stocks will, on the whole, fall.
In the view of fundamental analysis, stock valuation based on
fundamentals aims to give an estimate of the intrinsic value of a stock,
based on predictions of the future cash flows and profitability of the
business. Fundamental analysis may be replaced or augmented by market
criteria what the market will pay for the stock, without any necessary
notion of intrinsic value. These can be combined as "predictions of future
cash flows/profits (fundamental)", together with "what will the market
pay for these profits?" These can be seen as "supply and demand" sides
In the view of others, such as John Maynard Keynes, stock valuation is
not a prediction but a convention, which serves to facilitate investment
and ensure that stocks are liquid, despite being underpinned by an illiquid
business and its illiquid investments, such as factories.
divides the stock price by the annual EPS figure. For example, if the
stock is trading at $10 and the EPS is $0.50, the P/E is 20 times.
A complete analysis of the P/E multiple includes a look at the historical
and forward ratios. Historical P/Es are computed by taking the current
price divided by the sum of the EPS for the last four quarters, or for the
previous year. Historical trends of the P/E should also be considered by
viewing a chart of its historical P/E over the last several years (one can
find this on most finance sites like Yahoo Finance). Specifically consider
what range the P/E has traded in so as to determine whether the current
P/E is high or low versus its historical average.
Forward P/Es reflect the future growth of the company into the future.
Forward P/Es are computed by taking the current stock price divided by
the sum of the EPS estimates for the next four quarters, or for the EPS
estimate for next calendar or fiscal year or two.
P/Es change constantly. If there is a large price change in a stock, or if the
earnings (EPS) estimates change, the ratio is recomputed.
3. Growth rate
Valuations rely very heavily on the expected growth rate of a company.
One must look at the historical growth rate of both sales and income to
get a feeling for the type of future growth expected. However, companies
are constantly changing, as well as the economy, so solely using historical
growth rates to predict the future is not an acceptable form of valuation.
Instead, they are used as guidelines for what future growth could look
like if similar circumstances are encountered by the company. Calculating
the future growth rate requires personal investment research. This may
take form in listening to the company's quarterly conference call or
the ratio is higher or lower than expected, one should look closely
at the assets to see what could be over or understating the figure.
debt is equal to total long and short term debt plus accounts
payable, minus accounts receivable, minus cash. The enterprise
value is the best approximation of what a company is worth at any
point in time because it takes into account the actual stock price
instead of balance sheet prices. When analysts say that a company
is a "billion dollar" company, they are often referring to its total
enterprise value. Enterprise value fluctuates rapidly based on stock
price changes.
10. EV to Sales
This ratio measures the total company value as compared to its
annual sales. A high ratio means that the company's value is much
more than its sales. To compute it, divide the EV by the net sales
for the last four quarters. This ratio is especially useful when
valuing companies that do not have earnings, or that are going
through unusually rough times. For example, if a company is
facing restructuring and it is currently losing money, then the P/E
ratio would be irrelevant. However, by applying an EV to Sales
ratio, one could compute what that company could trade for when
its restructuring is over and its earnings are back to normal.
11. EBITDA
EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation
and amortization. It is one of the best measures of a company's
cash flow and is used for valuing both public and private
companies. To compute EBITDA, use a company's income
statement, take the net income and then add back interest, taxes,
depreciation, amortization and any other non-cash or one-time
charges. This leaves you with a number that approximates how
much cash the company is producing. EBITDA is a very popular
can be sold to a non-member. Such a fixed price is not the open market
price for estate duty purposes.
As the vendor is a hypothetical person. He may or may not be a director
of the company or a member of the family that controls the company. He
is endowed only with the characteristics common to all hypothetical
vendors, namely, owning the block of shares in question. Given the
restrictions on transfer, the value estimated in accordance with section
13(5) of the Ordinance should be greater than the fixed price but less than
the price obtainable if the restrictions were removed.
There is no open market price for unquoted shares. The value of an
unquoted shareholding is affected by many factors including the nature
and size of the shareholding passing, the manner in which the remaining
shareholdings are held, the profitability and future prospects of the
business, the dividend policy and cover, the strength of asset backing of
the company, the prospect of capital gains, the quality of management
and so on.
The common methods of share valuation are dividend yield, price
earnings ratio and net asset basis. The choice of the appropriate method
will depend on the type and size of the shareholding and the nature of
business.
Information and documents required for preparing a share
valuation
Before preparing the share valuation, the following information and
documents should be available:
(a) Details of the issued share capital of the company at the date of death
and the change(s) in capital structure, if any, during the last three years
before death.
(b) The rights of the respective classes of shares in relation to voting,
dividend and on winding-up.
(c) Details of the shares to be valued and the manner in which the
remaining shareholdings are held.
(d) Details of the directors of the company and their relationship.
(e) Details of the business activities of the company.
(f) Annual reports and accounts for the last three years before the date of
death.
(g) Details of the investment and landed property held by the company as
at the date of death
Controlling shareholding method of valuation
In the case of a controlling shareholding, section 44(1) of the Ordinance
requires that the valuation be based on assets value instead of the
estimated open market price specified in section 13(5).
This special method of valuation is also applicable to cases where the
deceased held a 50% shareholding and had, in addition, at any time
during the three years ending with his death, a casting vote as chairman of
the company by virtue of the Articles of Association. He is deemed under
section 44(3) to have control of the company.
In broad outline, the basis of valuation is as follows. The value of the
companys assets, including goodwill, at the date of the deceaseds death,
INTRODUCTION:
Section 3 of the Ordinance defines assets to include goodwill. Whenever
a company is valued on net assets basis, a separate valuation for goodwill
will need to be prepared. But if the business is unprofitable and has to be
valued on a break-up basis, the goodwill has no value.
Goodwill has been described as the benefit and advantage of the good
name, reputation and connection of a business. It is nothing more than the
possibility that the old customers will resort to the old place. By its
nature, goodwill can be inherent (generated by the location of the
business) or personal (generated by the personality and special skills of a
particular individual or group of individuals) or free (advantages attached
to the business other than the first two categories).
In commercial practice, goodwill is normally valued at a number of
years purchase of the companys estimated future super-profits,
according to the custom of the trade or the circumstances of the particular
business. Three factors will need to be determined, namely, the expected
profits, the required return from tangible assets, and the multiplier. For
simplicity, we normally value the goodwill at one years super profits.
The super profits are calculated by deducting from the assessable profits
(either a simple average of the last three years assessable profits, or in
$10
Inventory
$5
Accounts payable
$6
= 10 + 5 - 6
= $9
$11
DR Accounts Receivable
$10
DR Inventory
$5
CR Accounts Payable
$6
CR Cash
$20
Modern meaning
Goodwill is a special type of intangible asset that represents that portion
of the entire business value that cannot be attributed to other income
producing business assets, tangible or intangible.
For
example,
a privately
held software
company
may
have net
Profit/Loss ($)
2005
10,000,000
2006
12,250,000
2007
7,450,000
2008
2,450,000 (Loss)
2009
12,400,000
10,000,000 +
Profit/Loss ($)
2005
10,000,000
2006
12,250,000
2007
7,450,000
2008
5,400,000
3. Capitalisation Method:
There are two ways of calculating Goodwill under this method:
(i) Capitalisation of Average Profits Method
(ii) Capitalisation of Super Profits Method
(i) Capitalisation of Average Profits Method:
Under this method we calculate the average profits and then assess
the capital needed for earning such average profits on the basis of
normal rate of return. Such capital is called capitalised value of
average profits. The formula is: Capitalised Value of Average Profits = Average Profits X (100 /
Normal Rate of Return)
Capital Employed = Assets - Liabilities
Goodwill = Capitalised Value of Average Profits - Capital
Employed
For example a firm earns $40,000 as its average profits. The normal
rate of rteturn is 10%. Total assets of the firm are $1,000,000 and its
total external liabilities are $ 500,000. To calculate the amount of
goodwill:
Total capitalized value of the firm = 40,000 100/10 = 400,000
Capital Employed = 1,000,000 500,000 = 500,000
Goodwill = 500,000 400,000 = 100,000
the basis of normal rate of return. This Capital is the value of our
Goodwill . The formula is: Goddwill = Super Profits X (100/ Normal Rate of Return)
For example ABC Ltd earns a profit of $ 50,000 by employing a capital
of $ 200,000, The normal rate of return of a firm is 20%. To calculate
Goodwill:
Normal Profits = 200,000 20/100 =$ 40,000
Super profits = 50,000 40,000 = $10,000
Goodwill = 10,000 100 / 20 = $50,000
of companies by various categories such as Government and nonGovernment, public and private, State of registration and industrial
activity is available. The capital raised by the existing companies is
available on a quarterly basis. This set of data along with that available in
the balance sheets of large-sized companies (companies with paid-up
capital Rs. 50 lakh or more) is used as an input for estimating the total
paid-up capital of the private Corporate Sector at the end of each financial
year and to identify large-sized companies.
Fact sheets containing selected financial parameters culled out from the
Balance Sheets and Profit and Loss Accounts filed by the companies in
the respective ROC offices are generated for:
(a) Large-sized non-Government companies,
(b) Government companies, and
(c) Indian subsidiaries of foreign companies.
Besides, certain basic information is maintained on the branches of
foreign companies, which have established their places of business in
India.
The number of financial parameters covered in the fact sheet for largesized non-Government companies has been enhanced from the year 199899. Data are available on companies liquidated and/or struck off under
Section 560 of the Companies Act detailing the names, paid-up capital,
industrial activity, State of registration, date of liquidation, etc. Similarly,
data on companies amalgamated or transferred from one State to another,
and companies, which have changed their names, are also available on a
monthly basis, and can be utilised in a suitable fashion.
Corporations
(SIDCs),
Banks,
General
Insurance
FINDINGS
Valuation of share & goodwill is effective &
efficient way of calculate value of share &
goodwill.
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