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Opening Bell: Market Outlook Today's Highlights
Opening Bell: Market Outlook Today's Highlights
Market Outlook
Indian markets are expected to open negative after two weak trading
days in the global markets. After weak Indian IIP data, markets will
keep an eye on the upcoming earnings performance of IT majors.
Todays Highlights
India CPI YoY
Results: Cyient Ltd, TCS
Index Movement (past month)
32000
9200
30000
8800
28000
Key Developments
BSE (RHS)
Sensex
Nifty
Close Previous
28,082 28,061
8,708.8 8,697.6
10-Oct
6-Oct
4-Oct
30-Sep
28-Sep
26-Sep
22-Sep
20-Sep
26000
16-Sep
8400
14-Sep
Markets Yesterday
Domestic markets ended flat as investors took a cautious approach
amid mixed global cues
US markets on Monday gained after a jump in crude oil prices.
However, Tuesday's session negated the gains after weak results
from some companies whereas the release of Fed minutes kept the
markets flat on Wednesday
NSE (LHS)
Institutional Activity
FII (| cr)
DII (| cr)
CY14
99,525
-30,570
CY15
17,079
66,249
YTD CY16
39,097
2,312
Kospi
2,022
2.1%
France
4,452
0.3%
Shanghai
3,059
1.2%
Dow Jones
18,144
0.2%
Nikkei
16,885
1.0%
NSE
8,709
-1.8%
Germany
10,523
0.9%
BSE
28,082
-2.5%
418.4
2.9%
580.7
1.9%
419.1
1.2%
178.1
0.6%
421.9
0.5%
1,376.9
0.2%
876.2
-0.1%
2,876.4
-0.2%
68.4
-0.6%
1,014.7
-1.0%
ACC
Hindalco
Ultratech
PNB
ITC
Tata
power
ONGC
1,668.5 Vedanta
Ltd
2.7%
160.8
1.7%
3,976.8
1.1%
144.5
0.6%
240.1
0.5%
80.9
0.2%
267.0
-0.1%
United
Spirits
2,468.8
Tata
Motors
562.1
Bharti
Airtel
315.9
-0.3%
-0.6%
-1.1%
Infosys
HCL Tech
Sun
Pharma
Yes Bank
Coal India
BHEL
Kotak
Bank
SBI
NTPC
199.6
2.4%
1,030.0
1.7%
813.0
0.8%
755.5
0.6%
1,279.5
0.4%
318.9
0.0%
135.0
-0.2%
780.2
-0.3%
256.6
-0.8%
146.7
-1.1%
Asian
Paints
1,212.7
Ambuja
Cement
257.0
Dr Reddy
TCS
2.4%
1.7%
3,078.7
0.8%
2,380.3
0.5%
Hero
Moto
3,488.9
Indusind
Bank
1,221.1
IDEA
Axis Bank
BPCL
RIL
0.4%
0.0%
79.9
-0.2%
531.6
-0.4%
657.8
-0.9%
1,096.4
-1.1%
Cairn
India
Lupin
NMDC
Maruti
HDFC
Bank
Wipro
ICICI
Bank
L&T
HDFC Ltd
Bank of
Baroda
227.6
1.9%
1,520.2
1.3%
118.6
0.7%
5,712.4
0.5%
1,284.4
0.3%
477.0
0.0%
250.1
-0.2%
1,450.0
-0.5%
1,391.5
-0.9%
162.0
-1.2%
Markets Today
Close Previous Change (%) MTD(%)
Commodities
Gold (|/10 gm)
Silver (|/kg)
Crude ($/barrel)
Copper ($/tonne)
Currency
USD/INR
EUR/USD
USD/YEN
ADRs
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Tata Motors
Infosys
Dr Reddys Labs
YTD(%)
29,863
42,249
51.5
NA
29,783
41,571
51.8
NA
0.3
1.6
-0.6
NA
-4.2
-7.1
5.0
-1.2
19.5
28.1
38.1
1.8
66.53
1.10
104.11
66.69
1.10
104.21
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
0.1
-1.9
-2.7
-0.6
1.4
15.5
72.0
7.4
41.5
15.9
45.5
72.0
7.4
41.7
15.7
45.6
0.0
-0.9
-0.7
1.5
-0.1
-0.6
NA
-1.0
-2.3
-2.6
16.9
NA
41.6
-6.3
-1.6
4-Oct
5-Oct
BSE Cash
2,502
15,092
3-Oct
3,337
19,353
6-Oct
7-Oct
10-Oct
NSE Cash
3-Oct
4-Oct
5-Oct
6-Oct
208,900
4.00%
6.50%
6.00%
6.07%
-7.1bln $
22.57bln $
363.82bln $
7.90%
7.30%
30.69bln $
-2.40%
0.90%
-24.8bln $
7.67bln $
11.82%
-1.00%
3.55%
1.82%
251,661
4.00%
6.25%
5.75%
5.05%
-0.3bln $
21.69bln $
365.75bln $
7.10%
7.60%
29.45bln $
-0.70%
-3.40%
-23.8bln $
7.76bln $
8.23%
1.62%
3.74%
2.42%
3,675
22,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
August
Q1
July
w/e
Q1
12M
July
August
July
Q2
August
August
August
August
August
551,359
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
382,034
Prior Values
3,915
21,252
Latest
324,183
Period
280,028
4,258
22,143
KEY ECONOMICINDICATORS
3,841
20,433
7-Oct
10-Oct
NSE Derivative
Sectoral Index
Sector
Auto
Close
Previous
Change
% Change
Volume
22832.5
22849.09
-16.59
(0.07)
1120000
Banks
22122.72
22152.52
-29.8
(0.13)
4500000
11792.74
11901.39
-108.65
(0.91)
66926000
Capital Goods
14810.02
14839.83
-29.81
(0.20)
4094000
Consumer Durables
13008.39
12792.31
216.08
1.69
425000
8304.6
8368.14
-63.54
(0.76)
1023000
Healthcare
17870.57
18140.06
-269.49
(1.49)
1830000
IT
11396.98
11501.95
-104.97
(0.91)
1254000
Metals
10410.38
10258.4
151.98
1.48
6277000
Mid Cap
10993.02
11070.76
-77.74
(0.70)
64406000
12009.98
12081.22
-71.24
(0.59)
1293000
Power
2013.84
2018.25
-4.41
(0.22)
5647000
PSU
7714.68
7739.8
-25.12
(0.32)
14554000
Real Estate
1554.43
1573.43
-19
(1.21)
4529000
FMCG
7.3
3.1
1.3
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.5
-1.5
-1.6
-3.3
-3.8
-4.5
-5.3
-5.8
-5.0
0.0
(%)
5.0
Company/
Industry
Road sector
Cipla
News
View
Impact
10.0
Zee
As per media sources, Zee has reached an
Entertainment agreement with Reliance BroadcastNetworks
to acquire the latter for an enterprise value of |
1872 crore. The deal includes both the radio
and the television business
Hindustan Zinc reported production figures for Q2FY17. Mined metal production came in at 192000 tonne, up 51% QoQ,
down 20% YoY. Integrated refined zinc production was at 149000 tonne, up 47% QoQ and 30% down YoY, while
integrated refined lead production stood at 31000 tonne. The silver production came in at 107000 tonne down 3% up
21% QoQ and down 3% YoY.
For Q2FY17, Vedanta's aluminium segment reported a total aluminium production of 296000 tonne up 21% QoQ and
27% YoY. The zinc international segment reported production of 39000 tonne. The copper cathodes production came in
at 97000 tonne down 3% QoQ up 3% YoY. While the iron ore segment reported lower sales volume of 0.8 million tonne
down 70% QoQ.
For H1FY17, Indian crude steel production grew 7.6% YoY to 48.0 million tonne (MT) while finished steel production
grew ~9% YoY to 48.8 MT. However, finished steel consumption grew a slower 2.5% YoY to 40.5 MT for the aforesaid
period. During the first half of FY17, imports declined 37.3% YoY to 3.6 MT while exports rose 35.6% to 3.0 MT
IndusInd Bank continued with a healthy performance in Q2FY17 with 26% YoY growth in net profit at | 704 crore. NII
grew at 33%, led by 26% YoY growth in advances and 3 bps QoQ margin improvement at 4%. Other income also
increased 24% YoY to | 970 crore. Credit cost was at 15 bps. Asset quality remained stable with 1 bps QoQ
improvement in GNPA ratio at 0.9%
TCS's Q2FY17 US$ revenues could grow 0.9% QoQ to $4,401 million while those in constant currency could grow
~1.8% QoQ. Rupee revenues could grow 0.5% to | 29,475 crore. EBIT margins could increase ~60 bps QoQ to 25.7%
led by absence of visa cost and wage hike but offset by weaker revenue growth QoQ.
Cairn India reported average gross daily production of 196399 boepd (-4.4% YoY) in Q2 2017 vs. 205631 boepd in Q2
2016. Out of gross production 167699 boepd is reported from Rajasthan fields. Net production was reported at 125575
boepd in Q2 2017 vs. 128021 boepd in Q2 2016
World Steel Association (WSA) forecasts global steel demand will grow by mere 0.2% to 1501 million tonne (MT) in
2016 and 0.5% to 1510 (MT) in 2017. The steel demand in the emerging and developing economies excluding China is
expected to grow 2% in 2016 and by 4% in 2017 on the back of resilient Asian economies and stabilising commodity
prices. Chinese steel demand is expected to decline by 1.0% in 2016 and 2.0% in 2017. steel demand in developed
economies is projected to increase by 0.2% in 2016 and by 1.1% in 2017.
Asian Granito (AGIL) has completed a major expansion at Crystal Ceramics amounting to an investment of ~| 170 crore
(including acquisition cost) for capacity of ~4.4 MSM to produce double charged vitrified tiles. With this expansion,
AGIL has a total production capacity of ~36.5 MSM
Maharashtra State Road Development Corporation has terminated concession agreement with IRB Infrastructure for
Mumbai-Pune phase II project
Titan Company is planning to enter special occasion women's ethnic wear category. It is likely to open stores and would
run the project on a pilot basis for 12 months and, thereafter, decide its strategy in this category based on consumer
response
JSW Steel is planning to consider stock split in the board meeting to be held on October 27, 2016
As per media sources, IOC is planning to lay India's longest LPG pipeline from Gujarat coast to Gorakhpur. The pipeline
of 1987 km will carry 3.75 MMTPA of LPG
Sun Pharma is recalling 31762 bottles bupropion of hydrochloride extended- release tablets used for treatment of major
depressive disorder in the US due to failed dissolution specifications. This recalls is considered under class III recall
category
Dr Reddys Labs has launched generic Lamotrigine orally disintegrating tablets used for treatment of certain types of
seizures in epileptic patients
ACC has indicated that its 1.4 MT Sindri grinding unit will commence operation in November 2016
Sensex Chart
Technical Outlook
Pivot Points
Index/Stocks
SENSEX
NIFTY
ACC
AXIS BANK
HDFC BANK
SBI
HDFC
MARUTI SUZUKI
TATA MOTORS
M&M
BAJAJ AUTO
TCS
INFOSYS
CIPLA
ONGC
RELIANCE
BHARTI AIRTEL
DLF
Close
28082.34
8708.80
1668.50
531.55
1284.35
256.60
1391.45
5712.35
562.05
1376.90
2876.40
2380.30
1029.95
580.65
266.95
1096.35
315.90
154.00
S1
28102.40
8714.15
1661.95
528.30
1284.00
255.00
1381.05
5713.30
558.25
1375.15
2878.05
2377.20
1026.90
579.55
263.65
1086.25
313.95
152.20
S2
28065.30
8703.70
1649.40
525.95
1281.70
253.85
1374.15
5703.70
554.30
1371.90
2865.40
2369.25
1021.50
576.00
261.90
1082.10
312.15
151.40
R1
28176.55
8735.10
1687.05
532.55
1288.60
257.10
1394.00
5732.50
563.35
1381.70
2903.40
2393.10
1037.80
586.60
266.90
1100.25
316.40
154.30
R2
28226.05
8751.65
1692.60
534.65
1291.45
258.20
1400.45
5748.05
565.90
1384.95
2932.15
2400.75
1043.70
590.90
268.50
1107.25
317.65
155.30
Trend
+ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
Neutral
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
-ve
-ve
-ve
N ifty 50
Trend
Trend Reversal
Support
Resistance
20 Days EMA
200 days EMA
Intra da y
Down
8735
8610-8555
8690-8735
8300
8400
8500
8600
8700
8800
8900
9000
9100
Advances
1690
944
BSE
NSE
60.0
30
11
16
44
44
26
38
40
38
23
8
68
13
27
6
40.0
20.0
0.0
Put
20.0
Call
40.0
60.0
80.0
Declines
1199
680
5
5
23
8518
9119
8729
8282
Advances / Declines
S hort T e rm
Range bound
Unchanged
129
80
Results/Events Calendar
26
Monday
03
17
11
Monday
18
Monday
Wednesday
05
October
Tuesday
25
Monday
12
October
Tuesday
19
October
Tuesday
26
October
Tuesday
13
October
20
October
27
October
HDFC Bank
HDFC Ltd
Exide Industries
Cadila Healthcare
Indoco Remedies
14
October
21
October
Thursday
28
October
Thursday
08
Friday
October
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
15
October
Friday
October
Saturday
NIIT Technologies
0
0
0
0
22
October
Friday
October
Saturday
October
Infosys ltd
India Wholesale Prices YoY
DCB Bank
China CPI YoY
TV 18 Broadcast Ltd
Syngene Int.
Biocon
LIC Housing Finance
0
0
Wednesday
Friday
US Unemployement Rate
UK Mfg Production YoY
0
0
0
Thursday
Cyient Ltd
TCS
India CPI YoY
0
0
Wednesday
07
October
01
September
Thursday
Wednesday
KPIT Technologies
Bayer Cropscience
China GDP YoY
0
0
October
Saturday
Persistent Systems
0
0
0
0
29
October
Friday
Kansai Nerolac
Bajaj Auto
0
0
0
October
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
Result Preview
Date
8-Oct
10-Oct
12-Oct
Event
Country
Caixin China PMI Services CH
Industrial Production YoY IN
Industrial Production SA MoEU
Period
Sep
Aug
Aug
Date
13-Oct
14-Oct
14-Oct
Event
CPI YoY
Wholesale Prices YoY
CPI YoY
Period
Sep
Sep
Sep
Country
IN
IN
CH
Thursday
06
October
Wednesday
30
September
UK CPI YoY
US CPI YoY
Havells India
0
0
October
29
September
October
Mahindra CIE
Swaraj Engines
Navin Fluorine Int Ltd
0
0
Tuesday
October
24
04
Monday
28
September
October
10
27
September
Revenue
Q2FY17E
29,474.8
852.3
Chg(%)
EBITDA
YoY
QoQ Q2FY17E
8.5
0.6 8,073.2
10.4
2.6
109.1
Chg(%)
PAT
Chg(%)
YoY
QoQ Q2FY17E
YoY
QoQ
3.2
3.0 6,380.0
5.4
1.0
-6.2
0.1
72.3 -26.6
-2.2
Previous
5.1%
3.7%
1.3%
0063
Recent Releases
Date
10 October 2016
Report
10 October 2016
10 October 2016
07 October 2016
07 October 2016
Opening Bell
Daily Calls
Daily Derivative
Frequency
Time
frame
Avg. Returns
objective
Location
on ICICIdirect.com
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
Market Page,
Trading PageScroller & iCLICK-2-GAIN
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
2-3 %
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
2-3 %
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Daily
1 2 Days
1 - 2%
Daily
1 Days
1 - 2%
Daily
1 2 Days
1 - 2%
Intraday Recommendation
BTST Calls
Margin Calls
Derivative Calls
Derivative
Strategies
Weekly & Monthly recommendations
Weekly Calls
Weekly Technicals
Weekly Derivatives
Market Trends
Global Derivatives
Monthly Technicals
Identifying Out-performers/Under-performers
vis a vis index along with positional
recommendation on Stocks/Nifty.
Covers stocks, which are likely to show
significant upward movement in the next 15
days due to change in trader sentiment.
Detailed Company
Report
Equity Model
Portfolio
High Dividend
Yield Stocks
Weekly
1-7 days
5%
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Recommend, Trading Page,
iCLICK-2-GAIN
& iClick-2-Invest
Weekly
1-7 days
4 5%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Weekly
1-7 days
4 5%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Monthly
30 days
Trading Page
Monthly
30 days
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Monthly
30 days
10%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page,
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Not regularly
recommended
3 months
20%
Fortnightly
Monthly
When published
Quarterly
3 months
> 1 year
15 20%
Pankaj Pandey
Head Research
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
Disclaimer
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Pankaj Pandey Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the
subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.