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Towers Watson Insights Variable Annunity Hedging
Towers Watson Insights Variable Annunity Hedging
Insights
Variable Annuity Hedging Practices in North America
Selected Results From the 2011 Towers Watson
Variable Annuity Hedging Survey
Introduction
Hedging programs have risen to prominence among
life insurers seeking to manage capital market risks
associated with their products, especially variable
annuities (VAs). These programs rely upon the ability
to acquire effective positions that offset risk across
meaningful time frames. It is generally believed they
offer advantages over more traditional risk management
techniques such as passive diversification strategies,
which offer insufficient capital market risk protection, or
reinsurance options, which have limited availability or
are too expensive.
The importance of hedging in managing VA capital
market risks prompted Towers Watson to conduct two
surveys to explore insurers use of VA hedging practices
the first in early 2009 and the second in early July of
2011. This article presents selected highlights from the
2011 Towers Watson VA Hedging Practices Survey (the
survey). Both the survey and this article focus on:
Program overview
Hedging strategies
Modeling
Systems
Recent program changes
This survey targeted 21 top North American VA writers
as potential participants. Seventeen responded to the
survey, including one company that said it primarily
used reinsurance solutions for VA risk management.
Therefore the numerical and graphical results in this
article assume a universe of 16 respondents. For
example, a reference to half the respondents would
signify eight survey participants.
Program Overview
Participants in the hedging survey cumulatively account
for over $700 billion of VA account value, and the
average across participants is approximately $45 billion.
The age of hedging programs covered by the survey
15
13
10
52
10
8
0
GMDB
Hedged
GMIB
3
0
GMAB
Not hedged
1
0
GMWB
Not written
Hedging Strategies
Within the broad area of managing capital market
risks, hedging strategies are largely defined by the
specific strategic objectives under which they operate.
These can range from economic to regulatory as
indicated in Figure 2. Respondents said the most
typical strategic hedging objective for all guarantee
types is economic, and the least typical is AG 43,
with more response variability exhibited for GMDB
and GMIB exposures. As shown in the figure, select
writers use a combination of SFAS-133/157 and SOP
03-1 for living benefit objectives.
Accounting mismatch issues for GMDB and GMIB
riders continue to pose challenges for VA writers.
U.S. GAAP-based reserves for GMDBs and GMIBs
are developed from real-world-based valuations and
accrual methodologies, and do not track well with
the marked-to-market derivative contracts used to
hedge these risks as markets move. Thus many
writers are leaving some of these riders unhedged,
or hedged at percentages notably less than target.
Other respondents indicated use of macro-hedging
6
9 9
8
8
5
2 2
1
0
N/A
GMDB
2 towerswatson.com
1
Economic
0
SFAS 133
GMIB
2
22015
0 1
SFAS 157
SOP 031
GMAB
1 1 1 1
AG 43
GMWB
11 12
1
Other
Macro
hedging techniques
typically involve use of
out-of-the-money derivatives
to provide protection against
severe market movements.
Modeling
Valuation of the guarantees embedded in a
VA contract for hedging purposes is typically
accomplished within a Monte Carlo framework
in which risk-neutral economic scenarios are
generated using parameters appropriate to current
market conditions. For example, parameters used
to model equities typically include spot levels and
volatilities, while those used for interest rates would
generally include the current yield curve and perhaps
additional parameters such as mean reversion rates
and volatilities. Though FX risk is not frequently
explicitly modeled in VAs, the market variables
generally used to parameterize this risk include FX
spot levels and volatilities.
Once these economic scenarios are constructed,
they are used with a detailed model of the structural
features of the guarantee and policyholder
information to value the guarantee as the expected
value of the present value of its future cash flows.
Greeks associated with the guarantee are then
calculated using a finite difference approximation.
This involves valuation of the guarantee at closely
spaced values of the market parameters defining
Respondents
towerswatson.com 3
6%
13%
Lognormal
Mixed
Stochasitc volatilty
Other
13%
68%
13%
6%
19%
56%
6%
56% Deterministic
6% Stochastic,
one-factor model
19% Stochasitc,
two-factor model
6% Stochastic,
multifactor (greater
than two) model
13% Other
4 towerswatson.com
Systems
Due to the computational intensity of the Monte
Carlo calculations typically used for VA hedging, and
the need to perform these calculations in a capitalmarket-driven operational environment, hedging
valuation systems tend to be quite specialized.
Notably, almost all survey respondents identified
use of a modeling solution specifically designed for
hedging, whether developed in-house or acquired
from an external vendor, rather than generalpurpose actuarial modeling software to support their
hedging operations. It is noteworthy that no survey
participants outsourced the calculation process
itself, supporting the supposition that outsourcing
of the calculation function, to the extent that it
occurs, may be limited to small to midsize market
participants.
12
11
Not applicable
1
towerswatson.com 5
6 towerswatson.com
10
Further information
The full report of survey findings is available to
participants only. For help with questions about
this article or the survey, please contact:
Dave Czernicki
+1 312 201 5683
dave.czernicki@towerswatson.com
David J. Maloof
+1 212 309 3764
david.maloof@towerswatson.com
towerswatson.com 7
towerswatson.com