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Gupta CH.7-2
Gupta CH.7-2
Gupta CH.7-2
1 3
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 100
7.10
C H A N G I N G
T H E U N I T
H Y D R O G R A P H
D U R A T I O N
A u n i t h y d r o g r a p h represents 1 i n c h ( o r 1 m m ) o f direct r u n o f f f r o m the rainfall o f a specified p e r i o d o f t i m e . Rainfall o f different durations will produce different shapes o f the u n i t
h y d r o g r a p h . T h e longer d u r a t i o n o f the rainfall w i l l l e n g t h e n the t i m e base a n d l o w e r the
peak, a n d vice versa, since a u n i t h y d r o g r a p h b yd e f i n i t i o n contains 1 u n i t o f direct r u n o f f .
There are t w o c o m m o n techniques b yw h i c h a u n i t hydrograph can b e adjusted f r o m
one
duration t o another.
7.10.1
Lagging Method
T h i s i s r e s t r i c t e d t o cases w h e n a d u r a t i o n has t o b e c o n v e r t e d t o a l o n g e r d u r a t i o n w h i c h is
a m u l t i p l e o f t h e o r i g i n a l d u r a t i o n . I f a u n i t h y d r o g r a p h o f d u r a t i o n t^. i s a d d e d t o a n o t h e r
i d e n t i c a l u n i t h y d r o g r a p h l a g g e d b y t^., t h e r e s u l t i n g h y d r o g r a p h r e p r e s e n t s t h e h y d r o g r a p h
o f 2 u n i t s o f s t o r m o c c u r r i n g i n2t^ t i m e , as s h o w n i n F i g u r e 7.14. I f t h e ordinates o f this
h y d r o g r a p h are d i v i d e d b y2, a u n i t h y d r o g r a p h w i l l result. I n general t e r m s .
sum
U H o f t, d u r a t i o n =
S e c t i o n 7.10
o f n, U H o f
duration
e a c h l a g g e d b y t^. t i m e
[ L ^3 Tm - n
(7.8)
361
Table 7.7
(2)
(1)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)"
lUH, 0 ,
(m^/s)
2-hr
Unit
Hydrograph
Q, (mVs)
No.
Time (hr)
Cumulated
Area
Incremental
Area, o,
(mm-km^)
35
35
4.9
1.57
0.79
140
105
14.6
5.74
3.66
7.83
(mVs)
(eq. 7.6)
275
135
18.8
9.92
455
180
25.0
14.75
12.33
140
19.5
16.27
15.51
11.06
13.67
10
12
595
14
7.52
9.29
16
5.11
6.32
10
18
3.47
4.29
11
20
2.36
2.92
12
22
1.60
1.98
13
24
1.09
1.35
14
26
0.74
0.92
15
28
0.50
0.62
16
30
0.34
0.42
17
32
0.23
0.29
18
34
0.16
0.20
^ At any time step: col. (6) = C x col. (5) + (1 - C) x col. (6) of previous step.
^ Col. 7 = 0.5 [col. 6 + col. 6 of previous step].
E X A M P L E 7.5
T h e f o l l o w i n g u n i t h y d r o g r a p h results f r o m a 2-hour s t o r m . D e t e r m i n e t h eh o u r l y
nates o f a 6-hour unit hydrograph.
Time (hr)
Q (m^/s)
1.42
8.50
11.30
5.66
1.45
SOLUTION
S e e T a b l e 7.8.
ordi-
t^ =2 h r
.4.
6-hr duration
n =
362
2-hr d u r a t i o n
-3
.
.,r.
., .
Chapter 7
Figure 7.14
Unit storm of
duration
Unit
hydrograph
Unit hydrograph
lagged by
Runoff hydrograph
of two-unit storm
of 2fr duration
Unit hydrograph
of 2fr duration
Table 7.8
(1)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Time (hr)
0
2-hr Unit
Hydrograph
(m^/s)
0
1 xUH
1 xUH
1 xUH
1.42
1.42
8.50
8.50
11.30
11.30
1.42
5.66
5.66
8.50
Total
(7)
6-hr Unit
Hydrograph
(mVs)
(col. 6/3.0)
1.42
0.47
8.50
2.83
12.72
4.24
14.16
4.72
11.30
1.42
14.17
4.72
5.66
8.50
14.16
4.72
1.45
11.30
12.75
4.25
5.66
5.66
1.89
1.45
1.45
1.45
1.45
0.48
10
S e c t i o n 7.10
363
7.10.2
S-Ciirve M e t h o d
s e r i e s o f t ^ - d u r a t i o n u n i t h y d r o g r a p h s e a c h l a g g e d t h e u n i t d u r a t i o n , t^, w i t h r e s p e c t t o
t h e p r e c e d i n g o n e , as s h o w n i n F i g u r e 7 . 1 5 . T h e c u r v e a s s u m e s t h e S - s h a p e a n d i t s o r d i nates i n its e q u i l i b r i u m c o n d i t i o n acquire a constant o u t f l o w rate equivalent to the rainf a l l e x c e s s . I f T i s t h e t i m e b a s e o f t h e u n i t h y d r o g r a p h , t h e s u m m a t i o n o f T/t^
unit
h y d r o g r a p h s w i l l p r o d u c e t h e S - c u r v e . I t is n o t necessary, h o w e v e r , t o a d d so m a n y u n i t
h y d r o g r a p h s t o p r e p a r e a n S - c u r v e . A s i m p l i f i e d p r o c e d u r e is i l l u s t r a t e d i n T a b l e 7.9. I n
c o l u m n 3 , t h e v a l u e s o f c o l u m n 4 , c o r r e s p o n d i n g t o t h e p r e v i o u s t^. d u r a t i o n , h a v e b e e n
r e p e a t e d . C o l u m n 4 , w h i c h r e p r e s e n t s t h e S - c u r v e , is t h e s u m o f c o l u m n s 2 a n d 3.
T h e n e x t t h r e e c o l u m n s o f t h e t a b l e d e m o n s t r a t e t h e c o n v e r s i o n p r o c e s s . I n c o l u m n 5,
t h e t ^ - d u r a t i o n S-curve (values o f c o l u m n 4 ) are lagged b y t h e desired revised d u r a t i o n ,
t\.
C o l u m n 6 i n d i c a t e s t h e d i f f e r e n c e o f S - c u r v e o r d i n a t e s , t h a t is, c o l u m n 4 m i n u s c o l u m n 5.
T h e ordinates o f the t'^-duration h y d r o g r a p h are c o m p u t e d b y m u l t i p l y i n g the S-curve differences (col. 6) b y t h e r a t i o t^/t'^.
E X A M P L E
7.6
S o l v e E x a m p l e 7.5 b y t h e S - c u r v e m e t h o d .
SOLUTION
7.11
F O R M U L A T I O N
O F S Y N T H E T I C
U N I T
H Y D R O G R A P H
flood
estimation. T w o o f these c o m m o n
m e t h o d s are described b e l o w .
7.1 I . I Snyder's M e t h o d
T h e f o u r p a r a m e t e r s l a g t i m e , peak flow, t i m e base, a n d standard d u r a t i o n o f rainfall
excess f o r t h e u n i t h y d r o g r a p h h a v e b e e n r e l a t e d t o t h e p h y s i c a l g e o m e t r y o f t h e b a s i n b y
the following relations:
t p = Cf (iLj^)"'^
C
Qp
[unbalanced]
(7.9)
A
[unbalanced]
(7.10)
(7.11)
[T]
(7.12)
5.5
364
Chapter 7
Figure 7.15
Illustration of t h e S-curve.
Unit storm
i I I I i i I i i i I I i i I i i i
-duration
S-hydrograph
Unit hydrographs
each lagged by t.
-duration
S-hydrograph
-duration S-hydrograph
lagged by desired revised
duration, t\
Xtr/t'r
[T]
-n
(7.13)
(7.14)
'PR
S e c t i o n 7.11
365
Table 7.9
(1)
(2)
Time
atioi Unit
t^-Duration
Hydrograph
(3)
t^-Duration S-Curve
S-Curve Additions
(col. 2 + col. 3)
duration
of rainfall
excess =
(5)
(6)
(7)
r-Duration S-Curve
Lagged by t\
S-Curve Difference
(col. 4 - c o l . 5)
t)-Duratlon UH
(col. 6 X f / t ; )
a
b'
a'
b'
c'
c'
a'
d'
b'
e'
c'
f
g'
h'
d'
e
f
etc.
k'
I'
m'
n'
j'
o'
etc.
Table 7.10
(1)
(3)
(2)
2-hr Unit
Hydrograph
(m^/s)
Time (hr)
(4)
S-Curve
Addition
2-hr S-Curve
(5)
2-hr S-Curve
Lagged by
6-hr
(6)
S-Curve
Difference
(7)
6-hr Unit
Hydrograph
(col. 6 X 2/6)
+0
1.42
+0
1.42
1.42
8.50
T O ^
11.30
-M.42
12.72
5.66
+8.50
>14.16
+12.72
14.17
14.16
14.16
14.16
4.72
14.17
14.17
12.75
4.25
14.16
14.16
14.17
14.17
10
14.16
14.16
11
14.17
14.17
3
4
5
1.45
8.50
}
0
1.42
0
0.47
8.50
2.83
12.72
4.24
14.16
4.72
14.17
4.72
8.50
5.66
1.89
12.72
1.45
0.48
14.16
14.17
vhere
f n = s t a n d a r d d u r a t i o n o f r a i n f a l l excess, h o u r s
C = d u r a t i o n o f rainfall excess o t h e r t h a n s t a n d a r d d u r a t i o n a d o p t e d i n t h e study, h o u r s
lag t i m e f r o m m i d p o i n t o f rainfall excess d u r a t i o n , t ^ , , t o p e a k o f t h e u n i t h y d r o g r a p h ,
hours
GD
'PR
i ;
l a g t i m e f r o m m i d p o i n t o f d u r a t i o n , t ^, t o t h e p e a k o f t h e u n i t h y d r o g r a p h , h o u r s
r = t i m e base o f u n i t h y d r o g r a p h , days
Q p = peak flow for standard duration, t p
p e a k flow f o r d u r a t i o n ,
stream mileage f r o m the outlet t oa point opposite the basin centroid
stream mileage f r o m the outlet t othe upstream limits o f the basin
A-
drainage area, m i ^ o r k m ^
coefficient representing slope o f the basin;
v a r i e s f r o m 1.8 t o 2 . 2 f o r d i s t a n c e i n m i l e s , o r f r o m 1.4 t o 1.7 f o r d i s t a n c e i n k i l o m e t e r s ;
T a y l o r a n d S c h w a r z state t h a t C j equals 0 . 6 / V s f o r distance i n m i l e s , S b e i n g t h e basin
slopes
capacity;
S e c t i o n 7.11
367
equations
t o construct
the unit
the
The
770^1.08
g
^ 5 0 =
0 2 3 A ' ^
' 108
' :
7
(English units)
[unbalanced]
(7.15a)
'
(metric units)
[unbalanced]
(7.15b)
(English units)
[unbalanced]
(7.16a)
(metric units)
[unbalanced]
(7.16b)
^pR
and
;
440A^-"^
^ 7 5 =
or
0 13A^^
~ ~ T o s
QpR
= 1.6a n d
10 k m , derive t h e 4-hour
unit
= 0.16.
SOLUTION
1 . t,. = 4 h r ( g i v e n ) . F r o m e q . ( 7 . 9 ) ,
1^=1.6(25x10)-^ = 8.38 h r
2. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 0 ) ,
Q
=
^
0.16(500)
5^
^ = 9.55
8.38
m^/s
3. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 1 ) ,
8 38
T = 3 + ^ = 4 . 0 5 d a y s o r 9 7 h r
4. F r o m eq. (7.12),
8.38
_ ,
In =
= 1-5 h r
"
5.5
368
Chapter 7
5. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 3 ) ,
Ip^ = 8.38 + 0 . 2 5 ( 4 - 1.5) = 9 h r
6. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 4 ) ,
QpR
7. T i m e
from
9.55(8.38)
- = 8 . 8 9 m 3/s
9.0
beginning t o peak.
P r = y + ^pR=2 + 9 = l l h r
8. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 5 b ) ,
^.1.08
0.23(500)^
W , n =
7 7 : ^ = 18 h r
(8.89)'
9. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 6 b ) ,
W,. =
vl.08
0.13(500)'
A - - = 10 h r
, (8.89)
7.11.2
field
graphic locations.
T h i s d i m e n s i o n l e s s h y d r o g r a p h h a s i t s o r d i n a t e v a l u e s o f d i s c h a r g e e x p r e s s e d as t h e
d i m e n s i o n l e s s r a t i o w i t h t h e p e a k d i s c h a r g e a n d i t s a b s c i s s a v a l u e s o f t i m e i n t e r v a l as
the dimensionless ratio w i t h t h e p e r i o d o f rise ( t i m e f r o m b e g i n n i n g t o t h e peak
flow).
and
from
p u t e d as f o l l o w s :
484A
Qp=-
(Fnglishunits)
Pr
[unbalanced]
0.208A ,
Qp=-(metric
r , ,
[unbalanced]
'
(7.17a)
or
"^^"^
'
. ,
units)
P r = J + tp
[T]
'
/'^
(7.17b)
^^
'
(7-18)
T h e t i m e l a g , t^, i s c o m p u t e d b y e q . ( 7 . 9 ) o r b y a r e g i o n a l e m p i r i c a l r e l a t i o n , o r b y t h e
N R C S equation involving the N R C S curve number.
S e c t i o n 7.11
369
Figure 7.16
1
1
T \
Time to peak flow = 11 hr
Peal r flow = 8.89 m3 Is
l \
J
F
1
3.3 hr \
= 6.7 hr
Pn 6
1
1
--12 hr
6hr
]
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Time (hr)
E X A M P L E 7.8
Solve E x a m p l e 7.7 b yt h e N R C S m e t h o d .
SOLUTION
1.
tp - 8 . 3 8 h r , f r o m e q . ( 7 . 9 ) c o m p u t e d i n E x a m p l e 7 . 7 .
2. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 8 ) ,
3. F r o m e q . ( 7 . 1 7 b ) ,
0.208(500)
,
i
^= 9.90m3/s
^
10.5
4. U s i n g T a b l e 7 . 1 1 , t h e h y d r o g r a p h o r d i n a t e s a r e g i v e n i n T a b l e 7 . 1 2 .
Q
7.12
E S T I M A T I O N
O F S T R E A M F L O W
F R O M
U N I T
H Y D R O G R A P H
Chapter 7
Table 7.11
0.1
0.030
0.2
0.100
0.3
0.190
0.4
0.310
0.5
0.470
'
0.6
0.660
0.7
0.820
0.8
0.930
0.9
0.990
^^ -
1.000
1.0
'
..
0.990
(
1.2
0.930
1.3
0.860
1.4
0.780
1.5
0.680
1-6
0.560
1.8
0.390
2.0
0.280
2.2
0.207
2.4
0.147
2.6
0.107
2.8
0.077
3.0
0.055
3.5
0.025
4.0
0.011
4.5
0.005
5.0
0.000
produced
S e c t i o n 7.12
Estimation of Streamflow
from
Unit Hydrograph
371
Table 7.12
(3)
t/Pr
f(hr)
Q/Qp
(from Table 7.11)
Q (mVs)
0,2
2.1
0.100
0.99
0.5
5.25
0.470
4.65
8.4
0.930
9.21
1.00
9.90
m-vv
r A,:::
0.8
1.0
10.5
(4)"
1.5
15.75
0.680
6.73
2.0
21.0
0.280
2.77
3.0
31.5
0.055
0.54
4.0
42.0
0.011
0.11
5.0
52.5
0.000
0.00
E X A M P L E 7.9
G i v e n b e l o w i s a h y d r o g r a p h t h a t r e s u l t e d f r o m a n i s o l a t e d 2 - h o u r d u r a t i o n s t o r m o f 1.5
i n . r a i n f a l l excess. D e t e r m i n e t h e s t r e a m f l o w h y d r o g r a p h f r o m t h e s t o r m s e q u e n c e i n d i c a t e d . A s s u m e t h a t t h e losses a m o u n t t o 60% o f t h e p r e c i p i t a t i o n .
Hydrograph data:
Time (hr)
10
Flow (cfs)
151
146
268
562
660
630
510
370
250
190
150
Uniti
Unit 2
Unit 3
Unit 4
Precipitation (in.)
2.75
4.5
2.25
SOLUTION
1. T h e b a s e f l o w is separated f r o m t h eh y d r o g r a p h b y t h e t e c h n i q u e o f S e c t i o n 7.7. F r o m
the D R H thus obtained, the unit hydrograph is derived using the procedure o f Section
7.9.1. T h e values are s h o w n i n c o l u m n s 1 a n d 2 , respectively, o f Table 7.13.
2. T h e s t o r m ( r a i n f a l l ) excess s e q u e n c e i s o b t a i n e d , e x c l u d i n g 60% l o s s e s f r o m t h e p r e c i p i t a t i o n a m o u n t s g i v e n i n t h e p r o b l e m . T h e s e w i l l b e 0.4 i n . , 1 . 1 i n . , 1 . 8 i n . , a n d 0.9 i n .
f o r u n i t 1 t h r o u g h u n i t 4.
3. T h e o r d i n a t e s o f t h e U H a r e m u l t i p l i e d b y t h e s u c c e s s i v e v a l u e s o f t h e r a i n f a l l excess,
e a c h l a g g e d b y t h e e f f e c t i v e d u r a t i o n a s s h o w n i n c o l u m n s 3 , 4, 5, a n d 6.
4. T h e total o f c o l u m n s 3 t h r o u g h 6 results i n the D R H . A d d i n g baseflow t o this provides
the streamflow hydrograph.
372
Chapter 7
Table 7.13
(1)
(2)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
Unit4
0.9 x U H
Total
(cfs)
(8)
(9)
DRH Ordinates
Time
(hr)
2-hrUH
(cfs)
Uniti
0.4 x U H
81
32
Unit 2
1.1 x U H
Unit 3
1.8 x U H
277
111
342
137
89
321
128
305
241
96
376
146
147
151
151
146
146
32
146
178
111
147
258
226
147
373
433
148
581
618
148
766
59
353
499
911
149
1060
,27
265
616
73
981
149
1130
11
162
578
249
1000
150
1150
74
434
308
816
150
966
11
30
265
289
584
150
734
12
121
217
338
150
488
67
27
-10
13
49
132
181
150
331
14
61
61
150
211
15
/'flu7/
24
24
150
174
150
150
16
7 , , -,-;r
EXAMPLE7.10
Streamflow
Baseflow Hydrograph
(cfs)
(cfs)
7-,
D u r i n g the month of September, the weighted average values of the daily rainfall recorded
at various stations in the Housatonic basin above New Milford ( C T ) are as given below. A
representative 24-hour duration unit hydrograph* for the basin is also indicated, along with
the baseflow observed at the New Milford site. A study indicates that the infiltration and
other losses constitute 8 5 % of the precipitation. Compute the streamflow for the month.
Date
15
21
Rainfall (in.)
1.21
0.48
3.22
1.02
Time (days)
1000
2950
125,000
5600
1750
120
120
120
125
130
135
S e c t i o n 7.12
Estimation of Streamflow
from
Unit Hydrograph
373
Time (days)
10
11
1000
620
500
350
270
250
Baseflow (cfs)
140
125
120
120
120
120
120
SOLUTION
7 -
C o m p u t a t i o n s a r e s h o w n i n T a b l e 7.14.
Part B: Correlation
7.13
12
A U G M E N T I N G
S H O R T
Technique
S T R E A M F L O W S
A N D F I L L I N G
I N
M I S S I N G
D A T A
T h e m o s t c o m m o n t e c h n i q u e s f o r e x t e n d i n g d a t a o f s h o r t d u r a t i o n a r e (1) p r e c i p i t a t i o n
r u n o f f r e l a t i o n , (2) c o r r e l a t i o n o f t w o s e t s o f s t r e a m f l o w d a t a , a n d (3) c o m p a r i s o n o f f l o w d u r a t i o n curves. T h e same m e t h o d s are applicable for filling i n the gaps o f a stream-gaging
station record. T h e application o f the multiple correlation technique b yutilizing m e t e o r o logical a n d drainage b a s i n data h a sb e e n m a d e t o d e v e l o p t h e generalized relations f o r the
u n g a g e d sites, as d e s c r i b e d i n P a r t D . C o m m o n l y , t h e t e c h n i q u e o f r a i n f a l l - r u n o f f r e l a t i o n
is u s e d t o e s t i m a t e a n n u a l f l o w s f o r m i s s i n g years, a n d c o r r e l a t i o n o f t h e s t r e a m - g a g i n g stat i o n records isused t oextend s h o r t - t e r m m o n t h l y records.
7.14
S T A T I O N A R Y
A N DH O M O G E N E O U S
C H E C K
O F
D A T A
7.15
P R E C I P I T A T I O N - R U N O F F
R E L A T I O N
F O R
E S T I M A T I O N
O F
S T R E A M F L O W
Chapter 7
Table 7.14
(1)
Date
1
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
Rainfall
(in.)
Losses^
(in.)
Rainfall Excess
(in.)
UH
(cfs)
Sept. 5
Sept. 8
1,000
2,950
12,500
5,600
1,750
1,000
620
2
3
4
1.21
1.03
0.18
6
7
8
0.48
0.41
0.07
500
350
10
270
11
S-i
250
.
12
'
13
14
Sept. 15
'-'7 f
180
531
2,250
1,008
315
180
112
90
63
49
45
0
70
207
875
392
123
70
43
35
25
19
18
0
120
21
1.02
0.87
0.15
26
27
28
29
30
^85% of Col. 2
if-
.::
Baseflow (cfs)
130
20
22 ,
Total
25
18
7. fx A
Sept. 21
17
19
(11)
24
0.48
(10)
23
3.22
16
(9)
480
1,416
6,000
2,688
840
480
298
240
168
15
2.74
(8)
DRH (cfs)
150
443
1,875
840
263
150
93
75
53
41
180
531
2,250
1,078
522
1,055
504
213
133
92
560
1,441
6,019
2,706
840
480
448
683
2,043
970
383
150
93
75
53
41
120
120
125
130
135
140
125
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
120
(12) :t
Streamflow
(cfs)
120
120
125
130
3T5
671
2,375
1,198
642
1,175
624
333
253
212
680
1,561
6,139
2,826
960 ;
600 ;
568
803
2,163
1,090
503
270
213
195
173
161
ho + h j A i + ^2^2
[unbalanced]
(7.19)
where
m e a n m o n t h l y f l o w for the m o n t h i nquestion
;K
h g , b j , ^2 = c o n s t a n t s o b t a i n e d f r o m t h e m u l t i p l e r e g r e s s i o n
For
example,
V
Xi-Pi+Pi-i+Pi-2
[L]
X2=Pi-,+P^-4+P.-5
(7.20a)
[L]
(7.20b)
where
= average precipitation for the m o n t h i n question
P f _ i ) Pi-2,
[F]
(7.21)
where
Pg = a n n u a l A P I
.
376
Chapter 7
E X A M P L E
example.
7.11
T h e W a r r e n R i v e r i n W a r r e n , R h o d e I s l a n d , h a s a n a n n u a l s t r e a m f l o w r e c o r d f r o m 1979 t o
2005 a s s h o w n i n T a b l e 7.15. T h e a v e r a g e a n n u a l p r e c i p i t a t i o n v a l u e s c o m p u t e d f r o m t h e
s t a t i o n s i n t h e d r a i n a g e b a s i n are also listed. B o t h t h e s t r e a m f l o w a n d p r e c i p i t a t i o n d a t a are
checked b ythe d o u b l e -m a s s t e c h n i q u e a n d f o u n d t ob e consistent. D e t e r m i n e the antecedent precipitation index for the basin.
Table 7 . 1 5
Year:
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
Streamflow (m^/s)
82.33
97.68
97.68
31.14
108.72
54.64
50.45
66.53
70.22
0.82
0.79
0.82
0.44
0.91
0.57
0.59
0.67
0.68
Year:
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Streamflow (m^/s)
77.86
89.14
64.84
104.76
31.14
29.73
77.58
58.04
0.73
0.78
0.64
0.87
0.46
0.50
0.74
0.61
0.49
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
0.73
0.44
0.46
0.76
0.61
0.49
0.45
0.52
0.60
Precipitation (m)
.'4--
Precipitation (m)
V
Year:
Streamflow (m^/s)
Precipitation (m)
SOLUTION
R e f e r t o T a b l e 7.16.
'
A n n u a l r u n o f f is a r r a n g e d i n c o l u m n 2 a n d p r e c i p i t a t i o n i n c o l u m n 4 o f t h e table.
T h e yearly r u n o f f f r o m second r o w o n w a r d is assigned a r a n k n u m b e r b e g i n n i n g w i t h
t h e h i g h e s t r u n o f f a s n u m b e r 1, a s s h o w n i n c o l u m n 3. W h e n t w o v a l u e s a r e i d e n t i c a l ,
t h e y are b o t h assigned t h e average o f t h e t w o sequence n u m b e r s t h e y w o u l d have i f t h e y
w e r e s l i g h t l y d i f f e r e n t f r o m e a c h o t h e r , a s f o r y e a r s 1980 a n d 1981, a n d 1982 a n d 1992.
T h e y e a r l y p r e c i p i t a t i o n h a s a l s o b e e n a s s i g n e d a r a n k n u m b e r i n c o l u m n 5. T h e d i f f e r e n c e i n r a n k b e t w e e n t h e p r e c i p i t a t i o n a n d t h e r u n o f f i s s q u a r e d a n d n o t e d i n c o l u m n 6.
T h e s u m o f c o l u m n 6 is obtained.
A f o r m u l a f o r antecedent p r e c i p i t a t i o n i n d e x isassumed. I n the first trial a relation o f
- 0.9PQ + O . l P j h a s b e e n a s s u m e d a n d t h e v a l u e s b a s e d o n t h i s f o r m u l a h a v e b e e n c o m p u t e d i n c o l . 7. T h e c o m p u t e d p r e c i p i t a t i o n v a l u e s a r e a g a i n a s s i g n e d r a n k
numbers
f r o m h i g h e s t t o l o w e s t i n c o l . 8, a n d t h e d i f f e r e n c e o f t h e r a n k h a s b e e n s q u a r e d a s
b e f o r e . T h e s u m o f t h e s q u a r e s o f t h e d i f f e r e n c e i n r a n k , i . e . , 5.0 i s c o m p a r e d w i t h t h a t
f o r t h e p r e v i o u s c a s e , i . e . , 11.0. A l o w e r v a l u e m e a n s t h a t t h e t r i a l r e l a t i o n i s b e t t e r t h a n
t h e p r e v i o u s case.
D i f f e r e n t trial relations a r e a s s u m e d , gradually raising t h ep r o p o r t i o n o f the
previous
377
year's
p r e c i p i t a t i o n . F o r t h i s e x a m p l e t h e b e s t r e l a t i o n is
P , = 0.8Po + 0.2Pi
[F]
' '
(7.22)
7.15.2 C o r r e l a t i o n o f A n t e c e d e n t P r e c i p i t a t i o n I n d e x a n d R u n o f f b y
Regression Analysis
T h e equation o f the relation between
antecedent
p r e c i p i t a t i o n i n d e x a n d r u n o f f is a
' '
Q
[unbalanced]
'
(7.23)
T
- -
' T
= runoff (streamflow)
^ C, m = constants representing
abstractions
Pg = a n t e c e d e n t p r e c i p i t a t i o n i n d e x
T h e yearly values o f antecedent
p l o t t e d against t h e a n n u a l r u n o f f a n d a s t r a i g h t l i n e is d r a w n t o average t h e p a t t e r n o f p l o t t e d p o i n t s . I n m a n y i n s t a n c e s i t is d i f f i c u l t t o d r a w a l i n e t h r o u g h t h e s h o t g u n p a t t e r n o f
t h e p o i n t s . A l i n e o f l e a s t - s q u a r e s f i t is d r a w n b y s i m p l e r e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s as d e s c r i b e d i n
C h a p t e r 6.
F o r a s t r a i g h t - l i n e r e l a t i o n , y = mx
+ C, t h e f o l l o w i n g set o f e q u a t i o n s
(reproduced
iV(Xx2)-(Ix)'
N ( I x y ) - ( I x ) ( I y )
m
[dimensionless]
N ( I X 2 ) - ( I X ) ^
(6.29)
Standard variance:
(6.30)
[L^
N-l
Standard error:
^2
^ I / ^ - C l y - m l x y
'yx
N"-2
[L^]
(6.31)
[dimensionless]
(6.32)
C o r r e l a t i o n coefficient:
.2
r = I -
^yx
Q'^
w h e r e N is t h e n u m b e r o f p a i r s o f d a t a .
378
Chapter?
Table 7.16
C o m p u t a t i o n of A n t e c e d e n t Precipitation Index
Runoff
(1)
(2)
Year
Yearly
(mVs)
1979
82.33
1980
97.68
Observed Precipitation
(3)
Rank
(4)
(5)
Average
Yearly
Rank
(m)
(6)
Col.
(5-3)2
First Assumption
(7)
Second Assumption
Third Assumption
(9)
(10)
(11)
(12)
(13)
(14)
(15)
Col.
(8-3)2
0.8Po+0.2Pi
Rank
Col.
(11-3)2
0.7Po+0.3P,
Rank
Col.
(14-3)2
0.25
0.80
0.25
0.80
(8)
0.9PO+0.1PI Rank
0.82
3.5
0.79
0.25
0.79
2.5
1.0
1981
97.68
3.5
0.82
0.25
0.82
0.25
0.81
0.25
0.81
6.25
1982
31.14
14.5
0.44
16
2.25
0.48
16
2.25
0.52
15
0.25
0.55
15
0.25
1983
108.72
0.91
0.86
0.82
1.5
0.25
0.77
4.5
12.25
1984
54.64
12
0.57
13
0.60
12
0.64
11.5
0.25
0.67
9.5
6.25
1985
50.45
13
0.59
12
0.59
13
0.59
13
0.0
0.58
13.5
0.25
1986
66.53
0.67
0.66
0.65
10
1.0
0.65
11.5
6.25
1987
70.22
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.0
0.68
7.5
0.25
0.73
0.72
0.72
Q;
1988
77.86
0.73
1989
89.19
0.78
0.78
0.77
0.77
4.5
0.25
0.65
10
0.67
1.0
0.68
7.5
6.25
0.85
0.82
1.5
0.25
0.80
2.5
0.25
0.54
14
0.25
0.58
13.5
1.0
16
1990
64.84
10
0.64
10
1991
104.76
0.87
1992
31.14
14.5
0.46
15
0.25
0.50
14.5
1993
29.73
16
0.50
14
0.50
14.5
2.25
0.49
16
0.49
0.72
0.69
0.67
9.5
0.62
11
0.64
11.5
0.25
0.65
11.5
1994
77.58
0.74
1995
58.04
11
0.61
11
Total
11.00
5.0
4.0
6.25
0.25
47.0
E X A M P L E
7.12
F o r F x a m p l e 7 . 1 1 , d e t e r m i n e t h e p r e c i p i t a t i o n - r u n o f f r e l a t i o n b y (a) g r a p h i c p r o c e d u r e ,
(b) b y r e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s , a n d (c) u s i n g t h i s r e l a t i o n , e x t e n d t h e s t r e a m f l o w r e c o r d
through 2005.
SOLUTION
(a)
,v
(b)
92.75
R e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s is a r r a n g e d i n T a b l e 7 . 1 7 .
4. F r o m e q . ( 6 . 2 8 ) ,
N ( I X 2 ) - ( X X ) '
(1110.2)(7.53)-(10.85)(794.47)
16(7.53)-(10.85)^
= -94.34
5. F r o m e q . ( 6 . 2 9 ) ,
_ i V ( I x y ) - ( I x ) ( I y )
N ( S X 2 ) - ( I X ) '
16(794.47)-(10.85)(1110.2)
16(7.53)-(10.85)^
= 241.42
6. F r o m e q . ( 6 . 3 0 ) ,
N-l
(87.18xl03)-(lll0.2)^/16
16-1
= 676.4
7. F r o m e q . ( 6 . 3 1 ) ,
X / ^
- C X y - w X x y
N--2
(87.18 X 1 0 ^ ) - ( - 9 4 . 3 4 ) ( l 1 1 0 . 2 ) - (241.42)(794.47)
16-2
= 8.24
380
Chapter 7
Figure 7 . 1 7
Precipitation-runoff relation of E x a m p l e 7 . 1 2 .
110
100
90
<r5~
o
c
E
^
80
70
41
/
/
60
50
40
30
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
r = 1-
8.24
1/2
676.4,
(7.24)
S e c t i o n 7.15
i S ^ l
Table 7.17
No.
Q=y
x2
xy
(xlO^)
97.68
0.80
0.64
78.14
9.54
97.68
0.81
0.66
79.12
9.54
31.14
0.52
0.27
16.19
0.97
108.72
0.82
0.67
89.15
11.82
54.64
0.64
0.41
34.97
2.99
50.45
0.59
0.35
29.77
2.54
66.53
0.65
0.42
43.24
4.43
70.22
0.68
0.46
47.75
4.93
77.86
0.72
0.52
56.06
6.06
89.19
0.77
0.59
68.68
7.95
11
64.84
0.67
0.45
43.44
4.20
12
104.76
0.82
0.67
85.90
10.97
13
31.14
0.54
0.29
16.82
0.97
14
29.73
0.49
0.24
14.57
0.88
15
77.58
0.69
0.48
53.53
6.02
0.64
0.41
37.14
3.37
10.85
7.53
794.47
87.18
'
58.04
16
X
1110.2
(3)
Year
Antecedent precipitation
index(m)
Streamflow (m^/s)
1996
0.51
28.78
1997
0.68
69.82
1998
0.50
26.37
(1)
1999
2000
u+oc=".--\
2001
2002
t'/A
2003
2004
2005
382
Pe = x
10
Table 7.18
'i'^'^i-:
:-^:A:.rr-A'rj,i'^iA'v
0.46
16.71
0.70
74.65
0.64
60.17
0-51
28.78
0.46
16.71
0.51
28.78
0.58
45.68
Chapter?