Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Genting Plantations Neutral: Ending FY13 On A High
Genting Plantations Neutral: Ending FY13 On A High
Genting Plantations Neutral: Ending FY13 On A High
Neutral (Maintained)
Agriculture - Plantation
Market Cap: USD2,437m
Target Price:
Price:
MYR11.20
MYR10.50
Macro
Risks
Growth
Value
12.0
133
11.5
127
11.0
122
10.5
116
10.0
111
9.5
105
9.0
99
8.5
94
8.0
3
88
0
0
.
2
0
0
GPs FY13 core net profit overshot our and consensus expectations, .
0
coming in at 140-145% of both FY13 forecasts, due to lower-than- 0
expected unit production costs and stronger-than-expected property 0
contributions. While we like the stocks growth prospects and solid
management, its valuations remain uninviting at this juncture. We
maintain our NEUTRAL call, with a SOP-based FV of MYR11.20.
2
2
Jan-14
Oct-13
Aug-13
Jul-13
Apr-13
Feb-13
Vol m
Source: Bloomberg
2.73m/0.83m
0.0
6.7
8.39 - 11.7
30
Shareholders (%)
Genting Berhad
EPF
Kumpulan Wang Persaraan
(Diperbadankan)
53.6
14.9
3.1
Shariah compliant
.
2
0
.
2
Above. Genting Plantations (GP)s FY13 core net profit was above our
and consensus expectations, coming in at 140-145% of the respective
FY13 forecasts. The main variance was the lower-than-expected unit
production cost in 4Q13 of MYR1,054/tonne (down 11% q-o-q), strongerthan-expected property contributions, as well as a lower-than-expected
overall effective tax rate of 15% in FY13 (versus our 23% projection). GP
recorded an exceptional loss of MYR22.3m in 4Q13 due to unrealised
losses on its USD-denominated debt.
Core net profit rose 10% y-o-y in FY13 while turnover grew 12%. The
net profit increase was due to improvements in its property division
(EBIT +148%), higher FFB production (+10%) and lower effective tax
rates, offset by a 15% drop in CPO average selling price (ASP), a 14%
decline in palm kernel (PK) ASP and a 6% y-o-y rise in production cost.
Briefing highlights: i) GP expects FY14 fresh fruit bunches (FFB)
production to grow 10-12% y-o-y (flat growth in Malaysia and a doubling
of production in Indonesia), which is slightly lower than our 15%
projection; ii) GP expects FY14 costs to be lower by 10-15% y-o-y, as it
has locked in 70% of its fertiliser requirements for Malaysia at prices
which are 23% lower y-o-y; iii) new planting of 5,800ha done in FY13,
targeting 6,000ha for FY14; and iv) the companys unbilled property
sales currently total MYR75m, and it expects to record new sales of c.
MYR200m for FY14.
Maintain NEUTRAL. We tweak our FY14 forecast 2.4% higher and
introduce our FY15 forecasts. Post earnings revision, we raise our SOPbased FV slightly to RM11.20 (from RM11.00), based on an unchanged
18x CY14 target P/E for the plantation division and the RNAV of its
property development landbank. While we like the stocks growth
prospects and solid management, its valuations remain uninviting at this
juncture. We maintain our NEUTRAL recommendation on the stock.
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
1,336
1,233
1,384
1,555
1,795
442
327
228
371
466
438
321
299
371
466
38.1
(26.6)
(7.0)
24.0
25.7
Dec-14F
Dec-15F
0.58
0.42
0.39
0.49
0.61
DPS (MYR)
0.12
0.09
0.36
0.11
0.14
hoe.lee.leng@rhbgroup.com
18.2
24.8
26.7
21.5
17.1
P/B (x)
2.46
2.33
2.33
2.14
1.98
P/CF (x)
14.2
35.5
22.1
38.9
15.8
1.2
0.9
3.4
1.0
1.3
12.0
19.1
18.8
15.1
11.9
9.8
6.7
10.4
12.0
1.0
8.0
8.8
(0.3)
2.4
14.5
net cash
net cash
4QFY12
3QFY13
4QFY13
q-o-q
(%)
y-o-y
(%)
FY12
FY13
y-o-y
(%)
261.7
278.7
337.0
21
29
1081.4
1079.6
(0)
78.4
35.8
65.0
82
(17)
152.0
270.6
78
0.0
27.9
5.8
(79)
n.m.
0.0
33.7
n.m.
Turnover
340.1
342.4
407.8
19
20
1233.4
1383.9
12
Plantation
81.1
69.2
135.9
96
68
354.1
305.3
(14)
Property devt
16.8
11.3
25.3
124
51
33.1
82.0
148
Others
(6.7)
(5.0)
(6.8)
36
(31.2)
(30.7)
(2)
EBIT
91.2
75.5
154.5
105
69
355.9
356.7
26.8
22.1
37.9
28.9
25.8
Net inc/(exp)
6.6
5.0
5.3
(20)
28.3
22.8
(19)
Associates
2.5
3.2
7.1
122
184
12.3
17.9
46
Exceptionals
(1.4)
(39.7)
(22.3)
(44)
1,493
7.3
(97.1)
(1430)
Pretax profit
98.9
44.0
144.6
229
46
403.8
300.3
(26)
29.1
12.9
35.5
32.7
21.7
(12.6)
(16.3)
(36.2)
(69.4)
(44.2)
12.8
37.1
25.0
17.2
14.7
0.7
8.8
(3.4)
(139)
(606)
4.5
11.4
n.m.
Net profit
87.0
36.5
105.0
188
21
339.0
267.5
(21)
88.4
76.2
127.3
67
44
331.7
364.6
10
26.0
22.3
31.2
26.9
26.3
EPS (sen)
11.5
4.8
13.8
189
21
31.6
16.2
(49)
6.2
33.0
0.0
(100)
(100)
3.2
35.8
1024
Plantation
Property devt
Others
Taxation
Effective tax rate (%)
Minority interest
Net DPS
122
187
Comments
15% y-o-y fall in CPO
average price, 14% drop in
PK average price offset by a
10% y-o-y rise in FFB
production
MYR85m recorded from sale
of industrial land in 1Q13
Relating to biodiesel sales
from
its
200,000-tonne
biodiesel plant
(36)
4QFY12
3QFY13
4QFY13
q-o-q
(%)
y-o-y
(%)
FY12
FY13
y-o-y
(%)
2,219
2,353
2,505
13
2,784
2,378
(15)
1,097
1,313
1,548
18
41
1,543
1,324
(14)
460
386
466
21
1,392
1,526
10
Comments
185,000
tonnes
from
Indonesia in FY13. Excluding
Indonesian
production,
Malaysias FFB production
rose 2% y-o-y
Dec-12
1,372
1,473
1,620
1,821
2,096
275
293
315
339
380
66
70
69
69
71
3,240
2,784
2,292
2,552
2,712
2,235
1,543
1,230
1,705
1,705
Valuation basis
FV (MYRm)
6,004.7
RNAV
2,490.2
8,494.9
SOP/share (MYR)
11.19
Shares (m)
758.85
Financial Exhibits
Profit & Loss (MYRm)
Total turnover
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14F
Dec-15F
1,336
1,233
1,384
1,555
1,795
Cost of sales
(605)
(682)
(858)
(899)
(962)
Gross profit
732
552
526
656
832
(72)
(66)
(74)
(83)
(96)
Selling expenses
(61)
(57)
(64)
(71)
(82)
(33)
(73)
(32)
(36)
(41)
Operating profit
565
356
357
465
612
Operating EBITDA
609
412
424
545
700
(44)
(56)
(68)
(80)
(88)
Operating EBIT
565
356
357
465
612
12
18
12
12
Interest income
26
32
28
18
10
Interest expense
(2)
(4)
(5)
(5)
(97)
601
404
300
491
630
(159)
(82)
(80)
(118)
(158)
(1)
(4)
-
442
327
228
371
(2)
466
(7)
442
327
228
371
466
438
321
299
371
466
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14F
Dec-15F
565
356
357
465
612
44
56
68
80
88
81
(84)
14
(269)
(47)
16
(25)
695
344
414
276
653
Interest received
26
32
28
18
10
Interest paid
(2)
(4)
(5)
(5)
(4)
(157)
(149)
(76)
(85)
(155)
Tax paid
Cash flow from operations
561
224
360
205
504
Capex
(253)
(332)
(423)
(400)
(400)
(125)
(64)
(5)
(57)
(68)
(378)
(396)
(428)
(457)
(468)
(73)
(92)
(319)
(24)
(91)
(0)
(0)
181
Dividends paid
Proceeds from issue of shares
Increase in debt
162
216
106
(12)
(17)
(21)
78
106
(52)
(186)
(91)
756
1,017
951
831
393
(66)
(120)
(438)
(56)
951
831
393
337
261
1,016
(161)
-
Financial Exhibits
Balance Sheet (MYRm)
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14F
Dec-15F
1,017
951
831
393
337
Inventories
129
127
89
328
353
Accounts receivable
113
161
234
263
303
148
228
244
261
264
1,407
1,468
1,398
1,244
1,258
156
159
180
192
204
2,339
2,892
3,036
3,356
3,669
Intangible assets
187
174
163
163
163
17
32
78
78
78
2,699
3,256
3,457
3,789
4,113
Total assets
4,106
4,724
4,854
5,033
5,371
202
258
311
326
349
Short-term debt
Accounts payable
Other current liabilities
29
13
45
48
231
264
330
378
403
427
703
861
700
700
96
104
59
59
59
523
807
920
759
759
Total liabilities
754
1,071
1,251
1,137
1,162
Share capital
379
379
379
379
379
2,747
2,980
2,849
3,138
3,445
Other liabilities
107
64
198
198
198
3,234
3,424
3,426
3,716
4,022
118
229
178
180
187
(0)
Total equity
3,352
3,653
3,604
3,896
4,209
4,106
4,724
4,854
5,033
5,371
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14F
Dec-15F
35.2
(7.7)
12.2
12.4
15.4
37.9
(37.0)
0.2
30.5
31.5
36.3
(26.0)
(30.3)
62.7
25.7
41.1
(26.0)
(30.3)
62.7
25.7
12.7
5.9
0.1
8.5
8.3
42.3
28.9
25.8
29.9
34.1
33.1
26.5
16.5
23.8
26.0
11.6
7.4
4.8
7.5
9.0
14.5
9.8
6.7
10.4
12.0
(17.6)
(6.8)
1.0
8.0
8.8
DPS
0.12
0.09
0.36
0.11
0.14
0.74
0.30
0.47
0.27
0.66
SWOT Analysis
Good reputation in marketplace as an efficient planter
Continued
scrutiny of the
palm oil industry
by the
environmental
groups could
have a negative
effect on the
company
10
-10%
-25%
-40%
2.0
11%
1.5
8%
1.0
5%
0.5
3%
0.0
0%
Jan-15
5%
13%
Jan-14
20%
15
2.5
Jan-13
20
16%
Jan-12
35%
3.0
Jan-11
25
Jan-15
50%
Jan-14
30
Jan-13
65%
Jan-12
80%
35
Jan-11
40
Company Profile
Genting Plantations is a 53.6%-owned subsidiary of the Genting group. It has 261,000 ha of plantation landbank, of which close to
200,000ha is in Indonesia. It also has property development projects in Johor, Melaka and Kedah. The group has also invested
significantly in biotechnology via the use of genomics to raise productivity and sustainability.
Recommendation Chart
Price Close
11.0
10.9
10.3
8.9
8.6
9.3
9.3
10
9.5
7.7
8.6
9.9
Neutral
7.7
Buy
3
Feb-09
11
9.7
6.1
NR
12
8
7
6
5
4
Jun-10
Sell
Trading Buy
Sep-11
Take Profit
Not Rated
Dec-12
Recommendation
2014-02-10
Neutral
10.1
2013-12-12
Neutral
10.9
11.1
2013-11-28
Neutral
10.3
10.9
2013-08-30
Trading Buy
9.3
9.5
2013-08-29
Neutral
9.3
8.9
2013-05-30
Neutral
9.5
9.0
2013-05-20
Neutral
8.9
8.8
2013-03-12
neutral
8.6
9.0
2013-03-07
neutral
8.6
8.9
2013-02-28
neutral
8.6
8.5
All Rights Reserved. This report is for the use of intended recipients only and may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior
consent of RHB and RHB accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.
Malaysia
This report is published and distributed in Malaysia by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (233327-M), Level 11, Tower One, RHB Centre, Jalan Tun Razak,
50400 Kuala Lumpur, a wholly-owned subsidiary of RHB Investment Bank Berhad (RHBIB), which in turn is a wholly-owned subsidiary of RHB Capital
Berhad.
Singapore
This report is published and distributed in Singapore by DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd (Reg. No. 200808705N), a wholly-owned subsidiary of DMG &
Partners Securities Pte Ltd, a joint venture between Deutsche Asia Pacific Holdings Pte Ltd (a subsidiary of Deutsche Bank Group) and OSK Investment
Bank Berhad, Malaysia which have since merged into RHB Investment Bank Berhad (the merged entity is referred to as RHBIB, which in turn is a whollyowned subsidiary of RHB Capital Berhad). DMG & Partners Securities Pte Ltd is a Member of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited. DMG &
Partners Securities Pte Ltd may have received compensation from the company covered in this report for its corporate finance or its dealing activities; this
report is therefore classified as a non-independent report.
As of 26 February 2014, DMG & Partners Securities Pte Ltd and its subsidiaries, including DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd do not have proprietary
positions in the securities covered in this report, except for:
a)
As of 26 February 2014, none of the analysts who covered the securities in this report has an interest in such securities, except for:
a)
Special Distribution by RHB
Where the research report is produced by an RHB entity (excluding DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd) and distributed in Singapore, it is only distributed
to "Institutional Investors", "Expert Investors" or "Accredited Investors" as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, CAP. 289 of Singapore. If you are not
an "Institutional Investor", "Expert Investor" or "Accredited Investor", this research report is not intended for you and you should disregard this research
report in its entirety. In respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with this research report, you are to contact our Singapore Office, DMG &
Partners Securities Pte Ltd
Hong Kong
This report is published and distributed in Hong Kong by RHB OSK Securities Hong Kong Limited (RHBSHK) (formerly known as OSK Securities Hong
Kong Limited), a subsidiary of OSK Investment Bank Berhad, Malaysia which have since merged into RHB Investment Bank Berhad (the merged entity is
referred to as RHBIB), which in turn is a wholly-owned subsidiary of RHB Capital Berhad.
8
RHBSHK, RHBIB and/or other affiliates may beneficially own a total of 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the subject company.
RHBSHK, RHBIB and/or other affiliates may, within the past 12 months, have received compensation and/or within the next 3 months seek to obtain
compensation for investment banking services from the subject company.
Risk Disclosure Statements
The prices of securities fluctuate, sometimes dramatically. The price of a security may move up or down, and may become valueless. It is as likely that
losses will be incurred rather than profit made as a result of buying and selling securities. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. RHBSHK
does not maintain a predetermined schedule for publication of research and will not necessarily update this report
Indonesia
This report is published and distributed in Indonesia by PT RHB OSK Securities Indonesia (formerly known as PT OSK Nusadana Securities Indonesia), a
subsidiary of OSK Investment Bank Berhad, Malaysia, which have since merged into RHB Investment Bank Berhad, which in turn is a wholly-owned
subsidiary of RHB Capital Berhad.
Thailand
This report is published and distributed in Thailand by RHB OSK Securities (Thailand) PCL (formerly known as OSK Securities (Thailand) PCL), a
subsidiary of OSK Investment Bank Berhad, Malaysia, which have since merged into RHB Investment Bank Berhad, which in turn is a wholly-owned
subsidiary of RHB Capital Berhad.
Other Jurisdictions
In any other jurisdictions, this report is intended to be distributed to qualified, accredited and professional investors, in compliance with the law and
regulations of the jurisdictions.
DMG & Partners Research Guide to Investment Ratings
Kuala Lumpur
Hong Kong
Singapore
Malaysia
Tel : +(60) 3 9280 2185
Fax : +(60) 3 9284 8693
Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Trading Buy:Malaysia
Share price
may exceed 15% over theRHB
nextOSK
3 months,
however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
Research Office
Securities Hong Kong Ltd. (formerly known
DMG & Partners
Neutral: Share
mayInstitute
fall within
months
as 12
OSK
Securities
Securities Pte. Ltd.
RHB price
Research
Sdn the
Bhdrange of +/- 10% over the next
Take Profit:
Target
price One,
has RHB
beenCentre
attained. Look to accumulate at lower
Honglevels
Kong Ltd.)
Level
11, Tower
10 Collyer Quay
Sell: Share price may
more than 10% over the next 12 months
Jalanfall
TunbyRazak
12th Floor
#09-08 Ocean Financial Centre
Lumpur
World-Wide House
Singapore 049315
Not Rated: Stock isKuala
not within
regular research coverage
DISCLAIMERS
Phnom
Penh
This research is issuedJakarta
by DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd and it is forShanghai
general distribution only. It does not have any regard
to the
specific investment
objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific recipient of this research report. You should independently evaluate particular
PT RHB OSK and
Securities
Indonesia
(formerlyfinancial
known asadviser
RHB
OSK (China)
Advisory
Ltd. into any
RHBtransaction
OSK Indochina
Securities
Limited
(formerly
investments
consult
an independent
before
makingInvestment
any investments
or Co.
entering
in relation
to any
securities
or
PT OSKmentioned
Nusadana in this report.
(formerly known as OSK (China) Investment
known as OSK Indochina Securities Limited)
investment instruments
Securities Indonesia)
Plaza CIMB Niaga
DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd is a wholly-owned subsidiary of DMG & Partners Securities Pte Ltd, a joint venture between OSK Investment Bank
Berhad, Malaysia which have since merged into RHBRHB
Investment
Bank Berhad (the merged entity is referred to as RHBIB which in turn is a whollyOSK Securities (Thailand) PCL (formerly known
owned subsidiary of RHB Capital Berhad) and Deutsche Asiaas
Pacific
Holdings Pte
Ltd (a PCL)
subsidiary of Deutsche Bank Group). DMG & Partners Securities
OSK Securities
(Thailand)
Pte Ltd is a Member of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading
Limited.
10th Floor,
Sathorn Square Office Tower
98, North Sathorn Road,Silom
Bangkok 10500
DMG & Partners Securities Pte Ltd and their associates, directors,Bangrak,
and/or employees
may have positions in, and may effect transactions in the securities
Thailand
covered in the report, and may also perform or seek to perform broking and
other corporate finance related services for the corporations whose securities
Tel: +(66) 2 862report.
9999
are covered in the report. This report is therefore classified as a non-independent
Fax : +(66) 2 108 0999
As of 26 February 2014, DMG & Partners Securities Pte Ltd and its subsidiaries, including DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd, do not have proprietary
positions in the subject companies, except for:
a)
As of 26 February 2014, none of the analysts who covered the stock in this report has an interest in the subject companies covered in this report, except
for:
a)
DMG & Partners Research Pte. Ltd. (Reg. No. 200808705N)