Muhammad Ali Jinnah University,

Islamabad Campus

Statistics and Probabilityy

MT2072 Fall 2015
Dr. Rashid Ali
Dr
Department of Mathematics
Mohammad Ali Jinnah University

Engineering Statistics

1.
2.
3
3.
4.
5.
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7.
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Course Code:
Course Title:
C dit
Credits:
Class:
Duration:
Instructor:
Phone Number:
E mail:

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MTV 2072
Statistics and Probability
2 Hours
H
BS(CE)
18 Weeks (32 Lectures)
Dr Rashid Ali
111-87-87-87
ext. 292
rashid.ali@jinnah.edu.pk

R. Ali |Introduction

Office Hours

Will be announced later

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R. Ali |Introduction

Reference Book
Probability & Statistics (for Engineering and the
Sciences) by Jay L.Devore 7th Ed.
Miller & Freund
Freundss Probability and Statistics for
Engineers, Richard A. Johnson, 7th Ed.
Statistics by Mc Clave, Dietrich, Sincich 7th Ed.
Introductory Statistics (Neil A Weiss) 4thEd.
Statistics by Examples (Terry Sincich) 5th Ed.
Introduction to Mathematical Statistics by Robert V.
V
Hogg, Allen T. Craig 5th Ed.
Introduction to Probability and Statistics (J S
Milton, J. C. Atnold)
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R. Ali |Introduction

Evaluation

a) Assignments

20%

b) Class Tests

20%

e) Midterm Exam.

20%

d) Final Examination

40%

Total

100%

O t off SIX,
Out
SIX best
b t Five
Fi tests
t t will
ill be
b
considered for evaluation
Absence = 0 Marks
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R. Ali |Introduction

Statistics and Probability

Chapter 1
Introduction and Descriptive Statistics

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R. Ali |Introduction

Learning Objectives

Define Statistics

Describe the Uses of Statistics

Distinguish Descriptive & Inferential Statistics

Define Population, Sample, Parameter,

& Statistic

Define Variable and Data

Distinguish b/w different types of data

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R. Ali |Introduction

What is Statistics?
1.

2.
2

3.

Collecting Data

Data
Analysis
y

e.g. Survey

P
Presenting
ti Data
D t

Why?

e.g., Charts & Tables

Characterizing Data

DecisionMaking

e.g., Average

Statistics
St
ti ti is
i the
th science
i
off data.
d t It
involves collecting, classifying,
summarizing, organizing, analyzing
& interpreting numerical
information
1984-1994 T/Maker Co.
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R. Ali |Introduction

Why Statistics
Increasingly quantitative approach in all Sciences
e.g. use of mathematical techniques in :
9Evaluation of antipollution controls
9Improvement in the quality of products
9Analysis of the experimental data
9Inventory planning
9The analysis of traffic patterns
9The study of the effects of various kinds of
medications
9The evaluation of teaching techniques
9Analysis of competitive behavior of business
managers and government
9The study of diet and longevity etc. etc.
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R. Ali |Introduction

As a Civil Engineer, can you

highlight some uses of statistics and
probability?

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R. Ali |Introduction

10

Statistical Methods
Statistical
Methods

Descriptive
Statistics

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Inferential
Statistics

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11

Descriptive Statistics
1.
1

2.

Involves
Collecting Data
Presenting Data
Characterizing Data
Purpose
Describe Data
X = 30.5 S2 = 113

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R. Ali |Introduction

12

Inferential Statistics
1.
1

2.

Involves
Estimation
Hypothesis
Testing
Purpose
M k D
Make
Decisions
ii
Ab
Aboutt
Population Characteristics

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13

Probability and Statistics

In

a Probability Problem, properties of population under

study are assumed & questions regarding sample taken are
posed & answered
answered.
In a Statistics problem, characteristic of a sample are
available to the experimenter which are used to draw
conclusions about the population.
i.e. Probability reasons from population to sample (Deductive
Reasoning) whereas Statistics reasons from sample to
population (Inductive Reasoning)

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14

Importance
Summarizing

larger set of data

Efficient designing of lab. and field experiments &surveys
Sound
S
d and
d effective
ff ti planning
l i in
i any field
fi ld off inquiry
i
i
Drawing general conclusion and predictions
Analyzing numerical data in social and natural sciences,
Genetics, Astronomy, Agronomy, Physics, Biology,
Geology, Chemistry, Business, Economics, Industry,
P li i
Politics,
Any kind of research work

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15

Key Terms

1. Population (Universe)

2. Sample

Portion of Population

3. Parameter

All Items of Interest

Summary Measure about Population

4 Statistic
4.
St ti ti

Summary Measure about Sample

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16

Statistical
Computer Packages
1.

Typical Software
SPSS
MINITAB
MatLab
Excel

2.

Need Statistical
U de sta d g
Understanding
Assumptions
Limitations

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17

As a Civil Engineer, can you

highlight some uses of statistics and
probability?

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R. Ali |Introduction

18

Thank you

Please note down the

assignment
Read Section 1.1 of Chapter 1 and
explain all the Examples therein

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19

10