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DEERE Investor Presentation Aug Sep With Bookmarks
DEERE Investor Presentation Aug Sep With Bookmarks
Committed to Those
Linked to the Land
Investor Presentation
Deere & Company
August / September 2016
Table of Contents
Slide
John Deere Strategy
Use-of-Cash
14
Global Markets
19
31
Market Fundamentals
38
Appendix
46
John Deere
Strategy
2013
30%
2014
2007
2010
25%
2011
2004
2006
20%
2005
2009
12%
10%
2003
2002
5%
0%
2001
-5%
80%
Low
100%
Normal
% of Normal Volume
28%
20%
2015
15%
2012
2008
120%
High
$ Millions
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
3,200
2,800
2,400
SVA ($ Millions)
2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
-400
-800
-1,200
-1,600
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Asset Management
60%
$30,000
55%
$25,000
Current Year
50%
Prior Year
$20,000
$ Millions
45%
40%
35%
$15,000
$10,000
30%
$5,000
25%
20%
$0
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016*
Trade Receivables
2015
Net Sales
1998
Productivity Improvement
~ 5% CAGR over 30 Years
$600
$ Thousands
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
6.00%
$1,400
5.00%
$1,200
4.00%
$1,000
$800
3.00%
$600
2.00%
$400
1.00%
$200
0.00%
$0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Deere R&D $
Deere %
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Competitor A %
2012
2013
2014
2015
Competitor B %
Turf
Other
Large Ag
Forestry
Small Ag
Construction
Use-of-Cash
Committed to A Rating
Consistently and moderately raise dividend targeting a 25%35% payout ratio of mid-cycle earnings
Share Repurchase
$0.60
$0.51
$0.50
$0.46
$0.41
$0.40
$0.35
$0.28
$0.30
$0.25
$0.20
$0.20
$0.14
$0.10
$0.30
$0.22
$0.16
$0.11
$0.00
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Share Repurchase
~ $16.4 billion
~ $3.3 billion
~ 314.4 million
~ 315.7 million
~ 245.0 million
$66.96
40.0
35.0
$2.5
30.0
$2.0
25.0
20.0
$1.5
15.0
$1.0
10.0
$0.5
5.0
$0.0
0.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
YTD
Shares Repurchased
* All shares adjusted for two-for-one stock split effective 26 November 2007
$3.0
Amount Spent
$ Billions
$953
$36,000
= Source of Cash
= Use of Cash
$33,000
$9,419
$30,000
$27,000
$1,297
$2,239
$ Millions
$24,000
$21,000
$6,323
$31,582
$18,000
$15,000
$12,000
$14,257
$9,000
$6,000
$3,000
$0
$4,287
$387
$2,900
Beginning
Cash & Cash
Equivalents
(10/31/03)
Cash From
Operations
Divestitures,
net of
Acquisitions
Capital
Investment in Net Change in
Debt and
Expenditures
Financial
Intercompany
Services
Balances
Dividends
Share
Repurchase,
net of
Common
Stock
Issuances
(1)
Other
(1) Other includes proceeds from maturities and sales of marketable securities and purchases of marketable securities and reconciliation for non-cash
items including excess tax benefits from share-based compensation and the effect of exchange rates on cash and cash equivalents
Global Markets
$21.9
$20.9
$20.3
$1.0
$4.6
2015
$0.7 $0.7
$1.0
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2015
2014
2013
2011
2010
2009
2012
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2007
$4.3 $4.1
2010
$0.8
$2.6
$2.4
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2009
2008
2007
$ Billions
$1.8
$3.3
$1.4
$1.1 $1.2
2009
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
$2.6
$1.7 $1.6
$1.4
Latin America
$1.6
$1.4
2007
$3.9
2008
$15.2
$14.9
$13.9
$13.1
$3.6 $3.6
$1.9
Western Europe
$16.6
2008
$17.5
Alberta, Canada
Remanufactured Components
Wisconsin, USA
Iowa, USA
Illinois, USA
Combine Harvesters
Headers
Planting Equipment
Hydraulic Cylinders
Tennessee, USA
Lawn Tractors
Commercial Mowers
Golf & Turf Mowers
Utility Vehicles
Hydraulic Excavators
Georgia, USA
Utility Tractors
Compact Utility Tractors
Louisiana, USA
California, USA
Satellite Receivers
Kansas, USA
Missouri, USA
Remanufactured Components
EU 28
Factory Locations
Horst, The Netherlands
Joensuu, Finland
Spraying Equipment
Wheel Forwarders
Wheel Harvesters
Forestry Attachments
Zweibrcken, Germany
Stadtlohn, Germany
Saran, France
Headers
Engines
Largeasse, France
Gummersbach, Germany
Planting Equipment
Walk-Behind Mowers
Arc-les-Gray, France
Bruchsal, Germany
Balers
Ag Loaders
Madrid, Spain
Components
Mannheim, Germany
Tractors
Brazil
Factory Locations
Catalo, Brazil
Sugarcane Harvesters
Sprayers
Indaiatuba, Brazil
Backhoe Loaders
4WD Loaders
Motor Graders
Horizontina, Brazil
Combine Harvesters
Planters
Excavators
Montenegro, Brazil
Tractors
CIS
Factory Locations
Orenburg, Russia
Seeding Equipment
Tillage Equipment
Domodedovo, Russia
Tractors
Combine Harvesters
Motor Graders
China
Factory Locations
Jiamusi, China
Combine Harvesters
Corn Pickers
Cotton Pickers
4WD Loaders
Excavators
Ningbo, China
India
Factory Locations
Sirhind, India
Combine Harvesters
Pune, India
Engines
Transmissions
Tractors (36-75 hp)
Electronics
Dewas, India
Other Regions
Factory Locations
Monterrey, Mexico
Rotary Cutters
Implements
Components
Torreon, Mexico
Axles
Engines
Electronics
Ramos, Mexico
Ag Loaders
Compact Utility Tractor Loaders
Utility Tractor Cabs
Hydraulic Cylinders
Saltillo, Mexico
Ag Tractors
Transaxles
Rosario, Argentina
Engines
Tractors
Combines
Highlights:
China footprint
Strategic distribution locations to support China market, operational 2016
Campinas, Brazil
Expansion of existing facility, operational March 2015
Nagpur, India
India Parts Distribution Center, opened Nov 2014
Engine Emissions
2016 Worldwide Off-Road Emissions Regulations > 75 hp
Russia
EU28*
Stage IV
Final Tier 4
China
Stage IIIA
India
TREM 3A >50hp
Stage II/Tier 2
Stage IIIA/Tier 3/TREM 3A
Stage IV/Final Tier 4
Brazil
Stage IIIA:
Construction equipment
Ag equipment >100hp - January 2017
John Deere
Financial Services
Owned Operations
Bank/Finance Company Partners
Retail programs through JDF not currently offered
$ Millions
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
-$500
-$1,000
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
-$1,500
Portfolio Composition by
Market
Portfolio Composition by
Geography
Latin America
5%
C&F
15%
Australia
2%
Asia
1%
Portfolio Composition by
Product
Operating Lease
13%
Europe
5%
Revolving Credit
7%
Canada
10%
Wholesale /
Floorplan
21%
Ag & Turf
85%
US
77%
Installment and
Finance Lease
59%
3.95%
3.45%
3.45%
2.95%
2.95%
2.45%
2.45%
1.95%
1.95%
1.45%
1.45%
0.95%
0.95%
0.45%
0.45%
-0.05%
-0.05%
'83
'85
'87
'99
'13
'15
'95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15
1983 1985 includes Construction; 1986 - 1994 includes Lawn & Grounds Care; beginning in 2009 includes both Ag and Turf equipment;
as % of Owned Losses After Dealer Reserve Charges
Source: 1983 1994 internal reporting, 1995 - 2011 JDCC 10-K filings, 2012 - 2015 internal reporting
544
498
469
364
311
383
319
282
149
2007
33.1
30.7
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
32.7
26.6
23.3
19.0
19.1
19.3
21.1
0.70%
0.48%
0.29% 0.33%
0.12%
0.05% 0.03%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.09%
2014
0.11%
2015
Market Fundamentals
$ Billions
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F
Crops
Livestock
Government Payments
30%
28%
$3,000
26%
$ Billions
$2,500
24%
22%
$2,000
20%
$1,500
18%
16%
$1,000
14%
$500
12%
$0
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015F
2016F
10%
Farm Debt
Farm Equity
Cotton
60%
50%
Wheat
40%
30%
Corn
20%
Soybeans
10%
0%
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016P
800
600
400
200
0
92/93
94/95
96/97
98/99
00/01
Production
Source: USDA, 12 August 2016
02/03
04/05
06/07
08/09
10/11
Consumption
12/13
14/15
16/17
Consumption
2,200
2,000
1,800
1,600
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016F
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016F
2,600
2,400
2,200
2,000
1,800
1,600
1995
1998
2001
2.500
(Millions of Units)
2.250
2.000
1.750
1.500
1.250
1.000
0.750
0.500
0.250
0.000
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016F
2,200
2,100
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,600
1,500
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
-80%
-90%
-100%
-110%
-120%
-130%
-140%
-150%
-160%
2,300
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016F
Appendix
Equipment Operations
Net Sales
Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO
With Inventories at Standard Cost
Operating Profit
Percent of Net Sales
Operating Return on Assets
With Inventories at LIFO
With Inventories at Standard Cost
SVA Cost of Assets
SVA
Equipment Operations
Net Sales
Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO
With Inventories at Standard Cost
Operating Profit
Percent of Net Sales
Operating Return on Assets
With Inventories at LIFO
With Inventories at Standard Cost
SVA Cost of Assets
SVA
1993
6,479
1994
7,663
1995
8,830
1996
9,640
1997
11,082
1998
11,926
1999
9,701
2000
11,169
2001
11,077
2002
11,703
2003
13,349
2004
17,673
5,449
6,442
242
3.7%
5,551
6,494
847
11.1%
6,187
7,131
1,006
11.4%
6,502
7,488
1,125
11.7%
6,682
7,703
1,402
12.6%
7,672
8,711
1,476
12.4%
7,724
8,739
272
2.8%
8,069
9,039
693
6.2%
8,743
9,678
(46)
-0.4%
6,229
7,147
401
3.4%
5,965
6,925
708
5.3%
6,482
7,477
1,905
10.8%
4.4%
3.8%
(773)
(531)
15.3%
13.0%
(780)
68
16.3%
14.1%
(856)
150
17.3%
15.0%
(898)
226
21.0%
18.2%
(924)
477
19.3%
16.9%
(1,045)
431
3.5%
3.1%
(1,049)
(776)
8.6%
7.7%
(1,085)
(392)
-0.5%
-0.5%
(1,162)
(1,208)
6.4%
5.6%
(858)
(457)
11.9%
10.2%
(831)
(123)
29.4%
25.5%
(897)
1,008
2005
19,401
2006
19,884
2007
21,489
2008
25,803
2009
20,756
2010
23,573
2011
29,466
2012
33,501
2013
34,998
2014
32,961
2015
25,775
7,248
8,312
1,842
9.5%
7,546
8,634
1,905
9.6%
8,092
9,205
2,318
10.8%
9,652
10,812
2,927
11.3%
9,647
10,950
1,365
6.6%
9,196
10,494
2,909
12.3%
11,516
12,875
3,839
13.0%
13,594
14,965
4,397
13.1%
14,569
15,924
5,058
14.5%
14,113
15,493
4,297
13.0%
12,491
13,840
2,177
8.4%
25.4%
22.2%
(998)
844
25.2%
22.1%
(1,036)
869
28.6%
25.2%
(1,094)
1,224
30.3%
27.1%
(1,284)
1,643
14.1%
12.5%
(1,301)
64
31.6%
27.7%
(1,259)
1,650
33.3%
29.8%
(1,545)
2,294
32.3%
29.4%
(1,795)
2,602
34.7%
31.8%
(1,911)
3,147
30.4%
27.7%
(1,860)
2,437
17.4%
15.7%
(1,661)
516