LCCAModel

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Last Modified:

DGS INPUTS

These inputs are provided by DGS. Check the website (www.green.ca.gov) for more information.

ASSUMPTIONS
Current year
Inflation
Discount rate
Reinvestment rate
Rounding

2009
3.40%
4.80%
0.00%
-2

Other Real Escalation Factors


Routine annual O&M (added to inflation)
Major Repair/Replacements (added to inflation)

0.00%
0.00%

Utility Electric rate escalation (added to inflation)


Demand rate escalation (added to inflation)
Natural gas price escalation (added to inflation)

-0.30%
-0.30%
1.23%

Photovoltaic degradation factor (per year)

0.8%

NOTE: This value reflects the State's estimated Cost of Capital.


NOTE: This value is the re-investment rate for project generated cash flow (i.e. savings) - most likely Not Applicable.

NOTE: The User should be careful in adjusting this escalation rate and have information to back up any rate added to inflation.
NOTE: The User should be careful in adjusting this escalation rate and have information to back up any rate added to inflation.
NOTE: The rate of inflation is added to this escalation rate.
NOTE: The rate of inflation is added to this escalation rate.
NOTE: The rate of inflation is added to this escalation rate.
NOTE: This information should come from the solar module manufacturer.

ELECTRICITY TARIFFS

User Input Required

User should enter all the tariffs applicable to the bundle on this page.
Non-TOU Tariffs are entered in Rows 9 through 17. TOU tariffs are entered in Rows 25 through 40.
When inputting tariff information in "User Inputs" only the tariff number from Row 8 or 24 should be entered.

Electrical Tariff Data (Non-TOU)


Tariff Number (Used only to select tariff for purposes of this model)

10

11

Service Territory (Type PG&E, SCE or SDG&E)


Applicable electric retail tariff
Number of Summer months in tariff
Energy Rate ($/kWh) -Summer electricy

Winter electricity

Summer demand

Winter Demand

Demand ($/kW-mo)**

Electrical Tariff Data (TOU)


Tariff Number (Used only to select tariff for purposes of this model)

Service Territory (Type PG&E, SCE or SDG&E)

PG&E

Applicable electric retail tariff


Summer months in tariff

E19P
6

Energy Rate ($/kWh) -Summer on-peak

0.15606

Summer part-peak

0.10407

Summer off-peak

0.08154

Winter peak
Winter part-peak

0.08882

Winter off-peak

0.07737

Demand ($/kW-mo) -Max demand (summer & winter, avg mo.)


Summer peak
Summer part-peak

6.66
12.29
2.79

Summer off-peak
Winter peak (max)

6.66

Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak

0.78

For SMUD "Max demand" equates to "Facilities Charge"

12

13

14

15

16

1
2

C D

I. Selection of ECMs

To run a single ECM or group of ECMs:

Step 1 -- Enter in cell G6 the ECMs you want to run in this project. Separate ECMs by
commas or hyphens; i.e. 3,5,7-10

Step 2 -- Go to "Project Analysis" sheet and click "Accumulate Results" button.

List ECMs to Accumulate

II. General Assumptions

1
Solar PV

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

General Inputs
(for all ECMs in
project)

Enter the name of each ECM in this row

ECM number

Base Year For Project including ECMs 1


Analysis Period (years)
ECM's first full operating year (2)
Useful Life of ECM (years)
20 (1) First full operating year must be 2007 or later.

2009
20
2010
20

(2) ECM "analysis period" may exceed the "useful life."

Generation Degradation Assumption


Is ECM photovoltaic? (Y or N) (1)

ECM #
Y

(1)This triggers PV degradation factor.

III. ECMs that Save Gas


If user has no gas saving ECMs, skip to next section.

Gas Tariffs
Natural Gas Utility (PG&E, SCG, SDG&E)
Applicable gas tariff
Natural Gas Rates
Average price ($/therm)

ECM #
0.00

NOTE: ECM and "Business as Usual" could have different gas prices
based on volumetric differences. This model does not account for
those shifts. Please consult with the Natural Gas Services Program
for burnertip natural gas pricing information.

Gas Savings
If available, enter both "Business as Usual" and ECM data.
If you only have estimates of energy savings, enter those as positive
amounts under "Business as Usual" and leave ECM blank.

Natural Gas Usage


Annual usage (Therms)

Natural Gas Usage


Annual usage (Therms)

A
42
43
44
45

C D

The demand ratchet is assumed to be 12 months for analysis purposes.

51

For ECMs on Non-TOU Tariffs: Input through Row 73, then Skip to
"Upfront Capital Costs & Funding"

52

For ECMs on TOU Tariffs: Skip rows 50 through 73 and go to Area


IV.B. below.

ECM #
Is ECM tariff TOU?: Y or N
Does tariff have demand ratchet? Y or N

Non-TOU electricity ECMs can be entered in any column as long as


ECM is identified below as a non-TOU ECM.

56

Enter the applicable tariff for each ECM (see "Tariffs" sheet). Most
users will have only one applicable tariff.

64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

Y
N

A. Data for Electrical ECMs on Non-TOU Tariffs

55

57
58
59
60
61
62
63

Users that have some ECMs on TOU tariffs and some on non-TOU
tariffs must complete each section.

46
47
48
49
50

53
54

IV. ECMs That Save Electricity

1 Electrical Tariff Data (Non-TOU)

ECM #

Select tariff number from Row 8 of Tariffs sheet

2 Energy Use Data for ECMs that Save Electricity for Meters Not on TOU Tariffs
If available, enter both "Business as Usual" and ECM data.
If you only have estimates of energy savings, enter those as positive
amounts under "Business as Usual" and leave ECM blank.

Electricity Usage (kWh)


Summer usage
Winter usage
Demand (kW)
Summer
Winter
Electricity Usage (kWh)
Summer usage
Winter usage
Demand (kW)
Summer
Winter

"Business as
Usual"
0
0
0
0
ECM
0
0
0
0

A
78
79

C D

B. Data for Electrical ECMs on TOU Tariffs

80

TOU electricity ECMs can be entered in any column as long as they


are identified as TOU ECMs in row 49.

81

Enter the applicable tariff for each ECM (see "Tariffs" sheet for tariffs).
Most projects will have only one tariff.

82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

1 Electrical Tariff Data (TOU)


ECM #

Select tariff number from Row 24 of Tariffs sheet

2 Energy Use Data for ECMs that Save Electricity on TOU Meters and Tariffs
If available, enter both "Business as Usual" and ECM data.
If you only have estimates of energy savings, enter those as positive
amounts under "Business as Usual" and leave ECM blank.

Electricity Usage- "Business as Usual"


Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer & winter, avg mo.)
Summer peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak

Electricity Usage- ECM


Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer & winter, avg mo.)
Summer peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak

ECM #
"Business as Usual"

100,000
100,000
200,000
0
50,000
100,000
500
500
400
500
0
250
250

ECM
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

A
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131

C D

ECM #
ECM Capital Costs
Date of construction estimate, m/d/yr

132
133
134

Construction cost (1)


"Soft" costs (e.g., overhead, contract mgt) (1)

135

Number of months from date of loan closing to


completion of construction- to calculate capitalized
interest

136

Rebate (if applicable, enter as negative)

137

Input "Y" if you prefer to calculate capitalized interest


outside of model.

138

Amount of capitalized interest. (Enter this only if you


have calculated it outside of model and have entered
"Y" in row above.)

140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

J
0
0

V. Capital Costs and Financing

Months from estimate to const. Start- to escalate


construction and soft costs

139

Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak

6/20/09
3
3,000,000
50,000

8
(1,000,000)
0

(1) Construction cost and "soft costs" are escalated from estimate
date to estimated start of construction date at CPI

Debt Terms
Amount of debt (% of total ECM cost)
Term (years)
Effective interest rate (per annum)

100%
20
5.00%

VI. O&M and Other Costs


A. ECM Operating Costs
ECM Expense
Routine annual O&M (first year $, will escalate at CPI)
Major Repair and Replacements
Average frequency, years
Expected cost (in current year dollars)

ECM
0
0
0

Expenses Avoided by ECM (if any)


In most cases, make NO entries for "Expenses Avoided"

Routine annual O&M


Major Repair and Replacements
Average frequency, years
Current Unit Cost

B. Other Incremental Costs of ECM


General, Administrative, Insurance Costs, etc.
"Business as Usual"
ECM

0
0
0

0
0

A
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

C D

NO user input below here.


Expected useful life of equipment- Calculation of weighted average based on cost.
Project total
Cost of ECM included in project. Construction cost + soft cost less rebate.
Fraction of ECM/Total project
Fraction of ECM/Total project * useful life of ECM
Weighted average life of project

2,050,000
20.0
20.0

1
2

Click to Run Clear Input Value Macro- Do not


click this unless you want to clear all input
values.

3
4

5
6
7

Solar PV

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

1
Y

2010
20

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

"Business as
Usual"

ECM

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

1
Y
N

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

"Business as
Usual"

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
0
0
0
0

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85

For ECMs on TOU Tariffs Only


1
2
9

86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

"Business as
"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
100,000
100,000
200,000
50,000
100,000
500
500
400
500
250
250

1
ECM

2
ECM

3
ECM

4
ECM

5
ECM

6
ECM

7
ECM

K
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134

1
ECM
6/20/09

2
ECM

3
ECM

4
ECM

5
ECM

6
ECM

7
ECM

3
3,000,000
50,000

135
136

8
(1,000,000)

137
138

139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

2,050,000
1.00
20

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

1
2

10

11

12

13

14

10

11

12

13

14

10

11

12

13

14

3
4
5
6
7

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

10

11

12

13

14

10

11

12

13

14

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

10

11

12

13

14

10

11

12

13

14

78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

8
ECM

9
ECM

10
ECM

11
ECM

12
ECM

13
ECM

14
ECM

124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131

8
ECM

9
ECM

10
ECM

11
ECM

12
ECM

13
ECM

14
ECM

132
133
134
135
136
137
138

139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

10

11

12

13

14

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

10

11

12

13

14

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

1
2

AA

AB

AC

AD

AE

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

3
4
5
6
7

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

AA

AB

AC

AD

AE

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

AA

AB

AC

AD

AE

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

15
ECM

16
ECM

17
ECM

18
ECM

19
ECM

20
ECM

21
ECM

124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131

AA

AB

AC

AD

AE

15
ECM

16
ECM

17
ECM

18
ECM

19
ECM

20
ECM

21
ECM

132
133
134
135
136
137
138

139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

AA

AB

AC

AD

AE

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

1
2

AF

AG

AH

AI

22

23

24

25

22

23

24

25

22

23

24

25

3
4
5
6
7

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

AJ

AK

AL

AM

AN

AF

AG

AH

AI

22

23

24

25

22

23

24

25

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

AJ

AK

AL

AM

AN

AF

AG

AH

AI

22

23

24

25

22

23

24

25

78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

"Business as "Business as "Business as "Business as


Usual"
Usual"
Usual"
Usual"

22
ECM

23
ECM

24
ECM

25
ECM

AJ

AK

AL

AM

AN

124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131

AF

AG

AH

AI

22
ECM

23
ECM

24
ECM

25
ECM

132
133
134
135
136
137
138

139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

22

23

24

25

ECM

ECM

ECM

ECM

22

23

24

25

AJ

AK

AL

AM

AN

AF

AG

AH

AI

AJ

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

0
0.00
0

AK

AL

AM

AN

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

AO

AP

AQ

AR

AS

AT

AU

AV

AW

AX

AY

AO
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

AP

AQ

AR

AS

AT

AU

AV

AW

AX

AY

AO
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123

AP

AQ

AR

AS

AT

AU

AV

AW

AX

AY

AO
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138

139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
173

AP

AQ

AR

AS

AT

AU

AV

AW

AX

AY

AO
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182

AP

AQ

AR

AS

AT

AU

AV

AW

AX

AY

AccumulateResults

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Individual ECMs

Aggregated Cash Flow for Project including ECMs 1


Total Cost of Project
First Year Energy Savings

$2,145,123 Note: this amount includes costs for all selected ECM's used
-$28,620

ANNUAL CASH FLOW

First Year
2010

2011

Analysis year

PV ($2009)

SUM (1)

Analysis flag

Start flag

Project Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs
Reduction in electricity usage costs
Reduction in electricity demand costs
Gross Energy Cost Savings

$0

$0

$819,600

$1,403,300

56,188

57,467

$1,367,400

$2,370,400

87,322

90,029

$2,187,000

$3,773,700

143,510

147,495

$2,292,000
Incremental Project Costs
Project Operating Costs

$0

$0

Other Project Costs

$0

$0

Total Operating Costs

$0

$0

Costs Avoided by Project

$0

$0

$0

$0

$2,187,000

$3,773,700

143,510

147,495

$2,082,000

$3,442,600

172,130

172,130

$105,000

$331,100

(28,620)

(24,635)

0.83

0.86

Total Incremental Project Operating Costs


Savings before debt service
Incremental Debt Service
Savings after debt service

NOTE: 1) The term "Sum" reflects the total costs and savings over the life of the project.
Financial Measures:
Cumulative pre-debt savings (shortfall)
Payback period (actual)
Debt coverage ratio
Project internal rate of return (unleveraged)

Energy Conserved over Lifetime:


Total project kwh saved
Total project therms saved
Project Peak kW reduction

12.7 yrs
0.83 min
5.51%

10,202,798
0
500

teResults

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Individual ECMs

costs for all selected ECM's used in this Project run regardless of the year in which the capital is expended

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

10

11

12

58,774

60,112

61,479

62,878

64,309

65,772

67,268

68,799

70,364

71,965

92,819

95,697

98,663

101,722

104,875

108,127

111,478

114,934

118,497

122,171

151,594

155,808

160,143

164,600

169,184

173,898

178,747

183,733

188,861

194,136

151,594

155,808

160,143

164,600

169,184

173,898

178,747

183,733

188,861

194,136

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

(20,536)

(16,322)

(11,987)

(7,530)

(2,946)

1,768

6,616

11,603

16,731

22,005

0.88

0.91

0.93

0.96

0.98

1.01

1.04

1.07

1.10

1.13

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

73,602

75,277

76,990

78,741

80,533

82,365

84,239

86,156

125,958

129,863

133,888

138,039

142,318

146,730

151,279

155,968

199,560

205,140

210,878

216,780

222,851

229,095

235,518

242,124

199,560

205,140

210,878

216,780

222,851

229,095

235,518

242,124

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

27,430

33,009

38,748

44,650

50,721

56,965

63,387

69,994

1.16

1.19

1.23

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

2043

2044

2045

34

35

36

AccumulateResults

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Individual ECMs

Aggregated Cash Flow for Project including ECMs 1


Incremental Funding Costs of Project:
Construction cost
"Soft" costs (e.g., overhead, contract mgt)
Total
Escalation
Construction Cost and "soft costs" escalated
Rebate (if applicable)
Amount to finance before IDC
Capitalized interest
Total Cost

Funding Sources
Capital Outlay/Equity
Debt
Total Funding

$3,000,000
$50,000
$3,050,000
$25,925
$3,075,925
-$1,000,000
$2,075,925
$69,198
$2,145,123

$0
$2,145,123
$2,145,123

Sensitivity of Project Savings to Real Increase (Decrease)

Base Case Assumptions:


Background inflation =
Real escalation in electricity prices =
(Electric price or gas price escalation added to CP
Nominal
Escalation

Real Rate of
Escalation

NPV
Savings

1.85%
2.10%
2.35%
2.60%
2.85%

-1.55%
-1.30%
-1.05%
-0.80%
-0.55%

15,400
32,300
49,600
67,600
86,000

105,000

3.35%
3.60%
3.85%
4.10%
4.35%

-0.05%
0.20%
0.45%
0.70%
0.95%

124,500
144,700
165,400
186,700
208,700

IMPORTANT NOTE: Do not change any of the numbers in this table. They are

teResults

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Individual ECMs

ngs to Real Increase (Decrease) in Electric and Gas Prices

Table interval = 0.25%

Background inflation = 3.40%


-0.30%
Real escalation in gas prices =
1.23%
ce or gas price escalation added to CPI: CPI not changed)
Nominal
Real Rate
Nominal Payback
NPV
Nominal
Escalatio
of
Savings
Period
Savings
Savings
n
Escalation
154,200 13.024 yrs
3.38%
-0.02%
105,000
331,100
187,300 12.953 yrs
3.63%
0.23%
105,000
331,100
221,600 12.882 yrs
3.88%
0.48%
105,000
331,100
256,900 12.810 yrs
4.13%
0.73%
105,000
331,100
293,400 12.739 yrs
4.38%
0.98%
105,000
331,100

Payback
Period
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs

331,100

13

105,000

331,100

13

369,900
410,100
451,500
494,300
538,500

12.598 yrs
12.528 yrs
12.458 yrs
12.388 yrs
12.319 yrs

4.88%
5.13%
5.38%
5.63%
5.88%

1.48%
1.73%
1.98%
2.23%
2.48%

105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000

331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100

12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs

e any of the numbers in this table. They are fixed based on DGS Inputs.

Aggregated Cash Flow for Project including ECMs 1-7


Total Cost of Project
First Year Energy Savings

$2,145,123
-$28,620

ANNUAL CASH FLOW


PV ($2009)

SUM (1)

$0

$0

$819,600

$1,403,300

$1,367,400

$2,370,400

$2,187,000

$3,773,700

Project Operating Costs

$0

$0

Other Project Costs

$0

$0

Total Operating Costs

$0

$0

Costs Avoided by Project

$0

$0

$0

$0

$2,187,000

$3,773,700

$2,082,000

$3,442,600

$105,000

$331,100

Project Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs
Reduction in electricity usage costs
Reduction in electricity demand costs
Gross Energy Cost Savings
Incremental Project Costs

Total Incremental Project Operating Costs


Savings before debt service
Incremental Debt Service
Savings after debt service

NOTE: 1) The term "Sum" reflects the total costs and savings over the life of the project.
Financial Measures:
Cumulative pre-debt savings (shortfall)
Payback period (actual)
Debt coverage ratio
Project internal rate of return (unleveraged)
Energy Conserved over Lifetime:
Total project kwh saved
Total project therms saved
Project Peak kW reduction
Incremental Funding Costs of Project:
Construction cost
"Soft" costs (e.g., overhead, contract mgt)
Total
Escalation
Construction Cost and "soft costs" escalated
Rebate (if applicable)
Amount to finance before IDC
Capitalized interest
Total Cost

12.7 yrs
0.83 yrs
5.51%

10,202,798
0
500

$3,000,000
$50,000
$3,050,000
$25,925
$3,075,925
($1,000,000)
$2,075,925
$69,198
$2,145,123

Funding Sources
Capital Outlay/Equity
Debt
Total Funding

$0
$2,145,123
$2,145,123

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


Solar PV
ANALYSIS SUMMARY OF ECM
Present Value Analysis Summary
Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

1
PV ($2009)
2010 - 2029
$2,187,000
$0
$2,187,000
($2,082,000)
$105,000
20-yr SUM

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

2010 - 2029
$3,773,700
$0
$3,773,700
($3,442,600)
$331,100

Total kWh Saved- Lifetime


Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

10,202,798
0

First Year Savings Analysis Summary


Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

1st Year Only


2010
$143,500
$0
$143,500
($172,100)
($28,600)
550,000
0
500

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return (20-yr)
Payback period
[1]
Payback period
[2]
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

5.5%
12.7 yrs
14.9 yrs
0.83 min
1.10 avg

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or equipment.
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or savings only.

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 47 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


Energy Savings from ECM: Calculated from inputs- For TOU ECMs
Usage (kWh) -Summer on-peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak
Total
Demand (kW) -Max demand (summer & winter,
Summer peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak

100,000
100,000
200,000
0
50,000
100,000
_______
550,000
500
500
400
500
0
250
250

Incremental Funding Costs of ECM


Initial estimate, excluding, IDC and rebate
Construction cost (1)
"Soft" costs (e.g., overhead, contract m
Total
Escalation
Construction Cost and "soft costs" escalat
Rebate (if applicable)
Costs before Capitalized Interest
Capitalized interest
Total Cost

3,000,000
50,000
3,050,000
25,925
3,075,925
(1,000,000)
2,075,925
69,198
$2,145,123

Funding Sources
Capital Outlay/Equity
Debt
Total Funding

0
2,145,123
$2,145,123

ECM Expenses (Current $): Calculated from inputs


Interval for Major Repair and Replacem
Routine annual O&M
Cost of Major Repair and Replacement
Major Repairs and Replacements, in interval year
Total ECM Expenses

0
0
0

Counter

0
0
0
0
0

1
0
0
0
0

2
0
0
0
0

3
0
0
0
0

4
0
0
0
0

5
0
0
0
0

Counter

0
0
0
0
0

1
0
0
0
0

2
0
0
0
0

3
0
0
0
0

4
0
0
0
0

5
0
0
0
0

Expenses Avoided by ECM (Current $): Calculated from inputs


Interval for Major Repair and Replacem
Routine annual O&M
Major Repair and Replacements, esc.
Major Repairs and Replacements, in interval year
Total Expenses Avoided by ECM

0
0
0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 48 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


Other Incremental Costs (Current $)

ANNUAL ECM CASHFLOW


Analysis year
Analysis flag

PV ($2009)
2010 - 2029

20-yr SUM
2010 - 2029

2009
0
0

2010
1
1

2011
2
1

2012
3
1

2013
4
1

2014
5
1

ECM Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs

819,645

1,403,277

56,188

57,467

58,774

60,112

61,479

Reduction in electricity demand costs

1,367,362

2,370,377

87,322

90,029

92,819

95,697

98,663

Gross Energy Cost Savings

2,187,008

3,773,654

143,510

147,495

151,594

155,808

160,143

ECM Operating Costs

Other ECM Costs

2,187,008

3,773,654

143,510

147,495

151,594

155,808

160,143

2,082,033

3,442,604

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

$104,974

$331,051

$0

($28,620)

($24,635)

($20,536)

($16,322)

($11,987)

0
1.10 avg
n/a
(2,145,123) (2,145,123)

0
0.83
143,510

0
0.86
147,495

0.0
0.88
151,594

0.0
0.91
155,808

0.0
0.93
160,143

Reduction in electricity usage costs

Incremental ECM Costs

Total Operating Costs


Costs Avoided by ECM
Total Incremental ECM Operating Cost
Savings before debt service
Incremental Debt Service ($)
Savings after debt service

Financial Measures
Payback period
Debt coverage ratio
ECM internal rate of return (unleveraged)

12.7 yrs
0.83 min
5.51%

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 49 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


ANNUAL ECM CASHFLOW
Analysis year
Analysis flag

PV ($2009)
2010 - 2029

20-yr SUM
2010 - 2029

2009
0
0

2010
1
1

2011
2
1

2012
3
1

2013
4
1

2014
5
1

ECM Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs

819,645

1,403,277

56,188

57,467

58,774

60,112

61,479

Reduction in electricity demand costs

1,367,362

2,370,377

87,322

90,029

92,819

95,697

98,663

Gross Energy Cost Savings

2,187,008

3,773,654

143,510

147,495

151,594

155,808

160,143

ECM Operating Costs

Other ECM Costs

2,187,008

3,773,654

143,510

147,495

151,594

155,808

160,143

2,082,033

3,442,604

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

$104,974

$331,051

$0

($28,620)

($24,635)

($20,536)

($16,322)

($11,987)

0
1.10 avg
n/a
(2,145,123) (2,145,123)

0
0.83
143,510

0
0.86
147,495

0.0
0.88
151,594

0.0
0.91
155,808

0.0
0.93
160,143

(2,145,123)

(2,001,612)

Reduction in electricity usage costs

Incremental ECM Costs

Total Operating Costs


Costs Avoided by ECM
Total Incremental ECM Operating Cost
Savings before debt service
Incremental Debt Service ($)
Savings after debt service

Financial Measures
Payback period
Debt coverage ratio
ECM internal rate of return (unleveraged)
Cumulative pre-debt savings (shortfall)

12.7 yrs
0.83 min
5.51%

(1,854,117) (1,702,523)

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 50 of 75

(1,546,715) (1,386,572)

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


CALCULATIONS
TOU TARIFFS
Incremental Energy Savings with ECMs on TOU Tariffs:
Degradation Factor
Degradation Factor-Cumulative from Start Year
Electricity:
Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak
Summer part-peak
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
Winter off-peak
Total
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer & winter, avg mo.)
Summer peak (avg mo.)
Summer part-peak (avg mo.)
Summer off-peak (avg. mo.)
Winter peak (avg mo.)
Winter part-peak (avg mo.)
Winter off-peak (avg. mo.)
"Business as Usual" Energy Prices with ECMs on TOU Tariffs (Annual Averages):
Electricity:
Number of months in summer season
Utility Energy Rates ($/kWh)
Summer on-peak
0.156
Summer part-peak
0.104
Summer off-peak
0.082
Winter peak
Winter part-peak
0.089
Winter off-peak
0.077
Demand ($/kW-mo)
Max demand (summer & winter, avg mo.)
6.660
Summer peak
12.290
Summer part-peak
2.790
Summer off-peak
Winter peak
6.660
Winter part-peak
0.780
Winter off-peak

2009
0.8%
0.00

2010
0.8%
0.00

2011
0.8%
0.99

2012
0.8%
0.98

2013
0.8%
0.98

2014
0.8%
0.97

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

100,000
100,000
200,000
0
50,000
100,000
_______
550,000

99,200
99,200
198,400
0
49,600
99,200
_______
545,600

98,406
98,406
196,813
0
49,203
98,406
_______
541,235

97,619
97,619
195,238
0
48,810
97,619
_______
536,905

96,838
96,838
193,676
0
48,419
96,838
_______
532,610

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

0.156
0.104
0.082
0.000
0.089
0.077

0.161
0.107
0.084
0.000
0.092
0.080

0.166
0.111
0.087
0.000
0.094
0.082

0.171
0.114
0.089
0.000
0.097
0.085

0.176
0.118
0.092
0.000
0.100
0.087

0.182
0.121
0.095
0.000
0.103
0.090

6.660
12.290
2.790
0.000
6.660
0.780
0.000

6.866
12.671
2.876
0.000
6.866
0.804
0.000

7.079
13.064
2.966
0.000
7.079
0.829
0.000

7.299
13.469
3.058
0.000
7.299
0.855
0.000

7.525
13.886
3.152
0.000
7.525
0.881
0.000

7.758
14.317
3.250
0.000
7.758
0.909
0.000

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

NON TOU TARIFFS


Incremental Energy Savings for ECM on non TOU Tariff:
Electricity usage (kWh)
Summer
Winter
Total
Electricity demand (kW, avg mo.)
Summer
Winter

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 51 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


"Business as Usual" Energy Prices for ECM on non TOU Tariff(Annual Average):
Number of months in summer season
Electricity usage (weighted average, $/kWh)
Summer
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
Electricity demand (weighted average, $/kW-mo)
Summer
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
Reduction in electric usage costs
Reduction in electric demand costs costs

0
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0
0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 52 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1

INCREMENTAL GAS SAVINGS


Natural gas (Th)
Natural gas (burner-tip, $/Th)

ECM Debt Service Schedule:


Repayment flag
Opening balance
Principal repaid
Interest paid
Total repayment

1,203,015
879,019
2,082,033

10,202,798 Total kWh saved, transferred to "project Analysis"

2,145,123
1,297,481
3,442,604

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

2009
0
0
0
0
0

2010
1
2,145,123
64,874
107,256
172,130

2011
1
2,080,248
68,118
104,012
172,130

2012
1
2,012,131
71,524
100,607
172,130

2013
1
1,940,607
75,100
97,030
172,130

2014
1
1,865,507
78,855
93,275
172,130

550,000

545,600

541,235

536,905

532,610

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 53 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


ANNUAL ECM CASHFLOW
Analysis year
Analysis flag

2015
6
1

2016
7
1

2017
8
1

2018
9
1

2019
10
1

2020
11
1

2021
12
1

2022
13
1

2023
14
1

2024
15
1

2025
16
1

ECM Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs
0

64,309

65,772

67,268

68,799

70,364

71,965

73,602

75,277

76,990

78,741

Reduction in electricity101,722
demand costs104,875

Reduction in electricity 62,878


usage costs
Gross Energy Cost
164,600
Savings

108,127

111,478

114,934

118,497

122,171

125,958

129,863

133,888

138,039

169,184

173,898

178,747

183,733

188,861

194,136

199,560

205,140

210,878

216,780

Incremental ECM Costs


ECM Operating Costs

Other ECM Costs

Total Operating Costs 0

Total Incremental ECM Operating


0
Cost 0

169,184

173,898

178,747

183,733

188,861

194,136

199,560

205,140

210,878

216,780

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

172,130

($2,946)

$1,768

$6,616

$11,603

$16,731

$22,005

$27,430

$33,009

$38,748

$44,650

Payback period
0.0
0.0
Debt coverage ratio
0.96
0.98
ECM internal rate of return
164,600
(unleveraged)
169,184

0.0
1.01
173,898

0.0
1.04
178,747

0.0
1.07
183,733

0.0
1.10
188,861

0.0
1.13
194,136

12.7
1.16
199,560

0.0
1.19
205,140

0.0
1.23
210,878

0.0
1.26
216,780

Cumulative pre-debt
(1,221,972)
savings (1,052,788)

(878,890)

(700,143)

(516,410)

(327,549)

(133,413)

66,147

271,286

482,164

698,944

Costs Avoided by ECM

Savings before debt


164,600
service
Incremental Debt Service
172,130
($)
Savings after debt
($7,530)
service

Financial Measures

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 54 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


CALCULATIONS
TOU TARIFFS
Incremental Energy Savings
2015
with ECMs on
2016
TOU Tariffs: 2017
Degradation Factor
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Degradation Factor-Cumulative
0.96 from Start0.95
Year
0.95
Electricity:
Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak
96,063
95,295
94,533
Summer part-peak
96,063
95,295
94,533
Summer off-peak
192,127
190,590
189,065
Winter peak
0
0
0
Winter part-peak
48,032
47,647
47,266
Winter off-peak
96,063
95,295
94,533
_______
_______
_______
Total 528,349
524,122
519,929
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer
500
& winter,
500
avg mo.)
500
Summer peak (avg
500 mo.)
500
500
Summer part-peak
400 (avg mo.) 400
400
Summer off-peak
500(avg. mo.) 500
500
Winter peak (avg 0mo.)
0
0
Winter part-peak
250
(avg mo.) 250
250
Winter off-peak250
(avg. mo.)
250
250

2018
0.8%
0.94

2019
0.8%
0.93

2020
0.8%
0.92

2021
0.8%
0.92

2022
0.8%
0.91

2023
0.8%
0.90

2024
0.8%
0.89

2025
0.8%
0.89

93,776
93,776
187,553
0
46,888
93,776
_______
515,770

93,026
93,026
186,052
0
46,513
93,026
_______
511,644

92,282
92,282
184,564
0
46,141
92,282
_______
507,551

91,544
91,544
183,087
0
45,772
91,544
_______
503,490

90,811
90,811
181,623
0
45,406
90,811
_______
499,462

90,085
90,085
180,170
0
45,042
90,085
_______
495,467

89,364
89,364
178,728
0
44,682
89,364
_______
491,503

88,649
88,649
177,299
0
44,325
88,649
_______
487,571

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

0.212
0.141
0.111
0.000
0.121
0.105

0.218
0.146
0.114
0.000
0.124
0.108

0.225
0.150
0.118
0.000
0.128
0.112

0.232
0.155
0.121
0.000
0.132
0.115

0.239
0.160
0.125
0.000
0.136
0.119

0.247
0.165
0.129
0.000
0.140
0.122

0.254
0.170
0.133
0.000
0.145
0.126

9.038
16.678
3.786
0.000
9.038
1.058
0.000

9.318
17.195
3.903
0.000
9.318
1.091
0.000

9.607
17.728
4.024
0.000
9.607
1.125
0.000

9.905
18.277
4.149
0.000
9.905
1.160
0.000

10.212
18.844
4.278
0.000
10.212
1.196
0.000

10.528
19.428
4.410
0.000
10.528
1.233
0.000

10.855
20.030
4.547
0.000
10.855
1.271
0.000

"Business as Usual" Energy Prices with ECMs on TOU Tariffs (Annual Averages):
Electricity:
Number of months in summer season
Utility Energy Rates ($/kWh)
Summer on-peak
0.187
0.193
0.199
0.205
Summer part-peak
0.125
0.129
0.133
0.137
Summer off-peak
0.098
0.101
0.104
0.107
Winter peak 0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter part-peak
0.107
0.110
0.113
0.117
Winter off-peak
0.093
0.096
0.099
0.102
Demand ($/kW-mo)
Max demand 7.999
(summer & winter,
8.247
avg mo.)
8.502
8.766
Summer peak
14.761
15.218
15.690
16.176
Summer part-peak
3.351
3.455
3.562
3.672
Summer off-peak
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter peak 7.999
8.247
8.502
8.766
Winter part-peak
0.937
0.966
0.996
1.027
Winter off-peak
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

NON TOU TARIFFS


Incremental Energy Savings for ECM on non TOU Tariff:
Electricity usage (kWh)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0
Total
0
0
Electricity demand (kW, avg mo.)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 55 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


"Business as Usual" Energy Prices for ECM on non TOU Tariff(Annual Average):
Number of months in summer season
Electricity usage (weighted average, $/kWh)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Electricity demand (weighted average, $/kW-mo)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Reduction in electric usage-costs
Reduction in electric demand0 costs costs 0

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 56 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1

INCREMENTAL GAS SAVINGS


Natural gas (Th)
0
Natural gas (burner-tip, $/Th)
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

ECM Debt Service Schedule:


2015
Repayment flag
1
Opening balance 1,786,652
Principal repaid
82,798
Interest paid
89,333
Total repayment 172,130

2016
1
1,703,855
86,937
85,193
172,130

2017
1
1,616,917
91,284
80,846
172,130

2018
1
1,525,633
95,849
76,282
172,130

2019
1
1,429,785
100,641
71,489
172,130

2020
1
1,329,144
105,673
66,457
172,130

2021
1
1,223,471
110,957
61,174
172,130

2022
1
1,112,514
116,504
55,626
172,130

2023
1
996,009
122,330
49,800
172,130

2024
1
873,680
128,446
43,684
172,130

2025
1
745,234
134,868
37,262
172,130

519,929

515,770

511,644

507,551

503,490

499,462

495,467

491,503

487,571

10,202,798 Total kWh saved, transferred


528,349
to "project
524,122
Analysis"

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 57 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


ANNUAL ECM CASHFLOW
Analysis year
Analysis flag

2026
17
1

2027
18
1

2028
19
1

2029
20
1

ECM Energy Cost Savings


Reduction in natural gas costs 0

82,365

84,239

86,156

Reduction in electricity demand


142,318costs

146,730

151,279

155,968

Gross Energy Cost222,851


Savings

229,095

235,518

242,124

Reduction in electricity usage


80,533
costs

Incremental ECM Costs


ECM Operating Costs

Other ECM Costs

229,095

235,518

242,124

172,130

172,130

172,130

$56,965

$63,387

$69,994

Payback period
0.0
0.0
Debt coverage ratio
1.29
1.33
ECM internal rate of return
222,851
(unleveraged) 229,095

0.0
1.37
235,518

0.0
1.41
242,124

1,386,408

1,628,532

Total Operating Costs


Costs Avoided by ECM

Total Incremental ECM Operating


0
Cost
Savings before debt222,851
service
Incremental Debt Service ($)
172,130
Savings after debt$50,721
service

Financial Measures

Cumulative pre-debt
921,795
savings

1,150,890

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 58 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


CALCULATIONS
TOU TARIFFS
Incremental Energy Savings 2026
with ECMs on TOU
2027
Tariffs:
Degradation Factor
0.8%
0.8%
Degradation Factor-Cumulative
0.88from Start Year0.87
Electricity:
Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak
87,940
87,237
Summer part-peak
87,940
87,237
Summer off-peak
175,880
174,473
Winter peak
0
0
Winter part-peak
43,970
43,618
Winter off-peak
87,940
87,237
_______
_______
Total
483,670
479,801
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer
500 & winter, avg500
mo.)
Summer peak (avg
500
mo.)
500
Summer part-peak
400
(avg mo.)
400
Summer off-peak 500
(avg. mo.)
500
Winter peak (avg mo.)
0
0
Winter part-peak 250
(avg mo.)
250
Winter off-peak (avg.
250 mo.)
250

2028
0.8%
0.87

2029
0.8%
0.86

86,539
86,539
173,077
0
43,269
86,539
_______
475,963

85,846
85,846
171,693
0
42,923
85,846
_______
472,155

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

500
500
400
500
0
250
250

"Business as Usual" Energy Prices with ECMs on TOU Tariffs (Annual Averages):
Electricity:
Number of months in summer season
Utility Energy Rates ($/kWh)
Summer on-peak
0.262
0.270
0.279
0.287
Summer part-peak
0.175
0.180
0.186
0.192
Summer off-peak
0.137
0.141
0.146
0.150
Winter peak 0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter part-peak
0.149
0.154
0.159
0.164
Winter off-peak0.130
0.134
0.138
0.142
Demand ($/kW-mo)
Max demand (summer
11.191 & winter, 11.538
avg mo.)
11.896
12.264
Summer peak 20.651
21.292
21.952
22.632
Summer part-peak
4.688
4.833
4.983
5.138
Summer off-peak
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter peak 11.191
11.538
11.896
12.264
Winter part-peak1.311
1.351
1.393
1.436
Winter off-peak0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

NON TOU TARIFFS


Incremental Energy Savings for ECM on non TOU Tariff:
Electricity usage (kWh)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0
Total
0
0
Electricity demand (kW, avg mo.)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0

0
0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 59 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


"Business as Usual" Energy Prices for ECM on non TOU Tariff(Annual Average):
Number of months in summer season
Electricity usage (weighted average, $/kWh)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Electricity demand (weighted average, $/kW-mo)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Reduction in electric usage costs
Reduction in electric demand costs
0
costs

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 60 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


INCREMENTAL GAS SAVINGS
Natural gas (Th)
0
Natural gas (burner-tip, $/Th)0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

ECM Debt Service Schedule:2026


Repayment flag
1
Opening balance
610,365
Principal repaid
141,612
Interest paid
30,518
Total repayment 172,130

2027
1
468,753
148,693
23,438
172,130

2028
1
320,061
156,127
16,003
172,130

2029
1
163,934
163,934
8,197
172,130

10,202,798 Total kWh saved, transferred


483,670
to "project Analysis"
479,801

475,963

472,155

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 61 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


ANNUAL ECM CASHFLOW
2030
0
0

2031
0
0

2032
0
0

2033
0
0

2034
0
0

2035
0
0

2036
0
0

2037
0
0

2038
0
0

Reduction in natural gas costs 0

Reduction in electricity usage costs


0

Reduction in electricity demand0costs

Gross Energy Cost Savings


0

Analysis year
Analysis flag
ECM Energy Cost Savings

Incremental ECM Costs


ECM Operating Costs

Other ECM Costs

Total Incremental ECM Operating


0
Cost

Savings before debt service


0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

0.0
n/a
0

1,628,532

1,628,532

###

###

###

###

###

###

Total Operating Costs


Costs Avoided by ECM

Incremental Debt Service ($)

Savings after debt service


$0

Financial Measures
Payback period
0.0
Debt coverage ratio
n/a
ECM internal rate of return (unleveraged)
0
Cumulative pre-debt
1,628,532
savings

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 62 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


CALCULATIONS
TOU TARIFFS
Incremental Energy Savings 2030
with ECMs on TOU
2031
Tariffs:
Degradation Factor
0.8%
0.8%
Degradation Factor-Cumulative
0.85from Start Year0.84
Electricity:
Usage (kWh)
Summer on-peak 0
0
Summer part-peak 0
0
Summer off-peak 0
0
Winter peak
0
0
Winter part-peak 0
0
Winter off-peak
0
0
_______
_______
Total
0
0
Demand (kW)
Max demand (summer
0 & winter, avg mo.)
0
Summer peak (avg mo.)
0
0
Summer part-peak (avg
0 mo.)
0
Summer off-peak (avg.
0 mo.)
0
Winter peak (avg mo.)
0
0
Winter part-peak (avg
0 mo.)
0
Winter off-peak (avg.
0 mo.)
0

2032
0.8%
0.84

2033
0.8%
0.83

2034
0.8%
0.82

2035
0.8%
0.82

2036
0.8%
0.81

2037
0.8%
0.81

2038
0.8%
0.80

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
_______
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.345
0.230
0.180
0.000
0.196
0.171

0.356
0.237
0.186
0.000
0.203
0.176

0.367
0.245
0.192
0.000
0.209
0.182

0.378
0.252
0.198
0.000
0.215
0.188

14.730
27.182
6.171
0.000
14.730
1.725
0.000

15.187
28.024
6.362
0.000
15.187
1.779
0.000

15.657
28.893
6.559
0.000
15.657
1.834
0.000

16.143
29.789
6.762
0.000
16.143
1.891
0.000

"Business as Usual" Energy Prices with ECMs on TOU Tariffs (Annual Averages):
Electricity:
Number of months in summer season
Utility Energy Rates ($/kWh)
Summer on-peak
0.296
0.305
0.315
0.325
0.335
Summer part-peak
0.198
0.204
0.210
0.217
0.223
Summer off-peak
0.155
0.160
0.165
0.170
0.175
Winter peak 0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter part-peak
0.169
0.174
0.179
0.185
0.191
Winter off-peak0.147
0.151
0.156
0.161
0.166
Demand ($/kW-mo)
Max demand (summer
12.645 & winter, 13.037
avg mo.)
13.441
13.857
14.287
Summer peak 23.334
24.057
24.803
25.572
26.364
Summer part-peak
5.297
5.461
5.631
5.805
5.985
Summer off-peak
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Winter peak 12.645
13.037
13.441
13.857
14.287
Winter part-peak
1.481
1.527
1.574
1.623
1.673
Winter off-peak0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

NON TOU TARIFFS


Incremental Energy Savings for ECM on non TOU Tariff:
Electricity usage (kWh)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0
Total
0
0
Electricity demand (kW, avg mo.)
Summer
0
0
Winter
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 63 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


"Business as Usual" Energy Prices for ECM on non TOU Tariff(Annual Average):
Number of months in summer season
Electricity usage (weighted average, $/kWh)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Electricity demand (weighted average, $/kW-mo)
Summer
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Winter
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Reduction in electric usage costs
Reduction in electric demand costs
0
costs

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 64 of 75

11/09/2016

Individual Analysis of ECM 1


INCREMENTAL GAS SAVINGS
Natural gas (Th)
0
Natural gas (burner-tip, $/Th)0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

0
0.00

ECM Debt Service Schedule:2030


Repayment flag
0
Opening balance
0
Principal repaid
0
Interest paid
0
Total repayment
0

2031
0
0
0
0
0

2032
0
0
0
0
0

2033
0
0
0
0
0

2034
0
0
0
0
0

2035
0
0
0
0
0

2036
0
0
0
0
0

2037
0
0
0
0
0

2038
0
0
0
0
0

10,202,798 Total kWh saved, transferred to "project


0
Analysis"0

336372267.xls, ECM Analysis, Page 65 of 75

11/09/2016

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Present Value Analysis Summary
Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Solar PV

PV ($2009)
2010 - 2029
$2,187,000
$0
$2,187,000
($2,082,000)
$105,000

20-yr SUM
2010 - 2029

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

$3,773,700
$0
$3,773,700
($3,442,600)
$331,100
10,202,798
0

1st Year Only


2010

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year

$143,500
$0
$143,500
($172,100)
($28,600)
550,000

Total Therms Saved- First Year

Reduction in Peak kW Demand

500

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

5.5%
12.7 yrs
14.9 yrs
0.83 min
1.10 avg

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

0
0

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Present Value Analysis Summary


Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

10

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

11

12

Present Value Analysis Summary


Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

13

14

15

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

16

17

Present Value Analysis Summary


Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

18

19

20

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

21

22

Present Value Analysis Summary


Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

23

24

25

Energy Efficiency ECMs - Summary of Individual ECMs in Project


ECM Name

ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Present Value Analysis Summary
Energy Cost Savings
Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings

Expected Useful Life Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- Lifetime
Total Therms Saved-Lifetime

First Year Savings Analysis Summary

Energy Cost Savings


Incremental ECM Operating Costs
Savings Before Debt Service
Incremental Debt Service Repayments
Net Energy Cost Savings
Total kWh Saved- First Year
Total Therms Saved- First Year
Reduction in Peak kW Demand

Financial measures
ECM internal rate of return
Payback period (actual)
Payback period (simple)
Debt coverage ratio, minimum
Debt coverage ratio, average

[1] NOTE: This payback value is calculated over the life of the ECM or
[2] NOTE: This payback value is based on the first year of operations or

Sensitivity of Project Savings to Real Increase (Decrease) in Electric and Gas Prices
Base Case Assumptions:
Background inflation =
3.40%
Real escalation in electricity prices =
-0.30%
Real escalation in gas prices =
(Electric price or gas price escalation added to CPI: CPI not changed)
Nominal
Escalation
1.85%
2.10%
2.35%
2.60%
2.85%
3.10%
3.35%
3.60%
3.85%
4.10%
4.35%

Real Rate of
Escalation
-1.55%
-1.30%
-1.05%
-0.80%
-0.55%
-0.30%
-0.05%
0.20%
0.45%
0.70%
0.95%

NPV
Savings
15,400
32,300
49,600
67,600
86,000
105,000
124,500
144,700
165,400
186,700
208,700

Nominal
Savings
154,200
187,300
221,600
256,900
293,400
331,100
369,900
410,100
451,500
494,300
538,500

Payback
Period
13.024 yrs
12.953 yrs
12.882 yrs
12.810 yrs
12.739 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.598 yrs
12.528 yrs
12.458 yrs
12.388 yrs
12.319 yrs

Nominal Real Rate of


Escalation Escalation
3.38%
-0.02%
3.63%
0.23%
3.88%
0.48%
4.13%
0.73%
4.38%
0.98%
4.63%
1.23%
4.88%
1.48%
5.13%
1.73%
5.38%
1.98%
5.63%
2.23%
5.88%
2.48%

IMPORTANT NOTE: Do not change any of the numbers in this table. They are fixed based on DGS Inputs.

Table interval = 7.98%

n in gas prices =

1.23%
NPV
Savings
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000
105,000

Nominal
Savings
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100
331,100

Payback
Period
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs

Aggregated Cash Flow for Project including ECMs 1

Table interval =
Yellow is Base Case

(Electric price or gas price escalation added to CPI: CPI not changed)
Base Case Assumptions:

Background inflation CPI = 3.40%

Base Case Real Escalation in Electricity Prices =

-0.30%

Base Case Real Escalation in Gas Prices =

Sensitivity of Project Savings to Real Increase (Decrease) in Electric and Gas Prices
Nominal Real Rate of
Escalation Escalation
1.85%
2.10%
2.35%
2.60%
2.85%
0
3.35%
3.60%
3.85%
4.10%
4.35%

-1.55%
-1.30%
-1.05%
-0.80%
-0.55%
0
-0.05%
0.20%
0.45%
0.70%
0.95%

NPV
Savings

Nominal
Savings

Payback
Period

$15,400
$32,300
$49,600
$67,600
$86,000
105,000
$124,500
$144,700
$165,400
$186,700
$208,700

$154,200
$187,300
$221,600
$256,900
$293,400
331,100
$369,900
$410,100
$451,500
$494,300
$538,500

13.024 yrs
12.953 yrs
12.882 yrs
12.810 yrs
12.739 yrs
13
12.598 yrs
12.528 yrs
12.458 yrs
12.388 yrs
12.319 yrs

Nominal Real Rate of


Escalation Escalation
3.38%
3.63%
3.88%
4.13%
4.38%
0
4.88%
5.13%
5.38%
5.63%
5.88%

-0.02%
0.23%
0.48%
0.73%
0.98%
0
1.48%
1.73%
1.98%
2.23%
2.48%

NPV
Savings

Nominal
Savings

$105,000
$105,000
$105,000
$105,000
$105,000
105,000
$105,000
$105,000
$105,000
$105,000
$105,000

$331,100
$331,100
$331,100
$331,100
$331,100
331,100
$331,100
$331,100
$331,100
$331,100
$331,100

0.25%

Yellow is Base Case

1.23%

Payback
Period
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
13
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs
12.669 yrs

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