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Rabin A Monetary Theory 91 95
Rabin A Monetary Theory 91 95
Rabin A Monetary Theory 91 95
Monetary theory
but to the area as a whole, whose exchange rate with other moneys is floating.
It is the area as a whole whose nominal money supply can be controlled.
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desire to alter cash balances held on average over time. People make the
purchases and sales they find attractive at the prices confronting them. If they
happen to be dealing with the monetary authority, the resulting change in the
money supply and thus in the total of their cash balances can be quite unintended
by them (compare Greenfield and Yeager, 1986, and pages below).
Now, assuming pegged-but-adjustable exchange rates for the moment,
suppose that the monetary authority revalues the home currency upward (for no
reason except to provide us theorists with an experiment); it cuts in half the
pegged home currency price of foreign exchange. In consequence of all the
related price changes, purchases of goods and services and securities abroad
become more attractive than sales abroad, the country runs a balance-ofpayments deficit, and the home money supply shrinks, with painful deflationary
consequences. In brief, by making foreign exchange a bargain and selling it
lavishly out of its reserves, the authority takes out of circulation the home money
received in payment. Yet this monetary contraction in no way represents an
intentional rundown of private cash balance holdings.
Suppose instead that the monetary authority pegs the prices of foreign
currencies too high. With the home currency undervalued, the balance of
payments goes into surplus; and the home money supply expands with inflationary consequences as the authority absorbs all the private offers of foreign
currency.
Thus, changes in a countrys money supply need not correspond (though
they sometimes may correspond) to aggregates of desired changes in individual
holdings. The monetary authoritys purchases or sales of bonds or foreign
exchange may create an inflationary excess supply of money or contractionary
excess demand. We elaborate on this theme throughout the book.
WALRASS LAW
Walrass Law is a tautology that illuminates interrelations among supplies of
and demands for commodities, labor, securities and money and among
supply/demand imbalances for these different things. The Law emphasizes that
no one thing or group of things can be in excess supply or excess demand by
itself. It thereby helps focus attention on the role in macroeconomic disorder,
especially in depression, of a distinctively functioning object of market
exchange money.
Yet complications arise, and Walrass Law has itself sometimes been called
into question. Yeager (1994a) and Yeager and Rabin (1997) note analogies
between the Law and the equation of exchange, a firms balance sheet, and a
countrys balance of payments. In our view, Walrass Law deserves broadly
the same status in money/macro analysis as the balance of payments in inter-
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Monetary theory
national economics. We caution the reader not to confuse Walrass Law with
the Walrasian general-equilibrium model. In the latter, markets always clear;
the former is especially helpful in examining market disequilibrium.
Repeating what Lange (1942) and Patinkin (1965) have already done
adequately anyway translating the Law into symbols and spending time
defining the symbols would digress from our present purpose, which is not
mathematical decoration. Our purpose, instead, is to clarify the very concepts
that enter into the Law and into supposed difficulties. Distinctions between
notional and effective supplies and demands and between stock and flow
conceptions of quantities and imbalances require attention.
Our task illlustrates Harsanyis (1976, p. 64) point that social scientists
encounter not only formal or logical problems and empirical problems but also
conceptual philosophical problems.6 Impatience with conceptual problems goes
far, we conjecture, to explain the current state of the literature on Walrass Law.
In discussing the Law we clear up some puzzles found in the literature and
further illustrate the uniqueness, peculiarities and significance of money. We
address the puzzle of what matches an excess supply of labor (and commodities) in the depths of depression. We explain why the Keynesian underemployment equilibrium is in actuality a disequilibrium. We illuminate what
we call the stock-flow problem (Yeager and Rabin, 1997), and we shed
additional light on the fundamental proposition of monetary theory.
Lange (1942) gave the name Walrass Law to the following proposition,
which holds in disequilibrium as well as in equilibrium: the total value of
quantities of all goods supplied equals the total value of all quantities demanded.
The term goods is inclusive here, covering not only commodities but also
labor and other services, securities and money. Quantities are valued at the
prices, in money or other numraire, at which transactions are accomplished
or attempted as the case may be. If some goods are in excess supply and others
in excess demand, the excess supply and excess demand quantities are equal in
total value. Counting excess supplies as negative excess demands, the sum of
the values of all excess demands is identically zero (Lange, 1942; Patinkin,
1965, pp. 73, 229, 25862, and passim, 1987; Baumol, 1965, pp. 34042).7
The foregoing presents one version of Walrass Law, which might be labeled
the zero-aggregate-excess-demand-value version. It straightforwardly implies
another, the equation counting version. It states that if n goods exist and if
supply and demand are in balance for n 1 of them, then equilibrium must
prevail for the nth good also. (Lange, 1942, p. 51n, notes that this is the version
of the Law proved by Walras himself.) To the n goods correspond n equations
expressing the equilibrium conditions that market excess demand for each good
be zero. Mathematically, only n 1 of these simultaneous equations are independent. Consequently, any set of prices satisfying any n 1 equations must also
necessarily satisfy the remaining equation.
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Monetary theory
Considering the case of monetary contraction, other texts assume that in the
ensuing depression the commodities, money and bond markets are all in equilibrium. Yet violating the Law they suppose an excess supply on a separately
recognized fourth market, the market for labor.
Some articles in the literature imagine two Walrass Laws, one for flows and
another for stocks. For example, they refer to the condition that an excess
demand for money must be exactly matched by an excess supply of bonds as
Walrass Law for stocks. (See Yeager and Rabin, 1997 for citations).