Growth Rate of Sale For The Next 10 Years 2. Synergies Expected 3. Growth Rate Assumed While Calculating The Terminal Cash Flow

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ABC Ltd is an Indian company that manufactures car tyres.

Polo tyres another tyre company


is considering acquiring 51 % stakes in ABC Ltd.

The tyre industry is expected to grow sharply in the near future. India manufactures about 2.5
million cars per annum. The number can grow (optimistically) to 6 million cars over the next
five years. The conservative estimate is 4 million tyres.

Past forecasts on the Indian car industry have often missed the mark.

Polo tyres has material to sales ratio of 55 % against the same ratio of 58 % for ABC Ltd. The
difference is attributed to the superior manufacturing processes of Polo tyres.

The net profit ratio of polo tyres was 15 % against 7 % of ABC Ltd.

What assumptions will you make to get a realistic valuation of the ABC Ltd share using the
DCF technique?

A low valuation could mean Polo tyres could lose the deal to Lego tyres which is also eyeing
ABC Ltd.

In particular state your assumptions about the

1. Growth rate of sale for the next 10 years


2. Synergies expected
3. Growth rate assumed while calculating the terminal cash flow

Use the data given above and your understanding of the Indian and global economy and car
industry to make the assumptions

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