http://globalsecuritymonitor.net/gi4 - Read the Geopolitical Insider for your weekly geopolitical intelligence briefing.
Inside this edition:
First, trouble continues to boil in South Africa. President Zuma is beleaguered by corruption scandals. His ruling African National Party Congress Party still supports him.
Second, the disunited European Union does not have enough problems. The talk about an EU Army is finally out in the open, but is there a chance of idle speculation to ever become reality?
Finally, we consider the storied and stained legacy of the now deceased tyrant Fidel Alejandro Castro Ruz.
Get more expert analysis on defense and international security affairs - sign up for the Global Security Weekly - globalsecuritymonitor.com/1.
http://globalsecuritymonitor.net/gi4 - Read the Geopolitical Insider for your weekly geopolitical intelligence briefing.
Inside this edition:
First, trouble continues to boil in South Africa. President Zuma is beleaguered by corruption scandals. His ruling African National Party Congress Party still supports him.
Second, the disunited European Union does not have enough problems. The talk about an EU Army is finally out in the open, but is there a chance of idle speculation to ever become reality?
Finally, we consider the storied and stained legacy of the now deceased tyrant Fidel Alejandro Castro Ruz.
Get more expert analysis on defense and international security affairs - sign up for the Global Security Weekly - globalsecuritymonitor.com/1.
http://globalsecuritymonitor.net/gi4 - Read the Geopolitical Insider for your weekly geopolitical intelligence briefing.
Inside this edition:
First, trouble continues to boil in South Africa. President Zuma is beleaguered by corruption scandals. His ruling African National Party Congress Party still supports him.
Second, the disunited European Union does not have enough problems. The talk about an EU Army is finally out in the open, but is there a chance of idle speculation to ever become reality?
Finally, we consider the storied and stained legacy of the now deceased tyrant Fidel Alejandro Castro Ruz.
Get more expert analysis on defense and international security affairs - sign up for the Global Security Weekly - globalsecuritymonitor.com/1.
updates and insights Global Security Weekly. Introduction Three issues complete the Geopolitical Insider. First, trouble continues to boil in South Africa. President Zuma is beleaguered by corruption scandals. His ruling African National Party Congress Party still supports him. Second, the disunited European Union does not have enough problems. The talk about an EU Army is finally out in the open, but is there a chance of idle speculation to ever become reality?
President Jacob Zuma of South
Africa and his ruling African National Congress Party are mired in corruption. Meanwhile, the South African economy is in peril with high unemployment (highest since 2003) and declining GDP per capita as politicians luxuriate. The pressure on the Zuma increased as three ministers from his own Administration call for his resignation, but he escaped yet again accountability. So far, the ruling ANC prefers to keep Zuma in office despite its own electoral trouncing in August 2016, including losing Johannesburg.
Finally, we consider the storied and
stained legacy of the now deceased tyrant Fidel Alejandro Castro Ruz.
On November 2, an anticorruption body called for an
investigation of ties between the Gupta Family and Zuma regarding cabinet appointments.
Can President Zuma survive his
presidency?
Zuma denies any accusations of
influence-peddling, but his chances
to complete his second term till
2019 are in jeopardy as the ANC weakens its support. The South African president is not new to questionable finances during his term. Just in April, Zuma apologized to his citizens about a long-running scandal involving government monies (totaling $23 million) used to upgrade a country estate. Expect the embattled President Zuma to muddle along and to fight the anti-corruption charges while his fellow citizens see their conditions worsen. An EU Army? The Brexit vote has unleashed a raft of changes inside the European Union. Once hidden agendas are now exposed to sunlight. France and Germany now no longer need to deny plans for a pan-European army, the so-called EU military. Speculation grew during the summer after a leaked German
defense white paper outlined a
more muscular force . The United Kingdom steadfastly opposed an EU military force. The fear is of a competing force to NATO. Ironically, Germany and France now do not meet the 2% requirement for funding NATO. France and Germany rank #5 and #9 respectfully in the world for military strength. France has the most capable, complete military force on the Continent. However, Paris and Berlin will have the funds for an EU Army? The diversion of funds from NATO could come at a time of an increasingly aggressive Russia, a growing belt of instability along the southern Mediterranean rim, and rising Islamism. US President-elect Donald J. Trump called for NATO members to assume more costs of the alliance while seemingly ignoring
has to make the alliance work. The president-elect must rethink his campaign rhetoric, but if he acts on his words it could provide a stimulus to the EU Army project. Practical problems plague a EU Army. A robust economy is necessary to undergird military power. The Eurozone mustered only 0.3% GDP growth in Quarter III 2016. Plus, five EU members officially embrace neutrality and the pseudo-constitutional Treaty of Lisbon required unanimous votes for defense actions. Even if there was a fully-funded, geared-up EU Army, it might stay at its bases because of this significant neutrality bloc. The EU is fracturing with other states possibly headed for the exit. Its economy is sclerotic. Talk of adding another bureaucracy and layer of expenses to an already overtaxed,
overburdened EU citizen to fund a
military that might not fight while also defraying costs of bloated social welfare systems seems a bridge too far for the Euro-crats who do not seem to be aware of the peril of the EU project. Fidel Castros Legacy Fidel Castro was another patrician revolutionary tyrant who had one aim in mind rule Cuba with an iron fist. Somehow communist revolutions never spring up from the proletariat. His fabled revolucin propelled him into power in Cuba in 1959 after overthrowing the ruthless dictator Fulgencio Batista. Thus, one rightist dictator was replaced by a leftist dictator in Cuba and all was well by many who shared his ideals. Fidel was admired by the leftist intellectual class around the world till he last day and drew praise from university students who were never taught his true cunning, deceit, and deadliness.
failures and evidence abounds, not only in Cuba, but wherever the failed, rigid ideology has been tried. Fidel constructed such a socialist paradise that over a million Cubans risked their lives bypassing his patrol boats, sharks, and swift currents for freedom in Florida. The vaunted Cuban health care system did not suit Fidel during his bout of sickness in 2006 when he called up a Spanish surgeon to survive. The press today is full of headlines about how he resisted the US for his entire tenure as dictator of Cuba when he could have been swatted like a fly at any time. As a Soviet client state, the US left Fidel to stew on his prison paradise island. Indeed, without Soviet subsidies throughout the Cold War, the farce perpetrated on the Cuban people by Fidel (using hunger as a weapon, brute force, gulags, and a secret police to curb resistance to
the insane plans for the country)
Cuba would have collapsed sooner. When the Soviet Union itself collapsed after US President Reagan blew down that house of cards, the special period left an indelible scar on the prison island. By luck, Hugo Chavez manipulated Venezuela into the Cuban sphere in Latin America and he handed out charity in the form of oil subsidies to again pay for the inane ideas of El Comandante that have driven Cuba to depravity and despair. The antique automobiles from the 1950s may be quaint for the random tourist, but they are also a reminder of the backwardness of the regime in Havana that lords over the people. Now that Venezuelas 21st century socialism has predictably nearly bankrupted a once prosperous oil country, Cuba needed to line up its next host. Some observers see the US, under the misguided engagement of Cuba by the US Obama
underwrite the continuing economic disaster on the island. Not one reform was requested nor granted for formal US diplomatic recognition. It was given for free. Fidel betrayed the fabled Che Guevara and many who wear those shirts painted with the face of the murdering Argentina leftist firebrand probably have no idea. In the end, Fidel Castro was an anachronism despite his wistful admirers to his last day. Gone is the glow of la revolucin, its ideals a mere fairy tale for the gullible in Western countries who never deigned themselves to live under communist rule. Fidel lived in hypocritical luxury as El Comandante while his people lived as mere serfs wretched, poor beyond imagination, and in constant danger for their lives because of Fidels secret police, gulag masters, or his ruinous policies.
Missile Crisis), treachery (shooting
down the exile groups Brother to Rescue Cessna in Florida Straits by an advanced MiG-29 fighter in 1996), clever spymaster (Ana Montes at DIA) and utter ruin for Cuba after seizing the reins of power. The pain and suffering inflicted on his own people and large fortune the dictator, his family, and cronies amassed were all for his glory despite the fairy tale of communism. And no, history will not absolve him of the death and destruction he wrought on Cuba, Latin America, and Africa. The hope is that the passing of Fidel Castro will cause a breeze of freedom to stir on the prison island and that the Castros and their clique are shown the door. Subscribe for more updates and insights Global Security Weekly.
Fidel Castros deplorable legacy as
a tyrant is a trail of drama (Cuban globalsecuritymonitor.net Geopolitical Insider | 11/28/2016
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