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Project Management 130717112230 Phpapp02 PDF
Project Management 130717112230 Phpapp02 PDF
Paper 3.2
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Unit 1
Concepts of Project Management: Project Meaning Nature Types of
project and project life cycle Project management Nature and scope of project
management Project management as a profession Role of project manager.
Unit 2
Project Identification and Formation: Project environment Identification
of investment opportunities Project screening preferability study Project
selection Project formulation Stages in project formulation Project report
preparation Planning Commissions guidelines for project formulation.
Unit 3
Project Appraisal: Objectives, essentials of a project methodology Market
appraisal Technical appraisal Financial appraisal Socio-economic appraisal
Managerial appraisal
Unit 4
Project Planning and Scheduling: Objectives Process or planning
components or good planning Project designing and project scheduling and time
estimation Scheduling to match availability of man power and release of funds
Cost and time trade cost.
Unit 5
Project Execution and Administration Project contracting: Contract pricing,
Types Project organization: Forms of organization Project direction Project
communication Project coordination Factors influencing effective project
management Project time monitoring and cost monitoring Project over runs.
Unit 6
Project Control: Control techniques PERT, CPM Proper review
Project audit.
REFERENCES
1.
Planning,
Analysis,
Selection,
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
LESSON 1
CONCEPTS OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
3.
INTRODUCTION
Projects are the building blocks to meet the enterprise objectives. Project
management is essentially involved in executing the projects. It is recognized as a
management philosophy in the recent past in addition to that of discipline. Project
management has always been central to the existence of industries like
construction, aerospace and defense, where schedule and cost goals are contract
fundamentals.
The new design of maruti zen, concord supersonic jet aircraft, ship
vasundhara, Godrej puff refrigerator, compaque computer, L&T crane steel
rolling mill of the Tatas, New oil base for the ESSAR refinery, new production
line of J.K cement, highway roads of the countrys capital city, new fly over in
metropolitan cites etc have one thing common; indeed they are all purposefully
unique and they are project. The basis logic behind on the these projects are; a.
Investment of resources for a specific objective and b. a cause of irreversible
change.
What is a project?
Project is a scientifically evolved work plan devised to achieve a specific
objective within a specific period of time. It can be considered as proposal
involving capital investment for the purpose of developing facilities to provide
goods a and services.
A project is a blue for print action oriented activities of an organization. A project
reflected the plan for action in its totality. Like a movie film it is projection
oriented process. The project has beginning middle and an end.
For example, cement project, manufacturing
Power project, refinery projects
Health project, Educational projects
Social project, construction projects etc.
DEEINITION OF PROJECT
A Project is a one-shot, time limited, goal directed, major undertaking,
requiring the commitment of varied skills and resources. It has also been
described a s a combination of human and non human resources pooled together
in a temporary organization to achieve a specific purpose. The purpose and the set
of activities which can achieve that purpose distinguish one project form another.
-Project Management Institute, U.S,A
We mean by a project any scheme, or part of sachem, for investing
resources which can reasonably be analyzed and evaluated as an independent unit.
The definition is thus arbitrary. Almost any project could be broken down into
parts for separate consideration; each of these parts would then by definition a
project.
- I.M.D. Little and J.A. Mirrless.
A specific activity with a specific starting point and a specific ending
point intended to accomplish a specific objective. It is something you draw a
boundary around at least a conceptual boundary and say this is the Project.
-J. Price Gettinger.
Compilation of data which will enable an appraisal to be made of the
economic advantages and disadvantages attendant upon the allocation of
countrys resources to the production of specific goods and services.
-United Nations.
FEATURES OF A PROJECT
A project can be identified by its features. The special features of a project
that would differentiate from any other on going activity are given below:
A project fixed set of objectives. Once the objectives have been achieved,
the project ceases to exist.
It has a specific life span.
Project has for a teamwork,
Project has a life cycle reflected by growth, maturity and decline similar.
Change is an inherent feature in any project out its life.
Project is based on successive principle and hence it is difficult to learn
fully the end results at any stage.
A project works for a specific set of goals with the complex set of
diversified activities.
High level of sub-contraction of work can be done in a project.
Every project has risk and uncertainty associated with it.
Project needs feasibility any appraisal studies. So that the sponsors sweet
dream becomes realizable.
Types of projects
Much of what the project will comprise and consequently its management
will depend on the category it belongs to. The location, type, technology, size,
scope and speed are normally the factors which determine the effort needed in
executing a project. Though the characteristics of all projects are the same, they
cannot be treated alike. Recognition of this distinction is important for
management. Classification of project helps in graphically expressing and
highlighting the essential features of the project.
Projects are often categorized in terms of their speed of implementation as
follows:
NORMAL PROJECTS
Adequate time is allowed for implementation.
All the phases in a project are allowed to take their normal time.
Minimum requirement of capital.
No sacrifice in terms of quality.
CRASH PROJECTS
Requires additional costs to gain time.
Maximum overlapping of phases is encouraged.
DISASTER PROJECTS
Anything needed to gain time is allowed in these projects. Around the
clock work is done at the construction site. Capital cost will go will go up very
high. Project time will get drastically reduced.
Besides that, projects in general are classified on several basis as give in the
following illustrative list.
Categories of Projects
PROJECT
National
International
Non Industrial
Industrial
Non Conventional
R&D
High Technology
Conventional
Mega
Major
Medium
Gross Root
Expansion
Modification
Normal
Crash
Disaster
Low Technology
Mini
CLASSIFICATION OF PROJECT
The project can be classified on several basis. Major classification of the
projects are given below:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Industrial project
Agricultural project
Educational project
Health project
Social project
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11
12.
13.
Pre-investment phase
Implementation phase and
Operational phase
Work packaging
This phase is involved with preparation for the project to take out smoothly.
Once a project opportunity is conceived, it needs to be examined.
Preliminary project analysis concerns with marketing, technical, financial and
economic aspects of the project. It seeks to determine whether the project is prima
facie worthwhile to justify a feasibility study and what aspects of the projects are
critical to its viability and hence call for an in depth investigation.
More details, through and complete feasibility study results in a
reasonably adequate formulation of the projects in terms of location, production
capacity production technology and material inputs. The feasibility study contains
fairly specific estimates of projects cost, means of financing sales revenues,
production costs, financial profitability and social profitability.
Based on the thorough feasibility study the project owner or sponsors or
financiers can decide whether to accept or reject particular project. In other
words, the decision whether investment on the project should be made or not has
to made at this stage.
IMPLEMENTATION PHASE
The implementation phase of an industrial project involves setting up of
manufacturing facilities. After judging the worthiness, project needs to be
designed for implementation. Drawing, blue prints and the sequences in which the
various activities concerning the project need to be carried out. The main
activities under this phase are:
Project and engineering design: It consists of site probing and prospecting,
preparation of blue prints, plant design, plant engineering, selection of machinery,
equipment.
Negotiations and contractions: It covers the activities like project
financing, acquisition of technology, construction of building and civil works,
provision of utilities supply of machine and equipment, marketing arrangement
etc.
Construction: This step involves the activities like site preparation,
construction of building, erection and installation of machinery and equipment.
Training engineers, technicians and workers.
Plant commissioning
OPERATION PHASE
It is the longest phase in terms of time span. It begins when the project is
commissioned and ends when the project is wound up. This is a transition phase
in which the hardware built with the active involvement of various agencies is
physically handed over for production. This phase is basically a clean up phase
for project personnel. The main concern of this phase is on smooth and
uninterrupted operation of machinery and plant, development of suitable norms of
productivity, establishment of a good quality fo rhte product and securing the
market acceptance of the product. It aims to realize the projection made in the
project regarding sales, production, cost and profits. Project monitoring and
project evaluation are two vital activities under this phase.
Project monitoring is a step towards achieving properly identified
objectives through a carefully laid down strategy. Each activity in the project
implementation should be carefully watched so that, the progress may be
measured and any deviation from the expected progress be identified in time.
Project evaluation refers to post-investment analysis. It aims at finding out
whether the project has achieved the objectives for which it was taken up and
whether it has created the anticipated or intended impact. This helps in developing
an insight for future investment and better planning.
Thus the life cycle of a project narrates the methodology of developing,
maintaining nd controlling an investment proposal at its various phases in the life
cycle. The various steps in the project life cycle are given in the following
diagram.
Diagram 1
Conception
Evaluation
Application
1. Objectives
2. Establish goals
3.TQM procedures
4.
Setting
up
control
systems
Definition
Planning &
Designing
1. Establish
structure
2. Engineering
3. Model building
4. Design review
1. Prototype development
2. First units to test
marked
3. Begin campaign
4. Progress report
Diagram 2
TIME
It can be seen from that curve that effort built up in a project is very slow
but effort withdrawals is very sharp. It can also be seen that time taken in the
formative and clean up stages together is more than the implementation stage.
This parabolic patterns of growth, maturity and decline itself in all phases of the
project life. This curve enable a project manager to ascertain the state of health of
any project at any point of time.
Project management
Project management is an existing new profession which receives much
attention in these days. It is concerned with the management of resources
successfully to complete the project, the resources being time, money, materials
and equipment and the most expensive resources of all- namely the human
resources.
Project management is concerned with achieving a specific goal in a given
time using resources available for that period only.
Project management can mean different thing to different people. Project
management as regard ongoing project within a company refers the art of creating
that illusion that any outcome is the result of a series of predetermined, deliberate
acts when, in fact, it was dumb luck It is designed to make better use of existing
resources by getting work to flow horizontally as will as, vertically within a
company.
An overview definition of project management is the planning, organizing,
directing and controlling company resources for a relatively short term objective
that has been established to complete specific goals and objective. Further more,
project management utilizes the system approach to management by having
function personnel assigned to a specific project
Project Management has been evolved as a distinct discipline ever since
the Second World War. Though it is special discipline it got elevated only in the
recent times, it has been in practice ever since the times of construction activities
in this world. Constructions such as British Aisles, the Taj Mahal, Eiffel Tower,
London Bridge etc., stand testimony to the fact that the doctrine of Project
Management are not new.
Project management resembles functional management in all aspects for
all practical purposes with a little difference. It is concerned with the management
Project planning
Definition of work requirements
Definition of quantity of work
Definition of resources needed
Project monitoring
Tracking progress, comparing actual to predicated
Analysis impact and making adjustments.
manager deals with problems shifting job environments but they are unanimous
on the utility of the task force as a useful device in group problem solving
situations.
The structuralists argue that the project manager, as a unifying agent,
integrates the parochial interests of autonomous organizational elements towards
a common objective through the formation of some standard organization instead
of functional or product departmentalization.
The funtionalists argue that project management is in reality simply the
application of the systems concept to organizational problems. They visualize
integration into a separate organizational system of activities related to particular
projects or programmes, Management science techniques, computer simulation
approaches and information decision systems are just a few of the tools that will
make it possible for management to visualize the firm as a total system.
The behaviouralists see the task force as organized around problems (not
products, programmes, projects or tasks) arranged in an organic rather than a
mechanical model in which the executive becomes the link pin or coordinator but
human speaking the diverse languages or research and who has skills to realay
information and mediate between groups. People will be differentiated not
vertically according to rank and status but flexibly and functionally according to
skill and professional training and replacing bureaucracy as we know it.
Components of a Project Management System
The vital components of a project from the systems perspective are:
It can be inferred that the basic theories and philosophies, governing the
age-old corps and projects had a stormy attack by the systems approach to
management. Owing to the fact that project management is a subset of total
management cult, it would be comforting oneself to describe the principles of
general systems theory. The general systems approach can be squared with a
prepare a report which he can sell to the bank. These reports often do not reflect
reality as they are made without any in-depths study, and if cleared, would give
birth to defective projects. This, doubt, reflects on a consultants lack of
professional ethics and can be avoided if the financial institutions use a proper
accreditation, system for consultants.
However, accreditation of consultants may not set everything right. A site
may often be selected purely on personal rather than on techno-economic
considerations. The same may happen with the selection of technology or even
with the selection of the consultant.
It is often suggested that besides technical and financial appraisal of a
project the financial institutions should appraise the entrepreneur himself. It is
also suggested that the financial institutions should introduce an on-going audit
system to prevent diversion of funds and other forms of financial irregularities. In
other words, the financial institutions may not trust the owner/promoter since an
owner may disown a project and the financial institutions have more stake in the
project than the owner himself.
Sometimes a promoter may intentionally underestimate the project cost
with the intention of reducing his contribution. This would inevitably lead to cost
overrun which normally the financial institutions are expected to finance. Of
course, the financial institutions can insist on proportional overrun finance by the
owner, but since the promoters stake is low, the institutions take their own time
to decide to finance the overrun, meanwhile the project cost undergoes further
overrun. A project, thus faces a fund crisis leading to extension of project
completion time. With the extension of the project schedule further fund problems
occur. Financing cost and inflation overtake the revised cost estimate. Since
contingency provisions are too inadequate to meet the inflationary conditions of
the economy, institutions have to provide further funds. But this again is not
easily sanctioned.
Most vendors and contractors, do not trust the owner regarding payment.
At the very first sign of delay in payment, they start slackening. They cannot also
be expected to be too enthusiastic about a project where fund problems are
foreseen. A vendor, in such circumstance, may not start the work at all. This not
only delays the project but sours the relationship between the owner and the
vendor.
Over the years, a number of projects have been affected by enormous
increase in prices of cement, steel and transport and energy costs. These are noncontrollable costs as far as the owner is concerned and, therefore, the owner looks
towards the financial institutions for relief. But the overruns even in such cases do
not get automatically sanctioned as the financial institutions do not trust the
promoter and would first like to be satisfied about the reasons for overrun.
Financial institutions often hesitate to disburse their term loans unless the
promoters bring their entire contribution. Sometimes they withdraw their
commitments due to temporary resource constraint, or when the find a project
facing serious technical problems. Thus, due to financial insecurity some projects
cannot progress as desired and end up with huge time and cost overruns.
The problems discussed above can broadly be grouped into four classes of
environmental problems: social, economic, technical and managerial. As
discussed before, if these problems are not tackled, time and cost overruns cannot
be stopped. Yet management of environment is beyond the scope of project
management. There is no point, therefore, in discussing these problems in any
further detail as they are beyond the scope of this book.
While one cannot change the environment for the duration of a project,
one can definitely project oneself from its adverse influences adverse influences.
This can be done by creating a strong shield which will not only resist the adverse
effect of the environment but also influence the environment marginally, at least,
along the boundary. This is referred to as boundary management.
A project can shield itself effectively against the environment only if it engages
good agencies, used good system and has adequate funds to meet the
requirements of the project. Good system and good agencies will require good
funds. However, the funds must be used properly otherwise a project cannot be
completed at least cost which is the ultimate criteria for measuring the efficiency
of project management. Unfortunately, at the moment, we are unable to provide
such a shield to all our projects that must be the only reason for our poor
performance in the execution of the project.
Projects in India have to be executed in a highly unfavorable environment
but project management must cope with the situation. It has been suggested that
project must be insulated adverse environmental influences by mobilizing good
agencies, good system and all adequate funds.
Project Consultant
For any developing country, project management hols the key for
development. Without efficient project management neither cost control nor time
Need of consultants
Need of consultant arises:
i) When a project of new technology is undertaken.
ii) When the in-house consultant is incapable of meeting the requirements
of the project.
iii) When there is no in-house facility available in the organization.
iv) When the project is executed on the basis of imported technology and
know how.
v) To avail the advantages of expertise available with the outside
consultants.
Consultants may be of:
a)
In-house consultants
b)
Outside consultants
Indigenous
Foreign consultants.
ii)
Techno-economic report
iii)
iv)
v)
vi)
vii)
With the passage of time, there has been progress in Indianisation in the spheres f
technology, know how etc. Many firms in public sector as well s in private sector
have come up in have consultancy services. A few well known consultancy firms
are:
TATA Consultancy Services Ltd.
Birla Technical Services
Dastur & Co. Ltd.
Engineer India Ltd.
Metallurgical & Engineering Consultants (India) Ltd.
Kirloskar Consultancy Ltd.
Power Consultancy Services India Pvt. Ltd.
Small Industries Services Institute.
Technical Consultancy Organisation
Science and Technology Entrepreneurship Park etc.
CONCLUSION
Thus, this chapter has explained the various aspects of projects and project
management. This conceptual knowledge will certainly helps you to know about
the features of project and project managements, which is an emerging unique
discipline. And this chapter has also explained the various stages of project life
cycle, which helps the project manager to ascertain the strength and weakness of
any project at any point of time.
SELF ASSESSMENT QUESTIONS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
LESSON 2
PROJECT IDENTIFICATION
OBJECTIVES
To know the importance of conceiving a good of project idea
To ascertain the different sources from which a project idea can be generated
To identify the steps involved in project identification and selection
PROJECT IDENTIFICATION
SCOUTING AND SCREENING OF PROJECT IDEAS
An entrepreneur has an infinitely wide choice with respect to his project in
different dimensions such as product/service, market, technology, equipment,
scale of production, time phasing and location. Hence, the identification of
investment opportunities (projects) calls for understanding he environment in
which one operates, sensitivity to emerging investments possibilities, imaginative
analysis of a variety of factors and also chance luck. This chapter is concerned
with scouting and screening of project ideas, steps in the project identification
process and also consideration involved in identifying the new projects by an
existing company.
PROJECT IDEAS
It is the first and foremost task of an entrepreneur to find out suitable
business which is feasible and promising and which merit further examination and
appraisal. Therefore, he has to first search for a sound of workable business idea
and give a practical shape to his idea. While doing so, the entrepreneur has to
tackle the various problems from time to time to achiever the ultimate success.
Since the good project ideas are elusive, a variety of sources should be trapped to
stimulate the generation of project ideas.
SOURCES OF PROJECT IDEAS
The various sources from which the project idea can be generated are explained
below:
Analysis the performance of existing industries
A study of existing industries in terms of their profitability and capacity
utilization is helpful. The analysis of profitability and break even level of various
industries indicates promising investment opportunities. Opportunities which are
profitable and relatively risk free. An examination of capacity utilization of
various industries provides information about the potential for further investment.
Such a study becomes more useful if it is regionwise, particularly for products
which have high transportation costs.
Examine the inputs and outputs of industries
An analysis of the inputs required for various industries may throw up
project ideas. Opportunities exist when (I) materials purchased parts, or supplies
are presently being procured from different sources with attendant time lag and
transportation costs and (ii) several firms produce internally some
components/parts which can be supplied at a lower cost by a single manufactures
who can enjoy economies of scale.
A study of the output structure of existing industries may reveal
opportunities for further processing of output or even processing of waste
Examine imports and exports
An analysis of import statistics for a period of fie to seven years is helpful
in understanding the trend of imports of various goods and the potential for
import substitution. Indigenous manufacture of goods currently imported is
advantages for several reasons:
area. Such investments typically have a shorter gestation period because one does
not have to begin from scratch. Indeed, in many cases marginal efforts would
suffice to revive such units.
Identify unfulfilled psychological needs
For well established, multi brand product groups like bathing soaps,
detergents, cosmetics and tooth pastes, the question to be asked is not whether
there is an opportunity to manufacture something to satisfy an actual physical
need but whether there are certain psychological needs of consumers which are
presently unfulfilled. To find whether such an opportunity exists, the technique of
spectrum analysis may be followed. This analysis is done somewhat as follows.
(i) Important factors influencing brand choice are identified (ii) respect of the
factors identified in step (iii) gaps which exist in relation to consumer
psychological needs are identified.
Visit to trade fairs
Attending the National and International trade fairs provides an excellent
opportunity to know about new products and new development.
The above said sources of project ideas may be generated by the
Government agencies, credit institutions, non-governmental organizations and
also by public.
The Governments has largest resources and have the necessary
information to generate project ideas and it plays a predominant role in this
sphere. The government has the required facilities and manpower to conduct
detailed studies which may lead to making investment decisions. Banks and other
financial institutions are actively involved in sharing the social responsibility of
achieving the national objectives of economic development. The co-operatives
and non-governmental organizations as well s individual entrepreneurs are now
actively participated in identification of projects. The awareness of involving the
people or the beneficiaries in project identification is now increasing fast. Since
the local people have the first hand knowledge of the potentials and problems of
the area to which they belong, more realistic project identification has become
possible with their involvement. It needs no emphasis the project ideas would be
generated in better manner both in the qualitative as well as quantitative terms
when the knowledge and ideas of the Gove. Functionaries, people, the financial
institutions and other experts are pooled together.
PURPOSE AND NEED FOR PROJECT IDENTIFICATION
The entire economic management planning is based on two fundamental
assumptions. i.e. a) limited means and b) unlimited ends. A planner has to select
few important needs to cut it into size of his/her means. This may be treated as
B.
C.
D.
Conceptual stage
A number of project ideas may be generated either by those officials or nonofficials and entrepreneurs individually or collectively who are conversant with
the area. In this context, one has to examine the potentialities of development and
the problems, needs and aspirations of the people of the concerned area.
Screening stage
In the second stage project ideas generated above are screened n a
preliminary exercise to weed out the bad or unviable ides. All project ideas would
not pass the screening test. Some project ideas may be imaginary to warrant any
serious consideration.
The third & fourth stages may be called as investment opportunity study.
This study is necessarily preliminary and the broad one and has a limited
objective of providing planners with a choice of projects from which they can
make a selection. Pre feasibility study and these can be differentiated opportunity
study and a detailed feasibility study and these can be differentiated mainly on the
basis of information required for respective stages.
SCREENING PROJECT IDEAS
After gathering the project ides from the various sources as aforesaid, it is
essential to eliminate ideas which prima facie are not promising. This process f
eliminating the irrelevant and unviable ideas is called screening of project ideas. It
can be done with the help of testing the following conditions of the propositions.
a.)
b.)
c.)
Availability of inputs
d.)
Adequacy of market
e.)
Reasonableness of cost
f.)
The project idea must be compatible wit interest personality and resources
of the entrepreneur. It should be accessible to him and also it offers him the
prospects of rapid growth and high return on invested capital.
The project idea must satisfy or go along with the governmental priorities,
National goals and governmental regulatory framework.
e.g.
The resources and inputs required for the project must be reasonably
assured. This feature of the project can be assessed with the help of determining
the following points relating to a project.
Identifying the adequacy of market is the key factor to select, the viable
project idea. To judge the adequacy of market the following factors have to be
examined.
Export market
Patent protection
What factors would you take into account for identifying promising
investment opportunities?
2.
3.
LESSON 3
PROJECT FORMULATION
OBJECTIVES
To impart the need for project formulation
To describe the project formulation process
To know the criteria to be followed in project formulation
INTRODUCTION
Project formulation is an investigating process which precedes investment
decision. The purpose is to present relevant facts before the decision-makers to
enable them to decide as to whether to go ahead signal should be given for the
project or not.
Formulation of projects involves scientific procedure. The task of any
formidable project is too many. It has to present several information subjective
and objective in nature. It explains the objectives, goals and justification for the
acceptance of the project. The major task of the project is to assess the financial,
technical and managerial involvement and its justification considering the
resource constraint. The project formulation stage involves the identification of
investment options by the enterprise.
Project formulation is designed to bring the project sponsoring authority
and the agencies from whom it has to gent concurrence, support etc., on one
wavelength. Project formulation by providing a scientifically developed
procedure for developing the contend as well as the format of the investment
proportions, seek to streamline the process of appraisal of project at government
and the aiding agencies level. So, the project formulation is a process involving
the joint effort of a team of experts including the economists, the financial
analysis and specialists in various fields. A well formulated project provides a
medium which out across scientific, social and positional prejudices and provides
a common meeting ground for all those who have a contribution to make
successful implementation of a project.
A. Feasibility analysis
B. Techno-economic analysis
C. Project design and network analysis
D. Input analysis
E. Financial analysis
F. Social cost-benefit analysis
G. Project appraisal
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
Feasibility analysis is the first stages in the process of project
development. The purpose of the analysis is to examine the desirability of
investing in pre-investment studies. For this purpose it is essential to examine
project idea in the light of the available internal (inputs, resources & outputs) and
external constraints (environment). When a project idea is taken up for
developmental three situations can arise. The project may appear to be feasible,
project may turn out to be not feasible or the available data may not e adequate for
arriving at reasonable decision regarding further investment. In the last mentioned
case, investment in pre-investment studies will obviously have to be adequate for
arriving at reasonable decision regarding further investment. In the last mentioned
case, investment in pre-investment studies will obviously have to e deferred till
such time s adequate date regarding the project feasibility is available. The project
sponsoring body will therefore have to invest in collection additional data and
refer the investment decision for the time being. In the second situation when the
project is found to e not feasible, further investment in the project idea is
completely ruled out. In the third situation, when the project idea is found to be
feasible, the decision-makers can proceed to invest further resources in preinvestment studies and design development.
TECHNO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Techno-economic analysis is primarily concerned with the identification
of project demand potential and the selection of the optimal technology which can
be used to achieve the project objectives. The analysis provides necessary
material on which the project design can be based. It also indicates whether the
economy is in position to absorb the output of the project or not.
PROJECT DESIGN AND NETWORK ANALYSIS
Project design is the heart of the project entity. It defines the individual
activities which go into the corpus of the project and their inter-relationship with
each other. It identifies the flow of events, which must take place before a project
can start yielding the results for which it has been set up. The inter-relationship
project will have to bear and the benefits which well be enjoyed by all such
entities. The idea here is to evaluate the project in terms of absolute costs and
benefits rather than in terms apparent costs and benefits.
PRE-INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Pre investment appraisal is the process of consolidating the results of
feasibility analysis, the techno-economic analysis, the design and network
analysis, the input analysis, the financial analysis and the cost benefit analysis, so
as to give the investment proposition a final and formal shape, It naturally
involves selection of appraisal format, the material which should go into preinvestment report and the form of presentation of various conclusions. The sun
total of the pre-investment appraisal is to present the project idea in a form in
which the project sponsoring body, the project implementing body and the outside
agencies can take investment decision regarding the proposals.
CRITERIA TO BE FOLLOWED
The main criteria in the project formulation process are:
Forecasting understanding and precisely identifying the objectives/needs/goals
(regional/state/national/international) of the unit/society/economy/on a sustained
basis.
Setting up priorities and choosing the goals that are more urgent
Searching for alternations and carrying out feasibility studies to pick up projects
that appear most beneficial and desirable.
Carrying out detailed studies of the project so selected
Estimation the needed resources (human and physical) and finding the yearly cost
and benefit of project
Arranging funds both approval and allocation. The successful implementation
of any project depends upon the timely availability of the required resource as per
projections.
Preparing of time schedule for all hobs so that the physical and financial targets of
the projects are passed appropriately
Distributing the works to various departments or agencies having the appropriate
technical expertise
Execution and controlling the project. This requires frequent reviewing, updating
and constant action to restore the operation to its planned characteristics.
Evaluating the performance of each project to ensure the worth of good or service
for each rupee to be spent.
CONCLUSION
Thus the process of project formulation involves a stage by stage
development of the project idea into an investment proposition. The conclusion
down at the end of each stage forms the basis of development of the ensuing
stage. These conclusions also provide necessary materials for re-checking of the
initial premises from which a beginning was made. There must be forward and
backward look at the completion of every stage. So the project formulation team
has to be ready to revise its opinions and conclusions in the light of further
evidence.
SELF ASSESSMENT QUESTIONS
1. What do you mean by project formulation? Explain the several aspects of
project formulation.
2. What are the different phases of project formulation?
3. Explain the criterion to be adopted while formulating a project.
4. Formulation of projects involves scientific procedure elucidate.
***************
LESSON 4
FEASIBILITY STUDY AND PREPARATION OF FEASIBILITY REPORT
OBJECTIVES
1. To explain the nature and significance of feasibility study.
2. To know the components of feasibility study in a detailed manner.
3. To import knowledge of preparing feasibility report and how it can be
checked.
INTRODUCTION
A feasibility report is an investment proposal base on certain information
and factual data appraising the project. This type of feasibility study may be
required by the financing institutions, project sponsor, project owner. The
feasibility report enables the project holder to know the inputs required and if
rightly prepared confirms to the convictions that he is proceeding in the right
direction. In other words, a project needs to be fully defined in order to provide
terms of reference for the management of the project.
A project can be considered to have been fully established when the
following conditions are fulfilled.
The technical configuration of the project has been fully defined.
The performance requirement for the various technical system and the key
equipment have been specified.
Cost estimate for the project is frozen.
Techno-economic viability of the project has been examined, appraised
and approved.
An overall schedule for implementation of the project has been drawn-up.
The feasibility report is prepared during the definition phase of a project.
It lies in between project formulation stage and appraisal and sanction stage. It is
prepared to present an in-depths techno-commercial analysis carried out on the
project idea for consideration of the financial institutions and other authorities
empowered to take the investment decision.
Technical feasibility
Financial feasibility
Managerial feasibility
study are: technology of the project, size of the plant, location of the project,
pollution caused by the project production capacity of the project, strength of the
project. Emergency or stand-by facilities required by the project sophistication
such as automation, mechanical handling etc. required collaboration agreements,
production inputs and implementation of the project.
FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY
The main objectives of this feasibility study is to assess the financial
viability of the project. Here, the main emphasis is in the preparation of financial
statement, so that the project can be evaluated in terms of various measures of
commercial profitability and the magnitude of financing required can be
determined. The decision about the financial feasibility of project should be
arrived at based on the following consideration:
For existing companies, audited financial statements such as balance
sheets, income statements and cash flow statements.
For projects that involve new companies, statement of total projects cost,
initial capital requirements, and flow relative to the projective time table.
Financial projections for future time periods, including income
statements, cash flows and balance sheets.
Supporting schedule for financial projections stating assumptions used as
to collection period of sales, inventory levels, payment period of purchases and
expenses and elements of production cost, selling administrative and financial
expenses.
Financial analysis showing return on investment return on equity, breakeven volume and price analysis.
If necessary sensibility analysis to identify items that have a large impact
on profitability or possibly a risk analysis.
MANAGERIAL FEASIBILITY
The success or failure of a project largely depends upon the ability of the
project holder to manager the project. Project is a bundle of activities and each
activity has its own role. For the success of a project, a project holder has to coordinate all the activities in such a way that the additive impact of different inputs
can produce the desired result. The ability to manage and organize all such inter
related activities come within the concept of management. If the person in-charge
of the project, has the ability, has the ability to manage all such activities, the
desired result can be anticipated.
Hereby skill
b.
c.
SOCIAL FEASIBILITY
A project may cross all the above barriers mentioned above an found very
suitable but is will lose its entire creditability, if it has no social acceptance.
Though the social customs, conventions such as caste community, regional
influence etc. are creating hindrance for development of a project should avoid all
such social conflicts which will stand on the successful implementation of the
project,
(e.g.) Considering the interests of the general public; projects which offer
large employment potential, which channelise the income from less developed
areas will stimulate small industries.
In a nut shell, the feasibility report should highlight on these five testing
stones before it can be declared as complete and only after judging through these
indicators a project can be declared as viable and can be submitted for finance or
any other assistance from any institutions.
FORMAT OF FEASIBILITY REPORT
The sketch of feasibility report of the project covers the following
1. Introduction
2. Summary and Recommendations
3. Project Capacity, Chemistry of the product, specifications, properties,
application and uses.
4. Market potential
5. Process and know-how
6. Plant and machinery
7. Location of the unit
8. Plot plan and building
9. Raw materials availability
10. Utilities, requirements
CONCLUSION
Thus, this chapter narrates the very purpose of a feasibility report in a lucid
manner, covering components of feasibility reports, principal feature of project
feasibility study and also checklist for feasibility study. It helps in defining and
analyzing the alternative approaches to production processes and outcomes. It
focuses attention on the material inputs and various other techno-economic
variables. It describes the optimization process, justifies the assumptions and
hypothesis set thereby selection the better alternative solutions and defines tre
clear boundaries of a project viability.
SELF ASSESSMENT QUESTIONS
1. What do you mean by feasibility study? Explain its significance in project
formulation?
2. Explain the different components of feasibility study
3. Suggest a suitable outline of feasibility report for setting up a small scale
industry.
4. How a technical feasibility of a project can be ascertained?
5. Analyse the significance of managerial competence and commercial
viability of project in the feasibility study.
6. What the elements to be covered in the feasibility report?
LESSON 6
PROJECT REPORT
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
INTRODUCTION
A project at the outset must bear a logical appearance, which it can get
only after the feasibility test. Project report is a document, which clearly narrates
the various aspects f project in a prescribed form. Project report preparation is a
post investment decision exercise. It involves the preparation of detailed
specifications and designs for the project premises, detailed design of the process
or other equipment and time schedules for the implementation of the project.
Hence, the detailed project report is the work plan for the implementation of the a
project once an investment decision is arrived at.
A project report is meant to provide the necessary information, which may
be required for the purpose of processing and assessing the proposal for getting
the financial assistance from the financial institutions. This is essentially prepared
in order to provide a complete information with proximate values of the project
and presented to the financial institution for appraisal. A project report prepared
with utmost care care would not only give a clear idea to the banker but also it
relives the entrepreneur from the normal objections and formal queries of the
banker.
In a developing economy like India, where the development banking is
vigorous, an entrepreneur gets a lot of published materials with data relating to
various feasibilities and promotional institutions engaged in entrepreneurship
development produce good literature covering various aspects of producing a
project or products in the country. The Director General of Technical
Development (DGTD), National Small Industries Corporations (NSIC) are some
of the pioneer institutions providing variety of information for small scale
enterprises to manufacture. They are guidelines for industries indication those
items, in which good scope exists for manufacturing.
With these available information, an entrepreneur has to do the following
for starting an industrial unit:
To decide the types and level of industrial production.
To compare the requirements of funds with his personal availability of finance.
GENERAL INFORMATION
The following aspects should be given in the stage, which are of general
nature:
Name and address of the entrepreneur
The qualifications, experience and other capabilities of the entrepreneur. If
it is a partnership firs, these information of other members should also be given.
A small reference of analysis of industry to which the project belongs e.g.
past performance, present status, the way of organization, the problems etc.
The organizational structure of the enterprise
The utility of the product and the range of products to be manufactured
2.
RATIONALE
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
INPUT FACTORS
Raw materials: What are the sources of raw materials? Are they locally
available? Whether imported raw material is also required? If so, whether license
has been obtained? Is it suitable to get quality raw materials continuously at
reasonable prices?
The availability, quality critically and quality compatibility of the raw
material with the technology as well as the plant and machinery are important
factors to be clearly understood while evaluating a project especially those in hitech area. This element is also intimately linked to many other elements in a
project and can force necessary changes in them to ensure the viability of the
project.
As a simple example, one can easily surmise that a raw material with a
high volume to weight ratio will indicate the plant is located near the source of
raw material. e.g. Cement, power (coal based). On the other hand, if the values
added in such a case is very high, then it may be possible or even necessary to
locate the plant away from the source or raw materials. Textiles, power (gas based
of oil based), processed foods like snack foods, ice creams are some the pertinent
examples.
The characteristics of the raw materials are multivariate and not just on the
volume weight ratio. It is imperative therefore that this elements gets a careful
consideration while assessing a project. The market, the management, and the
utility needs of the projects also influence the locational decisions.
Labour: What is the type of labour required? Whether skilled or unskilled? Are
they available in that area? If not, what arrangement have been made to recruit
and train the labour in various skills?
Power: Inadequate supply and high cost of electricity is a major problem now-adays. So, the project report should contain the information regarding the power
requirements, the load sanctioned, stability of supply of power and the price at
different consumption level.
Fuel & water: Whether the fuel systems like coal, coke, oil or gas are
required and if yes, then state their availability position. Similarly water is an
important factor. The source and the quality of water should be clearly stated.
Waste discharge: Most of the plants product waste material or emissions that
may result in many health problems to the public. The emissions and discharges
may be various types like (a) gaseous )smoke, fumes, dust etc.) by physical
(noise, hear, vibration etc.) or (c) liquid or solid discharged through pumps and
sewers. Hence, it should be clearly stated that the arrangements made from these
things.
COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORT FACILITIES
A vialability of communication facilities like telephone, telex and post and
telegraph department, should be stated in the report. Similarly, transport is a basic
necessity for industries. Raw materials as well as finished products has to reach
destination only through a good transport systems available. So, the various
transport facilities available in that should be clearly stated. Similarly availability
of facilities like machine shops, welding shops and electrical repair shops etc.,
should also be stated.
List of machinery & Equipments: A complete list of items of machinery and
other equipments indication their type, size and cost should be stated. Source of
supply of capital equipment and the construction services should also be given.
The source of plant and machinery as also the specification for the same
can often make or break a project. It is, therefore, equally important to evaluate
the plant and machinery which is to be installed at the project. The reputation of
the supplier and references to place where such/similar plant and machinery are
installed is a good starting point while assessing this element.
Capacity & Technology: The installed and licensed should be stated and
the number of shifts likely to follow should be stated. Similarly, is the technology
upto date and appropriate? Which other units are using the same technology and
with what results? How the required know-how is proposed to be arranged.?
The level of technology in terms of its state of art or obsolescence,
adaptability to the local conditions, maintenance and repairability, sophistication
in management and control are elements which have a significant impact on the
quality and quantity of production that is envisaged in the project. It is thus
necessary to have a clear understanding about the technology which is to be
utilized in the project.
It is pertinent to note that there are no hard and fast rules but
appropriateness and relevance are the two key operative words while
assessing a technology proposed for the project. It is ridiculous to propose a
highly sophisticated, push button control technology in a place where electricity
supply follows its own rules or where a simpler technology is better understood
and more manageable. Equally, it would be disastrous to recommend an obsolete
technology on account of its durability or time tested proof of performance when
everyone else is fast discarding it.
This technology elements is linked to ever other element in the project
proposal and these linkages also need to be looked into as an essential step in
assessing the technology. One of the technologies available may necessitate
creation of large capacity not necessarily advisable given the current raw material
supply or the market size for the product.
For example, a capacity of 100 tps. But if raw material proposed is agricltral
waste a whole lot of new considerations starting from collection and storage or
raw materials come into play necessitation appropriate changes in the plant size
and even perhaps the technology. Similar situations can arise in linkages of
technology to management, availability of utilities, and cost of the project.
Quality control:
What is the system arranged for to check the quality of products on
continuous basis? The quality marks like ISI, Agmark will enhance the values of
the product as well as confidence among the consumers. If it is desired to get
quality markings, the fact should be included in the project report.
5.
Market Potential
Marketing strategy:
What is the strategy adopted for marketing the product should be stated.
Whether the products are to be supplied to the reputed sellers directly or
distributors? Is there any possibility of getting a contract from the reputed
concerns should also be stated in this project report. Similarly whether after sales
service has been arranged and how to fill the gap of demand if there is
fluctuations in the sales seasonal demand arrangements made for warehousing the
products.
6.
Cost of the project : Since each project is profit motivate it is important that cost
of the project is carefully assessed and evaluated. One of the most important
factors in this assessment is the level of accuracy in the cost estimates, which in
addition to proper data collections also depends upon the approach and the
attitude of the evaluator himself. Some evaluators tend to see all cost estimates as
too high leading to unnecessary under estimation of the project cost and
consequent problems in project implementation and even project viability. On the
other hand some evaluators tend to provide cushions at all levels of cost
estimates which may erode the viability of the project on paper leading to wrong
decision on the issue of project selection and implementation.
As estimate regarding this various capital inputs required by the industry should
be given. Those capital items include the following:
1.
2.
3.
Preliminary expense
4.
Miscellaneous assets
5.
Price escalation
6.
picking up the tap for the debt component. The promoter can now think of a
variety of instruments like equity cumulative convertible preference shares fully
or partly or non-convertible debenture, as means of financing and also many other
sources of funds like mutual funds, venture financing and also many other
sources of funds like mutual finds, venture finance and lease finance. A clear
understanding of the various elements and the various institutions operating in the
financial system would help to assess the appropriateness of the means of finance.
The cost of raising and servicing funds, and other terms and conditions
accompanying funds, as all these have a direct impact on the viability of the
project. At this juncture, it is worthwhile nothing that the project evaluation
should also pay due attention to the ethics of fund raising especially if the means
of finance involves premium carrying instruments.
7.
The project is not put up in a vacuum but in the real world which is subject
not only to procedural requirements but also to policy guidelines and stipulations.
These requirements, guidelines and stipulation could begin with the very
permission to establish a project and go across various economic statutes of a
country governing several aspects, not merely as an element of feasibility or
otherwise of setting up the project but as part of the plan extending over the
economic life of the project.
10.
Among other things, what will be the abatement costs to control pollution
and treating for the effluents and emissions, should be stated. Added to this,
whether the project derives home some social benefits like the following:
Develop baselines for controlling time and costs that help the
implementation of the project.
Resources to implement the project.
2.
3.
Prepare a project report for setting up a small scale unit of your own
choice.
4.
How does detailed project report differ from feasibility report? Give an
outline of a detailed project report.
1.
Production target
The different type of size of tables costing to Rs. 7.80.000/- is out annual target.
3.
The calculation is based on single shift of 8 hours per day and 300 working days
in a year. The rates of machines and raw materials have been taken as prevailing
in the market at the time of preparation of project.
4.
The sheets, tubular steel etc., are cut to required size and pressed to shape, bent in
a press brake for table top, sides and drawers. Holes are made by drilling
wherever necessary for cutting screws.
Fixing of doors, hinges assembly, cleaning, pickling and drying are to be done
before painting. The spray painted articles are to be store-enamelled for better
quality and bright and lasting finish.
5.
Covered area 40 x 25 ( 1000 sq. ft.) with 3000 sq. ft. open area 2,000/- PM
7. Machinery and Equipment
Treadle Guillotine Shearing machine 48 width
Hand operated press break machine capacity 14
SWG x 1800m (Sheet bending)
Spot Welding machine 10 SWG with accessories
Hand operated hydraulic tube bending machine
25mm x 36mm capacity with all days.
Pillar drilling machine 1 Cap
Oxy-acetylene gas welding set
Air compressor with electric motor (1 HP) and spray
gun.
Power press 5 ton capacity inclinable ungeared,
adjustable stroke for cutting, embossing with 1 HP
electric motor, hacksaw 6 jaw capacity.
71,325
Add: 10% C.S.T. etc.
10% Erection chareges and contingency charges
Office furniture
Hand tools, dyes
Total
SAY
1 No.
1 No.
12,200/15,700/-
1 No.
1 No.
6,100/2,125/-
1 No.
1 No.
1 No.
9,500/3,000/6,550/-
1 No.
16,200/-
7,137/7,137/4,000/4,000/93,645/94,000/-
1 No.
3 Nos.
5 Nos.
1 No.
1 No.
800/1,500/2,000/700/400/-
Total
Say
7,400/7,400/-
2,20,000
2,80,000
2,80,000
Total
7,80,000
10. PROFITABILITY
Profit = Total sales Cost of production = 7,80,000 6,42,000
1,37,400 100
% Profit on Sale =
7,80,000
1,37,400 100
2,45,200
1,37,400
17.60%
56.00%
40 12 5400
100
40 12 6500
v) 40% other expenses =
100
TOTAL
SAY
B.E.P. =
=
24,000
30,650
7,137
25,920
31,200
1,18,970
1,18,900
12.
i)
ii)
M/s. Ashok Brothers, 37, Panchkuion Road, New Delhi 110 001
M/s. Machine Tools Traders, P.B.No. 1260, 57A, Ligichetti St.,
Chennai 600 001
M/s. Perfect Machine Tools Co., (P) Ltd., Bell Building, Sir Phirozshah
Mehta Road, Mumbai 400 001
iii)
*******************
LESSON 6
PROJECT APPRAISAL
OBJECTIVES
To study the nature and significance of project appraisal.
To know the general information required for project appraisal
To discuss the process of project appraisal followed by the financial institutions
INTRODUCTION
The exercise of project appraisal simply means the assessment of a project in
terms of its economic, social and financial viability. This exercise basically aimed
at determining the viability of a project and sometimes also in reshaping the
project so as to upgrade its viability i.e. it aims at sizing up the quality of projects
and their long-term profitability.
Appraisal of term loan proposals (projects) is an important exercise for the
financial institutions and investing companies in credit decisions. The art of
project appraisal puts more emphasis on the economic and technical soundness of
the project and its earning potential than on the adequacy and liquidity of the
security offered. Hence, the process of appraisal should require more dynamic
approach as it is linked with a sense of uncertainty.
APPRAISAL PROCESS
Project appraisal is a scientific tool. It follows specific pattern. This process
usually involves six areas of appraisal such as market appraisal, technical
appraisal, financial appraisal, profitability appraisal, managerial, and social
appraisal.
A) MARKET AND DEMAND APPRAISAL
Appraisal of commercial viability means assessment of marketability of the endproduct. Therefore, at the time of assessment of commercial viability, the
following points require consideration.
Size and prospective growth of the market which the unit is required to cater like
nature of population, their purchasing power, their educational background,
fashion etc.
Demand and supply position of the product in the national and international
market.
Nature of competition
Pricing policy including prospective prices vis--vis the quality of the product.
Marketing strategy and selling arrangements made by the unit adequacy of sales
fore:
Export Potential
It the product is n important-substitute, the regarding existing imports in the
country along with the C.I.F. value of the imported goods, vis--vis cost of
product of the unit.
B) TECHNICAL APPRAISAL
A project is considered to be technically feasible, if it is found to be sound from
technical and engineering point can be met which location would be most suitable
and what the size of plant and machinery should be.
Objectives of technological appraisal
The fundamental objective of appraising a project from the technology point of
view is to justify the present choice and provide an insight into future
technological developments. Other objective are:
To justify the goal compatibility of a project with the preferred technology;
To seek a better available alternative technology which is both cost effective and
efficiently manageable;
To seek such a technology that can go with existing skill levels of team members
or requires little orientation and training programmers;
To seek a better technology that is not detrimental to the overall environment.
The technology that is used in projects can be classifies on the basis of:
Purpose for which it is applied;
Level at which it is used;
Nature of skills applied while using the technology. On the basis of purpose, the
technology can be:
Manufacturing technology which is generally used in manufacturing industries
like textiles industries like textile industries, steel industries, etc.,
1.
Factor intensity
Stability to changes and its relative obsolescence rate;
Other techno-economic considerations (side effects of technology
transfers on the labour lay-off etc.)
Generally, while appraising technical feasibility of any project, the
following points are carefully considered
The critical inputs mean all the basic location and operational requirements which
make the project viable. These include:
Raw materials. For instance, sugar factories are situated near sugarcane producing
areas.
Availability of land.
Nearness to market for finished product. The units producing heavy bulk finished
goods are always situated near the regional market.
Availability of essential utilities like water, power and fuel.
Availability of skilled/unskilled labour in the proximity.
Facility for disposal of effluents
Availability of suitable technical and administrative personnel.
Adequacy of arrangements for pollution control and for environment protection.
2.
These call for carefull consideration regarding choosing right size of the plant,
proper layout and correct technical design. The capacity of the plant should be
neither too low rendering it uneconomic nor too high to keep it idle. This has
assumed tremendous importance especially in view of the fact that Indian industry
has a tendency to have cost and high capital output ratio.
3.
Planning should be pragmatic and proper so that the construction and gestation
period are estimated properly and there are not time and cost over-run. Of late,
many f the projects have failed because of faulty planning at the initial stage and
subsequent delay in sanction/release of more funds by banks/financial institutions.
Generally, the CPM techniques are used for net-work scheduling.
The various points one has to take into consideration while estimating time are:
Industrial License
Permission for collaboration arrangement and the present position
regarding signing of the same
Consent of the appropriate authority for disposal of effluents
SEBIs consent for issue of capital, if applicable
Import licensed for plant and machinery and raw materials
Typing up of credit facilities from financial institutions/banks
Possible timing of issue of capital including underwriting arrangement for
the same
Acquisition of land
Soil testing
Construction ( Civil and architectural)
Supply of plant and machinery including installation thereof
Recruitment of manpower
Supply of raw materials
Start up and trial run
Normal production
Collateral
Conditions
Attribute
How measured
Previous
experience,
Credit reference, Market
integrity
Viability of the project,
Generation of surplus
Educational and family
background:
credit
reference
Networth
of
the
borrower: capacity to
raise loans from friends
and relatives.
Marketability:
Market
value of the collateral
General
economic
condition of the country:
stability
of
the
borrowers
income
relative
to
these
conditions.
Some of the other points that observe careful consideration in this regard can be
enumerated as under:
D) FINANCIAL APPRAISAL
The basic purpose of financial appraisal is to assess whether the unit will generate
sufficient surplus so as to meet the outside obligations. Financial appraisal usually
examines two aspects of finance:
The cost of the project: i.e., the amount required to complete the project and bring
it to normal operation
The means of financing the cost i.e. the sources from which the required funds are
to be raised.
After computing the cost of the project and means of finance, the various factors
required for assessment of financial viability which a banker should carefully
examine, are as under:
Reasonableness of cost of project
The project cost should be reasonable: However, assessing reasonableness of the
project cost is a very difficult and delicate task. Here, generally, the technique of
inter-firm comparison is used which compares the project cost estimates with the
cost of comparable units in the same industry.
Debt-Equity ratio: This is a very important consideration as there should not be
mismatch between the external debt (Long-term) and the equity of the enterprise.
Debt-equity ratio =
12.5%
17.5%
20.0%
22.5%
Sensitivity Study: This carried out to see that the unit would be able to serve its
debts & give reasonable return under less optimistic conditions. For determining,
profitability of the project generally projections are obtained over the entire
repayment period (say 7 to 10 years) in the following areas:
-
Cost of Production
Profitability
Cash flow
Debt service coverage ratio
Break even point
The appraiser should satisfy himself about the reasonableness of the bsic
assumption on which the above projections are made. The important assumptions
generally looked into are:
-
Capacity build up
Cost of raw materials
Estimates of salaries & wages
Estimates of administrative expenses
Expected selling price
Provisions made for depreciation
Provisions for various taxation liabilities
The assumptions should be reasonable and realistic. In case, the assumption are
not pragmatic, the same can be got changed by the bank and fresh figures can be
compiled. But the basic consideration the banker should have it that the cash
generation position of the unit should be quite comfortable throughout the
repayment period. An ideal debt service coverage aimed at is 2:1.
A model problem for ascertaining cash flow projection and the financial viability
of the project are given below:
Illustration:
The project appraisal division of a leading car manufacturing company is
considering to take up a new project unrelated to its existing range of products. It
has prepared the market and technical feasibility report. The project has a life of 5
years. The financial estimates relating to project cost, financing plan, revenue and
operating costs and other information are given as under:
The estimated project cost Rs. 160 crores. It consists of Rs. 96 crores of fixed
assets and Rs.64 crores of working capital margin.
The financing plan is as under:
Equity investment
Rs. 32 crores
Term Loans
Rs. 64 crores
Rs. 32 crores
Trade credit
Rs. 32 crores
The estimated sales and operating costs (excluding depreciation) are Rs. 192
crores and RS. 144 crores per annum respectively. The description on fixed asset
would be @ 20% p.a. based on the written down method.
The salvage of fixed assets and current assets will be equal to their book values.
The principal of the term loan will be repaid in four equal annual instalments of
Rs. 16 crores each. The first installment wil fall due t the end of the second year
and the last instalment at the end of the 5th year. The outstanding term loan would
carry interest @ 12% p.a. The levels of short term bank finance and trade credit
will remain at Rs. 32 crore level each, on account of the roll-over phenomenon,
till they are paid back at the end of the 5 th year. The short term bank finance will
carry interest rate of 20% p.a.
The company falls in the 50% tax bracket)
Answer
The above case refer to replacement project. In such cases, one must take the
following pints into consideration:
Comparison of new machine with the old machine from the overall cash
flows points of view;
Comparison of new impact of the replacement or relating the old
machine over the cash flows;
Financing mix used for the replacement and its impact on the interest rates
to observe the effect on the profit after interest and tax.
At least two of the above factors should be applied here to analyse the position
and present the analysis for managerial consideration. The following cash flow
statement will help present the situation better.
Cash flows for the Replacement of machinery of Sai Enterprises
(Rs in crores)
1. Net Investment in the
machine
2. Savings in manufacturing
costs
3. Depreciation on the old
machine
4. Depreciation on the new
machine
5. Incremental Depreciation
6. Incremental taxable
profit
7. Incremental tax
8. Incremental profit after
tax
9. Net incremental salvage
value
(a) Initial investment (1)
(b) Operating cash flows
(5+8)
(c) Terminal cash flows
(a+b+c)
Working notes:
Net investment (Rs. 4 lakhs less Rs. 90,000) = Rs. 3.1 lakhs
Savings of the new machine are given in the problem, i.e. 1 lakh.
B. CURRENT RATIO
(Current assets to current liabilities)
The ratio indicates the liquidity posing of the company. Current assets should be
more than current liabilities. The acceptable ratio should be between 1.5 to 2.1.
The ratio beyond 2.1 will indicate that either the inventories are stocked
unnecessarily or the products produced are not sold. The current ratio will
indicate the necessity for proper inventory control.
The DSCR should be calculated for each year of operation and also for the entire
repayment period as an advance.
D. MARGIN OF SECURITY
The term loans are generally sanctioned against the security of fused assets. The
excess of fixed assets over the term loans provides margin for the term loans.
Value of fixed assets term loans
Margin of security = --------------------------------------------- x 100
Value of fixed assets
5. Productivity Ratio are:
Capital employed to value of output sales
Capital employed to Net Value added
Investment per worker
Productivity per worker
6. Profitability ratio are:
Percentage of raw material to value of output
Percentage of wages and salaries to value of output
Percentage in interest to value of output
Percentage of operating profit of output
Percentage of operating profit to sales
BEP
Fixed cost
Fixed cost
----------------------- x ---------------Sales-variable cost
Contribution
% BEP in terms
Fixed cost
Max. capacity utilisation
of installed capacity = ---------------- x -------------------------------- x 100
Contribution
100
The appraising officer should follow uniform policy to divide the total cost into
fixed cost and variable cost as certain cost neither remain fixed nor changed in the
same proportion in which the level of production changes.
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
A project should earn sufficient return which should be at les equal to the cost of
capital invested in it. The following evaluation techniques helps to identify the
best investment proposal amongst the available.
Pay back method
Average rate of return method
Net present value method
Internal rate of return
Problem 1
NMH Industries is considering proposal involving procurement of a special
machine to produce a new product. The technical term furnished two alternative
machines whose investment costs are Rs. 50,000 each and life span is 4 years.
After the expire of its useful life, the vendors guaranteed to buy back at Rs. 5,000
each. The management of the company uses certainly equivalent approach to
evaluate risky investments. The companys risk adjusted discount rate is 16% and
the risk-free rate is 10%. The expected values of net cash flows (CFAT) with their
respective certainly equivalents are as follows:
Year
Machine A
CFAT
CE
Rs.
Machine B
CFAT
CE
Rs.
1
2
3
4
Which machine should be purchased, out of the above, by the company?
Answer
NPV Under Certainly Equivalent Approach:
Year
PV
Factor
at
10%
ECFAT CE
ACFAT PV
ECFAT CE
Amount
ACFAT PV
Amount
0
1
2
3
4(i)
(ii)
Purchase of Plant
Running Costs
Savings
The cost of capital is 8%. Measure the sensitivity of the project to changes in the
levels of plant value, running costs and savings (considering each factor at a time)
so that the NPV becomes zero. Which factor is most sensitive to affect the
acceptability of the project.
The PV factors at 8% discount rate are:
0
1
2
1.000
0.926
0.857
Answer
The Net present value of Cash flow
PV factor Plant cost
Running
Savings
(8%)
Cost
Year
NCF
0
1
2
The project a may be accepted as it is having a positive NPV of Rs. 560.5.
The sensitivity of project towards various costs can be performed as under
Sensitivity Analysis
(1) Plant costs may needs to be increased by a PV of 560.
i.e
60.5
7,000 x 5 = 8.007% or by 8%
60.5
3,994.5 x 100 = 14.03% or by 14%
560.5
11,555 x 100 = 4.85%
According to this analysis, it is clear that savings having a lowest sensitivity ratio
gets affected most while accepting the project.
Problem 3
Ganesh Industries Ltd. is considering to acquire a new plant for its existing
industry in order to expend the output the output whose investment will be Rs.
2,00,000. The expected life of this new plant is 8 years having no salvage value at
the end of 8th year. The future cash flows and their probabilities for couple of year
are as under.
1 year Cash Probability
flow (Rs.)
Presuming
2nd Year Cash Probability
that cashflow flow
of
previous
year follows
Required
Plot the project proposal in a decision tree indication clearly the variations at each
level of cash flows and suggest the company whether to proceed with the plant or
not if the cost of capital is 10% [P/V Factor at 10% 1st = 0.909; 2nd 0.826]
Answer
NPV of cash flows at 10% discount rate
Year (Cash flows in Rs)
PV at 10%
Total
NPV
With the help of the above table of contents, decision-tree can be constructed as
follows:
Year
NPV
ENPV
The project is exhibiting a positive expected net present value indicating its
success. The project can therefore be accepted.
F) SOCIAL COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS (SCBA)
It is a methodology for evaluating investment projects from social point of view.
SCBA seeks to assess the utility of a project to society as a whole. It attempts ot
separate all the expected changes viz. economic, social and environmental likely
to arise as a result of implementing the project. These can be represented as inputs
and outputs of a project and a price can be put to each of these input an output.
Since both inputs and outputs are spread over a number of years, it is necessary to
combine the costs and benefits stream that arise over the economic life of the
project.
ORIGIN: Methodological guidelines of SCBA have been developed by
international agencies like OECD and UNIDO, Planning commission issued in
1975 guidelines for the preparation of feasibility reports for industrial reports.
In the preceding section, we have examined different aspects of commercial
evaluation of the project. An individual may tend to evaluate only the commercial
profitability of a project.
However, in case of public projects like irrigation projects, power projects,
transport projects or other infrastructural projects or social overhead projects,
national profitability (i.e. the net socio economic benefits) considerations are as
important as, and sometimes more important than commercial profitability
consideration. Even in respect of projects sponsored by private entrepreneurs,
national profitability analysis is important, particularly in developing countries,
because of the need to optimize the utilization of scarce resource from the societal
point of view.
of
other
by distortions of any type. Shadow price, also known as accounting price, refers
to such adjusted price of the input/output so as to reflect its real cost of value.
For example, if the price charged for electricity supplied to an industrial unit in 50
paise per unit when the cost of production of electricity is one rupee, the price of
electricity is to considered in the commercial profitability analysis is 50 paise per
unit but in the national profitability analysis the relevant cost of electricity is one
rupee per unit which is the real cost of production. Thus, the market price of
electricity is 50 paise but its shadow price (accounting price) used for the national
profitability analysis is one rupee.
To take another example, suppose that the cost of imported patrol is Rs. 3 per liter
but the selling price in the domestic market is Rs. 7 per litre because of a tax or
Rs. 4 per litre. The shadow price of imported petrol would, therefore, be Rs. 3 per
litre because the remaining Rs. 4 of the market price or Rs. 7 represents a mere
transfer of income from one sector to another sector within the economic and it
does not represent a resource cost or sacrifice to the nation.
In short, the accounting price of an input, such as capital, labour or foreign
exchange represents its opportunity cost or the loss to the economy that would
result from a reduction in its supply by one unit. A factor that is expected to be in
short supply should have an accounting price higher than its market price, while
one that is surplus should have a valuation that is lower than its market price.
Eg. SCBA Balance Sheet of Nuclear Power Project (Pearce & Nash 81)
Benefits
Gain in Gross domestic
provident
xx
xx
Costs
Social cost of extra GDP to
be generated by the project
Routine Radiation (loss of
human life) in value
Waste management
Proliferation
Civil Liberties
xx
xx
xx
xx
xx
xx
UNIDO-FOCUS
Fundamental focus of these guidelines is net increase in the aggregate
consumption of an economy due to the project output. Other subsidiary objectives
are noted as:
Therefore, to survey the above objectives, the guidelines advocate the followi
steps for the appraiser.
Identification of direct and indirect costs and benefits that affect the
aggregate consumption of an economy;
The consumption of the shadow prices of labour, foreign exchange, and
investment;
The estimation of the social rate of discount, and also of relative weights
to be attached to the net benefits accruing to various groups in the
economy if redistribution of income is considered as a separate objectives.
Therefore, shadow prices give risk to effect on social welfare of a small change in
quantity of an input or output. Its value depends on the welfare function being
used and the constraints imposed.
Rationale for Using World Prices as Shadow Prices
While consideration shadow pricing philosophy, commodities are classified into
four:
Traded goods for which the elasticities of demand and supply in the
market are infinite;
Traded goods which are having definite elasticities of demand and supply
in the global markets;
Non-traded goods that are not being traded and will never be traded
provided optimal trade policies are employed by the economy;
Potentially traded goods that are not presently traded but can be traded if
the trade policies are optimal.
In all the above cases, world prices are recommended to be used as shadow prices
since domestic pricing policies keep changing.
The crux of the Diamond and Mirrlees approach is that, application of world
prices as shadow prices helps offset the fluctuations in domestic prices and
justifies the project from the economys point of view. They emphasis productive
efficiency, trade efficiency, and optimal operations. This depends on the existence
of optimal commodity taxes without which the exceptions to the rule of using
world prices would disappear.
Project Appraisal-an Indian scenario
The project appraisal division (PAD) of the planning commission follows a
qualified version of Litle-Mirrlees approach of projects appraisal to sit through
the social-cost benefit analysis. Therefore, the assumptions that are considered in
the L M approach stands valid even for the Indian conditions. In addition to the
above, the PAD grouped the projects of national importance into three m order to
safeguard from the ever-changing tariff policies and eliminate trade-offs between
growth and equity. These groups are:
The capital intensive industrial projects are appraised and evaluated on the basis
of efficiency criteria. The efficiency criteria bases its arguments on Economic
Rate of Return (ERR) of a project. This approach is generally followed by all
leading development financial institutions of the country such as ICICI, IFCI,
IDBI and other SFIs.
The infrastructural investments are appraised based on the net benefits accured to
a country through the project. The appraisal division will visualize the economic
situation in the presence or absence of the project and judge the balance of
payments of the country. Therefore, here the shadow prices will be of great
concern.
Agricultural and rural development projects bases it arguments on the criteria of
shadow wage rate and social protection rate. The wage rate is determined by
considering the world prices of labour and the opportunity costs will be
considered to analysis the situation f the economic costs and benefits of such
developmental undertakings.
Let us briefly bivouac on these three important measures which are widely
applicable to projects of national importance.
Economic Rate of Return (ERR)
In order to compute the ERR, the world prices are considered instead of domestic
market prices will be considered with C.I.F. prices for inputs and F.O.B. prices
for output and for tradable goods where the international prices are not available
and for non-tradable goods, social conversion factor (SCF) is essential to convert
actual rupee value into the social cost or benefit derived.
Relationship between SCF and SER
X+M
SCF = --------------------------------X ( 1-tx ) + ( 1 + tm )
Where
X =
This can be defined as the ratio which translates the domestic price for any nontradable into its price value so that the good can be expressed in terms of its real
domestic price equivalent.
SER defined
The shadow exchange rate can be defined as that rate of exchange which
accurately reflects the consumption worth of an extra unit of foreign exchange in
terms of the domestic currency. Say an extra US$ is earned by the public project,
what domestic consumption value would it buy? If it is useful to divide SER by
official exchange rate (OER), therefore, if one dollar is convertible into Rs. 35
then;
SER
-----OER
35
----35
-1
Value added at market prices
i.e. ERP = DRC 1
DRC =Value added at world prices
Therefore, ERP helps in project appraisal in similar lines with DRC provided a
slight change is followed in the form of reducing SER.
ERP + 1 < SER for any socially acceptable projects.
Fundamental of DRC
The DRC (Domestic Resource Cost) version of Lal (1974) presents the criterion
as:
D
SER> ---------(X M)
Where
Value added at market prices
DRC =
Value added at world prices
Where, value added is the difference between the value of what a project produces
and the value of nay inputs purchased from elsewhere.
The measurement of value added depends on many characteristics such as
technology, labour, etc.
Value added at domestic price is simply the value of payments made to domestic
capital and labour.
For example, we assume that there are two goods Q1 and Q2 which are traded
along with a good Q3 which is domestically produced to export through the public
project. Two domestic inputs K and L are used for this purpose. The world prices
of these goods can be assumed as P1, P2, P3 respectively. The traded by applying
the equation we can compute DRC as,
DRC =
Where
w = wage rate,
( w l3 ) + ( r k 3 )
p 3 ( p1 f1 )
Calculate
(a)
Effective Rate of Protection (ERP) of the project. Comment on the ERP
(b)
If the exchange rate of rupee per US dollar is 35, what is the Domestic
recourses cost of the project?
Solution:
Inputs costs:
Traded
Non-Traded
Net-value added
700
180
120
560
180
60
prices
(Rs
ERP =
120 60
100 = 100%
60
If value added at domestic prices is same as the value added at world prices, ERP
= 0 which means project does not enjoy any protection. Here the project enjoys
100% protection against international competition.
Value added at domestic prices
Exchange rate =(120 60) Rs. 35
Value added at world prices
= Rs. 70 crore
DRC =
LIMITATIONS OF SCBA
No standard method or technical applicable to all types of investment project.
Quantification and measurement of social and benefits are formidable.
However these limitation can be rectified by removing subjectivity in it.
CONCLUSION
Thus the project has to be appraised that the project will generate sufficient return
on the resources invested in it. The viability of the project depend on technical
feasibility, marketability of the products at a profitable price, availability of
financial resources in time and proper management of the unit. It should be also
within the framework of national priorities bases on social cost benefits analysis.
In brief a project should satisfy the tests of technical, commercial, financial and
managerial feasibilities as given above.
SELF ASSESSMENT QUESTION
1. What are the required information for the proper project appraisal?
2. Describe the different stages in the project appraisal process.
3. Write Significance of appraising the managerial competence from an
industrial project and how it can be made?
4. Explain the different methods of profitability appraisal of a project.
5. What do you mean by SCBA? How it can be made.
6. What are Economic Rate of Return and Effective Rate of Protection and
how it could be computed?
7. Explain the UNIDO guidelines for SCB Analysis.
LESSON 7
PROJECT PLANNING
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
3.
INTRODUCTION
Project Planning is foreseeing with blue print towards some predicated goals or
ends. Project plan is a skeleton which consists of bundle of activities with its
future prospects; it is a guided activity. It is a plan for which resour4ces are
allocated and efforts are being made to commence the project with great amount
of preplanning, project is a way of defining what we are hoping to do about
certain issue. The project alone is not responsible for what happens during the
course of a planning. Project is a final form of written documents that guides us as
to what steps need to be taken next.
NATURE OF PROJECT PLANNING
One cannot conceive a project in a linear manner. It involves for activities,
resources, constraints and interrelationships which can be visualized easily by the
human mind and planned informally. However, when a project crosses a certain
threshold level of size and complexities, informal planning has to be substituted
by formal planning. Besides that it is an open system oriented planned change
attempt which has certain parameters and dimension. So that, the need for formal
planning is indeed much greater for project work than for normal operations. The
pre-defined and outlined in detail plan of action helps than manners to perform
their task more effectively and efficiently.
There are always competing demands on the resources available in a region or a
country because of the limited availability and ever expanding human needs.
Planning for the optimum utilization of available resources becomes a pre
requisite for rapid economic development of a country or a region. Project
planning makes a possible to list out the priorities and promising projects with a
view to exercising national choice among various alternatives available. It is a
tool by which a planner can identify a good project and to make sound
investments decisions.
NEED FOR PROJECT PLANNING
One of the objectives of project planning is to completely define all work
requested so that it will be readily identifiable to each project participant. Besides
that there are four basic reasons for project planning.
It should provide a basis for organizing the work on the project and
allocating responsibilities to individuals.
It is a means of communication and co-ordination between all those
involved in the project.
It induces the people to look ahead.
It instills a sense of urgency and time consciousness
It establishes the basis for monitoring and control.
It planning a project, the project manner must structure the work into small
elements that are:
Manageable, independent, Integratable and also measurable in terms of progress.
Project planning must be systematic and flexible enough to handle unique
activities, disciplined through reviews and control and capable of accepting
multifunctional inputs.
STEPS IN PROJECT PLANNING
Planning decisions involves a conscious choice or selection of one behavious
alternative from among a group of two or more behaviour alternatives. The three
main steps involving project planning decisions are:
1. An individual becomes aware that there are alternative ways of action
which are relevant to the decision to be made.
2. He must define each of the alternatives. Hence, the definition involving a
determination of consequences or impact of each of the pro-posed
alternatives.
3. The individual must exercise a choice between the alternative i.e., he has
to make a decision with maximu input, feed back and participation of
superiors as well as subordinates.
Planning is a systematic attempt to achieve a set of goals within the specified time
limit under the constraints of available resource restrictions involving the least
sacrifice. Broadly speaking speaking planning involves two differences
methodologies:
a) Planning by incentive and
b) Planning by direction
Planning by incentive mainly depends on the controlling of economic tools to
push economic resources towards the attainment of set goals within the specified
period.
Planning by direction gives more emphasis on the direct participation of the
central planning authority in ht economic activities to attain the set goal within the
estimated time limit.
Planning is decision making based upon futurity. It is a continuous process of
making entrepreneurial decisions with an eye to the future, and methodically
organizing the effort needed to carry out these decisions. The following figure
vividly explains the key elements involved in the planning structure. This type of
well structured project plan helps to establish an effective monitoring and control
system.
Project Planning Structure
The various activities involved in Project planning is given in the following chart
as Project Planning Structure.
Work Description and
Instruction
Project Objectives
Master Schedules
Management Decision
making
Reports
Budgets
Time/Cost Performance
10
3
4
5
20
30
40
8
5
4
The project review dates are indicated by a vertical dotted line and at this time a
horizontal line is drawn beneath each bar to indicate the progress actually made
upto that date. The length of the progress line is then drawn to represent the
percentage of the job that has been completed at the review date. The merits and
demerits of Gantt are below:
MERITS:
1. It is simple to understand
2. Is can be used to show progress
3. It can be used for manpower planning
Network techniques
These are more sophisticated than the traditional bar chart. In these
techniques, the activities, events and their inter relationships are represented by
net work diagram which is also called an arrow diagram. The following diagram
shows an illustrative network diagram.
5
E
B
C
A
4
G
2.
They identify the activities which are critical to them. Completion of the
project on time indicate the float (spare time) for other activities.
3.
4.
1.
2.
Thus, a comprehensive project planning must have SMART goals, sound policies
and designed scientifically.
PROJECT DESIGN
A project is a blue print for actions oriented activities of organization/individuals
projects reflects the plans for action in it totality.
So, project design is the heart of the project entity. It defines the individual
activities which go into the corpus of the project and their inter relationship with
each other. It identifies the flow of events which must take place before a project
can start yielding the results for which it has been set up. Project designing is
primarily convened with the development of the detailed work plan of the project
with time schedule. The design can most conveniently express the interrelationship between various constituent activities of a project in the form of a net
work diagram. This design gives a clear picture of the work elements of the
project and paves the way for detailed identification and quantification of the
project inputs.
TIME ESTIMATE
While designing a project it is essential to fix/set time target for each and every
activities of the project. It helps to complete the projects as per time schedule
through which it can enjoy optimum benefits. Time estimate can be made by
making a work break down of the project, estimating the time schedules for each
work, putting them in proper sequence as per technical or any other logical
manner and finally matching their build-up on a time scale with the available
resources.
The time estimation for completing a project depends not only the work
content/sequence but also be influences by resources and constraints. So, the basic
factors involving in the time estimation are work, constraints, resources and also
the data available. Besides that, three time values can be obtained for each activity
of a project viz.,
Optimistic time (to)
Most likely time (tm)
Pessimistic time (tp)
The optimistic time is the time required if no hurdles or complications arise. The
most likely time, tm, is the time in which the activity is most likely to be
completed. This estimates takes into consideration normal circumstances, making
allowances for some unforeseen delays. The pessimistic time, tp, is the time
required if unusual complications and / or unforeseen difficulties arise.
Conditions of time estimate
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Average time
Once the three time estimates for each activity are obtained, the expected value of
activity duration is calculated. The expected value, te, is usually obtained by the
formula:
te =
to + 4 tm + tp
6
where :
te
tm
tp
=
=
=
optimistic time
most likely time
pessimistic time
The time estimates for various activities of a project is given in the following
Activity Numerical
Description
a
1-2
b
1-3
c
2-4
d
3-4
e
2-5
f
4-5
Time
tm
12
12
1.5
8.5
14
2
to
9
6
1
4
10
1
te =
tp
21
18
5
10
24
3
to + 4 tm + tp
6
13
12
2
8
15
2
The network diagram with average time estimates is shown in the following
figure:
a2
13
15
13
A5
8
a1
0
2
12
A3
12
2
8
A4
20
te =
to + 4 tm + tp
6
This approach has been used for calculating the average time as given above.
4. Range Estimates:
These estimate may also be a estimate or even past data. No two do time data
from past projects for any work will be the same; they can be better expressed by
a range.
e.g. vendors quite often guest deliveries like 6-8 months or 10-12 months.
5. Estimates from vendors and contractors:
Vendors and contractors are asked to indicate time estimates as they are often
asked to quote budgetroy cost estimates. These estimates in a competitive
situation are supposed to provide a realistic estimate.
6. Allocated an committed time
Certain activities requires a fixed duration likes an incubation period. The
duration could be changed, within a limit, to meet the requirements of the project.
In practice, therefore, instead of trying to accurately estimate the duration, a
reasonable duration is allocated and commitment obtained from the people who
will be held responsible for implementation. When the duration is not acceptable
to any one, it may change.
CONCLUSION
Thus, Project plan is a skeleton which consists of bundle of activities with its
future prospects. It helps to allocate the resources, efforts and time in a project
way which increases the efficiency of project performance. Moreover, it helps
exercise control and monitor the project work thereby facilitate the time
completion of project.
LESSON 8
PROJECT SCHEDULING AND TIME MONITORING
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
PROJECT SCHEDULING
It is one of the key components in the project control system. It refers to when it is
to be done and how much is to be done. The purpose of scheduling is to obtain
commitment, communicate the commitments to concerned and ensure
coordination through self regulating first efforts. The scheduling is helpful to link
the summarial activities appearing in the network.
PURPOSE: The ongoing scheduling and monitoring process enables one to:
1.
2.
3.
Provide intervention when stability of the work system is being threatened
and revitalize the system.
Monitoring is an action inducing efforts meaning thereby that it would ensure that
commitments made by various agencies are followed by action.
TIME MONITORING EFFORTS
For monitoring the time aspect of the projects, the efforts should be taken.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
So schedule control is to ensure adherence to the agreed time schedule for the
project. Monitoring and control of project and time, therefore becomes essential
to ensure adherence to project schedule.
BOUNDING SCHEDULES
Scheduling of non critical activities can be done by two schedules:
Early start schedule
Late start schedule
Early start schedule refers to the schedule in which al activities start as early as
possible. In this schedule
a)
are events rear at their earliest because all activities start at their earliest
starting time and finish at their earliest finishing time.
b)
there may be time legs between the completion of certain activities and the
occurrence of events which these activities lead to, and
c)
The early start schedule: It suggests a cautious attitude towards the project and a
desire to minimize the possibility of delay. It provides a greater measure of
protection against uncertainties and adverse circumstances. Such a schedule
however, calls for an earlier application of resources. A model for early start
schedule is given below:
The early start schedule
3
0
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
35 at their
40latest
5 occur10
15latest 20
30
0all events
at their
because 25
all activities
start
starting time and finish at their latest finishing time.
ii)
some activities may start after a time lag subsequent to the occurrence of
the proceeding events.
iii)
The late start schedule reflects a desire to commit resources late as late as
possible. However, such a schedule provides no elbow room in the wake of
adverse developments. Any unanticipated delay results in increased project
duration. A model for late start schedule is given below:
The late start schedule
3
0
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Example 1:
SCHEDULING TO MATCH AVAILABILITY OF MANPOWER
Let us consider a small project for which the network diagram is shown in fig.
2
2days
1 day
2days
1
1day
3days
4
2days
8
In fig. activity duration is shown above the activity arrow and manpower
requirements are shown below the activity arrow. Only 12 men are available for
the project (a manpower resources constraint).
The early start schedule of this project is shown as a graph on the horizontal time
scale in fig.
Looking at the manpower requirements for the early start schedule we find that it
is as follows: 20 for the first day, 14 for the second day, and 5 for the fifth day.
Obviously this schedule is unacceptable in view of the manpower constraint. So,
we explore the possibility of shifting activities. Our efforts at shifting activities,
keeping the project duration at five days soon reveals that nmo schedule is
feasible with only 212 men. So we extend the duration of the project by one day
try various schedule to see whether we can find a feasible schedule. A little
juggling of activities shows that a schedule like the one shown in fig. is feasible
this is the best we can do.
Duration
Cost in months
(1-2)
13
2,00,000
26,00,000
(1-3)
12
5,00,000
60,00,000
(2-4)
10,00,000
20,00,000
(3-4)
2,50,000
20,00,000
(2-5)
15
1,00,000
15,00,000
(4-5)
7,50,000
15,00,000
Total
1,56,00,000
The government has decided to release Rs. 1,56,00,000 required for the project in
the following manner.
Rs. 69,00,000 in the first year Rs. 68,00,000 in the second year, and Rs. 19,00,000
in the third year. It has also stipulated that the unspent amount would lapse and
hence cannot be carried forward.
Before we develop the project schedule a preliminary question may be asked: is it
possible prima facie to schedule this project without extending its duration
beyond 28 months, which is the minimum time required given the network logic
and activity duration? To answer this question let us look at the funds requirement
for the early start schedule and late schedule. This is shown in Fig.
From Fig. we find that:
1.
The rate of expenditure is relatively higher for the earlier stages in the
early start schedule and is relatively higher for the later stages in the late
start schedule.
2.
A rate of spending greater than that of the early start schedule is not
possible (This is because in the early start schedule all activities start as
early as possible). Any release of funds above the early start schedule
requirement curve is beyond the capacity of the project to spend.
The rate of spending corresponding to the late start schedule is the
absolute minimum necessary to complete the project on time. If the rate of
spending is less, than that corresponding to the late start schedule the
project duration will have to be necessary extended.
A pattern of funds release lying between the two bounds, early states
schedule requirement and late start schedule requirements, prima facie
suggests that a schedule can be worked out without extending project
duration.
3.
4.
Let us not look at the cumulative funds release pattern for our illustrative project.
This lies between the early start schedule requirements as late start schedule
requirement. So prima facie it suggests that a feasible schedule without extending
the project duration can be developed. Let proceed further and consider
scheduling year by year. The activities thus begin in year 1 according to the early
start schedule are (1-2) and (1-3). If both these activities are commenced as early
as possible, the fund requirement for year 1 would be Rs. 84 lakhs. Since this
amount exceeds Rs. 69 lakhs, the amount to be released in year 1, the expenditure
in year 1 has to be reduced by Rs. 15 lakhs. For this we consider the possibility of
shifting activities to subsequent periods. Looking at activities (1-2) and (1-3) we
find that (1-2) is on the critical path, so there is no flexibility available with
respect to it. Activity (1-3), however, can be shifted as it is not on the critical path.
Since activity (1-3) requires Rs. 5 Lakhs per month it has to be shifted by three
months so that the amount spent in year 1 in equal to the amount released in year
1. Since there is free float of six months for activity (1-3), we shift it by three
months.
We not go to years 2. The effects of shifting activity (1-3) by three months are as
follows: (i) the funds requirement for year 2 on account of activity (1-3) increases
by Rs. 15 Lakh over and above what it is for the early start schedule, (ii) The
earliest finishing time moves to 23 months from 20 months. Since this shift occurs
within year 2, there is no change in funds requirement on account of activity (34), (iii) The earliest starting time for activity (4-5) moves to 23 months from 20
months and the earliest finishing time for activity (4-5) moves to 25 months from
23 months. This decreases the funds requirement for year 2 by Rs. 7.5 lakhs = Rs.
75.5 lakhs. However, the funds budgeted for year 2 are only Rs. 68 lakhs. So we
consider the possibility of shifting some activities to year 3. We find that by
shifting activity (4-5) to year 3 the expenditure in year 2 can be reduced to Rs. 68
lakhs, the budget of the year. As a result of this shifting the expenditure for year 3
(first four months of it) equals the budgeted funds release for year 3. The schedule
arrived at finally is shown in Fig.
PROBLEMS IN SCHEDULING REAL LIFE PROJECTS
In the above discussion we have considered simple examples comprising few
activities and one constraint, to indicate the broad approach. In real life projects
the activities run into hundreds and there may be several constraints. The problem
of scheduling in such cases tends to become very complex. For solving such
problems the technique of linear programming can be used. However, when a
problem has numerous activities, say more than 100, the technique of linear
programming becomes computationally unwisely and inordinately expensive,
even with the aid of fastest computers available.
In view of the practical difficulties in using linear programmer for solving largescale scheduling problems, heuristic programs have been developed. A detailed
discussion about these aspects are given in paper 4.
PROJECT COST MONITORING
COST CONTROL
Cost control is important to al companies, regardless of size. Small companies
generally have tighter monetary controls, mainly because of the risk with the
failure of us little as one project, but with less sophisticated control techniques.
Large companies may have the luxury to spread project losses over several
projects, whereas the small co., may have ten projects.
Cost control is not only monitoring of cost and regarding perhaps massie
quantities of data, but also analyzing the data and to take corrective action before
it is too late. Cost control should be performed by all personnel whoever may be
the cost centre projects office. Cost control is actually a such system of the
management cost and control system. The purpose of any management cost and
control system is to establish policies, procedures and techniques that can be used
in the day-to-day management and control of projects and programs. The planning
and control system must, therefore, provide information.
The appropriate system must consider a cost/benefit analysis, and include such
items which are:
Planning & control techniques facilities
Derivation of output specifications (project objections)
Delineation of required activities (work)
b)
c)
A well disciplined Management Cost Control System (MCCS) will produce the
following results:
1.
Policies and procedures that will minimize the ability to distort reporting
2.
3.
Weekly term meetings with a formalized agenda, action items and minutes
4.
5.
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
Management must compare the time, cost and performance of the progress to the
budgeted time, cost and performance, into independently but in an integrated
manner. The first purpose of control therefore becomes a verification process
accomplished by the comparison of actual performance to date with the
predetermined plans and standards set forth in the planning phase. The
comparison serves to verify that:
The objectives have been successfully translated into performance standards.
Performance standards are, in fact, a reliable representation of progress, activities
and events.
Meaningful budgets have been established such that actual Vs planned
comparisons can be made.
In another words, the comparison verifies that he correct standards were selected
and that they are properly used.
The second purpose of control is that of decision making. Three useful reports
are required by management in order to make effective and timely decision:
The project plan schedules & budget prepared during the planning phase
A detailed comparison between the resources expanded to date and those
predetermined. This includes an estimate of work remaining and the impact on
activity completion.
A projection of resources to be expanded through progress completion
These reports are then supplied to both the managers and the doers. Three useful
results arise through the use of these reports, generated during a thorough decision
making stage of control.
Feed back to management, the planners and the doers.
Identification of any major deviation from the current program, plan, schedule
and budget
The opportunity to initiate contingency planning early enough that cost,
performance and time requirements can undergo corrective action without loss of
resources.
These report, if properly prepared, provide management with the opportunity to
minimize downstream changes by making proper corrections here and now.
The management cost and control (MCCS) takes on paramount importance during
the operating cycle of the project. The operating cycle is composed of four
phases:
Work authorization and release (Phase II)
Cost data collection and reporting (Phase III)
Cost analysis (Phase IV)
Reporting: Customer and management (Phase V)
These four phase, when combined with the planning cycle phase I constitute and
closed system, network that forms the basis for the management cost and control
system.
COST CONTROL METHODS
The methods that can be used at different stages of the project for cost control are
given below:
1. At zero date:
On the banks of the finalized basic package an itemized control estimate is
prepared. Using the net work plan, the control estimated is converted into cash
flow plan and annual/quarterly budgets. The control estimate and the budget
provide onward control of commitment and expenditure. Further, when time
aspect of fund flow and commitments are kept under control with the help of
budgetary restrictions, the interest burden for the projects gets reduced.
During detailed Engineering:
The control estimate prepared before the zero date will be very soon overrun
unless design and engineering procedures are constantly reviewed. For which
value engineering review should be carried out during the following stages of
engineering development.
Overall plot plan
Specifications of plant and machinery
Utility systems design
Building design
Standard specifications an drawings
3. During procurement and sub-contracting:
After engineering the next important phase for cost reduction is procurement.
Normally, competitive acceptable item at the lowest cost. But competitive bidding
alone will not ensure procurement at lowest cost unless the following steps are
taken in addition to competitive bidding.
Vendor association in specification
Detailed scope and specification
General conditions of contract
Purchase procedure
Delivery is erectable sequence
Competitive bidding
4. During construction:
There is not much scope for cost reduction during construction. However, there
are certain as listed below on which close control must be exercised for keeping
cost down.
Extra items,
Idle chares, Inventory cost, Cash flow planning
Cost of operating staff and administrative expenses
CASH FLOW PROJECTION
Cash is required when construction is in progress as equipments start arriving
during this period. The executors/contractors will also raise monthly running bills.
Cash requirements must correctly assessed and arranged adequately. Fund
shortage will not only slow down work but also attach additional costs. Over
provision of fund will unnecessarily keep fund idling, this resulting in excessive
interest burden. To make cash flow projection, a probable cash flow statement
may be prepared at different point of time periods.
Cash flow projection/forecast showing the sources and uses of cash (money) for a
given period is an important as balance-sheet in that period. The inflows would
typically be revenues from sales of products, sale of fixed assets, issue of shares
and loans, out flows would be costs incurred requiring payments to creditors,
purchase of fined assets or investments etc. Budgeted, cash flow must be made
along with the control flow.
The difference between budget and actual for each period is known as variance.
Analysis of the period and cumulative variance provide a control mechanism
helping to ensure that each expenditure and commitments are not allowed to rise
above the projects ability to provide the funds from its operations.
VALUE ENGINEERING/VALUE ANALYSIS
Value Engineering is a systematic analysis and evaluation of the techniques and
functions in the various spheres of an organization with a view to exploring
channels of performance improvement so that the value in a particular product can
be bettered. Value Engineering aims at cost reduction. Value engineering probe
into economic attributes of value and increases the productivity, thereby achieve
cost reduction.
VALUE
ENGINEERING
REVIEW
BENEFIT
BASIC PACKAGE
REVIEW
TENDER WORK
PACKAGE REVIEW
POST CONTRACT
ENGINEERING
REVIEW
In can be seen from the figure that much benefit can be obtained with vary little
effort when value engineering is applied at the early stage of the project. Through
systematic value engineering, it is claimed that 10-20% of the project cost can be
easily reduced. The major part of this saving can come from value engineering
review of the basic engineering review. Whatever may be the stage, value
engineering has to deal with function and cost. For this cost function visibility is
essential. The cost of each function will be worked out by estimation the cost of
each work package. When the cost of each function is expressed as percentage of
the total project cost and also compared wherever possible with the industry
average the cost worth gap in each package and therefore, opportunity of value
improvements gets established. This helps me to find out design alternatives by
suing various study and other creative techniques.
Thus the essence of value engineering is to identify unnecessary cost and then
eliminates it. The methodology of value engineering requires a cost function
visibility. The range and depth of visibility will vary depending on the state of
project development. But what ultimately will ensure an improved value are the
ideas unfortunately be produced mechanically like the function cost work
analysis.
A heuristic is a rule of thumb like schedule critical activities first or schedule the
activity which has the largest independent float in the end. A heuristic program
consists of a collection of such heuristics. In recent years may heuristic programs
have been developed. They are formulated usually as computer programs. These
programs may be broadly divided into two types resources leveling programs and
resources allocation programs. A resources leveling program seeks to level
resource requirements given a constraint on project duration. A resources
allocation program tries to find the shortest project schedule, given fixed
resources availability.
Ten Commandments of Cost Control:
Effective cost control depends on the following factors
1. Realistic estimates
2. Maintain Contingencies
3. Cost Forecasting
4. Considering Variances
6. Manage Inventory
7. Effective Designing
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
LESSON 9
PROJECT EXECUTION AND ADMINISTRATION
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
3.
Location
2.
3.
Plan Layout
4.
Functional Smoothness
5.
6.
Cost of Building
7.
8.
Nature of Product
9.
10.
The factory design and layout should be flexible so that it may be adapted easily
to technological change, modernization, diversification and expansion with
minimum cost and time.
Any planning exercise requires of the planner a good knowledge of what is
involved in the activity concerned, such as the nature of the materials to be
handled, their quality and the quantity, the processes they have to be subjected to,
inspection and quality control at various stages, assemble procedures, packing
etc. He could also know the sequence of operations. He should look ahead beyond
the immediate future and anticipate changes, modifications, additions, deletions
etc., which may be forced upon his organization as a result of expansion,
obsolescence, diversification or any other reasons. Having anticipated these,
provision should be made to accommodate such changes.
While working on factory layout plan, a very important aspect to be kept in mind
is the fact that the movement of materials from one stage of manufacture to the
next should be minimal. For this, this movement has to be streamlined. If this is
not initiated, it will result in the wastage of human effort and time, both of which
have a telling effect on the efficiency of an organization and the cost of
production. In industrial life, the economic and efficient usage of all the factors of
production is the key to profitability and the ability to compete in the market.
PLAN LAYOUT
A plant layout is a floor plan for determining and arranging the desired
machinery and equipment of a plant, whether established or contemplated, in the
one best place to permit the quickest flow of material at the lowest cost and with
the least amount of handling in processing the product from the receipt of the raw
materials to the shipment of the finished products.
During the course of appraisal, considerable emphasis is laid on a proper and
scientific plant layout as once the plant and equipment are erected, it becomes
difficult and costly to change at a later stage. The following aspect are kept in
view while evaluating the plant layout:
2.
It is a diagrammatic representation of work plan devised to execute the
project, after adjusting the usual delays that may arise4 in the implementation fo
the project.
3.
The various constituent continent activities of the project are narrated in
sequence to highlight the various phases of the project.
4.
It defines the individual activities which go into the corpus of the project
and their interrelationship with each other.
5.
It enables to identify the know of events which must take place for the
successful completion.
6.
7.
8.
With the advent of the computer and large-scale introduction of computer based
planning and control in Indian public castor units, network analysis cn
considerably enhance managerial effectiveness in the context of any time bound
action programmes. Petty defaults have caused big diseconomies in the public
sector enterprises in this country. Computer-based network analysis can handle
these problems economically and efficiently. The binding condition is, however,
that management is serious in effecting economies in different areas of activities;
and activities and events are closely watched for initiating corrective action in
proper time.
The main task of a project manager is to design systems and manage through
them. A business system refers to the total picture of men, machine, materials and
paperwork involved in the implementation of any phase of a project. System has a
planned sequence of operations for carrying out a recurring work involved in a
system with family and consistently which is called a procedure.
The first step in system design for project management is to conceive the total
physical system and its natural modules. In the next step, the connection between
these modules has to be identified. Finally, a control system using information as
the media has to be developed for self control as well as forced control of the total
project. Project management system is mainly constituted by project work system
and project control system.
If the project is organized on the lines of process units or technological systems,
coordination will be extremely simplified and cooperation would be almost
assured. Therefore, better result can be obtained if the design of work is
Contracting plan
2.
3.
Organization plan
4.
Project execution plan is a strategic plan it does not deal with the operational
details of building a project. The operational details are covered in a network plan
which is developed later after the project execution plan is approved by the
owners plan for project execution and, therefore, it must from the basis for
development of all operational plans including network plans.
Contracting plan
This is the first step in the preparation of a project execution plan. Owners
invariably need some agencies with whom they can share responsibilities. In the
interest of developing self-regulation systems it would be necessary to contract
out those areas where the owners company does not have inherent competence.
Which type of contract to choose, which type of reimbursement to make, what
conditions of contracts to stipulate, and what payment terms to offer, are all issues
that must be examined during this phase of the project. Contract planning would
involve examination of a number of alternatives since there are so many possible
arrangements in terms of sharing of responsibilities, types of reimbursements and
general conditions of contract.
Work Packaging Plan
Work packing plan will be the next important step in the preparation of the project
execution plan. A work package in a project is the smallest division of work
where it stil retains the characteristics of a project. This when a project is
progressively divided into systems and the system into subsystems, a stage is
ultimately reached where further division into components will strip it of its
multi-disciplinary character the work at that stage can be consideration these
packages, grouping them or keeping them as they are, in order to from viable
contracts.
Work packaging enables better organization and management of projects. A work
package or several work packages may be assigned to one individual who could
serve as a mini project manager. This enables projectization of the entire project
execution effort which, in turn, ensures the closest possible adherence to time,
cost and technical performance targets.
Work packaging can also ensure that all agencies in a project think and channelise
their effort in one direction, i.e. towards the completion of the packages only.
Thus, design engineers, procurement engineers and construction engineers will
then give priority to their work in relation to a work package and not according to
functional convenience. Fulfillment of the requirements of a work package will
alone be considered and achievement and not the mere volume of work
completed. This will lead to a well-coordinated completion of the project.
Thus, the contracting plan and work packaging plan together produce a list of
contracts with the scope of work defined in terms of self-contained work
packages.
Organization plan
Having decided the number of contracts and their scope, the owner is now in a
position to set his own house in order. The owner can deliberate on the form of
organization to be adopted so that the interest of the project is best served.
Several standard organizational arrangements are possible, ranging from pure
functional organization to pure project zed organization and an owner has to
choose his own arrangement depending on the project size, location, complexity,
work packages, type and number of contacts. It should be however, noted that an
organization can become more self-regulation if it is on taskforce or project zed.
The participants in such cases fully identify themselves with the project objectives
and would regulate their behaviors on their own, as the situation may demand.
System and procedure plan
The last section of the project execution plan deals with system and procedure. A
heavy emphasis has to be placed on routine system and procedure so that no
intervention is required in the day to-day operation of a system. There are at
least eight routine sub-system of project management for which appropriate
procedures can be conceived right at the start of the project implementation.
These eight sub-systems are:
1.
Contract management
2.
Configuration management
3.
Time management
4.
Cost management
5.
Fund management
6.
Materials management
7.
Communications management
While the routine system and procedure for each company will be
different, in most of the cases the difference may not be very significant. it is
quite possible to examine the system and procedure of one project and adapt it
after making minor modifications.
PROJECT PROCEDURE MANUAL
A project procedure manual is to be prepared in such a way that the
interacting agencies are able to see their roles and manual relationship in
pursuance of the common goal.
Preparation of a project procedure manual should start with each project
management sub system. A system decomposition has to be carried out on each
sub system to identify the need for procedure write-ups. While carrying out
decomposition the question to be asked is what the system must achieve and what
contributes to the effective functioning of each of the element. By asking this
question at successive levels it is possible to develop a company picture about the
system.
The procedure to be developed for making the system self-regulative
would not, however, come out automatically from this analysis. The decision has
to be empirical, and in some cases intuitive.
PROJECT DIARY
In order to ensure effectiveness, project manager or executives have to maintain a
record date wise the point discussed and decision taken which are required to be
followed for implementation. This is known as project diary.
A project manager would be holding a number of meeting in a say-some with
vendors, some with contractors. Some with his own staff and others may be with
various outsiders. many decision are taken in these meeting and many
commitments are made. Also, a lot of brain-work is during these meetings.
Information derived on these occasions, decision arrived have to be properly
recorded in the project diary. This will go on record to enable their
Project initiation/start-up
The need for project direction as mentioned before, is maximum at the time of
start-up of implementation. The project manager during this period needs to
provide directions relating to:
1.
Scope of work
2.
3.
Basis of work
4.
5.
Schedule of work
6.
Budget of work
7.
8.
Co-ordination of work
9.
10.
Control of work
The success of a project is heavily dependent on team work. All the items from 1
to 10 are finalized with the involvement of project participants or else the
directives will appear authoritarian, and will unnecessarily invite opposition. If
the directions can be formulated through a participative approach, the some can
be issued formally in the name of a project manual with instructions for strict
adherence to the same. Direction, during the project initiation period, means not
simply giving a push to the project; the direction issued at this stage will, in fact,
shape the destiny of the project.
Direction during production stage
Direction after the initiation period can be considered to be of the administrative
variety. Invariably, after the start-up period, direction is provided of a case-to-case
basis through formal documents or personal contacts. A group meeting may also
be used for this purpose. On-going directions may refer to approval of work
schedules, detailed budgets, specification, purchase orders, work orders,
construction drawings, travels, miscellaneous expenses, changes in baseline etc.
Ongoing direction
Project start-up, design review, purchase order and work orders are on-time
directions. But a project will require only when unforeseen events occur, directors
otherwise will require to be provided when problems occur during project
execution. In either case, a decision has to be made as to what should be done and
the same should be authorizing for implementation. Thus, decision making and
direction are part of every-day function of any manager.
Routine directions involve five steps:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Communication in a project
For on going direction a two-way communications system is essential. For that
matter, the entire process of direction, co-ordination and control in a project
revolves around communication.
It is often concluded that projects are run by communications. In fact, according
to Peter Drucken, 63% of management problems are caused in whole or in part by
faulty management communications
Communication has two dimensions physical and mental, passing a memo,
drawing, data, instruction, information, etc. are the physical aspects of
communication; understanding the same in the light of role expectation, empathy,
preconceived notion, language barriers, listening skills etc., are the mental aspects
of communication. While physical aspects of communication can be easily
achieved, the mental aspects often present barriers to communication. Prefer
communication requires a conscious and determined effort.
Affective communication in a project would require a communication oriented
action plan. The actions that may be taken in this regard are as below:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Hence, in any action plan, organization of work and people is a basic project
management requirement. It is suggested that this must receive a communication
orientation.
PROJECT CO-ORDINATION
Co-ordination can be defined as the effort to bring parts into super relation for
harmonious functioning. A well co-ordinated project is as pleasing as a price of
music.
Co-ordination in a project gains its importance because of the need for
simultaneous working of number of activities. Therefore, one cannot proceed
simply with the execution of a project without proper co-ordination. Home, it is
the important task in the effective project execution and administration.
PROJECT CO-ORDINATION PROCEDURE
Co-ordination basically addresses itself to two aspects of work physical
matching and timing. The physical aspect would refer to what is to be done, how
much is to be done and who to do it; the timing aspect would refer to when these
will be done. A schedule document which deals with all these aspect of work
should be prepared to enable proper co-ordination.
The word breakdown structures provide the basic frame work for both physical
ant time co-ordination preparation of work breakdown structure, structuring the
squad check
b)
c)
communication
A project is a group effort and in group there will always be differences of option.
But coordination is not merely smoothing out differences; it is re-integration of
the parts into a whole facing into account the subdivided functions and their
interest.
PRE-REQUISITES FOR SUCCESSFUL PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
Time and cost over-runs of projects are very common in India, particularly in the
public sector. Due to such time and cost over-runs, projects tend to become
uneconomical, resources are not available to support other projects, and economic
development is adversely affected. To minimize time and cost over-runs and
thereby improve the prospects of successful completion of projects. A lot of
things can be done to achieve this goal, the more important ones appear to be as
follows:
Adequate formulation
Advance action
Effective monitoring
Adequate formulation
Often project formulation is deficient because of one or more of the following
shortcomings.
Superficial field investigation
Cursory assessment of input requirements
Slip-shod methods used for estimation costs and benefits
Omission of project linkages
Flawed judgments because of lack of experience and expertise
Undue hurry to get started
Deliberate over-estimation of benefits and under-estimation of costs
Care must be taken to avoid the above deficiencies so that the appraisal and
formulation of the project is through, adequate and meaningful.
Sound project organization
A sound organization for implementing the project is critical to its success. The
characteristics of such an organization are:
It is led by a competent leader who is accountable for the project performance.
The authority of the project leader and his team is commensurate with their
responsibility.
Adequate attention is paid to the human side of the project.
Systems and methods are clearly defined
Rewards and penalties to individuals are related to performance.
Proper implementation planning
Once the investment decision is taken and often even while the formulation and
appraisal are being done it is necessary to do detailed implementation planning
before commencing the actual implementation. Such planning should inter alia,
seek to:
Develop a comprehensive time plan for various activities like land
acquisition, tender evaluation, recruitment of personnel, construction of
building, erection of plant, arrangement for utilities, trial production run,
etc.
Estimate meticulously the resource requirements (manpower, material,
money, etc ) for each period to realize the time plan.
Define properly the inter-linkages between various activities of the
project.
Specify cost standards
Advance action
When the project appears prima facie to be viable and desirable, advance action
on the following activities may be initiated: (i) acquisition of land, (ii) securing
essential clearances, (iii) identifying technical collaborators / consultants, (iv)
arranging for infrastructure facilities, (v) preliminary design and engineering, and
(vi) calling of tenders
Timely availability of funds
Once a project is approved, adequate funds must be made available to meet its
requirements as per the plan of implementation it would be highly desirable if
funds are provided even before the final approval to initiate advance action.
Piecemeal, ad-hoc, and niggardly allocation, with undue rigidities, can impair the
maneuverability of the project team. It is a common observation that firms which
have a comfortable liquidity position are, in general, able to implement projects
expeditiously and economically. Such firms can initiate advance actins
vigorously, negotiate with suppliers and contractors aggressively, organize input
supplies quickly, take advantages of opportunities to effect economies, support
suppliers in resolving their problems so that they can in turn redound to the
successful completion of projects, and sustain the morale of project-related
personnel at a high level.
Judicious equipment tendering and procurement
To minimize time over-runs, it may appear that a turnkey contract has obvious
advantages. Since these contracts are likely to be gagged be foreign suppliers,
when global tenders are floated, a very important question arises. How much
should we rely on foreign suppliers and how much should we depend on
indigenous suppliers? Over-dependence on foreign suppliers, even though
seemingly advantageous from the point of view of time and cost, may mean
considerable outflow of foreign exchange and inadequate incentive for the
development of indigenous technology and capability. Over-reliance on
indigenous suppliers may mean delays and higher uncertainty about the technical
performance of the project. A judicious balance must be sought which moderates
the outflow of foreign exchange and provides reasonable fillip to the development
of indigenous technology.
Better contract management
Since a substantial portion of a project is typically executed through contracts, the
proper management of contracts should be done:
The competence and capability of all the contractors must be ensured
one weak link can jeopardize the timely performance of the contract.
Proper discipline must be inculcated among contractors and suppliers by
insisting that they should develop realistic and detailed resource and time
plans which are congruent with the project plan.
Penalties which may be graduated must be imposed for failure to meet
contractual obligations. Likewise, incentive nay be offered for good
performance.
Help should be extended to contractors and suppliers when they have
genuine problems they should be regarded as partners in a common
pursuit.
Project authorities must retain latitude to off-load contracts (partially or
wholly) to other parties well in time where delays are anticipated.
Effective monitoring
In order to keep a tab on the progress of the project, a system of monitoring must
by established. This help in:
INTERNAL FACTORS
Project Managers:
The project manager is the crux of the coordinating authority with various
functional heads. He is the seminal coordinating authority forging a lasting
rapport with the financial institutions, government and statutory bodies, etc. He is
the main plank and fulcrum of the project and he is a person who has been
associated with the project right from the scratch to the completion of the project.
He play role like a lynch-pin. He encompasses into his fold the whole gaumt of
the project team and also entire spectrum of clientele contractors and turnkey
consultants. The foremost ami and motto of the project manager is to accomplish
the project cost within the stipulated amount. Hence, it can be observed that the
project manager plays a vital role in the firmament of industrial project.
Project Team:
The project team comprises of section heads of production, electrical and
mechanical who are looking after the activities of their respective wings. The
project team is a la cricket team where we could find players adept in bowling,
batting and fielding with the result al the players would put their unstinted and
indefatigable effort to translate their action of accomplishing the objective of the
team. For any project, success could be attributed to the able support of all the
players and the project manager would don the role of a captain of the cricket
team or of a captain of ship. It is germane to mention that if he project team is
juvenile in its attempts, the project will end up in a flash in the pen.
Project Managerial Techniques:
The project organization structure should be in consonance with the nature
of the project, its complexity, and type of process technologies developed.
Centralized policy formulation with decentralized implementation appears best
suited for project management. The organizational structure should provide for
scheduling and monitoring, contract management, materials and equipment
procurement, on site co-ordination and control and information processing, etc.
Adequate powers should be delegated to enable on the spot decisions and thereby
minimize avoidable delays. The well designed and established project
organization structure will effective project implementation and improve project
management performance tremendously.
Project Monitor and Evaluation System:
A well designed and in built project monitoring and evaluation system will
minimize project slippage. A project management information system with the
help of computer net works and methods would enable project monitoring and
control at various levels and that would naturally enhance the project management
performance.
Use of Computers:
Project management software package are used to meet deadlines, to
reduce costs and ultimately to optimal utilization of resources. They offer services
like planning, coordinate and monitor product launches, plant commissioning, and
erection, maintenance, and construction activities. They also identify crucial
problematic areas and sound warnings on possible delays and contingencies and
also to take instant and remedial measures to arrest the lapses before assuming
hiatus in the project management. They generate instant reports in project status,
keep track of project progress and trends to achieve targets and also allocate the
resources in order to achieve realistic goals. Undoubtedly, the usage of computers
save precious time and money. The application of computers will enhance and
uplift the overall project management effectiveness.
Management Reporting System:
The management information and reporting systems ensures monitoring or the
project progress and also identifies the specific information requirement of the
project. To achieve this objective every project should develop requisite reporting
formats for input and output of data, proper information flow and communication
systems and setting up adequate date processing and storage systems necessary
for the purpose. The well knit management reporting system will go a long way I
assisting speedy implementation of projects performance.
EXTERNAL FACTORS
Support from financial institutions:
The financial institutions support is an important determinant of project
management performance though achieving the project objectives of time, cost
and quality. This study has grasped the fact that there is average time delay of 6 to
7 months in obtaining finance. The financial institutions has a role to play in
project identification, appraisal, implementation and monitoring and provision of
adequate funds to projects as and when it is required will avoid delay in
implementing the projects.
Early Clearance from Government Department:
6.
7.
8.
9.
LESSON 10
PROJECT ORGANIZATION
OBJECTIVE
1.
2.
INTRODUCTION
Once a project has been established and the goals are set, the project
manager/sponsor has to act to achieve these goals, since a manager/sponsor gets
things done through others and also since most of the projects are multi
disciplinary, a project manager has necessarily to look around for help. This help
can be experted both from internal and external and sources; internally, from
within the institution which employs the project manager and externally from
various institutions and individual so having competence and skill relevant to the
establish systematic arrangement of works, activities (or) talks between
individuals and group with the necessary allocation of duties and responsibilities
among them to achieve project objectives. This process in nothing but a project
organization.
DEFINITION
An English author Harrison (1981) defines a project organization as the
arrangement and relationships between Client Company, contractor, and subcontractor organizations and their respective project managers who are all
involved in undertaking a project in a particular environment.
Project organization must have specific objectives a formal structure of authority
with some persons in leadership roles and others in sub-ordinate roles, division of
work which entails specialization by members in various activities or functions, a
formal system of communications and generally a set of formal procedures and
customs that distinguish them from the social entities.
The prime objective of a project organization it to accomplish the specific project
in the most economical, efficient and effective manner within the constraints of
time, budget and performance or quality standards.
FORMS OF PROJECT ORGANIZATIONS
The traditional/classical form of organization is not suitable to the projects. This
is due to the following inherent features of projects.
B.
Divisional organization
C.
Matrix organization
D.
E.
A.
Personal
Engineering
Technical
Construction
Finance
Administration
Contract
Commercial
Purchase
Demerits
1.
The project manager may find it difficult to exert leadership and feel
unsure of his role due to deprival of formal organization authority. He has
to influence others only through his professional competence closeness to
top management and persuasive abilities.
2.
This arrangement may work for every small projects. It cannot works for
large projects even if the project manager is provided with supporting staff
since the real person, who in this arrangement wields authority and can
therefore co-ordinate and expedite the project, is the chief executive who,
as stated earlier, may not have much time for the project.
B. DIVISIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
DIVISIONAL ORGANIZATION
Chief Executive
Project
Management
Division
Civil
Engineering
Division
Mechanical
Project Manager
X -Project
Project Manager
Y -Project
Commercial
Division
Electrical
2.
Functional
Manager
Project
Project Manager
Functional
Manager
Functional
Manager
Functional
Manager
A1
B1
C1
A2
B2
C2
A3
B3
C3
X
Project Manager
Y
Project Manager
completion of the project boss. Both are responsible for the successful completion
of the project and therefore, both ought to have authority over the working force
through whom the project is being executed. The following figure shows the
matrix organization.
A mutually supportive relationship should exist between the partners in a matrix
set up for the successful execution of a project. Matrix organization is, thus, a
deliberate attempt to provide authority, i.e., a chair to those who are asked to
assume responsibility, and as long as one does not put ones chair before one in
dealing with work, there should not be any problems.
MATRIX ORGANIZATION
Chief Executive
Commercial
Division
Engineering
Division
Project Manager
Division
Civil
Mechanical
Project Manager
X-Project
Staff X-Project
Project Manager
Y-Project
Staff Y-Project
The main feature in the matrix operation is that, the parties involved in the matrix
will have a common concern as well as a specialist concern. As long as the parties
respect the specialty of the others and look to one another for help and support for
the common cause, a matrix will work extremely well. But is one assumes that
what should have even a common cause is not common, and also believes that
help would not be forthcoming unless the other party is forced, matrix is unlikely
to succeed.
Ideally one would like to see both the parties are understanding mutually
supportive and not trying to overtake each other. If the matrix ever operated at
that level, the arrangement can be called a balanced matrix. Much as one would
like to see a matrix remain balanced, it may not remain so not early because of the
personally factors of the partners but because the company may not want it to
remain balanced.
Thus, a matrix may be filled either to the project side or to the functional side
depending on circumstances. If the project influence is more in decision-making
for the project, then the arrangement is considered a strong matrix. On the other
hand, if the functional departments are seen to be influencing the decision-making
more, the arrangement is considered a weak matrix. While a company may
operate on matrix, one may see it operating with different strengths in different
projects.
But such problems are very real in the operation of a matrix. It may be weaker
than the weakest acceptable or stronger than the strongest desired. A balanced
matrix where there is a balance of power between the project manager and
functional manager is an ideal but non-exist out situation. Therefore, many people
consider a matrix a complex organizational arrangement and would like to avoid
it if possible.
D. TASK FORCE ORGANIZATION
An alternative arrangement which clearly accords authority to the project manager
and avoids disillusionment of either the project manager or the functional
manager due to maloperation of the matrix is a task force. In this arrangement the
project manager is delegated the fall authority to make decisions for the project,
but that would be required to operate within the functional organizations policies
and procedures. There is clearly o intervention from the various functional
departments, no duel decision making and no dual reporting relationship for the
working force, the project manager makes all the decisions but within the policies
and procedures laid down for him.
A task force is created by drawing personnel form various functional departments
and putting them under the project manager. The staff so assigned will continue to
receive administrative support from their home departments but whey will
respond only to the project manager. While they will receive all directions.
Referring to the domestic matrix, the mother is supposed to concentrate on the
home and the faterh on the career. It works in a similar manner in a project too.
The functional departments provide the individuals with expertise for projects to
use, and a home to return to when the expertise is not longer needed by the
project. The project merely requisitions the expertise and directs its use in the best
interest of the project. So the project should decide what is to be done, when it is
to be done and at what budget, it should be for the functional departments to
decide who should do it, what back-up he should be given, what norms and
standards he should follow so that the work is completed as per specifications and
within the time the budget.
Trouble normally starts when the functional departments would not take-up the
work that is needed first or would not deploy resources to do it within the time
and budget. The work may happen when resources to do it within the time and
budget. The work may happen when resources are withdrawn without the project
managers prior knowledge. When things, occur as above, the arrangement not
doubt is weak matrix. On the other hand, if the project manager starts deciding
who should work for them? On the other hand, if the project manager starts
deciding who should work for them, encourages violation of functional standards
and norms gives technical decisions without consulting functional departments,
does not allow withdrawal of staff for training or optimum utilization of the
potential of the concerned staff, then the arrangement is stronger than a strong
matrix. In either case the company executing the project is not going to get the
best from its people. Form the project manager; they will be required to follow the
home organizations policies and procedures. If there are direction from the
project manager asking violation of functional policies and procedures, the task
force will notify both the functional head and the project manager. The functional
manager may either accord approval or take it up in case, the functional manger
and the project manager cannot settle it between there selves. On the other hand,
there may not be any reference at all to the functional manger or corporate
management, if the project manager sorts it out at his level by taking the
functional staff into confidence whenever decisions are made.
TASK FORCE ORGANIZATION
Chief Executive
Project
Engineering
Task force
Engineering
Task force
Construction
Task force
Procurement
Procuremen
t
Central
Procurement
Central
Engineering
Construction
Central
Construction
Figure shows the task force arrangement. The project mangers authority is
indicate by the lines and dotted lines show the relationship between the functional
staff and the functional manager. The relationship shows by the dotted like
enables communication of the functions staff with their respective functional
departments for obtaining technical support of additional staff support but no
decisions relating to the project. It is also necessary that communications to
functional departments to its staff loaned to the task force has to direct linkage
between to its staff loaned to the task force has to direct linkage between the
functional staff and their home organization.
Unlike the matrix the loyalty of the functional staff in this arrangement is clearly
with the project. The functional departments influence is virtually non-existent.
Therefore unless the functional representative have strong functional
commitment, functional excellence is likely to e compromised for expediency.
The functions will require strong corporate management support to ensure
adherence or policies and procedures laid down by them.
This arrangement, as can be seen in just the opposite of the arrangement shown in
the Figure, Functions in this arrangement have been relegated to the staff position
and the position and the project has assumed the dominant like role. Naturally, the
time and cost objective of the project will receive the best attention in this
arrangement, but one cannot be too sure about the quality objective. The project
with this arrangement moves very fast, and that is the single dominant reason why
many people would prefer a task force arrangement.
There may not be any real risk in going for a task force arrangement if the
technology for the project is simple, and the project is also small. The functional
staff in this case need not be top specialists; one specialist may cater for multiple
disciplines. This ensures maximum utilization of specialist time which is normally
not expected to happen in a task force arrangement.
E. TOTALLY PROJECTIZED ORGANIZATION
A totally projectized organization is an arrangement in which the project manager
has total authority even regarding functional policies and procedures. There is no
constraint whatsoever with respect to any function. The functional specialists
have not one to notify. They will be carrying out what the project demands and
the project manager instructs.
XYZ
Engineering
Accounts
Engineering
Finance &
Administration
Commercial
Commercial
Finance
Personal
Project
Personnel &
Adminsitration
A matrix is also expected to work for very large and complex projects, but it
practice, it adds its own complexing. A matrix is also effective for small but
complex projects where many multi disciplinary specialists are required for short
durations. However, unless the number of such projects is many, a matrix
arrangement would not be justified. So either total projectization or fast force
arrangement would appear to be the best arrangement for execution most projects.
And in both these arrangements the project manager is delegated authority
commensurate with the responsibility he is expected to undertake. Project
objectives get primary attention in both these arrangement.
The traditional form of organization is not suitable for project work because it has
not means of integrating different departments at levels below the top
management and it doesnt facilitate effective communication, coordination and
control. Hence, project organization may take one of the following forms line
and staff organization, Divisional organization, Matrix organization, Task force
organization and Totally projected organization.
Features of Good Project Management Organization
There should be an effective project head
Good and experienced Project group
Separate Project department in case of continuous project activities
Involving agencies like project, operation, consultant, finance and
commercial departments effectively.
Good System of selection, training, promotion and remuneration of project
personnel
Well equipped computerized information system and impossible with
project management softwares.
Capable to execute the projects along with the operation activities.
In large project organization own construction facilities may be created.
CONCLUSION
Thus this chapter discusses different forms of organization of human resources for
the effective execution and management of project.
***********************
LESSON 11
PROJECT CONTRACTING
OBJECTIVES
To know the principles of Project contracting
1.
2.
3.
4.
CONTRACTS
The project charter and the organizational arrangement accords the project
manager appropriate authority over the in-house resources But not all projects can
be executed with in-house resources for the execution of the project. When a
project manager has to get things done with resources over which he has no direct
authority, it becomes necessary to acquire the required authority in lieu of some
considerations. Such an arrangement can be termed as a contract and the authority
so acquired as contractual authority. If this authority is acquired in house through
a contract, then the process can be termed as internal contracting. All other
contracts for the acquisition of authority can be termed as internal contracting. All
other contracts for the acquisition of authority can be termed as business
contracts.
BUSINESS CONTRACTS
A contract as such is an agreement between two or more parties in writing to do
or not to do certain things. Business contracts are those agreements which are
enforceable at law. They are entered between two or more competent parties for a
legal consideration which is usually payment in the form of money. For an
internal contract the consideration is normally absent. Legally, of course, a
contract can be valid even though there may not be any consideration, but then it
is not a business contract.
In order in enter into a contract, there must first be an offer or proposal signifying
the willingness of one arty ot do ro abstain from doing something at the desire of
the other party. The desire of the other party is expressed in the enquiry often
known as Notice Inviting Tender (NIT) and the offer to carry out the services t
certain terms is known as Tender.
2.
How to define the work parcels so that the contractors now their scope
precisely and there is not overlapping, undefined, unallocated or
ambiguous work areas.
3.
Collectively, the above are often referred to as scope of work. Schedule of work,
technical specifications, scope drawings, special conditions of contract,
2.
3.
4.
Availability of contractors
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Political pressure.
II. REIMBURSEMENT
The second R of a contract refers to the type of reimbursement and it is as
important as the first R. Perhaps this R is more important for the contractor
than the owner. While the owner may refer to he responsibility to describe the
contract arrangement, the contractor may choose to refer to it by the types of
reimbursement such as lumpsum contract, item rate contract, etc. We shall,
however, prefer to use, responsibility as the basis for assigning any name to a
contractual arrangement.
III. RISK FACTOR
The last R of a contract refers to the risk factors. Both the owner and the
contractors are so much concerned about this R, that most of the pages of a
contract deal with only this matter. In fact, a contract is considered to be an
instrument for transfer of risk from the owner to the contractor, and necessarily
this should evoke some resistance from the contractors. The least that a contractor
would do is to seek protection in one form or other. But while the contractor
would do is to seek protection in one form or other. But while the contractor risks
only his fee, the owner runs the risk of not having his plant at all. Naturally, the
owner would seek more protection and would not like to take any risk against
which the does not have adequate insurance. The insurance, however, cannot be
always in the form of a financial insurance policy. Only small risks can be
covered by insurance and a little more protection may be provided in the contracts
are awarded through a proven contracting process.
METHODS OF CONTRACTING
Execution of projects is being made mainly thorough contracting. The different
methods of contracting and its relative merits and demerits are given below:
(A) TURNKEY PROJECTS
Engineers & Contractors take a single commitment for the design, engineering,
procurement, delivery, construction, erection and commissioning of the project
and training of operating and maintenance of personnel.
Two type of turnkeys are
1. Lumpsum
2. Fee plus reimbursement
Turnkeys contracts are used for complete plants. Usual turnkeys contracts have
some sort of advanced technical know-how, which limits the number of
competitors that can bid-know-how for construction and operation of the plant. In
turnkey projects, the owner is not involved until the project/plant is ready for
operation/commission. But, companies require some involvement during the
execution. As a result, the turnkey contract now carefully detail the companys
rights and responsibility.
Turnkey Contracting
A turnkey contract may be defined as: a single contractor acquires and sets al
necessary remises, equipment, and supplies operating personal to bring project ot
state of operational readiness. All that the customer needs to do is to turn the key
to begin full effective usage of the new facility. Some time the contractor
continues to assume operational control. Turnkey facilities are appropriate for
customers who are unable to perform or wish to avoid their own subcontracting
for ordering and testing components acquired from several vendors. Recruiting,
screening and training is a highly specialized task. A turnkey contractors is
compensated either through surcharges on each item or thorough services
procured for the facility of by a commitment in advance to a fixed price.
Therefore, turnkey contract may help in cutting down the number of responsibility
centres to the extent of one. In a turnkey project a single contractor has complete
responsibility to supply the owner a plant which is complete and ready for he
owner to operate by simply turning the key. Turnkey thus is an expression for the
extent of responsibility that a contractor undertakes; it is not to be mixed up with
he commercial and payments terms. Turn-key would not necessarily mean a fixed
price contract; it is quite possible for engineering consultancy organizations to
undertake turnkey responsibilities for projects ever without having capabilities of
supplying and financing. On the other hand, in a lumpsum turnkey contract a
contractor offers the owner a complete plant for a single price. Even when a
turnkey contract is entered into the process of dividing the work does not totally
stop with the decision to go turnkey. It only reduces the number of agencies the
owner is required to coordinate. The turnkey contractor in turn will be required to
subdivide the work further as it is not possible to have all the capabilities required
for a complex project under one single roof.
Advantages of Turnkey Contract
In projects that are undertaken by government or state-owned enterprises.
Ownership and control after the completion of contract is retained with the owner.
This is especially true in the case of traditional turnkey contracts, when the
involvement of the turnkey contractor could be eliminated once the contract is
completed, as he has no share in capital ownership, and hence there would be no
conflict as regards policies and management of the operations of the enterprise.
In the turnkey contract a major advantages to the promoter stems from the fact
that the responsibility for the contract lies with a single source and the promoter is
relived from responsibilities for the equipment or plant and performance.
In the turnkey contract a major advantage to the promoter stems from the fact that
the responsibility for the contract lies with a single source, and the promoter is
relieved from responsibilities for the equipment or plant and performance.
The turnkey contract generally ensures that the projects is put into operation more
rapidly than other contracts since both design and construction are the
responsibility of one entity.
When a turnkey contract extends beyond the commissioning stage the teething
problems of a multidisciplinary project can be resolved by the contractors inhouse trained personnel.
for the project team to have a perfect coordination between many outside parties
with that of the internal structure. To overcome this difficulty specially in
managing mega projects where time, cost and performance play equally important
roles project management is its breed, in a turnkey contract execution mode, the
individual contractor is responsible for complete execution of the project
including process design, basic engineering, detailed engineering, procurement,
construction, commissioning and the performance guarantees.
Advantages of EPC Projects
1. Single project responsibility helps manage the total project without any
impediments
2. As the company is authorized to execute the project at agreed terms
without project sponsors intervention may smoothen the implementation
process and remain and less susceptible to time overrun.
3. Decision making to procurement, engineering, and construction aspects
can be processed quickly.
4. Little or no competition from small contractors since only by contractors
undertake this type of total project execution.
Disadvantages
1.
2.
3.
Contactor gives subcontracts for the supply, delivery, construction and installation
of selected elements of a pit facility on a lumpsum turnkey basis.
In LDCs, this is adopted to reduce the overall lumpsum price substantially.
This can also be done by the owner.
(E) TRADITIONAL DESIGN/BID/BUILD CONTRACT
This is the traditional contract in LDCs, especially for infrastructure.
The project is divided into two types, design and build.
Owner hires independent consulting engineer to design the pit fully and puts it for
tender. Then the consulting engineer is retained to be the owners representative
during the construction phase.
In complex pits, a fast-track approach is adopted whereby the pit is divided into
separate overlapping design/bid/build packages.
(F) MODERN METHODS
BOOT
BOOT is an outgrowth of the latest hue the cry over the boosting private sector
involvement in the development of major projects. There has been a growing
trend in the recent past both in the developing and developed countries, of
encouraging private sector to participate in various projects through concessions
labeled as BOOT project strategies. The term BOOT was introduced in the early
80s by the Turkish Prime Minister Turgat Ozal to designate a build, own and
transfer or build, operate and transfer project; this term is often referred to as
the Ozal formula.
Smith and Merna defines BOOT as: a project based on the granting of a
concession by the principal, usually a government, to a promoter, sometimes
known as the concessionaire, who is responsible for the construction, financing,
operating and maintaining he facility over the period of concession before finally
transferring the facility, at no cost to the principal, as a fully operational facility.
During the concession period the promoter owns and operates the facilities and
tries to recover the costs of investment, maintenance while operating the facility
to result a margin of profit
FBOOT
BOO
BOL
DBOM
DBOT
BOD
BOOST
BRT
BTO
BOT
Speculative to invited
Infrastructure to industrial/process
Domestic to international
Market-led to contract-led
4.
5.
6.
Disadvantages
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
BOT
project) up to US $ 250,000. The cost of preparing turnkey tenders may be reestimated between 1 and 2 per cent of the value of the project, unless it is a repeat
project (such as a complete plant of a similar size).
In the case of large projects, there are likely to be only two or three competitors
tendering, and they are often pre-selected once they have an established reputation
in the same or similar fields with projects of the same order of magnitude. In fact,
some firm now prefer to by-pass the procedure of competitive tendering
altogether on some projects because of the cost involved and instead to negotiate
direct with a single favoured contractor. Nevertheless, a contractor must have the
facilities available to tender for complete plants on a lump sum turnkey basis, if
necessary.
Prequalification of contractors
For prequalification of tenders, notifications are issued in the press, at embassies
etc. as appropriate giving details such as name of the purchaser/engineer, outline
of the project, enquiry issue and tender submission dates, instructions for applying
for prequalification and submission date for the contractors prequalification data.
Normally, a prequalification document, issued on request to a contractor seeks
information on the organization, experience in the intended type of work,
availability of resources like managerial, technical labour and plant, and also asks
for financial statements. The contractors desirous of prequalification responds to
the questionnaire and such details as may enable his qualification.
1.
2.
3.
4.
After evaluation, the short-listed contractors are informed about their selection
and their confirmation obtained as to whether they will submit the tender.
Preparation of tender documents
A tender document is prepared by the purchaser/engineer in as detailed and clear
manner as possible to define the technical requirements of the work involved as
also the responsibilities which the purchaser and contractor will have to share
between themselves. A good tender document will include the following:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Prices
Programme
Terms of payment
Conditions of contract
Contract prices adjustment
Validity
The document is then issued to the short-listed contractors for submission of their
theder.
Receipt of tenders
The tenderers may make a request to visit the site. Normally, the
purchaser/engineer accompanies the tenderes to the site and provides further
information. There may be a pre-bid conference to clarify the various issues to the
tenderers. Supplementary queries can be clarified through correspondence till the
due date for the bidding. On the due date bids may be opened in front of the
tenderers present. The purchaser/engineer will announce and record the names of
tenderers and prices including prices of alternative tenders. They would also
announce and record the names to tenderers, if any, who are disqualified due to
late submission.
Evaluation of tenders
The tenders are evaluated from technical, commercial, contractual and managerial
angles. Contractors confirmation or classifications are sought on various matters
which either do not conform the tender requirements or those that have nto been
offered by the contractor. The correspondence may reduce the points of
disagreement but a post-bid meeting often cannot be avoided. Normally, separate
meetings are held with each contractor to obtain clarification and also to bring all
the offers in line with the tender requirement.
The actual evaluation process includes checking the acceptability of the offer
against technical specifications, management specification and various
commercial and contractual terms and conditions. An adjusted contract price will
be arrived at in each case. Normally, the lowest bidder who is also technically and
managerially acceptable is awarded the contract.
Agreement
An agreement is now to be signed on a stamped paper. The form of agreement is
probably the most standardized document. The form of agreement refers to the
various documents which will together form the contract. The accompanying
documents normally are:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Form of guarantee
Finally, whenever required, a guarantee from sureties in the following standard
form of IMechE may be asked from the contractor as an insurance against
uncertainties in dealings with the contractor.
By an agreement dated and made between the purchaser and the contractor the
parties enter4 into a contract as stated below:
Now we hereby jointly and individually guarantee to the purchaser punctual, true
and faithful performance and observance by the contractor of the covenant on is
part contained in the said agreement and undertake to be responsible to the
purchaser, his legal personal representatives, successors or assigns as sureties for
the contractor for the payment by him of all sums of money losses, damages, cost
charges and expenses that may become due or payable to the purchaser from the
contractor in consequence of default in the performance. Nevertheless, the total
amount to be demanded shall not exceed 15 per cent of the contract price.
This guarantee shall not be revocable by notice and our liabilities as sureties
hereunder shall not be impaired by any alterations made or agreed to in the
general conditions of contract.
4.
Form of guarantee
Finally, whenever required, a guarantee from sureties in the following standard
form of IMechE may be asked from the contractor as an insurance against
uncertainties in dealings with the contractors.
By an agreement dated and made between the purchaser and the contractor the
parties enter into a contract as stated below:
Now we hereby jointly and individually guarantee to the purchaser punctual, true
and faitful performance and observance gy the contracgor of the convenant on his
part contained in the said agreement and undertake to be responsible to the
purchaser, his legal personal representatives, successors or assigns as sureties for
the contractor for the payment by him of all sums of money losses, damages, cost
charges and expenses that may become due to payable to the purchaser from the
contractor in consequence of default in the performance. Nevertheless, the total
amount to be demanded shall not exceed 15 per cent of the contract price.
This guarantee shall not be revocable by notice and our liabilities as sureties
hereunder shall not be impaired by any alterations made or agreed to in the
general conditions of contract.
TYPES OF TENDERING PROCESS
Unfortunately for the contractor, a high proportion of inquiries are, for one reason
or another, not very serious. This tends to occur mainly in countries where the
infrastructure may not yet be ready for a particular type of plant. It is upto the
contractor to assess the seriousness of each inquiry. The tendering policy of most
contractors can be categorized into one of the following three types.
Highly selective tendering
This if often historical in origin and is followed by contractors with long
experience with certain industry, product of process. This type of tendering has
the advantages of low costs and a high proportion of successful contracts achieved
by negotiation rather than competition. The danger is that the contractor is
susceptible to changes in the industry concerned and to technological innovations.
Moderately selective tendering
This is the most common type, particularly among European contractors whose
favoured field of operation are discernible. The danger is that firms can become
too complacent or, on the contrary, that they are unable to restrict their activities.
Indiscriminate tendering
This is tendering for all projects without regard to the type and/or value. While a
broad front is offered, a large number of small contracts must often be undertaken
with a disproportionate amount of supervision and design cot, giving rise to high
tendering costs. The acceptance rate is generally lower than for more selective
tendering.
Moderately selective tendering is thus to be preferred by the majority of
contractors, although all may we4ll claim to follow this type of procedure.
The tendering period also varies considerably. If this is too short, an inaccurate
tender with a large number of qualifications and exclusion clauses can result. On
the other hand, a tendering period is rarely considered by the contractor to be too
long. A point worth noting is that many contractors are reluctant to request an
extension of tendering time for fear that this gives the potential client an
impression of inefficiency. Yet it is usually better to seek such an extension rather
than to submit an inaccurate tender.
Prior to a client asking for bids for a plant, a feasibility study is necessary. This
may be conducted by the client itself, by an independent consultancy organization
or in some cases b y the contractor. Such a feasibility study may be preceded by
an advisability study that initially defines the project and assesses its possible
attractiveness; this is usually carried bout by the client. The feasibility study itself
examines the markets for the products to be manufactured (with due regard for
supplies, technological restraints, plant location, financial constraints and time
schedule) in order to determine the overall economic feasibility. Based on the
results of the feasibility study, a summary initial schedule is devised, usually
comprising three parts namely; advantages and disadvantages of various solutions
and reasons for choice of the recommended solution; full information on the
recommended proposition; a summary estimate of costs.
This schedule can be enlarges and refined to form the basis for decisions
concerning the technical, financial and managerial aspects of the project.
Additional inputs might include; descriptive and memoranda indicating
construction and operating methods, breakdown of supplies and equipment
leading to particular specifications, time schedules, the margins of risk; technical
files comprising overall plants and drawings of the main components of the plant;
an evaluation (to within + 10 percent) of the costs and expenses entailed.
From this detailed initial schedule, the final schedule will be drawn up. This will
contain detailed technical specifications and work plans, definitions of the work to
be carried out by different specialists, the timing and an estimate of expenses
broken down as accurately as possible. The calls for tenders are then based on the
description given in this final schedule. They contain the specifications fo the
plant and its components, including civil and other works, as well as appropriate
administrative and commercial clauses.
If the client does not already have a list of approved contractors, interested
contractors may be invited to submit prequalification documents. The purpose of
these is to ensure that firms making bids are technically and financially sound.
There is a wide variation in the amount of information that is provided to the
contractor under different types of tender. The man types of tender comprise those
involving the detailed design, procurement, erection and commissioning of a plant
or unit employing a specific process. The design content can vary considerably
within an agreed definition. The other major type concerns the overall design and
procurement of a plant to meet a stated performance. The contractor in this case is
able to utilize its choice of available process.
Many contractors will classify the type of bid in order to define the amount of
work to be performed by their staff into three different categories. An
approximate estimate bid contains no original detail but is based on previous
projects of similar scope and capacity. An order of magnitude bid is usually
required for a plant feasibility evaluation by the client. No original engineering
details are given and the bid us constructed from cost-capital cures and an
approximation based on past estimates and scaling factors. The definitive estimate
is based on defined engineering data with complete plot plans and elevations,
piping and instrumentation diagrams, equipment data sheets and quotations,
structural sketches, soil data and complete specification. For the compilation of
such an estimate, the contractor may, in turn obtain bids on 50 to 90 per cent of all
the process equipment required. The contents of a typical tender of this type are
shown in the figure 5, the proposal being divided in three sections; technical data,
commercial data and cost data.
Contend of a Tender
1. Technical proposal
Project schedule
Process description
Operating requirements
Plot-plans and elevations
Process flow diagrams
Engineering flow diagrams
Utilities flow diagrams
Heat balance
Materials balance
Equipment list and data sheets
Facilities
-piping
-instrumentation
-electrical
-civil engineering
-construction
-clients
-contractors
Services provided
-by clients
-by contractors
Model of proposed plant
Commercial proposal
Introduction and background
Origin of the company
For large-scale tenders, the contractor usually appoints a proposal manager to coordinate the whole proposal preparation and to liaise with the client. This applies
especially to the larger contracting companies.
For major contracts, biding contractors may be required to deposit bid-bonds
when making their tenders in order to ensure the seriousness of their tender to
ensure the seriousness of their tender and to guarantee the customer against the
waiving of the bid if the company is selected. These bid-bonds usually amount to
between 1 and 2 per cent of the contract table.
Tenders are all opened at the same time, and examined and compared with the aid
of a table showing the main data. In some developing countries, a preferential
coefficient (X) may be given to local firms, and foreign contractors are selected
only if their prices are at least X per cent below the lowest local bid. This coefficie may vary widely but it can be as high as per 30 per cent.
Comparison of tenders does not necessarily lead automatically to the choice of a
contractor. If the bids are very close, each company may be asked to submit a
revised second bid, in which case it is to be expected that differences will be
widened to such an extent that the lowest bid can be accepted. Once the contractor
has been chosen, negotiations with the client can start. These usually take several
months in the case of large contracts and it is not unknown for the negotiation
period to run into years.
GLOBAL TENDERING AND BID EVALUATION
These are very significant to the project managers engaged in design,
construction, execution, installation, operation and maintenance of large-scale
assets in order to derive optimum benefits from the capital intensive projects.
Global tenders are issued for high tech requirements particularly associated with
international credits like World Bank loans. Since the source of supply may be
outside the country, a detailed plan must be done and global tender must involve
simplicity in language and clarity, specifying tendering and accepting authority. It
is necessary to ensure that the accepting and tendering parties must be specific to
commit. Tendering is nothing but visualization of various events that have to take
place in the execution of contract spread over two to three years, and legislating
for the buyers stand a respect of al these, which should be practical, consistent
with canons of financial propriety and allow for proper legal actions.
The chief merit of global tendering is that it gives equal opportunity to every
supplier/contractor to make an offer within the terms and conditions of tender and
thus it promotes competition. Global tendering is particularly recommended to
ensure safeguard against public procurement.
Bids must be procured from really interested parties by proper prequalification
and applying the bid bond clause. The tender is awarded to the responsible bidder
whose price is the lowest, provided it is deemed reasonable and most
advantageous. The bidder has to satisfy himself that full information has been
furnished as required in the specifications, as lack of information will be at the
risk of rejection of bid. The bids received will be scrutinized by the project team
according to the bid evaluation criteria to ascertain the most suitable evaluation of
bid for the total project.
Formal advertising of tender is resorted to in the bidders interest; there must be
time for formal solicitation and for the delays that may frequently develop. While
submitting application for pre-qualification, the bidders must furnish package
number, description of work intended for pre-qualification and name and address
of the bidder, address of registered office of the firm.
The bidder must also furnish the lists of technical personnel with then experience,
names of sub contractors and the nature of job handled by them. The details of
similar works executed in last ten years indication name, address of clients, nature
of job, contract value, completion times, etc., need to be furnished by the bidder.
Information on current orders in hand, expected time of completion have also to
be furnished by the bidder.
The bid application, completed in all respect in seven copies must be submitted to
the project authorities so as to reach them within a specified date. One set of
sealed copy of application must be sent under registered post to the Directorate
General of Technical Development, Coordination Section, New Delhi. The
following should be subscribed on the envelop; Package number Description
Application for pre-bid qualification for plant modernization phase. The project
authorities have the right to verify the credentials of the applicants and their
facilities, etc., and call for additional information, if required, to ascertain the
bidders capabilities. The project authorities also reserve the absolute right to
reject, at their discretion, the application of any or all bidders without assigning
any reason.
Initial evaluation
Once the bids are received, the project authorities evaluate them on a preliminary
basis, with a checklist, as to whether all key points, including commercial terms,
costs, delivery schedules and other contractual aspects, have been fully covered.
In order to shortlist the vendors, the acceptable bidders are arranged in ascending
price order, after eliminating bidders with unacceptable quotations, or with
incomplete bids. The preliminary evaluation enable to focus greater attention on a
few vendors with competitive bidding, the need (if any) solicit additional
information.
Technical evaluation
After initial scrutiny of the promising bidders information a complete technical
evaluation of the bids of the potential suppliers is performed by tabulating the
data in a suitable way. It is desirable to specify for the shortlisted vendors the
following checklists in program. Vendors, quotation reference, quotation date,
validity expire date, vendors complete address, local representative, complete
delivery material delivery point, basic price of material escalation terms, payment
details, recommended spares, mandatory spares, shop assembly, shop painting,
shop testing, packing, graphs, catalysts, lubricants, drawings, engineer services,
warrantees, import duties, agents fees, currency exchange etc., inspection fees,
adjusted base cost, freight cost, operating cost, feed stockiest, utility cost, field
service estimate, allowance for estimated extras, total estimated present cost also
form a part of the checklist. It is necessary to scrutinize additional costs/savings
and availability of vendor support at this phase.
Commercial evaluation
The detailed commercial scrutiny is usually conducted after evaluating the bid
technically. The commercial scrutiny consists of checking whether everything I
the specification is covered in the price. These aspects include the following :
drawings, documents, maintenance, operating manuals, test facilities, test
Formal award
The last step in the whole exercise is to formally award the contract to the vendor.
A telex or telephone order is initially placed. A formal written purchased order,
together with necessary documents, data sheets, specifications, contractual terms,
etc., is handed over to the vendor. After choosing the vendor, the next stage of
follow up of the contracts implementation on manufacture, transport, installation
is planned, so that efforts are made to commission the project in time.
Steps required for bid preparation are given below:
A. Pre-bid invitation stage
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b) Brand names
c) Catalogues of sellers
d) Drawings, engineering designs
e) Samples
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The less experienced clients tend to prefer the sum type of contract as this results
in the greatest competition between contractors and the evaluation of bids is easy.
Contractors bidding costs for this type of contract are at their highest and there
are disadvantages. Not only is the bid time quite ling, but such bids are highly
inflexible, with any changes being difficult and expensive. Costs may be high to
cover any contingencies and risks, and the client-contractor relationship tends to
be more divergent than with other types of contract. Finally, the emphasis on the
low bid may give an unsatisfactory end product.
Fixed price contracts are used mainly where the client is in a position to specify
exactly what is to be built and where much of the engineering work must be
carried out prior to signing of the contract. Other types of contracts may be
negotiations, the supplier will submit his lowest price and perform the contract on
schedule.
Negotiation is not to be confused with haggling over price. It is reasonable
discussion as regards price, cost, specification, justification for conditions and
delivery, control, price-revision, discounts, escalation, provision etc. The purpose
of negotiation is to find a common ground on which, both buyer and seller agree,
and arrive at a compromise acceptable to both.
Parameters of Negotiation
There are a large number of aspects that my crop up in the negotiation process.
Some of the important areas in which the buyer and the seller may concentrate are
mentioned below. These are price, cost, terms and conditions of the original
contract; variations in quantity; specifications and deviation from specified
tolerances; basis for price revision or escalation; facilities to be provided by the
project authorities; quality of subcontracted items; unforeseen amount of
construction maintenance repairs; continued supply of spares; buyback
arrangements of initially dumped unwanted spares; supply of critical buyback
arrangement of initially dumped unwanted spares; supply of critical drawings;
performance guarantee after initial warrantee is over; after sales service;
technology upgradation after initial supply of equipments on a continuous basis;
interrelation of legal terms; basis for penalty/bonus; payment schedule;
moral/ethical aspects; dispatch terms; instructions on insurance; removal of
rejected items; and risk purchase clause in the event of changes in delivery
schedule.
Tools of Negotiation
The SWOT approach strength, weakness, opportunity, and threats relevant to
the project team, suppliers corporate profile, the industry scenario, national
perspectives, international consideration, etc., will enable identification of the
bargaining position of the supplier in the context of social / political /
technological / financial / regulatory / economical / natural environment factors.
Negotiations must be conducted in peaceful in peaceful and comfortable
surroundings without disturbance of any sort.
It is essential that the negotiating team must be familiar with the market situation,
and possess thorough knowledge about the suppliers expertise on technical,
financial and manpower capabilities. It is not necessary to negotiate on each and
every item/supplier. It is desirable to negotiate only with the lowest two or three
tenders. The process of negotiation must be confined to high cost critical items.
Techniques like ABC/VED/MUSIC-3D analysis may be helpful.
Quantity discount analysis is used for simple comparisons while detailed analysis
of cost breakdown into labour, material, overhead etc., are used for complex
comparisons. The break-even analysis is also used for estimating the internal price
structure and to obtain greater insight into the suppliers proposals.
The concept of learning curve of the labour cost going down with repetitive jobs
may be used for repetitive labor intensive projects. Other techniques include
persuasion, questioning, discussions, vertical thinking, and prolonged silence,
walk out etc., depending on the situation.
The important personal abilities and qualification for negotiation are: (1)
knowledge, (2) attitude, (3) skill in identifying the issues under negotiation and
(4) planning strategies and techniques to revolve these issues effectively by
argument, persuasion and skills in communication,
Contractors obligations
Clauses headed Contractors obligations cover general provisions such as:
Obligation to construct the facility in accordance with the project
specifications;
Applicable standards and codes;
Order of precedence of contract documents;
Obligation of the contractor to request for additional information;
Obligation of the contractor to check and verify company information;
Occasionally, contractors may be required to assume liability for
correctness and completeness of the information furnished by the client.
As a principle this is not acceptable because it implies that a contractor is
responsible for any mistakes made by the client;
Obligation of the contractor to assume responsibility for scheduling
progress reporting, forecasting, etc.;
Obligation of contractors to work out detailed work package;
Statement that the contractor is fully knowledgeable fot he site conditions
and other local conditions (weather, access to site, etc.). Liability for
subsoil conditions and other things that cannot be detected by simple
visual check should be excluded.
Obligation of the contractor to keep and to maintain the site clean;
Obligation to inform the client of problems and other important matters
affecting the Project in general;
Anything not included in the clients information but that logically should
have been included shall be deemed to be included.
Clients obligations
The list of the clients obligations tends to be far shorter. Contractors should try to
add an umbrella provision to the effect that anything not specifically included in
the lump sum shall be deemed to be excluded (and thereby becomes
reimbursable). When the client wants to review or approve certain drawings and
information, an approval time of say 10 working days should be added, following
which the drawings, etc., shall be deemed to be approves. Any client changes
after those 10 days shall constitute a change in the order with price and time
repercussions.
Clients are usually responsible for obtaining permits and other official
authorizations, the supply of utilities (including construction utilities) and
feedstock, telephone and other communications facilities, canteen, toilets,
fencing, guards, roads, lighting, storage facilities, warehouse, etc.
CONCLUSION
This chapter narrates the significance of contracting, and its dimensions in
implementing a project. The project manager cannot get everything done through
an in-house staff. He has to make necessary arrangements for acquiring authority
over external organizations which will be required to participate in the execution
of a project against some consideration. Thus this chapter has emphasized the
contractual arrangement is a basic requirement in project management and hence
the basics of contracting, contracting principles, tendering and bid evaluation, and
also the delivery terms of contracting must be learnt by all concerned.
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LESSON 12
PROJECT FINANCING & PROJECT OVER RUNS
OBJECTIVES
To give an overview about various sources of project financing
To point out causes for project overruns in project execution
To explain the remedial measures to overcome the overrun problems
PROJECT FINANCING
To be successful in developing new business, it is essential that firms have
knowledge of project finance and are aware of how the potential projects they
which to develop are to be financed. This is because many projects are cofinanced. With some sections receiving bilateral funding (which may be tied to
the use of consultants from the country providing the finance) and others
receiving multilateral funding and thus being open to all international firms that
can prequalify. In many projects being developed in developing countries or
countries in transition the financial engineering of the project is becoming more
important than the design of the project itself.
Over the past two decades there have been considerable changes in the techniques
used to meet the financing needs of projects particularly in view of the increasing
scarcity of funds, high interest rates and the high level of debt in the beneficiary
countries. The most common sources of project finance in developing countries or
countries in transition are:
The World Bank (which in the fiscal year 1991 approved some US$21.7 billion of
loans for 222 projects) and the various regional development banks (which in
1992 had a total lending in excess of US$10 billion) make up the largest group of
multilateral funding agencies providing finance for projects. Other multilateral
agencies offering regional project finance include the European Development
Funds (EDF), various Arab funds and the United Nations Development Program
(UNDP). Loans from al these agencies have some advantages over commercial
loans in that they may be for a longer period that those from the commercial
sector. The interest rates may be lower and fixed interest rates may be negotiated,
participation by these agencies will endorse credit for potentially interested
parties, and co-financing may be possible with participation from the commercial
banking sector and with cross-default clauses.
There are however several disadvantages in using project finance from
multilateral agencies. In principle, loans are available only for the public sector
and the project/loan approval process is vary lengthy, which often holds up the
project for years. Furthermore, it may be ties to some very expensive additions
such as environmental impact assessments and training. Another disadvantage is
that the funds may be provided in currencies that are default to hedge, thus giving
rise to currency risks.
Export Credit Agencies
Project financing from export credit agencies is generally available in two froms
and often in a combination of both: either from the national export-import bank
and / or as foreign aid. When tied together they are called mixed credits, and if the
country is a member of the Group on Export Credits and Credit Guarantees
(ECCG) of the OECD Trade Committee, these credits are regulated by OECD
arrangements. Most foreign aid of this type is used to purchase goods and services
from the private sector in the country that provides the financing. These agencies
provide a number of project finance services.
Loans and Guarantees
These consist of concessional loans or guarantees for a concessional loan or a
combination of both. In some countries, the agency provides a guarantee for
financing, which is then used to secure loans commercial banks.
Suppliers credit
This is credit guaranteed by the export credit agency, which is made available,
often at a concessional rate of interest, for a fixed period. Repayment is over a
period of 5-10 years from the compoletion date of the project, and the repayments
of the capital plus interest is secured by negotiable paper such as promissory notes
or bills of exchange. Bank charges, bonds, insurance costs, etc., are usually
included in the project offer if this type of financing is foreseen. The main
disadvantage for the contractor is that no progress payments are made ant that
project finance is not available until the project is completed. The supplier is
usually required to assume some of the risk of financing.
Buyers credit
This is essentially an arrangement between banks whereby a bank in the country
of the contractor enters into a loan agreement with a bank in the country of the
client or in the country in which the work is to be undertaken. Lending banks are
authorized to make progress payments in cash, to the contractor on submission of
invoices together with appropriate paper such as bills of lading. The loan
agreement specifies the conditions under which the loan is to be repaid and bank
charges are paid direct by the lending bank to the borrowing bank. With this type
of credit, only insurance costs can be included by the contractor in the overall
project price. The credit periods can often be extended for large projects.
Hardware or equipment, or even sub-contracts, are often purchased from subsuppliers or subcontractors and then resold to the client. This type of credit is
probably the most commonly used in the Asian and Pacific region. Banks usually
require export credit insurance guarantees before they grant the credits.
Project lines of credit
These are special arrangements between selected banks in certain countries.
Under such arrangement, buyers in the borrowing country may place cash orders
for a variety of different contracts. Domestic contractors have been included as
potential borrowers. Since special arrangements are often made for a variety of
political or economic reasons or in response to governments initiative, the
government in the borrowing country usually guarantees the loans.
The advantages of financing through export credit agencies are that a fixed rate of
interest is often available and the concessional rates of interest are lower than
those4 charged by strictly commercial sources. Furthermore, the loans extended
are often for longer terms than commercial sources. Furthermore the loans
extended are often for longer terms than commercial loans and the official nature
of the loan may offer some protection against government expropriation.
However, there are also advantages, first in that the process of approval of loans is
often very bureaucratic and lengthy. Where loans are tied, the goods and services
available from the countries providing the credits may not be the best suited to the
project and may by far more expensive than those available from other sources.
Furthermore, additional equipment and spares, which may be found to be needed
later are not covered by the credits. Finally, serious problems arise if the project is
unable to generate sufficient foreign exchange to repay the loan.
The World Bank and some of the regional development banks, such a IDB
and ADB have made special provisions to provide project finance through
national export credit agencies in their respective regions of operation.
One major problem facing export credit agencies is the very conservative
attitude of development finance corporations in general, as many of them have
had negative experience in assessing credit risks in the construction industry.
Direct foreign investment
Direct foreign investment in developing countries has been a major source
of project finance for many industrial plants developed by industrialized counties
in developing countries in developing countries in transaction. Many international
manufacturers in such areas as electronics, textiles and automobile spare parts
have been forced to manufacture products in countries that have low labour costs
in order to be competitive. Both Latin American and Asian countries have made
major efforts to attract this direct foreign investment, which provides
employment, technology and skills transfer, project finance and access to
international markets. In many cases, the development of these industrial facilities
has been handled in part by both national and regional firms, often on a lump sum
turnkey basis.
In order to encourage the flow of direct foreign investment into
developing countries, the World Bank created the Multilateral Investment
Guarantee Agency (MIGA) in 1988. This offers investment insurance to mitigate
political risk through its guarantee program and provides promotional and
advisory services to assist its member countries to attract and retain direct foreign
investment.
MIGAs guarantee program products investors from non-commercial risks
of currency transfer, expropriation, war and civil disturbance. It insures only new
investments, including expansion of existing investments, privatizations and
financial restructuring. Projects must be registered with MIGA before the
investments are made or irrevocably committed. MIGA can insure up to 90 per
cent of the investment amount, subject to a limit of US $ 50 million of coverage
per project.
Bilateral funding agencies
A considerable amount of project finance made available in developing
countries and countries in transition in provided direct by agencies from industrial
countries. In 1992, such bilateral official development assistance reached US $ 68
billion, of which US$34 billion was for developing countries.
National governments
Many governments will often fund small and medium sized projects out of
their own funds, either directly or indirectly by means of equity investments,
investment gratis, subsidized loans, tax concessions or subsidies on utilities,
manpower, energy or raw materials.
Commercial banks
Commercial banks are a major source of project finance, offering loans for
five to ten years with floating rates of interest based on the LIBOR or the United
States prime rate. Commercial bank loans for large projects are typical arranged
as syndicated bank loans. There are two basic options open to project developers:
either the project developer assumes full responsibility for obtaining project
finance or it used the services of a bank specializing in project finance.
Alternatively, the client may use a local or regional bank to arrange or engineer a
financial package. The bank been determines the maximum foreign exchange
requirements and the possibilities of obtaining export credits and aid funds and
prepares a project finance package.
Industrial lenders
Institutional lenders, such as insurance companies, pension funds and
charitable organizations are becoming significant sources of project funding,
particularly for industrial buildings and shopping centre developments as well as
in the developments of build-own-operate projects, which are particularly
prevalent in ASEAN countries.
Leasing companies
In the Asia and Pacific region, a number of Japanese leasing companies
have access to low-cost Japanese Government funding, and they are thus able to
offer attractive term financing for equipment and facilities. Several industrial
facilities and industrial parks have been developed on a lease-back basis. Project
financing of this type will be particularly pertinent to ASEAN countries trying to
develop industrial estates, shopping centre complexes, etc.
Contractors
Contractors often initiate project finance but they are rarely able to
participate in the long-term financing of projects. They may participate in the
form of fixed-price contracts, with guarantees, and sometimes may take part of
their fees in the form of equity in the project. Contractors can also provide
assistance to their clients in developing the financial planning, as they are often
Ca
c Cs
o
s
t
o
Time
Ts Ta
Time
Ca
= actual cost
Cs
= scheduled cost
Ts
= Scheduled time
Ta
= Actual time
Ts
time overrun itself is an important reason for the cost overrun. The rationale for
this is too obvious to require and further explanation. Time has value and all cost
estimates are valid within a given time framework.
Firstly, the cost overrun is the natural outcome of the cost underestimation
at the project preparation and evaluation stages. The principal motivation for this
willful cost underestimation is to keep the promoters contribution, about which
the institutions have somewhat inflexible norms, to the minimum possible. Once
the project financing is tied up, the promoters find themselves in a more
favourable position to express there inability to contribute substantially to the
overrun. The overrun undertaking is an instrument in the hands of institutions
which is of little practical significance.
Another strong argument is to attribute the cost overrun to uncontrollable
external factors with their genesis in governmental policies or inflationary
pressures in the economy for which obviously responsibility cannot be fixed at the
promoters.
Secondly, there may be change in the project concept as such during the
implementation stage, viz., unsuitability of the location, changes in the designs of
civil structure, additions/changes in the various items of plant and equipment
following certain alternations in process technology, size of operation, product
mix etc. Most of these points would be further elaborated when we discuss the
technical problems at the project implementation and operation stages.
Thirdly, effective project implementation requires competent management
with ability to forecast problems and take corrective steps. The business
environment is always in a flux. Prices are changing: the availability of inputs at
the constructional stages poses problems. Human resources are to be organized
and assigned specific duties for timely action in various areas of implementation.
Any management which is incapable of performing these tasks efficiently would
be saddled with a cost overrun. This incompetence whether it systems out of
fictional fights of genuine incompetence gives rise to a number of problems.
Fourthly, the tendency of the management to overspend in travel,
entertainments, non-productive activities, etc. can distort the initial cost estimates.
Some control over expenditure, internal or institutional, is desirable to keep the
overrun within manageable proportions.
Fifthly, incompetent and dishonest management can add to the overrun
through underhand dealings in the purchases of construction materials and
equipment.
Lastly, there are number of other reason such a delay in he recruitment of
essential project implementation staff, excessive expenditure on foreign
technicians, failure to comply with institutional conditions, inadequate
At the planning stage the reasons may be of Omissions, inaccuracy of the work
break down structure, Misinterpretation of information, Use of wrong estimating
techniques, Failure to identify and concentrate on major cost elements and also
due to Failure to assess and provide for risks.
Under negotiations stage, overrun may arise due to Forcing a speedy compromise
of agreements, Procurement ceiling costs, Negotiation team that must win this
one.
Under contractual stage contractual discrepancies, Sow different from REP
requirements, Proposal team different from project team may cases overrun
problem.
In designing stage, Accepting customer request without management approval,
Problems in customer communication channels and data issues and also due to
problems in design review meetings.
Similarly under construction stage overrun ay arises due to excessive material
costs, Overboard specifications, Manufacturing and engineering disagreements.
IMPACT OF COST AND TIME OVERRUN
After the time and or the cost overrun has occurred the following consequences
are inevitable:
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The enterprises inability to repay principal and interest as per the
amortization schedule.
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Sickness at birth and a host of other unsavory consequences associated
with industrial sickness.
CONTROLLING PROJECT OVERRUNS
The financial institution has to normally depend upon the information monitoring
system to find out the quantum of overrun and its reasons. It is also a common
practice with the institutions to carry out some kind of re-evaluation of the project
through visits and personal discussions to assess the impact of the overrun on the
long term project viability and to determine the quantum of additional assistance
needed to implement the project. Efforts are also made to motivate the promoters
to bring additional funds to meet a part of the overrun.
In view of the generally complex nature of the project overrun which may be due
to a combination of controllable and uncontrollable factors, it is not possible to
prescribe effective remedies to avoid its occurrence in absolute terms. However,
certain institutional safeguards may prove useful in limiting its magnitude. There
are:
a)
Proper project appraisal covering managerial, financial, economic
technical and market aspects
b)
Effective co-ordination between project and follow-up wings of the
institution so that persons entrusted with responsibility of looking after the project
at disbursement and implementation stage get fully conversant with the project
concept, strong as well as weak points of the management, critical areas in
implementation etc.,
c)
Introduction of a well-designed information system fairly early in the
project implementation stage
d)
Appointment of a nominee immediately after sanction of assistance and
the association of the nominee director in all important matters such as
finalization of contracts, purchase, appointment of key personnel etc.
e) Use of project scheduling techniques like PERT/CPM and their constant
updating.
f)
Closer coordination between term lending institutions and the commercial
banks on the one hand and financing institutions themselves where more that one
institution is involved in project financing on the other.
g)
Closer co-ordination of the financing institution with the local authorities
for timely allotment of land/shed, sanction of electricity connection, approval of
buildings plants, and the provision necessary infra-structural support.
h)
Streaming of operations of financial institutions so that the time taken is
sanction of assistance and disbursement is kept to the minimum. The institution
would also be well-advised to decentralize its operations and to have a second
look at some of the stipulations which the promoters find difficult to comply.
CONCLUSION
Thus, cost can be reduce in all reduced in all areas, but one cannot and must not
be stingy while managing projects involving crores of rupees cost must be
controlled but it must be done with grace. Hence this chapter suggest that cost is
the final measure of project management effectiveness and discusses various
measures for keeping the same under control.
2.
Describe the nature and causes of cost and time over runs.
3.
4.
Explain the causes for overrun at the different stages of project life cycle.
LESSON 13
PROJECT CONTROL
OBJECTIVES:
1.
2.
3.
To discuss the significance of different techniques of projects control
structure.
INTRODUCTION:
Once the project has been launched, it is essential to control the projects to
achieve the desired results. In this process the control becomes closely interwined in an integrated managerial process. Project control involves a regular
comparison of performance against targets, a search for the causes of deviation
and a commitment to check adverse variances.
Project control serves two major functions:
a.
b.
It motives project Personnel to strike for achieving projects objectives
steps in Projects Control.
There are two important steps in the project control viz;
1.
Establishment of controls.
2.
It is nothing but controlling a project when it enters the production perio-using the
controls established during the initiation period.
Control during the production period involves four steps, There are
1.
2.
Measuring of what is happening including anticipation of what may
happen.
3.
Comparison between what should happen and what is happening or likely
to happen.
4.
Taking corrective actions to make things happen, as they should these four
steps should fellow each other till the work is completed.
Projected Control Purposes:
The Projects Control can be exercised on different aspects. Such as
1.
2.
3.
On project Schedule
4.
On Projects Cost
The subsequent chapters discuss about significance and mode of schedule control
and cost control of project.
Problems of project Control:
Effective control is critical for the realization of project objectives. Control of
projects in practice tends to be ineffective. There are three main reasons for poor
control of projects viz.,
1.
Characteristics of the project Largeness and complexities Maintenance of
non-routine activities Co-ordination and communication problem.
2.
People Problems
Managers do not have required experience & training Lack of competence and
inclination to control projects.
3.
Poor control and information system: Delay in reporting performance
inappropriate level of detail Unreliable information.
GANIT CHARTS
In dealing with complex projects is pictorial representation showing the various
jobs to be done, and the time and money they involve is generally helpful. One
such pictorial charges, also known is the bar chart, was developed by Henery
Gantt around 1900. It consists of two coordinate axes, one representing the time
elapsed and the other, jobs or activities performed. The jobs are represented in the
form of bars as shown in Fig.
The length of a bar indicates the duration the job or activity take for completion.
Generally, in any project some jobs can be take up concurrently and some will
have to be completed before others can begin. Hence, in a bar chart representing a
projects, some of the bars run parallel or overlap each other times-wise (these
correspond to concurrent jobs) and some run serially with one bar beginning after
another bar ends (corresponding to an activity that succeeds a preceding activity).
In fig. for example activities A, B and C can start at the some time and proceed
concurrently or in parallel, though they take different time intervals for their
completion. Activity D, however, cannot begin until activity A is over. The bars
representing A and D therefore run serially.
Let us consider a specific example. A piece of equipment is made of two parts A
and B which are to be assembled together before they are dispatched. Part A is of
cast steel, which requires a pattern and a mould. Part B is a machined item made
on special machine M which needs to be purchased and installed. Parts A requires
special hear-treatment before assembly. The assembly needs to be tested with a
specially constructed rig before dispatch.
The time scale for each activity is as follows:
Preparing a pattern for casting
4 Weeks
Preparing a mould
2 Weeks
1 Weeks
Heat-treatment of A
2 Weeks
7 Weeks
Machine part B
5 Weeks
3 Weeks
4 Weeks
2 Weeks
1 Weeks
The bar chart for this project is shown in Fig. The various activities are shown
along the ordinate or the vertical axis and the time elapsed along the horizontal
axis.
The chart is self-explanatory.
20 Weeks
14 Weeks
Pouring concrete
16 Weeks
If the activities are not allowed to run in parallel but in strict sequence, the total
time taken for the completion of the project is 50 weeks. As we can easily see,
erection of the sideboards can start after the completion of, say, one-half of
foundation digging. Similarly, poring of concrete can start, say, 5 Weeks after the
erection of side boards. The bar charts for these activities will as shown in Fig.
According to this plan, the side board erectors still have 4 weeks of work after the
excavation job is over. However, if due to certain unexpected difficulties the
excavation is delayed by 1 or 2 weeks, how will reflect on the sideboard erection
or the concrete pouring job? This is not revealed by the bar chart.
Project progress:
A bar chart cannot be used as a control device since it does not show the progress
of work. A knowledge of the amount of work in progress or jobs completed is
absolutely necessary in a dynamic programme. Changes in plans are a necessary
part of a large project and a bar does not offer much assistance under such
circumstances.
However, a conventional bar chart can be modified to give this additional
information as shown in Fib. 10.d. Suppose 16 weeks have elapsed after he
project started: be the progress made in the project can be depicted by partially
filling in the blank bars. Foundation digging, according to Fig. 10.d is weeks
behind schedule.
Uncertainties
One of the most important deficiencies of the bar chart is its inability to reflect the
uncertainty or tolerances in the duration times estimated for various activities. The
modern day space system programmes or other complex projects are largely
characterized by extensive research, development and technological progress. The
traditional knowledge or practices play a very insignificant role. In such
situations, the completion of various stages or jobs cannot be forecast with
exactness. Uncertainty about a test becoming successful or a sudden break though
in technology to know-how will always provide situations which will make
rescheduling of various events a necessary part of the project and give it a
dynamic character which is not reflected in a bar chart.
MILESTONE CHARTS
Because of the shortcomings or the inadequacies of the chart in meeting the
requirements of the modern day management, efforts have been made to modify it
by adding new elements. One such modification was discussed in Section 1.3.
Under Project Progress with reference to Fig. Another important modification,
relatively successful, has formed a link in the evolution of the Gantt chart into the
PERT or CPM network.
This modification is called the milestone system. Milestones are key events or
point time, which can be identified when, completed as the project progresses. In
the Gantt chart a bar which represents a long-term job is broken down to several
pieces, each of which stands for an identifiable major event. Each event is
numbered and an explanatory table given identifying the number with the event.
These are specific event (points in time) which management has identifies as
important reference points during the completion of the project. This work
breakdown increases the awareness of the interdependent between tasks.
Figure A show a Gantt chart and Fig. B the corresponding milestone charts. Two
important points to be notices are that: (a) the long time jobs are identified in
terms of specific events or milestone; and (b) these milestones or key events are
plotted against the time scale indicating their achievements by specified dates.
While the milestone chart was definitely an improvement on the bar chart, it still
had one great deficiency, i.e., it did not clearly show the interdependent between
events. In a milestone chart the events are in chronological, but not logical,
sequence. A natural extension of the milestone chart was the network where the
events are connected by arrows in a logical sequence.
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
The critical path analysis is an important tool in production planning and
scheduling. Gantt charts are also one of the tools of scheduling but they have one
disadvantage for which they are found to be unsuitable. The problem with Gantt
chart is that the sequence of operation of a project or the earliest possible date for
the completion of the project as a whole cannot be ascertained. This problem is
overcome by this method of Critical Path Analysis.
CPM is used for scheduling special projects where the relationship between the
different parts of project is more complicated than of a simple chain of task to be
completed on after the other. This method (CPM) can be used at one extreme for
the very simple job and at other extreme for the most complicated tasks.
A CPM is a route between two or more operations which minimizes (or
maximizes) some measures of performance. This can also be defined as the
sequence of activities, which will require greatest normal time to accomplish. It
means that the sequences of activities, which require longest duration, are singled
out. It is called at critical path because longest duration is singled out. It is called
as critical path because any delay in performing the activities should be taken
should be taken up first.
ACCORDING TO JOHN L. BURBIDGE, One of the purpose of critical path
analysis to find the sequence of activities with the largest sum of duration times,
and thus find the minimum time necessary to complete the project. This critical
series of activities is known as the CRITICAL PATH.
Under COM, the project is analyzed into different operation or activities and their
relationship are determined and shown on the network diagram. So, first of all a
network diagram is drawn. After this the required time or some other measure of
then combined to develop a schedule which minimizes or maximizes the measure
of performance for each operation. Thus CPM marks critical activities in a project
and concentrates on them. It is based on the assumption that the expected time is
actually the time taken to complete the object.
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
To find the critical path and the minimum duration time for the project as
a whole.
In production planning
(b)
(c)
(d)
Communication network
ADVANTAGES OF CPM
The application of CPM leads to the following advantages:
(i)
It provides an analytical approach to the achievement of project objective
which are defined clearly.
(ii)
It identifies most critical elements and pays more attention to these
activities.
(iii)
It assists avoiding waste of time, energy and money on unimportant
activities.
(iv)
It provides a standard method for communicating project plains, schedules
and cost.
Thus CPM technique is a very useful analysis in production planning of very
large project.
The experiences have shown that the best estimate of time out of several estimates
made by the projects engineer is:
t =
t1 + 4t2 + t3
6
V (t) =
t3 t1
6
Here it is assumed that the time estimate follows the Beta distribution.
(iv)
The next step is the compute the critical path and the slack time. A critical
path or critical sequence of activities is one, which takes the longest time
to accomplish the work and the least slack time
ADVANTAGE OF PERT
PERT is a very important of managerial planning and control at the top
level concerned with overall responsibility of a project. PERT has the following
merits.
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
CONSTRUCTION OF A NETWORK
We may take up a project involving manufacture of a new model car. The
activities involved are in table-1 with their sequential order indicated. The
duration and labour needs are also presented.
Table 1 : New Model car Network Activities
Activity
Letter
Activity Description
Preceding
activities
Duration
(days)
No. of
employees
needed
Start
Nil
---
Design
Build frame
Build doors
D,F
E,H
Paint body
Interior
I,K
Finishing touch
D
G
F
A
H
I
E
C
:ABDG-JKLMN
Route II
:ABFGJKLMN
Route III
:ABHILMN
Route IV
:ABCEILMN
The time duration of the different routes can be worked out by adding together the
time duration of individual activities falling in the respective routes, Accordingly.
Route I involves
8+1+1+2+1+1+1+1 = 8 days
Route II involves
8+3+1+2+1+1+1+1 = 18 days
8+6+3+1+1+1+ = 20 days
Route IV involves
8+2+1+3+1+1+1 = 17 days
Activity
A-B
B-D
D-G
B-F
F-G
G-J
J-K
K-L
B-H
H-I
B-C
C-E
E-I
I-L
K-M
M-N
EST
1
9
10
9
12
13
15
16
9
15
9
11
12
18
9
20
EFT
8
9
10
11
12
14
15
16
14
17
10
11
14
18
19
20
LST
1
12
14
11
14
15
17
18
9
15
12
14
15
18
19
20
LFT
8
13
14
13
14
16
17
18
14
17
13
14
17
18
19
20
Total
(LFT-EFT)
or
(LST-EST)
0
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
3
3
3
0
0
0
Free
Stack
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
(ix)
(x)
You know in the first eight days only B will be takent up requiring every day 3
labours. On the 9th day, C, D, F and H can be taken up requiring a total of 19
labours and D is completed that day. On the 10 th day C,F & H alone are in
progress and C is over gby end of day 10. On the 11 th day E, F and H are in
progress and both E & F are over by end of the day. On 12th day G is taken up as
both the preceding activities D & F are over by now.
And so on as you see in table 3.
Table 3 : Progress of activities and labour needs when activities are
scheduled by EST.
Days
1
3
2
3
3
3
4
3
5
3
6
3
7
3
8
3
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Total 24
Labour
days
per
activity
5
5
7
7
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
10
21
30
2
2
Total
Labour
Needs
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
19
17
15
7
9
9
6
3
3
3
2
2
119
From table-3, you know how much labour is required on day to day basis, (see
last column) and how much is required activity wise (see lat row). You can now
make allocations of human resources to the project.
In the same way, you can find what would be the day-to-day labour needs when
the works are scheduled as per their LSt, table-4 gives the same.
Between 9th and 17th days, there are differences in the daily needs under the two
pattern of job scheduling. During the period 1st 8th day only one critical activity
is in operation and during 18th 20th days too only critical activities are operated.
So, under both scheduling patterns the labour needs are same.
Table 4 : Progress of activities and labour needs when activities are
scheduled by LST.
Days
1
3
2
3
3
3
4
3
5
3
6
3
7
3
8
3
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Total 24
Labour
days
per
activity
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
7
7
7
2
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
2
10
21
30
2
2
Total
Labour
Needs
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
5
5
12
17
19
10
7
7
6
3
2
2
119
Resource leveling means evening out the daily resources needs to the extent
possible. You find that under the EST scheduling the labour needs on 9th thorough
17th days are respectively 19, 17, 15, 7,9,9,6 and 3 persons and under the LST
scheduling, labour needs are 5,5,12,17,19,10,7,7 and 6 persons per day
respectively for the different days.
The daily needs are highly varying. Certain leveling or smoothening or reducing
the variations in daily needs can be attempted. That is what is called as resources
leveling. Why is leveling needed?
The reasons are:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
Resources constraint can be one of the reasons. Say, not more than 12
persons are available on any one day, whereas we need as much as 19
persons on one day. By rescheduling non-critical activities using their
slack times, the above purposes can be served.
Practically speaking, too much needs on some days and too little needs on
other days are not signs of good planning.
Also, disruption in work is more probable when the peaks and through in
resource needs are not ironed out.
Optimum utilization of permanent/owned facilities, avoiding ideal time, is
possible with resource leveling exercises.
Say in our case only 12 labours are available on any one day. Is it possible to
complete the project on time with only 12 persons? May be some rescheduling
can be thought of. The method adopted here is called as heuristic programming.
Heuristic mean rule of thumb that works and a collection of these rules is known
as heuristic programming. One approach of heuristic programming is
rescheduling activities that have larger slack time.
A resource leveling is suggested here. Let us go by LST scheduling given in table
4 for all but activities D and F. Let us advance F utilizing the 3 days slack. That
is we take the work on 9th itself and complete by 11th.
In so doing the labour needs on 9 th ,10th , and 11th days go up to 12 persons each
day and for 12th and 13th days go down to 10 and 12. So, we satisfy the maximum
labour availability condition now.
Further a cosmetic improvement is possible, by advancing D by and day to 12 th
day and by so doing the labour needs for 12th day become 12 and 10 for 13th day.
Now the labour requirements from 9th thorough 14th day become 12, 12, 12, 12, 10
and 10 persons. Definitely this is a better arrangement than the one depicate by
table 4 or table 3 scheduling.
This arrangement also ensures better utilization of permanent employees say 0
persons here. As per LST scheduling on days 9, 10 and 11 there is an avoidable
ideal time. Now, after rearrangement, all are fully utilized on these days. Thus,
there is a saving in the number of hired nonpermanent labours. The saving is to
the extent of 12 days labour. Hence, the need and score for resource leveling.
Corresponding to the Z obtained, from the normal distribution table area under
normal curve is found. From that figure, the probability of completion by the due
date is known.
Tp
10
9
5
5
5
5
Tm
9
4.5
3
3
1.5
1.5
To
2
3
1
1
1
1
(Tp-To) / 6
(10 2) / 6 = 4/3
(9 3) / 6 = 1
(5 1) / 6 = 2/3
(5 1) / 6 = 2/3
(5 1) / 6 = 2/3
(5 1) / 6 = 2/3
16
4 4 4 4
+1 + + + +
9
9 9 9 9
41 6.4
=
=
9
3
=
Z Variate =
22 20 2 3 60
=
=
= 0.9375
6.4 / 3
6.4
64
Area under normal curve corresponding to Z = 0.9375 is equal to = 0.825. That is,
there is a probability of 0.825 or 82.5% that the project would be completed by
22nd day.
The probability computation is helpful in project rescheduling, if need be, where
the P is very small, there is need for speeding up the work through
commissioning more resources or in postponing the due date. Hence the use of
PERT and CPM in project scheduling.
CRASHING PROJECT DURATION THROUGH NETWORK
Sometimes a project has to be completed sooner than the planned time. In our
case the project duration is 20 days. Say, you want o complete the project in 15
days for some pressing reason. Can you? May be you can. By commissioning
extra resources you may be able to achieve this. Why extra cost arises? May be
you have to work overtime incurring double the normal cost per time. May be you
have to hire additional facility paying more than normal hire charges.
Table 5 gives normal time and cost and crash time and cost for the activities of
out car project. The normal cost is Rs. 1,19,000 and the crash cost is Rs. 1,55,750.
But you can complete this in 15 days, the new critical path duration with a cost
less than Rs. 1,55,750. How? You have to proceed methodically.
Table 5 : Normal and Crash time / cost
Activity
Normal
Time (day)
Crash
Cost Rs.
(ii)
Cost Rs.
24,000
30,000
3,000
10,000
11,000
1,000
2,000
0.5
6,000
8,000
3,000
0.5
6,000
6,000
21,000
22,000
1,000
2,000
2,000
---
30,000
36,000
3,000
9,000
15,000
6,000
8,000
9,250
1,250
2,000
0.5
6,000
6,000
3,000
0.5
6,000
6,000
2,000
0.5
4,500
5,000
2,000
2,000
---
1,19,000
(i)
Time
(days)
Cost to
reduce per
day
1,55,750
Find those activities in the critical path (or paths) where time cqan be cut
substantially with minimum extra rupees spent. The goal is greatest
reduction in project time for the least increase in project cost.
You have to work out the cost of crash per day for each activity. This
simply:
LST
EST
Excess
Daily
Outlay
Cumulativ
e Outlay
Daily
Outlay
Cumulativ
e Outlay
Cost Col.
(5) (3)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
1.
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
2.
3,000
6,000
3,000
6,000
3.
3,000
9,000
3,000
9,000
4.
3,000
12,000
3,000
12,000
5.
3,000
15,000
3,000
15,000
6.
3,000
18,000
3,000
18,000
7.
3,000
21,000
3,000
21,000
8.
3,000
24,000
3,000
24,000
9.
5,000
29,000
19,000
43,000
14,000
10.
5,000
34,000
17,000
60,000
26,000
11.
12,000
46,000
15,000
75,000
29,000
12.
17,000
63,000
7,000
82,000
19,000
13.
19,000
82,000
9,000
91,000
9,000
14.
10,000
92,000
9,000
1,00,000
8,000
15.
7,000
99,000
6,000
1,06,000
7,000
16.
7,000
1,06,000
3,000
1,09,000
3,000
17.
6,000
1,12,000
3,000
1,12,000
18.
3,000
1,15,000
3,000
1,15,000
19.
2,000
1,17,000
2,000
1,17,000
20.
2,000
1,19,000
2,000
1,19,000
(1)
During 9th day to 16th day EST scheduling involves higher outlay out LST
scheduling. Going for LST is cost saving.
There would then be large peaks and troughs in the usage of manpower
causing much hiring and firing of personal. It is not easy to hire manpower for
new hours at a time. One would prefer to hire a fixed number of men for the entire
projects, or at least only change the level of workforce occasionally. Resource
scheduling can help by carrying out a resource leveling process.
The purpose of this is to give a fairly lean availability of the basic
resource to be project, allow activities to use their total float in order to keep
within this smooth usage, and when the float is used up, to start using another
layer of availability of the resource. The result is a smooth recommended
resource utilization, which minimizes hiring and firing.
There is some advantage in carrying out resources scheduling backwards
from the end of the project. The question being asked is When must I start in
order to carry out this project? The answer being given is usually Yesterday.
Projects involving assembly processes are sometimes best handled in this way.
One important criterion is the value of investment made in the project
whilst it is in progress. If the delivery of some costly item can be delayed until
near the end of the project (and the payment date), this can be valuable in terms of
interest charge for the money involved. If work is delayed until near the payment
date, any variable in terms of interest charges for the money involved in the work,
particularly if subcontractors are involved, can show a financial gain of the same
kind.
The main objection to scheduling projects backwards from the end, as far
as resource are concerned, is that the high priority items tend to be considered
first in the process, to be sure of fitting them in.
If they are considered first in a backward scheduling process, then they
occur towards the end of the project. This means that there is not very many
margins available if there is a delay on one of the high priority items.
It may be preferable to schedule such projects forwards from the
beginning, but use order. Delivery activities for high cost materials, or for any
items which do not use resources and which can be put off until later in the
projects.
PARALLEL AND SERIAL SCHEDULING
Considerable effort has been expended in the search for mathematically
ideal project scheduling nethods. Thereticians have tried to apply many ofhte
popular techniques to operational research to resource allocation, with sine
success. Linear programming approaches exist which will find the optimum
solution to networks of up to live activities. Mathematical optimization
algorithms tend to over-kill the problem and use more computational resource
than is practical.
Parallel Scheduling
This can be visualized as follows. Imagine a network with several possible
start points. This network is to be schedule on a day-by-day basis through the
project. First we consider day one.
Take all the start activities of the network. Those are all the activities,
which could start at day one. Build an eligibility list consisting of those
activities. Take the activity with the highest priority from the eligibility list. Can it
start yet? Is its earliest start less than or equal to the day we4 are considering? If
so, compare its resource requirements for its nest day with the resource
availability on day one of the project. If all relevant resources are available in
sufficient quantity, Schedule the first day of that activity to occur on the first day
of the project.
If that completes the activity, then include all successor activities into the
eligibility list. Repeat the process for the activity with the next highest priority
from the eligibility list, and so on until all eligible activities have been considered
for that day.
Then move to the next day of the project. Any amounts remaining of
pool resources are rolled over to day two. The actions described in the above
paragraph are repeated for day two scheduled.
Notice that this process works more naturally when the resources available
to a project are limited, and the time available to complete it can be extended
indefinitely.
Serial Scheduling
Serial scheduling considers each activity in turn, rather than each day of
the project in turn. It can be visualized as follows: Consider a two-dimensional
table of resource availabilities. It will have an amount available for every resource
for every day of the project. Against this there is a pre-sequenced list of
activities, which comprise the projects. In addition to its time analysis results,
each activity will have an earliest feasible start figure, which will initially be the
same a sits earliest start.
Each activity is taken from the list of activities in turn. The section of the
resources tables between the activity earliest feasible start and the activity late
finish is scanned to see if the activity ban be scheduled as a whole. If so, it is
scheduled at the first available point.
If not, then if the activity is split able, an attempt is made to fit the activity
in between its earliest feasible start and latest finish in sections. If this is
impossible, an extra layer of resource availability is called in for any resource
which was in inadequate supply, and the process is repeated for the activity, until
it can be fitted in.
If an activity is scheduled at a point later than its early start, the earliest
feasible start of all successor activities are updated to the greater than the finish of
the activity that his just been scheduled. When all this has been done for every
activity in the network, the project has been scheduled.
Notice that this process works more naturally if there is a fixed end date to
the project, but the resources can be exceeded if necessary.
Serial methods are now more popular than parallel methods, for a number
of reasons. Parallel scheduling tends to split activities rather more than serial.
Ideally, a parallel scheduling a algorithm would like to be able to split any activity
into one-day sections, particularly if activities have complex resource
requirements, or resource availability changes during the project.
Parallel schemes are typically heavy users of computer resources, which in
the time taken to carry out a schedule, and in the amount of computer memory
required per activity (which can limit the size of network that can be calculated on
a given computer).
Special Features in Resource Levelling
The above descriptions of the parallel and serial techniques show the basic
method involved in each case. There are many in finements and special features,
which can be added to both processes.
A threshold amount can be associated with each resource, as mentioned
above. This a an additional emergency allocation of the resource which can be
used if the projects about to run behind time. The threshold resource level cuts in
when activities would otherwise be delayed past their latest finish.
Serial leveling schemes sometimes have a feature whereby two project end
dates are specified a desired project end and a project end. Resources are
classified into two sections important and exceedable. If the scheduling
system would have exceeded the availability of an important resource, and (its
threshold level, if there was one), then the activity is allowed to delay itself pats
its latest finish. It is not allowed to delay past its secondary latest finish that is,
the latest finish relative to the maximum project end date.
PROJECT MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE-GENERAL FACTORS
phase I and phase II of a project whereby the connections between one part and
the next run entirely through a single activity (perhaps a decision point as to
whether or not to commerce the second part at all). Then it is very easy very easy
to compute part I first, and then, use the earliest finish of the end of Part I as the
project start of part II.
If there is a definite required end date to the project, as is so often then
case, then that end data can be applied to part II of the project. The latest start of
the first activity of part II can then be applied to part I as a required finish date. To
express the computation of the network in critical path terms, please refer to Fig.
Notice that three computational passes are required to calculate the two networks.
If a program must resort to this kind of subnetting or interfacing in
order to be able to calculate a network of the required size, it will probably not
be operationally efficient.
The number of passes of the data tends to grow rapidly as the number of
independent network sections, and as the number of points of contract between
them increases too.
In general it is unwise to attempt to stretch the capacity of a program in
this way. Better use a tool that will be adequate for the maximum network size
envisaged. Allow an appropriate safety margin for the fact that networks tend to
grow, particularly if there is a computer available to solve them (yet another of
the countless corollaries of Parkinsons first law).
The above comments should not be taken as advice to avoid subnets and
interfaces in general only in those cases where they are forced upon the user by
computer related limitations. It may well be convenient to divide a project into
subnets, provided that the computer program being used can take them in a single
mouthful for calculation purposes.
Generally, subnets can be numbered independently, so that same activity
number or event number can be used in two separate without fear of confusion.
This is particularly helpful when the same general pattern is repeated in different
parts of an overall network for example the installation of pumps occurs many
times in networks describing the construction of an oil refinery. It may be
possible to duplicate one network and include it in many different places.
It may be convenient to assign responsibility for different network
sections to different individuals, particularly if the network is large. Normally
one will allocate a different range of possible activity number to each person
responsible for a network section, but such schemes have been known to go awry.
When they do, the logic is sometimes difficult to disentangle.
Where subnets are used, they must be able to connect at on or more points
into the main network. These connection points are commonly called interfaces.
The activities which are identified as interfaces do share a common numbering
system with the overall network, and so provide connections with it.
The fewer connection points for each subnet, the simpler will be the
evaluation of parts which cross several subnets and hence perhaps more than one
are of responsibility. If each planner working on a projects has activities separated
into his own individual subnet of subnets, he can more easily update the tasks
under his control with progress information, without needing close co-ordination
with his colleagues.
Many computer programs have a quoted limit of 32,000 events for
activity-on-arrow network, or 32,000 activities for precedence networks.
The Particular figure is a common one because it arises as a consequence
of a popular type of computer design. This design tends to group the fundamental
binary bits of which computer memory is constructed into sets of eight at a time.
Two sets of eight makes a conveniently sized storage medium for holding a
sequential activity counter.
Such a counter can count up to 32,767 easily, and with some difficulty can
be persuaded to count up to double that figure. This is why many programs quote
a theoretical limit of 32,000 or 64,000 activities. Nevertheless, the practical
maximum network size may be well below this figure, either because a very large
computer memory could be needed for the program in question to attain such a
maximum, or because calculation time might be unacceptably long.
There may well be several capacity limitations to a given computer
program. There may be different limitation on the network size which can be
handled in resources analysis as opposed to time analysis. This is because
different computation all methods will be used for these two functions. There may
be limits to the number of resources which can be processed per projects, and
limits to the number of resources which any one activity can be specified as using.
FACTORS INFLUENCING PRICE OF PROJECT SOFTWARE
The main factors affecting the price of computer programs are:
1. The maximum network size, which can be computed.
2. The kind of data which can be handle (arrow, precedence, arrow and
precedence, resources, costs, materials and other associated data)
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
LESSON 14
PROJECT REVIEW
OBJECTIVES
1.
2.
3.
PROJECT REVIEW
Project review is an important aspect in the process of planning. Every
socio-economic programmes needs to be assessed for its results. One can say that
the need for and importance of review of planned programmes was realized and
stressed along with the initiation of the planning exercise itself.
Review is an important tool to identify the shortcomings during the entire
implementation period and to develop or initiate corrective actions to improve the
delivery and administrative purposes. Such studies answer question like: whether
the project is implemented in the ways specified; whether the methods, process,
procedures etc. adopted are appropriate to achieve the set goal; whether the
personnel are sufficiently motivated, trained and adequate for the success of the
project. Similarly, the project evaluation studies are conducted for assessing the
impact of the project and also to examine the project efficiency.
Thus the role, function, objective and purpose and of Project Review is not
only to help, guide, direct and aid the planners, project sponsors, policy
formulators but also help the administrators, executives, scholars and
academicians. In review, the most fundamental task is the formulation of criteria
of review and also determination of the time for the study. On the basis of these
criteria of Review and also determination of the time for the study. On the basis of
these criteria the results or outcome of the projects are assessed.
Review/Evaluation process essentially involves some important steps viz.
Data collection, estimation of cost benefits and profitability of the project and
comparing it with the required rate of return to decide acceptance or non
acceptance of the project. Data collection may be made both from secondary
sources or published documents viz. company balance sheets, government
publications, publications of independent research bodies or industrial association
as well as from primary sources like the industry and market.
Once the data is collected, it is necessary to shift the same for eliminating
the irrelevant and retain only the significant information. On the basis of the data
collected and collated an estimate may be prepared of the cost of the project
starting from cost of the land and building and going through elements like cost of
plant going through elements like cost of plant and machinery, duties, and taxes,
working capital needs, estimated pre-operative expenses and contingencies to
arrive at an estimate of total cost of the project.
Once the cost of the project is estimated, it is necessary to make certain
assumption as regards the schedule of implementation, capacity build-up of
production, cost of raw material, other related costs, realizable selling prices etc.
in order to arrive at the returns and the profitability of the project.
A comparison of the estimated and required profitability will form the
basis of selection or rejection of the project. What constitutes estimate/required
profit ability? It really depend on the nature and focus of project evaluation.
Project review is the final phase of Project Management. The various
facets of project review are
Initial review
Performance evaluation
Abandonment analysis
Behavioural issues in project abandonment
Administrative aspects of capital budgeting
Evaluating the capital budgeting system of an organization.
INITIAL REVIEW
It is the first stage in the project review process. The initial review of a
project is of two types.
-
Performance Evaluation
While the post audit is typically a one-time exercise, performance
evaluation is done periodically. It seeks to measure the performance of the project
on an ongoing basis.
Performance evaluation may be done in terms of economic rate of return
or book return on investment.
Economic rate of return for a given year =
Abandonment analysis
Ordinarily a project is analyzed on ht assumption that the firm will operate
it for a given period. Often, however, it may be possible to abandon the project
before this period. This possibility of abandonment, when considered explicitly in
project analysis, may change the decision itself. A detailed discussion about this
analysis is given in the project control techniques paper. (Please refer)
A basic rule of capital budgeting says that investment decisions should be
guided by the net present value criterion. Applied to a project continuation versus
abandonment decision, this rule says the project must be abandoned if the net
present value associated with abandonment is greater than the net present value
associated with continuation is greater than the net present value associated with
abandonment.
Administrative aspects of capital budgeting
The discussion of administrative aspects of capital budgeting has been
organized as follows:
-
classification of investments
submission of proposals
decision making
implementation
performance review
The relationship between the firm and its environment should be regularly
analyzed, corporate plans and perspectives must be widely shared, and the
creativity and imagination of the employees must be tapped. To generate ideas,
suggestion schemes are usually recommended.
Classification
The classification of project proposals refers to the grouping of similar
proposals into separate categories. Classification helps in decision making,
budgeting, and control.
Submission of proposals
To ensure that all relevant information for proposals is gathered
systematically, a standardized proposal form may be used by all the sponsors of
investment projects.
The proposal form before it reaches the capital budgeting committed
should normally be routed through persons who can comment on the estimates
furnished by the sponsor. The routing channel, however, cannot be standardized.
It will vary from one organization to another and, perhaps, from one proposal to
another.
Routing a proposal through several persons provides a mechanism for
obtaining the views and judgments of others. This also facilitates coordination of
inter-related activities. Obviously this system would yield benefits only when the
persons through whom the proposal is routed give thought to it rather than merely
forward it in a routine manner.
Decision Making
The optimal capital budget for the firm as a whole can be drawn up only
when capital investment decisions are completely centralized. In most cases,
decentralization is required to facilitate quick decisions, develop executives, and
conserve top management time for important natters. That is why most of the
companies empower executives at different levels to take investment decisions
involving outlays up to certain limits.
Preparation of Capital Budget and Appropriation
Smaller projects which can be approved at lower levels may be covered by
a blanket appropriation so that they can be undertaken expeditiously. Projects of
larger magnitude may be included after approval in the tentative capital budget.
The final capital budget, which serves as the basis of budgetary appropriations,
should be drawn up after the availability of funds is ensured. Often careful
planning of funds is required before budgetary appropriations are made.
Implementation
Delays in implementation and consequent increases in project cost are
very common. In many cases over-runs have been between 30 per cent and 100
per cent. These facts emphasize the need for expeditious implementation at a
reasonable cost. For this the following points are helpful:
Performance Review
Performance review is meant for evaluating actual performance vis--vis
projected performance. It is concerned with the verification of assumptions
regarding both revenues and costs.
REVIEW PROCESS
Project can be reviewed in different dimensions. Essentially it has to be
evaluated from the marking technical, financial and commercial (Profitability)
dimensions. Let us discuss briefly all these dimensions of project review.
Financial Review
The financial reviews seek to determine the:
1) Reasonableness of the estimate of capital cost.
2) Reasonableness of the estimate of working results
3) Adequacy of the rate of return.
4) Appropriateness of the financing pattern
ii)
iii)
iv)
v)
Adequacy of Rate of Return: The general norms for financial desirability are as
follows:
1.
15 per cent
2.
Return on investment
3.
1.5 to 2.0
2.
Among the three methods of assessing cash flow stream. The total funds point of
view method from which a project may be evaluated and defined the measures of
cash flow stream applicable to these points of view.
Financial institutions view a project from the total funds point of view: Let us see
how the cash flow stream defined by them compares with the cash flow stream
applicable to the total funds points of view.
Cash flow stream defined Cash flow stream (total
by financial institutions
funds of view method)
1. Initial flow
2. Operating flow
3. Terminal flow
Debt Service Coverage Ratio: The debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) has been
defined as
The calculation done by the financial institutions is however slightly
different. In their calculation the DSCR of each year is determined separately and
then the arithmetic average of these yearly DSCR is taken. In symbols, the overall
DSCR as calculated by the financial institutions is as follows:
It may be noted that the DSCR, as calculated by the financial institutions
is either to or greater than the DSCR as calculated by Eq. A given above.
Refinements in Financial Evaluation:
The financial evaluation that is presently done may be strengthened by a
systematic analysis of risk and inflation.
Risk analysis: The ten year projection and subsequent analysis based on them is
done under a single set of assumptions. In view of the risks characterizing
investment projects it is advisable to look at the possible variations in the key
factors and examine their impact on profitability. For this purpose, the techniques
of sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis should be employed routinely. In
addition, the technique of montre earlo simulation may be employed for projects
involving substantial commitments and considerable risks.
Inflation analysis: Typically, financial projections are based are based on current
prices/costs. Implicit in this procedure is the assumption to move in random.
Where different inflation rates are applicable to various items of revenues and
costs, the same should be explicitly incorporated in financial evaluation.
Better monitoring: While Project Monitoring and control is done reasonably
during the implementation stage, it is done less effectively during the operational
stages. This may be because of lack of adequate personnel and should monitor the
needs of a large number of projection and continuing basis. Given the importance
of monitoring and control during the operational stage it may be necessary to
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
Technical Review
The technical review done by the financial institution focuses mainly on the
following aspects.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Project mix
Capacity
Process of manufacture
Engineering know-how and technical collaboration
Raw materials and consumables
Location and site
Building
Plant and equipments
Break-even point
2.
3.
2.
3.
4.
5.
EVALUATING
THE
ORGANIZATION
PROJECT
MANAGEMENT
OF
AN
Techniques
Communication
Decentralization
Intelligibility
Control
Review
Do-it-yourself Trap
Cost is the prime factor relating the project management performance.
Many people would feel to do everything themselves to bring down cost. This sort
of thinking often results in the owner trying to do a project all on his own. Owners
use to engage a team to manage his project, engage labour contractors for
construction and supervise the design, procurement and construction work all by
himself. This policy maximizes the time and cost overrun. It imposes a heavy land
of co-ordination on a working group. The cost of having enough experience
outweighs any apparent advantage in ones handling the project all on ones own.
Turn-key Trap
Those who dont have adequate expertise, often decide to use the turn-key
approach for efficient execution of a project. The owner expects that, the turn-key
contractor can take care of all the troubles of project execution and hand over the
key to the owner, when the plant is ready of operation. Some people believe that,
this is the surest way to complete the project not only in the shortest possible time
but also at least cost. But, the lessons fro turn-key contract say that, if the owner
does not select the right contractor, there will be no end of trouble for him.
The CM and DM companies
The owner, when he is not doing things himself, needs someone who is
not working for profit. These are the CM (Construction Management) and DM
(Design Management) companies. These companies work as the owners agents
for a fee and have the owners interest uppermost in mind. They do not gain any
profit from the sale of hardware; they earn a fee from the sale of their services and
their fee represents a small precent of the project cost. As owners interest is,
therefore, likely to be best sewed and the project cost is likely to be the lowest,
when the project is handled by a competent CM or DM company.
CONCLUSION
Thus, the responsibility of the review authority lies in balancing
judiciously different consideration for arriving at a proper decision. There can be
readymade formulae, by using which a term loan proposal can be pronounced as
acceptable or otherwise. Decision making in this area calls for full appreciation of
all relevant factors and sound judgment based on experience.
SELF ASSESSMENT QUESTIONS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
LESSON 15
PROJECT AUDIT
Professional management of project needs a methodology tp carry out a regular
check as to whether the project is progressing as scheduled, in scope and in time.
In other words, a good system of project audit will go a long way in facilitating
prompt and effective project implementation.
Project audit as a formal and systematic examination of the performance of an
ongoing project as compared to its requirements. It involves measurement against
predefined and relevant standards. It also constitute and independent and
authentic source of information and critique on the project and might often call
for the auditors personal judgment. Without impinging on enterprise
managements prerogative and responsibility, it supports management in
diagnosis and decision-making.
OBJECTIVES OF PROJECT AUDIT
The objectives of project auditing can be viewed in terms of the help it renders to
the enterprise management in:
Creating awareness among the project staff of the types and
magnitude of the problems that are likely to be encountered in
completing the project and producing quality products, in planned
volume and at competitive costs.
Providing a clean picture, from time to time, of the actual status of
the project.
prompt identification of the factors that might cause product
quality problems or lead to time and/or cost overruns
timely spotting of a variety of generic problems that are associated
with execution of projects.
Enabling the creation of a good information base for a proper
estimation and costing of the project.
Assisting in the establishment of appropriate standards and system
and recommending suitable work techniques;
Identifying the specific training needs with references to the
project tasks; and
Formalizing the experience and expertise in project management in
order to be able to provide consultancy services to other
enterprises.
The project auditor has to investigate the underlying records. Ascertain the
tangible results of work done, look at the process and caliber of project
management, examine the projecxt methodology and techniques and et a clear
picture of rthe project organization and controls. Having gone through the above
aspects, he has to express his comments deliberately one the following lines:
1.
2.
3.
4.
The project audit report on current status covers aspects of project cost
performance, projects performance in relation to schedule, progress performance
quality performance compliance with work commitments and compliance with
managements expectations.
Statement on progress performance compares the work done with related costs
and highlights deviations from the financial assumptions made at the time of
planning the project. A separate report focuses on the quality of performance of
the project to enable revisions or modification of methods or work or control
mechanisms.
In the light of the progress to date, the forecast of the project status for future time
periods or milestones has to be made and compared with contract or work
commitments and management expectations. These reflect the project auditors
considered conclusions assuming the observed trends persist, except to the extent
that some observable trends of improvements are reckoned.
Aspects of particular significance that require management attention should be
identified and reported. Observed and existing weakness or deficiencies that are
bound to undermine the progress and outcome of the project, unless prompt and
effective managerial actions are taken, come for special mention.
Some of the possible occurrences or events, that have some probability of
occurrence, have to be interpreted in terms of adverse effects on the contractor or
customers or other interested parties. The management can then consider possible
actions to protect the interests of those likely to be affected. Mounting project
costs may lead to pricing decisions that will impair the financial results of the
clients.
If the management has special expectations from the project audit these have to be
listed out. The contractual documents and agreements have to be studies and their
adequacy assessed. The commitments of the owner or management in respect of
providing infrastructure or other facilities also have to be studies and the impact
of inadequacy, if any, in this regard on projects success has to be assessed. The
projects organization, administration, record keeping and controls also come for
scrutiny.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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