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China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
-
; also known as CPEC) is an economic corridor
comprising a collection of projects currently under construction at a cost of $51 billion.* [1] CPEC aims to facilitate trade along an overland route that connects Kashgar
and Gwadar, through the construction of a network of
highways, railways, and pipelines.* [2]* [3]
1 History
Plans for a corridor stretching from the Chinese border
to Pakistan's deep water ports on the Arabian Sea date
back to the 1950s, and motivated construction of the
1
Karakoram Highway beginning in 1959.* [29] Chinese interest in Pakistan's deep-water harbour at Gwadar had
been rekindled by 1998 and in 2002 China began construction at Gwadar port which was completed in 2006.
Expansion of Gwadar Port then ceased thereafter owing to political instability in Pakistan following the fall
of General Pervez Musharraf and subsequent conict between the Pakistani state and Baloch militants.* [30]
Gwadar forms the crux of the CPEC project, as it is envisaged to be the link between China's ambitious One
Belt, One Road project, and its Maritime Silk Road
project.* [51] In total, more than $1 billion worth of
On 12 August 2015 in the city of Karamay, China and projects are to be developed around the port of Gwadar
Pakistan signed 20 more agreements worth $1.6 billion by December 2017.
to further augment the scale and scope of CPEC.* [39]
Details of the plan are opaque,* [40] but are said to mainly
2.1 Gwadar Port Complex
focus on increasing energy generation capacity.* [41] As
part of the agreement, Pakistan and China have agreed to
Main article: Gwadar Port
co-operate in the eld of space research.* [42]
In September and October 2015, the government of the
Initial infrastructure works at Gwadar Port commenced
United Kingdom announced two separate grants to the
in 2002 and were completed in 2007,* [30] however
3
plans to upgrade and expand Gwadar's port stalled. Under CPEC agreement, Gwadar Port will initially be expanded and upgraded to allow for docking of larger ships
with deadweight tonnage of up to 70,000.* [52] Improvement plans also include construction of a $130 million
breakwater around the port,* [53] as well as the construction of a oating liqueed natural gas facility that
will have a capacity of 500 million cubic feet of liquied natural gas per day and will be connected to the
Gwadar-Nawabshah segment of the IranPakistan gas
pipeline.* [54]
2.2
The CPEC project envisages major upgrades and overhauls to Pakistan's transportation infrastructure. Under
the CPEC project, China has announced nancing for
$10.63 billion worth of transportation infrastructure so
far; $6.1 billion have been allocated for constructing
Early Harvestroadway projects at an interest rate of 1.6
percent.* [68] The remainder of funds will be allocated
when the Pakistani government awards contracts for construction of road segments which are still in the planning
phase.
Three corridors have been identied for cargo transport: the Eastern Alignment though the heavily populated provinces of Sindh and Punjab where most industries are located, the Western Alignment through the
less developed and more sparsely populated provinces
of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, and the future Central Alignment which will pass through Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab, and Balochistan.* [69]
The city of Gwadar is further being developed by the construction of a 300MW coal power plant, a desalinisation 3.1 Karakoram Highway reconstruction
plant, and a new 300 bed hospital.* [65] Plans for Gwadar
city also include construction of the East Bay Expressway Main article: Reconstruction of the Karakoram Highway
a 19 kilometre controlled-access road that will connect
3 ROADWAY PROJECTS
tions of the N-35 around these projects will be completely
rebuilt in tandem with dam construction.* [77] In the interim, this section of the N-35 is currently being upgraded
from its current state until dam construction commences
in full force at a later date. Improvement projects on this
section are expected to be completed by January 2017 at
a cost of approximately $72 million.* [78]* [79] The next
335 kilometres of roadway connect Raikot to the ChinaPakistan border. Reconstruction works on this section
of roadway preceded the CPEC, and were initiated after severe damage to roadways in the area following the
2010 Pakistan oods. Most of this section of roadway
was completed in September 2012 at a cost of $510 million.* [80]
3.3
Western Alignment
3.3
Western Alignment
At the southern terminus of the new Brahma BahtarYarik motorway, the N50 National Highway will also
The CPEC project envisages an expanded and upgraded be upgraded between Dera Ismail Khan in Khyber
RAILWAY PROJECTS
4 Railway projects
3.4
3.4.1
The 184 kilometre long M-4 Motorway between Faisalabad and Multan does not fall under the scope of CPEC
projects, but is nevertheless considered vital to the CPEC
transportation project. It will instead be nanced by the
Asian Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure
Investment Bank,* [99] and will be the rst project jointly
nanced by those banks.* [121] Further funding comes
from an additional $90.7 million grant announced in October 2015 by the government of the United Kingdom
towards the construction of portion of the M4 Motorway
Phase 1 of the ML-1 overhaul and reconstruction is highlighted
project.* [122]
black between Peshawar and Multan. Overhauling and recon-
The Karakoram Highway south of the city of Mansehra struction of the line will allow trains to travel at up to 160 kilowill also be upgrade into a controlled-access highway to metres per hour.
ocially be known as the E-35 expressway. While it
4.2
7
Upgrading of the railway line will permit train travel at
speeds of 160 kilometres per hour, versus the average
60 to 105 km per hour speed currently possible on existing track,* [134] and is expected to increase Pakistan
Railways' annual revenues by approximately $480 million.* [129]* [135] The upgrades are also expected to cut
transit times from Karachi to Peshawar by half.* [136]
Pakistani railways currently account for 4% of freight
trac in the country, and upon completion of CPEC,
Pakistani railways are expected to transport 20% of the
country's freight trac by 2025.* [137]
The CPEC project emphasises major upgrades to Pakistan's ageing railway system, including rebuilding of the
entire Main Line 1 railway between Karachi and Peshawar by 2020;* [128] this single railway currently handles 70% of Pakistan Railways trac.* [129] In addition
to the Main Line 1 railway, upgrades and expansions are
slated for the Main Line 2 railway, Main Line 3 railway.
The CPEC plan also calls for completion of a rail link
over the 4,693-meter high Khunjerab Pass. The railway
will provide direct access for Chinese and East Asian
goods to Pakistani seaports at Karachi and Gwadar by
2030.* [129]
Procurement of an initial 250 new passenger coaches, and
reconstruction of 21 train stations are also planned as part
of the rst phase of the project bringing the total investment in Pakistan's railway system to approximately
$5 billion by the end of 2019.* [130] 180 of the coaches
are to be built at the Pakistan Railways Carriage Factory
near Islamabad,* [131] while the Government of Pakistan
intends to procure an additional 800 coaches at a later
date, with the intention of building 595 of those coaches
in Pakistan.* [131]
4.1
At the time of CPEC's announcement, the ML-1 consisted of mostly dual track railway between Karachi, and
the Lahore suburb of Shahdara, with long stretches of single track. From Shahdara, the track mainly consisted of a
single track until the city Peshawar. Construction works
to dualize the entire track between Karachi to Shahdara
were completed and inaugurated in January 2016.* [139]
As part of the rst phase of the CPEC railway project,
the remaining stretch of track between Shahdara and Peshawar is to upgraded to a dual track railway.* [140]
The 676 kilometer portion between Lalamusa, north of
Lahore, and Peshawar will require complete reconstruction with the addition of tunnels, culverts, and bridges,
while over 900 kilometers south of Lalamusa towards
Karachi will be upgraded to handle cars with a 25-ton
axle load capacity.* [141] A spur from Taxila to Havelian
will also be constructed, with a dry port to be established near the city of Havelian.* [142] Further, the entire length of track will have computerised signal systems,
with stretches of track in urban areas to also be fenced o
to prevent pedestrians and vehicles from crossing tracks
in unauthorised areas.* [143]
4.3
The cost of the entire project is estimated to be approximately $12 billion, and will require 5 years for completion. A 300 million rupee study to establish nal feasibility of constructing the rail line between Havelian and the
Chinese border is already underway.* [153] A preliminary
feasibility study was completed in 2008 by the Austrian
engineering rm TBAC.* [154]
4.5
Khunjerab Railway
5.2
Coal
Projects in Sindh
The Shanghai Electric company of China will construct two 660MW power plants as part of the TharIproject in the Thar coaleld of Sindh province,
while Thar-llwill be developed by a separate consortium.* [171]* [172] The facility will be powered by locally
sourced coal,* [173] and is expected to be put into commercial use in 2018.* [174] Pakistan's National Electric
Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) has agreed to purchase electricity from both Thar-l and Thar-ll at a tari
of 8.50 US cents/kWh for the rst 330 MW of electricity, 8.33 US cents/kWh for the next 660 MW, and 7.99
US cents/kWh for the next 1,099 MW as further phases
are developed.* [175]* [176]
10
the city of Gwadar, and is being nanced by a 0% interest someEarly Harvestprojects will not be complete unloan.* [65]
til 2020, the government of Pakistan plans to add approximately 10,000 MW of energy-generating capacity
to Pakistan's electric grid by 2018 through the completion
of projects which complement CPEC. Although not o5.3 Liquied natural gas
cially under the scope of CPEC, the 1,223 MW Balloki
Liqueed natural gas power LNG projects are also con- power plant, and the 1,180 MW Bhakki powerplants are
*
*
sidered vital to CPEC. The Chinese government has an- also under construction, [195] [197] which along with
nounced its intention to build a $2.5 billion 711 kilo- the under-construction 969 MW NeelumJhelum Hymetre long liquid natural gas pipeline from Gwadar to dropower Plant and 1,410 MW Tarbela IV Extension
Nawabshah in province as part of CPEC.* [190] The Project will result in an additional 10,000 MW being
pipeline is designed to be a part of the 2,775 kilometre added to Pakistan's electricity grid by 2018 by a com*
long IranPakistan gas pipeline, with the 80 kilometre bination of CPEC and non-CPEC projects. [198] A furportion between Gwadar and the Iranian border to be con- ther 1,000 MW of electricity will be imported to Pakistan
nected when sanctions against Tehran are eased; Iran has from Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as part of the CASAalready completed a 900 kilometre long portion of the 1000 project, which is expected to be completed in late
2018.* [199]
pipeline on its side of the border.* [18]
The Pakistani portion of the pipeline is to be constructed by the state-owned China Petroleum Pipelines
Bureau.* [191] It will be 42 inches in diameter, and have
the capacity to transport 1 billion cubic feet of liquied
natural gas every day, with an additional 500 million cubic feet of additional capacity when the planned o-shore
LNG terminal is also completed* [192] The project will
not only provide gas exporters with access to the Pakistani market, but will also allow China to secure a route
for its own imports.* [193]
The project should not be confused with the $2 billion
1,100 kilometre North-South Pipeline liquied natural
gas pipeline which is to be constructed with Russian assistance between Karachi and Lahore with anticipated completion by 2018.* [194] Nor should it be confused with the
planned $7.5 billion TAPI Pipeline which is a planned
project involving Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan,
and India.
Other LNG projects are currently under construction with
Chinese assistance and nancing that will augment the
scope of CPEC, but are neither funded by nor ocially
considered a part of CPEC. The 1,223MW Balloki Power
Plant is currently under construction near Kasur, and
is being constructed by China's Harbin Electric Company with nancing from the China's EXIM bank, is one
such example. In October 2015, Prime Minister Nawaz
Sharif also inaugurated construction of the 1,180MW
Bhikhi Power Plant near Sheikhupura,* [195] which is to
be jointly constructed by China's Harbin Electric Company and General Electric from the United States.* [196]
It is expected to be Pakistan's most ecient power plant,
and will provide enough power for an estimated 6 million
homes.* [196]
5.4
6.1 Agriculture
The long-term plan for the period 2025-30 during the
CPEC summit held in Islamabad on August 30, 2016.
The plan includes coperation over livelihood, water resources, livestock, people-to-people communications and
nancial matters. Under the plan, agricultural information project, storage and distribution of agricultural
equipment and construction project, agricultural mechanisation, demonstration and machinery leasing project
and fertiliser production project for producing 800,000
tons of fertiliser and 100,000 tons of bio-organic fertiliser
will be implemented.* [203]* [204]
7.2
11
that contractors arrived on site soon after the loan received nal approval.* [76]
The China Development Bank will nance the $920 million towards the cost of reconstruction of the 487 kilomeIn May 2016, construction began on the $44 million 820 ter portion of the Karakoram Highway between Burhan
kilometer long Pakistan-China Fiber Optic Project, an and Raikot.* [217]* [218] An addition $1.26 billion will
optical ber cable that will enhance telecommunication be lent by the China Exim Bank for the construction
in the Gilgit-Baltistan region, while oering Pakistan a of the Havelian to Thakot portion of this 487 kilometer
fth route by which to transmit telecommunication traf- stretch of roadway,* [74]* [219] to be dispersed as lowc.* [209]
interest rate concessionary loans.* [76]
6.3
tion
7.1
Project nancing
In September 2015, the government of China also announced that the $230 million Gwadar International AirThe loan money would be used to nance projects which
port project would no longer be nanced by loans, but
are planned and executed by the Pakistani government.
would instead be constructed by grants which the gov*
Portions of the approximately $6.6 billion [87] Karachi
ernment of Pakistan will not be required to repay.* [211]
*
Lahore Motorway are already under construction. [214]
The $2.9 billion phase which will connect the city of Multan to the city of Sukkur over a distance of 392 kilometres
7.3 Loans to private consortia
has also been approved,* [215] with 90% of costs to be
nanced by the Chinese government at concessionary interest rates, while the remaining 10% is to be nanced by $15.5 billion worth of energy projects are to be conthe Public Sector Development Programme of the Pak- structed by joint Chinese-Pakistani rms, rather than by
istani government.* [216] In May 2016, the $2.9 billion the governments of either China or Pakistan. The Exim
loan were given nal approvals required prior to disburse- Bank of China will nance those investments at 56%
ment of the funds were given by the Government of the interest rates, while the government of Pakistan will be
electricity from those
People's Republic of China on May 4, 2016, and will be contractually obliged to purchase
*
[157]
rms
at
pre-negotiated
rates.
*
concessionary loans with an interest rate of 2.0%. [76]
The National Highway Authority of Pakistan reported As an example, the 1,223MW Balloki Power Plant does
12
8 GEOSTRATEGIC IMPACT
7.4
8.3
13
14
CPEC will provide China an alternative and shorter route
for energy imports from the Middle East, thereby reducing shipping costs and transit times. The currently available sea-route to China is roughly 12,000 kilometres long,
while the distance from Gwadar Port to Xinjiang province
is approximately 3,000 kilometres, with another 3,500
kilometres from Xinjiang to China's eastern coast.* [245]
As a result of CPEC, Chinese imports and exports to
the Middle East, Africa, and Europe would require much
shorter shipment times and distances.
8 GEOSTRATEGIC IMPACT
The heads of various Central Asian republics have expressed their desire to connect their infrastructure networks to the CPEC project via China. During the August
2015 visit of Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to
Kazakhstan, the Kazakh Prime Minister Karim Massimov, conveyed Kazakhstan's desire to link its road network to the CPEC project.* [262] During the November 2015 visit of Tajikistan President Emomali Rahmon to Pakistan, the Tajik premier also expressed his
government's desire to join the Quadrilateral Agree8.4 A route to circumvent Afghanistan
ment on Trac in Transit to use CPEC as a conduit
for imports and exports to Tajikistan by circumventing
Negotiations to provide an alternate route to the Central
Afghanistan;* [263] the request received political backing
Asian republics by way of China predate the announceby the Pakistani Prime Minister.* [263]
ment of CPEC. The AfghanistanPakistan Transit Trade
Agreement of 2010 provided Pakistan access to Central With the advent of CPEC-related infrastructure projects,
Asia via Afghanistan, however, the full agreement has transit times between Kashgar and Pakistan's coast will
yet to be fully implemented. The Quadrilateral Agree- be greatly reduced, which in turn will also reduce tranment on Trac in Transit(QATT) was rst devised in sit times to the Kyrgyzstan and hydrocarbon-rich Kaza1995, and signed in 2004 by the governments of China, khstan through already existing overland routes. The
Pakistan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan to facilitate tran- Chinese government has already upgraded the road linksit trade between the various countries, with no inclu- ing Kashgar to Osh in Kyrgyzstan via the Kyrgyz town
sion of Afghanistan.* [257] Despite signing of the QATT, of Erkeshtam while a railway between Urumqi, China
the agreements full potential was never realised, largely and Almaty, Kazakhstan has also been completed as part
on account of poor infrastructure links between the four of China's One Belt One Road initiative.* [264] Numerous land crossings already exist between Kazakhstan and
countries prior to the announcement of CPEC.
China as well. Additionally, the Chinese government
During the visit of Afghan President Ashraf Ghani to
has announced plans to lay railway track from Tashkent,
India in April 2015, he stated We will not proUzbekistan, towards Kyrgyzstan with onwards connecvide equal transit access to Central Asia for Pakistani
tions to China and Pakistan.* [265] Further, the Pamir
trucksunless the Pakistani government included India
Highway already provides Tajikistan access to Kashgar
as part of the 2010 AfghanistanPakistan Transit Trade
via the Kulma Pass. These crossings complement the
*
Agreement. [258] The Transit Trade Agreement proCPEC project to provide Central Asian states access
vides Afghanistan access to the Port of Karachi to conto Pakistan's deepwater ports by completely bypassing
duct export trade with India, and allows Afghan goods to
Afghanistan a country which has been ravaged by civil
be transited up to any border of Pakistan, but does not
war and political instability since the late 1970s.
guarantee Afghan trucks the right to traverse the Wagah
Border, nor does the agreement permit Indian goods to
be exported to Afghanistan via Pakistan.* [259] Owing to
continued tensions between India and Pakistan, the Pak- 8.6 Comparison to Chabahar Port
istani government expressed reluctance to include India
in any trade negotiations with Afghanistan, and as a re- In May 2016, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi
sult, little progress was made between the Afghan and and his counterpart, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani,
signed a series of twelve agreements in Tehran, in which
Pakistani sides.
In February 2016, the Pakistani government signalled its India oered to refurbish one of Chabahar's ten existing
and reconstruct another berth the Port of Chabaintention to completely bypass Afghanistan in its quest to berths,
*
har,
[266]
in order to allow Indian goods to be exported
access Central Asia by announcing its intent to revive the
to
Iran,
with
the possibility of onward connections to
QATT so that Central Asian states could access Pakistani
Afghanistan
and
Central Asia.* [267] A section of the
*
ports via Kashgar instead of Afghanistan, [260] thereby
counter to the Chinaallowing the Central Asian republics to access Pakistan's Indian media described it as a
*
[268]
although the total
Pakistan
Economic
Corridor,
deep water ports without having to rely on a politically unmonetary
value
of
projects
has
been
noted
to be signistable Afghanistan as a transit corridor. In early March
*
[269]
cantly
less
than
that
of
CPEC.
2016, the Afghan government reportedly acquiesced to
Pakistani requests to use Afghanistan as a corridor to As part of the twelve memorandums of understanding
Tajikistan, after having dropped demands from recipro- signed by Indian and Iranian delegations as per text released by India's Ministry of External Aairs, India will
cal access to India via Pakistan.* [261]
15
not nished,and that Iran would welcome the inclusion
of both Pakistan and China in the project.* [288] While
clarifying that Chabahar Port would not be a rival or enemy to Pakistan's Gwadar Port,* [289] he further stated
that Pakistan and China had both been invited to conChina nor
Under the agreement, India Ports Global will refurbish tribute to the project before India, but neither
*
*
Pakistan
had
expressed
interest
in
joining.
[290]
[291]
a 640 meter long container handling facility, and recon*
struct a 600 meter long berth at the port. [266] India further agreed to extend a $400 million line of credit to be
8.6.1 Security issues
used for the import of steel for the construction of a rail
*
link between Chabahar and Zahedan, [274] while India's
Afghanistan's politically instability could limit the potenIRCON and Iran's Construction, Development of Transtial usefulness of transit corridors to population centers
port and Infrastructure Company signed a memorandum
near Kabul or Kandahar,* [292] as those routes traverse
of understanding regarding the construction and nance
southern and eastern Afghanistan, where the Taliban is
of the Chabahar to Zahedan rail line at a cost of $1.6 bilmost active.* [293] The Chabahar plan relies upon con*
lion. [275]
nections to the Afghan Ring Road.* [294] By August
India's Highways and Shipping Minister, Nitin Gadkari 2016, the Taliban was noted to have captured large
suggested that the free trade zone in Chabahar had the swathes of land in Helmand Province, and threatened
potential to attract upwards of $15 billion worth of in- to capture the provincial capital of Lashkar Gah,* [295]
vestment in the future,* [276] although he stated that such which lies on the portion of the Afghan Ring Road coninvestments are predicated upon Iran oering India nat- necting Chabahar to Kandahar and Kabul. As a result,
ural gas at a rate of $1.50 per million British Thermal portions of the Afghan Ring Road were closed due to
Units,* [277] which is substantially lower than the rate Taliban insurgent activity.* [296] Also in August 2016,
of $2.95 per million British Thermal Units oered by the Taliban claimed responsibility for an attack which
Iran.* [278] The two countries also signed a memoran- left twelve foreign tourists dead as they were traveling
dum of understanding to explore the possibility of setting on an alternative route to the Afghan Ring Road, beup an aluminum smelter at a cost of $2 billion,* [279] as tween Kabul and Herat.* [297] In September 2016, Iran's
well as establishing a urea processing facility in Chahba- president Hassan Rouhani expressed his country's inhar,* [280] although these investments are also contingent terest in joining CPEC during a meeting with Nawaz
upon Iran supplying low-cost natural gas for operation of Sharif.* [298]
those facilities.* [281]
oer a $150 million line of credit extended by the Exim
Bank of India,* [270] while India Ports Global also signed
a contract with Iran's Aria Banader to develop berths at
the port,* [271] at a cost of $85 million * [272] over the
course of 18 months.* [273]
9 Security
16
occasionally exchanged re across the Line of Control,* [309]* [310] although no CPEC project is located
near the Line of Control. Chinese intelligence agencies
reportedly also shared information with Pakistani authorities regarding alleged eorts by the India's Research and
Analysis Wing to subvert the project.* [311]* [311]
10
10.5
10.4
17
Concerns expressed by Gwadar resi- nese Premier dismissed the concerns, describing CPEC
as a commercial project* [340] that would not target
dents
any third party.* [341]
While nationalists openly oppose CPEC, some local leaders and residents of Gwadar city have also expressed concern in regards to the project the head of Gwadar's local sherman association stated in an interview with NBC
News that Development is good, China is our great
friend, this CPEC thing sounds amazing, but don't forget
that this is our land, rst.* [329] Other residents doubt
they will see any of the benets promised by CPEC, while
others fear they will be evicted from their homes in order
to make way for infrastructure works.* [330]
In response to concerns of local residents, Lt. General
Amer Riaz who heads security operations in the province,
stated that locals would not be deprived of benets, and
that local Gwadar residents would havethe rst right to
everything.* [331] Pakistan's Minister of Planning, National Reforms, and Development, Ahsan Iqbal, further
stated in May 2016 that Gwadar residents would be regarded as main stakeholdersin the city's master plan,
and that shermen specically would also be accommodated by the plan.* [332] The developer of Gwadar Port,
COPHC, has also announced that it will assist Gwadar's
shermen to help boost the region's seafood industry
by developing programs to improve the quality of local
seafoods.* [333]
10.5
18
13
11
12
See also
13
References
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[3] Aneja, Atul (18 April 2015). Xi comes calling to Pakistan, bearing gifts worth $46 billion. The Hindu. Retrieved 23 April 2015.
[4] Economic corridor: Chinese ocial sets record straight
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[5] Hussain, Tom (19 April 2015). China's Xi in Pakistan
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19
[32] http://gbtimes.com/china/
[51] Saran, Shyam (10 September 2015).What China's One
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[33] Tiezzi, Shannon (20 February 2014). China, Pakistan
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20
13
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