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Prognostic Value of Leptin
Prognostic Value of Leptin
Peptides
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/peptides
Department of Neurosurgery, Traditional Chinese Medical Hospital of Zhejiang Province, 54 Youdian Road, Hangzhou 310006, China
Department of Surgery, Wushan Branch, The First Hangzhou Municipal Peoples Hospital, 34 Yanguan Lane, Hangzhou 310002, China
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 27 February 2013
Received in revised form 11 March 2013
Accepted 11 March 2013
Available online 18 March 2013
Keywords:
Leptin
Intracerebral hemorrhage
6-Month clinical outcome
a b s t r a c t
Leptin has recently been discussed as a novel biomarker for the clinical outcome of critical illness. This
study aims to investigate the prognostic value of leptin with regard to long-term clinical outcomes in
patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. In 50 healthy controls and 92 patients with acute spontaneous
basal ganglia hemorrhage presenting to the emergency department of a large primary care hospital,
we measured plasma leptin levels using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in a blinded fashion.
Plasma leptin levels on admission were considerably higher in patients than healthy controls. A signicant correlation emerged between plasma leptin level and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale
score. A multivariate analysis identied plasma leptin level as an independent predictor for 6-month clinical outcomes including 6-month mortality and unfavorable outcome (Modied Rankin Scale score > 2).
Using receiver operating characteristic curves, we calculated areas under the curve for 6-month clinical outcomes. The predictive performance of leptin was similar to, but did not obviously improve that
of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores. Thus, leptin may help in the prediction of 6-month
mortality and unfavorable outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage.
2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Institution at which the work was performed: Traditional Chinese Medical Hospital
of Zhejiang Province.
Corresponding author. Tel.: +86 0571 87068001.
E-mail address: changzhouzhangxin@163.com (X. Zhang).
0196-9781/$ see front matter 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.peptides.2013.03.010
134
3. Results
P < 0.001) as well as between plasma leptin level and plasma Creactive protein level (r = 0.542, P < 0.001).
3.2. Impact of leptin on 6-month mortality
Thirty-four patients (37.0%) died from ICH at 6 months. Higher
baseline plasma leptin level was associated with 6-month mortality, as well as other variables shown in Table 1. A multivariate
analyses selected NIHSS score (odds ratio (OR), 1.221; 95% condence interval (CI), 1.1291.804; P < 0.001) and baseline plasma
leptin level (OR, 1.216; 95% CI, 1.1242.501; P < 0.001) as the independent predictors for 6-month mortality. A ROC curve showed
that the plasma leptin level predicted 6-month mortality of patients
with high area under curve (AUC) (Fig. 1). The predictive value
of the leptin concentration was thus similar to that of NIHSS
score (AUC, 0.850; 95% CI, 0.7610.916) (P = 0.586). In a combined
logistic-regression model, leptin improved the AUC of NIHSS score
to 0.880 (95% CI, 0.7960.939) but the difference was not signicant
(P = 0.228).
3.3. Impact of leptin on 6-month unfavorable outcome
Fifty-one patients (55.4%) suffered from unfavorable outcome at
6 months. Higher baseline plasma leptin level was associated with
6-month unfavorable outcome, as well as other variables shown in
Table 1. A multivariate analyses selected NIHSS score (OR, 1.304;
95% CI, 1.1421.917; P < 0.001) and baseline plasma leptin level (OR,
1.284; 95% CI, 1.1412.760; P < 0.001) as the independent predictors for 6-month unfavorable outcome. A ROC curve showed that
the plasma leptin level predicted 6-month unfavorable outcome of
patients with high AUC (Fig. 2). The predictive value of the leptin
concentration was thus similar to that of NIHSS score (AUC, 0.882;
95% CI, 0.7980.940) (P = 0.329). In a combined logistic-regression
model, leptin improved the AUC of NIHSS score to 0.920 (95% CI,
0.8450.966) but the difference was not signicant (P = 0.067).
135
Table 1
Patients characteristics and the factors associated with 6-month clinical outcomes.
Characteristics
Gender (male/female)
Age (years)
Body mass index (kg/m2 )
Hypertension
Diabetes mellitus
NIHSS score
Hematoma volume (mL)
Presence of intraventricular hemorrhage
Hemorrhage growth
Early neurological deterioration
Admission time (h)
Plasma-sampling time (h)
Systolic arterial pressure (mm Hg)
Diastolic arterial pressure (mm Hg)
Blood glucose level (mmol/L)
Plasma C-reactive protein level (mg/L)
Plasma D-dimer level (mg/L)
Plasma leptin level (ng/mL)
Overall (n = 92)
54/38
64.6 10.7
25.5 2.2
81 (88.0%)
22 (23.9%)
19.0 5.3
31.6 18.4
38 (41.3%)
15 (16.3%)
22 (23.9%)
2.2 1.3
4.6 2.4
171.9 26.2
92.5 12.5
12.4 4.5
8.8 3.4
2.4 1.0
19.1 7.7
6-Month mortality
Survival group
(n = 58)
Non-survival
group (n = 34)
Univariate
analysis P
values
Favorable
outcome
(n = 41)
Unfavorable
outcome
(n = 51)
Univariate
analysis P
values
34/24
62.5 10.9
25.3 2.3
49 (84.5%)
9 (15.5%)
16.7 5.0
23.8 15.2
16 (27.6%)
6 (10.3%)
8 (13.8%)
2.2 1.3
4.9 2.6
170.1 27.4
91.9 13.7
11.3 3.3
8.0 3.0
2.2 1.0
16.1 7.4
20/14
68.4 9.6
25.9 1.9
32 (94.1%)
13 (38.2%)
22.9 3.3
44.9 15.7
22 (64.7%)
9 (26.5%)
14 (41.2%)
2.1 1.2
4.1 2.2
174.9 24.1
93.6 10.0
14.4 5.5
10.2 3.8
2.7 0.9
24.3 5.1
0.985
0.010
0.225
0.169
0.014
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.043
0.003
0.584
0.144
0.396
0.481
0.004
0.004
0.014
<0.001
25/16
62.0 10.3
25.1 2.4
35 (85.4%)
5 (12.2%)
15.2 4.7
22.4 15.0
8 (19.5%)
3(7.3%)
5 (12.2%)
2.4 1.4
5.0 2.7
175.2 26.8
93.7 14.2
11.0 3.4
7.6 2.6
2.0 0.9
14.1 6.8
29/22
66.7 10.9
25.9 2.0
46 (90.2%)
17 (33.3%)
22.0 3.5
39.0 17.6
30 (58.8%)
12 (23.5%)
17 (33.3%)
2.0 1.2
4.3 2.2
169.2 25.7
91.6 10.9
13.6 5.0
9.8 3.7
2.7 1.0
23.2 5.7
0.690
0.036
0.107
0.478
0.018
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.036
0.018
0.158
0.162
0.281
0.427
0.004
0.002
0.001
<0.001
Numerical variables were presented as mean standard deviation. Categorical variables were expressed as counts (percentage). Numerical variables were analyzed by
MannWhitney U-test. Categorical variables were analyzed by chi-square test or Fisher exact test.
recent report [7], this study also found that plasma leptin level
is related to plasma C-reactive protein level in ICH. Theses ndings suggest leptin may contribute to the inammatory process of
hemorrhagic brain injury.
In addition, our data suggested that plasma leptin level might
reect the severity of ICH (as demonstrated by the close relation
between leptin and the NIHSS score). Leptin independently predicted 6-month mortality and unfavorable outcome in this group
of ICH patients and its discriminative power (reected by AUC) was
in the range of the NIHSS score which is known to be a strong
individual outcome predictor. However, leptin did not statistically
signicantly improve the AUC of the NIHSS score. Therefore, the
detection of plasma leptin concentration can be useful for the clinical management of ICH.
5. Conclusions
This study suggests that higher plasma leptin level correlates
with disease severity and markers of system inammation and represents a novel biomarker for predicting 6-month clinical outcomes
in patients with ICH.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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