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(untitled)

Abdirahman Abdullahi Ainte


BBA16-A
Exponential smoothing

Forecasting

This
This spreadsheet
spreadsheet was
was created
created by
by either
either POM,
POM, QM
QM or
or POM-QM
POM-QM for
for Windows,
Windows, V4.
V4.

Alpha
Data
Period

0.1
Demand
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

450
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Next period

215.2336

Error Analysis
Forecast Error
Absolute Squared
450
450
-450
450
202500
405
-405
405
164025
364.5
-364.5
364.5 132860.2
328.05
-328.05
328.05 107616.8
295.245 -295.245 295.245 87169.61
265.7205 -265.7205 265.7205 70607.38
239.1484 -239.1484 239.1484 57191.98
Total -2347.664 2347.664
821971
Average -335.3806 335.3806 117424.4
Bias
MAD
MSE
SE 405.4556

4.
4.

Forecasting
600

|% Error|
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MAPE

400

Dem

Value 200

Forec

0
1

Time

asting
Demand
Forecast
5

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