ISMAIL USMAN

ID: 40457
QUESTION 3 OF HOMEWORK 1

Let event E1 be finding oil in the exploration well

Let Event E2 be presence of source rock

Probability of finding oil in the first exploration well given that presence of source ro
 P(E1 n E2)= 0.15
P(E2) = 0.6

ence of source rock is confirmed P(E1/E2) = P(E1nE2) / P(E2)=

0.25
 ISMAIL USMAN
ID: 40457
HOMEWORK 2

X2
(0.25)

60
30
42
X0
40 (?)
X1
(0.22) 20
55

X3
(0.35)

di Xi 1/di Xi/di (1/di)^2 Xi(1/di)^2

40 0.22 0.025 0.0055 0.000625 0.0001375
30 0.25 0.0333333 0.0083333 0.0011111 0.0002778
20 0.35 0.05 0.0175 0.0025 0.000875
0.1083333 0.0313333 0.0042361 0.0012903

Q1) Inverse Distance Method

X=(
/)/(
1/)
,= 0.289

Q2) Inverse Distance Squared Method

X=
(1/)2/(
1/)2
,= 0.305