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FCFF
FCFF
FCFF
Summary Analysis
In Millions of INR
Revenue (Estimate Comparable)
% YoY Growth
EBITDA
% Margin
Free Cash Flow
% Margin
2.5%
11.1% 716.35
Discount 11.6% 679.54
Rate 12.1% 646.60
(WACC) 12.6% 616.96
13.1% 590.14
2.5%
11.1% -12%
11.6% -16%
12.1% -20%
12.6% -24%
13.1% -27%
Input Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Perpetuity Growth Rate
Exit Enterprise Value / EBITDA
In Millions of INR
Input (%)
Input (INR)
Operating Expenses/Income as
Number of analysts estimating
Number of analysts estimating
Number of analysts estimating
% YoY Growth
(=) Operating Income
% Margin
(-) Tax on Operating Income
% Tax Rate Edit Row
(=) NOPAT
% Margin
(+) Depreciation & Amortization
% of Revenue Edit Row
Input (%)
Depr & Amort as a % of Reven
Number of analysts estimating
Number of analysts estimating
Number of analysts estimating
% YoY Growth
(-) Capital Expenditure
% of Revenue Edit Row
Input (INR)
% YoY Growth
(-) Changes in Net Working Capital
% of Revenue Edit Row
Input (%)
Input (%)
Input (INR)
% YoY Growth
% YoY Growth
Output Analysis
Shares outstanding
Estimated Value per Share (INR)
Current Price (INR)
Estimated Upside
Incremental change
0.5%
2.5%
11.1% 927,001
Discount 11.6% 875,069
Rate 12.1% 828,601
(WACC) 12.6% 786,783
13.1% 748,958
2.5%
11.1% 716.35
11.6% 679.54
12.1% 646.60
12.6% 616.96
13.1% 590.14
2.5%
11.1% -12%
11.6% -16%
12.1% -20%
12.6% -24%
13.1% -27%
2.5%
11.1% 7.24
11.6% 6.84
12.1% 6.49
12.6% 6.17
13.1% 5.88
Jun 11 A Jun 12 A Jun 13 A Jun 14 A Jun 15 A Mar 16 A Mar 17 E
Perpetuity Growth
3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%
746.76 781.16 820.39 865.54 11.1%
706.13 736.00 769.79 808.32 Discount 11.6%
670.01 696.13 725.48 758.67 Rate 12.1%
637.68 660.68 686.35 715.17 (WACC) 12.6%
608.59 628.95 651.55 676.76 13.1%
3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%
-8% -4% 1% 7% 11.1%
-13% -9% -5% 0% 11.6%
-17% -14% -11% -6% 12.1%
-21% -18% -15% -12% 12.6%
-25% -22% -20% -17% 13.1%
Row # of choice 1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Est Consensus Revenue 16%
Year Moving Trend 19%
Est Consensus EPS Long Term Growth 9%
Input
Input
- - - ### - - 311,849
- - - ### - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 66%
- - - ### - - 157,139
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34%
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Est Consensus Gross Margin 34%
ast Year's Gross Margin 0%
Input
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Est Consensus Implied Operating Expense as a % of Revenue 14%
ast Year's Operating Expense as a % of Revenue 100%
Input
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Year Rolling Average Effective Tax Rate 17%
ast Year's Effective Tax Rate 0%
Input
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Est Consensus Implied Depreciation & Amortization as a % of Revenue 2%
ast Year's Depreciation & Amortization as a % of Revenue 0%
Input
Highlight estimates if Less than Greater than
epr & Amort as a % of Revenue change -5% 5% 2%
umber of analysts estimating Revenue 3 45
umber of analysts estimating Operating Profit 3 11
umber of analysts estimating EBITDA 3 42
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Est Consensus Capital Expenditure 26,916
Year Rolling Average 6,912
ast Year's Capital Expenditure -
Input
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Year Rolling Average 2%
Input
3,619 - - ### - - -
2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
1
Click on a cell below to select assumption (selected cells are hi
Year Rolling Average 0%
Input
-
0%
43%
0.22
0.98
20,055
27,152 37,341 56,723 80,822 84,736 - 101,823
17% 18% 22% 25% 23% 0% 22%
Value in INR
3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%
746.76 781.16 820.39 865.54
706.13 736.00 769.79 808.32
670.01 696.13 725.48 758.67
637.68 660.68 686.35 715.17
608.59 628.95 651.55 676.76
Upside Potential
3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%
-8% -4% 1% 7%
-13% -9% -5% 0%
-17% -14% -11% -6%
-21% -18% -15% -12%
-25% -22% -20% -17%
810.65
929.51
d Value per Share (INR) 957.06
18%
Current
Auto Input Selection
Choice
On
12.1%
3.5% (Perpetuity Growth Method only)
11.6x (EBITDA Multiple Method only)
1 1 1 2 2
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
12% 10% 4%
15% 13% 11% 11% 9%
9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
1 1 2 2 2
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
34% 33%
34% 34% 33% 33% 33%
0% -1% 0% 0% 0%
10 6 0 0 0
72,207 73,155 76,160 84,407 92,201
14% 13% 13% 13% 13%
1 1 2 2 2
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
14% 13%
14% 14% 13% 13% 13%
0% -1% 0% 0% 0%
45 25 1 0 0
10 6 0 0 0
11 6 0 0 0
13% 1% 4% 11% 9%
104,249 116,548 121,335 134,473 146,891
20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
16,238 16,365 16,135 16,128 21,140
16% 14% 13% 12% 14% 8
1 1 1 1 1
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
16% 14% 13% 12% 14%
17% 16% 14% 13% 12%
1 1 2 2 2
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
2% 1%
2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
8% -17% 4% 11% 9%
18,727 17,673 15,080 15,679 18,815
4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 9
1 1 2 2 2
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
18,727 17,673
10,476 12,984 15,080 15,679 18,815
26,916 18,727 17,673 15,080 15,679
1 1 1 1 1
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
3% 3% 4% 3% 3%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - ###
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7
1 1 1 1 1
mption (selected cells are highlighted in blue)
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - ###
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - ###
2% 0% 0% 1% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
sitivity Analysis
Value in INR
8.6x 10.1x 11.6x 13.1x 14.6x
11.1% 804.79 899.23 993.67 1,088.10 1,182.54
11.6% 790.44 882.78 975.12 1,067.46 1,159.80
12.1% 776.46 866.76 957.06 1,047.36 1,137.66
12.6% 762.82 851.14 939.45 1,027.76 1,116.08
13.1% 749.53 835.91 922.29 1,008.67 1,095.05
Upside Potential
8.6x 10.1x 11.6x 13.1x 14.6x
11.1% -1% 11% 23% 34% 46%
11.6% -2% 9% 20% 32% 43%
12.1% -4% 7% 18% 29% 40%
12.6% -6% 5% 16% 27% 38%
13.1% -8% 3% 14% 24% 35%
6
5
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
3
3
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
BF
HCL TECHNOLOGIES LTD
* Financial information is in INR (M)
Fiscal Year
-10FY
Periodicity: 6/06
ACCOUNTING_STANDARD
Income Statement
Revenue SALES_REV 45,716
- Cost of Goods Sold IS_COGS_T 24,947
*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets BS_CUR_AS 30,865
+ Cash & Near Cash Items BS_CASH_N 2,369
+ Short Term Investments BS_MKT_SE 15,885
+ Accounts & Notes Receivable BS_ACCT_N 8,708
+ Inventories BS_INVENT 233
+ Other Current Assets BS_OTHER_ 3,670
Cash Flows
Net Income CF_NET_IN 6,907
+ Depreciation & Amortization CF_DEPR_A 2,515
+ Other Non-Cash Adjustments CF_OTHER_ 693
+ Changes in Non-Cash Capital CF_CHNG_ (2,468)
Cash From Operating Activities CF_CASH_F 7,647
+ Disposal of Fixed Assets CF_DISP_FI 40
+ Capital Expenditures CF_CAP_EX (4,106)
+ Increase in Investments CF_INCR_I 0
+ Decrease in Investments CF_DECR_I 3,577
+ Other Investing Activities CF_OTHER_ (82)
Cash From Investing Activities CF_CASH_F (571)
Ratio Analysis
Valuation Ratios
Price Earnings PE_RATIO 23.48
EV to EBIT EV_TO_T12 18.18
EV to EBITDA EV_TO_T12 13.84
Price to Sales PX_TO_SAL 3.55
Price to Book PX_TO_BOO 5.26
Dividend Yield DIVIDEND_ 0.03
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin GROSS_MA 0.45
EBITDA Margin EBITDA_TO 0.23
Operating Margin OPER_MAR 0.18
Profit Margin PROF_MARG 0.15
Return on Assets RETURN_ON 0.16
Return on Equity RETURN_C 0.21
Others
Asset Turnover ASSET_TU 1.09
Accounts Receivable Turnover ACCT_RCV_ 6.22
Accounts Payable Turnover ACCOUNTS_ 5.92
Inventory Turnover INVENT_TU 80.09
ne-time charges.
29,766 37,475 58,620 67,283 66,566 90,953 126,335 193,296
2,958 3,886 3,917 4,691 5,213 6,743 7,183 9,512
7,788 7,703 15,073 18,907 17,312 18,172 34,836 83,864
11,011 15,864 21,751 25,211 26,113 38,757 44,972 56,828
373 707 1,696 652 1,664 2,262 2,315 1,223
7,636 9,316 16,184 17,824 16,265 25,020 37,030 41,870
31 31 37 46 56 71 94 140
30 29 8 19 28 38 62 105
73,419
-
248
51.79
1406 1410
1,413
121,979 144,835
99 157
72,179 77,631
32,627 33,404
39,552 44,227
82,328 100,452
99,451 101,597
6,254 6,996
4,799 3,681
88,398 90,920
9,931 15,782
1,679 7,374
8,252 8,408
109,382 117,379
0 0
821 3,116
21,624 22,451
220,620 250,490
243,065 276,058
352,447 393,437
(28,244)
1,253
906
(5,440)
105
0
(486)
(31,907)
3,113
51,439 BEST_CALCULATED_FCF
52,003
48,223
36.62
2.32 2.45
1.71 1.72
114.78
0.03 0.04
0.03 0.04
1.13
6.01
0.20 0.00