Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2010 Q2 CR
2010 Q2 CR
Market Report
Cincinnati, Ohio 2010
Dear Colleagues,
Our commitment to the community is the foundation for how we conduct business. We
believe in face-to-face relationships and hands-on problem solving. Whether you are a
Contents firm seeking space or an owner looking to fill space, we have the strategies and skills to
assist you. You can also rely on Cassidy Turley to help manage your properties according
Letter 2 to your individual goals and priorities.
Office Market 3 You don’t simply have to take our word for it. Midwest Real Estate News in its annual
“Best of the Best” rankings recently rated Cassidy Turley the #1 Property Management
Industrial Market 8
firm and the #3 Brokerage firm in the Midwest.
Retail Market 14
These rankings reflect our deep commitment to providing best in class services.
Investment 21 We recognize the importance of focusing on the long-term success of our clients by
consistently being their advocate. Our combination of market intelligence and experience
honed over many years enables us to deliver the integrated, tailored solutions our clients
are seeking. Beyond Cincinnati, Cassidy Turley can be found in 57 other U.S. locations
and globally through our partnership with GVA Grimley.
We look forward to talking with you about our full-range of services spanning Capital
Markets to Corporate Services to Project & Development Services, as well as, Leasing &
Tenant Representation.
In the following pages, we share our independent research and findings about the
Cincinnati market and a forecast of what we believe the future holds.
Sincerely,
James A. Donlin
2 | Cassidy Turley
Office Market
Treading Water at Midpoint of 2010 outpatient sites and its facilities on the
A sense of uncertainty about the speed Mount Auburn campus.
and depth of the economic recovery
At the end of the second quarter
process pervades the midpoint of 2010.
2010, the overall vacancy rate for the
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
Cincinnati market is 21.3%, a slight
rollercoasted from 10,857 at the end
increase from the previous quarter’s
of Q1 to a high in April of 11,205
21.0% and above the 19.4% seen a
and ended Q2 at 9,774. The national
year ago. The overall net absorption
unemployment rate dipped to 9.5% in
for the quarter is negative 122,000 SF
June from a high of 10.1% in October
and year-to-date is negative 304,700
2009 according to the Bureau of Labor
SF. Available sublease space remains
Statistics. However, the June rate is the
high at 611,000 SF. Taken together with
same seen in June 2009 and more than
direct vacancy the availability rate is
twice the 4.6% in June 2007. Over 8
23.2%. There are 31 existing buildings
million (non-farm) jobs were lost in this
in the market offering 50,000 SF and
period of recession with only about 10%
Market Indicators more of contiguous space for a large
regained since the beginning of the year.
user. A significant portion of these large
Q2 2010 Q3 2010
Forecast For the local Cincinnati MSA there blocks of space, 1.5 million SF, is in the
is some good news. The preliminary CBD market. That will increase by over
unemployment rate for May is estimated 400,000 SF in 2011 when the Great
at 9.7%, a noticeable decrease American Tower at Queen City Square is
from the high of 10.9% recorded in completed and begins to draw tenants
February. Private sector payrolls are out of other CBD buildings. Add to that
(Available for Lease)
the permanent jobs driving demand for the 170,000 SF that remains to be filled
commercial real estate. They increased in the new building if no other preleasing
approximately 21,000 since January. takes place.
However, 70,000 more jobs would
Renewals and small leases
need to be regained to reach the high
predominated this quarter’s office
employment levels seen in 2007. The
Cincinnati Office Market Vacancy By transactions. Tenants are gaining
Education and Health Services sector
Submarket Second Quarter 2010 concessions on free rent and tenant
had a preliminary employment figure
improvements from landlords struggling
in May of 149,200, the highest yet
to maintain occupancy. With no major
seen. The ongoing expansion of health
business closings foreseen, the vacancy
facilities are positively contributing to
rate should remain fairly stable. The
the local economy. The 45,000 SF Good
challenge for the Greater Cincinnati
Samaritan Medical Center-Western Ridge
market is attracting out-of-the-area
is opening in fall 2010 and a 67,000 SF
users needing large spaces. The low
medical office building is planned for
cost of living, the vibrant arts scene and
the Good Samaritan Hospital Campus
excellent universities and hospitals are
on Dixmyth Avenue. Christ Hospital
positive inducements. The decline in the
is seeking to expand its number of
number of domestic and international
www.cassidyturley.com | 3
Building fell through. Then it went
dark when Duke Energy unplugged
the electrical supply forcing the few
remaining tenants to relocate. Fifth Third
Bank is deciding whether to proceed
with foreclosure. The lack of upkeep
and aging mechanics of the physical
structure are viewed as detriments to a
quick turn-around for tenant occupancy.
The 122,000 SF 14-story Fourth &
Race Tower, former home of the Federal
Reserve, won $2.5 million in Ohio
Historic Preservation Tax Credits to offset
part of the $20.2 million cost to convert
the nine upper floors to 88 residential
apartments. Ashley Development is
flights in and out of Cincinnati/Northern negotiating with the owner to purchase
22nd floor in the Chiquita Center at 250
Kentucky International Airport and the the building.Taken together this may
East Fifth Street. Northcreek Mezzanine
loss of major hub status is considered bring some relief to other Class B
Fund I LP subleased 3,700 SF on the
a negative factor by large businesses. property owners and tighten the market
30th floor in the 528,000 SF Chemed
However, in the face of a struggling for this subset of properties.
Center at 255 East Fifth Street.
national economy many companies are Burke, Inc. relocated out of 52,000 SF
The CBD market, and particularly the
putting large real estate decisions on in the 183,000 SF Centennial Plaza II
Class A submarket will experience a
the back burner until a clearer picture at 805-813 Central Avenue to its new
major shift when the 825,000 SF Great
emerges. headquarters at 500 West Seventh
American Tower at Queen City Square
Street. The City of Cincinnati Fire
on Sycamore and East Fourth Street is
CBD Market Department plans to move into 24,000
completed in 2011. This will become
The overall midyear vacancy rate for SF of that space. Veterans Affairs-The
the newest and tallest building in the
the CBD market is 16.4%, up from Offices of Quality & Safety took 7,000
downtown Cincinnati skyline. Great
the 15.8% seen at the end of the first SF in the 235,000 SF Textile Building at
American Insurance will vacate its offices
quarter and 15.9% a year ago. The 205-209 West Fourth Street.
in the 525 Vine and 580 Buildings into
vacancy rate for Class A properties is
540,000 SF, leaving over 400,000 SF of Renovations were finally completed
13.6% relatively unchanged from the
vacant space in the CBD market. Frost on the 36,000 SF former ST Media
previous quarter but above the 12.9% of
Brown Todd preleased 100,000 SF and building at 700 Broadway. KZF
a year ago. The vacancy rate for Class B
will add significant availability to the Design purchased the building in
properties jumped to 18.9% from 17.9%
PNC Center building when it relocates in November 2008 and moved into its new
at the end of the first quarter and is
2011. headquarters in June.
above 18.4% seen a year ago.
The amount of available Class B
Porter Wright Morris & Arthur LLP
downtown product may be shrinking.
expanded to 20,000 SF from 16,700 SF
Plans to sell the 232,000 SF Bartlett
and renewed its lease on space on the
4 | Cassidy Turley
Suburban Market
Currently the overall vacancy rate for the
Total Class A Class B
Suburban office market is 24.5%, close
to the 24.2% in the previous quarter but
significantly higher than the 21.7% a
year ago. The vacancy rate for Class A
buildings remained flat at 22.9% while
Class B buildings edged higher to 27.2%
from the previous quarter’s 26.5%. The
second quarter contributed a negative
48,000 SF to the total year-to-date net
absorption of negative 189,000 SF.
www.cassidyturley.com | 5
recently shuttered its supermarket on the
Kenwood Market
ground floor. Plans for the FBI campus
The 46,400 SF Kenwood
on the southeast side of I-71 and Commons II building on
Montgomery Road took a step forward Montgomery Road added
with the naming of a new developer, CarePoint Partners to its
tenant roster.
The Molasky Group of Companies, and
its purchase of the 6.3 acres in June
for $4.7 million. The $50 million project
includes a four-story office building,
a two-story garage and a one-story
maintenance building and should be
finished in the latter part of 2011. This
may give impetus to Neyer Properties’
Kenwood Towers planned for the
adjacent acreage. The mixed-use project
would include a seven-story 160-room and expand into 4,900 SF. Fountain acquired an acre in the Evendale
hotel, a nine-story 266,000 SF office Pointe I, a 95,300 SF office building, had Commons Development on Glendale-
tower and five-story parking garage. Mutual of Omaha Insurance recommit Milford Road for a 10,000 SF build-to-
to its space and Financial Management suit office/lab building. It should be
The 46,150 SF Kenwood Commons I on
Group take 4,900 SF. completed by second quarter 2011.
Montgomery Road saw Atos Origin renew
its lease on 14,000 SF on the first floor. At 30.3% vacancy the Tri-County The East submarket vacancy rate rose
CarePoint Partners took 7,300 SF in the submarket is holding steady from the to 25.0% from the previous quarter’s
Kenwood Commons II building. previous quarter. A year ago the vacancy 24.0%. The 475,000 SF of Class A
rate was 21.0% and the area is still properties had a vacancy rate of 15.4%
The Blue Ash market saw vacancy
reeling from the departure of GE Aviation as compared to 32.0% for the 644,000
decrease from 21.2 % in the first quarter
from 305,000 SF on Merchant Street for SF of Class B properties.
to the current 19.7%. A year ago it
its 413,000 SF campus in West Chester.
was 16.5%. Known for its landscaped Kellogg Sales Co. recommitted to its
campuses of office buildings with easily Devicor Medical Products Inc. recently 14,700 SF in the 120,000 SF Woodside
accessible parking and location near acquired the breast care business of Center on Tri-Ridge Boulevard in
prime residential areas, it remains one of Ethicon Endo-Surgery Inc. and found Loveland. Wellington Orthopaedic &
the prime suburban submarkets. a home for its new company that will Sports Medicine renewed and expanded
operate under the name of Mammotome from 10,900 SF to 18,800 SF in the
Full Service Networking leased 6,700
in Sharonville. It leased 29,900 SF on 54,900 SF Eastgate Commerce Center
SF in The Landings of Blue Ash II, a
the top floor of the 5-story 150,000 on GlenEste-Withamsville Road in
175,000 SF five-story building, on Carver
SF Summit Woods II on E-Business Eastgate. Visiting Physicians Association
Road. In September Sunny Delight will
Way. Staples Commercial & Contract, opened its third office in the Greater
relocate from 22,500 SF in the 42,000
Inc. leased 5,400 SF in the 52,800 Cincinnati region in 3,500 SF in the
SF Lake Forest Pointe I to 36,146 SF
SF Century Office Center on Century 51,800 SF Eastgate Professional
in the 162,000 SF Pfeiffer Place. The
Boulevard in Springdale. Office Park on Aicholtz Drive in Union
100,000 SF Kemper Pointe building saw
Township.
Sorenson Communications, Inc. renew Dynamic Sight dba Kinetic Vision
6 | Cassidy Turley
Greater Cincinnati Office Market Summary Second Quarter 2010
Submarket Inventory (SF) Vacancy Net Absorption YTD (SF) New Deliveries YTD (SF) Under Construction (SF)
Outlook The appeal of lower rent rates, free rent compounding the synergy of the local
A lack of large user deals on the and increased tenant improvement branding companies and universities,
positive side and further closures on dollars are fueling what leasing is this may be a growth path for the region.
the negative side will keep the market done. Building values continue to be
in neutral this year. Commercial real depressed as a result.
estate is considered a lagging indicator
How the new Financial Accounting
in an economic recovery. Shadow space
Standards Board (FASB) accounting
underutilized by companies must be
rules to be enacted in 2013 concerning
filled first with rehires before expansion
the recording of leases on company
is considered. It is expected that without
balance sheets may affect future leasing
much momentum in the economy
and renewal options and choices
in 2010, the market will face greater
whether to lease or buy is a conundrum
challenges in 2011 as significant office
waiting to be sorted out.
constructions are completed and large
blocks of space become vacant as leases Nevertheless the image of the Cincinnati
come due. MSA as a dynamic and attractive region
reflects the diversity of its businesses,
The growth taking place in the Cincinnati
presence of Fortune 500 company
market is in the specialized subsector
headquarters, cutting edge educational
of medical use properties. As noted,
institutions and lively arts scene. The city
hospitals and medical groups are
of Cincinnati was recently designated a
actively expanding and building and are
“Hub of Innovation and Opportunity” by
a positive factor in regional employment.
the State of Ohio and will receive funding
How this will impact the general office
to position itself as a national leader
market on a broader and deeper basis is
in consumer marketing. Leveraged
unknown.
as opportunities for development by
www.cassidyturley.com | 7
Industrial Market
Maintaining the Progress Made unemployment rate for May is estimated
A slow healing rather than a vigorous at 9.7%, a noticeable decrease from the
recovery seems to be the fate of high of 10.9% recorded in February.The
the national economy. The national latest preliminary figures for employment
unemployment rate dipped to 9.5% in in manufacturing were at 108,700 in
June from a high of 10.1% in October May, the highest numbers in 13 months.
2009 according to the Bureau of Labor The Cincinnati PMI for June retreated
Statistics. Yet the rate is the same as a to 59.5 from 62.6 in May as reported
year ago and more than twice the 4.6% by the Applied Research Institute,
in June 2007. Layoffs are occurring but Department of Economics, University of
not to the extent seen in 2009. Losing Cincinnati and NAPM-Cincinnati. This
hope about ever finding a job has led parallels the national trend of continued
many to quit searching or go the route but slowing growth of the economy. The
of early retirement. The GDP increased local index has been above 50 for the
at an annual rate of 2.7% in the first sixth consecutive month.
quarter of 2010 sustaining positive
The Cincinnati industrial market
growth since the third quarter of 2009.
experienced modest improvement in Q2
Market Indicators It has, however, slowed from the 5.6%
2010 when it saw its first dip in vacancy
seen in the fourth quarter of 2009. The
2 3 to 9.9% from 10.3% in the previous
Federal Reserve noted that industrial
quarter. This is still above the 9.5% of
production advanced 1.2% in May after
a year ago, but shows movement in the
an increase of 0.7% in April. There
right direction. Another encouraging
have been three months of consistent
sign was net absorption for the second
growth. In the June 2010 Manufacturing
quarter at a positive 1.09 million SF
ISM Report on Business, the national
bringing the year-to-date total to 1.33
Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) stood
million SF. Only the Northeast quadrant
at 56.2, lower than the high of 60.4 in
saw a slight increase in its vacancy rate
April. Although the index has been over
from 7.9% in the first quarter to 8.4%.
50 for the past eleven months indicating
Gross absorption for Q2 was 2.2 million
expansion, the fluctuation may warn of a
SF.
slowing or uneven rate of growth.
Closures are still occurring but with
For the local Cincinnati MSA there
less frequency. At the end of this year
is good news. The preliminary
Quadrant Inventory (SF) Vacancy Net Absorption YTD (SF) New Deliveries YTD (SF) Projected Construction for 2010 (SF)
CENTRAL 78,483,000 10.5% 534,000 33,000 58,000
NORTHEAST 29,280,000 8.4% 120,000 58,000 57,000
NORTHWEST 104,587,000 11.2% (24,000) 31,000 137,000
NORTHERN KY 60,824,000 7.5% 704,000 0 282,000
TOTAL 273,174,000 9.9% 1,334,000 122,000 534,000
8 | Cassidy Turley
Greater Cincinnati Industrial Market intersections along the State Route 4
Bypass corridor will be constructed
at Tylersville Road, Hamilton Mason
Road and Symmes Road. These are the
first to be built in Ohio and will reduce
travel time up to 90 percent through
the intersections. Norfolk Southern will
extend its Heartland Corridor line from
Columbus to Cincinnati. The Ohio Rail
Development Commission recently
granted permission for improvements
needed for double stack clearance.
www.cassidyturley.com | 9
be completed next quarter. It will allow Greater Cincinnati Bulk Warehouse Market
the company to compete on a national
basis and boost ice cream production
to one million gallons annually. A 9,000
SF addition is under construction on
Dickerson Distributing Co.’s 35,000
SF building in Monroe. Also due to be
completed is the 56,000 SF expansion
of the 150,000 SF Skidmore Sales
& Distributing Company building in
West Chester. The project includes the
construction of 10 additional docks.
Parkway Products Inc. plans to expand
its 55,700 SF facility in Erlanger on
Jamike Avenue to 110,200 SF. U.S.
Worldwide Logistics, Inc. is adding
42,000 SF to its 85,000 SF building in and retail spending is giving momentum Kentucky quadrant fell to 10.8% from
Hebron’s Airpark International Business to bulk space absorption. 12.3% last quarter and 13.6% a year
Park. Southern Graphic Systems Inc. will ago. The lowest vacancy rate in recent
expand its 61,500 SF facility in Florence Most of the major transactions in the
history was 7.2% seen in the first quarter
by 5,000 SF. second quarter were concentrated in
of 2007.
the Northwest and Northern Kentucky
Bulk Warehouse quadrants. They lie on the major north- Expect new bulk construction only after
Bulk vacancy in Q2 2010 was 16.5% south transportation corridor of I-75 significant absorption of the current 2.8
as compared to 17.6% last quarter and making them attractive distribution million SF vacant in the 7.2 million SF
16.8% a year ago. There was positive hubs. The Northwest quadrant saw built in 2007 and later has occurred.
net absorption of 629,000 SF, a positive vacancy drop to 21.4% from 22.4% in
Net effective rates for modern Class A
trend that started in the previous quarter. the previous quarter. A year ago it was
product in the bulk sector at $2.70/SF/
The growth in manufacturing production 20.6%. The vacancy rate in the Northern
NNN continue to be flat. Class B and
10 | Cassidy Turley
Class C bulk warehouse are around Greater Cincinnati Office/Warehouse Market
$2.25/SF/NNN*.
www.cassidyturley.com | 11
Greater Cincinnati Freestanding Market In Monroe, Corridor 75, a 429-acre
development, is positioned midway
between Dayton and Cincinnati. The
site can accommodate 6.2 million SF
of industrial buildings. A nearby single-
point urban interchange (SPUI) provides
easy access to I-75, a major truck route.
12 | Cassidy Turley
Outlook Speculative construction will occur
The weakness or strength of the only when a sizeable amount of vacant
economy is reflected in commercial real space has been backfilled and a vibrant
estate activity. The industrial market dynamic economy is reestablished.
may be starting on the upward portion
*(Note: Rates are based on a sample of
of the recovery cycle, mirroring that of
comparable data gathered by Cassidy
economy. However, there is a realization
Turley. Renewals are not included in the
that the recovery will be slow and fitful
analysis.)
at best.
www.cassidyturley.com | 13
Retail Market
13
I-75 12
11
I-71
INDIANA
10
8
2
I-74
OHIO
I-75
I-71
4
1
I-275
I-275 5 6
Cincinnati 7 3
21 19 18
Highlights 9
15
• Changes in the
I-75 17
Supermarket Sector 20
14
14 | Cassidy Turley
in the first half of 2010. The leading
bigg’s
supermarket company in the region,
The 157,600 SF anchor of
Kroger, has embarked on an ambitious Governor’s Point South on
expansion and renovation program. In Mason-Montgomery Road
Harrison, construction was completed in Mason was acquired by
Remke Markets.
in March on a 116,432 SF Marketplace
replacing a 56,000 SF building. A
61,000 SF former Thriftway store Kroger
acquired when Winn-Dixie left the
market at The Shops at Harper’s Point
in Symmes Township was expanded to
106,000 SF to include specialty areas
for Murray’s Cheese, a restaurant and
an olive and antipasto bar. The 56,000
SF store anchoring Fort Mitchell’s
ALDI plans to open 80 stores in 2010. nearby location, a 40% vacancy rate
Expressway Plaza on Dixie Highway will
Deerfield Township’s Montgomery and contingency clauses in the other
be expanded to 104,000 SF and will
Crossing shopping center at Fields Ertel retailers’ leases requiring the presence
reopen with gas pumps in the latter part
and Montgomery Roads is now anchored of three anchors have factored into
of this year. In the planning stages is
by a 19,200 SF ALDI that opened in the owner’s inability to meet its loan
a 70,000 SF store, to replace one half
April. payments.
the size, in the Short Vine district of
Corryville. The Bear Creek developments at
Movie Theatres
Kenwood Towne Place and Newport
SUPERVALU, faced with declining In its bid to become the fifth-largest
Pavilion are at a standstill. Default
profits with the entry of Meijer and movie theatre chain in the US by box
judgments are being sought and liens
Wal-Mart’s grocery departments to office sales and number of screens,
surround these projects. Kenwood
the region, opted to close five bigg’s Rave Cinemas LLC acquired 29 locations
Towne Place, a mixed-use development
in Harrison, Colerain Township, West from National Amusements. Locally the
with 336,885 SF of retail space has
Chester, Florence and the original store purchase included former Showcase
been in limbo since late 2008. Kroger
in Union Township. The remaining theatres in Kings Island, Milford and
Fresh Fare shuttered its doors in May.
stores in Columbia Township, Westwood, Western Hills.
Although Kroger did open at Newport
Anderson Township, Oakley, Mason
Pavilion, incomplete site preparation
and Delhi Township were acquired by Malls
and non-payment to contractors delayed
Erlanger-based Remke Markets which is Older malls have fallen victim to the
the construction of a Target store. It is
supplied by SUPERVALU. The purchase tightened financial atmosphere and have
currently scheduled to break ground in
boosted the number of locations for the seen their share join the “distressed
July.
local supermarket chain to thirteen. The asset” list of properties. The 1.1 million
Mason store may be scaled back from SF Northgate Mall built in 1972 in The recent closure of Krazy City, a
157,600 SF to 65,000 SF to match the Colerain Township is in default of its $82 50,000 SF amusement park that
size of its sister stores. million loan. The closure of its anchor, replaced JC Penney a little over two
Dillard’s, at the end of 2009, earlier years ago as an anchor for the 1.29
As part of its expanding footprint across relocation of JC Penney to another million SF Tri-County Mall at the I-275
the U.S. without merger or acquisition,
www.cassidyturley.com | 15
Road, Verizon Wireless moved into the
Broadway Commons
7,000 SF freestanding building at 7790
A 400,00-500,000 SF
casino and entertainment
Montgomery Road in front of Trader
center will be developed on Joe’s. Mattress Firm plans to relocate
23 acres currently used as a from Kenwood Place into 4,000 SF
downtown parking lot.*
in a strip center anchored by Urban
Active on Montgomery Road. Willie’s
Sports Café moved across the street
into 7,500 SF in the 26,500 SF former
Gentry building on East Galbraith and
the Great American Restaurant opened
*Image courtesy of
in the 5,346 SF space it vacated at 8740
Downtown Cincinnati, Inc. Montgomery Road.
CBD/Uptown
and I-75 intersection only added to the commercial uses may be explored to fill
The dynamics of the central business
woes of Coventry Real Estate Advisors, the dark space.
district retail market will be significantly
the owners. They are currently in default
enhanced by several major projects
on a $153 million CMBS loan on Tri- Kenwood
underway.
County Mall and are in litigation with the The premiere retail submarket in the
lender and DDR, former managers of region, Kenwood, continues to be a Michigan-based Rock Ventures LLC
the property. Coventry is in litigation with hub for suburban activity at I-71 and acquired 23 acres in the downtown
DDR on eleven additional properties. Montgomery Road. New additions to area bordered by Reading Road,
Together with co-tenancy concerns and the tenant roster of the 1.2 million SF Broadway, Court Street and Gilbert
a 19% vacancy rate, difficulties are Kenwood Towne Centre are Aroma Avenue. The site, Broadway Commons,
mounting for the troubled mall. Sushi and Spencer Gifts. Anthropologie will be developed as a casino and
leased the 11,000 SF former west elm entertainment area. Ground will break on
Built in 2001 and sold in 2005 for $20
spot near Nordstrom. Although the the $300 to $400 million project in the
million, the 145,800 SF Union Centre
Showcase Cinema closed at Kenwood fall and should be finished in the latter
Pavilion in West Chester is facing
Town Centre and the space backfilled part of 2012. Including a 4,000-space
foreclosure because the current owner
by H&M, a replacement for movie goers parking garage, the development will
has defaulted on its $16 million note.
has landed right next door. Opening in span 400,000 to 500,000 SF. A ring of
Leasing activity has failed to materialize the fall is an eight-screen theatre filling restaurants and boutiques around the
at the 1.5 million SF Cincinnati Mall in the 28,000 SF vacated by Henredon and perimeter of the casino is part of the
Forest Park. It was acquired in March by Drexel Heritage Furniture in the 74,000 vision for the area which will become a
Cincinnati Holding Co., LLC at a fire sale SF Kenwood Place on Kenwood Road. “hot spot” for both tourists and locals.
price of $5.9 million. The Guess Factory In the 391,000 SF Sycamore Crossing
and Sycamore Plaza, Ulta, a salon and Down by the Ohio River, The Banks
Store and Showcase Cinemas were the
beauty shop, took the 9,862 SF former project is taking shape on the 18 acres
latest tenants to close shop. Bass Pro
Rack Room space. While Cincinnati between Paul Brown Stadium and the
Shop’s lease is coming up for renewal
Bell doubled its size to 5,000 SF in Great American Ball Park reaching
and its potential departure would put
the JoS. A. Bank Center on Kenwood its first milestone with the opening of
the mall’s retail future in jeopardy. Other
16 | Cassidy Turley
the east side of the Intermodal Transit Entertainment and dining choices reopen in the fall with a new design and
Facility, a 1,400 space parking garage. continue to multiply in the area branding. At the corner of Seventh and
The next phase will include 300 surrounding Fountain Square, the city’s Walnut, renovations are taking place on
apartments and 80,000 SF of retail gathering place for fun. Mynt Martini a two-story 2,000 SF site that will be a
space that are scheduled for completion debuted on New Year’s Eve in the Fifth coffee and sandwich shop by day and a
in spring 2011. Design and construction Third Center on the plaza and features sports bar at night. The lower level will
plans are being finalized on the Christian a 1,200 SF outside patio and a 3,800 have a lounge with a DJ. Also set to open
Moerlein Lager House, a two-story SF interior with three bars and live later this year is Jean-Robert’s Table,
15,000 SF restaurant with seating for entertainment. It’s Just Crepes opened an 8,448 SF restaurant on Vine Street.
500 indoors and 600 in its outdoor beer its second downtown location in 2,500 Fat Cats replaced Game Day Café on
garden, in the 45-acre adjacent park. SF on the ground floor of the Fourth & East Pete Rose Way and introduced
Elm building. Taqueria Mercado opened the “dueling pianos” entertainment
The 825,000 SF Great American Tower
in the 6,000 SF formerly occupied by concept to Cincinnati. On the west side
at Queen City Square on Sycamore and
Javier’s on Eighth Street. Soho Sushi is a of downtown The Penguin, a dueling
Fourth Streets will add 20,000 SF of
two-level 5,000 SF restaurant addition in piano bar chain, is opening its first area
new retail space to the market when
the Tower Place Mall at Fourth and Race location in the 5,150 SF former Havana
completed in 2011.
Streets. Scheduled to open later this Martini space in the Carew Tower on
Adding to the downtown residential year is Bartini, a specialty martini bar, in Vine Street.
population will be the conversion of the 8,900 SF former Oceanaire Seafood
New hotel options are coming for
the top eleven floors of the 122,000 SF Room space in the 580 Building on
overnight accommodations in the
16-story Fourth & Race Tower office Walnut Street. A “Restaurant Row” for
downtown area. Renovations have
building to apartments. The former home outside dining is envisioned for this area
begun on the 137-unit 12-story Phelps
of the Federal Reserve recently received complementing the Backstage District
Apartment building in the Lytle Park
$2.5 million in Ohio Historic Preservation anchored by the Aronoff Center for the
Historic District. It is being converted into
Tax Credits towards the $20.2 million Arts.
a 134-unit Residence Inn by Marriott.
renovation.
Bootsy’s, a contemporary restaurant When it opens in spring of 2011, it will
located across from the theatre, will be the newest downtown hotel stock
since the $25 million renovation of The
Bartini
Cincinnatian in 1987. The 225-unit
A specialty martini bar is 210,700 SF Metropole Apartments on
scheduled to open in the Walnut Street across from the Aronoff
580 building at East Sixth
Center for the Arts was sold to 3CDC. It
and Walnut Streets, a
prominent downtown arts
will be redeveloped into the 160-suite
and restaurant intersection. 21c Hotel featuring a restaurant and
8,000 SF contemporary art museum.
Relocation of the residents as well as
Trattoria Roma, an Italian restaurant, and
Subway Lounge, a bar, will take about
a year before work on the project can
begin. Further north in the Uptown area
the first phase of the $24 million
www.cassidyturley.com | 17
Corryville Crossings is underway at Façade upgrades were completed at The 94-acre site at I-75, Cox Road and
Martin Luther King Boulevard and Short The Shops at Harper’s Point on Kemper Liberty Way in Liberty Township could
Vine. Construction of the five-story 132- Road and the newly expanded Kroger be the site of the largest future retail
room Hampton Inn and 219-car public supermarket opened in March. development in the area. Liberty Towne
parking garage has reached the midpoint Place is in the planning stages and could
Along Mason-Montgomery Road, Remke
and should be completed by fall. include close to 1 million SF of retail
Markets expanded its footprint across
space. Preliminary site plans include
the Ohio River with its purchase of the
Mason/Deerfield Township/Symmes room for three department stores,
bigg’s supermarket in Governor’s Pointe.
Township an outdoor sports business, movie
Five Guys Burgers and Fries, ranked
In the northeast region of Greater theatre, supermarket, specialty shops
the fastest growing restaurant chain in
Cincinnati, most of the retail as well as restaurants. Frisch’s recently
the U.S. in 2009 by Technomic, opened
development has been along the Fields acquired two acres at Yankee and
its fifth location in the region in 2,776
Ertel Road and Mason-Montgomery Cincinnati-Dayton Roads in anticipation
SF in an outlot building. Dao Modern
Road corridors radiating from their of building a smaller prototype 5,000 SF
Asian Cuisine took over the 7,560 SF
intersection with I-71. restaurant. A former 55,000 SF Kroger
site formerly occupied by Macaroni
on Cincinnati-Dayton Road is now home
Most of the dark space that accumulated Grill in Deerfield Towne Center. A newly
to Web Extreme Entertainment featuring
with the departure last year of big box constructed 110-unit Hilton Garden Inn
a go-cart track and laser tag arena.
retailers Sofa Express, Circuit City and opened on Natorp Boulevard while the
Linens ’n Things in Governor’s Plaza 92-room Ramada Inn on South Mason- The 400,000 SF Cincinnati Premium
on Fields Ertel Road has been filled. Montgomery Road was rebranded Best Outlets at I-75 and SR 63 in Monroe
Louisville-based Merridian, a home Western Mason Inn. continues to grow its tenant roster. Joe’s
furnishings store, is preparing for the Jeans, New York & Company, Claire’s
Further north the 410,000 SF Prime
grand opening of its third location in the Accessories and Under Armour have
Outlets in Jeffersonville gained two new
32,000 SF former Circuit City building. already opened their doors for business.
retailers, Levi’s and Catherines Plus
The 22,900 SF former Linens ‘n Things LensCrafters, Lacoste, Ann Taylor Loft
Sizes.
space is now home to Big Lots. Keep Outlet and True Religion are on the
It Tight holds exercise classes in the schedule for later this year and early
West Chester/Liberty Township/Monroe 2011.
6,000 SF former Sofa Express site.
The fastest growing population area
Asian Paradise replaced G Bailey in the
of the Cincinnati market lies in the
6,750 SF restaurant endcap of McCabe Fairfield/Forest Park
northwest area along the I-75 corridor
Crossing. Tony’s, an upscale Italian The 66,200 SF once occupied by
north of I-275.
restaurant, filled the 7,700 SF adjacent AutoNation on Omniplex Court in Forest
freestanding building Bravo left when it West Chester has three new restaurants. Park is now a CarMax Auto Superstore,
relocated to Deerfield Towne Center on Sultan’s Mediterranean Cuisine is on the first in the region. Party City leased
Mason-Montgomery Road. Tylers Corner Drive and Grand Ole Pub an 11,250 SF portion of the former Cost
is on Princeton-Glendale Road. Stone Plus World Market space in the 74,000
On the north side of Fields Ertel Road,
Creek Dining Company opened its SF Tri-County Marketplace on Princeton
Salon Concepts took 4,600 SF in Kings
second location in the Cincinnati market Pike. The 12,700 SF former Just
Mall. ALDI opened in the 19,200 SF
in the 8,810 SF former Mesh restaurant Saab dealership on Dixie Highway has
former hhgregg space in Montgomery
space on Muhlhauser Drive. become the fifth area location and new
Crossing.
headquarters for USA Collison Centers.
18 | Cassidy Turley
locations in the area. A new 6,000 SF
Newport on the Levee
Red Robin that seats 200 opened on
Located on the Ohio River
in Kentucky, its unique mix
Houston Road. Chili’s plans to construct
of restaurants, shops and a 5,700 SF restaurant at Houston Road
entertainment venues draws and Spiral Boulevard. This will be the
visitors from both sides of
first location in northern Kentucky for the
the river.
chain. Dayton-based Hot Head Burritos
is expanding into the Greater Cincinnati
area with its 1,700 SF eatery on Mount
Zion Road. Future sites include Erlanger
and Fort Wright. City Barbeque will have
its first site in Kentucky on Burlington
Pike ready this fall. The Florence Square
Shopping Center will be the second area
location for J. Gumbo’s.
Newport ICSC. It will open by the end of the year
At 340,000 SF Newport on the Levee in 14,000 SF formerly occupied by
Investment Sales
is the largest entertainment venue in Entertainment Solutions and Learning
The first half of 2010 saw an upswing
Northern Kentucky. California-based Express. The Learning Express will
in the dollar amount and number of
Lucky Strike opened a 24,000 SF center, reopen in its original 2,945 SF location
significant retail sales in the Greater
Star Lanes, on the plaza level. It features after a move to a larger space and
Cincinnati area.
12 public bowling lanes, a party room subsequent closing. The 147,000 SF
with four lanes, billiards and a restaurant JC Penney in the 890,000 SF Florence The largest sale at $35.0 million
aptly named Toro for its hydraulic bull. Mall at I-75 and KY 18 is undergoing ($1,521,739/Acre) involved the
The first area Brothers Bar & Grill, a remodeling that includes new flooring, acquisition by Rock Ventures of 23 acres
Midwest chain known for its special lighting and wider aisles. A 1,500 SF in the downtown area for building a
events, is now located on the exterior portion will be dedicated to Sephora, the casino.
riverwalk level. One can even learn some beauty products boutique. The upgrades
circus tricks at the flying trapeze classes are scheduled for completion in July. Duke Realty sold its portfolio of the
given by the Amazing Portable Circus 161,100 SF Governor’s Point North
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet is expanding into anchored by Lowe’s and the 199,000
on the concourse. The latest new stores
Kentucky. The surplus retailer leased SF Governor’s Point South anchored
include The Dragon’s Hoard, a fantasy
33,639 SF and will anchor the 170,270 by Remke Market bigg’s on Mason-
clothing and accessories boutique, and
SF Florence Plaza on Connector Drive. Montgomery Road in Deerfield Township
Saxbys Coffee.
The Factory Card Outlet in the Florence for $27.5 million ($76/SF) to Dallas-
Square Shopping Center on Mall Road based Encore Enterprises.
Crestview Hills/Florence
is moving into 18,100 SF in the Village
The largest retail malls in Northern Fairfield’s 1.75 million SF Cincinnati Mall
at the Mall across the street. The
Kentucky lie in these two communities. was sold by NorthStar to New York-
additional space at its new location will
The 500,000 SF Crestview Hills Town based Cincinnati Holding Co. LLC for
accommodate conversion to the Party
Center at I-275 and Dixie Highway will $5.9 million ($3/SF).
City concept.
be the first area location of Charming
Charlie, dubbed a “Hot Retailer” by Several casual food chains found great AEI Property Corporation made a
www.cassidyturley.com | 19
$5.2 million ($191/SF) NNN leased over the previous month after a flat in the Eastern time zone when it comes
investment in the 27,140 SF PetSmart at April reading according to the Bureau to bookings through 2013, according to
245 Rivers Edge Drive in Milford. of Economic Analysis. Coupled with the Jeff Eastman, CEO of Kansas City-based
positive trending for personal income Trends, Analysis and Projections, which
SUPERVALU sold the 156,150 SF
and disposable personal income, tracks convention booking data for 50
building housing its bigg’s supermarket
retailers can see some light at the end cities across the U.S. and Canada.
on New Haven Road in Harrison to
of the tunnel of the current recession.
Toebben Cos. for $4.5 million ($29/SF). However, “distressed asset” status is
However, high unemployment continues
The new owner is leasing the building to throwing a monkey wrench into leasing
to impede a speedy return to previous
Remke Markets which now operates the at local malls. Who has the authority
high levels of consumer spending.
grocery. It plans to reduce the footprint to transact deals when an owner is in
to 71,000 SF within the building. Locally, the laundry list of fast food and default and co-tenancy clauses are just
casual food restaurants opening in the some of the factors that may inhibit the
Louisville-based Merridian Furniture,
Greater Cincinnati market continues to continued health of some malls.
looking to expand into the Cincinnati
grow. Banking on the consumer need
market, purchased the 33,400 SF former Uncertainty about the new accounting
to get out of the home kitchen without
Circuit City building along the Fields Ertel rules under consideration by the
breaking the bank, this sector has seen
Road corridor for $2.2 million ($64/SF). Financial Accounting Standards Board
success. Chains like Five Guys Burgers
(FASB), is causing consternation in the
The 88-room EconoLodge at 11620 and Fries, Red Robin, Frisch’s and
commercial real estate world. Buy or
Chester Road in Sharonville was sold Chipotle Mexican Grill added several
lease, renewal options, estimating future
to Ambelal for $1.5 million ($17,045/ new sites in the market in the first half of
sales over the term of an entire lease
Room). 2010.
are issues that will affect how deals are
The 103,000 SF Cambridge Plaza at The evolution of the downtown retail transacted in the future.
3111 Dixie Highway in Hamilton was market will take a giant leap with the
sold by Cambridge Plaza of Ohio LLC to presence of an urban casino and
Cambridge Real Estate Partners LLC for the ensuing synergies developed in
$1.5 million ($14/SF). the surrounding neighborhoods. The
reinforcing ripple effect of The Banks
The Itis Group acquired the 20,500 SF Project along the Ohio River, the
Cornell Crossing strip mall for $1.24 Fountain Square renaissance radiating
million ($60/SF) with plans to convert it to the Backstage District and Restaurant
to medical office space. The only retail Row and the Broadway Commons casino
entity remaining is The Melting Pot. project cannot be underestimated.
The 18,087 SF retail strip center at 6417 Retail success depends not only on the
Branch Hill Guinea Road in Loveland local populace but also on the traveling
was acquired at a sheriff’s sale by Fifth segment that spends time in the
Third Bank for $1.2 million ($66/SF). area. According to the Cincinnati USA
Convention and Visitors Bureau 2009
Outlook was the fifth year it has increased future
Positive consumer spending trends bookings. Cincinnati, in fact, is a full 11
resumed in May with a 0.2% increase percentage points ahead of other cities
20 | Cassidy Turley
Investment Market
Overview Values/Deal Flow Investment Market Recovery
In keeping with the overall economy’s • The number of overall transactions • A broad based recovery hasn’t yet
unsteady recovery, the investment is still limited. The majority of the taken hold in the market, although
property sector of commercial real deal flow activity is focused on trophy there are signs that it is on a positive
estate is showing signs of incremental assets. This is creating widespread path.
improvement, albeit uneven and frustration among both investors and
• More capital is coming back to the
somewhat unpredictable. In this mid- owners over the lack of transaction
market every month, especially to
year report a summary of current traction.
certain sectors of the market that
observations about the investment
• The Second Quarter 2010 Korpacz are considered “safe”. These sectors
property market from a variety of sources
Investor Survey cites a decline in the include long term, single tenant, net
is provided. A consistent thread running
average overall cap rate in 17 of the leased properties, and well occupied
throughout our findings: Things continue
survey’s 30 markets. This indicates Class A assets in top tier markets.
to change.
investors perceive less risk in the
• Lenders are seeing their portfolios of
The following is an accumulation industry now, especially for prime
owned property grow substantially.
of summary comments, opinions, properties in healthier markets.
They are taking a longer term
observations and predictions about the
• Investors who are able to aggressively approach to ownership due to
current state of the commercial real
pursue opportunities on an all-cash current low values and are resisting
estate investment market, grouped into
basis while waiting to secure debt dispositions until the economic
four main topics:
post-closing will compete more recovery allows for some lease-up and
favorably in the market. increases in cash flows. As pressure
Economy
increases on lenders to dispose of
• It appears to some that we are on the • Values appear to be near the bottom,
assets, these assets will eventually
path to a “new normal” which will provided there isn’t a second dip in
be redeployed back to either private
be a market that suffers from several the economy that would negatively
investors or opportunistic funds.
cyclical economic obstacles. affect demand factors.
www.cassidyturley.com | 21
Greater Cincinnati – Total Non-Residential Property Sales has two primary camps:
(Greater than $1 Million)
The “Core” investors looking for
long-term credit leases in either prime
locations or secondary locations with
defendable futures. This sector is
Total Sales (in $100 Million)
First Half 2010 Investment Sale Activity - Some Greater Cincinnati Major Office Transactions
* Sale price included 6 adjacent parking spaces and 29-space parking lot
First Half 2010 Investment Sale Activity - Some Greater Cincinnati Major Industrial Transactions
22 | Cassidy Turley
First Half 2010 Investment Sale Activity - Some Greater Cincinnati Major Retail Transactions
www.cassidyturley.com | 23
Investor Services Occupier Services
• Capital Markets • Corporate Services
• Land Acquisition and Disposition • Land Acquisition and Disposition
• Landlord Representation • Owner/Occupier Sales
• Owner/Occupier Sales • Project and Development Services
• Project and Development Services • Strategic Consulting
• Property Management • Tenant Representation