Pitcher Rating - Stats as of July 21, 2010

NAME LEAGUE W L SV HLD BSV SO RS WHIP ERA PR ∆

1 Ubaldo Jimenez NL 15 1 118 7.07 1.07 2.38 44.05 1
2 Adam Wainwright NL 14 5 136 6.25 1.00 1.94 42.79 2
3 Josh Johnson NL 10 3 141 5.96 0.97 1.61 37.04 6
4 CC Sabathia AL 13 3 119 7.44 1.22 3.18 33.42 9
5 Billy Wagner NL 5 0 21 3 59 0.00 0.82 1.15 33.33 4
6 Roy Halladay NL 10 8 131 4.56 1.06 2.40 31.00 10
7 Heath Bell NL 4 0 26 3 52 0.00 1.34 2.01 30.89 5
8 Jon Lester AL 11 4 130 7.10 1.12 2.81 30.83 8
9 Mat Latos NL 10 4 99 5.57 0.96 2.45 29.67 17
10 David Price AL 12 5 103 7.33 1.24 2.82 28.36 3
11 Carl Pavano AL 12 6 81 5.45 1.01 3.26 28.28 44
12 Tim Lincecum NL 10 4 136 7.32 1.24 2.94 27.69 28
13 Mariano Rivera AL 3 1 20 2 34 0.00 0.64 1.01 27.19 12
14 Jered Weaver AL 9 5 142 6.21 1.07 3.16 27.10 21
15 Chris Carpenter NL 10 3 114 6.73 1.20 3.16 26.93 15
16 Brian Wilson NL 2 1 25 2 54 0.00 1.33 2.03 26.59 13
17 Rafael Soriano AL 2 0 23 2 29 0.00 0.80 1.60 26.22 7
18 Cliff Lee AL 8 4 97 4.84 0.89 2.59 25.77 22
19 Justin Verlander AL 11 5 119 6.96 1.22 3.86 25.34 25
20 Andy Pettitte AL 11 2 90 8.48 1.20 2.88 25.10 11
21 Clayton Kershaw NL 9 5 129 6.24 1.25 3.16 24.87 26
22 Yovani Gallardo NL 8 4 122 6.46 1.26 2.58 23.86 23
23 Colby Lewis AL 9 5 112 6.02 1.12 3.42 23.16 NR
24 Jose Valverde AL 1 1 19 1 36 0.00 0.86 1.13 22.67 18
25 Clay Buchholz AL 10 4 64 7.41 1.25 2.45 20.94 19
26 Jonathan Broxton NL 3 1 19 3 55 0.00 1.05 2.50 20.91 14
27 Joakim Soria AL 0 2 25 2 45 0.00 1.16 2.43 20.07 31
28 Mike Pelfrey NL 10 4 69 6.14 1.44 3.58 19.89 16
29 Trevor Cahill AL 9 3 66 6.64 1.05 3.19 19.78 40
30 Phil Hughes AL 11 2 91 10.10 1.20 3.65 19.66 20
31 Tim Hudson NL 9 5 63 6.33 1.15 2.60 19.44 35
32 Jaime Garcia NL 8 4 84 6.95 1.30 2.27 19.42 27
33 Hong-Chih Kuo NL 3 1 2 12 1 36 0.00 0.81 0.95 19.41 NR
34 Jeff Niemann AL 8 2 90 7.95 1.11 2.92 18.90 34
35 Bronson Arroyo NL 10 4 62 6.63 1.21 3.96 17.91 NR
36 Arthur Rhodes NL 3 3 16 35 0.00 0.92 1.46 17.83 29
37 Leo Nunez NL 3 2 22 5 41 0.00 1.06 2.79 17.45 NR
38 Francisco Rodriguez NL 3 2 21 5 56 0.00 1.32 2.68 17.40 38
39 Matt Garza AL 10 5 1 86 7.90 1.31 4.05 17.37 45
40 Neftali Feliz AL 1 2 24 2 44 0.00 1.03 3.86 17.19 32
41 Mike Adams NL 2 1 22 3 46 0.00 0.94 2.18 16.81 37
42 Joel Pineiro AL 10 6 78 6.99 1.27 3.95 16.76 NR
43 Johnny Cueto NL 8 2 79 7.41 1.28 3.42 16.58 39
44 Carlos Silva NL 9 3 72 8.15 1.14 3.45 16.29 24
45 Johan Santana NL 6 5 78 4.00 1.24 3.15 16.26 NR
 Pitcher Rating - Stats as of July 21, 2010

DROPPED FROM RANKINGS:

30 Carlos Marmol
33 Tyler Clippard
36 Fernando Rodney
41 Matt Capps
42 Luke Gregerson
43 Jon Rauch

ESPN Cy Young Predictor Ross Clites Pitcher Rating

AL NL AL NL
2002 Barry Zito Randy Johnson Barry Zito Randy Johnson
2003 Keith Foulke Mark Prior Roy Halladay Eric Gagne
2004 Johan Santana Eric Gagne Johan Santana Eric Gagne
2005 Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter
2006 Johan Santana Brandon Webb Johan Santana Brandon Webb
2007 CC Sabathia Jake Peavy CC Sabathia Jake Peavy
2008 Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum
2009 Felix Hernandez Adam Wainwright Felix Hernandez Tim Lincecum

Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting. Pitcher Rating even predicted Tim Lincecum's
2009 Cy Young Award victory, albeit by the narrow margin of 0.01 points.

The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.

The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.

A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.

This is why you must trust the Pitcher Rating over the ESPN Cy Young Predictor. Should everything hold, we will both
look like geniuses in the same year yet again.

2010 ESPN Cy Young Predictor 2010 Ross Clites Pitcher Rating

AL NL AL NL
1ST CC Sabathia Ubaldo Jimenez CC Sabathia Ubaldo Jimenez
2ND David Price Adam Wainwright Jon Lester Adam Wainwright
3RD Andy Pettitte Josh Johnson David Price Josh Johnson
4TH Jon Lester Heath Bell Carl Pavano Billy Wagner
5TH Phil Hughes Billy Wagner Mariano Rivera Roy Halladay
6TH Mariano Rivera Roy Halladay Jered Weaver Heath Bell
7TH Rafael Soriano Chris Carpenter Rafael Soriano Mat Latos