Number of Handgun

Permits and the Number

of Shootings in 2012
Tyler Muth, Ryan Godak, Brandon Horner
Report Information
We wanted to see if the number of Handgun permits sold
would increase the number of shootings in 2012. We
predicted that the number of permits sold would have a
moderate negative correlation. We used a government
census to gather all our information.
Data set
Population- all the inhabitants of a particular town, area,
or country.
Our population was the 25 different states picked.
Sample- a small part or quantity intended to show what
the whole is like.
Our sample was the number of shootings
Variable- not consistent or having a fixed pattern; liable
to change.
Our explanatory variable was the number of gun
permits
Our response variable was the number of shootings.
Data set
Variable- not consistent or having a fixed pattern; liable to
change.
Our explanatory variable was the number of gun permits.
Our response variable was the number of shootings.
 Gun Permits and shootings

States Hand Gun Permits Number of Shootings

California 10714573 1879

Alabama 3749099 2

Pennslyvania 8156636 684

Maine 790550 25

N Dakota 590720 16

Data Table N Carolina

Virginia
4427820

3524638
470

314

Utah 2967949 49

Oregon 2347894 81

Kanas 1673605 84

Arizona 2675937 321

Ohio 4918014 410

Wisconsin 2974560 169

New York 2849970 682

Flordia 59578440 721

Louisiana 2987951 14

Wyoming 587027 14

New Jersey 6344408 823

Massachusetts 1567707 121

Mississippi 2390007 174

Kentucky 15118518 192

Illinois 8399271 569

Connecticut 1810014 146

Delaware 256059 57
 Graph
States

1802
1602 y = 0.000x + 254.511
1402 r = 0.128
r =0..358
shootings

1202
1002
States
802
Permits and Shootings
602
402
202
2
200000 5200000 10200000 15200000
Premits
r and r2
Correlation- a mutual relationship or connection
between two or more things.
Our correlation value was the number of guns on
the streets and the number of shootings
The direction is a positive correlation because as
gun permits goes up so does the number of
shootings.
The strength is a weak correlation because the
points aren't tight to the line they are spread out.
r and r2
Coefficient of determination- is a measure
of the proportion of variance of a predicted
outcome.
The coefficient of determination would be the
number of shootings.
The variation would be the number of permits sold.
The validity of the equations is the number of
shootings because it varies from state to state some
numbers are high and others are low.
Prediction
Our prediction is as Hand gun permits increase shootings
increase as well. Our coefficient of determination is the
number of guns on the street and the number of shootings
which explains the variation which is 12.8% accurate which is
very weak and justifies our prediction.
Y = 0.000x +254.511
Y = 0.000(100) + 254.511
Y= 0.000 + 254.511
Y = 254.511
Lurking
The lurking variables would be Alabama and California.
Alabama affects the scatter plot because it drags the line of
regression lower then it would if it wasnt in the graph.
California affects the scatter plot because it drags the line of
regression higher then it would if it wasnt in the graph.
Conclusion
Our hypothesis was as the number of handgun permits go up
the number of shootings go down. Our hypothesis was wrong
because the correlation direction is positive which means as
one goes up so does the other and the correlation strength
was moderate because r=.358 which is in the .300 < r 700
range.
Works Cited
Gwen Filosa. (June 2nd 2010). Gun fire death rate
in Louisiana is highest in nation. Retrieved from
http://nola/crime/index/06/gunfire-death-rate-in
Louisiana.html crime
Florida Department of law enforcement. (2015).
Crime in Florida, 1971-2014 Florida uniform crime.
Retrieved from Tallahassee FL:Fdle.
Uniform crime reports.(n.d.). Retrieved from
https://fbi.gov