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Probleme Complexe Statistica PDF
Probleme Complexe Statistica PDF
Probleme complexe
1.
3HQWUX GH PXQFLWRUL DL XQHL VRFLHW L FRPHUFLDOH V -au nregistrat datele privind timpul
OXFUDWvQWUHRV SW PkQ RUH
39, 40, 38, 43, 40, 40, 40, 38, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41, 43, 42, 40, 42, 38, 40, 39, 40, 37, 38, 38, 37, 39,
40, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41.
Se cere:
1. V VHJUXSH]HPXQFLWRULLGLQHDQWLRQGXS WLPSXOOXFUDW
3. V VH FDOFXOH]H SURGXF LD PHGLH SH XQ PXQFLWRU XWLOL]kQG PHGLD DULWPHWLF L V VH
YHULILFHSURSULHW LOHDFHVWHLD
4. V VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH PHGLL VH PDL SRW FDOFXOD L vQ FH UDSRUW GH P ULPH VH
5. V VHFDOFXOH]HLQGLFDWRULLPHGLLGHSR]L LH
6. V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL L V VH SUHFL]H]H GDF PHGLD HVWH
UHSUH]HQWDWLY
7. V VH HVWLPH]H SDUDPHWULL FROHFWLYLW LL JHQHUDOH GDF UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] FX R
al acestora;
8. V VH GHWHUPLQH QRXO YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF HURDUHD OLPLW FDOFXODW DQWHULRU VH
P UHWH GH RUL L VH XWLOL]HD] VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW FHOHODOWH FRQGL LL U PkQkQG
neschimbate.
Rezolvare
vQUHJLVWUDWH ILLQG GH DVHPHQHD PLF VH SRDWH HIHFWXD JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH L RE LQHP
2. 'LVWULEX LLOH RE LQXWH SULQ JUXSDUH SH YDULDQWH VH UHSUH]LQW JUDILF SULQ GLDJUDPD SULQ
bastoane.
14
12
10
nr. muncitori
8
6
4
2
0
36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
3. &DOFXOXOPHGLHLDULWPHWLFHLYHULILFDUHDSULQFLSDOHORUSURSULHW LDOHDFHVWHLD
x i n i 37 5 + 38 6 + 39 8 + 40 13 + 41 7 + 42 5 + 43 6
x= = =
n i 50
2000
= = 40 ore / muncitor
50
9HULILFDUHDSULQFLSDOHORUSURSULHW LDOHPHGLHLDULWPHWLFH :
37 < 40 < 43
b) (xi x ) ni = (37 40)5 + (38 40)6 + (39 40) 8 + (40 40) 13 +
+ (41 40) 7 + (42 40) 5 + (43 40) 6 = - 35 + 35 = 0
c) xi ni = x xi
2000 = 40 50
d)
( xi a ) ni = x a
ni
Pentru a RE LQHP
(xi a)ni = (37 2)5 + (38 2)6 + (39 2)8 + (40 2)13 + (41 2)7 + (42 2)5 + (43 2)6 =
ni 50
1900
= = 38 = 40 2 = x a
50
x x
e) hi ni = h
Pentru h RE LQHP
37 38 39 40 41 42 43
5 + 6 + 8 + 13 + 7 + 5+ 6
x 200 40 x
hi ni = 10 10 10 1050 10 10 10 = 50 = 4 = 10 = h
4. &DOFXOXOPHGLHLDUPRQLFHLDOPHGLHLS WUDWLFH
xh =
ni =
50
=
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
x ni 37
5 + 6 + 8 +
38 39 40
13 + 7 +
41 42
5 + 6
43
i
= 39,92 ore/muncitor
&DOFXOXOPHGLHLS WUDWLFH ( x p ):
xi2 ni 37 2 5 + 38 2 6 + 39 2 8 + 40 2 13 + 412 7 + 42 2 5 + 43 2 6
xp = = =
n i 50
= 40,04 ore/muncitor
xh < x < x p
Locul M e =
ni +1
=
50 + 1
= 25 , 5
2 2
5+6+8+13 = 32 > 25,5
9DORDUHD PHGLDQHL HVWH YDULDQWD D F UHL IUHFYHQ FXPXODW HVWH SULPD PDL PDUH
Calculul modului
Mo = 40 ore.
6. &DOFXOXOLQGLFDWRULORUGHYDULD LH
,QGLFDWRULLVLPSOLDLYDULD LHL
$PSOLWXGLQHDYDULD LHL :
x max x min 6
A% = 100 = 100 = 15%
x 40
Abaterile absolute: d i = xi x
De exemplu:
di max(+) = 43 40 = 3 ore
di max(-) = 37 40 = -3 ore
xi x
Abaterile relative: di (%) = 100
x
De exemplu:
3
di(%) max(+) = 100 = 7,5%
40
3
di(%) max(-) = 100 = 7,5%
40
,QGLFDWRULLVLQWHWLFLDLYDULD LHL
$EDWHUHDPHGLHOLQLDU ( d ):
xi x ni 37 40 5 + 38 40 6 + ... + 43 40 6
d = = =
ni 50
70
= = 1 , 4 ore / muncitor
50
Dispersia:
2
=
( xi x ) 2 ni
=
(37 40) 2 5 + (38 40) 2 6 + ... + (43 40) 2 6 158
= = 3,16
ni 50 50
$EDWHUHDPHGLHS WUDWLF :
5DSRUWXOGLQWUHFHOHGRX DEDWHULPHGLL
d 1,4
= = 0,79
1,8
6H SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F UHSDUWL LD YDORULORU WLQGH F WUH QRUPDOLWDWH GHRDUHFH DFHVW
4
raport .
5
/D DFHHDL FRQFOX]LH VH SRDWH DMXQJH L GLQ DQDOL]D LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH FDUH
&RHILFLHQWXOGHYDULD LH
1,8
v= 100 = 100 = 4,5%
x 40
d 1,4
v= 100 = 100 = 3,5%
x 40
&DOFXOXOHURULLOLPLW DGPLV :
2 3,16
6HOHF LDUHSHWDW x = z = 3 = 0,754 buc.
n 50
2 n 3,16 50
6HOHF LDQHUHSHWDW x = z 1 = 3 1 = 0,715 buc.
n N 50 500
x - x < x 0 < x + x
6HOHF LDUHSHWDW
Selec LDQHUHSHWDW
N
N( x - x) < xi < N( x + x)
i =1
6HOHF LDUHSHWDW
500
500 (40 0,754) < xi < 500 (40 + 0,754)
i =1
500
19623 buc. < xi < 20377 buc.
i =1
6HOHF LDQHUHSHWDW
500
500 (40 0,715) < xi <500 (40 + 0,715)
i =1
500
19642,5 buc. < xi < 20357 buc.
i =1
z 2 2 3 2 3,16
n= = = 47 muncitori
z 2 2 3 2 3,16
( x ) +
2
(0,736) +
2
N 500
2.
Dintr-un sondaj statistic de 10% din colectivitate s-auRE LQXWGDWHOH
Tabelul 2.
Se cere:
1. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS SURILW SHQWUX JUXSD D ,, -a
GXS FLIUDGHDIDFHUL
interpreWHD] VWDWLVWLFDFHWLLQGLFDWRUL
Rezolvare
Tabelul 3.
Grupe de xi a
DJHQ L 1UDJHQ L
Centul de xi a xi a
2
Scara:
35
30 pe Ox: 1 cm = 4 mil.
30 SH2\FP DJHQ L
25
25
20
20 15
15
10
10
5
0
8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36
profit (mil. lei)
2. *UDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH VH GHWHUPLQ FX DMXWRUXO FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH YDULD LH SHQWUX
GHWHUPLQDUHDF UXLDVXQWQHFHVDUHRVHULHGHFDOFXOHSUHDODELOH
Media ( x ):
&DOFXOXORELQXLW
r
xi ni 2140
i =1
x= r
= = 21,4 mil. lei / agent economic
100
ni
i =1
Calcul simplificat:
r
xi a
h
15
i =1
x= r
h + a = 4 + 22 = 21,4 mil. lei/agent economic
100
ni
i =1
$EDWHUHDPHGLHOLQLDU d ):
r
xi x ni
i =1 392
d= = = 3,92 mil. lei
r 100
ni
i =1
Dispersia (2)
&DOFXORELQXLW
2
=
( xi x ) 2 ni
=
2284
= 22,84
ni 100
Calculul simplificat:
x a
i
2 = h 2 ( x a ) 2 = 145 16 (21,4 22)2 = 22,84
h
ni 100
$EDWHUHDPHGLHS WUDWLF )
= =
2
22,84 = 4,789 mil.lei
d 3,92
v= 100 = 100 = 18,32%
x 21,4
4,78
v = 100 = 100 = 22,33%
x 21,4
x Mo
C as =
1 ( 30 25 )
M 0 = x0 + h = 20 + 4 = 21,33 mil. lei
1 + 2 ( 30 25 ) + ( 30 20 )
21 , 4 21 , 33
C as = = 0,0146
4 , 78
5H]XOW F VHULDHVWHDSURDSHVLPHWULF
PHGLLGHJUXS ( yi )
m
y j n ij
j =1
yi = ;
m
n ij
j =1
10 8 + 14 20 + 18 12
y1 = = 14,4 mil.lei/agent economic
8 + 20 + 12
18 8 + 22 35 + 26 12 + 30 5
y3 = = 22,93 mil.lei/ agent economic
8 + 35 + 12 + 5
PHGLDJHQHUDO (y)
m
y j n. j 10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15
j =1
y= m
= =
200
n. j
j =1
= 20 , 46 mil. lei/agent economic
GLVSHUVLLOHGHJUXS
m
( y j yi ) 2 nij (10 14,4) 2 8 + (14 14,4) 2 20 + (18 14,4) 2 12
j =1
i2 = = = 7,84
m
8 + 20 + 12
nij
j =1
= FDOFXODW
2
2 ODSXQFWXO 2.)
8 + 35 + 12 + 5
PHGLDGLVSHUVLLORUGHJUXS ( 2 )
r
i2 ni . 7,84 10 + 22,84 100 + 9,79 60
i =1
2 = r
= = 15,925
200
ni .
i =1
dispersia dintre grupe (2)
r
(yi y0 )2 ni . (14,4 20,46)2 40+ (21,4 20,46)2 100+ (22,93 20,46)2 60
i=1
=
2
r
= =
200
ni .
i=1
= 9,62
GLVSHUVLDWRWDO ( 2 )
JUDGXOGHGHWHUPLQD LH
2 9,62
R y2 / x = 100 = 100 = 37,67%
2
25,54
gradul de nHGHWHUPLQD LH
2
15 , 92
K 2
y/r
= 100 = 100 = 62 , 33%
2 25 , 54
'LQ DQDOL]D FHORU GRL LQGLFDWRUL VH REVHUY F YDULD LD SURILWXOXL SH WRWDO HVWH LQIOXHQ DW
vQ SURSRU LH PDL PLF GH YDULD LD FLIUHL GH DIDFHUL L vQ SURSRU LH GH GH YDULD LD
IDFWRULORUQHvQUHJLVWUD i.
5. 0HGLDLGLVSHUVLDDJHQ LORUHFRQRPLFLFXXQSURILWGHSHVWHPLOLRDQHOHL
m 32 + 15 47
p= = = = 0,235
n 200 200
3.
Dintr-XQVRQGDMVWDWLVWLFGHGLQFROHFWLYLWDWHDJHQHUDO V DXRE LQXWGDWH
- le:
Tabelul 4.
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sub 20 8 20 12 - - - 40
20-40 - 15 25 30 20 10 100
4LSHVWH - - 8 35 12 5 60
Total 8 35 45 65 32 15 200
Se cere:
1. V VH FDOFXOH]H PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD
profitului;
2. V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YRU vQFDGUD SURILWXO PHGLX L SURILWXO WRWDO vQ
coOHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO GDF UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] FX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH
(z = 3);
3. FDUHYDILYROXPXOHDQWLRQXOXLGDF HURDUHDOLPLW FUHWHFX
4. V VHFDOFXOH]HGLVSHUVLDGLQWUHJUXSHSULQSURFHGHHOHFXQRVFXWHLV VHGHWHUPLQHFkWOD
Rezolvare
1. &DOFXOXOPHGLHLLGLVSHUVLHLSHWRWDO
y=
y j nij =
10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15
=
nij 8 + 35 + 45 + 65 + 32 + 15
( y j y )
2
n. j ( 10 20 , 46 ) 2 8 + ( 14 20 , 46 ) 2 35 + ( 18 20 , 46 ) 2 65
2
= = +
n . j
y
200
( 26 20 , 46 ) 2 32 + 30 20 , 46 ) 2 15
+ = 25 , 54
200
PHGLLGHJUXS
yi =
y j nij
nij
10 8 + 14 20 + 18 12
y1 = = 14,4 mil.lei / agent economic
40
14 15 + 18 25 + 22 30 + 26 20 + 30 10
y2 = = 21,4 mil.lei / agent economic
100
18 8 + 22 35 + 26 12 + 30 5
y3 = = 22,93 mil.lei / agent economic
60
GLVSHUVLLGHJUXS
i2 =
(y j yi )2 nij
nij
(10 14,4) 2 8 + (14 14,4) 2 20 + (18 14,4) 2 12
12 = = 7,84
40
(14 21,4) 2 15 + (18 21,4) 2 15 + (22 21,4) 2 30 + (26 21,4) 2 20
22 = +
100
(30 21,4) 2 10
+ = 22,84
100
(18 22,93) 2 8 + (22 22,93) 2 35 + (26 22,93) 2 12 + (30 22,93) 2 5
3 =
2
= 9,79
60
PHGLDGLVSHUVLLORUGHJUXS
2 n 15,925 200
y = 1 = 1 = 0,07166 = 0,2676 mil. lei
n N 200 2000
2 n
y = z y = z 1 =30,2676 = 0,803
n N
y y < y0 < y + y
20,46 0,803 < y 0 < 20,46 + 0,803
19,657 mil. lei/agent economic < y 0 < 21,263 mil. lei/agent economic
N
N( y - y ) < y
i =1
i < N( y - y )
2000
200019,657< yi < 2000 21,263
i =1
2000
39314 mil.lei < yi < 42526 mil.lei
i =1
3. Volumul noXOXLHDQWLRQvQFD]XOvQFDUHHURDUHDOLPLW VHP UHWHFX
2
z2 2
n = , unde: -HVWHPHGLDGLVSHUVLLORUGHJUXS
2
y2
( )
y
2
+
N
4.
Dintr-un sondaj organizat n cadrul unei S.C. se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 5.
WLLQG F HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO L D IRVW H[WUDV SULQ VHOHF LH
QHUHSHWDW VHFHUH
1. V VHYHULILFHJUDGXOGHRPRJHQLWDWHDOHDQWLRQXOXL
2. V VH FDOFXOH]H vQWUH FH OLPLWH VH YD vQFDGUD SURGXF LD WRWDO vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO
Rezolvare
v= 100 ,
y
unde: y -HVWHPHGLDHDQWLRQXOXL
-HVWHDEDWHUHDPHGLHS WUDWLF
3HQWUXDU VSXQGHFHULQ HLHVWHQHFHVDU FDOFXODUHDvQSUHDODELODXUP WRULORULQGLFDWRUL
media pe total
r
y i ni 25 30 + 30 60 + 32 10
i =1
y= = = 28,7 buc./muncitor
r
30 + 60 + 10
ni
i =1
2
dispersia dintre grupe ( )
r
( y i y0 )2 ni
( 25 28 , 7 ) 2 30 + ( 30 28 , 7 ) 2 60 + ( 32 28 , 7 ) 2 10
i =1
2
= = =
r 30 + 60 + 10
n i
i =1
621
= = 6 , 21
100
GLVSHUVLLOHGHJUXS ( i2 )
i
2
v y
vi = 100 i2 = i i
yi 100
12 = 6,25
22 = 56,25
32 = 6,5536
PHGLDGLVSHUVLLORUGHJUXS ( 2 )
r
i2 ni
i =1
2 = r
ni
i =1
&RHILFLHQWXOGHYDULD LH :
6,518
v= 100 = 22,71% < 35% HDQWLRQXOHVWHRPRJHQ
28,7
2. 6HFDOFXOHD]
2 n 36,28 100
y = 1 = 1 = 0,3265 = 0,57 buc.
n N 100 1000
HURDUHDOLPLW (y)
,QWHUYDOXOGHvQFUHGHUHSHQWUXSURGXF LDWRWDO :
N
N ( y0 y ) < yi < N ( y0 + y )
i =1
1000
1000 (28,7 1,14) < yi < 1000) 28,7 1,14)
i =1
1000
28560 buc. < yi < 29840 buc.
i =1
3. 9ROXPXOQRXOXLHDQWLRQ n):
z 2
2
n = , unde :
( )
2 2
2 z
y +
N
Q FRQGL LLOH XQHL HURUL PD[LPH GH EXF YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL WUHEXLH V ILH
Tabelul 6.
n1 = 45
Ni
ni = n = n2 = 90
N i n3 = 15
n 1 = 20 , 43 20
i Ni
n i = n = n 2 = 122 , 59 123
r
i N i n 3 = 6 , 975 7
i =1
5.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL WRWDO GH P UIXUL GLQ 5RPkQLD vQ
Anii 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
0RGLILFDUHUHODWLY ID
2,27 12,13 25,74 28,6 2,21 4,28 -1,53 2,42 21,92
de anul precedent (%)
Se cere:
6. V VH DMXVWH]H HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL vQWUH DQLL -1995 printr-XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L
unul analitic.
Rezolvare
1. 3HQWUXDUHFRQVWLWXLVHULDGHYDORULDEVROXWHVHFDOFXOHD] PDLvQWkLLQGLFLLFXED]DvQODQ
SRUQLQGGHODXQDGLQIRUPXOHOHGHFDOFXODOHULWPXULORUGHFUHWHUHFXED]DvQODQ
Rt / t 1 = I t / t 1(%) 100 ,
de unde:
It/t-1(%) = Rt/t-1 + 100
I1992/1991 = 2,27 + 100 = 102,27%
I1993/1992 = 12,13 + 100 = 112,13%
I2000/1999 = 21,92 + 100 = 121,92%
Tabelul 8.
Anii 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
,QGLFLLGHGLQDPLF FXED]D
102,27 112,13 125,74 128,6 102,21 104,28 98,47 102,42 121,92
vQODQ
3OHFkQGGHODUHOD LDvQWUHLQGLFL
It/t-1 = It/1
I1996/1995 I1997/1996 I1998/1997 I1999/1998 I2000/1999 = I2000/1995
VHRE LQH
Deci:
y 2000
= 1 , 3106 y 1995 7910 mil. $
y 1995
y y 2000 10367 mil. $
2000 y 1995 = 2457
6H UHFRQVWLWXLH vQWUHDJD VHULH GH YDORUL DEVROXWH SH ED]D LQGLFLORU FX ED]D vQ ODQ FXQRVFXW
Anii 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
([SRUWWRWDOGHP UIXUL
4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 8085 8431 8302 8503 10367
(mil. $)
2. Indicatorii medii:
nivelul mediu
y=
yt =
71270
= 7127 mil. $
n 10
PRGLILFDUHDPHGLHDEVROXW
y n y1 10367 4266
= = 677 , 89 mil. $
n 1 9
indicele PHGLXGHGLQDPLF
yn 10367
I = n 1 =9 = 1 , 10369 sau 110,369%
y1 4266
ritmul mediu
10400
9600
8800
8000
Export (mil.$)
7200
6400
5600
4800
4000
3200
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Anii
0HWRGDPHFDQLF
Yti = y1 + (t 1)
0 1 2 3
1991 4266 Y1 = 4266 + 677,89(1-1) = 4266 0,0
1992 4363 Y2 = 4266 + 677,89(2-1) = 4943,89 337433,19
1993 4892 Y3 = 5621,78 532578,85
1994 6151 Y4 = 6299,67 22102,77
1995 7910 Y5 = 6977,56 869444,35
1996 8085 Y6 = 7655,45 184513,20
1997 8431 Y7 = 8333,34 9537,47
1998 8302 Y8 = 9011,23 503007,19
1999 8503 Y9 = 9689,12 1406880,65
2000 10367 Y10 = 10367 0,0
Total yt = 71270 Y t i = 73165 ( y t Y t i ) = 3865497,67
2
Metoda anaOLWLF
3HQWUXDMXVWDUHYRPDSOLFDRUHOD LHGHWLSOLQLDU
Y t i = a + bti
[yi (a + b ti )]
2
= min
6LVWHPXOGHHFXD LLHVWH
n n
na + b t i = y i
i =1 i =1
n n n
a t +b t 2 =
i i y i t i
i =1 i =1 i =1
n
na = y i
i =1
n n
b t 2 =
i yi t i
i =1 i =1
n n
yi yiti
i =1 i =1
a= ; b=
n n
t i2
i =1
&DOFXOHOHQHFHVDUHUH]ROY ULLVLVWHPXOXLVXQWSUH]HQWDWHvQWDEHOXO
Tabelul 11.
0HWRGDDQDOLWLF
Anii yt 2
Y t i = a + bti ( yt Yti ) 2
ti t i
yiti
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1991 4266 -9 81 -38394 Y1 = 7127+1327,13(-9)=4182,83 6912,25
1992 4363 -7 49 -30541 Y2 = 7127+327,13(-7)=4837,09 224761,32
1993 4892 -5 25 -24460 Y3 = 5491,35 359220,42
1994 6151 -3 9 -18453 Y4 = 6145,61 29,05
1995 7910 -1 1 -7910 Y5 = 6799,87 1232388,62
1996 8085 1 1 8085 Y6 = 7454,13 397996,96
1997 8431 3 9 25293 Y7 = 8108,39 104077,21
1998 8302 5 25 41510 Y8 = 8762,65 212198,42
1999 8503 7 49 59521 Y9 = 9416,91 835231,49
2000 10367 9 81 93303 Y10 = 10071,17 87515,39
yi = 71270 ti =0 t i2 =330 yiti =107954 Y t i =71270 ( y t Yt )
2
Total =3460336,13
i
10 a = 71270
330 b = 107954
71270
a= = 7127
10
107954
b= = 327,13
330
5. Pentru alegereaFHOHLPDLDGHFYDWHPHWRGHVHFRPSDU
n n
volumul total empiric y i cu cel teoretic Y t i ;
i =1 i =1
(yi - Y t i ) VHUH LQHPHWRGDFDUHvQGHSOLQHWHFRQGL LDGHPLQLP
2
yt ( y i Yti ) 2
vy = 100 , unde: yt =
t y n
6HDOHJHPHWRGDFXFHOPDLPLFFRHILFLHQWGHYDULD LH
&DOFXOHOH LQWHUPHGLDUH QHFHVDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOHOH FRORDQD L WDEHOXO
0HWRGDPHFDQLF
6HRSWHD] SHQWUXPHWRGDLQGLFHOXLPHGLX
( t 1 )
Y t i = y1 I
y 1995 7910
I = n 1 =4 = 1 , 1669 sau 116,69%
y 1991 4266
6HULDGHGDWHLWHUPHQLLDMXVWD LSULQDFHDVW PHWRG VXQWWUHFXWHvQWDEHOXO
Tabelul 13.
Metoda analitLF
*UDILFXO GLQ ILJXUD DUDW SHQWUX DFHDVW SHULRDG R WHQGLQ GH HYROX LH GH WLS
parabolic.
$MXVWDUHDVHIDFHGXS UHOD LD
Y ti = a + bti + cti2
na + bt i + ct i2 = y i
at i + bt i + ct i = y i t i
2 3
at 2 + bt 3 + ct 4 = y t 2
i i i i i
na + ct i2 = y i
2
bt i = y i t i
at 2 + ct 4 = y t 2
i i i i
Tabelul 14.
9DORULDMXVWDWHSULQPHWRGDDQDOLWLF
Anii yi 2 4
Y t i =a+bti+ cti2 (yi-Y t i )2
ti t i t i
yiti yit i2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1991 4266 -2 4 16 -8532 17064 4280,34 196
1992 4363 -1 1 1 -4363 4363 4319,23 1915,81
1993 4892 0 0 0 0 0 7939,26 2048,47
1994 6151 1 1 1 6151 6151 6134,43 274,56
1995 7910 2 4 16 15820 31640 7910,74 0,55
(yi-Y t i )2=
Total yi=27582 ti=0 2
t i =10
4
t i =34 yiti=9076 2
yit i =59218 Y t i =27582
=4435,39
5 a + 10 c = 27582
10 b = 9076
10 a + 34 c = 59218
a = 4937,26
b = 907,6
c = 289,57
3HQWUXDOHJHUHDFHOHLPDLDGHFYDWHPHWRGHVHFRPSDU
n n
volumul total empiric y i cu cel teoretic Yt i ;
i =1 i =1
VXPD S WUDWHORU GLIHUHQ HORU GLQWUH YDORULOH HPSLULFH L FHOH WHRUHWLFH VH UH LQH
PHWRGDFDUHvQGHSOLQHWHFRQGL LDGHPLQLP
yt ( y i Yt i ) 2
v yt = 100 , unde: y t =
y n
CaOFXOHOH LQWHUPHGLDUH QHFHVDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOHOH FRORDQD L WDEHOXO
coloana 7, iar rezultatele n tabelul 15..
Tabelul 15.
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH FX YDORDUHD FHD PDL PLF LQGLF PHWRGD GH DMXVWDUH FHD PDL
6.
3HQWUXWUHLVRFLHW LFRPHUFLDOHVHFXQRVFGDWHOH
Tabelul 16.
1. LQGLFLLLQGLYLGXDOLDLSUH XULORULDLYDORULL
2. indicii de grup ai YDORULLYROXPXOXLIL]LFLDOSUH XULORU
3. PRGLILFDUHDUHODWLY LDEVROXW DYDORULLSURGXF LHLFXHYLGHQ LHUHDLQIOXHQ HLIDFWRULORU
4. LQGLFLLLQGLYLGXDOLLGHJUXSDLQXP UXOXLGHVDODULD L
5. SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPXQFLLSHILHFDUHVRFLHWDWHFRPHUFLDO LSHWRWDOvQFHOHGRX SHULRDGH
6. LQGLFLLLQGLYLGXDOLLGHJUXSDLSURGXFWLYLW LLPXQFLL
7. PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L DEVROXW D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD
IDFWRULORUGHLQIOXHQ
8. PRGLILFDUHD SURGXF LHL SH VHDPD SURGXFWLYLW LL L D QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L FX
GHVFRPSXQHUHDSHGRLIDFWRULLSHWUHLIDFWRULGHLQIOXHQ
9. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF SURGXF LD SH WRWDO LQkQG VHDPD GH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ SHQWUX
FD]XODGRLIDFWRULGHLQIOXHQ
Rezolvare
1. )RUPXOHOHGHFDOFXOLUH]XOWDWHOHFDOFXOHORUSHED]DGDWHORUGLQHQXQ VXQWSUH]HQWDWHvQ
WDEHOXOFRORDQHOHL
Tabelul 17.
9DORDUHDSURGXF LHLvQ
i 1p/ 0 =r 1p/ 0 +100 q pq
iv=ipiq i (%) p0q0= 1 v 1 p0q1= 1p 1
Societatea p v p q
FRPHUFLDO
SHULRDGDFXUHQW p1q1) r 1/ 0 i%
(mil.lei) (%) i i
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A 500 +50 150 80 1,2 120 416,667 333,333
B 1200 +80 180 100 1,8 180 666,667 666,667
C 300 +100 200 90 1,8 180 166,667 150
Total 2000 1250 1150
2. Pentru calculul indiciORU GH JUXS WUHEXLH RE LQXWH XUP WRDUHOH LQIRUPD LL YDORDUHD
5H]XOWDWHOHFDOFXOHORUVXQWSUH]HQWDWHvQWDEHOXOFRORDQHOHL
v ( p ,q )
I 1/ 0 =
p1 q1 =
2000
= 1 , 6 sau 160%
p0q0 1250
v(q)
I 1/ 0 =
i q p0 q0
=
1150
= 0 , 92 sau 92%
p0 q0 1250
p 1 q 1 2000 2000
= = = = 1 , 7391 sau 173,91%
v( p)
I 1/ 0
1 500 1200 300 1150
p1 q1 + +
p 1, 5 1, 8 2
i
3.
PRGLILF ULOHUHODWLYH
:
pentru factorul cantitativ: Rv(q) = I (%) - 100 = - 8%
v(q)
45
50 = 0 , 9 sau 90% pentru SC " A"
T1 150
i 1T/ 0 = = 1 sau 100% pentru SC " B"
T0 150
58
60 = 0 , 9667 sau 96,67% pentru SC " C"
T 1 253
I 1T/ 0 = = = 0 , 9731 sau 97,31%
T 0 260
5. )RUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO L UH]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU SHQWUX SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH
VRFLHWDWHFRPHUFLDO VXQWSUH]HQWDWHvQWDEHOXOFRORDQHOHL
Tabelul 18.
p0 q0 p 0 q1 w1
SC p0q0 p0q1 T0 T1 w0 = w1 = iw= w0T1 iT
T0 T1 w0
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A 416,667 333,333 50 45 8,333 7,407 0,8889 373,985 0,9
B 666,667 666,667 150 150 4,444 4,444 1 666,600 1
C 166,667 150 60 58 2,777 2,586 0,9312 161,067 0,9667
Total 1250 1150 260 253 4,808 4,545 0,9453 1202,652 0,9731
p 0 q 0 p 0 q 1
T 0 T1
3HQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL WUHEXLH FDOFXODWH
SURGXFWLYLW LOHPHGLLSHWRWDODVWIHO
w 0 T 0 p 0 q 0
w0 = = = 4 , 808 mil.lei/salariat
T 0 T 0
w 1 T 1 p 0 q 1
w1 = = = 4 , 545 mil.lei/salariat
T 1 T 1
w 0 T 1 1202 , 652
w* = = = 4 , 753 mil.lei/salariat
T 1 253
3HED]DDFHVWRUDVHFDOFXOHD] XUP WRULLLQGLFDWRUL
w ( w ,g T ) w1 4 , 545
I SV = = = 0 , 9453 VDXLQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU YDULDELO
w0 4 , 808
T w* 4 , 753
= = = 0 , 9896
w( g )
I VS VDXLQGLFHOHYDULD LHLVWUXFWXULL
w0 4 , 808
w1 4 , 545
= = = 0 , 9562
w(w)
I SF VDXLQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU IL[
w* 4 , 753
PRGLILF ULOHDEVROXWH :
T
w ( w ,g )
= w 1 w 0 = 4 , 545 4 , 808 = 0 , 263 mil. lei
T
w ( g )
= w * w 0 = 4 , 753 4 , 808 = 0 , 055 mil. lei
R w ( w ) = 4 , 38%
8. D 'HVFRPSXQHUHD SURGXF LHL SH GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ VH SRDWH UHDOL]D n mai multe
moduri:
*Varianta I
I Q ( w ,T ) =
w1 T1 = p 0 q 1 = 0 , 92 sau 92% R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%
w0 T0 p 0 q 0
L Q ( w ,T ) = 100 mil. lei
I Q(T ) =
w 0 T1 =
1202 , 652
= 0 , 9621 sau 96 , 21% R Q ( T ) = 3 , 79%
w0 T0 1250
w1 T 1 1150
I Q(w) = = = 0 , 9562 sau 95 , 62% R Q ( w ) = 4 , 38%
w0T 1 1202 , 652
w1 T 1
I Q ( w ,T ) = = 0 , 92 sau 92% , R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%
w 0 T 0
L Q ( w ,T ) = 100 mil.lei
I Q ( T ) =
w0 T 1 = 0 , 9731 sau 97 , 31%, R Q ( T ) = 2 , 69%
w 0 T 0
I Q(w) =
w1 T1 = 0 , 94531 sau 94 , 53%, R Q ( w ) = 5 , 47%
w 0 T 1
Verificare:
Q ( w ,T ) T
I =I w
I = 0,9453 0,9731=0,9199 0,92
E'HVFRPSXQHUHDSURGXF LHLWRWDOHSHWUHLIDFWRULGHLQIOXHQ
I Q ( w , g T ,T )
=
w 1 g 1T T 1
= 0 , 92 sau 92%, Q ( w , g
T
, T )
100 mil. lei
w 0 g 0T T 1
I Q ( T )
=
w 0 g 0T T 1
=
w0 T1 = 0 , 9731 sau 97 , 31%,
w 0 g 0T T 0 w 0 T 0
I Q( gT )
=
w 0 g 1T T 1
=
w* T1 = 0 , 9886 sau 98 , 86%,
w 0 g 0T T1 w 0 T1
T
Q ( g )
= ( w * w 0 ) T 1 = 0 , 055 253 = 13 , 915 mil.lei
I Q(w) =
w 1 g 1T T1 =
w1 T1 = 0 , 9562 sau 95 , 62%
w 0 g 1T T1 w * T1
QXP UXOGHVDODULD L
VHIRORVHWHGUHSWXQJKLXO
L: (1 cm = 1 milion lei)
OFP VDODULD L
VDODULD L
i
VDODULD
3HULRDGDGHED] 3HULRDGDFXUHQW
7.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 19.
Se cere:
1. V VHFDOFXOH]HLQGLFLLLQGLYLGXDOLDLIRQGXOXLGHVDODULLLDLQXP UXOXLGHVDODULD L
ai salariului mediu;
3. V VH FDOFXOH]H GLQDPLFD IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL SH WRWDO PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D DFHVWXLD L
FRQWULEX LDIDFWRULORUGHWHUPLQDQ L
4. V VH FDOFXOH]H VDOD riul mediu pe total (la nivel de ansamblu al celor 3 firme), pe cele
GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL VDODULXOXL PHGLX FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO FX VWUXFWXU
GHLQIOXHQ
6. V VH FDOFXOH]H VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL VDODULXOXL PHGLX
IRORVLQGSHQWUXFDOFXOHVWUXFWXUDVDODULD LORUSHFHOHWUHLILUPH
Rezolvare
210
300 = 0,70 sau 70% (pentru firma " A" )
T 230
i1T/ 0 = 1 = = 0,92 sau 92% (pentru firma " B" )
T0 250
100 = 1,00 sau 100% (pentru firma " C" )
100
2.
VDODULXOPHGLXSHILHFDUHILUP
750
300 = 2500 mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A")
FS 0 900
S0 = = = 3600 mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B")
T0 250
310 = 3100
100 mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")
567
210 = 2700 mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A")
FS 828
S1 = 1 = = 3600
T1 230 mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B")
335 = 3350
100
mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")
indicii individuali ai salariului mediu:
2700
2500 = 1,08 = 108% (pentru firma " A" )
S 3600
i1S/ 0 = 1 = = 1,00 = 100% (pentru firma " B" )
S 0 3600
3350 = 1,0806 = 108,06% (pentru firma " C" )
3100
Tabelul 20.
3.
dinamica fondului de salarii pe total LQIOXHQ DIDFWRULORUGHWHUPLQDQ L
FS ( S ,T )
I 1/ 0
FS 1 = S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 0 , 8826 sau 88 , 26%
=
FS 0 S 0 T 0 1960
FS ( T )
I 1/ 0 =
S 0 T 1 = 1663 = 0 , 8485 sau 84 , 85%
S 0 T 0 1960
FS ( S )
I 1/ 0 =
S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 1 , 0403 sau 104 , 03%
S 0 T 1 1663
5HOD LDGHVLVWHPGLQWUHFHLWUHLLQGLFL
= I 1/ 0 I 1/ 0
FS ( S ,T ) FS ( T ) FS ( S )
I 1/ 0
- 230 = - 297 + 67
4.
salariul mediu pe total:
S0 =
FS 0 =
1960 10 3
= 3015,3 mii lei/salariat
T0 650
S1 =
FS1 = 1730 10 3 = 3203,7 mii lei/salariat
T1 650
LQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU YDULDELO :
I1S/ (0S , g
T
)
=
S1
=
FS1 : FS 0 = S1T1 : S 0T0
S0 T1 T0 T1 T0
3203,7
I1S/ 0 = = 1,0624 sau 106,24%
3015,3
LQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU IL[ :
I1S/(0S ) =
S1T1 : S0T1 = 3203,7 : 1663 103 = S1 = 3203,7 = 1,0403 sau 104,03%
T1 T1 540 S* 3079,6
LQGLFHOHYDULD LHLVWUXFWXULL
I1S/ (0g
T
)
=
S 0T1 : S 0T0 =
S * 3079,6
= = 1,021 sau 102,1%.
T1 T0 S 0 3015,3
5HOD LDGHVLVWHP
T T
I1S/ (0S , g )
= I1S/ (0S ) I1S/(0g )
5. 0RGLILF ULOHDEVROXWHDOHVDODULXOXLPHGLX
T
S1 /(0S , g )
= S 1 S 0 = 3203,7 3015,3 = 188,4 mii lei
T
S1 /( 0g )
= S * S 0 = 3079,6 3015,3 = 64,3 mii lei
6HYHULILF UHOD LD
T T
S1 /(0S , g )
= S1 /(0S ) + S1 /(0g )
S0 =
S 0 g 0T(%) =
301534
= 3015,34 mii lei/salariat
100 100
S1 =
S1 g1T(%) =
320369
= 3203,69 mii lei/salariat
100 100
S* =
s 0 g1T(%)
=
307961
= 3079,61 mii lei/salariat
100 100
LQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU YDULDELO
s1 3203,69
I1s/ 0 = = = 1,0624 sau 106,24%
s0 3015,34
LQGLFHOHFXVWUXFWXU IL[
s1 3203,69
I 1s/(0s ) = = = 1,0403 sau 104,03%
s* 3079,61
LQGLFHOHYDULD LHLVWUXFWXULL
T s* 3079,61
I 1s/(0g )
= = = 1,0213 sau 102,13%
s 0 3015,34
8.
6HFXQRVFGDWHOHPLOLDUGHOHLSUH XULFXUHQWH
Tabelul 22.
Se cere:
1. SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPXQFLLSHUDPXULLSHvQWUHDJDHFRQ omie;
2. V VHGHWHUPLQHLQIOXHQ DIDFWRULORUDVXSUDPRGLILF ULLSURGXFWLYLW LLPXQFLLSHvQWUHDJD
economie;
3. V VHGHWHUPLQHFRQWULEX LDILHF UXLIDFWRUODPRGLILFDUHDDEVROXW DSURGXFWLYLW LLPHGLL
Rezolvare:
VABi 0
Wi 0 = , unde i = 1,3
POi 0
SHQWUXVHIRORVHWHVABvQSUH XULFRQVWDQWH
5H]XOWDWHOHFDOFXOHORUVXQWSUH]HQWDWHvQWDEHOXOFRORDQHOHL
Tabelul 22.
Productivitatea
Ramura
p
I VAB VAB i 1 VAB i*1 muncii
Wi0POi1
i
(mld.lei) (mii lei/pers.)
(mld. lei)
Wi0 Wi1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
,QGXVWULHFRQVWUXF LL 1,8148 43248,9 23831,22 6042,5 7447,2 19336
$JULFXOWXU VLOYLFXOWXU 2,1082 20949,2 9937,01 2726,6 3020,3 8970,514
Alte ramuri 2,185 37656,1 17233,91 5134,5 5861,8 15095,43
Total 101854,2 51002,13 4581,7 5408,4 43401,944
Productivitatea muncii la nivelul economiei ( W VHFDOFXOHD] DVWIHO
3
VAB i 0 45954 , 7.10 9
i =1
W0 = = = 4581 , 7 mii lei/pers.
3
10030.10 3
PO i 0
i =1
3
VAB i 1 51002 , 13.10 9
i =1
W1 = = = 5408 , 4 mii lei/pers.
3
9430.10 3
PO i 1
i =1
W1 5408,4
= = = 1,1804 VDXFHHDFHUHSUH]LQW
PO
I W (W , g RFUHWHUH
)
W0 4581,7
cu 18,04%
0RGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SH HFRQRPLH W SRDWH IL DQDOL]DW vQ IXQF LH GH
productivitatea muncii la nivelul ramurilor (Wi VL GH VWUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL RFXSDWH SH
( )
ramuri g iPO .
PO W*
IW (g )
= ,
W0
unde:
3
W i 0 PO i 1 43401 , 944.10 9
i =1
W* = = = 4602 , 5 mii lei
3
9430.10 3
PO i 1
i =1
PO W* 4602 , 53
IW (g )
= = = 1 , 0045 sau 100,45%
W0 4581 , 7
W1 5408 , 4
IW (W )
= = = 1 , 1751 sau 117,51%
W* 4602 , 5
5H]XOW F SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH FUHWHUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL VH GDWRUHD] DSURDSH vQ
WRWDOLWDWH FUHWHULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO UDPXULORU LQIOXHQ D PRGLILF ULL
VWUXFWXULLSRSXOD LHLSHUDPXULILLQGQHJOLMDELO
3. &RQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO
HFRQRPLHLVHGHWHUPLQ DVWIHO
PO
W (g )
= W * W 0 = 4602 , 5 4581 , 7 = 20 , 8 mii lei
W (W )
= W 1 W * = 5408 , 4 4602 , 5 = 805 , 9 mii lei
0RGLILFDUHDDEVROXW SHWRWDO :
PO
W (g ,W )
= W 1 W 0 = 5408 , 4 4581 , 7 = 826 , 7 mii lei
PO PO
W (g ,W )
= W (g )
+ W (W )
= 20 , 8 + 805 , 9 = 826 , 7 mii lei
3H ED]D UHOD LHL GH PDL VXV VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY D ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD
PRGLILFDUHDSURGXFWLYLW LLPHGLLDPXQFLL
PO
W ( g PO ) W (g ) 20 , 8
K = PO
= = 2 , 58%
W (g ,W ) 826.7
W (W ) W (W ) 805 , 9
K = PO
= = 97 , 42%
W (g ,W ) 826.7
9.
6HFXQRVFXUP WRDUHOHGDWHUHIHULWRDUHODHFRQRPLD5RPkQLHL
Tabelul 23.
Se cere:
1. VABSHUDPXULLSHWRWDOHFRQRPLHvQDQXOVWUXFWXUDVAB pe ramuri n anii 1995,
1996, 1997;
2. PIBGXS PHWRGDSURGXF LHLVWUXFWXUDPIB;
3. PIBGXS PHWRda veniturilor; structura PIB;
4. PIBGXS PHWRGDFKHOWXLHOLORUVWUXFWXUDPIB;
5. GHIOD LRQDUHDPIB utiliznd mai multe metode;
6. dinamica PIBUHDOLQRPLQDO
7. FRQVXPXOILQDOUHDODOSRSXOD LHLGLQDPLFDDFHVWXLD
8. UDWDLQIOD LHL
9. GHWHUPLQD LLLQWHUSUHWD LSULQFLSDOHOHFRUHOD LLPDFURHFRQRPLFH
10. LQGLFDWRULLPDFURHFRQRPLFLGHULYD L
Rezolvare
9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW VAB) H[SULP YDORDUHD FUHDW GH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH vQ
SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO VH RE LQH FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH SURGXF LD WRWDO EUXW GLQWU R UDPXU
- (PB L
consumul intermediar (CI):
VABi = PBi - Cii
&RQVXPXO LQWHUPHGLDU UHSUH]LQW YDORDUHD EXQXULORU PDWHULDOH L VHUYLFLLORU SURGXVH vQ
total econoPLH H[SULPDW vQ SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH VH RE LQH FD VXP D QLYHOXULORU
'DWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO DQWHULRU DUDW F vQ SHULRDGD LQGXVWULD D FRQWLQXDW V
- -L
vQW UHDVF SR]L LDGRPLQDQW vQHFRQRPLHvQWLPSFHDJULFXOWXUDDvQUHJLVWUDWXQXRUGHFOLQ
2. Produsul intern brut (PIB H[SULP YDORDUHD EUXW D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH
SURGXVH vQ SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO GH WR L DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL FDUH L GHVI RDU DFWLYLWDWHD vQ LQWHULRUXO
-
ULL
Determinarea PIB GXS PHWRGD YDORULL DG XJDWH PHWRGD SURGXF LHL SUHVXSXQH DJUHJDUHD
YDORULLDG XJDWHEUXWHFUHDWHvQUDPXULOHHFRQRPLHL
PIB pf = ( PB i CI i ) = VAB i
i i
I nind = IP S + TV ,
unde:
PIBpf - SURGXVXOLQWHUQEUXWODSUH XULOHIDFWRULORU
PIBpp - SURGXVXOLQWHUQEUXWODSUH XULOHSLH HL
I nind - impozite indirecte nete;
IP - impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA);
S - VXEYHQ LL
TV - taxe vamale.
0 1995
1 1996
2 1997
PIB OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH FRUHVSXQGH YDORULL DG XJDWH EUXWH SH
DQVDPEOXOHFRQRPLHLYH]LWDEHOHOHL
PIB0 = 66599
PIB1 = 100487
PIB2 = 229770
PIBODSUH XULOHSLH HLPOGOHLSUH XULFXUHQWHVHRE LQHDG XJkQGLPSR]LWHOHLQGLUHFWHQHWH
9DORULOH RE LQXWH SHQWUX FHL WUHL DQL QX VXQW FRPSDUDELOH GHRDUHFH VXQW H[SULPDWH vQ SUH XUL
Tabelul 25.
Structura pe componente a PIB GXS PHWRGD YDORULL DG XJDWH WDEHOXO QX D vQUHJLVWUDW
VFKLPE ULVHPQLILFDWLYHvQSHULRDGDDQDOL]DW
3. PIB GXS metoda veniturilor PHWRGD UHSDUWL LHL VH RE LQH vQVXPkQG YHQLWXULOH RE LQXWH
GHIDFWRULLGHSURGXF LH
unde:
4. PIB GXS metoda cheltuielilor PHWRGD XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH VH RE LQH vQVXPkQG FKHOWXLHOLOH
FBC = FBCF + VS ,
unde:
CP - consumul final aOSRSXOD LHL
CA - FRQVXPXOILQDODODGPLQLVWUD LHL
FBC - IRUPDUHDEUXW GHFDSLWDO
FBCF - IRUPDUHDEUXW GHFDSLWDOIL[
VS YDULD LDVWRFXULORUPDWHULDOH
Structura PIB FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU WDEHOXO DUDW R
FUHWHUH VHPQLILFDWLY D SRQGHULL FRQVXPXOXL SULYDW vQ SHULRDGD -1997 n detrimentul
FRQVXPXOXL DGPLQLVWUD LHL L DO LQYHVWL LLORU %DODQ D FRPHUFLDO GH]HFKLOLEUDW LPSRUWXO D GHS LW
PIB t
PIB t* = ,
Dt
unde:
PIB t* - P ULPHDPIBUHDOvQSUH XULFRQVWDQWHvQDQXOt;
PIBt - PIBQRPLQDOvQSUH XULFXUHQWHvQDQXOt;
Dt - deflatorul PIB pentru anul t.
DateOH DSOLFD LHL QH SHUPLW V H[SULP P PIB GLQ DQLL L vQ SUH XULOH DQXOXL
SUH XULFRQVWDQWH
PIB 96 108391
*
PIB 96 = = = 74866 mld. lei
D 96 / 95 1 , 4478
PIB 97 249750
*
PIB 97 = = = 69795 , 7 mld. lei
D 97 / 95 3 , 5783
0 ULPHD PIB UHDO VH PDL SRDWH GHWHUPLQD L SULQ nsumarea componentelor sale
GHIOD L onateFRQIRUPUHOD LHL
Ci
PIB * = C i* = ,
I CP
i
unde:
C i* - componenta iH[SULPDW vQSUH XULFRPSDUDELOHFRQVWDQWH
'H H[HPSOX SRUQLQG GH OD HOHPHQWHOH GH XWLOL]DUH ILQDO PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH
GHWHUPLQ DVWIHO
CP CA FBCF VS EXN
PIB * = + + + +
P P P P P
I CP I CA I FBCF I VS I EXN
&HOH GRX PHWRGH GH GHIOD LRQDUH DSOLFDWH DQWHULRU FRQGXF OD DFHODL UH]XOWDW FX PLFL
GLIHUHQ HGDWRUDWHURWXQMLULORUGHFDOFXOLQWHUPHGLDUH
'DF VH XWLOL]HD] LQGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL VAB pe ramuri ale economiei, PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH
IDFWRULORUVHGHWHUPLQ FXUHOD LD
VAB i
PIB = VAB i = ,
I iP
unde:
VAB i - VABFUHDW vQUDPXUDiH[SULPDW vQSUH XULFRPSDUDELOH
VABi - VABFUHDW vQUDPXUDiH[SULPDW vQSUH XULFXUHQWH
I iP - LQGLFHOHGHSUH XULFRUHVSXQ] WRUUDPXULLi.
PIBt
/0 =
I tPIB 100,
PIB0
unde:
PIBt - valoarea PIBQRPLQDOH[SULPDW vQSUH XULFXUHQWHGLQDQXOt;
PIB0 - valoarea PIB nominal nDQXOGHED]
PIB96 108391
/0 =
I1PIB 100 = 100 = 150,26%
PIB95 72136
PIB97 249750
/0 =
I 2PIB 100 = 100 = 346,22%
PIB95 72136
$FHDVW GLQDPLF LQFOXGH DWkW YDULD LD FDQWLW LL IL]LFH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU FXSULQVH vQ
PIB FkW L HIHFWXO PRGLILF ULL SUH XULORU OD DFHVWH EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL. Dinamica PIB real surprinde
YDULD LDHIHFWLY DPIBLQGHSHQGHQWGHVFKLPEDUHDSUH XULORUSHSDUFXUVXOSHULRDGHLFRQVLGHUDWH
PIBt*
/0 =
I tPIB 100,
PIB0*
ntruct pentru exprimarea PIB UHDO DP XWLOL]DW SUH XULOH DQXOXL SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH
0 = PIB 0 .
*
UH]XOW F PIB
*
* PIB 96 74866
I 1PIB
/0
= 100 = 100 = 103 , 78%
PIB 95 72136
*
* PIB 97 69795 , 7
I 2PIB
/0
= 100 = 100 = 96 , 76%
PIB 95 72136
*
PIB *
PIB 97 69795 , 7
I 2 /1
= 100 = 100 = 93 , 23%
* 74866
PIB 96
69041 , 2
I 1PIB
/0
= 100 = 103 , 67%
66599
64139 , 1
I 2PIB
/0
= 100 = 96 , 31%
66599
CPt
CPt* = ,
IPC t
unde:
CPt* - FRQVXPXOILQDOUHDODOSRSXOD LHLvQSUH XULFRQVWDQWHvQDQXO t;
CPt - FRQVXPXOILQDOQRPLQDODOSRSXOD LHLvQSUH XULFXUHQWHvQDQXO t;
IPCt - LQGLFHOHSUH XULORUGHFRQVXPvQDQXO t.
CP96 77733
CP96* = = = 49543 mld. lei
IPC 96 / 95 1 , 569
CP97 187562
CP97* = = = 53043 , 6 mld. lei
IPC 97 / 95 3 , 536
* 49543
CP
I 96 / 95
= 100 = 102 , 06%
48545
* 53043 , 6
CP
I 97 / 96
= 100 = 107 , 07%
49543
&RQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL D FUHVFXW FX vQ ID GH L FX vQ
R=D%-100
VDXSHED]DLQGLFHOXLSUH XULORUGHFRQVXP
R=IPC%-100
Deflatorul PIB HVWH XQ LQGLFH GH SUH XUL PDL FXSULQ] WRU GDU LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP
UHIOHFW PDL ELQH LPSDFWXO SUH XULORU DVXSUD SRSXOD LHL 'LQ DFHVW PRWLY IPC este folosit pentru
FDOFXODUHD VDODULXOXL UHDO D YHQLWXULORU L FRQVXPXULORU UHDOH DOH SRSXOD LHL L SHQWUX QHJRFLHUHD
LQGH[ ULORUVDODULLORUSHQVLLORUHWF
Tabelul 27.
CP + CA
rata consumului final = 100
PIB
FBCF
UDWDLQYHVWL LLORUEUXWH = 100
PIB
- n 1995 72136: 159390,3 = 0,453 lei/ 1 leu sau 453 lei/ 1000 lei;
- n 1996 74866: (159390,3 OHLOHXSUH XUL
- n 1997 69795,7: (159390,3 OHLOHXSUH XUL