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Confidence Interval

A confidence interval is the probability that either a proportion or mean will fall between

two distinct numbers. Confidence intervals help give us a good idea of the proportion or mean of

a population or sample.

1-PropZInt:

X: 206

n: 1144

Confidence Level: .95

Range: (.1578, .2023)

T-Interval:

X: 60.211

S(x): 1.813

n: 19

Confidence Level: .99

Range: (59.013, 61.408)

There is a 95% chance that the true proportion of purple skittles is between 15.78% and

20.23%.
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There is a 99% chance that the true mean of the total number of candies in a 2.17 oz. bag

of skittles is between 59.013 and 61.408.

Hypothesis Tests

Hypothesis testing is a good way to experiment with data, come to conclusions, and find

evidence to (not) support an opinion. Hypothesis test basically state the probability of getting a

repeated result from a different sample with the same parameters (sample size, for example).

H0: P = .2

H1: P .2

Significance level: .01

1 PropZTest

P0: .2

x: 210

n: 1144

Prop: P0

Z: -1.39

P: .165

Because P (.165) > .01 there is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
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H0: =56

H1: 56

Significance level: .05

T-Test:

0: 56

x: 6.0.211

Sx: 1.813

n: 19

: 0

t: 10.124

P: 0000 (7.388 * 10-9)

Because P (0000) < .05 we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
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Conditions for doing interval estimates and hypothesis tests for population proportions:

1. n(P)(1-P) 10
2. random sample
3. n .05N

1144(.2) (1-.2) 10 -> [ 228.8 (.8)] -> 183.04 > 10

Yes, random sample

1144 .05 (all the skittles)

Conclusion: Criteria met.

Conditions for doing interval estimates and hypothesis tests for population mean:

1. Random
2. n 30
3. Normal

Yes, normal

1144 30

Yes, Random

Conclusion: Criteria met.

Miss counts and bad math will always plague statistics. A way to make a sample more accurate

is to use robots to automate the sampling.