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GS Asia Pacific+Weekly+Kickstart 100305
GS Asia Pacific+Weekly+Kickstart 100305
GS Asia Pacific+Weekly+Kickstart 100305
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Goldman Sachs Global Economics, Commodities and Strategy Research
Goldman Sachs Global Economics, Commodities and Strategy Research 1
March 5, 2010 Asia Pacific: Portfolio Strategy: Asia-Pacific Weekly Kickstart
JFE, in our view. Asia ex-Japan Conviction Sell stocks, bottom 10 with most potential
Note: The ability to trade this basket will depend upon market conditions, including liquidity and borrow constraints at the time of trade.
downside
Price Up / downside
Bloomberg Name Market GICS sector currency Target price Last price (%)
Opening trades on HTC, NTT and Tosoh, Feb 26 PWGR IS
670 HK
Power Grid Corp of India
China Eastern Airlines (H)
India
China
Utilities
Industrials
INR
HKD
73.00
2.10
108.80
2.99
-32.9
-29.8
https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8655369 BHEL IS
NACL IS
Bharat Heavy Electricals
National Aluminium
India
India
Industrials
Materials
INR
INR
1,761.00
305.00
2,447.05
400.85
-28.0
-23.9
As of the close of February 26, we are closing our long position in our HPCL IS
2600 HK
Hindustan Petroleum
Aluminum Corp of China (H)
India
China
Energy
Materials
INR
HKD
270.00
6.50
339.70
7.71
-20.5
-15.7
Goldman Sachs Asia Liquid Top Ideas (GSSZALTI). Since we initiated on the 2105 TT
GENS SP
Cheng Shin Rubber Ind
Genting Intl
Taiwan
Singapore
Cons. Disc.
Cons. Disc.
TWD
SGD
55.00
0.73
64.90
0.85
-15.3
-13.6
trade, the basket returned –8.1%, vs. MXAPJ –3.4%. Although we still 2912 TT
338 HK
President Chain Store
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem (H)
Taiwan
China
Cons. Stap.
Materials
TWD
HKD
66.00
2.40
76.20
2.76
-13.4
-13.0
recommend the portfolio, its wide diversity reduced our responsiveness Pricing as of March 4, 2010.
For methodology and risks associated with our 12-month target prices mentioned, please refer to analyst’s
and we are moving towards more specific implementations.
previously published research.
For important disclosures, please go to http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html.
Navigating the correction II, Feb 8
https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8556724
In addition to well-flagged China tightening concerns, the markets are poorly
digesting sovereign debt and US growth. Our earnings view is based on the
idea that China is trying to modulate, not extinguish, growth. Also, if US
growth slows dramatically, we feel tightening pressures would ease in China.
Source: Datastream, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
Results: Reported an 111% rise in underlying EPS, 8% above GS est., driven Shanda Games (GAME, Neutral, US$6.75), Mar 1
by higher than projected residential sales. https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8674601
Outlook: With Central grade-A office vacancy rate staying at a low level and Results: 4Q non-GAAP EPADS -8% qoq, 7% higher than GS est.
take-up returning to positive territory in 2H2009, we expect a spot rental
Guidance: Management guided 1Q2010 revenue of 10%-15% qoq decline,
growth of 20% in 2010E.
significantly below GS estimates of 3% qoq growth.
HSBC Holdings (0005.HK, Buy, on Conviction List, HK$81.80), Mar 2
Summary of earnings results (CY09)
https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8673201
Actual vs.
Results: 2H09 NPAT down 27% hoh, 53% below GS est., core ROE at 10.9%; Reported Cos. forecast
Weakness attributed to sequentially lower capital markets/ trading profits and # of Cos. % of MSCI cap CY09
also higher operating expense run rate. MSCI markets
Australia 61 75% 89%
Outlook: We expect the banks earnings to benefit from any interest rate hike India 58 99% 95%
for its high gearing to NIM recovery. Korea 89 96% 108%
Malaysia 41 97% 101%
Hang Seng Bank (0011.HK, Sell, HK$109.50), Mar 2 Singapore 28 96% 107%
https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8673100 Thailand 23 100% 102%
Results: Operating profit down 2% hoh, 3% below GS est., with a lot of key MXAPJ 356 60% 99%
MXASJ 295 54% 105%
P&L items down hoh and yoy, including NII.
MSCI AC Asia Pac ex Japan sectors
Outlook: We do not expect a material improvement to HSB’s earnings Information technology 37 69% 106%
growth prospects until interest rates start to rise. Industrials 62 64% 99%
Energy 24 55% 100%
Compal Electronics (2324.TW, Buy, NT$45.70), Mar 1 Consumer staples 25 73% 97%
https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=8671011 Consumer discretionary 37 67% 101%
Utilities 18 61% 93%
Results: Earnings +56% qoq, 4% above GS forecasts mainly from better Health care 9 96% 106%
economies of scale and non-operating items.
Note: Australia aggregate excludes losses in the property sector. Prices as of close of March 5, 2010,
Outlook: We expect strong 4Q09 NB shipment momentum to carry over into MindRay and Shanda Games prices as of Mar 4, 2010.
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Asian markets
Price return (%) Total (%) Currency 3M yield 10Y yield
1wk chg Current 1wk chg Current 1wk chg
Indices 1-week Ytd Ytd US$ RSI Current
(%) (%) (bp) (%) (bp)
India 3.7 -1 0 63 45.69 0.9 4.2 5 7.9 4
Taiwan 3.0 -7 -7 45 31.92 0.5 0.5 0 1.5 1
Australia 2.8 -1 0 59 0.90 0.8 4.2 8 5.5 3
Korea 2.8 -4 -1 50 1140 1.7 2.2 -3 5.0 -10
China offshore 2.2 -4 -5 51
Malaysia 2.1 1 3 56 3.36 1.2 2.4 6 4.2 -4
Hong Kong 1.8 -1 -1 NA 7.76 0.0 0.1 0 2.7 -2
Thailand 1.3 -1 2 65 32.63 1.3 1.4 0 3.9 4
Indonesia 1.2 -1 0 47 9235 1.2 7.0 -4 9.6 -25
Singapore 0.6 -5 -4 48 1.40 0.4 0.4 -5 2.7 -1
China domestic* -0.7 -9 -- 46 6.83 0.0 1.9 0 3.4 -12
Philippines -2.2 -3 -2 50 46.05 0.2 4.0 -5 8.1 0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
* China domestic performance is based on CSI 300 index. China offshore performance is based on MSCI China index. Note: Currency convention for global markets: AC World – USD, USA – USD, Japan – JPY, MXAPJ –
USD, EM – USD, Europe – EUR; for Asian markets: all local currencies.
Source: Bloomberg, CSI, FactSet, MSCI, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
(Dec-07 = 100) MXAPJ cyclicals vs. defensives MXAPJ index (right) (Dec-07 = 100) MXAPJ Large vs. mid MXAPJ index (right)
105 110 120 100
100 100
115 85
95 90
90 80
110 70
85 70
80 60
105 55
75 50
70 40
100 40
65 30
60 20 95 25
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, I/B/E/S, MSCI, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
Earnings revisions
Earnings upward revisions have been steady 2010E growth of Asia is at 26%, still led by Taiwan and Korea
Forward EPS level of MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan (USD) index 2010E consensus earnings growth estimates (local currency), ranked
MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan (USD) index EPS level 2009E EPS 2010E EPS (%)
80
35 50
33 45
40 38
31
35
29
30
27 26
25 23 23
25
20 18 17 16 16 16
23 14
15 12
21 10
19 5
17 0
Taiwan
Hong Kong
Korea
China
India
Malaysia
Thailand
Indonesia
Singapore
Australia
MXAPJ
Philippines
15
Jul-09
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
May-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Australia and Singapore were revised up; others have less EPS changes Materials and financials were upgraded, healthcare was revised down
Combined ranking by 10E earnings revisions and momentum, past week Combined ranking by 10E earnings revisions and momentum, past week
12M EPS revisions (Bottom) 2010E EPS momentum 12M EPS revisions (Bottom) 2010E EPS momentum
-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3%
Australia Materials
Singapore Financials
Philippines
Cons staples
APxJ
IT
Taiwan
Korea Cons Discretionary
Indonesia Industrials
Hong Kong
Utilities
China
Telecom
Thailand
Energy
India
Malaysia Health care
Source: FactSet, I/B/E/S, MSCI, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
Regional valuations
MSCI market and sector index valuations (based on bottom-up consensus median and bottom-up Goldman Sachs Research estimates)
Local index valuations (based on bottom-up consensus median and bottom-up Goldman Sachs Research estimates)
Data as of March 4, 2010. NM—valuations are not calculated because of negative FY0 EPS
Real-time pricings are available on Bloomberg GSSA 9 <GO> for Liquid Sectors and GSSA 5 <GO> for CATs.
Please refer to Pan-Asia Alpha CATscan publications and http://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?action=action.doc&d=7259720, June 1, 2009 for details
Valuations in context
China and Korea are trading below both 5-year average P/E... ... and also P/B
12M forward P/E relative to 5-year range 12M trailing P/B relative to 5-year range
12M forward P/E (X) High/low 12M trailing P/B (X) High/low
30 +/- 1 Stdev. 7 +/- 1 Stdev.
One Week Ago One Week Ago
25 6
Current Current
5
20
16.9
15.7 4
14.8
14.0 13.8 13.5 13.5 13.2
15 13.0 12.7 3.8
10.7 3
9.5 3.2
10
2 2.5 2.5
2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0
5 1.9 1.8
1 1.5 1.4
0 0
Hong Kong
Taiwan
India
Australia
China
Thailand
Indonesia
Korea
MXAPJ
Malaysia
Singapore
Philippines
Philippines
Taiwan
Thailand
Hong Kong
Indonesia
India
China
Australia
Singapore
Korea
MXAPJ
Malaysia
Asia is trading at 13.2X P/E and 2.0X P/B Relative P/E of MXAPJ vs. SPX and DJ Stoxx 600
12M forward P/E and trailing P/B series of MXAPJ index
(X) (X) Relative Forward P/E (X) vs. DJ Stoxx 600 vs. SPX
18 3.5 1.6
16 1.4
3.0
1.2
14
2.5
1.0
12
0.8
2.0
10
0.6
1.5
8
0.4
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Source: FactSet, I/B/E/S, MSCI, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
40 160%
140%
20
120%
0
100%
-20
80%
March low to
-40 now: US$66 bn
60%
-60 40%
-80 20%
Jan-07
Mar-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
Jul-07
Jul-08
Jul-09
Jan-07
Mar-07
May-07
Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
May-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
Cash turnover increased across the region except in AU, KR and JP Futures turnover dropped, rose slightly in Australia
Cash turnover on Asian exchanges Futures turnover on Asian exchanges
(US$ mn) 260D avg value traded (US$ mn) Last week 5D avg value traded (US$ mn) (US$ mn) 260D avg value traded (US$ mn) Last week 5D avg value traded (US$ mn)
Current 5D avg value traded (US$ mn) Current 5D avg value traded (US$ mn)
35,000 35,000
29,031 29,222
30,000 27,856 30,000
25,000 25,000
10,000 8,247
10,000
7,171
4,982 4,436 4,332
5,000 3,460
2,398 5,000 3,557 3,159
Hong Kong
Taiwan
APJ ex China
China
Australia
Korea
India
ASEAN
Japan
Hong Kong
Taiwan
Thailand
Korea
India
Australia
Malaysia
Singapore
Source: AMG, Bloomberg, Reuters, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
-2.0 200
400 300
-3.0 250
300 250
-4.0 300
-6.0 400
100 150
-7.0 450
Apr-05
Aug-05
Dec-05
Apr-06
Aug-06
Dec-06
Apr-07
Aug-07
Dec-07
Apr-08
Aug-08
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Realised volatility has reduced slightly during last week Put costs dropped across the region
HSI, KOSPI 200 and Nikkei realized volatility Cost of 3-month 90% puts
40 5
4 1y median
30
3
20 2.4 2.3
2 1.8 1.8
1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
1 1.2 1.1 1.1
10 0.9
TWSE
MSCI Sing
HSCEI
HSI
TOPIX
SPX
SPA50
EuroStoxx50
Nikkei 225
FTSE-100
KOSPI 200
ASX 200
0
MSCI World
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Source: Bloomberg, local stock exchanges, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
(% yoy) (% yoy)
65 60
50
60
40
55 30
20
50
10
45
0
40 -10
-20
35
-30
30
-40
Jan-05
Jul-05
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Source: Bloomberg, CEIC, Datastream, Haver, MSCI, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research estimates.
Stocks
Top- and bottom-10 ranked stocks last week by standardized price Top- and bottom-10 ranked stocks last week by earnings momentum (daily
performance (52-wk std. dev.) (daily liq. > US$10mn, cap > US$3bn) liq. > US$10mn, cap > US$3bn)
1W perf Ytd Ticker Stock name 1W chg Ticker Stock name 1W chg
Bloomberg Stock name Market GS sector (%) (# S.D.) chg (%)
Top 10 Bottom 10
Top 10 performance
753 HK Air China (H) 15% TOL AU Toll -8%
MAY MK Malayan Banking Malaysia Banks 6 5.4 62
6 HK Hongkong Electric Hong Kong Utilities 3 3
MAP AU MAp Group 14% TCL AU Transurban Group -8%
3.5
JSP IS Jindal Steel & Power India Steel 10 3.0 357 1326 TT Formosa Chem & Fibre 14% SGM AU Sims -6%
658 HK China High Speed Transmission EChina Offshore Industrials 12 2.8 79 ANZ AU Australia & New Zealand 8% BSL AU BlueScope Steel -6%
2777 HK Guangzhou R&F Prop China Offshore Property 13 2.8 52 SMM SP SembCorp Marine 6% RBXY IS Ranbaxy Lab -6%
TPWR IS Tata Power India Utilities 10 2.6 78 FMG AU Fortescue Metals 6% LLC AU Lend Lease -6%
TTMT IS Tata Motors India Industrials 12 2.4 400 AIO AU Asciano Group 5% QBE AU QBE Insurance -4%
ITC IS ITC (IN) India Staples 5 2.3 43 144 HK China Merchants 5% 813 HK Shimao Prop -4%
SIA SP Singapore Airlines Singapore Transportation 7 2.3 41 RIO AU Rio Tinto 5% 2601 HK China Pacific Insurance (G -4%
SESA IS Sesa GOA India Steel 12 2.2 421 086280 KP Glovis 5% SIME MK Sime Darby -3%
1W perf Ytd
Bloomberg Stock name Market GS sector (%) (# S.D.) chg (%)
Bottom 10 performance
1186 HK China Railway Constr (H) China Offshore Industrials -8 -2.2 -18
11 HK Hang Seng Bank Hong Kong Banks -4 -2.0 8
UOB SP United Overseas Bank Singapore Banks -4 -1.9 38
941 HK China Mobile China Offshore Telecoms -5 -1.6 -6
036460 KP Korea Gas Korea Utilities -5 -1.6 -17
823 HK Link REIT Hong Kong Property -2 -0.7 50
SGX SP Singapore Exchange Singapore Non-bank financials -1 -0.7 50
097950 KP CJ CheilJedang Korea Staples -3 -0.7 14
ONGC IS Oil & Natural Gas India Oil and gas -2 -0.7 64
CPF TB Charoen Pokphand Foods Thailand Staples -3 -0.7 274
Key events
Economic data release Earnings data release
Expected Expected
Country Data Consensus Bloomberg Proper name Market
release date report date
Taiwan Export Feb 32.9% 8-Mar 000728 CS Guoyuan Sec China Domestic 8-Mar
Taiwan Import Feb 39.1% 8-Mar 151 HK Want Want China China Offshore 8-Mar
China Export Feb 38.3% 10-Mar 8 HK PCCW Hong Kong 9-Mar
China Import Feb 39.2% 10-Mar 1212 HK Lifestyle Intl China Offshore 9-Mar
Philippines Central bank policy meeting 10-Mar 601107 CG Sichuan Expressway China Domestic 9-Mar
Japan Machinery orders Jan -0.7% 10-Mar 2038 HK Foxconn Intl China Offshore 9-Mar
Japan Corporate goods price index Feb -1.5% 10-Mar 66 HK MTR Hong Kong 9-Mar
China CPI Feb 2.5% 11-Mar 257 HK China Everbright Intl China Offshore 10-Mar
China PPI Feb 5.1% 11-Mar 14 HK Hysan Dev Hong Kong 10-Mar
China Industrial production Feb 19.6% 11-Mar 000001 CS Shenzhen Dev Bank China Domestic 11-Mar
China Retail sales Feb 18.1% 11-Mar 16 HK Sun Hung Kai Prop Hong Kong 11-Mar
China FAI Feb 27.0% 11-Mar 601857 CG PetroChina China Domestic 11-Mar
Korea Central bank policy meeting 11-Mar 410 HK Soho China China Offshore 12-Mar
Malaysia Industrial production Jan 12.2% 11-Mar
Thailand Central bank policy meeting 11-Mar
United States Trade balance Jan -$41.0Bn 11-Mar
Japan GDP annualized 4Q F 4.0% 11-Mar
United States Advance retail sales Feb -0.2% 12-Mar
Eurozone Industrial production Jan -1.6% 12-Mar
China M2 Feb 24.9% 10-15 Mar
Report priced as of March 4, 2010. Index price return and valuation as of March 5, 2010 5 p.m. HKT.
Other disclosures
All MSCI data used in this report is the exclusive property of MSCI, Inc. (MSCI). Without prior written permission of MSCI, this
information and any other MSCI intellectual property may not be reproduced or re-disseminated in any form and may not be used
to create any financial instruments or products or any indices. This information is provided on an “as is” basis, and the user of this
information assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Neither MSCI, any of its affiliates nor any third party
involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the data makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect
to this information (or the results to be obtained by the use thereof), and MSCI, its affiliates and any such third party hereby
expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with
respect to any of this information. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any third
party involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the data have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive,
consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. MSCI and the MSCI
indexes are service marks of MSCI and its affiliates. The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) were developed by and is
the exclusive property of MSCI and Standard & Poor’s. GICS is a service mark of MSCI and S&P and has been licensed for use by
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Research written by Donald Lu on companies listed in Taiwan is written by him in his capacity as consultant to Goldman Sachs
(Asia) L.L.C. Any other research is written in his capacity as employee of Beijing Gao Hua Securities Company Limited.
Special disclosure
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates is acting as financial advisor in connection with a proposed privatization
of Hutchison Telecommunications International Limited by way of a scheme of arrangement under Section 86 of the Companies
Law. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates will receive a fee for this advisory role.
Reg AC
We, Timothy Moe, CFA, Christopher Eoyang, Richard Tang, Ramasubramanian Dharmaraj and Praveen B, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal
views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Investment Profile
The Goldman Sachs Investment Profile provides investment context for a security by comparing key attributes of that security to its peer group and market. The four key attributes depicted are:
growth, returns, multiple and volatility. Growth, returns and multiple are indexed based on composites of several methodologies to determine the stocks percentile ranking within the region's
coverage universe.
The precise calculation of each metric may vary depending on the fiscal year, industry and region but the standard approach is as follows:
Growth is a composite of next year's estimate over current year's estimate, e.g. EPS, EBITDA, Revenue. Return is a year one prospective aggregate of various return on capital measures, e.g. CROCI,
ROACE, and ROE. Multiple is a composite of one-year forward valuation ratios, e.g. P/E, dividend yield, EV/FCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/DACF, Price/Book. Volatility is measured as trailing twelve-month
volatility adjusted for dividends.
Quantum
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comparisons between companies in different sectors and markets.
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This research is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice. The price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income
from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have
adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments.
Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investors should review current options
disclosure documents which are available from Goldman Sachs sales representatives or at http://www.theocc.com/publications/risks/riskchap1.jsp. Transactions cost may be significant in option
strategies calling for multiple purchase and sales of options such as spreads. Supporting documentation will be supplied upon request.
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Copyright 2010 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of The Goldman Sachs
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General disclosures
This research is disseminated in China by Gao Hua Securities.
This research is for our clients only. This research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as
such. We seek to update our research as appropriate, but various regulations may prevent us from doing so. Other than certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority of
reports are published at irregular intervals as appropriate in the analyst's judgment.
Goldman Sachs Gao Hua, an affiliate of Gao Hua Securities, conducts an investment banking business. Gao Hua Securities, Goldman Sachs Gao Hua and their affiliates have investment banking and
other business relationships with a substantial percentage of the companies referred to in this document.
Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients and our proprietary trading desks that reflect opinions that are
contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Our proprietary trading desks and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views
expressed in this research.
Gao Hua Securities and its affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell,
the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.
This research is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice. The price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income
from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have
adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments.
Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investors should review current options
disclosure documents which are available from Gao Hua sales representatives or at http://www.theocc.com/publications/risks/riskchap1.jsp. Transactions cost may be significant in option strategies
calling for multiple purchase and sales of options such as spreads. Supporting documentation will be supplied upon request.
Copyright 2010 Beijing Gao Hua Securities Company Limited
No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of Beijing Gao Hua
Securities Company Limited.