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RM=i-0.3/N+0.

4
X
Eventos T.O R.M Ln(T.O) LnLn(1/(1-RM))
1 27 11% 3.29583687 -2.1556160061
2 32 27% 3.4657359 -1.1752704151
3 47 42% 3.8501476 -0.6015435511
4 62 58% 4.12713439 -0.147287035
5 87 73% 4.46590812 0.2819177954
6 92 89% 4.52178858 0.7943368307

Beta 2.025155537
b -8.5089032379
Eta 66.7934356045
R2 0.9465918655

Gamma 23

Eventos T.O R.M Ln(T.O) LnLn(1/(1-RM))


1 4 11% 1.38629436 -2.1556160061 EL QUE SE ACERCA MAS A 1 ME DI
2 9 27% 2.19722458 -1.1752704151
3 24 42% 3.17805383 -0.6015435511
4 39 58% 3.66356165 -0.147287035
5 64 73% 4.15888308 0.2819177954
6 69 89% 4.2341065 0.7943368307

Beta 0.9164046045
b -3.3747463108 Grafi
Eta 39.7493795543 1
R2 0.9678209747
0.5 f(x) = 2.025155537
R = 0.9465918655
0
3.2 3.4 3.6
-0.5
T R
-1
25 94%
30 82% -1.5
40 63%
50 50% -2

60 39%
-2.5
70 31%
80 25%
90 20%
100 16%
DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
Eventos T.O R.M
1 27 11% -1.2298588
2 32 27% -0.626099
3 47 42% -0.1970991
4 62 58% 0.19709908
5 87 73% 0.62609901
6 92 89% 1.22985876
X Y

m=1/ 0.03111587
o 32.1379435
b=-/ -1.7995344
57.8333333
R2 0.93930978

EL QUE SE ACERCA MAS A 1 ME DICE A QUE DISTRIBUCIN SE COMPORTA PARMET


1.5

1
R = 0.93930

0.5

R=exp(-potencia((t-r/n);B))
0
20 30 40
Grafica de dispercin de Weibull
-0.5
1
-1
0.5 f(x) = 2.025155537x - 8.5089032379
R = 0.9465918655
-1.5
0
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
-0.5

-1 Chart Title
-1.5 1

-2 0.5
f(x) = 0.9164046045x - 3.3747463108
R = 0.9678209747
-2.5 0
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5
fi a la menos 1

PARMETROS DE DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL


1.5

1
R = 0.9393097827

0.5

0
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-0.5

-1

-1.5
Z=X-MU/SIGMA
X=TIEMPO R(t) confiabilidad
F(t) probabilidad de falla

CONFIABILIDAD NORMAL
T Z F(t) R(t)
25 -1.02 15.39% 84.61%
30 -0.87 19.22% 80.78%
40 -0.55 29.12% 70.88%
50 -0.24 40.52% 59.48%
60 0.07 52.79% 47.21%
70 0.38 64.80% 35.20%
80 0.69 75.49% 24.51%
90 1.00 84.13% 15.87%
100 1.31 90.49% 9.51%
RM=i-0.3/N+0.4

PARAMETROS DE LA DISTRIBUCIN EXPONE


Eventos T.O R.M LN(1-RM)
0
1 27 11% -0.1158318 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
f(x) = - 0.0266221962x + 0.6439467889
2 32 27% -0.3087355 R = 0.8923984356
3 47 42% -0.5479652 -0.5

4 62 58% -0.8630462
5 87 73% -1.3256697 -1
6 92 89% -2.2129729
X Y -1.5
PENDIENTE -0.0266222
LANDA 0.0266222
-2
R2 0.89239844

-2.5

T.O R(exponencial)
25 51.40%
30 44.99%
40 34.48%
50 26.42%
60 20.24%
70 15.51%
80 11.89%
90 9.11%
100 6.98%
LA DISTRIBUCIN EXPONENCIAL
50 60 70 80 90 100
2x + 0.6439467889
costos vida util
X Y Y Y
100.00%
T.O R(WEIBUL) R(NORMAL) R(EXPONENCIAL)
25 93.74% 84.61% 51.40% 90.00%

30 81.58% 80.78% 44.99% 80.00%


40 63.18% 70.88% 34.48% 70.00%
50 49.58% 59.48% 26.42%
60.00%
60 39.20% 47.21% 20.24%
70 31.16% 35.20% 15.51% 50.00%
80 24.87% 24.51% 11.89% 40.00%
90 19.92% 15.87% 9.11%
30.00%
100 15.99% 9.51% 6.98%
20.00%

R2 0.96782097 0.93930978 0.8923984356 10.00%

0.00%
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

R2 LA DESVIACION QUE HAY ENTRE LOS DATOS REALES Y LA ECUACIN IDEALSI R FUERA 1 TOD
QUE PASARA SI REPORTAS LOS DATOS DE LA CURVA PLOMA (EXPONENCIAL)
QUE PASARA SI REPORTAS LOS DATOS DE LA CURVA ANARANJADA (NORMAL)
operatividad

R(WEIBUL)
R(NORMAL)
R(EXPONENCIAL)

50 60 70 80 90 100 110

DEALSI R FUERA 1 TODOS LOS PUNTOS PASAN POR LA MISMA RECTA


DISTRIBUCIN WEIBULL

EVENTOS T.O RM LN(TO) LNLN(1/1-RM))


1 8 6.73% 2.07944154 -2.6638430854 Chart Title
2 20 16.35% 2.99573227 -1.7232631503 1.5
3 34 25.96% 3.52636052 -1.2020231152 1
4 46 35.58% 3.8286414 -0.8216665151 f(x) = 1.0386689717x - 4.8330899856
0.5 R = 0.9995769671
5 63 45.19% 4.14313473 -0.5085953937
6 86 54.81% 4.4543473 -0.2303654447 0
1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4
7 111 64.42% 4.7095302 0.0329249619 -0.5
8 141 74.04% 4.94875989 0.2990329319 -1
9 186 83.65% 5.22574667 0.5939772167
-1.5
10 266 93.27% 5.58349631 0.9926889295
-2

-2.5
BETA 1.038668972 -3
b -4.833089986
ETA 104.9157012
R2 0.999576967

T R 0
10 91.66%
20 83.63%
30 76.15%
40 69.26%
50 62.93%
60 57.14%
70 51.85%
80 47.02%
90 42.62%
100 38.62%
110 34.98%
120 31.67%
130 28.67%
140 25.94%
150 23.47%
160 21.22%
170 19.19%
180 17.35%
190 15.68%
200 14.16%
DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
EVENTOS T.O RM
1 8 6.73%
Chart Title 2 20 16.35%
3 34 25.96%
4 46 35.58%
386689717x - 4.8330899856 5 63 45.19%
95769671
6 86 54.81%
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 7 111 64.42%
8 141 74.04%
9 186 83.65%
10 266 93.27%

m=1/ 0.01068805
o 93.5624229
b=-/ -1.0271218
96.1
R2 0.91452305

-1.496146876 Chart Title
-0.980330352
2
-0.644531606
-0.369790678 1.5

-0.120804162 1
0.120804162
0.5
0.369790678
0.644531606 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
0.980330352 -0.5
1.496146876
-1

-1.5

-2
DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

EVENTOS T.O RM LN(1.RM)


1 8 6.73% -0.1784828
2 20 16.35% -0.3005855
3 34 25.96% -0.4396983
4 46 35.58% -0.6013396
5 63 45.19% -0.7942433
6 86 54.81% -1.033473
7 111 64.42% -1.348554
8 141 74.04% -1.8111776
9 186 83.65% -2.6984808
10 266 93.27% 0

PENDIENTE

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