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Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q1: How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next Tuesday?

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Definitely voting 429 20 86 169 155 213 216 80 177 106 67 409 21 416 12 2 154 259 17
85.6% 65.0% 82.6% 88.0% 88.4% 82.9% 88.4% 81.6% 83.4% 88.3% 92.8% 86.0% 78.4% 85.2% 100.0% 100.0% 82.5% 88.0% 79.2%

Probably voting 63 10 18 18 17 38 25 17 30 11 5 58 5 63 - - 30 31 3
12.6% 31.2% 17.4% 9.5% 9.9% 15.0% 10.2% 17.5% 14.3% 9.1% 7.2% 12.3% 18.8% 13.0% - - 16.0% 10.4% 13.6%

Not sure 9 1 - 5 3 6 3 1 5 3 - 8 1 9 - - 3 5 2
1.8% 3.8% - 2.5% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8% 2.4% 2.6% - 1.7% 2.8% 1.8% - - 1.4% 1.6% 7.2%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q1b: How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next Tuesday?

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Definitely voting 429 65 76 58 63 53 76 39 249 132 48 59 102 140 64 65 346 84


85.6% 92.5% 90.6% 76.1% 78.7% 84.9% 88.8% 88.8% 88.9% 84.1% 74.9% 90.2% 86.2% 80.2% 86.7% 92.0% 87.8% 77.5%

Probably voting 63 5 6 16 15 9 9 4 29 22 12 5 14 31 9 6 41 22
12.6% 7.5% 6.6% 20.5% 18.4% 15.1% 10.3% 9.3% 10.3% 14.2% 19.1% 7.4% 11.4% 17.5% 12.2% 8.0% 10.4% 20.7%

Not sure 9 - 2 3 2 - 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 1 - 7 2
1.8% - 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% - 0.9% 1.9% 0.8% 1.8% 5.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% - 1.8% 1.9%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q1c: How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next Tuesday?

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Definitely voting 429 112 101 2 59 104 52 219 210 238 192
85.6% 80.8% 85.9% 100.0% 91.2% 86.0% 88.7% 88.5% 82.7% 90.2% 80.4%

Probably voting 63 25 13 - 6 15 5 26 37 23 40
12.6% 17.8% 11.4% - 8.8% 12.1% 8.7% 10.5% 14.7% 8.9% 16.8%

Not sure 9 2 3 - - 2 2 2 7 2 7
1.8% 1.4% 2.8% - - 1.9% 2.6% 0.9% 2.6% 0.9% 2.8%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q1d: How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next Tuesday?

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Definitely voting 429 429 - - 9 80 143 95 32 18 52 167 34 117 30 34 47


85.6% 100.0% - - 90.5% 88.5% 92.7% 84.2% 88.0% 61.0% 76.4% 93.3% 73.0% 87.6% 76.5% 85.1% 74.6%

Probably voting 63 - 63 - 1 10 10 17 4 10 10 11 11 17 8 5 12
12.6% - 100.0% - 9.5% 11.5% 6.8% 14.9% 12.0% 35.0% 14.9% 6.3% 24.6% 12.4% 19.6% 12.0% 18.5%

Not sure 9 - - 9 - - 1 1 - 1 6 1 1 - 2 1 4
1.8% - - 100.0% - - 0.5% 1.0% - 4.0% 8.7% 0.5% 2.4% - 3.9% 2.9% 6.9%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q1e: How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next Tuesday?

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Definitely voting 429 94 110 85 97 6 37 151 99 53 91 10 26 85 83 109 94 16 42


85.6% 89.1% 87.1% 84.1% 90.2% 61.4% 72.4% 93.0% 83.4% 89.2% 84.1% 66.8% 66.8% 91.4% 81.3% 89.3% 88.5% 70.5% 76.1%

Probably voting 63 10 13 15 11 2 11 9 18 6 16 3 10 8 16 13 11 6 9
12.6% 9.9% 10.7% 15.1% 9.8% 23.4% 22.1% 5.8% 15.6% 10.8% 15.2% 17.6% 26.0% 8.6% 16.0% 10.7% 10.1% 26.3% 16.9%

Not sure 9 1 3 1 - 2 3 2 1 - 1 2 3 - 3 - 2 1 4
1.8% 1.0% 2.2% 0.7% - 15.1% 5.5% 1.2% 1.0% - 0.7% 15.7% 7.2% - 2.7% - 1.5% 3.2% 7.0%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q2: Luther Strange

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Favorable 232 7 42 92 90 117 115 32 101 61 38 227 5 227 4 1 87 135 11


46.2% 23.3% 40.6% 48.1% 51.5% 45.6% 46.8% 32.5% 47.9% 50.7% 52.3% 47.7% 19.0% 46.5% 32.6% 54.8% 46.5% 45.7% 49.3%

Very favorable 106 2 14 40 50 60 45 12 50 28 16 102 4 103 2 1 36 64 6


21.1% 6.3% 13.9% 20.6% 28.4% 23.5% 18.5% 12.4% 23.4% 23.1% 22.6% 21.4% 15.2% 21.1% 16.1% 54.8% 19.2% 21.9% 26.0%

Somewhat 126 5 28 53 40 57 69 20 52 33 22 125 1 124 2 - 51 70 5


favorable 25.1% 17.0% 26.8% 27.4% 23.1% 22.1% 28.3% 20.1% 24.5% 27.6% 29.8% 26.3% 3.8% 25.4% 16.5% - 27.4% 23.9% 23.3%

Unfavorable 209 16 45 83 65 102 107 51 85 43 31 191 18 201 7 1 77 125 8


41.7% 51.8% 42.9% 43.5% 37.1% 39.7% 43.7% 51.9% 40.0% 35.5% 43.1% 40.2% 67.9% 41.2% 59.6% 45.2% 41.1% 42.4% 36.1%

Somewhat 101 5 24 36 36 50 51 26 47 16 13 94 8 100 1 - 36 59 6


unfavorable 20.2% 14.6% 23.3% 19.0% 20.6% 19.5% 20.9% 26.7% 22.1% 13.2% 17.5% 19.7% 29.2% 20.5% 8.9% - 19.5% 20.1% 27.0%

Very unfavorable 108 12 20 47 29 52 56 25 38 27 18 98 10 101 6 1 40 66 2


21.5% 37.2% 19.6% 24.5% 16.5% 20.2% 22.9% 25.2% 17.9% 22.2% 25.6% 20.5% 38.7% 20.7% 50.7% 45.2% 21.6% 22.3% 9.1%

Never heard of 10 2 - 4 5 7 3 1 7 2 - 9 2 10 - - 4 4 2
2.0% 6.0% - 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 3.2% 1.9% - 1.8% 5.7% 2.1% - - 2.4% 1.4% 7.2%

Unsure 51 6 17 13 15 31 20 14 19 14 3 49 2 50 1 - 19 31 2
10.1% 18.9% 16.4% 6.6% 8.6% 11.9% 8.2% 14.5% 8.9% 11.9% 4.6% 10.3% 7.3% 10.2% 7.9% - 10.0% 10.4% 7.4%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q2b: Luther Strange

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Favorable 232 35 40 39 31 21 45 21 136 66 30 30 64 82 26 30 196 36


46.2% 50.6% 47.6% 51.1% 38.7% 33.5% 52.0% 48.2% 48.6% 41.9% 46.2% 46.5% 54.2% 47.0% 35.5% 41.6% 49.7% 33.3%

Very favorable 106 15 18 19 18 7 22 7 65 31 9 14 33 35 11 13 86 20


21.1% 22.1% 22.0% 24.8% 22.2% 10.9% 25.2% 15.3% 23.2% 19.9% 14.4% 22.1% 27.7% 20.1% 14.4% 18.2% 21.8% 18.2%

Somewhat 126 20 21 20 13 14 23 14 71 35 21 16 31 47 15 17 110 16


favorable 25.1% 28.5% 25.6% 26.4% 16.4% 22.6% 26.8% 32.9% 25.4% 22.0% 31.7% 24.3% 26.6% 26.9% 21.0% 23.3% 27.9% 15.0%

Unfavorable 209 31 31 30 38 31 32 16 125 64 20 25 39 71 40 33 175 35


41.7% 44.6% 36.5% 39.5% 48.1% 49.5% 36.9% 36.9% 44.7% 40.8% 30.6% 38.3% 33.2% 40.8% 54.9% 47.2% 44.3% 32.1%

Somewhat 101 13 10 20 23 12 17 7 67 23 12 14 19 33 20 15 90 11
unfavorable 20.2% 18.1% 12.4% 25.9% 28.3% 18.9% 20.1% 15.5% 23.9% 14.4% 18.2% 21.2% 16.5% 19.1% 27.2% 20.8% 22.9% 10.1%

Very unfavorable 108 18 20 10 16 19 14 9 58 41 8 11 20 38 20 19 84 24


21.5% 26.5% 24.1% 13.6% 19.8% 30.6% 16.8% 21.4% 20.8% 26.4% 12.4% 17.1% 16.8% 21.7% 27.7% 26.4% 21.4% 22.0%

Never heard of 10 - 2 2 4 - 1 3 3 3 4 1 5 5 - - 8 2
2.0% - 1.8% 2.2% 4.5% - 0.9% 6.3% 1.2% 2.2% 5.5% 1.2% 4.1% 2.6% - - 2.0% 2.3%

Unsure 51 3 12 5 7 11 9 4 16 24 11 9 10 17 7 8 16 35
10.1% 4.7% 14.1% 7.2% 8.7% 17.0% 10.2% 8.7% 5.5% 15.1% 17.8% 14.0% 8.4% 9.5% 9.6% 11.3% 4.0% 32.4%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q2c: Luther Strange

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Favorable 232 55 56 2 35 56 28 118 113 130 102


46.2% 40.0% 47.5% 100.0% 54.2% 46.1% 48.1% 47.8% 44.6% 49.3% 42.7%

Very favorable 106 21 24 2 13 28 17 57 48 62 44


21.1% 15.5% 20.7% 100.0% 20.4% 23.1% 29.2% 23.1% 19.0% 23.5% 18.4%

Somewhat 126 34 32 - 22 28 11 61 65 68 58
favorable 25.1% 24.5% 26.8% - 33.8% 23.0% 18.9% 24.7% 25.6% 25.9% 24.3%

Unfavorable 209 60 43 - 26 54 26 103 106 118 91


41.7% 43.4% 36.4% - 40.1% 45.0% 44.2% 41.6% 41.8% 44.6% 38.4%

Somewhat 101 33 21 - 9 25 14 60 42 62 39
unfavorable 20.2% 23.8% 17.6% - 13.4% 21.0% 23.2% 24.1% 16.4% 23.5% 16.5%

Very unfavorable 108 27 22 - 17 29 12 43 65 56 52


21.5% 19.6% 18.7% - 26.7% 24.0% 21.0% 17.5% 25.4% 21.1% 21.8%

Never heard of 10 5 4 - 1 1 - - 10 2 8
2.0% 3.4% 3.2% - 1.5% 0.7% - - 4.0% 0.9% 3.3%

Unsure 51 18 15 - 3 10 5 26 25 13 37
10.1% 13.2% 12.9% - 4.2% 8.3% 7.7% 10.6% 9.6% 5.1% 15.7%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q2d: Luther Strange

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Favorable 232 204 24 4 4 20 70 101 9 5 24 67 18 102 24 4 16


46.2% 47.5% 37.7% 43.3% 40.5% 22.2% 45.2% 89.0% 24.0% 15.2% 35.5% 37.5% 39.1% 76.0% 61.1% 11.1% 26.0%

Very favorable 106 94 10 1 1 3 20 71 - 3 9 16 7 64 9 1 8


21.1% 21.9% 16.4% 12.3% 7.7% 2.8% 12.7% 62.4% - 8.9% 14.0% 9.1% 16.0% 48.0% 22.3% 1.8% 12.8%

Somewhat 126 110 13 3 3 18 50 30 9 2 15 51 11 37 15 4 8


favorable 25.1% 25.6% 21.2% 31.0% 32.7% 19.4% 32.5% 26.6% 24.0% 6.3% 21.5% 28.4% 23.1% 28.0% 38.8% 9.2% 13.2%

Unfavorable 209 182 26 1 6 61 71 8 23 22 17 100 22 25 13 30 19


41.7% 42.5% 40.9% 8.2% 59.5% 67.6% 46.1% 6.8% 64.2% 75.0% 25.7% 56.0% 47.6% 18.7% 34.1% 74.3% 29.4%

Somewhat 101 85 15 1 3 30 35 3 8 10 13 42 15 14 10 8 11
unfavorable 20.2% 19.8% 24.2% 8.2% 29.1% 32.5% 22.9% 2.7% 21.4% 34.0% 18.7% 23.7% 31.2% 10.6% 26.7% 20.9% 18.0%

Very unfavorable 108 97 11 - 3 32 36 5 16 12 5 58 8 11 3 21 7


21.5% 22.6% 16.7% - 30.5% 35.1% 23.3% 4.1% 42.8% 41.0% 7.0% 32.3% 16.4% 8.0% 7.4% 53.4% 11.4%

Never heard of 10 6 2 2 - 3 2 1 2 - 3 4 1 1 - - 4
2.0% 1.5% 3.8% 17.3% - 3.0% 1.0% 0.7% 4.8% - 5.1% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6% - - 6.6%

Unsure 51 37 11 3 - 7 12 4 3 3 23 7 5 6 2 6 24
10.1% 8.6% 17.7% 31.2% - 7.2% 7.7% 3.5% 7.1% 9.8% 33.8% 4.0% 11.4% 4.7% 4.9% 14.6% 38.1%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q2e: Luther Strange

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Favorable 232 106 126 - - - - 89 57 33 40 3 9 29 55 73 46 15 15


46.2% 100.0% 100.0% - - - - 54.9% 48.6% 55.7% 37.0% 23.0% 22.1% 31.3% 54.2% 59.4% 42.7% 62.7% 27.3%

Very favorable 106 106 - - - - - 40 24 16 19 2 5 11 21 27 27 8 10


21.1% 100.0% - - - - - 24.3% 20.7% 26.3% 18.0% 10.6% 12.8% 12.1% 21.1% 22.4% 25.7% 34.1% 18.5%

Somewhat 126 - 126 - - - - 50 33 17 21 2 4 18 34 45 18 7 5


favorable 25.1% - 100.0% - - - - 30.6% 28.0% 29.3% 19.0% 12.3% 9.3% 19.2% 33.0% 37.0% 17.0% 28.6% 8.8%

Unfavorable 209 - - 101 108 - - 65 48 24 63 5 3 56 41 48 54 4 7


41.7% - - 100.0% 100.0% - - 40.1% 41.0% 40.1% 58.5% 36.6% 7.8% 60.4% 40.2% 39.1% 50.5% 15.4% 12.5%

Somewhat 101 - - 101 - - - 29 31 16 23 2 1 25 26 29 16 2 5


unfavorable 20.2% - - 100.0% - - - 17.9% 26.3% 27.1% 20.9% 10.8% 2.4% 26.9% 25.3% 23.4% 14.7% 7.3% 8.4%

Very unfavorable 108 - - - 108 - - 36 17 8 41 4 2 31 15 19 38 2 2


21.5% - - - 100.0% - - 22.3% 14.7% 13.0% 37.7% 25.8% 5.4% 33.6% 14.9% 15.7% 35.8% 8.0% 4.1%

Never heard of 10 - - - - 10 - 2 3 - - 5 1 3 1 1 1 4 1
2.0% - - - - 100.0% - 0.9% 2.2% - - 34.8% 2.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 18.5% 1.3%

Unsure 51 - - - - - 51 7 10 3 5 1 26 5 5 1 6 1 33
10.1% - - - - - 100.0% 4.0% 8.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.6% 67.5% 5.2% 4.9% 0.8% 6.0% 3.4% 58.9%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q3: Roy Moore

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Favorable 281 12 56 109 104 136 145 41 136 67 37 266 15 277 3 1 103 173 5
55.9% 39.2% 54.2% 56.6% 59.2% 53.0% 59.0% 41.5% 64.2% 55.7% 51.3% 56.0% 55.1% 56.7% 24.2% 54.8% 55.2% 58.9% 21.7%

Very favorable 163 6 27 63 67 79 83 17 79 42 24 158 5 161 1 1 63 99 1


32.4% 19.5% 25.6% 32.8% 38.2% 30.8% 34.0% 17.3% 37.4% 35.3% 33.4% 33.2% 18.6% 32.9% 6.7% 54.8% 33.8% 33.5% 4.7%

Somewhat 118 6 30 46 37 57 61 24 57 25 13 109 10 116 2 - 40 75 4


favorable 23.6% 19.7% 28.5% 23.8% 21.0% 22.1% 25.1% 24.3% 26.9% 20.5% 18.0% 22.8% 36.5% 23.8% 17.5% - 21.4% 25.4% 17.0%

Unfavorable 167 11 42 61 54 83 85 41 61 38 27 160 7 160 7 1 59 93 15


33.4% 35.2% 40.3% 31.8% 30.7% 32.2% 34.6% 41.8% 29.0% 31.6% 37.8% 33.7% 27.0% 32.7% 58.9% 45.2% 31.5% 31.7% 71.2%

Somewhat 60 2 10 20 27 25 35 20 23 11 5 59 1 58 2 - 17 39 4
unfavorable 11.9% 7.5% 9.9% 10.3% 15.5% 9.7% 14.2% 20.6% 11.0% 9.0% 7.2% 12.3% 3.3% 11.8% 16.5% - 9.0% 13.3% 17.9%

Very unfavorable 108 9 32 41 27 58 50 21 38 27 22 102 6 102 5 1 42 54 12


21.5% 27.7% 30.4% 21.4% 15.2% 22.5% 20.4% 21.2% 17.9% 22.6% 30.7% 21.4% 23.6% 20.9% 42.4% 45.2% 22.6% 18.5% 53.3%

Never heard of 15 1 - 7 7 10 5 7 4 2 2 14 1 14 1 - 4 9 2
2.9% 2.9% - 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 1.8% 6.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 9.1% - 2.4% 3.0% 7.2%

Unsure 39 7 6 15 11 28 11 9 10 13 6 35 4 38 1 - 20 19 -
7.8% 22.7% 5.6% 7.8% 6.3% 10.8% 4.5% 9.7% 4.9% 10.8% 8.5% 7.4% 14.0% 7.8% 7.9% - 10.9% 6.4% -
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q3b: Roy Moore

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Favorable 281 35 46 48 44 27 50 31 164 87 29 38 75 94 43 31 235 46


55.9% 49.6% 55.3% 62.7% 55.0% 43.7% 58.2% 70.3% 58.5% 55.7% 45.4% 57.8% 63.4% 54.1% 58.6% 43.4% 59.5% 42.8%

Very favorable 163 23 30 29 26 11 26 18 97 50 15 25 45 54 19 20 139 23


32.4% 32.3% 36.0% 38.0% 33.0% 17.0% 30.4% 40.7% 34.6% 31.9% 23.9% 38.5% 37.9% 30.8% 26.5% 27.5% 35.3% 21.7%

Somewhat 118 12 16 19 18 17 24 13 67 37 14 13 30 41 24 11 95 23
favorable 23.6% 17.3% 19.3% 24.7% 21.9% 26.7% 27.8% 29.7% 23.9% 23.8% 21.6% 19.3% 25.5% 23.3% 32.1% 15.8% 24.2% 21.2%

Unfavorable 167 27 30 21 25 24 32 9 96 50 22 20 31 62 22 33 132 35


33.4% 39.2% 35.3% 27.4% 30.8% 37.8% 37.0% 21.9% 34.3% 31.6% 33.5% 30.8% 26.2% 35.6% 29.4% 46.3% 33.6% 32.6%

Somewhat 60 5 8 5 11 12 14 4 39 15 6 10 9 22 9 10 46 13
unfavorable 11.9% 7.4% 10.0% 6.7% 13.9% 19.4% 16.3% 8.2% 13.8% 9.4% 9.3% 15.7% 7.9% 12.4% 11.8% 13.6% 11.8% 12.1%

Very unfavorable 108 22 21 16 14 12 18 6 57 35 16 10 22 40 13 23 86 22


21.5% 31.7% 25.3% 20.7% 16.9% 18.4% 20.7% 13.7% 20.5% 22.1% 24.2% 15.1% 18.3% 23.2% 17.5% 32.7% 21.8% 20.5%

Never heard of 15 2 2 2 3 5 - 2 5 5 5 1 5 6 3 - 13 2
2.9% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 4.3% 7.7% - 3.7% 1.7% 2.9% 8.3% 1.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.4% - 3.3% 1.5%

Unsure 39 6 6 6 8 7 4 2 15 15 8 6 7 12 6 7 14 25
7.8% 8.8% 7.6% 7.7% 9.9% 10.8% 4.8% 4.1% 5.4% 9.9% 12.7% 9.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.5% 10.3% 3.6% 23.1%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q3c: Roy Moore

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Favorable 281 69 80 2 35 67 28 144 137 154 127


55.9% 50.0% 67.7% 100.0% 54.1% 55.9% 47.1% 58.2% 53.7% 58.2% 53.4%

Very favorable 163 36 57 1 18 32 19 86 76 91 71


32.4% 25.8% 48.7% 50.9% 27.3% 26.8% 31.8% 34.8% 30.0% 34.6% 29.9%

Somewhat 118 34 22 1 17 35 9 58 60 62 56
favorable 23.6% 24.3% 19.0% 49.1% 26.9% 29.1% 15.3% 23.4% 23.7% 23.6% 23.5%

Unfavorable 167 49 29 - 24 43 22 83 84 90 77
33.4% 35.6% 24.6% - 36.9% 35.7% 38.0% 33.6% 33.1% 34.1% 32.5%

Somewhat 60 18 10 - 11 12 8 30 30 36 24
unfavorable 11.9% 13.2% 8.4% - 17.5% 10.2% 13.1% 12.1% 11.6% 13.6% 9.9%

Very unfavorable 108 31 19 - 13 31 15 53 55 54 54


21.5% 22.4% 16.1% - 19.4% 25.4% 24.9% 21.6% 21.4% 20.5% 22.6%

Never heard of 15 3 4 - 1 2 4 3 12 5 10
2.9% 2.3% 3.2% - 1.6% 2.0% 7.4% 1.3% 4.5% 1.8% 4.1%

Unsure 39 17 5 - 5 8 4 17 22 15 24
7.8% 12.1% 4.6% - 7.3% 6.4% 7.5% 6.9% 8.6% 5.8% 10.0%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q3d: Roy Moore

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Favorable 281 250 28 3 4 45 148 36 12 7 29 165 35 38 19 4 20


55.9% 58.1% 44.0% 34.8% 40.4% 49.5% 95.8% 32.0% 32.0% 23.4% 43.2% 92.1% 75.3% 28.2% 49.9% 9.2% 31.3%

Very favorable 163 151 9 2 3 15 116 12 4 1 12 123 10 14 7 - 9


32.4% 35.2% 14.9% 21.5% 29.2% 16.2% 75.5% 10.5% 9.7% 2.6% 18.2% 68.7% 22.1% 10.1% 18.7% - 13.4%

Somewhat 118 99 18 1 1 30 31 24 8 6 17 42 25 24 12 4 11
favorable 23.6% 22.9% 29.1% 13.3% 11.2% 33.3% 20.3% 21.5% 22.3% 20.8% 25.1% 23.5% 53.2% 18.1% 31.3% 9.2% 17.9%

Unfavorable 167 144 23 1 6 39 3 63 22 21 13 7 9 86 16 33 18


33.4% 33.5% 35.9% 8.2% 59.6% 42.9% 2.2% 55.8% 60.5% 69.7% 19.4% 3.9% 19.0% 64.1% 40.2% 81.1% 27.7%

Somewhat 60 53 6 - - 20 3 24 6 6 2 5 8 31 8 6 3
unfavorable 11.9% 12.4% 10.1% - - 21.8% 1.7% 21.4% 15.3% 18.6% 2.7% 3.0% 16.7% 22.8% 19.9% 13.7% 4.0%

Very unfavorable 108 91 16 1 6 19 1 39 17 15 11 2 1 55 8 27 15


21.5% 21.1% 25.8% 8.2% 59.6% 21.1% 0.5% 34.5% 45.2% 51.1% 16.7% 0.9% 2.3% 41.3% 20.2% 67.4% 23.7%

Never heard of 15 10 3 2 - 2 1 5 1 - 6 3 1 5 1 - 5
2.9% 2.3% 4.1% 25.8% - 2.2% 0.7% 4.5% 2.3% - 8.6% 1.6% 1.9% 3.8% 2.0% - 7.9%

Unsure 39 26 10 3 - 5 2 9 2 2 19 4 2 5 3 4 21
7.8% 6.1% 16.0% 31.2% - 5.4% 1.3% 7.6% 5.2% 7.0% 28.8% 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 8.0% 9.7% 33.1%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q3e: Roy Moore

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Favorable 281 64 83 60 54 4 16 163 118 - - - - 56 65 77 51 11 21


55.9% 60.6% 65.6% 59.4% 49.7% 40.2% 31.9% 100.0% 100.0% - - - - 59.8% 63.9% 62.8% 48.1% 48.7% 37.5%

Very favorable 163 40 50 29 36 2 7 163 - - - - - 27 31 49 35 6 14


32.4% 37.5% 39.4% 28.7% 33.6% 14.8% 12.8% 100.0% - - - - - 29.2% 30.7% 40.2% 32.8% 25.2% 25.7%

Somewhat 118 24 33 31 17 3 10 - 118 - - - - 28 34 28 16 5 7


favorable 23.6% 23.1% 26.2% 30.7% 16.1% 25.4% 19.1% - 100.0% - - - - 30.6% 33.3% 22.6% 15.3% 23.4% 11.9%

Unfavorable 167 35 38 39 48 - 7 - - 60 108 - - 31 35 44 46 5 7


33.4% 33.2% 30.1% 38.1% 44.9% - 14.6% - - 100.0% 100.0% - - 32.9% 34.4% 35.7% 43.3% 22.7% 12.4%

Somewhat 60 16 17 16 8 - 3 - - 60 - - - 14 17 19 7 - 3
unfavorable 11.9% 14.8% 13.8% 15.9% 7.2% - 5.0% - - 100.0% - - - 15.1% 16.8% 15.5% 6.5% - 4.6%

Very unfavorable 108 19 21 23 41 - 5 - - - 108 - - 17 18 25 39 5 4


21.5% 18.4% 16.3% 22.2% 37.7% - 9.5% - - - 100.0% - - 17.8% 17.6% 20.2% 36.7% 22.7% 7.9%

Never heard of 15 2 2 2 4 5 1 - - - - 15 - 2 1 1 5 5 1
2.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 3.5% 50.1% 1.6% - - - - 100.0% - 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% 5.0% 21.7% 1.5%

Unsure 39 5 4 1 2 1 26 - - - - - 39 5 1 1 4 2 27
7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 1.9% 9.7% 51.9% - - - - - 100.0% 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 3.6% 7.0% 48.6%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q4: Mo Brooks

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Favorable 195 10 47 71 67 97 98 57 73 49 16 186 9 188 6 1 73 112 9


38.8% 32.7% 45.2% 37.0% 38.0% 37.6% 40.0% 58.3% 34.4% 40.9% 21.6% 39.1% 32.0% 38.5% 51.1% 45.2% 39.2% 38.2% 42.2%

Very favorable 93 5 19 35 34 48 45 40 30 18 5 89 4 88 4 1 27 60 6
18.5% 16.9% 18.2% 18.4% 19.2% 18.6% 18.4% 40.5% 14.0% 15.4% 7.1% 18.6% 16.6% 18.1% 33.7% 45.2% 14.6% 20.3% 28.2%

Somewhat 102 5 28 36 33 49 53 17 43 31 10 98 4 100 2 - 46 53 3


favorable 20.3% 15.9% 27.0% 18.6% 18.9% 19.0% 21.5% 17.8% 20.4% 25.5% 14.4% 20.5% 15.4% 20.4% 17.4% - 24.6% 18.0% 14.1%

Unfavorable 229 10 40 101 77 114 114 30 105 51 42 215 14 223 5 1 90 131 8


45.6% 33.2% 38.6% 52.7% 44.0% 44.5% 46.7% 30.7% 49.7% 42.6% 58.3% 45.2% 51.2% 45.6% 41.0% 54.8% 48.5% 44.5% 34.8%

Somewhat 122 5 23 52 42 60 62 18 57 25 22 113 9 119 2 1 50 70 2


unfavorable 24.3% 14.9% 21.7% 27.4% 24.2% 23.3% 25.4% 18.3% 26.8% 21.1% 30.5% 23.7% 35.2% 24.4% 15.6% 54.8% 26.9% 23.7% 9.8%

Very unfavorable 107 6 18 49 35 54 52 12 49 26 20 102 4 104 3 - 40 61 5


21.2% 18.3% 16.9% 25.4% 19.8% 21.2% 21.3% 12.4% 23.0% 21.5% 27.7% 21.5% 16.0% 21.2% 25.5% - 21.5% 20.8% 25.0%

Never heard of 23 1 7 8 7 15 8 2 9 8 4 22 1 23 - - 5 16 2
4.6% 2.9% 7.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.8% 3.3% 2.0% 4.3% 6.5% 5.9% 4.7% 2.9% 4.7% - - 2.7% 5.4% 10.6%

Unsure 56 10 10 12 24 31 24 9 24 12 10 52 4 55 1 - 18 35 3
11.1% 31.2% 9.2% 6.3% 13.8% 12.1% 10.0% 9.0% 11.5% 9.9% 14.3% 10.9% 13.9% 11.2% 7.9% - 9.7% 11.9% 12.4%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q4b: Mo Brooks

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Favorable 195 15 35 18 37 38 33 18 118 56 21 26 40 73 25 30 160 35


38.8% 21.1% 42.3% 23.5% 45.8% 61.3% 38.5% 42.5% 42.0% 35.8% 31.9% 40.2% 33.5% 42.1% 34.2% 42.7% 40.6% 32.1%

Very favorable 93 5 11 6 18 28 15 8 50 32 11 10 17 35 17 15 79 13
18.5% 7.4% 13.7% 8.2% 23.0% 45.4% 17.7% 18.2% 17.9% 20.4% 16.8% 14.7% 14.1% 20.2% 22.7% 20.9% 20.2% 12.5%

Somewhat 102 10 24 12 18 10 18 11 68 24 10 17 23 38 8 15 80 21
favorable 20.3% 13.7% 28.6% 15.3% 22.7% 15.9% 20.7% 24.3% 24.1% 15.4% 15.2% 25.5% 19.4% 21.9% 11.5% 21.8% 20.4% 19.6%

Unfavorable 229 42 35 43 30 17 43 18 133 68 28 26 61 73 38 31 192 37


45.6% 60.3% 42.2% 56.2% 37.1% 27.8% 50.2% 41.4% 47.5% 43.3% 42.7% 39.8% 51.3% 42.2% 51.6% 43.1% 48.6% 34.3%

Somewhat 122 22 18 17 21 8 22 13 75 32 15 16 26 40 22 18 115 7


unfavorable 24.3% 31.6% 22.0% 22.5% 26.6% 12.8% 25.1% 31.1% 26.7% 20.5% 23.3% 24.4% 21.8% 22.8% 30.5% 25.7% 29.3% 6.2%

Very unfavorable 107 20 17 26 8 9 22 4 58 36 13 10 35 34 15 12 76 30


21.2% 28.7% 20.2% 33.7% 10.5% 15.0% 25.1% 10.4% 20.8% 22.8% 19.4% 15.4% 29.5% 19.4% 21.1% 17.4% 19.4% 28.1%

Never heard of 23 3 5 7 5 - 2 2 4 13 6 2 4 12 3 2 18 5
4.6% 3.8% 5.8% 8.7% 6.6% - 2.2% 4.2% 1.5% 8.2% 9.5% 2.3% 3.6% 6.9% 4.7% 2.6% 4.6% 4.6%

Unsure 56 10 8 9 8 7 8 5 25 20 10 12 14 15 7 8 24 31
11.1% 14.8% 9.7% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 9.1% 11.8% 9.1% 12.7% 15.8% 17.7% 11.5% 8.7% 9.5% 11.6% 6.2% 29.0%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q4c: Mo Brooks

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Favorable 195 53 45 - 20 50 27 104 91 109 85


38.8% 38.1% 38.1% - 31.2% 41.5% 45.4% 42.0% 35.7% 41.4% 35.8%

Very favorable 93 27 22 - 7 25 12 48 45 47 46
18.5% 19.4% 18.3% - 11.3% 21.1% 20.1% 19.3% 17.7% 18.0% 19.1%

Somewhat 102 26 23 - 13 25 15 56 46 62 40
favorable 20.3% 18.8% 19.8% - 19.9% 20.4% 25.3% 22.6% 17.9% 23.5% 16.7%

Unfavorable 229 56 51 2 40 54 26 108 121 128 101


45.6% 40.6% 43.2% 100.0% 62.2% 44.8% 43.8% 43.6% 47.5% 48.5% 42.3%

Somewhat 122 32 28 2 21 28 12 52 70 72 50
unfavorable 24.3% 22.9% 24.0% 100.0% 32.0% 23.0% 20.5% 21.2% 27.4% 27.3% 21.0%

Very unfavorable 107 24 23 - 20 26 14 55 51 56 51


21.2% 17.7% 19.2% - 30.2% 21.7% 23.3% 22.4% 20.1% 21.2% 21.3%

Never heard of 23 8 7 - 1 5 2 9 15 4 19
4.6% 5.9% 5.9% - 1.3% 4.4% 3.2% 3.4% 5.7% 1.6% 8.0%

Unsure 56 21 15 - 3 11 4 27 28 22 33
11.1% 15.4% 12.8% - 5.4% 9.3% 7.6% 11.0% 11.1% 8.5% 13.9%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q4d: Mo Brooks

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Favorable 195 168 24 3 3 83 50 31 8 3 17 78 19 45 20 16 17


38.8% 39.0% 38.3% 30.8% 28.4% 91.0% 32.7% 27.5% 20.9% 8.9% 25.6% 43.4% 39.8% 33.7% 52.2% 40.9% 26.3%

Very favorable 93 85 8 - - 66 15 7 2 1 3 45 7 11 9 12 9
18.5% 19.8% 12.6% - - 72.2% 9.4% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 4.4% 25.2% 14.0% 8.1% 23.2% 30.5% 14.4%

Somewhat 102 83 16 3 3 17 36 24 6 2 14 32 12 34 11 4 8
favorable 20.3% 19.2% 25.7% 30.8% 28.4% 18.8% 23.3% 21.1% 15.9% 6.3% 21.2% 18.1% 25.8% 25.5% 29.0% 10.4% 11.9%

Unfavorable 229 203 24 2 7 3 84 64 27 23 20 81 19 73 15 21 19


45.6% 47.3% 37.4% 17.5% 71.6% 3.1% 54.5% 56.5% 74.2% 78.3% 30.1% 45.4% 40.7% 54.8% 39.9% 52.1% 29.4%

Somewhat 122 109 13 - 6 - 46 32 12 11 15 47 13 38 4 9 11


unfavorable 24.3% 25.4% 20.5% - 63.1% - 30.0% 28.0% 33.3% 36.8% 21.8% 26.4% 27.1% 28.0% 10.5% 22.6% 17.9%

Very unfavorable 107 94 11 2 1 3 38 32 15 12 6 34 6 36 11 12 7


21.2% 22.0% 16.9% 17.5% 8.5% 3.1% 24.5% 28.5% 40.9% 41.5% 8.3% 19.0% 13.6% 26.8% 29.3% 29.4% 11.5%

Never heard of 23 16 6 1 - 1 8 8 - 2 4 10 2 8 - - 4
4.6% 3.8% 9.6% 8.2% - 1.0% 5.0% 7.5% - 6.3% 6.2% 5.4% 3.6% 5.7% - - 6.6%

Unsure 56 42 9 4 - 4 12 10 2 2 26 11 7 8 3 3 24
11.1% 9.8% 14.8% 43.5% - 4.9% 7.8% 8.5% 4.9% 6.5% 38.1% 5.9% 15.9% 5.8% 7.9% 7.1% 37.7%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q4e: Mo Brooks

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Favorable 195 33 51 51 46 4 10 58 62 31 34 3 6 93 102 - - - -


38.8% 30.9% 40.8% 50.0% 43.0% 35.5% 19.3% 35.9% 52.7% 52.3% 31.9% 18.3% 14.6% 100.0% 100.0% - - - -

Very favorable 93 11 18 25 31 3 5 27 28 14 17 2 5 93 - - - - -
18.5% 10.6% 14.2% 24.6% 28.9% 28.3% 9.5% 16.7% 24.1% 23.6% 15.3% 12.7% 12.5% 100.0% - - - - -

Somewhat 102 21 34 26 15 1 5 31 34 17 18 1 1 - 102 - - - -


favorable 20.3% 20.3% 26.6% 25.4% 14.1% 7.2% 9.8% 19.2% 28.6% 28.7% 16.6% 5.6% 2.1% - 100.0% - - - -

Unfavorable 229 55 63 44 57 2 7 84 44 26 64 6 5 - - 122 107 - -


45.6% 51.8% 50.1% 43.7% 53.2% 15.3% 14.7% 51.7% 37.2% 43.4% 59.2% 42.1% 12.1% - - 100.0% 100.0% - -

Somewhat 122 27 45 29 19 1 1 49 28 19 25 1 1 - - 122 - - -


unfavorable 24.3% 25.9% 35.8% 28.2% 17.8% 7.4% 2.0% 30.2% 23.3% 31.8% 22.9% 5.6% 2.4% - - 100.0% - - -

Very unfavorable 107 27 18 16 38 1 6 35 16 7 39 5 4 - - - 107 - -


21.2% 25.9% 14.3% 15.5% 35.4% 7.9% 12.7% 21.5% 13.8% 11.7% 36.3% 36.5% 9.7% - - - 100.0% - -

Never heard of 23 8 7 2 2 4 1 6 5 - 5 5 2 - - - - 23 -
4.6% 7.5% 5.2% 1.7% 1.7% 41.9% 1.5% 3.6% 4.6% - 4.9% 34.0% 4.1% - - - - 100.0% -

Unsure 56 10 5 5 2 1 33 14 7 3 4 1 27 - - - - - 56
11.1% 9.7% 3.9% 4.6% 2.1% 7.2% 64.5% 8.8% 5.6% 4.2% 4.0% 5.6% 69.2% - - - - - 100.0%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q5: If you were voting today in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next week, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Randy Brinson 10 2 1 4 3 3 7 2 2 3 3 9 1 10 - - 5 5 -
2.0% 6.9% 0.9% 2.2% 1.4% 1.0% 3.0% 1.7% 1.0% 2.4% 4.3% 1.9% 3.1% 2.0% - - 2.6% 1.7% -

Mo Brooks 91 8 18 37 28 46 45 38 27 18 8 85 6 85 5 1 33 52 6
18.1% 25.1% 17.3% 19.2% 16.1% 17.8% 18.4% 38.6% 12.7% 14.8% 11.6% 17.8% 22.9% 17.4% 41.7% 45.2% 17.8% 17.5% 27.9%

Roy Moore 154 7 32 60 55 66 88 19 80 36 19 150 4 152 1 1 60 91 3


30.7% 23.5% 30.6% 31.1% 31.7% 25.7% 36.0% 19.8% 37.9% 29.7% 26.1% 31.6% 15.6% 31.2% 6.7% 54.8% 32.2% 31.1% 12.6%

Luther Strange 113 4 23 43 43 64 49 15 55 24 19 109 4 110 3 - 36 72 5


22.6% 12.7% 21.9% 22.6% 24.7% 25.1% 20.0% 15.6% 26.0% 20.3% 25.8% 23.0% 15.2% 22.6% 25.5% - 19.4% 24.5% 23.5%

Trip Pittman 37 1 6 15 15 16 21 5 10 11 11 36 1 34 3 - 15 22 -
7.3% 3.2% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 6.1% 8.6% 4.9% 4.9% 9.1% 14.6% 7.5% 3.0% 6.9% 26.2% - 8.0% 7.4% -

Another candidate 30 3 11 9 6 16 14 7 12 9 2 26 4 30 - - 9 18 3
5.9% 9.1% 11.0% 4.9% 3.5% 6.2% 5.7% 7.1% 5.5% 7.3% 3.3% 5.5% 13.3% 6.1% - - 5.0% 6.0% 12.5%

Unsure 67 6 13 24 25 47 20 12 26 20 10 60 7 67 - - 28 35 5
13.4% 19.5% 12.1% 12.4% 14.2% 18.3% 8.3% 12.3% 12.0% 16.4% 14.3% 12.7% 26.8% 13.8% - - 15.0% 11.7% 23.5%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q5b: If you were voting today in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next week, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Randy Brinson 10 3 1 1 - 2 1 2 6 4 - - 3 4 1 2 10 -
2.0% 4.4% 0.9% 1.2% - 2.6% 1.3% 5.3% 2.1% 2.5% - - 2.1% 2.3% 1.5% 3.2% 2.5% -

Mo Brooks 91 8 10 11 17 25 13 6 45 31 15 11 13 40 14 13 71 20
18.1% 12.1% 12.3% 14.2% 21.7% 39.8% 14.6% 14.5% 16.0% 19.5% 23.8% 16.5% 11.0% 22.8% 19.0% 18.8% 18.1% 18.2%

Roy Moore 154 17 25 32 23 13 26 17 89 47 18 24 39 53 25 14 124 30


30.7% 24.7% 30.4% 42.3% 29.2% 21.4% 29.9% 38.4% 31.8% 30.1% 27.4% 36.6% 32.7% 30.5% 33.9% 19.3% 31.4% 28.2%

Luther Strange 113 18 14 19 18 9 28 8 65 33 15 13 35 37 11 18 88 25


22.6% 25.5% 16.8% 24.3% 22.8% 14.7% 32.4% 17.4% 23.3% 21.0% 23.6% 19.7% 29.3% 21.2% 15.4% 24.8% 22.4% 23.2%

Trip Pittman 37 11 9 2 4 3 6 2 27 9 1 4 9 9 6 9 30 6
7.3% 15.1% 11.0% 2.3% 5.2% 4.3% 7.5% 4.1% 9.7% 5.4% 1.4% 6.0% 7.9% 5.1% 8.0% 12.2% 7.7% 5.9%

Another candidate 30 2 9 4 5 4 3 3 12 14 4 3 2 14 7 4 24 6
5.9% 3.5% 10.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.4% 3.3% 5.8% 4.2% 8.9% 6.3% 5.3% 1.7% 7.8% 9.0% 5.8% 6.1% 5.3%

Unsure 67 10 15 8 12 7 9 6 36 20 11 10 18 18 10 11 47 21
13.4% 14.8% 18.1% 9.8% 15.0% 10.8% 10.9% 14.5% 13.0% 12.6% 17.5% 15.9% 15.2% 10.4% 13.3% 16.0% 11.8% 19.3%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q5c: If you were voting today in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next week, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Randy Brinson 10 1 1 - 2 3 3 6 4 5 5
2.0% 0.6% 0.9% - 2.7% 2.6% 5.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0%

Mo Brooks 91 28 21 - 7 25 10 50 41 41 50
18.1% 20.4% 17.6% - 11.5% 20.5% 16.5% 20.2% 16.1% 15.6% 20.9%

Roy Moore 154 37 52 - 18 32 15 75 79 83 72


30.7% 27.1% 44.2% - 27.9% 26.4% 25.1% 30.4% 31.0% 31.3% 30.1%

Luther Strange 113 31 20 2 13 29 18 55 59 63 51


22.6% 22.7% 17.4% 100.0% 20.3% 23.8% 30.7% 22.1% 23.1% 23.8% 21.2%

Trip Pittman 37 8 4 - 12 7 6 13 24 25 11
7.3% 6.1% 3.0% - 17.9% 5.8% 10.2% 5.1% 9.4% 9.7% 4.7%

Another candidate 30 10 5 - 2 9 4 13 17 12 18
5.9% 6.9% 4.4% - 3.4% 7.4% 6.6% 5.3% 6.6% 4.4% 7.6%

Unsure 67 22 15 - 11 16 3 36 31 35 32
13.4% 16.3% 12.6% - 16.3% 13.4% 5.7% 14.6% 12.3% 13.3% 13.5%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q5d: If you were voting today in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next week, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Randy Brinson 10 9 1 - 10 - - - - - - 2 1 2 - 3 2
2.0% 2.1% 1.5% - 100.0% - - - - - - 1.2% 2.4% 1.4% - 7.4% 2.8%

Mo Brooks 91 80 10 - - 91 - - - - - 33 9 18 10 11 10
18.1% 18.7% 16.4% - - 100.0% - - - - - 18.5% 18.3% 13.6% 26.1% 27.9% 15.4%

Roy Moore 154 143 10 1 - - 154 - - - - 126 20 4 2 - 4


30.7% 33.3% 16.4% 9.3% - - 100.0% - - - - 70.3% 41.8% 2.6% 4.5% - 5.7%

Luther Strange 113 95 17 1 - - - 113 - - - 4 4 92 9 3 2


22.6% 22.2% 26.5% 12.3% - - - 100.0% - - - 2.4% 7.9% 68.7% 23.4% 6.5% 2.5%

Trip Pittman 37 32 4 - - - - - 37 - - 6 5 9 4 9 4
7.3% 7.5% 6.9% - - - - - 100.0% - - 3.3% 9.7% 6.6% 11.4% 23.0% 5.7%

Another candidate 30 18 10 1 - - - - - 30 - 4 2 5 2 12 5
5.9% 4.2% 16.4% 13.2% - - - - - 100.0% - 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 4.9% 29.0% 7.3%

Unsure 67 52 10 6 - - - - - - 67 3 8 4 11 2 38
13.4% 12.0% 15.8% 65.3% - - - - - - 100.0% 1.9% 16.1% 3.0% 29.7% 6.2% 60.7%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q5e: If you were voting today in the Republican Primary special election for US Senate next week, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Randy Brinson 10 1 3 3 3 - - 3 1 - 6 - - - 3 6 1 - -
2.0% 0.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% - - 1.8% 0.9% - 5.4% - - - 2.7% 5.1% 0.8% - -

Mo Brooks 91 3 18 30 32 3 7 15 30 20 19 2 5 66 17 - 3 1 4
18.1% 2.4% 13.9% 29.2% 29.5% 26.8% 12.9% 9.1% 25.6% 33.3% 17.8% 13.3% 12.6% 70.6% 16.8% - 2.6% 3.9% 8.1%

Roy Moore 154 20 50 35 36 2 12 116 31 3 1 1 2 15 36 46 38 8 12


30.7% 18.5% 39.7% 34.8% 33.2% 14.8% 23.5% 71.6% 26.4% 4.4% 0.8% 7.2% 5.2% 15.6% 35.4% 37.9% 35.4% 33.4% 21.5%

Luther Strange 113 71 30 3 5 1 4 12 24 24 39 5 9 7 24 32 32 8 10


22.6% 66.9% 23.9% 3.0% 4.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.3% 20.6% 40.7% 36.2% 34.8% 22.1% 7.8% 23.5% 26.0% 30.3% 36.7% 17.4%

Trip Pittman 37 - 9 8 16 2 3 4 8 6 17 1 2 2 6 12 15 - 2
7.3% - 7.0% 7.7% 14.5% 17.1% 5.1% 2.2% 6.9% 9.4% 15.3% 5.6% 4.9% 2.0% 5.7% 10.0% 14.0% - 3.2%

Another candidate 30 3 2 10 12 - 3 1 6 6 15 - 2 1 2 11 12 2 2
5.9% 2.5% 1.5% 10.0% 11.3% - 5.7% 0.5% 5.2% 9.3% 14.1% - 5.3% 0.8% 1.8% 9.0% 11.6% 8.1% 3.5%

Unsure 67 9 15 13 5 3 23 12 17 2 11 6 19 3 14 15 6 4 26
13.4% 8.9% 11.5% 12.5% 4.3% 33.4% 44.9% 7.5% 14.3% 3.0% 10.5% 39.1% 49.9% 3.2% 14.0% 12.1% 5.2% 17.9% 46.3%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q6: And if there is a runoff election in September between Roy Moore and Luther Strange, who would you support?

Age Gender Geo Race Party Marital status


Total 18.39 40-54 55-69 70+ F M HSV BHM MGM MOB White Other R D I Single Married Other

Total 502 31 104 192 175 257 245 98 212 120 72 475 27 489 12 2 186 294 22

Roy Moore 226 12 42 93 79 102 124 39 111 48 27 212 14 222 3 1 83 140 4


45.0% 37.6% 40.3% 48.5% 45.2% 39.6% 50.6% 40.3% 52.2% 40.1% 37.9% 44.6% 52.0% 45.4% 24.4% 54.8% 44.4% 47.4% 16.2%

Definitely Roy 179 6 33 74 66 85 94 27 89 41 22 169 10 175 3 1 62 116 2


Moore 35.7% 20.4% 31.4% 38.5% 37.8% 33.2% 38.3% 27.5% 41.9% 34.3% 30.7% 35.6% 37.1% 35.9% 24.4% 54.8% 33.1% 39.3% 8.3%

Probably Roy 47 5 9 19 13 17 30 13 22 7 5 43 4 47 - - 21 24 2
Moore 9.3% 17.2% 8.9% 10.0% 7.3% 6.5% 12.3% 12.8% 10.3% 5.8% 7.2% 9.0% 14.9% 9.6% - - 11.3% 8.1% 7.9%

Luther Strange 173 9 38 67 59 94 79 29 68 47 29 166 7 166 7 - 55 106 12


34.4% 27.5% 36.6% 34.8% 33.9% 36.6% 32.1% 29.8% 32.0% 38.9% 40.2% 34.9% 25.2% 33.9% 58.9% - 29.7% 35.9% 54.6%

Definitely Luther 134 6 35 50 44 76 58 20 56 35 24 130 4 129 5 - 42 82 10


Strange 26.7% 17.7% 33.8% 25.9% 25.1% 29.4% 23.9% 20.8% 26.3% 28.8% 32.6% 27.3% 16.0% 26.5% 41.5% - 22.5% 28.0% 46.1%

Probably Luther 39 3 3 17 16 18 20 9 12 12 6 36 2 37 2 - 13 23 2
Strange 7.7% 9.8% 2.8% 8.9% 8.9% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 5.8% 10.1% 7.6% 7.6% 9.2% 7.5% 17.4% - 7.2% 8.0% 8.5%

Would not vote 40 5 9 14 12 22 18 13 11 8 8 37 3 39 1 1 20 19 2


8.0% 15.7% 8.5% 7.5% 6.9% 8.5% 7.5% 13.8% 5.0% 6.5% 11.3% 7.8% 10.9% 7.9% 7.9% 45.2% 10.6% 6.3% 8.7%

Unsure 63 6 15 18 24 39 24 16 23 17 8 60 3 62 1 - 29 30 4
12.6% 19.2% 14.7% 9.2% 13.9% 15.2% 9.9% 16.1% 10.7% 14.5% 10.5% 12.7% 11.9% 12.8% 8.9% - 15.3% 10.3% 20.4%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q6b: And if there is a runoff election in September between Roy Moore and Luther Strange, who would you support?

Congressional District Voter Propensity Estimated Income Phone type


$75k-
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Low Medium High <$25k $25k-$49k $50k-$74k $100k $100k+ Landline Cellphone

Total 502 70 84 76 80 63 86 43 280 157 65 65 118 174 73 71 394 108

Roy Moore 226 26 34 38 38 28 38 25 132 69 24 29 52 80 39 25 183 42


45.0% 37.0% 40.3% 49.2% 47.4% 44.2% 44.5% 56.9% 47.3% 44.1% 37.2% 44.9% 44.2% 46.2% 52.6% 35.6% 46.5% 39.4%

Definitely Roy 179 21 29 32 30 21 28 19 105 55 18 24 39 65 28 23 157 22


Moore 35.7% 29.5% 34.1% 42.2% 37.2% 33.1% 32.3% 44.5% 37.6% 35.2% 28.6% 36.6% 32.7% 37.6% 38.3% 32.4% 39.8% 20.5%

Probably Roy 47 5 5 5 8 7 10 5 27 14 6 5 14 15 10 2 26 20
Moore 9.3% 7.5% 6.2% 7.0% 10.2% 11.1% 12.2% 12.3% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 8.3% 11.5% 8.6% 14.3% 3.2% 6.7% 18.8%

Luther Strange 173 28 27 29 22 19 32 15 100 49 24 22 43 55 23 30 138 34


34.4% 40.4% 32.8% 38.0% 27.9% 29.5% 37.2% 35.0% 35.6% 31.1% 37.1% 33.5% 36.3% 31.9% 31.0% 41.8% 35.1% 31.7%

Definitely Luther 134 23 22 23 18 12 26 11 82 35 17 13 33 47 15 27 108 27


Strange 26.7% 32.5% 25.9% 30.0% 22.0% 19.0% 30.7% 25.0% 29.1% 22.5% 26.6% 19.1% 27.7% 26.8% 20.9% 37.9% 27.3% 24.6%

Probably Luther 39 6 6 6 5 7 6 4 18 14 7 9 10 9 7 3 31 8
Strange 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 8.0% 5.9% 10.5% 6.5% 10.0% 6.5% 8.7% 10.5% 14.4% 8.7% 5.0% 10.1% 3.9% 7.8% 7.1%

Would not vote 40 8 8 3 7 9 5 1 16 21 3 5 8 15 4 7 33 8


8.0% 11.7% 9.4% 3.6% 8.4% 13.7% 6.0% 2.3% 5.7% 13.5% 4.9% 7.2% 7.0% 8.8% 6.1% 10.5% 8.3% 7.1%

Unsure 63 8 15 7 13 8 11 3 32 18 13 9 15 23 8 9 40 24
12.6% 10.9% 17.6% 9.1% 16.3% 12.5% 12.4% 5.8% 11.5% 11.3% 20.7% 14.4% 12.5% 13.2% 10.3% 12.2% 10.1% 21.9%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q6c: And if there is a runoff election in September between Roy Moore and Luther Strange, who would you support?

Low Turnout
Education Interview Day Propensity

Unknown/ Some Bach Grad


Total <HS HS Vocational college degree degree August 8 August 9 Yes No

Total 502 138 118 2 65 121 59 247 255 264 238

Roy Moore 226 58 66 - 29 52 21 105 120 123 103


45.0% 41.9% 55.9% - 44.4% 43.3% 35.4% 42.6% 47.2% 46.7% 43.1%

Definitely Roy 179 41 56 - 19 44 18 84 95 100 79


Moore 35.7% 29.8% 47.9% - 28.9% 36.8% 30.9% 33.9% 37.4% 37.8% 33.3%

Probably Roy 47 17 9 - 10 8 3 22 25 23 23
Moore 9.3% 12.1% 8.0% - 15.5% 6.5% 4.5% 8.7% 9.9% 8.9% 9.7%

Luther Strange 173 46 32 2 19 46 29 89 83 97 76


34.4% 33.1% 26.8% 100.0% 29.2% 38.0% 49.3% 36.1% 32.8% 36.8% 31.7%

Definitely Luther 134 33 27 2 13 38 22 71 63 80 54


Strange 26.7% 23.8% 23.3% 100.0% 19.6% 31.1% 37.2% 28.8% 24.7% 30.3% 22.7%

Probably Luther 39 13 4 - 6 8 7 18 21 17 21
Strange 7.7% 9.2% 3.5% - 9.6% 6.9% 12.1% 7.3% 8.1% 6.5% 9.0%

Would not vote 40 13 9 - 4 8 5 18 22 15 25


8.0% 9.7% 7.7% - 6.6% 6.6% 9.1% 7.2% 8.8% 5.7% 10.5%

Unsure 63 21 11 - 13 15 4 35 28 28 35
12.6% 15.3% 9.5% - 19.7% 12.1% 6.2% 14.1% 11.2% 10.7% 14.7%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q6d: And if there is a runoff election in September between Roy Moore and Luther Strange, who would you support?

Voting Primary Ballot September Runoff


Definitely Probably Definitely Probably


Definitely Probably Randy Mo Roy Luther Trip Another Roy Roy Luther Luther -Would
Total voting voting Not sure Brinson Brooks Moore Strange Pittman candidate Unsure Moore Moore Strange Strange not vote -Unsure

Total 502 429 63 9 10 91 154 113 37 30 67 179 47 134 39 40 63

Roy Moore 226 201 23 2 3 42 145 8 10 6 11 179 47 - - - -


45.0% 46.8% 35.7% 21.5% 32.6% 45.8% 94.3% 7.1% 28.7% 20.5% 16.3% 100.0% 100.0% - - - -

Definitely Roy 179 167 11 1 2 33 126 4 6 4 3 179 - - - - -


Moore 35.7% 38.9% 17.6% 9.3% 21.4% 36.4% 81.6% 3.8% 16.3% 14.5% 5.1% 100.0% - - - - -

Probably Roy 47 34 11 1 1 9 20 4 5 2 8 - 47 - - - -
Moore 9.3% 7.9% 18.1% 12.3% 11.2% 9.4% 12.7% 3.2% 12.4% 6.0% 11.2% - 100.0% - - - -

Luther Strange 173 147 24 2 2 28 5 101 13 7 16 - - 134 39 - -


34.4% 34.2% 38.2% 16.7% 19.0% 31.1% 3.4% 89.2% 36.3% 24.8% 23.0% - - 100.0% 100.0% - -

Definitely Luther 134 117 17 - 2 18 4 92 9 5 4 - - 134 - - -


Strange 26.7% 27.3% 26.3% - 19.0% 20.0% 2.3% 81.2% 24.3% 18.4% 6.0% - - 100.0% - - -

Probably Luther 39 30 8 2 - 10 2 9 4 2 11 - - - 39 - -
Strange 7.7% 6.9% 11.9% 16.7% - 11.1% 1.1% 8.0% 12.0% 6.4% 17.0% - - - 100.0% - -

Would not vote 40 34 5 1 3 11 - 3 9 12 2 - - - - 40 -


8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 13.2% 30.5% 12.3% - 2.3% 25.2% 39.2% 3.7% - - - - 100.0% -

Unsure 63 47 12 4 2 10 4 2 4 5 38 - - - - - 63
12.6% 11.0% 18.5% 48.6% 17.9% 10.7% 2.3% 1.4% 9.8% 15.5% 57.0% - - - - - 100.0%
Alabama Statewide - August 8-9, 2017

Q6e: And if there is a runoff election in September between Roy Moore and Luther Strange, who would you support?

Luther Strange Roy Moore Mo Brooks


Some Very Never Some Very Never Some Very Never


Total Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure Very fav Some fav unfav unfav heard of Unsure

Total 502 106 126 101 108 10 51 163 118 60 108 15 39 93 102 122 107 23 56

Roy Moore 226 24 62 57 65 5 13 133 67 13 3 4 6 52 45 60 40 11 18


45.0% 22.6% 48.8% 56.3% 60.7% 51.3% 24.7% 82.0% 56.5% 22.2% 2.4% 26.1% 15.2% 55.6% 43.8% 49.2% 37.8% 48.7% 32.2%

Definitely Roy 179 16 51 42 58 4 7 123 42 5 2 3 4 45 32 47 34 10 11


Moore 35.7% 15.5% 40.3% 41.9% 53.6% 42.5% 14.2% 75.6% 35.5% 9.1% 1.5% 20.0% 10.6% 48.6% 31.9% 38.8% 31.8% 41.5% 18.9%

Probably Roy 47 7 11 15 8 1 5 10 25 8 1 1 2 7 12 13 6 2 7
Moore 9.3% 7.1% 8.5% 14.4% 7.1% 8.8% 10.5% 6.3% 21.0% 13.1% 1.0% 6.1% 4.5% 7.0% 11.9% 10.4% 6.0% 7.3% 13.3%

Luther Strange 173 73 52 25 14 1 8 21 36 38 63 6 8 20 45 42 47 8 11


34.4% 69.1% 41.6% 24.2% 12.7% 7.9% 16.2% 12.8% 30.8% 64.3% 58.5% 39.9% 21.0% 21.4% 44.7% 34.1% 44.3% 33.1% 19.6%

Definitely Luther 134 64 37 14 11 1 6 14 24 31 55 5 5 11 34 38 36 8 8


Strange 26.7% 60.9% 29.7% 14.1% 10.0% 7.9% 12.5% 8.3% 20.6% 51.4% 51.3% 34.8% 13.1% 11.7% 33.7% 30.8% 33.7% 33.1% 14.1%

Probably Luther 39 9 15 10 3 - 2 7 12 8 8 1 3 9 11 4 11 - 3
Strange 7.7% 8.1% 11.9% 10.2% 2.6% - 3.7% 4.4% 10.2% 12.9% 7.2% 5.2% 7.9% 9.6% 11.0% 3.3% 10.6% - 5.5%

Would not vote 40 1 4 8 21 - 6 - 4 6 27 - 4 12 4 9 12 - 3


8.0% 0.7% 2.9% 8.3% 19.9% - 11.6% - 3.1% 9.2% 25.1% - 10.0% 13.2% 4.1% 7.4% 11.1% - 5.1%

Unsure 63 8 8 11 7 4 24 9 11 3 15 5 21 9 8 11 7 4 24
12.6% 7.7% 6.6% 11.2% 6.7% 40.8% 47.5% 5.2% 9.6% 4.2% 13.9% 34.0% 53.8% 9.8% 7.4% 9.3% 6.8% 18.2% 43.0%

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