From:
Sent: Tuesday, 12 September 2017 11:30 AM
To:
Subject: FW: 2's media statement.
From:
Sent: Tuesday, 4 July 2017 10:45 AM
To: mike.bennetts@z.co.nz
Ce: Jonathan Hill ; @parliament.govt.nt>;
@parliament.govt.nz> \
Subject: FW: Z's media statement.
Hi Mike, Ana
Please refer to the email below regarding Z's media statement beldw/: We look forward to hearing from you.
Thanks 0) \
Regards
Press Secretary | Office of Hon Judit
Communities| MP for Papakura
4 Ning. | Patliarmsi sll.
DDI: 04 817 9819 | Mabie:
www.beehive,gevt.nd <->!
Collins | Misister of Rexenue | iMinister of Energy & Resources |Minister for Ethnic
cutive wie
“9450, br Pealard
From: 2
Sent: Tuesday, 4 July 201740:17 a.m.
To: Jonathan Hil
Ce: :@parliament.govt.nz>; a @parliament.govt.nz>
Sbfect: Z's media statement.
Hi Jonathan,
‘Thank you for sending though Z's statement. As discussed, there are a few factual inaccuracies which need to be
corrected.
* The bit that reads: “the data being reviewed did not include the past 18 months...” is inaccurate and should
be corrected. This claim would mean that no data for 2016 had been incorporated into the Study. This is
not the case. All of the margin analysis undertaken in Chapter 4 carried through to FY2017.
‘* Additionally, the statement notes the “singular recommendation” of the report. This is incorrect. The report
makes three recommendations.
‘+ I note the section of the media release that reads “Z has offered to provide MBIE with more data to ensure
higher levels of transparency, including daily pricing data to enable more accurate monitoring... ". The
‘Study validates MBIE’s margin monitoring. Section 4.6 of the Study reaffirmed the robustness of the
method used by MBIE to calculate and monitor margins over time. Differences between MBIE’s reported
margins and the gross margins provided by fuel market participants can be attributed to the inclusion of
1additional expense items in the fuel market participant calculations. We therefore consider it erroneous to
‘convey to the market that changes to MBIE’s margin monitoring are needed to ensure higher transparency.
Thanks and Regards
Press Secretary | Office of Hon Judith Collins | Minister of Revenue | Minister of Energy & Resources | Minister for Ethnic
Communities} MP for Papakura
4.1 Executive Wing | Parliament Buildings, Wellington 6160, New Zealand
DDI: 04 817 9819 | Mobile
www beehive.govt.nz>
@.
ENERGY
8 August 2017
Hon Judith Cotins
Energy Minister
Poriament Buildings
WELLINGTON
Via email
NZIER Fuel Market Performance Study A
Dear Minister a
This leer is 2's response fo your letter of 3 July 2017 following jhe felease ol the 'NTIER Fue! Market
Performance Study (the Study). a OC
\8)
wishes to formally record its disappointment witii'the Sludy. The fepor was incomplete in terms of
both content and participation; quality was compromised by immovable deadlines; it was based on
‘avery poor level of understanding of this industry and almost exchusively failed to address the Study's
‘own terms of reference This inckided fundamental issues such Gs the "financial performance of the
industry" - specifically ROAGE othe}, financial meltics relevant to the industry, cost of capital
benchmarking, net margins'and other markél performance measures.
The report almust CUinblotely ignored Z's own comprehensive submission into the process which
actually addresssa of aspects of the terms of reference.
We ackfioitedke the Study didl heel the terms of reference for gross margins and, to some extent,
the Uifferences in piicing between regional morkets. However whatever conclusions were made in
these areas wefe devoidiof any market context. For example. the price differences belween regions
was explored but the report was entirely absent of analysis or commentary about the same price
diversify that exsts within large urban markets lke Auckland.
Fodhermore, he much quoted 13 cents per litre increase in Retail gross margins is completely without
ralgrence fo how that relates to capital invested or increased operating Costs. For the record, Z's
inet margins for the comparable period only increased by cents perfire, and this was evidenced
in our submission and the financiat data that was provided,
With respect to your suggestion that Z submit alongside other industry participants, Z will not be
pursuing that option. Z already has concems about the way in which existing Industry structures are
interpreted and does not wish to conflate that further. The Stuay’s frustrations with the diigence and
pace of some participants’ responses is another reason why Z will not pursue this option.
The next step Z will take will be to submit as requested by the end of September. Our submission will
be made without any discussion with any other market participants for competitive reasons and will
cover four key areas:
+ As requested in recommendation 2, an analysis of the current data sharing structure, i.e. borrow
nd joan agreements with a cost/benefit analysis around any changes in this area, including
those Z might lead.
‘3Qveens What
POBox 2091
Welington 6149,
Now Zeolond
800 474 385+ Edending what was requested in recommendation 3, an analysis of the pros and cons of the
suggested spot wholesale market in contrast fo the existing contracted wholesale market. This
wil include a cost/benefit analysis of any changes in this area, including those Z might lead
independent of what other participants may choose fo do.
+ Not requested but essential fo your comments around NZ's fuel prices relative fo the OECD data,
review of the current MBIE margin monitoring programme and OECD tuet pricing analysis with
‘accompanying recommendations. We have akeady shored with MBIE some potential
‘weaknesses in how the calculation of selling prices (from which margins ate derived) is not
sufficlently representative of the market, especially in certain marke! conditions lke rapidly tating
import prices. KONE \
+ Recording our response fo the more significant and matetiol gapsin the Study's Feport again!
terms of reference. z= SS
T has always operated its business mindful of our responsibilies trois customers, our stakeholders,
cand our investors. We fully appreciate ihat energy in ab of ts formnsis something which. at times, can
be of intense public and political interest. Z doesn't believe we can Canfinue to run a successful
operation that leroy powers the New Zealand economy if there ate-fundamental questions
Unresolved or significant areas of dissatisfaction omongst ony,af these groups.
On that basis there will be o discusign within7 as ta whdther We make a public call for a market
study by the Commerce Comssion Under thepeniting legislative changes. An independent,
Professional and welLresourted-iuiket study wouk! enable Z to prove that this industry is highly
compeiitive; there we no matéiid bartiefs toyentry; and retums ore fair and reasonable. Such a
process would be @ alifCally durable Gnd highly transparent solution that Z beleves would likely
Satisfy oll our cUsfomefs, stakeholders and investors.
In the freanynile we wil work cOnstrUctively with your officials and thoroughly meet ail aspects of
the study's fecommendations.
t
‘ean \
¥
)ike Bennetts
Chiet ExecutiveOffice of Hon Judith Collins
‘MP for Papakura
Minster of Revenue
yi Minister of Energy and Resources
9 August 2017. Minister for Ethnic Communities
Mike Bennetts
Chief Executive
Z Energy
3 Queens Wharf
PO Box 2091
Wellington 6140
Dear Mike
Thank you for your letter sent via e-mail dated 8 August 2017 regarding the Fuel Market
Financial Performance Study. :
As Ihave stated publicly, | am concemed that 2 steady trend of rising retail fuel margins
may not be serving the best interests of consumers. | was surprised, in our recent
meeting, that you mentioned taking my public commiéts on this matter with a “grain of
‘salt’. | can assure you that any comments | make to the public or media are, without
exception, my genuinaly Held views and position, The conclusion of the Study certainly
supports my view, a3 does feedback | have had from New Zealanders, and | find it
surprising that you would not take those views seriously.
Z Energy's concems with the Study
‘Your letter raises 'a number of points with regard to the Study itself and to your proposed
‘approach moving forward. | will respond to each in turn.
While the Study was not able to definitively answer the question as to whether industry
Tetums were reasonable due to shortcomings in data availability and data comparability,
it did bear out my concerns and confirmed the trend of rising retail margins across the
industry, with some parts of the country seeing a sharper rise in retail margins compared
to others.
| am advised that Z Energy's provision of data and information has consistently been
generous but at times confuses rather than enlightens the situation.
Your letter is a case in point. You state that the increase of 13 cents per litre in retail
gross margins quoted in the Study is non-representative of Z Energy's net margin
increase over the period. The letter states that Z Energy's net margin increased by
cents per litre, and that this had been communicated in your submission and in the
financial data provided as part of the Study. This statement is misleading and incorrect
on a number of levels and borders on the disingenuous. Specifically:
* You are not comparing retail petro! and diesel margins. The increase in retall
gross margins of 13 cents per litre stated in the Study relates to retail petrol and
diese! margins whereas the net margin of __cents per litre referred to in your
letter relates to all fuel and non-fuel sales across all channels.
1
Private Bag 18041, Parliament Buittings, Wellingion 6160, New Zealand, Telephone +54 4 817 6806 Facsimile +64 4 817 6506,* Your own financial data provided as part of the Study showed that retail gross.
margins had increased by cents per litre between FY2012 ( cents per
litre) and F¥2017 ( cents per litre). This is higher than the industry average
‘porease in gross retail margins of 15.0 cents per lire calcuaed ss part of the
iy.
* The net margin increase of __ cents per litre stated in your letter was not
provided in your submission. The submission referred to a net profit after tax
increase of cents per litre from 2012 to 2016 (page 14).
«Neither the net margin increase of |_cents per litre stated in your letter nor the
cents per litre net margin increase stated in your submission correspond to
your publicly reported financial statements which show 2 1-77 cant per litre
increase over the period, as shown in the table below.
ZEnergy replacement cost earnings 2.
FY 2012 FY 2017 Difference
‘Sales volumes (milion tres) 2647.) 3705 148
Net profit replacement cost (million $) 6 Ae co
Not ttre (cents per itt) su
. The leer 535 Gol ore A27G ptSlonce hh the Shady to how val grasa
margins relate {9 capital invested. This is not true. In fact, the amount of capital
investment-undertaken by industry was specifically reviewad by the Study’s
authors who were able to conclude on page 37 that: “Our review of the financial
statements for the major participants did not identify significant capital investment
‘by the participant [sic] during the period under review which would explain such
an increase in margin.”
Similar observations can also be made around your concems that an analysis of Retum
‘on Avarage Capital Employed (ROACE) was not undertaken in the Study. The initial
data template sent to fuel suppliers in March 2017 was intended to provide a
standardised form by which retums could be compared across industry participants. Z
Energy, alongside all the other fuel suppliers, argued that it would be unable to complete
the data request as if did not “substantially reflect how Z captures, manages and uses
data to operate our business."*
By agreeing to allow fuel suppliers to provide data in a format and a form that was
easiest for them, there was an inevitable risk that data provided by fuel suppliers would
not be comparable. This is exactly what transpired, notwithstanding the shortcomings
in the data provided by some fuel suppliers.
* Letter by Lindis Jones to Jamie Kerr, 17 March 2017.
2Where returns data were provided, as in the case of Z Energy, it differed materially from
retums analysis previously undertaken by my officials and extensively reviewed by Z
Energy's corporate finance team. Specifically, in October 2016, Z Energy reviewed and
“did not disagree” with analysis undertaken by MBIE that showed that Z Energy's
teplacement cost ROACE (excluding refining and revaluations) for FY2016 was 22.5
percent. As part of the Study, Z Energy submitted that its ROACE for FY2016 was,
per cent. A number of reasons were put forward to explain the significant difference in
results (inclusion of Refining NZ, capitalisation of operating leases onto the balance
sheet, use of a 12 point average rather than a 2 point average, and inclusion of
additional expense items, among other reasons).
Given the discretion available to fuel suppliers in the range of assumptions used, it is
revealing that even a specialist accounting firm of the repute of Grark Thomton was
unable to compare the retums data provided between fuel suppliers. ae
| find it puzzling that you should criticize the absence of any discussion in the Study
around margin differences within large urban markets like Aubkiand given 2 Energy's
previous express agreement, communicated to MBIE‘on 28 February 2017 via email?,
to use the focal authority fuel tax areas set out in, Schadule 7 of the Local Government
Act 1974 as the definition of “region” for the purpose of the Study.
Finally, 1 would like to note my cahcerh about the Way Z Energy communicated the
findings of the Study in your initial media statement. My office raised a number of factual
inaccuracies with you which\were not-corrected, Given the importance of accurate
disclosure to the market < as'raised by 2 Energy with my office on several occasions —
| was concemed that you took this stance.
Next steps
Moving forward, I‘note Z Energy's decision to respond individually, rather than alongside