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    The document contains economic forecasts and trade data for Vietnam. It projects Vietnam's GDP growth rate to be around 6.3% through 2020 and shows Vietnam's increasing trade with the EU, with exports to the EU growing by over 20% in 2018. The EU currently accounts for 12.2% of Vietnam's net exports, and analysis suggests the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement will provide significant benefits to Vietnam through increased exports, investment, income, and GDP growth.

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    The document contains economic forecasts and trade data for Vietnam. It projects Vietnam's GDP growth rate to be around 6.3% through 2020 and shows Vietnam's increasing trade with the EU, with exports to the EU growing by over 20% in 2018. The EU currently accounts for 12.2% of Vietnam's net exports, and analysis suggests the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement will provide significant benefits to Vietnam through increased exports, investment, income, and GDP growth.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    8 views6 pages

    Books

    Uploaded by

    franraizer
    The document contains economic forecasts and trade data for Vietnam. It projects Vietnam's GDP growth rate to be around 6.3% through 2020 and shows Vietnam's increasing trade with the EU, with exports to the EU growing by over 20% in 2018. The EU currently accounts for 12.2% of Vietnam's net exports, and analysis suggests the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement will provide significant benefits to Vietnam through increased exports, investment, income, and GDP growth.

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    of 6

    Theo Tradingeconomics Forecast

    Vietnam GDP Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020


    GDP Growth Rate 5.1 6.3 6.6 6.1 5.9 6.3
    GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.17 6.3 6.6 6.1 5.9 6.3
    GDP 203 213 213 229 229 260

    https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/gdp-growth/forecast
    Vietnam Trade with EU
    Export Import
    Period Value Mio %Growth Value Mio %Growth Net Export %Growth
    2012 18622 43.3 5370 3.4 13252 69.9
    2013 21255 14.1 5778 7.6 15477 16.8
    2014 22220 4.5 6174 6.9 16046 3.7
    2015 29986 35 8429 36.5 21557 34.3
    2016 33078 10.3 9330 10.7 23748 10.2
    2017 40170 21.4 10545 13.0 29625 27.0
    2018 47026 17.1 12121 14.9 34906 18.4
    Justified 2018 49083 22.2 12593 19.4 36490 23.9

    EU chim 12.2% Net Export ca VN


    Theo cng thc CFA % Growth GPD = % Growth Net Export
    = 2.9

    http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2006/september/tradoc_113463.pdf
    Vietnam Trade with EU
    Export Import
    Period Value Mio %Growth Value Mio %Growth Net Export %Growth
    2012 18622 43.3 5370 3.4 13252 69.9
    2013 21255 14.1 5778 7.6 15477 16.8
    2014 22220 4.5 6174 6.9 16046 3.7
    2015 29986 35 8429 36.5 21557 34.3
    2016 33078 10.3 9330 10.7 23748 10.2
    2017 40170 21.4 10545 13.0 29625 27.0
    2018 47026 17.1 12121 14.9 34906 18.4
    Justified 2018 49083 22.2 12593 19.4 36490 23.9
    EVFTA contribute 2057 473 1584
    In $ 2474.403479 568.709768 1905.69371

    VN All Trade 18200 17800 400

    https://ieconomics.com/vietnam-exports
    Bin s Kt qu
    Thu nhp quc gia + 26 triu USD mi nm
    Xut khu + 4% - + 6% mi nm
    Nhp khu +3.1% (in t: +2.7%, ha cht +2.5%, dc phm: +3%)
    Cn cn thng mi +500 triu USD mi nm
    GDP + 2.7% mi nm
    Tiu th ca chnh ph v t nhn 0.02
    Gi Gim ng k
    Tin lng Tng ng k

    Nhng phn tch do MUTRAP tin hnh ch ra rng Hip nh thng mi t do vi EU s em li cho Vit Nam nhiu l
    tng trng trong u t ca EU vo ngnh cng nghip dch v ca Vit Nam, tng cng xut khu ca Vit Nam sang EU
    thng qua vic nhp khu hng ha chin lc vi mc gi thp hn. Bn cnh , t do ha thng mi s gip tng ngu
    khu ln hn ngun chi t s gim thu), cn cn thng mi c cn bng (tng trng ng 500 triu USD hng n
    3,1% nhp khu), v t gip thc y tng trng GDP mt cch ng k (2,
    li cho Vit Nam nhiu li ch. Trong , li ch ln nht thu c bao gm:
    hu ca Vit Nam sang EU v c hi nng cp trnh k thut ca Vit Nam
    ng mi s gip tng ngun thu nhp quc gia (ngun thu t hng ha nhp
    g 500 triu USD hng nm do xut khu tng, thp nht l 4% so vi dng
    DP mt cch ng k (2,7% nm)
    5.22
    5.02 -0.03831
    4.65 -0.07371
    4.3 -0.07527
    3.19 -0.25814 -0.06243
    2.54 -0.20376 -0.1357
    2.52 -0.00787 -0.17906
    3.35 0.329365 -0.15659
    0.039243

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