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Betting on Iran
by Carl in Jerusalem (Hija del Second, the Islamic Republic is also Iran, which Goldberg rightly suggests
Zion para Israel - Daughter of adept at not saying no. If diplomacy stand “a good chance of changing the
Zion for Israel) ultimately breaks down, Tehran has a Middle East forever.” Other Israelis
long history of making it appear surely accept that the real danger is
Submitted at 8/17/2010 6:12:00 PM (sometimes accurately) that the unleashing an even graver existential
Betting on Iran Robin Wright wants impatient West walked away first — threat from a wider array of sources
to bet that neither the US nor Israel and should be blamed for failure. The than Israel already faces.
will attack Iran in the coming year. perception about who is to blame is Peres is an 87-year old figurehead
She lays out many things that would critical to the next step — returning who has a rich past but no political
have to happen before such an attack to the United Nations for another power. The Defense Minister is in the
would take place. resolution imposing more stringent process of selecting a new IDF chief
The United States and the many sanctions or endorsing other punitive of staff, who is more likely to reflect
other parties now consumed with action. For the United States and its Prime Minister Netanyahu’s
Iran’s controversial nuclear program European allies to win backing for Iran is really up to. After the ‘hawkishness’ than the current chief
have at least a year of intense meaningful measures — and not face intelligence fiasco over Iraq’s alleged of staff whose contract did not
diplomacy — and possibly much a Russian or Chinese veto — Iran weapons of mass destruction, receive a routine one-year extension.
longer — before they even consider must be seen as the guilty party. The hopefully the United States will not And while Wright may be correct
military options. And that assumes shrewd Iranians know that. It’s hard again undertake an act of war on the about the Obama administration’s
diplomacy totally collapses, the to see the Obama administration basis of guestimates [sic] and thinking, there’s another factor she
Iranians can be clearly blamed, and ordering waves of bombers to strike questionable sources. did not consider: If we wait to jump
reliable intelligence proves Tehran’s Iran–or turning a blind eye to an The bottom line: It’s not nearly as through all the hoops she throws out,
program has crossed a critical Israeli attack — without at least simple as this [ Goldberg's. CiJ] Iran will be nuclear long before the
threshold. trying another round at the United article portrays. decision is made.
With Iran, the state-of-play is rarely Nations. The last U.N. resolution took Wright goes on to describe all the What could go wrong?
that straightforward. First, Iranians a full year to negotiate. The next one players who would then need to be posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 4:12
are masters at brinksmanship. could be even tougher. satisfied before such an attack could AM
Diplomacy always gets dragged out, Third, among the many things being take place, including another year of Hija del Zion para Israel Support
and even negotiations that appear debated in many capitals is just what diplomacy at the UN to work out yet Israel
dead have a way of miraculously the threshold for military action another set of sanctions. And her • New Yorkers oppose Islamic
reviving — like an Iranian merchant should be. Should it be Iran building article may well reflect the Obama supremacist mega-mosque at Ground
chasing a customer down the dusty a bomb, like Pakistan? Or having a administration’s thinking. But it Zero by 2-to-1 margin New Yorkers
alleyways of Tehran’s Grand Bazaar quick turn-around capability, like doesn’t reflect Israel’s. Here’s what oppose Islamic supremacist mega-
to renegotiate a price and avoid losing Japan? Or achieving a certain number she says about us: mosque at Ground Zero by 2-to-1
the sale. of centrifuges? Or gaining some The Point of No Return” frames the m a r g i n
Iran has called for talks with its murkier level of knowledge? Capitals tough decisions ahead from only a . . .
Western interlocutors after Ramadan, currently disagree. single prism — Israel and its hawkish • Part 1. The Book of Zohar –
the holy month of fasting that ends in Amassing accurate intelligence on prime minister. Throughout most of Selections, chapter “Shemot”, item
mid-September. (Last week, The New any of these questions is also tough, the piece, Operation Strike Iran is 259, lesson 14 Lecturer: Rav Michael
Yorker published an interview with one reason for the delay in a new portrayed as a virtual fait accompli. LaitmanDate: 2010-04-19Video:
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad National Intelligence Estimate on Only at the end does it acknowledge ENG 55.92MB Audio: ENG 9.97MB
delivering that message yet again.) Iran, which was originally due last that the Israeli army chief of staff has ...
The Obama administration is year. Since 2003, when Iran was doubts about the usefulness of • Part 1: The Book of Zohar –
currently preparing for those talks — forced to admit it had secret facilities, bombing Iran (as do many in the Selections, chapter "Vayigash", item
and taking them seriously. The main much of U.S. intelligence has been American military) and that Israeli 10, lesson 2 Lecturer: Rav Michael
focus would be an interim deal, based on deductive reasoning rather President Shimon Peres is LaitmanDate: 2010-06-07Video:
which would in turn open the way for than tangible proof. Revelations last “uncomfortable” with unilateral ENG 55.28MB Audio: ENG 9.85MB
comprehensive talks on Iran’s nuclear fall about another secret facility in action and thinks Israel “can afford to ...
program. If Iran is also serious, this Qom to enrich uranium changed that recognize its limitations.” Israeli
two-phase diplomatic process could somewhat — but not on a lot of other politicians are not naïve about the Original post source
go into late 2011 or longer. fundamental questions about what costs and consequences of attacking
Did You Know That There Is A since the beginning of 2010, and over
420 rockets were fired from the Gaza
Strip into Israel since the end of
Israel: Turkish
Embassy Break-In
by israel (Hija del Zion para
BBC fair and balanced Israel - Daughter of Zion for
Israel)