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Pitcher Rating August 18
Pitcher Rating August 18
Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting.
The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.
The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.
A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.
CC Sabathia and David Price have swapped positions yet again, in what has become a two horse race in the AL.
Meanwhile, Josh Johnson (once a member of the elite trio atop the NL) has been replaced by Halladay and disappeared.