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Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 18, 2010

NAME LEAGUE W L SV HLD BSV SO RS WHIP ERA PR ∆


1 Adam Wainwright NL 17 7 165 6.23 0.98 2.06 51.27 1
2 Ubaldo Jimenez NL 17 3 153 7.00 1.12 2.59 50.25 2
3 Roy Halladay NL 15 8 175 4.99 1.01 2.24 48.20 3
4 Heath Bell NL 5 0 36 3 68 0.00 1.22 1.71 44.05 5
5 CC Sabathia AL 16 5 143 7.13 1.24 3.12 42.31 9
6 David Price AL 15 5 141 7.18 1.26 2.85 40.22 4
7 Jon Lester AL 13 7 165 6.32 1.13 2.80 38.27 11
8 Chris Carpenter NL 13 4 139 6.51 1.16 2.95 37.43 6
9 Mat Latos NL 12 5 134 6.04 0.99 2.32 36.89 10
10 Tim Hudson NL 14 5 89 6.23 1.07 2.13 36.76 14
11 Rafael Soriano AL 2 1 35 2 40 0.00 0.82 1.71 36.03 15
12 Jered Weaver AL 11 8 186 5.52 1.10 3.11 35.40 7
13 Carl Pavano AL 15 7 97 6.05 1.11 3.27 34.93 16
14 Josh Johnson NL 10 5 156 6.07 1.07 2.27 34.10 8
15 Cliff Lee AL 10 6 147 4.69 0.95 2.77 33.84 12
16 Brian Wilson NL 2 1 33 3 73 0.00 1.26 2.06 33.39 17
17 Clay Buchholz AL 14 5 89 7.49 1.19 2.36 33.07 26
18 Ricky Nolasco NL 14 8 147 6.42 1.23 4.22 32.91 32
19 Billy Wagner NL 6 2 29 7 72 0.00 0.89 1.74 32.72 18
20 Clayton Kershaw NL 11 7 163 5.95 1.24 3.03 32.66 21
21 Justin Verlander AL 13 8 152 6.49 1.25 3.77 32.10 13
22 Trevor Cahill AL 12 5 81 5.63 0.98 2.50 31.32 19
23 Brian Duensing AL 6 1 9 42 2.24 1.05 2.00 30.74 NR
24 Johan Santana NL 10 7 128 4.12 1.21 2.97 30.23 28
25 Yovani Gallardo NL 11 5 154 7.94 1.29 2.97 29.66 22
26 John Danks AL 12 8 125 5.82 1.15 3.33 29.66 29
27 Joakim Soria AL 0 2 34 2 55 0.00 1.14 1.98 29.61 30
28 Francisco Liriano AL 11 7 160 6.95 1.26 3.26 29.56 27
29 Felix Hernandez AL 8 10 172 3.76 1.14 2.62 29.17 23
30 Tim Lincecum NL 11 7 169 7.06 1.30 3.62 29.10 20
31 Mariano Rivera AL 3 2 24 2 36 0.00 0.72 1.04 28.00 25
32 Neftali Feliz AL 3 2 29 3 3 53 0.00 0.99 3.48 27.24 24
33 Matt Garza AL 12 7 1 124 7.31 1.19 3.74 27.18 36
34 Clayton Richard NL 11 5 118 6.03 1.41 3.69 26.84 NR
35 C.J. Wilson AL 11 5 116 7.05 1.24 3.19 26.76 42
36 John Garland NL 12 8 100 5.91 1.30 3.25 26.34 NR
37 Bronson Arroyo NL 13 7 85 6.19 1.18 3.87 26.23 40
38 Ricky Romero AL 10 7 136 5.79 1.27 3.43 26.16 44
39 John Axford NL 7 1 18 1 2 50 0.00 1.27 2.74 26.01 NR
40 Phil Hughes AL 14 5 110 9.82 1.23 3.94 25.84 37
41 Ryan Dempster NL 11 8 153 7.46 1.31 3.62 25.48 NR
42 Ervin Santana AL 12 8 130 6.86 1.33 3.99 25.43 NR
43 Johnny Cueto NL 11 3 102 7.64 1.26 3.38 25.37 31
44 Andy Pettitte AL 11 2 90 8.48 1.20 2.88 25.10 33
45 Colby Lewis AL 9 9 150 5.34 1.15 3.28 25.05 35
Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 18, 2010

DROPPED FROM RANKINGS:


34 Francisco Rodriguez
38 Jeff Niemann
39 Matt Cain
41 Gio Gonzalez
43 Jonathan Papelbon
45 Hong-Chih Kuo

ESPN Cy Young Predictor Ross Clites Pitcher Rating


AL NL AL NL
2002 Barry Zito Randy Johnson Barry Zito Randy Johnson
2003 Keith Foulke Mark Prior Roy Halladay Eric Gagne
2004 Johan Santana Eric Gagne Johan Santana Eric Gagne
2005 Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter
2006 Johan Santana Brandon Webb Johan Santana Brandon Webb
2007 CC Sabathia Jake Peavy CC Sabathia Jake Peavy
2008 Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum
2009 Felix Hernandez Adam Wainwright Felix Hernandez Tim Lincecum

Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting.

The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.

The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.

A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.

CC Sabathia and David Price have swapped positions yet again, in what has become a two horse race in the AL.
Meanwhile, Josh Johnson (once a member of the elite trio atop the NL) has been replaced by Halladay and disappeared.

2010 ESPN Cy Young Predictor 2010 Ross Clites Pitcher Rating


AL NL AL NL
1ST CC Sabathia Adam Wainwright CC Sabathia Adam Wainwright
2ND David Price Roy Halladay David Price Ubaldo Jimenez
3RD Carl Pavano Ubaldo Jimenez Jon Lester Roy Halladay
4TH Clay Buchholz Heath Bell Rafael Soriano Heath Bell
5TH Rafael Soriano Tim Hudson Jered Weaver Chris Carpenter
6TH Jon Lester Billy Wagner Carl Pavano Mat Latos
7TH Trevor Cahill Chris Carpenter Cliff Lee Tim Hudson

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