22 QUY LUT BT BIN TRONG U T CHNG KHON

POSTED: NOVEMBER 27, 2016/UNDER: NHNG IU CN BIT/BY: ADMIN

Jesse Livermore tng ni Khng c iu g mi trn th trng chng khon.

Nhng g din ra s tip tc din ra trong tng lai v bn tnh t nhin, cm
xc ca con ngi s khng bao gi thay i
Di y l 22 quy lut m ti c rt c sau nhng ln nm gai nm mt
trn th trng

Quy lut s 1: c phiu gi cao th s tip tc tng v ngc li

Bn c ngc nhin khi thy VNM lin tc tng ht t nm nay n nm khc mc d lc
no cng cm thy gi n cao.
Ngc li, k t khi HAG gim xung mc gi di 10, hng nm nay c phiu ny
c giao dch vng 6 7.
Nu bn hy vng mua c phiu gi tht thp sau ny nh u n ln cao th bn
nhm to. C phiu khng vt c gi 20 th ng mong ln c 50, khng t
gi 50 th cn lu mi ln c 100.

Quy lut s 2: Mi gii khng phi l ngi chu trch nhim cao nht v ti sn
ca bn
Bn, ch khng phi ai khc phi chu trch nhim cao nht v ti sn ca mnh
Mi gii chng khon lm vic khng ch v li ch ca bn, m cn v li ch ca h v
cng ty chng khon ca h.
a phn cc mi gii s khng vui nu bn mua mt c phiu ri gi n c nm k
c bn c li n nh th no
iu khng c ngha l khng c nhng mi gii gii v c tm. Trc khi quyt
nh s gn b vi mi gii no, hy tm hiu v lch s giao dch v cc khch hng c
ca anh y

Quy lut s 3: Ngi ta thng khng phi bi v mua c phiu tt m l ngi

u t theo nguyn tc
Bn s khng c li v c phiu c cc chuyn gia phn tch tung h l tt
Bn ch kim c tin nu c phiu bn mua tng gi
Bn c thy Warren Buffett hay William Oneil ch gii ngn khi tm thy c hi u t
ng theo nguyn tc ca h khng.
Mt h thng u t c phiu lun phi c 4 phn m ti hay gi l CLGT cho d nh,
vit tt ca Chin lc u t chung, Lc c phiu, Giao dch, v Theo di u t. C
phiu ch l mt phn trong s

Quy lut s 4: Nhng nu khng mua c phiu tt sm mun bn cng s ri

cuc chi
Ti tng chng kin nhiu ngi nhn i, nhn ba ti khon ch sau vi thng mua
FLC, KLF, FIT, ROS ..
Nhng 2 gp h 2 nm sau , c nhng ngi mt sch tin u t chng khon,
phn a l nng v khng cn mun nhc n chng khon
V h ni th trng khng minh bch, th trng khng tt.. nhng iu m ti khng
thy h nhc n khi kim c tin t c phiu
Nu bn cha bit cch tm cc c phiu tt hy xem ngay bi vit 3 b lc c phiu
hiu qu trn th trng Vit Nam

Quy lut s 5: Xu hng th trng l yu t quyt nh

Rt nhiu c phiu suy gim khi th trng chung i xung. Nhng vn l khng
phi tt c u phc hi sau .
Hy xem cc c phiu du kh t nm 2014 n nay. Sau khi tri qua 9 thng u nm
2014 thng hoa, nhm du kh lao dc khng phanh cho n tn 2 nm sau .
Ngoi tr GAS, a s cc c phiu du kh khc nh PVD, PVC .. khng phc hi,
ngay c khi th trng vt nh 6 nm vo thng 7/2016.
V vy, hy chc chn bn lun quan st th trng chung v hnh ng kp thi khi thi
trng suy gim
Quy lut s 6: Ngi khng l lun li nhng du chn ln
Bn c nhng phin giao dch m c phiu tng mnh vi khi lng giao dch t
bin khng?
c th l du hiu c phiu c cc t chc ln mua vo
Vn l vi lng ti sn ln, h khng th gii ngn ch trong 1 phin, m phi mua
ri rc lm nhiu ln.
l l do bn thy rt nhiu c phiu dng ny tng lin tc sau
Khng mt ngi khng l no c th giu c vt chn. Li th ca nh u t c
nhn c th theo di du chn , nh gi v a ra quyt nh tht linh hot.

Quy lut s 7: Phn tch gii l tt ri nhng cn phi bit quyt nh gii na
iu duy nht chc chn trn th trng l khng c g chc chn. Phn tch c k
n u th vn lun lun c 20% xc sut sai.
Hy mnh dn ra quyt nh v ch cn ng 6-7/10 ln giao dch l bn lm c
iu m 90% nh u t khng lm c ri

Quy lut s 8: Th trng lun c dn dt bi mt nhm c phiu, nht nh

phi xc nh c nhm no
Nh th ny cho bn d hnh dung nh: mi t th trng tng s c dn dt bi
mt nhm c phiu. Nhm ny tng rt mnh, to ra s lan to n ton th trng
mt vi nhm c phiu khc tng theo khi ch s cng ln.
Nhm c phiu dn dt thng tng gp 3-4 ln th trng chung. Tc l nu th
trng tng 20% th nhm ny c th tng n 70-80%
Quy lut s 9: Nh u t thnh cng n my cng phi tri qua nhiu ln ct l,
quan trng l h li ng ln v i tip
Ct l l chuyn bnh thng, quan trng l 1. Bn c dm ct l khng 2. Sau khi ct
l bn cn c th u t tip hay khng.
C nhn ti cng tri qu nhiu ln ct l. C au khng. au ch. ng tin i lin
khc rut m. C iu ti cha tng hi hn v cc quyt nh ct l ca mnh
Bn nn dng l khi c phiu gim n mc 5 7% tng ti sn
S khng c ci gi l u t di hn khi c phiu lm bn mt n 20% tng u
t.

Quy lut s 10: Khi c phiu dn u t nh chnh l lc cn nhc ri khi th

trng
Nhm c phiu dn dt s tng u tin v to hiu ng lan to n ton th trng
Nhm c phiu dn dt ny s tng khong 3- 6 thng ri bt u iu chnh. Lc ny
cc nhm c phiu lan to, nhm Penny mi ch gn t nh.
y chnh l lc bn cn rt khi th trng v ch 2 3 tun, khi nhm dn dt i
xung r rng, cc c phiu cng ln lt t nh v hin tng x hng s din ra
ng lot trn tt c cc nhm c phiu

Quy lut s 11: Ngi ta mua bn theo cm xc, hay ni chnh xc hn l k

vng n tng, khng phi v phn tch
Khi c gii thiu mt h thng u t mi, thng c rt nhiu ngi quan ngi
Nh ai cng bit n th sao?
Ti th khng lo chuyn ny lm, k c tt c mi ngi cng bit th ch c 20% s
l thc hin, v ch mt s t l lm xut sc h thng u t m thi.
a s quyt nh theo cm xc nn ngi ta cng khng my quan tm n h thng
u t ABC g
mt ngi c th t b cm xc ca mnh mua bn theo mt h thng cng
nhc, tiu chun l mt qu trnh di v kh, thm ch cn gian nan hn so vi to ra
mt h thng u t hiu qu

Quy lut s 12: Th trng c tng th cng c gim, c c i ngang na

y l sai lm ca rt nhiu bn mi u t chng khon, tc l lc no cng ch chm
chm xem th trng ln hay l xung, m mua vi bn.
Th trng cn c mt trng thi khc, l i ngang, hay cn gi l khng c xu
hng r rng. ng tic l giai on ny li chim t 30 40% thi gian trn th
trng.
c im d thy nht ca giai on ny l c phiu va ln c 1 2 phin th li
gim. Bn va mua xong th gi n xung, i my phin xong bn ra th n li ln.
Bn b l khng nhiu, nhng li lin tc quay vng v nhn u cng tng ngon n,
khin th trng khng gim m ti sn th bay nhanh

Quy lut s 13: Khng phi c tin tc tt h tr l c phiu s tng

Khi c phiu ln th tin tt to cho n ln mnh hn.
Cn khi c phiu gim th c rt nhiu ngi kt hng vng gi cao, h ch ch c
phiu hi ln mt cht l h bn ra.
Tin tt cng khng cu c c phiu l nh vy

Quy lut s 14: Trong xu hng gim, khi no thy volume cn kit l lc nn cn
nhc theo di c phiu
C phiu gim tc l lng bn nhiu hn lng mua. Khi volume cn kit tc l
khng cn nhiu c phiu c bn ra na, lng cung khng cn nhiu, nn theo di
sn sng mua vo

Quy lut s 15: Cc nhp tng ca th trng lun tun th theo ng 5 nhp sng
Elliott: 3 nhp tng chnh v 2 nhp iu chnh
C nhiu tranh ci v tnh ng dng v mc chnh xc ca sng Elliott, a phn l
ca nhng ngi khng bit m sng!
Sng Elliott chnh xc v s lun hiu qu trn tt c cc th trng, cc khung thi
gian l do n phn nh chnh xc cc giai on tm l ca nh u t trn th trng:
t bi quan, nghi ng, t tin n hng phn.
Quy lut s 16: Mt c phiu khi thc s tng gi s tng t 3 6 thng lin
tc v vy khng vic g phi vi vng nu n ch va mi tng
Nh n tng mt th sao l ni s ca rt nhiu nh u t chng khon. L do l h
khng phn bit c u l c phiu tng thc s u l c phiu n theo
Mt c phiu tng thc s s tng t 3 6 thng. Cn mt nhp tng ca c phiu n
theo th ch tm 2 3 tun l kt thc.
Bn mua c phiu n theo th d c mua sm cng ch li 7 10%. Cn mua ng c
phiu hng u th c mua mun cng li 20 30% l chuyn bnh thng.

Quy lut s 17: Ngi tham lam lun mun mua y v bn ra nh, ngi c
kinh nghim th mua im an ton (mua l s tng) v bn ra khi sp n nh
Xin trch dn li ca Rothschild, mt gia tc ti chnh th lc m bn no c chin
tranh tin t u bit
Ti thnh cng trn th trng chng khon l nh khng bao gi c mua y v
bn ra nh
Khi th trng tng, ngi c kinh nghim thng mua khi chc chn xu hng tng v
bn ra khi kim li. Hay cn gi l mua cao, bn cao hn

Quy lut s 18: Ngi ta s lun tm mt l do no bin minh cho vic c

phiu ca bn tng hay l gim. ng bun l cc l do lun c a ra khi c
phiu chy mt ri
Sao my hm nay con ny tng nhiu th nh
Cc nh u t lo ngi con kh ca Tng thng b ba nn bn tho c phiu !?
Ngi ta bn ra v ngi ta c li, ngi ta bn ra ct l, ngi ta bn ra v LO
NGI m khng bit lo ngi ci g!
Khng quan trng l tin tc g, l do g, bn ng i tm nguyn nhn lm gi thay i.
Hy xem xem liu chnh xc c phiu tng hay gim v sn sng cho cc kch bn c
th xy ra.
Xem thm cch chun b kch bn u t
Quy lut s 19: Khi no ai cng tin mua c phiu no nht nh s c li th
nn cn nhc bn chng
Th trng Vit Nam nm 2008 khi ch qun bia cng d dng kim li sau vai ngy
u t th vi thng sau th trng t nh, bc vo mt thi k en ti
Bong bng chng khon trung quc 2015. P/E ton th trng ln n 50, ngay c b
bn rau cng gom tin chi chng khon
Khng c g ngc nhin khi ch trong 4 thng ch s Shanghai gim n 60% t mc
5100 xung ch cn 3000 vo thng 10/2015

Khi ai cng mua c phiu th bn nn cn nhc bn ra

Quy lut s 20: C phiu c mt khong thi gian gi l phn phi nh. Bn
phi bn cp trong giai on ny trc khi qu mun
Phn phi nh l giai on m nhng ngi mua c phiu gi thp bn ra cho nhng
ngi n sau.
c im ca giai on ny l gi khng tng nhng volume rt ln. Tc l rt nhiu c
phiu c trao tay giai on ny. Khi lng ny c trao tay ht, lng cu gim i
cng l lc gi bt u ..to

Quy lut s 21: Cc c phiu tng nhiu nht thng chng kin tng trng
kinh doanh t bin trong nm
iu ny c thng k qua nhiu nm lch s rt nhiu th trng chng khon
Anh, M, c, Nht Bn, Thi Lan, Vit Nam.
Cc c phiu th hin c mc li nhun tng lin tc trong 3 5 nm v chng kin
mc li nhun t bin trong qu thng nhn c s quan tm ln ca gii truyn
thng ti chnh cng nh cc nh u t.
Mi khi cc c phiu ny vt qua mc nh lch s ca n l li c mt vi bi bo thu
ht nhiu s ch . ng tic l a s nh u t cm thy gi qu cao ri v khng
dm mua vo.

Quy lut s 22: 21 quy lut trn c th p dng trn tt c cc th trng chng
khon t M n Vit Nam
Cc bn c ngh l u t nc ngoi minh bch hn, cng ngh cao hn, lch s
lu i hn th n khc u t chng khon Vit Nam
Thc ra nc ngoi nhiu cao th hn, quy nh cng thong hn nn l rt khc
nghit vi newbie. V d: mt c phiu M c th gim 50% ..ch trong mt ngy, ri
ro hn sn 7% ca Vit Nam rt nhiu