Professional Documents
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A Group Game
A Group Game
A Group Game
Gemunu Nanayakkara
Department of Accounting, Finance & Economics
Griffith Business School, Griffith University
Brisbane, Qld 4111, Australia
Email: G.Nanayakkara@griffith.edu.au
Errol R Iselin
Faculty of Business, Bond University
Gold Coast, Qld 4229, Australia.
Email: e.iselin@bond.edu.au
ABSTRACT
More than 3,000 microfinancing institutions (MFIs) in developing countries
provide financial assistance to the needy poor who are denied access to
institutional credit from other sources. This studys motivation comes from the
importance of MFIs and the lack of knowledge about them. Adopting the
balanced scorecard (BSC) model, this exploratory study investigates the critical
performance measures that MFIs need to emphasize in their performance
reporting to drive high performance. The study first argues that four dimensions
(sustainability, increasing the outreach, depth of outreach, and portfolio at risk)
are needed to measure the performance of MFIs, and then analyzes the impact of
eight performance-reporting measures on these dimensions using multiple-
regression analysis. Of the eight measures selected, the emphasis on net cash
flow has a significant impact on improving two dimensions of performance:
sustainability, and increasing the outreach. The latter is also affected by the
emphasis placed on the ratio of zero security loans to total loans in
performance reporting. The study also finds that the depth of outreach
performance dimension is predicted by the emphasis placed on the two
performance reporting measures: ratio of operating expenses to number of
loans and the average time to process a loan application.
Keywords: Microfinancing institutions, balanced scorecard, performance
measurement, performance reporting, organizational performance
1. INTRODUCTION
Global poverty is a major problem facing both developing and developed
nations in the world today. In the Asia Pacific region alone, 900 million people
live in poverty. This is about one-third of the population in the developing
countries in the region [Asian Development Bank, 2000a]. Other than the well-
understood negative social impacts of poverty such as crime, low literacy rates,
and poor health, it is strongly believed that poverty even breeds terrorism. In the
recent past, there has been a greater effort by developed nations and international
aid agencies to reduce poverty. For example, the Asian Development Bank
(ADB) has adopted poverty alleviation as one of its key objectives. The total
loans approved under its poverty reduction program amount to US$ 3.5 billion
[ADB, 2000b].
Over the last two decades, microfinancing has grown in popularity as an
effective tool in reducing poverty in developing countries. The concept of
microfinancing is basically providing financial services to the poor to improve
their income levels and standard of living. The typical loans are small and have
to be repaid with interest over short periods, but require no collateral. They help
the poor borrow to finance an asset (e.g., a bicycle, sewing machine, a cow) to
become self-employed.
The concept of microfinancing was introduced to the world by Professor
Muhammad Yunus, who concluded that one of the major causes of poverty was
the inability of the poor to get any access to institutional credit. In 1976, Yunus
tested his research findings by lending US$ 27 without any security among 42
poor people. This was the birth of the Grameen Bank (GB), considered by many
to be the first microfinancing institution (MFI). After years of successful
operation under this concept, by 1998, its loan portfolio had grown from US$ 27
to US$ 2.3 billion with a client base of 2.3 million poor people. Its operation
covers 38,551 villages and employs more than 12,000 staff [Jolis, 2001]. The
amazing success of the Grameen Bank was considered revolutionary since it
shattered the popular belief that the poor are not credit worthy. Yunus was
awarded the Nobel Prize in 2006 for his contribution.
The success of the Grameen Bank sparked a growth in the number of MFIs
all over the world. The ADB estimates that, from a few thousand in the 1970s,
the number of borrowers has grown to more than 10 million poor people in the
late 1990s [ADB, 2000a]. A survey in 2007 has found more than 3,000 MFIs
serving 133 million poor people around the world [Microcredit Report, 2007].
The actual figure today can be assumed to be even more than this. MFIs have
been growing rapidly (both in numbers and size) over the last two decades and
this will continue into the future. There are two main reasons for this. First, if
operated successfully, they have proven to be very effective in raising the income
levels of the poor. For example, research conducted by Hulme and Mosley
[1996] across a sample of almost 4,000 borrowers from four different countries
over four years (1988-1992) has found that increases in family income of
borrowers of MFIs were three times higher than that of the control groups.
Studies conducted by Khandker et al. [1995, 1996] have revealed that about 21%
of Grameen Bank borrowers, and 11% of the Bangladesh Rural Advancement
Committee (BRAC) borrowers, have come out of poverty within four years.
They have also shown that extreme poverty has declined from 33% to 10% in GB
customers and from 34% to 14% in BRAC customers. Further, a 1988 survey has
shown that customers of Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI), another successful MFI,
have raised their income levels by 76% and employment by 84% [ADB 2000a].
In fact, some MFIs have been self-sustaining while expanding their
customer base. Therefore, they have become very popular among governments
and donor agencies in their poverty-reduction programs. A second reason MFIs
have been growing rapidly is that, although there are 900 million poor people in
the Asia Pacific region, only about 133 million are estimated to be served by
MFIs at the moment. Considering this huge gap, and the recent popularity of, and
support for MFIs, their growth in the future is almost certain.
Microfinancing has become a very important tool in the battle against
poverty, and hundreds of millions of dollars have been injected into the sector.
For example, the total loan portfolio outstanding to MFIs of the ADB in 2001
was US$ 398 million. The total World Bank (WB) assistance to the
microfinancing sector by 2009 reached US$ 1.29 billion [WB, 2009]. However,
at the moment, there is very limited knowledge regarding the factors that drive
the performance of MFIs. Therefore any contribution toward improving the
performance of MFIs will have a significant impact on millions of poor people
receiving assistance from MFIs, and the effective use of hundreds of millions of
dollars of aid funds originating from the taxpayers of wealthy countries.
3. LITERATURE REVIEW
To find answers to the research questions stated above, what is meant by
performance in relation to MFIs is explored in this literature review. A
definition of performance and four dimensions to measure the defined
performance are suggested. Then, based on the BSC model, a number of
performance-reporting indicators are selected to assess their impact on these four
performance dimensions.
3. Quality of the loan portfolio [Lapenu and Zeller, 2001; Ahlin et al.,
2011; Field and Pande , 2008]
3. Depth of outreach
4. Portfolio at risk
In essence, this study will use the above four dimensions to evaluate MFI
performance as:
the terminology commonly used in the microfinancing industry, but does not
extend itself to recommending any particular performance reporting measures. It
states:
Table 1
Selected Performance-Reporting Measures
BSC
Performance-Reporting Measures
Perspective
Profitability
FINANCIAL
Net cash flow
Since most of the loans granted by MFIs are without security, it is possible
to have a large number of bad loans that affect cash flow. Profitability may not
reflect the correct picture if accurate provisions for bad debts are not made in the
records. Moreover, cash flow is important for the smooth operation of any
organization. Therefore, net cash flow was selected as the second performance-
reporting measure under the financial perspective.
Under the customer perspective, non-profit organizations such as MFIs have
two types of customers the borrowers and the donors [see Kaplan and Norton,
2001]. Therefore, it was decided to select one indicator that reflects each of these
customer types. Customer satisfaction is one of the most important and
commonly used performance-reporting measures under the customer perspective
of the BSC. The growth in subsidized funding from donors reflects the level of
satisfaction of the donors who are assisting the operations of MFIs. This measure
may indicate that any monitoring or auditing done by the donors has yielded
satisfactory results, confirming that the funds are utilized efficiently and
effectively for the purpose that they were granted. Negative growth in funding
from existing donors may yield a picture that is quite opposite to this. Therefore,
growth in funding from existing donors was considered as an important
performance-reporting measure reflecting customer satisfaction of the donors
under the customer perspective of the BSC.
In relation to MFI borrowers, the meaning of customer satisfaction is
quite different from that of commercial financial institutions such as banks. The
main reason is that the demand for microfinancing services far exceeds the
supply because of the large number of poor people in developing countries. For
example, it is estimated that, out of about 900 million poor people in the Asia-
Pacific region, only about 10 million were served by MFIs in the late 1990s. The
available funds are limited and disbursed according to the carefully selected
guidelines and assessment criteria developed by the MFIs. Therefore, any poor
person (without access to credit elsewhere) becomes a satisfied person as soon as
he/she becomes a customer of an MFI. For this reason, it is very rare for MFIs to
conduct customer satisfaction surveys like other commercial organizations.
However, although most loans are granted without any collateral, some
MFIs take a certain level of security (in most situations, only a fraction of the
loan offered) to reduce the risk. Sometimes, this is done because of requirements
imposed by donors when granting their credit lines to MFIs. Therefore, it was
assumed that customers who offer some form of security are less satisfied than
those who offer no security at all. Based on this assumption, the ratio of loans
without security cover to the total number of loans was considered as an indicator
that reflected the customer satisfaction of MFI borrowers.
It is reasonable to assume that operational expenses will increase with an
increase in the number of loans. Therefore, the ratio of operating expenses to the
number of loans indicates the overall efficiency of operation, which falls under
the internal process perspective of the BSC.
The average time to process a loan application also is an important indicator
under the internal process perspective. Generally, it is an important indicator in
PR 3 Emphasis placed on ratio of loans with zero security cover to total number of
loans in performance reporting
The measurement of these variables and the instrument used are discussed
in Section 4. It is acknowledged that some dimensions of the BSC such as quality
and innovation are not covered by the above performance-reporting measures. As
mentioned above, this study is exploratory in nature and has not covered all the
potential performance reporting indicators.
4. METHODOLOGY
This section includes a discussion of the measurement of variables, sample
and data collection used in this study, and an overview of the analysis.
In fact, the data collected in this study supports this view. For example,
some CEOs of MFIs selected for this study have given below-average ratings for
their organizations (see Table 4).
Dunk [1993, 2005, 2007] also argues that if leniency occurs it is a type of
measurement error. Measurement error may be either non-random (systematic
bias) or random [Nunnally, 1981]. Systematic bias would occur if a constant
were added (or subtracted), say because of leniency, to (or from) the true score
for the dependent variable. However, this addition (or subtraction) of a constant
does not change the relationship between the independent and dependent
variables in a multiple regression [Nunnally, 1981]. It merely changes the
intercept, and that is of no interest in this research. If the error is random, it is
added to the error term in the regression model [Neter et al., 1985] and thus
makes it more difficult, rather than easier, to reject the null hypothesis. An
argument in favor of using self-ratings is that they overcome inconsistencies and
earnings management in archival data. Archival data is inconsistent because
different companies might use different accounting methods. The problem of
earnings management is widely recognized. These arguments provide substantial
support for the use of self-rating data in this study.
characteristics of the customers and the environment of the selected MFIs very
similar.
Table 2
Basic Data Pertaining to Sri Lanka
Area 62,705 sq km
Population 19,007,000
Unemployment 9.1%
PERFORMANCE PERFORMANCE
REPORTING
(Measured by the four
(Measured by the sub-dimensions given in
independent variables Section 3.1)
given in Section 3.2)
Pi (i=1, 2, 4)
PRi (i=1, 2, 3, 8)
and four perspectives, the analysis contains 16 regression equations (4x4). These
16 regression equations can be shown in a general formula as follows:
where,
P1-4 are the four organizational performance variables listed above.
PR1 & PR2 are the two performance reporting variables in each
perspective (see Table 1).
1-4 in the PR11-4 and PR21-4, are the four BSC perspectives (see
Table 1).
The sample size in this study is 11. Although the size may appear small to
some readers, we argue the sample size is not problematic (see Appendix C).
First, we emphasize that the sample is 61% of the population. Since a high
proportion of the population has been sampled, we consider there should not be
difficulty in applying the findings to the population. Second, we point out that
Tabachnick and Fidell [2001] and Sheriden and Lyndall [2001 suggest the
minimum sample size should be five times the number of predictor variables.
Our study meets this requirement (the sample is 5.5 times the number of
predictor variables). We acknowledge that our study may be able to identify only
strong effects. Large samples are necessary to identify weak effects. We leave it
to future research to study weak effects by studying countries where larger
samples are possible. We also acknowledge that any findings identified in this
research should be further studied in other countries to see whether they apply to
MFIs in different environments.
Table 3
Descriptive Statistics of Performance-Reporting Variables
BSC Description Min Max Mean Std.
Perspective Actual variables refer to the Dev
emphasis on the following in
performance reporting:
Financial Profitability 5 9 7.45 1.57
Table 4
Descriptive Statistics of Performance-Dimension Variables
Description Min Max Mean Std.
Dev
Sustainability 5 9 7.45 1.44
The mean values in relation to the emphasis placed by the MFIs on the
performance-reporting variables indicate some interesting results. The figures
given in Table 3 show that MFIs, in their performance reporting, give the most
emphasis to the financial perspective of the BSC; i.e., profitability (7.45) and
cash flow (6.82). Next in ranking is the internal process; i.e., operational
expenses to number of loans (5.82) and average time to process a loan
application (5.73). The internal process is followed by the learning and growth
perspective; i.e., investment in information systems (5.45) and training (5.09).
Performance reporting under the customer perspective had the least emphasis; i.e.,
growth in subsidized funding from donors (5.18) and ratio of zero security loans
to total loans (5.00).
Usually, the customer perspective ranks relatively high in commercial
organizations. With regard to MFIs, however, the above result does not come as a
surprise since the demand for microfinancing services far exceeds the supply in
developing countries, as mentioned in Section 1. In the absence of any
competition for customers, MFIs may be paying the least attention to the
customer satisfaction of the borrowers. Note that the indicator used to measure
the emphasis placed on the satisfaction of borrowers (ratio of zero security loans
to total loans) has the lowest mean score, compared with others.
A surprising result is the comparatively less emphasis given to growth in
subsidized funding from donors. One possible explanation for this could be the
fact that the MFIs in Sri Lanka may be pursuing a strategy of relying more on
internal funds (through profits, etc.) rather than on external funds to achieve
sustainability. This may be the reason they place more emphasis on profitability
and cash flow, as shown in Table 3. It also seems that they are trying to achieve
this by giving more emphasis to internal process and learning and growth
MFIs place the highest emphasis on profitability and cash flow (financial
perspective) in their performance reporting.
Table 5
Sustainability vs. Profitability and Net Cash Flow
Beta t
R2 0.700
F 9.335 (0.008)*
Table 6
Increasing Outreach vs. Profitability and Net Cash Flow
Beta t
R2 0.391
F 2.565 (0.138)
Table 7
Increasing Outreach vs. Zero Security Loans and Growth in Donor Funding
Beta t
F 3.615 (0.076)
The model in Table 5 shows net cash flow to be significant, but not
profitability. Regression models tested and shown in tables 6 and 7 relate to the
performance dimension of increasing the outreach with performance-reporting
variables from the financial and customer perspectives of the BSC. They are not
significant. However, the t values indicate that the dependent variable may
vary with the performance-reporting variable net cash flow (not profitability
see Table 6) and also the performance-reporting variable ratio of zero security
loans to total loans (not growth in subsidized funding from donors see Table 7).
Therefore, these models were amended by testing the performance
dimension of increasing the outreach against the performance-reporting variables
of emphasis on net cash flow (Table 8) and ratio of zero security loans to total
loans (Table 9) as the independent variables. The results show these two models
to be significant at less than 5% significant level. Hence, it may be concluded
that the emphasis placed on these two indicators (net cash flow and ratio of zero
security loans to total loans) in performance reporting is a better predictor of the
performance dimension of increasing the outreach.
Table 8
Increasing Outreach vs. Net Cash Flow
Beta t
R2 0.391
F 5.767 (0.040)*
Table 9
Increasing Outreach vs. Zero Security Loans
Beta t
R2 0.466
F 7.861 (0.021)*
Table 10
Depth of Outreach vs. Operational Expense Ratio and Time to Process a Loan
Beta t
Constant 7.259(0.000)*
Operational Expense Ratio 3.633 3.814(0.005)*
Time to Process a Loan -3.934 -4.130(0.003)*
R2 0.696
F 9.150 (0.009)*
6.1. Conclusions
When reporting performance, MFIs give more emphasis to profitability and
net cash flow (that come under the financial perspective of the BSC), compared
with the other six performance-reporting measures (see Table 4) selected from
the remaining three perspectives of the BSC. Out of these six performance-
reporting measures, the two customer-related measures (under the customer
perspective) get the least emphasis (see Table 3). One of these reporting
measures relates to the satisfaction of borrowers. Since the demand for
microfinancing services far exceeds the supply, this result, which indicates that
less emphasis is given to the borrowers satisfaction, can be expected in the
absence of any competition to attract customers. However, a lower emphasis on
the other measure in relation to the satisfaction of donors (who are the second
type of customer) is surprising to some extent. Donors play a vital role in the
operation of MFIs. A possible explanation for this result may be that the selected
MFIs are depending more on their own funds rather than donor funds to carry out
their operations. There is support for this reasoning, as shown by the high
emphasis given to profitability and net cash flow in their performance reporting
(see Table 3). However, it is quite possible that this result will vary in other
countries. The second highest emphasis is given to the internal process
perspective, followed by the learning and growth perspective of the BSC (see
Table 3).
Regression analysis (tables 5 through 10) was carried out to find any
relationships between the performance-reporting measures (independent
variables) and the four dimensions of performance (dependent variables). The
performance dimension of sustainability has a positive relationship with the
emphasis placed on net cash flow by MFIs in their performance reporting. This is
expected since cash flow is vital for the continuous operation of any organization.
The increasing the outreach (number of customers) performance
dimension has a positive relationship with the emphasis placed on net cash flow
(see Table 8), and the ratio of zero security loans to total loans (see Table 9)
indicators in the performance reporting. This may be expected since net cash
flow leads to having more funds available for lending, which will increase the
customer base. The emphasis on the ratio of zero security loans to total loans will
result in MFIs trying to reduce the level of security requested from the customers
to offer loan facilities. Obviously, this will qualify more poor customers to obtain
financial assistance from the MFIs, which in turn will increase the customer base.
Performance measured along the dimension of depth of outreach (poverty
levels of the customers served by the MFIs) can be predicted by the emphasis
placed by MFIs on the average time to process a loan application and the ratio of
operating expenses to total number of loans in their performance reporting. Both
these reporting measures come under the internal process perspective of the BSC.
Operating expenses to total number of loans indicate the operational efficiency of
the MFI. It is reasonable to assume that the operational expenses will increase as
efforts are made to reach the customers who are the poorest of the poor. For
example, as the poverty level gets deeper, the loan application needs more careful
appraisal and hence more time (as shown below) and resources. Therefore, unless
an MFI excels in operational efficiency, it may be very costly to reach those
customers at the lowest income levels. The emphasis placed on the time to
process a loan application in performance reporting has a negative impact on the
depth of outreach as shown by the corresponding coefficient in the regression
model (see Table 10). This may be explained as follows. When average time to
process a loan application is given emphasis in performance reporting, it is very
likely the loan appraisal staff will give priority to loans that take a short time to
process. This will lead to loan applications of very poor customers (which needs
more time for careful appraisal) getting shelved or rejected. The end result is a
reduction in the number of very poor customers in the MFI, which in turn will
have a negative impact on the depth of outreach performance dimension.
The study did not find any performance reporting measures that had a
significant impact on the performance dimension of portfolio at risk.
Q3. What are the performance reporting measures that MFIs need to
emphasize to improve their performance?
The study revealed the following relationships between the performance-
reporting variables and the performance dimensions.
In answer to the above research question, it may be concluded that MFIs need to
focus on the above performance reporting variables in order to improve their
performance in alleviating poverty.
The sixth limitation is that the variables studied may interact with other
organizational and environmental variables. This too was beyond the scope of the
paper.
The proxies used to measure some variables in this study may not be ideal.
For example, in addition to the satisfaction of donors, the growth in external
funding can also occur because of political and/or other external factors that
influence global financial markets. This is another limitation of this study, but
investigation of the accuracy of selected proxies is beyond the scope of the study.
These limitations open the door for future research in this area.
Notwithstanding these limitations, this study has made a contribution to the
existing knowledge in understanding the performance of MFIs in developing
countries.
APPENDIX A
Outline of Questionnaire for MFIs Operating in Sri Lanka
Questions
Ten questions sought information about the following:
1. Name of the MFI
2. Currency
3. Year commenced
4. Address
5. Telephone, fax, e-mail
6. Type of organization (government, NGO, commercial, etc.)
7. Lending institutions (e.g., ADB, government, World Bank, Aus AID)
8. Number of employees
9. Number of customers
10. Annual turnover
Then followed the following 9 items, with each having N/Y, 1-9 scales.
1 Profitability
2 Net cash flow
3 Ratio of loans with zero security cover to total number of loans
4 Growth in subsidized funding from existing donors
5 Ratio of operating expenses to number of loans
Performance
Respondents were asked to indicate their organizations overall performance in the
following areas, relative to that of other MFIs operating in their country or region
on a scale from 1(below average) to 9 (above average), (5 = about the same).
1 Sustainability
2 Increasing the outreach
3 Depth of outreach
4 Portfolio at risk
APPENDIX B
Basic Data for MFIs Participating in This Study
E na na na na na
K 1939 GOVT na na na
na Not available. Although the survey questionnaire (see Appendix A) was completed, this
information was not provided by the MFI .
APPENDIX C
Sample Size
The sample size in this study is 11. Although this may appear insufficient to
give enough power to the test, it does not render the significant results found in
this study invalid. The reasoning for this is as follows.
There is no theory or mathematical formula that precisely dictates the
minimum sample size for a given number of predictor variables in a regression.
The foundation for this is that all statistical tests are based on a theory of
probabilities, and adequate sample sizes are influenced by factors other than the
number of predictor variables. Therefore, in current literature, there are a number
of 'rules of thumb' specified by researchers in an attempt to simplify this complex
relationship. For example, Tabachnick and Fidell [1989] and Sheriden and
Lyndall [2001] suggest the minimum sample size to be five times the number of
predictor variables (met by our study). Others have proposed various other
guidelines [see Green (1991) for a comparison of these guidelines] that are based
on the power of a given statistical test. Power is defined as the probability
that the test will yield statistically significant results and it depends on the
following [Cohen, 1988; Green, 1991]:
N - The sample size
- The significance level, which is generally set at 0.05 before the test
f2 - The effect size, which is the extent to which the relationship exists in
the population (for regressions this is defined as R2/1-R2)
An increase in any of the above variables results in an increase in the power
or probability of finding a significant result in the test (if it exists) and vice versa.
Cohen [1988] developed tables (for = 0.05 and 0.1) to compute the probability
or power of a test for given values of N, , and f2. Based on N and f2 a variable' '
is calculated to refer to the power values in the tables. Taking an alternative
approach, Green [1991] developed a variable' L', similar to '', to illustrate the
relationship among these four variables (power, N, f2 and ).
The minimum R2 found in this study was approximately 0.4 (see tables 6 to
11). This gave an effect size of 0.66. For the sample size of 11 and =0.05,
Cohen's tables estimate the power of the test to be around 63%. This is an
acceptable probability (more than 50%), but falls short of the 80% that is
generally considered desirable. It must be noted that this only denotes the
probability of finding a significant relationship. Importantly, it does not make
". . .[M]uch has been said about sample size without putting it in the context of
power. For example, there is a long-standing, and most likely incorrect, rule of
thumb that says that you need at least 10 observations per variable. This appears to
be saying that your multiple regression will be invalid if you don't meet that rule,
but really it is a rule about power. It is really saying that you don't have much of a
chance of finding a significant relationship unless your n is that large, which is quite
different from saying that your regression won't be legitimate." (p. 8)
"What are these rules of thumb all about? They are the rules of thumb about
POWER. They are not rules of thumb about something else. So if you run a
multiple regression solution with a small sample size, you are foolish. BUT, if an
editor sends you a letter rejecting your paper because the significant result that you
found was based on too small a sample, he or she is foolish." (p. 12)
In addition to the above, it must be noted that the sample represents 60% of
the population. The objective is to predict the relationships present in 18 MFIs
(population) from the data relating to 11 MFIs.
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Gemunu Nanayakkara received his Ph.D. from Griffith University, Australia, where he
is currently a lecturer in Management Accounting. His research interests include
performance of microfinancing institutions and other not-for-profit organizations.