DATA POTENSI HINTERLAND

Penduduk (Jiwa) PDRB (DALAM JUTA RUPIAH)

Tahun
Jumlah Penduduk (Jiwa) AHK TH. 2003
2009 667,155 24,506,684
2010 673,160 26,034,042
2011 678,813 27,335,739
2012 709,535 29,073,651
2013 716,093 31,077,030
2014 725,853 33,105,679
2015 733,788 35,128,194
2016 741,543 36,894,594

DATA OPERASIONAL PELA

Bongkar Muat
Bongkar/Muat General Cargo
Tahun Peti Kemas
(ton)
(TEUS)

2010 569,795 281,457

2011 576,571 305,376
2012 540,095 291,711
2013 614,521 349,458
2014 712,403 425,057
2015 748,503 460,385
2016 782,703 497,185

DIMENSI KAPAL PETI KEMAS

No Nama Kapal TEUS

1 Early Container Ship (1956) 500-800
2 Fully Celuler (1970) 1000-2500
3 Panamax (1980) 3000-3400
4 Panamax Max (1985) 3400-4500
5 Post Panamax (1988) 4000-5000
6 Post Panamax Plus (2000) 6000-8000
7 New Panamax (2014) 12500
8 Triple E (2013) 18000

DIMENSI KAPAL PELNI

No Nama Kapal GT
1 KM Kerinci 14000
KM. Kambuna (KRI. TJ. NUSANIVE
2 14000
973 Th. 2003
KM. Rinjani (KRI. TJ. FATAGAR 974
3 14000
Th. 2005)
4 KM Umsini 14000
5 KM. Kalimetu 5700
6 KM. Lawit 5700
7 KM. Tidar 14000
8 KM. Tatamailau 6000
9 KM. Sirimau 6000
10 KM. Awu 6000
11 KM. Ciremai 14000
KM. Ciremai 3 in 1 Thn 2013 14000
12 KM. Dobonsolo 14000
KM. Dobonsolo 3 in 1 Th. 2012 14000
13 KM. Leuser 6000
14 KM. Binaiya 6000
15 KM. Bukit Raya 6000
16 KM. Tilongkabila 6000
17 KM. Bukit Siguntang 14800
18 KM. Lambelu 14800
19 KM. Sinabung 14800
20 KM. Kelud 14800
21 KM. Dorolonda 14800
22 KM. Nggapulu 14800
23 KM. Labodar 15100
24 KM. Gunung Dempo 14200
11442.3076923077
D 0.0736 0.00950 Cargo

(DALAM JUTA RUPIAH)

AHB
41,690,673
49,830,494
55,766,396
63,442,618
70,108,092
81,221,692
92,369,896
100,833,896

TA OPERASIONAL PELABUHAN

Kunjungan Kapal
Naik Turun Penumpang
Total
Embarkasi Jumlah GT (Ribu
Debarkasi (Jiwa) Unit
(Jiwa) (Jiwa) Ton)
31,975 34,610 66,585 1,312 6,555
32,469 35,606 68,075 1,333 6,844
33,222 35,881 69,104 1,227 6,740
36,801 36,468 73,269 1,285 7,544
44,097 47,983 92,079 1,392 8,336
44,105 47,991 92,095 1,410 8,777
44,114 48,000 92,115 1,437 9,226

PAL PETI KEMAS

Panjang (m) Lebar (m) Sarat (m)

137 17 9
215 20 10
250 32 12.5
290 32 12.5
285 40 13
300 43 14.5
366 49 15.2
400 59 15.5

MENSI KAPAL PELNI

 Container Mobil
Tahun Pax
(Box) (Unit)
1983 1596 144.8
1984 1566

1984 1737
1985 1737
1986 920 99.8
1986 920 99.8
1988 1904 144
1990 969 93
1991 969 99.8
1991 969 93
1993 1973 144.8
2013 1500 80 100
1993 1973
2012 1500 80 100
1994 970 99.8
1994 970 99.8
1994 970 99.8
1995 970 99.8
1996 2003 140
1997 2003 136
1997 1906 9 146.5
1998 1906 9 146.5
2001 2170 9 146.5
2002 2170 9 146.5
2004 3084 9 146.3
2008 1583 98 147
1574.5384615385 123.675
 Jumlah
No Proyeksi Pertumbuhan
Tahun Penduduk Pertumbuhan
Tahun Rerata
(Jiwa)
2009 0 667154.56
2010 1 673160.32 0.0090020519
2011 2 678812.8 0.0083969299
2012 3 709534.544 0.0452580505
2013 4 716092.8928 0.0092431705
2014 5 725853.3568 0.0136301646
2015 6 733788.1728 0.0109317067
2016 7 741542.816 0.0105679588 741542.816
2017 8 752881.009153829
2018 9 0.0152900047 764392.563334452
2019 10 776080.129232786
2020 11 787946.398068826
2021 12 799994.102211331
2022 13 812226.015806993
2023 14 824644.95541922
2024 15 837253.780676687
2025 16 850055.394931804
2026 17 863052.745929257
2027 18 876248.826484757
2028 19 889646.675174184
2029 20 903249.377033259
2030 21 917060.06426791
2031 22 931081.916975512
2032 23 945318.163877142
2033 24 959772.083061037
2034 25 974447.00273742
2035 26 989346.302004863
2036 27 1004473.41162837
2037 28 1019831.81482936
2038 29 1035425.04808773
2039 30 1051256.70195616
2040 31 1067330.4218869
2041 32 1083649.90907119
2042 33 1100218.92129149
2043 34 1117041.27378677
2044 35 1134120.84013105
2045 36 1151461.55312528
2046 37 1169067.40570297
2047 38 1186942.45184961
2048 39 1205090.80753612
2049 40 1223516.65166668
2050 41 1242224.22704089
Proyeksi Berdasarkan Proyeksi
Trend Moderat
665261.721333 332630.8606665
676827.638895 338413.8194475 PROYEKSI PERTUMBUH
688393.556457 344196.7782285 1300000

Jumlah Penduduk (jiwa)

699959.474019 349979.7370095 1200000
1100000
711525.391581 355762.6957905
1000000
723091.309143 361545.6545715 900000
734657.226705 367328.6133525 800000
746223.144267 743882.9801335 700000
600000
757789.061829 755335.03549142 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029
769354.979391 766873.77136273 TAHUN
780920.896953 778500.51309289
792486.814515 790216.60629191 DATA Proyeks i
804052.732077 802023.41714417 Proyeks i Berda s arkan Trens Proyeks i
815618.649639 813922.332723
827184.567201 825914.76131011
838750.484763 838002.13271984 760000
850316.402325 850185.8986284
861882.319887 862467.53290813 740000 f(x) = 11565.9175619048x + 665261.721333333
R = 0.957128456
873448.237449 874848.53196688
720000
885014.155011 887330.41509259
896580.072573 899914.72480313
700000
908145.990135 912603.02720146
919711.907697 925396.91233626 680000
931277.825259 938297.99456807
942843.742821 951307.91294102 660000
954409.660383 964428.33156021
965975.577945 977660.93997493 640000
977541.495507 991007.45356769
620000
989107.413069 1004469.6139492 0 1 2 3 4 5
1000673.330631 1018049.1893594
1012239.248193 1031747.9750746
1023805.165755 1045567.793821
1035371.083317 1059510.4961941
1046937.000879 1073577.9610853
1058502.918441 1087772.0961139
1070068.836003 1102094.838067
1081634.753565 1116548.1533451
1093200.671127 1131134.038415
1104766.588689 1145854.5202693
1116332.506251 1160711.6568936
1127898.423813 1175707.5377398
1139464.341375 1190844.284208
SI PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK

2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049

TAHUN

Proyeks i Pertumbuhan Rerata

ks i Berda s arkan Trens Proyeks i Moderat

665261.721333333

3 4 5 6 7 8
 No Proyeksi Pertumbuhan
Tahun PDRB Pertumbuhan
Tahun Rerata
2009 0 24506684.368
2010 1 26034041.578 0.0623241066
2011 2 27335739.126 0.049999826
2012 3 29073651.363 0.0635765592
2013 4 31077029.747 0.06890701
2014 5 33105678.691 0.0652780835
2015 6 35128194.032 0.0610927013
2016 7 36894594.032 0.0502843954 36894594.032
2017 8 39115978.9685175
2018 9 0.0602089546 41471111.1697943
2019 10 43968043.4188203
2020 11 46615313.3482305
2021 12 49421972.6325958
2022 13 52397617.93835
2023 14 55552423.7371804
2024 15 58897177.0950782
2025 16 62443314.5560008
2026 17 66202961.2462615
2027 18 70188972.3333531
2028 19 74414976.9809641
2029 20 78895424.9504805
2030 21 83645636.0083156
2031 22 88681852.3080026
2032 23 94021293.9261595
2033 24 99682217.7422151
2034 25 105683979.863223
2035 26 112047101.807206
2036 27 118793340.671336
2037 28 125945763.524858
2038 29 133528826.281143
2039 30 141568457.318538
2040 31 150092146.135948
2041 32 159129037.346264
2042 33 168710030.329055
2043 34 178867884.88323
2044 35 189637333.240941
2045 36 201055198.825731
2046 37 213160522.160977
2047 38 225994694.359156
2048 39 239601598.648355
2049 40 254027760.419951
2050 41 269322506.310492
Proyeksi Berdasarkan Proyeksi
Trend Moderat
24081979.658933 12040989.829467
25885543.075581 12942771.537791 PROYEKSI PERTUMBU
27689106.492229 13844553.246115 300250000

Jumlah Penduduk (jiwa)

29492669.908877 14746334.954439 250250000
31296233.325525 15648116.662763 200250000
33099796.742173 16549898.371087 150250000
34903360.158821 17451680.079411 100250000
36706923.575469 36800758.803735 50250000
38510486.992117 38813232.980317 250000
40314050.408765 40892580.78928 2009 2014 2019 2024 2

42117613.825413 43042828.622117 TAHUN

43921177.242061 45268245.295146
DATA Proye
45724740.658709 47573356.645652
Proyeks i Berda s arka n Trens Proye
47528304.075357 49962961.006854
49331867.492005 52442145.614593
51135430.908653 55016304.001866 40000000
52938994.325301 57691154.440651 35000000 f(x) = 1803563.41664762x + 24081979.6589333
54742557.741949 60472759.494105 R = 0.9953610335
56546121.158597 63367546.745975 30000000
58349684.575245 66382330.778105
25000000
60153247.991893 69524336.471187
61956811.408541 72801223.708428 20000000
63760374.825189 76221113.566596
15000000
65563938.241837 79792616.083998
67367501.658485 83524859.70035 10000000
69171065.075133 87427522.469178
70974628.491781 91510865.149494 5000000
72778191.908429 95785766.289882 0
74581755.325077 100263759.42497 0 1 2 3 4 5
76385318.741725 104957072.51143
78188882.158373 109878669.73846
79992445.575021 115042295.85549
81796008.991669 120462523.16897
83599572.408317 126154801.36869
85403135.824965 132135510.3541
87206699.241613 138422016.24128
89010262.658261 145032730.742
90813826.074909 151987174.11794
92617389.491557 159306041.92536
94420952.908205 167011275.77828
96224516.324853 175126138.3724
98028079.741501 183675293.026
KSI PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK

2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049

TAHUN

ATA Proyeks i Pertumbuha n Rerata

oyeks i Berda s arka n Trens Proyeks i Moderat

x + 24081979.6589333

3 4 5 6 7 8
Tahun Jumlah Penduduk PDRB General Cargo ( Ton )
2010 673160.32 26034041.6 569795.237 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2011 678812.8 27335739.1 576571.188
2012 709534.544 29073651.4 540095.2445 Regression Statistics
2013 716092.8928 31077029.7 614520.9615 Multiple R
2014 725853.3568 33105678.7 712403.138 R Square
2015 733788.1728 35128194 748503.138 Adjusted
2016 741542.816 36894594 782703.138 Standard E
Observati

ANOVA

Regressio
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable

Tahun Jumlah Penduduk PDRB Peti Kemas (TEUS)

2010 673160.32 26034041.6 281456.704 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2011 678812.8 27335739.1 305376.4096
2012 709534.544 29073651.4 291711.4656 Regression Statistics
2013 716092.8928 31077029.7 349458.3936 Multiple R
2014 725853.3568 33105678.7 425057.0752 R Square
2015 733788.1728 35128194 460385.0752 Adjusted
2016 741542.816 36894594 497185.0752 Standard E
Observati

ANOVA

Regressio
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable

Tahun Jumlah Penduduk PDRB Jumlah Penumpang

2010 673160.32 26034041.6 66585.28 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2011 678812.8 27335739.1 68074.88
2012 709534.544 29073651.4 69103.52 Regression Statistics
 2013 716092.8928 31077029.7 73269.28 Multiple R
2014 725853.3568 33105678.7 92079.36 R Square
2015 733788.1728 35128194 92095.36 Adjusted
2016 741542.816 36894594 92114.56 Standard E
Observati

ANOVA

Regressio
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable

Tahun Jumlah Penduduk PDRB Embarkasi

2010 673160.32 26034041.6 31975.2 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2011 678812.8 27335739.1 32468.64
2012 709534.544 29073651.4 33222.08 Regression Statistics
2013 716092.8928 31077029.7 36800.96 Multiple R
2014 725853.3568 33105678.7 44096.8 R Square
2015 733788.1728 35128194 44104.8 Adjusted
2016 741542.816 36894594 44114.4 Standard E
Observati

ANOVA

Regressio
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable

Tahun Jumlah Penduduk PDRB Debarkasi

2010 673160.32 26034041.6 34610.08 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2011 678812.8 27335739.1 35606.24
2012 709534.544 29073651.4 35881.44 Regression Statistics
2013 716092.8928 31077029.7 36468.32 Multiple R
2014 725853.3568 33105678.7 47982.56 R Square
2015 733788.1728 35128194 47990.56 Adjusted
2016 741542.816 36894594 48000.16 Standard E
Observati
ANOVA

Regressio
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.82234492
0.67625116
0.6115014
60412.2918
7

df SS MS F Significance F
1 38117151559 38117151559 10.44407 0.02316124
5 18248225001 3649645000
6 56365376560

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
-1501609.18 665929.05419 -2.254908643 0.073821 -3213434.31 210216 -3213434.31 210216
3.02400216 0.9357227515 3.2317287965 0.023161 0.61865025 5.429354 0.61865025 5.429354

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.88199031
0.77790691
0.7334883
45144.9511
7

df SS MS F Significance F
1 35692828819 35692828819 17.51308 0.00861439
5 10190333071 2038066614
6 45883161890

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-1708367.22 497636.05594 -3.432965106 0.018576 -2987581.42 -429153 -2987581.42 -429153
2.9262563 0.69924773 4.1848635021 0.008614 1.12878279 4.72373 1.12878279 4.72373

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
 0.86862995
0.754518
0.7054216
6716.38076
7

df SS MS F Significance F
1 693251096.93 693251096.93 15.36809 0.01117957
5 225548852.32 45109770.463
6 918799949.25

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-211017.066 74035.149992 -2.850228114 0.035814 -401330.478 -20703.7 -401330.478 -20703.7
0.40781872 0.1040296617 3.9202157944 0.01118 0.14040196 0.675235 0.14040196 0.675235

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.89506587
0.80114292
0.7613715
2840.69553
7

df SS MS F Significance F
1 162550502.73 162550502.73 20.14369 0.00646971
5 40347755.546 8069551.1093
6 202898258.28

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-102344.504 31313.191952 -3.268414932 0.022238 -182837.627 -21851.4 -182837.627 -21851.4
0.19747678 0.0439993809 4.4881717747 0.00647 0.08437277 0.310581 0.08437277 0.310581

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.83698037
0.70053614
0.64064337
3970.781
7
 df SS MS F Significance F
1 184419996.32 184419996.32 11.69651 0.01883788
5 78835508.865 15767101.773
6 263255505.19

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-108672.562 43770.205682 -2.482797604 0.05565 -221187.457 3842.334 -221187.457 3842.334
0.21034194 0.0615032142 3.4200154584 0.018838 0.0522429 0.368441 0.0522429 0.368441
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.936891
R Square 0.877765
Adjusted 0.853318
Standard E37120.95
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 49475552100 49475552100 35.9048 0.001857
Residual 5 6889824461 1377964892
Total 6 56365376560

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
Intercept -53901.9 118179.29386 -0.4561029 0.667443 -357691 249887.6 -357691
X Variable 0.022511 0.0037567273 5.9920613083 0.001857 0.012854 0.032168 0.012854

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.973092
R Square 0.946907
Adjusted 0.936289
Standard E22072.84
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 43447109885 43447109885 89.17525 0.000225
Residual 5 2436052005 487210401
Total 6 45883161890

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
Intercept -285954 70271.721006 -4.069262906 0.009641 -466593 -105315 -466593
X Variable 0.021095 0.0022338236 9.4432648577 0.000225 0.015352 0.026837 0.015352

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
 Multiple R 0.931958
R Square 0.868546
Adjusted 0.842255
Standard E 4914.87
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 798020214.77 798020214.77 33.03618 0.002236
Residual 5 120779734.48 24155946.896
Total 6 918799949.25

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
Intercept -10253 15647.117628 -0.655265615 0.541242 -50475.2 29969.18 -50475.2
X Variable 0.002859 0.0004973964 5.7477108669 0.002236 0.00158 0.004137 0.00158

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.94633
R Square 0.895541
Adjusted 0.874649
Standard E2058.864
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 181703662.57 181703662.57 42.86556 0.001245
Residual 5 21194595.707 4238919.1414
Total 6 202898258.28

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
Intercept -4499.16 6554.6556439 -0.686407047 0.522985 -21348.4 12350.12 -21348.4
X Variable 0.001364 0.0002083618 6.5471799018 0.001245 0.000829 0.0019 0.000829

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.910284
R Square 0.828618
Adjusted 0.794341
Standard E3003.908
Observati 7
 ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 218138174.14 218138174.14 24.17454 0.00441
Residual 5 45117331.049 9023466.2097
Total 6 263255505.19

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
Intercept -5753.86 9563.3271449 -0.601658424 0.573639 -30337.2 18829.46 -30337.2
X Variable 0.001495 0.0003040026 4.9167614594 0.00441 0.000713 0.002276 0.000713
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.981583
R Square 0.963505
Adjusted 0.945257
Standard E22677.45
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 2 54308310011 27154155006 52.8017 0.001332
Residual 4 2057066549 514266637.27
Total 6 56365376560

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

249887.6 Intercept 1989794 670570.91614 2.9673132572 0.041254 127990.6 3851597
0.032168 X Variable -3.96975 1.294969148 -3.06551429 0.037456 -7.56516 -0.37434
X Variable 0.047476 0.0084611255 5.6110583649 0.004957 0.023984 0.070968

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99371
R Square 0.98746
Adjusted 0.981189
Standard E11993.72
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 2 45307764452 22653882226 157.4834 0.000157
Residual 4 575397438.74 143849359.68
Total 6 45883161890

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

-105315 Intercept 982140.4 354653.70776 2.769294091 0.050367 -2536.13 1966817
0.026837 X Variable -2.46319 0.6848874574 -3.596490438 0.022829 -4.36474 -0.56164
X Variable 0.036585 0.0044749473 8.1755922644 0.001219 0.024161 0.04901

Regression Statistics
 Multiple R 0.937817
R Square 0.879502
Adjusted 0.819252
Standard E5261.034
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 2 808086035.9 404043017.95 14.59773 0.01452
Residual 4 110713913.35 27678478.337
Total 6 918799949.25

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

29969.18 Intercept 83017.28 155568.4925 0.5336381201 0.621867 -348910 514944.7
0.004137 X Variable -0.18117 0.3004251949 -0.603050246 0.578999 -1.01529 0.652943
X Variable 0.003998 0.0019629311 2.0368822176 0.111338 -0.00145 0.009448

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.948118
R Square 0.898929
Adjusted 0.848393
Standard E2264.245
Observati 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 2 182391037.85 91195518.926 17.78798 0.010215
Residual 4 20507220.426 5126805.1064
Total 6 202898258.28

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

12350.12 Intercept 19874.22 66953.601353 0.296835641 0.781368 -166019 205767.2
0.0019 X Variable -0.04734 0.1292970602 -0.366162236 0.732789 -0.40633 0.311642
X Variable 0.001662 0.0008448067 1.9672216104 0.120553 -0.00068 0.004007

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.921673
R Square 0.849481
Adjusted 0.774222
Standard E3147.417
Observati 7
 ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 2 223630573.41 111815286.71 11.28737 0.022656
Residual 4 39624931.774 9906232.9435
Total 6 263255505.19

Upper 95.0% CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

18829.46 Intercept 63143.06 93068.948257 0.6784546714 0.534706 -195258 321543.9
0.002276 X Variable -0.13383 0.1797295614 -0.74460643 0.497877 -0.63284 0.365181
X Variable 0.002336 0.0011743248 1.9895156008 0.117516 -0.00092 0.005597
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
127990.6 3851597
-7.56516 -0.37434
0.023984 0.070968

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-2536.13 1966817
-4.36474 -0.56164
0.024161 0.04901
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-348910 514944.7
-1.01529 0.652943
-0.00145 0.009448

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-166019 205767.2
-0.40633 0.311642
-0.00068 0.004007
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-195258 321543.9
-0.63284 0.365181
-0.00092 0.005597
 Proyeksi
Tahun No Tahun Cargo Pertumbuhan Penduduk
Pertumbuhan Rerata

2010 0 569795.237
2011 1 576571.188 0.0118919053
2012 2 540095.2445 -0.0632635558
2013 3 614520.9615 0.1378010967
2014 4 712403.138 0.1592820793
2015 5 748503.138 0.0506735556
2016 6 782703.138 0.0456911912 743882.98
2017 7 782703.138 755335.035
2018 8 827327.16662243 766873.771
2019 9 0.057012712 874495.332138937 778500.513
2020 10 924352.682693663 790216.606
2021 11 977052.536018823 802023.417
2022 12 1032756.95090635 813922.333
2023 13 1091637.22555942 825914.761
2024 14 1153874.42435633 838002.133
2025 15 1219659.93464666 850185.899
2026 16 1289196.0552918 862467.533
2027 17 1362696.61875992 874848.532
2028 18 1440387.6486881 887330.415
2029 19 1522508.05493393 899914.725
2030 20 1609310.36825397 912603.027
2031 21 1701061.51686804 925396.912
2032 22 1798043.64729772 938297.995
2033 23 1900554.99200296 951307.913
2034 24 2008910.78648509 964428.332
2035 25 2123444.23867628 977660.94
2036 26 2244507.55359661 991007.454
2037 27 2372473.01642954 1004469.61
2038 28 2507734.13734649 1018049.19
2039 29 2650706.86160098 1031747.98
2040 30 2801830.84861348 1045567.79
2041 31 2961570.82398041 1059510.5
2042 32 3130418.00856478 1073577.96
2043 33 3308891.62906324 1087772.1
2044 34 3497540.51469457 1102094.84
2045 35 3696944.78491974 1116548.15
2046 36 3907717.63338352 1131134.04
2047 37 4130507.21356338 1145854.52
2048 38 4365998.63192436 1160711.66
2049 39 4614916.05470909 1175707.54
2050 40 4878024.93484169 1190844.28
 Regression Penduduk vs Regression PDRB vs
PDRB
Cargo Cargo

36800758.8 782703.138 782703.138

38813233 782525.599766749 819804.918972116
40892580.8 817418.761982177 866612.161219149
43042828.6 852578.054105005 915015.401297094
45268245.3 888007.545262774 965110.732566873
47573356.6 923711.366800001 1017000.03407021
49962961 959693.713229484 1070791.31887942
52442145.6 995958.843198136 1126599.10342099
55016304 1032511.08046761 1184544.79903573
57691154.4 1069354.81490988 1244757.12711435
60472759.5 1106494.5035181 1307372.55922793
63367546.7 1143934.67143287 1372535.78375818
66382330.8 1181679.91298419 1440400.200623
69524336.5 1219734.89274941 1511128.44578898
72801223.7 1258104.34662727 1584892.94736427
76221113.6 1296793.08292845 1661876.51517311
79792616.1 1335805.98348271 1742272.96582816
83524859.7 1375148.00476299 1826287.78543773
87427522.5 1414824.17902676 1914138.83221386
91510865.1 1454839.61547471 2006057.0813838
95785766.3 1495199.50142723 2102287.41495178
100263759 1535909.10351887 2203089.45901148
104957073 1576973.76891105 2308738.47147228
109878670 1618398.92652331 2419526.28323451
115042296 1660190.0882834 2535762.29603194
120462523 1702352.85039646 2657774.54035327
126154801 1744892.89463363 2785910.79706
132135510 1787815.98964039 2920539.78653571
138422016 1831127.99226479 3062052.42943284
145032731 1874834.84890615 3210863.1833276
151987174 1918942.59688426 3367411.45985362
159306042 1963457.36582953 3532163.12715961
167011276 2008385.37909448 3705612.10282848
175126138 2053732.9551867 3888282.04270447
183675293 2099506.50922381 4080728.13140276
Regression PDRB & Penduduk vs
Moderat
Cargo

Coefficients
Intercept -1501609.18
X Variable 1 3.024002161

Coefficients
782703.138 782703.138 Intercept -53901.91866
833997.366164279 826901.143 X Variable 1 0.02251054
886910.354382357 876761.258
942840.021886591 928927.712
1001983.69270984 983547.213 Coefficients
1064550.81150363 1040775.42 Intercept 1989793.969
1130763.67697666 1100777.5 X Variable 1 -3.969746428
1200858.21954904 1163728.66 X Variable 2 0.047475869
1275084.82588518 1229814.81
1353709.21312876 1299233.17
1437013.35583319 1372192.96
1525296.46876127 1448916.13 C
1618876.04891855 1529638.12
6500000
1718088.980388 1614608.71
1823292.70574796 1704092.83
5500000
1934866.46808326 1798371.49
2053212.62784087 1897742.8
4500000
2178758.05903731 2002522.92
2311955.62959654 2113047.23
2453285.77088474 2229671.43 3500000
2603258.14181351 2352772.78
2762413.39320629 2482751.43 2500000
2931325.03846592 2620031.75
3110601.43694461 2765063.86 1500000
3300887.89680322 2918325.1
3502868.90455508 3080321.72 500000
2010 2015 2020 2025
3717270.48892332 3251590.64
3944862.72709941 3432701.26 Column C PDRB vs Cargo
4186462.40197816 3624257.42
4442935.81946034 3826899.5
4715201.79546168 4041306.63
5004234.82284728 4268198.98
5311068.42912586 4508340.27
5636798.73639044 4762540.39
5982588.23568384 5031658.18
 Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
665929.054192 -2.25491 0.073821 -3213434.31 210216 -3213434.31 210216
0.9357227515 3.231729 0.023161 0.61865025 5.429354 0.61865025 5.429354

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
118179.293862 -0.4561 0.667443 -357691.465 249887.6 -357691.465 249887.6
0.0037567273 5.992061 0.001857 0.01285357 0.032168 0.01285357 0.032168

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
670570.916135 2.967313 0.041254 127990.632 3851597 127990.632 3851597
1.294969148 -3.06551 0.037456 -7.56515718 -0.37434 -7.56515718 -0.37434
0.0084611255 5.611058 0.004957 0.02398402 0.070968 0.02398402 0.070968

Chart Title

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Column C PDRB vs Cargo PDRB & Penduduk vs Cargo Moderat
 Proyeksi
Tahun No Tahun Container Pertumbuhan Penduduk
Pertumbuhan Rerata

2010 0 281456.704
2011 1 305376.4096 0.0849853823
2012 2 291711.4656 -0.0447478704
2013 3 349458.3936 0.1979590616
2014 4 425057.0752 0.2163309939
2015 5 460385.0752 0.0831135442
2016 6 497185.0752 0.0799330864 743882.98
2017 7 497185.0752 755335.035
2018 8 548359.854215041 766873.771
2019 9 0.102929033 604802.003748365 778500.513
2020 10 667053.689153898 790216.606
2021 11 735712.880341178 802023.417
2022 12 811439.095684296 813922.333
2023 13 894959.737145837 825914.761
2024 14 987077.077469004 838002.133
2025 15 1088675.96655466 850185.899
2026 16 1200732.33104833 862467.533
2027 17 1324322.54878142 874848.532
2028 18 1460633.78811471 887330.415
2029 19 1610975.41150034 899914.725
2030 20 1776791.55280151 912603.027
2031 21 1959674.98918349 925396.912
2032 22 2161382.44082496 938297.995
2033 23 2383851.44541388 951307.913
2034 24 2629218.9695188 964428.332
2035 25 2899841.93561076 977660.94
2036 26 3198319.86191161 991007.454
2037 27 3527519.83254006 1004469.61
2038 28 3890604.0378107 1018049.19
2039 29 4291060.14922937 1031747.98
2040 30 4732734.82095746 1045567.79
2041 31 5219870.63954948 1059510.5
2042 32 5757146.87689146 1073577.96
2043 33 6349724.43779982 1087772.1
2044 34 7003295.43403317 1102094.84
2045 35 7724137.86090917 1116548.15
2046 36 8519175.90173277 1131134.04
2047 37 9396046.43930083 1145854.52
2048 38 10363172.4133717 1160711.66
2049 39 11429843.728748 1175707.54
2050 40 12606306.4911506 1190844.28
 Regression Penduduk Regression PDRB Regression PDRB & Penduduk
PDRB
vs Container vs Container vs Container

36800758.8 497185.0752 497185.0752 497185.0752

38813233 501936.69374681 532795.030974896 541601.314083959
40892580.8 535701.992332819 576658.015238261 589252.857634176
43042828.6 569724.818618111 622016.606257782 639281.527732963
45268245.3 604009.110202424 668960.852952718 691840.186001599
47573356.6 638558.864891412 717586.225993618 747091.046583399
49962961 673378.141617197 767993.9442403 805206.241525718
52442145.6 708471.061372994 820291.320834311 866368.420237823
55016304 743841.808162023 874592.130129271 930771.385076836
57691154.4 779494.62996093 931016.996713684 998620.765237519
60472759.5 815433.839697947 989693.807856427 1070134.73125269
63367546.7 851663.816246 1050758.15078514 1145544.75254994
66382330.8 888189.005431 1114353.7762927 1225096.40065763
69524336.5 925013.921055557 1180633.09025694 1309050.20080911
72801223.7 962143.145938347 1249757.67475426 1397682.53486
76221113.6 999581.332969364 1321898.84054898 1491286.59860834
79792616.1 1037333.20618131 1397238.21284743 1590173.41679395
83524859.7 1075403.56183737 1475968.35231976 1694672.9192503
87427522.5 1113797.26953562 1558293.41351273 1805135.08189159
91510865.1 1152519.2733303 1644429.84290498 1921931.13643912
95785766.3 1191574.59287029 1734607.11899131 2045454.85302645
100263759 1230968.3245549 1829068.53692683 2176123.90007194
104957073 1270705.64270741 1928072.04041355 2314381.28607153
109878670 1310791.80076654 2031891.10367416 2460696.8882446
115042296 1351232.13249611 2140815.66652839 2615569.0732632
120462523 1392032.0532132 2255153.1257694 2779526.41560934
126154801 1433197.06103514 2375229.38622993 2953129.51943926
132135510 1474732.73814548 2501389.97513196 3136972.95018733
138422016 1516644.75207939 2634001.22353033 3331687.28251774
145032731 1558938.85702867 2773451.51888968 3537941.27162978
151987174 1601620.89516675 2920152.63307791 3756444.15534453
159306042 1644696.79799392 3074541.13031657 3987948.09484778
167011276 1688172.58770312 3237079.85990265 4233250.76243853
175126138 1732054.37856668 3408259.5388054 4493198.08513466
183675293 1776348.37834416 3588600.4295498 4768687.15352073
Moderat

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -1708367.216 497636.055938 -3.43297 0.018576 -2987581.42
X Variable 1 2.926256304 0.69924773 4.184864 0.008614 1.12878279

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

497185.075 Intercept -285954.1076 70271.721006 -4.06926 0.009641 -466593.317
537198.173 X Variable 1 0.021094587 0.0022338236 9.443265 0.000225 0.01535236
582955.436
630649.067
680400.519 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
732338.636 Intercept 982140.4172 354653.707757 2.769294 0.050367 -2536.13371
786600.093 X Variable 1 -2.463191192 0.6848874574 -3.59649 0.022829 -4.36474362
843329.871 X Variable 2 0.036585345 0.0044749473 8.175592 0.001219 0.0241609
902681.758
964818.881
1029914.27 Container
1098151.45 5030000
1169725.09
4530000
1244841.65
4030000
1323720.1
1406592.72 3530000
1493705.81 3030000
1585320.64 2530000
1681714.25
2030000
1783180.49
1530000
1890030.99
2002596.22 1030000
2121226.66 530000
2246294 30000
2378192.37 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

2517339.77 Col umn C Conta i ner Vs PDRB

2664179.45 Conta i ner Vs PDRB & Penduduk Moderat

2819181.46
2982844.25
3155696.4
3338298.39
3531244.61
3735165.31
3950728.81
4178643.79
 Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
-429153 -2987581.42 -429153
4.72373 1.12878279 4.72373

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

-105315 -466593.317 -105315
0.026837 0.01535236 0.026837

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

1966817 -2536.13371 1966817
-0.56164 -4.36474362 -0.56164
0.04901 0.0241609 0.04901

2035 2040 2045 2050

i ner Vs PDRB
erat
 Proyeksi
Tahun No Tahun Passenger Pertumbuhan Penduduk PDRB
Pertumbuhan Rerata

2010 0 66585.28
2011 1 68074.88 0.0223713109
2012 2 69103.52 0.0151104196
2013 3 73269.28 0.0602828915
2014 4 92079.36 0.2567253288
2015 5 92095.36 0.0001737632
2016 6 92114.56 0.0002084796 743882.98 36800758.8
2017 7 92114.56 755335.035 38813233
2018 8 97562.7093272244 766873.771 40892580.8
2019 9 0.0591453656 103333.091438188 778500.513 43042828.6
2020 10 109444.76490869 790216.606 45268245.3
2021 11 115917.915540963 802023.417 47573356.6
2022 12 122773.923033891 813922.333 49962961
2023 13 130035.431596466 825914.761 52442145.6
2024 14 137726.424737698 838002.133 55016304
2025 15 145872.304480007 850185.899 57691154.4
2026 16 154499.975257715 862467.533 60472759.5
2027 17 163637.932777747 874848.532 63367546.7
2028 18 173316.358136035 887330.415 66382330.8
2029 19 183567.217500459 899914.725 69524336.5
2030 20 194424.367689589 912603.027 72801223.7
2031 21 205923.667995903 925396.912 76221113.6
2032 22 218103.098622847 938297.995 79792616.1
2033 23 231002.886126882 951307.913 83524859.7
2034 24 244665.636278856 964428.332 87427522.5
2035 25 259136.474783514 977660.94 91510865.1
2036 26 274463.196321901 991007.454 95785766.3
2037 27 290696.42240895 1004469.61 100263759
2038 28 307889.768587598 1018049.19 104957073
2039 29 326100.021511673 1031747.98 109878670
2040 30 345387.3265024 1045567.79 115042296
2041 31 365815.386198022 1059510.5 120462523
2042 32 387451.670952604 1073577.96 126154801
2043 33 410367.641678974 1087772.1 132135510
2044 34 434638.98587177 1102094.84 138422016
2045 35 460345.867590173 1116548.15 145032731
2046 36 487573.192225952 1131134.04 151987174
2047 37 516410.886931311 1145854.52 159306042
2048 38 546954.197632748 1160711.66 167011276
2049 39 579304.003611905 1175707.54 175126138
2050 40 613567.150692417 1190844.28 183675293
Regression Penduduk Regression PDRB vs Regression PDRB & Penduduk
Moderat
vs Passenger Passenger vs Passenger

92114.56 92114.56 92114.56 92114.56

97022.7037590153 100709.768857507 101357.484478497 101033.627
101728.416287936 106654.396767737 107580.766731398 107117.582
106470.019253838 112801.720089933 114071.581528197 113436.651
111248.061421672 119163.942902951 120846.75291826 120005.348
116063.099947008 125754.004080472 127924.128859997 126839.066
120915.700504326 132585.62153224 135322.64303679 133954.132
125806.437417273 139673.339108998 143062.380397351 141367.86
130735.893790905 147032.576331543 151164.646644799 149098.611
135704.66164596 154679.681113896 159652.041912243 157165.862
140713.342055174 162631.985660893 168548.538876966 165590.262
145762.545281687 170907.865731302 177879.565580514 174393.716
150852.890919568 179526.803469118 187672.093238045 183599.448
155985.008036481 188509.454017857 197954.729337404 193232.092
161159.535318536 197877.716145635 208757.816346429 203317.766
166377.12121736 207654.807122501 220113.536366229 213884.172
171638.424099405 217865.342106064 232056.022088443 224960.682
176944.11239755 228535.418306837 244621.474436109 236578.446
182294.864765019 239692.704221098 257848.287290594 248770.496
187691.370231642 251366.53423636 271777.179731264 261571.857
193134.328362522 263588.008932942 286451.336240296 275019.673
198624.449419115 276390.10142459 301916.555352231 289153.328
204162.454522776 289807.770101758 318221.407256781 304014.589
209749.075820812 303878.078163044 335417.400894001 319647.74
215385.056655064 318640.320343487 353559.161113395 336099.741
221071.151733072 334136.157273044 372704.616502957 353420.387
226808.127301862 350409.757924649 392915.198530612 371662.478
232596.761324376 367507.950638919 414256.052679227 390882.002
238437.843658616 385480.383241907 436796.262297357 411138.323
244332.176239515 404379.692803371 460609.08593139 432494.389
250280.573263597 424261.685616008 485772.208950839 455016.947
256283.861376451 445185.528011062 512368.010327415 478776.769
262342.879863085 467213.948662723 540483.845480328 503848.897
268458.480841176 490413.45307308 570212.346155208 530312.9
274631.529457285 514854.550970977 601651.738362285 558253.145
 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept -211017.066 74035.1499925 -2.85023 0.035814 -401330 -20703.7
X Variable 1 0.407818723 0.1040296617 3.920216 0.01118 0.140402 0.675235

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Intercept -10253.0182 15647.1176279 -0.65527 0.541242 -50475.2 29969.18
X Variable 1 0.002858891 0.0004973964 5.747711 0.002236 0.00158 0.004137

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Intercept 83017.27788 155568.492497 0.533638 0.621867 -348910 514945
X Variable 1 -0.18117149 0.3004251949 -0.60305 0.578999 -1.01529 0.652943
X Variable 2 0.00399826 0.0019629311 2.036882 0.111338 -0.00145 0.009448

Passenger

660000

560000

460000

360000

260000

160000

60000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Col umn C Pas s enger Vs PDRB
Pa ss enger Vs PDRB & Penduduk Moderat
 Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-401330 -20703.7
0.140402 0.675235

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-50475.2 29969.18
0.00158 0.004137

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-348910 514945
-1.01529 0.652943
-0.00145 0.009448

2040 2045 2050

B
 No Proyeksi
Tahun Embarkasi Pertumbuhan Penduduk PDRB
Tahun Pertumbuhan Rerata

2010 0 31975.2
2011 1 32468.64 0.0154319598
2012 2 33222.08 0.0232051604
2013 3 36800.96 0.1077259461
2014 4 44096.8 0.19825135
2015 5 44104.8 0.0001814191
2016 6 44114.4 0.0002176634 743882.98 36800758.8
2017 7 44114.4 755335.035 38813233
2018 8 46651.0772479919 766873.771 40892580.8
2019 9 0.0575022498 49333.6191447261 778500.513 43042828.6
2020 10 52170.4132356697 790216.606 45268245.3
2021 11 55170.3293690242 802023.417 47573356.6
2022 12 58342.7474292182 813922.333 49962961
2023 13 61697.5866651374 825914.761 52442145.6
2024 14 65245.3367047947 838002.133 55016304
2025 15 68997.0903534133 850185.899 57691154.4
2026 16 72964.5782774731 862467.533 60472759.5
2027 17 77160.205683168 874848.532 63367546.7
2028 18 81597.0911039572 887330.415 66382330.8
2029 19 86289.1074184877 899914.725 69524336.5
2030 20 91250.9252271398 912603.027 72801223.7
2031 21 96498.0587228213 925396.912 76221113.6
2032 22 102046.914199436 938297.995 79792616.1
2033 23 107914.841349697 951307.913 83524859.7
2034 24 114120.187512683 964428.332 87427522.5
2035 25 120682.355040746 977660.94 91510865.1
2036 26 127621.86196515 991007.454 95785766.3
2037 27 134960.406150118 1004469.61 100263759
2038 28 142720.933135881 1018049.19 104957073
2039 29 150927.707882857 1031747.98 109878670
2040 30 159606.390641276 1045567.79 115042296
2041 31 168784.117183489 1059510.5 120462523
2042 32 178489.583649807 1073577.96 126154801
2043 33 188753.136273169 1087772.1 132135510
2044 34 199606.866263178 1102094.84 138422016
2045 35 211084.71014619 1116548.15 145032731
2046 36 223222.555875176 1131134.04 151987174
2047 37 236058.355041144 1145854.52 159306042
2048 38 249632.241536965 1160711.66 167011276
2049 39 263986.657044645 1175707.54 175126138
2050 40 279166.483738391 1190844.28 183675293
Regression Penduduk vs Regression PDRB vs Regression PDRB & Penduduk
Moderat
Embarkasi Embarkasi vs Embarkasi

44114.4 44114.4 44114.4 44114.4

46816.6262074191 48449.1661870239 48618.4271166698 48533.7967
49095.2586080795 51285.7758013486 51527.8546337316 51406.8152
51391.2701223337 54219.105978011 54550.9459407923 54385.026
53704.9264769105 57254.9801609564 57694.731771661 57474.856
56036.4974615017 60399.572417602 60966.6690348935 60683.1207
58386.2569908847 63659.4285495098 64374.6665170818 64017.0475
60754.4831679951 67041.4884741109 67927.1121343812 67484.3003
63141.4583479638 70553.1099540097 71632.9018255034 71093.0059
65547.4692031329 74202.0937550051 75501.470185015 74851.782
67972.8067890659 77996.7103188498 79542.8229417353 78769.7666
70417.7666115674 81945.7280419482 83767.5713933361 82856.6497
72882.6486947271 86058.4432566859 88186.9689149336 87122.7061
75367.7576500044 90344.7120179026 92812.9496665572 91578.8308
77873.4027463694 94814.9838031965 97658.1696318998 96236.5767
80399.8979815161 99480.3372422877 102736.050128722 101108.194
82947.5621541649 104352.51799761 108060.823939739 106206.671
85516.7189374699 109443.978925654 113647.584221783 111545.782
88107.6969535496 114767.92265638 119512.336360517 117140.13
90720.8298491558 120338.346736296 125672.052948079 123005.2
93356.4563725012 126170.091489554 132144.732071681 129157.412
96014.9204512598 132278.890760707 138949.459112533 135614.175
98696.5712717617 138681.42571264 146106.472266456 142393.949
101401.763359397 145395.381863617 153637.232010274 149516.307
104130.856660253 152439.509558469 161564.494751574 157002.002
106884.21662399 159833.688080686 169912.390913717 164873.039
109662.214287999 167598.993624635 178706.507723158 173152.751
112465.226362834 175757.771360315 187973.976982215 181865.874
115293.635318954 184333.711837046 197743.568127455 191038.64
118147.829474793 193351.931987359 208045.786891977 200698.859
121028.203086178 202839.061008036 218912.97990898 210876.02
123935.156437106 212823.331411957 230379.445614381 221601.389
126869.09593192 223334.675562087 242481.551827727 232908.114
129830.434188889 234404.828017677 255257.860413532 244831.344
132819.590135214 246067.43404261 268749.259449351 257408.347
 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept -102344.504 31313.191952 -3.26841 0.02224 -182838 -21851 -182838
X Variable 1 0.19747678 0.0439993809 4.48817 0.00647 0.08437 0.31058 0.08437

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept -4499.16182 6554.65564395 -0.68641 0.52299 -21348 12350.1 -21348
X Variable 1 0.001364182 0.0002083618 6.54718 0.00125 0.00083 0.0019 0.00083

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 19874.21517 66953.6013535 0.29684 0.78137 -166019 205767 -166019
X Variable 1 -0.0473437 0.1292970602 -0.36616 0.73279 -0.40633 0.31164 -0.40633
X Variable 2 0.001661922 0.0008448067 1.96722 0.12055 -0.00068 0.00401 -0.00068

Passenger

300000

250000

200000

150000

100000

50000

0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Col umn C Pas s enger Vs PDRB
Pa ss enger Vs PDRB & Penduduk Moderat
 Upper 95.0%
-21851
0.31058

Upper 95.0%
12350.1
0.0019

Upper 95.0%
205767
0.31164
0.00401

2045 2050
 No Proyeksi
Tahun Debarkasi Pertumbuhan Penduduk PDRB
Tahun Pertumbuhan Rerata

2010 0 34610.08
2011 1 35606.24 0.0287823663
2012 2 35881.44 0.0077289823
2013 3 36468.32 0.0163560883
2014 4 47982.56 0.3157326688
2015 5 47990.56 0.0001667272
2016 6 48000.16 0.0002000393 743882.98 36800758.8
2017 7 48000.16 755335.035 38813233
2018 8 50951.9048173589 766873.771 40892580.8
2019 9 0.0614944787 54085.1656435561 778500.513 43042828.6
2020 10 57411.1047109335 790216.606 45268245.3
2021 11 60941.5706674916 802023.417 47573356.6
2022 12 64689.1407876637 813922.333 49962961
2023 13 68667.1657788175 825914.761 52442145.6
2024 14 72889.8173431112 838002.133 55016304
2025 15 77372.1386641394 850185.899 57691154.4
2026 16 82130.09799823 862467.533 60472759.5
2027 17 87180.64556131 874848.532 63367546.7
2028 18 92541.7739139988 887330.415 66382330.8
2029 19 98232.5820600517 899914.725 69524336.5
2030 20 104273.343486504 912603.027 72801223.7
2031 21 110685.578387908 925396.912 76221113.6
2032 22 117492.130331961 938297.995 79792616.1
2033 23 124717.24763965 951307.913 83524859.7
2034 24 132386.669769818 964428.332 87427522.5
2035 25 140527.719015913 977660.94 91510865.1
2036 26 149169.397841577 991007.454 95785766.3
2037 27 158342.492201834 1004469.61 100263759
2038 28 168079.681217963 1018049.19 104957073
2039 29 178415.653596773 1031747.98 109878670
2040 30 189387.231209013 1045567.79 115042296
2041 31 201033.500267182 1059510.5 120462523
2042 32 213395.950570039 1073577.96 126154801
2043 33 226518.62330989 1087772.1 132135510
2044 34 240448.267969204 1102094.84 138422016
2045 35 255234.508865506 1116548.15 145032731
2046 36 270930.021937856 1131134.04 151987174
2047 37 287590.722404729 1145854.52 159306042
2048 38 305275.963961812 1160711.66 167011276
2049 39 324048.750229368 1175707.54 175126138
2050 40 343975.959202446 1190844.28 183675293
Regression Penduduk vs Regression PDRB vs Regression PDRB & Penduduk
Moderat
Debarkasi Debarkasi vs Debarkasi

48000.16 48000.16 48000.16 48000.16

50206.0775515962 52260.6026704833 52739.0573618268 52499.83
52633.1576798564 55368.6209663879 56052.9120976662 55710.7665
55078.7491315042 58582.614111922 59520.6355874043 59051.6248
57543.1349447616 61908.9627419941 63152.0211465988 62530.4919
60026.6024855063 65354.4316628703 66957.4598251039 66155.9457
62529.4435134414 68926.1929827297 70947.9765197087 69937.0848
65051.9542492776 72631.8506348872 75135.2682629697 73883.5594
67594.4354429415 76479.4663775333 79531.7448192955 78005.6056
70157.1924428272 80477.5873588911 84150.5717272275 82314.0795
72740.5352661077 84635.2753420433 89005.7159352307 86820.4956
75344.7786701197 88962.1376893541 94111.9941871778 91537.0659
77970.2422248411 93468.3602124321 99485.1243231118 96476.7423
80617.2503864764 98164.7419999546 105141.779670846 101653.261
83286.132572167 103062.732342438 111099.64671453 107081.19
85977.2232358437 108174.469880213 117377.486237508 112775.978
88690.8619452397 113512.824108453 123995.198148704 118754.011
91427.3934600804 119091.439381183 130973.890214326 125032.665
94187.1678114691 124924.781564718 138335.950930077 131630.366
96970.5403824861 131028.187500064 146105.126783185 138566.657
99777.8719900209 137417.917443388 154306.604168615 145862.261
102609.528967855 144111.210663883 162967.096239698 153539.153
105465.883251014 151126.344389118 172114.934990326 161620.64
108347.312461415 158482.696299427 181780.168883727 170131.433
111254.199994811 166200.810785019 191994.666361821 179097.739
114186.935109083 174302.469192359 202792.22558924 188547.347
117145.913013863 182810.764300013 214208.690807454 198509.728
120131.534961542 191750.179278604 226282.075697012 209016.127
123144.208339662 201146.671404862 239052.694169902 220099.683
126184.346764722 211027.760816011 252563.299039413 231795.53
129252.370177419 221422.624607972 266859.229041859 244140.927
132348.704939345 232362.196599105 281988.564713034 257175.381
135473.783931164 243879.273100635 298002.293652601 270940.783
138628.046652287 256008.625055404 314954.485741676 285481.555
141811.939322071 268787.116928367 332902.478912933 300844.798
 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept -108672.562 43770.2056815 -2.4828 0.05565 -221187 3842.33 -221187
X Variable 1 0.210341943 0.0615032142 3.42002 0.01884 0.05224 0.36844 0.05224

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept -5753.85634 9563.32714491 -0.60166 0.57364 -30337 18829.5 -30337
X Variable 1 0.001494708 0.0003040026 4.91676 0.00441 0.00071 0.00228 0.00071

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 63143.06271 93068.9482565 0.67845 0.53471 -195258 321544 -195258
X Variable 1 -0.13382779 0.1797295614 -0.74461 0.49788 -0.63284 0.36518 -0.63284
X Variable 2 0.002336337 0.0011743248 1.98952 0.11752 -0.00092 0.0056 -0.00092

Passenger

350000

300000

250000

200000

150000

100000

50000

0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Col umn C Pa ss enger Vs PDRB
Pas s enger Vs PDRB & Penduduk Moderat
 Upper 95.0%
3842.33
0.36844

Upper 95.0%
18829.5
0.00228

Upper 95.0%
321544
0.36518
0.0056

2045 2050
 Penumpang
Nama LOA Pax
1 KM Kerinci 145 1596
2 KM. Kalimetu 100 920
3 KM. Lawit 100 920
4 KM. Tidar 144 1904
5 KM. Tatamailau 101 969
6 KM. Sirimau 100 969
7 KM. Awu 101 969
8 KM. Ciremai 145 1973
9 KM. Leuser 100 970
10 KM. Binaiya 100 970
11 KM. Bukit Raya 100 970
12 KM. Tilongkabila 100 970
13 KM. Bukit Siguntang 144 2003
14 KM. Lambelu 136 2003
15 KM. Sinabung 147 1906
16 KM. Kelud 146 1906
17 KM. Dorolonda 147 2170
18 KM. Nggapulu 147 2170
19 KM. Labodar 146 3084
20 KM. Gunung Dempo 147 1583
Rata-rata 125 1546.25
Payload 1237

Cargo
Nama LOA GT DWT
1 Alahas 145 8615 15000
2 Meulaboh 136 8639 11075
3 Rimba Tujuh 104 5612 6675
4 Sinar Kudus 113 7717 8911
5 Mitra Ocean 136 8600 11200
6 Mayapada 136 8639 11200
7 Timur Galaxy 108 6182 7722
8 Layar Sentosa 106 6106 7058
9 Hanjin 185 23855 30000
10 Alicia 8 115 8657 13000
11 Isa Mandiri 116 4902 8656
12 Cahya Mas 157 12073 16489
13 Meulaboh 136 8639 11075
14 Ocean Mas 145 9700 12430
15 Estuari Mas 120 6603 8100
16 Kuala Mas 128 6007 8700
17 Flores Sea 130 8472 11142
18 Sawu Sea 130 8472 11142
19 Kali Mas 120 6603 8100
Rata-rata 130 8636.474

Container
Nama LOA GT DWT
1 Permai-1 145 9110 11874
2 Hilir Mas 144 9279 12628
3 Tanto Lumoso 138 8147 11973
4 Umbul Mas 144 9279 12470
5 Tanto Sahabat 132 7063 8706
6 Lautan Arafura 154 9757 12487
7 Magnolia Star 127 6998 10425
8 Marina Star-1 139 10012 13089
9 Marina Star-2 139 10012 13126
10 Stait Mas 174 18355 19710
11 Tanto Jaya 147 12471 15237
12 Madison 157 12129 14140
13 CTP.Eagle 146 11999 15428
16 Kawa Mas 147 9460 12511
17 Meratus Manado 145 9357 12408
Rata-rata 145 10228.53
DWT*0.8
12000
8860
5340
7128.8
8960
8960
6177.6
5646.4
24000
10400
6924.8
13191.2
8860
9944
6480
6960
8913.6
8913.6
 6480
9742.3429

DWT*0.8
9499.2
10102.4
9578.4
9976
6964.8
9989.6
8340
10471.2
10500.8
15768
12189.6
11312
12342.4
10008.8
9926.4
10307.273
 Muatan Kapasitas Kapal Call Kapal
Tahun
Cargo Penumpang Cargo Penumpang Cargo Penumpang
2017 826901.143 101033.62667 9742 1237 85 82
2018 876761.258 107117.58175 9742 1237 90 87
2019 928927.712 113436.65081 9742 1237 95 92
2020 983547.213 120005.34791 9742 1237 101 97
2021 1040775.42 126839.06647 9742 1237 107 103
2022 1100777.5 133954.13228 9742 1237 113 108
2023 1163728.66 141367.85975 9742 1237 119 114
2024 1229814.81 149098.61149 9742 1237 126 121
2025 1299233.17 157165.86151 9742 1237 133 127
2026 1372192.96 165590.26227 9742 1237 141 134
2027 1448916.13 174393.71566 9742 1237 149 141
2028 1529638.12 183599.44835 9742 1237 157 148
2029 1614608.71 193232.09168 9742 1237 166 156
2030 1704092.83 203317.76625 9742 1237 175 164
2031 1798371.49 213884.17174 9742 1237 185 173
2032 1897742.8 224960.6821 9742 1237 195 182
2033 2002522.92 236578.44637 9742 1237 206 191
2034 2113047.23 248770.49576 9742 1237 217 201
2035 2229671.43 261571.85698 9742 1237 229 211
2036 2352772.78 275019.67259 9742 1237 241 222
2037 2482751.43 289153.32839 9742 1237 255 234
2038 2620031.75 304014.58868 9742 1237 269 246
2039 2765063.86 319647.73953 9742 1237 284 258
2040 2918325.1 336099.74073 9742 1237 300 272
2041 3080321.72 353420.38689 9742 1237 316 286
2042 3251590.64 371662.47823 9742 1237 334 300
2043 3432701.26 390882.00166 9742 1237 352 316
2044 3624257.42 411138.32277 9742 1237 372 332
2045 3826899.5 432494.38937 9742 1237 393 350
2046 4041306.63 455016.94728 9742 1237 415 368
2047 4268198.98 478776.76917 9742 1237 438 387
2048 4508340.27 503848.89707 9742 1237 463 407
2049 4762540.39 530312.89961 9742 1237 489 429
2050 5031658.18 558253.14467 9742 1237 516 451
 LOA Berth Time
LD 10% X LOA
Cargo Penumpang Rata - Rata LOA Cargo Penumpang
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 155.6893 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 295.6134 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 435.5376 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 575.4617 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 575.4617 30 4 12.720377632
130 125 127.2037763158 575.4617 30 4 12.720377632
139.924154

BOR KET

29.48% Dermaga Existing ( 1 Tambatan )

31.25%
33.11%
35.05%
37.09%
39.22% Akhir Jangka Pendek (1 Tambatan)
21.83% Tambah 1 Tambatan, Total 2
23.07%
24.36%
25.72%
27.16% Akhir Jangka Menengah ( Tambah 1 Tamabatan, Total 2)
28.66%
30.24%
31.91%
33.66%
35.51%
37.45%
39.51%
41.67%
43.95%
46.36% Akhir Jangka panjang ( Tambah 1 tambatan, total 2 )
48.91%
51.59%
54.43%
38.98% Tambah 2 Tambatan, Total 3
41.13%
43.40%
45.81%
48.35%
51.04%
53.88%
43.06% Tambah 3 Tambatan, Total 4
45.47%
48.02%
 Container
Tahun LD
Muatan Kapasitas Kapal Call Kapal LOA
2017 537198.1725294 10307 52 145 174.066
2018 582955.4364362 10307 57 145 174.066
2019 630649.0669954 10307 61 145 174.066
2020 680400.5194772 10307 66 145 174.066
2021 732338.6362885 10307 71 145 174.066
2022 786600.092883 10307 76 145 174.066
2023 843329.8705361 10307 82 145 174.066
2024 902681.7576031 10307 88 145 174.066
2025 964818.8809756 10307 94 145 174.066
2026 1029914.269555 10307 100 145 174.066
2027 1098151.451668 10307 107 145 174.066
2028 1169725.088475 10307 113 145 174.066
2029 1244841.645533 10307 121 145 174.066
2030 1323720.104807 10307 128 145 333.627
2031 1406592.719579 10307 136 145 333.627
2032 1493705.814821 10307 145 145 333.627
2033 1585320.635785 10307 154 145 333.627
2034 1681714.247702 10307 163 145 333.627
2035 1783180.489672 10307 173 145 333.627
2036 1890030.986009 10307 183 145 333.627
2037 2002596.218499 10307 194 145 333.627
2038 2121226.663243 10307 206 145 333.627
2039 2246293.995959 10307 218 145 333.627
2040 2378192.369896 10307 231 145 333.627
2041 2517339.770689 10307 244 145 333.627
2042 2664179.452835 10307 258 145 333.627
2043 2819181.46266 10307 274 145 333.627
2044 2982844.253024 10307 289 145 333.627
2045 3155696.39526 10307 306 145 493.188
2046 3338298.394211 10307 324 145 493.188
2047 3531244.612582 10307 343 145 493.188
2048 3735165.311171 10307 362 145 493.188
2049 3950728.81197 10307 383 145 493.188
2050 4178643.791535 10307 405 145 493.188
 159.560867

Berth Time 10% X LOA BOR KET

30 14.5055333 16.36%
30 14.5055333 17.75%
30 14.5055333 19.21%
30 14.5055333 20.72%
30 14.5055333 22.30%
30 14.5055333 23.96% Akhir Jangka Pendek , 1 Tambatan
30 14.5055333 25.69%
30 14.5055333 27.49%
30 14.5055333 29.39%
30 14.5055333 31.37%
30 14.5055333 33.45% Akhir Jangka Menengah, 1 Tambatan
30 14.5055333 35.63%
30 14.5055333 37.91%
30 14.5055333 21.03% Tambah 1 Tambatan, Total 2
30 14.5055333 22.35%
30 14.5055333 23.74%
30 14.5055333 25.19%
30 14.5055333 26.72%
30 14.5055333 28.34%
30 14.5055333 30.03%
30 14.5055333 31.82% Akhir Jangka panjang ( Tambah 1 tambatan, total 2 )
30 14.5055333 33.71%
30 14.5055333 35.69%
30 14.5055333 37.79%
30 14.5055333 40.00%
30 14.5055333 42.34%
30 14.5055333 44.80%
30 14.5055333 47.40%
30 14.5055333 33.92% Tambah 2 Tambatan, Total 3
30 14.5055333 35.88%
30 14.5055333 37.96%
30 14.5055333 40.15%
30 14.5055333 42.47%
30 14.5055333 44.92%
No Tahun Proyeksi Cargo T DwellingTime (TrT)
1 2017 826901 124035 7
2 2018 876761 131514 7
3 2019 928928 139339 7
4 2020 983547 147532 7
5 2021 1040775 156116 7
6 2022 1100777 165117 7
7 2023 1163729 174559 7
8 2024 1229815 184472 7
9 2025 1299233 194885 7
10 2026 1372193 205829 7
11 2027 1448916 217337 7
12 2028 1529638 229446 7
13 2029 1614609 242191 7
14 2030 1704093 255614 7
15 2031 1798371 269756 7
16 2032 1897743 284661 7
17 2033 2002523 300378 7
18 2034 2113047 316957 7
19 2035 2229671 334451 7
20 2036 2352773 352916 7
21 2037 2482751 372413 7
22 2038 2620032 393005 7
23 2039 2765064 414760 7
24 2040 2918325 437749 7
25 2041 3080322 462048 7
26 2042 3251591 487739 7
27 2043 3432701 514905 7
28 2044 3624257 543639 7
29 2045 3826900 574035 7
30 2046 4041307 606196 7
31 2047 4268199 640230 7
32 2048 4508340 676251 7
33 2049 4762540 714381 7
34 2050 5031658 754749 7
Storage Factor (m^3/t) Tinggi Tumpukan Muatan ( Sth) BS Ag (m^2)
0.6667 3 50% 1057
0.6667 3 50% 1121
0.6667 3 50% 1188
0.6667 3 50% 1258
0.6667 3 50% 1331
0.6667 3 50% 1407
0.6667 3 50% 1488
0.6667 3 50% 1572
0.6667 3 50% 1661
0.6667 3 50% 1754
0.6667 3 50% 1853
0.6667 3 50% 1956
0.6667 3 50% 2064
0.6667 3 50% 2179
0.6667 3 50% 2299
0.6667 3 50% 2426
0.6667 3 50% 2560
0.6667 3 50% 2702
0.6667 3 50% 2851
0.6667 3 50% 3008
0.6667 3 50% 3174
0.6667 3 50% 3350
0.6667 3 50% 3535
0.6667 3 50% 3731
0.6667 3 50% 3939
0.6667 3 50% 4157
0.6667 3 50% 4389
0.6667 3 50% 4634
0.6667 3 50% 4893
0.6667 3 50% 5167
0.6667 3 50% 5457
0.6667 3 50% 5764
0.6667 3 50% 6089
0.6667 3 50% 6433
Ag Efektif
1100
1150
1200
1300
1400
1450
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2500
2600
2700
2900
3000
3200
3400
3600
3800
4000
4200
4400
4700
4900
5200
5500
5800
6100
6500
No Tahun Proyeksi Cargo T DwellingTime (TrT)
1 2017 826901 289415 7
2 2018 876761 306866 7
3 2019 928928 325125 7
4 2020 983547 344242 7
5 2021 1040775 364271 7
6 2022 1100777 385272 7
7 2023 1163729 407305 7
8 2024 1229815 430435 7
9 2025 1299233 454732 7
10 2026 1372193 480268 7
11 2027 1448916 507121 7
12 2028 1529638 535373 7
13 2029 1614609 565113 7
14 2030 1704093 596432 7
15 2031 1798371 629430 7
16 2032 1897743 664210 7
17 2033 2002523 700883 7
18 2034 2113047 739567 7
19 2035 2229671 780385 7
20 2036 2352773 823470 7
21 2037 2482751 868963 7
22 2038 2620032 917011 7
23 2039 2765064 967772 7
24 2040 2918325 1021414 7
25 2041 3080322 1078113 7
26 2042 3251591 1138057 7
27 2043 3432701 1201445 7
28 2044 3624257 1268490 7
29 2045 3826900 1339415 7
30 2046 4041307 1414457 7
31 2047 4268199 1493870 7
32 2048 4508340 1577919 7
33 2049 4762540 1666889 7
34 2050 5031658 1761080 7
Storage Factor (m^3/t) Tinggi Tumpukan Muatan ( Sth) BS Ag (m^2)
0.6667 3 50% 2467
0.6667 3 50% 2616
0.6667 3 50% 2771
0.6667 3 50% 2934
0.6667 3 50% 3105
0.6667 3 50% 3284
0.6667 3 50% 3472
0.6667 3 50% 3669
0.6667 3 50% 3876
0.6667 3 50% 4094
0.6667 3 50% 4323
0.6667 3 50% 4564
0.6667 3 50% 4817
0.6667 3 50% 5084
0.6667 3 50% 5365
0.6667 3 50% 5662
0.6667 3 50% 5974
0.6667 3 50% 6304
0.6667 3 50% 6652
0.6667 3 50% 7019
0.6667 3 50% 7407
0.6667 3 50% 7817
0.6667 3 50% 8249
0.6667 3 50% 8707
0.6667 3 50% 9190
0.6667 3 50% 9701
0.6667 3 50% 10241
0.6667 3 50% 10813
0.6667 3 50% 11417
0.6667 3 50% 12057
0.6667 3 50% 12734
0.6667 3 50% 13450
0.6667 3 50% 14209
0.6667 3 50% 15011
Ag Efektif
2500
2700
2800
3000
3100
3300
3500
3700
3900
4100
4400
4600
4800
5100
5400
5700
6000
6300
6700
7000
7400
7800
8300
8700
9200
9700
10200
10800
11400
12000
12700
13400
14200
15000
Rubber Tyred Gantry Crane

No Tahun Proyeksi Container T DwellingTime

1 2017 537198 161159 7
2 2018 582955 174887 7
3 2019 630649 189195 7
4 2020 680401 204120 7
5 2021 732339 219702 7
6 2022 786600 235980 7
7 2023 843330 252999 7
8 2024 902682 270805 7
9 2025 964819 289446 7
10 2026 1029914 308974 7
11 2027 1098151 329445 7
12 2028 1169725 350918 7
13 2029 1244842 373452 7
14 2030 1323720 397116 7
15 2031 1406593 421978 7
16 2032 1493706 448112 7
17 2033 1585321 475596 7
18 2034 1681714 504514 7
19 2035 1783180 534954 7
20 2036 1890031 567009 7
21 2037 2002596 600779 7
22 2038 2121227 636368 7
23 2039 2246294 673888 7
24 2040 2378192 713458 7
25 2041 2517340 755202 7
26 2042 2664179 799254 7
27 2043 2819181 845754 7
28 2044 2982844 894853 7
29 2045 3155696 946709 7
30 2046 3338298 1001490 7
31 2047 3531245 1059373 7
32 2048 3735165 1120550 7
33 2049 3950729 1185219 7
34 2050 4178644 1253593 7
Tinggi Penumpukan Peti Kemas ATEU (m/TEU) BS ACY (m^2)
3 10 50% 15454
3 10 50% 16770
3 10 50% 18142
3 10 50% 19573
3 10 50% 21067
3 10 50% 22628
3 10 50% 24260
3 10 50% 25968
3 10 50% 27755
3 10 50% 29628
3 10 50% 31591
3 10 50% 33650
3 10 50% 35811
3 10 50% 38080
3 10 50% 40464
3 10 50% 42970
3 10 50% 45605
3 10 50% 48378
3 10 50% 51297
3 10 50% 54371
3 10 50% 57609
3 10 50% 61022
3 10 50% 64619
3 10 50% 68414
3 10 50% 72417
3 10 50% 76641
3 10 50% 81100
3 10 50% 85808
3 10 50% 90780
3 10 50% 96033
3 10 50% 101584
3 10 50% 107450
3 10 50% 113651
3 10 50% 120208
ACY efektif (m^2)
15500
16800 T .D. ATEU
A
3651 BS
18200
19500
21000
22600
24300
26000
27700
30000
31600
33600
35800
38000
40400
43000
45600
48300
51200
54300
57600
61000
64600
68400
72400
76600
81100
85800
90700
96000
101500
107400
113600
120200
 Proyeksi Jumlah Koef. Musim Puncak
No Tahun
Penumpang Berangkat (P) Penumpang ()

1 2017 48534 1.25

2 2018 51407 1.25
3 2019 54385 1.25
4 2020 57475 1.25
5 2021 60683 1.25
6 2022 64017 1.25
7 2023 67484 1.25
8 2024 71093 1.25
9 2025 74852 1.25
10 2026 78770 1.25
11 2027 82857 1.25
12 2028 87123 1.25
13 2029 91579 1.25
14 2030 96237 1.25
15 2031 101108 1.25
16 2032 106207 1.25
17 2033 111546 1.25
18 2034 117140 1.25
19 2035 123005 1.25
20 2036 129157 1.25
21 2037 135614 1.25
22 2038 142394 1.25
23 2039 149516 1.25
24 2040 157002 1.25
25 2041 164873 1.25
26 2042 173153 1.25
27 2043 181866 1.25
28 2044 191039 1.25
29 2045 200699 1.25
30 2046 210876 1.25
31 2047 221601 1.25
32 2048 232908 1.25
33 2049 244831 1.25
34 2050 257408 1.25
Kebutuhan Luas Untuk Per Call Koef. Fasilitas
At (m^2) At Efektif
Penumpang ()(m^2/pnpg) Kapal Pendukung ()

1.5 82 0.6 668.49866716 700

1.5 87 0.6 667.85496889 700
1.5 92 0.6 667.18790806 700
1.5 97 0.6 666.49901714 700
1.5 103 0.6 665.78973049 700
1.5 108 0.6 665.06140762 700
1.5 114 0.6 664.31535127 700
1.5 121 0.6 663.55282141 700
1.5 127 0.6 662.77504594 700
1.5 134 0.6 661.98322887 700
1.5 141 0.6 661.1785564 700
1.5 148 0.6 660.36220122 700
1.5 156 0.6 659.53532544 700
1.5 164 0.6 658.69908246 700
1.5 173 0.6 657.85461771 700
1.5 182 0.6 657.00306875 700
1.5 191 0.6 656.14556467 700
1.5 201 0.6 655.28322493 700
1.5 211 0.6 654.41715789 700
1.5 222 0.6 653.54845884 700
1.5 234 0.6 652.67820795 700
1.5 246 0.6 651.80746794 700
1.5 258 0.6 650.93728161 700
1.5 272 0.6 650.06866942 700
1.5 286 0.6 649.20262696 700
1.5 300 0.6 648.34012248 700
1.5 316 0.6 647.48209452 700
1.5 332 0.6 646.62944961 700
1.5 350 0.6 645.78306016 700
1.5 368 0.6 644.94376247 700
1.5 387 0.6 644.11235496 700
1.5 407 0.6 643.28959655 700
1.5 429 0.6 642.47620535 700
1.5 451 0.6 641.67285749 700
 Proyeksi Penumpang (P) Rata-rata Penumpang
No Tahun Call Kapal
Datang Berangkat Per Kapal
1 2017 52500 48534 82 800
2 2018 55711 51407 87 800
3 2019 59052 54385 92 800
4 2020 62530 57475 97 800
5 2021 66156 60683 103 800
6 2022 69937 64017 108 800
7 2023 73884 67484 114 800
8 2024 78006 71093 121 800
9 2025 82314 74852 127 800
10 2026 86820 78770 134 800
11 2027 91537 82857 141 800
12 2028 96477 87123 148 800
13 2029 101653 91579 156 800
14 2030 107081 96237 164 800
15 2031 112776 101108 173 800
16 2032 118754 106207 182 800
17 2033 125033 111546 191 800
18 2034 131630 117140 201 800
19 2035 138567 123005 211 800
20 2036 145862 129157 222 800
21 2037 153539 135614 234 800
22 2038 161621 142394 246 800
23 2039 170131 149516 258 800
24 2040 179098 157002 272 800
25 2041 188547 164873 286 800
26 2042 198510 173153 300 800
27 2043 209016 181866 316 800
28 2044 220100 191039 332 800
29 2045 231796 200699 350 800
30 2046 244141 210876 368 800
31 2047 257175 221601 387 800
32 2048 270941 232908 407 800
33 2049 285482 244831 429 800
34 2050 300845 257408 451 800
Koef. Musim Jumlah Penumpang (Pi) Presentasi Pengantar & Jumlah Pengantar &
P Total
Puncak (k) Datang Berangkat Penjemput (%) Penjemput (P aj)
1.25 643 594 1238 30% 371
1.25 643 594 1238 30% 371
1.25 644 593 1238 30% 371
1.25 645 592 1238 30% 371
1.25 645 592 1238 30% 371
1.25 646 591 1238 30% 371
1.25 646 591 1238 30% 371
1.25 647 590 1238 30% 371
1.25 648 589 1238 30% 371
1.25 649 588 1238 30% 371
1.25 649 588 1238 30% 371
1.25 650 587 1238 30% 371
1.25 651 586 1238 30% 371
1.25 651 586 1238 30% 371
1.25 652 585 1238 30% 371
1.25 653 584 1238 30% 371
1.25 654 583 1238 30% 371
1.25 655 582 1238 30% 371
1.25 655 582 1238 30% 371
1.25 656 581 1238 30% 371
1.25 657 580 1238 30% 371
1.25 658 579 1238 30% 371
1.25 658 579 1238 30% 371
1.25 659 578 1238 30% 371
1.25 660 577 1238 30% 371
1.25 661 576 1238 30% 371
1.25 661 576 1238 30% 371
1.25 662 575 1238 30% 371
1.25 663 574 1238 30% 371
1.25 664 573 1238 30% 371
1.25 664 573 1238 30% 371
1.25 665 572 1238 30% 371
1.25 666 571 1238 30% 371
1.25 667 570 570 30% 171
Jumlah Orang Di
Terminal ( P ter )
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
1609
741