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JPM European Coveredbonds
JPM European Coveredbonds
12 September 2011
www.morganmarkets.com
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Foreword
Credit where credit is due What a difference a year makes! At the time of publication of our last Handbook in
September 2010, we wrote something of a love letter to credit investors; suggesting
they increase their engagement with an asset class that had historically been outside
their traditional investment criteria. The onslaught of the European sovereign crisis
augmented our investment rationale, with pricing pushing a number of covered sub-
segments to levels where value could also be identified from a credit perspective. In
last years publication, we welcomed the opportunity that both regulatory support
and pricing linked more closely to alternative bank funding instruments in a number
of jurisdictions had brought to the market.
The last year has demonstrated We therefore write this years Handbook from something of a position of strength for
the increasing appeal of covered the industry. Over the course of the past twelve months we have seen product
bonds on a global basis
expansion across many metrics: from the number of jurisdictions providing a stable
regulatory framework for covered bond issuance; to the number of originators
relying on covered bonds as part of their funding mix; and of course to the number of
investors, both credit- and rates-focused who now engage with the asset class.
despite substantial headwinds This is an even greater achievement when considering the broad market themes that
have characterised the past twelve months. With the continuing peripheral European
sovereign crisis elevating concerns about the health of the regions banks, and further
exacerbated by what is proving to be a relatively weak economic recovery (at best),
the appetite for adding bank debt (even when secured) has been tested severely.
Covereds as an asset class appear to have passed this test.
Can one have too much of a That being said however, we remain aware of potential roadbumps in the medium-
good thing? Yes term outlook (as credit analysts the glass is always half empty). While analysts
responsible for other products may envy the relative health of the covered bond
markets, our caution stems from what we see as the potential for over-reliance on the
asset class.
Lots of eggs. Lots of baskets. In this, we identify the developing regulatory regime as the primary protagonistwe
Please! believe the regulatory backdrop is potentially becoming skewed in favour of covered
bonds to such a degree, that it is damaging the diversity of alternate bank funding
opportunities, and by derivation, potentially harming the ability of todays covered
product to grow at a more measured and sustainable pace. Looking ahead to the next
twelve months, we would welcome a more balanced environment where covereds
play a role in bank funding, but not the role.
Document structure
As usual, we split the Handbook into two discrete sections, first providing an
overview of market and product themes, followed by the larger, second segment
which provides a jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction, issuer-by-issuer overview of those
institutions that have accessed the international capital markets.
We hope this Handbook proves useful for investors over the course of the next
twelve months, and of course welcome any feedback on its form and content.
2
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Table of Contents
Foreword ...................................................................................2
Primary Market Outlook ...........................................................9
The last twelve monthsthe boy done good' ............................................................9
The next twelve monthsMagic 8 ball time............................................................14
Secondary Market Outlook ....................................................15
The last twelve monthsVow to thee, my country ..................................................15
The next twelve monthsMore of the same ............................................................17
Our covered bond recommendations...................................18
Product overview....................................................................20
Covered Bonds: a bluffers guide .......................................................................20
What exactly is a covered bond?............................................................................21
Covered bonds vs. RMBS......................................................................................23
Rating Agencies .....................................................................25
DBRS ...................................................................................................................25
Fitch Ratings.........................................................................................................25
Moodys ...............................................................................................................28
Standard & Poors.................................................................................................29
Austrian Covered Bonds .......................................................36
Legislative snapshot ..............................................................................................36
Austrian covered bond & macro backdrop .............................................................37
BAWAG PSK .......................................................................................................38
Erste Bank Group..................................................................................................39
HYPO NOE Gruppe..............................................................................................40
Kommunalkredit Austria AG.................................................................................41
UniCredit Bank Austria.........................................................................................42
Canadian Covered Bonds......................................................44
Legislative snapshot ..............................................................................................44
Canadian covered bond & macro backdrop ............................................................45
Bank of Montreal ..................................................................................................46
Caisse Centrale Desjardins du Quebec ...................................................................48
CIBC ....................................................................................................................50
National Bank of Canada.......................................................................................52
Royal Bank of Canada...........................................................................................53
Scotiabank ............................................................................................................55
Toronto Dominion Bank........................................................................................57
Danish Covered Bonds ..........................................................60
Legislative snapshot ..............................................................................................60
Danish covered bond & macro backdrop................................................................61
BRF Kredit AS......................................................................................................62
Danske Bank AS...................................................................................................63
DLR Kredit AS .....................................................................................................65
3
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
4
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
5
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
6
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
7
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
8
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD
Source: Dealogic, J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
Even when adjusting for newer issuance jurisdictions (in particular Canada where
issuance volumes have picked up dramatically), we see 2011 levels comparing
favourably to those of 2010. Looking further back to issuance volumes in 2007 as a
representative steady state year (i.e. pre credit crisis), total issuance amounts were
approximately 200bn, showing significant progression in market size since 2007
(potentially by FY2011, +100bn or +50% over four years).
Figure 2: Monthly Covered Bonds issuance, mm Figure 3: Covered bonds outstanding, top 5 jurisdictions, mm
60,000 2,700,000
Germany Spain Denmark France Sweden Other
50,000 2,400,000
2,100,000
40,000
1,800,000
30,000 1,500,000
20,000 1,200,000
900,000
10,000
600,000
0
300,000
Feb-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jun-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Dealogic, J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only Source: ECBC. All issuance
9
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
These bonds tend to price the tightest in the new issue market. Individual issuer
credit risk is often perceived to be of less importance in these markets owing to the
systemic importance of the product to the respective jurisdiction.
Peripheral jurisdictions
We aggregate exposures to those markets most affected by the European sovereign
crisis: Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain.
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
Traditional issuance Turning first to the Inner core we see that issuance over time has been consistently
jurisdictions have become less increasing out of France, with Danish issuers mostly active on the domestic, non-
prolific issuers
benchmark DKK market (see Figure 5). Significantly, the issuance of public-sector
backed pfandbrief has fallen over timeexacerbating a trend that started pre-2007 and
driving the German contribution to annual issuance down to just 45bn in 2010 vs
102bn in 2008.
10
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Figure 5: Inner core jurisdictions issuance (all distributed), mm Figure 6: Outer core jurisdictions issuance, mm
120,000 300,000
Denmark France Germany Canada Netherlands Norway Sweden UK Other
100,000 250,000
80,000 200,000
150,000
60,000
100,000
40,000
50,000
20,000
0
0 Retained Distributed Retained Distributed Retained Distributed Retained Distributed
2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 YTD 2011 YTD
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
'Outer core takes a bigger role, Considering next Outer core' issuance volumes, we can see quite dramatic increases
with dislocation in other bank in paper placed with investors over the past few years. Even when stripping out new
funding markets supporting
appetite for the CB product
issuance jurisdictions such as Canada, we can see an increased penetration in markets
such as the UK, the Netherlands and especially Sweden. While dislocation from the
alternate secured funding markets (i.e. securitisation) can be attributed to supporting
covered bond issuance in some countries, in the UK and the Netherlands the
argument appears weaker because of the relative health of the respective
securitisation markets. Rather we suspect that dislocation in other, unsecured bank
funding markets is more directly a driver for the elevated covered bond issuance
volumes out of these two jurisdictions.
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
Retained Distributed Retained Distributed Retained Distributed Retained Distributed
2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 YTD 2011 YTD
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
Bifurcated experiences for Finally, we turn to Peripheral issuance, seeing some 52bn issued YTD in total,
peripheral countries: Spain and although only Italy and Spain were able to sell bonds on the public market for a
Italy can issue, the rest issue to
Frankfurt
distributed total of 45bn (FY2010: 87bn including retained bonds, 51bn
distributed to investors). Issuers from these two jurisdictions tapped the market quite
aggressively in the first five months of the year, with even small, local lenders taking
advantage of tightening spreads, but issuance almost entirely dried up as sovereign
concerns took over once again during the summer. Unicredit, however, was amongst
the first issuers to re-open the covered bond market in recent weeks, although at a
hefty premium to previous spread levels. Issuance by Greece, Ireland and Portugal
has been overwhelmingly retained by the originators for (potential) use as central
bank repo facilities.
11
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Outer core jurisdictions offer a more diverse mix. Certain jurisdictions, such as the
Nordics, display a pattern closer to that of Inner core ones, while others, such as the
UK, do not seem to be able to brave the markets on their own and often come to the
market in clusters. Furthermore, in the UK, launch spreads seem to be primarily
driven by issuer name, rather than by maturity: some of the smaller building societies
have to offer wider spreads than those paid by the larger banks, regardless of
maturity (a credit perspective). Interestingly, Santander UK also appears to price
wider than other more domestic' names.
60
100
40
50
20
<3yrs 3-5yrs 5-7yrs 7-10yrs >10yrs
0 0
Oct-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Feb-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Mar-11
May-11
May-11
Jul-11
Jul-11
Sep-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Apr-11
Aug-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
May-11
May-11
Oct-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Feb-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Mar-11
Jul-11
Jul-11
Sep-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Apr-11
Aug-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
The most credit-linked The open-closed pattern seen in the UK is even more in evidence in the peripheral
jurisdictions appear to have countries, where issuers are particularly sensitive to the tone of the broader market.
more occasional market access
Both Spanish and Italian issuers have taken advantage of the window of opportunity
offered by the relative calm on the sovereign front earlier in the year and issuers of
all sizes and shapes came to the market. There is also very little differentiation in
terms of maturity, but there is a significant gap between spreads offered by large,
more established financial institutions and smaller, regional lenders. In Spain in
particular, issuers such as BBVA or Santander are able to pay much tighter spreads
on longer maturity bonds than those paid by the savings banks (Figure 11) as an
example.
Figure 10: Italian launch spreads vs MS, bp Figure 11: Spanish launch spreads vs MS, bp
250 350
300
200
250
150 200
100 150
100
50
<3yrs 3-5yrs 5-7yrs 7-10yrs >10yrs 50 <3yrs 3-5yrs 5-7yrs 7-10yrs >10yrs
0 0
May-11
May-11
May-11
May-11
May-11
Oct-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Oct-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Nov-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Jan-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jun-11
Feb-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Mar-11
Jul-11
Jul-11
Feb-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Mar-11
Jul-11
Jul-11
Sep-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Apr-11
Aug-11
Aug-11
Sep-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Apr-11
Aug-11
Aug-11
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
12
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
How does this compare to the performance of other bank funding instruments?
Covered bonds do well both As we have noted above, covered bond issuance volumes have shown significant
absolutely and relatively progression over the past four years. In Figure 12 below we set out the issuance
volumes of two equally important bank funding instruments to see whether the
absolute success of covered bonds is also observable in relative terms.
Figure 12: ABS, Senior Unsecured, Covered Bonds issuance, mm
350,000
ABS (Not retained) Snr unsec. Cov. Bonds (Not retained)
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research. Benchmark issuance only
Uncertainty as to the risk profile Readers can clearly see that while covered bond issuance has gone from strength to
of senior unsecured debt has strength over the period in question, the two largest alternative bank funding sources
translated into additional supply
of covered bonds
have recorded significant declines in issuance. Turning to each separately, we have
seen senior unsecured issuance volumes decline from 264bn in 2007, to 159bn in
2010 (and 127bn YTD 2011). Undoubtedly some of this decline can be attributed to
an investor aversion to specific issuers or jurisdictions, but equally important in our
view has been the uncertainty created by proposed regulatory initiatives surrounding
the senior unsecured product itself. We note that the proposed adoption of explicit
bail-in language for senior unsecured bonds from 2013 has undermined investor
confidence in the risk profile of the instrument. While this uncertainty persists,
investors will naturally demand additional compensation for the perceived additional
risk, making economically feasible senior unsecured issuance out of the reach of
most (European) issuers.
Securitisation markets remain Turning to the securitisation market, we see a dramatic change in issuance volumes
open for Northern European following the onset of the credit crunch, with 325bn of bonds placed with investors
issuers, but regulatory initiatives
have also altered the incentives
in the first eight months of 2007, compared to 51bn over the same period in 2011.
in these markets Furthermore, there has been a significant divergence in the fortunes of individual
issuing jurisdictions, with the UK and the Netherlands (and to a lesser extent, Italy)
able to access the distributed RMBS markets at regular intervals, while other
countries have been frozen out of the market owing to the basis between current asset
spreads and required liability costs. Furthermore, as we noted in last years
Handbook, the regulatory environment for both securitisation issuance and
investment has been tightened since 2007 from a myriad of sources (CRD III, IV,
BIS Liquidity Regime, Solvency II etc). Much as for senior unsecured debt, this has
undoubtedly skewed the landscape in favour of covered bonds.
Regulatory backdrop could put As we noted in our introduction, we remain aware of potential roadbumps in the
too much pressure on the asset medium-term outlook for the asset class (as credit analysts the glass is always half
class
empty), seeing the developing regulatory regime as skewing the incentives in favour
of covered bonds to such a degree, that it is damaging the diversity of alternate bank
funding opportunities, and by derivation, potentially harming the ability of todays
covered product to grow at a more measured and sustainable pace.
13
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
For 'Outer core' countries, we see a number of subsets in expected ability to access
the markets. For the Scandinavian issuers, we would expect them to be able to access
both the Euro and Dollar markets (largely US, but also AUD) broadly uninterrupted
Wetter Outer core countries to over the course of the next twelve months (assuming the same caveat as above). For
rely more on CB as a the UK and Netherlands, we continue to expect to see a greater reliance on the
replacement for senior covered product less as an alternative to RMBS, which still remains a functioning
unsecured bonds, with
market in both jurisdictions, but more likely as an alternative to senior unsecured
Commonwealth countries
relying more on investors closer issuance. For non-European issuers, including Canadian, New Zealand and (shortly)
to home Australian institutions, we expect to see ever increasing issuance predominantly
targeted at the domestic or quasi-domestic markets.
No market access for those at For peripheral countries, we need to split the group into two: those already in the
the centre of the peripheral epicentre of the sovereign storm (Greece, Ireland and Portugal) and those one or two
storm, occasional access for
those one or two steps away
steps removed (Italy and Spain). Somewhat perversely, the outlook for issuance from
Greece, Ireland and Portugal is easier to communicate, with our hypothesis that we
will see no distributed issuance from any of the three jurisdictions for the foreseeable
future. For Italy and Spain, we can adopt the same approach, seeing 'national
champions' as able to fund over the majority of the year, alongside smaller players
being able to fund only in times of market stability.
More investors expected From the investor perspective, we expect to see a continuation of recent trends with
respect to investor engagement. If we bifurcate the investor base into traditional
'rates' and newer 'credit' investors, we would expect the rates subset to show a larger
appetite in terms of notionals from broadly the same number of accounts, driven
largely by regulatory incentives (particularly Solvency II). In comparison, for credit
investors we would expect both the breadth, in terms of number of accounts, and
depth, in terms of the willingness of these accounts to invest in the covered asset
class, to continue to expand over the course of the next twelve months.
14
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Figure 13: Cross-asset class spreads comparison, bp Figure 14: Selected Covered Bond spreads, bp
300 iTraxx Europe Senior Fin. 5yrs JPM Maggie CB 3 - 5 Yr France CB 3 - 5 Years Germany CB 3 - 5 Years
350
UK RMBS AAA Euro FL 5 Yr UK CB 3 - 5 Years Spain CB 3 - 5 Yr
250 300
200 250
150 200
150
100
100
50
50
0 0
Jan-10
Jun-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
Feb-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Apr-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
May-10
May-11
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-10
Jun-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
Feb-10
Mar-10
Jul-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
Jul-11
Apr-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bonds Research
Tiered price performance for Understandably, not all covered bonds were affected in the same way by the
those jurisdictions with feet sovereign headwinds: while French, German and UK spreads proved relatively
closest to the fire
resilient and widened only modestly during the latest bout of volatility, Spanish
prices have been a lot more sensitive to the mood swings of the wider market. Figure
14 shows how these have spiked initially in May-June 2010, during the first Greek
crisis, then again in December 2010-January 2011, on the back of the Irish crisis and
finally resumed rising in June 2011, when sovereign concerns spread to Spain itself
along with Italy.
The different relationship between covered bond spread performance and trends in
broader market sentiment in the various jurisdictions is perhaps more clear in the
charts below. We compare sovereign CDS, used as a measure of stress on a specific
jurisdiction, with senior unsecured and covered bond spreads from selected issuers in
those countries.
Pfandbrief appear more In Germany (Figure 15), covered bonds are clearly the most resilient of all asset
defensive than even the classes considered, even more so than sovereign CDS, which has gapped wider over
sovereign
the summer months.
15
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Figure 15: German CDS, Senior unsecured and Covered bond Figure 16: UK CDS, Senior unsecured and Covered bond spreads, bp
spreads, bp 400 BoS CB 2016 Lloyds Snr. Unsec. 2016 UK 5yrs CDS
160 Deutsche Bank CB 2016 Deutsche Bank Snr. Unsec. 2017 350
140 Germany 5yrs CDS 300
120 250
100 200
80 150
60
100
40
50
20
0
May-
May-
0
Nov-10
Dec-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Apr-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Jan-10
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
-20
May-10
May-11
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Jan-10
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Similarly, in the UK, covered bond spreads have remained broadly stable (Figure
16), whereas senior unsecured prices have significantly widened whilst even the
sovereign CDS has come under pressure, although by a lesser degree than elsewhere
in Europe.
Close relationship between In Italy and Spain, on the other hand, there is a much closer link between the various
government, bank and covered asset classes, with CDS, senior unsecured and covered spreads moving more or less
debt in peripheral markets
in unison. Interestingly, in Italy and even more so in Spain, the traditionally tight
differential between senior unsecured and covered bonds seems to have widened
significantly over the recent months, perhaps suggesting that investors have started
better appreciating the extra layer of security offered by the cover pool.
Figure 17: Italian CDS, Senior unsecured and Covered bond spreads, Figure 18: Spanish CDS, Senior unsecured and Covered bond
bp spreads, bp
500 Intesa CB 2017 Intes Sen. Unsec. 2017 Italy 5yrs CDS 500 BBVA CB 2016 BBVA Sen. Unsec. 2015 Spain 5yrs CDS
400 400
300 300
200 200
100
100
0
0
May-10
May-11
May-
May-
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Jan-10
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
Nov-10
Dec-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Jan-10
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
16
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Figure 19: Average covered bond and issuer rating by country Figure 20: Average unused notches and maximum number of
notches uplift, #
Average covered bond rating 8 Average of uplift (notches) used
19 Average of unused notches
AAA Average issuer credit rating
AA+18 Maximum number of notches uplift (for low ALMM classification)
AA17 6
AA-16
A+15
A 14 4
A- 13
BBB+
12
BBB11 2
BBB-
10
BB+9
0
FRA
ITA
SWE
UK
US
NLD
NOR
LUX
IRE
FIN
CAN
DEN
SPA
GER
POR
ITA
FRA
NLD
NOR
US
UK
IRE
SWE
FIN
LUX
SPA
POR
CAN
GER
DEN
Source: Standard & Poors Source: Standard & Poors
Most visibly, we see that those countries most affected by the sovereign crisis
(Portugal and Ireland in this particular universe) also have the least headroom
between any future potential issuer/sovereign downgrades and a direct, second-order
impact on the rating of covered bonds in the jurisdiction.
By that we mean we would expect to see Inner core jurisdictions along with
Scandinavian paper to remain broadly unchallenged, offering investors liquidity, but
also a less generous pick-up to sovereigns. We would envisage that investors into
these asset classes would therefore remain predominantly made up of the more
traditional investor base, along with those 'credit like' accounts who are perhaps
either new to the asset class and deploying a strategy of slowly building their
experience in the sector, or those seeking refuge from the sovereign crisis. If there
are any areas of potential technical weakness in this category, we could expect to see
French spreads underperform relative to other jurisdictions in this grouping.
For jurisdictions in the middle of the pack in spread terms, we would expect
increased supply (see earlier section) to be broadly offset by increased client
engagement as alternative instruments undershoot in terms of issuance volumes. The
UK would be a prime example of this in our opinion, where both traditional and
new investors participate alongside one another. Similarly, Tier One Spanish and
Italian names are likely to find the same pockets of interest from both sides of the
aisle.
For paper from the distressed jurisdictions of Greece, Ireland and Portugal we would
expect to see faster money continue to focus their attention. While we undoubtedly
see opportunities to add risk in these segments, the potential for further downgrades
(to below investment grade) is likely to mitigate the interest of more 'permanent'
covered bond investors, potentially leaving these instruments as longer term
investments for anyone who adds positions as opposed to trading assets.
17
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
18
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
19
Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
(44-20) 7325-7283 12 September 2011
gareth.davies@jpmorgan.com
Product overview
Covered Bonds: a bluffers guide
We set out below a cheat-sheet for readers new to the asset class, providing a
synopsis of the main characteristics of the product and an overview of the major
markets.
What is a covered bond? Covered bonds are secured, senior, bullet instruments of an issuer (typically a
bank), that provide investors with recourse to both the issuing institution and the
underlying, revolving collateral pool.
How do CBs differ from RMBS? The main differences between RMBS and covered bonds can be summarised as:
a) amortisation: RMBS generally have a pass-through structure based on the
repayment of collateral, while CBs generally have a hard or soft bullet profile;
b) credit enhancement: covered bonds have much simpler structures than ABS
and rely on over-collateralisation as a form of credit enhancement. This can vary
according to the usage of the programme by the issuer but a minimum OC has to
be maintained; this is monitored through asset and interest coverage tests typically
monitored by third parties, which ensure that the asset pool and its proceeds are
enough to match the issuer's CB liabilities. In RMBS, credit enhancement is given
by subordination and structural features and, except for certain structures, it
generally increases as the deal de-levers; c) unlike securitisation, where investors
benefit from recourse to the collateral pool only, CB investors benefit from dual
recourse to both the issuer and the cover pool.
What types of CB structures exist? There are three broad CB structures: a) CB can be issued off the balance sheet of
the originator, with the collateral pool remaining with the originator, albeit ring-
fenced for covered bond investors (for example in Austria and Germany); b) a
financial institution establishes a limited function subsidiary, which in turn issues
covered bonds (for example Frances OF, Norway); c) in countries without specific
CB legislation, CB are typically unsecured obligations of the issuer, with funds
raised from the issuance of CB lent to a guarantor (typically a limited liability SPV),
which uses the loan to acquire collateral from the originator. This entity then acts as
guarantor to the unsecured bonds, agreeing to repay bondholders on insolvency of
the issuer (for example UK, Canada, Netherlands, Italy).
What type of collateral is accepted? CB legislation (or transactions docs when no CB legislation exists) typically defines
the list of collateral eligible to be included in the cover pool. The main types of
assets used as primary collateral are public sector exposures, residential and
commercial mortgages and shipping loans. In some cases, a max LTV is specified.
The ECs CRD also allows senior MBS (both residential and commercial) issued by
securitisation entities, where at least 90% of the underlying mortgages comply with
the above rules for unsecured mortgage exposures. The MBS must be rated Credit
Quality Step 1, and can only form 10% of the collateral pool (self-originated MBS
receive a waiver from the 10% cap). Substitute assets up to a given threshold
(typically 10-15%) can also be included in cover pools.
What type of risk are investors exposed to? Investors are generally exposed to issuer's risk until its default, after which they are
exposed to the credit risk of the cover pool. If there are CBs outstanding after the
cover pool has been extinguished, CB investors will have a residual claim to the
bankruptcy estate of the issuer which will rank pari passu with that of senior
unsecured bondholders
Do cover bonds accelerate upon the issuers default? No, CBs do not necessarily accelerate on insolvency of the issuing institution. Only
the failure of the programme to make payments as and when due results in the
acceleration of the obligations.
Which jurisdictions are the largest issuers? The largest issuer, by outstanding amount, is Germany, followed by Spain,
Denmark, France and Sweden. As CBs gain popularity with regulators, issuers and
investors, more jurisdictions are starting to push for dedicated covered bond
legislation (for example Canada and the US).
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research
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As in last years Handbook, we once again set out below to define the core
characteristics of the covered bond product, despite recognising that by making some
generic statements, we ignore some of the multiple nuances that issuance from hundreds
of issuers and tens of jurisdictions necessarily implies. We update this segment to reflect
changes to legislative frameworks and the rating methodologies of the main agencies.
For more detail on individual jurisdictions, please see the respective country sections
towards the back of this publication.
Structural Form
Covered bonds are typically thought of as bonds issued from the balance sheet of an
originating bank, with the revolving collateral pool remaining with the originator,
albeit ringfenced for covered bond investors in case of institutional insolvency. This
model is deployed in a number of significant issuing jurisdictions (for example,
Austria, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Portugal Spain and Sweden); however,
there are also two other forms of covered bond structures common in a number of
jurisdictions.
Three broad structural forms The most simplistic alternate structure can be accurately described by its name:
used in covered bond issuance Specialist Banking Principle, whereby a full service financial institution
establishes a limited function subsidiary, which in turn issues the covered bonds,
backed by assets transferred from the originator. This form is typical in Ireland, and
France (for Obligations Fonciere), Luxembourg and Norway.
The third variation on issuance form tends to have been adopted by the Anglo-Saxon
jurisdictions (Canada, New Zealand, UK and US) along with Italy, the Netherlands
and Switzerland. This structure was typically adopted by countries that did not
benefit from specific covered bond legislation, but rather adopted securitisation
techniques to create a covered bond investment (Figure 21).
Bank ABC
Trustee
Issuer
CB Proceeds
CB Investors
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Under this approach, covered bonds are actually unsecured obligations of the issuer.
Funds raised from the issuance of covered bonds are then on-lent to a guarantor
entity (typically a limited liability SPV), which uses the loan to acquire collateral
from the originator. This entity then acts as guarantor to the unsecured bonds,
agreeing to repay bondholders on insolvency of the issuer.
Market participants often refer to 'legislative' and 'structured' covered bond markets,
distinguishing between the first two forms described above and the latter (although
these terms can be something of a misnomer since many 'structured' markets now
also have legislation).
Covered bonds remain the obligation of the issuing institution prior to its default,
similar to any unsecured obligation and irrespective of the collateral performance in
the cover pool (non-payment of a covered bond constitutes a default of the institution).
Only after issuer default does
Only after an institutions default does the primary source of programme payments
the primary source of investor
cashflows become the cover switch to the cover pool itself. Subsequently, should the pool prove insufficient to
pool repay all outstanding obligations under the programme, covered bond investors will
have further recourse to the bankruptcy estate of the issuer. These residual claims
would rank pari passu with those of other senior (unsecured) bondholders.
Collateral
Covered bond legislation typically defines the list of collateral eligible to be included
in a cover pool. The main types of assets used as primary collateral (substitute assets
are also eligible in cover pools up to a pre-defined threshold, typically 10-15%) are
Most common form of collateral
public sector exposures, residential and commercial mortgages and shipping loans.
used remains mortgages, As the product expands its geographic reach beyond its traditional home in Europe,
followed by public sector assets the list of eligible (primary) assets looks set to expand. Legislative proposals
currently winding their way through the US Congress look set to expand the
definition of eligible assets to include student loans, credit cards, auto loans and
leases and SME loans. Kookmin Bank of Korea has also issued a covered bond
backed by both mortgage and credit card collateral (although this has now been
replaced with cash holdings).
In the EU, the primary source of guidance is provided in the Capital Requirement
Directive1 (CRD), which sets out the following:
1
http://register.consilium.europa.eu/pdf/en/10/st11/st11527.en10.pdf
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Residential (80% LTV limit) and commercial mortgage loans (60% LTV limit, or
70% if an issuer provides a minimum of 10% over-collateralisation)
Senior MBS (both residential and commercial) issued by securitisation entities,
where at least 90% of the underlying mortgages comply with the above rules for
unsecured mortgage exposures. The MBS must be rated Credit Quality Step 1,
and can only form 10% of the collateral pool. For the 10% limit to be waived, the
MBS must be self-originated and the originator must retain the first loss piece
Loans secured by ships (60% LTV limit)
Derivatives are also permitted in certain jurisdictions to hedge specific risks,
including interest and foreign exchange exposures.
Credit risk of the cover pool
remains with the issuer until Cover pools backing covered bonds are dynamic in nature, with investors essentially
default, upon which it transfers assuming the credit risk of the cover pool only upon issuer default.
to the investor
Insolvency
Covered bonds do not necessarily accelerate on insolvency of the issuing institution.
Only on the failure of the programme to make payments as and when due results in
the acceleration of the obligations.
Definitions
The ECBC2 sets out a definition of a covered bond as follows:
Covered bonds are debt instruments secured by a cover pool of mortgage loans
(property as collateral) or public-sector debt to which investors have a preferential
claim in the event of default.
More fully, the BIS sets out a definition of securitisation in its International
Convergence of Capital Markets and Capital Standards3 document:
As we can see from the above BIS definition, covered bonds fail to meet this test on a
number of fronts. First, as we have already noted, cashflows from the underlying pool
are not necessarily used to service the covered bonds, but rather the general resources
of the issuing institution are utilised. Second, with the exception of Danish junior
2
http://ecbc.hypo.org/Objects/9/Files/ECBC%20Fact%20Book%202010.pdf
3
http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128.pdf?noframes=1
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covered bonds, there are no stratified risk positions or tranches reflecting different
credit risk profiles in covered bonds. Finally, payments to investors do not depend on
the performance of the underlying exposures while the issuing entity remains solvent.
The credit risk of the cover pool is not transferred until issuer insolvency.
Amortisation
Repayment profiles differ
European securitisation bonds typically amortise over time through the repayment of
between the two secured the underlying exposures (notable exceptions to this are UK credit card and UK and
products Dutch mortgage master trusts which offer investors soft-bullet bonds). Distributed
covered bonds typically utilise a hard or soft-bullet redemption profile (there are
some pass-through covered bonds, but these have typically been retained by
originators for use as central bank repo collateral).
Other tests offering protection to bondholders include Pre-maturity Tests (which are
designed to ensure the borrower can provide sufficient liquidity in case of downgrade (i.e.
pre-defined period prior to scheduled bond redemption, if a borrower's short-term rating is
below a prescribed threshold, the borrower must fund a cash collateral account to ensure
redemption)); and Interest Coverage Tests to ensure interest from the cover pool after
hedges always exceeds interest payments due on the covered bonds over a given period.
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Rating Agencies
All agencies use the unsecured
We set out below an overview of the ratings approaches adopted by the four agencies
rating of the issuer as a ratings with respect to covered bonds. All four agencies link the rating of covered bonds to
floor for its covered bonds the rating of the issuing bank, providing further scope for uplift from the issuer rating
based on both collateral and cover pool cashflow characteristics. We have updated
the following overviews to reflect amendments from Fitch, proposed amendments
from S&P, as well as adding DBRS' rating methodology.
DBRS
The following is a synopsis of the methodology used by DBRS to rate covered bonds.
For a complete overview of the Agencys approach, please see Rating European
Covered Bonds, published 29th August 2011.
DBRS sees covered bonds as being akin to senior secured bank debt, therefore
deploying a 'linked approach' to its ratings methodology. The ratings process is built
around three steps: the rating of the issuer, an assessment of the legal & structuring
framework and an assessment of the cover pool. In more detail:
Step 1 utilises the issuer's rating, seeing it as the primary source of the timely
payment and ultimate repayment of a programmes outstanding covered bonds.
Step 2 focuses on the Legal and Structuring Framework ('LSF') under which the
respective covered bond programme operates. This assessment is the most
significant of the three individual Steps, and once completed, determines the
maximum achievable rating for a specific programme. Assigning a LSF grade
requires a review of the respective legislation and the legal environment in the
relevant country. Where legislation does not exist, the analysis is conducted at the
individual programme term level instead. The LSF can be categorised in four
assessments: Very Strong, Strong, Adequate, and Modest
Step 3 focuses on an assessment of the cover pool, following similar collateral
analysis methodologies to those deployed in securitisation analysis. It is
undertaken by incorporating the cover pool analysis along with reviews of
hedging contracts, expected cash flows from the pool and the payment profile of
the programme, as well as cashflow stress analysis.
Fitch Ratings
The following is a synopsis of the methodology used by Fitch Ratings to rate covered
bonds. For a complete overview of the Agencys approach, please see Fitch Ratings
Covered Bond Rating Criteria', published 11th August 2011.
Fitch Ratings uses a three-stage process in arriving at the ratings it gives to covered
bonds. First, it combines the Issuer Default Rating (IDR) with the programmes
Discontinuity Factor (D-Factor) to calculate a maximum rating on a probability of
default (PD) basis. Second, it tests the programmes overcollateralisation, and finally
calculates a recovery uplift.
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(45%), Liquidity Gaps (35%), Alternative Management (15%), Oversight (5%) and
Privileged Derivatives (flat adjustment). Effectively, the IDR sets the floor rating for
the covered bond, with the D-Factor setting the cap rating. The higher the D-Factor
%, the lower the level of rating uplift that can be achieved from the IDR.
Asset Segregation looks at the effective segregation of the cover pool from other
creditors, the remoteness of over-collateralisation from creditor claims and also
considers clawback, co-mingling and set-off risk.
Liquidity Gaps analysis is two-fold, making a macro assessment of market
liquidity and timing for potential portfolio sales, while also considering liquidity
gaps at the programme level with the effectiveness of asset-liability mechanisms
(i.e. pass-through structures, extendable bond maturities, liquidity guidelines,
marching of assets/substitute assets).
Alternative Management looks to the process governing the appointment of a
substitute manager, along with the time taken to affect such a process.
Furthermore, the Agency considers the availability of suitable replacements in a
given market, along with the potential for conflicts of interest.
Oversight considers the importance of covered bonds to a particular market, and
the regulatory involvement in monitoring and supervising covered bonds.
Privileged Derivatives considers how vulnerable programmes with privileged
hedging agreements are to the default of the issuer.
Table 3: Maximum achievable rating based on PD (Stage 1)
D-factor
IDR 100% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 14% 10% 5% 0%
AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA
AA+ AA+ AA+ AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA
AA AA AA+ AA+ AA+ AA+ AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA
AA- AA- AA AA AA+ AA+ AA+ AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA
A+ A+ AA- AA- AA- AA AA AA+ AA+ AAA AAA AAA
A A A+ AA- AA- AA AA AA+ AA+ AAA AAA AAA
A- A- A A+ A+ AA- AA- AA AA+ AA+ AAA AAA
BBB+ BBB+ A- A A+ A+ AA- AA AA+ AA+ AAA AAA
BBB BBB BBB+ BBB+ A- A A+ AA- AA AA AA+ AAA
BBB- BBB- BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB+ A A+ AA- AA AAA
BB+ BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB- BBB BBB BBB+ A- A AA- AAA
BB BB BB+ BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB BBB BBB+ A- AA- AAA
BB- BB- BB BB BB+ BB+ BBB- BBB BBB BBB+ A AAA
B+ B+ BB- BB BB BB+ BB+ BBB- BBB BBB A- AAA
B B B+ BB- BB- BB BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB BBB+ AAA
B- B- B B+ BB- BB- BB BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB+ AAA
CCC/+ CCC/+ B- B B+ BB- BB- BB BB+ BBB- BBB AAA
Source: Fitch Ratings
Stage 2 involves assessing the highest level of stress that the over-collateralisation in
the cover pool can withstand while still maintaining timely interest and principal
payments in a wind-down scenario. The pool is assessed under economic downturn
conditions, and compares the stressed cashflows from the cover pool to the payments
required to be made on the covered bonds themselves. Over-collateralisation is key
to the rating since it is the only form of credit-enhancement available to covered
bond investors.
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For institutions rated at least F2, the lowest level of over-collateralisation during
the last twelve months
For institutions rated F3 or below, the minimum level of over-collateralisation
required by legislation
To achieve this analysis, the Agency runs scenario analysis from the highest
achievable rating under Stage 1, down to the IDR. If over-collateralisation is
insufficient to avoid a payment default on the covered bonds in the first scenario at
the cap rating, the test is re-run again at each rating down to the IDR. The first rating
where over-collateralisation is sufficient to support the payments required under the
programme, is the rating under Stage 2.
Stage 3 is to recognise the positive impact of higher recoveries from the underlying
collateral in the cover pool. Recoveries are calculated by comparing the NPV of
cashflows from the cover pool against the NPV of privileged liabilities (the covered
bonds themselves along with privileged swaps).
Definitions
Fitch defines loans as commercial real estate exposures if they are secured on
property types which include office, retail or industrial, alongside exposures to multi-
family housing units and more specialised property types such as hotels. Multi-
property (>4 units) buy-to-let loans are also considered under this approach.
Approach
Fitch requires loan level data analysis to be conducted to most accurately capture the
risk of commercial property portfolios. Should loan level data be unavailable, the
Agency will apply the most conservative assumptions when modeling. Calculations
are then conducted on the default likelihood and recovery rate of each exposure, and
rolled up into a total commercial property default and recovery rating.
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Moodys
The following is a synopsis of the methodology used by Moodys to rate covered
bonds. For a complete overview of the Agencys approach, please see Moodys
Rating Approach to Covered Bonds, published 4th March 2010.
Moodys employs a joint default methodology, capturing both the credit strength of
the issuing bank along with that of the cover pool. The rating of the issuing bank is
the starting point of the Agencys analysis, with the final rating of the covered bond
programme determined by the quality of the collateral pool, the strength of the legal
framework under which the programme is issued, and any other pertinent contractual
commitments. Similar to its approach to other asset classes, the Agency uses an
Expected Loss approach, combining the issuer PD based on the senior unsecured
rating and the expected LGD to CB investors in the event of such a default.
Moodys uses a four-stage process for determining its covered bond ratings, looking
first at the rating of the issuer, followed by consideration around the credit quality of
the cover pool, modeling refinancing risks and finally computing market risks.
Similar to the approach of the other agencies, analysis starts at the rating of the
issuer. Step 2 results in the analysis of the pool on either a loan-by-loan or stratified
basis. A collateral score is given to act as a guide to the strength of the cover pool,
considering the amount of collateral that can be refinanced at different rating levels
and the amount of collateral written off on issuer default. The higher the collateral
score, the higher the risk-free credit enhancement required by the programme (i.e. a
lower collateral score implies higher collateral quality). Collateral scores can be
reduced based on the (lower) correlation between the cover pool and the issuer itself.
Step 3 involves the modeling of refinancing risks, owing to the fact that natural
amortisation of the pool is likely to be insufficient to meet the repayment profile of
the programme. Moodys looks to the securitisation market to calculate the discount
that should be applied to the cover pool when calculating a stress refinancing margin.
Finally, under Step 4, the agency looks to calculate market risks post-default of the
issuer.
Moodys also utilises a metric called the Timely Payment Indicator (or TPI), which is
used in conjunction with the issuers rating to calculate the final covered bond
programme rating. The TPI is designed to capture an assessment of the timeliness of
payment of interest and principal following issuer default. TPI drivers are split over
five categories, as follows:
Legislation/contract considerations
Hedging considerations
Asset type considerations
Nature of liabilities considerations
Other considerations
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on the calculated percentage, the programme will sit in one of four available
classification buckets.
Rated covered bonds will therefore benefit from a minimum three notch uplift over
the issuers own rating, and a maximum seven notch upgrade. For programmes
without ALMM risk, such as pass-through bonds, a covered bonds rating is
unconstrained by the issuers rating.
Step 2 allocates programmes into one of three categories based primarily on their
jurisdiction of issuance.
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Step 4 involves the modeling of revised collateral pool market values based on
stressed asset spreads. These are used to calculate the expected proceeds to the
programme if it borrowed or sold assets, allowing the Agency to calculate the
required level of over-collateralisation required to support the maximum rating uplift.
Asset market values are calculated using spread shocks, whereby the NPV of
projected asset cashflows is based on stressed discount margins (taken from
securitisation market pricing).
Counterparty criteria
S&P is currently continuing to review the feedback on its proposed update of its
covered bond counterparty and supporting obligations methodology and
assumptions as at 15th August 2011.
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AAA to A A- to BBB-
>10 derivative
Bucket 1 counterparties No adjustment No adjustment AAA to AA-
And
No adjustment Minus 1 notch A+ to A
<30% Single
Counterparty
Minus 1 notch Minus 2 notches A- to BBB-
Concentration
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Issuer Profiles
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0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 25: Austrian real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 26: Austrian unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 6
4 5
2
4
0
3
-2
-4 2
Unemployment
-6 1
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 27: Austrian CPI and base rate, % Figure 28: Austrian consumer confidence, balance of survey
5 Inflation Base rate
20 Cons. Confidence
4 15
3 10
5
2 0
1 -5
-10
0 -15
-1 -20
-25
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 29: Austrian outstanding mortgage stock (mm) and annual Figure 30: Austrian average mortgage rate, %
change, % (RHS) 7 Avg mortgage rate
90,000 Outstanding mortgage stock Annual change in mtge stock (RHS) 30% 6
80,000 5
25%
70,000
4
60,000 20%
50,000 3
15%
40,000 2
30,000 10% 1
20,000
5% 0
10,000
Jul-03
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Jul-08
Jul-09
Jul-10
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
0 0%
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Source: ECB
Source: ECB
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PBT 3.2 32
Taxes 0.3 7
Net profit (loss) 2.9 25
Source: Annual report 2010
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8,000
10,000
6,000
4,000 5,000
2,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 33: Canada real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 34: Canada unemployment level and mortgage arrears (RHS),
8 Real GDP growth %
6 Unemployment Mortgage arrears (RHS)
10 0.50
4 9 0.45
2 8 0.40
0 7 0.35
-2 6 0.30
-4 5 0.25
-6 4 0.20
-8 3 0.15
-10 2 0.10
1 0.05
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
0 0.00
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg, Canadian Banker Association
Figure 35: Canada CPI and base rate, % Figure 36: Canada consumer confidence index, #
7 Inflation Base rate
120 Cons. Confidence
6
5 100
4
3 80
2 60
1
0 40
-1 20
-2
0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 37: Canada house price growth, % Figure 38: Canada housing permits issued and housing starts index
(RHS), #
14 House price growth 8,000 Housing permits Housing starts index (RHS) 350
12 7,000 300
10
6,000 250
8
6 5,000
200
4 4,000
2 150
3,000
0 100
2,000
-2
-4 1,000 50
-6 0 0
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 7,263,524,927
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 5,065,970,000
Asset percentage (in %) 95.0
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Gareth Davies, CFA Europe Credit Research
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As treasurer, Caisse Centrale Desjardins develops and PBT -45 164 187
Taxes -8 37 45
implements liquidities and asset liability management Net profit (loss) -37 127 142
strategies for the Group. Caisse Centrale is also Source: Bloomberg
responsible for meeting the liquidity needs of the Group,
as well as increasing and diversifying its sources of funds Table 39: Key balance sheet figures, CADmm
on national and international markets.
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 14,781 13,080 15,946
As the financial agent for Desjardins Group, Caisse Total Assets 25,335 22,597 26,900
Centrale Desjardins represents the caisses within the Deposits 16,310 14,836 18,754
Short-term borrowings 943 1,154 1,565
Canadian Payments Association. On behalf of the Group, Other short-term
Caisse Centrale guarantees and assumes the clearing for borrowings 3,163 2,554 2,930
banking instruments with the Bank of Canada, and for Equity 1,262 1,328 1,647
securities negotiated in Canada with the Canadian Source: Bloomberg
Depository for Securities.
Table 40: Select financial metrics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 1.0 1.3 1.1
ROA -0.2 0.5 0.6
ROE -3.2 9.8 9.6
ROC 5.0
C:I 29.9 29.2
Core Capital 15.4 17.6
Source: Bloomberg
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 1,210,672,719
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 987,200,000
Asset percentage (in %) 93.5
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 14,041,818,110
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 9,654,325,000
Asset percentage (in %) 92.9
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 12,824,298,714
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 7,806,003,000
Asset percentage (in %) 91.8
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 8,957,319,054
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 6,158,000,000
Asset percentage (in %) 95.0
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Toronto Dominion Bank Table 59: Key balance sheet figures, CADmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: TD) Commercial Loans 71,160 87,322 91,072
Snapshot Consumer Loans 150,000 168,174 181,257
TD Bank Financial Group offers a full range of financial Loans 219,624 253,128 270,020
Total Assets 563,214 557,219 619,545
products and services ranging from personal and Deposits 375,694 391,034 429,971
commercial banking and wealth management to Short-term borrowings 37,172 34,113 49,121
insurance and wholesale banking. The group caters to Other short-term
borrowings 28,761 29,813 37,642
over 19 million customers worldwide. Long-term borrowings 13,330 13,278 12,506
Equity 33,784 40,829 44,377
The Group is structured along four key business lines: Source: Bloomberg
Canadian Personal & Business Banking including TD
Canada Trust, TD Commercial Banking, TD Financing Table 60: Select financial metrics
Services and TD Insurance; Wealth Management FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
including TD Waterhouse, TD Wealth Management, TD NIM 2.2 2.5 2.4
Asset Management and TD Ameritrade; Whole Banking ROA 0.8 0.5 0.8
ROE 14.9 9.1 12.0
and US Personal & Commercial Banking. ROC 4.9 3.7 4.9
C:I 64.4 66.2 62.2
The bank operates mostly in its core markets of Canada Core Capital 9.8 11.3 12.2
and the USA and as of April 2011 it had CDN $630 Source: Bloomberg
billion in assets. TD also ranks among the worlds
leading online financial services firms, with
approximately 7 million online customers.
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size (CAD) 8,242,366,078
Outstanding liabilities (in CAD) 2,079,000,000
Asset percentage (in %) 95.0
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 41: Danish real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 42: Danish unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 7
Unemployment
4 6
2 5
0 4
-2 3
-4 2
-6 1
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 43: Danish CPI and base rate, % Figure 44: Danish consumer confidence, balance of survey
5 15
Cons. Confidence
5 Inflation Base rate
4 10
4 5
3
3 0
2
2 -5
1 -10
1
0 -15
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 45: Danish house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 46: Danish housing starts, #
30% 40,000
OECD HP nominal growth Housing starts (sum of prev. 12 mths)
25% 35,000
20%
30,000
15%
10% 25,000
5% 20,000
0% 15,000
-5%
-10% 10,000
-15% 5,000
-20% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Jan-00
Jan-01
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Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
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The lender finances its lending activity using covered Table 66: Covered bond characteristics
bonds and mortgage bonds, depending on the type of As at 31 March 2011
collateral requiring funding. BRF adheres to the general S/M/F
balance principle, with bonds being full recourse Covered Bond rating: Capital Centre E (SDO) -/Aa2/-
obligations on BRF Kredit. Mortgage bonds are Covered Bond rating: Capital Centre B (RO) -/Aa3/-
Covered Bond rating: General Capital Centre (RO) -/Aa3/-
supported by a cover pool of assets, either from a specific Issuer rating -/Baa3/-
capital centre or by the remaining assets of BRF Kredit
(General Capital Centre). Total Cover Pool Balance (DKK bn) 207
WA Loan Balance (DKK) 1,610,444
No. of Loans: 128,536
Financial performance WA LTV (in %):
We set out below some of the key financial performance ARM (in %): 59
metrics: Fixed rate mortgages (in %) 22
Capped mortgages (in %): 10
Table 63: Key profit & loss figures, DKKmm Private housing (in %): 47
Copenhagen concentration (in %): 48
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 1,554 1,747 1,644 Source: Investor Report
Provisions for loan
losses 647 2,125 471
NII less provisions 907 -378 1,173 Table 67: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Commissions & fee Current LTV ranges As at 31 March 2011
income 192 266 167
0-<=40% 19
Other operating
>40%-<=60% 22
income 34 8 9
>60%-<=80% 29
Non-interest expense 1,063 1,098 857
>80%-<=100% 20
Operating profit (loss) -576 -852 17
>100% 10
PBT -575 -858 21
Taxes -75 -237 7
Net profit (loss) -500 -621 14 Source: Investor report. All loans
Source: Bloomberg
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Source: Bloomberg
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Source: Moodys
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
Source: Bloomberg
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Source: Bloomberg
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Source: Bloomberg
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 49: Dutch real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 50: Dutch unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 8 Unemployment
4 7
6
2 5
0 4
-2 3
2
-4 1
-6 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 51: Dutch CPI and base rate, % Figure 52: Dutch consumer confidence, balance of survey
5.0 Inflation Base rate 40 Cons. Confidence
4.5 30
4.0 20
3.5 10
3.0 0
2.5
-10
2.0
1.5 -20
1.0 -30
0.5 -40
0.0 -50
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Figure 53: Dutch house price growth, % Figure 54: Dutch outstanding mortgages (mm) and annual growth of
mortgage stock, %
25% House price growth 250,000 Annual owner occ.dwelli ng transactions
20%
200,000
15%
10% 150,000
5% 100,000
0%
50,000
-5%
-10% 0
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
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Table 97: Key profit & loss figures, mm Top regional concentrations
Zuid-Holland 21.9
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Noord-Holland 20.3
Net interest income 4,512 4,268 4,905 Noord-Brabant 15.5
Provisions for loan
losses 0 0 0 Source: Investor Report
NII less provisions 4,512 4,268 4,905
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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At the end of 2009, ING announced that it will proceed Cover pool overview
with a gradual separation of its banking and insurance We set out below some of the key cover pool
businesses, to be completed by the end of 2013, in order characteristics:
to provide more efficient and agile operations.
Table 106: Covered bond characteristics
The ING covered bond programme is backed by Dutch As at 31 July 2011
residential mortgages, and is registered with the Dutch S/M/F
central bank. Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
Issuer rating A+/Aa3/A+
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Table 113: Key profit & loss figures, mm Interest only (in %) 82.4
Savings mtges (in %) 10.5
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 National mortgage guarantee (in %) 15.0
Net interest income 773 672 918 Highest regional concentration (in %) Limburg 17.2
Provisions for loan
losses 0
NII less provisions 773 672 918 Source: Investor Report
Commissions & fee
income 152 136 138 Table 117: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Other operating income 2 1 4
Non-interest expense 773 1,197 622 Current LTV ranges As at 30 June
Operating profit (loss) 418 2011
PBT 183 -99 -532 0-<=40% 4.4
Taxes 36 -1 -101 >40%-<=50% 4.3
Net profit (loss) 147 -98 -431 >50%-<=60% 7.4
>60%-<=70% 12.0
>70%-<=80% 18.7
Source: Annual Report
>80%-<=90% 6.6
>90%-<=100% 9.1
Table 114: Key balance sheet figures, mm >100% 37.6
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Source: Investor Report
Loans 68,577 70,194 65,013
Total Assets 76,695 80,289 78,918
Deposits 21,859 24,435 37,880
Short-term borrowings 16,675 16,954 5,118
Other ST borrowings 323
Long-term borrowings 30,282 30,739 29,523
Equity 2,404 2,434 1,836
Source: Annual Report
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3,000 6,000
2,000 4,000
1,000 2,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 57: Finnish real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 58: Finnish unemployment level, %
8 Real GDP growth 12 Unemployment
6
4 10
2 8
0
-2 6
-4
-6 4
-8 2
-10
-12 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 59: Finnish CPI and base rate, % Figure 60: Finnish consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate 25 Cons. Confidence
5 20
4 15
3
10
2
5
1
0 0
-1 -5
-2 -10
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Figure 61: Finnish house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 62: Finnish construction & production index, #
14% OECD HP nominal growth 160 OECD Construction production index
12% 140
10%
8% 120
6% 100
4%
2% 80
0% 60
-2% 40
-4%
-6% 20
-8% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
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Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank plc Table 120: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: AKTIA) Loans 5,426 6,061 6,592
Snapshot Total Assets 9,540 10,556 11,249
Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank plc (Aktia MB) is a Deposits 3,098 3,029 3,397
Short-term borrowings 1,917 1,724 960
Finnish credit institution, specialising in mortgage loans. Other ST borrowings 3 19 158
The bank grants loans to both individuals and housing Long-term borrowings 2,366 3,000 3,638
corporations, and is regulated by the Finnish Mortgage Equity 317 466 497
Bank Act. The institution is owned by Aktia Bank plc Source: Bloomberg
(49.9% of equity, 70% voting rights), 31 savings banks
(37.9%, 20%) and 36 local co-operative banks (12.2%, Table 121: Select financial metrics
10%). Aktia Group is the fourth largest banking group in FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Finland, acting as the central financial institution for NIM 1.28 1.67 1.50
ROA 0.06 0.34 0.51
independent savings and cooperative banks. ROE 1.68 9.45 12.52
ROC 0.14 0.69 1.13
Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank plc mortgages are C:I 99.70 66.30 63.90
Core capital 9.30 9.50 10.10
distributed through the branch networks of the co-
Source: Bloomberg
operating banks. Eligible cover pool collateral is
restricted to first-lien Finnish residential mortgages.
Cover pool overview
Furthermore, the originator has committed to a
mandatory over-collateralisation level of 8.5%. The bank We set out below some of the key cover pool
funds its activities predominantly by issuing covered characteristics:
bonds, with short-term funding coming from a credit
Table 122: Covered bond characteristics
facility from Aktia Bank.
As at 30 June 2011
S/M/F
Financial performance
Covered bond rating -/Aa1/-
We set out below some of the key financial performance Issuer rating (Aktia Bank plc) -/A1/-
metrics:
mm
Mortgages 3,532
Table 119: Key profit & loss figures, mm Substitute collateral 163
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Collateral pool 3,694
Net interest income 129 102 153
LTV <60% 2,541
Provisions for loan
LTV 60-70% 132
losses 0 1 32
LTV 70-85% G'teed by Republic of Finland 93
NII less provisions 128 102 121
WA LTV (%) 56.1
Comm.& fee income 57 51 61
Average loan size () 78,500
Other operating
WA Margin (bp) 78.2
income 37 -30 33
Non-interest expense 171 120 169
Operating profit (loss) 54 0 47 Source: Investor Report
PBT 66 7 47
Taxes 13 1 13
Net profit (loss) 52 5 34
Source: Bloomberg
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FY 2010
Source: Investor Report. J.P. Morgan estimates
Net interest income 961
Provisions for loan
losses 2 Table 132: Pool B: Covered bond characteristics
NII less provisions 959 As at 31 March 2011
S/M/F
Comm.& fee income 606
Covered bond rating AAA/Aaa/-
Other operating
Issuer rating (Pohjola Bank plc) AA-/Aa2/AA-
income 49
Non-interest expense 1,010
mm
Operating profit (loss) 1,291
Mortgages n/a
Substitute collateral n/a
PBT 1,066
Collateral pool 1,800
Taxes 268
Covered bonds in issue 1,000
Net profit (loss) 798
Source: Bloomberg LTV <60% 1,760
LTV >60% (JPM estimate) 40
Table 129: Key balance sheet figures, mm
WA LTV (%) 56.0
FY 2010 Average loan size () 66,000
Total Assets 285,409
Deposits 55,552 Source: Investor Report. J.P. Morgan estimates
Short-term borrowings 60,493
Other ST borrowings
Long-term borrowings 21,975
Equity 10,858
Source: Bloomberg
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Sampo Housing Loan Bank Table 135: Sampo Bank plc: Select financial metrics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: DANBNK) NIM n/a n/a n/a
Snapshot ROA 2.90 2.68 3.91
Sampo Housing Loan Bank plc (SHLB) is a wholly ROE 10.92 10.47 13.38
ROC 9.44 9.08 11.68
owned subsidiary of Sampo Bank plc and is constituted C:I n/a n/a n/a
with the sole purpose of funding mortgages through the Core capital n/a n/a n/a
issuance of covered bonds. Sampo Bank plc is the third Source: Bloomberg
largest bank in Finland and through its Finnish parent,
Sampo Group, is in turn a part of the larger Danske Bank Cover pool overview
Bank, one of the Nordic regions largest banking groups. We set out below some of the key cover pool
characteristics:
Similar to other covered bond issuers in the country,
SHLB is regulated by Finland's Mortgage Bank Act. The Table 136: Covered bond characteristics
bank purchases mortgages from its parent company, and As at 31 December 2010
issues covered bonds under a 5bn EMTN programme. S/M/F
All other functions such as mortgage servicing are Covered bond rating -/Aaa/-
performed by Sampo Bank plc. To date, Sampo Housing Issuer rating (Sampo Bank plc) A/A1/-
Loan Bank has issued two transactions from its shelf, mm
with 2bn of bonds currently outstanding. Mortgages 2,068
Substitute collateral 96
Collateral pool 2,164
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance LTV <60% 2,018
LTV > 60% 35
metrics:
WA LTV (%) 36.2
Table 133: Sampo Bank plc: Key profit & loss figures, mm Average loan size () 48,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income Source: Investor Report
Provisions for loan
losses
NII less provisions
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Table 140: French Covered Bond legislative overview: General law based covered bonds
Attribute Commentary
Framework
Legislative Framework French Monetary and Financial Code
Types of covered bonds One
Structure of Issuer Direct issuance? No, bonds are issued by a licensed financial institution whose sole purpose is to provide financing to the
parent bank.
Comments (if any) Unlike other structured covered bond frameworks in Europe (such as the UK, Dutch or Italian ones), the
covered bonds are issued by the SPV.
Bankruptcy remoteness The French Monetary and Financial Code guarantees the bankruptcy remoteness of the Issuer in case of
insolvency of the parent. There is no acceleration upon default of the parent bank.
Dual claim In case of default of the parent, covered bonds holders have recourse to the cover pool and a residual claim
against the parent.
Bond format Typically fixed rate, soft bullet, Bonds can have an extended maturity date, generally a year after the original
maturity date.
Supervision ACP, Autorite de Controle Prudentiel
Cover pool French Banking Commission
Eligible assets Mortgage French residential mortgages, no limits on guaranteed loans.
LTV caps Soft limit of 80% LTV for residential mortgages, with hard 100% LTV limit.
Public Sector n/a
Non-performing collateral No arrears at inclusion, but no specific requirement to substitute non performing loans. These are not
accounted for in the calculation of the Asset Coverage Test.
Substitution Assets Short term (<1yr left) debt securities or long term debt securities where the issuer is rated at least AA-;
government and public entities' securities with a remaining maturity of less than 1yr that are rated AAA; Euro
or other currency, liquid RMBS with mat.<1yr rated at least AA-.
Hedging Derivatives used to hedge interest rate and currency risk.
Valuation Individual market values. If the market value of the property, only 80% of the increase is used for the
indexation; if the value has fallen, the full price change is used to calculate indexed values.
Other comments (if any)
Requirements
ALM matching Asset coverage Minimum Asset percentage of 92.5% has to be maintained. Prior to parent default, an Asset Cover test has
to be carried out and assets must be less than liabilities at all times. If the ratio is less than 1, then no further
issuance is allowed and there is a Borrower EoD but not an Issuer EoD.
Interest coverage There is also a Pre-maturity Test that checks that the originator can provide enough liquidity in case of a
downgrade; a breach constitutes a Borrower EoD.
Other (if any) Post Borrower default, an Amortisation test is carried out to ensure that the collateral is enough to pay future
liabilities. If the test fails, the representative, at its discretion or mandated by the majority of bondholder, can
ask for the acceleration of the bonds.
Consequence of breach
Monitoring An independent Asset Monitor is appointed.
Other
Compliance with EU Non UCIT- or CRD-compliant
legislation
Source: National legislation, J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research
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Mortgage Public Sector Mixed Assets 300,000 Mortgage Public Sector Mixed Assets
80,000
250,000
60,000 200,000
40,000 150,000
100,000
20,000
50,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 65: French real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 66: French unemployment level, %
5 Real GDP growth 12
4
3 10
2 8
1
0 6
-1
-2 4
Unemployment
-3 2
-4
-5 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 67: French CPI and base rate, % Figure 68: French consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate 10 Cons. Confidence
5 0
4
-10
3
-20
2
-30
1
0 -40
-1 -50
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 69: French house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 70: French dwelling sales, #
20 House price growth 40000 Dwelling sales
15 35000
10 30000
25000
5
20000
0
15000
-5 10000
-10 5000
-15 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
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Mar-11
Jul-06
Nov-06
Jul-07
Nov-07
Jul-08
Nov-08
Jul-09
Nov-09
Jul-10
Nov-10
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Cover pool
All European banking activities are coordinated by AXA Cover pool size () 1,727,618,673
Bank Europe, formerly known as AXA Bank Belgium. Number of loans 27,733
AXA Bank Europe has a market share of 8% of the Avg loan () 79,931
Belgian mortgage lending market. WA initial LTV (in %) 74.1
WA current LTV (in %) 49.2
AXA Bank Europe SCF was set up using the OF Remaining tenor (mths) 187
WA seasoning (mths) 72
structure offered by the French legislative framework. WA DTI (in %) 37.4
The assets of the SCF are AAA-rated RMBS bonds Source: Investor Report
backed by a portfolio of prime Belgian residential loans
originated and serviced by AXA Bank Europe. Table 144: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Current LTV ranges As at June 2011
Financial performance 0-<=40% 37.6
We set out below some of the key financial performance >40%-<=50% 15.2
>50%-<=60% 14.0
metrics: >60%-<=70% 12.5
>70%-<=80% 10.5
Table 141: Key profit & loss figures AXA Bank Europe, mm >80%-<=90% 6.3
>90%-<=100% 3.8
FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 224 235 Source: Investor Report
8 5
Comm.& fee income 216 229
Other operating
income
Non-interest expense 36 40
Operating profit (loss) 30 40
271 301
PBT 8 53
Taxes
Net profit (loss) -14 -14
Source: Annual report 2010
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BNP Paribas Home Loan SFH Table 151: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: BNPPCB) Loans 494,401 678,766 684,686
Snapshot Total Assets 2,075,551 2,057,698 1,998,158
The BNP Paribas Group was created ten years ago Deposits 413,955 604,903 580,913
Short-term borrowings 1,286,572 1,021,434 980,082
through the merger of Banque Nationale de Paris and Other ST borrowings 87,405 77,187 68,974
Paribas. Since then it has continued its expansion by Long-term borrowings 131,295 153,347 148,549
acquiring BNL, the sixth largest Italian bank, and 75% of Equity 58,968 80,344 85,630
Fortis Bank in Belgium and 66% of BGL in Source: Bloomberg
Luxembourg.
Table 152: Select financial metrics
The group focuses on retail banking, corporate and FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
investment banking and investment solutions, providing NIM 0.8 1.1 1.3
ROA 0.2 0.3 0.4
services to 13mm customers in its core markets of ROE 6.7 10.6 12.2
Belgium, France, Italy and Luxembourg and a further ROC 0.3 0.5 0.7
5mm in its secondary markets: the Mediterranean basin, C:I 73.1 59.3 61.4
Core capital 7.8 10.1 11.4
Eastern Europe and the USA. Alongside the retail
Source: Bloomberg
banking operations, the group also provides specialised
financial services, including consumer credit and
Cover pool overview
mortgages (BNP Paribas Personal Finance), leasing
(BNP Paribas Leasing Solutions) and corporate vehicle We set out below some of the key cover pool
management (Arval). Significant business lines also exist characteristics:
in Corporate & Investment Banking (BNP Paribas CIB)
Table 153: Covered bond characteristics
and Investment Solutions (Private Banking, Asset
Management, Securities Services and Insurance amongst As at July 2011
others). Ratings S/M/F
Covered bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
Issuer rating AA/Aa2/AA-
The bank switched from structured covered bonds to OH
covered bonds in 2011 for part of its funding needs. Cover pool
Cover pool size () 34,200,106,112
Number of loans 345,931
Financial performance Avg loan () 98,864
We set out below some of the key financial performance WA current LTV (in %) 68.2
metrics: WA current indexed LTV (in %) 62.0
Remaining tenor (mths) 186.9
Table 150: Key profit & loss figures, mm WA seasoning (mths) 48.7
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97
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Crdit Agricole Home Loans SFH Table 174: Key balance sheet figures CA S.A., mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: ACACB) Consumer Loans 349,037 344,515 364,725
Snapshot Loans 349,037 362,348 383,246
The Credit Agricole Group offers retail banking and Total Assets 1,653,220 1,557,342 1,593,529
Deposits 421,411 464,080 501,360
corporate and investment baking products and specialised Short-term borrowings 171,749 341,064 353,872
financial services. The group operates globally through Other ST borrowings 588,921 99,631 67,971
70 countries and catering to 54mm customers worldwide, Long-term borrowings 222,083 378,779 353,875
Equity 47,336 51,964 52,149
although its core markets are France, Italy and Greece.
Source: Bloomberg
Cover Pool
The bank switched from structured CB to OH for part of Cover pool size () 29,728,482,533
its funding needs. Number of loans 855,908
Avg loan () 34,733
Financial performance WA current LTV (in %) 61.4
We set out below some of the key financial performance WA current indexed LTV (in %) 54.5
metrics: Remaining tenor (mths) 155
WA seasoning (mths) 80
Table 173: Key profit & loss figures CA S.A., mm Owner occupied property (in %) 83.0
Buy-to-let (in %) 13.9
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Employed borrower (in %) 66.3
Net interest income 12,113 14,290 14,894 Self-employed borrower (in %) 18.3
Provisions for loan
losses 2,806 4,526 3,205 Source: Investor Report
NII less provisions 9,307 9,764 11,689
Table 177: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Comm.& fee income 9,309 9,798 10,775
Other operating Current LTV ranges As at June 2011
income 8,075 -6,179 -5,108 0-<=40% 18.1
Non-interest expense 17,905 17,367 19,638 >40%-<=50% 11.4
Operating profit (loss) 184 1,093 2,980 >50%-<=60% 14.7
>60%-<=70% 17.3
PBT 1,200 1,657 2,629 >70%-<=80% 16.7
Taxes -66 211 877 >80%-<=90% 12.4
Net profit (loss) 1,024 1,125 1,263 >90%-<=100% 9.4
Source: Bloomberg Source: Investor Report
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Crdit Mutuel Arka Home Loans SFH Table 179: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: CMACB) Loans 29,356 30,863 35,902
Snapshot Total Assets 69,059 72,362 78,747
Crdit Mutuel Arka is a cooperative credit union formed Deposits 20,131 21,168 23,657
Short-term borrowings 4,080 5,700 5,556
by the federations of Crdit Mutuel du Bretagne, Crdit Other ST borrowings 1,287 1,493 1,536
Mutuel du Sud-Ouest, Crdit Mutuel du Massif Central Equity 2,818 3,507 3,777
and around 20 other specialised lenders, for a total of Source: Annual report 2010
around 600 local saving banks and branches, serving
3.1mm customers, mostly in the Brittany (24% market Table 180: Select financial metrics
share of deposit-taking and 27% market share in retail FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
loans), South West (7% market share for both deposits ROE 1.1 5.9 8.4
and retail loans) and Massive Central (2% market share Core capital 12.5 11.3
for both deposits and retail lending) regions. Source: Annual report 2010
CM Arkeas loan book is 54% residential loans, 11% Cover pool overview
consumer loans and 20% SME/corporate loans. In order We set out below some of the key cover pool
to expand and further diversify its activities and characteristics:
geographical exposure, CM Arkea has set up subsidiaries
and developed partnerships with a national reach and Table 181: Covered bond characteristics
offering internet deposit-taking services, consumer As at June 2011
lending outside of the core regions and insurance and Ratings S/M/F
Covered bond rating AAA/-/-
asset management services. Issuer rating A+/-/-
The bank has recently moved from structured covered Cover pool
bonds to an SFH programme with a maximum size of Cover pool size () 4,686,365,979
Number of loans 92,815
10bn for part of its funding needs. This reduced Avg loan () 68,117
refinancing risk for the issuer and increased credit quality
for investors. WA current LTV (in %) 69.0
WA current indexed LTV (in %) 65.0
Remaining tenor (mths) 166
Financial performance WA seasoning (mths) 46
We set out below some of the key financial performance Owner occupied property (in %) 85.0
metrics: Buy-to-let (in %) 11.7
Employed borrower (in %) 67.2
Table 178: Key profit & loss figures, mm Self-employed borrower (in %) 14.1
Unemployed borrower (in %) 1.5
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Source: Investor Report
Net interest income 473 610 660
Comm.& fee income 474 429 466 Table 182: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Other operating Current LTV ranges As at June 2011
income 3,588 5,350 4,438 0-<=40% 18.7
Non-interest expense 4,307 971 1,089
>40%-<=50% 9.0
Operating profit (loss) 44 200 347 >50%-<=60% 10.8
>60%-<=70% 12.3
PBT 78 208 341 >70%-<=80% 14.4
Taxes 27 46 48
>80%-<=90% 17.8
Net profit (loss) 31 161 293 >90%-<=100% 16.9
Source: Annual report 2010
Source: Investor Report
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Crdit Mutuel-CIC Home Loans SFH Table 184: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: CMCICB) Real Estate Loans 155,205 159,402 171,483
Snapshot Loans 295,837 304,511 323,065
CM10-CIC is a group of 10 regional Crdit Mutuel (CM) Total Assets 581,709 579,038 591,309
Deposits 196,507 218,431 237,402
regional banks. It is the 5th largest bank by equity and Short-term borrowings 56,349 40,065 28,509
the 3rd largest retail banking franchise in France. At the Other ST borrowings 27,354 16,738 16,619
end of 2009, it had market share of 12% and 17% for Long-term borrowings 191,258 173,301 168,805
Equity 25,036 30,619 33,388
deposits and loans respectively, according to Fitch
Source: Bloomberg
Ratings. CM10-CIC is part of the wider network of 18
CM regional banks, accounting for around 80% of CMs
Table 185: Select financial metrics
assets.
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 0.8 1.4 1.5
Banque Fdrative du Crdit Mutuel (BFCM) manages ROA 0.1 0.3 0.5
the general interest of the specialised branches of the ROE 1.7 6.7 9.4
group, is involved in the financing of large-scale projects ROC 0.2 0.7 1.3
C:I 78.4 63.7 64.8
and is active in the financial markets. Core capital 9.8 11.8
Source: Bloomberg
CMCIC Home Loans SFH is registered as a limited
liability company and is licensed to act as a credit Cover pool overview
institution with limited purpose. Its sole activity is to
We set out below some of the key cover pool
finance residential mortgages for CMCEE-CIC group.
characteristics:
The bank utilises an SFH structure issuing OH for part of Table 186: Covered bond characteristics
its funding needs.
As at July 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Financial performance Covered bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
We set out below some of the key financial performance Issuer rating A+/Aa3/AA-
metrics: Cover pool
Cover pool size () 28,636,976,000
Table 183: Key profit & loss figures, mm Number of loans 337,825
Avg loan () 84,769
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 3,970 7,392 8,183 WA current LTV (in %) 70.0
Provisions for loan WA current indexed LTV (in %) 63.0
losses 1,459 2,089 991 Remaining tenor (mths) 192
NII less provisions 2,511 5,303 7,192 WA seasoning (mths) 53
Comm.& fee income 3,734 4,411 4,683 Fixed rate (in %) 98.3
Other operating Owner occupied property (in %) 80.1
income 1,966 2,253 2,711 Buy-to-let (in %) 16.4
Non-interest expense 7,742 9,718 10,635 Loans with guarantor (in %) 35.4
Operating profit (loss) 362 2,835 4,187 First liens (in %) 64.6
Source: Investor Report
PBT 409 2,742 4,171
Taxes -33 860 1,145
Net profit (loss) 440 1,831 2,916 Table 187: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Source: Bloomberg Current LTV ranges As at July 2011
0-<=40% 16.9
>40%-<=50% 10.3
>50%-<=60% 13.0
>60%-<=70% 15.5
>70%-<=80% 17.8
>80%-<=90% 18.9
>90%-<=100% 0.1
Source: Investor Report
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 2,610,402,732
Number of loans 31,054
Avg loan () 84,060
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HSBC France Covered Bonds Table 199: Key balance sheet figures HSBC Group, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: HSBC3) Loans 668,579 625,379 717,018
Snapshot Total Assets 1,811,400 1,649,900 1,836,500
HSBC France (HBFR) is part of the HSBC Group, one of Deposits 799,346 808,760 918,543
Short-term borrowings 169,984 145,462 143,317
the largest banking groups globally and headquartered in Other ST borrowings 248,661 468,791 350,227
the UK. HSBC France was created by the combination of Long-term borrowings 73,125 65,441 73,181
five banks (CCF, UBP, Banque de Picardie, Banque de Equity 71,833 94,663 115,902
Baecque Beau and the Paris branches of Banque Hervet), Source: Bloomberg
which were rebranded in 2005 under the HSBC logo. It
was initially established as Banque Suisse et Francaise in Table 200: Select financial metrics
1894, later known as CCF until it was absorbed by FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
HSBC in 2000. NIM 2.2 2.2 2.0
ROA 0.2 0.2 0.5
ROE 5.1 5.1 9.5
HSBC France operates through 380 branches offering ROC 1.3 1.5 3.2
global banking and markets, asset management, C:I 53.1 47.5 55.0
Core capital 8.3 10.8 12.1
insurance and private banking services. HSBC France
Source: Bloomberg
caters mainly to wealthier clients and also focuses on
corporate and investment banking, after reducing its
Cover pool overview
exposure to the retail banking sector through the sale of
seven regional banks to Groupe BPCE in 2009. We set out below some of the key cover pool
characteristics:
The bank utilises structured covered bonds for part of
Table 201: Covered bond characteristics
its funding needs, although looks set to launch OH bonds
imminently. As at June 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Covered bond rating AAA/Aaa/-
Financial performance Issuer rating AA/Aa3/AA
We set out below some of the key financial performance
Cover pool
metrics: Cover pool size () 3,761,763,792
Number of loans 30,765
Table 198: Key profit & loss figures HSBC Group, mm Avg loan () 122,274
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 WA current LTV (in %) 68.9
Net interest income 29,272 29,379 29,876 WA current indexed LTV (in %) 58.9
Provisions for loan Remaining tenor (mths) 167
losses 17,041 19,047 10,604 WA seasoning (mths) 51
NII less provisions 12,231 10,332 19,272
Owner occupied property (in %) 72.6
Comm.& fee income 16,923 15,390 15,950 Buy-to-let (in %) 18.9
Other operating Employed (in %) 66.6
income 2,010 2,535 1,466 Self employed (in %) 20.6
Non-interest expense 29,573 27,421 31,309
Source: Investor Report
Operating profit (loss) 6,209 8,302 12,673
PBT 6,360 5,090 14,379 Table 202: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Taxes 1,920 277 3,660
Net profit (loss) 3,914 4,195 9,939 Current LTV ranges As at June 2011
0-<=40% 25.1
Source: Bloomberg >40%-<=50% 12.3
>50%-<=60% 13.2
>60%-<=70% 13.8
>70%-<=80% 13.7
>80%-<=90% 11.6
>90%-<=100% 10.3
Source: Investor Report
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Socit Gnrale SCF Table 204: Key balance sheet figures Societe Generale, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: SOCSCF) Loans 383,125 373,399 401,013
Snapshot Total Assets 1,130,003 1,023,701 1,132,072
Socit Gnrale SCF is the SCF set up by Socit Deposits 282,514 300,054 337,447
Short-term borrowings 582,835 454,701 499,547
Gnrale, one of the largest French financial institutions. Other ST borrowings 57,817 48,800 55,003
The objective of SG SCF is to provide funding for SGs Long-term borrowings 85,663 86,740 92,913
public-sector loan book. The cover pool consists entirely Equity 40,887 46,838 50,975
of loans to French public entities and the bonds issued Source: Bloomberg
are in OF form.
Table 205: Select financial metrics
SGs product offer ranges from corporate and investment FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
banking to retail banking, insurance, private finance and NIM 0.8 1.2 1.2
ROA 0.2 0.1 0.4
investment management services. ROE 7.0 2.1 10.4
ROC 0.4 0.2 0.7
On the French retail banking market the bank operates C:I 59.0 47.9 64.7
Core capital 8.8 10.7 10.6
through three distribution networks: Socit Gnrale,
Source: Bloomberg
Crdit du Nord and Boursorama Banque, an online bank.
Through these networks, the bank offers services to
Cover pool overview
almost 11mm customers. SocGen also offers
international retail banking services in 37 countries, We set out below some of the key cover pool
serving another 12mm customers. characteristics:
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Comm.& fee income 10,505 10,445 10,038 Table 211: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Other operating
Current LTV ranges As at June 2011
income 1,267 1,007 1,271
Non-interest expense 16,370 13,387 19,654 0-<=40% 27.1
Operating profit (loss) 4,316 827 5,724 >40%-<=50% 12.3
>50%-<=60% 12.5
PBT 4,008 800 5,844 >60%-<=70% 11.5
Taxes 1,235 -308 1,542 >70%-<=80% 11.3
Net profit (loss) 2,010 678 3,917 >80%-<=90% 11.5
>90%-<=100% 13.9
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Investor Report
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0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 73: German real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 74: German unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 14
4 12
2 10
0 8
-2 6
-4 4 Unemployment
-6 2
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 75: German CPI and base rate, % Figure 76: German consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate
120 Cons. Confidence
5
4 100
3 80
2 60
1 40
0
20
-1
0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 77: German nominal house price growth, % Figure 78: German residential construction orders index, #
3.5% Nominal house price growth Residential construction orders index
3.0% 180
2.5% 160
2.0% 140
1.5% 120
1.0% 100
0.5% 80
0.0%
-0.5% 60
-1.0% 40
-1.5% 20
-2.0% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
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Jan-06
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Jan-11
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The business model is made up of two segments: Table 215: Select financial metrics
Structured property financing includes the institutions FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
property financing activities as well as advisory and NIM 1.3 1.2 1.3
consulting services to clients in realising real estate ROA 0.1 0.1 0.2
ROE 3.6 3.9 5.7
projects. The Consulting/services unit of the group ROC 0.4 0.4 0.6
provides a range of services to clients in the institutional C:I 69.1 63.0 63.8
housing industry in Germany, including IT systems, Core capital 8.0 11.0 10.5
payment transactions systems and real estate portfolio Source: Bloomberg
management.
Cover pool overview
Aareal Bank operates in 25 countries in Europe, North We set out below some of the key cover pool
America and Asia, although its core market remains characteristics:
Germany, in particular in the public sector financing
business: exposures to German public entities account for Table 216: Public-sector covered bond characteristics
almost three quarters of its public sector cover pool and As at June
for 17% of its mortgage cover pool. 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Covered Bond rating -/-/AAA
Aareal Bank is an established issuer of both public sector Issuer rating -/-/A-
and mortgage Pfandbriefe, which account for the
majority of its long-term funding Cover pool
Cover pool size () 3,359,100,000
Overcollateralisation () 330,700,000
Financial performance
Borrower type (in %)
We set out below some of the key financial performance German Federal States 59.0
metrics: EU countries 24.0
German Landesbanken 8.0
Table 213: Key profit & loss figures, mm German Federal Government 6.0
Other 3.0
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 500 460 509 Risk weighting split (in %)
Prov. for loan losses 80 150 105 Solvency 0 95.0
NII less provisions 420 310 404 Solvency 20 5.0
Source: Investor report
Commission & fee inc. 211 188 187
Other operating inc. 74 30 38
Non-interest expense 471 460 477
Operating profit 103 88 129
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 10,501,900,000
Over-collateralisation () 1,805,200,000
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 11,560,000,000
Overcollateralisation (in %) 53.5
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 687,500,000
Over-collateralisation () 322,400,000
Over-collateralisation (in %) 88.3
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Table 234: Key profit & loss figures, mm Geographical split (in %)
Germany 60.0
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Austria 17.1
Net interest income 37 72 66 Hungary 5.2
Prov. for loan losses 15 24 14 Spain 4.5
NII less provisions 22 48 52 Italy 3.9
Greece 3.2
Commission & fee inc. 12 7 8 Other 6.2
Other operating inc. 22 11 7
Non-interest expense 69 64 61 Source: Investor report
Operating profit -16 -3 6
Table 238: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
PBT -12 -2 9
Taxes -25 -5 -2 As at June
Net profit (loss) 13 3 3 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Source: Bloomberg
Covered Bond rating -/-/AA-
Issuer rating -/-/BBB-
Table 235: Key balance sheet figures, mm
Cover pool
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Cover pool size () 3,309,100,000
Loans 6,901 5,632 4,968 Overcollateralisation () 590,400,000
Total Assets 15,767 11,375 9,834
Deposits 3,559 2,773 2,689 Property type (in %)
Short-term borrowings 2,732 2,094 2,070 Residential 39.0
Long-term borrowings 7,548 5,604 4,168 Office 26.3
Equity 696 696 694 Mixed Commercial 18.7
Source: Bloomberg Retail 15.3
Industrial 0.7
Source: Investor report
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With managed fund assets of about 180 billion, more Cover pool overview
than five million customer deposits and group locations We set out below some of the key cover pool
in Luxembourg and Switzerland, the DekaBank Group is characteristics:
one of the largest asset managers in Germany, with the
savings banks and Landesbanken as exclusive sales Table 242: Public-sector covered bond characteristics
partners for its products. As at June
2011
The three main lines of business are: Asset management Ratings S/M/F
this offers products based on property investments and Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/-
Issuer rating A/Aa2/-
property finance for private and institutional investors
and is the largest provider of open-ended property funds Cover pool
in Germany; Property finance - this division provides Cover pool size () 19,619,551,433
Over-collateralisation () 2,045,626,170
tailored financial solutions for professional property
investors worldwide; the Corporate& Markets business Geographical split (in %)
acts as a partner to institutional investors through lending Germany 90.7
Mixed America 3.2
and trading and sales. Great Britain 2.3
Other 3.8
Financial performance
Borrower type (in %)
We set out below some of the key financial performance Regional authorities 12.1
metrics: Local authorities 3.4
State 2.5
Other 82.0
Table 239: Key profit & loss figures, mm
Source: Investor report
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 390 453 347
Prov. for loan losses 292 352 -52 Table 243: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
NII less provisions 98 100 399 As at June
2011
Commission & fee inc. 2,706 2,280 2,443 Ratings S/M/F
Non-interest expense 2,559 2,135 2,245 Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/-
Operating profit -49 520 877 Issuer rating A/Aa2/-
PBT -65 498 849 Cover pool
Taxes 51 150 202 Cover pool size () 177,856,258
Net profit (loss) -81 386 648 Over-collateralisation () 132,856,258
Source: Bloomberg
Geographical split (in %)
Table 240: Key balance sheet figures, mm Germany 75.7
France 24.3
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 29,575 23,489 26,943 Property type (in %)
Total Assets 138,609 133,283 130,222 Office 43.7
Deposits 33,745 23,773 21,370 Retail 20.6
Short-term borrowings 21,787 14,906 18,435 Mixed commercial 8.3
Other ST borrowings 42,224 55,704 49,607 Other collateral 27.4
Long-term borrowings 37,614 35,400 36,702 Source: Investor report
Equity 3,240 3,500 4,108
Source: Bloomberg
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apoBank provides a comprehensive range of financial Table 247: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
services and is the market leader within its customer As at June
segment in the areas of lending and payment services. 2011
PBT 68 -269 30
Taxes 9 14 -23
Net profit (loss) 60 -283 53
Source: Bloomberg
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The bank is affiliated to DZ Bank Group and, outside its Geographical split (in %)
German core market, it is represented in the USA, the Germany 63.4
Spain 14.6
UK, France and Poland.
Italy 6.2
Austria 3.7
Pfandbriefe constitute the main funding channel for the Portugal 2.4
lending operations of DG Hyp, which issues both public Other 9.7
sector and mortgage Pfandbriefe. Borrower type (in %)
Central Government 8.8
Financial performance Regional authorities 33.4
Local authorities 33.2
We set out below some of the key financial performance Other 24.6
metrics: Source: Investor report
Table 252: Key profit & loss figures, mm Table 256: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 As at June
Net interest income 163 164 203 2011
Prov. for loan losses 62 125 75 Ratings S/M/F
NII less provisions 102 39 128 Covered Bond rating AAA/-/-
Issuer rating A/-/A+
Commission & fee inc. 28 30 36
Other operating inc. 9 14 15 Cover pool
Non-interest expense 157 142 109 Cover pool size () 15,721,510,000
Operating profit -129 -261 -92 Over-collateralisation (in %) 14.3
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Postbank offers its retail customers traditional banking FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 1.2 1.1 1.3
products ranging from deposit banking and lending to ROA -0.4 0.0 0.1
bonds, investment funds, insurance policies and home ROE -17.4 1.5 2.5
savings contracts. In 2006 Postbank acquired the 850 ROC -1.0 0.1 0.2
C:I 123.1 91.7 78.2
largest branches from Deutsche Post AG and created a Core capital 7.2 7.6 8.1
mobile sales team of more than 4,000 consultants Source: Bloomberg
through the acquisition of BHW. It sells its products
through a networked multi-channel platform via the Cover pool overview
Internet, by telephone, in branches. We set out below some of the key cover pool characteristics:
Postbank also offers solutions for payment transactions, Table 265: Public-sector covered bond characteristics
commercial real estate finance and traditional corporate
As at June 2011
finance to SMEs, in addition to leasing, factoring and Ratings S/M/F
extensive investment management services. Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
Issuer rating A/A1/A+
Postbank has one of the most advanced banking Cover pool
transaction platforms in Europe. In 2004, Postbank Cover pool size () 2,677,200,000
opened its new Transaction Banking business segment, Over-collateralisation (in %) 37.4
offering itself as a service provider to other financial Geographical split (in %)
services companies. Germany 66.4
Netherlands 7.5
In December 2007, Postbank received its Pfandbrief Belgium 7.5
France 7.5
license and issued its first mortgage Pfandbrief in 2008, Austria 7.5
followed by a public sector one in 2009. Italy 3.7
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Most of the lending takes the form of long-term ship Geographical split (in %)
mortgage loans and Pfandbriefe are used to fund these Germany 80.4
Italy 5.5
activities. The ship loans are mostly granted in US Austria 5.5
dollars. Poland 2.6
Other 6.1
Financial performance
Borrower type (in %)
We set out below some of the key financial performance Central Government 11.6
metrics: Regional authorities 46.0
Other 42.4
Table 267: Key profit & loss figures, mm Source: Investor report
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PBT 1 1
Taxes 0 0
Net profit (loss) 1 1
Source: Annual report 2010
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 51,332,000,000
Over-collateralisation () 9,664,000,000
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 5,989,100,000
Over-collateralisation (in %) 23.6
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Cover pool
The bank issued its first mortgage Pfandbrief in June Cover pool size () 837,440,000
2011. Over-collateralisation () 337,440,000
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Table 296: Key profit & loss figures, mm Table 300: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 As at June
Net interest income 2,294 2,778 2,163 2011
Prov. for loan losses 883 1,527 471 Ratings S/M/F
NII less provisions 1,411 1,251 1,692 Covered Bond rating -/Aaa/-
Issuer rating -/Aa2/A+
Commission & fee inc. 730 964 828
Other operating inc. 717 386 127 Cover pool
Non-interest expense 2,576 2,900 1,963 Cover pool size () 10,004,000,000
Operating profit -2,566 -203 113 Over-collateralisation () 5,320,000,000
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 3,269,554,082
Over-collateralisation () 495,002,358
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The bank is focused on three areas: the Multinational Cover pool overview
Corporate Business division offers financial services to We set out below some of the key cover pool
corporations, banks and institutional investors. The characteristics:
Private Customers & SME Business unit provides the
Sparkassen in Hesse and Thueringen with financial Table 309: Public-sector covered bond characteristics
products and services; through the Frankfurter Sparkasse, As at June
Helaba is regions market leader in retail banking. 2011
Finally, its Public Development & Infrastructure business Ratings S/M/F
finances development programmes in the states of Hesse Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
Issuer rating A/Aa2/A+
and Thueringen.
Cover pool
Pfandbriefe play an important funding role for both the Cover pool size () 20,911,500,000
Over-collateralisation () 6,040,900,000
retail and public sector lending business.
Borrower type (in %)
Financial performance Central Government 3.6
Regional authorities 18.0
We set out below some of the key financial performance Local authorities 39.1
metrics: Other 39.2
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Commission & fee inc. 9 10 Table 320: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
Other operating inc. 3 2
Non-interest expense 100 100 As at June
Operating profit 13 17 2011
Ratings S/M/F
PBT 13 17 Covered Bond rating -/Aaa/-
Taxes 2 5 Issuer rating -/A1/-
Net profit (loss) 11 11
Cover pool
Source: Bloomberg
Cover pool size () 17,440,875,000
Overcollateralisation () 1,927,940,000
Table 317: Key balance sheet figures, mm
Geographical split (in %)
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Germany 72.8
Loans 22,678 24,493 Switzerland 13.8
Total Assets 35,733 35,196 USA 9.4
Deposits 9,282 9,341 Other 4.0
Short-term borrowings 25,377 24,753
Other ST borrowings 99 99 Property type (in %)
Long-term borrowings 178 187 Residential 76.2
Equity 772 789 Office 14.8
Source: Bloomberg Retail 4.7
Industrial 0.4
Other 3.9
Source: Investor report
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 601,000,000
Over-collateralisation (in %) 446.4
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 20,961,600,000
Over-collateralisation () 6,163,200,000
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Table 332: Key profit & loss figures, mm Table 336: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 As at June
Net interest income 388 360 252 2011
NII less provisions 388 360 237 Ratings S/M/F
Covered Bond rating -/Aa1/-
Commission & fee inc. 311 257 133 Issuer rating A-/Baa1/-
Other operating inc. 26 9 8
Non-interest expense 502 504 252 Cover pool
Operating profit 211 89 71 Cover pool size () 4,550,000,000
Over-collateralisation () 1,039,900,000
PBT 171 -16 62
Taxes 64 -1 23 Geographical split (in %)
Net profit (loss) 108 -89 -80 Germany 85.9
Source: Annual report 2010
Sweden 6.2
Other 7.9
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Cover pool
HVB operates predominantly in Germany, where it offers Cover pool size () 9,197,000,000
retail and corporate banking services, as well as real Over-collateralisation () 1,673,600,000
estate financing, private banking and corporate and
investment banking services. Geographical split (in %)
Germany 97.5
Austria 2.2
Financial performance Other 0.4
We set out below some of the key financial performance Borrower type (in %)
metrics: Central Government 2.4
Regional authorities 31.3
Table 337: Key profit & loss figures, mm Local authorities 48.0
Other 18.3
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Source: Investor report
Net interest income 4,261 4,521 4,248
Prov. for loan losses 760 1,601 632
NII less provisions 3,501 2,920 3,616 Table 341: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
As at June
Commission & fee inc. 2,535 2,160 1,312 2011
Other operating inc. 147 399 239 Ratings S/M/F
Non-interest expense 4,577 4,693 3,433 Covered Bond rating -/Aa1/AAA
Operating profit -561 1,580 2,361 Issuer rating A/A1/A+
PBT -595 1,266 1,882 Cover pool
Taxes 54 382 154 Cover pool size () 31,489,700,000
Net profit (loss) -671 819 1,703 Over-collateralisation () 5,519,000,000
Source: Bloomberg
Property type (in %)
Table 338: Key balance sheet figures, mm Residential 71.0
Office 12.6
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Retail 10.1
Real estate loans 62,723 56,012 50,062 Industrial 1.9
Loans 175,518 145,919 139,351 Other 4.4
Total Assets 458,602 363,420 371,909
Deposits 114,962 96,490 108,494 Geographical split (in %)
Short-term borrowings 83,867 50,704 51,887 Germany 100.0
Other ST borrowings 171,716 130,127 136,683 Source: Investor report
Long-term borrowings 63,639 61,286 100,563
Equity 23,024 23,638 23,670
Source: Bloomberg
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Cover pool
As a Pfandbrief bank, WL Bank focuses on public-sector Cover pool size () 23,751,800,000
and real estate lending, both for commercial and Over-collateralisation () 2,293,700,000
residential use. Borrower type (in %)
Central Government 10.5
Financial performance Regional authorities 43.7
Local authorities 30.9
We set out below some of the key financial performance Other 14.8
metrics:
Geographical split (in %)
Germany 82.8
Table 351: Key profit & loss figures, mm
Spain 4.2
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Austria 4.0
Net interest income 112 106 124 Other 9.0
Prov. for loan losses 34 0 0 Source: Investor report
NII less provisions 79 106 124
Table 355: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
Commission & fee inc. 1 1 1
Other operating inc. 3 3 4 As at June
Non-interest expense 52 59 104 2011
Operating profit 30 51 25 Ratings S/M/F
Covered Bond rating AAA/-/-
PBT 30 51 25 Issuer rating A+/-/A+
Taxes 10 25 13
Net profit (loss) 20 26 11 Cover pool
Source: Bloomberg Cover pool size () 10,267,800,000
Over-collateralisation () 1,266,000,000
Table 352: Key balance sheet figures, mm
Property type (in %)
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Residential 85.6
Consumer loans 11,787 13,678 15,082 Office 5.6
Loans 20,656 23,785 26,303 Retail 6.0
Total Assets 40,576 43,380 43,931 Other 2.8
Deposits 12,888 14,344 14,553 Source: Investor report
Short-term borrowings 6,000 8,615 9,922
Other ST borrowings 125 166 142
Long-term borrowings 21,214 19,873 18,917
Equity 335 356 361
Source: Bloomberg
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5,000
5,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC, latest data available Source: ECBC, latest data available
Figure 81: Greek real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 82: Greek unemployment level, %
8 Real GDP growth 18 Unemployment
6 16
4 14
2 12
0 10
-2 8
-4 6
-6 4
-8 2
-10 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 83: Greek CPI and base rate, % Figure 84: Greek consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate
0
5 -10
4 -20
-30
3
-40
2 -50
1 -60
-70 Cons. Confidence
0
-80
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 85: Greek house price growth, % Figure 86: Greek newly built properties, #
25% House price growth (Urban areas) House price growth (Athens) 6,000 Newly built properties
20% 5,000
15%
4,000
10%
3,000
5%
0% 2,000
-5% 1,000
-10% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jun-00
Jun-01
Jun-02
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 89: Hungary real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 90: Hungary unemployment level, %
8 Real GDP growth 14 Unemployment
6 12
4
2 10
0 8
-2 6
-4
4
-6
-8 2
-10 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 91: Hungary CPI and base rate, % Figure 92: Hungary consumer confidence index, #
14 Inflation Base rate
0
12
-10
10 Cons. Confidence
-20
8 -30
6 -40
4 -50
2 -60
-70
0
-80
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 93: Hungary house price growth, % Figure 94: Hungary building permits, sum of previous 12mths, #
30% House price growth 30,000 Building permits (of previo us 12mths)
25%
25,000
20%
15% 20,000
10%
15,000
5%
0% 10,000
-5%
5,000
-10%
-15% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
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159
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15,000 60,000
10,000 40,000
5,000 20,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 97: Irish real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 98: Irish unemployment level, %
15 Real GDP growth 16
14 Unemployment
10 12
10
5
8
0 6
4
-5
2
-10 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Source: Bloomberg
Figure 99: Irish CPI and base rate, % Figure 100: Irish consumer confidence, balance of survey
8 Inflation Base rate
140 Cons. Confidence
6
4 120
2 100
0 80
-2 60
-4 40
-6
20
-8
0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
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Mar-03
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Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 101: Irish house price growth, % Figure 102: Irish residential planning permissions, #
25 House price growth 8,000 Planning permissions
20 7,000
15 6,000
10
5 5,000
0 4,000
-5 3,000
-10 2,000
-15
-20 1,000
-25 0
Mar-00
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AIB Mortgage Bank (AIBMB) Table 374: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2010
(BBG: AIB) Total Assets 36,983
Snapshot Deposits 27,333
AIB Mortgage Bank (AIBMB) is a DCI under the Irish Short-term borrowings
Other ST borrowings
ACS legislation, and a wholly owned subsidiary of Long-term borrowings
Allied Irish Banks Plc (AIB'). AIBMBs principal Equity 423
purpose is to issue ACS backed by mortgage loans on Source: Annual Report
residential property. These loans may be made directly
by the bank itself (AIB transferred its Irish branch- Cover pool overview
originated residential mortgage business to AIBMB in We set out below some of the key cover pool
2006), sourced from other subsidiaries of AIB Group or characteristics:
third parties.
Table 375: Covered bond characteristics
Most of the banks activities are outsourced to AIB under As at 30 June 2011
an outsourcing and agency agreement, with AIB Ratings
originating residential mortgage loans through its branch Covered bond rating A/Baa3/A
network, servicing the mortgage loans, providing Parent rating BB/Ba2/BBB
Fitch D:factor 70.0%
treasury services and a range of other support services. Moody's TPI Very Improbable
The bank's activities are financed through the issuance of
MCS, a mortgage-backed promissory note facility with Cover pool
Mortgage balance (bn) 20.5
the central bank and Irish FSA, and the balance by AIB Bonds outstanding (bn) 13.3
plc. OC ACS (%) 26.3
OC nominal (%) 54.9
AIB acquired EBS Building Society (now called EBS # mortgages 132,052
Limited) in July 2011, and remains majority owned by Avg loan balance 155,411
the Irish government. WA Unindexed LTV (%) 67.9
WA Indexed LTV (%) 91.8
Indexed LTV>80% 58.0
Financial performance Indexed LTV>90% 49.0
We set out below some of the key financial performance Indexed LTV>100% 38.0
metrics: Asset seasoning 54.3
Table 373: Key profit & loss figures, mm Owner occupied 74.0
Second homes 1.0
FY 2010 BTL 25.0
Net interest income 215 Dublin 36.0
Provisions for loan Other 64.0
losses 344
NII less provisions -129
Source: Investor Report
Comm.& fee income
Other operating income 0
Non-interest expense 144
Operating profit (loss) 72
PBT -316
Taxes -37
Net profit (loss) 277
Source: Annual Report
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Bank of Ireland Mortgage Bank Table 377: Key balance sheet figures, mm
(BoIMB) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 19,346 20,505 20,830
(BBG: BKIR) Total Assets 27,475 36,161 36,276
Snapshot Deposits 0 0
Short-term borrowings 19,383 21,663 22,704
Bank of Ireland Mortgage Bank (BoIMB) was Other ST borrowings 26 19 118
established in 2004 as a DCI under the Irish ACS Long-term borrowings 7,224 13,683 12,725
legislation, and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Equity 763 794 718
Source: Annual Report
Governor & Company of the Bank of Ireland (BoI). In
June 2004, BoI transferred its Irish residential mortgage
Table 378: Select financial metrics
business and substantially all of its Irish residential
mortgage loans to BoIMB, whose main activities are the FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 1.7 0.6
issuance of residential MCS. Portfolios of mortgages can ROA 0.1 - 0.0
be directly originated, acquired from other parts of the ROE 4.0 - 7.6
BoI group or third parties. ROC 0.1
C:I 13.8 13.3
Core capital
As for AIB, most of the banks activities are outsourced
Source: Annual Report
to BoI under an outsourcing and agency agreement, with
BoI originating residential mortgage loans through its Cover pool overview
branch network, servicing the mortgage loans, providing
We set out below some of the key cover pool
treasury services and a range of other support services.
characteristics:
The bank's activities are financed through the issuance of
MCS, a mortgage-backed promissory note facility with Table 379: Covered bond characteristics
the central bank and Irish FSA, and the balance by BoI
As at 30 June 2011
plc.
Ratings
Covered bond rating -/Baa3/-
Bank of Ireland remains in the private sector. Parent rating BB+/Ba2/BBB
Fitch D:factor n/a
Moody's TPI Very Improbable
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance Cover pool
metrics: Mortgage balance (bn) 15,751,754,017
# mortgages 110,976
Table 376: Key profit & loss figures, mm Avg loan balance 141,938
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 WA Current LTV 64.5
Net interest income 188 195 199 WA Indexed LTV 88.9
Provisions for loan Indexed LTV>80% 61.7
losses 0 0 153 Indexed LTV>90% 52.0
NII less provisions 188 195 46 Indexed LTV>100% 40.0
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PBT -680
Taxes
Net profit (loss)
Source: Annual Report
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics for EBS:
Cover pool
Mortgage balance 3,943,112,141
Bonds outstanding 2,350,000,000
OC ACS (%) 43.3
OC nominal (%) 70.2
# mortgages 41,846
Avg loan balance 94,229
WA Original LTV 67.6
WA Indexed LTV 81.0
Indexed LTV>80% 54.2
Indexed LTV>90% 45.2
Indexed LTV>100% 36.3
Dublin 39.0
Other 61.0
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 105: Italian real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 106: Italian unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 12 Unemployment
4 10
2
8
0
6
-2
-4 4
-6 2
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
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Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 107: Italian CPI and base rate, % Figure 108: Italian consumer confidence, balance of survey
5 Inflation Base rate 5 Cons. Confidence
5 0
4
-5
4
3 -10
3 -15
2 -20
2
-25
1
1 -30
0 -35
Mar-00
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Mar-07
Mar-08
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Mar-11
Figure 109: Italian house price growth, % Figure 110: Italian outstanding mortgages (mm) and annual growth of
mortgage stock, %
25% House price growth 400,000 Outstanding mortgages Growth in o/s mortgages 25%
20% 350,000 20%
15% 300,000
250,000 15%
10%
200,000 10%
5%
150,000 5%
0% 100,000
-5% 50,000 0%
-10% 0 -5%
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
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Mar-11
Dec-02
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Cariges covered bonds are backed by Italian mortgages. WA LTV (in %) 50.1
Remaining tenor (mths) 213.6
WA seasoning (mths) 42.7
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance Residential properties (in %) 96.1
metrics: Commercial properties (in %) 3.9
Source: Investor Report
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Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena Table 392: Select financial metrics
(BMPS) FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 2.4 2.5 2.0 1.7
(BBG: MONTE) ROA 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.4
Snapshot ROE 17.5 7.9 1.4 5.7
ROC 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.8
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, founded in 1472, is C:I 64.5 77.3 75.7 70.7
considered to be the oldest bank in the world. Through a Core capital 8.9 9.3 7.5 13.0
number of acquisitions, the MPS Group is now the third Source: Bloomberg
largest financial services group in Italy. The group offers
a wide range of products, including retail banking and Cover pool overview
financial advisory, corporate and investment banking We set out below some of the key cover pool
(with a particular focus on SMEs), wealth management, characteristics:
pension fund and life insurance services.
Table 393: Covered bond characteristics
Through a national network of over 3,000 branches, the As at 31 May
group caters to the needs of over 6 million customers; 2011
outside of the domestic market, the Group has branches S/M/F
Covered Bond rating /Aaa/AAA
in the main international financial centres and aims at Issuer rating A-/A2/A-
expanding its presence in emerging markets, in particular
in the Mediterranean basin, in central and eastern Europe Cover pool size () 12,594,657,406
Number of loans 121,620
and in Asia. Avg loan () 103,557
BMPS covered bonds are backed by Italian mortgages. WA Current LTV (in %) 61.1
Remaining tenor (mths) 243.5
WA seasoning (mths) 27.4
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance Top three regions (%)
Veneto 16.4
metrics: Toscana 14.8
Lazio 14.3
Table 390: Key profit & loss figures, mm
Floating rate (in %) 89.2
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Fixed rate (in %) 10.8
Net interest income 3,485 4,371 3,997 3,819
Provisions for loan
Source: Investor Report
losses 614 1,002 1,453 1,126
NII less provisions 2,871 3,369 2,544 2,693
Table 394: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Comm.& fee income 1,711 1,664 1,935 2,170
Current LTV ranges As at 31 May
Other operating income 175 334 212 203
2011
Non-interest expense 3,426 4,445 4,462 4,186
Operating profit (loss) 1,161 243 -95 509 0-<=40% 22.1
>40%-<=50% 12.3
PBT 1,270 -92 43 1,327 >50%-<=60% 14.1
Taxes 552 -930 31 342 >60%-<=70% 17.0
Net profit (loss) 1,438 923 220 985 >70%-<=80% 40.3
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Investor Report
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Comm.& fee income 470 379 426 476 Table 409: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Other operating income 57 36 45 16
Non-interest expense 775 760 779 823 Current LTV ranges As at 30 June
Operating profit (loss) 327 179 165 166 2011
0-<=40% 43.4
PBT 327 181 163 168 >40%-<=50% 19.6
Taxes 78 25 74 90 >50%-<=60% 15.3
Net profit (loss) 249 156 89 78 >60%-<=70% 12.7
Source: Bloomberg >70%-<=80% 9.1
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Intesa Sanpaolo issues both a public-sector backed OBG, Cover pool size () 5,175,360,562
and a mortgage-backed OBG (using RMBS to transfer Number of loans 70,745
Avg loan () 73,155
mortgage risk between group entities).
WA Current LTV (in %) 43.7
Financial performance Remaining tenor (mths) 194.5
WA seasoning (mths) 73.5
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics: Floating rate (in %) 50.6
Fixed rate (in %) 49.4
Table 410: Key profit & loss figures, mm Top three regions (%)
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Lombardia 45.1
Net interest income 10,947 13,053 11,716 11,111 Lazio 11.1
Provisions for loan Puglia 7.4
losses 1,043 2,433 3,448 2,818
NII less provisions 9,904 10,620 8,268 8,293 LTV Breakdown
0-<=40% 39.9
Comm.& fee income 7,304 6,543 6,141 6494 >40%-<=50% 21.0
Other operating income -254 843 -153 -39 >50%-<=60% 20.8
Non-interest expense 12,627 14,224 12,315 12,203 >60%-<=70% 14.1
Operating profit (loss) 4,677 1,525 2,889 2,936 >70%-<=80% 4.2
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Sovereign (%) 21
Municipality (%) 47
Region (%) 27
Other (%) 5
Sovereign %)
North (%) 42.6
Central (%) 16.2
South (%) 16.4
Spain (%) 2.2
France (%) 2.0
Germany (%) 0.5
Belgium (%) 0.3
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UBI Bancas covered bonds are backed by Italian WA Current LTV (in %) 45.3
mortgages. Remaining tenor (mths) 191.8
WA seasoning (mths) 59.8
Table 415: Key profit & loss figures, mm Floating rate (in %) 76.9
Fixed rate (in %) 23.1
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 2,655 3,068 2,506 2,171
Source: Investor Report
Provisions for loan
losses 328 559 865 707
NII less provisions 2,327 2,508 1,641 1,464 Table 419: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Current LTV ranges As at 30 June
Comm.& fee income 1,423 1,388 1,329 1,378
2011
Other operating income 250 224 255 239
0-<=40% 41.8
Non-interest expense 2,958 3,090 2,920 2,840
>40%-<=50% 15.8
Operating profit (loss) 1,153 271 383 226
>50%-<=60% 14.6
>60%-<=70% 13.7
PBT 1,191 356 519 334
>70%-<=80% 14.1
Taxes 461 193 237 232
Net profit (loss) 938 69 270 172
Source: Investor Report
Source: Bloomberg
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The Group offers a wide variety of financial products, Table 423: Covered bond characteristics
ranging from retail to corporate and investment banking, As at 30 April
organised along a number of divisions: Families & SME 2011
(F&SME), Private Banking (PB); Central & Eastern S/M/F
Europe (CEE), and Corporate & Investment Banking. Covered Bond rating AAA/Aaa/AAA
Issuer rating A/Aa3/A
(CIB).
Cover pool size () 13,171,755,547
Unicredits covered bonds are backed by Italian Number of loans 123,034
Avg loan () 107,058
mortgages.
WA Current LTV (in %) 61.2
Financial performance Remaining tenor (mths) 258.7
WA seasoning (mths) 36.5
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics: Top three regions (%)
Lombardia 22.0
Lazio 15.0
Table 420: Key profit & loss figures, mm Piemonte 11.6
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 13,114 19,710 17,732 16,475 Floating rate (in %) 47.7
Provisions for loan Fixed rate (in %) 38.0
losses 2,141 3,582 8,152 6,708 Other (in %) 14.3
NII less provisions 10,973 16,128 9,580 9,766
Source: Investor Report
Comm.& fee income 11,354 11,125 9,424 10,210
Other operating income 916 1,021 848 975 Table 424: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Non-interest expense 18,208 19,904 18,654 19,524
Operating profit (loss) 6,879 5,712 2,885 2,106 Current LTV ranges As at 30 April
2011
PBT 7,300 4,995 2,923 2,175 0-<=40% 14.2
Taxes 2,589 465 888 530 >40%-<=50% 8.9
Net profit (loss) 5,901 4,012 1,702 1,323 >50%-<=60% 11.1
Source: Bloomberg >60%-<=70% 21.4
>70%-<=80% 44.3
Table 421: Key balance sheet figures, mm
Source: Investor Report
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 552,933 598,923 549,037 546,089
Total Assets 1,021,835 1,045,612 928,760 929,488
Deposits 421,133 424,489 424,811 373,960
Short-term borrowings 162,568 179,336 108,413 113,003
Other ST borrowings 145,795 201,187 146,822 150,268
Long-term borrowings 206,816 164,032 151,114 168,792
Equity 62,434 58,240 62,892 67,703
Source: Bloomberg
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500
200
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research
Figure 113: Korean real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 114: Korean unemployment level, %
14 Real GDP growth 6 Unemployment
12
10 5
8 4
6
4 3
2
0 2
-2 1
-4
-6 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 115: Korean CPI and base rate, % Figure 116: Korean business survey index, #
6 Inflation Base rate
160 Business survey index
5 140
4 120
100
3
80
2 60
1 40
20
0
0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
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Mar-08
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Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 117: Korean house price growth, % Figure 118: Korean loans to households (KRWtn) and annual change
(RHS), %
20% House price growth 800 Credit to HH (stock) Credit to HH (growth) RHS 40%
700 35%
15%
600 30%
10% 500 25%
400 20%
5% 300 15%
200 10%
0%
100 5%
-5% 0 0%
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
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Korea Housing Finance Corporation Table 430: Key balance sheet figures, KRWmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: KHFC) Loans 2,795,500
Snapshot Total Assets 3,443,840
KHFC is a quasi-government financial institution Short-term borrowings 260,000
Other short-term
established with the aim of supplying long-term housing borrowings 185,000
finance. KHFC also provides mortgage guarantees to Long-term borrowings 2,039,782
prospective homebuyers and reverse mortgage products. Equity 884,917
Source: Annual report 2010
The company is a regular issuer of MBS and student loan
ABS and has only issued its first covered bond (called Cover pool overview
mortgage-backed bonds, MBB) in July 2010, as We set out below some of the key cover pool
permitted by Art. 31 of the KHFC Act. In 2010 it characteristics:
announced that it was planning to issue $2bn of covered
bonds annually starting in 2011: so far $500mm of fixed Table 431: Covered bond characteristics
rate bonds and $200mm of floating rate notes have been As at June 2011
issued in 2011. Ratings S/M/F
Covered Bond rating -/Aa3/-
Issuer rating A/A1/-
The bonds are direct, unconditional senior, obligations of
the bank and bondholders have full dual recourse to the Cover pool
pool and the KHFC. The underlying collateral is Cover pool size (KRW) 839,804,918,469
Outstanding liabilities (in KRW equivalent using 607,500,000,000
purchased from participating banks (SC First Bank issuance date FX rate)
Korea, Shinhan Bank, Woori Bank, Kookmin Bank,
Korea Exchange Bank, Industrial Bank of Korea and Number of loans 8,359
Average loan balance (in KRW) 100,467,151
Hana Bank, although in this case only SC First Bank, WA seasoning (mths) 26
Shinhan and Woori participated) and is subject to an WA LTV (in %) 47.3
ACT (eligible assets at least equal to liabilities) and a WA indexed LTV (in %) 45.6
portfolio yield test (interest received has to be greater Floating rate loans (in %) 58.0
than liabilities and expenses). While there is no Owner occupied (in %) 100.0
acceleration of the bonds in case of an issuer event of Interest only (in %) 38.6
default, the bonds will accelerate if there is a covered
Current LTV breakdown (in %)
bond event of default i.e. failure to pay interest and/or 0-40 27.0
principal as due. 40-50 20.7
50-60 52.3
Financial performance Indexed LTV breakdown (in %)
We set out below some of the key financial performance 0-40 32.0
40-50 21.9
metrics: 50-60 32.1
60-70 13.1
Table 429: Key profit & loss figures, KRWmm 70-80 0.8
>80 0.1
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 51,805 Source: Moodys
Provisions for loan
losses 11,722
NII less provisions 40,083
PBT 23,245
Taxes -12,501
Net profit (loss) 35,746
Source: Annual report 2010
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Source: ECBC, latest data available Source: ECBC, latest data available
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Erste Europaeische Pfandbrief und Table 438: Key balance sheet figures,
Kommunalbank (EEPK) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 2,844,501,741 1,817,250,364 1,801,560,961
(BBG: EEPK) Total Assets 7,724,015,387 6,299,805,316 6,244,314,231
Snapshot Deposits 159,044,860 234,856,293 501,208,948
Short-term
EEPK, part of the Commerzbank Group since 2002, borrowings 392,314,942 426,000,000 480,142,196
focuses mostly on lending to public bodies such as Other ST borrowings 375,000,000 16,533,876 51,000,000
governments, regional assemblies, local authorities and Equity 66,935,480 281,350,509 281,932,570
Source: Annual Report 2010
public corporations throughout the OECD zone. EEPK
benefits from a group letter of comfort from
Table 439: Select financial metrics
Commerzbank AG. It is one of Commerbank's two
public-sector covered bond issuing subsidiaries in FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Core capital 36.3 35.2
Luxembourg (the other being Eurohypo Luxembourg).
Source: Annual Report 2010
In April 2009, S&P lowered the rating of EEPKs LdG to Country split (in %)
AA+ from AAA due to changes in its covered bond USA 33.3
Canada 13.1
rating methodology. Luxembourg 8.0
Switzerland 6.7
Financial performance Italy 6.6
Germany 6.3
We set out below some of the key financial performance Hungary 3.9
metrics: UK 2.8
Korea 2.8
Other 19.7
Table 437: Key profit & loss figures,
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Rating split (in %)
Net interest income 13,123,532 2,670,771 27,013,846 AAA 12.3
AA (incl. AA+ and AA-) 40.1
Other operating A (incl. A+ and A-) 27.6
income 758,077 8,390,079 561,481 BBB (incl. BBB+ and BBB-) 8.5
Non-interest expense 7,954,395 9,768,101 17,843,448 NR 11.5
Source: Investor report
PBT 10,085,550 85,283,746 1,847,427
Taxes 407,003 301,225 1,265,366
Net profit (loss) -10,492,553 -41,218,658 582,061
Source: Annual Report 2010
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We set out below some of the key financial performance Split by guarantee (in %)
metrics: Not wrapped 90.1
MBIA 3.6
XL 0.3
Table 441: Key profit & loss figures, AMBAC 0.5
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FGIC 2.7
Net interest income 70,028,000 39,721,000 FSA 2.8
Provisions for loan
losses 2,495,000 -1,613,000 S&P Rating split (in %)
NII less provisions 67,533,000 41,334,000 AAA 24.9
AA (incl. AA+ and AA-) 15.6
Other operating A (incl. A+ and A-) 18.2
income -877,000 -1,566,000 BBB (incl. BBB+ and BBB-) 1.0
Non-interest expense 7,203,000 7,083,000 Below BBB or NR/Internal rating only 40.3
Operating profit (loss) 72,996,000 26,178,000
Fitch Rating split (in %)
PBT 60,184,000 -37,753,000 AAA 18.5
Taxes -14,493,000 14,959,000 AA (incl. AA+ and AA-) 17.3
Net profit (loss) 45,691,000 -22,794,000 A (incl. A+ and A-) 8.0
BBB (incl. BBB+ and BBB-) 0.8
Source: Annual Report 2010
Below BBB or NR/Internal rating only 55.4
Source: Investor report
Table 442: Key balance sheet figures,
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Commercial Loans 2,329,648,000 3,420,363,000
Consumer Loans 4,216,946,000 4,373,569,000
Loans 6,546,594,000 7,793,932,000
Total Assets 24,902,863,000 25,798,686,000
Deposits 490,517,000 476,699,000
LT borrowings 7,504,934,000 9,450,687,000
Equity 159,393,000 92,955,000
Source: Annual Report 2010
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Hypo Pfandbrief Bank International SA Table 445: Key balance sheet figures,
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: PBINTL) Loans 810,570,779 964,479,076
Total Assets 8,054,395,760 4,639,961,258
Snapshot Deposits 166,054,019 369,140,000
HPBI is part of the Hypo Real Estate Group, which Short-term borrowings 1,582,796,661 1,602,096,661
focuses on real estate and public finance. It is a Long-term borrowings 1,370,097,000 1,597,097,000
Equity 123,787,628 126,100,000
subsidiary of Depfa Bank plc, the Irish subsidiary of
Source: Annual Report 2010
HRE AG. HRE AG is currently owned 100% by the
German state, through SoFFin, the Financial Market Table 446: Select financial metrics
Stabilisation Agency.
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Core capital 15.7 39.7
In October 2010, HRE underwent a significant balance Source: Annual Report 2010
sheet restructuring by transferring around 173bn
(nominal value) of assets to FMW Wertmanagement; Cover pool overview
furthermore, 124bn of SoFFin-guaranteed bonds issued
We set out below some of the key cover pool
by HRE have also been transferred to the FMS
characteristics:
Wertmanagement.
Table 447: Covered bond characteristics
HPBI is a pure Pfandbrief bank, licensed as a Banque
As at June
dEmission de Lettre de Gage by the Luxembourgish 2011
regulators. As for other issuers from this jurisdiction, Ratings S/M/F
HPBI is active in the international public sector lending Covered Bond rating AA/-/-
business. The cover pool is skewed towards Europe, Issuer rating (Hypo Public Finance Bank) BBB/Baa3/BBB+
which accounts for just over 75% of the cover assets, Cover pool
with the single largest country exposure being to Austria Public sector cover pool size () 3,205,000,000
(19%). The vast majority (97%) of the underlying Over-collateralisation () 405,000,000
Nominal OC (%) 14.5
collateral is investment grade and over-collateralisation is
14.5%. Country split (in %)
Austria 19.2
Germany 15.5
Financial performance USA 15.3
We set out below some of the key financial performance Switzerland 11.6
metrics: Spain 9.1
Ireland 7.2
Canada 6.8
Table 444: Key profit & loss figures, Other 15.3
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Central Europe 46.3
Net interest income 18,602,066 11,006,344
North America 22.1
Western Europe 13.0
Other operating
Southern Europe 10.7
income 778,072 1,487,630
Eastern Europe 4.2
Non-interest expense 3,980,392 7,904,722
Asia 2.3
Northern Europe 1.5
PBT 2,815,569 2,593,374
Taxes 349,783 328,374
Rating split (in %)
Net profit (loss) 2,465,786 2,265,000
AAA 46.5
Source: Annual Report 2010 AA (incl. AA+ and AA-) 30.5
A (incl. A+ and A-) 13.1
BBB (incl. BBB+ and BBB-) 6.8
NR 3.1
Source: Investor report
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Nord/LB Covered Finance Bank SA Table 449: Key balance sheet figures,
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: NDB) Loans 2,001,600,000 1,932,400,000
Snapshot Total Assets 5,930,600,000 6,408,500,000
Nord/LB CFB SA is a wholly owned subsidiary of Short-term borrowings 1,960,800,000 2,550,900,000
Other ST borrowings 367,900,000 433,000,000
Nord/LB Luxembourg SA and part of the Nord/LB Equity 64,300,000 67,000,000
Group. It is also in receipt of a direct letter of support Source: Annual Report 2010
from the parent company. The only objective of Nord/LB
CFB is to conduct business as a covered bond bank: as Table 450: Select financial metrics
such, the bank takes on part of the public finance
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
business generated by Nord/LB Girozentrale and ROE 11.9 10.7
provides funding primarily via the issuance of covered C:I 24.6 28.1
bonds. Nord/LB CFB is the only institution within the Core capital 7.4 8.6
Landesbank framework to provide such a funding Source: Annual Report 2010
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In October and November 2010 the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opened a
consultation period in order to evaluate the potential introduction of a legislative
framework and a uniform covered bond structure. The first result of the consultation
was the imposition in March 2011 of a 10% limit on the issuance of covered bonds
by locally-incorporated banks.
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Source: ECBC, latest data available Source: ECBC, latest data available
Figure 123: New Zealand real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 124: New Zealand unemployment level, %
8 Real GDP growth 8 Unemployment
6 7
6
4
5
2 4
0 3
2
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1
-4 0
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Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 125: New Zealand CPI and base rate, % Figure 126: New Zealand consumer confidence index, #
9 Inflation Base rate
140 Cons. Confidence
8
7 120
6 100
5
80
4
3 60
2 40
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0
0
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Figure 127: New Zealand house price growth, % Figure 128: New Zealand dwelling sales, #
30% House price growth 12,000 Dwelling sales
25%
10,000
20%
15% 8,000
10%
6,000
5%
0% 4,000
-5%
2,000
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-15% 0
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Bank of New Zealand Table 453: Key balance sheet figures, NZDmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: BZLNZ) Loans 51,975 55,142 54,986
Snapshot Total Assets 64,209 69,862 69,647
BNZ is a wholly owned subsidiary of National Australia Deposits 25,920 27,233 28,663
Short-term borrowings 1,212 3,901 1,606
Bank. The bank offers a range of financial products to Other short-term
individuals, small businesses and farmers and large borrowings 4,656 8,304 6,421
corporations in New Zealand. Long-term borrowings 1,264 1,280 1,278
Equity 3,933 3,745 4,002
Source: Bloomberg
BNZ issued the first ever covered bond out of New
Zealand in 2010; since there is no special covered bond
Table 454: Select financial metrics
law, the deal is governed by New Zealand and English
contract and common law. BNZ will sell the mortgages FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
ROA -0.3 0.9
to a guarantor, which will purchase these using the ROE -5.6 15.0
proceeds of the covered bonds issuance and will then Source: Bloomberg
guarantee the bonds. The bondholder will have dual
recourse to the issuer and the cover pool. This structure Cover pool overview
resembles that used in Canada, the Netherlands and the We set out below some of the key cover pool
UK. characteristics:
The bonds will benefit from a defined cover pool with Table 455: Covered bond characteristics
LTV restrictions, overcollateralisation and asset coverage
As at March
and amortisation tests (only the first 80% LTV will be 2011
taken into account for inclusion in the cover pool and Ratings S/M/F
liabilities may not exceed 97% of the asset value at any Covered Bond rating -/Aaa/AAA
time). Issuer rating AA/Aa3/AA
Cover Pool
Financial performance Cover pool size (NZD) 2,623,000,000
Outstanding liabilities (in NZD) 2,189,000,000
We set out below some of the key financial performance Nominal overcollateralisation (in %) 19.9
metrics: Nominal asset percentage (in %) 83.4
Supporting asset percentage (in %) 86.6
Table 452: Key profit & loss figures, NZDmm
Number of loans 19,718
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Average loan size (in NZD) 133,045
Net interest income 1,328 1,351 1,281 WA residual maturity (yrs) 23
Provisions for loan WA seasoning (mths) 39
losses 0 0 187 WA LTV (in %) 47.4
NII less provisions 1,328 1,351 1,094 Highest geographic exposure (in %) Auckland - 35.4
Interest only loans (in %) 6.1
Other operating
income 440 397 379 Current LTV breakdown (in %)
Non-interest expense 786 777 818 <40 39.0
Operating profit 1,197 875 824 40-50 15.7
50-60 15.0
PBT 1,126 685 637 60-70 16.4
Taxes 341 866 35 70-80 13.9
Net profit (loss) 785 -181 602 >80 0.1
Source: Bloomberg Source: Fitch Ratings
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Westpac New Zealand Table 458: Select financial metrics (Westpac Group)
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: WSTP) NIM 2.0 2.6 2.2
Snapshot ROA 0.9 0.7 1.1
Westpac New Zealand is part of the Westpac Banking ROE 23.1 13.2 17.4
ROC 2.8 2.0 3.1
Corporation, the Australian financial services group. In C:I 47.7 42.7 43.6
New Zealand the bank offers a range of financial Core Capital 7.8 8.1 9.1
products to individuals, farmers and SMEs and corporate Source: Bloomberg
and institutional clients.
Cover pool overview
As for BNZ, Westpac New Zealand covered bonds use a We set out below some of the key cover pool
securitisation-like structure. The bonds are direct, characteristics:
unconditional and senior obligations of Westpac New
Zealand and the bondholders have full dual recourse to Table 459: Covered bond characteristics
the cover pool and the issuer. Westpac needs to maintain As at July 2011
an asset percentage of 90%, which translates into a Ratings S/M/F
committed OC of 11%. Only the first 75% LTV will be Covered Bond rating -/Aaa/AAA
considered for the asset coverage test. Issuer rating AA/Aa3/AA
Cover Pool
Financial performance Cover pool size (NZD) 2,750,000,000
Outstanding liabilities (in NZD) 1,774,408,732
We set out below some of the key financial performance Asset percenatge (%) 84.5
metrics: Asset coverage ratio (%) 131.8
Table 456: Key profit & loss figures (Westpac Group), AUDmm Number of loans 22,359
Average loan size (in NZD) 117,184
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 WA residual maturity (mths) 276
Net interest income 7,237 11,667 11,867 WA seasoning (mths) 33
Provisions for loan WA Current LTV Limit (%) 57.2
losses 931 3,238 1,456 WA Current LTV (%) 55.7
NII less provisions 6,306 8,429 10,411
Interest only (%) 12.4
Comm.& fee income 2,060 2,637 2,433 Fixed rate loans (%) 67.6
Other operating Largest concentration (%) Auckland - 22.1
income 1,034 1,254 1,699
Non-interest expense 5,313 7,053 7,360 LTV limit breakdown (in %)
Operating profit 4,904 6,222 8,048 0-50 47.7
50-55 5.8
PBT 5,219 6,096 8,038 55-60 6.4
Taxes 1,287 2,579 1,626 60-65 7.0
Net profit (loss) 3,859 3,446 6,346 65-70 7.9
Source: Bloomberg 70-75 9.4
75-80 15.5
>80 0.3
Table 457: Key balance sheet figures (Westpac Group), AUDmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Current LTV breakdown (in %)
0-50 50.5
Loans 313,545 463,459 477,655
50-55 6.1
Total Assets 439,676 589,587 618,277
55-60 6.0
Deposits 233,730 329,456 337,385
60-65 7.1
Short-term borrowings 83,402 70,394 66,745
65-70 7.8
Other short-term
70-75 9.6
borrowings 19,541 27,252 30,853
75-80 13.0
Long-term borrowings 54,264 92,180 106,971
Equity 19,471 36,571 40,118 Source: Fitch Ratings
Source: Bloomberg
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 131: Norwegian real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 132: Norwegian unemployment level, %
5 5
Real GDP growth Unemployment
4 4
3 4
2 3
3
1
2
0 2
-1 1
-2 1
-3 0
Mar-00
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Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 133: Norwegian CPI and base rate, % Figure 134: Norwegian consumer confidence, balance of survey
8 35
Inflation Base rate Consumer confidence
7 30
6 25
5 20
4 15
10
3
5
2 0
1 -5
0 -10
-1 -15
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Figure 135: Norwegian house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 136: Norwegian building permits, #
20% 120
OECD HP nominal growth OECD Building permits index
15% 100
10% 80
5% 60
0% 40
-5% 20
-10% 0
Mar-01
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DnB NOR Boligkreditt ASA (DNB) Table 463: Select financial metrics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: DNBNOR) NIM n/a n/a n/a
Snapshot ROA n/a 0.3 0.5
DnB NOR Boligkreditt (DNB) is the covered bond ROE n/a 9.6 16.1
ROC n/a 0.3 0.5
issuer set up by DnB NOR Bank ASA, Norways leading C:I 23.6 41.6 32.9
financial services group. DnB NOR has a 30% market Core capital 6.3 8.0 7.4
share of the retail lending market and accounts for 35% Source: Bloomberg
of corporate lending in Norway. It is 34% owned by the
Norwegian Government. Cover pool overview
We set out below some of the key cover pool
The covered bond programme, set up in June 2007, is characteristics:
rated AAA by all three agencies and totals around 40bn.
The pool is entirely backed by Norwegian residential Table 464: Covered bond characteristics
mortgages, originated within DnB NOR Banks As at 31 May 2011
distribution network. Covered Bond rating S/M/F AAA/Aaa/AAA
Parent rating S/M/F (DnB Nor Bank) A+/Aa3/A+
Financial performance
Total Cover Pool Balance: (NOK000) 421,705,396
We set out below some of the key financial performance Substitution assets: 0
metrics: Over-collateralisation 35.1
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SpareBank 1 Boligkreditt ASA Table 472: Key balance sheet figures, NOKmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: SPABOL) Loans 42,494 80,154 94,742
Snapshot Total Assets 53,326 84,233 105,079
SpareBank 1 Boligkreditt (SpareBank) is a mortgage Deposits 0 0 n/a
Short-term borrowings 5,905 1,992 390
company licensed by the Norwegian FSA. It is a separate Other ST borrowings 0 0 n/a
legal entity established in accordance with the Long-term borrowings 500 3,475 97,791
Norwegian covered bonds legislation in order to acquire Equity 1,678 3,683 4,805
mortgages from banks in the SpareBank 1 Alliance and Source: Bloomberg
finance further lending via the issuance of covered
bonds. The Alliance is a combination of 17 Norwegian Table 473: Select financial metrics
local and regional savings banks and two commercial FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
banks owned by these banks. It is the second largest NIM n/a 0.17 n/a
ROA 0.00 0.00 0.08
Norwegian retail mortgage lender, with a market share of ROE 3.76 3.14 1.79
20% of retail loans and 16.1% of corporate lending. The ROC 0.78 0.98 0.14
assets backing SpareBank 1's covered bond programme C:I 32.19 14.20 18.68
Core capital n/a n/a n/a
are 100% Norwegian residential mortgages.
Source: Bloomberg
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Terra banks rank as the fourth largest lender to the retail Source: Investor Report
sector, with a market share of 11%, while the focus on
the corporate market is limited. Terra operates Table 484: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
approximately 190 branches across the country. Current LTV ranges As at 30 June 2011
0-<=40% 26.0
>40%-<=50% 13.0
Financial performance >50%-<=60% 61.0
We set out below some of the key financial performance >60%-<=70% 26.0
>70%-<=75% 0.0
metrics: >75% 0.0
Source: Investor report
Table 481: Key profit & loss figures, NOKmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 72 139 176
Provisions for loan
losses n/a n/a n/a
NII less provisions n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
Comm.& fee income 37 63 109
Other operating
income 0 0 0
Non-interest expense 27 35 35
Operating profit (loss) n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
PBT 9 48 36
Taxes 2 13 10
Net profit (loss) 6 35 26
Source: Bloomberg
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 139: Portuguese real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 140: Portuguese unemployment level, %
5 Real GDP growth 14 Unemployment
4 12
3
2 10
1 8
0
-1 6
-2 4
-3
-4 2
-5 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
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Source: Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 141: Portuguese CPI and base rate, % Figure 142: Portuguese consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate
5 0
4 -10 Cons. Confidence
3
2 -20
1 -30
0
-1 -40
-2 -50
-3
-60
Mar-00
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Figure 143: Portuguese house price growth, % Figure 144: Portuguese outstanding mortgages (mm) and annual
6%
House price growth growth of mortgage stock, %
4%
140,000 Outstanding mortgages Growth in o/s mortgages 18%
2% 16%
120,000
0% 14%
100,000
12%
-2% 80,000 10%
60,000 8%
-4%
6%
40,000
-6% 4%
20,000 2%
-8%
0 0%
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
May-06
May-07
May-08
May-09
May-10
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Sep-10
Dec-02
Dec-03
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Dec-05
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Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Jun-03
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Source: INE
Source: ECB
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Table 496: Key profit & loss figures, mm Top Regional concentration (%) Lisbon 29%
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Montepio is fully owned by Montepio Geral Assiciaco Table 504: Covered bond characteristics
Mutualista (MCAM), a private mutual association, a not- As at 30 June 2011
for-profit with the aim of promoting social protection and Covered Bond rating S/M/F -/Baa3/BBB
health benefits. Issuer rating S/M/F -/Ba2/BB
Cover pool size () 2,238,258,384
Number of loans 38,410
Financial performance Avg loan () 58,273
We set out below some of the key financial performance
Current OC (%) 36.9
metrics:
Fixed rate mortgages (%) 0.0
Table 501: Key profit & loss figures, mm Loans in arrears (%) 0.2
PBT 34 44 51
Taxes 0 0 0
Net profit (loss) 34 44 51
Source: Bloomberg
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PBT 1,075 662 374 364 Table 509: Public Sector covered bond characteristics
Taxes 178 157 70 65 Current LTV ranges As at 30 June 2011
Net profit (loss) 856 459 279 251
Covered Bond rating S/M/F -/Baa3/BBB
Source: Bloomberg Issuer rating S/M/F BBB-/Ba1/BBB-
Cover pool size () 1,256,051,004
Table 506: Key balance sheet figures, mm Number of loans 2,589
Avg loan () 485,149
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Current OC (%) 32.6
Loans 66,844 75,311 77,222 81,907
Total Assets 103,554 111,060 120,985 125,862 Top 5 regional exposures (in%)
Deposits 54,039 60,128 64,256 67,680 Lisbon 15.4
Short-term borrowings 8,841 6,952 6,479 14,604 Porto 13.6
Other ST borrowings 2,474 2,784 2,232 1,936 Setubal 8.1
Long-term borrowings 19,675 23,694 29,252 22,839 Santarem 7.4
Equity 5,541 5,484 7,157 7,840 Aveiro 6.7
Source: Bloomberg Source: Investor Report
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Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 147: Spanish real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 148: Spanish unemployment level, %
8 Real GDP growth 25 Unemployment
6
20
4
2 15
0 10
-2
5
-4
-6 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
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Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 149: Spanish CPI and base rate, % Figure 150: Spanish consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate
10 Cons. Confidence
5
4 0
3
-10
2
1 -20
0 -30
-1
-40
-2
Mar-00
Mar-01
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-50
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Mar-09
Mar-10
Figure 151: Spanish house price growth, % Figure 152: Spanish mortgage approvals, #
20% 140,000
House price growth Mortgage approvals
15% 120,000
100,000
10%
80,000
5%
60,000
0% 40,000
-5% 20,000
0
-10%
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Sep-03
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 78,992,233,000
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 27,153,284,000
Current OC (in %) 112.6
Required OC for current rating (in %) 13.0
Property type
Real estate developers 73.4
Source: Moodys
Cover pool
Cover pool size () 26,184,006,922
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 10,279,414,000
Borrower type
Direct claim against region/municipality 72.2
Claim with guarantee of region/municipality 27.8
Source: Moodys
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Before becoming Banco CAM, CAM was the fourth- Table 523: Mortgage covered bond characteristics
largest savings bank in Spain by assets and was itself the As at March
product of the merger, over the years, of over 30 smaller 2011
cajas from the Valencia and Alicante provinces, which Ratings S/M/F
remain its core markets. Its core business remains Covered Bond rating -/Baa1/-
Issuer rating -/Ba1/BB+
offering banking services to individuals and SMEs.
CAMs role will be to manage social welfare projects Cover pool
financed through dividends paid by Banco CAM and act Cover pool size () 32,961,970,736
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 10,466,600,000
as holding company. Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 21,107,992,220
Current OC (in %) 214.9
Financial performance
Residential properties (in %) 41.2
We set out below some of the key financial performance Commercial properties (in %) 58.8
metrics:
Residential pool overview
Pool balance (in ) 13,593,540,437
Table 520: Key profit & loss figures, mm Average loan (in ) 81,289
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 WA current LTV (in %) 61.7
Net interest income 1,292 1,456 909 Highest regional exposure (in %) Valencia - 44.1
Provisions for loan
losses 982 71 134 LTV breakdown
NII less provisions 311 1,385 774 0-40% LTV 21.1
41-50% LTV 11.1
Comm.& fee income 231 232 199 51-60% LTV 14.0
Other operating 61-70% LTV 15.2
income 742 178 90 71-80% LTV 16.9
Non-interest expense 1,415 756 787 >80% LTV 21.7
Operating profit -185 1,226 284
Commercial pool overview
PBT 387 274 201 Pool balance (in ) 19,368,430,299
Taxes -45 -2 -43 Average loan (in ) 157,324
Net profit (loss) 390 277 244 WA seasoning (mths) 36
WA current LTV (in %) 59.9
Source: Bloomberg
Highest regional exposure (in %) Valencia - 40.4
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 1,111,736,153
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 400,000,000
Current OC (in %) 177.9
Borrower type
Direct claim against region/municipality/federal state 88.6
Other 11.4
Source: Moodys
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 13,179,568,062
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 6,233,100,000
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 8,751,272,400
Current OC (in %) 111.4
Required OC for current rating (in %) 11.0
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 21.9
41-50% LTV 10.7
51-60% LTV 14.0
61-70% LTV 18.9
71-80% LTV 31.2
>80% LTV 3.3
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 44.8
41-50% LTV 12.1
51-60% LTV 12.9
61-70% LTV 12.8
71-80% LTV 10.4
>80% LTV 7.0
Source: Moodys
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 35,617,095,287
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 18,752,800,000
Eligible collateral (in ) 24,603,673,600
Current OC (in %) 89.9
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 22.0
41-50% LTV 11.7
51-60% LTV 14.7
61-70% LTV 18.6
71-80% LTV 18.4
>80% LTV 14.7
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 33.8
41-50% LTV 12.8
51-60% LTV 14.1
61-70% LTV 15.1
71-80% LTV 8.7
>80% LTV 15.5
Property type
Retail 23.6
Land 22.0
Real estate developments 21.7
Office 18.5
Industrial 12.3
Other 2.0
Source: Moodys
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Banco Sabadell is structured along five business lines: Table 539: Select financial metrics
Commercial Banking; Corporate Banking & Global
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Operations; Markets & Private Banking, BS America and NIM 2.0 2.1 1.8
Bancassurance. The group's largest business line is ROA 0.9 0.6 0.4
Commercial Banking, which provides a range of ROE 14.9 10.8 7.0
ROC 1.7 1.3 0.9
financial products and services for large and medium- C:I 52.7 49.6 54.2
sized companies, SMEs, other small businesses, Core Capital 7.3 9.1 9.4
individuals and administrations. Source: Bloomberg
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 22,152,304,607
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 12,938,700,000
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 18,114,180,000
Current OC (in %) 71.2
Required OC for current rating (in %) 59.0
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 23.7
41-50% LTV 13.2
51-60% LTV 16.4
61-70% LTV 19.5
71-80% LTV 17.6
>80% LTV 9.6
Property type
Real estate developments 26.9
Land 26.5
Industrial 9.4
Retail 8.2
Office 5.4
Hotel 5.4
Other 18.2
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 31.3
41-50% LTV 16.9
51-60% LTV 19.3
61-70% LTV 18.0
71-80% LTV 9.4
>80% LTV 5.1
Source: Moodys
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 54,507,420,570
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 27,410,000,000
Current OC (in %) 98.9
Required OC for current rating (in %) 17.5
LTV breakdown
0-40% 26.3
41-60% 23.8
61-80% 24.7
>80% 25.2
LTV breakdown
0-40% 29.2
41-60% 24.4
61-80% 23.6
>80% 22.8
Source: Moodys
Cover pool
Cover pool size () 7,858,309,241
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 3,000,000,000
Current OC (in %) 161.9
Borrower type
Direct claim against region/municipality/federal state 95.5
Claim with guarantee of region/municipality 4.5
Source: Moodys
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Table 550: Bancaja Mortgage Covered bond characteristics Table 551: Caja Madrid Public sector Covered bond
As at September
characteristics
2010 As at March
Cover pool 2011
Cover pool size () 31,270,373,785 Cover pool
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 7,828,920,000 Cover pool size () 3,028,033,252
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 14,326,923,600 Outstanding liabilities (in ) 1,825,000,000
Current OC (in %) 299.4 Current OC (in %) 65.9
Required OC for current rating (in %) 65.0
Average exposure (in ) 5,407,202
Residential properties (in %) 36.8 Exposure to 10 largest borrowers (in %) 40.9
Commercial properties (in %) 63.2 Highest regional exposure (in %) Madrid - 47.8
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 12.4
41-50% LTV 9.2
51-60% LTV 13.3
61-70% LTV 19.5
71-80% LTV 28.4
>80% LTV 17.2
Property type
Real estate developers 38.5
Land 36.2
Office 20.1
Industrial 5.2
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 22.5
41-50% LTV 11.8
51-60% LTV 16.2
61-70% LTV 26.3
71-80% LTV 14.8
>80% LTV 8.6
Source: Moodys
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 17,638,034,450
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 7,029,325,166
Current OC (in %) 150.9
Required OC for current rating (in %) 46.0
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 22.8
41-50% LTV 13.2
51-60% LTV 16.3
61-70% LTV 17.8
71-80% LTV 20.3
>80% LTV 9.6
Property type
Retail 19.7
Real estate developments 11.1
Land 11.0
Office 1.6
Other 56.8
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 26.8
41-50% LTV 14.8
51-60% LTV 15.0
61-70% LTV 14.2
71-80% LTV 7.7
>80% LTV 21.5
Source: Moodys
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Bilbao Bizkaia Kutxa (BBK) Table 557: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: BILBIZ) Real Estate Loans 14,866 15,515 16,139
Snapshot Loans 20,978 21,178 21,601
Caja de Ahorros de Bilbao y Vizcaya (BBK) is a savings Total Assets 29,667 29,806 29,112
Deposits 17,095 16,884 17,133
bank based in the Basque Country, where most of its Short-term borrowings 2,074 4,332 4,606
client base is located. The bank is the product of the Other short-term
merger of Caja de Ahorros Municipal de Bilbao and the borrowings 90 191 144
Long-term borrowings 2,512 1,263 812
Bizkaiko Aurrezki Kutxa-Caja de Ahorros Vizcana. Equity 3,914 4,123 3,978
According to Moody's, the bank has leading market Source: Bloomberg
shares in the Basque Country provinces: 42% and 28% of
deposits and lending respectively. Table 558: Select financial metrics
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
In 2010, BBK won a bid for Cajasur, the Cordoba-based NIM 2.0 1.8 1.9
caja that was put into administration earlier in the year. ROA 1.2 1.0 0.9
The acquisition became effective as of January 2011, ROE 7.8 7.3 6.4
ROC 2.9 2.5 2.3
when all assets and liabilities of Cajasur were transferred C:I 56.7 61.6 50.9
to BBK. Core Capital n/a 14.6 16.7
Source: Bloomberg
In 2011, BBK signed an agreement with the other two
Basque savings banks, Kutxa and Vital Kutxa, which will
lead to the creation of Kutxa Bank in January 2012,
although the three banks will keep their own brand
names in their traditional territories. The three cajas will
transfer assets and liabilities to the new entity but will
continue to manage social welfare projects separately.
Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 13,833,918,424
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 4,137,900,000
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 9,033,035,700
Current OC (in %) 234.3
Required OC for current rating (in %) 17.0
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 18.2
41-50% LTV 11.8
51-60% LTV 13.1
61-70% LTV 13.9
71-80% LTV 20.9
>80% LTV 22.1
Property type
RED 41.7
Retail 19.9
Land 9.8
Industrial 9.1
Office 3.3
Other 13.8
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 43.7
41-50% LTV 13.0
51-60% LTV 12.4
61-70% LTV 11.8
71-80% LTV 9.0
>80% LTV 10.3
Source: Moodys
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
PBT 205 75 12
Taxes 20 -2 -6
Net profit (loss) 194 79 18
Source: Bloomberg
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Cover pool overview Table 564: Public sector Covered bond characteristics
We set out below some of the key characteristics of As at June
Caixa Catalunyas cover pool: 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Covered Bond rating -/A3/-
Table 563: Mortgage Covered bond characteristics Issuer rating -/Ba1/-
As at June
2011 Cover pool
Cover pool size () 1,647,028,278
Ratings S/M/F
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 665,000,000
Covered Bond rating -/Baa1/-
Current OC (in %) 147.7
Issuer rating -/Ba1/-
Exposure to 10 largest borrowers (in %) 41.7
Highest regional exposure (in %) Catalonia - 79.4
Cover pool
Cover pool size () 28,710,071,581
Borrower type
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 11,574,700,000
Direct claim against region/municipality/federal state 68.8
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 17,570,394,600
Claim with guarantee of region/municipality 31.2
Current OC (in %) 148.0
Required OC for current rating (in % 23.0 Source: Moodys
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 16.6
41-50% LTV 8.1
51-60% LTV 10.9
61-70% LTV 15.3
71-80% LTV 20.8
>80% LTV 28.3
Property type
RED 61.3
Retail 4.4
Office 1.1
Other 33.3
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 22.9
41-50% LTV 10.4
51-60% LTV 16.5
61-70% LTV 19.3
71-80% LTV 20.7
>80% LTV 9.9
Source: Moodys
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
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Cover pool overview Table 569: La Caixa Public sector Covered bond characteristics
We set out below some of the key characteristics of La As at March
Caixas cover pool: 2011
Cover pool
Cover pool size () 12,140,855,621
Table 568: La Caixa Mortgage Covered bond characteristics Outstanding liabilities (in ) 2,700,000,000
As at Current OC (in %) 349.7
December 2010
Average exposure (in ) 8,050,965
Cover pool
Exposure to 10 largest borrowers (in %) 45.0
Cover pool size () 106,177,819,307
Highest regional exposure (in %) Catalonia - 39.5
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 38,713,881,637
Current OC (in %) 174.3
Borrower type
Required OC for current rating (in % 11.0
Direct claim against region/municipality/federal state 73.5
Claim with guarantee of region/municipality 26.5
Residential properties (in %) 65.1
Commercial properties (in %) 30.9 Source: Moodys
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 15.8
41-50% LTV 10.5
51-60% LTV 14.9
61-70% LTV 21.8
71-80% LTV 23.6
>80% LTV 13.4
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 17.9
41-50% LTV 13.1
51-60% LTV 18.7
61-70% LTV 26.0
71-80% LTV 14.3
>80% LTV 10.0
Source: Moodys
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Kutxa is mainly funded by a large deposit base which Residential pool overview
accounted for 75% of lending at end H1 2010. Wholesale Pool balance (in ) 6,843,600,000
Average loan (in ) 97,495
funding is mainly through mortgage-covered bonds. WA seasoning (mths) 47.8
WA current LTV (in %) 58.2
Financial performance Highest regional exposure (in %) Basque Country
We set out below some of the key financial performance Commercial pool overview
metrics: Pool balance (in ) 1,782,900,000
Average loan (in ) 391,512
WA seasoning (mths) 46.8
Table 570: Key profit & loss figures, mm WA current LTV (in %) 39.7
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Highest regional exposure (in %) Basque Country
Net interest income 311 327 279 Source: Moodys
Provisions for loan
losses -32 139 97
NII less provisions 343 188 182
PBT 60 12 4
Taxes -51 -38 -21
Net profit (loss) 111 50 24
Source: Bloomberg
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Financial performance
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics:
PBT 134 70 32
Taxes 8 5 0
Net profit (loss) 127 66 36
Source: Bloomberg
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Cover pool
Cover pool size () 13,523,108,689
Outstanding liabilities (in ) 3,682,800,000
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 8,006,407,200
Current OC (in %) 267.2
Required OC for current rating (in %) 28.0
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 18.3
41-50% LTV 11.0
51-60% LTV 14.4
61-70% LTV 19.2
71-80% LTV 27.0
>80% LTV 10.1
Property type
Real Estate Developers 41.6
Land 24.6
Retail 19.2
Other 14.5
LTV breakdown
0-40% LTV 33.5
41-50% LTV 13.4
51-60% LTV 15.5
61-70% LTV 14.7
71-80% LTV 8.4
>80% LTV 14.5
Source: Moodys
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Cover pool
The company is part of the Santander Group, one of the Cover pool size () 2,641,048,731
largest financial groups in the world (see separate Outstanding liabilities (in ) 1,350,000,000
Current OC (in %) 95.6
profile), and offers its products mainly though point of Required OC for current rating (in %) 26.0
sales but also branches, internet and telemarketing
platforms. Residential properties (in %) 97.4
Commercial properties (in %) 2.6
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Cover pool
Unicaja has a network of 935 branches in around Cover pool size () 17,077,087,276
eighteen Spanish provinces and international offices in Outstanding liabilities (in ) 9,499,100,000
Estimated eligible collateral (in ) 13,007,117,630
Brussels, London and Frankfurt. Furthermore, Unicaja's Current OC (in %) 79.8
international presence is widened through CECAs Required OC for current rating (in %) 32.5
network of representative offices and 2,000 foreign
Residential properties (in %) 70.2
corresponding banks. Commercial properties (in %) 29.8
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Table 592: Multi-cedula contributors by post-merger institution (Banca Civica to Caja Espana-Duero), % of collateral
% mm
Caixa Ontinyent
Caixa Pollenca
BES (Portugal)
Banco Popular
Banco Gallego
Banco Pastor
Caja Espaa-
Banca Civica
Banca March
BBK Bank
Bankpime
Bankinter
Banco de
Total O/S
Valencia
Espanol
CajaSur
Bankia
Duero
BASE
AyT Cedulas Cajas III 10.3 4.1 15.9 4.6 4.0 3,500
AyT Cedulas Cajas IV 19.3 9.2 9.5 9.2 3,800
AyT Cedulas Cajas V 19.5 5.2 12.9 4.8 1.3 3.2 3,100
AyT Cedulas Cajas VI 26.4 19.4 9.1 12.1 0.9 3,300
AyT Cedulas Cajas VII 8.6 7.1 32.9 11.4 1,750
AyT Cedulas Cajas VIII 1.8 13.0 14.6 14.6 0.2 4.8 4,100
AyT Cedulas Cajas IX 13.7 8.7 16.0 4.0 0.5 8.0 5,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas X 6.4 9.9 12.8 7.7 10.3 3,900
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% mm
Caixa Ontinyent
Caixa Pollenca
BES (Portugal)
Banco Popular
Banco Gallego
Banco Pastor
Caja Espaa-
Banca Civica
Banca March
BBK Bank
Bankpime
Bankinter
Banco de
Total O/S
Valencia
Espanol
CajaSur
Bankia
Duero
BASE
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 1 11.1 9.0 16.5 8.4 3.4 2,640
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 2 10.9 9.0 12.1 14.5 0.3 3,600
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 3 9.6 11.1 21.8 11.1 7.1 1,400
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 4 15.1 13.0 16.7 1,195
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 6 20.0 16.7 20.0 1.7 1,500
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 7 5.0 10.0 1,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 8 4.9 11.2 30.3 4.5 2,230
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 9 9.6 19.2 15.4 1,300
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 10 12.5 20.3 15.6 6.3 1,600
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 11 5.8 9.7 14.6 15.5 2,575
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 12 12.5 35.0 15.0 2,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 13 16.2 14.9 12.9 6.5 1,545
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 14 11.8 425
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 16 24.9 5.7 14.2 14.2 2,810
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 18 26.7 13.3 26.7 13.3 750
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 19 15.5 11.9 21.4 4.8 11.9 4,200
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 20 25.6 14.9 16.4 3.7 4.9 4,105
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 21 25.6 14.9 16.4 3.7 4.9 4,105
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 22 24.3 10.2 17.2 8.2 2,323
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 23 2.2 6.5 14.2 0.4 4.4 2,295
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 24 10.3 27.6 13.8 1,450
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 25 15.4 23.0 30.8 500
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 26 990
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Table 593: Multi-cedula contributors by post-merger institution (Caja Laboral to UNNIM), % of collateral
% mm
NovaCaixaGalicia
Catalunya Caixa
Sabadell Group
MareNostrum
Caja Laboral
Ipar Kutxa
Caja Tres
Caja Vital
Total O/S
La Caixa
Cajamar
Ibercaja
Unicaja
UNNIM
Kutxa
CAM
AyT Cedulas Cajas III 5.3 4.3 8.6 8.6 16.0 4.4 14.0 3,500
AyT Cedulas Cajas IV 1.6 1.6 7.9 1.3 9.2 17.6 6.6 7.0 3,800
AyT Cedulas Cajas V 3.2 7.3 4.8 2.4 6.5 16.0 0.8 12.1 3,100
AyT Cedulas Cajas VI 3.0 3.0 7.6 3.0 9.1 6.4 3,300
AyT Cedulas Cajas VII 8.6 5.7 5.7 14.3 5.7 1,750
AyT Cedulas Cajas VIII 2.2 12.2 7.3 3.0 14.4 2.4 5.6 3.7 4,100
AyT Cedulas Cajas IX 4.0 8.0 2.0 13.1 8.0 4.0 10.0 5,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas X 6.8 10.3 9.0 20.5 3.8 2.6 3,900
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% mm
NovaCaixaGalicia
Catalunya Caixa
Sabadell Group
MareNostrum
Caja Laboral
Ipar Kutxa
Caja Tres
Caja Vital
Total O/S
La Caixa
Cajamar
Ibercaja
Unicaja
UNNIM
Kutxa
CAM
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 1 1.1 0.8 7.4 3.6 10.8 16.5 2.8 8.7 2,640
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 2 2.2 0.3 4.2 7.9 1.3 17.2 7.9 3.2 9.1 3,600
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 3 1.4 6.8 1.3 2.3 9.3 9.3 3.7 5.2 1,400
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 4 4.2 6.3 8.4 8.4 19.7 8.4 1,195
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 6 5.0 10.0 20.0 6.7 1,500
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 7 5.0 10.0 15.0 5.0 20.0 20.0 10.0 1,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 8 7.6 6.7 4.5 9.0 11.2 4.5 5.6 2,230
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 9 3.8 15.4 7.7 23.1 5.8 1,300
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 10 4.7 9.4 6.3 6.3 12.5 6.3 1,600
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 11 1.9 19.4 7.8 11.7 11.7 1.9 2,575
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 12 7.5 15.0 2.5 10.0 2.5 2,000
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 13 10.7 12.9 12.9 6.5 6.5 1,545
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 14 5.9 11.8 47.1 23.5 425
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 16 4.3 27.8 8.9 2,810
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 18 6.7 13.3 750
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 19 6.0 17.9 10.7 4,200
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 20 3.0 1.2 4.9 16.4 3.7 5.4 4,105
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 21 3.0 1.2 4.9 16.4 3.7 5.4 4,105
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 22 3.0 4.8 6.5 2.2 15.1 6.5 2.2 2,323
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 23 9.2 6.5 13.1 17.4 8.7 8.7 8.7 2,295
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 24 6.9 10.3 31.0 1,450
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 25 30.8 500
AyT Cedulas Cajas Global - Series 26 9.1 15.2 25.3 40.4 10.1 990
Programa Cedulas TDA - Class A1 18.9 12.6 12.6 15.8 10.1 1,585
Programa Cedulas TDA - Class A3 8.7 26.1 13.0 1,150
Programa Cedulas TDA - Class A4 13.0 4.3 23.4 19.9 13.0 2,310
Programa Cedulas TDA - Class A5 7.6 19.8 1,310
Programa Cedulas TDA - Class A6 3.9 3.3 5.3 15.2 13.1 3,805
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research, Investor reports
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60,000
100,000
40,000
50,000
20,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 155: Swedish real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 156: Swedish unemployment level, %
10 Real GDP growth 10 Unemployment
8 9
6 8
4 7
2 6
5
0
4
-2 3
-4 2
-6 1
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 157: Swedish CPI and base rate, % Figure 158: Swedish consumer confidence, balance of survey
6 Inflation Base rate 40 Cons. Confidence
5 30
4
20
3
2 10
1 0
0
-10
-1
-2 -20
-3 -30
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 159: Swedish house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 160: Swedish residential building permits, #
16% OECD HP nominal growth 14000 Residential build ing permits (sum of prev. 12 mths)
14%
12000
12%
10% 10000
8% 8000
6%
4% 6000
2% 4000
0%
-2% 2000
-4% 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
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The mainstay of Landshypoteks product range is first- Table 598: Covered bond characteristics
lien mortgages, with supplemental bank and insurance As at July 2011
services offered in partnership with other providers. Due Covered bond rating AAA/-/-
to its cooperative structure, all members receive refunds Issuer rating A-/A3/A+
on their interest payments when the institution makes a
SEK mm
profit. The overwhelming majority of cover pool assets is Cover pool 49,849
secured on agricultural properties. Substitute assets 21,930
Covered bonds 53,529
Financial performance Over-collateralisation 14.60%
We set out below some of the key financial performance Average LTV (%) 39.7
metrics: Number of loans 133,984
Average loan size (SEK) 372,054
Agricultural properties (%) 98.8
Table 595: Key profit & loss figures, SEKmm Residential properties (%) 1.2
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 345 304 472 Source: Investor Report
Provisions for loan
losses n/a n/a n/a
NII less provisions 345 304 472
Commissions & fee
income n/a n/a -9
Other operating
income 58 39 96
Non-interest expense 220 220 208
Operating profit (loss) 13 172 351
PBT 13 172 351
Taxes 1 43 77
Net profit (loss) 12 129 274
Source: Bloomberg
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SCBC's business activities are predominantly focused on Table 626: Covered bond characteristics
issuing covered bonds, both domestically and on the As at July 2011
international capital markets (accounting for 36% and S/M/F
22% of its funding requirements respectively). The bonds Covered bond rating AAA/Aaa/-
are backed by Swedish residential mortgages. Issuer rating (SBAB Bank AB) A+/A1/-
Comm.& fee income n/a 44 50 Table 627: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Other operating Current LTV ranges As at 30 June 2011
income -14 6 0 0-<=40% 19.9
Non-interest expense 520 578 604 >40%-<=50% 10.2
Operating profit (loss) 585 1,289 785 >50%-<=60% 18.5
>60%-<=70% 14.1
PBT n/a n/a n/a >70%-<=75% 37.3
Taxes 161 338 208
Net profit (loss) 424 951 577
Source: Investor report
Source: Bloomberg
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2,000 10,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC, latest data available Source: ECBC, latest data available
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Credit Suisse Group AG Table 630: Key balance sheet figures, CHFmm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: CS) Commercial Loans 114,754 112,929 139,298
Snapshot Consumer Loans 107,027 108,810 49,316
CS is a global financial services firm, headquartered in Other Loans 15,655 16,836 31,245
Total Assets 1,170,350 1,031,427 1,032,005
Zurich. The firm has a strong global presence with over Deposits 296,986 286,694 287,564
400 offices in 55 countries. It is the sixth largest bank Short-term borrowings 69,147 43,859 59,176
globally by assets and market capitalisation and the Other ST borrowings 360,253 299,406 297,968
Long-term borrowings 153,373 159,365 173,752
fourth largest by assets under management, totaling just Equity 47,221 50,416 45,151
under CHF 1.3trn. The bank operates along three main Source: Bloomberg
business lines: private banking, investment banking and
asset management and also provides retail banking Table 631: Select financial metrics
services in Switzerland.
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 0.9 0.9 0.8
Private banking offers wealth management and banking ROA -0.6 0.6 0.5
services to individuals, high net-worth clients, SMEs and ROE -21.8 18.7 13.6
ROC -1.9 1.3 1.3
corporates. Assets under management total CHF 933bn C:I 300.0 72.9 75.2
and the bank can count over two million private banking Core capital 13.3 16.3 17.2
clients worldwide, in addition to over 100,000 corporates Source: Bloomberg
and institutions, mostly located in Switzerland.
Cover pool overview
Through its investment banking business, the group We set out below some of the key cover pool
offers global securities sales, trading and execution, characteristics:
prime brokerage and capital raising and advisory
services, as well as comprehensive investment research Table 632: Covered bond characteristics
to institutional clients around the world. As at July 2011
Ratings S/M/F
Asset management offers institutional and individual Covered bond rating -/Aaa/AAA
clients a range of products, both traditional and Issuer rating A/Aa2/AA-
alternative. Clients are reached through the private and Cover pool
investment banking networks, a separate asset Cover pool size (CHF) 7,703,982,578
management distribution network and third-party Number of properties 14,892
Number of contracts 22,148
channels Average loan balance (CHF) 347,841
Available over-collateralisation (in %) 211
Financial performance Excess over-collateralisation (in %) 162
We set out below some of the key financial performance WA remaining term of loans (yrs) 3.0
metrics: WA LTV (%) 68.7
Fixed rate assets (in %) 79.4
Highest regional concentration (in %) Zurich - 23
Table 629: Key profit & loss figures, CHFmm
Source: Investor Report
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 8,536 6,891 6,541
Table 633: Collateral pool LTV breakdown
Provisions for loan
losses 813 506 -79 Current LTV ranges As at July 2011
NII less provisions 7,723 6,385 6,620 0-<=40% 6.4
>40%-<=50% 7.1
Comm.& fee income 14,812 13,750 14,078 >50%-<=60% 11.3
Other operating >60%-<=70% 24.8
income 385 619 397 >70%-<=80% 26.5
Non-interest expense 23,297 24,711 23,978 >80% 23.9
Operating profit (loss) -14,816 7,933 7,278
Source: Investor Report
PBT -14,902 8,077 7,487
Taxes -4,596 1,835 1,548
Net profit (loss) -8,218 6,724 5,098
Source: Bloomberg
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UK Covered Bonds
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UK Covered Bonds
Legislative snapshot
We set out in Table 639 a snapshot of key covered bond attributes in the UK.
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60,000 100,000
40,000
50,000
20,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed Source: ECBC. Latest data available displayed
Figure 165: UK real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 166: UK unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 9
4 8
7
2
6
0 5
-2 4
-4 3
Unemployment
2
-6 1
-8 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 167: UK CPI and base rate, % Figure 168: UK consumer confidence, balance of survey
7 Inflation Base rate 10 Cons. Confidence
6 5
0
5 -5
4 -10
-15
3 -20
2 -25
-30
1 -35
0 -40
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Figure 169: UK house price growth, y-on-y, % Figure 170: UK mortgage loan approvals, #
30 Nationwide house price growth 100000 BBA Mortgage loan approvals
25 90000
20 80000
15 70000
10 60000
5 50000
0 40000
-5 30000
-10 20000
-15 10000
-20 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
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# mortgages 105,413
Avg loan balance 132,882
WA Indexed LTV 60.8
Indexed LTV>80% 9.9
Indexed LTV>90% 5.3
Indexed LTV>100% -
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Bradford & Bingley PLC (Bradbi) Table 647: Select financial metrics
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: BRADBI) NIM 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.4
Snapshot ROA 0.2 0.0 -0.2 1.7
Bradford & Bingley Plc (Bradbi) was the UKs largest ROE 7.1 1.5 -7.7 45.5
ROC 0.4 0.1 -0.4 4.3
specialist Buy-to-Let mortgage lender, before its C:I 49.0 31.2 31.9 19.9
nationalisation in September 2008. In a two-part Core capital 8.6 8.9 n/a n/a
transaction, the savings arm and branch network of Source: Bloomberg
Bradbi were transferred to Santander (see Santander UK
plc profile), while the rest of the group's operations, Cover pool overview
including the mortgage business, were transferred to We set out below some of the key cover pool
public ownership. The covered bonds remain an characteristics:
obligation of the publicly-owned institution.
Table 648: Select covered bond terms
Approval of State Aid support was received from the EC Terms
on 25th January 2010. This extends the HM Treasury Asset Coverage Test (ACT)
guarantee on Bradbi's covered bonds until institutional <3m in arrears 0.75
run-off is complete. Bradford & Bingley operations sit 3m+ true balance & LTV<75% 0.4
3m+ true balance & LTV>75% 0.4
alongside those of Northern Rock (Asset Management)
plc, the run-off institution of Northern Rock, under a Asset percentage 91.00%
single holding company called UK Asset Resolution Max. subs assets 10.00%
(UKAR). The companies remain separate legal entities,
with their own balance sheets, liabilities and government Reps & warranties
Min. current payments 2
support arrangements. Min. margin
Max. balance 1,000,000
Financial performance Max. term (yr) 50
BTL eligible? Y
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics: Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research, Offering Circulars
Table 645: Key profit & loss figures, mm Table 649: Covered bond characteristics
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 As at July 2011
Net interest income 548 737 612 608 Ratings S/M/F
Provisions for loan Covered bond rating AAA/Aa1/AAA
losses 117 699 687 262 Issuer rating -/Aa3/A+
NII less provisions 431 38 -75 346 Fitch D:factor Not disclosed
Moody's TPI Improbable
Comm.& fee income 82 63 53 21
Other operating income -64 206 45 6
Cover pool Jul-11
Non-interest expense 280 277 224 136
Total pool 9,652,130,114
Operating profit (loss) 175 -90 -209 284
Asset type:
Mortgages 9,651,077,323
PBT 126 134 -196 1,082
Cash 1,052,791
Taxes 33 116 -98 262
Bonds outstanding 2,733,670,456
Net profit (loss) 93 18 -98 819
Source: Bloomberg # mortgages 85,388
Avg loan balance 113,026
Table 646: Key balance sheet figures, mm WA Indexed LTV 85.1
Indexed LTV>80% 70.6
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Indexed LTV>90% 47.4
Loans 40,445 41,826 38,986 36,402 Indexed LTV>100% 21.8
Total Assets 51,985 55,923 49,395 45,359
Deposits 24,153 828 458 n/a Asset seasoning (mths) 65.3
Short-term borrowings 8,221 10,945 8,298 4,965
Other ST borrowings 658 22,067 27,776 27,794
Long-term borrowings 17,576 20,657 11,200 10,132 Current asset percentage 71.0
Equity 1,211 1,158 1,394 2,207 Amt of credit support 3,816,558,422
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Investor Report
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# mortgages 117,781
Table 656: Key balance sheet figures, mm Avg loan balance 94,648
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 WA Indexed LTV 47.2
Loans 640,047 555,011 614,692 Indexed LTV>80% -
Total Assets 1,734,110 1,464,238 1,574,427 Indexed LTV>90% -
Deposits 765,233 717,757 787,458 Indexed LTV>100% -
Short-term borrowings 162,729 129,095 122,864
Other ST borrowings 238,049 416,042 300,246 Asset seasoning (mths) 45.9
Long-term borrowings 70,005 58,078 62,737
Equity 68,768 84,011 99,362 Current asset percentage 78.2
Source: Bloomberg Amt of credit support 7,109,715,459
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Lloyds Banking Group PLC (Lloyds) Table 667: Select financial metrics
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY2010
(BBG: LLOYDS) NIM 1.9 2.2 1.4 1.4
Snapshot ROA 0.9 0.2 0.4 -0.0
Following the acquisition of HBoS PLC, Lloyds TSB ROE 28.2 7.2 10.7 -0.7
ROC 2.9 0.6 1.0 -0.1
Group PLC was renamed Lloyds Banking Group PLC C:I 52.0 154.7 52.2 44.4
(LBG), becoming at the same time the largest retail Core capital 9.5 8.0 9.6 11.6
bank in the UK. Away from banking, LBG also owns Source: Bloomberg
Scottish Widows and Clerical Medical, which specialise
in Pensions, Investments and Insurance. The Group is Cover pool overview
currently 41% owned by the UK government. We set out below some of the key cover pool
characteristics:
Bank of Scotland has two distributed covered bond
programmes, one backed by residential mortgages (BoS Table 668: Select covered bond terms
Resi) and another backed by social housing (BoS SH) Terms BoS SH BoS Resi L Resi
collateral. Lloyds TSB also has its own CB programme, Asset Coverage Test (ACT)
backed by residential mortgages (L Resi). <3m in arrears n/a 0.6 0.75
3m+ true balance & LTV<75% n/a 0.6 0.4
3m+ true balance & LTV>75% n/a 0.6 0.25
LBG has been approved for issuance of Regulated
Covered Bonds in the UK for the BoS Resi and L Resi Asset percentage 100.00% 92.50% 93.00%
programmes. Max. subs assets 25.00% 10.00% 10.00%
PBT 4,000 760 1,042 281 Cover pool Jun-11 Jun-11 Jun-11
Taxes 679 -38 -1,911 539 Total pool 4,114,150,227 45,709,111,804 18,829,517,368
Net profit (loss) 3,289 772 2,827 -320 Asset type:
Source: Bloomberg Mortgages 3,411,989,120 39,243,270,568 14,641,547,552
Cash 702,161,107 6,465,841,235 4,187,969,816
Bonds outstanding 2,400,000,000 28,687,138,595 10,498,836,033
Table 666: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY2010 # mortgages 68 407,590 144,005
Loans 209,814 240,344 626,969 592,597 Avg loan balance 50,176,311 96,281 101,674
Total Assets 353,346 436,033 1,027,255 991,574 WA Indexed LTV n/a 71 59
Deposits 156,555 170,938 406,741 393,633 Indexed LTV>80% n/a 40 13
Short-term borrowings 74,948 125,040 188,108 148,907 Indexed LTV>90% n/a 24 2
Other ST borrowings 78,444 93,915 223,754 233,376 Indexed LTV>100% n/a 11 0
Long-term borrowings 27,673 34,440 162,573 166,554 Seasoning (mths) n/a 66 45
Equity 12,425 9,699 44,107 46,902 Current asset % 86 70 80
Amt of credit support 61,353,981 1,083,345,123 3,894,380,698
Source: Bloomberg
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Comm.& fee income 335 334 359 378 Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research, Offering Circulars
Other operating income 91 44 123 47
Non-interest expense 1,149 1,284 1,631 1,248
Operating profit (loss) 651 707 180 307
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# mortgages 411,249
Avg loan balance 81,818.3
WA Indexed LTV 54.3
LTV>80% 15.4
LTV>90% 5.3
LTV>100% 1.0
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Northern Rock Asset Management Table 676: Key balance sheet figures, mm
(NRAM) FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Loans 98,835 74,424 65,400 48,298
(BBG: NRKLN) Total Assets 109,321 104,346 87,446 66,277
Snapshot Deposits 11,563 20,723 20,608 n/a
Short-term borrowings 80,347 67,107 6,022 4,901
Northern Rock (AM) plc ('NRAM') is the UK Other ST borrowings 2,017 2,555 322 253
government-owned run-off vehicle (formerly referred to Long-term borrowings 12,709 13,389 57,224 58,527
as AssetCo), created by the nationalisation, and Equity 1,664 -402 1,055 1,318
Source: Bloomberg
subsequent split of Northern Rock plc into two separate
legal entities (the other, successor institution retaining the
Table 677: Select financial metrics
original name of the pre-nationalisation entity).
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
NIM 0.7 0.1 1.6 2.0
The outstanding covered bonds remain obligations of ROA -0.2 -1.3 -0.3 0.5
NRAM, and are currently beneficiaries of a guarantee ROE -13.1 n/a n/a 34.5
from HM Treasury. Unlike the guarantee on Bradford & ROC -0.2 -1.5 -0.4 0.6
C:I 42.1 119.2 55.7 41.6
Bingleys existing covered bonds however, this
Core capital 7.7 -0.4 n/a n/a
guarantee can be terminated with no less than three
Source: Bloomberg
months notice. The terms of the guarantee for NRAM's
covered bonds remain under review with the objective of Cover pool overview
sustaining the programme's credit rating. NRAM
We set out below some of the key cover pool
operations sit alongside those of Bradford & Bingley plc,
characteristics:
under a single holding company called UK Asset
Resolution (UKAR). The companies remain separate Table 678: Select covered bond terms
legal entities, with their own balance sheets, liabilities
Terms
and government support arrangements.
Asset Coverage Test (ACT)
<3m in arrears 0.75
Financial performance 3m+ true balance & LTV<75% 0.4
3m+ true balance & LTV>75% 0.25
We set out below some of the key financial performance
metrics: Asset percentage 90.00%
Max. subs assets 10.00%
Table 675: Key profit & loss figures, mm
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 Reps & warranties
Net interest income 761 51 1,259 1,260 Min. current payments 1
Provisions for loan Min. margin 0.15%
losses 240 894 1,045 813 Max. balance 1,000,000
NII less provisions 522 -844 214 447 Max. term (yr) 50
BTL eligible? Y
Comm.& fee income 185 56 27 19
Other operating income 25 53 13 7 Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research, Offering Circulars
Non-interest expense 352 363 760 545
Operating profit (loss) 179 -943 -507 -71
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# mortgages 80,426
Avg loan balance 136,855
WA Indexed LTV 95.2
LTV>80% 70.6
LTV>90% 24.9
LTV>100% 1.8
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Royal Bank of Scotland PLC (RBS) Table 681: Key balance sheet figures, mm
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
(BBG: RBS) Loans 874,722 728,393 555,260
Snapshot Total Assets 2,401,652 1,696,486 1,453,576
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) is one of Deposits 581,369 545,849 428,599
Short-term borrowings 403,162 295,840 214,208
Europe's largest financial groups. It is structured around Other ST borrowings 225,849 97,962 368,335
six business lines: UK Personal which includes its retail, Long-term borrowings 120,659 113,518 97,268
corporate and commercial banking and wealth Equity 80,498 94,631 76,851
management services; UK Corporate which serves UK Source: Annual Report
corporate customers; RBS Insurance which includes the
brands Direct Line, Churchill and Privilege; US Retail Table 682: Select financial metrics
and Commercial Banking provided through the Group's FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Citizen Financial Group; European & Middle East Retail NIM 1.4 1.1 1.4
ROA -1.1 -0.2 -0.1
& Commercial Banking and its Global Banking & ROE -43.4 -5.3 -1.5
Markets division. ROC -4.3 -0.3 -0.3
C:I 101.9 67.9 68.1
Core capital 10.0 14.1 12.9
The Group remains majority owned by the UK
Source: Bloomberg
government, with the ultimate goal of returning the
institution to the private sector once restructuring is
Cover pool overview
completed. RBS introduced its covered bond programme
and issued its inaugural bond in 2010. RBS PLC has We set out below some of the key cover pool
been approved for issuance of Regulated Covered Bonds characteristics:
in the UK.
Table 683: Select covered bond terms
Financial performance Terms
Asset Coverage Test (ACT)
We set out below some of the key financial performance <3m in arrears 75%
metrics: >3m in arrears 40%
Table 680: Key profit & loss figures, mm Asset percentage 90%
Max. subs assets 15%
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Net interest income 18,675 13,388 14,209 Reps & warranties
Provisions for loan Min. current payments 1m
losses 8,072 13,899 9,256 Min. margin n/a
NII less provisions 10,603 -511 4,953 Max. balance 2,600,000
Max. term (yr) n/a
Comm.& fee income 9,831 8,738 8,193 BTL eligible? n/a
Other operating income <3m in arrears 75%
3,113 1,872 1,544
Non-interest expense 23,881 19,844 20,429 Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research, Offering Circulars
Operating profit (loss) -8,469 -5,822 -726
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# mortgages 96,208
Avg loan balance 131,754
WA Indexed LTV 64.1
Indexed LTV>80% 17.8
Indexed LTV>90% 4.1
Indexed LTV>100% 0.4
Asset seasoning 15.0
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# mortgages
Avg loan balance 112,575
WA Indexed LTV 67.7
LTV>80% 19.1
LTV>90% 1.8
LTV>100% 0.2
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US Covered Bond
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US Covered Bonds
Legislative snapshot
We set out in Table 695 a snapshot of key covered bond attributes in the USA.
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4,000 6,000
4,000
2,000
2,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research Source: J.P. Morgan Covered Bond Research
Figure 173: USA real GDP growth, y-on-y, % Figure 174: USA unemployment level, %
6 Real GDP growth 12 Unemployment
4 10
2 8
0 6
-2 4
-4 2
-6 0
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Figure 175: USA CPI and base rate, % Figure 176: USA consumer confidence index, #
7 Inflation Base rate
140 Cons. Confidence
6
5 120
4 100
3
80
2
1 60
0 40
-1 20
-2
0
Mar-03
Sep-03
Mar-04
Sep-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Mar-06
Sep-06
Mar-07
Sep-07
Mar-08
Sep-08
Mar-09
Sep-09
Mar-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 177: USA house price growth, % Figure 178: USA existing home sales (mm), and housing starts index
(RHS), 000s
14% House price growth 8 Existing home sales New home sales (RHS) 1600
12% 7 1400
10%
8% 6 1200
6% 5 1000
4%
2% 4 800
0% 3 600
-2% 2 400
-4%
-6% 1 200
-8% 0 0
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
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Cover pool
Cover pool size ($) 11,625,581,494
Outstanding liabilities (in $) 7,784,300,000
Excess credit support by asset coverage test (in %) 0.3
Excess credit support by total loan balance (in %) 49.4
WA seasoning (mths) 73
WA LTV (in %) 64.8
Highest geographic exposure (in %) California - 53.1
Interest only loans (in %) 60.2
Primary residence (in %) 80.3
Single family residential property (in %) 87.3
Full documentation (in %) 32.0
WA FICO score 734.0
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