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From Insurgents To Hybrid Security Actors? Deconstructing Yemen'S Huthi Movement
From Insurgents To Hybrid Security Actors? Deconstructing Yemen'S Huthi Movement
Eleonora Ardemagni
The Huthi movement has been often pictured as an Iranian proxy, overstating existing support by
Teheran and the regional Shia networks, while underestimating the weight of Ansarullah’s local
insurgency. This paper aims to deconstruct and contextualize the Ansarullah phenomenon before
and during Yemen’s regionalized civil war. Husayn Al-Huthi’s movement re-discovered Zaydi
tradition, but contextualized it into the politicization of the Shia trend. The paper isolates and
addresses the intersected layers which mark the periphery-regime conflict between the Huthis and
the government, analyzing why the Sa’da wars (2004-10) represented a general test for the 2015
crisis. The contribution also investigates how the Huthi movement has managed to take advantage
from regional and domestic dynamics to enhance its political leverage, transforming the Huthis
from local fighters to national challengers inside Yemen’s hybrid political order.
Eleonora Ardemagni is Gulf and Eastern Mediterranean Analyst at the NATO Defense College Foundation,
regular analyst for ISPI and the Aspen Institute Italy.
©ISPI2017
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The opinions expressed herein are strictly personal and do not necessarily reflect the position of ISPI.
The ISPI online papers are also published with the support of Fondazione Cariplo.
1.1 The local context. Framing the Zaydi Shia movement in Yemen
Zaydism (from the name of the fifth imam Zayd b. ‘Ali Zayn al-‘Abidin) is
the Yemeni Shia branch. Now, it is predominantly located among Sa’da,
Hajja, Sana’a and Dhamar regions, the northern Yemen’s highlands ( bilad
al-qaba’il, the land of tribes), representing 35-40% of the national
population. Zaydi religious élite, the sayyid (pl. sâda) claims direct lineage
from the Prophet Muhammad1. The Al-Huthi family is Zaydi Shia: they
are sâda, belonging to the Hashemite social stratum. The city of Sa’da has
always been their fiefdom; the ancestors of Sa’da’s sâda proceed from
Hijaz, Iraq and Iran. Under the banner of the Imamate ( imāma, the rule
of the Imam), the Zaydi Shia élite ruled North Yemen from 897 till 1962,
the year of the republican revolution: Zaydis don’t have an imam since
that year. Zaydism has distinct features with respect to other Shia
branches, as Jaafarism (Twelver Shiism), mostly spread in Iran, Lebanon
and the Gulf.
First of all, Zaydis have mixed theological references: syncretism, rather
than dogmatism, characterizes their doctrinal elaboration, permeable, in
modern times, to socialist and Marxist compatible ideas, as social justice.
The Imam must be physically present within the political community and
he must be a sayyid. The imamate is a political contract2: hereditary
succession is practiced but not institutionalized. Zaydism allows khuruj,
the upheaval against a ruler judged as unfair, far from the quietist stance
of other Shia sects, as Jaafarism. In 1990, a number of Zaydi ‘ulama
signed a manifesto claiming for the abolishment of the imamate, justified
by the changed historical context. According to several interpretations,
Zaydis claim the primacy of reason above tradition (al-‘aql qabl al-naql),
given also their relationship with the Mu’tazila 3 thought, promoted and
studied by the Zaydiyya, which also allows ijtihad (the hermeneutic effort)
as a way to read the holy text. As a result, voices in the Yemeni Zaydi
community opened to the Sunna, seeking for possible points of
convergence, as the return to the schools of jurisprudence ( madahib; sing.
madhab) to contest the legal-rational authority of the imam (marja‘iyya).
Differently from the Twelvers, Zaydis don’t agree the dissimulation of
their faith in case of danger (inkar al-taqiyya), as well as the return of the
Mahdi currently hidden, which is the pillar of Jaafarism.
1 Yemen’s sâda are not only Zaydis, since there are also Sunni sâda, especially from the
Hadhramaut region.
2 S. Dorlian, La mouvance zaydite dans le Yémen contemporain. Une modernisation avortée ,
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From a social point of view, the sâda stand at the top of Sa’da’s social
hierarchy, followed by the judges (qudât, sing. qadi) and the qabili (tribal
men). However, the 1962 revolution altered rooted social balances. During
the civil war (1962-70), fought between Imamate’s supporters, backed by
Saudi Arabia, and pro-republic revolutionaries, sustained by Egypt,
Sa’da’s religious élite opposed the republican forces: but they lost.4 During
the civil war, the sâda had apical roles in the imam’s army. The Zaydi Shia
majority, including many sâda, then accepted the new republican State.
Nevertheless, from 1970 on, the Yemen Arab Republic (YAR), in the
footsteps of Nasserism, marginalized the sâda, who enjoyed a certain
territorial autonomy and developed parallel economic networks with
southern Arabia’s tribal clans. On the contrary, the republican regime
promoted a policy of neo-patrimonial cooptation towards Sa’da’s qabili, so
progressively alienating them from tribal bases. Qadi ‘Abd Al-Rahman
Al-Iryani presidency (1967-74) appointed many northern shuyyukh (tribal
chiefs, sing. shaykh), as heads of regular army’s brigades, the so-called
“Colonel shaykhs”5.
4 M. Kerr, The Arab Cold War: Gamal ‘Abd al-Nasir and His Rivals, 1958-1970, Oxford, Oxford
University Press, 1971.
5 M. Brandt, “The Irregular of the Sa‘ada War: ˊColonel Sheykhsˋ and ˊTribal Militiasˋ in
Yemen’s Huthi conflict”, in H. Lackner (ed.), Why Yemen Matters. A Society in Transition,
London, Saqi Books, 2014, chapter 5.
6 From Sanhan, Saleh’s tribal clan, belonging to the Hashid tribal confederation.
7 In hybrid political orders “diverse state and non-state security actors coexist, collaborate or
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compete”, since “the state and its monopoly of violence are contested”. R. Luckham and T. Kirk,
“The Two Faces of Security in Hybrid Political Orders: A Framework for Analysis and Research”,
Stability: International Journal of Security & Development, 2013.
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1.2 The Zaydi Shia revival. How Husayn Al-Huthi’s movement
re-discovered Zaydi tradition
From the Eighties, perceived threats to the Zaydi ˊideological purityˋ were
on the rise, so paving the way for Husayn Al-Huthi’s Zaydi revivalist
movement. First of all, the brand-new Yemeni state, although not
sectarian-biased, needed a shared religious narrative in order to coalesce
different interest groups, enhancing the internal legitimacy of the state.
For this reason, the regime has tried, since 1990 on, to build a republican
discourse able to integrate and, at the same time, to neutralize Zaydi
peculiar claims, as the imamate. The Saleh-led regime attempted to
assimilate Zaydism in the republican sphere, fostering a process of
“modernization from within”.
The “Sunnisation” strategy8, aimed to promote identity convergences
between Zaydism and Shafeism (Yemen’s Sunni madhab), emphasized
Zaydi scholars’ voices opened to the Sunni doctrine. Secondly, Saudi
Arabia supported the spread of Salafism in northern Yemen, to counter
the Zaydiyya along the Saudi border, financing the opening of Salafi
madrasat in the territorial core of Zaydism. Therefore, the traditional
sâda-qabili class cleavage frequently became even sectarian, since many
tribes adhered to the Salafi thought and, among them, a consistent
number of northern brigades’ militaries and government-allied tribal
militias.
God).
11 “Allahu akhbar, al-mawt li-Amrika, al-mawt li-Israil, al-la ‘na, ‘ala-l-yahud, al-nasr
li-l-islam”.
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As clearly emerges from this symbolic episode, Al-Huthi gave a strong
political message to Ansarullah’s claims, adopting a confrontational
approach vis-à-vis the government and its international allies. Foreign
policy, rather than social policies was the first public subject of conflict
between the Huthis and the government. Looking at Husayn Al-Huthi’s
social stance, he promoted marriage alliances between sâda and qabili’s
families, despite their dissimilar lineage. Such an unusual cross-class
choice produced “networks of mutual support” able to overcome different
strata and unite rival geographical centers in northern highlands12,
allowing Huthi movement’s outreach beyond traditional fiefdoms. Husayn
Al-Huthi used to collect zakat in Sa’da. From a doctrinal point of view,
Al-Huthi opted for a dogmatic approach to the holy text, so narrowing
spaces for theological dialogue with Sunnism.
Since the Seventies, Badr al-Din Al-Huthi, Husayn’s father and a Sa’da
cleric, supported Zaydi revivalism against Wahhabi influences: he studied
in Iran, at the hawza13 of Qom (1994-97), elaborating on the Jarudi school
of thought, which is the closest of Zaydi approaches to Twelver Shiism. For
the Huthis, the main legacy of the Islamic revolution is the
anti-imperialist message developed by khomeinism, rather than its strict
theological core. Moreover, the velayat e-faqih theory14, extended by
ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini to the political sphere15, established
unintentionally a doctrinal bridge between Twelver Shiite (with a quietist
tradition) and Zaydis (who believe in a community-engaged imam and
allow khuruj).
12 B.A. Salmoni, B. Loidolt, M. Wells, Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen. The Huthi
Phenomenon, RAND National Defense Research Institute, 2010, p. 37.
13 Hawza ‘ilmiyya, “the territory of learning”, referred to a community of learning in a specific
place.
14 The government of doctors in religious law.
15 L. Louër, Transnational Shia Politics: religious and political networks in the Gulf, New York,
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Alongside the revivalist choice, Al-Huthi focused on Zaydi political
militancy, building an ideological discourse based upon the
anti-imperialist stance of Khomeini’s Islamic Revolution, in the
chronological framework of the politicization of the Shia. Beyond general
claims, the detailed agenda of the Huthis, a religious, political movement
and a militia, still remains vague and rich in ambiguities, even though
their leaders frequently reiterated the allegiance to the Yemeni state.
17E. Ardemagni, The Yemeni Conflict. Genealogy, Game-Changers and Regional Implications,
Institute for International Political Studies (ISPI), Analysis no. 294, April 2016.
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Al-Ahmar family, who lead not only the Islah party, but many
locally-based militias too. Such a reality implies a decisive political
consequence: the regime has never had real military power on northern
highlands. The army is not welcomed, since security is provided by local
militias and customary law (‘urf) systematically prevails on civil law.
2.1 Producing Huthis’ mythology. The Sa’da wars as a general test for the
civil conflict
The Sa’da wars (2004-10) had a fundamental role in the Huthis’
elaboration of a “group mythology”: they were able to rally local consensus
and wide the original base of support fighting six rounds of war against
Sana’a. At the beginning of the Sa’da wars, Ansarullah had reportedly no
organizational hierarchy or order of battle. Started as a low intensity
conflict, the Yemeni government choose to deploy more than 40.000
soldiers, included the Central Security Forces’ Counter-terrorism unit
(trained by the US to fight against jihadists). The war provoked a number
of casualties between hundreds and 20.000, with more than 200.000
internal displaced persons. Adopting a diachronic lens, the Sa’da wars
have represented a general test for the civil strife that broke-out in
January 2015.
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These events share common features: first of all, both the conflicts spilled
over the original areas. Since 2004, Sa’da has been the epicenter of the
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Huthis-army rift (especially the Haydan district), but the battles also
reached the province of Sana’a (fifth Sa’da war, March 2008-July 2008)
and northern Amran region (Harf Sufyan district, sixth Sa’da war, August
2009-February 2010)18. From 2014 on, the Huthi-Saleh faction was able to
control Amran, Al-Jawf and then, after Ansarullah’s coup in Sana’a, Shia
insurgents seized large swaths of predominantly Sunni territories
included Aden, mixing the use of force and tribal alliances/desistence.
18 In Harf Sufyan (Amran), Bakil’s clans opposed to the government clashed with pro-regime
Al-Usaymat tribe, belonging to the Hashid confederation.
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19 Chief of the 1st Armoured Division (the powerful division, firqa, of Northwestern Yemen). He
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In both conflicts, war feeds and activates sectarianism. In 2013, violent
clashes between Huthis and Salafis at the Dar al-Hadith centre in
Dammaj (Sa’da province) marked the upgrading of sectarian tensions, at
the dawn of the civil conflict. The Huthi movement blamed Salafis to
recruit foreign fighters: clearly, this hostility finds its roots in the Sa’da
wars’ legacy, which already registered brutal clashes where tribal
mediation didn’t find space. On March 20, 2015, two suicide attacks
claimed by a Yemeni Daesh’s cell shake Badr and Hashoush mosques in
the occupied capital, provoking more than 130 victims predominately
among Shia: a clear worsening of the level of violence, since AQAP had
never bombed mosques in Yemen. Against culturalist/primordialist
visions, the Yemeni case shows that differences of religious sect can be
activated for political purposes in a suitable context. Sectarianism is the
consequence, not the origin of the struggle.
Yemen is a permeable country, not only for men and arms, but for
ideologies too. Institutions are fragile, unable to provide security and
welfare on the whole territory. Tribes have a fierce sense of autonomy and
self-reliance, given strong regional-based identities. As a matter of fact,
Yemen has always been expose to high levels of external penetration.
Consequently, regional dynamics have a remarkable impact on Yemeni
local affairs. But Yemen’s long-lasting system of power (led by the
Saleh-regime before and then by Hadi), it is not the only actor able to ride
regional and domestic events for domestic purposes.
21In 2009 and in 2015 again, thousands of residents were evacuated from Saudi Arabia’s border
towns in order to create a buffer zone. Huthis’ cross-border attacks damaged homes, stores and
cars in the city of Najran, a predominantly Ismaili centre where citizens have supported Saudi
Arabia’s military politics in Yemen so far, but have a long history of marginalization and
detachment from Riyadh. Sectarian tensions are on the rise: for instance, Saudis enrolled Sunni
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extremist mercenaries from Aden to protect Najran’s neighborhoods. See L. Plotkin Boghardt,
M. Knights, Border Fight Could Shift Saudi Arabia’s Yemen War Calculus, The Washington
Institute for Near East Policy, Policy Watch 2736, December 6, 2016.
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Looking at the Huthi movement through an agency-structure analytical
framework, a recurrent feature emerges: Ansarullah (the agency) has
often demonstrated to be a smart player, taking advantage from regional
and/or internal events (the structure) to improve its leverage in Yemen, in
order to pursue identity recognition and territorial autonomy. Since 2002,
Ali Abdullah Saleh’s regime multiplied hostile rhetoric against the rising
Huthi movement. After the attack against the USS-Cole harbored in Aden
(2002), Saleh accepted a security partnership with the United States,
based on strict securitization policies and U.S. drone campaigns: George W.
Bush had just started his post 9/11 war on terror and Yemen was already a
safe haven for Al-Qa’ida.
22E. Ardemagni, “La politica estera come strumento di ri-generazione dei sistemi autoritari: lo
Yemen fra mutamento e continuità”, in Afriche e Orienti, 1-2/2015, pp.121-130.
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The “Middle Eastern Cold War” between Saudi Arabia and Iran 23 has
changed the conflict, triggering the sectarian dimension and progressively
modifying main characters’ profiles. The relationship between the Huthi
movement and Iran resembles a self-fulfilling prophecy: political support
from Teheran to Sana’a has strengthened only from 2015 coup on, so time
after Saudis’ denounces. Iran doesn’t seem able to affect Huthis’
decision-making, but rather it look at them as useful non-state actors able
to pressure both Saudi Arabia’s borders and politics. On the other hand,
Zaydi Shia revivalists have a Yemeni, northern-focused agenda, not a
regional, Iranian proxy-style one. Nevertheless, Sa’da’s leadership has
increasingly lean on Iran’s political and media support to gain domestic
legitimacy vis-à-vis the Saudi “military aggression”, which has provoked a
clear “rally around the flag” effect. This strategy has also helped the Huthis
to acquire not only visibility at a regional level, but also “transnational
legitimacy”, coalescing ideological support among Shia groups.
The Yemeni civil war has definitely transformed the Huthi movement
from a local fighter into a national challenger24. Zaydi revivalist militias
managed not only to occupy Sana’a, but they started to control far,
traditionally Sunni areas, as Taiz, Hodeida, Mokha and, for few months,
Aden. Such a reality had a political and military impact on the Huthis,
who are now a more miscellaneous and loose movement than before: they
are able to rapidly aggregate or disaggregate popular consensus.
Ideological loyalists (pro-Iranian, anti-Americans, anti-Jews) represent
the Huthis’ core, as Zaydi Hashemites, willing to defend the ˊpurityˋ of
their lineage: this is why the northern movement tends to rally support
among Yemen’s non-Zaydi Hashemites too. Northern tribesmen disposed
to protect lands and properties are another significant component. The
Huthis encompass even mercenary fighters, organized in local popular
committees since 2014: these informal security networks often overlap
with Ali Abdullah Saleh’s ones25.
23 F. Gregory Gause III, Beyond Sectarianism: The New Middle East Cold War, Brookings Doha
Center, Analysis paper, 2014.
24 As Christopher Boucek anticipated in the aftermath of the Sa’da wars. C. Boucek, War in
Saada. From Local Insurrection to National Challenge, Carnegie Endowment for International
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2016, p. 6.
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regime continuity. As political outsiders, they coagulated consensus
beyond traditional basins. Huthis’ rising involvement in national politics,
for instance during the National Dialogue Conference (NDC, 2013-14), has
emphasized the coexistence of two different political wings within the
movement. The original and conservative wing, based in Sa’da, which
cares about orthodoxy, with a strict observation of customs (as the ban on
music with the exception of fighting songs) and the pragmatic one,
politically engaged in Sana’a, charged to elaborate a political platform for
the movement and opened to liberals and leftists’ contributions. At the
NDC, Huthis delegated from the Sa’da governorate (since the “Colonel
Shaykhs” component was not represented) advocated for shari‘a as one
source, not the source, of the Yemeni state, boldly suggesting a civil,
rather than religious, state.
The ongoing war has also widened the spectrum of perceived Huthis’
enemies, fostering sectarianism. Central government, the army and Salafi
fighters still stand at the top of Zaydi revivalists’ rivals, but this range
encompasses now southern militias (when they contest the same territory),
Saudi-led military coalition soldiers and jihadists. Nowadays, Huthi
militants and AQAP clash in many governorates, as Al-Bayda, Shabwa,
Mareb, Al-Jawf and Taiz. Consequently, confessional belonging has
progressively become for the Huthi movement a tool of mobilization
against “takfiriyyin”.
The new regional and domestic context, coupled with fluid alliances, has
modified traditional guerrilla-centered Huthis’ warfare. In 2009,
cross-border raids dominated Huthis’ armed confrontation with Saudi
Arabia: Sa’da’s mountainous territorial morphology allows ambuscades
and wars of position. From 2015 on, the Zaydi revivalist movement, given
its alliance with Saleh’s loyalists (most of them proceeding from the
Republican Guard and former élite units) upgraded level and variety of
strategic capabilities: artillery rockets, medium-range and long-range
missiles are now daily used by the insurgent front, often committing
laws-of-war violations26. GPC’s militants remain the most skilled with
regard to ballistic systems, even though Huthis have reportedly received
technical military training by Hezbollah, Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC) and Afghans who already fought in Syria under Al-Quds
26With regard to the Yemeni conflict, international media use to cover and denounce Saudi-led
military coalition’s human rights violations, forgetting about the insurgents side. Instead,
“Houthi and allied forces committed serious laws-of-war violations by laying banned
antipersonnel landmines, mistreating detainees, and launching indiscriminate rockets into
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populated areas in Yemen and southeastern Saudi Arabia, killing hundreds of civilians”. See
Human Rights Watch, Yemen- Country Summary, January 2017.
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Force commanders27. Moreover, shifting resources from welfare to warfare
could contribute, in the medium-long term, to reduce their popular
support in northern highlands, where the movement has systematically
dealt with security and justice provision. According to UNICEF, Sa’da’s
governorate is already the first in the world for chronic malnutrition rate
among children (8/10 children)28.
Lastly, the Huthi movement and political groups and/or militias belonging
to the transnational Shia network29 have enhanced frequency and level of
public interaction. In 2016, the Huthis sent official delegations to Lebanon
(August 2016), Iraq (September 201630) and Iran, multiplying visits at top
political and religious Shia venues. Hezbollah provides medical care for
Huthi fighters in Lebanon. Ansarullah’s TV station Al-Masira is allowed
to broadcast from south Beirut, the stronghold of Hezbollah; the insurgent
movement receives extensive coverage by Iranian and Lebanese media
channels. Now, the Huthis are not only perceived and recognized in the
Middle East as “Yemeni actors”, but also as “Shia actors”. Looking at
their speeches and slogans, this phenomenon increasingly assumes a
self-perception connotation. To better cope with multiple threats (regular
army, Sunni militias, Saudi Arabia), the Sa’da’s movement seeks for
identity recognition and external legitimacy. At the same time, regional
Shia actors (Iran, Hezbollah, Iraqi militias) want to support Huthis’
Yemeni struggle to strengthen their ideological and political influence
abroad. Surely, Riyadh’s military involvement against Zaydi revivalists
always attracted Shia countries’ attention: for instance, during the sixth
Sa’da war (2009-10), people gathered in Nasiriya, a southern Shia Iraqi
province, to support the Huthi faction. In May 2005, Najaf and Qom
hawzat had already condemned Yemen’s army intervention (supported by
Riyadh) against the Huthis (first Sa’da war) 31.
27 See Reuters, Exclusive-Iran steps up support for Houthis in Yemen’s war: sources, March 21,
2017.
28 UNICEF, Malnutrition amongst children in Yemen at an all-time high, warns UNICEF, News
geographic extensions and the capacity to project authority transnationally. Since the Nineties
onwards, the networks of the marja‘iyya did not produce new transnational political movements,
but they rather revealed how clerical institutions embraced the globalization path. Refer to L.
Louër (2008).
30 For instance, on November 29, 2016, an Ansarullah’s delegation met in Baghdad with Qais
Al-Khazali, the Secretary general of the Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl Al-Haq (AAH). The Critical
Threats Project, Yemen and Gulf of Aden Review- December 7, 2016 ; Al-Masdar News, Houthi
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4. Conclusions and Perspectives. Towards a Hybrid Security
Cohabitation in Sa’da and beyond?
Nowadays, prospects of stability for the Sa’da region rely on the balance
among tribal (Bakil and Khawlan bin ‘Amr, Hashid), confessional (Zaydis,
Salafis) and class (sâda, qabili) intertwined variables. In order to understand
the overall picture, all these factors must be framed in the periphery-centre
conflict between the Huthis and the government. Since 1962, Sa’da’s
“unsecured borderland”32 experienced a hybrid political order, mirrored by
multiple, competing and/or cooperating security actors. This was a divide et
impera device designed by Al-Iryani and then Saleh’s regimes, magnified by
the Sa’da wars. In this hybrid pattern of security governance, pro-regime
militias assured a ˊsecurity connectionˋ with Sana’a-based institutions,
fighting alongside the regular army and often replacing it. However, such a
perilous strategy has been progressively eroded due to the rise of
unmanageable social unbalances on the field, allowing the Huthis to become
the northern dominant power, in a context of anarchy.
From 2015 onwards, the large-scale, regionalized civil war has only
worsened the scenario, transforming the Huthi movement from a local
rebel to a national challenger of the current system of power.
Notwithstanding regional players’ influence and material support, looking
at the Huthis as Iranian proxies is a misleading representation, since it
overshadows origins and peculiarity not only of the Ansarullah movement,
but also of the whole Yemeni Zaydi history.
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against economic reforms in summer 2014, the Saudi-Iranian rivalry for
the hegemony in the Middle East. Such a smart strategy has allowed the
Huthis to expand military gains and political influence beyond Sa’da’s
fiefdom, so becoming central players in contemporary Yemen. As a
consequence, the movement has changed: it now encompasses a broader
and various popular support than before, with the coexistence of two
different political wings (“rigorists” and “pragmatics”). Huthis’ militias
have widened the spectrum of enemies to include Sunni militias, Arab
coalition soldiers and jihadists, escalating sectarian rhetoric. They have
also upgraded level and variety of strategic capabilities, due to the
alliance with Saleh’s loyalists and military training by Iran and Hezbollah,
shifting considerable resources from welfare to warfare in their
strongholds. As long as the war continues, Iran increases its engagement
in Yemen, in terms of sophisticated weapons provision and technical
advisors33. The Huthis are now perceived by external audiences first as
ˊShia actorsˋ and then as “Yemeni actors”, so collecting political and media
support by Shia regional networks.
After two years of war, Yemen’s state is deeply fragmented and contested,
divided between the self-proclaimed government based in Sana’a and led
by the Huthis-Saleh alliance, and the Aden-based one, headed by the
internationally-recognized interim president Hadi (which rallies an
anti-Huthis’ faction rather than a pro-Hadi group). Even the army is
divided to two competing sides. In the future of Yemen, whatever political
arrangement will have to take into account the issue of militias, first of all
Ansarullah, and the necessity to re-build a regular security sector. But
“sovereignty” and “civil-military relations” risk to resound as concepts
detached from Yemen’s current reality of tribal infighting, where hybridity
was the rule even before the 2015 crisis.
As a matter of fact, finding a balance between these apparently conflicting
interests is the real challenge Yemen’s decision-makers will have to face.
United Nations’ Security Council Resolution 2216 (April 14, 2015), the
legal basis for UN-led negotiations, doesn’t explicitly claim for Huthis’
disarmament, since it demands that all Yemeni parties, in particular the
Huthis, “relinquish all additional arms seized from military and security
institutions”34.
33According to convergent reports, Iran provides drones to the Yemeni Shia faction (the Qasef-1,
similar to the Iranian-made ones) and anti-tank guided weapons. Iran has probably helped the
Huthis to develop a naval mining program and to modify pre-existing Scud missiles for longer
range capabilities. Teheran is also suspected to have transferred technology used by the Huthis
to carry out an unmanned remote-controlled boat attack against a Saudi vessel in the Red sea
(January 30, 2017). See among the others, Reuters (2017); The Critical Threats Project,
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Therefore, Yemen’s post-war military landscape is maybe going to
resemble Lebanon, where Hezbollah and the Lebanese Armed Forces
(LAF) experience a complex relationship of “complementarity”, amid
“cooperation and competition”35. The Yemeni army cannot operate in Sa’da
governorate due to local unfriendliness, as it happens between Hezbollah
and the LAF in some Lebanon’s territories (the South, the Beka’a valley).
Notwithstanding nobody succeed winning the war, the Ansarullah’s
faction, given its alliance with Saleh’s loyalists, has a better balance of
ground military forces with respect to the regular army, as Hezbollah in
Lebanon. For Ansarullah, the alliance with Saleh is decisive in terms of
military projection and capabilities.
35 A topic analysed by academia and now openly debated in the political arena. Agenzia Fides,
President Aoun: militias of Hezbollah are "complementary" to the Lebanese Army, February 13,
2017; R. Dugulin, Hezbollah and the Lebanese Army: cooperation or competition? , Open
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