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Exponentiated Power Lindley Distribution: Journal of Advanced Research
Exponentiated Power Lindley Distribution: Journal of Advanced Research
Cairo University
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
a
Institute of Statistical Studies & Research, Department of Mathematical Statistics, Cairo University, Egypt
b
Faculty of Commerce, Department of Statistics, South Valley University, Egypt
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Article history: A new generalization of the Lindley distribution is recently proposed by Ghitany et al. [1], called
Received 15 July 2014 as the power Lindley distribution. Another generalization of the Lindley distribution was intro-
Received in revised form 11 August duced by Nadarajah et al. [2], named as the generalized Lindley distribution. This paper pro-
2014 poses a more generalization of the Lindley distribution which generalizes the two. We refer
Accepted 17 August 2014 to this new generalization as the exponentiated power Lindley distribution. The new distribu-
Available online 24 August 2014 tion is important since it contains as special sub-models some widely well-known distributions
in addition to the above two models, such as the Lindley distribution among many others. It
Keywords: also provides more flexibility to analyze complex real data sets. We study some statistical prop-
Lambert function erties for the new distribution. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of the distribution
Least square estimation parameters. Least square estimation is used to evaluate the parameters. Three algorithms are
Maximum likelihood estimation proposed for generating random data from the proposed distribution. An application of the
Order statistics model to a real data set is analyzed using the new distribution, which shows that the exponen-
Power Lindley distribution tiated power Lindley distribution can be used quite effectively in analyzing real lifetime data.
ª 2014 Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University.
2090-1232 ª 2014 Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jare.2014.08.005
896 S.K. Ashour and M.A. Eltehiwy
exponential distribution. Bakouch et al. [5] obtained an also suitable for testing goodness-of-fit of some special sub-
extended Lindley distribution and discussed its various models such as the PLD, GLD and LD distributions.
properties and applications. Ghitany et al. [6] developed a The new extension of the power Lindley distribution is
two-parameter weighted Lindley distribution and discussed most conveniently specified in terms of the cumulative distri-
its applications to survival data. Nadarajah et al. [2] obtained bution function:
a generalized Lindley distribution and discussed its various a
hxb b
properties and applications. Merovci and Elbatal [7] use the FðxÞ ¼ 1 1 þ ehx ; ð7Þ
quadratic rank transmutation map in order to generate a flex- hþ1
ible family of probability distributions taking Lindley-geomet- for x > 0, h, b, a > 0 and the corresponding probability den-
ric distribution as the base value distribution by introducing a sity function (pdf) is given by
new parameter that would offer more distributional flexibility a1
and called it transmuted Lindley-geometric distribution. Asg- ah2 bxb1 b hxb b
fðxÞ ¼ 1 þ xb ehx 1 1 þ ehx ; ð8Þ
harzadeh et al. [8] introduced a general family of continuous hþ1 hþ1
lifetime distributions by compounding any continuous distribu- The corresponding hazard rate function is
tion and the Poisson–Lindley distribution. Oluyede and Yang
[9] proposed a new four-parameter class of generalized Lindley ah2 b
hðxÞ ¼ bxb1 1 þ xb ehx
(GLD) distribution called the beta-generalized Lindley distri- ðh þ 1Þ
bution (BGLD). This class of distributions contains the beta- a1
hxb b 1
Lindley, GLD and Lindley distributions as special cases. 1 1þ ehx fSðxÞg ; ð9Þ
hþ1
A two parameter power Lindley distribution (PLD), of
which the Lindley distribution ‘Eq. (1)’ is a particular case, where
has been suggested by Ghitany et al. [1]. They introduced a a
hxb b
new extension of the Lindley distribution by considering the SðxÞ ¼ 1 1 1 þ ehx : ð10Þ
power transformation of the r.v. Y = T1/b. The pdf of the Y hþ1
is readily obtained to be power Lindley distribution with Note that Eq. (8) has closed form survival functions and haz-
parameters b and h and is defined by its probability density ard rate functions.
function pdf For (b = 1) , (a = 1) and (a = b = 1) we have the pdfs of
h2 bð1 þ yb Þ b1 hyb generalized Lindley distribution , power Lindley and Lindley
gðy; hÞ ¼ y e ; y > 0; h; b > 0; ð3Þ distributions respectively. As we shall see later, Eq. (8) has
hþ1
the attractive feature of allowing for monotonically decreasing;
It can easily be seen that at b = 1 , Eq. (3) reduces to the Lind- monotonically increasing and bath tub shaped hazard rate
ley distribution. From Eq. (2), we see that the power Lindley functions while not allowing for constant hazard rate
distribution is a two-component mixture of Weibull distribu- functions.
tion (with shape b and scale h), and a generalized gamma dis- Another motivation for the new distribution in (Eq. (7)) can
tribution (with shape parameters 2 b and scale h), with mixing be described as follows. Consider the two parameters power
h
proportion p ¼ 1þh . Lindley distribution [1] specified by the cumulative distribution
gðy; a; hÞ ¼ pf1 ðyÞ þ ð1 pÞf2 ðyÞ; ð4Þ function:
where p ¼ h
, hxb b
1þh FpL ðxÞ ¼ 1 1 þ ehx ; ð11Þ
b
hþ1
f1 ðyÞ ¼ hbyb1 ehy ; y > 0; h; b > 0; ð5Þ
for x > 0 and h, b > 0. Suppose X1, X2 , . . . , Xa are indepen-
and dent random variables distributed according to (Eq. (11)) and
b represent the failure times of the components of a series sys-
f2 ðyÞ ¼ h2 by2b1 ehy ; y > 0; h; b > 0: ð6Þ
tem, assumed to be independent. Then the probability that
In this paper, we introduce a new distribution with three the system will fail before time x is given by
parameters, referred to as the exponentiated power Lindley
PrðmaxðX1 ;X2 ;. .. ;Xa Þ 6 xÞ ¼ PrðX1 6 xÞPrðX2 6 xÞ
(EPLD) distribution, with the hope that it will attract many
applications in different disciplines such as survival analysis, . .. PrðXa 6 xÞ ¼ FpL ðxÞFpL ðxÞ
a
reliability, biology and others. One of the main goals to intro- hxb b
. .. FpL ðxÞ ¼ 1 1 þ ehx :
duce this new distribution was that it involves three distribu- hþ1
tions as sub-models. Generally, the EPLD distribution
So, Eq. (7) gives the distribution of the failure of a series sys-
generalizes the generalized Lindley (GLD) [2], power Lindley
tem with independent components.
(PLD) [1] and Lindley (LD) [3] distributions. The third param-
From Eqs. (4)–(6), it follows that cumulative distribution
eter indexed to this distribution makes it more flexible to
function, Eq. (7), can be represented as
describe different types of real data than its sub-models. The
X1
EPLD distribution, due to its flexibility in accommodating dif- a ai
FðxÞ ¼ p ð1 pÞi FW ai i
ðxÞFGG2 ðxÞ;
ferent forms of the hazard function, seems to be a suitable dis- i
i¼0
tribution that can be used in a variety of problems in fitting b
survival data. The EPLD distribution is not only convenient where FW ðxÞ ¼ 1 eðhx Þ is the cumulative distribution func-
for fitting comfortable bathtub-shaped failure rate data but tion of Weibull random variable with shape b and scale h
Exponentiated power Lindley distribution 897
b
and FGG2 ðxÞ ¼ 1 ½eðhx Þ ð1 þ hxb Þ is the cumulative distri- w(y) = [F(y)]a1 . The weight function is an increasing or
bution of generalized gamma with shape parameters (2, a) decreasing if a > 1 or a < 1 respectively. Therefore, if Y is
and scale parameter h. So, the proposed distribution can be decreasing pdf then for a > 1, The pdf of X also is a decreasing
viewed as an infinite mixture of the products of the exponenti- pdf. If Y has a unimodal pdf, then Mode(X) > (<)Mode Y, if
ated generalized gamma distribution. If a is an integer then the a > (<)1. Observe that if the pdf of Y is log-concave (convex),
mixture is finite. then the pdf of X will be log-concave (convex) if a > (<)1.
The contents of this paper are organized as follows. A com- Ghitany et al. [1] discussed and proved the cases in which
prehensive account of mathematical properties of the new dis- the pdf g(y) in Eq. (3) of the power Lindley distribution is
tribution is provided. These include the shapes of the density decreasing, unimodal and decreasing–increasing–decreasing.
and hazard rate functions and stochastic orders in Sections It follows that the pdf f(x) in Eq. (8) of the exponentiated
‘Shapes and Stochastic orders’. In Sections ‘Moments, Quan- power Lindley distribution EPLD(h, b, a) is
tile function and Generation algorithms’ the moments and
some associated measures, the quantile function and three dif- a. Decreasing if
ferent algorithms are proposed for generating random data I. 0 < b 6 12 ; h > 0; a 6 1 ;
from the proposed distribution. In Section ‘Maximum likeli-
hood estimation of parameters’, we demonstrate the maximum II. 12 < b < 1; h P g1 ðbÞ; a 6 1 ,
pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
likelihood estimates (MLEs) of the unknown parameters and 12 bð1bÞ
where g1 ðbÞ ¼ b
,
the asymptotic confidence intervals of the unknown parame-
ters. In Sections ‘Order statistics and Least square estimation’, III. {b = 1, h P 1, a = 1};
order statistics and their moments and least square estimation IV. {b P 1, h > 0, a < 1}.
are discussed. Application of the EPL model is presented in b. Unimodal if
Section ‘Data analysis’. Monte Carlo simulation study is car- I. {b = 1, h > 0, a > 1};
ried out in Section ‘Simulation study’ to examine the accuracy II. {b = 1, 0 < h < 1, a = 1};
of the maximum likelihood estimators of the EPL(a, b, h) III. {b > 1, h > 0, a P 1}.
parameters as well as the coverage probability and average c. Decreasing–increasing–decreasing if 12 < b < 1; 0 < h <
width of the confidence intervals for the parameters. Finally, g1 ðbÞ; a ¼ 1Þ.
Section ‘Concluding remarks’ concludes this paper.
Fig. 1 illustrates some of the possible shapes of the density
Shapes function of exponentiated power Lindley distribution for
selected values of the parameters (h, b, a).
In this section, we discuss the shape characteristics of the pdf The behavior of h(x) at x = 0 and x = 1, respectively, are
f(x) in Eq. (8) of the EPL(h, b, a) distribution. given by
The behavior of f(x) at x = 0 and x = 1, respectively, are 8
given by < 1;
> if b < 1 or a 6 1;
h2
8 hð0Þ ¼ if b ¼ 1 and a ¼ 1;
;
: > hþ1
< 1; if b < 1 or a < 1;
>
0; if b > 1 or a P 1;
h2 8
fð0Þ ¼ hþ1 ; if b ¼ 1 and a ¼ 1 ; fð1Þ ¼ 0:
>
: < 0;
> if b < 1 or a 6 1;
0; if b > 1 or a > 1; h2
hð1Þ ¼ hþ1 ; if b ¼ 1 and a ¼ 1;
>
:
If X has the pdf (8), the pdf of X is a weighted version of the 1; if b > 1 or a P 1;
pdf of Y in Eq. (3) and the weight function in this case is
1.5
0.8
f ( x , 1 , 0.2 , .9) f ( x , 1 , 1 , 2)
1
0.6
f ( x , 2 , 1 , 1) f ( x , .6 , 1 , 1)
f ( x , 3 , 2 , .5) 0.5 f ( x , 1.5 , 2 , 1.5) 0.4
0.2
0 0
0 1 2 3 4 0 2 4 6 8
x x
0.12
f ( x , .3 , .85 , 1) 0.1
f ( x , .35 , .9 , 1)
0.08
0.06
0 2 4 6 8
x
Fig. 1 Probability density function of the EPLD(h, b, a) for selected values of the parameters.
898 S.K. Ashour and M.A. Eltehiwy
2 4
1.5 3
h ( x , 1 , 1 , 1.5) h ( x , 2 , .6 , 1)
1 2
h ( x , .1 , 2 , 1) h ( x , 10 , .2 , .8)
0.5 1
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8
x x
10
1 8
h ( x , 1.2 , .88 , 1) h ( x , 2 , 2 , .05) 6
0.9
h ( x , 1.5 , .9 , 1) h ( x , 1 , 3 , .09) 4
0.8
2
0.7 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 0 1 2 3 4
x x
Fig. 2 Hazard rate function of the EPLD(h, b, a) for selected values of the parameters.
Ghitany et al .[1] discussed and proved the cases in which the Theorem 1. Let X1 EPLD(h1, b, a1) and X2 EPLD
hazard rate function of the power Lindley distribution is (h2, b, a2). If h1 = h2, and a1 > a2 (or if a1 = a2 and
decreasing, increasing and decreasing–increasing–decreasing. h1 P h2), then X1 6 LrX2 and hence X1 6 hrX2 and X1 6 stX2.
It follows that the HRF h(x) in Eq. (9) of the EPLD distribu-
tion is Proof
f1 ðxÞ a1 h21 ðh2 þ 1Þb1 xb1 1 b b
(a) Decreasing if ¼ ð1 þ xb1 Þeðh2 x 2 h1 x 1 Þ
f2 ðxÞ a2 h22 ðh1 þ 1Þb2 xb2 1
I. 0 < b 6 12 ; h > 0; a 6 1 ; a1 1
ð2b1Þ2 h1 xb1
II. 12 < b < 1; h P g2 ðbÞ; a 6 1 , where g2 ðbÞ ¼ 4bð1bÞ ; 1 1þ
b
eh1 x 1
(b) Increasing if {b P 1, h > 0, a P 1}. ðh1 þ 1Þ
1a2
(c) Decreasing–increasing–decreasing if 12 < b < 1; 0 < h < h2 xb2 b
g2 ðbÞ; a ¼ 1g. 1 1þ eh2 x 2 ;
ðh2 þ 1Þ
Fig. 2 shows the HRF h(x) of the exponentiated power
Lindley distribution for some choices of values of the param- thus
eters (h, b, a).
@ f ðxÞ b1 h1 xb1 1 b2 h2 xb2 1 b1 b2
ln 1 ¼ þ
@x f2 ðxÞ h1 xb1 h2 xb2 x
Stochastic orders b þb 1 b1 1
x 1 2 ðb1 b2 Þ þ b1 x b2 xb2 1
þ
ðxb1 þ 1Þðxb2 þ 1Þ
Stochastic ordering of positive continuous random variables is b
an important tool for judging the comparative behavior. ða1 1Þh21 b1 xb1 1 ð1 þ xb1 Þeh1 x 1
b
Suppose Xi is distributed according to Eqs. (7) and (8) with com- ðh1 þ 1Þ 1 1 þ hh11xþ11 eh1 x 1
b
Z a1 Z a1
ah2 bxrþb1
1 b hxb b 1
ah2 bxb1 hxb
EðXr Þ ¼ 1 þ xb ehx 1 1 þ ehx dx MX ðtÞ ¼
b
1 þ xb etx ehx 1 1 þ ehx
b
dx
0 hþ1 hþ1 hþ1 hþ1
0
Z 1 2 rþb1 a1
ah bx b hxb b
Z a1
¼ ehx 1 1 þ ehx dx 1
ah2 bxb1 tx hxb hxb
0 hþ1 hþ1 ¼ e e 1 1þ ehx
b
dx
Z 1 2 rþ2b1 a1 0 hþ1 hþ1
ah bx b hxb b
þ ehx 1 1 þ ehx dx: ð12Þ Z a1
0 hþ1 hþ1 1
ah2 bx2b1 tx hxb hxb b
þ e e 1 1þ ehx dx: ð13Þ
0 hþ1 hþ1
Using the following binomial series expansion of Using the following binomial series expansion of
h ia1 h ia1
hxb b
1 1 þ hþ1 ehx given by hxb
1 1 þ hþ1 ehx
b
given by
a1 X 1 i a1 X 1 i
hxb b a1 hxb b hxb a1 hxb
ehx ð1Þi 1 þ eihx ;
b i b
1 1þ ¼ 1 1þ ehx ¼ ð1Þ 1 þ eihx ;
hþ1 i h þ 1 hþ1 i¼0 i hþ1
i¼0
h ii
hxb
and using the following binomial series expansion of 1 þ hþ1
h ii given by
hxb
and using the following binomial series expansion of 1 þ hþ1
i X 1 k
given by hxb i h
1þ ¼ xkb :
i X 1 k hþ1 k hþ1
hxb i h k¼0
1þ ¼ xkb ;
hþ1 k¼0 k h þ 1 Eq. (13) takes the following form
! ! k Z
Eq. (12) takes the following form X
1 a1 X
1 i h 1
ah2 bxb1þkb tx hxb ðiþ1Þ
i
MX ðtÞ ¼ ð1Þ e e dx
1 1 k Z 1 2 b1þrþkb i k hþ1 0 hþ1
X a1 X i h ah bx b
i¼0 k¼0
EðXr Þ ¼ ð1Þi ehx ðiþ1Þ dx ! !
i¼0 i k¼0 k h þ 1 0 h þ 1 X
1 a1 X
1 i h
k Z 1
ah2 bx2b1þkb tx hxb ðiþ1Þ
X 1 X1 k Z 1 2 2b1þrþkb þ ð1Þi e e dx:
a1 i h ah bx b
i k hþ1 0 hþ1
þ ð1Þi ehx ðiþ1Þ dx i¼0 k¼0
i¼0 i k¼0 k
hþ1 0 hþ1
Using the following expansion of etx given by
P1 a1 P i k
b
Let t = x and Ci;k ¼ i¼0 ð1Þi 1k¼0 k
h
hþ1
. X
1 j j
tx
i etx ¼ :
j¼0
j!
Eq. (12) can be rewritten as follows:
Eq. (13) can be rewritten as follows:
Z rþkb Z rþbðkþ1Þ
r
1
ah2 t b htðiþ1Þ 1
ah2 t b htðiþ1Þ
EðX Þ ¼ Ci;k e dt þ Ci;k e dt; ! ! k X
X a1 X i 1 j Z 1
0 hþ1 0 hþ1 1
i
1
h t ah2 bxb1þkbþj hxb ðiþ1Þ
MX ðtÞ ¼ ð1Þ e dx
i¼0 i k¼0 k hþ1 j¼0
j! 0 hþ1
X
1 a1
!
X
1 i
! k X1 j Z 1
h t ah2 bx2b1þkbþj hxb ðiþ1Þ
a C rþbðkþ1Þ
b a þ ð1Þi e dx:
r hþ1 j! hþ1
EðX Þ ¼ Ci;k rþkb rþbðkþ1Þ
þ Ci;k i¼0 i k¼0 k j¼0 0
hþ1 hð b
1Þ
ði þ 1Þ Cð b Þ h þ 1 P1 P1 P1 a1 i
Let t = x b
and Ci;k;j ¼ ð1Þi
k i¼0 k¼0 j¼0 i k
C rþbðkþ2Þ
b
h
hþ1
tj
j!
.
rþkb rþbðkþ2Þ
;
hð b Þ ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ Eq. (13) can be rewritten as follows:
2 3 Z kbþj Z bðkþ1Þþj
1
ah2 t b htðiþ1Þ 1
ah2 t b
a 6 C rþbðkþ1Þ
b
C rþbðkþ2Þ
b 7
MX ðtÞ ¼ Ci;k;j e dx þ Ci;k ehtðiþ1Þ dx;
EðXr Þ ¼ Ci;k 4 rþkb rþbðkþ1Þ
þ rþkb rþbðkþ2Þ
5: 0 hþ1 0 hþ1
hþ1 h b 1 ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ h b ; ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ
900 S.K. Ashour and M.A. Eltehiwy
C jþbðkþ1Þ Algorithm I. (mixture form of the Lindley distribution)
a b
MX ðtÞ ¼ Ci;k;j jþkb jþbðkþ1Þ
hþ1 hb 1
ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ
1. Generate Ui Unifrom(0, 1), i = 1, . . . , n;
2. Generate Vi Exponential(h), i = 1, . . . n;
jþbðkþ2Þ
a C b 3. Generate Gi Gamma(2, h), i = 1, . . . n;
þ Ci;k;j jþkb jþbðkþ2Þ
; 4.
1=a h
If Ui 6 p ¼ 1þh
1=b
, then set Xi ¼ Vi , otherwise,
hþ1 hb ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ 1=b
set Xi ¼ Gi ; i ¼ 1; . . . n.
2 3
a 6 C jþbðkþ1Þ
b
C jþbðkþ2Þ
b 7
MX ðtÞ ¼ Ci;k;j 4 jþkb jþbðkþ1Þ
þ jþkb jþbðkþ2Þ
5:
hþ1 h b 1 ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ hb ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ Algorithm II. (mixture form of the power Lindley distribution)
for 0 < p < 1. Substituting Z(p) = 1 h h[Q(p)]b, one 1. Generate Ui Unifrom(0, 1), i = 1, . . . , n;
can rewrite Eq. (14) as 2. Set
þ ¼ 0; ð18Þ ¼ hx i ln ðx i Þ
ð1 þ hÞ2 i¼1 Ai ðb;hÞ @b2 i¼1 xbi þ 1 b2 i¼1 i¼1 xbi þ 1
2
h
2 i
Xn ða 1Þ Ai ðb; hÞ:A 2 ðb; hÞ Ai;b ðb; hÞ
@ n X n
xbi ln ðxi Þ X n
þ
i;b
;
Lða; b; hÞ ¼ þ þ ln ðxi Þ
@b b i¼1 x þ 1 b
i¼1 ½Ai ðb; hÞ2
i¼1
Xn Xn
Ai;b ðb; hÞ " #
h xbi :ln ðxi Þ þ ða 1Þ ¼ 0; ð19Þ @2L 2 1
i¼1 i¼1
Ai ðb; hÞ ¼ n 2
@h2 h ðh þ 1Þ2
h i
@ n Xn
Xn ða 1Þ Ai ðb; hÞA 2 ðb; hÞ ½Ai;h ðb; hÞ
2
Lða; b; hÞ ¼ þ ln Ai ðb; hÞ ¼ 0; ð20Þ i;h
@a a i¼1 þ ;
i¼1 ½Ai ðb; hÞ2
where
@2L Xn
Ai;b;a ðb; hÞ
@Ai ðb; hÞ b
¼ ;
Ai;h ðb; hÞ ¼ ¼ ehxi hð1 þ hÞ 1 þ h þ hxbi xbi ; @b@a i¼1
Ai ðb; hÞ
@h
" # Xn
@Ai ðb; hÞ h xbi þ 1 @2L Ai;h;a ðb; hÞ
Ai;b ðb; hÞ ¼ b hxbi
¼ hxi e ln ðxi Þ : ¼ ;
@b hþ1 @h@a i¼1
Ai ðb; hÞ
Order statistics with respect to the unknown parameters. Therefore, in the case
of EPL distribution the least square estimators of h, b and a,
say ^ ^LSE and ^
hLSE ; b aLSE , respectively, can by obtained by min-
Suppose X1, X2, . . . , Xn is a random sample from Eq. (8). Let
imizing the following equation
X(1) < X(2) < < X(n) denote the corresponding order sta-
(" ! #a )2
tistics. It is well known that the probability density function X n hxbðiÞ hxb i
and the cumulative distribution function of the kth order sta- Qðh; b; aÞ ¼ 1 1þ e ðiÞ ; ð25Þ
hþ1 nþ1
tistics, say Y = X(k), are given by i¼0
The qth moment of Y can be expressed as By solving this nonlinear system of Eqs. (26)–(28), this solution
will yield the LSE estimators ^ ^LSE and ^
hLSE ; b aLSE .
an!
EðYq Þ ¼
ðh þ 1Þðk 1Þ!ðn kÞ!
2 3 Data analysis
qþbðrþ1Þ qþbðrþ2Þ
6 C b
C b 7
Aj;i;r 4 qþrb qþbðrþ1Þ
þ qþrb qþbðrþ2Þ
5;
h b 1 ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ h b ði þ 1ÞCð b Þ In this section we provide a data analysis in order to assess the
goodness-of-fit of EPL model with respect to maximum flood
levels data to see how the new model works in practice. The
Pnk P1 P1 nk aðk þ jÞ 1Þ i data have been obtained from Dumonceaux and Antle [15].
where Aj;i;r ¼ j¼0 i¼0 r¼0 j i r We fit the EPL distribution to the real data set and compare
r
its fitting with some usual survival distributions. Namely,
h
hþ1
ð1Þiþj .
i. The modified Weibull (MW) distribution [16] with pdf
Least square estimation given by
b
fðxÞ ¼ h þ abxb1 ehxax ; x > 0; h; b; a > 0;
In this section, we provide the regression based method estima-
tors of the unknown parameters, which was originally sug- where a and b are the shape parameters and h is the scale
gested by Swain et al. [13] to estimate the parameters of Beta parameter.
distributions. The method can be described as follows: Sup- ii. The exponentiated exponential (EE) distribution [17]
pose X1, X2, . . . , Xn be a random sample of EPLD(h, b, a) with pdf given by
exponentiated power Lindley distribution with cdf F(x), and b1
suppose that X(i), i = 1, 2, . . . , n denote the ordered sample. fðxÞ ¼ hbehx 1 ehx ; x > 0; h; b > 0;
It is well known that where h is the scale parameter and b is a shape parameter
i (see Table 1).
E F xðiÞ ¼ E P X 6 xðiÞ ¼ : iii. The Weibull (W) distribution with pdf given by
nþ1
(See, Johnson et al. 14). The least square estimators (LSES) are b
obtained by minimizing fðxÞ ¼ hbxb1 ehx ; x > 0; h; b > 0:
Exponentiated power Lindley distribution 903
Simulation study
Table 4 Comparison criterion.
Model AIC BIC LOG K–S statistic p-Value
We used a simulation study to investigate the performance of
the accuracy of point and interval estimates of the EPL(a, b, h). EPLD 186.5721 191.6387 90.2861 0.0909 0.8627
PLD 195.8854 199.2631 95.9427 0.1596 0.4092
The following steps are as follows:
GLD 199.8218 203.1995 97.9109 0.1410 0.4362
LD 198.5826 201.2715 98.7913 0.1907 0.3424
1. Specify the values of the parameters a, band h; EE 194.9158 198.2936 95.4579 0.1334 0.4896
2. Specify the sample size n; MW 195.4046 200.4713 94.7023 0.1631 0.4004
3. Use Algorithm IV to generate a random sample with size n WD 195.0227 198.4005 95.5114 0.1540 0.3782
from EPL(a, b, h).
a. Calculate the MLE of the three parameters and the
inverse of the Fisher matrix.
b. Calculate the squared deviation of the MLE from the
exact value of each parameter. Table 5 Parameters MLES.
c. Calculate a 95% CI for each parameter. Distribution h b a
EPLD 3.5472 0.2901 30.8299
PLD 0.5867 0.7988 –
Table 1 Maximum flood levels data from Dumonceaux and GLD 0.3588 – 0.7460
LD 0.4242 – –
Antle [15].
EE 0.2678 – 1.1137
0.654, 0.613, 0.315, 0.449, 0.297, 0.402, 0.379, 0.423, 0.379, 0.3235 MW 0.3037 1.7269 0.0106
0.269, 0.740, 0.418, 0.412, 0.494, 0.416, 0.338, 0.392, 0.484, 0.265 WD 0.2688 0.9604 –
904 S.K. Ashour and M.A. Eltehiwy
The simulation study is used when N = 10,000, the sample subject distribution can be used to model reliability data. We
sizes are 25, 50, 75, 100, and the parameters values derived the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters
(a, b, h) = (1.5, 1, 1), (1, 2, 0.1), (1, 0.6, 2), (0.8, 0.2, 10), and their variance covariance matrix. A real data application
(1, 0.88, 1.2), (1, 0.9, 1.5), (0.05, 2, 2), (0.09, 3, 1). Some of the EL distribution shows that it could provide a better fit
of the selected values of (a, b, h) give increasing, decreasing, than a set of usual statistical distributions considered in life-
increasing–decreasing–increasing, bath tub hazard shapes, time data analysis. Finally, we examined the accuracy of the
respectively as shown in Fig. 2. Table 6 presents the maximum likelihood estimators of the EPL(a, b, h) parameters
MSE, Coverage probability (CP#), and average width as well as the coverage probability and average width of the
(AW) of 95% confidence intervals of each parameter. As confidence intervals for the parameters using simulation.
it was expected, this table shows that the MSEs of the esti-
mates decrease as the sample size increases, that the cover- Conflict of Interest
age probabilities are very close to the nominal level of
95%, and that the average widths decrease as the sample The authors have declared no conflict of interest.
size increases.
Compliance with Ethics Requirements
Conclusion
This article does not contain any studies with human or animal
In this study we have proposed a new family of distributions subjects.
called exponentiated power Lindley distribution (EPLD). We
get the probability density functions for generalized Lindley, References
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