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Macro Essential Questions Study Guide
Macro Essential Questions Study Guide
Macro Essential Questions Study Guide
INVESTMENT RELATED
1. What is the economic role of the financial system – what useful purpose does it serve
for
the overall economy?
Provision of liquidity and deal with risks of asset
2. What are stocks (equity)?
Shares of a company
3. What is the major reason people buy stock? Why do firms issue stock?
High reward, make capital gain, make profit off some dividends, gain control of
company.
4. What is leverage, liquidity, buying on margin, selling short?
Leverage: Use of borrowing money (debt) to increase return of cash investment
Liquidity: Ability to easily redeemed for value, convert assets into cash quickly
Burying on margin: Buying securities on credit, borrowing money from broker to make
investment
Selling short: Selling a stock with hope of buying it back at a lower price.
5. What are the roles of dividends and the risk-adjusted discount rate in determining the
fundamental price of a stock (Stock Price=Dividends/(risk adjusted discount rate
dividend
growth rate)?
Determine what stock price should be using the stream of constant dividends and risk
adjusted discount rate (Stock price=dividends/risk adjusted discount rate-dividend
growth rate)
6. What is a speculative bubble?
Price of stock is insanely high, spike in asset values
7. How do stocks compare to bonds as an investment?
Bonds are a debt to be repaid (fixed rate of return); Stocks are an equity to be
gained/lost (high risk, high reward)
8. How and why should you invest in stocks?
to diversify
9. What is the advantage of diversification?
- Lessens the risk
10. What is the efficient markets hypothesis, and how does it relate to random walks?
What
does it suggest for your personal investing?
No one consistently beats the market, securities (stock prices) quickly reflect relevant
information, and past stock prices are not useful in predicting future
11. What are Bonds? Bond Ratings, Junk Bonds, Treasury Bonds, Corporate Bonds,
Muni/S&L Bonds?
Bond: debt investment where investor loans money to either a company of the
government for a defined period of time at a given interest
Bond Ratings: rating that provides prospective buyers information on whether a bond is
worth the risk
Junk Bonds: a high yield bond; rated below investment grade at time of purchase
Treasury Bonds: Fixed-interest U.S. government debt security with maturity of more than
10 years; government issued debt
Corporate Bonds: Bond issued by corporation; expand business
Muni/S&L Bonds: interest income is exempt from federal income tax; debt security to
finance capital expenditures
12. What are Mutual Funds?
Collection of stocks or bonds
13. What is a hedge fund? An ETF?
Hedge fund: a private investment organization that employs risky strategies that often
made huge profits for investors
ETF (exchange-traded fund): a security that tracks an index, a commodity or a basket of
assets like an index fund, but trades like a stock on an exchange
14. What is a stock index mutual fund, and why should you likely use it for long-run
investing?
stock index mutual fund - a type of mutual fund with a portfolio constructed to match or
track the components of a market index, such as the S&P 500
15. What is a 401k? What should be in it?
401k plan: the common name for the tax qualified, defined-contribution pension account
defined in subsection 401k of the Internal Revenue Code. Within a 401k there should be
a stock diversified fund which can create a higher return, risk averages out over time
16. What are derivatives?
a security whose price is dependent upon or derived from one or more underlying assets
(most common of which are stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, interest rates and
market indexes)
17. What’s an option? A futures contract? A call option?
option: a financial derivative that represents a contract sold by one party to another
party, offers the right to buy, sell, or hold a security
futures contract: a contractual agreement, generally made on the trading floor of a
futures exchange to buy or sell a particular commodity at a pre-determined price in the
future
call option: an agreement that gives an investor the right to buy a stock, bond or other
financial instrument
18. What’s an IPO?
- IPO (Initial Public Offering): the initial selling of securities such as stocks or
bonds by a firm into the open market in order to raise capital.
19. What are primary and secondary financial markets?
Primary financial markets: where securities are created, firms float new stocks and
bonds to the public for the first time (IPO)
Secondary financial markets: also referred to as "stock market," where securities are
openly traded in major exchanges around the world
20. What are financial intermediaries?
an entity that acts as the middleman between two parties in a financial transaction
(includes banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds).
MONEY AND THE FED
What is Money? Wealth? Income? How are they different?
Money: Anything accepted as a medium of exchange
Wealth: Total value of what a household owns minus what it owes
Income: Expenditures gained by an individual during a particular period of time
2. Define M1, M2
M1: Currency, checking accounts, and travelers checks. most liquid
M2: M1+savings accounts, other assets.
3. What are the three functions of money?
- Medium of exchange, unit of account, store of value.
4. Why are the advantages of an economy using money rather than barter?
Lowers transaction and info. costs; allows specialization in labor and develops financial
system.
5. What is barter and what are the shortcomings of barter?
Exchange goods/services w/o money; needs a double coincidence of wants, less
convenient
6. What is the Fed? Describe its structure. Why does the Fed have the structure it does
(12
banks, etc). What is the FOMC?
Fed: Boards of governor, open market committee, fed reserve banks, member banks,
advisory councils: 12 banks divide nation into 12 districts, acting as fiscal agents for U.S.
Treasury balance power and conflicts.
7. What are the goals, tools/instruments, targets of the Fed?
Goals-price stability, Tools-open market ops, discount rate, reserves , Targets-fed funds
rate
8. Explain in words how a Fed open market purchase increases the money supply
Can purchase Treasury bonds from banks and other holders releasing cash to be
circulated in MS (Fed gets funds for purchase merely by writing a check and thus
creates money)
9. What is the operating target of the Fed (answer – the fed funds rate)?
Fed Funds rate
10. What is the primary ‘traditional’ policy tool of the Fed?
open-markets
11. What are the ultimate goals of the Fed?
price stability, maximum employment, stable interest rates
12. What is the Taylor Rule?
Taylor’s rule is a formula developed by Stanford economist John Taylor. It was designed
to provide “recommendations” for how a central bank like the Federal Reserve should
set short-term interest rates as economic conditions change to achieve both its short-run
goal for stabilizing the economy and its long-run goal for inflation.
13. What is inflation targeting?
Inflation targeting is a monetary policy in which a central bank has an explicit target
inflation rate for the medium term and announces this inflation target to the public.
14. What is the liquidity trap and why does it matter?
Liquidity trap: a situation in which conventional monetary policy loses all tractio
15. Is the Fed Independent? Why? How? (more on the Fed below)
Fed independence Not owned or private-profit making institution
16. What is quantitative easing?
the introduction of new money into the money supply by a central ban
17. What is unconventional monetary policy?
The unconventional monetary policies that the Federal Reserve has pursued since 2008
– pushing short-term interest rates to zero, promising to keep them there for a long time
and buying trillions of dollars in bonds in its quantitative easing – have not resulted in life
insurers becoming riskier despite the widespread belief to the contrary.
18. Why is Fed credibility important?
The importance of the Fed's credibility can be illustrated by the consequences of its
absence in the 1970s. This paper discusses the roots of the Fed's current credibility: a
systematic approach to controlling inflation, transparency of its policy decisions, and
timely communication of the decisions and the considerations upon which they are
based.
ECONOMIC GROWTH
What is the long-run average rate of growth in real GDP? Real GDP per capita?
3%
2%
2. How does long-run U.S. growth generally compare with Europe? Asia? Africa?
Faster than Europe and Africa, slower than Asia
3. What is productivity? Why does it matter to economic growth?
Productivity is an average measure of the efficiency of production. It can be expressed
as the ratio of output to inputs used in the production process
4. What is the role of technology in economic growth?
The role played by technology in simulation of growth and development in emerging
markets is quite profound. It is significant in economic development hence is extremely
important to understand.
5. What is the role of each of the following in economic growth:
- Political structure, property rights, human capital, capital, savings, education,
natural
resources, industrial policy, population growth, research and development, taxes, free
trade, trickle down economics, government budget deficits
Role of political structure in economic growth: prop rights, resource allocating
Role of Property rights in economic growth: economic freedom, innovation
Role of Human capital in economic growth: increases factor productivity
Role of capital in economic growth: increases investment and productivity
Role of savings in economic growth: leads to investment in LR
Role of education in economic growth: investment in human capital
Role of Industrial policy in economic growth: does not help
Role of population growth in economic growth: low pop growth causes eco growth
Role of research and development in economic growth: knowledge as public good,
externalities
Role of taxes in economic growth: reduces savings and thus investment
Role of free trade in economic growth: increase economic growth that enables countries
to attain a place above their PPC
Role of trickle down economics in economic growth: encourage business owners
Role of government budget deficits in economic growth:
6. How do you calculate growth rates?
using the rule of 72
7. What is the rule of 72? (Or 70)? How do you use it?
growth rate = 72/# years to double
8. How does an increase in saving affect the economy in the long run? (short-run?)
S up->I up->growth up
S up->C down->D down->Y down
9. Explain the idea (1 sentence) of each of the following theories of economic growth:
a) Classical/Malthusian:limited resources (land) leads to diminishing
returns and ultimately decline in per capita wages to subsistence levels
b) Neo-Classical – Solow Model: economy grows along long run steady
state with ultimately no growth in per capita gdp/income unless technological
change
c) Endogenous or New Growth Theory: internal determinants of
technological change and thus growth
d) Creative Destruction: continuous progress and improved standards of
living
10. What’s wrong with Malthus’ law? (Why hasn’t it held for developed countries?)
Doesn't account for increase in capital, technology or endogenous fertility decisions
UNEMPLOYMENT
INTERNATIONAL MACRO
1. What was the role of each of the following in the financial crisis and great recession?
o Easy money policies: contributed to the recession as subprime lending
occurred (lending to people with bad credit quality)
o Deregulation (laissez-faire): Run on the Shadow, banking system,
Systemic problems with funding mismatch, Too big to fail Credit
CrunchRecession*
o Leverage: maxes returns, but also risk (losses)
o De-leveraging:
o Securitization: Converting a security that doesn't trade, like a mortgage,
into a tradeable security, like a bond
o Financial engineering: promoted use of derivatives, which are often
highly leveraged and unregulated (risky)
o Derivatives: the widespread use of derivatives greatly magnified and
spread the impact of losses on sub-prime mortgages
o Shadow Banking system:losely regulated with funding mismatch (Could
not roll over short-term debt which they had used to fund long term investments);caused
run on shadow banking system - AIG, Lehman fell
o Runs on shadow banks: leds to collapse of financial institutions
(Lehman Brothers fell, AIG went to government control)
o Fiscal policy:
o Monetary policy:
2. Briefly identify:
o Classical Macro
long run:
sayes law: supply creates own demand
loanable funds theory: real interest rate determined by savings and investment
Flexible wages & prices: vertical aggregate supply curve
Quantity theory of money: MV-P
o Keynesian Macro
Short run
sticky wages
agg supply curve upward
economy unstable and needs govt intervention - fiscal policy
can be below full employment
o Neo-Classical Synthesis
Starting Point for rigorous economic models. These assumptions are oversimplification
according to political scientists.
o Monetarism
A set of views based on the belief that inflation depends on how much money the
government prints. It is closely associated with Milton Friedman, who argued, based on
the quantity theory of money, that the government should keep the money supply fairly
steady, expanding it slightly each year mainly to allow for the natural growth of the
economy.
o New Classical macro
using monetary policy will change real GDP only if the policy takes people by surprise
emphasizes aggregate supply and wage and price flexibility.
view economy as essentially stable and self-correcting
o New Keynesian Macro
Provides microeconomic foundations for Keynesian economics
2 main assumptions:
households & firms have rational expectations, variety of market failures (imperfect
competition in price & wage setting; become sticky) also, implies that economy may fail
to attain full employment.
fiscal and monetary policy can higher efficiency
o Supply-Side Economics
A school; the school of economic theory that stresses the costs of production as a
means of stimulating the economy; advocates policies that raise capital and labor output
by increasing the incentive to produce
o Real Business Cycle Theory
claims that fluctuations in the rate of growth of total factor productivity cause the
business cycle
3. What was tulip mania? The South Seas bubble?
tulip mania - example of speculative bubble, in the Netherlands, tulip prices rose to 10x
annual incomes, then collapsed
South Seas Bubble - stock speculation in British stock company, Company established
to fund gov’t debt, 10 fold increase in stock price in year
4. What is a speculative bubble?
When stock values rise beyond any reasonable expectations for future profits.
OTHER
1. What is the index of leading economic indicators and what is it used for? Will not be
on
exam
A composite of economic variables used by analysts to predict future economic
conditions.
2. What caused the great depression? The current recession?
DECLINE IN AD
1920s: yo-yo years
stock market went up, people speculated when they couldn't afford to
spent on credid
Now: housing market: people bought houses on the margin, couldn't affort
both cases: people spending imaginary money
3. What is the Black-Scholes formula and why does it matter?
It is a revolutionary formula (40 years ago) for valuing/pricing options;
opened up door for all sorts of new financial instruments and quantitative finance/
financial engineering
4. Who was Adam Smith? Milton Friedman? Malthus? Schumpeter? Keynes? Adam
Smith?
adam smith: often touted as the world's first free-market capitalist. father of econ
Milton Friedman: An American economist and statistician best known for his strong belief
in free-market capitalism. Milton Friedman strongly opposed the views of Keynesian
economists, encouraging governments to minimize their involvement in the economy by
reducing taxes and ceasing inflationary policies.
Schumpeter
Wrote about history of economic thought
Creative destruction- free markets self correction
Innovation improves society
Invention holds or advances society a little
John Maynard Keynes believed wages and prices were relatively inflexible and interest
rate would not fall fast enough to restore full employment
Malthus: Economist. Work used by Darwin
Said populations will grow exponentially and something keeps them in check.
Wrote "Essay on the Principles of Population"
5. What is Dodd-Frank? The Volcker Rule?
Bar banks from proprietary trading — or making trades for their own benefit — using
customer funds.
Banks limited in the extent of their trading with their own money, and allowed to own only
a small percentage of hedge and private equity funds
6. What is econometrics?
The use of statistical techniques on economic data to investigate how economic
variables are related