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    Rheinald Kasali PDF

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    Mas Abe Wicaksono
    This document discusses trends in bureaucracy, population, and technology over time. It notes that bureaucracy grew in industrial societies due to increasing populations, but technology has since driven efficiency and industry collaboration. Global population growth rates are slowing as more countries develop. The future of work is uncertain as new jobs emerge in areas like apps, social media, data analysis, and cloud computing, while some traditional jobs in areas like newspapers, retail, and manufacturing decline. Regulations and laws struggle to keep up with new technologies like the sharing economy, drones, autonomous vehicles, and blockchain. The future will rely more on public-private partnerships and a blend of human and artificial intelligence.

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    Rheinald Kasali PDF

    Uploaded by

    Mas Abe Wicaksono
    39 views16 pages
    This document discusses trends in bureaucracy, population, and technology over time. It notes that bureaucracy grew in industrial societies due to increasing populations, but technology has since driven efficiency and industry collaboration. Global population growth rates are slowing as more countries develop. The future of work is uncertain as new jobs emerge in areas like apps, social media, data analysis, and cloud computing, while some traditional jobs in areas like newspapers, retail, and manufacturing decline. Regulations and laws struggle to keep up with new technologies like the sharing economy, drones, autonomous vehicles, and blockchain. The future will rely more on public-private partnerships and a blend of human and artificial intelligence.

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    RHEINALD KASALI.pdf

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    This document discusses trends in bureaucracy, population, and technology over time. It notes that bureaucracy grew in industrial societies due to increasing populations, but technology has since driven efficiency and industry collaboration. Global population growth rates are slowing as more countries develop. The future of work is uncertain as new jobs emerge in areas like apps, social media, data analysis, and cloud computing, while some traditional jobs in areas like newspapers, retail, and manufacturing decline. Regulations and laws struggle to keep up with new technologies like the sharing economy, drones, autonomous vehicles, and blockchain. The future will rely more on public-private partnerships and a blend of human and artificial intelligence.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    39 views16 pages

    Rheinald Kasali PDF

    Uploaded by

    Mas Abe Wicaksono
    This document discusses trends in bureaucracy, population, and technology over time. It notes that bureaucracy grew in industrial societies due to increasing populations, but technology has since driven efficiency and industry collaboration. Global population growth rates are slowing as more countries develop. The future of work is uncertain as new jobs emerge in areas like apps, social media, data analysis, and cloud computing, while some traditional jobs in areas like newspapers, retail, and manufacturing decline. Regulations and laws struggle to keep up with new technologies like the sharing economy, drones, autonomous vehicles, and blockchain. The future will rely more on public-private partnerships and a blend of human and artificial intelligence.

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    of 16

    The Past, Present & FUTURE

    Of Bureaucracy

    Why?
    1. Population (in industrial
    society): berhenti/ berkurang
    konsumsi
    2. Teknologi: Efisiensi, kolaborasi
    industri

    1
    2015

    2
    GLOBAL POPULATION
    (UN 2010-2015)
    Age 15-64 (%)
    POPULATION to Population
    NO COUNTRY GROWTH LINE
    (Millions)
    1960 2016
    1 Indonesia 1,49 258,2 57 67
    2 China 0,52 1,371 B 57 72
    3 India 1,26 1,309 B 57 66
    4 Malaysia 1,51 30,72 51 69
    5 Japan - 0,12 127,1 64 60
    6 USA 0,75 320,9 60 66
    7 Europe
    United Kingdom 0,63 65,13 65 64
    Germany 0,06 81,69 67 66
    France 0,45 66,62 62 62
    Netherland 0,35 16,94 61 65
    Italy 0,07 60,73 65 64
    8 Nigeria 4,00 181,2 56 53
    9 Pakistan 2,11 189,4 57 61
    10 South Sudan 4,09 11,88 56 55
    Source: Ourworldindata.org & World Bank

    (South Korea)

    3
    (Germany)

    (China)

    4
    (China)

    (China)

    5
    (China)

    6
    7
    Terjadi
    SHIFTING! Stage 1
    Business, Social & Crime in Disruption
    Diperkirakan Retail Online di USA Saat ini Baru 8%.
    Namun Ratusan outlet Walmart, Sears, Kohl’s, Macy’s sudah ditutup
    %

    Semua
    100% lawan
    Dunia Konvensional kelihatan

    Stage 2
    Mulai Tampak Lawan-lawan tak kelihatan

    Lawan-lawan
    Tak Kelihatan

    Lawan-lawan
    Konvensional
    (Kelihatan)

    8
    Stage 3
    Sebagian Pasar Beralih ke Dunia Tak Kelihatan

    Lawan-lawan
    Tak Kelihatan

    Lawan-lawan
    Konvensional
    (Kelihatan)

    Stage 4

    Lawan-lawan
    Tak Kelihatan

    60%
    Hukum
    Moore

    Lawan-lawan
    40% Konvensional
    (Kelihatan)

    Big Data
    Hadoop, IoT, Globlisasi

    9
    Lawan-lawan Tak Kelihatan
    (Indonesia, 2017)
    Advertisement = 18,3 T Rupiah (2017)
    Medical (tools) = 60 T Rupiah (2016)
    Online game = 12 T Rupiah (2017)
    Online retail = 1.200 T Rupiah (2020)
    Financial = 1.000 T Rupiah (2017)
    Logistics = 2.119 T Rupiah (2017)
    Education = 7,8 T Rupiah (2018)

    Sumber: Newzoo, Techinasia, McKinsey, Bloomberg, Ernst & Young.

    3 Peta Jalan Ekonomi – Ibarat Pembuluh


    Darah Manusia
    Kapiler (nadi)

    Arteri
    Vena

    10
    Aturan-Aturan Yang Belum Menyentuh (UU Lalu Lintas)

    UU 22 Tahun 2009

    Aturan-Aturan Yang Belum Menyentuh (UU Lalu Lintas)

    11
    UU Lalu lintas
    UU No. 22 tahun 2009

    Permen 26 Tahun 2017

    Argometer GPS

    Menteri Perindustrian “Industri Otomotif Akan Tumbuh”

    • Dishub DKI : Tarif Parkir

    • Parkir di Pinggir Jalan

    Trend Dunia : Sharing Resources?

    World Automotive
    Production in DECLINING

    Hire Bike di London

    12
    BANK BLOCKCHAIN EDC Machine

    COMMON JOBS THAT


    MIGHT NOT EXIST IN 20 YEARS www.inc.com
    Cashiers
    Newspaper delivery
    College professor
    Assembly line worker
    Librarians
    Bankers
    Insurance sales person
    Some accountants
    Post master

    13
    JOBS THAT DID NOT EXIST
    10 YEARS AGO
    App designer/app developer Coach for executives
    Youtuber Content wrangler
    Big data analyst CSI
    Blogger Cyber psychologist
    BIM developer Cyber troops / Hoax
    Drone operator maker
    Data analytics specialist
    Cloud Service Specialist Digital marketing specialist
    Cloud Computing Services Dog whisperer

    GENERATION OF LEARNING

    Law
    Enforcement Social
    & HUMAN MACHINE Enginering
    Regulation

    Cyber Effect Psychology


    • Anonymous
    • Disinhibition

    Budaya Produktif

    14
    THE STRATEGY

    15
    THE RESULT

    TERIMA KASIH…

    Rumah Perubahan
    @rumah_perubahan RHENALD KASALI

    16

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