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Economics: Dr. Ram Manohar Lohiya National Law University
Economics: Dr. Ram Manohar Lohiya National Law University
FINAL DRAFT OF
ECONOMICS
On: FDI in defence sector in India
First of all, I would like to thank Dr. Mitali Tiwari for giving me this opportunity to make the
project on such an immense topic and all the support and guidance that I have received from her,
without which this project could not have turned into a reality. I would also like to thank all my
colleagues and seniors for providing me support and material facts and figures related to this
topic. Last but not the least, I would like to thank my parents for providing me appropriate
guidance and support to prepare the project. All the above mentioned people have very whole
heartedly helped me to make this project in the present shape.
-Avinash Maurya
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER 5: HINDERENCES.
SECTOR
CHAPTER 8: CONCLUSION
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION AND PLAN OF STUDY
1. BACKGROUND
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in India is the major monetary source for economic
development in India. Foreign companies invest directly in fast growing private Indian
businesses to take benefits of cheaper wages and changing business environment of India.
Economic liberalisation started in India in wake of the 1991 economic crisis and since
then FDI has steadily increased in India. It were Manmohan Singh and P. V Narasimha
Rao who brought FDI in India, which subsequently generated more than one crore
jobs.According to the Financial Times, in 2015 India overtook China and the US as the
top destination for the Foreign Direct Investment. In first half of the 2015, India attracted
investment of $31 billion compared to $28 billion and $27 billion of China and the US
respectively
India is the World’s biggest defence importer; has the second largest military force
and is the ninth highest defence spender. Its half of defence hardware is near to
obsolete. Its two nuclear armed neighbours, China and Pakistan, have a long
history of enmity with it. These challenges can be faced by India through strong
defence manufacturing complex coupled with economy might. If it can attract FDI
in defence sector in a large proportion, it can face challenges successfully. The
main finding of the study is that although a lot of changes have been made for FDI
policy and procedures by govt. of India, a lot of efforts are still needed to plug the
loopholes in smooth flow of FDI in defence sector. For this, some options have
been identified. Indian experiences can be very useful to others especially
erstwhile socialist countries which emulated their economies into market-oriented.
2. RESEARCH QUESTIONS
3. OBJECTIVES
The aim of the paper is to find out progress, problems and prospects of FDI in
Indian defence sector.
To find out india’s purchasing power in defence sector
To understand the pros and cons of foreign direct investment
To find out the importance of FDI.
4. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The paper commences with the hypothesis that FDI in Indian defence manufacturing can
cure its miseries. Modern defence hardware can be domestically manufactured through
FDI channel. Though India’s defence sector has wide network under Public Sector Units,
they have been unable to fulfill its defence needs. Consequently, India ranks among the
top 10 countries in the world in terms of military expenditure and one of the largest
importers of conventional defence equipment as it strives to modernise its forces and
replace obsolete equipment. Due to deteriorating security environment around it, India
cannot forgo its defence preparedness, though huge defence expenditure is stressing its
development.
It was realised in 2001 that Indian Public Sector defence units cannot fulfill emerging
needs of defence forces. Thus, the sector was opened up for private sector and FDI was
welcomed. In the recent past a lot of FDI policies and procedures in defence sector have
been overhauled and some changes are also in pipeline. The success of a liberal FDI
policy critically depends on how it is managed. As far as progress of FDI inflow into
India’s defence sector is concerned it is not satisfactory in terms of amount. But due to
highly capital-intensive and technology driven sector, it is assumed that it will take time
to get momentum. Perception about India and its economy has changed. It is considered
an emerging and vibrant economy which can lead to the world economy.
6. CONCLUSION
For a country with hostile neighbours, it is the biggest priority of the government is to
ensure its safety. Any economy cannot be self-sufficient, and it is not possible to battle
against problems like terrorism just by risking of lives. Technology thus becomes an
important tool in covering such hazards. The harsh reality is that our defense sector needs
a good overhaul, and our government needs to allocate sufficient budgets for production
of defense material. The military expenditure of a developed nation like USA is around
600 billion dollars compared to a mere 65 billion dollar expenditure by India when it
comes to maintenance of the army and defense equipment. Thus to achieve the defense
capability dreams that India has, higher FDI may be a pure and important source that
needs to be brought up. It must however be kept in mind that it does harm the local
industries.
7. CHAPTERISATION
Economists suggest two strategies for development viz., inward looking and outward
looking. The former is based on failed socialist model. It divorced from reality. The latter
is more realistic, though it has own flaws. For example, economic recession in 2008 had
engulfed most of the part of world through globalisation. One of the most important
ingrain of the strategy is development through external linkages. Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) is one of them. It is considered one of the most important vehicles of
development if local resources/efforts are handicap to enhance the efficiency/productivity
of the economy. For long, Indian Private Sector and FDI were prohibited in defence
sector. It was only in 2001 when it was opened to Indian Private Sector participation with
FDI permissible upto 26 per cent. In 2014 it was increased to 49 per cent and in special
case it can go upto 100 per cent. It is assumed that raising FDI cap would attract latest
high-end technologies into India and assumes that defence Original Equipment
Manufacturers(OEMs) who control technologies and will supply /bring it to their own
operations in India, if equity cap is raised(FICCI,2010).
The Indian Defence Sector has been confronting many folds problem. First, it had
emerged the largest importer of major arms in 2010-14,accounting for 15 per cent of
global total. Between 2005-2009 and 2010-14 imports increased by 140 per cent. In
2010-14 India’s imports were three times larger than those of either of its regional rivals
China and Pakistan. Clearly, it reflects that indigenous efforts have been lagging in this
direction. Second, out of total defence equipment held by the Indian armed forces, only
15 per cent is considered ‘state of the art’ and nearly 50 per cent has become obsolete
(DIPP, 2010). This is a major deterrent to the operational capability of the armed forces.
Third, due to deteriorating security environment, China-Pakistan nexus and proxy war
against India are well known facts of increasing its defence expenditure. India has
allocated defence expenditure by hiking 7.7 per cent in the financial year (FY) 2015-16
over the allocation for 2014-15. It is allocated to US$40.4 billion in 2015-16 from
US$38.35 billion in 2014-15. Its military budget is still less than a third of China’s
US$145 billion expenditure as estimated by the Pentagon. Both China and India have
allocated around 2 per cent of their GDP towards defence allocation, and given the
difference in their respective GDP, the China-India gap is over US$100 billion in
Beijing’s favor. Total defence spending and that the actual amount allocated to the
People’s Liberation Army may be closer to US$250 billion.
2. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
The production of defence equipment was, until relatively recently, entirely a government
function. The Industrial Policy Resolution, 1948, restricted the entry of the private sector
into this industry. The defence industry in India was declared open to the private sector in
May 2001 when the government permitted 100 percent equity with a maximum of 26 per
cent FDI component, both subject to licensing. Subsequently, it issued detailed
guidelines, after consultations with the Ministry of Defence (MoD), for the issuance of
licence for the production of arms and ammunition in January 2002.
The DPSUs and ordinance factories have played a critical role in building a domestic
industrial base in this sector as they typically outsource 20 to 25 per cent of their
production requirements to private companies. In addition to these Public Sector
Undertakings, a number of medium and large private companies have entered or some are
seriously considering it to take stake in this sector. The import-export ratio of India’s
defence industry is less than the countries with small defence industrial base. Therefore,
Indian Government is seriously contemplating to correct it. Its main goal is to promote
the investment in both in R &D and manufacturing of defence hardware. The sector is
included in the ‘Make in India’ campaign.
On the other side, India ranks among the top 10 countries in the world in terms of
military expenditure and as stated one of the largest importers of conventional defence
equipment as it strives to modernise its forces and replace obsolete equipment. Its arms
imports are now almost three times as high as those of the second and third largest arms
importers—China and Pakistan. India is among the top five arms importer, besides
China, Pakistan, the UAE and Saudi Arabia.It isprojected that the ranks of China and
India will be second and third respectively in world’s military expenditure in
2045.India’s defence expenditure in terms of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in US$654
billion and China’s expenditure on the same head projected US$1270 billion for the year
2045. Projection of defence expenditure of major powers for the year 2045 has been
made.
Source: SIPRI
2
China 1,270
3
India 654
4 Russia 295
6
Brazil 97
7
France 87
8 Japan 67
Germany 63
9
3. REGEULATORY REGIME
The policy for FDI in the Defence Sector was first notified vide Press Note 4 of 2001,
wherein the Defence Industry Sector was opened up to 100 per cent for Indian private
sector participation, with FDI permissible up to 26 per cent later it was increased to 49
per cent, both subject to licensing and Government approval. Subsequently, guidelines
for production of Defence equipment were notified. Other than the FDI policy, two other
policy regimes govern the defence sector. These are the Defence Procurement Procedure
and the Industrial License regime.
The Defence Procurement Procedure (DPP) that governs the defence procurement was
first enumerated in 2002. After several iterations to the original policy, the latest one is in
pipeline. It is reported that Ministry of Defence has given its nod to some amendments to
the much awaited Defence Procurement Procedure(DPP) emphasizing on higher
indigenization in line with the ‘Make in India’ programme and providing a major role for
the private sector in arms manufacturing. However, the new DPP 2016 would be issued
in two months time as some parts of the revised DPP needs to be approved and will apply
to only new projects and not to those which are already in process. The new DPP
basically plans to ease the procurement processes. The highlight of the new DPP is a new
category to promote indigenous design and development and domestic manufacturing
including Government funding for Research & Development (R&D) and recognition of
the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) in technology development.
The DPP will have a new category called the ‘Indigenously Designed, Developed and
Manufactured (IDDM)’ platforms. The Buy Indian (IDDM) procurement category will be
given the first preference. The significant proposed changes/provisions to the DPP 2016
are as follows (DEFENCE PROCURMENT PROCEDURE (DPP) 2016 :
Items Amount(US$
million)
4.HINDRANCES
Though beginning has been made in India to attract FDI in defence sector, a lot of
problems/roadblocks still exist. The major hindrances are:
Policy/Procedure: Defence sector has been opened up to 49 per cent FDI cap. It is
apprehension in some circles that global armament majors will not set up base or transfer
crucial technologies without management control of the joint ventures. It is speculated
that FDI cap of 49 per cent is a hurdle of transfer of front line U.S. defence technology to
India. Cumbersome procedures for establishing a defence unit is still exist in India.
Therefore, Indian firms, engaged in the manufacture of defence equipments, have urged
the government to simplify procedures so that they can contribute effectively to the Make
in India programme. They have asked the defence ministry to create a single window for
registration of their entities and products to cut down the time taken for the process.
Currently, entrepreneurs need to register with each of over 40 defence agencies, and this
process takes more than three years to complete. The process for registering private
entrepreneurs interested in serving the Indian defence needs to be dramatically
streamlined. The current process is a needlessly expensive and time consuming process
(Business Standard, 2015, February 24). In front of policy of arms exports too, there is a
need for greater clarity and time bound clearances.
Technical Manpower: Shortage of a skilled workforce is a serious challenge to the
growth of the Indian defence and aerospace industry. For long, industry has struggled to
hire ‘industry-ready’ personnel who can hit the shop floor running The state of India’s
defence capabilities in terms of design, development, manufacturing, training and
maintenance of cutting-edge defence equipment is significantly lower than the best. The
dimension of the problem is also lie in rigid labour laws which restrict the number of
overtime hours employees may put in. These labour laws are responsible to transform
slow growth of the indigenous manufacturing sector and stifle India’s ability to capture a
larger share of the global market of precision engineering. Thus, it may impact Make in
India a “win-win” opportunity.
Tax Regime: Though it has been resolved tax anomalies among foreign OEMs, DPSUs
and private sector players, the government needs to rationalize taxes and duties especially
for Maintenance, Repair and Overhauls (MROs) and Special Economic Zones (SEZs)
and resolve the inverted duty structure that makes domestic companies uncompetitive,
thereby placing the Indian private industry at a disadvantageous position (ASSOCHAM
& PWC, 2014). In this context Chinese experiences are well eye-opener. One of the
lesser known aspects of China’s emergence as a global manufacturing hub is the manner
in which it completely revamped its tax system in the early 1990s. The reforms have
provided impetus for the washing out of market distortions and have increased the
incentive to invest in China. India can look and replicate its success (Srivastava, 2008).
Cost Structure: A critical issue impacting investment in India is the high cost of capital.
While this impacts all Indian companies across sectors, it severely impact MSMEs who
face an even higher interest rate regime. While various schemes have been launched to
provide interest rate subsidy to MSMEs, these have largely remained on paper. In
addition, a lot of raw material, a number of sub system and components for defence
industries are not produced in India and have to be imported. But due to fluctuations in
forex markets often costs of defence products which are produced in the country are
overrun.
FDI or Foreign Direct Investment is an investment which is made by any company into a
particular economy/country. It is a method of direct investment into any economy. It is a
key component in global integration. It is one of the major forms of cross-border
investment. A company or enterprise, resident in its nation, can operate its enterprise in
another country by investment. FDI is amongst the key issues of foreign policies for
almost all the countries. The enterprises based in developed economies can invest directly
and open its branches in another country (underdeveloped or developing). It can use its
resources for its work and in return give money to the workers. This not only helps in the
development of the economy but also gives the workers a fair idea of how an enterprise
operates. It provides long lasting interests to the enterprise as well.
The investing company can make its overseas investment in some ways – either by
setting up a subsidiary or associate company (with the same name of the company) in the
foreign country and also by a partnership with shares of an overseas company, or through
a merger or joint venture. In India, the FDI was first brought up after the economic crisis
of 1991. Former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and the then Prime Minister Shri PV
Narasimha Rao are credited for bringing FDI in India which relaxed the economy and
generated more than one crore jobs. In 2015, India became the largest destination for FDI
surpassing China.
7. CONCLUSIONS
The challenges/problems of FDI inflow into defence sector have been identified as lack
of investor friendly procedure, shortage of technical manpower, unfriendly tax regime,
uneconomical cost structure, lack of enforcement of intellectual property protection, etc.
Therefore, there is need to plug these loopholes. In addition, we should not ignore but to
continuously look into depth on regulatory regime of FDI, PPP model, clusters, special
defence zone, offsets, etc. More importantly, while reviewing FDI proposals it should be
taken care of that India should not become dumping ground of inferior technology.
Various incentives such as tax rebates could also be used as a lever to induce higher
technology through FDI. If India is succeeded in its efforts in establishing modern
defence manufacturing complex through FDI route, it will be path breaking concept of
erstwhile socialist countries which remodeled their economies into market-oriented.
The experiences of other countries like Brazil, South Korea, Turkey, etc can be helpful to
India to replicate the success of FDI in defence sector. Even in the United States the third
largest supplier of defence equipment to its armed forces is a wholly owned subsidiary of
a British company. India’s own successful joint venture with Russia in production of
Brahmos cruise missile can be considered as useful model. But on the other side of the
picture of coin is not very rosy. For instance, recently U.S. Department of State refused to
grant licenses on four of the 25 Lockheed Martin technologies promised to South Korea
for its 5th generation fighter jets programme dubbed KF-X. It also denied Moog Inc re-
export clearance for actuators which were to be installed on India’s Rustom-2 HALE
Class UAV. In case of Russia too, in 2007 Russia and India agreed to jointly develop the
Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA).But India is not taken in loop in the
development of FGFA. In fact, no defence majors will share front line technology to
others.
For a country with hostile neighbours, it is the biggest priority of the government is to
ensure its safety. Any economy cannot be self-sufficient, and it is not possible to battle
against problems like terrorism just by risking of lives. Technology thus becomes an
important tool in covering such hazards. The harsh reality is that our defense sector needs
a good overhaul, and our government needs to allocate sufficient budgets for production
of defense material. The military expenditure of a developed nation like USA is around
600 billion dollars compared to a mere 65 billion dollar expenditure by India when it
comes to maintenance of the army and defense equipment. Thus to achieve the defense
capability dreams that India has, higher FDI may be a pure and important source that
needs to be brought up. It must however be kept in mind that it does harm the local
industries.