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  • A. Times (Days) Expected Times Activity Immidiate Predecesessor A - 1 3 5 3 B - 1 2 3 2 C A 1 2 3 2 D A 2 3 4 3 E B 3 4 11 5 F C, D 3 4 5 4 G D, E 1 4 6 3,8 H F, G 2 4 5 3,8

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    Muhammad Basra
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    The document provides information about the expected times and critical path for a project with 8 activities. It lists the activities, their predecessors, expected start and finish times, and expected duration. It identifies the critical path as activities B-E-G-H. The expected completion time for the project is 14.6 days, approximately 15 days. It then provides the standard deviation for each activity and calculates the probability of completing the project within 16 days as 72%.

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    Objective question no.8 Operation and Supply Chain Management 14th Global Edition

    Original Title

    Cpm

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    The document provides information about the expected times and critical path for a project with 8 activities. It lists the activities, their predecessors, expected start and finish times, and expected duration. It identifies the critical path as activities B-E-G-H. The expected completion time for the project is 14.6 days, approximately 15 days. It then provides the standard deviation for each activity and calculates the probability of completing the project within 16 days as 72%.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    5 views2 pages

    A. Times (Days) Expected Times Activity Immidiate Predecesessor A - 1 3 5 3 B - 1 2 3 2 C A 1 2 3 2 D A 2 3 4 3 E B 3 4 11 5 F C, D 3 4 5 4 G D, E 1 4 6 3,8 H F, G 2 4 5 3,8

    Uploaded by

    Muhammad Basra
    The document provides information about the expected times and critical path for a project with 8 activities. It lists the activities, their predecessors, expected start and finish times, and expected duration. It identifies the critical path as activities B-E-G-H. The expected completion time for the project is 14.6 days, approximately 15 days. It then provides the standard deviation for each activity and calculates the probability of completing the project within 16 days as 72%.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 2

    8. a.

    TIMES (DAYS) EXPECTED TIMES


    IMMIDIATE
    a m b (a + 4m + b)/6
    ACTIVITY PREDECESESSOR
    A EF - ES 1 3 5 3
    B - 1 2 3 2
    C A 1 2 3 2
    D A 2 3 4 3
    E B 3 4 11 5
    F C,D 3 4 5 4
    G D,E 1 4 6 3,8
    LF LS
    H F,G 2 4 5 3,8

    1
    b. The critical path is B – E – G – H

    c. The expected completion time is 14,6 days 15 days

    d. the probability within 16 days (D = 16)

    ACTIVITY σ2
    A 0,44
    B 0,11
    C 0,11
    D 0,11
    E 1,78
    F 0,11
    G 0,69
    H 0,25

    𝐷 − 𝑇𝐸
    𝑍=
    2
    √∑ 𝜎𝐸𝑃

    16 − 15
    𝑍=
    √(𝐵 + 𝐸 + 𝐺 + 𝐻)

    16 − 15
    𝑍=
    √(0,11 + 1,78 + 0,69 + 0,25)

    1
    𝑍=
    √2,83
    1
    𝑍= = 𝟎, 𝟓𝟗𝟒 if we calculate using normsdist (0,594) = 0,72
    1,682

    so the probability to complete the project within 16 days is 72%

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