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Hidro Hilman 2 Lagi11
Hidro Hilman 2 Lagi11
X
(Curah
Tahun ci c ( ci - c )
Hujan
Max)
1994 326 133 208.32 -75.32
1995 244 144 208.32 -64.32
1996 191 146 208.32 -62.32
1997 158 149.5 208.32 -58.82
1998 427 158 208.32 -50.32
1999 146 172 208.32 -36.32
2000 149.5 191 208.32 -17.32
2001 133 201 208.32 -7.32
2002 201 244 208.32 35.68
2003 172 326 208.32 117.68
2004 144 427 208.32 218.68
Jumlah 2291.50 0.00
S= Σ( c - c rata-rata ) 2
n-1
= 84301.14
11 - 1,
= 91.8157
Cv = S
c rata-rata
= 91.8157
208.32
= 0.441
Cs = Σ( X-x )3 × n
( n-1 ) × ( n-2 ) × ( S )3
= 10813216,75 × 11
10 × 9 × (91,8157)3
= 1.707
Ck = ( n ) 2 x Σ(X-x)4
( n-1 ) x (n-2) x (n-3) x S4
= 11 2 × 2564922939,366
10 x 9 x 8 x (91,8157)4
= 6.0654124424
Tabel Perhitungan Statistik dan Probabilitas Curah H
X
Tahun (Curah Hujan c Log c Log c
Max )
1994 326 133 2.124 2.288
1995 244 144 2.158 2.288
1996 191 146 2.164 2.288
1997 158 149.5 2.175 2.288
1998 427 158 2.199 2.288
1999 146 172 2.236 2.288
2000 149.5 191 2.281 2.288
2001 133 201 2.303 2.288
2002 201 244 2.387 2.288
2003 172 326 2.513 2.288
2004 144 427 2.630 2.288
jumlah 25.171
n-1
= 0.2608
11 - 1,
= 0.161
Cv = S
Log c rata-rata
= 0.161
2.2882
= 0.07057
Cs = Σ( Log c- Log c )3 × n
( n-1 ) × ( n-2 ) × ( S )3
= 0,041565 × 11
10 × 9 × (0,161)3
= 1.206
Ck = ( n ) 2 x Σ(Log X-Logx)4
( n-1 ) x (n-2) x (n-3) x S4
= (11) 2 × 0,0050365
10 x 9 x 8 x (0,161)4
= 4.4136419167
Perhitungan Statistik dan Probabilitas Curah Hujan M
S = ( X - X rata-rata ) 2
n -1
= 84301.136
11 - 1,
= 91.82
Cs = ( ( X-xrata )3 * n )
( n-1 ) * ( n-2 ) * ( S )3
= 10813216.8 x 11
10 x 9 x 91,816^3
= 1.707
Ck = ( n ) 2 x (X-xrata)^4
( n-1 ) x (n-2) x (n-3) x S^4
= 11^2 x 2564922939
10 x 9 x 8 x 91,816
= 6.064
babilitas Curah Hujan Maksimum Wilayah ( Normal )
( ci - c )2 ( ci - c )3 ( ci - c )4
1. Distribusi NORMAL
Cs ≈ 0
Ck ≈ 3
3. Distribusi GUMBEL
Cs ≈ 1,1396
Ck ≈ 5,4002
Kesimpulan :
Dari perhitungan data diatas tidak ada yang memenuhi syarat
maka dilakukan perhitungan dengan cara Log Person III
Diketahui :
S 0.161 Cs = ( n ) (Log X - Log x)³
Ck 4.414 ( n - 1 ).( n - 2 ).S³
Log 2.288
Cs = 11 x 0,041565
10 x 9 x 0,161^3
Cs = 0.002
logaritma
enuhi syarat
0.07057 0.07057
normal
cs 0.805
ckk 3.745457
cv 0.120
cs 1.663
ck 3.400801
Model Log Person Type III
Jadi debit andalan 80% dengan Metode Log Pearson III adalah 1,6875 m3dt
Periode ulang 2 5 10 20
Keof. G
0.2 -0.850 0.830 1.301 1.818
0.103
0.1 -0.846 0.836 1.292 1.785
((-0,850)-(-0,846)) = (K1-(-0,850))
(0,2-0,1) (0,103-0,1)
K1 = ((-0,850)-(-0,846)) x (0,103-0,1)) + (-0,846)
(0,2-0,1)
Nilai K2= -0.8461
YT = Yr + K . S
50 100
2.159 2.472
2.107 2.400
3-0,1)) + (-0,846)
1) + 0,830
1) + 1,292
riode ulang T
Yt Xt
2.142 138.832
2.431 269.928
2.511 324.226
2.546 351.565
2.651 448.188
2.702 503.542
4. (1,818 - 1,785) = (K1- 1,785)
(0,2-0,1) (0,103-0,1)
K1 = (1,818 - 1,785) x (0,103-0,1) + 1,785
(0,2-0,1)
Nilai K1= 1.7860
Gumbel
n Tahun Q rerata p= (m/(n+1)x 100%)
1 1997 33.583 8.333
2 1994 48.209 16.667
3 1999 49.083 25.000
4 2004 56.417 33.333
5 2003 64.217 41.667
6 2001 69.583 50.000
7 2000 72.750 58.333
8 1996 80.125 66.667
9 2002 83.333 75.000
10 1998 107.208 83.333
11 1995 141.042 91.667
Q rata-rata 73.232
SD 30.102
Yt = 0.3665129
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 69.0916659109
Yt = 1.49994
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 104.35253977
Yt = 2.2503673
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 127.698306415
Yt = 2.9701952
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 150.092126278
Yt = 3.9019387
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 179.078629063
Yt = 4.6001492
Jadi x =x + Yt - Yn sn = 73.232 +
Sn
= 200.799933882
8 à Tr = 5/(0,8) = 6,25
8 à Tr = 10/(0,8) = 12,5
8 à Tr = 20/(0,8) = 25
2.97 - 0.4996 30.102
0.968
8 à Tr = 50/(0,8) = 62,5
8 à Tr = 100/(0,8) = 125
α= 20%
Δ Maks = 0.250
Δ Cr = 0.307
Karena nilai ΔMaks lebih kecil dari nilai ΔCr (0,250< 0,307), maka persamaan distribusi
Cs 99 95 90 80 50 20 10
0.2 -2.175 -1.59 -1.26 -0.85 -0.03 0.83 1.301
0.1 -2.225 -1.616 -1.27 -0.846 -0.017 0.836 1.292
Pr1 96.11051
Pr2 80.006239
Pr3 79.995537
Pr4 50.018451
Pr5 54.785628
Pr6 49.997259
Pr7 49.992876
Pr8 49.983366
Pr9 49.9795
Pr10 19.93282
Pr11 3.9256884
Pr (%) Pt (X) Δ Maks Δ Maks = (I Pe-Pt I)
96.111 0.039 0.044 0.044
80.006 0.200 -0.033 0.033
79.996 0.200 0.050 0.050
50.018 0.500 -0.166 0.166
54.786 0.452 -0.035 0.035
49.997 0.500 0.000 0.000
49.993 0.500 0.083 0.083
49.983 0.500 0.167 0.167
49.979 0.500 0.250 0.250
19.933 0.801 0.033 0.033
3.926 0.961 -0.044 0.044
Δ
Maks 0.250 0.250
=
4 2 1
1.818 2.159 2.472
1.785 2.107 2.400
Jumlah Data
No Nilai Batasan (Fe-Ft)2
Fe Ft
1 0 - 41.10 1 2.75 3.06
2 41.11 - 78.00 6 2.75 10.56
3 78.01 - 88.97 2 2.75 0.56
4 88.98 - 0.00 2 2.75 0.56
Jumlah
Derajat Kepercayaan = 5%
X2 Hitung = 5.4
X2 Cs = 9.488
Karena nilai X2 Hitung lebih kecil dari nilai X2 kritis (5,4 < 9,488), maka persamaan dist
75 50 25 20
-0.423 0.33 0.665 0.732
-1.302 0.341 0.6727 0.739
(Fe-Ft)2/Ft
1.1136363636
3.8409090909
0.205
0.205
5.4
X2
0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01 0.001
1.642 2.706 3.841 6.635 10.827
3.219 4.605 5.991 9.21 13.815
4.642 6.251 7.815 11.345 16.268
5.989 7.779 9.488 13.277 18.465
7.289 9.236 11.07 15.086 20.517
Periode Ulang T 2 5 10 20 50 100
Hujan (mm) 69.091597 104.35189 127.69727 150.09072 179.07675 200.7977
Penyelesaian :
Dengan menggunakan persamaan Rumus Mononobe:
⅔
It = R 24
24 t
⅔
It = 104.35189 24
24 (5/60)
It = 189.656
400.000
Co
f(x) = 797.6693093065 x^-0.6667
Po
250.000
Co
Po
f(x) = 678.6574990665 x^-0.6667
Co
200.000 Po
Co
f(x) = 554.58657384 x^-0.6667
Po
Co
150.000
Po
f(x) = 797.6693093065 x^-0.6667
Po
250.000
Co
Po
f(x) = 678.6574990665 x^-0.6667
Co
200.000 Po
Co
f(x) = 554.58657384 x^-0.6667
Po
Co
150.000
Po
Co
f(x) = 367.1928886982 x^-0.6667 Po
100.000
50.000
0.000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Column B
Power (Column B)
Column C
Power (Column C)
Column D
Power (Column D)
Column E
Power (Column E)
Column F
Power (Column F)
Power (Column B)
Column C
Power (Column C)
Column D
Power (Column D)
Column E
Power (Column E)
Column F
Power (Column F)
Column G
Power (Column G)
300 350