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Commodity Research Report 19 March 2018 Ways2Capital
Commodity Research Report 19 March 2018 Ways2Capital
Commodity Research Report 19 March 2018 Ways2Capital
Market Wrap-Up
Chana 20-Apr-18 3738 3721 3785 3603 3775 0.99% 72.95% -4.38%
Dhaniya 20-Apr-18 5492 5502 5530 5331 5371 -2.20% 493.12% 702.83%
Cottonseed Oil
20-Apr-18 1482.00 1477.00 1477.00 1420.00 1440.00 -2.83% -90.50% -87.42%
Cake
Guargum5 20-Apr-18 9027 9035 9325 8905 9120 1.03% 13.08% -2.47%
Guarseed10 20-Apr-18 4257.00 4255.00 4350.00 4193.00 4278.00 0.49% 48.43% -7.37%
Jeera 20-Apr-18 14995 14890 14940 14515 14595 -2.67% -80.16% -29.00%
Kapas 30-Apr-18 961.50 956.50 958.00 916.00 918.00 -4.52% -20.76% -1.44%
RMseed 20-Apr-18 4239 4205 4205 4103 4159 -1.89% -48.79% 23.81%
Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 793.30 791.00 792.95 777.50 788.90 -0.55% -16.76% 20.79%
Soyabean 20-Apr-18 3822 3791 3824 3714 3796 -0.68% -64.26% -11.57%
Turmeric 20-Apr-18 6840 6896 6964 6666 6924 1.23% -35.75% -0.92%
Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1214.90 1208.10 1237.00 1146.80 1206.70 -0.67% 11.79% 11.11%
LME Inventory
Closing In Tonnes Closing In Tonnes
Commodity % Change in Price
(As on 01 Jan 2017) (As on 01 Jan 2017)
Continued…….
4 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Inventory Updates
Crude Oil 19-Apr-18 4315 4167 4116 4019 3968 3871 3723
Natural Gas 26-Mar-18 195.85 186.55 180.8 177.25 171.5 167.95 158.65
Castor Seed 20-Apr-18 4421 4321 4281 4221 4181 4121 4021
Cottonseed Oil Cake 20-Apr-18 1560 1503 1471 1446 1414 1389 1332
Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 817 802 795 786 780 771 756
Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1377 1287 1247 1197 1157 1107 1016
BULLION
Gold prices held firm on Friday as tensions between the United Kingdom and Russia
and renewed U.S. political concerns offset worries about a possible U.S. rate hike
next week. Gold prices fell 0.7 percent in the previous session under pressure from
a stronger U.S. dollar. The dollar rose versus a currency basket as traders awaiting
next week's Federal Reserve meeting eyed data that showed the number of Ameri-
cans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week.
BASE METALS
Copper prices fell on Friday as the dollar strengthened ahead of next week's Fed-
eral Open Market Committee meeting at which the U.S. central bank is expected to
raise interest rates for the first time this year. A stronger green back makes metals
more expensive for holders of other currencies and can weigh on prices.Three-
month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.1 percent at $6,914 a
tonne by 0210 GMT extending a 1 percent loss in the previous session. It is on
course for a 0.7 percent weekly drop.
ENERGY
Oil prices remained sideways on Friday after the International Energy Agency said
global crude demand would accelerate this year but warned supply is growing at a
faster pace. NYMEX crude for April delivery was up 5 cents or 0.1 percent at
$61.24 a barrel at 0048 GMT after settling up 23 cents on Thursday.
Natural gas futures fell nearly two percent in American trade away from February
5 highs for the third session as the dollar index rose for the second straight session
from one-week lows .
SPICES
Rising arrivals of new crop and an overall high crop estimate have limited the
up trend. Due to high prevailing rates last year more sowing was done for this
crop. Good rains in Gujarat and Rajasthan further boosted productivity as-
pects and traders estimate the crop to be between 65-75 lakh bags. Jeer acre-
age in Gujarat is up by 38% to 3.83 lakh hectares as on 15-Jan-18. Acreage was
2.88 lakh ha at that same time.
Moderate firmness returned for Turmeric after the recent fall. However prices
faced strong resistance near the psychological 7000 mark.
Prices failed to hold onto the higher levels for Guar as it traded with high
volatility. Expected pick up in export demand in coming weeks at these lower
levels could support prices however as prices found some support near psy-
chological 9000 mark. Lack of strong export demand with falling crude oil
prices amidst reports of higher stocks had kept pressure on prices. Reports of
higher carry forward stock too kept up trend limited.
OTHERS
Spot buying improved during later hours hence futures posted some recov-
ery. For the current week April RM seed might trade in the price band of
4105-4225, unless new season supplies start intensifying.
Viewing technically NCDEX Apr soy bean has a strong support region around
3550-3600 for the current month and expect the downside to be capped
unless the 3500 support gets breached on a closing basis. Bullish tone in soy
meal shall continue helping prices to bounce from support levels moving for-
ward.
ZINC
Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for the
most part of the week. It made a low of 208.10 during the week and closed at 212.80 with the marginal loss of 1% on
weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above trend line
breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 212.80 then it can test the level of 215 during the
week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 211.50.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action BUY
Target 215.00
SL 211.50
SILVER
Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that traded with negative sentiment for the
most part of the week. It made a low of 38171 during the week and closed at 38358 with the marginal loss of 1% on
weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below trend line
breakout with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 38150 then it can test the level of 37700 during the
week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 38400.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action SELL
Target 37700
SL 38400
Last week COCUDAKL Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement
for the most part of the week. It made a low of 1420 during the week and closed at 1440 with the marginal loss of 2.8%
on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below support
level with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 1420 then it can test the level of 1290 during the week.
One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 1490
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 1290
SL 1490
CASTORSEED
NCDEX Castor Seed Apr future continued to trade in the range of 4270-4170 for the fourth consecutive trading week.
Price made the low of 4160 during the week and the high of 4260 and settled at 4242. Market closed flat during the
week with higher volume and open interest indicating building of long positions. We can expect market can break its
resistance level of 4270 on this week.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action BUY
Target 4410
SL 4195
Last week USDINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for
the most part of the week. It made a low of 64.8650 during the week and closed at 65.0200 with the marginal loss of
0.42% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above
trend line breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 65.1400 then it can test the level of 65.6375
during the week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 64.7975
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action BUY
Target 65.6375
SL 64.7975
EURINR
Last week EURINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed choppy movement for
the most part of the week. It made a low of 79.9800 during the week and closed at 80.1650 with the marginal loss of
0.23% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below
trend line breakout with negative divergence in RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 79.8600 then it can test the
level of 79.2625 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 80.2900
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action SELL
Target 79.2625
SL 80.2900
DISCLOSURE (प्रकटीकयण) :
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issuer of products/ securities, this ensures that there is no actual or potential conflicts of interest. To ensure compliance with the regulatory body, we have resolved that the company
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